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ECHUCA, WEDNESDAY 5TH OCTOBER
$50WIN
Race 1 No 4 Heza Warhorse ($2.50)
Was extremely disappoimting first up for Laura Crossland after leading and caving in late. This is a weaker race & with the lead up for grabs should be able to control this race if he can cross early. No excuses if he can.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Rob The Bank ($3)
Had excuses last time out in a much stronger field than this although is making a habit of finding trouble. Mark Pitt onboard is a huge plus, follows through it's stablemate who should lead & we have Brian Gath onboard Master Mach Manus who'll no doubt put the pressure on the first 600metres and a huge risk first up. As always at Echuca, if the pressure doesn't come we'll have an issue but I just think he's better than these with even luck.
Race 1 No 4 Heza Warhorse ($2.50)
Was extremely disappoimting first up for Laura Crossland after leading and caving in late. This is a weaker race & with the lead up for grabs should be able to control this race if he can cross early. No excuses if he can.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Rob The Bank ($3)
Had excuses last time out in a much stronger field than this although is making a habit of finding trouble. Mark Pitt onboard is a huge plus, follows through it's stablemate who should lead & we have Brian Gath onboard Master Mach Manus who'll no doubt put the pressure on the first 600metres and a huge risk first up. As always at Echuca, if the pressure doesn't come we'll have an issue but I just think he's better than these with even luck.
$25WIN
Race 6 No 3 Missurquhart ($3.75)
Another horror meeting here punters but I think there maybe some value here. Was only 3metres off Might Mara in a C1 heat without having much luck late & then nothing went right in the final. Massive chance to cross them early & should go very close but small outlay as it's 1 win from 66 starts for a reason
RESULT: 3rd & beaten a long way.
Race 6 No 3 Missurquhart ($3.75)
Another horror meeting here punters but I think there maybe some value here. Was only 3metres off Might Mara in a C1 heat without having much luck late & then nothing went right in the final. Massive chance to cross them early & should go very close but small outlay as it's 1 win from 66 starts for a reason
RESULT: 3rd & beaten a long way.
CRANBOURNE, SUNDAY 2nd OCTOBER
$75WIN
Race 1 No 1 Chippie Tanna ($2.25)
Liked the way it's returned to racing this prep against better opposition. Nice draw here & I think it can hold them out based on the gate speed it showed at Yarra Valley. Looks the winner with even luck
Race 1 No 1 Chippie Tanna ($2.25)
Liked the way it's returned to racing this prep against better opposition. Nice draw here & I think it can hold them out based on the gate speed it showed at Yarra Valley. Looks the winner with even luck
MILDURA, SATURDAY 1ST OCTOBER
$25WIN
Race 1 No 7 Your Place Or Mine ($5)
Never got a look in against much better horses last time. Going to need a bit of luck again here but I think it's going better than what most people might think. I'll be happy if Albie Ashwood holds them out early.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Finedropofred ($3)
Great effort last week to only finish 5 metres off Gollahman. There is bugger all speed on his inside tonight and tonight has to be the night that he holds it & gives it a real crack. Has beaten all of his main rivals recently as well. I probably double the bet if Youvegottobelieveit wasn't in the race as it'll be a pest at some point.
Race 1 No 7 Your Place Or Mine ($5)
Never got a look in against much better horses last time. Going to need a bit of luck again here but I think it's going better than what most people might think. I'll be happy if Albie Ashwood holds them out early.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Finedropofred ($3)
Great effort last week to only finish 5 metres off Gollahman. There is bugger all speed on his inside tonight and tonight has to be the night that he holds it & gives it a real crack. Has beaten all of his main rivals recently as well. I probably double the bet if Youvegottobelieveit wasn't in the race as it'll be a pest at some point.
SHEPPARTON, FRIDAY 30TH SEPTEMBER
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Aguante ($3)
Not suited over the short trip at Melton but the run was better than what it looked in good time. Ran Shogun Thomas to a head just over the month ago after leading & her win at Charlton 2 starts back after leading was very good. Leads and looks veryt hard to catch
RESULT: 3rd. Led pretty easily and didn't find much
$100WIN
Race 9 No 2 Jo An Leonie ($2.25)
Was the run of the Vicbred final for mine after working and only being beaten a head in 1.55sec mile rate. I think she'll get a much easier run here tonight in front and looks the best bet of the night
RESULT: WINNER! Nathan knew better than me and took a sit & job the job done. Got out to $3.50 on Betfair. Collect $280
Race 5 No 2 Aguante ($3)
Not suited over the short trip at Melton but the run was better than what it looked in good time. Ran Shogun Thomas to a head just over the month ago after leading & her win at Charlton 2 starts back after leading was very good. Leads and looks veryt hard to catch
RESULT: 3rd. Led pretty easily and didn't find much
$100WIN
Race 9 No 2 Jo An Leonie ($2.25)
Was the run of the Vicbred final for mine after working and only being beaten a head in 1.55sec mile rate. I think she'll get a much easier run here tonight in front and looks the best bet of the night
RESULT: WINNER! Nathan knew better than me and took a sit & job the job done. Got out to $3.50 on Betfair. Collect $280
MELTON, THURSDAY 29TH SEPTEMBER
SUGGESTED BETS
$75WIN
Race 1 No 2 Bad Boy Brad ($2.25)
An absolute shocker of a drive from Jason Hackett last week & tonight it make up night although not at the same odds. Expect Bazzas Art to fly the gate and lead but it's hand up quickly & expect that to be Bad Boy Brad taking it up. No excuses from there
RESULT: LOST! Broke after the start and never looked comfortable after that.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Shakti Bromac ($11)
Been running some ok races against much better horses of late. With Mister Wickham drawn awkwardly & a question mark on the form of Im Barney Rubble who is the likely leader, Im happy to play at what should be big odds
RESULT: 3rd. Went to the death after a ridiculously slow lead time. Not a death horse so to hold 3rd was a good effort. Plenty of $3.50+ a place around be we cop $2 for the site. Collect $80
$75WIN
Race 1 No 2 Bad Boy Brad ($2.25)
An absolute shocker of a drive from Jason Hackett last week & tonight it make up night although not at the same odds. Expect Bazzas Art to fly the gate and lead but it's hand up quickly & expect that to be Bad Boy Brad taking it up. No excuses from there
RESULT: LOST! Broke after the start and never looked comfortable after that.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Shakti Bromac ($11)
Been running some ok races against much better horses of late. With Mister Wickham drawn awkwardly & a question mark on the form of Im Barney Rubble who is the likely leader, Im happy to play at what should be big odds
RESULT: 3rd. Went to the death after a ridiculously slow lead time. Not a death horse so to hold 3rd was a good effort. Plenty of $3.50+ a place around be we cop $2 for the site. Collect $80
GEELONG, WEDNESDAY 28TH SEPTEMBER
$40 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 2 / 1-8 / 1-7-8 for 1000%
Zibibo did what it needed to win last start, although not overly impressive, looks to have this race won. Our Red Sky Night & Give Me The Night get the cheap runs behind it & I can’t leave out Smile Lyle who was impressive last start
RESULT: WINNER! The 1 falls in for 3rd & we pretty much just double our money. Don’t spend it all at once. Collect $86
Race 7: 2 / 1-8 / 1-7-8 for 1000%
Zibibo did what it needed to win last start, although not overly impressive, looks to have this race won. Our Red Sky Night & Give Me The Night get the cheap runs behind it & I can’t leave out Smile Lyle who was impressive last start
RESULT: WINNER! The 1 falls in for 3rd & we pretty much just double our money. Don’t spend it all at once. Collect $86
BENDIGO, TUESDAY 27TH SEPTEMBER
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Kate Lovemetwotimes ($8)
Does struggle to win but so do the majority in thiis race. Run of it's legs last start but his run 2 starts back was better than what it looked at Charlton. Finally gets a draw & should hand up to the best candidate. Looks the best roughy of the night
Race 3 No 1 Kate Lovemetwotimes ($8)
Does struggle to win but so do the majority in thiis race. Run of it's legs last start but his run 2 starts back was better than what it looked at Charlton. Finally gets a draw & should hand up to the best candidate. Looks the best roughy of the night
MILDURA, SUNDAY 25TH SEPTEMBER
$25WIN
Race 2 No 3 Kearney Lane ($3.75)
Changes stables after a frustrating run with David Miles but does look suited to Mildura. Has gate speed & trialled OK for this. Should be leading & with his stablemate drawn out the back over the sprint trip, gets his chance
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 2 / 1-7 / 1-7 for 2500%
Bulgari Rose should've won with the run it had last start over the 2190m but was run down late. Should lead easily here & dictate terms & back to the 1790m looks the winner. Springfield Shadow & Markleigh Jill follow inside runs & look likely to fight out the placings
$75WIN
Race 4 No 8 Itmademyday ($2.50)
Been racing against much better opposition and although has had a month or 2 off the scene, looks a class above these with average luck.
Race 2 No 3 Kearney Lane ($3.75)
Changes stables after a frustrating run with David Miles but does look suited to Mildura. Has gate speed & trialled OK for this. Should be leading & with his stablemate drawn out the back over the sprint trip, gets his chance
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 2 / 1-7 / 1-7 for 2500%
Bulgari Rose should've won with the run it had last start over the 2190m but was run down late. Should lead easily here & dictate terms & back to the 1790m looks the winner. Springfield Shadow & Markleigh Jill follow inside runs & look likely to fight out the placings
$75WIN
Race 4 No 8 Itmademyday ($2.50)
Been racing against much better opposition and although has had a month or 2 off the scene, looks a class above these with average luck.
CRANBOURNE, SATURDAY 24TH SEPTEMBER
$32 EARLY QUADDIE
1-3-5-8-9-10-12-13 / 1 / 2 / 1-2-6-8 for 100%
Wide open first leg & fingers crossed I haven't missed the roughy. Fleshing & Reclusive should be winning the middle legs & we round it out with a wide open last leg but I'd be surprised if the winner didn't come from the 4 I've put in
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Artiflash ($6)
Forget it went around in the Vicbred heat last start when it was held up behind tired horses but finished off nicely. Nice win at Cobram from behind the leader the start prior. Positions nice & close to the lead here & looks a great value play
$25WIN
Race 6 No 9 Ourgirlbillilee ($4)
Was very stiff not to win first up for the new stable. Follows through speed & should settle nice & close & the match up with Gavin Lang will suit.
$25WIN
Race 7 No 2 Egodan ($3.75)
Showed a toughness I haven't seen from it before last start when a very good 2nd behind the flying Chilled Desire. I'm pinning my hopes on Motu Gatecrasher holding out Burnaholeinmypocket, leaving Egodan with the perfect sit behind them both. I think we'll be getting a much better quote than what Ive quoted.
1-3-5-8-9-10-12-13 / 1 / 2 / 1-2-6-8 for 100%
Wide open first leg & fingers crossed I haven't missed the roughy. Fleshing & Reclusive should be winning the middle legs & we round it out with a wide open last leg but I'd be surprised if the winner didn't come from the 4 I've put in
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Artiflash ($6)
Forget it went around in the Vicbred heat last start when it was held up behind tired horses but finished off nicely. Nice win at Cobram from behind the leader the start prior. Positions nice & close to the lead here & looks a great value play
$25WIN
Race 6 No 9 Ourgirlbillilee ($4)
Was very stiff not to win first up for the new stable. Follows through speed & should settle nice & close & the match up with Gavin Lang will suit.
$25WIN
Race 7 No 2 Egodan ($3.75)
Showed a toughness I haven't seen from it before last start when a very good 2nd behind the flying Chilled Desire. I'm pinning my hopes on Motu Gatecrasher holding out Burnaholeinmypocket, leaving Egodan with the perfect sit behind them both. I think we'll be getting a much better quote than what Ive quoted.
MELTON, FRIDAY 23RD SEPTEMBER
$50WIN
Race 1 No 11 Mistressofillusion ($3)
Was a lovely trial leading into tonight when it won as it liked. Does look suited here with Somedreamsomewhere leading and against these I expect to fold at the top of the straight. That’s spells danger for those on the peg line and with Michael Stanley likely to take off first from the back, she should have the ideal ride home.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Stunning Grin ($3)
Did everything but win when a super Kerryn Manning drive got him done 2 starts back. Trapped 4 pegs from a poor draw last start but was a very good run when only 5 metres off the winner. Looks like being gifted the lead and with the scratching of Jilliby Jagger, much of the pressure is gone out of the race. Gets his chance.
$25WIN
Race 8 No 4 Bad Boy Brad ($4)
Wasn't Lance's greatest drive last week but I did like the run even though it finished 7th. Nice win before that at Geelong beating The Fat Man. Expect a quieter drive tonight with Lance on holidays. Looks a great value bet.
Race 1 No 11 Mistressofillusion ($3)
Was a lovely trial leading into tonight when it won as it liked. Does look suited here with Somedreamsomewhere leading and against these I expect to fold at the top of the straight. That’s spells danger for those on the peg line and with Michael Stanley likely to take off first from the back, she should have the ideal ride home.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Stunning Grin ($3)
Did everything but win when a super Kerryn Manning drive got him done 2 starts back. Trapped 4 pegs from a poor draw last start but was a very good run when only 5 metres off the winner. Looks like being gifted the lead and with the scratching of Jilliby Jagger, much of the pressure is gone out of the race. Gets his chance.
$25WIN
Race 8 No 4 Bad Boy Brad ($4)
Wasn't Lance's greatest drive last week but I did like the run even though it finished 7th. Nice win before that at Geelong beating The Fat Man. Expect a quieter drive tonight with Lance on holidays. Looks a great value bet.
ECHUCA, THURSDAY 22ND SEPTEMBER
$25WIN
Race 5 No 7 Im Intense ($4)
First up run against Highview Christina was very good when not beaten far in 2nd. A nice little drop in class tonight and if it had drawn anywhere but gate 7 would start favourite. Just needs a little luck early to be a huge chance
RESULT: 3rd. Wouldn't mind a breath test on the driver but did have it's chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Times A Bonus ($5)
Did a power of work in quick tiime at Bendigo so the 3rd placing was very good. Back in distance suits & I think the 1 will hold them out early given him the perfect sit on a track he loves.
RESULT: 4th. Was supported heavily and a 34sec quarter killed it's chances. Ok run.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 3 Captain Snoozzze ($3)
Did too much work at Melton last start but the effort was good to hold 3rd. Expect Realy Under Fire to spear to the front from the wide draw but it'll hand up over this trip. First to that position for mine is Captain Snoozzze annd from the top should finally break through
RESULT: WINNER! No idea how that won with Justice electing go to the peg. Take it and run. Collect $140
Race 5 No 7 Im Intense ($4)
First up run against Highview Christina was very good when not beaten far in 2nd. A nice little drop in class tonight and if it had drawn anywhere but gate 7 would start favourite. Just needs a little luck early to be a huge chance
RESULT: 3rd. Wouldn't mind a breath test on the driver but did have it's chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Times A Bonus ($5)
Did a power of work in quick tiime at Bendigo so the 3rd placing was very good. Back in distance suits & I think the 1 will hold them out early given him the perfect sit on a track he loves.
RESULT: 4th. Was supported heavily and a 34sec quarter killed it's chances. Ok run.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 3 Captain Snoozzze ($3)
Did too much work at Melton last start but the effort was good to hold 3rd. Expect Realy Under Fire to spear to the front from the wide draw but it'll hand up over this trip. First to that position for mine is Captain Snoozzze annd from the top should finally break through
RESULT: WINNER! No idea how that won with Justice electing go to the peg. Take it and run. Collect $140
TERANG, TUESDAY 20TH SEPTEMBER
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Major Scandal ($6)
Not disgraced of late and returns to his favourite distance here. Should get the perfect run in the race & looks the value bet of the night
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Jacksons Hawk ($4)
Just died on it's run first up but was entitled to with the leaders walking early. Ideal draw here & likely the 2 favs will put the pressure on here a long way out. Should suit perfectly.
$25 QUINELLA
Race 5: 1 & 4 for 2500%
Jacksons Hawk as per the above but Mighty Mara looks very hard to beat after a very nice 2nd first up for Kerryn Manning and drops in grade. Jacksons Hawk should hand up to it and looks a race between the 2. Risking Looksmachnificent from the draw.
Race 3 No 1 Major Scandal ($6)
Not disgraced of late and returns to his favourite distance here. Should get the perfect run in the race & looks the value bet of the night
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Jacksons Hawk ($4)
Just died on it's run first up but was entitled to with the leaders walking early. Ideal draw here & likely the 2 favs will put the pressure on here a long way out. Should suit perfectly.
$25 QUINELLA
Race 5: 1 & 4 for 2500%
Jacksons Hawk as per the above but Mighty Mara looks very hard to beat after a very nice 2nd first up for Kerryn Manning and drops in grade. Jacksons Hawk should hand up to it and looks a race between the 2. Risking Looksmachnificent from the draw.
MARYBOROUGH, MONDAY 19th September
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Shakahari ($2.20)
Been over a year since it was last on the track and has since changed stables. Went huge in winning a Shepparton trial in late June beaten some very smart horses. Great draw & these are weak. Only concern is the time away from the track
RESULT: WINNER! Started $1.50 and only got shorter. $150 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Sheluvsme ($5)
Liked her last start 2nd when lost momentum behind a tiring leader but hit the line very nicely to grab 2nd in a quick last half. Should be back to 100% fit here & has enough gate speed to hold leaders back here.
RESULT: WINNER! Had enough speed to hold the lead, just, and was too strong. Collect $141.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Jimmy The Editor ($2.75)
Been racing very well against better horses. Usually better over the longer distances but the draw 7 the drop back in class should make up for that & he looks very hard to beat if he can hold the lead.
RESULT: Lost! Got attacked the whole trip & was gone at the turn
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Metrofromelle ($3)
Was a blackbooker froma Melton M0 when flashing home late from well back. Hasn't seen a field this easy for a long time . Should push forward from the draw & although it may not lead I think at worst will settle 1x1 on Kotare York's back. Her race to lose from there.
RESULT: WINNER! I was worried when it drifted so much but was a strong winner. Collect $245
Race 1 No 1 Shakahari ($2.20)
Been over a year since it was last on the track and has since changed stables. Went huge in winning a Shepparton trial in late June beaten some very smart horses. Great draw & these are weak. Only concern is the time away from the track
RESULT: WINNER! Started $1.50 and only got shorter. $150 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Sheluvsme ($5)
Liked her last start 2nd when lost momentum behind a tiring leader but hit the line very nicely to grab 2nd in a quick last half. Should be back to 100% fit here & has enough gate speed to hold leaders back here.
RESULT: WINNER! Had enough speed to hold the lead, just, and was too strong. Collect $141.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Jimmy The Editor ($2.75)
Been racing very well against better horses. Usually better over the longer distances but the draw 7 the drop back in class should make up for that & he looks very hard to beat if he can hold the lead.
RESULT: Lost! Got attacked the whole trip & was gone at the turn
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Metrofromelle ($3)
Was a blackbooker froma Melton M0 when flashing home late from well back. Hasn't seen a field this easy for a long time . Should push forward from the draw & although it may not lead I think at worst will settle 1x1 on Kotare York's back. Her race to lose from there.
RESULT: WINNER! I was worried when it drifted so much but was a strong winner. Collect $245
SWAN HILL, SUNDAY 18TH SEPTEMBER
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Nuggetpan ($6)
2 starts back from a spell have been very good & comes back to the track he loves from the perfect draw. This will be fairly willing early but expect the speed to drop off soon after & I think he'll settle leaders back and get every chance.
Race 6 No 1 Nuggetpan ($6)
2 starts back from a spell have been very good & comes back to the track he loves from the perfect draw. This will be fairly willing early but expect the speed to drop off soon after & I think he'll settle leaders back and get every chance.
MELTON, SATURDAY 17TH SEPTEMBER
$40 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 1-8 / 1-4-8 / 1-4-8-9 for 500%
Abitgoingonhere gets an easy led & his chance here. Miley Rose gets the gun run on it's back & I'd be surprised if won of them wasn't winning. Animated and Sirladyn Reba are both flying and are place chances
RESULT: LOST! Bernie Winkle knocks us out
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Jo An Leonie ($5)
Was a nice debut after breaking and then was held up at a crucial point last start & should've won for mine. Has the stablemate on it's inside & for mine that means it slide to the front early and holds. Thats advantage vs the fav.
RESULT: 2nd. Great run, looked the winner at the top of the straight but just got knocked off. Collect $120
Race 1: 1-8 / 1-4-8 / 1-4-8-9 for 500%
Abitgoingonhere gets an easy led & his chance here. Miley Rose gets the gun run on it's back & I'd be surprised if won of them wasn't winning. Animated and Sirladyn Reba are both flying and are place chances
RESULT: LOST! Bernie Winkle knocks us out
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Jo An Leonie ($5)
Was a nice debut after breaking and then was held up at a crucial point last start & should've won for mine. Has the stablemate on it's inside & for mine that means it slide to the front early and holds. Thats advantage vs the fav.
RESULT: 2nd. Great run, looked the winner at the top of the straight but just got knocked off. Collect $120
SHEPPARTON, FRIDAY 16TH SEPTEMBER
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Its Just Kenny ($6)
Looked a little plain at Bendigo after settling 4 pegs but they did run home in 56.4 secs so no wonder he couldn't pick up ground. This race is a little easier & should be settling leaders back here. Great EW show
RESULT: 4th. My speed map was wrong, ended up 3 pegs but had it's chance to at least place
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Skippy Rascal ($6)
Another that looks to get the perfect sit tonight. Motu Gatecrasher is a risk from the back row draw so we should get value. Blew the cobwebs out at the Melton trials during the week behind Grand Circuit performers. Just needs to be close to fit to be a huge chance here.
RESULT: 4th. Desperately unlucky..
Race 5 No 8 Its Just Kenny ($6)
Looked a little plain at Bendigo after settling 4 pegs but they did run home in 56.4 secs so no wonder he couldn't pick up ground. This race is a little easier & should be settling leaders back here. Great EW show
RESULT: 4th. My speed map was wrong, ended up 3 pegs but had it's chance to at least place
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Skippy Rascal ($6)
Another that looks to get the perfect sit tonight. Motu Gatecrasher is a risk from the back row draw so we should get value. Blew the cobwebs out at the Melton trials during the week behind Grand Circuit performers. Just needs to be close to fit to be a huge chance here.
RESULT: 4th. Desperately unlucky..
BALLARAT, THURSDAY 15TH SEPTEMBER
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Sandoval ($2.75)
Was in pretty good form in NZ earlier in the season behind the tapes but form tapered off late. The Butterworths don't bring them across the ditch for no reason & Kerryn Manning has great success with their horses. I have Gnotuk crossing early & over this distance hands up & that horse for mine is Sandoval. Best place to be at Ballarat is in front & looks a great chance to break through first up in Oz
RESULT: 2nd. Kicked on the turn, looked home & punctured!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Surreal Dreamer ($6)
Was last across the line at Melton last start but the run was actually not that bad from a poor draw. His form prior to that against better fields looks good enough to really test these average horses. His odds half if he was able to cross which for mine he's a 50/50 chance to do so.
RESULT: LOST! Don't watch the replay if you haven't seen it
Race 5 No 4 Sandoval ($2.75)
Was in pretty good form in NZ earlier in the season behind the tapes but form tapered off late. The Butterworths don't bring them across the ditch for no reason & Kerryn Manning has great success with their horses. I have Gnotuk crossing early & over this distance hands up & that horse for mine is Sandoval. Best place to be at Ballarat is in front & looks a great chance to break through first up in Oz
RESULT: 2nd. Kicked on the turn, looked home & punctured!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Surreal Dreamer ($6)
Was last across the line at Melton last start but the run was actually not that bad from a poor draw. His form prior to that against better fields looks good enough to really test these average horses. His odds half if he was able to cross which for mine he's a 50/50 chance to do so.
RESULT: LOST! Don't watch the replay if you haven't seen it
KILMORE, WEDNESDAY 14TH SEPTEMBER
$25WIN
Race 4 No 1 Zaire Diva ($4)
Yes that’s right, I'm turning to the trotters to get some value and I think this mare looks exactly that. Was unlucky against good opposition when ended up 3 pegs at Melton. Looks the leader here tonight & there really doesn't look to be any pressure on during the race. I can see this ending up just being a sprint home down the straight and with her main danger on her back, she's worth a small play
Race 4 No 1 Zaire Diva ($4)
Yes that’s right, I'm turning to the trotters to get some value and I think this mare looks exactly that. Was unlucky against good opposition when ended up 3 pegs at Melton. Looks the leader here tonight & there really doesn't look to be any pressure on during the race. I can see this ending up just being a sprint home down the straight and with her main danger on her back, she's worth a small play
CRANBOURNE, TUESDAY 13TH SEPTEMBER
$30 EARLY QUADDIE
1 / 2-3-6 / 6-7 / 6
Book ending the early quaddie with Precious Desire, who was an eye catcher against much better last start & Vae Victus, who just looks too good against these. A stand start trot race in the 2nd leg is normally not my go but the race looks pretty thin & I'm taken a small risk in the quaddie narrowing it down to 2. If we can get the fav rolled in the 2nd & knock over the rest we should be in for a nice collect
1 / 2-3-6 / 6-7 / 6
Book ending the early quaddie with Precious Desire, who was an eye catcher against much better last start & Vae Victus, who just looks too good against these. A stand start trot race in the 2nd leg is normally not my go but the race looks pretty thin & I'm taken a small risk in the quaddie narrowing it down to 2. If we can get the fav rolled in the 2nd & knock over the rest we should be in for a nice collect
Shepparton, SUNDAY 11tH SEPTEMBER
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 7 Illawong Noble ($10)
Risky punt this one as he will restrain early from the wide gate but past 2 runs have been very good. At Cobram was knocked over but hit the line very nicely after being last at the turn to snag 4th. Last starrt was knocked over again at the 600 metres and trailed the field by 20 metres before the turn but again found the line very nicely that time in a much stronger field than this. This is only his 5th run and he's improved each time he's stepped out on the track. Just needs a little luck at what should be big odds.
RESULT: 4th. Started big unders & the tempo didn't suit at all. Good run
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 The Stags Roar ($3)
Should've run a clear 2nd to Vae Victus before breaking half way down the straight at Bendigo. Perfect draw here to hand up to the right horse & out sprint them late
RESULT: WINNER! Got the perfect run off a good speed & looked the winner a long way out. Collect $180
Race 1 No 7 Illawong Noble ($10)
Risky punt this one as he will restrain early from the wide gate but past 2 runs have been very good. At Cobram was knocked over but hit the line very nicely after being last at the turn to snag 4th. Last starrt was knocked over again at the 600 metres and trailed the field by 20 metres before the turn but again found the line very nicely that time in a much stronger field than this. This is only his 5th run and he's improved each time he's stepped out on the track. Just needs a little luck at what should be big odds.
RESULT: 4th. Started big unders & the tempo didn't suit at all. Good run
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 The Stags Roar ($3)
Should've run a clear 2nd to Vae Victus before breaking half way down the straight at Bendigo. Perfect draw here to hand up to the right horse & out sprint them late
RESULT: WINNER! Got the perfect run off a good speed & looked the winner a long way out. Collect $180
MELTON, SATURDAY 10TH SEPTEMBER
$50WIN
Race 1 No 8 Sullenberger ($4)
Amazing win at Bendigo last week when near last before the turn but out sprinted them in a 56.4 last half. Not many can do that from that position at Bendigo. Bad Boy Brad has well since to frank that form. Doesn't look to be a great deal of gate speed off the front row so expect Felecity Funkhouser to hold (watch for change of tactics on Bazza's Art as it can fly the gate) Settling leaders back in what I expect to just be a sprint home he looks real hard to hold out
RESULT: LOST! Bazza's Art flies the gate (no COT) and Sullenberger got off but missedthe boat gaining the 3wide trail when Moran lost his goggles in the pouring rain! What else can go wrong?!?
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Captain Snoozzze ($5)
Wins the heat with luck from a poor draw. Sneaky chance to cross them early here & looks the each way special of the night
RESULT: 3rd. Was asked to do a lot. Nice run to hold 3rd considering. Collect $119
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Chilled Desire ($6)
She acquitted herself well against some of the best mares in Australia last month & then finished off nicely in an unsuitable race & poor draw. Gun draw here & can use her gate speed to advantage. Might hold but I do think she's better with a sit so I'm hoping Michael Bellman will find the right horse to hand up to to give her momentum into the sprint lane
RESULT: WINNER! Held them out & as expected, no pressure on throughout & ran the race to suit. Collect $147
$100WIN
Race 9 No 5 Christmas Jolt ($2)
Forget the Breeders Crown consolation run when never got a look in late but showed at it's previous start his best form isn't far away. Looks like bullying its way to the front here & he can run 1:54's around Melton over this distance & maybe break it if they leave him alone early. Looks the bet bet on the card
RESULT: 2nd. Nearly fell on the first turn and loses by a head.
Race 1 No 8 Sullenberger ($4)
Amazing win at Bendigo last week when near last before the turn but out sprinted them in a 56.4 last half. Not many can do that from that position at Bendigo. Bad Boy Brad has well since to frank that form. Doesn't look to be a great deal of gate speed off the front row so expect Felecity Funkhouser to hold (watch for change of tactics on Bazza's Art as it can fly the gate) Settling leaders back in what I expect to just be a sprint home he looks real hard to hold out
RESULT: LOST! Bazza's Art flies the gate (no COT) and Sullenberger got off but missedthe boat gaining the 3wide trail when Moran lost his goggles in the pouring rain! What else can go wrong?!?
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Captain Snoozzze ($5)
Wins the heat with luck from a poor draw. Sneaky chance to cross them early here & looks the each way special of the night
RESULT: 3rd. Was asked to do a lot. Nice run to hold 3rd considering. Collect $119
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Chilled Desire ($6)
She acquitted herself well against some of the best mares in Australia last month & then finished off nicely in an unsuitable race & poor draw. Gun draw here & can use her gate speed to advantage. Might hold but I do think she's better with a sit so I'm hoping Michael Bellman will find the right horse to hand up to to give her momentum into the sprint lane
RESULT: WINNER! Held them out & as expected, no pressure on throughout & ran the race to suit. Collect $147
$100WIN
Race 9 No 5 Christmas Jolt ($2)
Forget the Breeders Crown consolation run when never got a look in late but showed at it's previous start his best form isn't far away. Looks like bullying its way to the front here & he can run 1:54's around Melton over this distance & maybe break it if they leave him alone early. Looks the bet bet on the card
RESULT: 2nd. Nearly fell on the first turn and loses by a head.
BENDIGO, FRIDAY 9th SEPTEMBER
$50 WORTH OF QUADDIES
$30: 4 / 5 / 10 / 3 for 3000%
$10: 3-12 / 5 / 10 / 3 for 500%
$10: 4 / 5 / 10 / 5-9 for 500%
1st Leg: Repeat After Me will start very short & ran well from cushy runs. Might be a little suspect here because will have to work but would be a major surprise to see it roolled. Danman & Im Lonely the only dangers
2nd Leg: Three Ways is a very good horse in the making. Looks like strolling to the front eventually and only bad manners can beat it
3rd Leg: The moral of the night. Our Star Dust is fulfilling its potential finally with Emma Stewart and should brain these.
4th Leg: The risky leg. Shady McFly does look the leader and 3rd up does look its race. Shady Secret however is a smart youngster and even from the death can win. If they cut at each other, expect Valbarann to be better suited with a sit & is a flukey chance to mow them down if they went nuts.
$50 OF FIRST FOUR's
$40 Race 11: 1 / 3-4 / 3-4 / 2 for 2000%
$10 Race 11: 1 / 3-4 / 2 / 3-4 for 500%
Rocknroll Icon smashed the 2yo track record at Terang on debut. Enough said. Hashtag and Patrol The Stars are handy horses and could only win if the fav misbehaved & Rocknroll Eyes gets the gun run but is a level below the above 2. Can sneak 3rd if 3 or 4 work too hard.
$30: 4 / 5 / 10 / 3 for 3000%
$10: 3-12 / 5 / 10 / 3 for 500%
$10: 4 / 5 / 10 / 5-9 for 500%
1st Leg: Repeat After Me will start very short & ran well from cushy runs. Might be a little suspect here because will have to work but would be a major surprise to see it roolled. Danman & Im Lonely the only dangers
2nd Leg: Three Ways is a very good horse in the making. Looks like strolling to the front eventually and only bad manners can beat it
3rd Leg: The moral of the night. Our Star Dust is fulfilling its potential finally with Emma Stewart and should brain these.
4th Leg: The risky leg. Shady McFly does look the leader and 3rd up does look its race. Shady Secret however is a smart youngster and even from the death can win. If they cut at each other, expect Valbarann to be better suited with a sit & is a flukey chance to mow them down if they went nuts.
$50 OF FIRST FOUR's
$40 Race 11: 1 / 3-4 / 3-4 / 2 for 2000%
$10 Race 11: 1 / 3-4 / 2 / 3-4 for 500%
Rocknroll Icon smashed the 2yo track record at Terang on debut. Enough said. Hashtag and Patrol The Stars are handy horses and could only win if the fav misbehaved & Rocknroll Eyes gets the gun run but is a level below the above 2. Can sneak 3rd if 3 or 4 work too hard.
MILDURA, THURSDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Finedropofred ($6.50)
Forget last start when poleaxed half way round. Finally gets the chance to hit the lead first here & likely to take the option to hand up to Youvegotobelieveit with Yarrara Ben very dodgy at the start when pushed. Ultra consistent horse and finally gets a draw to win against suitable class
RESULT: 2nd. Had it's chance. Collect $93
Race 6 No 2 Finedropofred ($6.50)
Forget last start when poleaxed half way round. Finally gets the chance to hit the lead first here & likely to take the option to hand up to Youvegotobelieveit with Yarrara Ben very dodgy at the start when pushed. Ultra consistent horse and finally gets a draw to win against suitable class
RESULT: 2nd. Had it's chance. Collect $93
GEELONG, WEDNESDAY 7TH SEPTEMBER
RACE 1 FIRST FOUR's
$16: 1 / 8-9 / 2-7-8-9 / 2-7-8-9 for 200%
$8: 8-9 / 1 / 2-7-8-9 / 2-7-8-9 for 100%
Mary Jill joins the Michael Stanley stable here & yes I maybe a little biased but he gets them up & going quickly. From the draw I'd be surprised if she got beat. Anything For Love follows it's every move and can win as well as our last start winner Bet The Limit who has been impressive since coming down from QLD. Small chances 7 & 9 but I can't see them running top 2. I've left the first starter out from the draw which maybe a little risk but hasn't shown enough at the trials to bother these.
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Mary Jill ($2.75)
As per the above keen on her chances with the stable move. Ran some good races last season, especially from this type of draw. Gets every chance
RESULT: Galloped.. No worse result than a pacer that gallops..
$50WIN
Race 6 No 5 Spot Ona Shadow ($2.75)
Form has been ok of late in better races especially considering it hasn't been able to lead. I expect Tim McLean to come out very hard here & over the short trip looks tough to roll
RESULT: WINNER! Early scratching impacted the odds but still $2.30 available on UBET. Collect $100
$16: 1 / 8-9 / 2-7-8-9 / 2-7-8-9 for 200%
$8: 8-9 / 1 / 2-7-8-9 / 2-7-8-9 for 100%
Mary Jill joins the Michael Stanley stable here & yes I maybe a little biased but he gets them up & going quickly. From the draw I'd be surprised if she got beat. Anything For Love follows it's every move and can win as well as our last start winner Bet The Limit who has been impressive since coming down from QLD. Small chances 7 & 9 but I can't see them running top 2. I've left the first starter out from the draw which maybe a little risk but hasn't shown enough at the trials to bother these.
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Mary Jill ($2.75)
As per the above keen on her chances with the stable move. Ran some good races last season, especially from this type of draw. Gets every chance
RESULT: Galloped.. No worse result than a pacer that gallops..
$50WIN
Race 6 No 5 Spot Ona Shadow ($2.75)
Form has been ok of late in better races especially considering it hasn't been able to lead. I expect Tim McLean to come out very hard here & over the short trip looks tough to roll
RESULT: WINNER! Early scratching impacted the odds but still $2.30 available on UBET. Collect $100
Yarra VALLEY, MONDAY 5th SEPTEMBER
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Our Red Sky Night ($6)
Liked both his runs in the C1 series at Melton, probably more so his 2nd when stuck behind the tiring leader at vital stage whilst the outside runners gained momentum. Not a whole lot of gate speed here so should position leaders back at worst & probably the best scenario is to eventually hand up to Sir Gest. Slighty up in class but does look the best EW of the day
Race 7 No 1 Our Red Sky Night ($6)
Liked both his runs in the C1 series at Melton, probably more so his 2nd when stuck behind the tiring leader at vital stage whilst the outside runners gained momentum. Not a whole lot of gate speed here so should position leaders back at worst & probably the best scenario is to eventually hand up to Sir Gest. Slighty up in class but does look the best EW of the day
SHEPPARTON, SUNDAY 4th SEPTEMBER
$25 WIN
Race 6 No 2 Ourgirlbillilee ($4)
She was desperately unlucky throughout her prep last season but she was driven for luck more often than not. Transfers owner/stable/driver here & from the draw against these, worth a throw at the stumps
RESULT: 2nd.. Ended up 3 pegs and in hindsight might've gone close if it stayed there but the winner (blackbooker) was too good
Race 6 No 2 Ourgirlbillilee ($4)
She was desperately unlucky throughout her prep last season but she was driven for luck more often than not. Transfers owner/stable/driver here & from the draw against these, worth a throw at the stumps
RESULT: 2nd.. Ended up 3 pegs and in hindsight might've gone close if it stayed there but the winner (blackbooker) was too good
MELTON, SATURDAY 3RD SEPTEMBER
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Abitgoingonhere ($5)
Should've placed behind Menin Gate last start & was very good behind Stay & Play the week prior. Ran 1:55.2 mile last month after leading and is going to lead them fairly easily here. Might be enough to hold off Mister Wickham late. Worth a crack at the odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Couldn't hold them out early and was a nice 2nd considering. Even if it led, I think Mister Wickham would've been too good. Collect $85.20
Race 7 No 3 Abitgoingonhere ($5)
Should've placed behind Menin Gate last start & was very good behind Stay & Play the week prior. Ran 1:55.2 mile last month after leading and is going to lead them fairly easily here. Might be enough to hold off Mister Wickham late. Worth a crack at the odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Couldn't hold them out early and was a nice 2nd considering. Even if it led, I think Mister Wickham would've been too good. Collect $85.20
KILMORE, FRIDAY 2ND SEPTEMBER
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Juilette Bromac ($2.75)
She's starting to cost me a little bit but wow she deserves a win. Had bugger all luck at Bendigo last start on the back of a very good 4th to Tee Cee Bee Macray & we saw how big he ran on the weekend. Has the draw advantage & gets her chance tonight
RESULT: LOST! Left in the death but was disappointing
Race 5 No 3 Juilette Bromac ($2.75)
She's starting to cost me a little bit but wow she deserves a win. Had bugger all luck at Bendigo last start on the back of a very good 4th to Tee Cee Bee Macray & we saw how big he ran on the weekend. Has the draw advantage & gets her chance tonight
RESULT: LOST! Left in the death but was disappointing
BENDIGO, THURSDAY 1ST SEPTEMBER
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Hellfire Angel ($8)
Pretty sure this is a horse I said never again to just over 2 months ago but here I am. 4 starts back nearly pinched it off a cold sit from 4 pegs & the last 2 runs in stand starts have been very good. I expect the 1 to hold the lead here & it was disappointing late at Melton & expect Yackandandah to put the pressure on from the death. Bendigo is the perfect track for tthe sprint lane winner & will get its chance late. Josh Duggan on no loss either
RESULT: Lost!
Race 7 No 8 Hellfire Angel ($8)
Pretty sure this is a horse I said never again to just over 2 months ago but here I am. 4 starts back nearly pinched it off a cold sit from 4 pegs & the last 2 runs in stand starts have been very good. I expect the 1 to hold the lead here & it was disappointing late at Melton & expect Yackandandah to put the pressure on from the death. Bendigo is the perfect track for tthe sprint lane winner & will get its chance late. Josh Duggan on no loss either
RESULT: Lost!
CHARLTON, WEDNESDAY 31ST AUGUST
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Sukovia ($5)
Needs a few things to go right to win usually but this is as weak as he's seen it for some time & there is a huge chance Lauper leads & hands up today. Thats exactlly what I expect Alford to do earlly & give this fella its best chance to return to the winners list since October
RESULT: LOST! Death seated and weakened late
Race 6 No 5 Sukovia ($5)
Needs a few things to go right to win usually but this is as weak as he's seen it for some time & there is a huge chance Lauper leads & hands up today. Thats exactlly what I expect Alford to do earlly & give this fella its best chance to return to the winners list since October
RESULT: LOST! Death seated and weakened late
BALLARAT, WEDNESDAY 31ST AUGUST
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Swiftly Tothebeach ($8)
Had a disappointing end to it's prep in NSW and was sent out for a spell in May. Has gone to the trials for a win at Melton where she wasn't push out at all so plenty of scope for improvement. I think the 2 favourites here are at risk with Cherish The Moment likely to be crossed & Jilliby Jitterbug suspect over the trip. That'll leave Ideal Eagle likely to death seat. Makes all 3 vulnerable for mine and I'm happy to play Swiftly at what should be value odds for a smart horse.
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance punters and that in hindsight was a poor tip.
Race 6 No 10 Swiftly Tothebeach ($8)
Had a disappointing end to it's prep in NSW and was sent out for a spell in May. Has gone to the trials for a win at Melton where she wasn't push out at all so plenty of scope for improvement. I think the 2 favourites here are at risk with Cherish The Moment likely to be crossed & Jilliby Jitterbug suspect over the trip. That'll leave Ideal Eagle likely to death seat. Makes all 3 vulnerable for mine and I'm happy to play Swiftly at what should be value odds for a smart horse.
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance punters and that in hindsight was a poor tip.
TERANG, TUESDAY 30TH AUGUST
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 7 All Honour ($7.50)
Seems the stewards missed that he galloped early at Terang last start but I haven't & I really liked they way he finished off to finish 6th but only 7 metres off 2nd. Has been very consistent this time in against better fields & the draw isn't as bad as it looks because it has no early speed anyway. Gate speed will come from wide on the track here and some on their inside maybe trying to create some as there are some pretty weak leaders in this race. Has been 2 and a half years between wins though so more heavily weighted bet on the place.
RESULT: LOST! Frustrating run. The pace was on as expected but kept running into road blocks.
Race 6 No 7 All Honour ($7.50)
Seems the stewards missed that he galloped early at Terang last start but I haven't & I really liked they way he finished off to finish 6th but only 7 metres off 2nd. Has been very consistent this time in against better fields & the draw isn't as bad as it looks because it has no early speed anyway. Gate speed will come from wide on the track here and some on their inside maybe trying to create some as there are some pretty weak leaders in this race. Has been 2 and a half years between wins though so more heavily weighted bet on the place.
RESULT: LOST! Frustrating run. The pace was on as expected but kept running into road blocks.
COBRAM, MONDAY 29TH AUGUST
$25WIN
Race 3 No 3 Diamond Rock ($4)
Should finished a whole lot closer than it did last start after copping 2 checks in the race. Nice draw & could find itself leaders back as the 1 seems to have little gate speed.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck in the death and had to do too much work
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Immortal Jet ($6.50)
Liked the way he finished off late last start at Shepparton & should've finished closer off a soft run. Gets a similar run here today with the scratching of the emergency & I think there is a 50% chance that Tally Operator can hold the lead today. Looks the value bet of the meeting
RESULT: LOST! Emergency wasn't scr and gained a run. That was a killer as it lost its peg line run. Was a good run though.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 12 Willem ($2.75)
Has been chasing home some very smart horses in quick closing halves the past 2 starts and this is a more suitable assignment. Our Bushwaker my main concern but Willem looks the value bet
RESULT: WINNER! Very confident drive by Bec Bartley and deserved the win. Collect $275
Race 3 No 3 Diamond Rock ($4)
Should finished a whole lot closer than it did last start after copping 2 checks in the race. Nice draw & could find itself leaders back as the 1 seems to have little gate speed.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck in the death and had to do too much work
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Immortal Jet ($6.50)
Liked the way he finished off late last start at Shepparton & should've finished closer off a soft run. Gets a similar run here today with the scratching of the emergency & I think there is a 50% chance that Tally Operator can hold the lead today. Looks the value bet of the meeting
RESULT: LOST! Emergency wasn't scr and gained a run. That was a killer as it lost its peg line run. Was a good run though.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 12 Willem ($2.75)
Has been chasing home some very smart horses in quick closing halves the past 2 starts and this is a more suitable assignment. Our Bushwaker my main concern but Willem looks the value bet
RESULT: WINNER! Very confident drive by Bec Bartley and deserved the win. Collect $275
RACE TO ROYALTY - BREEDERS CROWN DAY
POGGA'S BETS
$50 PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Match In Heaven
RESULT: 2nd! Geez, give him another 10 metres and he goes close to winning! Collect $130
$50 PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Rockstar Angel
RESULT: 3rd! Heavens Trend getting crossed early was a huge surprise and to snag 3rd from where he settled in the run was an enormous effort. Unfortunately the closing odds for the site were crap but hopefully a few of you snapped up the juicier odds. Collect $113
$40 TRIFECTA
RACE 5: 1 / 8 - 9 / 5 - 8 - 9 for 1000%
RESULT: LOST! Faith in the fav cost me
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Our Little General ($4.50)
RESULT: WINNER! The favourite gets chopped out early and gallops & the General was the only one you wanted to be on from there. Collect $416
$25 PLACE
Race 6 No 10 The Defiant
RESULT: 5th. Thought it was a huge chance at the top of the straight but just wasn't good enough late
$27 FIRST FOUR
Race 6: 2-7-9 / 2-7-8-9 / 2-7-8-9-10 / 2-7-8-9-10 for 50%
RESULT: Lost..
