Echuca, Thursday 1st January
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Kentucky Lane
One last last chance for this beast. Keeps having excuses but no excuses tonight. Brian Gath onboard is interesting and I expect them to attack hard for the lead for once here. If it can lead, a great roughy at $26 BET365. Should be around the $15
RESULT: 3rd. Gath gave it every possible chance. Its a cat and you won't see it on this site again! Collect $44
Race 6 No 2 Kentucky Lane
One last last chance for this beast. Keeps having excuses but no excuses tonight. Brian Gath onboard is interesting and I expect them to attack hard for the lead for once here. If it can lead, a great roughy at $26 BET365. Should be around the $15
RESULT: 3rd. Gath gave it every possible chance. Its a cat and you won't see it on this site again! Collect $44
Geelong, Thursday 1st January
$25WIN
Race 1 No 1 Maid For You Lombo
First up here and run 3rd in a recent Melton trial where David Miles restrained it from gate 1 and was only let go late in the piece to hit the line strongly. Had good form last prep and can run a real race here at around the $6 mark. $8.5 on BET365
RESULT: 4th. Led and not good enough
DAY RESULT: Lost $11. Uninspiring start to the year but they were 2 tough punting meetings
Race 1 No 1 Maid For You Lombo
First up here and run 3rd in a recent Melton trial where David Miles restrained it from gate 1 and was only let go late in the piece to hit the line strongly. Had good form last prep and can run a real race here at around the $6 mark. $8.5 on BET365
RESULT: 4th. Led and not good enough
DAY RESULT: Lost $11. Uninspiring start to the year but they were 2 tough punting meetings
Melton. Wednesday 31st December
$100WIN
Race 1 No 6 Blackwarrior
This fella looked set for a big prep after winning impressively first up last time in but didn't go on with it. No trials leading in here, exactly the same prep before it's last first up win so expect Gaita to have him wound up. I have him leading and winning this race comfortably with fitness his main danger. Expect $2
RESULT: 2nd.. Gaita tried to run them off their legs and let the bloody main danger out! Backed off the map too.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Du Vella
Was extremely unlucky not to finish closer behind Delight Me in Group 1 company last start after getting dragged back through the field. Can push forward from the draw and win tough. Diamond Castle the obvious danger but Im happy to take it on from the draw & over the short trip. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Got the absolute blows and $13 available in some places. The site has to put up with $5! I don't care because that has saved one very ordinary day. Collect $250
Race 1 No 6 Blackwarrior
This fella looked set for a big prep after winning impressively first up last time in but didn't go on with it. No trials leading in here, exactly the same prep before it's last first up win so expect Gaita to have him wound up. I have him leading and winning this race comfortably with fitness his main danger. Expect $2
RESULT: 2nd.. Gaita tried to run them off their legs and let the bloody main danger out! Backed off the map too.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Du Vella
Was extremely unlucky not to finish closer behind Delight Me in Group 1 company last start after getting dragged back through the field. Can push forward from the draw and win tough. Diamond Castle the obvious danger but Im happy to take it on from the draw & over the short trip. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Got the absolute blows and $13 available in some places. The site has to put up with $5! I don't care because that has saved one very ordinary day. Collect $250
Charlton, Wednesday 31st December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Hayabusa Flyer
I reckon he's almost back to his best this preparation with a solid 2nd in strong C2/3 class last start and a good win albeit in slowish time at Swan Hill. Gets a lovely draw here and is a sneaky chance to cross early if Zac revs him up. Even if he doesn't should receive a nice trail into the race on the back of one of the 2 favs. Looks a great EW chance at around $8
RESULT: 4th. Elected to go 3 back the pegs? Only struggled to the line anyway.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Its A Miss
Should have won last start after missing away from the stand. Has great early gate speed and Bellman will have it in front very early and set the pace it likes. Only danger being the 10 but Im happy to take it on first up. Expect $3
RESULT: 2nd. Couldn't cross early and that was game over..
DAY RESULT: EVEN STEVENS! Thank you Geoff Webster...
Race 7 No 2 Hayabusa Flyer
I reckon he's almost back to his best this preparation with a solid 2nd in strong C2/3 class last start and a good win albeit in slowish time at Swan Hill. Gets a lovely draw here and is a sneaky chance to cross early if Zac revs him up. Even if he doesn't should receive a nice trail into the race on the back of one of the 2 favs. Looks a great EW chance at around $8
RESULT: 4th. Elected to go 3 back the pegs? Only struggled to the line anyway.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Its A Miss
Should have won last start after missing away from the stand. Has great early gate speed and Bellman will have it in front very early and set the pace it likes. Only danger being the 10 but Im happy to take it on first up. Expect $3
RESULT: 2nd. Couldn't cross early and that was game over..
DAY RESULT: EVEN STEVENS! Thank you Geoff Webster...
Bendigo, Tuesday 30th December
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Cillas Boy
Forget last start when broke just before the turn trying to get a gap that wasn't there. Looked a live chance too when trying for the run. That was in C2/3 class and back to C1 tonight. 2 starts back was good but not overly impressive win first up but did do what it needed to. Leads here, small field so should dictate terms to suit. Only danger is Hells A Coming but will have to be good to win from 8. BET365 $6.5. I marked it a $3.50 chance
RESULT: 2nd.. The less said about the drive the better. Would it have won if it stayed on the pegs? Not sure
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Lems Cameo
Ive always thought this bloke goes better over longer distances and Andy Gath has him perfectly placed in this race. Was very good winning over 2240metres at Melton 2 starts back against a strong restricted field and then backed that up with an OK when 4th over the sprint trip when couldn't out sprint Dazzling Arden. I think the extra distance will be the difference in a race that should have Dazzling Arden leading & Lems following it awaiting the sprint lane again. The $4.80 on BET 365 is about the right odds. I marked it $4
RESULT: LOST! Well I got that horribly wrong.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Race 5 No 3 Cillas Boy
Forget last start when broke just before the turn trying to get a gap that wasn't there. Looked a live chance too when trying for the run. That was in C2/3 class and back to C1 tonight. 2 starts back was good but not overly impressive win first up but did do what it needed to. Leads here, small field so should dictate terms to suit. Only danger is Hells A Coming but will have to be good to win from 8. BET365 $6.5. I marked it a $3.50 chance
RESULT: 2nd.. The less said about the drive the better. Would it have won if it stayed on the pegs? Not sure
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Lems Cameo
Ive always thought this bloke goes better over longer distances and Andy Gath has him perfectly placed in this race. Was very good winning over 2240metres at Melton 2 starts back against a strong restricted field and then backed that up with an OK when 4th over the sprint trip when couldn't out sprint Dazzling Arden. I think the extra distance will be the difference in a race that should have Dazzling Arden leading & Lems following it awaiting the sprint lane again. The $4.80 on BET 365 is about the right odds. I marked it $4
RESULT: LOST! Well I got that horribly wrong.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Ararat, Monday 29th December
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Mad Robber
Went huge against More Than Modern last start when second after racing in the death. Should have enough speed to hold these out and looks the bet of the day out in front. BET365 has it $2.25. I marked it $2
RESULT: WINNER! No $2 apart from BET365 around but a winner all the same. Collect $160
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Emma Jade
Ran into traffic in the final 600 metres of the race in it's debut and wasn't really let down late so shouldve finished closer to the Gun Rockstar. That horse draws inside back row and hopefully a bit of Jason Lee magic can get her over the line at around the $15 quote
RESULT: WINNER! We were helped out with a little bit of luck at the start and finish but you need it in this caper. Collect $283
MEETING RESULT: Won $313.. A wee bit more for those following the email. I should get bored more often!
Race 6 No 1 Mad Robber
Went huge against More Than Modern last start when second after racing in the death. Should have enough speed to hold these out and looks the bet of the day out in front. BET365 has it $2.25. I marked it $2
RESULT: WINNER! No $2 apart from BET365 around but a winner all the same. Collect $160
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Emma Jade
Ran into traffic in the final 600 metres of the race in it's debut and wasn't really let down late so shouldve finished closer to the Gun Rockstar. That horse draws inside back row and hopefully a bit of Jason Lee magic can get her over the line at around the $15 quote
RESULT: WINNER! We were helped out with a little bit of luck at the start and finish but you need it in this caper. Collect $283
MEETING RESULT: Won $313.. A wee bit more for those following the email. I should get bored more often!
Cobram, Sunday 28th December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Road To Rock
Was a forget run in the Yarra Valley Cup. Should have found the front early but the 1 horse drifted off the fence and gifted the lead away to the horse on it's back. Had to work very hard from that point on and he's not good enough to do that against this class. Is very reliable from the stand and I think he'll lead and likely hand up to Flaming Flutter who I think will keep the lead. From leaders back he's a great EW chance. Currently $16 on BET365 which is about right
RESULT: LOST! Big run after coming off the pegs after Flaming Flutter handed up. As I said, not good enough to beat these from there though
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Giant Steps
I thought it went super when 15 metres off the very smart Jilliby Royal over the 2190metres. Simply outclassed but thats very good form for a race of this kind. He's a horse that needs the short course and the lead to show his absolute best and gets that here. I don't expect them to hand up as the place to be at Cobram is in front. Currently $26 on BET365. I marked it an $8 chance from the draw and he's my best ew bet of the day
RESULT: 4th.. Frustratingly got crossed early and ended up leaders back. That leader was gone before the turn and he was never a winning hope from there but was only nosed out for 3rd
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
Race 7 No 1 Road To Rock
Was a forget run in the Yarra Valley Cup. Should have found the front early but the 1 horse drifted off the fence and gifted the lead away to the horse on it's back. Had to work very hard from that point on and he's not good enough to do that against this class. Is very reliable from the stand and I think he'll lead and likely hand up to Flaming Flutter who I think will keep the lead. From leaders back he's a great EW chance. Currently $16 on BET365 which is about right
RESULT: LOST! Big run after coming off the pegs after Flaming Flutter handed up. As I said, not good enough to beat these from there though
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Giant Steps
I thought it went super when 15 metres off the very smart Jilliby Royal over the 2190metres. Simply outclassed but thats very good form for a race of this kind. He's a horse that needs the short course and the lead to show his absolute best and gets that here. I don't expect them to hand up as the place to be at Cobram is in front. Currently $26 on BET365. I marked it an $8 chance from the draw and he's my best ew bet of the day
RESULT: 4th.. Frustratingly got crossed early and ended up leaders back. That leader was gone before the turn and he was never a winning hope from there but was only nosed out for 3rd
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
Cranbourne, Saturday 27th December
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Art Professor
Simply outclassed but not disgraced against a very good field at Ballarat last start. 2 starts back was another forget run when 3 back the pegs and dragged back to last by a tiring horse. Ran home well once out and should have finished much closer. This is a massive drop back in class and for mine Big Bang Penny is the only one it has to beat. It'll lead, where it loves to be, and over the sprint trip is the one I want to be on. $6.50 on BET365 but I marked it $4
RESULT: 2nd.. Opened $7.50 on TAB fixed and backed into $3.80. Looked like it got the cash but that bloody finishing line played tricks with us again and we were done by a pimple..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Outer Join
Its form on paper looks much worse than what it is. Put up a great effort 4th up when death seated beaten 4 metres although it was in slightly weaker company. Gets the good draw tonight in a front line full of longshots. Should be quick enough to hold them out early & give us an almighty run for our money. Currently $40 on BET365 but Ive marked it a $15 chance.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Crazy Dave (POGGAHARNESS.COM PACE)
Was very unlucky behind Regal Knight last start when first up. Had no clear running in the straight no doubt should've finished closer. This is a very tough race but my speed map says it'll follow Hector JayJay everywhere it goes ad it'll get every chance from that position. Currently a $35/$7 chance on BET365. Should be closer to a $20/$4 chance for mine
RESULT: LOST! Pulled out of the race after it took over the driver being burried 3 back the pegs eventually chocking down and falling.. Great way to lose money
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Race 4 No 1 Art Professor
Simply outclassed but not disgraced against a very good field at Ballarat last start. 2 starts back was another forget run when 3 back the pegs and dragged back to last by a tiring horse. Ran home well once out and should have finished much closer. This is a massive drop back in class and for mine Big Bang Penny is the only one it has to beat. It'll lead, where it loves to be, and over the sprint trip is the one I want to be on. $6.50 on BET365 but I marked it $4
RESULT: 2nd.. Opened $7.50 on TAB fixed and backed into $3.80. Looked like it got the cash but that bloody finishing line played tricks with us again and we were done by a pimple..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Outer Join
Its form on paper looks much worse than what it is. Put up a great effort 4th up when death seated beaten 4 metres although it was in slightly weaker company. Gets the good draw tonight in a front line full of longshots. Should be quick enough to hold them out early & give us an almighty run for our money. Currently $40 on BET365 but Ive marked it a $15 chance.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Crazy Dave (POGGAHARNESS.COM PACE)
Was very unlucky behind Regal Knight last start when first up. Had no clear running in the straight no doubt should've finished closer. This is a very tough race but my speed map says it'll follow Hector JayJay everywhere it goes ad it'll get every chance from that position. Currently a $35/$7 chance on BET365. Should be closer to a $20/$4 chance for mine
RESULT: LOST! Pulled out of the race after it took over the driver being burried 3 back the pegs eventually chocking down and falling.. Great way to lose money
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
ballarat, Friday 26th December
$60 FIRST FOUR
Race 6
7 / 1-10-11 / 1-10-11 / 1-10-11 for 1000%
Something Western looked a class above last start and from the front row should be again. 1-10-11 all beat the remainder of this field by panels in their heats and I'd be very surprised if the didn't fill out the remaining places.
RESULT: Winner $159 collect
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Gotta Go Henry
Forgive the failure last run when unable to lead. If he runs up to his previous run at Ballarat, he should be winning this. I marked him a $3 chance. $4.80 on BET365
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $220
MEETING RESULT: Won $269
Race 6
7 / 1-10-11 / 1-10-11 / 1-10-11 for 1000%
Something Western looked a class above last start and from the front row should be again. 1-10-11 all beat the remainder of this field by panels in their heats and I'd be very surprised if the didn't fill out the remaining places.
RESULT: Winner $159 collect
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Gotta Go Henry
Forgive the failure last run when unable to lead. If he runs up to his previous run at Ballarat, he should be winning this. I marked him a $3 chance. $4.80 on BET365
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $220
MEETING RESULT: Won $269
Maryborough, Wednesday 24th December
Before we get to the tips, a big thank you to everyone for supporting Poggaharness. Wishing you a very merry Christmas and a safe new year that brings you plenty of winners! Now lets punt:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Steely Blue
Was outclassed last start but certainly not disgraced at Melton against much stronger. Should've finished much closer from bad draws his previous 2 starts to that run as well so comes into this fairly weak race in OK form. With the scratching of the 9 gets a good trail through early in what looks to be a race that'll have an early burn for the lead. Giving him one last chance especially at the BET365 odds of $15. Should be around the $10 mark
RESULT: LOST! Yep, more excuses..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Dual Agent Tabman
Real roughy for you here punters and lets hope santa weaves a bit of magic for us. His run to finish 2nd to Whats The Big Idea in 1:56 at Horsham now looks huge considering that horse has since won again breaking the track record at Terang. This does look another step up in class but looking through the field, there looks to be around 4 horses that love racing with pressure on throughout. That'll suit the Tabman and he's a sneaky chance to follow the favourite into the race. BET365 have him $60 currently and he should be half that figure. We'll need luck but worth a go at the huge odds.
RESULT: 4th. 3 wide without cover the last lap put an end to its chances
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Steely Blue
Was outclassed last start but certainly not disgraced at Melton against much stronger. Should've finished much closer from bad draws his previous 2 starts to that run as well so comes into this fairly weak race in OK form. With the scratching of the 9 gets a good trail through early in what looks to be a race that'll have an early burn for the lead. Giving him one last chance especially at the BET365 odds of $15. Should be around the $10 mark
RESULT: LOST! Yep, more excuses..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Dual Agent Tabman
Real roughy for you here punters and lets hope santa weaves a bit of magic for us. His run to finish 2nd to Whats The Big Idea in 1:56 at Horsham now looks huge considering that horse has since won again breaking the track record at Terang. This does look another step up in class but looking through the field, there looks to be around 4 horses that love racing with pressure on throughout. That'll suit the Tabman and he's a sneaky chance to follow the favourite into the race. BET365 have him $60 currently and he should be half that figure. We'll need luck but worth a go at the huge odds.
RESULT: 4th. 3 wide without cover the last lap put an end to its chances
Kilmore, Tuesday 23rd December
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Shakchloe
She put up a belter of a run last start. After settling in the breeze early, kept applying the pressure only to be beaten late by the smart Goodtime Marjie in a quick 1:56 mile rate albeit it on a very fast track Bendigo. She was good late against some of the best mares in Victoria the start prior when only winding up late. Has to push forward early (please Bec, push forward) and she looks mighty hard to get past from the death. Currently $8 on BET365 (go EW BET365 users) but she should start closer to $4
RESULT: 3rd. Good run by the mare but just worked too hard early. $2 a place, should've gone ew!
Race 7 No 6 Shakchloe
She put up a belter of a run last start. After settling in the breeze early, kept applying the pressure only to be beaten late by the smart Goodtime Marjie in a quick 1:56 mile rate albeit it on a very fast track Bendigo. She was good late against some of the best mares in Victoria the start prior when only winding up late. Has to push forward early (please Bec, push forward) and she looks mighty hard to get past from the death. Currently $8 on BET365 (go EW BET365 users) but she should start closer to $4
RESULT: 3rd. Good run by the mare but just worked too hard early. $2 a place, should've gone ew!
Bendigo, Monday 22nd December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Future Operator
Did all the work last start and was only just beaten. That was off the 10metre handicap and today comes off the front and the early odds on BET365 make no sense to me. $12? I marked it a $6 shot but it is a standing start..
RESULT: WINNER! I was a little surprised it got handed the lead but it made me smile! Collect $316.60.
Race 5 No 6 Future Operator
Did all the work last start and was only just beaten. That was off the 10metre handicap and today comes off the front and the early odds on BET365 make no sense to me. $12? I marked it a $6 shot but it is a standing start..
RESULT: WINNER! I was a little surprised it got handed the lead but it made me smile! Collect $316.60.
Terang, Sunday 21st December
$50WIN
Race 3 No 8 Our Supreme Guy
Was impressive in winning the heat of this final when leading all the way. Was unlucky the start previous when running 3rd, with the Go Betweens beating him home. He'll be much closer to him tonight and providing the Go Betweens holds the lead which I think it will, he's a huge chance at around the $5 quote
RESULT: WINNER! Got to love it when everything goes to plan. Collect $300
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Arr En Special
Real roughy here punters but I reckon he can run a mighty race here. Got home over the top of Cobargo Jack last start in a ridiculously run race finishing 4th. Isabelle Delecour has won again since and Arr En was only 10 metres off them that night. 3rd up tonight should be fit and raring to go. Likely to end up 3 pegs but looks to be heaps of speed in this and I'm tipping a last man standing race. Currently $40 on BET365
RESULT: 3rd. Haha, what happened to the $40?! Never a winning chance but handy place odds at $4.40. Collect $132
Race 8
$50QUINELLA
3 & 6
$50TRIFECTA
3-6 / 3-6 / 7
Thought Jilliby Mercedes was a good debut despite looking like it had it's chance however had a flat tyre that had wrapped around the wheel. Leads early and likely to hand up to Just Britell who is flying. They should battle this out with Im Supreme the one to hang onto 3rd after racing in the death. Only 3 possible chances in the race.
RESULT: LOST! There were 4 chances apparently!
MEETING RESULT: Won $232
Race 3 No 8 Our Supreme Guy
Was impressive in winning the heat of this final when leading all the way. Was unlucky the start previous when running 3rd, with the Go Betweens beating him home. He'll be much closer to him tonight and providing the Go Betweens holds the lead which I think it will, he's a huge chance at around the $5 quote
RESULT: WINNER! Got to love it when everything goes to plan. Collect $300
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Arr En Special
Real roughy here punters but I reckon he can run a mighty race here. Got home over the top of Cobargo Jack last start in a ridiculously run race finishing 4th. Isabelle Delecour has won again since and Arr En was only 10 metres off them that night. 3rd up tonight should be fit and raring to go. Likely to end up 3 pegs but looks to be heaps of speed in this and I'm tipping a last man standing race. Currently $40 on BET365
RESULT: 3rd. Haha, what happened to the $40?! Never a winning chance but handy place odds at $4.40. Collect $132
Race 8
$50QUINELLA
3 & 6
$50TRIFECTA
3-6 / 3-6 / 7
Thought Jilliby Mercedes was a good debut despite looking like it had it's chance however had a flat tyre that had wrapped around the wheel. Leads early and likely to hand up to Just Britell who is flying. They should battle this out with Im Supreme the one to hang onto 3rd after racing in the death. Only 3 possible chances in the race.
RESULT: LOST! There were 4 chances apparently!
MEETING RESULT: Won $232
Melton, Saturday 20th December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Classy Western
The Classy Western fan club is back! Was super running 2nd to Lets Elope last start. They will run & run & run along in this which will suit this bloke perfectly.. I marked him $8 and a huge chance with any type of luck
RESULT: WINNER! Superb drive. Collect $194
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Savesometimetodream
Lets Elope will have a mortgage on this race if they let it lead but not sure that it will with both Toulouse Lautrec and Comply Or Die both likely to run the machine. Savesometimetodream will follow the fav through and should receive a lovely trail. Based on it's luckless run (although outclassed) in the Cranbourne Cup, is running well enough to win this. I marked it $6
RESULT: 5th. Good run just worked too hard in the last lap.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 10 No 10 Yerrington Bob
Not suited from the bad draw at Wedderburn but is dealt the same horror draw again here. I still think his run was full of merit considering Freemarks Ceejay was allowed to dictate terms to suit early and sprint home. When they were sprinting Yerrington was 3 wide without cover. I expect there to be a whole heap more pressure on here tonight which Freemarks has been susceptible to in the past. I like has top 3 chances at big odds here. Currently $21 BET365 but should be getting closer to the $30 mark on the night
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't get into the race
MEETING RESULT: Won $44
Race 5 No 4 Classy Western
The Classy Western fan club is back! Was super running 2nd to Lets Elope last start. They will run & run & run along in this which will suit this bloke perfectly.. I marked him $8 and a huge chance with any type of luck
RESULT: WINNER! Superb drive. Collect $194
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Savesometimetodream
Lets Elope will have a mortgage on this race if they let it lead but not sure that it will with both Toulouse Lautrec and Comply Or Die both likely to run the machine. Savesometimetodream will follow the fav through and should receive a lovely trail. Based on it's luckless run (although outclassed) in the Cranbourne Cup, is running well enough to win this. I marked it $6
RESULT: 5th. Good run just worked too hard in the last lap.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 10 No 10 Yerrington Bob
Not suited from the bad draw at Wedderburn but is dealt the same horror draw again here. I still think his run was full of merit considering Freemarks Ceejay was allowed to dictate terms to suit early and sprint home. When they were sprinting Yerrington was 3 wide without cover. I expect there to be a whole heap more pressure on here tonight which Freemarks has been susceptible to in the past. I like has top 3 chances at big odds here. Currently $21 BET365 but should be getting closer to the $30 mark on the night
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't get into the race
MEETING RESULT: Won $44
Shepparton, Friday 19th December
$100WIN
Race 2 No 6 Paying Your Way
Interesting drive in it's debut when it elected to go 3 pegs in the last lap only to be dragged back to last on the turn. Ran home extremely well late in a 28 last quarter. Would love to know its personal time. The race looks likely to be set up for it as well. Another Buddy flew the gate last start and should cross early. The 3 will probably push on and lead but expect Big Shot Bob to be set alight early to apply the pressure. If Paying Your Way is out in the opening tonight I expect it to finish over the top of them. especially over the longer trip which looks ideal. $3.25 BET365 I marked it $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Had it's chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 Mo 12 Smo
The horse has tried it's guts out the past 2 runs but you really have to question the drives against quality opposition. Was huge running 4th at Melton last start when 3wide without cover for a lap in M0 class where they ran 1:55sec last mile! I would've doubled the bet if David Moran took the reigns but at around the $15 mark I happy to risk and hope Laura shows some patience tonight.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Ezee Duzit Lombo
Looked a little disappointing last start but the form from the race is huge now with both High Tech Fury and Yeadan winning at Cranbourne on Thursday night. She's not quick out but there isn't a whole heap of speed on this front line especially with the scratching of the 2. Should hold leaders back and they wont be running 1:56 here. Great EW bet. NOTE: Fav is currently still in the market on BET365 & the $2 a place is very attractive! $5 is the right price
RESULT: LOST! Stiff.. Very stiff
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Centonic
Its been a fair while between drinks but it's racing in superb form. Had no right to charge at them late at Swan Hill when 4th beaten a metre in a 55sec last half after they walked in front. Forget it's Gunbpwer Cup run when it galloped away from the stand but 3 starts back was unlucky yet again at Melton when locked wheels being beaten only 3 metres to Bellas Delight who has raced extremely well in Group 1 races in WA since. Follows Lord Monaloo everywhere it goes here and starts a massive $35 on BET365. It'll start closer to $15.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Ramblenroller
Simple rules to this horse, has to sit in the top couple to be a chance and will be here. First up at Echuca just went around for the run and never saw daylight from the backrow. The likely fav Thunder FEe has no gate speed & should be crossed by the 2 and I think then it hands up to the Roller straight after. Looks to be bugger all pace on after that point. At $8 BET365 you've got to be happy (if you can get on). I marked it a $4 chance.
RESULT: WINNER! $13! Thank #%@# for that! Collect $690
$100WIN
Race 10 No 7 Where's Bub
I ummed and ahhhed about tipping this as I think it'll end up red figures but we should be getting $2 opening. Was huge in running 2nd last start against much better than this. With even luck wins this by a space.