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 7-13 / 7-13 / 4-6-9 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! Wish I had've gone the first four as well. That was painless. $43 on s-tab but we cop $27.60 mid tote. Collect $138
$40 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 5-7 / 5-7 / 1-2 / 1-2-12 for 500%
RESULT: LOST! An $80 longshot crosses early & that killed us.
$25 PLACE
Race 10 No 9 Miss Dreamin
RESULT: LAST! My speed map was way off there & Miss Dreamin was outclassed
Race 4 No 9 Match In Heaven
RESULT: 2nd! Geez, give him another 10 metres and he goes close to winning! Collect $130
$50 PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Rockstar Angel
RESULT: 3rd! Heavens Trend getting crossed early was a huge surprise and to snag 3rd from where he settled in the run was an enormous effort. Unfortunately the closing odds for the site were crap but hopefully a few of you snapped up the juicier odds. Collect $113
$40 TRIFECTA
RACE 5: 1 / 8 - 9 / 5 - 8 - 9 for 1000%
RESULT: LOST! Faith in the fav cost me
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Our Little General ($4.50)
RESULT: WINNER! The favourite gets chopped out early and gallops & the General was the only one you wanted to be on from there. Collect $416
$25 PLACE
Race 6 No 10 The Defiant
RESULT: 5th. Thought it was a huge chance at the top of the straight but just wasn't good enough late
$27 FIRST FOUR
Race 6: 2-7-9 / 2-7-8-9 / 2-7-8-9-10 / 2-7-8-9-10 for 50%
RESULT: Lost..
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 7-13 / 7-13 / 4-6-9 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! Wish I had've gone the first four as well. That was painless. $43 on s-tab but we cop $27.60 mid tote. Collect $138
$40 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 5-7 / 5-7 / 1-2 / 1-2-12 for 500%
RESULT: LOST! An $80 longshot crosses early & that killed us.
$25 PLACE
Race 10 No 9 Miss Dreamin
RESULT: LAST! My speed map was way off there & Miss Dreamin was outclassed
Cranbourne, SATURDAY 27TH AUGUST
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Bet The Limit ($2.75)
First up in Victoria and was a huge run against some very nice animals. Settle last off the back of a slow first half and neaely grabbed them late. Has gate speed & can either lead or settle close enough to be very hard to beat here..
RESULT: WINNER! Led & got the job done! Collect $150
Race 8 No 4 Bet The Limit ($2.75)
First up in Victoria and was a huge run against some very nice animals. Settle last off the back of a slow first half and neaely grabbed them late. Has gate speed & can either lead or settle close enough to be very hard to beat here..
RESULT: WINNER! Led & got the job done! Collect $150
MELTON, FRIDAY 26th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Art I Special ($8)
Driven upside down in a similar race last week & considering the tough run it had, held on well. Should settle leaders back here & get every opportunity late. TAB $16 when posting this. Looks an EW special
RESULT: 2nd. Smashed into $4.80 closing after opening $16 TAB. Was stiff.. Collect $75
Race 8 No 1 Art I Special ($8)
Driven upside down in a similar race last week & considering the tough run it had, held on well. Should settle leaders back here & get every opportunity late. TAB $16 when posting this. Looks an EW special
RESULT: 2nd. Smashed into $4.80 closing after opening $16 TAB. Was stiff.. Collect $75
MILDURA, FRIDAY 26TH AUGUST
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Good Onya ($10)
Couldn't get into the race over the short trip last start but finished off nicely in a 28.8sec last quarter. Performs his best over the 2190metres and there are some very weak leaders in this race. No doubt Hero Bromac will be tough to beat from the death but with a likely trail into this on Slims Kitchens back, Good Onya is the value bet
RESULT: LOST! Forget it ran. The drive on Slims Kitchen was first class.
Race 6 No 10 Good Onya ($10)
Couldn't get into the race over the short trip last start but finished off nicely in a 28.8sec last quarter. Performs his best over the 2190metres and there are some very weak leaders in this race. No doubt Hero Bromac will be tough to beat from the death but with a likely trail into this on Slims Kitchens back, Good Onya is the value bet
RESULT: LOST! Forget it ran. The drive on Slims Kitchen was first class.
Geelong, THURSDAY 25TH AUGUST
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 4 / 1 / 2-8-9 for 1000%
Sheluvsme is a maiden but ran some very nice races in her first prep. Returns here on the back of a very nice trial win at August last week. Should work her way to the front & be too good. Jilliby Jetta was run off her legs over the short trip at Terang but was solid to the line. Thought her debut run was good enough to be clear 2nd pick especially if she holds the favourites back. 2-8-9 round out the chances with the debutant 8 the one to watch at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Close but nowhere near it if that makes sense. The 8 wins at $71..
Race 7: 4 / 1 / 2-8-9 for 1000%
Sheluvsme is a maiden but ran some very nice races in her first prep. Returns here on the back of a very nice trial win at August last week. Should work her way to the front & be too good. Jilliby Jetta was run off her legs over the short trip at Terang but was solid to the line. Thought her debut run was good enough to be clear 2nd pick especially if she holds the favourites back. 2-8-9 round out the chances with the debutant 8 the one to watch at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Close but nowhere near it if that makes sense. The 8 wins at $71..
SHEPPARTON, WEDNESDAY 24TH AUGUST
$25WIN
Race 1 No 8 Grinlikeastar ($4)
Crying out to win a race after a couple of nice placings. I reckon there is a 70-80% chance the 2 holds the lead here over the short distance & for mine thats enough for Grinlikeastar to salute via the sprint lane. Just watch out for any change of tactics on the 2.
RESULT: LOST! Still looking for a run
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Glory Daze ($3)
Just missed picking up the very smart Highview Ruler last week from a similar draw. That race had a touch more depth than this race does and from the draw at this track holds all the aces.
RESULT: WINNER! Not great for the heart but the money is in the bank. Collect $180
Race 1 No 8 Grinlikeastar ($4)
Crying out to win a race after a couple of nice placings. I reckon there is a 70-80% chance the 2 holds the lead here over the short distance & for mine thats enough for Grinlikeastar to salute via the sprint lane. Just watch out for any change of tactics on the 2.
RESULT: LOST! Still looking for a run
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Glory Daze ($3)
Just missed picking up the very smart Highview Ruler last week from a similar draw. That race had a touch more depth than this race does and from the draw at this track holds all the aces.
RESULT: WINNER! Not great for the heart but the money is in the bank. Collect $180
KILMORE, TUESDAY 23RD AUGUST
$25 PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Vintage Gate ($3)
Checked and broke early on debut but went to the line with something in reserve albeit in slowish time. Follows through the likely favorite here and is a sneaky place chance at what should be huge odds.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped and that was that
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Katsina ($8)
Has to be said, hasn't been driven well at all over this prep but admittedly from poor draws. No excuses today against a beatable field. Should settle leaders back & be close enough to out sprint them late
RESULT: 2nd. Allergic to winning, just missed but had every possible chance. Collect $104
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Mister Manhattan ($6)
Last 2 starts out of claiming grade you can forget although not disgraced. He was in very good form against slightly stronger claiming grade than this in June & Chris Alford back on is a huge bonus. Goes close with even luck
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Race 1 No 9 Vintage Gate ($3)
Checked and broke early on debut but went to the line with something in reserve albeit in slowish time. Follows through the likely favorite here and is a sneaky place chance at what should be huge odds.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped and that was that
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Katsina ($8)
Has to be said, hasn't been driven well at all over this prep but admittedly from poor draws. No excuses today against a beatable field. Should settle leaders back & be close enough to out sprint them late
RESULT: 2nd. Allergic to winning, just missed but had every possible chance. Collect $104
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Mister Manhattan ($6)
Last 2 starts out of claiming grade you can forget although not disgraced. He was in very good form against slightly stronger claiming grade than this in June & Chris Alford back on is a huge bonus. Goes close with even luck
RESULT: SCRATCHED
MELTON, SUNDAY 21st AUGUST
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 With Gusto ($5)
Not much went right early last start but was a good run in very quick time. Has run some absolute ripping aces over the past month and gets his chance to finally cross them tonight. Goes close
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance. Very disappointing run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Dance Of Fire ($5)
Real strong placing from the back row draw last week. Can push forward ^& lead today but even if not settles close to the lead in the weakest class of horse its met in some time
RESULT: Lost! Awful drive, never given a chance
Race 7 No 4 With Gusto ($5)
Not much went right early last start but was a good run in very quick time. Has run some absolute ripping aces over the past month and gets his chance to finally cross them tonight. Goes close
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance. Very disappointing run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Dance Of Fire ($5)
Real strong placing from the back row draw last week. Can push forward ^& lead today but even if not settles close to the lead in the weakest class of horse its met in some time
RESULT: Lost! Awful drive, never given a chance
Bendigo, Saturday 20th August
$36 FIRST FOUR
Race 1: 1-4 / 1-2-4-8 / 1-2-4-8 / 1-2-3-4-8-11 for 100%
The early speed will hold the key to this race but anyway I look at it, Heavens Trend and My Mackenzie have it between them. Rockstar Angel will get a nice peg run and DancingwithSierra chances improve greatly if it can cross so must go in. Whirly School and Get into The Groove are both class horse but rough chances only.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 9 No 6 Juiliette Bromac ($10)
Wasn't far behind the best mares in Oz last prep & has returned this prep without having much luck. Nice run last start against the lads when only 3.4metres off TCB Macray. It's chances hinge on whether Josh goes forward early or not here but he has to with not an overly fast or strong front line & should find a position handy to the lead. Going to need luck but going to be massive odds tonight & worth the gamble.
Race 1: 1-4 / 1-2-4-8 / 1-2-4-8 / 1-2-3-4-8-11 for 100%
The early speed will hold the key to this race but anyway I look at it, Heavens Trend and My Mackenzie have it between them. Rockstar Angel will get a nice peg run and DancingwithSierra chances improve greatly if it can cross so must go in. Whirly School and Get into The Groove are both class horse but rough chances only.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 9 No 6 Juiliette Bromac ($10)
Wasn't far behind the best mares in Oz last prep & has returned this prep without having much luck. Nice run last start against the lads when only 3.4metres off TCB Macray. It's chances hinge on whether Josh goes forward early or not here but he has to with not an overly fast or strong front line & should find a position handy to the lead. Going to need luck but going to be massive odds tonight & worth the gamble.
Melton, FriDAY 19th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Highview Christina ($5)
Im not often critical of Mick Stanley's drives and maybe Ive got it wrong last start but whether it was allowed to go too fast or pulled its way around in front. either way, it just went too fast in front last start. Should find the start easily tonight and Im happy to take Menin Gate on from the draw
RESULT: LOST! Gallops before the start & we're out before the race starts
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Art I Special ($5)
Not sure what happened last start but happy to forget but should've gone very close in a better race with 2 starts back. Strong win off a cold sit at Stawell 3 starts back. With luck, I just think he's better than them.
RESULT: 4th. Ahhhh Jason.. She's a sit sprinter & he's decided to sit in the death outside the free wheeling claimer. Big run but just misses a place
$50WIN
Race 10 No 1 Big Bang Leonard ($3)
Won with ease at Geelong when able to lead throughout at Geelong a couple of starts ago. Not a bad 4th when in the death last start. Should lead throughout here although I'm a little worried that with the stablemate drawn 2 it'll hand up. If they're serious about winning it holds & wins.
RESULT: 4th. It held the lead & was very weak indeed.
Race 1 No 5 Highview Christina ($5)
Im not often critical of Mick Stanley's drives and maybe Ive got it wrong last start but whether it was allowed to go too fast or pulled its way around in front. either way, it just went too fast in front last start. Should find the start easily tonight and Im happy to take Menin Gate on from the draw
RESULT: LOST! Gallops before the start & we're out before the race starts
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Art I Special ($5)
Not sure what happened last start but happy to forget but should've gone very close in a better race with 2 starts back. Strong win off a cold sit at Stawell 3 starts back. With luck, I just think he's better than them.
RESULT: 4th. Ahhhh Jason.. She's a sit sprinter & he's decided to sit in the death outside the free wheeling claimer. Big run but just misses a place
$50WIN
Race 10 No 1 Big Bang Leonard ($3)
Won with ease at Geelong when able to lead throughout at Geelong a couple of starts ago. Not a bad 4th when in the death last start. Should lead throughout here although I'm a little worried that with the stablemate drawn 2 it'll hand up. If they're serious about winning it holds & wins.
RESULT: 4th. It held the lead & was very weak indeed.
Swan Hill, Thursday 18th August
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Speedy Love ($2.75)
Was a little disappointing last start after the race looked set up for it on the turn but just plodded home. That was in C2/4 class & drops back to C1 here. No excuses & the biggest question mark is on Enter The Sandman first up for Paddy Lee. Happy to take it on.
RESULT: Lost! Obviously not a leader. Every chance
Race 7 No 1 Speedy Love ($2.75)
Was a little disappointing last start after the race looked set up for it on the turn but just plodded home. That was in C2/4 class & drops back to C1 here. No excuses & the biggest question mark is on Enter The Sandman first up for Paddy Lee. Happy to take it on.
RESULT: Lost! Obviously not a leader. Every chance
Shepparton, Thursday 18th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Eliska ($6)
Got out too late last week in the heat of this race but finished off nicely. Gets the gun run here & with Mister Zhivago susceptible late & Colleens Melody drawn poorly, she'll get her chance
RESULT: 4th. She did & was plain late
Race 7 No 1 Eliska ($6)
Got out too late last week in the heat of this race but finished off nicely. Gets the gun run here & with Mister Zhivago susceptible late & Colleens Melody drawn poorly, she'll get her chance
RESULT: 4th. She did & was plain late
Terang, Wednesday 17th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Cullectngo ($6)
Ive tipped this mare a few times now without her crossing the line first but has placed for us at odds on occasion. Don't think we'll get huge odds this time but she looks ideally suited against opposition that doesn't get much weaker. Only 1.6m off Imajulllian 3 starts back & 2metres off Mairhed Fallen (2nd) 2 back which is fantastic form for this. Forget it went around last start when it had no luck but no luck is a pattern with her. They can afford to drive more aggressively tonight.
Race 1 No 2 Cullectngo ($6)
Ive tipped this mare a few times now without her crossing the line first but has placed for us at odds on occasion. Don't think we'll get huge odds this time but she looks ideally suited against opposition that doesn't get much weaker. Only 1.6m off Imajulllian 3 starts back & 2metres off Mairhed Fallen (2nd) 2 back which is fantastic form for this. Forget it went around last start when it had no luck but no luck is a pattern with her. They can afford to drive more aggressively tonight.
Cranbourne, Tuesday 16th AUGUST
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Morning Major ($4)
Loved the way he hit the line from a mile back at Yarra Valley, tough to do at that track. Gets the draw advantage on it's main rivals tonight as well as Greg Sugars onboard.
RESULT: 3rd. Forget the race. Was a major fall in the first take & the race was rerun.
Race 5 No 4 Morning Major ($4)
Loved the way he hit the line from a mile back at Yarra Valley, tough to do at that track. Gets the draw advantage on it's main rivals tonight as well as Greg Sugars onboard.
RESULT: 3rd. Forget the race. Was a major fall in the first take & the race was rerun.
MARYBOROUGH, Monday 15th AUGUST
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Witzend ($5)
Hasn't had a lot of luck recently in good races but probably had it's chance late last start in another strong placing. Going back to it's effort at this track & distance behind the tapes when 2nd behind Bernie Winkle, when off 30metres. (Yes back in March) They walked early in that and Witzend had to come from a long way back and had no right to finish as close as it did. Off the 20m today & with Mojo Major & High Tech Fury in this race today, expect a more genuine speed on throughout. Gets it's chance today if that happens.
RESULT: 2nd! Great drive just struggles to win. Collect $54
Race 7 No 8 Witzend ($5)
Hasn't had a lot of luck recently in good races but probably had it's chance late last start in another strong placing. Going back to it's effort at this track & distance behind the tapes when 2nd behind Bernie Winkle, when off 30metres. (Yes back in March) They walked early in that and Witzend had to come from a long way back and had no right to finish as close as it did. Off the 20m today & with Mojo Major & High Tech Fury in this race today, expect a more genuine speed on throughout. Gets it's chance today if that happens.
RESULT: 2nd! Great drive just struggles to win. Collect $54
Shepparton, Sunday 14th August
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 The Last Cullect ($2.80)
Just pulled too hard over the longer trip after doing work early. Previous runs with new stable was good for this. Should spear straight to the front here & over the sprint, it's his to lose.
RESULT: WINNER! Not the way I planned after the longshot decided to hold the lead but got the run of the race and was a little too good. Collect $200
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Eliska ($6)
She won't know herself in this class, dropping back from C2/3 class. She hasn't been disgraced from poor draws of late & was a nice 3rd behind Felicity Funkhouser whose has worked through to a C5. Last win was from 3 pegs in a C1, exactly where she'll end up tonight. With Real Knucky in front & likely pressure from Hezthebigbopper a fair way out, she just needs room to roll them late
RESULT: 2nd. Wasn't expecting Real Knucky to hand up the lead but the favourite galloping handed us 2nd. Collect $60
Race 2 No 3 The Last Cullect ($2.80)
Just pulled too hard over the longer trip after doing work early. Previous runs with new stable was good for this. Should spear straight to the front here & over the sprint, it's his to lose.
RESULT: WINNER! Not the way I planned after the longshot decided to hold the lead but got the run of the race and was a little too good. Collect $200
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Eliska ($6)
She won't know herself in this class, dropping back from C2/3 class. She hasn't been disgraced from poor draws of late & was a nice 3rd behind Felicity Funkhouser whose has worked through to a C5. Last win was from 3 pegs in a C1, exactly where she'll end up tonight. With Real Knucky in front & likely pressure from Hezthebigbopper a fair way out, she just needs room to roll them late
RESULT: 2nd. Wasn't expecting Real Knucky to hand up the lead but the favourite galloping handed us 2nd. Collect $60
Melton, Saturday 13th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 11 Arber ($8)
Was very plain over the sprint trip last start but I think the switch to claimers is the right one. Has most of these covered on class alone & looks like getting the 3wide trail into the race if Outrageous El goes forward early to the death as expected. Some very big odds available against very beatable opposition
RESULT: LOST! Happy to forget it went around. Nothing from back in the field made ground.
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 1 / 9 / 8 for 2500%
Looks Like Heaven looks a smart horse on the rise & from the draw looks unbeatable. A Poggaharness favourite, Glenferrie Blade draws poorly yet again but she'll find the death once the speed settles & make it a 2 horse race. Many will fall into Jabari to hold 2nd but for mine, even with a sit behind the favourite, cant see it getting past Glenferrie Blade up the straight. The race looks light on outside them.
RESULT: LOST! Oh dear... Glenferrie Blade monstered them...
Race 1 No 11 Arber ($8)
Was very plain over the sprint trip last start but I think the switch to claimers is the right one. Has most of these covered on class alone & looks like getting the 3wide trail into the race if Outrageous El goes forward early to the death as expected. Some very big odds available against very beatable opposition
RESULT: LOST! Happy to forget it went around. Nothing from back in the field made ground.
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 1 / 9 / 8 for 2500%
Looks Like Heaven looks a smart horse on the rise & from the draw looks unbeatable. A Poggaharness favourite, Glenferrie Blade draws poorly yet again but she'll find the death once the speed settles & make it a 2 horse race. Many will fall into Jabari to hold 2nd but for mine, even with a sit behind the favourite, cant see it getting past Glenferrie Blade up the straight. The race looks light on outside them.
RESULT: LOST! Oh dear... Glenferrie Blade monstered them...
Ballarat, FRIDAY 12th AUGUST
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Match In Heaven ($2.75)
Went super in the QLD Derby after drawing the back row over the staying distance. Was an impressive winner over the sprint distance at Menangle prior to that in good time. Has gate speed, not electric but maybe enough to beat King Of The Stars to the lead. If that occurs, he's the one to beat. We're in trouble if its the other way round but I think it's worth the risk as I think we'll be getting much better odds than what I've put up.
RESULT: 3rd. I read the race like a book & then Nathan Jack takes us on mid race & we hand up! Doesn't & we win for mine.
Race 6 No 3 Match In Heaven ($2.75)
Went super in the QLD Derby after drawing the back row over the staying distance. Was an impressive winner over the sprint distance at Menangle prior to that in good time. Has gate speed, not electric but maybe enough to beat King Of The Stars to the lead. If that occurs, he's the one to beat. We're in trouble if its the other way round but I think it's worth the risk as I think we'll be getting much better odds than what I've put up.
RESULT: 3rd. I read the race like a book & then Nathan Jack takes us on mid race & we hand up! Doesn't & we win for mine.
Mildura, Friday 12th August
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Speedy Love ($10)
You can pretty much forget it's gone around over the past month, striking traffic everywhere it's gone. Settles closer today settling on what should be leaders back, even though the former NZer is likely to be very hard to beat, happy to take it on 1st up around Mildura
RESULT: 4th. Looked a live chance at huge odds before the turn but did nothing
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 7: 9 / 3-8 / 2-3-8 / 2-3-8 for 500%
Five Star Anvil far too good for these. Road To Rock looks the leader but will have to put up with the fav's pressure at some point and Mactavish will be running on at them late. Altana Blue is running well against easier but should get a cozy trip and can sneak a place
RESULT: LOST! Mactavish & Altana Blue looked to have 3rd & 4th sewn up on the turn but couldn't finish it off.
Race 6 No 1 Speedy Love ($10)
You can pretty much forget it's gone around over the past month, striking traffic everywhere it's gone. Settles closer today settling on what should be leaders back, even though the former NZer is likely to be very hard to beat, happy to take it on 1st up around Mildura
RESULT: 4th. Looked a live chance at huge odds before the turn but did nothing
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 7: 9 / 3-8 / 2-3-8 / 2-3-8 for 500%
Five Star Anvil far too good for these. Road To Rock looks the leader but will have to put up with the fav's pressure at some point and Mactavish will be running on at them late. Altana Blue is running well against easier but should get a cozy trip and can sneak a place
RESULT: LOST! Mactavish & Altana Blue looked to have 3rd & 4th sewn up on the turn but couldn't finish it off.
Bendigo, Thursday 11th August
$24 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 2 / 3-8-9 / 3-8-9 for 400%
Repeat After Me was huge in the Vicbred Series & that wins this race easily. Tougher ask for Fundamentalist tonight but still 2nd pick but if has to work too hard both Regal Ambition & With Gusto are racing extremely well & would provide the value.
RESULT: LOST!
Race 5: 2 / 3-8-9 / 3-8-9 for 400%
Repeat After Me was huge in the Vicbred Series & that wins this race easily. Tougher ask for Fundamentalist tonight but still 2nd pick but if has to work too hard both Regal Ambition & With Gusto are racing extremely well & would provide the value.
RESULT: LOST!
KILMORE, WEDNESDAY 10th AUGUST
$50WIN
Race 4 No 11 Astride ($2.75)
I've got plenty of time for this 2yo colt. Has run into 2 Tritton speed machines it's past 2 & acquitted himself very nicely in both runs, last start having to death seat in a 53.9s last half. I think he's just better than these tonight and the backrow draw just gives us value
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $140
Race 4 No 11 Astride ($2.75)
I've got plenty of time for this 2yo colt. Has run into 2 Tritton speed machines it's past 2 & acquitted himself very nicely in both runs, last start having to death seat in a 53.9s last half. I think he's just better than these tonight and the backrow draw just gives us value
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $140
Shepparton, Tuesday 9th August
TRIFECTA's
RACE 1: $28 - 4 / 1 / 2-10-12-13 for 700%
RACE 1: $12 - 4 / 2-10-12-13 / 1 for 300%
Placing all my faith in the first starter after a very nice trial win. Grinlikeastar gets the run of race and it would be a surprise if it didn't place
RESULT: WINNER! We get the first trifecta and a handy collect. $212.80 collect
Race 6: $12 : 2-7 / 2-3-7-8 / 2-3-7-8 for 100%
Race 6: $20 : 2-7 / 2-7 / 3-8 for 400%
Looks a match race but if the 2 favs cut at each other, one of them could puncture. Sammy's Luck the best roughy if he can squeeze onto the 2's back early.
RESULT: The 2 was scratched but the 1st trifecta still was a play at 200% with the scr. Sammys Luck very ordinary. Lost $12
RACE 1: $28 - 4 / 1 / 2-10-12-13 for 700%
RACE 1: $12 - 4 / 2-10-12-13 / 1 for 300%
Placing all my faith in the first starter after a very nice trial win. Grinlikeastar gets the run of race and it would be a surprise if it didn't place
RESULT: WINNER! We get the first trifecta and a handy collect. $212.80 collect
Race 6: $12 : 2-7 / 2-3-7-8 / 2-3-7-8 for 100%
Race 6: $20 : 2-7 / 2-7 / 3-8 for 400%
Looks a match race but if the 2 favs cut at each other, one of them could puncture. Sammy's Luck the best roughy if he can squeeze onto the 2's back early.
RESULT: The 2 was scratched but the 1st trifecta still was a play at 200% with the scr. Sammys Luck very ordinary. Lost $12
Yarra Valley, Monday 8th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Mor Laag ($5)
Love the way this bloke is racing. Had no right to win after racing extremely hard at Cranbourne & then another tough run when 2nd from the death last start, outstaying Gozo Lightning the likely leader here. Not a whole lot going on mid race for mine here so should be able to control the race to it's liking from there & be very hard to beat
RESULT: LOST! Not a great drive & beaten a long way
Race 6 No 6 Mor Laag ($5)
Love the way this bloke is racing. Had no right to win after racing extremely hard at Cranbourne & then another tough run when 2nd from the death last start, outstaying Gozo Lightning the likely leader here. Not a whole lot going on mid race for mine here so should be able to control the race to it's liking from there & be very hard to beat
RESULT: LOST! Not a great drive & beaten a long way
Ballarat, Saturday 6th August
$25WIN
Race 1 No 10 Yeah Right ($4)
Never ever going to win last start but was a very strong claimer & Show Heeza Classic (2nd) has won impressively since. A front row draw would've been nice but I think at around the $4 mark, he's the value beat against weaker claimers.
$25WIN
Race 5 No 5 Illawong Bella ($4)
Thought her run was good in the heat after working extremely hard early, Not a whole heap of speed underneath her, and even though her chances will be hurt if she doesn't cross, I think she will and go very close.
Race 1 No 10 Yeah Right ($4)
Never ever going to win last start but was a very strong claimer & Show Heeza Classic (2nd) has won impressively since. A front row draw would've been nice but I think at around the $4 mark, he's the value beat against weaker claimers.
$25WIN
Race 5 No 5 Illawong Bella ($4)
Thought her run was good in the heat after working extremely hard early, Not a whole heap of speed underneath her, and even though her chances will be hurt if she doesn't cross, I think she will and go very close.
Mildura, THURSDAY 4th August
$24 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 1 / 2-7 / 2-7-8 / 2-5-7-8 for 300%
$18 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1 / 2 / 5-7-8 for 600%
Looks an almost identical race to the one Secret Delight won from the same gate 3 starts back. Exact same scenario plays out here with Charissa Tee death seating & Good Onya leaders back. Hard to see those back in the field have an impact as they'll settle quickly in this & walk. Royal Icing and Nancy Jean the only other hopes
RESULT: LOST! Well, if you haven't watched the race, we were in the queue with 20m to go until Charissa Tee tripped over her own feet! Numbers, 1-7-8..
Race 8: 1 / 2-7 / 2-7-8 / 2-5-7-8 for 300%
$18 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1 / 2 / 5-7-8 for 600%
Looks an almost identical race to the one Secret Delight won from the same gate 3 starts back. Exact same scenario plays out here with Charissa Tee death seating & Good Onya leaders back. Hard to see those back in the field have an impact as they'll settle quickly in this & walk. Royal Icing and Nancy Jean the only other hopes
RESULT: LOST! Well, if you haven't watched the race, we were in the queue with 20m to go until Charissa Tee tripped over her own feet! Numbers, 1-7-8..
MELTON, THURSDAY 4th August
$25WIN
Race 8 No 6 My Sophisticated Lady ($4)
2nd in what can only be described as a weird race at Ballarat last week. They ran a 2 second quicker lead time than the fast class so no wonder they walked home. Certainly no disgrace in finish 2nd to Apache Shark, albeit by a margin. No Apache Shark here & no doubt a couple of question marks on the 1 & 8 who'll be heavily fancied. She's a chance to cross early so happy to have a small play at odds.
RESULT: LAST! Led, had an easy run and thought we were in the queue before the turn but there was nothing in the tank. Terrible run.
Race 8 No 6 My Sophisticated Lady ($4)
2nd in what can only be described as a weird race at Ballarat last week. They ran a 2 second quicker lead time than the fast class so no wonder they walked home. Certainly no disgrace in finish 2nd to Apache Shark, albeit by a margin. No Apache Shark here & no doubt a couple of question marks on the 1 & 8 who'll be heavily fancied. She's a chance to cross early so happy to have a small play at odds.
RESULT: LAST! Led, had an easy run and thought we were in the queue before the turn but there was nothing in the tank. Terrible run.
Echuca, Wednesday 3rd AUGUST
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Fanagalo ($5)
Has been outclassed its past month but been running well enough to figure against these. Its race at this track and distance is a good form reference when 3rd behind Mirior Invictus. That horse led that night and draws outside backrow here. A drop back to C2/3 here is ideal with many of his opposition stepping up in grade tonight. Looks the class runner but warning, is a sit sprinter and needs the right cart into it to win. Worth a risk at the EW odds.
RESULT: LOST! Very plain run. No excuses
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Sweet Aces ($3)
Has been racing extremely well in unsuitable races of late. Broke 1:59 last mile at this track & distance from the death on the 30th of June & I have it leading here tonight. Would've been may best bet of the month to date without the unknown factor of Immortal Jet who was near legless before joining the Laura Crossland stable. Won by 14m at Wagga hard held in slowish time but the improvement was extraordinary for the new stable. Still I'm happy to take it on & hope the punters fall into it.
RESULT: WINNER! Was tested early & still too strong late. She's tough as nails. Collect $150
Race 5 No 8 Fanagalo ($5)
Has been outclassed its past month but been running well enough to figure against these. Its race at this track and distance is a good form reference when 3rd behind Mirior Invictus. That horse led that night and draws outside backrow here. A drop back to C2/3 here is ideal with many of his opposition stepping up in grade tonight. Looks the class runner but warning, is a sit sprinter and needs the right cart into it to win. Worth a risk at the EW odds.
RESULT: LOST! Very plain run. No excuses
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Sweet Aces ($3)
Has been racing extremely well in unsuitable races of late. Broke 1:59 last mile at this track & distance from the death on the 30th of June & I have it leading here tonight. Would've been may best bet of the month to date without the unknown factor of Immortal Jet who was near legless before joining the Laura Crossland stable. Won by 14m at Wagga hard held in slowish time but the improvement was extraordinary for the new stable. Still I'm happy to take it on & hope the punters fall into it.
RESULT: WINNER! Was tested early & still too strong late. She's tough as nails. Collect $150
Bendigo, Tuesday 2nd August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Trison ($5)
His recent form has been ok behind the tapes & poor draws. Comes up with a very good draw here especially if the fav walks out like it did last start. Gets the gun run, loves the track and distance. Great EW play
RESULT: WINNER! Looked the winner a fair way out to be honest. (Finally I tip successfully against blackbookers) Collect $207.60
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 6 / 4 / 1 for 2000%
Looks Rock In America's race to lose but looks too good. Some of Im Lonely;s best runs have been off the front row over the short course & I expect it to lead first at least & looks a moral for 2nd. Ringtripleowe isn't the must trust worthy horse but hard seeing it miss a place from the draw.
RESULT: WINNER! A very popular one unfortunately. Collect $100
Race 5 No 2 Trison ($5)
His recent form has been ok behind the tapes & poor draws. Comes up with a very good draw here especially if the fav walks out like it did last start. Gets the gun run, loves the track and distance. Great EW play
RESULT: WINNER! Looked the winner a fair way out to be honest. (Finally I tip successfully against blackbookers) Collect $207.60
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 6 / 4 / 1 for 2000%
Looks Rock In America's race to lose but looks too good. Some of Im Lonely;s best runs have been off the front row over the short course & I expect it to lead first at least & looks a moral for 2nd. Ringtripleowe isn't the must trust worthy horse but hard seeing it miss a place from the draw.
RESULT: WINNER! A very popular one unfortunately. Collect $100
Kilmore, MOnday 1st August
$25WIN
Race 7 No 9 Hezthebigbopper ($4)
Outclassed in the Vicbred last start over a month ago but has tuned up for this with a very nice trial win, His form over the sprint distance looks worse than it is as he's broke 2 times over the short distance so maybe more suited than it seems. With the scratching of the 2, gets a lovely trail through early & I'm expecting the 1 & 2 to cut at each other throughout which is the perfect scenario for the Bopper.
RESULT: 2nd. Looked the winner at the top of the straight but outsprinted late
Race 7 No 9 Hezthebigbopper ($4)
Outclassed in the Vicbred last start over a month ago but has tuned up for this with a very nice trial win, His form over the sprint distance looks worse than it is as he's broke 2 times over the short distance so maybe more suited than it seems. With the scratching of the 2, gets a lovely trail through early & I'm expecting the 1 & 2 to cut at each other throughout which is the perfect scenario for the Bopper.
RESULT: 2nd. Looked the winner at the top of the straight but outsprinted late
Geelong, Sunday 31st July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Village Safari ($6)
Dragged out of it behind a tiring leader last start, outclassed at Melton prior to that, but it's was his early July late June runs that caught my eye against similar opposition. With Jabari likely to be scr, I can't see Alford handing up tonight as the only hand up looks like Punchinello who is another hand up horse. That'll leave Village leaders back & very hard to beat with average luck
RESULT: 2nd. Modern Ville just couldn't get us to the sprint lane!! Collect $81
Race 5 No 8 Village Safari ($6)
Dragged out of it behind a tiring leader last start, outclassed at Melton prior to that, but it's was his early July late June runs that caught my eye against similar opposition. With Jabari likely to be scr, I can't see Alford handing up tonight as the only hand up looks like Punchinello who is another hand up horse. That'll leave Village leaders back & very hard to beat with average luck
RESULT: 2nd. Modern Ville just couldn't get us to the sprint lane!! Collect $81
Cranbourne, Saturday 30th July
$25WIN
Race 5 No 3 Two For Sixty ($5)
Easy winner at this track not long ago & has since had no luck against much better horses at Melton. Going to need a couple thing go his way early to cross but looks the value in the race
RESULT: 4th. Just a run.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Anything For Love ($3)
Gave Mercurian the run by a few starts ago at Bendigo and has been up against it its past 2 starts. This is as weak a race it has seen in some time and can go for today and take cover close to the lead. Looks mighty hard to beat with average luck
RESULT: WINNER! Superb drive by the Candyman. Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Juliette Bromac ($5)
She was a forget run after being held behind a tiring leader. Really keen on her chances here based on my speed map. Settles on Hu Hu R U's back here who I cant see handing up to the favourite with Lance onboard. Mark Pitt will no doubt have a look and try & keep that pressure on throughout. I can see those 3 kick away from the rest and with Juliette having the last crack at them, looks the value in the race. Only 2 place div but keen she can run top 2 at least.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 10: 1 / 2-7 / 2-4-7 / 2-4-7 for 500%
Iam Aw Sam looks to have a mortgage on this race. Should control the tempo to suit. Charlies System gets the gun run on it's back & you cant leave Saint Davids Field out of calculations. Feel The Buzz will need everything to go right to snatch a top 2 finish but can steal a 3rd placing.
RESULT: Lost! Feel The Buzz lets us down. The slow speed didn't suit.
Race 5 No 3 Two For Sixty ($5)
Easy winner at this track not long ago & has since had no luck against much better horses at Melton. Going to need a couple thing go his way early to cross but looks the value in the race
RESULT: 4th. Just a run.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Anything For Love ($3)
Gave Mercurian the run by a few starts ago at Bendigo and has been up against it its past 2 starts. This is as weak a race it has seen in some time and can go for today and take cover close to the lead. Looks mighty hard to beat with average luck
RESULT: WINNER! Superb drive by the Candyman. Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Juliette Bromac ($5)
She was a forget run after being held behind a tiring leader. Really keen on her chances here based on my speed map. Settles on Hu Hu R U's back here who I cant see handing up to the favourite with Lance onboard. Mark Pitt will no doubt have a look and try & keep that pressure on throughout. I can see those 3 kick away from the rest and with Juliette having the last crack at them, looks the value in the race. Only 2 place div but keen she can run top 2 at least.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 10: 1 / 2-7 / 2-4-7 / 2-4-7 for 500%
Iam Aw Sam looks to have a mortgage on this race. Should control the tempo to suit. Charlies System gets the gun run on it's back & you cant leave Saint Davids Field out of calculations. Feel The Buzz will need everything to go right to snatch a top 2 finish but can steal a 3rd placing.
RESULT: Lost! Feel The Buzz lets us down. The slow speed didn't suit.
Melton, Friday 29th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Arber ($6)
2 runs from a spell he's never been in the race from poor draws but not disgraced. 3rd up here and the draw looks ideal over the 1720m in a front line void of pace. Settles leaders back at worse but I wouldn't be surprised if it held the lead tonight. Best EW value of the night
RESULT: LOST! Awful run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Ive Gottalife ($5)
Not suited over the longer distance last start. Back to the 1720m ideal and should settle just off the pace after a very strong speed early looks tough to hold out
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Chirpy Chuckles ($8)
C3 up against C6-8's here looks tough but had a similar task last start and ran a great 2nd. My speed map has Im Alex holding tonight which means Chirpy gets the gun run leaders back. Not sure if he's good enough to run them down but I'm expecting big odds & worth the risk to find out.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure why Burns came away from the fence early but also don't think it made a difference.
Race 1 No 1 Arber ($6)
2 runs from a spell he's never been in the race from poor draws but not disgraced. 3rd up here and the draw looks ideal over the 1720m in a front line void of pace. Settles leaders back at worse but I wouldn't be surprised if it held the lead tonight. Best EW value of the night
RESULT: LOST! Awful run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Ive Gottalife ($5)
Not suited over the longer distance last start. Back to the 1720m ideal and should settle just off the pace after a very strong speed early looks tough to hold out
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Chirpy Chuckles ($8)
C3 up against C6-8's here looks tough but had a similar task last start and ran a great 2nd. My speed map has Im Alex holding tonight which means Chirpy gets the gun run leaders back. Not sure if he's good enough to run them down but I'm expecting big odds & worth the risk to find out.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure why Burns came away from the fence early but also don't think it made a difference.
Mildura, Friday 29th July
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6: 8 & 10
Fortitude & Carload will rip down the back straight here after this very quick front line kill each other early. I couldn't split the pair but they look far better than the rest
RESULT: 1st & 3rd..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Lauper ($6)
A good 2nd last start behind a talented up & comer. Was a very close 2nd in a very similar race on the 8th of July and this race looks to suit even more so.
RESULT: 2nd. Opened $6.50 and smashed into $3.70. Left his run too late though. Collect $57
$50 QUADDIE
1 / 8-10 / 1-3-6-7-9 / 4-6-9-10-11 for 100%
1st Leg: Star Crossed hasn't seen a field like this for a long time. Should lead and win
2nd Leg: As per the tip
3rd Leg: These 'fast class' races are always settled by tempo & this is no different. Gone wide
4th Leg: Im laying Taj Bromac & think there is value in this race. Gone as wide as possible.
RESULT: WINNER! Not much but something. Collect $117.70
Race 6: 8 & 10
Fortitude & Carload will rip down the back straight here after this very quick front line kill each other early. I couldn't split the pair but they look far better than the rest
RESULT: 1st & 3rd..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Lauper ($6)
A good 2nd last start behind a talented up & comer. Was a very close 2nd in a very similar race on the 8th of July and this race looks to suit even more so.
RESULT: 2nd. Opened $6.50 and smashed into $3.70. Left his run too late though. Collect $57
$50 QUADDIE
1 / 8-10 / 1-3-6-7-9 / 4-6-9-10-11 for 100%
1st Leg: Star Crossed hasn't seen a field like this for a long time. Should lead and win
2nd Leg: As per the tip
3rd Leg: These 'fast class' races are always settled by tempo & this is no different. Gone wide
4th Leg: Im laying Taj Bromac & think there is value in this race. Gone as wide as possible.
RESULT: WINNER! Not much but something. Collect $117.70
Terang, Thursday 28th July
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 6 / 2-3 /2-3 for 1500%
Looks Like Heaven has been very good against much better opposition of late and looks far too good. Cryptic Chance has been trialing well into this and along with likely leader Gnotuk, look well ahead of the rest.
RESULT: LOST! Cryptic Chance broke down & Gnotuk drinks milk. The end to a horrible day
Race 7: 6 / 2-3 /2-3 for 1500%
Looks Like Heaven has been very good against much better opposition of late and looks far too good. Cryptic Chance has been trialing well into this and along with likely leader Gnotuk, look well ahead of the rest.
RESULT: LOST! Cryptic Chance broke down & Gnotuk drinks milk. The end to a horrible day
Charlton, Thursday 28th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Black Coyote ($5)
Was run off his legs at Bendigo last start and held on OK for 4th. Slight step back in class here against some horses that struggle to get past the mile. Likely to be keen early on and if its survival of the strongest, he's right in this.
RESULT: LOST! Copped a fair old check at the start but only plugged home
$32 FIRST FOUR
Race 5: 3-4 / 3-4-8 / 3-4-5-8 / 2-3-4-5-8 for 200%
I think the first to the pegs here gains a huge advantage & having yet to see Ideal Eagle gate speed here as yet, Livingston Bay could cross & cause a boilover here. Willem the obvious danger but this is a slight step up in class and over the extra distance I'm happy to risk. Scipio has it's work cut out for it from the draw but has to go in and Romantic Gesture was a better run than what it looks on paper and can snag 4th placing here. Fingers crossed we can get the fav rolled & a decent collect.
RESULT: LOST! The longshot spears to the front and puts us out..
Race 4 No 9 Black Coyote ($5)
Was run off his legs at Bendigo last start and held on OK for 4th. Slight step back in class here against some horses that struggle to get past the mile. Likely to be keen early on and if its survival of the strongest, he's right in this.
RESULT: LOST! Copped a fair old check at the start but only plugged home
$32 FIRST FOUR
Race 5: 3-4 / 3-4-8 / 3-4-5-8 / 2-3-4-5-8 for 200%
I think the first to the pegs here gains a huge advantage & having yet to see Ideal Eagle gate speed here as yet, Livingston Bay could cross & cause a boilover here. Willem the obvious danger but this is a slight step up in class and over the extra distance I'm happy to risk. Scipio has it's work cut out for it from the draw but has to go in and Romantic Gesture was a better run than what it looks on paper and can snag 4th placing here. Fingers crossed we can get the fav rolled & a decent collect.
RESULT: LOST! The longshot spears to the front and puts us out..
Shepparton, Wednesday 27th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Rocky Carrington ($7)
Blackbooker from last start after taking ground off some smart horses late. Looks to be a lot of speed on early here & I can see him being put into the race once the dust settles. Hoping he either death seats or take cover after making a 3 wide move. He is a grinder so just needs to be up there before the turn to be a chance
Race 7 No 3 Rocky Carrington ($7)
Blackbooker from last start after taking ground off some smart horses late. Looks to be a lot of speed on early here & I can see him being put into the race once the dust settles. Hoping he either death seats or take cover after making a 3 wide move. He is a grinder so just needs to be up there before the turn to be a chance
Maryborough, Wednesday 27th July
$25WIN
Race 8 No 1 Sukovia ($5)
Shouldve gone very close to winning with luck last start. This is slightly harder but gets the gun run & I think we'll be getting overs in the small field
Race 8 No 1 Sukovia ($5)
Shouldve gone very close to winning with luck last start. This is slightly harder but gets the gun run & I think we'll be getting overs in the small field
Ballarat, Tuesday 26th July
Race 6 No 9 Macha ($2.50)
His task was near impossible in the final of the Winter Championship after doing most of his work 3 wide without cover in a 57.4s first half & no wonder he was spent late but still not beaten far. Perfect time for him to step up to the 2200 metres where he can settle & make a move to the death at the right time outside Uroc Mman. If anyway near his best he'll bully this lot from there.
RESULT: LOST! Got to the death as expected but for what ever reason, Josh Aiken let him roll from then on & there was nothing left in the tank. Big win by the leader though & I think regardless he loses.
His task was near impossible in the final of the Winter Championship after doing most of his work 3 wide without cover in a 57.4s first half & no wonder he was spent late but still not beaten far. Perfect time for him to step up to the 2200 metres where he can settle & make a move to the death at the right time outside Uroc Mman. If anyway near his best he'll bully this lot from there.
RESULT: LOST! Got to the death as expected but for what ever reason, Josh Aiken let him roll from then on & there was nothing left in the tank. Big win by the leader though & I think regardless he loses.
Yarra Valley, Monday 25th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Greenough ($5)
Pulled up last start when suffered cardiac arrythmia. Has won a trial since so best to forget that. Was OK against better the start prior but it was his runs at Cranbourne in June against much better opposition that took my eye. Tenfour is extremely risky at the start & I can see this fella lead them today. No better place to be at Yarra Valley.
RESULT: 5th. Couldn't cross but did have a nice sit throughout in the 1x1 but not going 3 wide when the runs came was costly. To rub it in other blackbookers run 1st & 3rd.
Race 8 No 3 Greenough ($5)
Pulled up last start when suffered cardiac arrythmia. Has won a trial since so best to forget that. Was OK against better the start prior but it was his runs at Cranbourne in June against much better opposition that took my eye. Tenfour is extremely risky at the start & I can see this fella lead them today. No better place to be at Yarra Valley.
RESULT: 5th. Couldn't cross but did have a nice sit throughout in the 1x1 but not going 3 wide when the runs came was costly. To rub it in other blackbookers run 1st & 3rd.
Melton, Saturday 23rd July
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Crazy Dave ($11)
Hasn't had the best of luck in recent times and was a very nice 4th against a similar field last week. Drawn to follow Beach Shack's every move here and is the best roughy of the night
RESULT: LAST! Very poor run, no where near it's past month. Might be claimer time
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Niki No No ($2.80)
She's a little one dimensional this time in but still racing well enough to win this. Will take the leader back run here & thats exactly what she needs to win.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez a Greg Sugars pearler got it home. Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Spiritwriter ($2.50)
Forget it ran in the Vicbred final when got shuffled but in the pack. Should roll to the top here & with his main danger on his outside, he holds the aces.
RESULT: WINNER! With the scratching of the 2nd favourite I never thought we'd get $2.30! Even $2.20 with TAB. Collect $110
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 10 No 8 Imajullian ($8)
Loved the way he hit the line in the heat of this race for 4th in a race that really suited the front runners. Has a couple of options from the draw & without a strong leader in the race, should be every chance for the swoopers.
RESULT: WINNER! We owe a bit to John Justice & Josh Aiken but that why the early odds were as good as they were. Best on TAB was $11 but Sportsbet punters got $26 if they were quick enough. Collect $286
====================
DAY RESULT: Won $346
====================
BLACKBOOKERS & TRIAL FLYERS ENGAGED:
Race 1 at 5:33 PM
7. BAZZAS ART: I want to back him but is just going to need too many things to go right to figure. If you can get double figures worth a go.
Race 2 at 6:00 PM
1. MY STRATEGIC MISS NZ: Outclassed here
9. TERROR MAN: Too poor last start & the backrow draw looks to hard.
Race 4 at 7:00 PM
2. CRAZY DAVE: Tipped
Race 8 at 9:00 PM
2. SPIRITWRITER: Tipped
5. PROFICIENT NZ: Just short of this class but a danger if they go nuts up front
Race 10 at 10:00 PM
8. IAMAJULLIAN: Tipped
Race 4 No 2 Crazy Dave ($11)
Hasn't had the best of luck in recent times and was a very nice 4th against a similar field last week. Drawn to follow Beach Shack's every move here and is the best roughy of the night
RESULT: LAST! Very poor run, no where near it's past month. Might be claimer time
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Niki No No ($2.80)
She's a little one dimensional this time in but still racing well enough to win this. Will take the leader back run here & thats exactly what she needs to win.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez a Greg Sugars pearler got it home. Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Spiritwriter ($2.50)
Forget it ran in the Vicbred final when got shuffled but in the pack. Should roll to the top here & with his main danger on his outside, he holds the aces.
RESULT: WINNER! With the scratching of the 2nd favourite I never thought we'd get $2.30! Even $2.20 with TAB. Collect $110
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 10 No 8 Imajullian ($8)
Loved the way he hit the line in the heat of this race for 4th in a race that really suited the front runners. Has a couple of options from the draw & without a strong leader in the race, should be every chance for the swoopers.
RESULT: WINNER! We owe a bit to John Justice & Josh Aiken but that why the early odds were as good as they were. Best on TAB was $11 but Sportsbet punters got $26 if they were quick enough. Collect $286
====================
DAY RESULT: Won $346
====================
BLACKBOOKERS & TRIAL FLYERS ENGAGED:
Race 1 at 5:33 PM
7. BAZZAS ART: I want to back him but is just going to need too many things to go right to figure. If you can get double figures worth a go.
Race 2 at 6:00 PM
1. MY STRATEGIC MISS NZ: Outclassed here
9. TERROR MAN: Too poor last start & the backrow draw looks to hard.
Race 4 at 7:00 PM
2. CRAZY DAVE: Tipped
Race 8 at 9:00 PM
2. SPIRITWRITER: Tipped
5. PROFICIENT NZ: Just short of this class but a danger if they go nuts up front
Race 10 at 10:00 PM
8. IAMAJULLIAN: Tipped
Shepparton, Friday 22nd July
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Bridie Hanover ($8)
Yes I'm going with the non winner again but when very well when beating most of this last week finishing 2nd. The 2 favs aren't the most trustworthy horses & this bloke will be over the odds again tonight. Worth the risk
BLACKBOOKERS & TRIAL FLYERS ENGAGED:
Leeton
Race 5 at 6:40 PM
8. ROB THE BANK: I know bugger all about Leeton and I'm not go to find out.
Shepparton
Race 2 at 5:52 PM
6. JUSTALILBITGREEK: Greg Sugars stays on but the draw is a worry & do they run a 31 second last quarter again here tonight? Not for mine.
Race 4 at 6:55 PM
1. DEAREST: Was a real nice trial winner at Shepparton but the time was questionable when lining up against this class of horse. Worth a couple of bucks ew if getting out to ridiculous odds.
Race 1 No 6 Bridie Hanover ($8)
Yes I'm going with the non winner again but when very well when beating most of this last week finishing 2nd. The 2 favs aren't the most trustworthy horses & this bloke will be over the odds again tonight. Worth the risk
BLACKBOOKERS & TRIAL FLYERS ENGAGED:
Leeton
Race 5 at 6:40 PM
8. ROB THE BANK: I know bugger all about Leeton and I'm not go to find out.
Shepparton
Race 2 at 5:52 PM
6. JUSTALILBITGREEK: Greg Sugars stays on but the draw is a worry & do they run a 31 second last quarter again here tonight? Not for mine.
Race 4 at 6:55 PM
1. DEAREST: Was a real nice trial winner at Shepparton but the time was questionable when lining up against this class of horse. Worth a couple of bucks ew if getting out to ridiculous odds.
Melton, Thursday 21st July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Surreal Dreamer ($7)
Can't take a trick over the past month or so, especially last start when held up in traffic at this track & distance against similar class but finished off well. He has ran some huge races over the sprint trip, especially with Chris Alford onboard who drives today. Even ran the smart Shadow Play to 2 metres at Geelong in February. Expect Alford to come out firing & if he can cross will go very close.
RESULT: 5th. Couldn't cross & had to death seat but very surprised he let the struggling horse 3wide cross. Never going to win though.
Race 5 No 5 Surreal Dreamer ($7)
Can't take a trick over the past month or so, especially last start when held up in traffic at this track & distance against similar class but finished off well. He has ran some huge races over the sprint trip, especially with Chris Alford onboard who drives today. Even ran the smart Shadow Play to 2 metres at Geelong in February. Expect Alford to come out firing & if he can cross will go very close.
RESULT: 5th. Couldn't cross & had to death seat but very surprised he let the struggling horse 3wide cross. Never going to win though.
KILMORE, Thursday 21st July
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Big Bang Leonard ($3.50)
Hasn't had the draw to suit since running into Heavens Trend over a month ago when a strong 2nd. Leads on it's ear for mine and tonight has no better opportunity to return to the winners list for the first time since November 2014. Michael Bellman onboard a massive plus
RESULT: 4th. Unfortunately the stablemates driver ruined it, who actually owns them both. Staggering. The less said the better
Race 6 No 3 Big Bang Leonard ($3.50)
Hasn't had the draw to suit since running into Heavens Trend over a month ago when a strong 2nd. Leads on it's ear for mine and tonight has no better opportunity to return to the winners list for the first time since November 2014. Michael Bellman onboard a massive plus
RESULT: 4th. Unfortunately the stablemates driver ruined it, who actually owns them both. Staggering. The less said the better
Bendigo, WEDNESDAY 20th July
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Black Coyote ($4)
Had zero luck the past 2 starts but was an impressive winner 3 starts back at Shepparton beating Tally Operator who was very good at Cobram. Can afford to be a little more aggressive early here in what looks to be an average speed off the front line and hand up horses on his inside. Hopefully Ron Wicks agrees, leads & proves too strong.
RESULT: 4th. Had his chance, outclassed.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Party Boy ($5)
Slowly working it's way back into form & was a good 3rd when not suited by having gone 3 wide without cover in a 28.1 3rd quarter at this track & distance behind Warfare. With Cashisking likely to ping the start here, Felicity Funkhouser & Time Capsule are in danger of getting crossed & buried here which puts the back row horses right in this. Whatever happens expect Kate Gath to sum it up pretty quickly & put this fella into the race as soon as possible.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a pimple. Great drive Kate Gath, winner just a little too good. Collect $45
Race 1 No 4 Black Coyote ($4)
Had zero luck the past 2 starts but was an impressive winner 3 starts back at Shepparton beating Tally Operator who was very good at Cobram. Can afford to be a little more aggressive early here in what looks to be an average speed off the front line and hand up horses on his inside. Hopefully Ron Wicks agrees, leads & proves too strong.
RESULT: 4th. Had his chance, outclassed.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Party Boy ($5)
Slowly working it's way back into form & was a good 3rd when not suited by having gone 3 wide without cover in a 28.1 3rd quarter at this track & distance behind Warfare. With Cashisking likely to ping the start here, Felicity Funkhouser & Time Capsule are in danger of getting crossed & buried here which puts the back row horses right in this. Whatever happens expect Kate Gath to sum it up pretty quickly & put this fella into the race as soon as possible.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a pimple. Great drive Kate Gath, winner just a little too good. Collect $45
Stawell, Wednesday 20th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Forever And A Day ($6)
Nice 2nd last start in probably it's career best run behind Crowning Glory. Settles behind Macterra Hawk here, who against this class, is likely to hold the lead. It's vulnerable late when leading giving Forever And A Day every chance late. Jason Lee onboard is enough for me to have a play. $11 BET365 when writing this.
RESULT: WINNER!! Hopefully some still have access to BET365. Race turned out exactly as planned. Exacta pays $11 which in hindsight would've been the value play! Collect $145
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Champagne Taste ($3.75)
Was out sprinted by the horse with the easier run last start via the sprint lane but had All Perfection covered who it meets today from similar draws. Jason Lee jumps off his stables horse Truth And Courage to drive. Leads & goes mighty close.
RESULT: WINNER! Just held on but doesn't matter how far they win by. BET365 $5 $3.65 best of the others. Collect $145
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Miss Livewire ($7)
Darren Cole has done wonders with this 8yo mare this prep & there was no better effort than a death seating 3rd at Bendigo last start. She'd usually throw in the towel with that type of run but she responded extremely well to hold 3rd. Up in class today and the start is mighty important here as it needs to hold the 2 out to ensure she doesn't end up 3 pegs but I think she can and receive a nice trail leaders back. Her sprint is as good as any of these, just needs to be close enough to them on the turn
RESULT: LOST! Didn't handle the step up in class.
Race 5 No 9 Forever And A Day ($6)
Nice 2nd last start in probably it's career best run behind Crowning Glory. Settles behind Macterra Hawk here, who against this class, is likely to hold the lead. It's vulnerable late when leading giving Forever And A Day every chance late. Jason Lee onboard is enough for me to have a play. $11 BET365 when writing this.
RESULT: WINNER!! Hopefully some still have access to BET365. Race turned out exactly as planned. Exacta pays $11 which in hindsight would've been the value play! Collect $145
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Champagne Taste ($3.75)
Was out sprinted by the horse with the easier run last start via the sprint lane but had All Perfection covered who it meets today from similar draws. Jason Lee jumps off his stables horse Truth And Courage to drive. Leads & goes mighty close.
RESULT: WINNER! Just held on but doesn't matter how far they win by. BET365 $5 $3.65 best of the others. Collect $145
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Miss Livewire ($7)
Darren Cole has done wonders with this 8yo mare this prep & there was no better effort than a death seating 3rd at Bendigo last start. She'd usually throw in the towel with that type of run but she responded extremely well to hold 3rd. Up in class today and the start is mighty important here as it needs to hold the 2 out to ensure she doesn't end up 3 pegs but I think she can and receive a nice trail leaders back. Her sprint is as good as any of these, just needs to be close enough to them on the turn
RESULT: LOST! Didn't handle the step up in class.
Cranbourne, Tuesday 19th july
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 2 / 9 / 1 for 5000%
Stuover leads and win based on it's 1st up run. Royal Delight sits leaders back and gets every possible chance to hold out the rest. Franco Jameson is likely to restrain and go to the death but it's a clear 2nd pick. Should be around a $4 trifecta but I'd suggest playing mid tote
RESULT: LOST! The 1 galloped before the start & the bet was gone before the race started.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 5 Takeachanceonharry ($2.75)
Has done plenty of work over the sprint trips the past 2 and has been very good. Should've won at this track & distance 3 starts back & the step back up to that distance tonight looks ideal. Looks too strong for mine
RESULT: WINNER! Easy winner & well backed. Unfortunately $2.40 the best I could find. $2.70 BET365. Collect $115
$10WIN /$40PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Feel The Buzz ($8)
Stiff not to finish much closer in the heat of this race last start. Will end up 3 pegs here and just needs his stable to get out of the way in a enough time to be a chance. Should be over the odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Got out too late and hit the line well late but never beating the winner. $4.40 the place on offer for those early shopppers. Collect $115.60
Race 1: 2 / 9 / 1 for 5000%
Stuover leads and win based on it's 1st up run. Royal Delight sits leaders back and gets every possible chance to hold out the rest. Franco Jameson is likely to restrain and go to the death but it's a clear 2nd pick. Should be around a $4 trifecta but I'd suggest playing mid tote
RESULT: LOST! The 1 galloped before the start & the bet was gone before the race started.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 5 Takeachanceonharry ($2.75)
Has done plenty of work over the sprint trips the past 2 and has been very good. Should've won at this track & distance 3 starts back & the step back up to that distance tonight looks ideal. Looks too strong for mine
RESULT: WINNER! Easy winner & well backed. Unfortunately $2.40 the best I could find. $2.70 BET365. Collect $115
$10WIN /$40PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Feel The Buzz ($8)
Stiff not to finish much closer in the heat of this race last start. Will end up 3 pegs here and just needs his stable to get out of the way in a enough time to be a chance. Should be over the odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Got out too late and hit the line well late but never beating the winner. $4.40 the place on offer for those early shopppers. Collect $115.60
Maryborough, Monday 18th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Dominate The Dojo ($5)
Finished off OK in 4th behind the very smart Ryley Major in a quick 56.7 second last half after pulling hard throughout. That was the bronze final of the Vicbred. Go back to the 1st of June and he was a good 3rd behind Apache Shark in a similar position he'll face today but the field is weaker. Looks a great ew play
RESULT: 3rd. Had it's chance. Collect $45
Race 6 No 8 Dominate The Dojo ($5)
Finished off OK in 4th behind the very smart Ryley Major in a quick 56.7 second last half after pulling hard throughout. That was the bronze final of the Vicbred. Go back to the 1st of June and he was a good 3rd behind Apache Shark in a similar position he'll face today but the field is weaker. Looks a great ew play
RESULT: 3rd. Had it's chance. Collect $45
Melton, Saturday 16th July
$50WIN
Race 4 No 7 Our Little General ($2.75)
Was HUGE in the Vicbred final & with another 10 metres wins. The draw just gives us value here if you ask me. The 1 is still unproven against this type of horse & Im real happy to take it on especially over the 2240metres
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Chilli Palmer ($5)
Had no right to finish 2nd last week and ran home in 55.18 for his last half in a race that had no pace early. 3rd up tonight should be cherry ripe for a race that looks to have a whole heap of pace on throughout which should suit his finishing burst.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 10 All Done Up ($10)
I've got plenty of time for this filly. Did what she had to on debut when winning at Melton and then broke in the heat of the APG but followed up with a very nice 3rd in the consolation. Tough ask from the back row but looks to be a very quick front line & some of these maybe found wanting the first time over 2240metres. If she can grab a trail into it her sprint can match these. Best roughy of the night.
Race 4 No 7 Our Little General ($2.75)
Was HUGE in the Vicbred final & with another 10 metres wins. The draw just gives us value here if you ask me. The 1 is still unproven against this type of horse & Im real happy to take it on especially over the 2240metres
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Chilli Palmer ($5)
Had no right to finish 2nd last week and ran home in 55.18 for his last half in a race that had no pace early. 3rd up tonight should be cherry ripe for a race that looks to have a whole heap of pace on throughout which should suit his finishing burst.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 10 All Done Up ($10)
I've got plenty of time for this filly. Did what she had to on debut when winning at Melton and then broke in the heat of the APG but followed up with a very nice 3rd in the consolation. Tough ask from the back row but looks to be a very quick front line & some of these maybe found wanting the first time over 2240metres. If she can grab a trail into it her sprint can match these. Best roughy of the night.
kilmore, Friday 15th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 3 Our Miss Vivienne ($7)
Her form on paper looks ordinary but she's racing very well without luck but she is driven that way. Never saw daylight at Cranbourne last start so forget & the start prior was a fast finishing 2nd at Ballarat again after being held up. Speed map is critical here & I think That Chill Devine will speed to the front here but it's hopeless over the longer distance leaving Diamond Castle on it's back. Does usually hand up & Justice may have a sneaky look but can sit and out sprint them as well. Should be good value.
Race 1 No 3 Our Miss Vivienne ($7)
Her form on paper looks ordinary but she's racing very well without luck but she is driven that way. Never saw daylight at Cranbourne last start so forget & the start prior was a fast finishing 2nd at Ballarat again after being held up. Speed map is critical here & I think That Chill Devine will speed to the front here but it's hopeless over the longer distance leaving Diamond Castle on it's back. Does usually hand up & Justice may have a sneaky look but can sit and out sprint them as well. Should be good value.
Mildura, Friday 15th July
$21 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 2-7 / 2-6-7 / 3-6-7 for 300%
Charissa Tee was a very good 2nd in the heat last week & the turn around in draws this week gives it the advantage. Hard to see it getting rolled but the one that might will be stalking it's every move in Left For Ron. Very nice win in the heat and just needs luck late to be right in the finish. Good Onya has gone to another level in the Sunraysia & can figure from the wide draw with luck. Secret Delight won for us last week but it's a bit one dimensional and I cant see it leading today. Rough place chance only. Its a pretty thin race chances wise so hopefully a nice collect on the cards
Race 4: 2-7 / 2-6-7 / 3-6-7 for 300%
Charissa Tee was a very good 2nd in the heat last week & the turn around in draws this week gives it the advantage. Hard to see it getting rolled but the one that might will be stalking it's every move in Left For Ron. Very nice win in the heat and just needs luck late to be right in the finish. Good Onya has gone to another level in the Sunraysia & can figure from the wide draw with luck. Secret Delight won for us last week but it's a bit one dimensional and I cant see it leading today. Rough place chance only. Its a pretty thin race chances wise so hopefully a nice collect on the cards
Charlton, Thursday 14th July
$25WIN
Race 3 No 5 Im Lonely ($4)
Buggered up the stand start 2 back & then was good when 4th behind a few smart youngsters. Will have to death seat here but can and still out tough these
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 La Safron ($6)
We were on last start and he just had no luck. Looks likely to lob leaders back here & gets every chance
Race 3 No 5 Im Lonely ($4)
Buggered up the stand start 2 back & then was good when 4th behind a few smart youngsters. Will have to death seat here but can and still out tough these
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 La Safron ($6)
We were on last start and he just had no luck. Looks likely to lob leaders back here & gets every chance
Melton, Wednesday 13th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Future Operator ($5)
Stiff not to get closer last start behind the tapes at Maryborough against a similar field. Won in similar circumstances at this track last month also. The 10metre handicap might be a blessing in disguise as he should follow the early leaders through & he's usually quicker away than his main danger Virginia Lightning so I can see him being left in front here. Just need a little luck early & a huge EW show.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Four Starzzz Foursa ($3)
Was touted as a future topline star in his 2yo season but just hasn't come on. Had plenty of excuses in the Vicbred but was never going to line up against the top 3yo's. Nice drop back in class here & 7metres off the likes of Brallo's Pass is good form for this. With Lance Justice drawing outside front row you can guarantee this race is going to be willing early on which helps no end. Should restrain early and come at them with one sprint. His best wins this.
Race 2 No 6 Future Operator ($5)
Stiff not to get closer last start behind the tapes at Maryborough against a similar field. Won in similar circumstances at this track last month also. The 10metre handicap might be a blessing in disguise as he should follow the early leaders through & he's usually quicker away than his main danger Virginia Lightning so I can see him being left in front here. Just need a little luck early & a huge EW show.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Four Starzzz Foursa ($3)
Was touted as a future topline star in his 2yo season but just hasn't come on. Had plenty of excuses in the Vicbred but was never going to line up against the top 3yo's. Nice drop back in class here & 7metres off the likes of Brallo's Pass is good form for this. With Lance Justice drawing outside front row you can guarantee this race is going to be willing early on which helps no end. Should restrain early and come at them with one sprint. His best wins this.
Bendigo, Tuesday 12th July
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Courtney John ($2.75)
Yes I said no more shorties but I'm expecting to get a whole heap more than what I've put up here. He hasn't been suited in recent runs off the back row & never put into the race. Looks like hitting the pegs first here & handing up to Realy Under Fire. Exactly the position he was in when smashing Vicbred finalists Bodacious Fury and Vapar Grin. That form wins this & with his main dangers on the back row, he just needs to get to the sprint lane to beat these.
RESULT: WINNER! Been too long since a plan has come together but that one did somehow. Collect $330 ($3.90 available on BETFAIR)
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1 / 8 / 4 for 3000%
$10 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 8 / 1 / 4 for 1000%
Motu Gatecrasher looks near impossible to beat but if there is one that can beat it first up it's Terror Man who will stalk it's every move. Nickys Idol looks the only other chance if my speed map it correct, it should settle 1x1 & hold 3rd.
RESULT: Lost! Very ordinary Terror Man..
Race 5 No 2 Courtney John ($2.75)
Yes I said no more shorties but I'm expecting to get a whole heap more than what I've put up here. He hasn't been suited in recent runs off the back row & never put into the race. Looks like hitting the pegs first here & handing up to Realy Under Fire. Exactly the position he was in when smashing Vicbred finalists Bodacious Fury and Vapar Grin. That form wins this & with his main dangers on the back row, he just needs to get to the sprint lane to beat these.
RESULT: WINNER! Been too long since a plan has come together but that one did somehow. Collect $330 ($3.90 available on BETFAIR)
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1 / 8 / 4 for 3000%
$10 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 8 / 1 / 4 for 1000%
Motu Gatecrasher looks near impossible to beat but if there is one that can beat it first up it's Terror Man who will stalk it's every move. Nickys Idol looks the only other chance if my speed map it correct, it should settle 1x1 & hold 3rd.
RESULT: Lost! Very ordinary Terror Man..
Cobram, Monday 11th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Bridie Hanover ($8)
Forget last start when she got right out her ground when the 2 good 3yo leaders took off. Has been extremely unlucky her previous runs. She's a horse that needs luck & why she's yet to register a win from 31 starts but she's been placed in 14 of them. Key today is to hold the leaders back. If she can, more of a $4 chance from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Was probably a little unlucky but usually is. Collect $87
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Miss Deyo ($7)
3yo filly mixing it with the older horses here. Shouldn't have got as close as she did to a couple of nice 3yo's last start after they walked through the first half. Nice run. Misbehaved 2 starts back when pulled extremely hard before taking off very early 3 wide without cover & the effort told late but wan't beaten far in 3rd. This is as good as she's met but I think she needs a nice tempo to figure & I think there is no doubt they'll run along in this.
RESULT: 4th. They did run along & she got the perfect trail into the race, just not good enough
Race 6 No 8 Bridie Hanover ($8)
Forget last start when she got right out her ground when the 2 good 3yo leaders took off. Has been extremely unlucky her previous runs. She's a horse that needs luck & why she's yet to register a win from 31 starts but she's been placed in 14 of them. Key today is to hold the leaders back. If she can, more of a $4 chance from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Was probably a little unlucky but usually is. Collect $87
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Miss Deyo ($7)
3yo filly mixing it with the older horses here. Shouldn't have got as close as she did to a couple of nice 3yo's last start after they walked through the first half. Nice run. Misbehaved 2 starts back when pulled extremely hard before taking off very early 3 wide without cover & the effort told late but wan't beaten far in 3rd. This is as good as she's met but I think she needs a nice tempo to figure & I think there is no doubt they'll run along in this.
RESULT: 4th. They did run along & she got the perfect trail into the race, just not good enough
Melton, Saturday 9th July
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Half Crown Gap ($5)
Such a consistent horse. Loved his run at Echuca last start after having to come wide late. Perfect draw & has enough speed to hold & hand up to who it likes. Great EW punt
RESULT: AWFUL.. Thought he was a massive chance when he got the run before the turn but went backwards at a rate of knots.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Might Be Luck ($6)
Had none at Kilmore but finished off OK. Looks better suited here tonight in the bigger field & can outsprint them late with the right drag into it.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't quite get the $6. Collect $168
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Bazza's Art ($2.50)
Ran a couple of great races out of his grade behind TCB Macray in recent start. Really hoping that Dapper Don flies the gate here & he follows across & the lead just maybe his. Brings his form from the previous 2 starts & he's a great place chance
RESULT: 4th. Moral place bet goes begging. Held up by a tiring horse but he finished off nicely once out. He'll be winning soon
Race 1 No 1 Half Crown Gap ($5)
Such a consistent horse. Loved his run at Echuca last start after having to come wide late. Perfect draw & has enough speed to hold & hand up to who it likes. Great EW punt
RESULT: AWFUL.. Thought he was a massive chance when he got the run before the turn but went backwards at a rate of knots.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Might Be Luck ($6)
Had none at Kilmore but finished off OK. Looks better suited here tonight in the bigger field & can outsprint them late with the right drag into it.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't quite get the $6. Collect $168
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Bazza's Art ($2.50)
Ran a couple of great races out of his grade behind TCB Macray in recent start. Really hoping that Dapper Don flies the gate here & he follows across & the lead just maybe his. Brings his form from the previous 2 starts & he's a great place chance
RESULT: 4th. Moral place bet goes begging. Held up by a tiring horse but he finished off nicely once out. He'll be winning soon
Ballarat, Friday 8th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 11 Major Laugh ($6)
Its run at Horsham earlier this week wasn't as bad as it looks on paper. Was 3 wide without cover in a lightning last half after the leaders got it easy early. Looks to pace on in this early & in claiming class for the first time & it should suit.
RESULT: 2nd. Looked the winner on the turn but couldn't finish it off.. Collect $90
Race 1 No 11 Major Laugh ($6)
Its run at Horsham earlier this week wasn't as bad as it looks on paper. Was 3 wide without cover in a lightning last half after the leaders got it easy early. Looks to pace on in this early & in claiming class for the first time & it should suit.
RESULT: 2nd. Looked the winner on the turn but couldn't finish it off.. Collect $90
Mildura, Friday 8th July
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Secret Delight ($3)
Was just OK last start but he's a leader only horse. Last time he manged to do that he was beaten by a Short Half Head by Good Onya who settles on his back here. That was due to a 28 second 3rd quarter as the fav was death seating. That won't happen here & should control the race to suit.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & was rated perfectly. Collect $200
Race 3 No 1 Secret Delight ($3)
Was just OK last start but he's a leader only horse. Last time he manged to do that he was beaten by a Short Half Head by Good Onya who settles on his back here. That was due to a 28 second 3rd quarter as the fav was death seating. That won't happen here & should control the race to suit.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & was rated perfectly. Collect $200
Melton, Thursday 7th July
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 2 No 4 Solid As A Rock ($2.25)
Forget he went around when got knocked over in the final of the Vicbred on Saturday. Showed enough speed early to suggest he leads & looks like breaking his maiden status from the top.
RESULT: 2nd. Not pretty from Gavin. That'll be the end of the betting on shorties from me, killing the results
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Braghetta ($5)
Went super at Kilmore from a similar draw behind Brallos Pass & Spiritwriter when 3rd. Followed that up with a forget run in the Semi Final of the Vicbred when it got knocked over on the pegs and lost all chance. Great draw here should see him in front & have options. Great ew punt.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance but beaten by a better horse tonight. Collect $114
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Dependlebury ($5)
Outclassed but not disgraced in the Vicbred & ran better than most of his rivals here that also completed. Much easier assignment tonight & gets his chance to win from the good draw.
RESULT: LAST! Still hard held. Never given a chance. No QDT from stewards either.
$100WIN
Race 2 No 4 Solid As A Rock ($2.25)
Forget he went around when got knocked over in the final of the Vicbred on Saturday. Showed enough speed early to suggest he leads & looks like breaking his maiden status from the top.
RESULT: 2nd. Not pretty from Gavin. That'll be the end of the betting on shorties from me, killing the results
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Braghetta ($5)
Went super at Kilmore from a similar draw behind Brallos Pass & Spiritwriter when 3rd. Followed that up with a forget run in the Semi Final of the Vicbred when it got knocked over on the pegs and lost all chance. Great draw here should see him in front & have options. Great ew punt.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance but beaten by a better horse tonight. Collect $114
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Dependlebury ($5)
Outclassed but not disgraced in the Vicbred & ran better than most of his rivals here that also completed. Much easier assignment tonight & gets his chance to win from the good draw.
RESULT: LAST! Still hard held. Never given a chance. No QDT from stewards either.
Bendigo, Tuesday 5th July
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Bernie Winkle ($5)
Put the writing on the wall with an unlucky fast finishing 3rd at Shepparton 2 starts back before a very good 2nd to Pepe Bromac at Swan Hill who'd start long odds on in this. Not a whole heap of speed off the front row here so will settle leaders back or perhaps decide to hold until one of the favoured runners from the back row makes a move. Either way & think Glenn Douglas gives this fella every chance to win tonight
RESULT: LOST! Decided to hold them all out and this sit sprinter didn't like it
THE ROUGHY
$25PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Miss Tanami ($3)
She's a mare that needs a nice smother on the pegs to be any chance in her races & gets that here tonight. She should've placed in a similar scenario at Swan Hill but for whatever reason Nigel Milne didn't want the fence run & that cost it. Looks like settling 3 pegs here & in a race that looks void of mid race pressure, the front runners get every chance here.
RESULT: 4th! Thought she was close to the winner on the turn but didn't finish off & nabbed for 3rd place.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Bernie Winkle ($5)
Put the writing on the wall with an unlucky fast finishing 3rd at Shepparton 2 starts back before a very good 2nd to Pepe Bromac at Swan Hill who'd start long odds on in this. Not a whole heap of speed off the front row here so will settle leaders back or perhaps decide to hold until one of the favoured runners from the back row makes a move. Either way & think Glenn Douglas gives this fella every chance to win tonight
RESULT: LOST! Decided to hold them all out and this sit sprinter didn't like it
THE ROUGHY
$25PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Miss Tanami ($3)
She's a mare that needs a nice smother on the pegs to be any chance in her races & gets that here tonight. She should've placed in a similar scenario at Swan Hill but for whatever reason Nigel Milne didn't want the fence run & that cost it. Looks like settling 3 pegs here & in a race that looks void of mid race pressure, the front runners get every chance here.
RESULT: 4th! Thought she was close to the winner on the turn but didn't finish off & nabbed for 3rd place.
Warragul, Monday July 4th
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Modern Ville ($5)
Just wasn't suited from the death last start but battled away ok. Up in class today but he grows a leg when drawn to lead or sit leaders back. Will get every chance
RESULT: 2nd. Started big unders ($3.30) received every chance and wasn't good enough. Collect $42
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Modern Ville ($5)
Just wasn't suited from the death last start but battled away ok. Up in class today but he grows a leg when drawn to lead or sit leaders back. Will get every chance
RESULT: 2nd. Started big unders ($3.30) received every chance and wasn't good enough. Collect $42
Ballarat, Sunday 3rd July
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Royal Delight ($3)
Happy to take on the fav first up from NZ after a couple of just OK trials. Royal Delight was very good in the mud at Yarra Valley and with John Caldow onboard,I don't think they'll be surrendering the lead. Gets it's chance to break through
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Citysneak ($3.75)
Strong win at Stawell from the death last start after doing all the work. Looks like working to the front here whilst the fav will need to be very good to win from the backrow.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 No Bettertime ($7)
He's a horse that needs a few things to go right but he just can't find any luck lately but has been savaging the line late. Small field suits here and should settle on the favourites back in the 1x1. If they go too hard, they'll know he's there late
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Royal Delight ($3)
Happy to take on the fav first up from NZ after a couple of just OK trials. Royal Delight was very good in the mud at Yarra Valley and with John Caldow onboard,I don't think they'll be surrendering the lead. Gets it's chance to break through
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Citysneak ($3.75)
Strong win at Stawell from the death last start after doing all the work. Looks like working to the front here whilst the fav will need to be very good to win from the backrow.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 No Bettertime ($7)
He's a horse that needs a few things to go right but he just can't find any luck lately but has been savaging the line late. Small field suits here and should settle on the favourites back in the 1x1. If they go too hard, they'll know he's there late
Melton VICBRED FINALS, Saturday 2nd July
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 5 Major Star ($2)
First up in Oz when tried to break their hearts in the 3rd quarter but the effort told 3 wide without cover but was still a solid 2nd in better company. Trialled very impressive at Melton prior to that and looks to have a class edge on these.
RESULT: LAST! Death seated and pulled it's head off but still very disappointing
$100WIN
Race 3 No 9 Petacular ($2)
Was simply brilliant in the semi. Even though she was carted into the race by Perfect Sense, she was left 3 wide without cover at the 400metres and still picked them up with ease. If Keayang Secret keeps the lead tonight, they may as well hand the win to Petacular BUT I still can't see how they'll hold her out if Perfect Sense managed to cross. Only bad luck can stop her for mine. $2.80 Sportsbet
RESULT: WINNER! Massive run and proved she was the best horse in the race. Collect $250
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Nicky Maguire ($10)
Her run at Cranbourne this week is better than what looks on paper & was unlucky not to finish closer. She goes better when smothered away on the pegs as she showed when finishing off nicely against a similar from 4 pegs for a nice 5th. I think she can find Soho Berlins back here with Sambuca Joe dodgy from inside backrow. She's a knockout chance if that scenario occurs
RESULT: LOST! Blackbooker. Was driven for luck though & got none.
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 8 Our Little General ($3)
Looked a flat out chasing Tingara Beach who easy beat it in the semi but it's pretty hard to make ground with a flat tyre! His chances improve greatly if Wrappers Delight leads & that's in the best interests of the Webster camp as that give both their horses every chance to figure but for mine, brings Our Little General right into the race. Lauren Tritton won't die wondering and if they are paddling on the final bend, the Little General is too speedy for these to hold out. COME ON WRAPPERS, HOLD THE LEAD!!
(Apologies punters, opened $8.50 with Ladbrokes today & I'm too late with the tip!!)
RESULT: 2nd. Great run but just couldn't pick up the fav
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Nikkibadwagon ($6)
Blackbooker from the semi & broke the clock in the last mile. She is low flying and I'm expecting a more genuine speed on in the race which should suit. Will need a little bit of luck with it's racing style but have to have something on at the odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Gave us a run for our money but the fav went massive. Collect $66
BEST EXOTIC
$30 QUADDIE
1-6-8-10-11 / 1-3-4-6-12 / 5 / 9 for 100%
Pretty wide open first 2 legs but impossible seeing Ideal For Real & Delight Me getting rolled in the last 2 legs.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $30.70. Favourites night = no value.
$100WIN
Race 1 No 5 Major Star ($2)
First up in Oz when tried to break their hearts in the 3rd quarter but the effort told 3 wide without cover but was still a solid 2nd in better company. Trialled very impressive at Melton prior to that and looks to have a class edge on these.
RESULT: LAST! Death seated and pulled it's head off but still very disappointing
$100WIN
Race 3 No 9 Petacular ($2)
Was simply brilliant in the semi. Even though she was carted into the race by Perfect Sense, she was left 3 wide without cover at the 400metres and still picked them up with ease. If Keayang Secret keeps the lead tonight, they may as well hand the win to Petacular BUT I still can't see how they'll hold her out if Perfect Sense managed to cross. Only bad luck can stop her for mine. $2.80 Sportsbet
RESULT: WINNER! Massive run and proved she was the best horse in the race. Collect $250
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Nicky Maguire ($10)
Her run at Cranbourne this week is better than what looks on paper & was unlucky not to finish closer. She goes better when smothered away on the pegs as she showed when finishing off nicely against a similar from 4 pegs for a nice 5th. I think she can find Soho Berlins back here with Sambuca Joe dodgy from inside backrow. She's a knockout chance if that scenario occurs
RESULT: LOST! Blackbooker. Was driven for luck though & got none.
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 8 Our Little General ($3)
Looked a flat out chasing Tingara Beach who easy beat it in the semi but it's pretty hard to make ground with a flat tyre! His chances improve greatly if Wrappers Delight leads & that's in the best interests of the Webster camp as that give both their horses every chance to figure but for mine, brings Our Little General right into the race. Lauren Tritton won't die wondering and if they are paddling on the final bend, the Little General is too speedy for these to hold out. COME ON WRAPPERS, HOLD THE LEAD!!
(Apologies punters, opened $8.50 with Ladbrokes today & I'm too late with the tip!!)
RESULT: 2nd. Great run but just couldn't pick up the fav
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Nikkibadwagon ($6)
Blackbooker from the semi & broke the clock in the last mile. She is low flying and I'm expecting a more genuine speed on in the race which should suit. Will need a little bit of luck with it's racing style but have to have something on at the odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Gave us a run for our money but the fav went massive. Collect $66
BEST EXOTIC
$30 QUADDIE
1-6-8-10-11 / 1-3-4-6-12 / 5 / 9 for 100%
Pretty wide open first 2 legs but impossible seeing Ideal For Real & Delight Me getting rolled in the last 2 legs.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $30.70. Favourites night = no value.
Echuca, Thursday 30th June
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 7 No 9 La Safron ($4)
Nice 3rd behind Turbo Elly & Picturebook how has franked that form with a big win last week. This isn't as hard as that race & should follow through to a nice sit just off the lead here.
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around. Locked wheel when looking for a run and should've finished much closer.
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Hypervigilant ($2.50)
Been racing out of it's class the past 2 so just forget it ran. Last time he lead was over the mile at Shepparton when only just run down by Corra Jacka in 1:56 for the mile. Jumps straight to the front here & if he runs anywhere near those times tonight at a noted leaders track, they won't catch him.
RESULT: WINNER! Take it and run punters.. Collect $340. ($8 on BET365 last night!)
$25WIN
Race 7 No 9 La Safron ($4)
Nice 3rd behind Turbo Elly & Picturebook how has franked that form with a big win last week. This isn't as hard as that race & should follow through to a nice sit just off the lead here.
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around. Locked wheel when looking for a run and should've finished much closer.
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Hypervigilant ($2.50)
Been racing out of it's class the past 2 so just forget it ran. Last time he lead was over the mile at Shepparton when only just run down by Corra Jacka in 1:56 for the mile. Jumps straight to the front here & if he runs anywhere near those times tonight at a noted leaders track, they won't catch him.
RESULT: WINNER! Take it and run punters.. Collect $340. ($8 on BET365 last night!)
Geelong, Thursday 30Th June
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 3 No 3 Blissful Mind ($3)
Loved her run 2 starts back when 2nd behind the very smart Dynamic Bromac and the horses that finished 3rd & 4th have both won since. There is a very quick front line here & she shuld position in this race very nicely. I'd double the bet if I had more confidence in the driver, who really didn't put it into the race at Cranbourne Monday. Small field suits, looks a massive chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Nutted right on the line..
$50WIN
Race 4 No 7 Proficient ($3)
Nice trial at Melton last week beating some nice horses. Beat the likes of Professor Tom last prep and unlucky not to beat Keep On Rocking, Ample Power & Brocks Territory before going out for a spell. The draw is a slight concern but my only worry here is Franco (& same driver as above ;)) Happy to take it on with Proficients odds.
RESULT: Winner! Lovely drive! Collect $220
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Hellfire Angel ($8)
Gets out 50metres earlier in the heat of this race at this track from 3pegs it wins for mine & starts 2nd or 3rd fav here. Likely to end up 3 pegs again but probably following a horse that will get it to the sprint lane at least this time. Will it be enough time to catch them? I'm willing to finding out at the odds.
RESULT: LOST! Awful run
$50WIN
Race 3 No 3 Blissful Mind ($3)
Loved her run 2 starts back when 2nd behind the very smart Dynamic Bromac and the horses that finished 3rd & 4th have both won since. There is a very quick front line here & she shuld position in this race very nicely. I'd double the bet if I had more confidence in the driver, who really didn't put it into the race at Cranbourne Monday. Small field suits, looks a massive chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Nutted right on the line..
$50WIN
Race 4 No 7 Proficient ($3)
Nice trial at Melton last week beating some nice horses. Beat the likes of Professor Tom last prep and unlucky not to beat Keep On Rocking, Ample Power & Brocks Territory before going out for a spell. The draw is a slight concern but my only worry here is Franco (& same driver as above ;)) Happy to take it on with Proficients odds.
RESULT: Winner! Lovely drive! Collect $220
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Hellfire Angel ($8)
Gets out 50metres earlier in the heat of this race at this track from 3pegs it wins for mine & starts 2nd or 3rd fav here. Likely to end up 3 pegs again but probably following a horse that will get it to the sprint lane at least this time. Will it be enough time to catch them? I'm willing to finding out at the odds.
RESULT: LOST! Awful run
Mildura, Wednesday 29th June
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Did It Alone ($2.75)
Was a brave effort last start after doing all the work in the breeze. Won a similar race a month ago from the same draw. Only danger for mine is Manoeuver Man but it's susceptible over the distance & will have to sit in the death seat here. I think Did It Alone can out stay it.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally we're back on the board with a winner. Let the flood gates open please. Collect $180
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Did It Alone ($2.75)
Was a brave effort last start after doing all the work in the breeze. Won a similar race a month ago from the same draw. Only danger for mine is Manoeuver Man but it's susceptible over the distance & will have to sit in the death seat here. I think Did It Alone can out stay it.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally we're back on the board with a winner. Let the flood gates open please. Collect $180
Maryborough, Wednesday 29th June
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 2 No 2 Bulgari Rose ($2)
Didn't have everything go its way last start but finished off OK from the 1x1 in a race that was just a sprint home, breaking 57sec for the last half is good going for 2yo's. I reckon she'll lead today and looks mighty hard to roll from the top.
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't lead but had every chance. Disappointing result.
$100WIN
Race 2 No 2 Bulgari Rose ($2)
Didn't have everything go its way last start but finished off OK from the 1x1 in a race that was just a sprint home, breaking 57sec for the last half is good going for 2yo's. I reckon she'll lead today and looks mighty hard to roll from the top.
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't lead but had every chance. Disappointing result.
Terang, Tuesday 27th June
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Aspureasdrivensnow ($8)
Yes I'm going again. Just never put into the race from a poor draw last start and they really only got going in the 2nd half of the race. Did pace extremely roughly as well. Hoping the return to the front row will be the difference here. With the 1 having no pace should settle leaders back & have every possible chance. This is a very weak race. Just don't gallop please.
RESULT: 2nd. Gave the fav a run for it's money but the fav was far too good. Collect $72
BEST EXOTIC
$30 FIRST FOUR
Race 4: 3 / 1 / 2-4-5 / 2-4-5 for 500%
Hellovaway looks to have a mortgage on this race. Itz Ritzy Fitz gets the gun run and would be a major surprise if it couldn't hold 2nd. The rest are a raffle.
RESULT: LOST! Ritzy Fitz gallops & that was that.
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Amuary ($6)
He's a horse that needs a few things to go right to figure in the finish but this race looks suitable even from the wide draw as I expect a few of these with limited ability to push forward from their draws. Just needs a little bit of Jason Lee magic to figure.
RESULT: 3rd. Whats the opposite of Jason Lee magic? Not his best drive. Collect $44.10
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Aspureasdrivensnow ($8)
Yes I'm going again. Just never put into the race from a poor draw last start and they really only got going in the 2nd half of the race. Did pace extremely roughly as well. Hoping the return to the front row will be the difference here. With the 1 having no pace should settle leaders back & have every possible chance. This is a very weak race. Just don't gallop please.
RESULT: 2nd. Gave the fav a run for it's money but the fav was far too good. Collect $72
BEST EXOTIC
$30 FIRST FOUR
Race 4: 3 / 1 / 2-4-5 / 2-4-5 for 500%
Hellovaway looks to have a mortgage on this race. Itz Ritzy Fitz gets the gun run and would be a major surprise if it couldn't hold 2nd. The rest are a raffle.
RESULT: LOST! Ritzy Fitz gallops & that was that.
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Amuary ($6)
He's a horse that needs a few things to go right to figure in the finish but this race looks suitable even from the wide draw as I expect a few of these with limited ability to push forward from their draws. Just needs a little bit of Jason Lee magic to figure.