RESULT: 2nd. Disappointing
MEETING RESULT: Won $290
Race 2 No 6 Paying Your Way
Interesting drive in it's debut when it elected to go 3 pegs in the last lap only to be dragged back to last on the turn. Ran home extremely well late in a 28 last quarter. Would love to know its personal time. The race looks likely to be set up for it as well. Another Buddy flew the gate last start and should cross early. The 3 will probably push on and lead but expect Big Shot Bob to be set alight early to apply the pressure. If Paying Your Way is out in the opening tonight I expect it to finish over the top of them. especially over the longer trip which looks ideal. $3.25 BET365 I marked it $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Had it's chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 Mo 12 Smo
The horse has tried it's guts out the past 2 runs but you really have to question the drives against quality opposition. Was huge running 4th at Melton last start when 3wide without cover for a lap in M0 class where they ran 1:55sec last mile! I would've doubled the bet if David Moran took the reigns but at around the $15 mark I happy to risk and hope Laura shows some patience tonight.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Ezee Duzit Lombo
Looked a little disappointing last start but the form from the race is huge now with both High Tech Fury and Yeadan winning at Cranbourne on Thursday night. She's not quick out but there isn't a whole heap of speed on this front line especially with the scratching of the 2. Should hold leaders back and they wont be running 1:56 here. Great EW bet. NOTE: Fav is currently still in the market on BET365 & the $2 a place is very attractive! $5 is the right price
RESULT: LOST! Stiff.. Very stiff
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Centonic
Its been a fair while between drinks but it's racing in superb form. Had no right to charge at them late at Swan Hill when 4th beaten a metre in a 55sec last half after they walked in front. Forget it's Gunbpwer Cup run when it galloped away from the stand but 3 starts back was unlucky yet again at Melton when locked wheels being beaten only 3 metres to Bellas Delight who has raced extremely well in Group 1 races in WA since. Follows Lord Monaloo everywhere it goes here and starts a massive $35 on BET365. It'll start closer to $15.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Ramblenroller
Simple rules to this horse, has to sit in the top couple to be a chance and will be here. First up at Echuca just went around for the run and never saw daylight from the backrow. The likely fav Thunder FEe has no gate speed & should be crossed by the 2 and I think then it hands up to the Roller straight after. Looks to be bugger all pace on after that point. At $8 BET365 you've got to be happy (if you can get on). I marked it a $4 chance.
RESULT: WINNER! $13! Thank #%@# for that! Collect $690
$100WIN
Race 10 No 7 Where's Bub
I ummed and ahhhed about tipping this as I think it'll end up red figures but we should be getting $2 opening. Was huge in running 2nd last start against much better than this. With even luck wins this by a space.
RESULT: 2nd. Disappointing
MEETING RESULT: Won $290
Cranbourne, Thursday 18th December
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Greenough
Has been racing in super form against much better and really has been unlucky not to win one at huge odds. Not getting massive odds here but its a nice drop in class tonight and at around the $4.50 mark, Im keen
RESULT: 2nd. Simple, Chris Alford out driven by Simone Walker...
Race 8 No 6 Greenough
Has been racing in super form against much better and really has been unlucky not to win one at huge odds. Not getting massive odds here but its a nice drop in class tonight and at around the $4.50 mark, Im keen
RESULT: 2nd. Simple, Chris Alford out driven by Simone Walker...
Maryborough, Thursday 18th December
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 4
6 / 1-8 / 1-8 for 2500%
Im really keen on Another Safari here but likely to start long odds on. Something Western will need to be very good to beat it today from the worse draw but looks a mile better than his opponents. The remaining places should be filled by 1 & 8 with Super Lenny a massive chance for 3rd. CHANGED TO A TRIFECTA WITH ANOTHER SAFARI SCRATCHED
RESULT: WINNER! Wow, $90 Collect
DAY RESULT: Lost $10
Race 4
6 / 1-8 / 1-8 for 2500%
Im really keen on Another Safari here but likely to start long odds on. Something Western will need to be very good to beat it today from the worse draw but looks a mile better than his opponents. The remaining places should be filled by 1 & 8 with Super Lenny a massive chance for 3rd. CHANGED TO A TRIFECTA WITH ANOTHER SAFARI SCRATCHED
RESULT: WINNER! Wow, $90 Collect
DAY RESULT: Lost $10
Mildura, Wednesday (Night) 17th December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 7 Darcy Tee
Outclassed it's past 2 runs however it's run 3 starts back was very good for a race like this when 24 metres behind Whats The Big Idea. That horse could almost lap these. Darcy's last win came in October at this track over this distance when sitting in the death in OK. Looks like receiving the perfect trail in this race and just needs luck late to figure. Expect $10
RESULT: Lost, never likely.
$100 QUINELLA
Race 5
1 & 7
Almost tipped Superstar Express here but just finds a way to lose & with Thats Rite right on it's hammer the whole way, I can't split them. Should be a $2.50+ quinella and a good bet for mine
RESULT: LOST! Not even remotely close..
Race 4 No 7 Darcy Tee
Outclassed it's past 2 runs however it's run 3 starts back was very good for a race like this when 24 metres behind Whats The Big Idea. That horse could almost lap these. Darcy's last win came in October at this track over this distance when sitting in the death in OK. Looks like receiving the perfect trail in this race and just needs luck late to figure. Expect $10
RESULT: Lost, never likely.
$100 QUINELLA
Race 5
1 & 7
Almost tipped Superstar Express here but just finds a way to lose & with Thats Rite right on it's hammer the whole way, I can't split them. Should be a $2.50+ quinella and a good bet for mine
RESULT: LOST! Not even remotely close..
Melton, Wednesday 17th December
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Nobetterthanthis
Has only won the 1 from 19 but it's a much better horse than that. Wasn't suited over the mile last start so Im happy to forgive the midfield effort. His form previous was good for a race like this and there looks to be pace on in this throughout which should suit. Expect $7
RESULT: Lost! Awful! I read the race right and it did bugger all
DAY RESULT: Shocker. Lost $250
Race 7 No 10 Nobetterthanthis
Has only won the 1 from 19 but it's a much better horse than that. Wasn't suited over the mile last start so Im happy to forgive the midfield effort. His form previous was good for a race like this and there looks to be pace on in this throughout which should suit. Expect $7
RESULT: Lost! Awful! I read the race right and it did bugger all
DAY RESULT: Shocker. Lost $250
Geelong, Tuesday 16th December
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Bang Bang Penny
Had excuses when dragging a flat tyre last start when 3rd behind Keayang Active so a good effort all considering. First attempt behind the tapes in the real stuff here but trialled well from the stand n October when only beaten 4 metres to Jack In Flight, who is a C15, in quick time for that track. Looks mighty hard to beat with a safe getaway. I marked it $4 and currently $3.50 at BET365 but in a fairly open race, we should be gettig better at race time
RESULT: Lost! No easier way to lose $50 than backing a galloper..
Race 5 No 1 Bang Bang Penny
Had excuses when dragging a flat tyre last start when 3rd behind Keayang Active so a good effort all considering. First attempt behind the tapes in the real stuff here but trialled well from the stand n October when only beaten 4 metres to Jack In Flight, who is a C15, in quick time for that track. Looks mighty hard to beat with a safe getaway. I marked it $4 and currently $3.50 at BET365 but in a fairly open race, we should be gettig better at race time
RESULT: Lost! No easier way to lose $50 than backing a galloper..
Horsham, Monday 15th December
$100WIN
Race 2 No 6 Little Lyn
She was beaten a fair way last start but it was against a couple of very smart horses. Should bully her way to the front here and looks the winner from there. Currently $2.25 on BET365 which looks about right.
RESULT: WINNER! Backed in late and I was a little concerned when it took a sit but she never looked like losing once the run opened up at the top of the straight. Collect $190
$20WIN
Race 7 No 8 Dual Agent Tabman
Im not usually a fan of this horse outside of stand starts but his last 2 runs have been full of merit. 2 starts back never got out until too late but flew home when he did behind Punch Line. Last start was again hitting the line strong against a better field than this at Bendigo where he was only beaten 6 metres behind the smart Goodtime Marjie. There is a heap of speed in this race & a couple of head strong drivers as well. I think there will be a suicidal speed & this fella will be suited. Just needs an ounce of luck. Only 7 starters here so I'm going straight out. I marked him a $15 chance. Currently $26 BET365
RESULT: 2nd. Where did the bloody $26 go?!? Opened $4 TAB! A good run but the favourite and winner was just far too good.
MEETING RESULT: Won $70
Race 2 No 6 Little Lyn
She was beaten a fair way last start but it was against a couple of very smart horses. Should bully her way to the front here and looks the winner from there. Currently $2.25 on BET365 which looks about right.
RESULT: WINNER! Backed in late and I was a little concerned when it took a sit but she never looked like losing once the run opened up at the top of the straight. Collect $190
$20WIN
Race 7 No 8 Dual Agent Tabman
Im not usually a fan of this horse outside of stand starts but his last 2 runs have been full of merit. 2 starts back never got out until too late but flew home when he did behind Punch Line. Last start was again hitting the line strong against a better field than this at Bendigo where he was only beaten 6 metres behind the smart Goodtime Marjie. There is a heap of speed in this race & a couple of head strong drivers as well. I think there will be a suicidal speed & this fella will be suited. Just needs an ounce of luck. Only 7 starters here so I'm going straight out. I marked him a $15 chance. Currently $26 BET365
RESULT: 2nd. Where did the bloody $26 go?!? Opened $4 TAB! A good run but the favourite and winner was just far too good.
MEETING RESULT: Won $70
Wedderburn, Sunday 14th December
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Kamwood Caesar
Put up a huge effort when 2nd last start to a smart horse. Leads here tonight and I think he can roll the odds on pop from the top. Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd. Crossed by a longshot early and that was it's chance gone. Hit the line hard though, well worth following
$50TRIFECTA
4/1-7/1-7
Really looks a peg dominated race. Freemarks CeeJay went to another level last start no doubt under the Emma Stewart camp. The 1 looks like receiving the great run behind it & Sinead is a capable horse and the draw suits. It's likely Freemarks will bust this field up so the 3 fence horses should be getting every chance
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $257.50
MEETING RESULT: Won $157.50
Race 1 No 1 Kamwood Caesar
Put up a huge effort when 2nd last start to a smart horse. Leads here tonight and I think he can roll the odds on pop from the top. Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd. Crossed by a longshot early and that was it's chance gone. Hit the line hard though, well worth following
$50TRIFECTA
4/1-7/1-7
Really looks a peg dominated race. Freemarks CeeJay went to another level last start no doubt under the Emma Stewart camp. The 1 looks like receiving the great run behind it & Sinead is a capable horse and the draw suits. It's likely Freemarks will bust this field up so the 3 fence horses should be getting every chance
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $257.50
MEETING RESULT: Won $157.50
Ballarat, Saturday 13th December
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Vienna Eyre
Willing to give her another chance even though I was begging for money after she let us down last week. There was just not enough pressure on mid race on the leader last week for her to run it down. There is going to be a power of speed on early in this which will suit perfectly and I think she can return the money lost from last week. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Wont see a worse drive than that
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No1 Steamed Washed
Super mare who should be primed for this 3rd up. She won the Ladyship Mile (Grp 3) over this distance beating the best mares going around. She has the ability to make these sprint races staying tests so if she can hold them out early & keep running them along, she's a huge EW chance. Expect $6
RESULT: 3rd. Apply 50% to the above result comment. $120 Collect
$100WIN
Race 8 No 4 Guaranteed
I've never been a huge fan of Guaranteed.....until this prep! To think Emma Stewart said he had issues before the Miracle Mile due to traveling poorly up to Sydney, makes his run look unbelievable. Just kept taking metres off the top 2 horses in the land over sprint distances shows he's ready for a hometown cup win. Pretty keen here even though he's short enough @ $2.40.
RESULT: SCRATCHED. Harness racings lowest low
Race 1 No 10 Vienna Eyre
Willing to give her another chance even though I was begging for money after she let us down last week. There was just not enough pressure on mid race on the leader last week for her to run it down. There is going to be a power of speed on early in this which will suit perfectly and I think she can return the money lost from last week. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Wont see a worse drive than that
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No1 Steamed Washed
Super mare who should be primed for this 3rd up. She won the Ladyship Mile (Grp 3) over this distance beating the best mares going around. She has the ability to make these sprint races staying tests so if she can hold them out early & keep running them along, she's a huge EW chance. Expect $6
RESULT: 3rd. Apply 50% to the above result comment. $120 Collect
$100WIN
Race 8 No 4 Guaranteed
I've never been a huge fan of Guaranteed.....until this prep! To think Emma Stewart said he had issues before the Miracle Mile due to traveling poorly up to Sydney, makes his run look unbelievable. Just kept taking metres off the top 2 horses in the land over sprint distances shows he's ready for a hometown cup win. Pretty keen here even though he's short enough @ $2.40.
RESULT: SCRATCHED. Harness racings lowest low
Melton, Friday 12th December
$50WIN
Race 7 No 13 Glencoe VC
Last chance for this fella but gee it's been unlucky of late. Never got out last start and 2 starts ago wasn't driven aggressively enough and was never put into the race. I expect a much more positive approach tonight with the drop in class ideal. I marked it $3.50 BET365 $4.80
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race, again.. Im off the band wagon.
Race 7 No 13 Glencoe VC
Last chance for this fella but gee it's been unlucky of late. Never got out last start and 2 starts ago wasn't driven aggressively enough and was never put into the race. I expect a much more positive approach tonight with the drop in class ideal. I marked it $3.50 BET365 $4.80
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race, again.. Im off the band wagon.
Yarra Valley, Friday 12th December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Ezee Duzit Lombo
Hasn't been suited the past couple over the sprint distance and back to the 2150 metres is ideal. The problem is how far back on the pegs does it gt? I think it can come out quick enough to hold Yeadans back who looks like holding out High Tech Fury early. They should keep the pace in the race and a sprint lane run is exactly what Ezee Duzit Lombo loves. Expect $7
RESULT: 3rd. Every possible chance. Collect $60
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Jadahson
Has been in fine form this time in and certainly not disgraced behind Maximan last start. Hes a reliable beginner from the stand usually and does have a St Arnaud Cup under his belt. The fav is big unders for mine has it isn't a fan of stand starts so the $9 on over looks great value for Jadahson, especially if he can lead.
RESULT: Lost.. Bloody stand starts.. Galloped away
Race 6 No 1 Ezee Duzit Lombo
Hasn't been suited the past couple over the sprint distance and back to the 2150 metres is ideal. The problem is how far back on the pegs does it gt? I think it can come out quick enough to hold Yeadans back who looks like holding out High Tech Fury early. They should keep the pace in the race and a sprint lane run is exactly what Ezee Duzit Lombo loves. Expect $7
RESULT: 3rd. Every possible chance. Collect $60
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Jadahson
Has been in fine form this time in and certainly not disgraced behind Maximan last start. Hes a reliable beginner from the stand usually and does have a St Arnaud Cup under his belt. The fav is big unders for mine has it isn't a fan of stand starts so the $9 on over looks great value for Jadahson, especially if he can lead.
RESULT: Lost.. Bloody stand starts.. Galloped away
Bendigo, Thursday (Night) 11th December
$100WIN
Race 6 No 10 Grininalltheway
All it's 4 starts to date have been against a much better grade of animal and hasn't been disgraced in any of them. The 1, the only danger, is currently favorite however has shown little gate speed to date and even though the Nathan Jack factor is a worry, I think Grinin is a much better horse than these. I marked it $2. $2.80 BET365
RESULT: 3rd.. 2nd favourite gallops but still couldn't get the job done
Race 6 No 10 Grininalltheway
All it's 4 starts to date have been against a much better grade of animal and hasn't been disgraced in any of them. The 1, the only danger, is currently favorite however has shown little gate speed to date and even though the Nathan Jack factor is a worry, I think Grinin is a much better horse than these. I marked it $2. $2.80 BET365
RESULT: 3rd.. 2nd favourite gallops but still couldn't get the job done
Kilmore, Wednesday (Night) 10th December
$50WIN
Race 1 No 7 Blackjack Bromac
Should be cherry ripe for a big run here after a handful of starts back from over a year off the scene. Great run at Melton last start against a couple of talented ones. Back against C1 company tonight with the claim of Josh Duggan who can drive. I think he's better than these even from the wide draw. $4.80 on BET365 looks good odds.
RESULT: Winner! No $4.80 but winners are grinners. Collect $125
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Desert Safari
Not sure how he lost the heat of this race after kicking away at the top of the straight. I expect the 1 to hold out the challengers early giving Desert the perfect sit behind it. He loves that type of run and at around the $6 quote looks a great ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! $6 available on opening but backed hard & a super drive from Duggan got us the result. Collect $143.10
$50 QUINELLA
Race 7: 4 & 6
Really can't split the 2. I expect McNiven to roll to the lead early but wouldn't be surprised if he handed up to Steal The Light who was huge although beaten 9 metres at Melton last week. With a couple of other fancied runners in the race, should be getting close to $4 for the quinella
RESULT: LOST! McNiven held his end of the bargin up but Steal The Light couldn't keep going in the death
$100WIN
Race 8 No 9 C C Chevron
Was super in running 3rd in 1:55 sec mile rate at Bendigo last start and the 2nd placed runner has since beaten Padrisimo at Melton. I think the backrow draw just gets us attractive odds here. Expect $2 but you're getting $2.30 @ BET365
RESULT: WINNER! You beauty! They came for the 7 hard late which resulted in $2.30 fixed being available. Far too good for those. Collect $230
DAY RESULT: Won $423.10
Race 1 No 7 Blackjack Bromac
Should be cherry ripe for a big run here after a handful of starts back from over a year off the scene. Great run at Melton last start against a couple of talented ones. Back against C1 company tonight with the claim of Josh Duggan who can drive. I think he's better than these even from the wide draw. $4.80 on BET365 looks good odds.
RESULT: Winner! No $4.80 but winners are grinners. Collect $125
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Desert Safari
Not sure how he lost the heat of this race after kicking away at the top of the straight. I expect the 1 to hold out the challengers early giving Desert the perfect sit behind it. He loves that type of run and at around the $6 quote looks a great ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! $6 available on opening but backed hard & a super drive from Duggan got us the result. Collect $143.10
$50 QUINELLA
Race 7: 4 & 6
Really can't split the 2. I expect McNiven to roll to the lead early but wouldn't be surprised if he handed up to Steal The Light who was huge although beaten 9 metres at Melton last week. With a couple of other fancied runners in the race, should be getting close to $4 for the quinella
RESULT: LOST! McNiven held his end of the bargin up but Steal The Light couldn't keep going in the death
$100WIN
Race 8 No 9 C C Chevron
Was super in running 3rd in 1:55 sec mile rate at Bendigo last start and the 2nd placed runner has since beaten Padrisimo at Melton. I think the backrow draw just gets us attractive odds here. Expect $2 but you're getting $2.30 @ BET365
RESULT: WINNER! You beauty! They came for the 7 hard late which resulted in $2.30 fixed being available. Far too good for those. Collect $230
DAY RESULT: Won $423.10
Hamilton, Wednesday 10th December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Sergeant At Arms
Wasn't suited at Mt Gambier last start but did well to finish so close. Follows through the 2 favs here and should get every possible chance. At $8 on BET365, that slight overs for mine. I marked it $6
RESULT: WINNER!! Collect $225
Race 2 No 9 Sergeant At Arms
Wasn't suited at Mt Gambier last start but did well to finish so close. Follows through the 2 favs here and should get every possible chance. At $8 on BET365, that slight overs for mine. I marked it $6
RESULT: WINNER!! Collect $225
Echuca, Tuesday 9th December
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 1
4/1-7/1-7 for 1000%
I expect the 4 to be far too good for these. Won a recent trial at Wagga in a tick over 2:00 minutes for the last mile in a 58 second last half. Has raced against some handy types last prep and looks the goods. Expect Seeking Dreams to be leaders back & I expect a better run from it tonight especially around Echuca which suits those up on the speed. Far Away Bay will also appreciate the draw and will settle 3 pegs. Was a good 3rd from a similar position 3 starts back when should've finished closer. I'm taking on the 2nd fav (6) who was plain last start and the draw is a shocker. The 2 the possible party crasher for us but it's an ordinary animal who can't be trusted.
RESULT: LOST! 1 & 7 were legless..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Kentucky Lane
He's harder to catch than Loch Ness but can really put in a huge run off the right run. He showed that 2 starts back when only 5metres off Fon Design after a soft run. Forget it went around at Shepparton last start after being 3 wide the trip. The 1 has plenty of early toe so I don't expect to be worse than 3 pegs. He's just going to need luck to get away from the 1 who will be $80+ for a reason. At around the $30 quote, worth a risk.
RESULT: LOST! Never saw daylight until it was too late
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50
Race 1
4/1-7/1-7 for 1000%
I expect the 4 to be far too good for these. Won a recent trial at Wagga in a tick over 2:00 minutes for the last mile in a 58 second last half. Has raced against some handy types last prep and looks the goods. Expect Seeking Dreams to be leaders back & I expect a better run from it tonight especially around Echuca which suits those up on the speed. Far Away Bay will also appreciate the draw and will settle 3 pegs. Was a good 3rd from a similar position 3 starts back when should've finished closer. I'm taking on the 2nd fav (6) who was plain last start and the draw is a shocker. The 2 the possible party crasher for us but it's an ordinary animal who can't be trusted.
RESULT: LOST! 1 & 7 were legless..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Kentucky Lane
He's harder to catch than Loch Ness but can really put in a huge run off the right run. He showed that 2 starts back when only 5metres off Fon Design after a soft run. Forget it went around at Shepparton last start after being 3 wide the trip. The 1 has plenty of early toe so I don't expect to be worse than 3 pegs. He's just going to need luck to get away from the 1 who will be $80+ for a reason. At around the $30 quote, worth a risk.
RESULT: LOST! Never saw daylight until it was too late
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50
Charlton, Monday 8th December
$100TRIFECTA
Race 1
6-8/1-6-8/1-6-8 for 2500%
Only 3 chances in the race for mine. Little Lyn was too disappointing last start and would need to improve a fair bit to beat the 6 & 8 so will to risk but she'll be leading early & likely to hand up to Something Western. That horse is first up but raced extremely well fresh last prep and has had 3 lead in trials for this race. Another Safari is first up for Emma Stewart and comes into this with a strong trial win under it's belt. Wouldn't surprise to see him smash these. I expect these 3 to clear out easily from the rest.
RESULT: WINNER! In hindsight I wish I wasn't so conservative but can't complain with the collect. $220 in the bank
Race 1
6-8/1-6-8/1-6-8 for 2500%
Only 3 chances in the race for mine. Little Lyn was too disappointing last start and would need to improve a fair bit to beat the 6 & 8 so will to risk but she'll be leading early & likely to hand up to Something Western. That horse is first up but raced extremely well fresh last prep and has had 3 lead in trials for this race. Another Safari is first up for Emma Stewart and comes into this with a strong trial win under it's belt. Wouldn't surprise to see him smash these. I expect these 3 to clear out easily from the rest.
RESULT: WINNER! In hindsight I wish I wasn't so conservative but can't complain with the collect. $220 in the bank
Mildura, Sunday 7th December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Murranji Track
I tipped it last week when it never got out at any stage so forget it ran. A similar field here and at $6 looks a great chance with even luck.
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $60
$50WIN
Race 8 No1 Kilbirnie North View
He's no star but the drop back in grade to C1 is ideal tonight, especially from the draw over the sprint trip. His form against better class of horse has been OK but these are pretty weak and I think he leads all the way at around $3.50.
RESULT: WINNER!! Easy money, collect $180
MEETING RESULT: Won $140
Race 2 No 5 Murranji Track
I tipped it last week when it never got out at any stage so forget it ran. A similar field here and at $6 looks a great chance with even luck.
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $60
$50WIN
Race 8 No1 Kilbirnie North View
He's no star but the drop back in grade to C1 is ideal tonight, especially from the draw over the sprint trip. His form against better class of horse has been OK but these are pretty weak and I think he leads all the way at around $3.50.
RESULT: WINNER!! Easy money, collect $180
MEETING RESULT: Won $140
Cranbourne Cup Night
Im sorry punters, I'm a sponsor of Cranbourne but geez this is one ordinary meeting to back up the Cup.. One exotic for fun in the cup.
$50 Trifecta
1/ 3-8/ 3-8
Really looks like a peg domination here and I'm happy to bet that that'll be the final result.
RESULT: Lost! Paid no respect to Terror To Love and I paid for it!
$50 Trifecta
1/ 3-8/ 3-8
Really looks like a peg domination here and I'm happy to bet that that'll be the final result.
RESULT: Lost! Paid no respect to Terror To Love and I paid for it!
Melton, Friday 5th December
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Classy Western
Finally gets a draw against this grade to see how good he actually is. Looked the winner before locking wheels late last start. Previous starts over the unsuitable mile distances were good. Whilst it'll be very hard to be Lets Elope, if there is a chink in the fav's armour, a Classy Western with a sprint lane run is very hard to hold out. Should be around the $12 quote. BET365 has him at $16
RESULT: 2nd. Probably a poor punt in the end. Had every cjance but never likely to beat the fav. Collect $176
$100WIN
Race 8 No 8 Vienna Eyre
Geez I'm keen here. Went huge in a M0-3 race last start and if the run had opened up a metre earlier it wins. The start previous was again very good behind behind Belicious Lips. Drops back to C2/3 class, follows the leader who looks the ideal horse to follow into the sprint lane.. The only issue here is does it have the speed to hold it's back? Yep, I reckon it does... KEEN! Expect $2.50, it's current price at BET365
RESULT : 2nd. Well my biggest bet of the year goes down. My old man always said, never back an odds on pop from the back row. Bout time I started listening..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $24
Race 7 No 1 Classy Western
Finally gets a draw against this grade to see how good he actually is. Looked the winner before locking wheels late last start. Previous starts over the unsuitable mile distances were good. Whilst it'll be very hard to be Lets Elope, if there is a chink in the fav's armour, a Classy Western with a sprint lane run is very hard to hold out. Should be around the $12 quote. BET365 has him at $16
RESULT: 2nd. Probably a poor punt in the end. Had every cjance but never likely to beat the fav. Collect $176
$100WIN
Race 8 No 8 Vienna Eyre
Geez I'm keen here. Went huge in a M0-3 race last start and if the run had opened up a metre earlier it wins. The start previous was again very good behind behind Belicious Lips. Drops back to C2/3 class, follows the leader who looks the ideal horse to follow into the sprint lane.. The only issue here is does it have the speed to hold it's back? Yep, I reckon it does... KEEN! Expect $2.50, it's current price at BET365
RESULT : 2nd. Well my biggest bet of the year goes down. My old man always said, never back an odds on pop from the back row. Bout time I started listening..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $24
Ballarat, Thursday (Night) 4th December
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Grins Rendition
Never ever got out at Melton last week in very strong company. Should have finished much closer so forgive. Very good in running 6th not beaten far again against strong company at Melton the start previous. Gets the claim here so a nice class drop and the distance is what he needs. The driver maybe a problem as he's driving without confidence but I really think he's the one to beat with even luck. Currently $12 on BET365, they've lost their marbles. Should be $6 at the most.