RESULT: 3rd. Whats the opposite of Jason Lee magic? Not his best drive. Collect $44.10
Cranbourne, Monday 27th June
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Glenferrie Blade ($2)
Her run 2 starts back really equals winning this race by 10metres plus! Should lead and win
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won by 13metres but only BET365 users got $2.7! Collect $165
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Our Skinny Maree ($5)
Been racing out of her grade the past couple and has struggled. This is a fair step back in grade and only the bad draw is holding her back here
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't have much luck but was beaten a fair way. Collect $51
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Glenferrie Blade ($2)
Her run 2 starts back really equals winning this race by 10metres plus! Should lead and win
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won by 13metres but only BET365 users got $2.7! Collect $165
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Our Skinny Maree ($5)
Been racing out of her grade the past couple and has struggled. This is a fair step back in grade and only the bad draw is holding her back here
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't have much luck but was beaten a fair way. Collect $51
Kilmore, Saturday 25th June
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Manoeuver Man ($5)
Hasn't looked overly impressive over the longer distances of late but he just doesn't lik running that far! Maps to lead here tonight and over the sprint distance, looks ready to run a cheeky race
RESULT: 4th.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Quick Draft ($6)
She is an awfully hard horse to catch these days but really looks suited here. Never saw daylight until too late and against the best mares in Vic last week. She's much better over this type of distance and there looks like a chance of being a ridiculous speed on here. Gets her chance
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $122
$25WIN
Race 9 No 9 Aguante ($4)
Was beaten a long way behind Iceenothink but wasn't disgraced in a 27 last quarter last week. Was first up there so should improve on that here. Three Ways is likely to be long odds on here & looked just OK in a recent trial at Melton & likely to be parked in the death tonight. If they hand him the lead it's game over but I don't think Monique will. Should settle pretty close to them Aguante and a huge chance to outsprint them late
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Manoeuver Man ($5)
Hasn't looked overly impressive over the longer distances of late but he just doesn't lik running that far! Maps to lead here tonight and over the sprint distance, looks ready to run a cheeky race
RESULT: 4th.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Quick Draft ($6)
She is an awfully hard horse to catch these days but really looks suited here. Never saw daylight until too late and against the best mares in Vic last week. She's much better over this type of distance and there looks like a chance of being a ridiculous speed on here. Gets her chance
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $122
$25WIN
Race 9 No 9 Aguante ($4)
Was beaten a long way behind Iceenothink but wasn't disgraced in a 27 last quarter last week. Was first up there so should improve on that here. Three Ways is likely to be long odds on here & looked just OK in a recent trial at Melton & likely to be parked in the death tonight. If they hand him the lead it's game over but I don't think Monique will. Should settle pretty close to them Aguante and a huge chance to outsprint them late
RESULT: LOST!
MELTON, FRIDAY 23rd June
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Senor Macray ($2.25)
Loved his win at Ballarat when did all the work in the death & still outstayed Spiritwriter. Was a certainty beat in my opinion at Kilmore in the heat when Dont Hold Back shifted off the tracked and pushed Senor 3wide from the death giving Iceenothink the perfect run through from leaders back. Lost valuab;e ground before the turn but once he balanced up took good ground off the winner late to be beaten just over a metre. Will slowly make it's way forward from the draw tonight and should control the race from there
RESULT: 4th, Very disappointing
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Misterfreeze ($3)
Took a little while to get going but hit the line very nicely to win his heat. Takes on the inform Jilliby Kung Fu but he holds all the aces from the draw. If he managed to lead then he's almost a moral for mine but I've mapped him to settle 1x1 following Jilliby's every move. Looks the value bet of the race
RESULT: 2nd. Another bloody 2nd..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 12 No 8 Courageous Katee ($8)
Looked like running 2nd before she got knocked over with 100m to go in the heat. Lovely win on debut. Her chances will dramatically improve if Flying Moth holds the lead and I'm sure it will
RESULT: LOST! Don't watch the reply.. The driver couldn't see through his googles! What else can go wrong?
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Senor Macray ($2.25)
Loved his win at Ballarat when did all the work in the death & still outstayed Spiritwriter. Was a certainty beat in my opinion at Kilmore in the heat when Dont Hold Back shifted off the tracked and pushed Senor 3wide from the death giving Iceenothink the perfect run through from leaders back. Lost valuab;e ground before the turn but once he balanced up took good ground off the winner late to be beaten just over a metre. Will slowly make it's way forward from the draw tonight and should control the race from there
RESULT: 4th, Very disappointing
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Misterfreeze ($3)
Took a little while to get going but hit the line very nicely to win his heat. Takes on the inform Jilliby Kung Fu but he holds all the aces from the draw. If he managed to lead then he's almost a moral for mine but I've mapped him to settle 1x1 following Jilliby's every move. Looks the value bet of the race
RESULT: 2nd. Another bloody 2nd..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 12 No 8 Courageous Katee ($8)
Looked like running 2nd before she got knocked over with 100m to go in the heat. Lovely win on debut. Her chances will dramatically improve if Flying Moth holds the lead and I'm sure it will
RESULT: LOST! Don't watch the reply.. The driver couldn't see through his googles! What else can go wrong?
Maryborough, Thursday 22nd June
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 2 No 9 Valentina Brave ($4)
Scratched tip from last week. Has been racing well against better horses. Probably suited over further but should be speed on to suit here.
RESULT: WINNER! Typical, 1st winner for a week, smallest bet. Anyway, cant lose backing winners. Onwards & upwards. Collect $82
$25WIN
Race 2 No 9 Valentina Brave ($4)
Scratched tip from last week. Has been racing well against better horses. Probably suited over further but should be speed on to suit here.
RESULT: WINNER! Typical, 1st winner for a week, smallest bet. Anyway, cant lose backing winners. Onwards & upwards. Collect $82
Bendigo, Wednesday 22nd June
BEST BEST
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 Mister McKinnon ($1.80)
Thought booth runs this time in against much better than what he meets tonight have been very good. Beaten from the death against Roy George who smashed a nice field at Ballarat last night. I don't usually tip odds on pops but I think we might receive early overs here
RESULT: 3rd. Had to work to lead but had it's chance.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 Mister McKinnon ($1.80)
Thought booth runs this time in against much better than what he meets tonight have been very good. Beaten from the death against Roy George who smashed a nice field at Ballarat last night. I don't usually tip odds on pops but I think we might receive early overs here
RESULT: 3rd. Had to work to lead but had it's chance.
STAWELL, WEDNESDAY 22nd JUNE
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Presidential Grin ($6)
Had to try and outsprint them in the heat of this race in the fastest last half of all 3 heats & wasn't far off them in 3rd. Maps to follow Adams Express who looks like being parked in the death with Peppercorn Dell likely to hold. I'm expecting a more genuine early speed here and extra 110metres at the finish today might prove the difference
RESULT: LOST! Galloped.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Presidential Grin ($6)
Had to try and outsprint them in the heat of this race in the fastest last half of all 3 heats & wasn't far off them in 3rd. Maps to follow Adams Express who looks like being parked in the death with Peppercorn Dell likely to hold. I'm expecting a more genuine early speed here and extra 110metres at the finish today might prove the difference
RESULT: LOST! Galloped.
Ballarat, Tuesday 20th June
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 4 No 6 Miss Dangerfield ($4)
Liked the way she finished off late in the Vicbred heat taking good ground off Erico, one of it's competitors tonight. Waltzingsierra has been extremely disappointing and will be unders here and Mick Stanley's first starter has had it's issues at the trials. Very small play here but I reckon we'll get close to double figure odds. Worth a risk.
BEST EXOTIC
$20 QUADDIE
5 / 3-4-5-6 / 3-5-8-9-12 / 2 for 100%
Duke Of Albany & Motlap Magic are my best bets of the night and they bookend the quaddie. The trotter legs look fairly open & one mistake from one of those favs should equal value to the quaddie
$25WIN
Race 4 No 6 Miss Dangerfield ($4)
Liked the way she finished off late in the Vicbred heat taking good ground off Erico, one of it's competitors tonight. Waltzingsierra has been extremely disappointing and will be unders here and Mick Stanley's first starter has had it's issues at the trials. Very small play here but I reckon we'll get close to double figure odds. Worth a risk.
BEST EXOTIC
$20 QUADDIE
5 / 3-4-5-6 / 3-5-8-9-12 / 2 for 100%
Duke Of Albany & Motlap Magic are my best bets of the night and they bookend the quaddie. The trotter legs look fairly open & one mistake from one of those favs should equal value to the quaddie
Geelong, Sunday 19th June
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Lagertha ($3)
First starter who trial well at Terang last week. Jason Lee onboard, expect it to be driven aggressively & given every possible in a weak race. Sewcanhugh the question mark runner.
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Lagertha ($3)
First starter who trial well at Terang last week. Jason Lee onboard, expect it to be driven aggressively & given every possible in a weak race. Sewcanhugh the question mark runner.
Melton, Saturday 18th June
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 11 Half Crown Gap ($7)
Was a very nice win in the heat of this race albeit from a better draw. That form tough has been franked with Chirpy Chuckles winning very nicely since. No doubt I want to be on him rather than Kotare Royal at $2! Just needs a nice cart into it to be a very good chance & looks a great chance to get just that.
RESULT: 2nd. Another 2nd.. Looked the winner with 100 to go but just got outsprinted late. He's in very good form. Collect $75
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 11 Half Crown Gap ($7)
Was a very nice win in the heat of this race albeit from a better draw. That form tough has been franked with Chirpy Chuckles winning very nicely since. No doubt I want to be on him rather than Kotare Royal at $2! Just needs a nice cart into it to be a very good chance & looks a great chance to get just that.
RESULT: 2nd. Another 2nd.. Looked the winner with 100 to go but just got outsprinted late. He's in very good form. Collect $75
Shepparton, Friday 17th June
BEST EXOTIC
$36 EARLY QUADDIE
1-5-7-11-12-13 / 10 / 1-8 / 9 for 300%
Going wide in the first leg in what looks an open race. If the favourite lobs in the 1st we're in trouble!
RESULT: LOST!
$36 EARLY QUADDIE
1-5-7-11-12-13 / 10 / 1-8 / 9 for 300%
Going wide in the first leg in what looks an open race. If the favourite lobs in the 1st we're in trouble!
RESULT: LOST!
Mildura, Friday 17th June
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Good Onya ($5)
Has thrived since going to the Sunraysia with a nice win 2 starts back & followed that up with a luckless 3rd last week. Looks like getting a nice trail into this race. Great ew play
RESULT: 2nd. Damian Wilson couldn't have driven it any better, it was in the perfect position but simply not good enough. Loses by a short half head. Collect $61.20
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Girl With A Pearl ($10)
Thought she was going as well as Big Bang Raj if not better before the turn before running up the bum of of the horse in front of her and galloping last week first up in a race gifted to Penny Snatcher after interference. She was only 10metres off decent Sunraysia 3yo's Carload & Mister Magic Man in March and that sort of form has her right in this. She isn't fast from the gate but my map has her sitting leaders back, that leader being Big Bang Raj. No sprint lane here with luck she's a huge chance. $51/$10 when typing this for anyone that can get on BET365
RESULT: LOST! Very stiff indeed to not at least place. Never got a crack at them
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Good Onya ($5)
Has thrived since going to the Sunraysia with a nice win 2 starts back & followed that up with a luckless 3rd last week. Looks like getting a nice trail into this race. Great ew play
RESULT: 2nd. Damian Wilson couldn't have driven it any better, it was in the perfect position but simply not good enough. Loses by a short half head. Collect $61.20
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Girl With A Pearl ($10)
Thought she was going as well as Big Bang Raj if not better before the turn before running up the bum of of the horse in front of her and galloping last week first up in a race gifted to Penny Snatcher after interference. She was only 10metres off decent Sunraysia 3yo's Carload & Mister Magic Man in March and that sort of form has her right in this. She isn't fast from the gate but my map has her sitting leaders back, that leader being Big Bang Raj. No sprint lane here with luck she's a huge chance. $51/$10 when typing this for anyone that can get on BET365
RESULT: LOST! Very stiff indeed to not at least place. Never got a crack at them
Kilmore, Thursday 16th June
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 8 No 9 Brocks Territory ($3)
Classy animal who has been driven terribly its past 2 starts. Tracks through nicely here and should position nice and close tonight on his main dangers backs. Gets his chance to return to the winners list
RESULT: 4th. The 1 gallops and the speed map is ruined and Brocks ends up death seating. I wasn't keen at any point in the run!
$50WIN
Race 8 No 9 Brocks Territory ($3)
Classy animal who has been driven terribly its past 2 starts. Tracks through nicely here and should position nice and close tonight on his main dangers backs. Gets his chance to return to the winners list
RESULT: 4th. The 1 gallops and the speed map is ruined and Brocks ends up death seating. I wasn't keen at any point in the run!
Maryborough, Thursday 16th June
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 7 Valentina Brave ($3)
Been racing well against much much better horses. Beat a similar field from the death a few starts back. Must go forward here today with it's main dangers drawn back row. If Tina does, goes very close.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 7 Valentina Brave ($3)
Been racing well against much much better horses. Beat a similar field from the death a few starts back. Must go forward here today with it's main dangers drawn back row. If Tina does, goes very close.
Ballarat, Wednesday 15th June
BEST EXOTIC
$48 FIRST FOUR
Race 1: 1-10 / 1-8-9-10 / 1-8-9-10 / 1-8-9-10 for 400%
Nikkibadwagon is low flying and should be winning barring accidents but Courageous Call gets it's chance from the good draw tonight. Platinum Power is better off on speed leading so Id be surprised if it rolled either of those 2 and Just Wantano wasn't itself in Adelaide but if it brings the form that saw it beat Senor Macray it's right in this from the trailing draw.
$48 FIRST FOUR
Race 1: 1-10 / 1-8-9-10 / 1-8-9-10 / 1-8-9-10 for 400%
Nikkibadwagon is low flying and should be winning barring accidents but Courageous Call gets it's chance from the good draw tonight. Platinum Power is better off on speed leading so Id be surprised if it rolled either of those 2 and Just Wantano wasn't itself in Adelaide but if it brings the form that saw it beat Senor Macray it's right in this from the trailing draw.
Charlton, Wednesday 15th June
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 6 No 12 Aspureasdrivensnow ($4)
Has cost us plenty after losing it's first 2 starts after breaking. Has had a few months off and returned with a freewheeling 2nd at Maryborough in what was a nice trial for a race such as this. With a question mark on his 2 main rivals I'm happpy to be on at a value price.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 King Rafa ($6)
Runs his best races over the mile and gets the draw that really suits it's type of racing. Thought his run was very good behind Mr Whittaker & Shifty Shivas after being held up at vital stage. Best scenariio here is if True Character holds the lead & it's likely to be very keen early on with Iceobar likely to be set alight but I'm still happy to be on even if we're 3 pegs. Nice drop in class, looks a great ew bet
$25WIN
Race 6 No 12 Aspureasdrivensnow ($4)
Has cost us plenty after losing it's first 2 starts after breaking. Has had a few months off and returned with a freewheeling 2nd at Maryborough in what was a nice trial for a race such as this. With a question mark on his 2 main rivals I'm happpy to be on at a value price.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 King Rafa ($6)
Runs his best races over the mile and gets the draw that really suits it's type of racing. Thought his run was very good behind Mr Whittaker & Shifty Shivas after being held up at vital stage. Best scenariio here is if True Character holds the lead & it's likely to be very keen early on with Iceobar likely to be set alight but I'm still happy to be on even if we're 3 pegs. Nice drop in class, looks a great ew bet
Cranbourne, Tuesday 14th June
BEST EXOTIC
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 5-7 / 1-5-7 / 1-2-7-8 / 1-2-7-8 for 100%
Blackfeather was awesome in winning at Melton in a weaker race last week but hard seeing him miss top 2. Whilst Dynamic Bromac was equally impressive in losing last week but will have to do it tough again tonight. Maximum Jolt gets the run of the race and can place without surprising. Best roughy without a doubt is Rameriz who should end up 3 pegs & I was close to leaving Iam Aw Sam out from the draw but can figure with luck
RESULT: LOST! Very weak the fav
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Balance Point ($6)
Hasn't had a great deal of luck this time in being plagued by poor draws against better fields. Takes a small step back in class here tonight and follows the likely leader. Gets his chance to return to the winners list
RESULT: LOST! Awful run
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 5-7 / 1-5-7 / 1-2-7-8 / 1-2-7-8 for 100%
Blackfeather was awesome in winning at Melton in a weaker race last week but hard seeing him miss top 2. Whilst Dynamic Bromac was equally impressive in losing last week but will have to do it tough again tonight. Maximum Jolt gets the run of the race and can place without surprising. Best roughy without a doubt is Rameriz who should end up 3 pegs & I was close to leaving Iam Aw Sam out from the draw but can figure with luck
RESULT: LOST! Very weak the fav
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Balance Point ($6)
Hasn't had a great deal of luck this time in being plagued by poor draws against better fields. Takes a small step back in class here tonight and follows the likely leader. Gets his chance to return to the winners list
RESULT: LOST! Awful run
Hamilton, Monday 13th June
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 3 No 3 Bad Billy ($2)
Should've beaten the very good Delight Me first up last week. He's a very good horse on the way up for mine and should put this field away with even luck. Unbeaten here too.
RESULT: WINNER! Still unbeaten. Easy win. $3 for those smart enough to grab the Sportsbet odds. Collect $220
BEST EXOTIC
$24 QUADDIE
4-8 / 5 / 5-8 / 2-9 for 300%
RESULT: LOST! Missed the last leg
1st LEG: Keayang Sporty looks a class better than these but the draw is awkward. Have to throw in Motlop Magic off the back of a nice trial
2nd LEG: On outing a 24 start maiden might be ridiculous but first up for the Craven stable should see it in the winning stall against some very average animals
3rd LEG: Crowning Glory was good behind a nice horse last week and was almost a one out but if Babalaas Jack holds them early Ennaellie comes into the race and must go in. Its a very thin race for mine.
4th LEG: Gnotuk dead heated over the longer journey after leading & having an easy run. Should've won outright but the shorter distance is in it's favour. Adams Express is in great form and will also be suited by the shorter distance. Just needs a few things to go right to be a winning chance
$100WIN
Race 3 No 3 Bad Billy ($2)
Should've beaten the very good Delight Me first up last week. He's a very good horse on the way up for mine and should put this field away with even luck. Unbeaten here too.
RESULT: WINNER! Still unbeaten. Easy win. $3 for those smart enough to grab the Sportsbet odds. Collect $220
BEST EXOTIC
$24 QUADDIE
4-8 / 5 / 5-8 / 2-9 for 300%
RESULT: LOST! Missed the last leg
1st LEG: Keayang Sporty looks a class better than these but the draw is awkward. Have to throw in Motlop Magic off the back of a nice trial
2nd LEG: On outing a 24 start maiden might be ridiculous but first up for the Craven stable should see it in the winning stall against some very average animals
3rd LEG: Crowning Glory was good behind a nice horse last week and was almost a one out but if Babalaas Jack holds them early Ennaellie comes into the race and must go in. Its a very thin race for mine.
4th LEG: Gnotuk dead heated over the longer journey after leading & having an easy run. Should've won outright but the shorter distance is in it's favour. Adams Express is in great form and will also be suited by the shorter distance. Just needs a few things to go right to be a winning chance
shepparton, sunday 12th june
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 1 No 11 Jialiner ($4)
RESULT: LOST!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Nimble Jack ($5)
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $96
$25WIN
Race 1 No 11 Jialiner ($4)
RESULT: LOST!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Nimble Jack ($5)
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $96
BenDigo, Saturday 11th June
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 3 No 5 Mammals Magic ($2.75)
Had no right to win at Bathurst first up after getting buried 3 pegs before coming 5 wide around the bend to sprint past them late. Thats a great lead into this & John Caldow taking the drive only a positive. I think Soho Angel is a huge chance to get buried on the fence here and for mine, thats Mammals only danger. I'd go the full $100 bet but have to be wary of 2yo racing.
$50WIN
Race 3 No 5 Mammals Magic ($2.75)
Had no right to win at Bathurst first up after getting buried 3 pegs before coming 5 wide around the bend to sprint past them late. Thats a great lead into this & John Caldow taking the drive only a positive. I think Soho Angel is a huge chance to get buried on the fence here and for mine, thats Mammals only danger. I'd go the full $100 bet but have to be wary of 2yo racing.
Melton, Friday 10th June
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 The Noble Steed ($6)
Never been one of my horses but put the writing on the wall in an unsuitable race at Ballarat last week. Should be following Brighty Valentine's every move in this race and I think we'll be getting much better than my $6. Great EW bet for mine
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 The Noble Steed ($6)
Never been one of my horses but put the writing on the wall in an unsuitable race at Ballarat last week. Should be following Brighty Valentine's every move in this race and I think we'll be getting much better than my $6. Great EW bet for mine
RESULT: LOST!
Mildura, Friday 10th June
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Lauper ($5)
Didn't have much luck last start against a much better field. Run a great race from a similar draw at this track in April. Brings that formagainst these & he's a huge chance despite the draw
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Lauper ($5)
Didn't have much luck last start against a much better field. Run a great race from a similar draw at this track in April. Brings that formagainst these & he's a huge chance despite the draw
RESULT: LOST!
Ballarat, Thursday 9th June
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Half Crown Gap ($5)
Had no luck but was driven that way at Kilmore. Had very good form for a race like this prior and gets his chance to settle much closer from the draw tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $211
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Half Crown Gap ($5)
Had no luck but was driven that way at Kilmore. Had very good form for a race like this prior and gets his chance to settle much closer from the draw tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $211
Maryborough, Thursday 9th June
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Spiritwriter ($2)
Looked disappointing last start but it was beaten by a very good horse in Senor Macray running home in a tick over 55 secs for the last half. Gets the draw advantage on it's main rival & looks likely to work it's way to the front today & I think he'll run these off their feet.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $240
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Spiritwriter ($2)
Looked disappointing last start but it was beaten by a very good horse in Senor Macray running home in a tick over 55 secs for the last half. Gets the draw advantage on it's main rival & looks likely to work it's way to the front today & I think he'll run these off their feet.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $240
Ararat, Wednesday 8th June
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Cullectngo ($3)
Its D-Day for this fella. Hit a couple of flat spots when making his run 3 & 4 wide last start and that ultimately cost it it's chance to win. Should settle leaders back at worse here today which helps it's chances greatly in a very winnable race.
RESULT: LOST!
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Adams Express ($8)
Thought he was very unlucky not to place at Hamilton 2 starts back after working early and then copping a check before the final turn and losing any chance. Once he balanced up he was very strong to the line. Outclassed last start but not disgraced after being caught in the death seat beaten 17metres behind the very smart Keep On Rocking and just got nabbed on the line by Dancing With Elvis who would start very shoort in this. The start here is extremely important as I think he has enough gate speed to push Gnotuk early & create the gap between it & the 8 giving Adams Express the perfect sit behind the leader. Without doubt a winning chance if that scenario plays out & Im expecting big odds here.
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $80
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Cullectngo ($3)
Its D-Day for this fella. Hit a couple of flat spots when making his run 3 & 4 wide last start and that ultimately cost it it's chance to win. Should settle leaders back at worse here today which helps it's chances greatly in a very winnable race.
RESULT: LOST!
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Adams Express ($8)
Thought he was very unlucky not to place at Hamilton 2 starts back after working early and then copping a check before the final turn and losing any chance. Once he balanced up he was very strong to the line. Outclassed last start but not disgraced after being caught in the death seat beaten 17metres behind the very smart Keep On Rocking and just got nabbed on the line by Dancing With Elvis who would start very shoort in this. The start here is extremely important as I think he has enough gate speed to push Gnotuk early & create the gap between it & the 8 giving Adams Express the perfect sit behind the leader. Without doubt a winning chance if that scenario plays out & Im expecting big odds here.
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $80
Yarra ValLey, Wednesday 8th June
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 1 No 8 Irish Player ($2.75)
Had to make a couple of runs at this track when an outclassed 2nd last week. Looks like settling midfield against an ordinary bunch today and looks your winner
RESULT: LOST!
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Philtra Phella ($5)
Was desperately unlucky in a M0 race last week. Prior start was a strong 2nd from the death in a claimer behind Sambuca Joe. Not Sambuca Joe here today in a weaker claiming grade. Great chance
RESULT: LOST!
$50WIN
Race 1 No 8 Irish Player ($2.75)
Had to make a couple of runs at this track when an outclassed 2nd last week. Looks like settling midfield against an ordinary bunch today and looks your winner
RESULT: LOST!
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Philtra Phella ($5)
Was desperately unlucky in a M0 race last week. Prior start was a strong 2nd from the death in a claimer behind Sambuca Joe. Not Sambuca Joe here today in a weaker claiming grade. Great chance
RESULT: LOST!
Kilmore, Tuesday 7th June
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 2 No 1 Sunshine Hannigan ($4)
Without one doubt in my mind, should have bolted in at Cobram last start had it not been for driver error. Will get a similar type of run tonight and although slightly up in class, looks like getting every possible chance
RESULT: LOST!
$25WIN
Race 2 No 1 Sunshine Hannigan ($4)
Without one doubt in my mind, should have bolted in at Cobram last start had it not been for driver error. Will get a similar type of run tonight and although slightly up in class, looks like getting every possible chance
RESULT: LOST!
Melton, Monday 6th June
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Scipio ($5)
Was never really given a chance on debut restraining at the start before settling last but finished off extremely well in a 28 second last quarter. Should settle closer from the draw today and is a great chance in weaker field.
RESULT: 2nd. Another good run but the drive gave it no chance. Collect $57
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Scipio ($5)
Was never really given a chance on debut restraining at the start before settling last but finished off extremely well in a 28 second last quarter. Should settle closer from the draw today and is a great chance in weaker field.
RESULT: 2nd. Another good run but the drive gave it no chance. Collect $57
MILDURA, Sunday 5th June
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 The Dapper Don ($2)
Won a similar race to this at this track and distance on the 27th of April. Showed he's still in good from with a nice placing from the back row last start. Flies the gate, will lead & it'll be a surprise to see him get rolled from there
RESULT: 3rd. Unders.. Got the lead eventually nut had every possible chance, especially considering it was run down by the death & 3 wide without cover horses. Disappointing result.
BEST EXOTIC
$30 QUADDIE
4 / 1-4-6-8 / 2 / 3-5 for 375%
(On the assumption that Youvegotobelieveit is scr in the 2nd & 4th legs)
Dapper Don & Fine And Sunny my best of the night and the other legs look pretty slim. Fingers crossed for a result
RESULT: LOST! Thanks Dapper Don but Quaddie only paid $62 without it.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 The Dapper Don ($2)
Won a similar race to this at this track and distance on the 27th of April. Showed he's still in good from with a nice placing from the back row last start. Flies the gate, will lead & it'll be a surprise to see him get rolled from there
RESULT: 3rd. Unders.. Got the lead eventually nut had every possible chance, especially considering it was run down by the death & 3 wide without cover horses. Disappointing result.
BEST EXOTIC
$30 QUADDIE
4 / 1-4-6-8 / 2 / 3-5 for 375%
(On the assumption that Youvegotobelieveit is scr in the 2nd & 4th legs)
Dapper Don & Fine And Sunny my best of the night and the other legs look pretty slim. Fingers crossed for a result
RESULT: LOST! Thanks Dapper Don but Quaddie only paid $62 without it.
SHEPPARTON, Saturday 4th June
BEST EXOTIC
$30 FIRST FOUR
RACE 1: 10 / 7-9 / 7-8-9 / 7-8 for 1000%
Whirily School looks a class above his rivals & starts odds on for mine. Currently $2.30 BET365 looks overs. Bartley can sometimes do some strange things on Herehecomes and she must go forward from the draw tonight to get the advantage on it's rivals. Goes back and it's no chance. Has to be put in top 2 calcs though. Showgun Thomas is an above average beast but would need everything to go right to beat Whirily School but hard seeing it missing top 3. Emiliana is just below those & the draw is a tricky one for it tonight. Place chance only but they are miles in front of the rest.
RESULT: LOST! Whirily School cops interference at the start, gallops & thats another way to lose money!
BEST VALUE
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Four Shotzzz ($6)
Has trialed well at this track including a very good trial behind the smart Lochinvar Delight importantly over this distance. Has to deal with Perfect Sense here tonight but the draw is a tricky one for it tonight & if it has to work the first time over the longer distance it maybe a risk. Happy to find out.
RESULT: WINNER! A lovely drive by Nathan Jack gets us the cash. Collect $215
$30 FIRST FOUR
RACE 1: 10 / 7-9 / 7-8-9 / 7-8 for 1000%
Whirily School looks a class above his rivals & starts odds on for mine. Currently $2.30 BET365 looks overs. Bartley can sometimes do some strange things on Herehecomes and she must go forward from the draw tonight to get the advantage on it's rivals. Goes back and it's no chance. Has to be put in top 2 calcs though. Showgun Thomas is an above average beast but would need everything to go right to beat Whirily School but hard seeing it missing top 3. Emiliana is just below those & the draw is a tricky one for it tonight. Place chance only but they are miles in front of the rest.
RESULT: LOST! Whirily School cops interference at the start, gallops & thats another way to lose money!
BEST VALUE
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Four Shotzzz ($6)
Has trialed well at this track including a very good trial behind the smart Lochinvar Delight importantly over this distance. Has to deal with Perfect Sense here tonight but the draw is a tricky one for it tonight & if it has to work the first time over the longer distance it maybe a risk. Happy to find out.
RESULT: WINNER! A lovely drive by Nathan Jack gets us the cash. Collect $215
MELTON, FRIDAY 3rd June
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 1 No 5 Our Missionary Man ($3)
Im back for more punishment but just looks perfectly suited tonight. Was very unlucky not to finish closer last week. Similar if not slightly easier race here & Alford was aggressive early. Expect the same here & if he manages to cross he is a moral for mine but probably a 50/50 chance to do that. Regardless he'll be on the speed and a massive chance
RESULT: WINNER! Led and that was game over. Great front running drive Chris Alford. Collect $175
$50WIN
Race 1 No 5 Our Missionary Man ($3)
Im back for more punishment but just looks perfectly suited tonight. Was very unlucky not to finish closer last week. Similar if not slightly easier race here & Alford was aggressive early. Expect the same here & if he manages to cross he is a moral for mine but probably a 50/50 chance to do that. Regardless he'll be on the speed and a massive chance
RESULT: WINNER! Led and that was game over. Great front running drive Chris Alford. Collect $175
Cranbourne, Wednesday 2nd June
BEST VALUE
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 12 Cullen Regent ($6)
Doesn't win too many but looks very well graded back to C1 tonight. There is also a field full of horse who really struggle at the distance & will some likely early speed in the race I can see them only plugging home late. With a cold sit Cullen Regent can use his class edge and be a major player.
RESULT: 4th.. Geez I was sure he pinched 3rd but had his chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Glenferrie Blade ($5)
Looked in need of the run when not suited from a poor draw over the sprint trip first up. Did win the Breeders Crown consolation last prep which is super form for this. I expect a much improved effort from the draw tonight 2nd up
RESULT: 2nd. Was home and hosed but Greg Sugars genius gets us done. Collect $54
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 12 Cullen Regent ($6)
Doesn't win too many but looks very well graded back to C1 tonight. There is also a field full of horse who really struggle at the distance & will some likely early speed in the race I can see them only plugging home late. With a cold sit Cullen Regent can use his class edge and be a major player.
RESULT: 4th.. Geez I was sure he pinched 3rd but had his chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Glenferrie Blade ($5)
Looked in need of the run when not suited from a poor draw over the sprint trip first up. Did win the Breeders Crown consolation last prep which is super form for this. I expect a much improved effort from the draw tonight 2nd up
RESULT: 2nd. Was home and hosed but Greg Sugars genius gets us done. Collect $54
Horsham, Wednesday 2nd June
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 6 No 1 Polar Opposite ($4)
Joins the Kerryn Manning stable today and looks beautifully placed from the draw. Worked through it's classes beautifully last prep by using it's early speed & taking a sit on the appropriate horse and ultimately outsprint them late. Same scenario here & you can bet Kerryn would have put plenty of work into it for it's first up run for a couple of months.
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance
$25WIN
Race 8 No 6 Itz Sportz Torque ($4)
Its record over the distance looks horrible but they've mainly been against the best of his age include only 6 metres off them in the Breeders Crown consolation. Liked his death seat 2nd at Hamilton 2 starts ago. Forgive his last start when couldn't get into the race from a poor draw. Has enough gate speed when asked & I can see him working across these early to lead. Just have to hold the likely fav out from its outside but I think its worth a risk.
RESULT: 3rd. A blow out result in the end but he just struggles to win
$25WIN
Race 6 No 1 Polar Opposite ($4)
Joins the Kerryn Manning stable today and looks beautifully placed from the draw. Worked through it's classes beautifully last prep by using it's early speed & taking a sit on the appropriate horse and ultimately outsprint them late. Same scenario here & you can bet Kerryn would have put plenty of work into it for it's first up run for a couple of months.
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance
$25WIN
Race 8 No 6 Itz Sportz Torque ($4)
Its record over the distance looks horrible but they've mainly been against the best of his age include only 6 metres off them in the Breeders Crown consolation. Liked his death seat 2nd at Hamilton 2 starts ago. Forgive his last start when couldn't get into the race from a poor draw. Has enough gate speed when asked & I can see him working across these early to lead. Just have to hold the likely fav out from its outside but I think its worth a risk.
RESULT: 3rd. A blow out result in the end but he just struggles to win
Geelong, Wednesday 1st June
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Lagoon Beach ($6)
Forgot last start when outclassed in a M0 but wasn't disgraced. Won a similar race at this track 2 starts back after they set a suicidal speed & thats likely to happen again here. Trails through on Stay & Plays back and for mine there is not better horse to follow especially considering it's likely to settle 1x1 with Lance firing to the lead early and he likes to keep rolling on Crockets Cullen. Great ew play
RESULT: LOST! Stay and Play crosses the 1 & we follow a plodder into the race but I dont think it mattered
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Lagoon Beach ($6)
Forgot last start when outclassed in a M0 but wasn't disgraced. Won a similar race at this track 2 starts back after they set a suicidal speed & thats likely to happen again here. Trails through on Stay & Plays back and for mine there is not better horse to follow especially considering it's likely to settle 1x1 with Lance firing to the lead early and he likes to keep rolling on Crockets Cullen. Great ew play
RESULT: LOST! Stay and Play crosses the 1 & we follow a plodder into the race but I dont think it mattered
Maryborough, Wednesday 1st June
BEST BET
$75 WIN
Race 8 No 1 Pin Code ($2.50)
What a difference a trainer makes. Pulled it's head off in the run but ran Grinydontya to a small margin at this track and distance last week. Wasn't pushed early but can be pushed to hold a forward position & whether she holds up or not looks the horse to beat, especially with JillibyShania first up from a poor draw,
RESULT: LOST! ended up 3 pegs after she couldn't hold out the longshot & never looked likely
BEST EXOTIC
$24 QUADDIE
4-9 / 5 / 1-2-5-6-7-8 / 1-7 for 100%
1st Leg: Keayang Secret could be a star in the making and you could almost one out but Bulgari Rose was a very nice debut and could take advantage from the draw
2nd Leg: Keayang Mercedes my best of the day
3rd Leg: Almost a field job & gone as wide as I can.
4th Leg: I'm obviously keen on Pin Code but have to take Jilliby Shania as a back up
RESULT: 3 legs...but tough to include the first starter in the first leg even though its trial form vs Bugari Rose was good. Quaddie pays $6k +
$75 WIN
Race 8 No 1 Pin Code ($2.50)
What a difference a trainer makes. Pulled it's head off in the run but ran Grinydontya to a small margin at this track and distance last week. Wasn't pushed early but can be pushed to hold a forward position & whether she holds up or not looks the horse to beat, especially with JillibyShania first up from a poor draw,
RESULT: LOST! ended up 3 pegs after she couldn't hold out the longshot & never looked likely
BEST EXOTIC
$24 QUADDIE
4-9 / 5 / 1-2-5-6-7-8 / 1-7 for 100%
1st Leg: Keayang Secret could be a star in the making and you could almost one out but Bulgari Rose was a very nice debut and could take advantage from the draw
2nd Leg: Keayang Mercedes my best of the day
3rd Leg: Almost a field job & gone as wide as I can.
4th Leg: I'm obviously keen on Pin Code but have to take Jilliby Shania as a back up
RESULT: 3 legs...but tough to include the first starter in the first leg even though its trial form vs Bugari Rose was good. Quaddie pays $6k +
BENDIGO, Tuesday 31st May
BEST EXOTIC
$36 FIRST FOUR
Race 3: 2 / 4-6 / 3-4-6-8 / 3-4-6-8 for 300%
$12 FIRST FOUR
Race 3: 4-6 / 2 / 3-4-6-8 / 3-4-6-8 for 100%
Trip Sevens was a good 2nd against far superior horses than he meets tonight. Even though the race tempo suited last start hard seeing him miss top 2. Paying Your Way just seems to have excuse after excuse but hardly runs a bad race & if Alford can get Sir Maxalot running early, like he can with many he drives, he's a chance if he leads. Only other chances are 3 & 8 with the latter an unlucky effort last start & our value in the race. Happy to leave Eyes Shut out after 2 ordinary efforts & the others have no chance.
RESULT: LOST! Trip Sevens popped a tyre 50 metres into the race & was virtually pulled out but would've been hard to beat Paying Your Way, Numbers were 4 - 6 - 8 - 3 & pays $580. Ouch
$36 FIRST FOUR
Race 3: 2 / 4-6 / 3-4-6-8 / 3-4-6-8 for 300%
$12 FIRST FOUR
Race 3: 4-6 / 2 / 3-4-6-8 / 3-4-6-8 for 100%
Trip Sevens was a good 2nd against far superior horses than he meets tonight. Even though the race tempo suited last start hard seeing him miss top 2. Paying Your Way just seems to have excuse after excuse but hardly runs a bad race & if Alford can get Sir Maxalot running early, like he can with many he drives, he's a chance if he leads. Only other chances are 3 & 8 with the latter an unlucky effort last start & our value in the race. Happy to leave Eyes Shut out after 2 ordinary efforts & the others have no chance.
RESULT: LOST! Trip Sevens popped a tyre 50 metres into the race & was virtually pulled out but would've been hard to beat Paying Your Way, Numbers were 4 - 6 - 8 - 3 & pays $580. Ouch
Cobram, Monday 30th May
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Classic Grin ($3)
Just got knocked off by Time Capsule (did beat home Mister Wickham though) late last week from a better draw. That was a C4-5 race and drops back 2 classes here. Last time he did was a super 2nd behind Niki No No who run 3rd in a Metro race on Saturday night. Icobar looks the logical danger but I think he's going to work mighty hard to lead todayand that early speed looks ideal for Classic Grin.
RESULT: LOST! Never given a chance
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Classic Grin ($3)
Just got knocked off by Time Capsule (did beat home Mister Wickham though) late last week from a better draw. That was a C4-5 race and drops back 2 classes here. Last time he did was a super 2nd behind Niki No No who run 3rd in a Metro race on Saturday night. Icobar looks the logical danger but I think he's going to work mighty hard to lead todayand that early speed looks ideal for Classic Grin.
RESULT: LOST! Never given a chance
Kilmore, Sunday 29th MAy
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Hoofnit ($5)
I'm prepared to overlook last start in what was a strangish sort of race. Thought her run 2 starts back at this track & distance was very good & gets her chance from the draw.
RESULT: 2nd. Another 2nd, give me a spell! Never looked like winning though. Collect $37.20
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Hoofnit ($5)
I'm prepared to overlook last start in what was a strangish sort of race. Thought her run 2 starts back at this track & distance was very good & gets her chance from the draw.
RESULT: 2nd. Another 2nd, give me a spell! Never looked like winning though. Collect $37.20
BallaraT, SATURDAY 28th May
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Lochinvar Delight ($3)
Real nice 2yo who is unbeaten from 3 starts. I wasn't sure if the tight Coota track would suit last start but won impressively. Ferdinand is your leader here so he should get a lovely sit throughout & I expect there to be plenty of room late for her to use that great sprint he has.
RESULT: 2nd! Another 2nd. Was pretty stiff but the winner was very good.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Lochinvar Delight ($3)
Real nice 2yo who is unbeaten from 3 starts. I wasn't sure if the tight Coota track would suit last start but won impressively. Ferdinand is your leader here so he should get a lovely sit throughout & I expect there to be plenty of room late for her to use that great sprint he has.
RESULT: 2nd! Another 2nd. Was pretty stiff but the winner was very good.
Melton, Friday 27th May
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Washmepockets ($5)
Has come back from a break in super form. Should get the gun run behind Macterra Lad who looks a little of in his 2 trials back from a spell. Looks like getting the exact run he needs to figure
RESULT: LOST! Very plain.
$50WIN
Race 9 No 2 Repeat After Me ($3)
Super win at Bendigo last start after a great drive from Anthony Butt. Realy Under Fire should scoot straight to the front here & I think Repeat After Me looks the first home with the opportunity to take up the front. Going to be very hard to roll if that scenario plays out.
RESULT: 2nd. Nathan Jack too good
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Washmepockets ($5)
Has come back from a break in super form. Should get the gun run behind Macterra Lad who looks a little of in his 2 trials back from a spell. Looks like getting the exact run he needs to figure
RESULT: LOST! Very plain.
$50WIN
Race 9 No 2 Repeat After Me ($3)
Super win at Bendigo last start after a great drive from Anthony Butt. Realy Under Fire should scoot straight to the front here & I think Repeat After Me looks the first home with the opportunity to take up the front. Going to be very hard to roll if that scenario plays out.
RESULT: 2nd. Nathan Jack too good
Yarra Valley, Thursday 25th May
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Tango Terrific ($6)
Please, dont look at it's form, you'd think Ive lost the plot but the fact is, it's beaten higher class of horse at Carrick in 2 recent trials. It's past 4 runs it's misbehaved & you'd have to think it hasn't come to the mainland for a holiday.
RESULT: LOST! Frustrating to watch. Never put into the race on a day you have to be on pace to win & he's that type of horse too. Next.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Illawong Bella ($3)
Just plugged away in a better race last start but it was just a sprint home in that race. She is much better suited out in front. Thats exactly where she'll be today & there looks to be bugger all pace in this race today. Gets her chance to return to the winners list.
RESULT: 2nd. Nabbed right on the line
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Tango Terrific ($6)
Please, dont look at it's form, you'd think Ive lost the plot but the fact is, it's beaten higher class of horse at Carrick in 2 recent trials. It's past 4 runs it's misbehaved & you'd have to think it hasn't come to the mainland for a holiday.
RESULT: LOST! Frustrating to watch. Never put into the race on a day you have to be on pace to win & he's that type of horse too. Next.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Illawong Bella ($3)
Just plugged away in a better race last start but it was just a sprint home in that race. She is much better suited out in front. Thats exactly where she'll be today & there looks to be bugger all pace in this race today. Gets her chance to return to the winners list.
RESULT: 2nd. Nabbed right on the line
ShepPARTON, Tuesday 23rd May
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Slice Of Life ($8)
Goes without saying this bloke has limited ability but has run some cracking races in it's time and gets the sort of run it's needs to figure tonight. Was leaders back last start but was outclassed behind the likes of Warfare & NIckys Ideal, both who would start very short in this. Will be leaders back again here at worst and looks a sneaky show, especially over the mile. Did beat Aurore in it's only win who is a chance here also.
RESULT: 4th. Looked the winner with 50 to go & somehow missed a place!! Very limited ability
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Modern Lebron ($5)
Was outclassed over the mile last start behind the very smart Miss Dreamin but still managed to snag 3rd. Gets the great draw again & has options to either hold or sit leaders back. Over the 2190metres looks suitable.
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 3 pegs but had it's chance. SACKED.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Shifty Shivas ($3)
Another back in class tonight that comes up with a suitable draw. Simply outclassed from a poor draw at Ballarat so forget that run. The form reference here is 3 starts back over this distance and track when tried to run them off their legs in a 1:55 mile and was only bloused by Niki No No late. This is a drop back in class from that and with his main danger likely to be stuck in the death, looks a great chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Tried to run the fav off it's legs, kept kick kick kicking & on the line it was a short half head margin. Not meant to be tonight
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Slice Of Life ($8)
Goes without saying this bloke has limited ability but has run some cracking races in it's time and gets the sort of run it's needs to figure tonight. Was leaders back last start but was outclassed behind the likes of Warfare & NIckys Ideal, both who would start very short in this. Will be leaders back again here at worst and looks a sneaky show, especially over the mile. Did beat Aurore in it's only win who is a chance here also.
RESULT: 4th. Looked the winner with 50 to go & somehow missed a place!! Very limited ability
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Modern Lebron ($5)
Was outclassed over the mile last start behind the very smart Miss Dreamin but still managed to snag 3rd. Gets the great draw again & has options to either hold or sit leaders back. Over the 2190metres looks suitable.
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 3 pegs but had it's chance. SACKED.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Shifty Shivas ($3)
Another back in class tonight that comes up with a suitable draw. Simply outclassed from a poor draw at Ballarat so forget that run. The form reference here is 3 starts back over this distance and track when tried to run them off their legs in a 1:55 mile and was only bloused by Niki No No late. This is a drop back in class from that and with his main danger likely to be stuck in the death, looks a great chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Tried to run the fav off it's legs, kept kick kick kicking & on the line it was a short half head margin. Not meant to be tonight
Horsham, Monday 23rd May
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Ridethewildside ($3.50)
Had to death seat at Echuca & battle on well against a pretty good one. Death seating at Echuca isn't ideal so the run was very good. Just missed beating The Russian at Echuca a couple of starts back & thats great form for a race like this especially with his main dangers on the back row, In this for a very long way
RESULT: WINNER! Led & never looked like getting run down. Plenty of $3.60 about, best was $3.90 on Betfair (or $4.50 BET365 last night). Collect $170
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Samara Sky ($5)
Had his chance at Terang last start but still finished a nice 3rd against a better field than this. Hasn't got any gate speed but should settle handy enough to be a chance to outsprint these late.
RESULT: LOST! That was a very weak effort. SACKED!