RESULT: LOST! Horrible.. Plain horrible. Its a tease..
Race 5 No 5 Grins Rendition
Never ever got out at Melton last week in very strong company. Should have finished much closer so forgive. Very good in running 6th not beaten far again against strong company at Melton the start previous. Gets the claim here so a nice class drop and the distance is what he needs. The driver maybe a problem as he's driving without confidence but I really think he's the one to beat with even luck. Currently $12 on BET365, they've lost their marbles. Should be $6 at the most.
RESULT: LOST! Horrible.. Plain horrible. Its a tease..
Maryborough, Thursday (Day) 4th December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Virginia Lightning
Giving her another chance after she galloped away from the stand and lost a heap of ground earl last start. Did extremely well to finish so close. Going to be risky early again but all her trials and start previous to last start she went away safely so fingers crossed last time was a one off. $8.50 on BET365 looks tremendous value
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run considering nothing made up ground but had its chance
MEETING RESULT: Donuts.. Back to the drawing board
Race 5 No 11 Virginia Lightning
Giving her another chance after she galloped away from the stand and lost a heap of ground earl last start. Did extremely well to finish so close. Going to be risky early again but all her trials and start previous to last start she went away safely so fingers crossed last time was a one off. $8.50 on BET365 looks tremendous value
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run considering nothing made up ground but had its chance
MEETING RESULT: Donuts.. Back to the drawing board
Shepparton, Wednesday (Night) 3rd December
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Brother Rabbit
We're going to need some good driving from the draw but it's the inform horse in the race by far. Never a chance at Gunbower after getting too far back but was a good effort to finish so close. The start previous was nabbed right on the line in a much stronger race than this. Expect $6
RESULT: Lost! Forget it ran. Never saw daylight.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Arthur Henry
Very good run 3 starts back for a race like this when it lead and was only collared the last 50metres in good time at Maryborough. The past 2 runs he's just been outclassed. Back in a suitable class tonight and looks almost certain to cross and lead. In the small field, there looks a lack of pressure. Should get every chance. I marked it $2.80. Currently $4.40 BET365
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 On Fire Within
Has been outclassed its past few and not suited. This is a lovely drop in class and gets the good draw to match. BET365 has misse it with current odds $8. Should be around the $5 mark but dont go too hard as it is a very even field.
DAY RESULT: Shepparton abandoned which was a shame because Arthur Henry looked huge value at $5.50. Anyway a $272 profit for the day.
Race 1 No 8 Brother Rabbit
We're going to need some good driving from the draw but it's the inform horse in the race by far. Never a chance at Gunbower after getting too far back but was a good effort to finish so close. The start previous was nabbed right on the line in a much stronger race than this. Expect $6
RESULT: Lost! Forget it ran. Never saw daylight.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Arthur Henry
Very good run 3 starts back for a race like this when it lead and was only collared the last 50metres in good time at Maryborough. The past 2 runs he's just been outclassed. Back in a suitable class tonight and looks almost certain to cross and lead. In the small field, there looks a lack of pressure. Should get every chance. I marked it $2.80. Currently $4.40 BET365
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 On Fire Within
Has been outclassed its past few and not suited. This is a lovely drop in class and gets the good draw to match. BET365 has misse it with current odds $8. Should be around the $5 mark but dont go too hard as it is a very even field.
DAY RESULT: Shepparton abandoned which was a shame because Arthur Henry looked huge value at $5.50. Anyway a $272 profit for the day.
Stawell, Wednesday (Day) 3rd December
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 No Bettertime
Got to be one of the most unluckiest runners going around but it's driven for luck so it's to be expected. Gets a draw today thats suits even though I think the 1 will get crossed early I expect it to leave the pegs and No Bettertime left follow the 2 around. The 1 will be applying all sorts of pressure which I expect to suit No Bettertime. Should be no excuses with the nice drop in class today. Last chance.. Expect $5
RESULT: WINNER! About time, he owed us plenty but today was payback. Collect $422
Race 7 No 8 No Bettertime
Got to be one of the most unluckiest runners going around but it's driven for luck so it's to be expected. Gets a draw today thats suits even though I think the 1 will get crossed early I expect it to leave the pegs and No Bettertime left follow the 2 around. The 1 will be applying all sorts of pressure which I expect to suit No Bettertime. Should be no excuses with the nice drop in class today. Last chance.. Expect $5
RESULT: WINNER! About time, he owed us plenty but today was payback. Collect $422
Swan Hill, Tuesday 2nd December
$100WIN
Race 7 No 8 Itz Dreamin Jonesy
Maybe a risky punt this but I just think he's lengths better than these. He was 3 wide the majority of the trip last start when they ran a 1:55mile rate for the 2150 metres at Bendigo. Great effort to finish 3rd only 4 metres off them. These couldn't get close to running that. The obvious problem it faces is the draw but if Kerryn Manning is fair dinkum here, she'll hook back early and send him forward asap. Should be too strong for mine at $3, which it's currently at on BET365
RESULT: 3rd..Never likely though
$50 FIRST FOUR
Race 8 for 1250%
4/8-9/1-8-9/1-8-9
Dobop starts fairly short here at around $1.6 and should lead and win. Your A Jet was very disappointing last start and would be a chance to knock off the fav with a draw inside it but not from the back row. Dobop beat Bonny Under Fire hands down last start and I can't see that result being turned around. ElleHigh is pretty hard to catch but it's the best of the rest. A small chance to run 2nd, but very small so happy to risk it. The rest are dismally out of form, so barring accidents, I think this is a bet that should net us a good return.
RESULT: Winner! Never losing that bet.. Collect $345
MEETING RESULT: The multi's are keeping me in the game of late. Won $195, back in front for December
Race 7 No 8 Itz Dreamin Jonesy
Maybe a risky punt this but I just think he's lengths better than these. He was 3 wide the majority of the trip last start when they ran a 1:55mile rate for the 2150 metres at Bendigo. Great effort to finish 3rd only 4 metres off them. These couldn't get close to running that. The obvious problem it faces is the draw but if Kerryn Manning is fair dinkum here, she'll hook back early and send him forward asap. Should be too strong for mine at $3, which it's currently at on BET365
RESULT: 3rd..Never likely though
$50 FIRST FOUR
Race 8 for 1250%
4/8-9/1-8-9/1-8-9
Dobop starts fairly short here at around $1.6 and should lead and win. Your A Jet was very disappointing last start and would be a chance to knock off the fav with a draw inside it but not from the back row. Dobop beat Bonny Under Fire hands down last start and I can't see that result being turned around. ElleHigh is pretty hard to catch but it's the best of the rest. A small chance to run 2nd, but very small so happy to risk it. The rest are dismally out of form, so barring accidents, I think this is a bet that should net us a good return.
RESULT: Winner! Never losing that bet.. Collect $345
MEETING RESULT: The multi's are keeping me in the game of late. Won $195, back in front for December
Warragul, Monday 1st december
$100WIN in the Poggaharness.com Pace
Race 2 No 3 Decorated Lady
Loved her first up run against Sparkling who could be anything and beating home Come Collect who has won very impressively since. She's likely to get a lovely smoother here with the one showing no speed at both it's starts to date. There is an odds on pop in Grande Anse who is beautifully bred however broke on debut and lost to Phantom Rockstar in a recent trial, a horse who has been struggling. I'm taking it on. First starter the unknown but it's trial was just OK. Should be getting $3.50 here.
RESULT: 3rd. Never likely. Stuck in the death, went rough around the tight turns and they walked the first half. Not as bad a run as it looked but needs the bigger tracks
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Garibadli
Should be hitting peak after a couple of runs back from a spell. Went far too quick last start mid race and was found wanting late. I expect Lance to bully his way to the front and in the small field, dictate terms to suit. Should be around the $3 mark
UPDATE: Geez, looks like a leaders track. GET TO THE FRONT LANCE!
RESULT: GALLOPED.. Just another way to throw away money..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Little Bit Sassy
Forget it went around last start when never saw daylight. I expect it to be driven more aggressively early here and attempt to lead all the way. The one to beat if my speed map is correct! Expect $6
RESULT: 3rd.. Never looked like it. Collect $51
MEETING RESULT: Lost $149, poor start to the month but I know what I'll be focusing on next Warragul meeting.. A leaders track that is now even more advantageous to leaders post redevelopment..
Race 2 No 3 Decorated Lady
Loved her first up run against Sparkling who could be anything and beating home Come Collect who has won very impressively since. She's likely to get a lovely smoother here with the one showing no speed at both it's starts to date. There is an odds on pop in Grande Anse who is beautifully bred however broke on debut and lost to Phantom Rockstar in a recent trial, a horse who has been struggling. I'm taking it on. First starter the unknown but it's trial was just OK. Should be getting $3.50 here.
RESULT: 3rd. Never likely. Stuck in the death, went rough around the tight turns and they walked the first half. Not as bad a run as it looked but needs the bigger tracks
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Garibadli
Should be hitting peak after a couple of runs back from a spell. Went far too quick last start mid race and was found wanting late. I expect Lance to bully his way to the front and in the small field, dictate terms to suit. Should be around the $3 mark
UPDATE: Geez, looks like a leaders track. GET TO THE FRONT LANCE!
RESULT: GALLOPED.. Just another way to throw away money..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Little Bit Sassy
Forget it went around last start when never saw daylight. I expect it to be driven more aggressively early here and attempt to lead all the way. The one to beat if my speed map is correct! Expect $6
RESULT: 3rd.. Never looked like it. Collect $51
MEETING RESULT: Lost $149, poor start to the month but I know what I'll be focusing on next Warragul meeting.. A leaders track that is now even more advantageous to leaders post redevelopment..
Kilmore, Sunday 30th November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Houhora Delight
Been mighty unlucky in every start this prep. This is a nice step down in class & I expect him to roll forward early and either dicate from the death or in the lead. If he can lead, it's game over for mine. Should be getting $6
RESULT: LOST! Weak...
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Desert Safari
Simply outclassed last start after working early. Back to a winnable grade here and should be crossing these early. Looks mighty hard to roll from the top. Currently $12 BET365 but I think we should be getting $15+
RESULT: 2nd..beaten by a lip. $13 the best on offer. Collect $69.90
MEETING RESULT: Lost $30.10. A loss but the first profit for a month since August. Now for some big collects...
Race 5 No 7 Houhora Delight
Been mighty unlucky in every start this prep. This is a nice step down in class & I expect him to roll forward early and either dicate from the death or in the lead. If he can lead, it's game over for mine. Should be getting $6
RESULT: LOST! Weak...
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Desert Safari
Simply outclassed last start after working early. Back to a winnable grade here and should be crossing these early. Looks mighty hard to roll from the top. Currently $12 BET365 but I think we should be getting $15+
RESULT: 2nd..beaten by a lip. $13 the best on offer. Collect $69.90
MEETING RESULT: Lost $30.10. A loss but the first profit for a month since August. Now for some big collects...
Menangle, Miracle MILE NIGHT
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Gaius Caesar
Strong run from the death last start over the mile finishing 2nd in a 1:54 mile. That certainly isn't his go and I think he's better suited over the longer distances these days. Gets that here and last time over this distance, ran a good 2nd to Mark Dennis who has gone to another level with Shane Tritton. Gavin Lang onboard is no disadvantage either! Great EW chance @ $10
RESULT: 4th. No chance from 4 pegs
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Three Over Three
Has been a little disappointing this campaign but I just think it isn't a mile horse. Gets out to the 2300metres here where it's only missed a place once out of 7 starts at the track and distance. Lost momentum at a critical stage last week when it had traffic issues but looks like getting the pace on throughout here which will suit and all it needs is an ounce of luck. $20 on BET365 is the best value. $10 elsewhere.
RESULT: LOST! Never in it after copping a severe check
MIRACLE MILE
To put it simply, only 2 chances in this if you ask me... BEAUTIDE & CHRISTEN ME.. Yes I know, shock horror! Beautide was simply awesome winning after working wide and eventually to death in 1:50.4. Christen Me meanwhile has been brilliant winning on home turf and returns to a track that he's shown a liking for with 3 starts for 2 wins and a 2nd, That 2nd coming in last years Miracle Mile, you guessed it, behind Beautide. They drew alongside each other that night and do again here.. Should be a stirring battle. The only other possible chance is Guaranteed who was a huge 2nd to Beautide last week but the draw is no good & it's likely to have to work too hard to get close enough on the turn. With that being said, I'm playing safe with the following suggested bet:
$100 QUINELLA 3 & 4
RESULT: WINNER! Nearly got bloused by Guaranteed but didn't! Guaranteed a massive run. Collect $340
Race 2 No 2 Gaius Caesar
Strong run from the death last start over the mile finishing 2nd in a 1:54 mile. That certainly isn't his go and I think he's better suited over the longer distances these days. Gets that here and last time over this distance, ran a good 2nd to Mark Dennis who has gone to another level with Shane Tritton. Gavin Lang onboard is no disadvantage either! Great EW chance @ $10
RESULT: 4th. No chance from 4 pegs
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Three Over Three
Has been a little disappointing this campaign but I just think it isn't a mile horse. Gets out to the 2300metres here where it's only missed a place once out of 7 starts at the track and distance. Lost momentum at a critical stage last week when it had traffic issues but looks like getting the pace on throughout here which will suit and all it needs is an ounce of luck. $20 on BET365 is the best value. $10 elsewhere.
RESULT: LOST! Never in it after copping a severe check
MIRACLE MILE
To put it simply, only 2 chances in this if you ask me... BEAUTIDE & CHRISTEN ME.. Yes I know, shock horror! Beautide was simply awesome winning after working wide and eventually to death in 1:50.4. Christen Me meanwhile has been brilliant winning on home turf and returns to a track that he's shown a liking for with 3 starts for 2 wins and a 2nd, That 2nd coming in last years Miracle Mile, you guessed it, behind Beautide. They drew alongside each other that night and do again here.. Should be a stirring battle. The only other possible chance is Guaranteed who was a huge 2nd to Beautide last week but the draw is no good & it's likely to have to work too hard to get close enough on the turn. With that being said, I'm playing safe with the following suggested bet:
$100 QUINELLA 3 & 4
RESULT: WINNER! Nearly got bloused by Guaranteed but didn't! Guaranteed a massive run. Collect $340
Melton, Saturday 29th November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Classievale
This is a real open race where luck is going to be so important but geez I loved it's run last start. Ran the 2nd quickest last half of both heats after being 3 wide and having to restrain midrace back to last. Was still coming at them late. Will go back from the draw but just needs the right cart into this to be a chance. At $13 on BET365, thats to hard to pass up.
RESULT: WINNER! Bugger me it led & won. Well done Jodi. Collect $272
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Regal Knight
Gains a start with the early scratching. Has good early speed and should hold a forward position if not lead. He has always raced best at the start of every preparation and even without a trial looks a great chance in this at odds. Currently $26 BET365 & $15 Sportsbet
RESULT: 4th. Team driving at it's best but don't think it was good enough to win anyway
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Our Burning Desire
What ever happened in Qld worked for this mare. She is low flying and was super in running 2nd against quality opposition last week. This is no tougher and I expect Chris Shinn to set Steam Washed alight early which should be ideal. $6 sounds fair on Sportsbet
RESULT: Lost! Death seat not the spot for her.
TONIGHTS RESULT: Up and down like a yo yo! Won $212
Race 5 No 5 Classievale
This is a real open race where luck is going to be so important but geez I loved it's run last start. Ran the 2nd quickest last half of both heats after being 3 wide and having to restrain midrace back to last. Was still coming at them late. Will go back from the draw but just needs the right cart into this to be a chance. At $13 on BET365, thats to hard to pass up.
RESULT: WINNER! Bugger me it led & won. Well done Jodi. Collect $272
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Regal Knight
Gains a start with the early scratching. Has good early speed and should hold a forward position if not lead. He has always raced best at the start of every preparation and even without a trial looks a great chance in this at odds. Currently $26 BET365 & $15 Sportsbet
RESULT: 4th. Team driving at it's best but don't think it was good enough to win anyway
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Our Burning Desire
What ever happened in Qld worked for this mare. She is low flying and was super in running 2nd against quality opposition last week. This is no tougher and I expect Chris Shinn to set Steam Washed alight early which should be ideal. $6 sounds fair on Sportsbet
RESULT: Lost! Death seat not the spot for her.
TONIGHTS RESULT: Up and down like a yo yo! Won $212
Ballarat, Friday 28th November
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Little Lyn
My favourite little mare is back and boy oh boy wasn't she driven a shocker first up. Good news is that should give us some nice ew odds. Come out 3 wide and got stuck behind a tiring horse and ended up getting dragged out to last before finishing off extremely well. This is a very similar field, probably a touch weaker and I'm really keen she can run a race at around the $6 mark
RESULT: 3rd. She had every chance tonight. Maybe not quite right 2nd up.. Collect $150
Race 1 No 9 Little Lyn
My favourite little mare is back and boy oh boy wasn't she driven a shocker first up. Good news is that should give us some nice ew odds. Come out 3 wide and got stuck behind a tiring horse and ended up getting dragged out to last before finishing off extremely well. This is a very similar field, probably a touch weaker and I'm really keen she can run a race at around the $6 mark
RESULT: 3rd. She had every chance tonight. Maybe not quite right 2nd up.. Collect $150
Bendigo, Thursday 27th November
$50WIN
Race 5 No 9 Koora Khan
Super win last start albeit against much weaker but the last half time was impressive. Wasn't suited on the Cobram track previously so if you take that out of his prep, he's low flying. McNiven is a class act but Nathan Jack vs Greg Sugars is going to be a fair challenge here and Im backing Jack to get the job done at around the $3.50 mark
RESULT: LOST. Sugars wins hands down....
Race 5 No 9 Koora Khan
Super win last start albeit against much weaker but the last half time was impressive. Wasn't suited on the Cobram track previously so if you take that out of his prep, he's low flying. McNiven is a class act but Nathan Jack vs Greg Sugars is going to be a fair challenge here and Im backing Jack to get the job done at around the $3.50 mark
RESULT: LOST. Sugars wins hands down....
Mildura, Wednesday 26th November
$25WIN
Race 2 No 2 Murranji Track
Went super first up after receiving a good run. Beat home the likely odds on favourite in this and at around $6 you can go EW but NTD in this.
RESULT: Lost! Is it out yet?
$25PLACE
Race 5 No 8 McArdles Art
One outta left field here punters. This fella loves the short course and pace on throughout, He was driven terribly 2 starts back and then just outclassed by better horses last start so a big forgive recently. Likely to sit quietly at the back whilst the Hand Of The King rolls along and breaks the hearts of those up front. Will just need a little bit of luck late but worth a small investment the place @ $17 on BET365.
RESULT: 4th. Didn't go as quick as I expected in the first lap but ran home OK.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50. Next
Race 2 No 2 Murranji Track
Went super first up after receiving a good run. Beat home the likely odds on favourite in this and at around $6 you can go EW but NTD in this.
RESULT: Lost! Is it out yet?
$25PLACE
Race 5 No 8 McArdles Art
One outta left field here punters. This fella loves the short course and pace on throughout, He was driven terribly 2 starts back and then just outclassed by better horses last start so a big forgive recently. Likely to sit quietly at the back whilst the Hand Of The King rolls along and breaks the hearts of those up front. Will just need a little bit of luck late but worth a small investment the place @ $17 on BET365.
RESULT: 4th. Didn't go as quick as I expected in the first lap but ran home OK.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50. Next
Terang, Tuesday 25th November
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Ruthless And More
Is a 16 start maiden but id way over the odds here. Was HUGE in running 3rd 2 starts but when in the death seat. Should have probably won considering it locked wheel before the turn losing close to 15 metres. The horse running 2nd in that race was Grinning Dollar who has won 3 on the trot since. Last start was outclassed but not disgraced behind the flying Givemeaspell. This is a weak race and the odds on favourite has a massive question mark against it. At $31 BET365, it's the best roughy going around. Should be closer to $15.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Cobargo Jack
Forget last start when restrained at the start and race extremely rough for the majority of the last lap before galloping. Obviously didn't appreciate being restrained but from the gun draw tonight expect the handle bars to be down & he will be rolling throughout. Both it's main dangers race best from the death & hard to see them outstay him from that position if rolls along as expected. Currently $3.20 on Bet365 I think it'll start closer to $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Easy money! Collect $250
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Kiwi Rage
Been racing against much better horses than what he meets tonight and is a risky bet here considering it's been out of form for a period of time but even at 80% of its best goes close against these. Simply outclassed last start nut the start previous was good enough to win this. I expect the 2 to lead and hold it whilst Blue Seelster sits in the death. Both should cut at each other here and I expect the swoopers to be right in this late. At $35 on BET365 its worth the risk as I marked it a $12 shot
RESULT: LOST! Driven for luck and got none. Never a realistic chance from 4 pegs though
MEETING RESULT: Won $120
Race 3 No 5 Ruthless And More
Is a 16 start maiden but id way over the odds here. Was HUGE in running 3rd 2 starts but when in the death seat. Should have probably won considering it locked wheel before the turn losing close to 15 metres. The horse running 2nd in that race was Grinning Dollar who has won 3 on the trot since. Last start was outclassed but not disgraced behind the flying Givemeaspell. This is a weak race and the odds on favourite has a massive question mark against it. At $31 BET365, it's the best roughy going around. Should be closer to $15.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Cobargo Jack
Forget last start when restrained at the start and race extremely rough for the majority of the last lap before galloping. Obviously didn't appreciate being restrained but from the gun draw tonight expect the handle bars to be down & he will be rolling throughout. Both it's main dangers race best from the death & hard to see them outstay him from that position if rolls along as expected. Currently $3.20 on Bet365 I think it'll start closer to $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Easy money! Collect $250
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Kiwi Rage
Been racing against much better horses than what he meets tonight and is a risky bet here considering it's been out of form for a period of time but even at 80% of its best goes close against these. Simply outclassed last start nut the start previous was good enough to win this. I expect the 2 to lead and hold it whilst Blue Seelster sits in the death. Both should cut at each other here and I expect the swoopers to be right in this late. At $35 on BET365 its worth the risk as I marked it a $12 shot
RESULT: LOST! Driven for luck and got none. Never a realistic chance from 4 pegs though
MEETING RESULT: Won $120
Charlton, Monday 24th November
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Virginia Lightning
Has been racing extremely well against better in it's last 3 races. Her last stand start run she came off 20metres and had to overcome so traffic issues early before a stop start finish with no clear room late behind Racer. She should've finished much closer. She gets well in the handicap here starting from the front and from both her stand start runs, she's started very quickly. I think she leads here and look mighty hard to run down. Currently $4.80 on BET365 is overs. She'll start closer to $3.50
RESULT: 4th.. Galloped at the tart at that was that. Big run though..
Race 7 No 1 Virginia Lightning
Has been racing extremely well against better in it's last 3 races. Her last stand start run she came off 20metres and had to overcome so traffic issues early before a stop start finish with no clear room late behind Racer. She should've finished much closer. She gets well in the handicap here starting from the front and from both her stand start runs, she's started very quickly. I think she leads here and look mighty hard to run down. Currently $4.80 on BET365 is overs. She'll start closer to $3.50
RESULT: 4th.. Galloped at the tart at that was that. Big run though..
Gunbower Cup, Sunday 23rd November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Bonny Under Fire
Ran times that a C0 mare shouldn't run in winning at Mildura a fortnight ago. She is versatile so even though she wont be leading here, she'll settle nice and close. Both Beach Shack & Lies (the 2 favs) return from a spell so if they are a little fat, Bonny is a huge chance. Currently $8.50 on BET365 but I think she'll start closer to $6
RESULT: 4th. A little unlucky but not sure she was traveling well enough to win
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Carramar Chief
Forget it's last run. Got fired up straight after the start and didn't enjoy being inbetween horses the last lap over the sprint distance. Back to the front row, over a distance he's performed best at, I think he can lead all the way @ $4
RESULT: 2nd. Handed up the lead and in the end that was it's downfall with the leader folding in its lap.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Race 4 No 3 Bonny Under Fire
Ran times that a C0 mare shouldn't run in winning at Mildura a fortnight ago. She is versatile so even though she wont be leading here, she'll settle nice and close. Both Beach Shack & Lies (the 2 favs) return from a spell so if they are a little fat, Bonny is a huge chance. Currently $8.50 on BET365 but I think she'll start closer to $6
RESULT: 4th. A little unlucky but not sure she was traveling well enough to win
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Carramar Chief
Forget it's last run. Got fired up straight after the start and didn't enjoy being inbetween horses the last lap over the sprint distance. Back to the front row, over a distance he's performed best at, I think he can lead all the way @ $4
RESULT: 2nd. Handed up the lead and in the end that was it's downfall with the leader folding in its lap.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Cranbourne, Saturday 22nd November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Royal Knockout
$18 on BET365. Should be half that. Trialed well and looks like getting every chance
RESULT: 4th. No where near good enough
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Summer Wind
Going to need a bit of luck but loves the short course. Stiff not to finish closer last start in a very quick time for the class & track. $12 on BET365
RESULT: Lost! Looked a chance on the turn but didn't finish off as expected
$100WIN
Race 6 No 11 Big Bang Leonard
Might've turned the corner. Very impressive first up but did lead. Having said that this is probably the same class if not slightly weaker. Hard seeing him being rolled. $3.60 on BET365. Start way shorter than than.. I expect $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! Easy money Johnny!! Collect $240
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No10 Royal Witness
To put it simply, this bloke flies fresh. 4 first up runs for 3 wins. The only time he lost was because he never saw daylight and was a moral beaten. At his best he crushes these however was scratched from a race around a month ago with a small problem. No doubt the Dournauf's would have him right otherwise he wouldnt be here as they just dont risk their horses. I think we should be getting $6+ here. $7.5 on BET365.
RESULT: 2nd. Not a bad run but was never winning. Collect $90
MEETING RESULT: Won $80
Race 1 No 1 Royal Knockout
$18 on BET365. Should be half that. Trialed well and looks like getting every chance
RESULT: 4th. No where near good enough
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Summer Wind
Going to need a bit of luck but loves the short course. Stiff not to finish closer last start in a very quick time for the class & track. $12 on BET365
RESULT: Lost! Looked a chance on the turn but didn't finish off as expected
$100WIN
Race 6 No 11 Big Bang Leonard
Might've turned the corner. Very impressive first up but did lead. Having said that this is probably the same class if not slightly weaker. Hard seeing him being rolled. $3.60 on BET365. Start way shorter than than.. I expect $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! Easy money Johnny!! Collect $240
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No10 Royal Witness
To put it simply, this bloke flies fresh. 4 first up runs for 3 wins. The only time he lost was because he never saw daylight and was a moral beaten. At his best he crushes these however was scratched from a race around a month ago with a small problem. No doubt the Dournauf's would have him right otherwise he wouldnt be here as they just dont risk their horses. I think we should be getting $6+ here. $7.5 on BET365.
RESULT: 2nd. Not a bad run but was never winning. Collect $90
MEETING RESULT: Won $80
Melton, Friday 21st November
LAY OF THE NIGHT
Race 1 Call Me Bond: $2.75? Not going to lead, if it goes forward it's the death seat but will have to work real hard to get it. If it goes back, better swoopers in the race than it. NOOOOOOO
RESULT: 3rd. Actually got a nice sit thanks to a good bit of driving from Jack but wasnt good enough.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Glencoe VC
Not many inform horses going around not winning but this bloke would take 1st prize for that award if there was one. Has been super doing a power of work in all his 3 runs this prep and it's likely it'll have to work fairly hard here BUT I think Sugars will get to the death seat cheaply tonight after the dust settles and @ $7 on Sportsbet, by far my best EW of the night
RESULT: Lost! Frustrating.. It's a death seat horse but never pushed forward early to take that position.. Kept plugging away out wide but never a chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Lord Monaloo
Great first up win at Geelong after doing a power of work. Followed that up with a huge 3rd in the St Arnaud Cup after racing in the death then back in the winners stall after getting a beautiful cart into the race against better than these. The shorter distance holds no fears and Im not sure why it's $11 on Sportsbet despite the draw. Looks to be a heap of speed on early with Magnificent Art probably the fastest beginner in the state. If he crosses the charge will be on to take it off him & all the speed will only help the Lord. Almost went the full EW bet but at the odds we can halve the risk
UPDATE @ 5pm: Into $6.50.. We got the value now just need the result!
RESULT: 2nd.. Of course. Had to come 3 wide without cover but was n match for Manuka Man.. Hasn't that beast improved.. Collect $43.80
$50TRIFECTA
Race 7
5/1-8/1-8
Maximan rolls to the lead & I think Wartime Sweetheart will do enough to hold it's back with Tandias Bromac 3 pegs. Drivers won't be keen to test Maximan from the death so I cant see a heap of pressure on which will set it up for a peg domination. Wartime Sweetheart doesn't race as well when used up early so Tandia's is a chance to knock it off late but I cant see either beating the fav
RESULT: WINNER! We got the result, just! Collect $157.50
MEETING RESULT: Lost $48.70
Race 1 Call Me Bond: $2.75? Not going to lead, if it goes forward it's the death seat but will have to work real hard to get it. If it goes back, better swoopers in the race than it. NOOOOOOO
RESULT: 3rd. Actually got a nice sit thanks to a good bit of driving from Jack but wasnt good enough.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Glencoe VC
Not many inform horses going around not winning but this bloke would take 1st prize for that award if there was one. Has been super doing a power of work in all his 3 runs this prep and it's likely it'll have to work fairly hard here BUT I think Sugars will get to the death seat cheaply tonight after the dust settles and @ $7 on Sportsbet, by far my best EW of the night
RESULT: Lost! Frustrating.. It's a death seat horse but never pushed forward early to take that position.. Kept plugging away out wide but never a chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Lord Monaloo
Great first up win at Geelong after doing a power of work. Followed that up with a huge 3rd in the St Arnaud Cup after racing in the death then back in the winners stall after getting a beautiful cart into the race against better than these. The shorter distance holds no fears and Im not sure why it's $11 on Sportsbet despite the draw. Looks to be a heap of speed on early with Magnificent Art probably the fastest beginner in the state. If he crosses the charge will be on to take it off him & all the speed will only help the Lord. Almost went the full EW bet but at the odds we can halve the risk
UPDATE @ 5pm: Into $6.50.. We got the value now just need the result!
RESULT: 2nd.. Of course. Had to come 3 wide without cover but was n match for Manuka Man.. Hasn't that beast improved.. Collect $43.80
$50TRIFECTA
Race 7
5/1-8/1-8
Maximan rolls to the lead & I think Wartime Sweetheart will do enough to hold it's back with Tandias Bromac 3 pegs. Drivers won't be keen to test Maximan from the death so I cant see a heap of pressure on which will set it up for a peg domination. Wartime Sweetheart doesn't race as well when used up early so Tandia's is a chance to knock it off late but I cant see either beating the fav
RESULT: WINNER! We got the result, just! Collect $157.50
MEETING RESULT: Lost $48.70
Kilmore, Thursday 20th November
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Yerrington Bob
Expect $5. Good draw, should be leaders back. Looks to be constant pressure in the race. I reckon it'll have every chance in the sprint lane
RESULT: 2nd. Big run but no chance after the lead changed hands 3 times! Weird race but something back. Collect $108
$50WIN
Race 7 No 3 Broadway Play
EXPECT $3.50. Flying. Ran Yankee Rockstar to 1.5metres 3 starts back & has been very impressive since. Will lead with my only concern the slight jump up in class. Times say it can win.
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance, not up to these
$100WIN
Race 8 No 7 Koora Khan
Expect $2.50. Forget last start & have faith in Nathan Jack! Track should suit too.
RESULT: WINNER!! Thats the way you like them to win. Collect $290
MEETING RESULT: Won $148
Race 5 No 8 Yerrington Bob
Expect $5. Good draw, should be leaders back. Looks to be constant pressure in the race. I reckon it'll have every chance in the sprint lane
RESULT: 2nd. Big run but no chance after the lead changed hands 3 times! Weird race but something back. Collect $108
$50WIN
Race 7 No 3 Broadway Play
EXPECT $3.50. Flying. Ran Yankee Rockstar to 1.5metres 3 starts back & has been very impressive since. Will lead with my only concern the slight jump up in class. Times say it can win.
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance, not up to these
$100WIN
Race 8 No 7 Koora Khan
Expect $2.50. Forget last start & have faith in Nathan Jack! Track should suit too.
RESULT: WINNER!! Thats the way you like them to win. Collect $290
MEETING RESULT: Won $148
Mildura, Wednesday 19th November
$50TRIFECTA
Race 5
2/ 4-7/ 4-7-10
Hand of the King a good thing here with the 7 hard on it's back & Colada Mack likely to death seat. Going to be hard for the 10 to get in front of those from the back row some Im happy to risk
RESULT: LOST! Always going to run 2nd after I said that the 10...
Race 5
2/ 4-7/ 4-7-10
Hand of the King a good thing here with the 7 hard on it's back & Colada Mack likely to death seat. Going to be hard for the 10 to get in front of those from the back row some Im happy to risk
RESULT: LOST! Always going to run 2nd after I said that the 10...
Geelong, Tuesday 18th November
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Cheyenne Warrior
Nothing wrong with his effort last start. After working hard early, took a sit 1x1 and battled away late to not be beaten far in 5th place. This is a similar class of horse tonight and should be able to get a cheap run early on the 1's back and in a race that looks to have plenty of pace, it'll be hard to hold out along the sprint lane @ around $8
UPDATE @ 6:45PM: I've failed harness tipping 101 punters. Didn't realise this was a stand start. I'd advise half the outlay if you haven't punted yet. It's never had a start behind the tapes on Oz soil but was 0/2 in NZ. Fingers crossed for a safe getaway & the 8 draw from the stand is still ok.
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up where Id hope in running but wasn't good enough. Collect $117
Race 7 No 8 Cheyenne Warrior
Nothing wrong with his effort last start. After working hard early, took a sit 1x1 and battled away late to not be beaten far in 5th place. This is a similar class of horse tonight and should be able to get a cheap run early on the 1's back and in a race that looks to have plenty of pace, it'll be hard to hold out along the sprint lane @ around $8
UPDATE @ 6:45PM: I've failed harness tipping 101 punters. Didn't realise this was a stand start. I'd advise half the outlay if you haven't punted yet. It's never had a start behind the tapes on Oz soil but was 0/2 in NZ. Fingers crossed for a safe getaway & the 8 draw from the stand is still ok.
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up where Id hope in running but wasn't good enough. Collect $117
Horsham, Monday 17th November
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Shaka Moment
Was super in running 2nd last start when beaten by a better horse after leading. Should get the lead on a platter today and if anything this field is weaker. Looks mighty hard to roll on a track known for suiting leaders. Expect $2.50
RESULT: 4th. Weak weak weak...
$50TRIFECTA
Race 1
Roving Banker: 1 into 4-6-8
Looks a race void of chances but if there is a danger to the 1 it's the 8.
RESULT: Banker finishes 4th but we were knocked out by the first starter at huge odds anyway
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Whats The Big Idea
Been racing super for David Drury against better than these lately and look well suited even from the draw today. Was a very close 2nd to Znana who was a strong winner on Saturday night against strong opposition and then followed that up with another strong placing behind inform horse Dalgati Image and Hand Of The King. Should push forward from the draw today and I think from the death seat is the horse to beat at around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Thats more like it.. Easy winner. Collect $190
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Volatile Girl
Gets a lovely little drop in class today after some OK performances against C2/3 class, her best run behind Znana & Whats The Big Idea 2 starts back. That sort of form stacks up extremely well against this class. Matty Craven just needs to get her into the race at the right time. Expect $8
RESULT: 2ND, Every possible chance. Collect $60
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
Race 1 No 1 Shaka Moment
Was super in running 2nd last start when beaten by a better horse after leading. Should get the lead on a platter today and if anything this field is weaker. Looks mighty hard to roll on a track known for suiting leaders. Expect $2.50
RESULT: 4th. Weak weak weak...
$50TRIFECTA
Race 1
Roving Banker: 1 into 4-6-8
Looks a race void of chances but if there is a danger to the 1 it's the 8.
RESULT: Banker finishes 4th but we were knocked out by the first starter at huge odds anyway
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Whats The Big Idea
Been racing super for David Drury against better than these lately and look well suited even from the draw today. Was a very close 2nd to Znana who was a strong winner on Saturday night against strong opposition and then followed that up with another strong placing behind inform horse Dalgati Image and Hand Of The King. Should push forward from the draw today and I think from the death seat is the horse to beat at around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Thats more like it.. Easy winner. Collect $190
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Volatile Girl
Gets a lovely little drop in class today after some OK performances against C2/3 class, her best run behind Znana & Whats The Big Idea 2 starts back. That sort of form stacks up extremely well against this class. Matty Craven just needs to get her into the race at the right time. Expect $8
RESULT: 2ND, Every possible chance. Collect $60
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
Shepparton, Sunday 16th November
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 11 Kentucky Lane
A real stab in the dark this but I've loved it's last couple of runs, especially 2 starts ago when beating the fav and 2nd fav of this race comfortably. Going to need luck from the draw and seldom wins, but likely to get a nice trail into the race and at around $20, looks the best roughy of the race
RESULT: LOST! The less said the better
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Niquero
Galloped out last start so forgive that. The race looks to have plenty of speed early and I think Raylan Gibbons will be unders as Purple Village and Bon Jovi both fly the gate and I wouldn't be surprised if it ended up 3 pegs. With Brother Rabbit likely to be the first 3 wide without cover running into the race, I think Niquero is the horse most likely to be be flashing at them late. His form prior to last start was very good for a race like this. Great EW show at around the $15 mark
RESULT: WINNER! Only BET365 users get the $15 but still $10-$11 around. The Rabbit gave us a run for our money but we got there right on the line. Thank you Newberry's! Collect $268.10
MEETING RESULT: Won $188.10
Race 2 No 11 Kentucky Lane
A real stab in the dark this but I've loved it's last couple of runs, especially 2 starts ago when beating the fav and 2nd fav of this race comfortably. Going to need luck from the draw and seldom wins, but likely to get a nice trail into the race and at around $20, looks the best roughy of the race
RESULT: LOST! The less said the better
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Niquero
Galloped out last start so forgive that. The race looks to have plenty of speed early and I think Raylan Gibbons will be unders as Purple Village and Bon Jovi both fly the gate and I wouldn't be surprised if it ended up 3 pegs. With Brother Rabbit likely to be the first 3 wide without cover running into the race, I think Niquero is the horse most likely to be be flashing at them late. His form prior to last start was very good for a race like this. Great EW show at around the $15 mark
RESULT: WINNER! Only BET365 users get the $15 but still $10-$11 around. The Rabbit gave us a run for our money but we got there right on the line. Thank you Newberry's! Collect $268.10
MEETING RESULT: Won $188.10
Bendigo, Saturday 15th November
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Itz Dreamin Jonesy
Was huge first up. Wide the last lap it went past Jilliby Master (good winner Friday night) only to be pipped on the line late. Will be much fitter for the run and if anything, this is a little weaker. Going to have to work from the draw but just might be better than them. Expect $4
RESULT: 3rd. Good run but had to work too hard.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Steam Washed
First up tonight and tuned up for this with a very impressive trail 2 weeks ago. They'll be going at one hell of a clip in this throughout and expect Shinn to unleash her just after the bel. She can sustain a strong last lap doing work and I think can outstay these, especially fresh. Unbeaten at the track a plus also. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd & had every possible chance. Collect $97.20
MEETING RESULT: Lost $52.80
Race 5 No 7 Itz Dreamin Jonesy
Was huge first up. Wide the last lap it went past Jilliby Master (good winner Friday night) only to be pipped on the line late. Will be much fitter for the run and if anything, this is a little weaker. Going to have to work from the draw but just might be better than them. Expect $4
RESULT: 3rd. Good run but had to work too hard.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Steam Washed
First up tonight and tuned up for this with a very impressive trail 2 weeks ago. They'll be going at one hell of a clip in this throughout and expect Shinn to unleash her just after the bel. She can sustain a strong last lap doing work and I think can outstay these, especially fresh. Unbeaten at the track a plus also. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd & had every possible chance. Collect $97.20
MEETING RESULT: Lost $52.80
Melton, Friday 14th November
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Krisney Girl
Love the improvement and form this mare is in since joining the very underrated Wayne Potter team. Came from the clouds to roll Fifth And Broadway last start, a fair effort to do that at that track. Follows that exact horse everywhere it goes tonight but yet is longer odds?! The trick is can the 1 hold out or want to hold out Bit Of a Babe? If it does I'm real keen it can win Krisney. A tougher task from 3 pegs but I'm happy to be on at the $13 Sportsbet is currently offering. I marked her a $8 shot and my best ew of the night
RESULT: LOST! Forgive & forget. Ridiculous driving up front and she never saw daylight, eventually locking wheels over the line.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 He's Kinky
Was trialling up a storm before a strong 3rd first up before to forgettable/forgivable runs the past 2. Gets the nice draw here and the distance is perfect 4th up. Should be cherry ripe and really be around the $7 mark. Currently $5 on SB. $8 BET365
RESULT: 3rd. Another farcically run race which suited I thought but probably forced to go a little early. Had it's chance. Collect $87
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Must Be Nice
This is the night Ive been waiting for. GAVIN LANG is back in the sulky for this bloke. Head scratcher of a drive last start when went to 3 back the pegs at a track with no sprint lane behind a longshot. Previous start wasn't suited from a bad draw over the sprint distance. Expect Gavin to hammer down early and lead shorterly after the start and wont be handing up to Jilliby Master. Should be a great dual but Im tippping he can hold the odds on pop out here. $4.50 on SB is juicy!
RESULT: 2nd. Right on the line...
MEETING RESULT: Lost $113
Race 6 No 8 Krisney Girl
Love the improvement and form this mare is in since joining the very underrated Wayne Potter team. Came from the clouds to roll Fifth And Broadway last start, a fair effort to do that at that track. Follows that exact horse everywhere it goes tonight but yet is longer odds?! The trick is can the 1 hold out or want to hold out Bit Of a Babe? If it does I'm real keen it can win Krisney. A tougher task from 3 pegs but I'm happy to be on at the $13 Sportsbet is currently offering. I marked her a $8 shot and my best ew of the night
RESULT: LOST! Forgive & forget. Ridiculous driving up front and she never saw daylight, eventually locking wheels over the line.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 He's Kinky
Was trialling up a storm before a strong 3rd first up before to forgettable/forgivable runs the past 2. Gets the nice draw here and the distance is perfect 4th up. Should be cherry ripe and really be around the $7 mark. Currently $5 on SB. $8 BET365
RESULT: 3rd. Another farcically run race which suited I thought but probably forced to go a little early. Had it's chance. Collect $87
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Must Be Nice
This is the night Ive been waiting for. GAVIN LANG is back in the sulky for this bloke. Head scratcher of a drive last start when went to 3 back the pegs at a track with no sprint lane behind a longshot. Previous start wasn't suited from a bad draw over the sprint distance. Expect Gavin to hammer down early and lead shorterly after the start and wont be handing up to Jilliby Master. Should be a great dual but Im tippping he can hold the odds on pop out here. $4.50 on SB is juicy!
RESULT: 2nd. Right on the line...
MEETING RESULT: Lost $113
Cranbourne, Thursday 13th November
Real tough meeting here punters, maybe a night off and wait for Friday but here are my thoughts anyway
$50TRIFECTA
Race 4
4 / 1-9 /1-9
It has to be Gotta Go Henry's night. Wont find much easier. For those a bit more on the risk than me, straight out 4-1-9
RESULT: WINNER! Well that was easy money. Collect $227.50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 No Bettertime
Ive got him back in the tips after a couple of luckless runs. Going to need a crap load of luck tonight again but with Lance off the front and Call Me Bond not likely to get his own way, he can out sprint them late this boy at $8 with any type of luck.
RESULT: 2nd! A little bit disappointing for mine. Had it's chance. Might not be as good as I thought he was but we get away with a collect. $68.40
MEETING RESULT: Won $295.90
$50TRIFECTA
Race 4
4 / 1-9 /1-9
It has to be Gotta Go Henry's night. Wont find much easier. For those a bit more on the risk than me, straight out 4-1-9
RESULT: WINNER! Well that was easy money. Collect $227.50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 No Bettertime
Ive got him back in the tips after a couple of luckless runs. Going to need a crap load of luck tonight again but with Lance off the front and Call Me Bond not likely to get his own way, he can out sprint them late this boy at $8 with any type of luck.
RESULT: 2nd! A little bit disappointing for mine. Had it's chance. Might not be as good as I thought he was but we get away with a collect. $68.40
MEETING RESULT: Won $295.90
Ouyen @ Mildura, Wednesday 12th November
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Bonny Under Fire
Usually I restrain myself from having a crack at Mildura but this mare went super first up from a back row draw, all but beaten Glenferrie Breeze who would start a short priced favourite against this lot. The draw is a slight concern but hasn't ever really been bustled from the gate in any of her starts to date. Has good form around the likes of Master Mach Manus & Anna Faye who are no slouches. With any sort of luck (hopefully in front) I cant see her getting rolled. Expect $2
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Salem
Wasn't a great drive when trying to pressure Jilliby Master last start and there was only going to be one loser in that battle. It's previous start was a fantastic 2nd to Highview Conall who ran a good race in the Maryborough Cup 2 weeks ago. Has plenty of early gate speed so should control the race here and it's biggest danger is drawn inside the backrow. Almost a straight out bet here but my only concern is the 2 months between runs. Still should be an EW price at around $5.
Race 1 No 1 Bonny Under Fire
Usually I restrain myself from having a crack at Mildura but this mare went super first up from a back row draw, all but beaten Glenferrie Breeze who would start a short priced favourite against this lot. The draw is a slight concern but hasn't ever really been bustled from the gate in any of her starts to date. Has good form around the likes of Master Mach Manus & Anna Faye who are no slouches. With any sort of luck (hopefully in front) I cant see her getting rolled. Expect $2
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Salem
Wasn't a great drive when trying to pressure Jilliby Master last start and there was only going to be one loser in that battle. It's previous start was a fantastic 2nd to Highview Conall who ran a good race in the Maryborough Cup 2 weeks ago. Has plenty of early gate speed so should control the race here and it's biggest danger is drawn inside the backrow. Almost a straight out bet here but my only concern is the 2 months between runs. Still should be an EW price at around $5.
Ararat, Tuesday 11th November
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Shaka Moment
I liked his last start 2nd, eve though it was in restricted grade. Death seated in slow time but carried a flat tyre but continued to battle way. With the 1 horse not having a lot of gate speed, he should be crossing early & receiving all the favours. Is he good enough, the 17 starts for 2 placings says no, but has only had a few runs back from a spell and all of those suggest he's better this prep. Worth a go at around $20
RESULT: 2nd. $20? $31 on BET365. Opens $3.80 on s-tab! Go figure. Good run though and was just beaten by the better horse. Collect $44
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Carramar Chief
Is in some sort of form this prep. Ran Witzend to a metre at Swan Hill with that horse winning again last weekend, and put up a great effort to run 3rd against In The Trenches, one of his main dangers here tonight. In the Trenches isn't going to have too many luxuries from the death tonight and with an attacking horse like Sophies Shark in front of him should get a good trail into the race. My main concern is the shorter distance but still keen on an ew basis at around $7
RESULT: LOST! Hmmmm, not Mick's best drive but the horse was pulling it's head off & Id be surprised if it got close. Needs a front row draw.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $36
Race 3 No 2 Shaka Moment
I liked his last start 2nd, eve though it was in restricted grade. Death seated in slow time but carried a flat tyre but continued to battle way. With the 1 horse not having a lot of gate speed, he should be crossing early & receiving all the favours. Is he good enough, the 17 starts for 2 placings says no, but has only had a few runs back from a spell and all of those suggest he's better this prep. Worth a go at around $20
RESULT: 2nd. $20? $31 on BET365. Opens $3.80 on s-tab! Go figure. Good run though and was just beaten by the better horse. Collect $44
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Carramar Chief
Is in some sort of form this prep. Ran Witzend to a metre at Swan Hill with that horse winning again last weekend, and put up a great effort to run 3rd against In The Trenches, one of his main dangers here tonight. In the Trenches isn't going to have too many luxuries from the death tonight and with an attacking horse like Sophies Shark in front of him should get a good trail into the race. My main concern is the shorter distance but still keen on an ew basis at around $7
RESULT: LOST! Hmmmm, not Mick's best drive but the horse was pulling it's head off & Id be surprised if it got close. Needs a front row draw.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $36
Cobram, Monday 10th November
$50WIN
Race 6 No 10 Goezee
Was a big winner from the death in the heat of this final in the quickest of all the heats. Looked gone on the turn but just kept kicking to win. The backrow draw at this track especially is hard to win from but he's done it before winning both times at this track from awkward draws. He;s the best horse in the race race by a fair way and I'm happy to be on at $3
RESULT: 3rd. Wasnt today..
Race 6 No 10 Goezee
Was a big winner from the death in the heat of this final in the quickest of all the heats. Looked gone on the turn but just kept kicking to win. The backrow draw at this track especially is hard to win from but he's done it before winning both times at this track from awkward draws. He;s the best horse in the race race by a fair way and I'm happy to be on at $3
RESULT: 3rd. Wasnt today..
St Arnaud CUP DAY
$50WIN
Race 2 No 6 Snip Of Grand
Should be cherry ripe for this after to very good first up performances. Death seated for a great 3rd against Sparkling who looks to be anything. Likely to death seat here again today but looks her race to lose on paper. Expect $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Was $2+ available early but the good money was on. Collect $85
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Road To Rock
The favourite gets in very well from the 20 metres here Lets Elope, however this fella has been completing against the best Victoria has to offer, without luck, and deserves another chance. Off the inside 10 metres maybe a blessing in disguise as horses can spread early off the front so hopefully he can ping & Kerryn weave her way through early. Cant win if Lets Elope gets in front of him in any point of the race but pinning my faith in Kerryn here and around $5
RESULT: WINNER! Only just but thats all you need! Collect $250 but the was $9.50 available for BET365'ers
MEETING RESULT: Won $235
Race 2 No 6 Snip Of Grand
Should be cherry ripe for this after to very good first up performances. Death seated for a great 3rd against Sparkling who looks to be anything. Likely to death seat here again today but looks her race to lose on paper. Expect $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Was $2+ available early but the good money was on. Collect $85
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Road To Rock
The favourite gets in very well from the 20 metres here Lets Elope, however this fella has been completing against the best Victoria has to offer, without luck, and deserves another chance. Off the inside 10 metres maybe a blessing in disguise as horses can spread early off the front so hopefully he can ping & Kerryn weave her way through early. Cant win if Lets Elope gets in front of him in any point of the race but pinning my faith in Kerryn here and around $5
RESULT: WINNER! Only just but thats all you need! Collect $250 but the was $9.50 available for BET365'ers
MEETING RESULT: Won $235
Ballarat, Saturday 8th November
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Campaign Drive
Good return to racing last start even though finishing out of the placings, did it tough in the breeze and wasn't beaten far in good time. Likely to take cover which is his go and with Jimmy The Editor likely to bowl along in the death or in the lead, I can see the race working out perfectly for him. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd but every possible chance
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Nobetterthanthis
His first up run was a great blow out for this race even though the winner beat it by 7 metres. I think he'll be much better for it and settles much closer to the lead. EW all day
RESULT: 2nd. Absolute moral beaten. Collect $103.20
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Houhora Delight
The spring carny frothies may have finally got to me but I really think he can lead these tonight, either hand up to the fav or hold. From either position, a great chance at around $30. Forget last start. Got back, Allison Chisholm never attempted to lead with the $1.20 fav inside her and then had its run stopped 3 or 4 times down the straight. This is a race full of depth so if he cant cross early his chances are blown but this might be the one Ive been waiting for.