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Ridethewildside ($3.50)
Had to death seat at Echuca & battle on well against a pretty good one. Death seating at Echuca isn't ideal so the run was very good. Just missed beating The Russian at Echuca a couple of starts back & thats great form for a race like this especially with his main dangers on the back row, In this for a very long way
RESULT: WINNER! Led & never looked like getting run down. Plenty of $3.60 about, best was $3.90 on Betfair (or $4.50 BET365 last night). Collect $170
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Samara Sky ($5)
Had his chance at Terang last start but still finished a nice 3rd against a better field than this. Hasn't got any gate speed but should settle handy enough to be a chance to outsprint these late.
RESULT: LOST! That was a very weak effort. SACKED!
Cranbourne, Sunday 22nd May
BEST EXOTIC
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 1-9 / 1-5-9 / 1-5-9 for 1250%
It's a non winner race this but really the winner looks like coming from leader/leaders back as they look to get the best runs. Temporal Join is an absolute non winner but looks a place certainty against these.
RESULT: WINNER! Never in doubt. Collect $298.75
$20 QUADDIE
5 / 2 / 1 / 1 for 2000%
Following in the footsteps of the quaddie king Stephen Hunt hopefully here with a straight quad. Looks a huge chance to land though. The driver of the first my biggest concern.
RESULT: LOST!
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Jack William ($3)
Thought his past 2 after death seating against quality horse have been extremely impressive. Gets the gun draw tonight and whether he leads or sits leaders back looks a huge chance
RESULT: 3rd. Got burnt off by the 2 favs early & settled 3 pegs. Battled on out wide but he just doesn't have a huge sprint. Won't be sacking him
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 1-9 / 1-5-9 / 1-5-9 for 1250%
It's a non winner race this but really the winner looks like coming from leader/leaders back as they look to get the best runs. Temporal Join is an absolute non winner but looks a place certainty against these.
RESULT: WINNER! Never in doubt. Collect $298.75
$20 QUADDIE
5 / 2 / 1 / 1 for 2000%
Following in the footsteps of the quaddie king Stephen Hunt hopefully here with a straight quad. Looks a huge chance to land though. The driver of the first my biggest concern.
RESULT: LOST!
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Jack William ($3)
Thought his past 2 after death seating against quality horse have been extremely impressive. Gets the gun draw tonight and whether he leads or sits leaders back looks a huge chance
RESULT: 3rd. Got burnt off by the 2 favs early & settled 3 pegs. Battled on out wide but he just doesn't have a huge sprint. Won't be sacking him
MELTON, Saturday 21st May
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 1 No 11 Im Alex ($14)
Didn't see daylight against a similar field over this distance and track last start only finishing 5 metres off them hard held. Should get a nice cart into this race on Solarsonics back and as long as there is a good pace on he's right in this.
RESULT: LOST! Wasn't far off them at big odds but had his chance. Needs it weaker
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Nike Franco ($3)
Loved her run last start after a month off the scene. I think the extra distance against her own sex looks ideal & even if Greg can't lead the draw gives him plenty of options. A great chance to return to the winners list.
RESULT: WINNER! As soon as she led she was always going to be hard to beat. Massive drift too, out to $6!!! Collect $300
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 1 No 11 Im Alex ($14)
Didn't see daylight against a similar field over this distance and track last start only finishing 5 metres off them hard held. Should get a nice cart into this race on Solarsonics back and as long as there is a good pace on he's right in this.
RESULT: LOST! Wasn't far off them at big odds but had his chance. Needs it weaker
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Nike Franco ($3)
Loved her run last start after a month off the scene. I think the extra distance against her own sex looks ideal & even if Greg can't lead the draw gives him plenty of options. A great chance to return to the winners list.
RESULT: WINNER! As soon as she led she was always going to be hard to beat. Massive drift too, out to $6!!! Collect $300
Ballarat, Friday 20th May
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Saxon Warrior ($2)
Tried his absolute guts out to beat a very smart one at this track and distance but fell short. Exact same draw, small field, leads & there is no very smart one here to compete against tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! Wow. Walked out, ended up 3 pegs, pulled out 3 wide without cover & looked gone but kept kicking to win right on the line. Phew. Collect $185. ($2.90 for BET365!)
BEST PLACE BET
$100PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Big Bang Leonard ($2)
Gets his chance to finally lead them up tonight in C1 company & no doubt hand up to Heavens Trend. Can't beat Heavens Trend but geez I'll be surprised if he didn't hold 2nd. BEWARE PUNTERS, No Third Dividend here with 6 runners but that should give us place value.
RESULT: 2nd! You beauty, never in doubt. Collect $270
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Saxon Warrior ($2)
Tried his absolute guts out to beat a very smart one at this track and distance but fell short. Exact same draw, small field, leads & there is no very smart one here to compete against tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! Wow. Walked out, ended up 3 pegs, pulled out 3 wide without cover & looked gone but kept kicking to win right on the line. Phew. Collect $185. ($2.90 for BET365!)
BEST PLACE BET
$100PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Big Bang Leonard ($2)
Gets his chance to finally lead them up tonight in C1 company & no doubt hand up to Heavens Trend. Can't beat Heavens Trend but geez I'll be surprised if he didn't hold 2nd. BEWARE PUNTERS, No Third Dividend here with 6 runners but that should give us place value.
RESULT: 2nd! You beauty, never in doubt. Collect $270
Kilmore, Thursday 19th May
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Half Crown Gap ($6)
Nice win in a fairly good field for a R1 last week & even though 5th at this track & distance the start prior was hitting the line nicely behind the smart Mar Nien. This is a pretty even field and I'm expecting a few fireworks early. He looks likely to trail the fav into the race here. Nice ew play.
RESULT: LOST! Ohhh dear. Left, right, backwards, outside, inside.. Went to the line with plenty give but no room to give it..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Half Crown Gap ($6)
Nice win in a fairly good field for a R1 last week & even though 5th at this track & distance the start prior was hitting the line nicely behind the smart Mar Nien. This is a pretty even field and I'm expecting a few fireworks early. He looks likely to trail the fav into the race here. Nice ew play.
RESULT: LOST! Ohhh dear. Left, right, backwards, outside, inside.. Went to the line with plenty give but no room to give it..
Bendigo, Wednesday 18th May
BEST EXOTIC
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 9-10 / 1-9-10 / 1-9-10
Looks a toss of a coin race between Nickys Idol & Repeat After Me, both quality horses. Extremely hard seeing Life Long Voyage beating either of those from leaders back but he gets a run that he needs tonight & looks a great place chance.
BEST PLACE BET
$50 PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Life Long Voyage ($2)
As per the above, looks like settling leaders back and only bad luck looks like stopping it from placing.
RESULT: LOST! Very surprised he led but no one wanted the lead! Plugged away but he's a horse that needs cover
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 9-10 / 1-9-10 / 1-9-10
Looks a toss of a coin race between Nickys Idol & Repeat After Me, both quality horses. Extremely hard seeing Life Long Voyage beating either of those from leaders back but he gets a run that he needs tonight & looks a great place chance.
BEST PLACE BET
$50 PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Life Long Voyage ($2)
As per the above, looks like settling leaders back and only bad luck looks like stopping it from placing.
RESULT: LOST! Very surprised he led but no one wanted the lead! Plugged away but he's a horse that needs cover
Melton, Wednesday 18th May
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 2 No 7 Grins Rendition ($5)
He's a reliable horse that doesn't win out of turn but looks a very suitable race today. The Marybourough race on the 14th of April looks a key form reference when just missed after coming from a mile back in an 11 horse field off the 30 metre handicap. Same handicap today but the main difference is its only 7 horses to get around. A poor start looks his only danger but no one better the combat that than John Caldow
RESULT: 3rd. Its just too hard to catch this fella. Had his chance today and was oooohhhh so plain.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Miss Jill ($5)
On debut at this track & distance & thought Anthony Butt left it too late but she found the line ok late. Much better draw tonight & looked to have early speed (even off the backrow) so should position leaders back for mine. Looks a great value bet
RESULT: WINNER! Backed in late but the value was there early on, especially for anyone able to get $7.50 BET365. Mid tote the best result otherwise. Collect $154
MEETING RESULT: Won $54
$50WIN
Race 2 No 7 Grins Rendition ($5)
He's a reliable horse that doesn't win out of turn but looks a very suitable race today. The Marybourough race on the 14th of April looks a key form reference when just missed after coming from a mile back in an 11 horse field off the 30 metre handicap. Same handicap today but the main difference is its only 7 horses to get around. A poor start looks his only danger but no one better the combat that than John Caldow
RESULT: 3rd. Its just too hard to catch this fella. Had his chance today and was oooohhhh so plain.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Miss Jill ($5)
On debut at this track & distance & thought Anthony Butt left it too late but she found the line ok late. Much better draw tonight & looked to have early speed (even off the backrow) so should position leaders back for mine. Looks a great value bet
RESULT: WINNER! Backed in late but the value was there early on, especially for anyone able to get $7.50 BET365. Mid tote the best result otherwise. Collect $154
MEETING RESULT: Won $54
Echuca, Tuesday 17th May
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Always Grinning ($2.75)
Forget last start when totally outclassed but Whirly School & Rockstar Angel who'd both start 1/10 fav in this race. On debut he was a nice 3rd against slightly better opposition than he meets today. Best draw that he's had, either leads or sits leaders back (2 if not scratched, 4 otherwise) and both should be holding the lead giving us the perfect run. I think he's just better than them.
RESULT: WINNER! Led and never looked like losing. Collect $210
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Always Grinning ($2.75)
Forget last start when totally outclassed but Whirly School & Rockstar Angel who'd both start 1/10 fav in this race. On debut he was a nice 3rd against slightly better opposition than he meets today. Best draw that he's had, either leads or sits leaders back (2 if not scratched, 4 otherwise) and both should be holding the lead giving us the perfect run. I think he's just better than them.
RESULT: WINNER! Led and never looked like losing. Collect $210
Hamilton, Monday 16th May
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Cullectngo ($6)
Been working up to a win in similar type races but it's downside was that there has just been no speed in the races early so to finish off and place in his last couple has been a great effort. Plenty of the favoured runners in this race have struggled recently & there looks to be a decent speed on throughout here.
RESULT: 2nd. Inarosetatoo was too good for it late with a very good drive from Michael Bellman. Collect $96
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Cullectngo ($6)
Been working up to a win in similar type races but it's downside was that there has just been no speed in the races early so to finish off and place in his last couple has been a great effort. Plenty of the favoured runners in this race have struggled recently & there looks to be a decent speed on throughout here.
RESULT: 2nd. Inarosetatoo was too good for it late with a very good drive from Michael Bellman. Collect $96
Cranbourne, Saturday 14th May
BEST EXOTIC
$45 QUADDIE
3-7-8 / 8 / 1-3-5-6-8 / 4-5-7 for 100%
Tough nights racing but really taking on the quaddie hoping for value in the 3rd leg where I think Sluggem will start huge unders.
$45 QUADDIE
3-7-8 / 8 / 1-3-5-6-8 / 4-5-7 for 100%
Tough nights racing but really taking on the quaddie hoping for value in the 3rd leg where I think Sluggem will start huge unders.
Melton, Friday 13th MAy
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Johnny Fox ($8)
Was first up at Bendigo and looked like he was going to give them windburn after being 3 wide without cover in a 27.2 3rd quarter but his run ended quickly. He was first up since September so will definitely improve on that. Has a great stand start record (4 wins from 6 starts) and the long distance is no concern. Should step straight to the front here & get his chance at odds. $17 Sportsbet
RESULT: LAST! Something went amiss
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Starofsahara ($5)
Loved his heat run when did plenty of work but was still kicking late for a close up 3rd to Misterfreeze.I wouldn't be surprised to see Chris Alford let him loose early and attempt to lead. Even if he can't, up on the speed from the front row draw this week see's him right in this at a value price
RESULT: WINNER! Alford let him loose early, led & there was no turning back. Collect $194
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Johnny Fox ($8)
Was first up at Bendigo and looked like he was going to give them windburn after being 3 wide without cover in a 27.2 3rd quarter but his run ended quickly. He was first up since September so will definitely improve on that. Has a great stand start record (4 wins from 6 starts) and the long distance is no concern. Should step straight to the front here & get his chance at odds. $17 Sportsbet
RESULT: LAST! Something went amiss
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Starofsahara ($5)
Loved his heat run when did plenty of work but was still kicking late for a close up 3rd to Misterfreeze.I wouldn't be surprised to see Chris Alford let him loose early and attempt to lead. Even if he can't, up on the speed from the front row draw this week see's him right in this at a value price
RESULT: WINNER! Alford let him loose early, led & there was no turning back. Collect $194
Mildura, Friday 13th May
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Circle Line ($6)
Was on the wrong end of a horrible drive last start when he somehow ended up 3 wide from the death, restrained back in the field, only to come forward yet again without cover & had to weaken late. He was a good placing the start priior behind a handy one and with little to no speed on his inside & Ellen Tormey onboard tonight I think he can lead and go very close.
RESULT: 3rd. Good run. Just couldn't cross early, death seated and hit the front on the last bend only to be beaten late by swoopers. $75 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Circle Line ($6)
Was on the wrong end of a horrible drive last start when he somehow ended up 3 wide from the death, restrained back in the field, only to come forward yet again without cover & had to weaken late. He was a good placing the start priior behind a handy one and with little to no speed on his inside & Ellen Tormey onboard tonight I think he can lead and go very close.
RESULT: 3rd. Good run. Just couldn't cross early, death seated and hit the front on the last bend only to be beaten late by swoopers. $75 collect
Maryborough, Thursday 12th May
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 9 No 1 Indiana Angel ($4)
Thought she may have finished closer with the nice drop in grade last start but the fact is she had to work too hard early & then was 3 wide without cover late. Gets a much easier run here today and against C1 opposition gets her chance
RESULT: LOST! Very disappointing
$25WIN
Race 9 No 1 Indiana Angel ($4)
Thought she may have finished closer with the nice drop in grade last start but the fact is she had to work too hard early & then was 3 wide without cover late. Gets a much easier run here today and against C1 opposition gets her chance
RESULT: LOST! Very disappointing
Shepparton, Wednesday 11th May
BEST VALUE
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Combined Interest ($8)
He's still a maiden liked his run at Cobram when first up. Hit the mobile barrier when Nathan Jack tried to fly the gate and galloped. Then was dragged through the field after being 1x1 but finished off well considering the events of the race. Mark Pitt takes the drive here & he's very aggressive. Should lead & hand up to Lewis Lane who is vulnerable here after not returning to racing at his best. The other chances are drawn poorly & will need a few things to go right. I think leaders back will be prime position.
RESULT: LOST! My speed map was wrong & as soon as it didn't get to the pegs that was game over
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Combined Interest ($8)
He's still a maiden liked his run at Cobram when first up. Hit the mobile barrier when Nathan Jack tried to fly the gate and galloped. Then was dragged through the field after being 1x1 but finished off well considering the events of the race. Mark Pitt takes the drive here & he's very aggressive. Should lead & hand up to Lewis Lane who is vulnerable here after not returning to racing at his best. The other chances are drawn poorly & will need a few things to go right. I think leaders back will be prime position.
RESULT: LOST! My speed map was wrong & as soon as it didn't get to the pegs that was game over
Charlton, Wednesday 11th May
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Just Call Me Mac ($3)
Runs his best races in front especially over this distance winning 2 & finishing 2nd twice when electing to hold the front. That scenario plays out today and at Charlton thats the ideal place to be. There is an unknown about the ex kiwi but happy to take that on based on exposed kiwi form.
RESULT: 3rd. No COT yet hands up today without hesitation. Frustrating as it's no sit sprinter yet thats what they elected to do today
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Just Call Me Mac ($3)
Runs his best races in front especially over this distance winning 2 & finishing 2nd twice when electing to hold the front. That scenario plays out today and at Charlton thats the ideal place to be. There is an unknown about the ex kiwi but happy to take that on based on exposed kiwi form.
RESULT: 3rd. No COT yet hands up today without hesitation. Frustrating as it's no sit sprinter yet thats what they elected to do today
Ararat, Tuesday 10th May
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 6 No 2 Amberlu Angus ($2.25)
Not suited from the back row last start and was never put into the race. He was a good 3rd in a better race than this at Hamilton prior and thats good form for a race such as this. Back to the front row here with an average front row of speed, should be leading comfortably. Looks a fairly weak race on paper & he should be able to control the tempo to suit. Very keen on his chances to return to the winners list
$100WIN
Race 6 No 2 Amberlu Angus ($2.25)
Not suited from the back row last start and was never put into the race. He was a good 3rd in a better race than this at Hamilton prior and thats good form for a race such as this. Back to the front row here with an average front row of speed, should be leading comfortably. Looks a fairly weak race on paper & he should be able to control the tempo to suit. Very keen on his chances to return to the winners list
YARRA VALLEY, Monday 9th May
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Temporal Join ($3)
Has been knocking on the door for too long to remember but this is his real chance today. Dawn Of Anew Star leads here and is a pretty weak animal so either 1x1 or death seating are going to be prime positions here where I think this fella will settle. The deciding factor, Greg Sugars takes the drive for the first time, a significant driving chance. Should be no excuses today
RESULT: 2nd. There were no excuses, just a non winner
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Temporal Join ($3)
Has been knocking on the door for too long to remember but this is his real chance today. Dawn Of Anew Star leads here and is a pretty weak animal so either 1x1 or death seating are going to be prime positions here where I think this fella will settle. The deciding factor, Greg Sugars takes the drive for the first time, a significant driving chance. Should be no excuses today
RESULT: 2nd. There were no excuses, just a non winner
Melton, Saturday 7th May
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Stagger Lee ($6)
Won extremely impressively at Ballarat last start running home the last half in just over 54seconds. Tougher ask here tonight but looks up to the task & with the likely trail into the race on Murranji Tracks back gets a massive chance to outsprint them late
RESULT: 4th. Had every chance
$50WIN
Race 7 No 10 Changing Code ($3)
Loved his run when did plenty of work against a quality field last week & his start prior was just as impressive breaking the clock in the last half coming from last in a 54.8 sec last half. Down in class slightly tonight and only bad luck stops him winning for mine
RESULT: 3rd. Massive run. Checked, lost around 15metres & then had to do all the work 3 wide without cover late. Should've been a lot closer.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Stagger Lee ($6)
Won extremely impressively at Ballarat last start running home the last half in just over 54seconds. Tougher ask here tonight but looks up to the task & with the likely trail into the race on Murranji Tracks back gets a massive chance to outsprint them late
RESULT: 4th. Had every chance
$50WIN
Race 7 No 10 Changing Code ($3)
Loved his run when did plenty of work against a quality field last week & his start prior was just as impressive breaking the clock in the last half coming from last in a 54.8 sec last half. Down in class slightly tonight and only bad luck stops him winning for mine
RESULT: 3rd. Massive run. Checked, lost around 15metres & then had to do all the work 3 wide without cover late. Should've been a lot closer.
Kilmore, Friday 6th May
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Tigers Eye ($5)
I'm going to go broke backing this horse but I have to follow up after it just missed for us last start coming from a mile back. I think Bedrock Fred can cross early & is likely to hand up. That'll leave Escape The Fate 3 pegs & the leaders in this race look vulnerable. Has to be Tigers Eye turn to win.
RESULT: 3rd. Late scratching of the likely leader didn't help. Collect $48
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 9 Kenny Trickem ($5)
Hasn't had a great deal of luck since racing in Vic. Was a very sharp 3at at Shep a few runs back & that sort of form is good for this.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't have gone any worse.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Tigers Eye ($5)
I'm going to go broke backing this horse but I have to follow up after it just missed for us last start coming from a mile back. I think Bedrock Fred can cross early & is likely to hand up. That'll leave Escape The Fate 3 pegs & the leaders in this race look vulnerable. Has to be Tigers Eye turn to win.
RESULT: 3rd. Late scratching of the likely leader didn't help. Collect $48
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 9 Kenny Trickem ($5)
Hasn't had a great deal of luck since racing in Vic. Was a very sharp 3at at Shep a few runs back & that sort of form is good for this.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't have gone any worse.
BENDIGO, Thursday 5th May
BEST EXOTIC
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 6 / 1-8 /1-8 for 1500%
With the early scratching expect Emiliana to be far too good for these. Bute Boy has been racing without luck & should lead & hand up to the fav. Lewis Lane will enjoy racing away from the tight track at Echuca & he no doubt has the talent to beat the fav if the draw was reversed but not from the 2nd row. He looks a level above the rest.
RESULT: LOST! Fav blows a tyre, Rodney Petroff has a meltdown in a race Id rather forget
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 6 / 1-8 /1-8 for 1500%
With the early scratching expect Emiliana to be far too good for these. Bute Boy has been racing without luck & should lead & hand up to the fav. Lewis Lane will enjoy racing away from the tight track at Echuca & he no doubt has the talent to beat the fav if the draw was reversed but not from the 2nd row. He looks a level above the rest.
RESULT: LOST! Fav blows a tyre, Rodney Petroff has a meltdown in a race Id rather forget
Cobram, Thursday 5th May
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Long Ago ($10)
This maybe a hail mary as this is a horse with limited ability but does race best when leading or leaders back. Hasn't been able to do that since July last year at this track, distance and from this exact draw when led all the way. His form has been ok over the longer distances of lack without having a great deal of luck & Im really hoping most punters skip over him because of his exposed form this prep. Im expecting big overs here but knowing the fav is going to be extremely hard to roll, the bet is a reduced one. Fingers crossed for a $4+ place result
RESULT: LOST! Looked a huge chance on the turn but the tough run in front told
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Long Ago ($10)
This maybe a hail mary as this is a horse with limited ability but does race best when leading or leaders back. Hasn't been able to do that since July last year at this track, distance and from this exact draw when led all the way. His form has been ok over the longer distances of lack without having a great deal of luck & Im really hoping most punters skip over him because of his exposed form this prep. Im expecting big overs here but knowing the fav is going to be extremely hard to roll, the bet is a reduced one. Fingers crossed for a $4+ place result
RESULT: LOST! Looked a huge chance on the turn but the tough run in front told
Ballarat, Wednesday 4th May
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Dana Dynasty ($3)
Couldn't lead with a fast beginner on her outside last start & never got a shot at them. There isn't much speed off the front line here apart from the 7 but I think she can lead. Miss Dreamin is no doubt the class factor but it's going to settle well back here & if Dana can pinch a cheap quarter she's a huge chance
RESULT: 3rd. Led & had evey opportunity. Just not good enough
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Dana Dynasty ($3)
Couldn't lead with a fast beginner on her outside last start & never got a shot at them. There isn't much speed off the front line here apart from the 7 but I think she can lead. Miss Dreamin is no doubt the class factor but it's going to settle well back here & if Dana can pinch a cheap quarter she's a huge chance
RESULT: 3rd. Led & had evey opportunity. Just not good enough
Maryborough, Wednesday 4th May
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 2 No 8 My Strategic Miss ($3)
Was very stiff not to finish closer 2 starts back when never got a crack at them and then finished her prep with an ordinary run at Ararat over the longer distance. Had a freshen up since then & a couple of trials leading into this run, the better trial against good horses Vapar Grin & Ponder Girl. This race is as weak as it's met in sometime & I'm pinning all my hopes on Glenhuggard holding the lead
RESULT: 2nd. Had the perfect sit but Glenhuggard had too much for her.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 8 My Strategic Miss ($3)
Was very stiff not to finish closer 2 starts back when never got a crack at them and then finished her prep with an ordinary run at Ararat over the longer distance. Had a freshen up since then & a couple of trials leading into this run, the better trial against good horses Vapar Grin & Ponder Girl. This race is as weak as it's met in sometime & I'm pinning all my hopes on Glenhuggard holding the lead
RESULT: 2nd. Had the perfect sit but Glenhuggard had too much for her.
Terang, Tuesday 3rd May
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Hez The One ($4)
He's a dive bomb type of horse and he gets that run tonight. Did that very thing at this track over the short course and had to do it running a 27.7 last quarter which is tough to do at Terang. Im sure he can hold out the 2 early & land Jilliby Ebonyrose's back. There does look to be enough pressure on throughout to give him the last crack at them too. Just needs to keep the 2 out early.
RESULT: 3rd. Had the perfect run, every opportunity but just couldn't finish off
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Hez The One ($4)
He's a dive bomb type of horse and he gets that run tonight. Did that very thing at this track over the short course and had to do it running a 27.7 last quarter which is tough to do at Terang. Im sure he can hold out the 2 early & land Jilliby Ebonyrose's back. There does look to be enough pressure on throughout to give him the last crack at them too. Just needs to keep the 2 out early.
RESULT: 3rd. Had the perfect run, every opportunity but just couldn't finish off
Warragul, Monday 2nd May
BEST VALUE
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Narreeva ($8)
Was first up for 7 months at this track last start and didn't have a whole lot go right but I liked the way she finished off for 3rd. The speed in this race maybe a slight issue from the back but should get a nice cart into the race off Bedrock Fred. Has been injury plagued and had some very nice form against good horses in 2014. If she recaptures some of that she's a huge chance
RESULT: WINNER! We got overs & the fav galloping early helped but she still had to win 3wide without cover. Nice win. (Why did I reduce the bet?!) Collect $178
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Narreeva ($8)
Was first up for 7 months at this track last start and didn't have a whole lot go right but I liked the way she finished off for 3rd. The speed in this race maybe a slight issue from the back but should get a nice cart into the race off Bedrock Fred. Has been injury plagued and had some very nice form against good horses in 2014. If she recaptures some of that she's a huge chance
RESULT: WINNER! We got overs & the fav galloping early helped but she still had to win 3wide without cover. Nice win. (Why did I reduce the bet?!) Collect $178
Melton, Sunday May 1st
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 7 No 10 Our Miss Vivienne ($5)
She hasn't won for 18th months but many of these are in the same boat. Didn't mind the way she finished off last start & worth noting she did beat Rainbow Sue to the line, one of the favs in this race. I think there will be enough pace on here especially if the 1 decides to hold the lead & she'll get her chance to outsprint them late if that scenario plays out.
RESULT: WINNER! Brave drive going 3 pegs Joanne Justice and it paid off with some very good navigating late. Collect $152.50
$25WIN
Race 7 No 10 Our Miss Vivienne ($5)
She hasn't won for 18th months but many of these are in the same boat. Didn't mind the way she finished off last start & worth noting she did beat Rainbow Sue to the line, one of the favs in this race. I think there will be enough pace on here especially if the 1 decides to hold the lead & she'll get her chance to outsprint them late if that scenario plays out.
RESULT: WINNER! Brave drive going 3 pegs Joanne Justice and it paid off with some very good navigating late. Collect $152.50
Shepparton, Saturday 30th April
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Terror Man ($8)
Really struggled around Echuca but did an OK job to get so close considering he was 3 and 4 wide the last lap. Will be better for that run & this is the type of draw he'll enjoy. With the odds on pop scratched, he's right in this.
RESULT: WINNER!! I was a little surprised he led & glad he did. Gets the job done! Collect $202
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Alpe De Huez ($5)
Was real stiff not to finish a whole lot closer on debut. Shuld get to the pegs first here tonight & with the 2 favs likely to cut at each other, he'll get his chance in the sprint lane late.
RESULT: LOST! Well below what he showed last start
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Terror Man ($8)
Really struggled around Echuca but did an OK job to get so close considering he was 3 and 4 wide the last lap. Will be better for that run & this is the type of draw he'll enjoy. With the odds on pop scratched, he's right in this.
RESULT: WINNER!! I was a little surprised he led & glad he did. Gets the job done! Collect $202
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Alpe De Huez ($5)
Was real stiff not to finish a whole lot closer on debut. Shuld get to the pegs first here tonight & with the 2 favs likely to cut at each other, he'll get his chance in the sprint lane late.
RESULT: LOST! Well below what he showed last start
MELTON, Friday 29th April
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 1 No 11 Teixeira ($4)
Went huge at Ballarat last start when never closer than 3 wide from the very start & was still kicking at the finish in quick time. Forget his start prior when failed to score up. His 3rd at this track & distance last month is good form for this & young gun Mark Pitt onboard is a plus. I'm a little unsure of where Whats Emma Got ends up in the run with Dick Lee unlikely to hand up the lead if he gets it so very happy to be on Teixeira at the value especially considering he should get a nice cart into the race on the back of Balance Point
RESULT: 3rd. Really needed Dick Lee to cross on Reeds May early which would've left the favoourite parked but it couldn't & the fav is handed the lead on a platter.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Our MIssionary Man ($3)
Wasn't suited last start & surprising handed up the start prior over the sprint trip & paid the price. He's the type of horse that needs to grind away and the sprint lane option wasn't ideal. On the 19th of Feb at this track & distance from the stand he led & I was amazed that he somehow got run down but a sprint laner in a 55sec last half. Faces a weak bunch off the front row here so if steps safely the lead is his & with his main dangers out the back, this race is his to lose.
RESULT: 4th. Was an awful start, the 3 was standing into Our Missionary Man & then the tapes were released. No wonder Im not a fan, Victoria just seem to never get them right
BEST EXOTIC
$24 QUADDIE
1-4-5-8 / 4 / 1-2-8 / 3 for 200%
Fingers crossed the favs get rolled in the first leg & the anchor legs behave!
$25WIN
Race 1 No 11 Teixeira ($4)
Went huge at Ballarat last start when never closer than 3 wide from the very start & was still kicking at the finish in quick time. Forget his start prior when failed to score up. His 3rd at this track & distance last month is good form for this & young gun Mark Pitt onboard is a plus. I'm a little unsure of where Whats Emma Got ends up in the run with Dick Lee unlikely to hand up the lead if he gets it so very happy to be on Teixeira at the value especially considering he should get a nice cart into the race on the back of Balance Point
RESULT: 3rd. Really needed Dick Lee to cross on Reeds May early which would've left the favoourite parked but it couldn't & the fav is handed the lead on a platter.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Our MIssionary Man ($3)
Wasn't suited last start & surprising handed up the start prior over the sprint trip & paid the price. He's the type of horse that needs to grind away and the sprint lane option wasn't ideal. On the 19th of Feb at this track & distance from the stand he led & I was amazed that he somehow got run down but a sprint laner in a 55sec last half. Faces a weak bunch off the front row here so if steps safely the lead is his & with his main dangers out the back, this race is his to lose.
RESULT: 4th. Was an awful start, the 3 was standing into Our Missionary Man & then the tapes were released. No wonder Im not a fan, Victoria just seem to never get them right
BEST EXOTIC
$24 QUADDIE
1-4-5-8 / 4 / 1-2-8 / 3 for 200%
Fingers crossed the favs get rolled in the first leg & the anchor legs behave!
Mildura, Wednesday 27th April
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Artistic Claire ($5)
Form looks ordinary on paper but has been racing against much better fields recently. This is her ideal draw. Can either lead or take the sit and she's seems to do her best racing over this trip
RESULT: 3rd. Crossed early & ended up without cover before taking 1x1 cover. Hit the lead rounding the turn but the effort told. Good run. Collect $63
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Artistic Claire ($5)
Form looks ordinary on paper but has been racing against much better fields recently. This is her ideal draw. Can either lead or take the sit and she's seems to do her best racing over this trip
RESULT: 3rd. Crossed early & ended up without cover before taking 1x1 cover. Hit the lead rounding the turn but the effort told. Good run. Collect $63
Stawell, Wednesday 27th April
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 Hi Tech Fury ($2)
Been a while between drinks for this fella but has been building to this race very nicely & the small field suits. Should find the lead easily & control the tempo to his liking. 2 from 2 at this track important as this track can through a few off their game. Looks the winner with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! Pretty painless that. Mid tote pays $2.30. $2.58 available on Betfair. Collect $230
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Flick Me An Ace ($8)
Racing in stella form albeit from better draws. Took ground off a good horse in Nickys Idol last start with the inform Half Crown Gap splitting them. Soft win prior to that at Echuca. Looks a genuine pace on in this race, she just needs a cart into to be a real winning chance
RESULT: LOST! Never handled the track
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 Hi Tech Fury ($2)
Been a while between drinks for this fella but has been building to this race very nicely & the small field suits. Should find the lead easily & control the tempo to his liking. 2 from 2 at this track important as this track can through a few off their game. Looks the winner with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! Pretty painless that. Mid tote pays $2.30. $2.58 available on Betfair. Collect $230
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Flick Me An Ace ($8)
Racing in stella form albeit from better draws. Took ground off a good horse in Nickys Idol last start with the inform Half Crown Gap splitting them. Soft win prior to that at Echuca. Looks a genuine pace on in this race, she just needs a cart into to be a real winning chance
RESULT: LOST! Never handled the track
Cranbourne, Tuesday 26th April
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Zipping Delta ($6)
Caught my eye 2 starts back when flashing home from well back to run 2nd (beating home Hazzpazzaz although that horse had a very tough run). Was very unlucky last start at Warragul when never let down and hit the line well late under a hold. Started gate 8 there and was buried back on the pegs. Wont have that issue here and has enough gate speed to take a forward position, hopefully 1x1 on Hazzpazzaz's back. Each way all day (Art Keeper a blackbooker last week worth a small place play if you can get $3.50+)
RESULT: LOST! Not so pretty Zipping Delta, Art Keeper wins at $15. Ouch
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Zipping Delta ($6)
Caught my eye 2 starts back when flashing home from well back to run 2nd (beating home Hazzpazzaz although that horse had a very tough run). Was very unlucky last start at Warragul when never let down and hit the line well late under a hold. Started gate 8 there and was buried back on the pegs. Wont have that issue here and has enough gate speed to take a forward position, hopefully 1x1 on Hazzpazzaz's back. Each way all day (Art Keeper a blackbooker last week worth a small place play if you can get $3.50+)
RESULT: LOST! Not so pretty Zipping Delta, Art Keeper wins at $15. Ouch
Echuca, Monday 25th April
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 A Special Dream ($3)
Last 2 he's been outclassed. Back to the right class & gets the gun run behind the leader tonight. Looks tough to roll
RESULT: LOST! Led from gate 8! Driven aggressively and he's not that type of horse. Only has one sprint.
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Life Long Voyage ($8)
Just wasn't suited last start - forget. Back to a good draw & I think he holds leaders back here. Nice chance at odds.
RESULT: Worked out perfectly and he outsprinted them at big odds! Collect $284
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 A Special Dream ($3)
Last 2 he's been outclassed. Back to the right class & gets the gun run behind the leader tonight. Looks tough to roll
RESULT: LOST! Led from gate 8! Driven aggressively and he's not that type of horse. Only has one sprint.
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Life Long Voyage ($8)
Just wasn't suited last start - forget. Back to a good draw & I think he holds leaders back here. Nice chance at odds.
RESULT: Worked out perfectly and he outsprinted them at big odds! Collect $284
Melton, Sunday 24th April
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Exotic Guy ($10)
Forget he ran last start after never getting a crack at them at Geelong. Was very good at his start prior. The 1720m isn't ideal here but I think with the right cart into it, he's better than most of these. Should be getting much better than $10 as well
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Exotic Guy ($10)
Forget he ran last start after never getting a crack at them at Geelong. Was very good at his start prior. The 1720m isn't ideal here but I think with the right cart into it, he's better than most of these. Should be getting much better than $10 as well
Bendigo, Saturday April 23rd
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Fanagalo ($10)
First up at this track last week and should've finished a whole lot closer after getting stuck behind a tiring leader. The 10m handicap maybe a blessing in disguise here as it'll following through behind a small front line and he's usually safe from the stand.
RESULT: 3rd. Looked a chance on the turn but run ended very quickly. $4.80 mid tote was nice though. Collect $120.
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Fanagalo ($10)
First up at this track last week and should've finished a whole lot closer after getting stuck behind a tiring leader. The 10m handicap maybe a blessing in disguise here as it'll following through behind a small front line and he's usually safe from the stand.
RESULT: 3rd. Looked a chance on the turn but run ended very quickly. $4.80 mid tote was nice though. Collect $120.
Melton, Friday 22nd April
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 2 No 3 Maestro Bellini ($2.25)
Loved his heat run last week when worked early, got shuffled back to near last and finished off the race well but not well enough to qualify for the final. The lead looks his for the taking tonight & a replay of of last weeks effort see's him winning this race.
RESULT: 2nd. Stiff. The 1 horse didn't hand up as expected and he ended up stuck behind it.
BEST EXOTIC
$40 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 2 / 1/ 3-8 for 2000%
Shadow Sax is a dead set star and wins by panels. Professor Tom racing in great form & gets every chance to hold 2nd from the draw. Senor Macray the value after given bugger all chance last week and Hickstead settles 3 pegs sprint laning late.
RESULT: WINNER! Should've taken the first 4 in order! Collect $88
$100WIN
Race 2 No 3 Maestro Bellini ($2.25)
Loved his heat run last week when worked early, got shuffled back to near last and finished off the race well but not well enough to qualify for the final. The lead looks his for the taking tonight & a replay of of last weeks effort see's him winning this race.
RESULT: 2nd. Stiff. The 1 horse didn't hand up as expected and he ended up stuck behind it.
BEST EXOTIC
$40 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 2 / 1/ 3-8 for 2000%
Shadow Sax is a dead set star and wins by panels. Professor Tom racing in great form & gets every chance to hold 2nd from the draw. Senor Macray the value after given bugger all chance last week and Hickstead settles 3 pegs sprint laning late.
RESULT: WINNER! Should've taken the first 4 in order! Collect $88
Ballarat, Thursday 21st April
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Emmanuel ($1.80)
Ran a very good 2nd to Young Modern at the Mildura Cup carnival 2 starts back after leading which is very good form for this. Had plenty of excuses over the sprint trip last start at Melton so happy to forgive. Leads here & looks to get every chance to return to the winners list. I think we'll get better than even money
RESULT: 2nd. Opened $2.90, got an easy lead but rolled off the fence down the back straight. Not sure if he wins but it didn't help!
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Emmanuel ($1.80)
Ran a very good 2nd to Young Modern at the Mildura Cup carnival 2 starts back after leading which is very good form for this. Had plenty of excuses over the sprint trip last start at Melton so happy to forgive. Leads here & looks to get every chance to return to the winners list. I think we'll get better than even money
RESULT: 2nd. Opened $2.90, got an easy lead but rolled off the fence down the back straight. Not sure if he wins but it didn't help!
Swan Hill, Wednesday 20th April
BEST EXOTIC
$40 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 1-2 / 1-2 / 6-11 for 1000%
I have a lot of time for Carload and could be a pain for the odds on fav Warfare here. The smarter play maybe 2/1/6-11 but we could be in for a handy collect if Carload gets up. He was desperately unlucky in a super field at Mildura. 6 & 11 the only place chances for mine with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $98
BEST VALUE
$25 WIN
Race 8 No 4 Yes It Was ($4)
Forget last start when locked wheels and taken out of the race. Form was very good previous to that and the distance suits.
RESULT: LOST! Hit the front rounding the turn & I thought we were a chance to be in the queue with the fav locked away but he found ZERO
$40 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 1-2 / 1-2 / 6-11 for 1000%
I have a lot of time for Carload and could be a pain for the odds on fav Warfare here. The smarter play maybe 2/1/6-11 but we could be in for a handy collect if Carload gets up. He was desperately unlucky in a super field at Mildura. 6 & 11 the only place chances for mine with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $98
BEST VALUE
$25 WIN
Race 8 No 4 Yes It Was ($4)
Forget last start when locked wheels and taken out of the race. Form was very good previous to that and the distance suits.
RESULT: LOST! Hit the front rounding the turn & I thought we were a chance to be in the queue with the fav locked away but he found ZERO
Hamilton, Wednesday 20th April
BEST EXOTIC
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 10 / 1-5 /1-5 for 2500%
Classic Maker did plenty wrong on debut but was huge to get so close. Expect Gav to nurse him around here and be too good, as long as he behaves! I expect Knight Sky Safari to cross early with Rocknroll Baby sitting leaders back and they look better than the others by a fair way.
RESULT: LOST! 1st, 3rd and 4th.. Left out a Peter Manning 2yo and paid for it!
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 10 / 1-5 /1-5 for 2500%
Classic Maker did plenty wrong on debut but was huge to get so close. Expect Gav to nurse him around here and be too good, as long as he behaves! I expect Knight Sky Safari to cross early with Rocknroll Baby sitting leaders back and they look better than the others by a fair way.
RESULT: LOST! 1st, 3rd and 4th.. Left out a Peter Manning 2yo and paid for it!
Shepparton, Tuesday 19th April
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 2 No 11 Tigers Eye ($4)
Should've finished closer in his past 3 starts but just hasn't been put into the race. This is a weak bunch especially over this distance and just needs to be close enough to them on the turn
RESULT: 2nd. Got the massive overs but just missed. Unfortunately a slow one pulled out 3wide without cover and he couldn't get close enough on the turn. Very good run though.
BEST EXOTICS
$22 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 4-6 / 4-6-9 / 2-5-6-9 for 200%
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $70.40
$27 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 4 / 6-9 / 2-5-6-9 / 2-5-6-8-9 for 150%
Sweet Ava was very unlucky lst start and leads on her ear here & looks almost over the line. Only danger is Diamond Castle who is nearing peak fitness. Knockout chance is Manoeuver Man who races well fresh with Pushnupdaisies the best roughy. The 9 running 2nd our best result.
RESULT: LOST! The one just clings onto 4th. F4 pays $480.
$25WIN
Race 2 No 11 Tigers Eye ($4)
Should've finished closer in his past 3 starts but just hasn't been put into the race. This is a weak bunch especially over this distance and just needs to be close enough to them on the turn
RESULT: 2nd. Got the massive overs but just missed. Unfortunately a slow one pulled out 3wide without cover and he couldn't get close enough on the turn. Very good run though.
BEST EXOTICS
$22 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 4-6 / 4-6-9 / 2-5-6-9 for 200%
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $70.40
$27 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 4 / 6-9 / 2-5-6-9 / 2-5-6-8-9 for 150%
Sweet Ava was very unlucky lst start and leads on her ear here & looks almost over the line. Only danger is Diamond Castle who is nearing peak fitness. Knockout chance is Manoeuver Man who races well fresh with Pushnupdaisies the best roughy. The 9 running 2nd our best result.
RESULT: LOST! The one just clings onto 4th. F4 pays $480.
Warragul, Monday 18th April
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Comical ($2.50)
Had to work extremely hard last start from a back row draw and considering did will to finish 8 metres off a good horse. Leads today and looks very hard to roll.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't want it any further but winners are grinners. $3 for Luxbet or Sportsbet punters. Collect $100
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Comical ($2.50)
Had to work extremely hard last start from a back row draw and considering did will to finish 8 metres off a good horse. Leads today and looks very hard to roll.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't want it any further but winners are grinners. $3 for Luxbet or Sportsbet punters. Collect $100
Melton, Saturday 16th April
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 7 No 13 A Piccadilly Princess ($1.80)
Could not have been more impressive in the heat of the Oaks in a slick time. She looked to have a bit more to give and also looked like she'd benefit from the run. The draw just gives us odds here for mine with main danger Heavens Trend getting the draw advantage but she was out of petrol tickets late last week in comparison. Piccadilly will get to the death seat as soon as it possibly can and looks too good for these. $2.25 at Sportsbet is good enough for me.
RESULT: WINNER! Too strong, what a win. Did all the work & was simply too good. Collect $220
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Im Alex ($8)
I might be throwing money down the drain here as this fella needs everything to go right BUT it's been racing extremely well. Only got out with 400 metres to go last week off a poor draw and hit the line hard. Has a chance to settle a little closer here on the back of a strong tempo. With luck is right in this at big odds. $21 BET365
RESULT: 3rd. Had his chance. Early corporate punters are laughing with the $4 a place! Collect $76
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 10 No 11 Art Keeper ($5)
Racing in great form. Was a touch unlucky not to get the win in the heat of this race from the same draw. This is going to be keen racing early here with on pace runners galore and that'll suit him. Best EW of the night
RESULT: 3rd. Nice run considering they didn't go as hard early as I thought they would. Collect $66
$100WIN
Race 7 No 13 A Piccadilly Princess ($1.80)
Could not have been more impressive in the heat of the Oaks in a slick time. She looked to have a bit more to give and also looked like she'd benefit from the run. The draw just gives us odds here for mine with main danger Heavens Trend getting the draw advantage but she was out of petrol tickets late last week in comparison. Piccadilly will get to the death seat as soon as it possibly can and looks too good for these. $2.25 at Sportsbet is good enough for me.
RESULT: WINNER! Too strong, what a win. Did all the work & was simply too good. Collect $220
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Im Alex ($8)
I might be throwing money down the drain here as this fella needs everything to go right BUT it's been racing extremely well. Only got out with 400 metres to go last week off a poor draw and hit the line hard. Has a chance to settle a little closer here on the back of a strong tempo. With luck is right in this at big odds. $21 BET365
RESULT: 3rd. Had his chance. Early corporate punters are laughing with the $4 a place! Collect $76
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 10 No 11 Art Keeper ($5)
Racing in great form. Was a touch unlucky not to get the win in the heat of this race from the same draw. This is going to be keen racing early here with on pace runners galore and that'll suit him. Best EW of the night
RESULT: 3rd. Nice run considering they didn't go as hard early as I thought they would. Collect $66
Ballarat, Friday 15th April
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Upanatom ($5)
I love taking on a fav and Im taking on a shorty here. This fella has been low flying for Dean Braun in recent times, racing tougher than it ever has before. He did a heap of work when a great 2nd behind the flying Presidential Secret in electric time. Follows through the early leader here & I'm hanging my hat on the scenario the 2 will hold out the fav and keep it death seating. If that scenario plays out, Upanatom will be following My Kiwi Mates every move and for mine thats the perfect place to be. If My Kiwi Mate leads, we're playing for 2nd.