RESULT: LOST! Nearly but couldn't cross early and wasn't beaten far at $60
MEETING RESULT: Lost $96.80
Race 3 No 4 Campaign Drive
Good return to racing last start even though finishing out of the placings, did it tough in the breeze and wasn't beaten far in good time. Likely to take cover which is his go and with Jimmy The Editor likely to bowl along in the death or in the lead, I can see the race working out perfectly for him. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd but every possible chance
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Nobetterthanthis
His first up run was a great blow out for this race even though the winner beat it by 7 metres. I think he'll be much better for it and settles much closer to the lead. EW all day
RESULT: 2nd. Absolute moral beaten. Collect $103.20
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Houhora Delight
The spring carny frothies may have finally got to me but I really think he can lead these tonight, either hand up to the fav or hold. From either position, a great chance at around $30. Forget last start. Got back, Allison Chisholm never attempted to lead with the $1.20 fav inside her and then had its run stopped 3 or 4 times down the straight. This is a race full of depth so if he cant cross early his chances are blown but this might be the one Ive been waiting for.
RESULT: LOST! Nearly but couldn't cross early and wasn't beaten far at $60
MEETING RESULT: Lost $96.80
Melton, Friday 7th November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Raylin Gibbons
Been racing extremely well without really being noticed by most. There looks to be a whole heap of pace in this race and has the red hot Nathan Jack in the sulky which is a huge bonus. Just needs a good trail into the race late to be a knockout chance. $26 with BET365
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect 1x1 sit but the leaders just went too slow.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Our Classie Mach
Went super first up for Kerryn when had little luck. Going to get the absolute perfect run on Whata Punts back here and looks a brilliant EW punt at $11 on Sportsbet
RESULT: 3rd. Got tired chasing Whatapunt! Collect $57
Race 3 No 5 Raylin Gibbons
Been racing extremely well without really being noticed by most. There looks to be a whole heap of pace in this race and has the red hot Nathan Jack in the sulky which is a huge bonus. Just needs a good trail into the race late to be a knockout chance. $26 with BET365
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect 1x1 sit but the leaders just went too slow.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Our Classie Mach
Went super first up for Kerryn when had little luck. Going to get the absolute perfect run on Whata Punts back here and looks a brilliant EW punt at $11 on Sportsbet
RESULT: 3rd. Got tired chasing Whatapunt! Collect $57
Yarra Valley, 6th November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Gotta Go Henry
I'm coming back for more Henry. Not sure how he lost last start after kicking away with a big lead at the top of the straight but Givemeaspell has since won again so maybe best be forgiven. I think he can spear to the lead from the wide draw & with his main danger Givemeaspell drawing awkwardly, Im keen at around $5. There will be support for the 2 but it had every chance behind these 2 last start.
RESULT: 3rd.. Not good enough. $54 collect
Race 8 No 7 Gotta Go Henry
I'm coming back for more Henry. Not sure how he lost last start after kicking away with a big lead at the top of the straight but Givemeaspell has since won again so maybe best be forgiven. I think he can spear to the lead from the wide draw & with his main danger Givemeaspell drawing awkwardly, Im keen at around $5. There will be support for the 2 but it had every chance behind these 2 last start.
RESULT: 3rd.. Not good enough. $54 collect
Bendigo. Wednesday, 5th November
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Endorsement
Leads and wins for mine. Been in superb form and I think they've finally realised that over the sprint trip he doesn't have to take cover to win. Should be getting $3+ here.
RESULT: 4th. Real disappointing. Didn't lead but still had every chance..
Race 7 No 2 Endorsement
Leads and wins for mine. Been in superb form and I think they've finally realised that over the sprint trip he doesn't have to take cover to win. Should be getting $3+ here.
RESULT: 4th. Real disappointing. Didn't lead but still had every chance..
Swan Hill, Tuesday 4th November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Lisa Marie Shadow
He went super last week when he had a few excuses but kept coming late to snag 3rd in good time for Mildura. Tonight is a little jump up in class but there is a stack of early toe which he'll be suited to. Shayne Cramp back onboard a major plus too. Expect $10
RESULT: 4th. Don't think he would've won but shouldve run top 3 with a pinch of luck
$100WIN
Race 6 No 2 Stormy Lecture
Ran into an inform horse last start but the horse it beat home for 2nd is very smart. Back to a C1 race. Cant see it being rolled at around $2.
RESULT: 2nd. Surprised it couldn't lead. Did all the work in the death to only be knocked out on the line
Race 5 No 8 Lisa Marie Shadow
He went super last week when he had a few excuses but kept coming late to snag 3rd in good time for Mildura. Tonight is a little jump up in class but there is a stack of early toe which he'll be suited to. Shayne Cramp back onboard a major plus too. Expect $10
RESULT: 4th. Don't think he would've won but shouldve run top 3 with a pinch of luck
$100WIN
Race 6 No 2 Stormy Lecture
Ran into an inform horse last start but the horse it beat home for 2nd is very smart. Back to a C1 race. Cant see it being rolled at around $2.
RESULT: 2nd. Surprised it couldn't lead. Did all the work in the death to only be knocked out on the line
Yarra Valley, Tuesday 4th November
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Holdonsu
Thought his return was super after doing a power of work first up. Is going to be much fitter for the run and looks better than his rivals today. Expect $2.20
RESULT: 3rd. Interesting drive
Race 5 No 4 Holdonsu
Thought his return was super after doing a power of work first up. Is going to be much fitter for the run and looks better than his rivals today. Expect $2.20
RESULT: 3rd. Interesting drive
Terang, Monday 3rd November
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 2 My Bros Dreaming
Desperately unlucky on it's return to Victoria when never got out but hit the line well. Some good horse in this but there looks to be plenty of speed on early & he could be the one to blouse them at nice odds. Currently $35 with BET365. I marked it a $15 chance
RESULT: Lost! Started $7.50 on the tote but BET365 had it right, ran like a $35 shot
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Citysneak
Was just OK first up after being sprinted off his legs the last lap over the sprint. Happy to forgive considering he's never won over the sprint trip in his 73 start career. He should be much better off 2nd up over the longer distance where they're not likely to run a 57 sec last half. Currently $13 at BET365
RESULT: 4th. Lipped out for 4th but was a shocking run. Had it's chance & was unders in the end. Needs it weaker.
RACE 7 EXOTICS
$29 Exacta 3 to beat 2
$21 TRIFECTA for 700%
3 / 4-7-9 / 2
RESULT: Well, I went for the half/half result & wish I didnt in the end but thems the brakes. Still a good collect. $472.60 in the bank
MEETING RESULT: Won $342.60, bloody hell, I'm in front for the month!
Race 5 No 2 My Bros Dreaming
Desperately unlucky on it's return to Victoria when never got out but hit the line well. Some good horse in this but there looks to be plenty of speed on early & he could be the one to blouse them at nice odds. Currently $35 with BET365. I marked it a $15 chance
RESULT: Lost! Started $7.50 on the tote but BET365 had it right, ran like a $35 shot
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Citysneak
Was just OK first up after being sprinted off his legs the last lap over the sprint. Happy to forgive considering he's never won over the sprint trip in his 73 start career. He should be much better off 2nd up over the longer distance where they're not likely to run a 57 sec last half. Currently $13 at BET365
RESULT: 4th. Lipped out for 4th but was a shocking run. Had it's chance & was unders in the end. Needs it weaker.
RACE 7 EXOTICS
$29 Exacta 3 to beat 2
$21 TRIFECTA for 700%
3 / 4-7-9 / 2
RESULT: Well, I went for the half/half result & wish I didnt in the end but thems the brakes. Still a good collect. $472.60 in the bank
MEETING RESULT: Won $342.60, bloody hell, I'm in front for the month!
Geelong, Monday 3rd November
$50 ALL UP
Race 3 No 5 Mooney
Race 4 No 2 Givemeaspell
Race 5 1 Mymumsabankmanager
$50 Running Double
Race 4 No 2 into Race 5 No 1
MEETING RESULT: Givemeaspell Mooney!! Won $20.
Race 3 No 5 Mooney
Race 4 No 2 Givemeaspell
Race 5 1 Mymumsabankmanager
$50 Running Double
Race 4 No 2 into Race 5 No 1
MEETING RESULT: Givemeaspell Mooney!! Won $20.
Maryborough, Sunday 2nd November
Technical issues again so here's the tip without my waffle from last night..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Road To Rock
$15 FIXED on TAB
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Road To Rock
$15 FIXED on TAB
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50
Shepparton, Saturday 1st November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Sammysluck
Well graded here and forget last start. Follows the leader and fav everywhere. Great ew bet at around $10
RESULT: OUCH. Jumped off Krisney Girl & she wins at big odds. Sammy was horrible
$25WIN
Race 8 No 6 Crusader Acey
Goes well early in his prep and likes this track. Looks to be a bit of pace on here which should suit. Expect $4
RESULT: 4th. Lead and did bugger all
MEETING RESULT: Lost $75
Race 6 No 8 Sammysluck
Well graded here and forget last start. Follows the leader and fav everywhere. Great ew bet at around $10
RESULT: OUCH. Jumped off Krisney Girl & she wins at big odds. Sammy was horrible
$25WIN
Race 8 No 6 Crusader Acey
Goes well early in his prep and likes this track. Looks to be a bit of pace on here which should suit. Expect $4
RESULT: 4th. Lead and did bugger all
MEETING RESULT: Lost $75
Melton, Friday 31st October
Well need a minor miracle to get back in front here for the month but lets not die wondering...
THE CLASS ACT
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Bellas Delight
Was only 2nd up from a long spell when hitting the line well the last 50metres against Beauty Secret and Glencoe VC who would both start odds on in this race. She looks primed to run a huge race against weaker opposition tonight. Expect $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Did it tough and was too good. Collect $200
**Thought Real Bonus was the danger in the race after receiving little luck in the same race last week. If it gets out to $10+ worth a saver.
THE RIGHT STABLEMATE
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 4 No 10 Arrokeefe
Didn't get a whole heap of room along the sprint lane in the heat of this final last week and Gavin Lang wasn't really pushing it out either. There look to be a heap of pressure on in this race and he should be following Smileawayjo into the race here. Gavin has also selected this horse as his preferred drive which gives a small indication of who the camp think has a better chance in the race. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! No horses made up ground from the back after they went slow early..
MONSTER MARE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Broadways Best
Forget her run in the Kilmore Cup last Sunday after she galloped away from the stand. Her runs before that were first class. 2 starts back I thought her run was at least the equal of Tandias Bromac in a slowly run race & again 3 starts back was beaten in a tight finish behind Glenferrie EJ. A whole heap of pace on here throughout which should suit those barnstorming late which I expect her to do. She deserves a win in her last prep. Expect $10
RESULT: SCRATCHED
THE SWOOPER
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Scruffy Major
Tricky horse to catch this fella but if you go through his history, you're a mile in front if you've only ever backed him 2nd up as he's unbeaten and you guessed it, he is tonight & looks suited. Both Jilliby Master & Must Be Nice are going to be in a race to see who can can to the front first and if thats Must Be Nice then Jilliby Master is going to be one major pain in the arse for it as it only knows one way, flat out. From the draw Scruffy Major should be taking a trail in the top 4 and I expect the 2 favourites to be weak at the knees late. Just need a little Nathan Jack magic. Im keen at around the $6 mark.
RESULT: WINNER! You beauty Jacky! Collect $352
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Kamwood Jack
Going for a hail mary here but geez he's racing well albeit in weaker class. Was huge in running 2nd in a 1:55 MR in a 56 LH from the death. The draw isn't ideal and this is a strong race but worth a small EW bet at the $40 on offer at Sportsbet.
RESULT: Lost! Not a bad run after being 3 wide without cover the last lap.
QUADDIE
Have to have a go on this quality meeting
$45 for 25%
3-4-6-8-10-11 / 4-10-11 / 1-3-4-9-11 / 4-8
RESULT: LOST! If you got that quaddie, you're a genius
MEETING RESULT: Won $177
THE CLASS ACT
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Bellas Delight
Was only 2nd up from a long spell when hitting the line well the last 50metres against Beauty Secret and Glencoe VC who would both start odds on in this race. She looks primed to run a huge race against weaker opposition tonight. Expect $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Did it tough and was too good. Collect $200
**Thought Real Bonus was the danger in the race after receiving little luck in the same race last week. If it gets out to $10+ worth a saver.
THE RIGHT STABLEMATE
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 4 No 10 Arrokeefe
Didn't get a whole heap of room along the sprint lane in the heat of this final last week and Gavin Lang wasn't really pushing it out either. There look to be a heap of pressure on in this race and he should be following Smileawayjo into the race here. Gavin has also selected this horse as his preferred drive which gives a small indication of who the camp think has a better chance in the race. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! No horses made up ground from the back after they went slow early..
MONSTER MARE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Broadways Best
Forget her run in the Kilmore Cup last Sunday after she galloped away from the stand. Her runs before that were first class. 2 starts back I thought her run was at least the equal of Tandias Bromac in a slowly run race & again 3 starts back was beaten in a tight finish behind Glenferrie EJ. A whole heap of pace on here throughout which should suit those barnstorming late which I expect her to do. She deserves a win in her last prep. Expect $10
RESULT: SCRATCHED
THE SWOOPER
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Scruffy Major
Tricky horse to catch this fella but if you go through his history, you're a mile in front if you've only ever backed him 2nd up as he's unbeaten and you guessed it, he is tonight & looks suited. Both Jilliby Master & Must Be Nice are going to be in a race to see who can can to the front first and if thats Must Be Nice then Jilliby Master is going to be one major pain in the arse for it as it only knows one way, flat out. From the draw Scruffy Major should be taking a trail in the top 4 and I expect the 2 favourites to be weak at the knees late. Just need a little Nathan Jack magic. Im keen at around the $6 mark.
RESULT: WINNER! You beauty Jacky! Collect $352
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Kamwood Jack
Going for a hail mary here but geez he's racing well albeit in weaker class. Was huge in running 2nd in a 1:55 MR in a 56 LH from the death. The draw isn't ideal and this is a strong race but worth a small EW bet at the $40 on offer at Sportsbet.
RESULT: Lost! Not a bad run after being 3 wide without cover the last lap.
QUADDIE
Have to have a go on this quality meeting
$45 for 25%
3-4-6-8-10-11 / 4-10-11 / 1-3-4-9-11 / 4-8
RESULT: LOST! If you got that quaddie, you're a genius
MEETING RESULT: Won $177
Ballarat, Thursday 30th October
Not a great deal of confidence here punters with value selections but Friday night and Sunday look to have some juicy tips to hopefully fill the pockets once again.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Seven And A Half
Has a good record from the stand and meets a beatable field here. Thought it had every opportunity when leading last start from the stand but in fairness was beaten by a very inform mare. Back to the 10metre handicap but I can still see him either leading or death seating shortly after the start if his manners are similar to last start & form either position I think he looks mighty hard to beat at $4
RESULT: LOST! I don't like bagging drivers but sometimes it helps the anger. That was a shocking drive. Not sure if it wouldve beaten Racer but 3 wide the last lap & a half not the place to be..
TRIAL FLYER ALERT
Race 4 No 8 Sparkling
Will start short here, $1.50ish. Its trial last week at Melton was extremely impressive but we sit back and watch here as the draw is awkward and Id never back a horse at those odds, especially on debut
RESULT: WOW.. Very good filly that one
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Seven And A Half
Has a good record from the stand and meets a beatable field here. Thought it had every opportunity when leading last start from the stand but in fairness was beaten by a very inform mare. Back to the 10metre handicap but I can still see him either leading or death seating shortly after the start if his manners are similar to last start & form either position I think he looks mighty hard to beat at $4
RESULT: LOST! I don't like bagging drivers but sometimes it helps the anger. That was a shocking drive. Not sure if it wouldve beaten Racer but 3 wide the last lap & a half not the place to be..
TRIAL FLYER ALERT
Race 4 No 8 Sparkling
Will start short here, $1.50ish. Its trial last week at Melton was extremely impressive but we sit back and watch here as the draw is awkward and Id never back a horse at those odds, especially on debut
RESULT: WOW.. Very good filly that one
Mildura, Wednesday 29th October
QUADDIES
I did say never again but here we go again.. Trying to find value in a bloody tough meeting with short priced favs everywhere
$22 for 1100%
4 / 8-9 / 3 / 3
$8 for 50%
1-3-5-8 /5-7-8-9 / 3 / 3
$20 TRIFECTA for 1000%
3 / 5-7 / 1
Tibytoa leads with Can But Dream getting the cozy run in behind. Tibytoa looks an absolute cert but first up, Can But Dream may struggle the last 100metres with the 5 & 7 the only dangers. Risky but I think thats the value play
I did say never again but here we go again.. Trying to find value in a bloody tough meeting with short priced favs everywhere
$22 for 1100%
4 / 8-9 / 3 / 3
$8 for 50%
1-3-5-8 /5-7-8-9 / 3 / 3
$20 TRIFECTA for 1000%
3 / 5-7 / 1
Tibytoa leads with Can But Dream getting the cozy run in behind. Tibytoa looks an absolute cert but first up, Can But Dream may struggle the last 100metres with the 5 & 7 the only dangers. Risky but I think thats the value play
Cranbourne, Tuesday 28th October
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Gotta Go Henry
He's been racing pretty well from back row draws of late, most recently a good close up 4th to Vanderlay at Melon on Friday night. Back to the front row the key here and he's a sneaky chance of crossing these early. If he does, all of a sudden the $8 I think will be on offer will be a whole lot more.
UPDATED 12:43pm: DOUBLED THE BET! Just got the sectional information from Friday and his times running 3 wide for the last lap over the short course were very impressive for it's class. 1:56 LM, 56.10 LH, 27.56 LQ, fastest of the race.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how it lost after skipping away at the turn. Collect $72
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Partyboy Glenwood
Was huge in running 3rd to Will Mach My Words last week at Melton after being stuck in the death for the entire trip. They ran 1:58 for the last mile but more impressively 56.1 seconds for the last half. Amazingly he was finding another gear late to kick up to hold 3rd. The winner of that race has since won again. I think he's the first to the pegs here tonight and will take no end of running down. I marked him $2.20
RESULT: OUCH.. Had every chance and did bugger all.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $128
Race 4 No 5 Gotta Go Henry
He's been racing pretty well from back row draws of late, most recently a good close up 4th to Vanderlay at Melon on Friday night. Back to the front row the key here and he's a sneaky chance of crossing these early. If he does, all of a sudden the $8 I think will be on offer will be a whole lot more.
UPDATED 12:43pm: DOUBLED THE BET! Just got the sectional information from Friday and his times running 3 wide for the last lap over the short course were very impressive for it's class. 1:56 LM, 56.10 LH, 27.56 LQ, fastest of the race.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how it lost after skipping away at the turn. Collect $72
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Partyboy Glenwood
Was huge in running 3rd to Will Mach My Words last week at Melton after being stuck in the death for the entire trip. They ran 1:58 for the last mile but more impressively 56.1 seconds for the last half. Amazingly he was finding another gear late to kick up to hold 3rd. The winner of that race has since won again. I think he's the first to the pegs here tonight and will take no end of running down. I marked him $2.20
RESULT: OUCH.. Had every chance and did bugger all.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $128
Horsham, Monday 27th October
$100WIN
Race 6 No 3 Big Gorilla
Has returned from a spell with 2 even efforts from poor draws. Both runs have been in C2/3 class and the drop to C1 & gate 3 are huge pluses. Can show gate speed when pushed and I think thats exactly what'll happen today. If the 2 gains a run, it's a NO BET, but very keen if the 2 is scratched at around the $2.20 mark.
RESULT: WINNER! Not as easy as Id like but winners are grinners. Collect $160
Race 6 No 3 Big Gorilla
Has returned from a spell with 2 even efforts from poor draws. Both runs have been in C2/3 class and the drop to C1 & gate 3 are huge pluses. Can show gate speed when pushed and I think thats exactly what'll happen today. If the 2 gains a run, it's a NO BET, but very keen if the 2 is scratched at around the $2.20 mark.
RESULT: WINNER! Not as easy as Id like but winners are grinners. Collect $160
Kilmore, Sunday 26th October
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 Broadband
Has put in some handy runs in M0 class the past couple of starts and the return to the claimers suits. Most of the claimers he meets today are out of form. He'll stroll to the front early & the $3.80 on BET365 is a good price
RESULT: 3rd. Surprisingly showed no gate speed and that was the end of it's chances
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Im Corzin Terror
Should be cherry ripe now after a few runs back from a decent spell. Thought his run was super running 4th at Swan Hill behind Guaranteed last start after doing all the work. Can ping these stand starts but also miss entirely so might be heart in mouth stuff early but he's shown a love for these marathon trips in the past and if he gets away, a great EW chance. $7.50 BET365
RESULT: 2nd. Big run but just failed to reel in Guaranteed in track record time. His time isn't far away. Collect $114
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 9 No 12 Zuko Dream
Won 3 straight trials in OK time before an unlucky 3rd in his heat albeit in a slow last half compared to the other heat. But he really only saw daylight the last 100 metres. There will be a fair bit of speed early & mid race, typical of a final, and that'll suit him perfectly. Just needs a nice trail into the race late to be a sneaky chance at big odds. Currently $31 at BET365
RESULT: LOST! Started big unders and was awful
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 10 No 8 No Tomorrow
Just had to work too hard last start in the death where they rattled along in the first half but he wasn't disgraced in 4th place. If the 1 holds the lead here which is a huge chance of doing so, I reckon No Tomorrow is the best bet of the day. If the 1 doesn't he's still a chance from 3 pegs but will just need a few things to go his way.
RESULT: WINNER! Well finally a race turns out to plan. Had the perfect sit off a hot tempo and was too good late. Collect $290
MEETING RESULT: Won $124
Race 2 No 4 Broadband
Has put in some handy runs in M0 class the past couple of starts and the return to the claimers suits. Most of the claimers he meets today are out of form. He'll stroll to the front early & the $3.80 on BET365 is a good price
RESULT: 3rd. Surprisingly showed no gate speed and that was the end of it's chances
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Im Corzin Terror
Should be cherry ripe now after a few runs back from a decent spell. Thought his run was super running 4th at Swan Hill behind Guaranteed last start after doing all the work. Can ping these stand starts but also miss entirely so might be heart in mouth stuff early but he's shown a love for these marathon trips in the past and if he gets away, a great EW chance. $7.50 BET365
RESULT: 2nd. Big run but just failed to reel in Guaranteed in track record time. His time isn't far away. Collect $114
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 9 No 12 Zuko Dream
Won 3 straight trials in OK time before an unlucky 3rd in his heat albeit in a slow last half compared to the other heat. But he really only saw daylight the last 100 metres. There will be a fair bit of speed early & mid race, typical of a final, and that'll suit him perfectly. Just needs a nice trail into the race late to be a sneaky chance at big odds. Currently $31 at BET365
RESULT: LOST! Started big unders and was awful
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 10 No 8 No Tomorrow
Just had to work too hard last start in the death where they rattled along in the first half but he wasn't disgraced in 4th place. If the 1 holds the lead here which is a huge chance of doing so, I reckon No Tomorrow is the best bet of the day. If the 1 doesn't he's still a chance from 3 pegs but will just need a few things to go his way.
RESULT: WINNER! Well finally a race turns out to plan. Had the perfect sit off a hot tempo and was too good late. Collect $290
MEETING RESULT: Won $124
Bendigo, Saturday 25th October
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Grins Rendition
Marked it a $3 shot. Huge run last start, drops in class and looks your leader & winner.
Race 7 No 2 Grins Rendition
Marked it a $3 shot. Huge run last start, drops in class and looks your leader & winner.
Melton. Friday 24th October
Damn awful meeting here, chock full of trot races, small fields & odds on pops. Its a recipe for disaster.. Here goes:
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Lightning Joy
Was never given a chance in the Group 3 last start but was superb running 3rd 2 starts ago, beating one of his main dangers here Action Cosmos hands down. Should follow that horse across the front early & I think it's your leader not long after the start. Usually a trustworthy trotter, gets his chance to return to the winners list tonight. Currently $6 BET365, I marked him $3.50
RESULT: 3rd. So inconvenienced at the start & had it not run 3rd would've been called a non runner.. Not sure what else can go wrong lately.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Lightning Joy
Was never given a chance in the Group 3 last start but was superb running 3rd 2 starts ago, beating one of his main dangers here Action Cosmos hands down. Should follow that horse across the front early & I think it's your leader not long after the start. Usually a trustworthy trotter, gets his chance to return to the winners list tonight. Currently $6 BET365, I marked him $3.50
RESULT: 3rd. So inconvenienced at the start & had it not run 3rd would've been called a non runner.. Not sure what else can go wrong lately.
Shepparton, Thursday 23rd October
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Krisney Girl
She was very impressive winning in C1 class last start. Having to circle the field late she gobbled them up right on the line. To do that at Yarra Valley is tough, even tougher in 57 sec last half. Dobop is your leader here and I don't think they'll be handing up tonight giving Krisney Girl every chance from the draw. In form mare, we have to stick with her even with the class rise. Expect $8
RESULT: 2nd. Missed by that much. Settling 3 pegs cost her the race. Collect $75
Race 7 No 1 Krisney Girl
She was very impressive winning in C1 class last start. Having to circle the field late she gobbled them up right on the line. To do that at Yarra Valley is tough, even tougher in 57 sec last half. Dobop is your leader here and I don't think they'll be handing up tonight giving Krisney Girl every chance from the draw. In form mare, we have to stick with her even with the class rise. Expect $8
RESULT: 2nd. Missed by that much. Settling 3 pegs cost her the race. Collect $75
Terang, Wednesday 22nd October
Another awfully tough meeting here and I have no confidence on the tip so going to play a quaddie only. Much of my betting will be price depending so join in the forum at 7:45pm to hear my thoughts
QUADDIE
$30 for 200%
1 / 1-5-6-8-9 / 1-6-7 / 5
QUADDIE
$30 for 200%
1 / 1-5-6-8-9 / 1-6-7 / 5
Geelong, Tuesday 21st October
Real tricky meeting this so will keep it short and sharp.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Must Be Nice
Had a couple of months off before last starts 3rd at Yarra Valley where he really should've been the winner. Somehow ended up 4 back the pegs but then taken to the extreme outside late to run home very well in a 29 sec last quarter but that time is deceiving as it was into a very strong head wind. Gets the perfect draw tonight and looks your leader and winner at around $2.20
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start. Ni e way to throw away $100 especially when it started $1.50. Far too short.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Must Be Nice
Had a couple of months off before last starts 3rd at Yarra Valley where he really should've been the winner. Somehow ended up 4 back the pegs but then taken to the extreme outside late to run home very well in a 29 sec last quarter but that time is deceiving as it was into a very strong head wind. Gets the perfect draw tonight and looks your leader and winner at around $2.20
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start. Ni e way to throw away $100 especially when it started $1.50. Far too short.
MAryborough, Monday 20th October
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 She's Even Cooler
Put in an average effort first up from a poor draw but then had a strong trial win at Bendigo when leading the trip in good time. Followed that up with another average effort but once again from a poor draw so Id rather forget that. Gets the draw to push forward today, against some very weak opposition. should have no excuses but I wouldn't be putting the weeks wages on it. Expect $3.50
RESULT: WINNER! Went as expected and won easily. Collect $145
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Our Great Spirit
Its been a long time between drinks for this fella but he's certainly been racing well enough to beat a field like this. Looks likely to sit leaders back if not leading and with the great Chris Alford in the sulky, at around the $6 quote, we'll get a great run for our money.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck 3 pegs and got too far back on the turn but was only average to the line
MEETING RESULT: Won $45
Race 2 No 4 She's Even Cooler
Put in an average effort first up from a poor draw but then had a strong trial win at Bendigo when leading the trip in good time. Followed that up with another average effort but once again from a poor draw so Id rather forget that. Gets the draw to push forward today, against some very weak opposition. should have no excuses but I wouldn't be putting the weeks wages on it. Expect $3.50
RESULT: WINNER! Went as expected and won easily. Collect $145
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Our Great Spirit
Its been a long time between drinks for this fella but he's certainly been racing well enough to beat a field like this. Looks likely to sit leaders back if not leading and with the great Chris Alford in the sulky, at around the $6 quote, we'll get a great run for our money.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck 3 pegs and got too far back on the turn but was only average to the line
MEETING RESULT: Won $45
Cranbourne, Sunday 19th October
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Alpha Jet
Has put up some handy efforts to date from poor draws. Gets a drop in class and the perfect draw tonight. Looks your winner at around $2.50
RESULT: 4th. Broke just after the start but had its chance late and just battled
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Shes A Killer
Bit of a one trick pony but gets that chance today. Last few runs have been OK without threatening but should be leading from the draw & the small field almost guarantees a slow speed. Looks your winner at $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! 1 outta 2 will do. Led & never looked in danger. Collect $350
MEETING RESULT: Won $150
Race 4 No 1 Alpha Jet
Has put up some handy efforts to date from poor draws. Gets a drop in class and the perfect draw tonight. Looks your winner at around $2.50
RESULT: 4th. Broke just after the start but had its chance late and just battled
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Shes A Killer
Bit of a one trick pony but gets that chance today. Last few runs have been OK without threatening but should be leading from the draw & the small field almost guarantees a slow speed. Looks your winner at $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! 1 outta 2 will do. Led & never looked in danger. Collect $350
MEETING RESULT: Won $150
Swan Hill, Saturday 18th October
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Wildenstein
Yep, a trotter. Liked it's run first up and then forget last start when it uncharacteristically broke at the start. Usually very good from the tapes and is likely to be leader or leaders back here. Best roughy of the night for mine at around $20
RESULT: 2nd. Stiff, bloody stiff if you ask me. Leader gallops and got inconvenienced. Leader doesn't gallop, I think we win but we'll never know. Collect $112
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Im Corzin Terror
Been very good in it's first 2 runs in preparation for this race. Safe enough from the stand and even though it's off the 20 metres, the small field negates that a bit. This is a slight step down in class from those runs. Just got to be close enough at the final bend. Marked him $3.50
RESULT: 3rd. Game run but no match.
QUADDIE
$30 for 500%
1-5-7 / 8 / 4-7 / 5
MEETING RESULT: Won $2!
Race 5 No 1 Wildenstein
Yep, a trotter. Liked it's run first up and then forget last start when it uncharacteristically broke at the start. Usually very good from the tapes and is likely to be leader or leaders back here. Best roughy of the night for mine at around $20
RESULT: 2nd. Stiff, bloody stiff if you ask me. Leader gallops and got inconvenienced. Leader doesn't gallop, I think we win but we'll never know. Collect $112
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Im Corzin Terror
Been very good in it's first 2 runs in preparation for this race. Safe enough from the stand and even though it's off the 20 metres, the small field negates that a bit. This is a slight step down in class from those runs. Just got to be close enough at the final bend. Marked him $3.50
RESULT: 3rd. Game run but no match.
QUADDIE
$30 for 500%
1-5-7 / 8 / 4-7 / 5
MEETING RESULT: Won $2!
Melton, Friday 17th October
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Lombo Flashlight
Had a tough task over the unsuitable distance last week but loved it's last 100metres when it really found the line. The extra distance is right down it's ally and I think its just too good for these. Might monster its way to the lead early after Dodge The Bullet went poorly last start so that horse might be keen to take cover this week. If that happened, we're laughing like big fat hairy spiders. Currently $2.75 on Sportsbet, I marked him a $2.20 shot and am keen to play!
RESULT: WINNER! $3.75!!! Ohhh baby.. Ended up $2.80. My shout.. Collect $280
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Born Again Sassy
Lovely return to racing last week from an unsuitable draw. Has sufficient gate speed to lead and either hold or hand up. From either position looks might hard to hold out at around the $4mark
RESULT: LOST! Led and had every chance
MEETING RESULT: Won $130
Race 1 No 2 Lombo Flashlight
Had a tough task over the unsuitable distance last week but loved it's last 100metres when it really found the line. The extra distance is right down it's ally and I think its just too good for these. Might monster its way to the lead early after Dodge The Bullet went poorly last start so that horse might be keen to take cover this week. If that happened, we're laughing like big fat hairy spiders. Currently $2.75 on Sportsbet, I marked him a $2.20 shot and am keen to play!
RESULT: WINNER! $3.75!!! Ohhh baby.. Ended up $2.80. My shout.. Collect $280
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Born Again Sassy
Lovely return to racing last week from an unsuitable draw. Has sufficient gate speed to lead and either hold or hand up. From either position looks might hard to hold out at around the $4mark
RESULT: LOST! Led and had every chance
MEETING RESULT: Won $130
Echuca, Thursday 16th October
The Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Mistress Manhattan
First up for 2 years last start and forget it went around. Got buried 4 back the pegs from the back row draw & was hip & shouldered inside the sprint lane down the straight and was never let down but looked to have plenty up it's sleeve. Ran some good races when last in work and from the draw tonight is a live chance at around the $20 mark.
RESULT: LOST! Got the run just no where good enough
The Unlucky Runner
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 The Brazen Jasper
Never got a look in late in his heat and should have won with even luck. Follows through rither the 2 or 3 if the 1 is scratached, both of who start well so should settle midfield early but in these finals, drivers ambition can get ahead of their ability and I expect a whole heap of pressure on throughout setting it up for a swooper. That swooper is this bloke for me & looks a great ew bet at around $10
RESULT: LOST! Well for some reason Cory thought the best place to be was 4 back the pegs
Track Specialist
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Zedaguy
His form on paper looks horrible and it probably was until a good effort at Shepparton last week even though it was beaten by 22metres. They ran 1:57 for the 2190metres which is very quick for the class of horse and he didn't have a lot of luck in running. Finally snags a good draw here, loves the distance and track . In fact has only missed a place once from gates 1, 2 or 7, the prime trailing draws at this track. Gets that run tonight, back to C2 class and is great value at around $10 tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! The word was out. $6 the best early but that didn't last long. Collect $126
Down In Class
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Virginia Lightning
Raced in the breeders crown heats and was outclassed. Form prior to that is perfect for a race like this, has good gate speed and should lead and looks mighty hard to beat from the top. Expect $5
RESULT: 4th. Looked to have the perfect run in front but just got lazy down the back & broke.. Yuk..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $124
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Mistress Manhattan
First up for 2 years last start and forget it went around. Got buried 4 back the pegs from the back row draw & was hip & shouldered inside the sprint lane down the straight and was never let down but looked to have plenty up it's sleeve. Ran some good races when last in work and from the draw tonight is a live chance at around the $20 mark.
RESULT: LOST! Got the run just no where good enough
The Unlucky Runner
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 The Brazen Jasper
Never got a look in late in his heat and should have won with even luck. Follows through rither the 2 or 3 if the 1 is scratached, both of who start well so should settle midfield early but in these finals, drivers ambition can get ahead of their ability and I expect a whole heap of pressure on throughout setting it up for a swooper. That swooper is this bloke for me & looks a great ew bet at around $10
RESULT: LOST! Well for some reason Cory thought the best place to be was 4 back the pegs
Track Specialist
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Zedaguy
His form on paper looks horrible and it probably was until a good effort at Shepparton last week even though it was beaten by 22metres. They ran 1:57 for the 2190metres which is very quick for the class of horse and he didn't have a lot of luck in running. Finally snags a good draw here, loves the distance and track . In fact has only missed a place once from gates 1, 2 or 7, the prime trailing draws at this track. Gets that run tonight, back to C2 class and is great value at around $10 tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! The word was out. $6 the best early but that didn't last long. Collect $126
Down In Class
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Virginia Lightning
Raced in the breeders crown heats and was outclassed. Form prior to that is perfect for a race like this, has good gate speed and should lead and looks mighty hard to beat from the top. Expect $5
RESULT: 4th. Looked to have the perfect run in front but just got lazy down the back & broke.. Yuk..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $124
Bendigo, Wednesday 15th October
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 5 No Tomorrow
Showed a real return to the horse that looked so promising in his first preparation in August and September. Had a month off but returned with an impressive trial win at Shepparton last week. Was 3 wide the first lap before finally leading and kicking away to beat the handy Karkarook in good time. Should push forward from the draw early and Id suggest take a sit handy to the lead. Looks very hard to hold out from there over his preferred distance. I marked him $5
RESULT: 4th. Heavily supported, death seated and just battled to the line
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 3 No Bettertime
Not sure what to make of it's last run but had excuses in a race where nothing made ground. Prior form was super for a race like this so Im prepared to forgive it one bad run. He's a sneaky chance to lead early but I'd be happy with cover close enough to the lead. Has a good finishing burst so if he is close enough at the turn, the hardest to beat. Expect $5.
RESULT: LOST! What in the hell was Matt Newberry thinking?
MEETING RESULT: Lost $200 and Im not happy about it...
Race 5 No 5 No Tomorrow
Showed a real return to the horse that looked so promising in his first preparation in August and September. Had a month off but returned with an impressive trial win at Shepparton last week. Was 3 wide the first lap before finally leading and kicking away to beat the handy Karkarook in good time. Should push forward from the draw early and Id suggest take a sit handy to the lead. Looks very hard to hold out from there over his preferred distance. I marked him $5
RESULT: 4th. Heavily supported, death seated and just battled to the line
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 3 No Bettertime
Not sure what to make of it's last run but had excuses in a race where nothing made ground. Prior form was super for a race like this so Im prepared to forgive it one bad run. He's a sneaky chance to lead early but I'd be happy with cover close enough to the lead. Has a good finishing burst so if he is close enough at the turn, the hardest to beat. Expect $5.
RESULT: LOST! What in the hell was Matt Newberry thinking?
MEETING RESULT: Lost $200 and Im not happy about it...
Ararat, Tuesday 14th October
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Steely Blue
I tipped him last start and probably wrongly in the end hoping it could cross but he couldn't from the middle gate. Different story tonight. Almost guaranteed of lobbing behind the leader Splendid Choice who is by far the fastest beginner in the race and seldom hands up and I don't expect him to tonight.. Even though Steely weakened late last start,racing in the death isn't his go and to finish only 6metres off them ws a good effort. With the type of smother he'll get tonight I'm pretty confident he'll go mighty close here at around $10
RESULT: 3rd. When the 2 galloped out all the speed in the race was taken away. He just cant sprint off a slowly run race but kept battling to the line. $152 collect
QUADDIE
$36 for 100%
1-2-3 / 4 / 7-10 / FIELD
1st Leg: As mentioned I think Steely Blue & Splendid Choice are leader / leaders back. Helens In Paradise thrown in as it can battle away from the death seat and is more than capable of outstaying them. Left out Cute Art & Tearitup as everything needs to go right for them to win from their draws. Even though Cute Art won it's heat, it had to from the run it had.
2nd Leg: Koree Jayne was extremely impressive winning it's heat from the death first up and will only strip fitter for the run. It'll be short but it would be a major surprise to see it get beat
3rd Leg: I think the Manning pair are a class above. I'm slightly favoring Mixedwithajasper as it'll push forward earl but if Znana has any luck (and driven more aggressively) it has the class to win. I've left Racer out, the other main danger & one of the favourites, but it's lack of early gate speed really hurts it in these sprint races.
4th Leg: Throw a dart. Most horses out of form or first up. Gone the field but if you want to lighten the outlay, take out the 2 & 5.
RESULT: Lost! Not going to bother explain apart from saying the only leg I got was the last, because I took the field. quaddie pays huge..
MEETING RESULT: Didn't pick a winner but still managed a small profit.. Bugger me, 2 days in a row! Won $16
Race 5 No 1 Steely Blue
I tipped him last start and probably wrongly in the end hoping it could cross but he couldn't from the middle gate. Different story tonight. Almost guaranteed of lobbing behind the leader Splendid Choice who is by far the fastest beginner in the race and seldom hands up and I don't expect him to tonight.. Even though Steely weakened late last start,racing in the death isn't his go and to finish only 6metres off them ws a good effort. With the type of smother he'll get tonight I'm pretty confident he'll go mighty close here at around $10
RESULT: 3rd. When the 2 galloped out all the speed in the race was taken away. He just cant sprint off a slowly run race but kept battling to the line. $152 collect
QUADDIE
$36 for 100%
1-2-3 / 4 / 7-10 / FIELD
1st Leg: As mentioned I think Steely Blue & Splendid Choice are leader / leaders back. Helens In Paradise thrown in as it can battle away from the death seat and is more than capable of outstaying them. Left out Cute Art & Tearitup as everything needs to go right for them to win from their draws. Even though Cute Art won it's heat, it had to from the run it had.
2nd Leg: Koree Jayne was extremely impressive winning it's heat from the death first up and will only strip fitter for the run. It'll be short but it would be a major surprise to see it get beat
3rd Leg: I think the Manning pair are a class above. I'm slightly favoring Mixedwithajasper as it'll push forward earl but if Znana has any luck (and driven more aggressively) it has the class to win. I've left Racer out, the other main danger & one of the favourites, but it's lack of early gate speed really hurts it in these sprint races.
4th Leg: Throw a dart. Most horses out of form or first up. Gone the field but if you want to lighten the outlay, take out the 2 & 5.
RESULT: Lost! Not going to bother explain apart from saying the only leg I got was the last, because I took the field. quaddie pays huge..
MEETING RESULT: Didn't pick a winner but still managed a small profit.. Bugger me, 2 days in a row! Won $16
Yarra Valley, Monday 13th October
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 3 Krisney Girl
There are a few loonies drawn off the front row here and that may make things tough for the fav in the death. They should set a great speed throughout which should suit Krisney Girl down to the ground. She's been racing extremely well without luck. Expect $10
RESULT: WINNER! Finally one at odds salute and that blact cat can fark right off!! Collect $388
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Future Operator
Showed a little return to form last start when sneaking up the rail from 4 pegs. Should follow Magnificent Arts every move today and is a great chance to outsprint them late in the sprint lane. Expect $8
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 8 Classy Western
Is today the day?!? Ive been very patient with this fellow and today looks suited. Wounded is your leader and Must Be Nice and Artoc will apply the pressure on throughout. When left for one last sprint. Classy Western can reel off an impressive quarter and as long as Wounded takes him close enough to the late, I confident he salutes. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Just but finally a bit of luck goes our way. Almost smashed my phone when Wounded handed up (where's the CDT!!) but Petroff repays us with a stellar drive after a few ordinary performances of late. Collect $260.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Call Me Bond
Usually takes a run before hitting his straps and there was nothing wrong with his first up third when he was a mile back at the turn but hit the line well late. Has enough gate speed to lead and from the top looks your winner. Expect $2
RESULT: WINNER! A wee bit shorter than expect but every man and his dog was tipping it. Got the job done but wasn't overly impressive. Collect $150
MEETING RESULT: Finally a day out.. Won $498
Race 3 No 3 Krisney Girl
There are a few loonies drawn off the front row here and that may make things tough for the fav in the death. They should set a great speed throughout which should suit Krisney Girl down to the ground. She's been racing extremely well without luck. Expect $10
RESULT: WINNER! Finally one at odds salute and that blact cat can fark right off!! Collect $388
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Future Operator
Showed a little return to form last start when sneaking up the rail from 4 pegs. Should follow Magnificent Arts every move today and is a great chance to outsprint them late in the sprint lane. Expect $8
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 8 Classy Western
Is today the day?!? Ive been very patient with this fellow and today looks suited. Wounded is your leader and Must Be Nice and Artoc will apply the pressure on throughout. When left for one last sprint. Classy Western can reel off an impressive quarter and as long as Wounded takes him close enough to the late, I confident he salutes. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Just but finally a bit of luck goes our way. Almost smashed my phone when Wounded handed up (where's the CDT!!) but Petroff repays us with a stellar drive after a few ordinary performances of late. Collect $260.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Call Me Bond
Usually takes a run before hitting his straps and there was nothing wrong with his first up third when he was a mile back at the turn but hit the line well late. Has enough gate speed to lead and from the top looks your winner. Expect $2
RESULT: WINNER! A wee bit shorter than expect but every man and his dog was tipping it. Got the job done but wasn't overly impressive. Collect $150
MEETING RESULT: Finally a day out.. Won $498
Shepparton, Sunday 12th October
What a horrific meeting but what do we expect on a Sunday arvo. Just a quaddie to keep the interest but I suggest you spend some quality time with family instead!
QUADDIE
$27 for 25%
3-6-7 / 1-2-6 / 1-6-8 / 1-3-4-8
QUADDIE
$27 for 25%
3-6-7 / 1-2-6 / 1-6-8 / 1-3-4-8
Geelong, Saturday 11th October
The Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Major Scandal
Was OK last start against a much stronger field than he meets tonight, but was beaten by 26 metres. Gets a better draw tonight and looks certain to have leaders back here. At $15, I'm happy to be on EW.
RESULT" 5th. Poorly rated in front but was never going to beat the winner
The Black Booker
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Priceless Gem
She's been racing extremely well without luck lately and is going to need a bit of luck to figure again here tonight but she going too well not to be on, especially with question marks on those on her inside. Fingers crossed Jack drives aggressively early. Expect $10
RESULT: 3rd. Worked too hard early. $63 collect
Each Way All Day
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Znana
Is absolutely bursting to win one. Stuck 3 pegs last start when flashed home late to just miss the prize. I think the draw actually helps as he'll go back early and be likely to be set alight mid race to take up the death. Happy to be there in this nice drop in grade and at around the $8, I think he can get me back on track..
RESULT: LOST! Well driven Kerryn
MEETING RESULT: Another loss. $87 down.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Major Scandal
Was OK last start against a much stronger field than he meets tonight, but was beaten by 26 metres. Gets a better draw tonight and looks certain to have leaders back here. At $15, I'm happy to be on EW.
RESULT" 5th. Poorly rated in front but was never going to beat the winner
The Black Booker
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Priceless Gem
She's been racing extremely well without luck lately and is going to need a bit of luck to figure again here tonight but she going too well not to be on, especially with question marks on those on her inside. Fingers crossed Jack drives aggressively early. Expect $10
RESULT: 3rd. Worked too hard early. $63 collect
Each Way All Day
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Znana
Is absolutely bursting to win one. Stuck 3 pegs last start when flashed home late to just miss the prize. I think the draw actually helps as he'll go back early and be likely to be set alight mid race to take up the death. Happy to be there in this nice drop in grade and at around the $8, I think he can get me back on track..
RESULT: LOST! Well driven Kerryn
MEETING RESULT: Another loss. $87 down.
Melton, Friday 10th October
The Roughy
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Blue Seelster
Has been racing well from impossible positions of late. Stuck 3 pegs in the heat of this race but hit the line strong when got out. No sprint lane that night. Has backed up since at Cranbourne when 3rd when once again racing 3pegs. They ran home in just over 56 seconds after walking early so the effort was very good. Follows through Ultimate CC here who should hold the lead throughout in a race that looks to have plenty of pressure on. He'll get his chance on the sprint lane late if he's good enough. Expect $20/$4
RESULT: LOST! Run off his legs.. Never ever likely..
BLACKBOOKER ALERT! Mooney Race 2. If they go nuts mid race he's a big chance at bolters odds but will need everything to go right.
RESULT: They went crazy alright, unfortunately he did. Daryl back to his best
The Sprinter
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Life Of Ted
Let us down last start over the longer journey but has shown more of a liking to this distance in the past. Once again leads or sits leaders back, exactly where you want to be in these 1720metre races at Melton. Gets his chance at $5
RESULT: LOST! That's it for him now. Was attacked in the middle stages but folded too easily.
The Blackbooker
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Balance Point
We were on last start and pilot error let us down. Could he have won? We'll never know but looks suited tonight. Needs to push forward early and then take the 1x1 sit on the back of Faraway Man. Gets every possible chance from that position in my opinion and the $7.50 looks attractive on Sportsbet.
RESULT: LOST! Just cant take a break this fella. Couldn't cross early & then Faraway runs to the lead leaving him without cover. Always to tough an ask but battled away late..
Playing The Odds:
Race 1 No 10 Flaming Flutter: 2 from 2 from the stand, huge run in the Melton Plate last week & meeting horses 1 or 2 levels down from that class tonight. If they offer up $2+ I'm having a crack but highly doubtful.
RESULT: WINNER! I couldn't help myself when it got to $1.85.. Just classes above those.
LAY LAY LAY!
Race 3 No 1 On Ice: A huge unknown from the draw. Galloped last time from gate 1 behind the mobile and even if it gets away safely, how much speed does it have? Likely to be $1.80 here and you seriously couldn't back it with those risks. A real open race here, and Id suggest laying wide in exotics excluding 7 & 9.
RESULT: It won.. Led with ease and never looked like losing..
MEETING RESULT: Horror night once again.. Got to change soon. $230 down the gurgler
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Blue Seelster
Has been racing well from impossible positions of late. Stuck 3 pegs in the heat of this race but hit the line strong when got out. No sprint lane that night. Has backed up since at Cranbourne when 3rd when once again racing 3pegs. They ran home in just over 56 seconds after walking early so the effort was very good. Follows through Ultimate CC here who should hold the lead throughout in a race that looks to have plenty of pressure on. He'll get his chance on the sprint lane late if he's good enough. Expect $20/$4
RESULT: LOST! Run off his legs.. Never ever likely..
BLACKBOOKER ALERT! Mooney Race 2. If they go nuts mid race he's a big chance at bolters odds but will need everything to go right.
RESULT: They went crazy alright, unfortunately he did. Daryl back to his best
The Sprinter
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Life Of Ted
Let us down last start over the longer journey but has shown more of a liking to this distance in the past. Once again leads or sits leaders back, exactly where you want to be in these 1720metre races at Melton. Gets his chance at $5
RESULT: LOST! That's it for him now. Was attacked in the middle stages but folded too easily.
The Blackbooker
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Balance Point
We were on last start and pilot error let us down. Could he have won? We'll never know but looks suited tonight. Needs to push forward early and then take the 1x1 sit on the back of Faraway Man. Gets every possible chance from that position in my opinion and the $7.50 looks attractive on Sportsbet.
RESULT: LOST! Just cant take a break this fella. Couldn't cross early & then Faraway runs to the lead leaving him without cover. Always to tough an ask but battled away late..
Playing The Odds:
Race 1 No 10 Flaming Flutter: 2 from 2 from the stand, huge run in the Melton Plate last week & meeting horses 1 or 2 levels down from that class tonight. If they offer up $2+ I'm having a crack but highly doubtful.
RESULT: WINNER! I couldn't help myself when it got to $1.85.. Just classes above those.
LAY LAY LAY!
Race 3 No 1 On Ice: A huge unknown from the draw. Galloped last time from gate 1 behind the mobile and even if it gets away safely, how much speed does it have? Likely to be $1.80 here and you seriously couldn't back it with those risks. A real open race here, and Id suggest laying wide in exotics excluding 7 & 9.
RESULT: It won.. Led with ease and never looked like losing..
MEETING RESULT: Horror night once again.. Got to change soon. $230 down the gurgler
Bendigo, Thursday 9th October
Apologies all, got a bug in the system and for whatever reason the tips aren't saving from my laptop at home.. Anyway, better late than never!
Tough meeting here with lots of question marks on speed maps & how well some of the likely favourites are traveling. Just the one ew tip as a result.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Always Arjay ($6)
I did mark it $6 before the scratching of the 4 so probably starts shorter.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $201.60
The other worth considering is Terra Beau a place but really needs to lob 3 pegs to be a place chance in what looks to be a peg dominated race.
RESULT: 2nd! Another 20 metres and its the winner. $4 around the traps..
I'll concentrate at a bigger crack at Melton tomorrow night..
MEETING RESULT: Won $101.60.. finally...lets get on a roll now and get back in bloody front.
Tough meeting here with lots of question marks on speed maps & how well some of the likely favourites are traveling. Just the one ew tip as a result.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Always Arjay ($6)
I did mark it $6 before the scratching of the 4 so probably starts shorter.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $201.60
The other worth considering is Terra Beau a place but really needs to lob 3 pegs to be a place chance in what looks to be a peg dominated race.
RESULT: 2nd! Another 20 metres and its the winner. $4 around the traps..
I'll concentrate at a bigger crack at Melton tomorrow night..
MEETING RESULT: Won $101.60.. finally...lets get on a roll now and get back in bloody front.