RESULT: LOST! So disappointing. Had the race at his mercy and did nothing.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Upanatom ($5)
I love taking on a fav and Im taking on a shorty here. This fella has been low flying for Dean Braun in recent times, racing tougher than it ever has before. He did a heap of work when a great 2nd behind the flying Presidential Secret in electric time. Follows through the early leader here & I'm hanging my hat on the scenario the 2 will hold out the fav and keep it death seating. If that scenario plays out, Upanatom will be following My Kiwi Mates every move and for mine thats the perfect place to be. If My Kiwi Mate leads, we're playing for 2nd.
RESULT: LOST! So disappointing. Had the race at his mercy and did nothing.
Geelong, Thursday 14th April
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Our Red Sky Night ($5)
Forgot last start when never saw daylight. All 3 runs in Vic have ended up with him having peg line runs with cover and I just don't think thats his go as he's a bit of a grinder. Can do that here, especially with known aggressive driver Anthony Butt on and I think he can set the tempo from the death outside Lisandros especially over the longer distance..
RESULT: LOST! Walked out but no real aggression shown to go forward and was never a chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Our Red Sky Night ($5)
Forgot last start when never saw daylight. All 3 runs in Vic have ended up with him having peg line runs with cover and I just don't think thats his go as he's a bit of a grinder. Can do that here, especially with known aggressive driver Anthony Butt on and I think he can set the tempo from the death outside Lisandros especially over the longer distance..
RESULT: LOST! Walked out but no real aggression shown to go forward and was never a chance
Shepparton, Wednesday 13th April
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 1 No 5 Tontina ($3.50)
Been a non winner in recent times but this is his best chance of notching a win for some time. Hasn't got explosive speed from the gate but will force forward and has 'hand up' horses inside him here so I think he can get to the front tonight. With his main danger drawn the 2nd row, he's a good bet for mine
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't lead & one of the first beaten. Awful. Sacked
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Ramblenroller ($6)
Forget run last start after leading, handing up & getting carted back. The draw is awful but this is the weakest field he's met for sometime and can slingshot the gate but likely to go back. Watch for any COT as I'm confident he'll go better on the speed but still looks a solid chance if going back in this. Did put up a good 3rd from near last against a slightly stronger field 4 starts ago
RESULT: WINNER! Went forward and brained them! Collect $381
$50WIN
Race 1 No 5 Tontina ($3.50)
Been a non winner in recent times but this is his best chance of notching a win for some time. Hasn't got explosive speed from the gate but will force forward and has 'hand up' horses inside him here so I think he can get to the front tonight. With his main danger drawn the 2nd row, he's a good bet for mine
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't lead & one of the first beaten. Awful. Sacked
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Ramblenroller ($6)
Forget run last start after leading, handing up & getting carted back. The draw is awful but this is the weakest field he's met for sometime and can slingshot the gate but likely to go back. Watch for any COT as I'm confident he'll go better on the speed but still looks a solid chance if going back in this. Did put up a good 3rd from near last against a slightly stronger field 4 starts ago
RESULT: WINNER! Went forward and brained them! Collect $381
Horsham, Wednesday 13th April
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 2 No 10 Dana Dynasty ($1.80)
Form on paper looks ordinary but it's runs have been first class for a race like this. Was 3 and 4 wide in the middle stages last week but kept plugging away despite the tough run. Huge driver change here with Kerryn Manning taking the reigns and I expect her to win easily. Even though I've marked her odds on, I think we'll get better. Just needs a run as it's first emergency.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Picturebook ($6)
Hasn't had a great deal of luck in it's 6 runs to date and I really liked his last start 5th at Ballarat after finishing off well from back in the field. Draws to settle handy to the lead here.
RESULT: 4th. Settled 3 pegs but had his chance late and was slightly disappointing
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Hooper Road ($3)
Not sure how he hasn't broken through for Kevin Brough yet after a bunch of unlucky runs. Good draw here & I think he can work his way to the front today & be very hard to roll.
RESULT: 2nd. Another that had it's chance. Outsprinted by Kiwi Rage isn't great!
$100WIN
Race 2 No 10 Dana Dynasty ($1.80)
Form on paper looks ordinary but it's runs have been first class for a race like this. Was 3 and 4 wide in the middle stages last week but kept plugging away despite the tough run. Huge driver change here with Kerryn Manning taking the reigns and I expect her to win easily. Even though I've marked her odds on, I think we'll get better. Just needs a run as it's first emergency.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Picturebook ($6)
Hasn't had a great deal of luck in it's 6 runs to date and I really liked his last start 5th at Ballarat after finishing off well from back in the field. Draws to settle handy to the lead here.
RESULT: 4th. Settled 3 pegs but had his chance late and was slightly disappointing
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Hooper Road ($3)
Not sure how he hasn't broken through for Kevin Brough yet after a bunch of unlucky runs. Good draw here & I think he can work his way to the front today & be very hard to roll.
RESULT: 2nd. Another that had it's chance. Outsprinted by Kiwi Rage isn't great!
Bendigo, Tuesday 12th April
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Half Crown Gap ($6)
Was very unlucky in his 2nd run for Douglas behind the flying Khai Star Fella. Should be pushing forward from the draw today and my speed map has him settling 1x1 on the back of Motu Real Style. If he finishes off like last start looks a major player at odds
RESULT: 2nd. Missed the boat I thought but still a nice 2nd. Collect $81.90
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Grinlikeastar ($8)
Has had 4 starts back from a spell and starting to hit his straps. Was a forget run 2 starts back before settling 5 pegs at Kilmore and finishing off well for a good 2nd behind Architecture. These concession races are usually pretty keen & he should benefit from that settling 3 pegs at worst. Nice ew play and I expect to get much better than $8.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance, the leader just had too good a run after the 2nd fav galloped early & took the pace out of the race. Collect $100
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Miss Metro Glen ($7)
Comes out of a good form race from Melton when drew similarly, restrained to last and had to circle the field late when finishing a good 4th. Nicky Maguire & Montu have both run super since then. She's gone much better over this distance this prep and this is a step back in class tonight
RESULT: LOST! I think she's had her last chance
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6: 1 & 3
Could not split Ctheballerina & Itsaboutex, leader and leaders back in this race that really look to get the runs of the race here. Should be around a $3.50 quinella if we snag it.
RESULT: LOST! Ctheballerina walks out & the 1 hands up to Felecity Funkhouser. 2nd & 3rd..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Half Crown Gap ($6)
Was very unlucky in his 2nd run for Douglas behind the flying Khai Star Fella. Should be pushing forward from the draw today and my speed map has him settling 1x1 on the back of Motu Real Style. If he finishes off like last start looks a major player at odds
RESULT: 2nd. Missed the boat I thought but still a nice 2nd. Collect $81.90
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Grinlikeastar ($8)
Has had 4 starts back from a spell and starting to hit his straps. Was a forget run 2 starts back before settling 5 pegs at Kilmore and finishing off well for a good 2nd behind Architecture. These concession races are usually pretty keen & he should benefit from that settling 3 pegs at worst. Nice ew play and I expect to get much better than $8.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance, the leader just had too good a run after the 2nd fav galloped early & took the pace out of the race. Collect $100
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Miss Metro Glen ($7)
Comes out of a good form race from Melton when drew similarly, restrained to last and had to circle the field late when finishing a good 4th. Nicky Maguire & Montu have both run super since then. She's gone much better over this distance this prep and this is a step back in class tonight
RESULT: LOST! I think she's had her last chance
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6: 1 & 3
Could not split Ctheballerina & Itsaboutex, leader and leaders back in this race that really look to get the runs of the race here. Should be around a $3.50 quinella if we snag it.
RESULT: LOST! Ctheballerina walks out & the 1 hands up to Felecity Funkhouser. 2nd & 3rd..
Melton, Sunday 10th April
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 2 No 8 Diamond Jasper ($3.50)
Still a maiden after 32 starts but doesn't get a better opportunity to break through here. I think the 1 can hold the lead here & give us the perfect sit leaders back. Chis Alford onboard just needs a bit of luck
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $70
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Zuko Dream ($3)
Hasn't had a lot go right of late and last time he had this draw over the sprint trip he copped a flat tyre and did well to finish as close as he did. Leads for a very long way, hopefully all the way!
RESULT: LOST! Had his chance
$25WIN
Race 2 No 8 Diamond Jasper ($3.50)
Still a maiden after 32 starts but doesn't get a better opportunity to break through here. I think the 1 can hold the lead here & give us the perfect sit leaders back. Chis Alford onboard just needs a bit of luck
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $70
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Zuko Dream ($3)
Hasn't had a lot go right of late and last time he had this draw over the sprint trip he copped a flat tyre and did well to finish as close as he did. Leads for a very long way, hopefully all the way!
RESULT: LOST! Had his chance
Mildura Cup Night
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 1 No 8 Yes It Was ($3)
With any luck he wins in a nice race on Tuesday. This front line has plenty of high speed and thats going to suit this fella down to the ground. Looks his race
RESULT: PULLED UP! Locked wheels with a lap to go & pulled out of the race.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 11 Longtan Bliss ($3)
Was an enormous run on Tuesday when had to go 3 wide without cover the final lap off the back of a very slow early speed. Had no right to finish as close as he did. More genuine speed on early here & even though he'll have to do it tough again, looks better than them
RESULT: LOST! Wasn't put into the race early enough and paid the price getting stuck behind slow horses
$50WIN
Race 9 No 2 Gotta Go Henry ($2.75)
Forget last start at this track when unsuited from the backrow draw. His death seat effort prior was superb & also knocked off a handy field at Melton 3 starts back. Leads here, the sprint distance suits around this track, and in the small field should be able to dictate terms in front.
BEST EXOTIC
$20TRIFECTA
Race 6: 3-6 / 3-6 / 4-7-8-9 for 250%
Hickstead looks mighty hard to beat but I really did like Herehecomes last start and he's a knock out chance. I think they are the stand outs all things equal and if we can get the fav rolled a nice collect on the way.
RESULT: WINNER! Should've taken the first 4! Collect $83.50
$50WIN
Race 1 No 8 Yes It Was ($3)
With any luck he wins in a nice race on Tuesday. This front line has plenty of high speed and thats going to suit this fella down to the ground. Looks his race
RESULT: PULLED UP! Locked wheels with a lap to go & pulled out of the race.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 11 Longtan Bliss ($3)
Was an enormous run on Tuesday when had to go 3 wide without cover the final lap off the back of a very slow early speed. Had no right to finish as close as he did. More genuine speed on early here & even though he'll have to do it tough again, looks better than them
RESULT: LOST! Wasn't put into the race early enough and paid the price getting stuck behind slow horses
$50WIN
Race 9 No 2 Gotta Go Henry ($2.75)
Forget last start at this track when unsuited from the backrow draw. His death seat effort prior was superb & also knocked off a handy field at Melton 3 starts back. Leads here, the sprint distance suits around this track, and in the small field should be able to dictate terms in front.
BEST EXOTIC
$20TRIFECTA
Race 6: 3-6 / 3-6 / 4-7-8-9 for 250%
Hickstead looks mighty hard to beat but I really did like Herehecomes last start and he's a knock out chance. I think they are the stand outs all things equal and if we can get the fav rolled a nice collect on the way.
RESULT: WINNER! Should've taken the first 4! Collect $83.50
Melton, Friday 7th APril
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Nikkibadwagon ($5)
I have plenty of time for this horse. Eats up this distance but just continues to do things wrong but was a superb run at Ballarat last start. I keep going back to her Gold Chalice run in December where she should've run 2nd to Rocknroll Music after going rough late. This is a heat which can be a little risky to bet on horses that will be settling in the back of the field however she is cherry ripe for this.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped out before the race was underway and the bet is no good before they were let go!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Nikkibadwagon ($5)
I have plenty of time for this horse. Eats up this distance but just continues to do things wrong but was a superb run at Ballarat last start. I keep going back to her Gold Chalice run in December where she should've run 2nd to Rocknroll Music after going rough late. This is a heat which can be a little risky to bet on horses that will be settling in the back of the field however she is cherry ripe for this.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped out before the race was underway and the bet is no good before they were let go!
Terang, Wednesday 6th April
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Im Lonely ($8)
Been raced extremely well & was stiff not to beat a similar field 3 starts back. Going to be death seating again but if the 2 is leading as expected, he has a great chance to control the tempo & but a chance to outstay them
RESULT: 4th. Not a bad run from the death, just wasn't good enough
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Im Lonely ($8)
Been raced extremely well & was stiff not to beat a similar field 3 starts back. Going to be death seating again but if the 2 is leading as expected, he has a great chance to control the tempo & but a chance to outstay them
RESULT: 4th. Not a bad run from the death, just wasn't good enough
Bendigo, Wednesday 6th April
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Bankonaces ($5)
We were on last start and he was desperately unlucky in this heat. Draws perfectly and gets every opportunity today
RESULT: LOST! Showed no speed and never in the hunt
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Bankonaces ($5)
We were on last start and he was desperately unlucky in this heat. Draws perfectly and gets every opportunity today
RESULT: LOST! Showed no speed and never in the hunt
Mildura, Tuesday 5th April
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Riley James ($6)
Nice return to form at Echuca last week with a solid 2nd and did beat home the talented Majorlook. This race looks nice set up for it with some keen speed off the front row. Very well graded and just needs an ounce of luck.
RESULT: 4th. Fav galloped and took the pace out of the race. Just an OK run though
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Riley James ($6)
Nice return to form at Echuca last week with a solid 2nd and did beat home the talented Majorlook. This race looks nice set up for it with some keen speed off the front row. Very well graded and just needs an ounce of luck.
RESULT: 4th. Fav galloped and took the pace out of the race. Just an OK run though
Ballarat, Monday 4th April
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 6 No 2 Mulgrave ($4)
Got absolutely hammered in front at this track over the longer distance so happy to forgive the losing margin. Back to the 1710metres here. Will be leading and should get every chance to make amends.
$25WIN
Race 6 No 2 Mulgrave ($4)
Got absolutely hammered in front at this track over the longer distance so happy to forgive the losing margin. Back to the 1710metres here. Will be leading and should get every chance to make amends.
Cranbourne, SunDay 3rd April
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Glenferrie Arch ($4)
Went very close to knocking off Queen Of Pop 2 starts back and then not disgraced in a good race last start. Will settle leaders back & looks mighty hard to roll late.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't have had a better run & was gone at the turn
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Punchinello ($6)
Worked early before settling 3 pegs & finished off well once out. Was held up whilst the leader kicked away so the margin was unfair. He's been slowly workking back into form and from the perfect draw, finally gets his chance to lead. With the fav drawn 2nd row over the sprint, worth taking him on
RESULT: 3rd. Not a bad run considering it was taken on early (26.7 first quarter). Looked a winning chance late but just weakened the last 50metres. Collect $42
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Glenferrie Arch ($4)
Went very close to knocking off Queen Of Pop 2 starts back and then not disgraced in a good race last start. Will settle leaders back & looks mighty hard to roll late.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't have had a better run & was gone at the turn
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Punchinello ($6)
Worked early before settling 3 pegs & finished off well once out. Was held up whilst the leader kicked away so the margin was unfair. He's been slowly workking back into form and from the perfect draw, finally gets his chance to lead. With the fav drawn 2nd row over the sprint, worth taking him on
RESULT: 3rd. Not a bad run considering it was taken on early (26.7 first quarter). Looked a winning chance late but just weakened the last 50metres. Collect $42
Echuca, Saturday 2nd April
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Catch Me If Youcan ($3)
Wasn't good enough in C2/3 class last start but wasn't disgraced either only beaten 6 metres in good time. Gets the nice draw and back to C1 class, this is his chance to return to the winners list
RESULT: 4th. Raced rough but had it's chance
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Skippy Rascal ($8)
Blew the start in the Ararat Cup but I reckon it was spooked by the horse in front so best to forget. His runs prior to that behind class animals Presidential Secret and Lovelist were luckless. Usually has good manners from the stand & on a front row of little experience off the tapes, if he can step early he is going to give us a huge run for our money in a very thin race. Big prices available currently
RESULT: WINNER! F I N A L L Y! No hard luck story, everything goes to plan & we lob a great price. Collect $525
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Catch Me If Youcan ($3)
Wasn't good enough in C2/3 class last start but wasn't disgraced either only beaten 6 metres in good time. Gets the nice draw and back to C1 class, this is his chance to return to the winners list
RESULT: 4th. Raced rough but had it's chance
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Skippy Rascal ($8)
Blew the start in the Ararat Cup but I reckon it was spooked by the horse in front so best to forget. His runs prior to that behind class animals Presidential Secret and Lovelist were luckless. Usually has good manners from the stand & on a front row of little experience off the tapes, if he can step early he is going to give us a huge run for our money in a very thin race. Big prices available currently
RESULT: WINNER! F I N A L L Y! No hard luck story, everything goes to plan & we lob a great price. Collect $525
Melton, Friday 1st April
BEST EXOTIC
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 8 / 4 / 6-10 / 1-6-10 for 500%
Spiritwriter wins bar accidents. Dancing With Elvis would be clear 2nd pick with a good draw but still a major player from the draw but Major Mosby should lead & have every chance. Small chance to the others but I'd be very surprised if the 6 or 1 challenged for any higher than I picked them. The rest are walkers.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Intergalactic ($6)
We were on last start & he put up a very nice effort to finish as close has he did at Kilmore. Nice draw here & likely to settle nice and handy without having to do too much work. Great EW bet for mine.
RESULT: LOST! They walked up front & he had no chance but probably a little disappointing
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 8 / 4 / 6-10 / 1-6-10 for 500%
Spiritwriter wins bar accidents. Dancing With Elvis would be clear 2nd pick with a good draw but still a major player from the draw but Major Mosby should lead & have every chance. Small chance to the others but I'd be very surprised if the 6 or 1 challenged for any higher than I picked them. The rest are walkers.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Intergalactic ($6)
We were on last start & he put up a very nice effort to finish as close has he did at Kilmore. Nice draw here & likely to settle nice and handy without having to do too much work. Great EW bet for mine.
RESULT: LOST! They walked up front & he had no chance but probably a little disappointing
Bendigo, Thursday 31st March
BEST EXOTICs
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 2 / 1-8 / 1-8 for 2500%
Dancingwithsierra is a star in the making and looks over the line. Fiery Blue Chip is racing well & would be a major surprise to see it miss a place from the draw. Nicky's Idol is going to be 3 pegs but should get it's chance especially if the fav takes off which I think Alford will do so 3 pegs should be a good position.
RESULT: LOST! Chris Alford too smart. Lets the longshot 5 cross them early & takes the lead leaving the 1 3 pegs. 8 galloped anyway.
$30 QUADDIE
9 / 1 / 3-10 / 2-4-9 for 500%
1st LEG: Fundamentalist impressed last start and over the trip I think it's death seat and be too good for these
2nd LEG: Solarsonic is low flying and just needs to hold the lead to win over the mile.
3rd LEG: Trotters hmmm but the winner has to come from the 2 fav's. Surely both can't gallop!
4th LEG: Obviously I like Miss Dreamin but if that goes pear shaped Ebonyallstarzzz could be first to the pegs and a huge chance and Cora Jaccka's last run can be forgotten after a flat tyre.
RESULT: LOST! Missed by a lip but wouldn't have paid much
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Firenglow ($4)
Massive chance this will blow up in my face but this fella just has had no luck drawing a gate & does today. Has some good form around some of our better 2yo's last season and should have more than one win to it's name. I think he leads from the draw today & on pace is where you need to be at Bendigo over the sprint distance. I'm not sold on Rock Classic yet but he could be better than these but I'm willing to take it on at the short quote
RESULT: 2nd. Handed up to the odds on fav and gifted it the race
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Miss Dreamin ($4)
Debutant who has trialed very nicely at this track. This is a pretty weak field and doesn't look to be much speed off the front line either.
RESULT: WINNER! Not sure how the 2nd horse didn't protest but who cares! $3.50 the opening quote. Collect $175
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 2 / 1-8 / 1-8 for 2500%
Dancingwithsierra is a star in the making and looks over the line. Fiery Blue Chip is racing well & would be a major surprise to see it miss a place from the draw. Nicky's Idol is going to be 3 pegs but should get it's chance especially if the fav takes off which I think Alford will do so 3 pegs should be a good position.
RESULT: LOST! Chris Alford too smart. Lets the longshot 5 cross them early & takes the lead leaving the 1 3 pegs. 8 galloped anyway.
$30 QUADDIE
9 / 1 / 3-10 / 2-4-9 for 500%
1st LEG: Fundamentalist impressed last start and over the trip I think it's death seat and be too good for these
2nd LEG: Solarsonic is low flying and just needs to hold the lead to win over the mile.
3rd LEG: Trotters hmmm but the winner has to come from the 2 fav's. Surely both can't gallop!
4th LEG: Obviously I like Miss Dreamin but if that goes pear shaped Ebonyallstarzzz could be first to the pegs and a huge chance and Cora Jaccka's last run can be forgotten after a flat tyre.
RESULT: LOST! Missed by a lip but wouldn't have paid much
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Firenglow ($4)
Massive chance this will blow up in my face but this fella just has had no luck drawing a gate & does today. Has some good form around some of our better 2yo's last season and should have more than one win to it's name. I think he leads from the draw today & on pace is where you need to be at Bendigo over the sprint distance. I'm not sold on Rock Classic yet but he could be better than these but I'm willing to take it on at the short quote
RESULT: 2nd. Handed up to the odds on fav and gifted it the race
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Miss Dreamin ($4)
Debutant who has trialed very nicely at this track. This is a pretty weak field and doesn't look to be much speed off the front line either.
RESULT: WINNER! Not sure how the 2nd horse didn't protest but who cares! $3.50 the opening quote. Collect $175
Mildura, Wednesday 30th March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Lady Fitzgerald ($6)
Had some OK form at Broken Hill before a very unlucky run at this track last week in a slightly harder race. Ellen Tormey replaces the owner as a driver & that has to be a massive plus. Has to cross early to be a winning chance but I think she can
RESULT: 4th. Just didn't get enough room late to let down.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Speedy Love ($6)
Driven for luck and didn't get alot last start but hit the line very nicely in a better race last week. The sprint trip suits, as does the likely pace on throughout. One of those horses that needs a few things to go right but the man in the cart knows this track very well & should trail into this at the right time if my speed map is right.
RESULT: 4th. A few things went wrong...
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Lady Fitzgerald ($6)
Had some OK form at Broken Hill before a very unlucky run at this track last week in a slightly harder race. Ellen Tormey replaces the owner as a driver & that has to be a massive plus. Has to cross early to be a winning chance but I think she can
RESULT: 4th. Just didn't get enough room late to let down.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Speedy Love ($6)
Driven for luck and didn't get alot last start but hit the line very nicely in a better race last week. The sprint trip suits, as does the likely pace on throughout. One of those horses that needs a few things to go right but the man in the cart knows this track very well & should trail into this at the right time if my speed map is right.
RESULT: 4th. A few things went wrong...
Melton, Wednesday 30th March
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Major Jamane ($5)
Was fairly plain last start after working hard early but it was it's first run for 2 months. Finally gets a draw that should see it lead or sit leaders back and gets every opportunity in a fairly thin race.
RESULT: LOST! Led and did zilch
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Major Jamane ($5)
Was fairly plain last start after working hard early but it was it's first run for 2 months. Finally gets a draw that should see it lead or sit leaders back and gets every opportunity in a fairly thin race.
RESULT: LOST! Led and did zilch
Kilmore, Tuesday 29th March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Zermanion ($6)
Won a heat of the Tontine 3 starts back before being outclassed in the final. Returned to the winners list start when went for home a mile out so did well to hang on. Looks well suited here on the back of Modern Bliss who should give it a lovely trail into the race and plenty of fireworks early. Looks an exciting race & he's going to be hard to hold out late especially with my favourite little man onboard Mark Pitt.
RESULT: 2nd. How did he miss!! Beaten a lip. Nothing wrong with Mark Pitt's drive, went 4 wide when he had too, just needed another metre. Collect $90
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Zermanion ($6)
Won a heat of the Tontine 3 starts back before being outclassed in the final. Returned to the winners list start when went for home a mile out so did well to hang on. Looks well suited here on the back of Modern Bliss who should give it a lovely trail into the race and plenty of fireworks early. Looks an exciting race & he's going to be hard to hold out late especially with my favourite little man onboard Mark Pitt.
RESULT: 2nd. How did he miss!! Beaten a lip. Nothing wrong with Mark Pitt's drive, went 4 wide when he had too, just needed another metre. Collect $90
Charlton, Monday 28th March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Bank On Aces ($6)
Worked home nicely even though finished a fair off them at Melton last start but was set an impossible task. Settles much closer to them today, hopefully behind likely leader Daddywho who struggled to hold them off 2 starts back after leading in a slow time. Gets the cold sit in the trail here & gets his chance to outsprint them.
RESULT: 3rd. Got smashed at the start thanks to the fav galloping and should've gone very close at around $13. A big winner not far away. Collect $102
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Bank On Aces ($6)
Worked home nicely even though finished a fair off them at Melton last start but was set an impossible task. Settles much closer to them today, hopefully behind likely leader Daddywho who struggled to hold them off 2 starts back after leading in a slow time. Gets the cold sit in the trail here & gets his chance to outsprint them.
RESULT: 3rd. Got smashed at the start thanks to the fav galloping and should've gone very close at around $13. A big winner not far away. Collect $102
Warragul, Sunday 27th March
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Bubbling Gypsy ($3)
Starting to string some very good performances together and become a nice horse it threatened to be as a baby. Should be leading on it's ear here & there is none better to have on a leader than Chris Alford. The race looks to have little pressure in it so should be able to control the tempo & win.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $190
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 The Real Affair ($3)
Has been tracking along OK this prep without setting the world on fire but this race looks suitable. Expect the 2 to lead and hold, Lance aboard so of course it will. That leaves likely short favourite Courageous Call left to do the majority of the work in the run & first up off the back of a couple of OK trials, a massive risk. The Real Affair will be leaders back and looks mighty hard to hold out late.
RESULT: 3rd. Every possible chance.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Lets Elope ($5)
Hasn't been suited of late but not disgraced. Ran a great race in the Pure Steel 2 starts back after worked early. Gets a lovely cold sit on the leaders back (please be scratched 1) and with the likelihood of plenty of speed & pressure on throughout in this, she will be very dangerous late.
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Crockets Cullen ($2.75)
Set a blistering speed at Horsham and had to fade late with the work he did. That was a much stronger event than what he faces here & he's almost guaranteed an easy lead. Gets every opportunity.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $200
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Bubbling Gypsy ($3)
Starting to string some very good performances together and become a nice horse it threatened to be as a baby. Should be leading on it's ear here & there is none better to have on a leader than Chris Alford. The race looks to have little pressure in it so should be able to control the tempo & win.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $190
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 The Real Affair ($3)
Has been tracking along OK this prep without setting the world on fire but this race looks suitable. Expect the 2 to lead and hold, Lance aboard so of course it will. That leaves likely short favourite Courageous Call left to do the majority of the work in the run & first up off the back of a couple of OK trials, a massive risk. The Real Affair will be leaders back and looks mighty hard to hold out late.
RESULT: 3rd. Every possible chance.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Lets Elope ($5)
Hasn't been suited of late but not disgraced. Ran a great race in the Pure Steel 2 starts back after worked early. Gets a lovely cold sit on the leaders back (please be scratched 1) and with the likelihood of plenty of speed & pressure on throughout in this, she will be very dangerous late.
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Crockets Cullen ($2.75)
Set a blistering speed at Horsham and had to fade late with the work he did. That was a much stronger event than what he faces here & he's almost guaranteed an easy lead. Gets every opportunity.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $200
Echuca, Sunday 28th March
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Bernies Idol ($2)
Finally grabs a great draw in his short 5 start career which has been good to date. Has gate speed, enough to hold these out, and around Echuca, they shouldn't catch him.
RESULT: 2nd. Galloped out and ruins what should've been a very good day
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 A Special Dream ($5)
Got dragged back through the field and was doing his best work late at Shepparton last week when should've finished closer. Follows through a Snudden horse here who are typically driven aggressively so expect Our Special Dream to land leaders back & keep it here. Has a nice sprint when only used once & that looks to be the scenario he'll use here.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $104
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Bernies Idol ($2)
Finally grabs a great draw in his short 5 start career which has been good to date. Has gate speed, enough to hold these out, and around Echuca, they shouldn't catch him.
RESULT: 2nd. Galloped out and ruins what should've been a very good day
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 A Special Dream ($5)
Got dragged back through the field and was doing his best work late at Shepparton last week when should've finished closer. Follows through a Snudden horse here who are typically driven aggressively so expect Our Special Dream to land leaders back & keep it here. Has a nice sprint when only used once & that looks to be the scenario he'll use here.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $104
Ararat, Saturday 27th March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Grinvil ($5)
Has had to work far too hard it's past 2 runs but previous starts off the back of soft runs were good behind good horses. Settles leaders back here & gets his chance
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $51
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Grinvil ($5)
Has had to work far too hard it's past 2 runs but previous starts off the back of soft runs were good behind good horses. Settles leaders back here & gets his chance
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $51
Ballarat, Thursday 25th March
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Artoc ($3)
Its D-Day for this old fella. Gets his opportunity to lead tonight and in a C2 race should be beating these. Last time he led it was a C4-5 race and Ponder Girl was the one to rush past him. No Ponder Girl here and on a track with no sprint lane, drivers who can rate their horses to suit usually get the job done.
RESULT: LOST! Why oh why hand up! Copped a huge check but not sure if it was winning anyway
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Artoc ($3)
Its D-Day for this old fella. Gets his opportunity to lead tonight and in a C2 race should be beating these. Last time he led it was a C4-5 race and Ponder Girl was the one to rush past him. No Ponder Girl here and on a track with no sprint lane, drivers who can rate their horses to suit usually get the job done.
RESULT: LOST! Why oh why hand up! Copped a huge check but not sure if it was winning anyway
Maryborough, Thursday 25th March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Future Operator ($7)
Looked like it had lost the plot before a nice return to form winning from the death at Melton last week. More importantly the runner up won impressively Wednesday at Melton. Has an ok record behind the tapes & his chances depend on whether he can find the pegs first. I think he can and run a real cheeky race here.
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Future Operator ($7)
Looked like it had lost the plot before a nice return to form winning from the death at Melton last week. More importantly the runner up won impressively Wednesday at Melton. Has an ok record behind the tapes & his chances depend on whether he can find the pegs first. I think he can and run a real cheeky race here.
RESULT: LOST!
Mildura, Wednesday 23rd March
BEST EXOTIC
$30 QUADDIE
4-6 / 5-6-8 (replace 5 with 4 if scr) / 3-7 / 1 for 250%
1st LEG: The sprint trip makes this race a little interesting as no doubt Murranji Track would brain them over further. A small question mark tonight from the draw over the trip. Givesirabone the one to give cheek in front
2nd LEG: I may have gone a little skinny here but does look a thin race. NOTE: IF THE 5 is SCR, WE ADD IN THE 4
3rd LEG: If The Mighty Judd holds the lead looks very tough to beat. There is a chance that they go nuts early & that would bring the 7 right into the race
4th LEG: Gollahgirl, cost us as a best bet a few weeks ago, cost us a trifecta running 2nd at massive odds last week. YOU OWE US GIRL!
RESULT: Lipped out in the 3rd leg but was paying bugger all.
$30 QUADDIE
4-6 / 5-6-8 (replace 5 with 4 if scr) / 3-7 / 1 for 250%
1st LEG: The sprint trip makes this race a little interesting as no doubt Murranji Track would brain them over further. A small question mark tonight from the draw over the trip. Givesirabone the one to give cheek in front
2nd LEG: I may have gone a little skinny here but does look a thin race. NOTE: IF THE 5 is SCR, WE ADD IN THE 4
3rd LEG: If The Mighty Judd holds the lead looks very tough to beat. There is a chance that they go nuts early & that would bring the 7 right into the race
4th LEG: Gollahgirl, cost us as a best bet a few weeks ago, cost us a trifecta running 2nd at massive odds last week. YOU OWE US GIRL!
RESULT: Lipped out in the 3rd leg but was paying bugger all.
Melton, Wednesday 23rd March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Sparks On Nudgee ($6)
Been racing over the sprint distance without a great deal of luck in recent times from unsuitable draws. Went super in a similar race at this track & distance when an unlucky 3rd late last year and is in similar form. There isn't a great deal of pace off the front row & he should be able to hold the leaders back (2) quite comfortably. He's a horse that needs that easy peg run with just the one sprint at them and thats what he'll get here.
RESULT: 3rd. Leader carved up in it's lap but don't think it was ever winning. Collect $90
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Sparks On Nudgee ($6)
Been racing over the sprint distance without a great deal of luck in recent times from unsuitable draws. Went super in a similar race at this track & distance when an unlucky 3rd late last year and is in similar form. There isn't a great deal of pace off the front row & he should be able to hold the leaders back (2) quite comfortably. He's a horse that needs that easy peg run with just the one sprint at them and thats what he'll get here.
RESULT: 3rd. Leader carved up in it's lap but don't think it was ever winning. Collect $90
Shepparton, Tuesday 22nd March
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Lochinvar Delight ($2.75)
Stalked them at Bendigo and managed to hold off what looks to one very nice horse in Monash last start. Always hard to line up the Bendigo times as it's quicker than most tracks but it was still quick for the babies. Should improve off that run and settles in a similar position here. Goes very close and I expect we may get $4+ on the night
RESULT: WINNER! A couple of scratchings hurt the odds but the opening odds of $3 was good enough for me! Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Wardwell ($2.75)
Similar story to the first tip I think there will be overs available for this fella with Its Just Kenny strongly fancied. He's back to form with a couple of strong wins the past 2 starts albeit from slightly better draws although with the claim, an aggressive youngster, expect him to be set alight early & take up the lead. The fav had all the favours first up & doesn't look to be the case here.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Lochinvar Delight ($2.75)
Stalked them at Bendigo and managed to hold off what looks to one very nice horse in Monash last start. Always hard to line up the Bendigo times as it's quicker than most tracks but it was still quick for the babies. Should improve off that run and settles in a similar position here. Goes very close and I expect we may get $4+ on the night
RESULT: WINNER! A couple of scratchings hurt the odds but the opening odds of $3 was good enough for me! Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Wardwell ($2.75)
Similar story to the first tip I think there will be overs available for this fella with Its Just Kenny strongly fancied. He's back to form with a couple of strong wins the past 2 starts albeit from slightly better draws although with the claim, an aggressive youngster, expect him to be set alight early & take up the lead. The fav had all the favours first up & doesn't look to be the case here.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Hamilton, Monday 21st March
BEST EXOTIC's
$40 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 4 / 1-7 /1-6-7 /1-3-6-7 for 500%
Spiritwriter is a very good horse who looks like it's put it's bad ways behind it. Should win easily. The 1 should receive the gun run but is a little limited on ability. I loved the 7's debut run & he's no doubt the value in the race due to the draw. Dancing With Elvis is a nice horse but will need luck & Our Prima Regal was beaten a long way behind Whirily School last week but can snag a 4th placing.
RESULT: LOST! Dancing With Elvis went huge and runs 2nd..
$31.50 QUADDIE
1 / 1-2-4-5-7-8-9 / 1-3-4 / 1-2-9 for 50%
1st Leg: Emmanual was huge to run 2nd last start considering it was 3 wide the first half lap and then had to death seat behind Masterofthurles. I think it's a different story from the draw today & Matty Craven back even if Masterofthurles crosses.
2nd Leg: I took horses out rather than put them in. Cross your fingers
3rd Leg: Risking Mistressofillusion. Never placed at the track, terrible record of the distance, was just ok at a recent trial & probably ends up 3 pegs here.
4th Leg: If you like a risk, take the 2 one out but there are 2 main dangers in a thin field.
RESULT: WINNER! Not much but something. Collect $106.35
$40 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 4 / 1-7 /1-6-7 /1-3-6-7 for 500%
Spiritwriter is a very good horse who looks like it's put it's bad ways behind it. Should win easily. The 1 should receive the gun run but is a little limited on ability. I loved the 7's debut run & he's no doubt the value in the race due to the draw. Dancing With Elvis is a nice horse but will need luck & Our Prima Regal was beaten a long way behind Whirily School last week but can snag a 4th placing.
RESULT: LOST! Dancing With Elvis went huge and runs 2nd..
$31.50 QUADDIE
1 / 1-2-4-5-7-8-9 / 1-3-4 / 1-2-9 for 50%
1st Leg: Emmanual was huge to run 2nd last start considering it was 3 wide the first half lap and then had to death seat behind Masterofthurles. I think it's a different story from the draw today & Matty Craven back even if Masterofthurles crosses.
2nd Leg: I took horses out rather than put them in. Cross your fingers
3rd Leg: Risking Mistressofillusion. Never placed at the track, terrible record of the distance, was just ok at a recent trial & probably ends up 3 pegs here.
4th Leg: If you like a risk, take the 2 one out but there are 2 main dangers in a thin field.
RESULT: WINNER! Not much but something. Collect $106.35
Kilmore CUP
BEST VALUE
$50 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Milly Perez ($3.50)
Get her chance after a month of luckless runs. Will need a little luck late but she is a huge show if she holds leaders back
RESULT: 4th. Luckless yet again..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Intergalatic ($6)
Nice first up run but looked like he needed it. Follows a nice horse into the race here & needs that sort of cart into his races to be a chance. Looks a great ew bet with genuine pace on
RESULT: 3rd. Wasn't suited but just missed.. Collect $60
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 9 No 2 Mister Rufus ($5)
Nice run at Ballarat last start in an unsuitable race. Had excuses at Geelong & 3 back not far off them in a C3/4 race. Back to C1 grade here against a 3yo odds on pop against older horses. Hasn't won for a long time but thats because he's been racing out of his grade. Will cross early & get every chance. Currently $21 on Sportsbet. What am I missing?! NOTE: NO THIRD DIVIDEND BUT IM STILL KEEN EW
RESULT: LOST! Never looked like crossing a noted slow starter & was never a chance after that.
$50 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Milly Perez ($3.50)
Get her chance after a month of luckless runs. Will need a little luck late but she is a huge show if she holds leaders back
RESULT: 4th. Luckless yet again..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Intergalatic ($6)
Nice first up run but looked like he needed it. Follows a nice horse into the race here & needs that sort of cart into his races to be a chance. Looks a great ew bet with genuine pace on
RESULT: 3rd. Wasn't suited but just missed.. Collect $60
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 9 No 2 Mister Rufus ($5)
Nice run at Ballarat last start in an unsuitable race. Had excuses at Geelong & 3 back not far off them in a C3/4 race. Back to C1 grade here against a 3yo odds on pop against older horses. Hasn't won for a long time but thats because he's been racing out of his grade. Will cross early & get every chance. Currently $21 on Sportsbet. What am I missing?! NOTE: NO THIRD DIVIDEND BUT IM STILL KEEN EW
RESULT: LOST! Never looked like crossing a noted slow starter & was never a chance after that.
Melton, Friday 18th March
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 6 No 5 Ponder Girl ($2)
Lovely mare this one and I'm not going to blabber on here. Had no right to get close last start & ran a lightning 3 quarter before fading late first up. Fitter here and I think she's on her way to be one of the better mares in the country & with her main danger drawn the 2nd row, get on
RESULT: LOST! Mapped her to be in the top 2 on the first bend but she went right angles & did her best impersonation of a crab. Something had to be wrong because she looked comfortable in the run after that
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Classy Western ($6)
My old mate is back on the website as a tip! No secret I do love this horse & it has been a while between drinks but maps nicely in this on the theory I think that Vinny Chase will hand up in this class, probably to Giuliani who was disappointing last start. His run was very good in the Bendigo Cup behind Lenny The Shark. Lenny brained them but he finished in between Franco Ledger & Im Corzin Terror & beat Hotasel hands down into 4th. Followed that with a luckless run in the Charlton Cup. This is a slight drop in class & even though he's a horse that needs everything to go right, probably only needs an ounce of luck to be right in this and I think we'll be getting much better than $6
RESULT: 4th. Luck? What is that? Sprouted wings late to snag 4th at around $17..
$100WIN
Race 6 No 5 Ponder Girl ($2)
Lovely mare this one and I'm not going to blabber on here. Had no right to get close last start & ran a lightning 3 quarter before fading late first up. Fitter here and I think she's on her way to be one of the better mares in the country & with her main danger drawn the 2nd row, get on
RESULT: LOST! Mapped her to be in the top 2 on the first bend but she went right angles & did her best impersonation of a crab. Something had to be wrong because she looked comfortable in the run after that
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Classy Western ($6)
My old mate is back on the website as a tip! No secret I do love this horse & it has been a while between drinks but maps nicely in this on the theory I think that Vinny Chase will hand up in this class, probably to Giuliani who was disappointing last start. His run was very good in the Bendigo Cup behind Lenny The Shark. Lenny brained them but he finished in between Franco Ledger & Im Corzin Terror & beat Hotasel hands down into 4th. Followed that with a luckless run in the Charlton Cup. This is a slight drop in class & even though he's a horse that needs everything to go right, probably only needs an ounce of luck to be right in this and I think we'll be getting much better than $6
RESULT: 4th. Luck? What is that? Sprouted wings late to snag 4th at around $17..
Cranbourne, Thursday 17th March
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Classic Shark ($2.25)
This bloke has been running well from poor draws the past 2 months. The last time he led, he ran 3rd at Bendigo, beat home Wardwell & lost by a head after copping a fair bit of pressure. There maybe a little bit of pressure early but I expect him to hold them out and really should be able to control the tempo from that point on. Gets every opportunity and Im bloody keen.
RESULT: WINNER! He's no star but got the job done. Collect $180. $2.28 available late on Betfair for the keen punter
$20 THROWAWAY QUADDIE
Risky considering Im struggling to find a winner, lets see how I go finding 4 straight.
2 / 3 / 5 / 3 for 2000%
RESULT: LOST!
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Classic Shark ($2.25)
This bloke has been running well from poor draws the past 2 months. The last time he led, he ran 3rd at Bendigo, beat home Wardwell & lost by a head after copping a fair bit of pressure. There maybe a little bit of pressure early but I expect him to hold them out and really should be able to control the tempo from that point on. Gets every opportunity and Im bloody keen.
RESULT: WINNER! He's no star but got the job done. Collect $180. $2.28 available late on Betfair for the keen punter
$20 THROWAWAY QUADDIE
Risky considering Im struggling to find a winner, lets see how I go finding 4 straight.
2 / 3 / 5 / 3 for 2000%
RESULT: LOST!
Mildura, Wednesday 16th March
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Fon Ideal ($3)
I love taking a value risk and this bloke is it. Has been trialing exceptionally well including a weird but easy trial win over Flojo's Gold. With a question mark on how well Flojo's Gold is travelling and Nikkibandwagon's ability to handle the tight track, he's a great value bet especially if he lands the front as easily as expected.
BEST EXOTIC
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 1-2 / 1-2 / 3-5-7 for 500%
This really looks like a match in 2 especially if Tippitinya leads as expected. The 11yo Tere T is almost in career best form and is a huge chance with any luck. Really hoping that Woodlea Cosmos can snag 3rd from 3 pegs but if he can't Itmademyday and One Golden Day look the other major players
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Fon Ideal ($3)
I love taking a value risk and this bloke is it. Has been trialing exceptionally well including a weird but easy trial win over Flojo's Gold. With a question mark on how well Flojo's Gold is travelling and Nikkibandwagon's ability to handle the tight track, he's a great value bet especially if he lands the front as easily as expected.
BEST EXOTIC
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 1-2 / 1-2 / 3-5-7 for 500%
This really looks like a match in 2 especially if Tippitinya leads as expected. The 11yo Tere T is almost in career best form and is a huge chance with any luck. Really hoping that Woodlea Cosmos can snag 3rd from 3 pegs but if he can't Itmademyday and One Golden Day look the other major players
Geelong, Tuesday 15th March
BEST EXOTIC
$40 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 5/1-2/1-2-4 for 1000%
Whirily School looks a class above and the mile trip just looks a bonus. I loved Alemeria's and Our Prima Reva's debut runs in the same race. The latter should cross and I have my speed map showing the 5 leading, 2 leaders back and 1 3 pegs. Thats a recipe for success in these races but I have to throw the 4 in for 3rd on the basis of it's debut run although it was in a weaker race
RESULT: LOST! Just missed but that doesn't help. Trifecta was a nice divvy
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Trison ($5)
This is probably as strong as it wants it but does get the run to suit here if Gozo Lighting holds the lead which I think it would. Won at Bendigo a few starts back in similar circumstances and should get his chance via the sprint lane late
RESULT: 2nd. A little unlucky but was never beating the winner. Collect $54
$40 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 5/1-2/1-2-4 for 1000%
Whirily School looks a class above and the mile trip just looks a bonus. I loved Alemeria's and Our Prima Reva's debut runs in the same race. The latter should cross and I have my speed map showing the 5 leading, 2 leaders back and 1 3 pegs. Thats a recipe for success in these races but I have to throw the 4 in for 3rd on the basis of it's debut run although it was in a weaker race
RESULT: LOST! Just missed but that doesn't help. Trifecta was a nice divvy
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Trison ($5)
This is probably as strong as it wants it but does get the run to suit here if Gozo Lighting holds the lead which I think it would. Won at Bendigo a few starts back in similar circumstances and should get his chance via the sprint lane late
RESULT: 2nd. A little unlucky but was never beating the winner. Collect $54
Horsham, Monday 14th March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Satans Outlaw ($5)
Happy to forgive last start from the back row. Back to the front row here & Matty Craven back onboard is a major plus as he's been successful on this fella before. Expect him to go forward today & I expect Sniggihdis to be a huge risk from the draw as it has little gate speed..