Mildura, Wednesday 8th October
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Misperception
Had some good form in NSW before changing stables. Comes up against some very ordinary horses here with a big question mark on the Cramp first starter. Got the advantage of drawing to lead here and with the fav drawing the back row, looks like getting every chance to knock it off. Expect $6
RESULT: 3rd. Opened $4 around the traps & was smashed into $2 fav. Big unders. Couldn't lead and had to do all the work so the run was ok but wow, $1.1 the place.. Collect $33
$100WIN
Race 4 No 5 Yankidoodledanvers
Raced against better opposition last start and just plodded even though not beaten far. Melrose Kate has since won so the form from the race is good. Looks your early leader and there doesn't seem to be any pressure in this and beat its main danger Graceful Art a couple of runs back under similar circumstances. It's over to Daryl Douglas to give me some pay back! I marked him $2.5
RESULT: 4th. Leads in a 62.5 first half and was gone at the 400metre mark. Im reading them like a blind man at the minute..
MEETING RESULT: This is getting embarrassing. Lost $117
Race 1 No 5 Misperception
Had some good form in NSW before changing stables. Comes up against some very ordinary horses here with a big question mark on the Cramp first starter. Got the advantage of drawing to lead here and with the fav drawing the back row, looks like getting every chance to knock it off. Expect $6
RESULT: 3rd. Opened $4 around the traps & was smashed into $2 fav. Big unders. Couldn't lead and had to do all the work so the run was ok but wow, $1.1 the place.. Collect $33
$100WIN
Race 4 No 5 Yankidoodledanvers
Raced against better opposition last start and just plodded even though not beaten far. Melrose Kate has since won so the form from the race is good. Looks your early leader and there doesn't seem to be any pressure in this and beat its main danger Graceful Art a couple of runs back under similar circumstances. It's over to Daryl Douglas to give me some pay back! I marked him $2.5
RESULT: 4th. Leads in a 62.5 first half and was gone at the 400metre mark. Im reading them like a blind man at the minute..
MEETING RESULT: This is getting embarrassing. Lost $117
Kilmore, Tuesday 7th October
The Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Desert Safari
Has been racing OK against C2/3 class of recent times and steps back to C1 class, albeit a strong C1 race. Has the gate speed to hold the lead and potentially a trail on an appropriate suitor. Some of his rivals here are drawn poorly and the best position to be on the Kilmore track is close to the lead. Josh Duggen onboard is only an improvement also.. Expect $10
RESULT: LOST! Is it out yet? Never likely to win but should've placed
The Class Factor
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Royal Witness
This is simple, at his best he'd space this lot tonight but has had his problems. Returns from a freshen up tonight and he has shown a likening for a short spell in the past. Has enough pace early to hold them out and with a soft enough run should be winning. Willing to take the risk @ $2.50+
SCRATCHED!!
The Replacement Tip
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Dodge The Bullet
Gets a real chance now with the scratching of the fav. Loves the track and if he can cross early a set the pace in the small field, a huge chance to lead throughout.
Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd.. Can I be more of a jinx lately? Had the easiest run possible and plods to the line...
He's Bloody Due!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 12 No Bettertime
Has been flying lately with no luck in running. Was desperately unlucky over the unsuitable mile distance at Bendigo last start when only seeing daylight late. Steps back 2 grades here with the claim of Zac Phillips and he is my major concern as he's been desperately out of form lately. All he has to do is follow Greg Sugars every move here and I think he'll be the one to beat late in the race. Expect $5
RESULT: OUCH.. Never a chance after being hampered badly down the back
PLAYING THE ODDS
Trying something out here members so feel free to give me some feedback if it's worthwhile or not.. I'll go through some of the races worth targeting if the price is right that I haven't tipped in:
Race 2:
ROSE ALIPES: No
REAL ELEGANCE: Hard to see it getting rolled and I couldn't back it at odds on as it can find an excuse to lose.. If you get better than $2 though, I think you're shopping real well
BONNIE MAY: Had every possible chance against easier last start. NO.
BUBBAS PRINCESS: The reason why Im not tipping Real Elegance. Big query runner. Close up to some very good horses when last in work and won a recent trial. Very hard to price as well. If it's being supported in betting might be worth a flutter. Marked it a $5 chance but leave it alone if it odds are drifting dramatically.
GLENFERRIE BREEZE: A little over rated this horse for mine. From the draw is going to either sit back in the field or have to work in the death. Not good enough from either position. Might be short, short enough to lay early on.
STRIPTEASE DANCER: Has shown enough ability in the Riverina to suggest it has enough talent to be thereabouts in this but the draw makes it very tough. 1 win from 18 not that appealing either. Rough place only
ALPHA JET: Disappointing after getting every opportunity last start but couldn't finish off late. Did have to work hard early so maybe a forgive but I'd suggest it would have to go back and hope they go nuts early to have any chance
KAKA POINT COAST: 93 starts, 0 wins.. Enough said
ELEMENTS OF ART: NO
SUBTLE THEORY: Probably the best roughy for a place. Cant win but a sneaky chance with the right run. Include for 3rd and 4th for your exotics.
POG's PUNT: If you get $2, Real Elegance is the way to go. Have faith in Sugars..
RESULT: Real Elegance bolts in at red figure odds.
Race 8
HONEY MARAVU: Almost tipped it but there are a couple of risks and may start unders. Leads early but likely to hand up to Patchitupbaby. The concern is there could be pressure from 3,5 & 7 early and Patchitupbaby is a little weak when the pressure is on. Can it take Honey Maravu into the race late? Yes with a soft enough run. Have to be $5+ for me to have a gamble
PATCHITUPBABY: As mentioned should lead early but needs a soft run early to be a chance. Can certainly win with that type of run as it showed at Melton 3 starts back when it had everything its own way. Going to start close to $2 however and there is no value in that.
PRIDEANACHIEVEMENT: Has speed, has Daryl Douglas onboard. Anything could happen early but not good enough to beat these.
ANNA FAYE: Shown ability in it's last prep but not racing well this time in. I wouldn't touch it again until it shows something
ADDITALLUP: Changed stables which is always watch worthy. Had ability last time in without winning many. Happy to leave it alone.
OUR CAVORT: Couldn't have been more disappointing last start. Looks a one trick pony. Would be a major surprise to see it win based on that run
MELROSE KATE: Should've won last start after breaking under pressure last start but the draw makes it too tough.
KRISNEY GIRL: It's a different horse in it's 3 start with Wayne Potter. Was just a battler last prep. Desperately unlucky from 3 pegs last start, was a good winner the previous start and was a handy first up effort at Cranbourne. Going to end up 3 pegs here again but if they do go silly early, she's a chance with luck. Worth a small win bet at $20+ and bigger place punt at $3.50+
STORMY LECTURE: Another that'll need the pace on in the race and the right trail into it late. IF it gets that run, a big show, but to great a risk at around the $4 mark. If it got out to $7/$2 definitely worth an ew ticket with greater weighting on the place
POG's PUNT: There are a few options here and all of them a fairly risky so my outlay will be small. Weighted on a 1 to 10 unit outlay my suggestions are:
HONEY MARAVU: 5 unit win bet if $5+
KRISNEY GIRL: 1 unit win bet if $20+. 5 unit place bet if $3.50+
STORMY LECTURE: 2 by 3 UNIT bet if $7/$2
RESULT: We get the odds for Stormy Lecture and it was a good 2nd.
MEETING RESULT: Another horror night.. Lost $200
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Desert Safari
Has been racing OK against C2/3 class of recent times and steps back to C1 class, albeit a strong C1 race. Has the gate speed to hold the lead and potentially a trail on an appropriate suitor. Some of his rivals here are drawn poorly and the best position to be on the Kilmore track is close to the lead. Josh Duggen onboard is only an improvement also.. Expect $10
RESULT: LOST! Is it out yet? Never likely to win but should've placed
The Class Factor
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Royal Witness
This is simple, at his best he'd space this lot tonight but has had his problems. Returns from a freshen up tonight and he has shown a likening for a short spell in the past. Has enough pace early to hold them out and with a soft enough run should be winning. Willing to take the risk @ $2.50+
SCRATCHED!!
The Replacement Tip
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Dodge The Bullet
Gets a real chance now with the scratching of the fav. Loves the track and if he can cross early a set the pace in the small field, a huge chance to lead throughout.
Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd.. Can I be more of a jinx lately? Had the easiest run possible and plods to the line...
He's Bloody Due!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 12 No Bettertime
Has been flying lately with no luck in running. Was desperately unlucky over the unsuitable mile distance at Bendigo last start when only seeing daylight late. Steps back 2 grades here with the claim of Zac Phillips and he is my major concern as he's been desperately out of form lately. All he has to do is follow Greg Sugars every move here and I think he'll be the one to beat late in the race. Expect $5
RESULT: OUCH.. Never a chance after being hampered badly down the back
PLAYING THE ODDS
Trying something out here members so feel free to give me some feedback if it's worthwhile or not.. I'll go through some of the races worth targeting if the price is right that I haven't tipped in:
Race 2:
ROSE ALIPES: No
REAL ELEGANCE: Hard to see it getting rolled and I couldn't back it at odds on as it can find an excuse to lose.. If you get better than $2 though, I think you're shopping real well
BONNIE MAY: Had every possible chance against easier last start. NO.
BUBBAS PRINCESS: The reason why Im not tipping Real Elegance. Big query runner. Close up to some very good horses when last in work and won a recent trial. Very hard to price as well. If it's being supported in betting might be worth a flutter. Marked it a $5 chance but leave it alone if it odds are drifting dramatically.
GLENFERRIE BREEZE: A little over rated this horse for mine. From the draw is going to either sit back in the field or have to work in the death. Not good enough from either position. Might be short, short enough to lay early on.
STRIPTEASE DANCER: Has shown enough ability in the Riverina to suggest it has enough talent to be thereabouts in this but the draw makes it very tough. 1 win from 18 not that appealing either. Rough place only
ALPHA JET: Disappointing after getting every opportunity last start but couldn't finish off late. Did have to work hard early so maybe a forgive but I'd suggest it would have to go back and hope they go nuts early to have any chance
KAKA POINT COAST: 93 starts, 0 wins.. Enough said
ELEMENTS OF ART: NO
SUBTLE THEORY: Probably the best roughy for a place. Cant win but a sneaky chance with the right run. Include for 3rd and 4th for your exotics.
POG's PUNT: If you get $2, Real Elegance is the way to go. Have faith in Sugars..
RESULT: Real Elegance bolts in at red figure odds.
Race 8
HONEY MARAVU: Almost tipped it but there are a couple of risks and may start unders. Leads early but likely to hand up to Patchitupbaby. The concern is there could be pressure from 3,5 & 7 early and Patchitupbaby is a little weak when the pressure is on. Can it take Honey Maravu into the race late? Yes with a soft enough run. Have to be $5+ for me to have a gamble
PATCHITUPBABY: As mentioned should lead early but needs a soft run early to be a chance. Can certainly win with that type of run as it showed at Melton 3 starts back when it had everything its own way. Going to start close to $2 however and there is no value in that.
PRIDEANACHIEVEMENT: Has speed, has Daryl Douglas onboard. Anything could happen early but not good enough to beat these.
ANNA FAYE: Shown ability in it's last prep but not racing well this time in. I wouldn't touch it again until it shows something
ADDITALLUP: Changed stables which is always watch worthy. Had ability last time in without winning many. Happy to leave it alone.
OUR CAVORT: Couldn't have been more disappointing last start. Looks a one trick pony. Would be a major surprise to see it win based on that run
MELROSE KATE: Should've won last start after breaking under pressure last start but the draw makes it too tough.
KRISNEY GIRL: It's a different horse in it's 3 start with Wayne Potter. Was just a battler last prep. Desperately unlucky from 3 pegs last start, was a good winner the previous start and was a handy first up effort at Cranbourne. Going to end up 3 pegs here again but if they do go silly early, she's a chance with luck. Worth a small win bet at $20+ and bigger place punt at $3.50+
STORMY LECTURE: Another that'll need the pace on in the race and the right trail into it late. IF it gets that run, a big show, but to great a risk at around the $4 mark. If it got out to $7/$2 definitely worth an ew ticket with greater weighting on the place
POG's PUNT: There are a few options here and all of them a fairly risky so my outlay will be small. Weighted on a 1 to 10 unit outlay my suggestions are:
HONEY MARAVU: 5 unit win bet if $5+
KRISNEY GIRL: 1 unit win bet if $20+. 5 unit place bet if $3.50+
STORMY LECTURE: 2 by 3 UNIT bet if $7/$2
RESULT: We get the odds for Stormy Lecture and it was a good 2nd.
MEETING RESULT: Another horror night.. Lost $200
Cranbourne, Monday 6th October
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Pumpitup
4th up from a very long break today and showed enough from a back row draw to say he's ready to win. I expect there to be plenty of pace on here early with a few of the fancies wanting the top. Should suit him perfectly @ around $5
RESULT: AWFUL! Started massive unders with the favourite scratched which also took the pace out of the race but had every chance.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Somethingsgotagive
He's no superstar but gets the draw & distance to have every opportunity here. Unlucky last start after failing to lead and never saw daylight. Won't have those issues today. Expect $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Finally.. Collect $125
$100 QUINELLA
Race 4: 2 & 8
Couldn't separate the 2 but they should really gap the rest and give us a bit more play money for the day
RESULT: LOST! Not Jodi Quinlans best drive.. Never put it into the race whilst Kate Gath did what she liked in front. Frustrating to lose like that..
MEETING RESULT: Another loss but a poor early punt cost me early.. Lost $125
Race 1 No 2 Pumpitup
4th up from a very long break today and showed enough from a back row draw to say he's ready to win. I expect there to be plenty of pace on here early with a few of the fancies wanting the top. Should suit him perfectly @ around $5
RESULT: AWFUL! Started massive unders with the favourite scratched which also took the pace out of the race but had every chance.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Somethingsgotagive
He's no superstar but gets the draw & distance to have every opportunity here. Unlucky last start after failing to lead and never saw daylight. Won't have those issues today. Expect $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Finally.. Collect $125
$100 QUINELLA
Race 4: 2 & 8
Couldn't separate the 2 but they should really gap the rest and give us a bit more play money for the day
RESULT: LOST! Not Jodi Quinlans best drive.. Never put it into the race whilst Kate Gath did what she liked in front. Frustrating to lose like that..
MEETING RESULT: Another loss but a poor early punt cost me early.. Lost $125
Ararat, Sunday 5th October
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Guilty Rama
Liked the way it hit the line last start against stronger than it meets tonight. Hasn't got great gate speed but if it can hold Thanknbonnie's back he's a chance to outsprint them late. Expect $15
Race 6 $100QUINELLA
5 & 7
The only danger of these two not running top 2 is if the cut at each other throughout. The should be leader and outside leader and really should be gapping the rest.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Steely Blue
Marked $101 on Waytobet but think it'll be closer to $20. Must cross early to be a chance but if it does, I'm real confident of a top 3 finish
Race 5 No 1 Guilty Rama
Liked the way it hit the line last start against stronger than it meets tonight. Hasn't got great gate speed but if it can hold Thanknbonnie's back he's a chance to outsprint them late. Expect $15
Race 6 $100QUINELLA
5 & 7
The only danger of these two not running top 2 is if the cut at each other throughout. The should be leader and outside leader and really should be gapping the rest.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Steely Blue
Marked $101 on Waytobet but think it'll be closer to $20. Must cross early to be a chance but if it does, I'm real confident of a top 3 finish
Melton, Saturday 4th October
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Top Venue
Thought his last 2 runs have been extremely good against similar opposition eve though this is a M0. Has the gate speed to utilise the good draw and has won at the track previously. Big advantage to be either leading or leaders back here and @ $5 currently at Sportsbet, looks good value.
RESULT: 3rd. Led and was attacked throughout which set the race up for leaders back/3 pegs. Good run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Our Miss Vivienne
She is racing in great heart. Had to lead up the outside brigade in a brutal 30.5, 28.6 & 30.3 middle quarters but she kept battling away late to only be beaten 11 metres. This race has pace a plenty off the front and I can see a few going hard and strong for the first 600metres here. Our Miss Viviane will be restrained off the front row tonight but she races best sit/sprint. She'll appreciate the good speed and should get a nice cart into the race late. Currently $13 on sportsbet but I think we'll get better
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start and that was that
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Miss Metro Glen
Gee she was set a task last week in the heat of this final but just kept kicking after racing in the death, taking a sit midrace & almost stole the race. I'm very confident she gets to the pegs first here and looks bloody hard to roll. I marked her a $3 chance but currently sits at $4 on sportsbet
RESULT: 2nd. Had her chance in front but was outsprinted by Niquero.. Of course..
QUADDIE
$32 for 100%
1-4-7-8 / 1-2-6-8 / 6-9 / 10
RESULT: 3 legs
MEETING RESULT: All around it and get donuts, story of my last month...
Race 1 No 1 Top Venue
Thought his last 2 runs have been extremely good against similar opposition eve though this is a M0. Has the gate speed to utilise the good draw and has won at the track previously. Big advantage to be either leading or leaders back here and @ $5 currently at Sportsbet, looks good value.
RESULT: 3rd. Led and was attacked throughout which set the race up for leaders back/3 pegs. Good run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Our Miss Vivienne
She is racing in great heart. Had to lead up the outside brigade in a brutal 30.5, 28.6 & 30.3 middle quarters but she kept battling away late to only be beaten 11 metres. This race has pace a plenty off the front and I can see a few going hard and strong for the first 600metres here. Our Miss Viviane will be restrained off the front row tonight but she races best sit/sprint. She'll appreciate the good speed and should get a nice cart into the race late. Currently $13 on sportsbet but I think we'll get better
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start and that was that
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Miss Metro Glen
Gee she was set a task last week in the heat of this final but just kept kicking after racing in the death, taking a sit midrace & almost stole the race. I'm very confident she gets to the pegs first here and looks bloody hard to roll. I marked her a $3 chance but currently sits at $4 on sportsbet
RESULT: 2nd. Had her chance in front but was outsprinted by Niquero.. Of course..
QUADDIE
$32 for 100%
1-4-7-8 / 1-2-6-8 / 6-9 / 10
RESULT: 3 legs
MEETING RESULT: All around it and get donuts, story of my last month...
Ballarat, Friday 3rd October
$25WIN
Race 4 No 4 Balance Point
Been a long time between drinks but thought his run was super last start after burning out early, getting dragged back through the field mid race before flashing home late. Has good gate speed and is a good chance to lead these early and from the top will give plenty of cheek. Straight out bet because of the NTD. Expect $8
RESULT: LOST! The drive gave it no chance
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Ultimate CC
Just had to work too hard last start to lead and was left a sitting shot but was a good 2nd. Leads easily here and there doesn't seem to be any pressure on throughout the race. Should be a walk in the park @ $2
RESULT: 2nd... Too good Roy George
Race 4 No 4 Balance Point
Been a long time between drinks but thought his run was super last start after burning out early, getting dragged back through the field mid race before flashing home late. Has good gate speed and is a good chance to lead these early and from the top will give plenty of cheek. Straight out bet because of the NTD. Expect $8
RESULT: LOST! The drive gave it no chance
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Ultimate CC
Just had to work too hard last start to lead and was left a sitting shot but was a good 2nd. Leads easily here and there doesn't seem to be any pressure on throughout the race. Should be a walk in the park @ $2
RESULT: 2nd... Too good Roy George
Shepparton, Thursday 2nd October
One really tough meeting here and my punting on the night will be determined on odds available. Small betting only though..
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Travelnfirstclass
Best draw it's had for a while but best draws it's hard with David Miles. Usually shows great gate speed and has a liking for the mile. Looks your leader and winner @ $3.
RESULT: WINNER! A BLOODY WINNER! Wow, longtime between drinks. Collect $170
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 My Mums A Star
Not suited over the short course last start but ran on ok from a mile back. Did beat home the likely fav Buy Chevron Direct over this distance a few starts ago. Should position closer to the lead and maybe a sneaky chance to be leaders back. Should be rock hard fit now after a handful of runs back from a long spell.At around $20, my best roughy of the night
RESULT: Lost! Got lost in the back of the field and never in it.
MEETING RESULT: Won $70
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Travelnfirstclass
Best draw it's had for a while but best draws it's hard with David Miles. Usually shows great gate speed and has a liking for the mile. Looks your leader and winner @ $3.
RESULT: WINNER! A BLOODY WINNER! Wow, longtime between drinks. Collect $170
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 My Mums A Star
Not suited over the short course last start but ran on ok from a mile back. Did beat home the likely fav Buy Chevron Direct over this distance a few starts ago. Should position closer to the lead and maybe a sneaky chance to be leaders back. Should be rock hard fit now after a handful of runs back from a long spell.At around $20, my best roughy of the night
RESULT: Lost! Got lost in the back of the field and never in it.
MEETING RESULT: Won $70
Bendigo, Wednesday 1st October
Apologies all, my tips I submitted last night have disappeared. Below are the tips without my ramblings...
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Born To Be Brave
Expect $5
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Life Of Ted
Expect $15/$4 (NTD)
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Classic Icon
Expect $5
MEETING RESULT: Lost $65
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Born To Be Brave
Expect $5
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Life Of Ted
Expect $15/$4 (NTD)
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Classic Icon
Expect $5
MEETING RESULT: Lost $65
Terang, Tuesday 30th September
Got to take a few risks here as this is my last opportunity to get back in front for the month.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Extra
A maiden from 33 starts it's certainly had it's chances but I believe it's a better horse than that. Had no chance 2nd up last start after they walked the first half of the race. Ran home well once into the clear and certainly didn't lose any ground on the leaders late. Has gate speed to position close to the front early and hopefully on the back on Purple Royale who'll be moving 3 wide with cover soon after the start. It'll pour on the pressure to the leaders and if Extra is close enough to them on the turn its a sneaky winning chance at around $20
RESULT: Lost! Cat..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Miss Dilly
Putting all my eggs in the one basket here as her chances a greatly dented if Latoya Lass doesn't lead but if 3 back the pegs, she is going to get a smother that she loves and you can win from 3 pegs at Terang. She outsprinted a similar field impressively last start and with the fireworks likely to be on throughout, she'll just need a little bit of luck to be right in the finish at $8
RESULT: LOST! Something not right tonight. Gone half way out..
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Rate Highly
I thought it was a little disappointing last start but the form has been franked with Mixedwithjasper winning impressively last week at Geelong. Looks likely to monster its way to the front from this draw and looks the best bet of the night for mine. I might be dreaming but I think we'll get $2 early.
RESULT: 3rd! Got $2.30 myself and was laughing when it tumbled into $1.70, until it was gone after a ridiculously hard run at the turn.
QUADDIE
$40 for 1000%
5 / 3-4-7-8 / 1 / 6
MEETING RESULT: I went hard and got donuts. A horrible end to a month I'd rather forget, my worst since starting in March last year. Lost $290
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Extra
A maiden from 33 starts it's certainly had it's chances but I believe it's a better horse than that. Had no chance 2nd up last start after they walked the first half of the race. Ran home well once into the clear and certainly didn't lose any ground on the leaders late. Has gate speed to position close to the front early and hopefully on the back on Purple Royale who'll be moving 3 wide with cover soon after the start. It'll pour on the pressure to the leaders and if Extra is close enough to them on the turn its a sneaky winning chance at around $20
RESULT: Lost! Cat..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Miss Dilly
Putting all my eggs in the one basket here as her chances a greatly dented if Latoya Lass doesn't lead but if 3 back the pegs, she is going to get a smother that she loves and you can win from 3 pegs at Terang. She outsprinted a similar field impressively last start and with the fireworks likely to be on throughout, she'll just need a little bit of luck to be right in the finish at $8
RESULT: LOST! Something not right tonight. Gone half way out..
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Rate Highly
I thought it was a little disappointing last start but the form has been franked with Mixedwithjasper winning impressively last week at Geelong. Looks likely to monster its way to the front from this draw and looks the best bet of the night for mine. I might be dreaming but I think we'll get $2 early.
RESULT: 3rd! Got $2.30 myself and was laughing when it tumbled into $1.70, until it was gone after a ridiculously hard run at the turn.
QUADDIE
$40 for 1000%
5 / 3-4-7-8 / 1 / 6
MEETING RESULT: I went hard and got donuts. A horrible end to a month I'd rather forget, my worst since starting in March last year. Lost $290
Charlton, Monday 29th September
LAY OF THE DAY:
Race 4 No 1 Alwynsart
Maybe I'm dirty after making it my best the other week from the same draw but just looks a huge lay bet under the same circumstances today. Draws inside a fast beginner Macs Department who struggles to run past 1609metres. I'm 99% sure it crosses Alwynsart early and only a superb drive from Amanda Turnbull will be able to save it.
RESULT: Lead.. Everyway I carve it up, never had it leading. Worst part is it lead easily. Just won but this horse costs me money yet again..
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Stormy Lecture
Been racing extremely well against much better. Finally draws a good gate and looks your winner at $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Beautiful drive, easy win. Collect $155
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Snack Beast
Has been racing in stand starts of late and has bombed every start. Back to the mobile the key and Scott Dyer aboard should see him being driven aggressively. I expect it to death seat and win here at around $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Couldn't lead and then got stuck behind a tiring horse which cost it momentum. Still had it's chance but missed by a pimple.
$50WIN (Changed 9:53am)
Race 7 No 9 Znana
Last chance for this fella. Should have finished much closer 2 starts back after being stuck behind tired horses and then was outclassed behind Flaming Flutter at Melton on Friday night. I expect them to go quickly early with both 1 & 2 strong headed leaders that race best running along. That should suit Znana and he'll be having the last crack at them late. Expect $5
UPDATE: Change the outlay here with the scratching. Going to be too short to back ew and will need an element of luck to win
RESULT: 2nd. The risk was there after it drew to end up 3 pegs and that's eactly what happened. Flew late but the winner had the momentum.
MEETING RESULT: Another frustrating day. Lost $45
Race 4 No 1 Alwynsart
Maybe I'm dirty after making it my best the other week from the same draw but just looks a huge lay bet under the same circumstances today. Draws inside a fast beginner Macs Department who struggles to run past 1609metres. I'm 99% sure it crosses Alwynsart early and only a superb drive from Amanda Turnbull will be able to save it.