RESULT: WINNER! Thats more like it, brained them!! Collect $138
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Satans Outlaw ($5)
Happy to forgive last start from the back row. Back to the front row here & Matty Craven back onboard is a major plus as he's been successful on this fella before. Expect him to go forward today & I expect Sniggihdis to be a huge risk from the draw as it has little gate speed..
RESULT: WINNER! Thats more like it, brained them!! Collect $138
Wangaratta, Sunday 13th March
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 All Eyes And Ears ($3)
Forgot his run in the International All Stars race where they went stupid quick for his class of horse. Was a very good 2nd 2 starts back behind Stay And Play over the sprint. Leads here & there doesn't look to be a great deal of pressure in this. His main danger will be on his back but I reckon there is a question mark on it's form.
RESULT: LOST! Awful. Led and had every possible chance & found nothing.
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 All Eyes And Ears ($3)
Forgot his run in the International All Stars race where they went stupid quick for his class of horse. Was a very good 2nd 2 starts back behind Stay And Play over the sprint. Leads here & there doesn't look to be a great deal of pressure in this. His main danger will be on his back but I reckon there is a question mark on it's form.
RESULT: LOST! Awful. Led and had every possible chance & found nothing.
Bendigo, Friday 11th March
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 10 It Is Billy ($2.50)
Has been racing against Grand Circuit company from poor draws and didn't measure up although his run in the Victoria Cup was very good considering and probably better than that of one of his major rivals here Hotasel. Not sure if the lead is up for grabs for Barimah (watch for COT on Guiliani) and that will only be good news for Billy. Whether he moves mid race or is left for the last crack at them looks mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: LOST! Given no chance
$100WIN
Race 5 No 10 It Is Billy ($2.50)
Has been racing against Grand Circuit company from poor draws and didn't measure up although his run in the Victoria Cup was very good considering and probably better than that of one of his major rivals here Hotasel. Not sure if the lead is up for grabs for Barimah (watch for COT on Guiliani) and that will only be good news for Billy. Whether he moves mid race or is left for the last crack at them looks mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: LOST! Given no chance
Ballarat, Thursday 10th March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 OurGirlBillilee ($6) 9.30pm
Always seems to find trouble in her races and was at it again last start when shouldve finished much clloser after locking wheels behind Masterofthurles who won impressively again last night. Needs a genuine pace to figure in the finish and this race to have that and more. Over to you Yannick
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 OurGirlBillilee ($6) 9.30pm
Always seems to find trouble in her races and was at it again last start when shouldve finished much clloser after locking wheels behind Masterofthurles who won impressively again last night. Needs a genuine pace to figure in the finish and this race to have that and more. Over to you Yannick
Terang, Wednesday 9th March
BEST EXOTIC
$50TRIFECTA
Race 6: 3-8 / 3-8 / 2-4 for 1250%
Can't split TIme Thief and Johns Grin and they look a mile better than the rest. Amberlu Angus gets the gun run and Exotic Native is racing well, both can grab 3rd placing.
RESULT: LOST! Johns Grin not so good..
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Saxon Warrior ($6)
I thought Anthony Butt pulled the trigger too late last start but in hindsight it's lost to a horse in rare form. Master Of Thurles has found 3 legs since I tipped it first up and will run them along at a hectic pace here & with my speed map having Emmanuel in the death seat, thats going to make things tough for the fav. Saxon should have a nice sit on the back of these and have the last shot. The fav is a good beast but it's likely to be in the red & at the odds, Saxon Warrior looks a safe ew bet.
RESULT: 3rd. Had his chance. Collect $60
$50TRIFECTA
Race 6: 3-8 / 3-8 / 2-4 for 1250%
Can't split TIme Thief and Johns Grin and they look a mile better than the rest. Amberlu Angus gets the gun run and Exotic Native is racing well, both can grab 3rd placing.
RESULT: LOST! Johns Grin not so good..
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Saxon Warrior ($6)
I thought Anthony Butt pulled the trigger too late last start but in hindsight it's lost to a horse in rare form. Master Of Thurles has found 3 legs since I tipped it first up and will run them along at a hectic pace here & with my speed map having Emmanuel in the death seat, thats going to make things tough for the fav. Saxon should have a nice sit on the back of these and have the last shot. The fav is a good beast but it's likely to be in the red & at the odds, Saxon Warrior looks a safe ew bet.
RESULT: 3rd. Had his chance. Collect $60
Echuca, Tuesday 8th March
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Shogun Thomas ($2)
I need to get this train wreck back on track (school fees are due!) and I'm very confident this smart 3yo gelding can get the job done tonight. Very easy trial win at Shepparton last week & his form against some of the best 3yo's in the country last prep was very good. Works his way to the top here and shouldn't be beaten.
RESULT: WINNER! Almost forgotten what backing a winner felt like. Had a little bit of help but too good. Collect $240
BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIE's
$24: 3 / 1-2-5-6 / 1-2 / 5 for 300%
$16: 1-7-8-10 / 1-2-5-6 / 1-2 / 5 for 50% (Note: 7 is emergency in the 1st leg. 66.67% if scr)
RESULT: NO BET. Scratchings have impacted the quaddie too much. No doubt I'll snag it now..
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Shogun Thomas ($2)
I need to get this train wreck back on track (school fees are due!) and I'm very confident this smart 3yo gelding can get the job done tonight. Very easy trial win at Shepparton last week & his form against some of the best 3yo's in the country last prep was very good. Works his way to the top here and shouldn't be beaten.
RESULT: WINNER! Almost forgotten what backing a winner felt like. Had a little bit of help but too good. Collect $240
BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIE's
$24: 3 / 1-2-5-6 / 1-2 / 5 for 300%
$16: 1-7-8-10 / 1-2-5-6 / 1-2 / 5 for 50% (Note: 7 is emergency in the 1st leg. 66.67% if scr)
RESULT: NO BET. Scratchings have impacted the quaddie too much. No doubt I'll snag it now..
MELTON, Monday 7th March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Gozo Lighting ($5)
Nice 3rd when coming from a mile back in a 56.6 last half and a similar story 2 back at Yarra Valley. His run 3 back at Cranbourne was first class after working at both ends of the race. Should be leading with ease here & will get every possible chance in a slight jump in class
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Gozo Lighting ($5)
Nice 3rd when coming from a mile back in a 56.6 last half and a similar story 2 back at Yarra Valley. His run 3 back at Cranbourne was first class after working at both ends of the race. Should be leading with ease here & will get every possible chance in a slight jump in class
Ouyen Cup Day
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Ideal Success ($2.25)
Was an unbelievable winner at Horsham over the short course last start. Raced against NZ's best and not disgraced previously & has OK stand start manners. Just needs to step away safely to win here.
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 3 No 8 Carload ($4)
Smart local returning against a bunch of non winners. Trialed well in preparation for this.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Ideal Success ($2.25)
Was an unbelievable winner at Horsham over the short course last start. Raced against NZ's best and not disgraced previously & has OK stand start manners. Just needs to step away safely to win here.
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 3 No 8 Carload ($4)
Smart local returning against a bunch of non winners. Trialed well in preparation for this.
Cranbourne Cup NIght
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 7 Zuko Dream ($5)
I have a love/hate relationship with this horse but really does deserve to win one. Not suited at Geelong last start but was a nice 3rd at this track and distance behind Yackandandah and Real Lucky from a similar draw when leading. Should force his way to the front here and prove hard to catch.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 13 Battle Born ($8)
Been bullying easier fields of late but you still have to win. Outclassed in the Derby heat but it's form against similar horses has been first class & I can see him get a nice trail into this. Fingers crossed the Jet Player holds the front as I think that'll bring the swoprs right into it.
BEST ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Proficient ($16)
Should have won with even luck for mine at Melton last start and was a much better run than Brocks Territory who is fancied here. The draw is awful but as suggested the pace will be right on here and with any sort of luck he's a knock out hope
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 7 Zuko Dream ($5)
I have a love/hate relationship with this horse but really does deserve to win one. Not suited at Geelong last start but was a nice 3rd at this track and distance behind Yackandandah and Real Lucky from a similar draw when leading. Should force his way to the front here and prove hard to catch.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 13 Battle Born ($8)
Been bullying easier fields of late but you still have to win. Outclassed in the Derby heat but it's form against similar horses has been first class & I can see him get a nice trail into this. Fingers crossed the Jet Player holds the front as I think that'll bring the swoprs right into it.
BEST ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Proficient ($16)
Should have won with even luck for mine at Melton last start and was a much better run than Brocks Territory who is fancied here. The draw is awful but as suggested the pace will be right on here and with any sort of luck he's a knock out hope
Melton, Friday 4th March
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Gallery Girl ($2.50)
Led easily from outside the front row in a similar race and won very easily in the end in good time. My speed map says she leads again and a mare in form is a horse worth following. Her main danger looks to be Silky, who was also a winner from the death last start but it was a slow last half. It'll have to sit on our outside and I know who Id rather be on.
BEST VALUE
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Im Alex ($10)
His last 2 starts have been very good & was a little unlucky not to finish close in a similar field. His lack of gate speed is a little disadvantage over the sprint trip but should be following Im Dreamin Jonesy's every move and thats probably the best horse to follow in the race.
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Gallery Girl ($2.50)
Led easily from outside the front row in a similar race and won very easily in the end in good time. My speed map says she leads again and a mare in form is a horse worth following. Her main danger looks to be Silky, who was also a winner from the death last start but it was a slow last half. It'll have to sit on our outside and I know who Id rather be on.
BEST VALUE
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Im Alex ($10)
His last 2 starts have been very good & was a little unlucky not to finish close in a similar field. His lack of gate speed is a little disadvantage over the sprint trip but should be following Im Dreamin Jonesy's every move and thats probably the best horse to follow in the race.
Ararat, Wednesday 2nd March
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Artikulate Miss ($5)
Been racing in much stronger than what she meets today and the addition of Kerryn Manning can only be a positive as she's in great form. Has a few options from the draw and with the fav drawn wide worth taking the risk on an ew basis.
RESULT: LOST! Knocked over at the start & again rounding the home turn. Forget it ran.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Lavish Smile ($4)
His past 2 have been much better than what looks on paper when unable to lead. Gets his opportunity to lead here (more confident if the 1 (emergency) is scratched) over the short course and Glen Craven onboard a big plus
RESULT: LOST! Every chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Artikulate Miss ($5)
Been racing in much stronger than what she meets today and the addition of Kerryn Manning can only be a positive as she's in great form. Has a few options from the draw and with the fav drawn wide worth taking the risk on an ew basis.
RESULT: LOST! Knocked over at the start & again rounding the home turn. Forget it ran.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Lavish Smile ($4)
His past 2 have been much better than what looks on paper when unable to lead. Gets his opportunity to lead here (more confident if the 1 (emergency) is scratched) over the short course and Glen Craven onboard a big plus
RESULT: LOST! Every chance
Cobram, Wednesday 2nd March
BEST VALUE
$50 WIN
Race 3 No 4 Jimbaran ($3.50)
Worked a little early before taking the sit last start at Shepparton but never the type of horse that can launch twice in the race and just battled late in a stronger race. Was very unlucky not to grab the prize the start prior at Swan Hill admittedly in slow time but was from a poor draw. Draws to lead today (best draw it's ever had at Cobram) and gets every possible chance. $8.50 BET365 when typing this.
RESULT: LOST! Broke gear and pulled out of the race.
$50 WIN
Race 3 No 4 Jimbaran ($3.50)
Worked a little early before taking the sit last start at Shepparton but never the type of horse that can launch twice in the race and just battled late in a stronger race. Was very unlucky not to grab the prize the start prior at Swan Hill admittedly in slow time but was from a poor draw. Draws to lead today (best draw it's ever had at Cobram) and gets every possible chance. $8.50 BET365 when typing this.
RESULT: LOST! Broke gear and pulled out of the race.
Swan Hill, Tuesday 1st March
BEST EXOTICS
$18 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 8 / 7-9-10 / 2-7-9-10 for 200%
Sunrose Village couldn't have been more impressive against the same field last week and the bad draw just means overs. Midnite Delite will fin the lead at some point from Smooth Mikela who is one of the weakest horse going around, they wouldn't want to get stuck 3/4pegs in this because you'll be going no where. Another Colony was very good behind Sunrose Village last start and Shadow Spar was a nice winner at Mildura lat week. Only other place chance for mine with everything going right is La Vida Rose. Fingers crossed Another Colony can snag a place and we're in for a nice collect.
RESULT: LOST! Fav gets rolled. Not sure how, but it gets rolled.
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1 / 5-7 / 2-4-5-7-8 for 300%
Our Jabari just needs to behave to be winning this, looks very smart. I have a lot of time for Repeat After Me & looks almost a monty for 2nd but I have to throw Made My Day into the mix with Alford onboard. The remainder are up significantly in class and need a great deal of luck to snag 2nd.
RESULT: LOST! Repeat After Me & Made My Day ordinary.
$18 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 8 / 7-9-10 / 2-7-9-10 for 200%
Sunrose Village couldn't have been more impressive against the same field last week and the bad draw just means overs. Midnite Delite will fin the lead at some point from Smooth Mikela who is one of the weakest horse going around, they wouldn't want to get stuck 3/4pegs in this because you'll be going no where. Another Colony was very good behind Sunrose Village last start and Shadow Spar was a nice winner at Mildura lat week. Only other place chance for mine with everything going right is La Vida Rose. Fingers crossed Another Colony can snag a place and we're in for a nice collect.
RESULT: LOST! Fav gets rolled. Not sure how, but it gets rolled.
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1 / 5-7 / 2-4-5-7-8 for 300%
Our Jabari just needs to behave to be winning this, looks very smart. I have a lot of time for Repeat After Me & looks almost a monty for 2nd but I have to throw Made My Day into the mix with Alford onboard. The remainder are up significantly in class and need a great deal of luck to snag 2nd.
RESULT: LOST! Repeat After Me & Made My Day ordinary.
Cranbourne, Monday 29th February
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 9 No 3 Christian Major ($2.25)
Trialed nicely before a game 3rd against a couple of very smart ones last start. Should lead easily here & looks mighty hard to roll.
RESULT: 3rd. Not even close to leading but found the leaders back & did bugger all
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Fire Up Franco ($8)
Chased home some very talented horses the past 2 starts and wasn't disgraced. He is a much better horse over distance and gets that here tonight. Our hopes do hope on Felicity Funkhouser holding the lead but it is flying so no reason why they'd hand up tonight. Looks great value
RESULT: 2nd. Massive run. Had to settle last off the back of a very slowly run race. Collect $72
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Little Bit Sassy ($6)
She's a mare that simply can't work early in her races and had to do too much last time out but did find the line ok late. Doesn't have to work too hard early here today and should be trailing a one paced horse in Millwood Brandy & she will get her chance late via the sprint lane
SCRATCHED
$100WIN
Race 9 No 3 Christian Major ($2.25)
Trialed nicely before a game 3rd against a couple of very smart ones last start. Should lead easily here & looks mighty hard to roll.
RESULT: 3rd. Not even close to leading but found the leaders back & did bugger all
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Fire Up Franco ($8)
Chased home some very talented horses the past 2 starts and wasn't disgraced. He is a much better horse over distance and gets that here tonight. Our hopes do hope on Felicity Funkhouser holding the lead but it is flying so no reason why they'd hand up tonight. Looks great value
RESULT: 2nd. Massive run. Had to settle last off the back of a very slowly run race. Collect $72
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Little Bit Sassy ($6)
She's a mare that simply can't work early in her races and had to do too much last time out but did find the line ok late. Doesn't have to work too hard early here today and should be trailing a one paced horse in Millwood Brandy & she will get her chance late via the sprint lane
SCRATCHED
Menangle MIRACLE MILE DAY
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Lenny The Shark ($3)
No need for me to go into his past form it speaks for itself! However The Len Smith Mile is a key matching up his chances versus Beautide. Yes it was almost a year ago but that day Lenny had to go back to near last whilst Beautide was leading. Lenny had to come 5 and 6 wide on the bend and only finished metres away. He has become a much more complete horse since then and I think the Interdom Series has made him. The draw is ideal to follow Beautides every move and Lenny will get every possible chance from there considering Arms Of An Angel intentions to hold the lead. The massive question mark is Have Faith In Me but I'm willing to risk it against Grand Circuit horses. His times are out of this world but times aren't everything.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a short half head by an absolute superstar. Still not sure how Lenny lost..
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 14 Lochinvar ($8)
Was desperately unlucky 2 starts back over the mile and then was a super 3rd behind Grand Circuit horses Smolda & Mach Beauty. Going to need a bit of luck from the draw but that might come from plenty of pace in the race. I reckon there are going to be some very tired horses late, setting up for the swoopers.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance, just not good enough. Collect $93
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Lenny The Shark ($3)
No need for me to go into his past form it speaks for itself! However The Len Smith Mile is a key matching up his chances versus Beautide. Yes it was almost a year ago but that day Lenny had to go back to near last whilst Beautide was leading. Lenny had to come 5 and 6 wide on the bend and only finished metres away. He has become a much more complete horse since then and I think the Interdom Series has made him. The draw is ideal to follow Beautides every move and Lenny will get every possible chance from there considering Arms Of An Angel intentions to hold the lead. The massive question mark is Have Faith In Me but I'm willing to risk it against Grand Circuit horses. His times are out of this world but times aren't everything.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a short half head by an absolute superstar. Still not sure how Lenny lost..
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 14 Lochinvar ($8)
Was desperately unlucky 2 starts back over the mile and then was a super 3rd behind Grand Circuit horses Smolda & Mach Beauty. Going to need a bit of luck from the draw but that might come from plenty of pace in the race. I reckon there are going to be some very tired horses late, setting up for the swoopers.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance, just not good enough. Collect $93
Charlton, Sunday 28th February
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 3 No 8 Nimble Jack ($3.5)
Has had a great deal of luck in recent times and the small field suits today. Should be plenty of pace on here and most of these have been struggling of late. Going to be hard to hold out late
RESULT: LOST! There certainly were some tired horse late but Glenn Douglas missed the boat
$50WIN
Race 3 No 8 Nimble Jack ($3.5)
Has had a great deal of luck in recent times and the small field suits today. Should be plenty of pace on here and most of these have been struggling of late. Going to be hard to hold out late
RESULT: LOST! There certainly were some tired horse late but Glenn Douglas missed the boat
Geelong, Saturday 26th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Captain Bronzie ($6)
Lovely win last start at Yarra Valley when he settled well back in the field in a very slowly run race. A great got him over the line in a race he had no right to win. Back in form and can spear across from the wide draw tonight with only average speed on it's inside. I'm not having much luck with Michael Bellman in recent times but it's time my friend!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Captain Bronzie ($6)
Lovely win last start at Yarra Valley when he settled well back in the field in a very slowly run race. A great got him over the line in a race he had no right to win. Back in form and can spear across from the wide draw tonight with only average speed on it's inside. I'm not having much luck with Michael Bellman in recent times but it's time my friend!
Melton, Friday 25th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Milly Perez ($6)
Simply had to work too hard last start & the effort told in the breeze. Form before that was very good. Should snag back here and follow Steam Washed into the race in what looks to be a very hot speed tonight.
RESULT: LOST! Gee that was hard to watch. Chris didn't restrain early and end 4 back the pegs. Went to the line hard held. Steam Washed's back was the place to be
BEST EXOTICS
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 10/1-8/1-8 for 2500%
Can it really be this simple? Yankee Rockstar looks near unbeatable in this. Giuliani has a key driving change with Kerryn Manning taking the reigns and will be leading tonight. Young Modern is a good horse on the comeback and should be much fitter tonight and follows Giuliani's every move. They rate well ahead of the rest for mine. Should be around a $8 trifecta
RESULT: WINNER! If only all trifectas were that easy. Collect $172.50
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 9: 1-8 / 1-8 / 9-11 / 9-11 for 500%
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 9: 1-8 / 1-8 / 9-11 for 500%
Delta Safari leads & Star Crossed lobs onto its back & Impressive Fella 3 pegs. With most of the others allergic to doing any type of work, these 3 get the perfect opportunity to round out the trifecta but have to throw in Lisandros on the strength of it's last run. The slight worry is Delta has put in some horror performances at Melton
RESULT: Trifecta yes but the First 4 missed with Lisandros snagged on the line. Collect $79.50
MEETING RESULT: Won $112
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Milly Perez ($6)
Simply had to work too hard last start & the effort told in the breeze. Form before that was very good. Should snag back here and follow Steam Washed into the race in what looks to be a very hot speed tonight.
RESULT: LOST! Gee that was hard to watch. Chris didn't restrain early and end 4 back the pegs. Went to the line hard held. Steam Washed's back was the place to be
BEST EXOTICS
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 10/1-8/1-8 for 2500%
Can it really be this simple? Yankee Rockstar looks near unbeatable in this. Giuliani has a key driving change with Kerryn Manning taking the reigns and will be leading tonight. Young Modern is a good horse on the comeback and should be much fitter tonight and follows Giuliani's every move. They rate well ahead of the rest for mine. Should be around a $8 trifecta
RESULT: WINNER! If only all trifectas were that easy. Collect $172.50
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 9: 1-8 / 1-8 / 9-11 / 9-11 for 500%
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 9: 1-8 / 1-8 / 9-11 for 500%
Delta Safari leads & Star Crossed lobs onto its back & Impressive Fella 3 pegs. With most of the others allergic to doing any type of work, these 3 get the perfect opportunity to round out the trifecta but have to throw in Lisandros on the strength of it's last run. The slight worry is Delta has put in some horror performances at Melton
RESULT: Trifecta yes but the First 4 missed with Lisandros snagged on the line. Collect $79.50
MEETING RESULT: Won $112
Shepparton, Thursday 24th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Arrokeefe ($6)
Wasn't one of Gavins best drives last start but savaged the line late for an unlucky 3rd behind 2 smart horses. This is easier for mine and from the draw should be getting every possible chance
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up 3 pegs and in a slowly run race couldn't sprint with them late. Collect $51
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Arrokeefe ($6)
Wasn't one of Gavins best drives last start but savaged the line late for an unlucky 3rd behind 2 smart horses. This is easier for mine and from the draw should be getting every possible chance
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up 3 pegs and in a slowly run race couldn't sprint with them late. Collect $51
Horsham, Thursday 24th February
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Aspureasdrivensnow ($3)
Has been trialing the house down in recent times & last week at Maryborough was no exception winning very easily in OK time. That trial was after its debut run where it never looked comfortable in the run from the 2nd row and eventually galloped out. Has showed good gate speed in his trials so should either hold the lead or trail, from either position looks hard to beat against these
RESULT: GALLOPED!! Frustrating when your money is down the drain immediately after the start
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Aspureasdrivensnow ($3)
Has been trialing the house down in recent times & last week at Maryborough was no exception winning very easily in OK time. That trial was after its debut run where it never looked comfortable in the run from the 2nd row and eventually galloped out. Has showed good gate speed in his trials so should either hold the lead or trail, from either position looks hard to beat against these
RESULT: GALLOPED!! Frustrating when your money is down the drain immediately after the start
Mildura, Wednesday 23rd February
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Gollahgirl ($2.25)
We'll know our fate 50metres after the start here as shes a head case but the lead looks her for the taking without being pushed too hard. Broke 2 starts ago from gate 3 when pushed hard to lead & did well to finish so close. Then was wide the last lap from a poor draw without cover and again wasn't disgraced. Noticeably she was fired up at a recent trial at Mildura and won easily beating an inform Noble Julius. More importantly was revved up at the start and showed no signs of racing roughly. I think if she leads, she wins.
RESULT: LOST! Michael Bellman decides to park us in the death, even though he had no chance of winning if holding. Frustrating & hopefully looked into with it's favoured stablemate drawn out wide.
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Finedropofred ($6)
Returned from a spell with a nice 4th behind the flying Murranji Track when wasn't bashed around. Finished off his race nicely. Usually takes a couple of runs to find his best but did have a trial run last week in preparation for this when won nicely. This is a slight class drop from last start and should get a cart into the race on the back of Monumental in what looks to be a hot pace.
RESULT: 2nd. Worked out exactly as planned but wasn't good enough to pick up the flying Monumental. Collect $64.12
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Gollahgirl ($2.25)
We'll know our fate 50metres after the start here as shes a head case but the lead looks her for the taking without being pushed too hard. Broke 2 starts ago from gate 3 when pushed hard to lead & did well to finish so close. Then was wide the last lap from a poor draw without cover and again wasn't disgraced. Noticeably she was fired up at a recent trial at Mildura and won easily beating an inform Noble Julius. More importantly was revved up at the start and showed no signs of racing roughly. I think if she leads, she wins.
RESULT: LOST! Michael Bellman decides to park us in the death, even though he had no chance of winning if holding. Frustrating & hopefully looked into with it's favoured stablemate drawn out wide.
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Finedropofred ($6)
Returned from a spell with a nice 4th behind the flying Murranji Track when wasn't bashed around. Finished off his race nicely. Usually takes a couple of runs to find his best but did have a trial run last week in preparation for this when won nicely. This is a slight class drop from last start and should get a cart into the race on the back of Monumental in what looks to be a hot pace.
RESULT: 2nd. Worked out exactly as planned but wasn't good enough to pick up the flying Monumental. Collect $64.12
Bendigo, Tuesday 22nd February
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Jimmy The Editor ($3)
Hasn't been far away in unsuitable races of late, races much stronger than this tonight. Either pushes forward & leads or death seats but from either position I'm happy to be on.
RESULT: WINNER! Is the dry spell finally over?! Led and never challenged. Collect $160
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Jimmy The Editor ($3)
Hasn't been far away in unsuitable races of late, races much stronger than this tonight. Either pushes forward & leads or death seats but from either position I'm happy to be on.
RESULT: WINNER! Is the dry spell finally over?! Led and never challenged. Collect $160
Kilmore, Monday 21st February
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 4 The Pix ($10)
Doesn't win often but his form of late has been first class. Was good at Cobram but was held off by Tuscan Breeze then thought his run at Shepparton when never suited was fantastic. Going to need a few things to go right here but he's never raced better and should position nicely from the good draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez led a whole lot easier than I thought it would & just kept kicking. Collect $173
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 4 The Pix ($10)
Doesn't win often but his form of late has been first class. Was good at Cobram but was held off by Tuscan Breeze then thought his run at Shepparton when never suited was fantastic. Going to need a few things to go right here but he's never raced better and should position nicely from the good draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez led a whole lot easier than I thought it would & just kept kicking. Collect $173
Ballarat, Sunday 20th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Ideal Lifestyle ($5)
Copped a huge check at the start last time out and had to do plenty of work to catch the field but was doing it's best work late when finishing 4th, not far behind the smart Professor Tom in 3rd. This is a very weak bunch of animals & he should position close enough to the lead here to be very dangerous late.
RESULT: WINNER! Was backed as if unbeatable & it was! $8 on BET365 and $4.50 Sportsbet when email posted. Collect $88
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Delta Safari ($3)
Deserved to hold on at Cranbourne last start after doing all the work but was just pipped on the line. Should get the lead a lot easier today and over the sprint distance looks hard to roll.
RESULT: WINNER! Another one smashed in betting. $3.20 BET365, $2.80 Sportsbet. Collect $110
BEST EXOTIC
$20 QUADDIE
1-4-5-6-8 / 1-3 / 3 / 2-10 for 100%
1st Leg: Soho Berlin looks a massive risk here as there is a massive chance it'll get crossed early. Playing wide
2nd Leg: Delta Safari on top but if there is any danger it'll be the one on his back, Ten Four.
3rd Leg: My best of the night going around here but it'll be at a very short quote Star Crossed
4th Leg: Spiritwriter is a future star but Carter Bromac on debut for Team Turnbull is a massive query after trialing well.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $98
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Ideal Lifestyle ($5)
Copped a huge check at the start last time out and had to do plenty of work to catch the field but was doing it's best work late when finishing 4th, not far behind the smart Professor Tom in 3rd. This is a very weak bunch of animals & he should position close enough to the lead here to be very dangerous late.
RESULT: WINNER! Was backed as if unbeatable & it was! $8 on BET365 and $4.50 Sportsbet when email posted. Collect $88
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Delta Safari ($3)
Deserved to hold on at Cranbourne last start after doing all the work but was just pipped on the line. Should get the lead a lot easier today and over the sprint distance looks hard to roll.
RESULT: WINNER! Another one smashed in betting. $3.20 BET365, $2.80 Sportsbet. Collect $110
BEST EXOTIC
$20 QUADDIE
1-4-5-6-8 / 1-3 / 3 / 2-10 for 100%
1st Leg: Soho Berlin looks a massive risk here as there is a massive chance it'll get crossed early. Playing wide
2nd Leg: Delta Safari on top but if there is any danger it'll be the one on his back, Ten Four.
3rd Leg: My best of the night going around here but it'll be at a very short quote Star Crossed
4th Leg: Spiritwriter is a future star but Carter Bromac on debut for Team Turnbull is a massive query after trialing well.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $98
Terang cup night
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 4 No 7 Johns Grin ($2)
First up for Matty Craven after a frustrating period for owner Peter Tyrell, he won easily in a recent trial & looks ready to win
RESULT: WINNER! $2 was available for all of a couple of seconds but was backed heavily. Collect $160
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Saxon Warrior ($5)
Lovely run when 4th against better than he meets tonight. Got caught 3 and 4 wide early & had to restrain back to last. Looked for gaps late but didn't get much room. That followed another luckless run when he was knocked over mid race and again did well to finish as close as he did. Goes back from the draw tonight and that means likely to follow Whatahottie into the race with cover. Looks to be plenty of speed on and he'll be hard to hold out late
RESULT: 2nd. Thought he was the winner at the turn but was beaten by a superb Kerryn Manning drive. Thought Anthony Butt pulled the trigger too late but it's easy to say from the comfort of my lounge chair. Collect $87
BEST EXOTIC
$24 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 10-12 / 8-10-12 / 5-8-10-11-12 for 200%
Ohoka Punter is no certainty from the draw but obviously the one to beat. Im Corzin Terror is flying. If he behaves he's a knockout chance. Star Chamber chocked down last start so best to forget. On his best form can certainly place. Fingers crossed out got the others sorted out for 3rd.
RESULT: LOST! The fav scratched and Im Corzin Terror was disappointing
NOTE: SUNDAY's TIPS WILL BE EMAILED SUNDAY AFTERNOON
$100WIN
Race 4 No 7 Johns Grin ($2)
First up for Matty Craven after a frustrating period for owner Peter Tyrell, he won easily in a recent trial & looks ready to win
RESULT: WINNER! $2 was available for all of a couple of seconds but was backed heavily. Collect $160
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Saxon Warrior ($5)
Lovely run when 4th against better than he meets tonight. Got caught 3 and 4 wide early & had to restrain back to last. Looked for gaps late but didn't get much room. That followed another luckless run when he was knocked over mid race and again did well to finish as close as he did. Goes back from the draw tonight and that means likely to follow Whatahottie into the race with cover. Looks to be plenty of speed on and he'll be hard to hold out late
RESULT: 2nd. Thought he was the winner at the turn but was beaten by a superb Kerryn Manning drive. Thought Anthony Butt pulled the trigger too late but it's easy to say from the comfort of my lounge chair. Collect $87
BEST EXOTIC
$24 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 10-12 / 8-10-12 / 5-8-10-11-12 for 200%
Ohoka Punter is no certainty from the draw but obviously the one to beat. Im Corzin Terror is flying. If he behaves he's a knockout chance. Star Chamber chocked down last start so best to forget. On his best form can certainly place. Fingers crossed out got the others sorted out for 3rd.
RESULT: LOST! The fav scratched and Im Corzin Terror was disappointing
NOTE: SUNDAY's TIPS WILL BE EMAILED SUNDAY AFTERNOON
Melton, Friday 18th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Ithappenstbeametro ($6)
Was a great run behind Juliette Bromac last start even though never a chance to beat it. Had to work hard early & then was 3 wide without cover the last 600 but just kept kicking. From the draw expect Matty Craven to be aggressive early & have the advantage on his main dangers. Bettor Downunder would brain these at her best but just has too many tricks to take the skinny odds.
RESULT: LOST! Worked too hard to lead & Matty Craven kept them running. Gone at the turn
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 11 Yackandandah ($8)
Found Real Lucky too good last start but was still a very good run. I expect Soho Tokoyo and Real Lucky to take each other on here and Yackandandah is a great dive bomber late. Just needs an ounce of luck to be close enough at the turn
RESULT: 3rd. Oh deary me, an absolute certainty beaten. Collect $69
$50WIN
Race 6 No 5 Gollahman ($4)
Im willing to forgive him for last start after working in a strong race. Gets the draw advantage on Lucky Lombo who won't be getting the lead handed to it today. I expect Gollahman to work his way to the front & finally get every opportunity in a race.
RESULT: WINNER! Led and the was the end of the ball game. Collect $175. ($8 the best available on Sportsbet!)
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Ithappenstbeametro ($6)
Was a great run behind Juliette Bromac last start even though never a chance to beat it. Had to work hard early & then was 3 wide without cover the last 600 but just kept kicking. From the draw expect Matty Craven to be aggressive early & have the advantage on his main dangers. Bettor Downunder would brain these at her best but just has too many tricks to take the skinny odds.
RESULT: LOST! Worked too hard to lead & Matty Craven kept them running. Gone at the turn
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 11 Yackandandah ($8)
Found Real Lucky too good last start but was still a very good run. I expect Soho Tokoyo and Real Lucky to take each other on here and Yackandandah is a great dive bomber late. Just needs an ounce of luck to be close enough at the turn
RESULT: 3rd. Oh deary me, an absolute certainty beaten. Collect $69
$50WIN
Race 6 No 5 Gollahman ($4)
Im willing to forgive him for last start after working in a strong race. Gets the draw advantage on Lucky Lombo who won't be getting the lead handed to it today. I expect Gollahman to work his way to the front & finally get every opportunity in a race.
RESULT: WINNER! Led and the was the end of the ball game. Collect $175. ($8 the best available on Sportsbet!)
SWan Hill, Wednesday 17th February
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 2 No 3 Celebrindal ($2)
This bloke should be 2/3 but with no luck is a 3 start maiden. Was absolutely massive at Melton last week and the start prior savaged the line like a real good horse. He'll be winning better races and even though the sprint trip isn't ideal, he just looks better than these.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start and trailed the field. Not ideal
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Riley James ($5)
Usually takes a few runs to get going and 3rd up tonight should be cherry ripe. Nice return to form finishing hard late behind Linda Lovegrace in a slowly run race early so the run was good. Loves this track (6 wins from 7 starts) and whether he leads or takes a sit looks very hard to beat
RESULT: LOST! Led & had every chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Heza Reddy ($6)
Really liked the way he's finished off his races the past 2. Won at this track and distance over a month ago. Looks a chance to be leaders back here which would be ideal if On The Buzzer goes back at the start which he has done from this draw before. Even if that scenario doesn't pan out he has options from the draw & looks a great value ew bet
RESULT: LOST! Unbelievable. Never got a look in down the straight & goes to the line hard held. Story of my month.
$100WIN
Race 2 No 3 Celebrindal ($2)
This bloke should be 2/3 but with no luck is a 3 start maiden. Was absolutely massive at Melton last week and the start prior savaged the line like a real good horse. He'll be winning better races and even though the sprint trip isn't ideal, he just looks better than these.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start and trailed the field. Not ideal
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Riley James ($5)
Usually takes a few runs to get going and 3rd up tonight should be cherry ripe. Nice return to form finishing hard late behind Linda Lovegrace in a slowly run race early so the run was good. Loves this track (6 wins from 7 starts) and whether he leads or takes a sit looks very hard to beat
RESULT: LOST! Led & had every chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Heza Reddy ($6)
Really liked the way he's finished off his races the past 2. Won at this track and distance over a month ago. Looks a chance to be leaders back here which would be ideal if On The Buzzer goes back at the start which he has done from this draw before. Even if that scenario doesn't pan out he has options from the draw & looks a great value ew bet
RESULT: LOST! Unbelievable. Never got a look in down the straight & goes to the line hard held. Story of my month.
Stawell, Tuesday 16th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 7 Macterra Hawk ($5)
An 18 start maiden, he form has been very good in recent times. Came from last just before the turn in the heat of this race, when grabbed 2nd late in what was the run of the race. The draw doesn't impact too much as he has zero gate. With almost all those inside him having gate speed & Mygirljo looks unlikely to lead, he has a great chance to turn the tables.
RESULT: 3rd. The fav gets rolled but not by us. Good run and great drive Matty Craven but just wasn't strong enough in the death. Collect $60
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 Motlap Magic ($2)
Driven for luck last start and got none of it but hit the line hard late. Past 2 starts were good 2nds from the death. Jason Lee gets onboard here and that can almost guarantee it'll be driven aggressively. Should lead and win
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't lead, didn't win. Galloped on that troublesome first turn and never comfortable in the run after that. Might be one of those horses but my bad run continues
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 7 Macterra Hawk ($5)
An 18 start maiden, he form has been very good in recent times. Came from last just before the turn in the heat of this race, when grabbed 2nd late in what was the run of the race. The draw doesn't impact too much as he has zero gate. With almost all those inside him having gate speed & Mygirljo looks unlikely to lead, he has a great chance to turn the tables.
RESULT: 3rd. The fav gets rolled but not by us. Good run and great drive Matty Craven but just wasn't strong enough in the death. Collect $60
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 Motlap Magic ($2)
Driven for luck last start and got none of it but hit the line hard late. Past 2 starts were good 2nds from the death. Jason Lee gets onboard here and that can almost guarantee it'll be driven aggressively. Should lead and win
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't lead, didn't win. Galloped on that troublesome first turn and never comfortable in the run after that. Might be one of those horses but my bad run continues
MELTON, Monday 15th February
THE ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Miss Metro Glen ($8)
Had to work at both ends of the race over the sprint trip last week & did well to snag a place. Shouldn't have to work as hard this week as the favourites are likely to settle into the top 2 quickly. He'll settle leaders back and you can line up his form through Hazzpazzaz and should be getting every chance from the draw.
RESULT: 5th. Got crossed early and ended 3 pegs. Lost a bit of ground in a 27 sec 3rd quarter but got no room late and probably a little unlucky not to snag 3rd.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Fianna Gael ($8)
Been outclassed against better animals but if you go back to his Hamilton run he was stiff not to win. Plenty of these are struggling and he'll be one batting out in front. Can he hold on? Happy to find out at nice odds
RESULT: LOST! We found out its heartless
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Miss Metro Glen ($8)
Had to work at both ends of the race over the sprint trip last week & did well to snag a place. Shouldn't have to work as hard this week as the favourites are likely to settle into the top 2 quickly. He'll settle leaders back and you can line up his form through Hazzpazzaz and should be getting every chance from the draw.
RESULT: 5th. Got crossed early and ended 3 pegs. Lost a bit of ground in a 27 sec 3rd quarter but got no room late and probably a little unlucky not to snag 3rd.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Fianna Gael ($8)
Been outclassed against better animals but if you go back to his Hamilton run he was stiff not to win. Plenty of these are struggling and he'll be one batting out in front. Can he hold on? Happy to find out at nice odds
RESULT: LOST! We found out its heartless
Bendigo Cup Night
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Trison ($3)
Looked a touch unlucky in the Tontine heat last week. Should get the sit behind early leader Spot Ona Shadow & for mine that horse is suspect over this distance. Perfect spot to be is on its back.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $130
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Maori Time ($5)
Been flying the gate in recent times but just hasn't been able to hold out the challengers over the longer distance. Looks the leader again here tonight and won this race last year in hot time. It was almost a toss up between it & Claudys but in front, have to stick with Maori's Time
RESULT: LOST!
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Trison ($3)
Looked a touch unlucky in the Tontine heat last week. Should get the sit behind early leader Spot Ona Shadow & for mine that horse is suspect over this distance. Perfect spot to be is on its back.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $130
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Maori Time ($5)
Been flying the gate in recent times but just hasn't been able to hold out the challengers over the longer distance. Looks the leader again here tonight and won this race last year in hot time. It was almost a toss up between it & Claudys but in front, have to stick with Maori's Time
RESULT: LOST!
Cranbourne, Thursday 11th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Artoc ($6)
Went super at Waragul after doing plenty of work and followed that up with a 4th behind the very smart Im Supersonic at Stawell and had excuses even though never a winning chance. I think the favourite is vulnerable here especially if Artoc can hold him out early. Game on if he can
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Artoc ($6)
Went super at Waragul after doing plenty of work and followed that up with a 4th behind the very smart Im Supersonic at Stawell and had excuses even though never a winning chance. I think the favourite is vulnerable here especially if Artoc can hold him out early. Game on if he can
Shepparton, Thursday 11th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Luvu Grazaella ($7)
Was a lovely debut at Cobram coming from well back in a quick last half. Gets a much better draw today against a similar type field & I expect him to settle leaders back on Crystal Colony back. Thats the perfect place to be at Shepparton over the mile
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Luvu Grazaella ($7)
Was a lovely debut at Cobram coming from well back in a quick last half. Gets a much better draw today against a similar type field & I expect him to settle leaders back on Crystal Colony back. Thats the perfect place to be at Shepparton over the mile
Mildura, Wednesday 10th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Cashwrangs Smoker ($6)
Went super when 2nd 2 starts back behind Starwyn Jasper then backed that up with a 9th at this track and distance last week but it never got out & you can forget it went around. Back to C1 here. Yes.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Cashwrangs Smoker ($6)
Went super when 2nd 2 starts back behind Starwyn Jasper then backed that up with a 9th at this track and distance last week but it never got out & you can forget it went around. Back to C1 here. Yes.
Terang, Tuesday 9th February
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 9 City Sneak ($4)
Even though I've marked it $4, I expect we'll get much better here with the 3 & 10 likely to be favoured but both of those are stepping up in class here. I was surprised City Sneak held the lead last start against strong opposition & the effort told although not beaten far. Went huge, really its past month before that run, hasn't been further back than 4th in 12 starts this prep. Can't seeing it miss top 3 and just needs a bit of early pressure on to be a massive threat to the favourite
RESULT: LOST! Once the fav was scratched I didn't want to be on. Death seated and gave nothing
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 9 City Sneak ($4)
Even though I've marked it $4, I expect we'll get much better here with the 3 & 10 likely to be favoured but both of those are stepping up in class here. I was surprised City Sneak held the lead last start against strong opposition & the effort told although not beaten far. Went huge, really its past month before that run, hasn't been further back than 4th in 12 starts this prep. Can't seeing it miss top 3 and just needs a bit of early pressure on to be a massive threat to the favourite
RESULT: LOST! Once the fav was scratched I didn't want to be on. Death seated and gave nothing
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Masterofthurles ($8)
I always had a bit of time for this bloke but always seemed to find a way to get rolled last prep. Returned to the trials with a very easy and impressive win at Geelong last week when never out of 2nd gear running home in 57.9 (2:00 mile rate). Time Thief does look very hard to roll here but over the short trip it's vulnerable especially if Smoen Pump Action holds the lead. That should leave Masterofthurles 1x1 and having every chance late.
RESULT: LOST! Had to be something wrong. Didn't go a yard!!
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Masterofthurles ($8)
I always had a bit of time for this bloke but always seemed to find a way to get rolled last prep. Returned to the trials with a very easy and impressive win at Geelong last week when never out of 2nd gear running home in 57.9 (2:00 mile rate). Time Thief does look very hard to roll here but over the short trip it's vulnerable especially if Smoen Pump Action holds the lead. That should leave Masterofthurles 1x1 and having every chance late.
RESULT: LOST! Had to be something wrong. Didn't go a yard!!
Melton, Monday 8th February
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Anything For Love ($3)
His run was better than what looks on paper first up & proved that against quality horses at Ballarat last start with a strong 2nd. This is a weaker race & I'd probably double the bet if not over the sprint trip.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten right on the line at an odds on quote. Massive unders and a disappointing run
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Anything For Love ($3)
His run was better than what looks on paper first up & proved that against quality horses at Ballarat last start with a strong 2nd. This is a weaker race & I'd probably double the bet if not over the sprint trip.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten right on the line at an odds on quote. Massive unders and a disappointing run
Canberra Cup
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Chumlee ($2)
Went HUGE against Group 1 winner Tact Tate (sorry couldn't help myself) but his run was first class. Got challenged by Magic Moment Lombo early and then rattled home in 55.1 for the last half only to be outsprinted by Tact Tate. That was the best performance from any of the heat runners. Can fly the gate & looks a chance to lead or find the leaders back. Either way Amanda Turnbull knows this horse very well & he looks too good for these.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Chumlee ($2)
Went HUGE against Group 1 winner Tact Tate (sorry couldn't help myself) but his run was first class. Got challenged by Magic Moment Lombo early and then rattled home in 55.1 for the last half only to be outsprinted by Tact Tate. That was the best performance from any of the heat runners. Can fly the gate & looks a chance to lead or find the leaders back. Either way Amanda Turnbull knows this horse very well & he looks too good for these.
HUNTER CUP
$50WIN
RACE 2 NO 7 MACTERRA LAD ($3.75)
RESULT: LOST! Had to go back early and 3 wide without cover the way the track was plauying was too tough a task. Good run though
=======================
$20WIN/$30PLACE
RACE 3 NO 10 GOLLAHMAN ($6.50)
RESULT: LOST! Went to the death! Not quite what I had in mind!
===============================
$40WIN/$60PLACE
RACE 4 NO 7 BARIMAH ($4.50)
RESULT: LOST! Looked a tired horse. Run off his feet
===============================
$20WIN/$30PLACE
RACE 5 NO 3 KEYSTONE DEL ($6)
RESULT: WINNER!! The trotter saves the day! Collect $291
===============================
$20WIN/$30PLACE
RACE 7 NO 3 BEACH SHACK ($7.50)
RESULT: 2nd. Looked all over a winner on the turn but was outsprinted late. That close to a huge collect. Collect $159.60
====================================
$20WIN/$30PLACE
RACE 8 NO 1 FRANCO LEDGER ($10)
RESULT: LOST! Outclassed
====================================
MEETING RESULT: For all that effort, we won $51!
RACE 2 NO 7 MACTERRA LAD ($3.75)
RESULT: LOST! Had to go back early and 3 wide without cover the way the track was plauying was too tough a task. Good run though
=======================
$20WIN/$30PLACE
RACE 3 NO 10 GOLLAHMAN ($6.50)
RESULT: LOST! Went to the death! Not quite what I had in mind!
===============================
$40WIN/$60PLACE
RACE 4 NO 7 BARIMAH ($4.50)
RESULT: LOST! Looked a tired horse. Run off his feet
===============================
$20WIN/$30PLACE
RACE 5 NO 3 KEYSTONE DEL ($6)
RESULT: WINNER!! The trotter saves the day! Collect $291
===============================
$20WIN/$30PLACE
RACE 7 NO 3 BEACH SHACK ($7.50)
RESULT: 2nd. Looked all over a winner on the turn but was outsprinted late. That close to a huge collect. Collect $159.60
====================================
$20WIN/$30PLACE
RACE 8 NO 1 FRANCO LEDGER ($10)
RESULT: LOST! Outclassed
====================================
MEETING RESULT: For all that effort, we won $51!
Geelong, Friday 5th February
BEST BETS
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 Motu Gatecrasher ($2.25)
Outclassed in the Derby heat last start but not disgraced. Small field suits and maps to lead and set the tempo to suit. Massive chance to return to the winners list.
RESULT: 2nd. Chris Alford does us with a pearler
$100WIN
Race 9 No 6 Franco Tiago ($2)
Maps to lead here and looks mighty hard to beat 4th up. Finished off nicely last start although a slight concern he couldn't real in Sniggihdis. These are weak and came across the Tasman running OK in MO's. This is the weakest field he's met in Oz and simply has to beat these tonight on class alone
RESULT: 3rd. Never again..
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 Motu Gatecrasher ($2.25)
Outclassed in the Derby heat last start but not disgraced. Small field suits and maps to lead and set the tempo to suit. Massive chance to return to the winners list.
RESULT: 2nd. Chris Alford does us with a pearler
$100WIN
Race 9 No 6 Franco Tiago ($2)
Maps to lead here and looks mighty hard to beat 4th up. Finished off nicely last start although a slight concern he couldn't real in Sniggihdis. These are weak and came across the Tasman running OK in MO's. This is the weakest field he's met in Oz and simply has to beat these tonight on class alone
RESULT: 3rd. Never again..
Cranbourne, Thursday 4th February
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Braemoor ($7)
Nice 3rd from a mile back last start in a similar claimer when it was only a sprint home. Looks like being a very keen race here early on and he maybe very hard to hold out if that happens
RESULT: LOST! The 1 galloping didn't help and wont be sacking on that run but won't be on too quickly with the same driver in the gig
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6: 2 & 6
Danman and Felicity Funkhouser both battled out there last start in probably a slightly stronger race & I'm tipping they will again. Hopefully Bad Boy Cullen will add value to our quinella as I'm expecting it to be well supported but it's been disappointing for mine (if you can bet mid tote)
RESULT: LOST! Danman was awful..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Braemoor ($7)
Nice 3rd from a mile back last start in a similar claimer when it was only a sprint home. Looks like being a very keen race here early on and he maybe very hard to hold out if that happens
RESULT: LOST! The 1 galloping didn't help and wont be sacking on that run but won't be on too quickly with the same driver in the gig
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6: 2 & 6
Danman and Felicity Funkhouser both battled out there last start in probably a slightly stronger race & I'm tipping they will again. Hopefully Bad Boy Cullen will add value to our quinella as I'm expecting it to be well supported but it's been disappointing for mine (if you can bet mid tote)
RESULT: LOST! Danman was awful..
Cobram, Thursday 4th February
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Lights And Music ($8)
An extremely hard horse to catch but looks suited here. Forget last start when galloped out and outclassed and had no luck at Shep the start prior. Form was good against stronger in December and back to a C1, gets his chance via the sprint lane today at odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Was a matter of inches between winning and losing on the first turn but somehow Monique kept the leaders back (Don't watch the replay!) Collect $202
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Lights And Music ($8)
An extremely hard horse to catch but looks suited here. Forget last start when galloped out and outclassed and had no luck at Shep the start prior. Form was good against stronger in December and back to a C1, gets his chance via the sprint lane today at odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Was a matter of inches between winning and losing on the first turn but somehow Monique kept the leaders back (Don't watch the replay!) Collect $202
Mildura, Tuesday 2nd February
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Rambo Ruler ($2)
Has been super since moving to the Sunraysia. Last start a big 3rd, even though beaten into 2nd by his main danger tonight, had to do all the work in the death and only weakened late in a 55.8 last half. Back in distance, looks a certainty to lead and gets every opportunity to break his duck
RESULT: 2nd. Attacked in front and left a sitting duck for the fav
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Catch Me If Youcan ($6)
Forget last start at Shepparton when got knocked over late when going for a split, looked to have plenty to give too. Previous start was good against better opposition but its the start at Swan Hill 4 strts back that caught my eye. Was 3wide without cover over the sprint trip and kept giving to get 3rd. Fine & Sunny led that race and finished 2nd just in front of Catch Me If Youcan. It is tough to win from the back row at Mildura but there does look to be good pace on and he should get a nice trail into the race. $16 on BET365 when posting this.
RESULT: LOST! Never got into the race from back in the field
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Rambo Ruler ($2)
Has been super since moving to the Sunraysia. Last start a big 3rd, even though beaten into 2nd by his main danger tonight, had to do all the work in the death and only weakened late in a 55.8 last half. Back in distance, looks a certainty to lead and gets every opportunity to break his duck
RESULT: 2nd. Attacked in front and left a sitting duck for the fav
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Catch Me If Youcan ($6)
Forget last start at Shepparton when got knocked over late when going for a split, looked to have plenty to give too. Previous start was good against better opposition but its the start at Swan Hill 4 strts back that caught my eye. Was 3wide without cover over the sprint trip and kept giving to get 3rd. Fine & Sunny led that race and finished 2nd just in front of Catch Me If Youcan. It is tough to win from the back row at Mildura but there does look to be good pace on and he should get a nice trail into the race. $16 on BET365 when posting this.
RESULT: LOST! Never got into the race from back in the field
Melton, Monday 1st February
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Gozo Lighting ($2)
Went super even though beaten 16 metres behind Starzzz Of Icon (shouldve been closer) and that horse has since come out and beat Mister Wickham. Should be in front here tonight and makes his own luck
RESULT: WINNER! Backed like it couldn't lose ($1.40!) and won easily. Collect $140
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Gozo Lighting ($2)
Went super even though beaten 16 metres behind Starzzz Of Icon (shouldve been closer) and that horse has since come out and beat Mister Wickham. Should be in front here tonight and makes his own luck
RESULT: WINNER! Backed like it couldn't lose ($1.40!) and won easily. Collect $140
Maryborough, Sunday 31st January
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Realy Under Fire ($4)
This is one hell of a weak field. Has huge early gate speed and either holds or take sit. Dangerous in either position against this class. Lisa Bartley can drive too.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped & trailed them the whole race.
$75WIN
Race 3 No 6 Pippa One Two ($3)
I hope I don't put the mozz on it for the Patchings but hard to ignore it's last start. in a 56.6 last half he savaged the line late after a stop start run. I expect a more aggressive drive here today and gets the draw advantage on its main rivals.
RESULT: LOST! Had to work 3 and 4 wide early to grab the lead in a fast lead time but didn't find much
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Realy Under Fire ($4)
This is one hell of a weak field. Has huge early gate speed and either holds or take sit. Dangerous in either position against this class. Lisa Bartley can drive too.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped & trailed them the whole race.
$75WIN
Race 3 No 6 Pippa One Two ($3)
I hope I don't put the mozz on it for the Patchings but hard to ignore it's last start. in a 56.6 last half he savaged the line late after a stop start run. I expect a more aggressive drive here today and gets the draw advantage on its main rivals.
RESULT: LOST! Had to work 3 and 4 wide early to grab the lead in a fast lead time but didn't find much
VICTORIA CUP NIGHt
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Lenny The Shark
Was huge in the Ballarat Cup running ridiculous times the last mile. That shouldve sharpened him up even more for this race and the draw is an advantage. Should follow across Mister Mundaka who is electric from the gate and if he's in front of Smolda I think thats game over.
RESULT: WINNER! Just but was a great win from the draw. Collect $210. $270 for those that got on early.
THE ROUGHY
$25 PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Hotasel
Finished off very impressively from 4 back the pegs in the Ballarat Cup for a solid 5th. Likely to appreciate the distance a little more here & likely to be in a similar position this week. Going to need luck but at around $5 a place looks worth a go.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't get the luck he needed but hit the line strong again. Will be winning soon
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Lenny The Shark
Was huge in the Ballarat Cup running ridiculous times the last mile. That shouldve sharpened him up even more for this race and the draw is an advantage. Should follow across Mister Mundaka who is electric from the gate and if he's in front of Smolda I think thats game over.
RESULT: WINNER! Just but was a great win from the draw. Collect $210. $270 for those that got on early.
THE ROUGHY
$25 PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Hotasel
Finished off very impressively from 4 back the pegs in the Ballarat Cup for a solid 5th. Likely to appreciate the distance a little more here & likely to be in a similar position this week. Going to need luck but at around $5 a place looks worth a go.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't get the luck he needed but hit the line strong again. Will be winning soon
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Duchess Ella
Always a risk to 100% trust trial form but you just cant ignore her's for new gun trotting trainer Anton Golino. Gave Moari Time wind burn in her most recent trial winning hard held in a last half a tick over 56! Gets the gun draw and looks an EW special. As stated earlier in the week, $11 was available but that is long gone now. $5.50 best available now at Ladbrokes
RESULT: 2nd. Maori Time didn't take him too the sprint lane & that was costly. Wins if she gets the run early for mine. Collect $126
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Duchess Ella
Always a risk to 100% trust trial form but you just cant ignore her's for new gun trotting trainer Anton Golino. Gave Moari Time wind burn in her most recent trial winning hard held in a last half a tick over 56! Gets the gun draw and looks an EW special. As stated earlier in the week, $11 was available but that is long gone now. $5.50 best available now at Ladbrokes
RESULT: 2nd. Maori Time didn't take him too the sprint lane & that was costly. Wins if she gets the run early for mine. Collect $126
Ballarat, Friday 29th January
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Heza Modern Guy
He's a bit limited in ability but strikes a similar field to what he faced last start when beaten by the cheat lane. More importantly beat Lagoon Beach home and it's likely to be a similar race position here, leader/outside leader. Although Lagoon's was first up, Heza Modern Guy beat him home comfortably. You want to be in front at Ballarat especially over the short course with no sprint lane to worry about, you make your own luck. Looks to be no excuses here.
RESULT: LOST! Pressured in front and gave nothing. Weak
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Heza Modern Guy
He's a bit limited in ability but strikes a similar field to what he faced last start when beaten by the cheat lane. More importantly beat Lagoon Beach home and it's likely to be a similar race position here, leader/outside leader. Although Lagoon's was first up, Heza Modern Guy beat him home comfortably. You want to be in front at Ballarat especially over the short course with no sprint lane to worry about, you make your own luck. Looks to be no excuses here.
RESULT: LOST! Pressured in front and gave nothing. Weak
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Macterra Lad
Has been very unlucky not to have won the past 2, most recently not suited to sprint laning late to snatch 2nd in a similar race. I expect him to be front here tonight and looks the best bet of the meeting
RESULT: WINNER! Started big unders and Egodan over & gave him a little fright but we get the choccies. Collect $165
Race 5 No 2 Macterra Lad
Has been very unlucky not to have won the past 2, most recently not suited to sprint laning late to snatch 2nd in a similar race. I expect him to be front here tonight and looks the best bet of the meeting
RESULT: WINNER! Started big unders and Egodan over & gave him a little fright but we get the choccies. Collect $165
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Justbritell
2 starts back broke uncharacteristically but put up a huge huge to snag a placing and then followed that with a great run behind the impressive Emmanual. Back to the short course from the plum draw, barring accidents, looks the winner
RESULT: 2nd. Looked the winner...until Gavin Lang produced a gem. Still not sure how it lost.
Race 6 No 1 Justbritell
2 starts back broke uncharacteristically but put up a huge huge to snag a placing and then followed that with a great run behind the impressive Emmanual. Back to the short course from the plum draw, barring accidents, looks the winner
RESULT: 2nd. Looked the winner...until Gavin Lang produced a gem. Still not sure how it lost.
Shepparton, Thursday 28th January
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Crystal Colony ($5)
First up 3 starts back was a huge 3rd at Echuca & with any luck beats Shadow Affair into 2nd. Forget it's 2nd up run when it was looking like a certainty to fill a place but locked wheels and copped a flat tyre at Yarra Valley. Last start was flashing at them late against a slightly weaker field & again just failed to knock off Shadow Affair who is in this race. Gets the draw advantage, has good gate speed, looks a huge EW chance
RESULT: 2nd. Thought Zac could've pulled the plugs and gone for home a little earlier but not to be. Got nabbed right on the line. Collect $81.60
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Crystal Colony ($5)
First up 3 starts back was a huge 3rd at Echuca & with any luck beats Shadow Affair into 2nd. Forget it's 2nd up run when it was looking like a certainty to fill a place but locked wheels and copped a flat tyre at Yarra Valley. Last start was flashing at them late against a slightly weaker field & again just failed to knock off Shadow Affair who is in this race. Gets the draw advantage, has good gate speed, looks a huge EW chance
RESULT: 2nd. Thought Zac could've pulled the plugs and gone for home a little earlier but not to be. Got nabbed right on the line. Collect $81.60
Mildura, Tuesday 26th January
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Shadow Spar ($3)
Thought his past 2 runs at the track from poor draws have been very good. Back to the sprint distance here and looks your leader with only a slight concern Circle Line can cross but I think Emma will have him running from the gate tonight. Looks mighty hard to roll.
RESULT: 2nd. Scratching of the 7 wasn't a help as it drew the 8 right behind Shadow Spar but it deserved to win after being pestered the entire race. They don't pay out for that though.
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Shadow Spar ($3)
Thought his past 2 runs at the track from poor draws have been very good. Back to the sprint distance here and looks your leader with only a slight concern Circle Line can cross but I think Emma will have him running from the gate tonight. Looks mighty hard to roll.
RESULT: 2nd. Scratching of the 7 wasn't a help as it drew the 8 right behind Shadow Spar but it deserved to win after being pestered the entire race. They don't pay out for that though.
BEST PLACE BET
$75PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Miss Tanami ($2)
Thought he put up a super run from an unsuitable position at Swan Hill when only 4.4 metres from the winner. Follows through the early leader and short priced favourite (barring accidents!) and there should be no excuses to not hold onto 2nd or 3rd as I expect the fav to gap them.
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 3 pegs and never ever saw daylight.
BEST EXOTIC
$15 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 1 / 2-5-11 / 7 for 500%
RESULT: LOST!
$12 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 1 / 7 / 2-5-11 for 400%
RESULT: LOST!
$75PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Miss Tanami ($2)
Thought he put up a super run from an unsuitable position at Swan Hill when only 4.4 metres from the winner. Follows through the early leader and short priced favourite (barring accidents!) and there should be no excuses to not hold onto 2nd or 3rd as I expect the fav to gap them.
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 3 pegs and never ever saw daylight.
BEST EXOTIC
$15 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 1 / 2-5-11 / 7 for 500%
RESULT: LOST!
$12 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 1 / 7 / 2-5-11 for 400%
RESULT: LOST!
Ballarat CUP Night
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Jacka Art ($3)
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $420
BEST ROUGHY
$50PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Hoo Nien ($4)
RESULT: LOST!
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Mossdale Conner ($8)
RESULT: 4th, every possible chance
Race 1 Summary:
Expect Jacka Art to stroll past it's stable mate early and hold out Hall Of Famer. With Savesometimetodream working in the death & out of form, I think Jacka Art can pinch some cheap sectionals and looks mighty hard to run down even though slightly disappointing last start. Kerryn Manning back onboard is key
Top Pick: Jacka Art
Best Value: Giuliani
Best Roughy: Hall Of Famer
Race 2 Summary:
Ourboyjay looks an easy leader here and unlikely to hand up. Expect Colonel Joy to work off the fence early and take up the death as soon as it can. Really looks a 2 horse race but Shishi could be a real pest which would put Ourgirlbililee and Major Jamane into the race. Colonel Joy still a stand out.
Top Pick: Colonel Joy
Best Value: Ourgirlbililee
Race 3 Summary:
Zee Dana should hit the pegs first but I do expect it to hand up to Born To Rocknroll. Lazarus wont take long to move around the field to take the death and looks the winner. They are the main chances but also expect Cant Refuse to be running on strong late.
Top Pick: Lazarus
Race 5 Summary:
Found this a hard race to map. Four Starzzz Forsa can do plenty wrong but on his best behaviour goes straight to the front. Does he hand up to Don't Hold Back? These sort of questions are very hard to answer in heat racing but it isn't often John Justice hands up but it's his best chance to qualify if he does. If he does misbehave, Brallos Pass backers will have their hearts in their mouths! Expect Kate Gath to be off around them nice and early and for mine, Brallos Pass will need to be working 3 wide without cover late.
Top Pick: Three Ways
Best Value: Rock Of America
Best Roughy: Leos Best
Race 6 Summary:
Kingofthestars is a star in the making and the lead is his & should have no trouble in accounting for this lot. Hoo Nien gets the gun run with Power Of Red making the first move to take up the death seat. Not sure how good he is and happy to risk with a tough run. Soho Tribeca and Battle Born the hardest to hold out for Hoo Nien to place but geez it's massive odds!
Top Pick: Kingofthestars
Best Value: Battle Born
Best Roughy: Hoo Nien
Race 8 Summary:
Will Metro Mike hold up? Can Major Crocker cross? Will Smolda test them for the lead early? How hard does Mossdale Conner go early? So vital to the race the early positioning and I have to have Major Crocker in the lead & holding. That'll leave the fast beginner Mossdale Conner first to the death with Smolda handing it cover. If Major Crocker does hand up to Smolda then expect Lennytheshark to be moving to the death chair as soon as it can. Could still potentially happen even if Smolda doesn't lead & I think it would be happy to sit on Lennys back in the 1x1 & try to outsprint him late. Whatever happens there won't be any moves after Lenny's makes his so expect the horses in the top 5 or 6 to be the only chances.
If they do go too hard in front, expect Bling It On to be the horse getting the 3 wide cover into the race and most dangerous late.
With some great mobile form behind it in NZ (beat Smolda home in a Group 1 in November) I think Conner Mossdale is the value punt but needs a few things to go his way.
Top Pick: Lennytheshark
Best Value: Mossdale Conner
Best Roughy: Hotasel
Race 9 Summary:
Carmens Spirit is your leader and rightful favourite. Got away with murder early & had to win last start & did so easily. More pressure likely thoughout in this race but still the one to beat. I wasn't that impressed with Kotare Yorks return last start and has to work too hard here. Presidential Grin gets the good sit but is a non winner and Charlies System is a knock out chance if they go too hard up front.
Top Pick: Carmens Spirit
Best Value: Charlies System
Best Roughy: Elite Spirit
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Jacka Art ($3)
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $420
BEST ROUGHY
$50PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Hoo Nien ($4)
RESULT: LOST!
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Mossdale Conner ($8)
RESULT: 4th, every possible chance
Race 1 Summary:
Expect Jacka Art to stroll past it's stable mate early and hold out Hall Of Famer. With Savesometimetodream working in the death & out of form, I think Jacka Art can pinch some cheap sectionals and looks mighty hard to run down even though slightly disappointing last start. Kerryn Manning back onboard is key
Top Pick: Jacka Art
Best Value: Giuliani
Best Roughy: Hall Of Famer
Race 2 Summary:
Ourboyjay looks an easy leader here and unlikely to hand up. Expect Colonel Joy to work off the fence early and take up the death as soon as it can. Really looks a 2 horse race but Shishi could be a real pest which would put Ourgirlbililee and Major Jamane into the race. Colonel Joy still a stand out.
Top Pick: Colonel Joy
Best Value: Ourgirlbililee
Race 3 Summary:
Zee Dana should hit the pegs first but I do expect it to hand up to Born To Rocknroll. Lazarus wont take long to move around the field to take the death and looks the winner. They are the main chances but also expect Cant Refuse to be running on strong late.
Top Pick: Lazarus
Race 5 Summary:
Found this a hard race to map. Four Starzzz Forsa can do plenty wrong but on his best behaviour goes straight to the front. Does he hand up to Don't Hold Back? These sort of questions are very hard to answer in heat racing but it isn't often John Justice hands up but it's his best chance to qualify if he does. If he does misbehave, Brallos Pass backers will have their hearts in their mouths! Expect Kate Gath to be off around them nice and early and for mine, Brallos Pass will need to be working 3 wide without cover late.
Top Pick: Three Ways
Best Value: Rock Of America
Best Roughy: Leos Best
Race 6 Summary:
Kingofthestars is a star in the making and the lead is his & should have no trouble in accounting for this lot. Hoo Nien gets the gun run with Power Of Red making the first move to take up the death seat. Not sure how good he is and happy to risk with a tough run. Soho Tribeca and Battle Born the hardest to hold out for Hoo Nien to place but geez it's massive odds!
Top Pick: Kingofthestars
Best Value: Battle Born
Best Roughy: Hoo Nien
Race 8 Summary:
Will Metro Mike hold up? Can Major Crocker cross? Will Smolda test them for the lead early? How hard does Mossdale Conner go early? So vital to the race the early positioning and I have to have Major Crocker in the lead & holding. That'll leave the fast beginner Mossdale Conner first to the death with Smolda handing it cover. If Major Crocker does hand up to Smolda then expect Lennytheshark to be moving to the death chair as soon as it can. Could still potentially happen even if Smolda doesn't lead & I think it would be happy to sit on Lennys back in the 1x1 & try to outsprint him late. Whatever happens there won't be any moves after Lenny's makes his so expect the horses in the top 5 or 6 to be the only chances.
If they do go too hard in front, expect Bling It On to be the horse getting the 3 wide cover into the race and most dangerous late.
With some great mobile form behind it in NZ (beat Smolda home in a Group 1 in November) I think Conner Mossdale is the value punt but needs a few things to go his way.
Top Pick: Lennytheshark
Best Value: Mossdale Conner
Best Roughy: Hotasel
Race 9 Summary:
Carmens Spirit is your leader and rightful favourite. Got away with murder early & had to win last start & did so easily. More pressure likely thoughout in this race but still the one to beat. I wasn't that impressed with Kotare Yorks return last start and has to work too hard here. Presidential Grin gets the good sit but is a non winner and Charlies System is a knock out chance if they go too hard up front.
Top Pick: Carmens Spirit
Best Value: Charlies System
Best Roughy: Elite Spirit
Melton, Friday 22nd January
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 1 No 7 Dancingwithsierra ($3)
Was outdriven by Jason Lee last start. The draw maybe a blessing in disguise and can return to the winners list here.
RESULT: 3rd.
$50WIN
Race 1 No 7 Dancingwithsierra ($3)
Was outdriven by Jason Lee last start. The draw maybe a blessing in disguise and can return to the winners list here.
RESULT: 3rd.
Shepparton, Thursday 21st January
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Pin Code ($6)
Trialed nicely behind Animated last week. Last prep wasn't far off from some quality animals. Gets the draw and should be leaders back at worst.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Royal Deviate ($5)
Looks to be plenty of speed in this and thats exactly how this fella likes it. No chance last week but was a good winner at Echuca the start prior in similar circumstances.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Pin Code ($6)
Trialed nicely behind Animated last week. Last prep wasn't far off from some quality animals. Gets the draw and should be leaders back at worst.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Royal Deviate ($5)
Looks to be plenty of speed in this and thats exactly how this fella likes it. No chance last week but was a good winner at Echuca the start prior in similar circumstances.
Maryborough, Thursday 21st January
BEST VALUE
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Our Summer Wind ($6)
Given no hope last start. Back to a C1, Jason Lee back onboard, the early lead looks his for the taking. With the fav off the back row a great ew play for mine
BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIEs
$20: 6-7 / 7 / 1 / 2-10 for 500%
$12: 6-7 / 1-3-4-6 / 1 / 2-10 for 100%
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Our Summer Wind ($6)
Given no hope last start. Back to a C1, Jason Lee back onboard, the early lead looks his for the taking. With the fav off the back row a great ew play for mine
BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIEs
$20: 6-7 / 7 / 1 / 2-10 for 500%
$12: 6-7 / 1-3-4-6 / 1 / 2-10 for 100%
Kilmore, Wednesday 20th January
BEST EXOTIC
$48 FIRST 4
Race 5: 1/8/3-5-9-10/3-5-9-10 for 400%
Thought Ardens Legacy was a good thing here & Fleshing gets the gun run on his back the majority of the race. I'm not a massive fan of the 10 so think we can snag some value here.
RESULT: LOST! Fleshing was very ordinary..Had the rest and F4 pays $360
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Gozo Lighting ($8)
Forget his first up run when stuck behind a tiring horse and last start finished off well against Wow Shes Smooth and Burn A Hole In My Pocket. There looks to be plenty of speed early here & there is a chance the odds on pop Star Of Icon will have to sit parked, not ideal for a horse that isn't overly tough. Follows Hoagy Bromacs every move here, should be 3 wide 1 back coming into the straight. Is he good enough to outsprint them from there? At $31 BET365, worth a throw at the stumps!!
RESULT: 2nd. No match for the winner. Collect $60.90
$48 FIRST 4
Race 5: 1/8/3-5-9-10/3-5-9-10 for 400%
Thought Ardens Legacy was a good thing here & Fleshing gets the gun run on his back the majority of the race. I'm not a massive fan of the 10 so think we can snag some value here.
RESULT: LOST! Fleshing was very ordinary..Had the rest and F4 pays $360
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Gozo Lighting ($8)
Forget his first up run when stuck behind a tiring horse and last start finished off well against Wow Shes Smooth and Burn A Hole In My Pocket. There looks to be plenty of speed early here & there is a chance the odds on pop Star Of Icon will have to sit parked, not ideal for a horse that isn't overly tough. Follows Hoagy Bromacs every move here, should be 3 wide 1 back coming into the straight. Is he good enough to outsprint them from there? At $31 BET365, worth a throw at the stumps!!
RESULT: 2nd. No match for the winner. Collect $60.90
Warragul, Tuesday 19th January
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Travtiano ($5)
If I knew it was a certainty to cross no doubt a straight out bet but regardless looks a great chance in this C2/3 event. Been unlucky in much better races than this lately so expect a much more aggressive approach in this race tonight. Last time in this class was a very close 2nd to Montu and looks the ew play of the day
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Travtiano ($5)
If I knew it was a certainty to cross no doubt a straight out bet but regardless looks a great chance in this C2/3 event. Been unlucky in much better races than this lately so expect a much more aggressive approach in this race tonight. Last time in this class was a very close 2nd to Montu and looks the ew play of the day
Hamilton, Sunday 17th January
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Tenovus Cullen ($2)
The driver missed the boat last start after leading & let his major danger past & that was the ball game in the heat. Jason Lee takes the reigns, should glide to the lead early and if that eventuates, I reckon we're in the queue. Has a great win over Wotplanetrufrom when leading a few starts back which is very good form for a race against very average beasts like this.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance. Maybe the extra distance didn't suit but was beaten by a better horse.
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Tenovus Cullen ($2)
The driver missed the boat last start after leading & let his major danger past & that was the ball game in the heat. Jason Lee takes the reigns, should glide to the lead early and if that eventuates, I reckon we're in the queue. Has a great win over Wotplanetrufrom when leading a few starts back which is very good form for a race against very average beasts like this.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance. Maybe the extra distance didn't suit but was beaten by a better horse.
Shepparton GOLD CUP NIGHT
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Upanatom ($3)
Owes me money but I'm going back for more! Looks like he gets to the pegs first & I think Our Missionary Man will be the horse that takes over the top shortly after the start. With Im Dreamin Jonesy applying the pressure throughout, Upanatom gets his chance to get back on the winners list via the sprint lane, a popular place for victory at Shepparton and he's 3 from 3 at the joint!
RESULT: WINNER! Make that 4 from 4! Collect $155
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Messini ($3.50)
Relying on this fella stepping away better than his rivals from the front row here. Has consistently showed he's very good from the stand start and with question marks on the manners of those inside him I think he's your leader. Raced in NZ's premier stand start races previous to this & even though he's he a bit of a break between runs, if he's in front early, looks bloody hard to run down
RESULT: LOST! Wasn't in front and it's near impossible to make ground from out wide at Shep in good quality races, specially in track record time.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Upanatom ($3)
Owes me money but I'm going back for more! Looks like he gets to the pegs first & I think Our Missionary Man will be the horse that takes over the top shortly after the start. With Im Dreamin Jonesy applying the pressure throughout, Upanatom gets his chance to get back on the winners list via the sprint lane, a popular place for victory at Shepparton and he's 3 from 3 at the joint!
RESULT: WINNER! Make that 4 from 4! Collect $155
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Messini ($3.50)
Relying on this fella stepping away better than his rivals from the front row here. Has consistently showed he's very good from the stand start and with question marks on the manners of those inside him I think he's your leader. Raced in NZ's premier stand start races previous to this & even though he's he a bit of a break between runs, if he's in front early, looks bloody hard to run down
RESULT: LOST! Wasn't in front and it's near impossible to make ground from out wide at Shep in good quality races, specially in track record time.
Melton, Friday 15th January
BEST EXOTICS
$25TRIFECTA
RACE 1:
3 / 2 /1-5-8-10-11 for 500%
Soho Tribeca looks your leader & winner. Anything For Love gets the cosy run leaders back and should get every chance to hold 2nd. 3rd looks a raffle but the 5 picked look the only chances to snag a minor placing
$35TRIFECTA
RACE 2: 1-9 / 1-4-9 / 4-7-9 for 500%
Hard to see Hu Hu R U missing top 2 here but Be Good Juddy's nice trial win, backed up by Fireinthehole last night, means it's a huge danger. Mystical Tilly was a black booker last start & Trison is always a chance with the right run but the draw makes it tough. Happy to leave out the 2 for 3rd but worth throwing in if you can afford it.
$25TRIFECTA
RACE 1:
3 / 2 /1-5-8-10-11 for 500%
Soho Tribeca looks your leader & winner. Anything For Love gets the cosy run leaders back and should get every chance to hold 2nd. 3rd looks a raffle but the 5 picked look the only chances to snag a minor placing
$35TRIFECTA
RACE 2: 1-9 / 1-4-9 / 4-7-9 for 500%
Hard to see Hu Hu R U missing top 2 here but Be Good Juddy's nice trial win, backed up by Fireinthehole last night, means it's a huge danger. Mystical Tilly was a black booker last start & Trison is always a chance with the right run but the draw makes it tough. Happy to leave out the 2 for 3rd but worth throwing in if you can afford it.
Mildura, Thursday 14th January
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 5 No 9 Murrunji Track ($3.50)
Nice win last start even though it did a few things wrong. Up in class here but follows Primo Tapia everywhere it goes here, reckon it'll be too strong late.
RESULT: WINNER! I went back to the future for that one. Worked out exactly to plan. Collect $135
$50WIN
Race 5 No 9 Murrunji Track ($3.50)
Nice win last start even though it did a few things wrong. Up in class here but follows Primo Tapia everywhere it goes here, reckon it'll be too strong late.
RESULT: WINNER! I went back to the future for that one. Worked out exactly to plan. Collect $135
Kilmore, Wednesday 13th January
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Fireinthehole ($3)
Trialed well behind Breeders Crown runner Be Good Juddy in good time at Geelong running home in 58 seconds in front. (Mile rate not that far off Three Ways from the same night.) Looks your leader for a very long way
RESULT: WINNER! Geez he was tested by a brilliant Chris Alford drive but still got the chocolates. $135 collect
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Fireinthehole ($3)
Trialed well behind Breeders Crown runner Be Good Juddy in good time at Geelong running home in 58 seconds in front. (Mile rate not that far off Three Ways from the same night.) Looks your leader for a very long way
RESULT: WINNER! Geez he was tested by a brilliant Chris Alford drive but still got the chocolates. $135 collect
Cranbourne, Tuesday 12th January
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 3 No 1 Into You ($2.20)
Ran ridiculous early sectionals before breaking under pressure here last start but without breaking runs very good time. This is a hell of a lot easier here & did beat Tosca Delight hands down on debut. Barring accidents looks the winner.
$100WIN
Race 3 No 1 Into You ($2.20)
Ran ridiculous early sectionals before breaking under pressure here last start but without breaking runs very good time. This is a hell of a lot easier here & did beat Tosca Delight hands down on debut. Barring accidents looks the winner.
Cobram, Monday 11th January
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 7 No 3 Hells Confession ($2)
Has a heap of talent but can do the odd thing wrong. Thought his run behind Union Ally at Kilmore was brilliant, had no right to finish as close as he did. Plenty hinges on the start but if Sugars can keep him out of trouble early I think he can work his way to the lead and be too good.
RESULT: 3rd. Did the odd thing wrong again. Behaves and wins for mine but didn't..
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Shadow Affair ($6)
Was attacked for start to finish at Echuca so tho think he still held 2nd was a huge effort. Should get the lead here without too much fuss and with the fav drawn awkwardly, he'll prove hard to beat.
RESULT: LOST! Very plain indeed
$100WIN
Race 7 No 3 Hells Confession ($2)
Has a heap of talent but can do the odd thing wrong. Thought his run behind Union Ally at Kilmore was brilliant, had no right to finish as close as he did. Plenty hinges on the start but if Sugars can keep him out of trouble early I think he can work his way to the lead and be too good.
RESULT: 3rd. Did the odd thing wrong again. Behaves and wins for mine but didn't..
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Shadow Affair ($6)
Was attacked for start to finish at Echuca so tho think he still held 2nd was a huge effort. Should get the lead here without too much fuss and with the fav drawn awkwardly, he'll prove hard to beat.
RESULT: LOST! Very plain indeed
Horsham, Sunday 10th January
THE VALUE
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Hazpazzaz ($4)
Been outclassed but certainly not disgraced against horses a few classes better than these. Doesn't win out of turn but looks like his turn today with any luck, especially back in C1 class.
RESULT: WINNER! $4 about late and got the job done. Collect $190
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Oils Jay Bee ($6)
Changed stables and trialed very well in the lead in to this run. Has a few options from the day especially with his gate speed and looks a massive chance at what should be nice odds.
RESULT: LOST! Showed no speed & no heart.. Sacked.
DAY RESULT: Won $90
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Hazpazzaz ($4)
Been outclassed but certainly not disgraced against horses a few classes better than these. Doesn't win out of turn but looks like his turn today with any luck, especially back in C1 class.
RESULT: WINNER! $4 about late and got the job done. Collect $190
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Oils Jay Bee ($6)
Changed stables and trialed very well in the lead in to this run. Has a few options from the day especially with his gate speed and looks a massive chance at what should be nice odds.
RESULT: LOST! Showed no speed & no heart.. Sacked.
DAY RESULT: Won $90
Melton, Saturday 9th January
BEST BET
$100 PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Waves Of Fire ($2)
Had no hope of catching Highstead after they walked early & ran home in 55.9 for the last half, thats flying. Draws are reversed here and I'm 99% confident he gets to the pegs first and likely to hand up to that same horse. Cruz Bromac could be anything and likely have to death seat but that pressure mid race should only help. Gavin in the sulky is no disadvantage and looks a moral to snag 2nd or 3rd.
RESULT: 4th! Had his chance, just wasn't good enough
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 12 Sir Macs Man ($8)
Thought Craig Demmler missed the boat last week but considering that was a heat maybe he knew what he was doing to get prepared for this final. They ran a super quick last half on a track known for being on pace dominated (most are!) and he had no hope when Artoc pulled out in front of him and went nowhere (yep the same horse nominated for the Ballarat Cup). You can almost guarantee a genuine speed on here and he just needs a better ride home to be right in this at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Not as good as I thought he was. Should've finished closer with the run he had.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $150
$100 PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Waves Of Fire ($2)
Had no hope of catching Highstead after they walked early & ran home in 55.9 for the last half, thats flying. Draws are reversed here and I'm 99% confident he gets to the pegs first and likely to hand up to that same horse. Cruz Bromac could be anything and likely have to death seat but that pressure mid race should only help. Gavin in the sulky is no disadvantage and looks a moral to snag 2nd or 3rd.
RESULT: 4th! Had his chance, just wasn't good enough
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 12 Sir Macs Man ($8)
Thought Craig Demmler missed the boat last week but considering that was a heat maybe he knew what he was doing to get prepared for this final. They ran a super quick last half on a track known for being on pace dominated (most are!) and he had no hope when Artoc pulled out in front of him and went nowhere (yep the same horse nominated for the Ballarat Cup). You can almost guarantee a genuine speed on here and he just needs a better ride home to be right in this at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Not as good as I thought he was. Should've finished closer with the run he had.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $150
Ballarat, Friday 8th January
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 4 Wow Shes Smooth ($2)
Went super at Cranbourne but ran into a very good one. Worth noting she's never won over the short course though and the last time over this longer distance she was only 6 metres off the best mare in the state. Leads here & makes her own luck on a track she'll be suited to.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & got the job done. Collect $210
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Kimama ($5)
Forget she went around last start. Off the back of a very slow lead time she sat last in a race they broke 56 for the last half. Had no hope. Loved her run previous to that at Bendigo. Back to a very nice gate should position leaders back at worst. This is a slight step up in grade but worth a go at nice odds
RESULT: 2nd. Can't help but thinking we were mighty stiff there.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Starwyn Jasper ($3.50)
His last 2 placings have been first class and deserves to break through. First time behind the tapes here but stepped safely in a stand start trial on the 3rd of January & Kerryn has a knack of getting them to step away. If he could manage to find the front early I reckon we'll be laughing like big fat hairy spiders.
RESULT: LOST! Stepped from the false start, gallops away from the actual start & to rub it in, last weeks tip Hellfire Angel wins at double figures. Bourbon please bar keep...
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
$100WIN
Race 8 No 4 Wow Shes Smooth ($2)
Went super at Cranbourne but ran into a very good one. Worth noting she's never won over the short course though and the last time over this longer distance she was only 6 metres off the best mare in the state. Leads here & makes her own luck on a track she'll be suited to.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & got the job done. Collect $210
BEST VALUE
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Kimama ($5)
Forget she went around last start. Off the back of a very slow lead time she sat last in a race they broke 56 for the last half. Had no hope. Loved her run previous to that at Bendigo. Back to a very nice gate should position leaders back at worst. This is a slight step up in grade but worth a go at nice odds
RESULT: 2nd. Can't help but thinking we were mighty stiff there.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Starwyn Jasper ($3.50)
His last 2 placings have been first class and deserves to break through. First time behind the tapes here but stepped safely in a stand start trial on the 3rd of January & Kerryn has a knack of getting them to step away. If he could manage to find the front early I reckon we'll be laughing like big fat hairy spiders.
RESULT: LOST! Stepped from the false start, gallops away from the actual start & to rub it in, last weeks tip Hellfire Angel wins at double figures. Bourbon please bar keep...
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
Mildura, Thursday 7th January
BEST EXOTIC
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 2: 5 / 1 / 3-6 for 2500%
Flojos Gold won as it liked last start against similar opposition and this looks a walk in the park. Emily Bromac was very good in 2nd and looks a moral for mine to find the same run. Risking Fortitudo from the poor draw around Mildura but it can place whilst Big Bang Raj was a nice 3rd in the same race as Flojos Gold after working hard
RESULT: LOST! Emily Bromac holds out Flojos and that was that. Fav gets rolled & Emily's misses the place.
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 4 No 3 Killburnie Northview ($2)
Im going back for more punishment.. BUT has to be the leader here tonight and actually raced well in an unsuitable race last week. MUST MUST lead here, and if that eventuates there are no excuses tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in. Doesn't matter how far they win by but....... NEVER AGAIN!! Collect $360
MEETING RESULT: Won $210
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 2: 5 / 1 / 3-6 for 2500%
Flojos Gold won as it liked last start against similar opposition and this looks a walk in the park. Emily Bromac was very good in 2nd and looks a moral for mine to find the same run. Risking Fortitudo from the poor draw around Mildura but it can place whilst Big Bang Raj was a nice 3rd in the same race as Flojos Gold after working hard
RESULT: LOST! Emily Bromac holds out Flojos and that was that. Fav gets rolled & Emily's misses the place.
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 4 No 3 Killburnie Northview ($2)
Im going back for more punishment.. BUT has to be the leader here tonight and actually raced well in an unsuitable race last week. MUST MUST lead here, and if that eventuates there are no excuses tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in. Doesn't matter how far they win by but....... NEVER AGAIN!! Collect $360
MEETING RESULT: Won $210
Terang, Tuesday 5th January
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 4 Saxon Warrior ($2.20)
Had a month off before a very unlucky 3rd against some good C2/3 class horses at this tarack on the 20th of Dec. Back in distance, which I think suits, and to a C1 with Zac claiming a concession, looks mighty hard to beat with any sort of luck
RESULT: WINNER! Unders but did it easily. Maybe my market was overs. Collect $180
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Royal Jacquard ($6)
Might pay for this jumping off My Mijito but this blokes run in the same race last week was every bit as good and gets the better draw here. Has enough gate speed to hold out the longshots before he hands up to Whatahottie & you can almost guarantee Thebackpage Scribe is going to be applying the pressure on a long way out. Looks set up for a sprint lane ambush
RESULT: WINNER! Bugger me, 2 out of 2. Worked out as planned & we get the cash. Collect $217
MEETING RESULT: Won $247
$100WIN
Race 1 No 4 Saxon Warrior ($2.20)
Had a month off before a very unlucky 3rd against some good C2/3 class horses at this tarack on the 20th of Dec. Back in distance, which I think suits, and to a C1 with Zac claiming a concession, looks mighty hard to beat with any sort of luck
RESULT: WINNER! Unders but did it easily. Maybe my market was overs. Collect $180
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Royal Jacquard ($6)
Might pay for this jumping off My Mijito but this blokes run in the same race last week was every bit as good and gets the better draw here. Has enough gate speed to hold out the longshots before he hands up to Whatahottie & you can almost guarantee Thebackpage Scribe is going to be applying the pressure on a long way out. Looks set up for a sprint lane ambush
RESULT: WINNER! Bugger me, 2 out of 2. Worked out as planned & we get the cash. Collect $217
MEETING RESULT: Won $247
Melton, Monday 4th January
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Tidapar ($6)
Thought his past 2 runs have been very good against better opposition. Follows through speed and this isn't an overly strong field in what looks to be a quickly run race. Should be hard to hold out late
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Tidapar ($6)
Thought his past 2 runs have been very good against better opposition. Follows through speed and this isn't an overly strong field in what looks to be a quickly run race. Should be hard to hold out late
Cranbourne, Sunday 3rd January
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30WIN
Race 8 No 3 Captain Bronzie ($5)
Hasn't been driven well his first 2 back from a spell from bad draws but gets his chance to fnd the pegs first here. Michael Bellman back onboard a huge plus. Great ew bet
RESULT: LOST! A forgive run. Raced roughly at the start so was no chance of leading and then got stuck in traffic. Having said that would need to improve manners before Im back on
$20WIN/$30WIN
Race 8 No 3 Captain Bronzie ($5)
Hasn't been driven well his first 2 back from a spell from bad draws but gets his chance to fnd the pegs first here. Michael Bellman back onboard a huge plus. Great ew bet
RESULT: LOST! A forgive run. Raced roughly at the start so was no chance of leading and then got stuck in traffic. Having said that would need to improve manners before Im back on
Geelong, Saturday 2nd January
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Upanatom ($5)
Probably unlucky not to win at Melton over the short trip last week when the leader didn't get him to the sprint lane. Will be a different story here tonight and should receive every possible chance from the sprint lane.
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance & they backed it for a stack. Massive unders. Collect $78
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Allblack Stride ($6)
Never put into the race first up but really savaged the line late for a very good 5th. He's a very good horse when right and I expect him to be driven more aggressively tonight. Looks a great ew punt
RESULT: 2nd. Weird run. Looked in trouble 600 out but his last 200 was very good. A win is coming very soon for him. Collect $84
MEETING RESULT: Won $12. Started the year with 3 friggen 2nds
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Upanatom ($5)
Probably unlucky not to win at Melton over the short trip last week when the leader didn't get him to the sprint lane. Will be a different story here tonight and should receive every possible chance from the sprint lane.
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance & they backed it for a stack. Massive unders. Collect $78
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Allblack Stride ($6)
Never put into the race first up but really savaged the line late for a very good 5th. He's a very good horse when right and I expect him to be driven more aggressively tonight. Looks a great ew punt
RESULT: 2nd. Weird run. Looked in trouble 600 out but his last 200 was very good. A win is coming very soon for him. Collect $84
MEETING RESULT: Won $12. Started the year with 3 friggen 2nds
Echuca, Friday 1st January
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Die Tryin ($2.50)
Forget both his runs back from a spell when never a chance from poor draws. Back to the plum draw over the short trip is ideal & just looks better than these.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how he lost. Sprint laned, hit the front with 50 to go and switched off.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Die Tryin ($2.50)
Forget both his runs back from a spell when never a chance from poor draws. Back to the plum draw over the short trip is ideal & just looks better than these.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how he lost. Sprint laned, hit the front with 50 to go and switched off.