RESULT: Lead.. Everyway I carve it up, never had it leading. Worst part is it lead easily. Just won but this horse costs me money yet again..
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Stormy Lecture
Been racing extremely well against much better. Finally draws a good gate and looks your winner at $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Beautiful drive, easy win. Collect $155
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Snack Beast
Has been racing in stand starts of late and has bombed every start. Back to the mobile the key and Scott Dyer aboard should see him being driven aggressively. I expect it to death seat and win here at around $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Couldn't lead and then got stuck behind a tiring horse which cost it momentum. Still had it's chance but missed by a pimple.
$50WIN (Changed 9:53am)
Race 7 No 9 Znana
Last chance for this fella. Should have finished much closer 2 starts back after being stuck behind tired horses and then was outclassed behind Flaming Flutter at Melton on Friday night. I expect them to go quickly early with both 1 & 2 strong headed leaders that race best running along. That should suit Znana and he'll be having the last crack at them late. Expect $5
UPDATE: Change the outlay here with the scratching. Going to be too short to back ew and will need an element of luck to win
RESULT: 2nd. The risk was there after it drew to end up 3 pegs and that's eactly what happened. Flew late but the winner had the momentum.
MEETING RESULT: Another frustrating day. Lost $45
Mildura, Saturday 27th September
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Wiley Jasper
Been racing OK in slightly better fields. Likes this track, gets the good draw and Gavin Lang in the cart is a huge plus. Expect $5
RESULT: LOST!
Race 7 No 1 Wiley Jasper
Been racing OK in slightly better fields. Likes this track, gets the good draw and Gavin Lang in the cart is a huge plus. Expect $5
RESULT: LOST!
Melton, Friday 26th September
LAY OF THE DAY:
RACE 7 No 12 Highview Conall
Had it all its own way when leading all the way last week against much weaker than what it meets tonight. Back to the 1720metres, up in class and drawn terribly. Needs luck to win. Not for mine @ $2.75..
RESULT: LOST! Drifted and drifted. Never likely.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 3 Isabelle Delacour
Forget it's last start when got start behind a tiring horse in the 1x1 and dragged out to last. Wasn't a bad run the previous start at this track & distance after death seating and only being beaten 5 metres. She's a different horse when able to lead or sit leaders back and with Jason Lee in the cart is a huge chance to cross early. Currently $8 on sportsbet, I reckon we'll get better closer to race time
RESULT: WINNER! Well the late scratching of the favourite diminished any odds but I'll take any winner at the minute. Collect $104.80
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 13 Classy Western
Bloody hell this bloke is racing well without winning. Wasn't suited at all drawing poorly in a small field last week when they walked in a 62.8 first half, ridiculously slow for this class of horse. He led up the outside brigade in the last lap and ran home in the quickest last half of the night in 55.41 seconds, to only be beaten a pimple by a horse with the better run. These finals are usually run at a break neck speed and that'll suit him perfectly. Surely this is his week to get some luck!! Currently $6 on sportsbet and $7 on BET365, that looks very attractive to me.
RESULT: 3rd. On a night that the backmarkers struggled, he never looked a danger but did ok to snag 3rd. Collect $132
MEETING RESULT: Won $86.80
RACE 7 No 12 Highview Conall
Had it all its own way when leading all the way last week against much weaker than what it meets tonight. Back to the 1720metres, up in class and drawn terribly. Needs luck to win. Not for mine @ $2.75..
RESULT: LOST! Drifted and drifted. Never likely.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 3 Isabelle Delacour
Forget it's last start when got start behind a tiring horse in the 1x1 and dragged out to last. Wasn't a bad run the previous start at this track & distance after death seating and only being beaten 5 metres. She's a different horse when able to lead or sit leaders back and with Jason Lee in the cart is a huge chance to cross early. Currently $8 on sportsbet, I reckon we'll get better closer to race time
RESULT: WINNER! Well the late scratching of the favourite diminished any odds but I'll take any winner at the minute. Collect $104.80
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 13 Classy Western
Bloody hell this bloke is racing well without winning. Wasn't suited at all drawing poorly in a small field last week when they walked in a 62.8 first half, ridiculously slow for this class of horse. He led up the outside brigade in the last lap and ran home in the quickest last half of the night in 55.41 seconds, to only be beaten a pimple by a horse with the better run. These finals are usually run at a break neck speed and that'll suit him perfectly. Surely this is his week to get some luck!! Currently $6 on sportsbet and $7 on BET365, that looks very attractive to me.
RESULT: 3rd. On a night that the backmarkers struggled, he never looked a danger but did ok to snag 3rd. Collect $132
MEETING RESULT: Won $86.80
Geelong. Thursday 25th September
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 11 Major Scandal
It's first up run was much better than what it looks on paper. Sitting midfield on a heavily rain affected track, they ran an ultra slow 2:05 second mile rate for the sprint trip. He was the one 3 wide without cover coming home well late until he momentarily locked wheels at the 50 but still snagged 3rd place. Has trialled at Bacchus March since, and ran some quick time for that track in winning easily. Ran an OK 4th in a trial behind the likes of Will Mach My Word, Dentona and Fon Design after being first up for a year in July. A real stab in the dark here from the draw but there looks to be a whole heap of pressure on throughout and it's time I had a crack at one at $50+!
RESULT: Lost.. Ran like a $50 shot..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Hugh
An old favourite of mine he'll be at big ew odds in this big step up in class but has a real sneaky chance. Not suited over the mile and a bad draw last start but hit the line well late. First up in July he missed away from a stand start but and hit the line strong in running 5t behind Blended Family. The 3 favourites are going to be tough to beat here but I expect it to trail the leader, Glenferrie EJ for mine and I have a huge question mark on Upanatom racing from the death. If they cut at each other, Hugh can swamp them late especially 3rd up off the back of a strong trial win. Expect $20+
RESULT: LOST! Ran like a $1000 shot.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Mixedwithajasper
Put up a good performance at Melton in a very strong C1-3 race last Friday in running 4th not beaten far behind Will Mach My
Word. That run followed a good win at Stawell and look in good form. I just think it's a better horse than these and whether Kerryn decides to lead or death seat, it's the one I want to be on @ $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up $2.70 closed $1.95.. Collect $195
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
Race 1 No 11 Major Scandal
It's first up run was much better than what it looks on paper. Sitting midfield on a heavily rain affected track, they ran an ultra slow 2:05 second mile rate for the sprint trip. He was the one 3 wide without cover coming home well late until he momentarily locked wheels at the 50 but still snagged 3rd place. Has trialled at Bacchus March since, and ran some quick time for that track in winning easily. Ran an OK 4th in a trial behind the likes of Will Mach My Word, Dentona and Fon Design after being first up for a year in July. A real stab in the dark here from the draw but there looks to be a whole heap of pressure on throughout and it's time I had a crack at one at $50+!
RESULT: Lost.. Ran like a $50 shot..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Hugh
An old favourite of mine he'll be at big ew odds in this big step up in class but has a real sneaky chance. Not suited over the mile and a bad draw last start but hit the line well late. First up in July he missed away from a stand start but and hit the line strong in running 5t behind Blended Family. The 3 favourites are going to be tough to beat here but I expect it to trail the leader, Glenferrie EJ for mine and I have a huge question mark on Upanatom racing from the death. If they cut at each other, Hugh can swamp them late especially 3rd up off the back of a strong trial win. Expect $20+
RESULT: LOST! Ran like a $1000 shot.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Mixedwithajasper
Put up a good performance at Melton in a very strong C1-3 race last Friday in running 4th not beaten far behind Will Mach My
Word. That run followed a good win at Stawell and look in good form. I just think it's a better horse than these and whether Kerryn decides to lead or death seat, it's the one I want to be on @ $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up $2.70 closed $1.95.. Collect $195
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
Echuca, Wednesday 24th September
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Alpinion
You have to ignore it's history here, this tip is purely what it has shown at the trials. Unlucky not to finish closer in a slowly run trial when settle close to last and never got a clear run at them versus Co/1's but won impressively the week prior in OK time. Follows through the likely early leader and looks likely to receive the run of the race in what should be a genuine tempo. It showed in it's trials it can finish well off slow sectional and the likelihood of a good tempo should suit. Change of stable can only help too. I marked it $8 but I can see it being well supported so take the early odds.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Final Flutter
At his best he'd destroy this field (has a win against Road TO Rock under his belt) but it's been nearly 10 months since it's last run. Returned to the trials last week with a good 2nd but certainly looked like he'd benefit for that run. Should position either in front or leaders back and my only concern is whether he's fit enough. Worth a risk @ $2.5+
MEETING RESULT: Meeting was abandoned
Race 6 No 7 Alpinion
You have to ignore it's history here, this tip is purely what it has shown at the trials. Unlucky not to finish closer in a slowly run trial when settle close to last and never got a clear run at them versus Co/1's but won impressively the week prior in OK time. Follows through the likely early leader and looks likely to receive the run of the race in what should be a genuine tempo. It showed in it's trials it can finish well off slow sectional and the likelihood of a good tempo should suit. Change of stable can only help too. I marked it $8 but I can see it being well supported so take the early odds.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Final Flutter
At his best he'd destroy this field (has a win against Road TO Rock under his belt) but it's been nearly 10 months since it's last run. Returned to the trials last week with a good 2nd but certainly looked like he'd benefit for that run. Should position either in front or leaders back and my only concern is whether he's fit enough. Worth a risk @ $2.5+
MEETING RESULT: Meeting was abandoned
Bendigo, Tuesday 23rd September
$50WIN
Race 7 No 11 Classievale
Thought his run was huge in a small field at this track and distance. They walked in front early whilst he sat out the back smoking the pipe. Made the move late but in a 56 second last half had no hope of running them down but great effort to run 2nd. Comes up against an unknown factor in Tiago Bromac first up from NZ but it would want to be good. Prepares for this with 2 ok trial efforts but the pressure will be right on here early with a heap of pace off the front line. Suits Classievale more for mine. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd! $4? $9 around and $2.40 the place. Hope followers adjusted the punts accordingly. CI couldn't get enough of the $2.40 available!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 5 Sinead
Thought she did a good job of running 4th in her heat last week after sitting in the death. That isn't her go. My speed map has Thankbonnie crossing Cute Art early, just, leaving Sinead in the death early but not for long. She should receive cover from Riverboat Prince who'll be looking to move forward from the backrow draw early & I cant see Brian Gath handing up. Sinead should get every hope from there in. Even if Cute Art holds early I still expect Sinead to take up the death seat but it will make it tough if Cute Art decides to gift the race to Riverboat Prince again tonight. Expect $6+
RESULT: WINNER! Somehow got behind the leader early and always wanted to be on it in the run from there. Collect $182
MEETING RESULT: Won $82. Uphill battle to get in front with 7 days left!
Race 7 No 11 Classievale
Thought his run was huge in a small field at this track and distance. They walked in front early whilst he sat out the back smoking the pipe. Made the move late but in a 56 second last half had no hope of running them down but great effort to run 2nd. Comes up against an unknown factor in Tiago Bromac first up from NZ but it would want to be good. Prepares for this with 2 ok trial efforts but the pressure will be right on here early with a heap of pace off the front line. Suits Classievale more for mine. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd! $4? $9 around and $2.40 the place. Hope followers adjusted the punts accordingly. CI couldn't get enough of the $2.40 available!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 5 Sinead
Thought she did a good job of running 4th in her heat last week after sitting in the death. That isn't her go. My speed map has Thankbonnie crossing Cute Art early, just, leaving Sinead in the death early but not for long. She should receive cover from Riverboat Prince who'll be looking to move forward from the backrow draw early & I cant see Brian Gath handing up. Sinead should get every hope from there in. Even if Cute Art holds early I still expect Sinead to take up the death seat but it will make it tough if Cute Art decides to gift the race to Riverboat Prince again tonight. Expect $6+
RESULT: WINNER! Somehow got behind the leader early and always wanted to be on it in the run from there. Collect $182
MEETING RESULT: Won $82. Uphill battle to get in front with 7 days left!
Hamilton, Monday 22nd September
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Miss Dilly
This is the weakest field she's met for sometime and the lead looks hers for the taking. Over the short and with her main danger drawn inside the back row, she looks your winner @ $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! & Overs for once!! $155 collect
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Znana
Not a bad 3rd beaten a mile behind Jilliby Master in a C4/5 last start but did work pretty hard the last lap. Beat home the likes of the Noble Steed in the race though which is good form for a race like this C2/3. Sould push forward and likely to death seat but even from there, I think he's too strong @ $3
RESULT: LOST! No no no Mr Lee...
MEETING RESULT: Won $55
Race 2 No 2 Miss Dilly
This is the weakest field she's met for sometime and the lead looks hers for the taking. Over the short and with her main danger drawn inside the back row, she looks your winner @ $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! & Overs for once!! $155 collect
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Znana
Not a bad 3rd beaten a mile behind Jilliby Master in a C4/5 last start but did work pretty hard the last lap. Beat home the likes of the Noble Steed in the race though which is good form for a race like this C2/3. Sould push forward and likely to death seat but even from there, I think he's too strong @ $3
RESULT: LOST! No no no Mr Lee...
MEETING RESULT: Won $55
Melton, Sunday 21st September
$100WIN
Race 1 No 10 Our Summer Wind
Was a little unlucky not to finish closer last start in a M0 at Melton and it's previous start flashed home late in a R5 or better at Geelong. This is 3-4 grades lower than what it's been facing and really should be winning this. Expect $2
RESULT: LOST! Checked & broke..
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Giant Steps
15 starts for one placing and you must be thinking this bloke is nuts. Reality is he's been running extremely well this prep. Great effort against much better class than this last start. Sat behind the leader after working a little early and looked half a chance on the turn but just didn't have the class. Only beaten 3 metres though. Looks your leader here and the 1720metres should suit. Never going to get a better chance to break through. Expect $3
RESULT: WINNER! BET365 punters rechoice with $3.50. Collect $115
$20/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 It Is She
Really hit the line strong after having no luck last start. Took close to 20metres off the leaders over the last 200 metres to snag 3rd. 6th run back after over a year off the seen and looks ready to win one. Back to the sprint distance is an advantage and there looks to be good pace on early here if Ive got the speed maps right. Ultimate CC and Jimmy The Editor have similar gate speed and they my declare each other on early. I think It Is She will be the one appreciating that and looks hard to hold out late @ around $10
RESULT: Lost! Good run, just couldn't get the right run into the race. Stick with it.
MEETING: No luck again tonight and another loss on the board. Lost $85
Race 1 No 10 Our Summer Wind
Was a little unlucky not to finish closer last start in a M0 at Melton and it's previous start flashed home late in a R5 or better at Geelong. This is 3-4 grades lower than what it's been facing and really should be winning this. Expect $2
RESULT: LOST! Checked & broke..
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Giant Steps
15 starts for one placing and you must be thinking this bloke is nuts. Reality is he's been running extremely well this prep. Great effort against much better class than this last start. Sat behind the leader after working a little early and looked half a chance on the turn but just didn't have the class. Only beaten 3 metres though. Looks your leader here and the 1720metres should suit. Never going to get a better chance to break through. Expect $3
RESULT: WINNER! BET365 punters rechoice with $3.50. Collect $115
$20/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 It Is She
Really hit the line strong after having no luck last start. Took close to 20metres off the leaders over the last 200 metres to snag 3rd. 6th run back after over a year off the seen and looks ready to win one. Back to the sprint distance is an advantage and there looks to be good pace on early here if Ive got the speed maps right. Ultimate CC and Jimmy The Editor have similar gate speed and they my declare each other on early. I think It Is She will be the one appreciating that and looks hard to hold out late @ around $10
RESULT: Lost! Good run, just couldn't get the right run into the race. Stick with it.
MEETING: No luck again tonight and another loss on the board. Lost $85
Cranbourne, Saturday 20th September
It's been an absolute shocker this month but Ive been here before and I know it only takes a couple of wins to get back.. Just the one I'm keen to throw money at tonight:
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Sign On Sally
Desperately unlucky at Melton in a M0 last Friday night, albeit a weak one. Was 3 back the pegs and Voce the odds on favourite folded up in their faces before the turn. She was shuffled right back out to last with 150 metres to go but once out she rocketed home to only be beaten 4.6 metres. Follows through the early leaders Art Prevails, who isn't that strong, so expect Jare to take over shortly after. That'll leave her 3 pegs but I still think she has the sprint to go very very close here @ around $6
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up 4 back the pegs.. No chance from there but ran on ok late. Collect $54
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Sign On Sally
Desperately unlucky at Melton in a M0 last Friday night, albeit a weak one. Was 3 back the pegs and Voce the odds on favourite folded up in their faces before the turn. She was shuffled right back out to last with 150 metres to go but once out she rocketed home to only be beaten 4.6 metres. Follows through the early leaders Art Prevails, who isn't that strong, so expect Jare to take over shortly after. That'll leave her 3 pegs but I still think she has the sprint to go very very close here @ around $6
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up 4 back the pegs.. No chance from there but ran on ok late. Collect $54
Melton, Friday 19th September
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Tyler Bromac
I reckon the Tyler Bromac of old is back. 2 starts back I thought his effort was super to be beaten 8 metres in slick time at Ballarat after racing in the breeze. Followed that up with an unlucky 4th at this track when it should've beaten home one of his rivals here in Shakti Bromac. He's hit and miss from the stand but with a safe getaway he looks good vale at $9 @ Sportsbet
RESULT: LOST! Sugars had no real option but to leave the 1x1 to take the death seat and never looked likely from there
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 7 Rate Highly
Shaun Kittel just gets his horses up and running to a new level and this bloke is no exception. Just kept going after doing all the work midrace at Terang and belted his opposition. The wide draw maybe a blessing here with Lance Justice only knowing one way on Bettor Than Best, Will Mach My Word pushing forward and Karkarooc (trial flyer) trying to hold them out. Should be fireworks aplenty! Expect Bellman to ease back and unleash as soon as the brakes go on. A C3 taking on C0/2's looks superb value at $13 on Sportsbet
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance. Just couldn't sprint with them before the turn. Needs the extra distance by the looks of that run. $66 Collect
BLACKBOOKERS
Classy Western: Small field over the 2240metres and once they settle doesn't look to be much pace in the race. Not going to suit him. If it doesn't pan out that way, hard to see him getting beat but at $2.50, not worth the risk.
RESULT: $5! I had a little saver on him but as expected, small field, slow tempo didn't suit. Huge run again tough, beaten a pimple
Im Barney Rubble: Stand start race and gets the back mark of 20metres which makes it tough as his record in stands isn't great. If he makes light work of his handicap a rough ew show @ $15 but have to throw him into your multiples
RESULT: Another good run from Barney..
Its Girl Power: Almost tipped it but just unsure where it ends up in the run from the poor draw likely to follow through a slow beginner. IF it gets a good trail into the race it's a great chance but I can't back it at $5
RESULT: Only tries when it's on the pegs.. Got a drag into it and did nothing.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $34
Race 1 No 4 Tyler Bromac
I reckon the Tyler Bromac of old is back. 2 starts back I thought his effort was super to be beaten 8 metres in slick time at Ballarat after racing in the breeze. Followed that up with an unlucky 4th at this track when it should've beaten home one of his rivals here in Shakti Bromac. He's hit and miss from the stand but with a safe getaway he looks good vale at $9 @ Sportsbet
RESULT: LOST! Sugars had no real option but to leave the 1x1 to take the death seat and never looked likely from there
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 7 Rate Highly
Shaun Kittel just gets his horses up and running to a new level and this bloke is no exception. Just kept going after doing all the work midrace at Terang and belted his opposition. The wide draw maybe a blessing here with Lance Justice only knowing one way on Bettor Than Best, Will Mach My Word pushing forward and Karkarooc (trial flyer) trying to hold them out. Should be fireworks aplenty! Expect Bellman to ease back and unleash as soon as the brakes go on. A C3 taking on C0/2's looks superb value at $13 on Sportsbet
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance. Just couldn't sprint with them before the turn. Needs the extra distance by the looks of that run. $66 Collect
BLACKBOOKERS
Classy Western: Small field over the 2240metres and once they settle doesn't look to be much pace in the race. Not going to suit him. If it doesn't pan out that way, hard to see him getting beat but at $2.50, not worth the risk.
RESULT: $5! I had a little saver on him but as expected, small field, slow tempo didn't suit. Huge run again tough, beaten a pimple
Im Barney Rubble: Stand start race and gets the back mark of 20metres which makes it tough as his record in stands isn't great. If he makes light work of his handicap a rough ew show @ $15 but have to throw him into your multiples
RESULT: Another good run from Barney..
Its Girl Power: Almost tipped it but just unsure where it ends up in the run from the poor draw likely to follow through a slow beginner. IF it gets a good trail into the race it's a great chance but I can't back it at $5
RESULT: Only tries when it's on the pegs.. Got a drag into it and did nothing.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $34
Shepparton, Thursday 18th September
Having a fair crack at this meeting.. Lets make a dint in the deficit..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Honey Maravu
Lost momentum at a critical point of the race last start after following through a galloper at the turn, against much better than he meets tonight. Whilst he probably wouldn't have won, should have finished much closer to Village Cruiser and Bettor Be Best who would both start warm favourites in this race. Best draw it's had for some time and gets the advantage on the favourite Real Elegance. Expect $5. Big watch on the first starter, Alpha Jet, who trialled impressively last week at Shepparton. Happy to have a saver if it gets out to $10+
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in and I think it'll be a while before I back it again but winners are grinners. Collect $254
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 The Final Frontier
Put up an enormous effort when 2nd at Wagga last start. Drew outside the front row and restrained out to last. Made a midrace move but the death wasn't up for grabs so had to go back to last again. Weaved it's way through late to only be beaten against older horses, a great effort for a 3yo filly. She's run against the best NZ & Aus has to offer last season and comes back to her own class, has good gate speed when asked and looks your leader and winner. I marked her $1.8 but I have a feeling we could be shopping better early days. Get on early is my suggestion!
RESULT: WINNER! I hope you shopped early. BET365 shoppers get $2.75, TAB Fixed get $2.30 and I get the short back and sides with a $140 collect..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Paradise Ranch
The drive on this mare was fairly disappointing last week. Had every opportunity to take up a spot in the running line early but decided to follow through an $80 pop 3 back the pegs. Never a winning hope from there but hit the line very well late. If she ends up on the pegs from this draw I won't be happy but there looks to be some good speed in this race early from horses that are usually weak late in their races, especially over this journey. If she's getting a good drag into the race late she's the one I want to be on at around $6
RESULT: 3rd. The walked out in front and she had no winning chance but was beaten a fair way in 3rd. Unders yet again.. Collect $48
$100WIN
Race 6 No 4 Majorlicious
Its been a year between drinks for this 6yo gelding but at it's best, flies the gate and loves the sprint trip. Unfortunately we haven't seen its best for a while. Having said that, you can rule a line through it's last start when restrained from the gate, sat last in a 63.3 first half and locked wheels before the final bend and had no chance. Back to the front line here with no pace underneath it, after a blistering 1:56 sec mile rate over the 2190metres at this track in a trial last week, says he's ready for this & Im very happy Nathan Jack is onboard. Be warned, it's a horse that can be heavily backed and if we're getting $2+ then take it.
RESULT: LOST! Its a cat.. Goes into the never again bucket. Backed like it couldn't lose too.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Sullenberger
Loved his return the racetrack last start when an unlucky 4th from inside the back row. Thought it's run was better than Arrowkeefe and Somedreamsomewhere. his main 2 dangers tonight and with that run, I expect him to improve a fair bit tonight. I marked it $4 but I think we'll be getting much better than that. Expect a much more aggressive drive too. Another big watch on the first starter. Born To Be Brave, whose trials have been the equal or even maybe the better of Alpha Jet in race 2. If Alpha Jet runs well in race 2, might be worth having a few bucks on this fella.
RESULT: 4th.. The less said the better..
QUADDIES
$20 for 500%
2-3-6-10 / 13 / 4 / 11
$30 for 50%
2-3-6-10 / 4-5-7-12-13 / 4 / 4-7-11
RESULT: MAJORLICIOUS!! hmmmm.
MEETING RESULT: After all that we lose $58...
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Honey Maravu
Lost momentum at a critical point of the race last start after following through a galloper at the turn, against much better than he meets tonight. Whilst he probably wouldn't have won, should have finished much closer to Village Cruiser and Bettor Be Best who would both start warm favourites in this race. Best draw it's had for some time and gets the advantage on the favourite Real Elegance. Expect $5. Big watch on the first starter, Alpha Jet, who trialled impressively last week at Shepparton. Happy to have a saver if it gets out to $10+
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in and I think it'll be a while before I back it again but winners are grinners. Collect $254
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 The Final Frontier
Put up an enormous effort when 2nd at Wagga last start. Drew outside the front row and restrained out to last. Made a midrace move but the death wasn't up for grabs so had to go back to last again. Weaved it's way through late to only be beaten against older horses, a great effort for a 3yo filly. She's run against the best NZ & Aus has to offer last season and comes back to her own class, has good gate speed when asked and looks your leader and winner. I marked her $1.8 but I have a feeling we could be shopping better early days. Get on early is my suggestion!
RESULT: WINNER! I hope you shopped early. BET365 shoppers get $2.75, TAB Fixed get $2.30 and I get the short back and sides with a $140 collect..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Paradise Ranch
The drive on this mare was fairly disappointing last week. Had every opportunity to take up a spot in the running line early but decided to follow through an $80 pop 3 back the pegs. Never a winning hope from there but hit the line very well late. If she ends up on the pegs from this draw I won't be happy but there looks to be some good speed in this race early from horses that are usually weak late in their races, especially over this journey. If she's getting a good drag into the race late she's the one I want to be on at around $6
RESULT: 3rd. The walked out in front and she had no winning chance but was beaten a fair way in 3rd. Unders yet again.. Collect $48
$100WIN
Race 6 No 4 Majorlicious
Its been a year between drinks for this 6yo gelding but at it's best, flies the gate and loves the sprint trip. Unfortunately we haven't seen its best for a while. Having said that, you can rule a line through it's last start when restrained from the gate, sat last in a 63.3 first half and locked wheels before the final bend and had no chance. Back to the front line here with no pace underneath it, after a blistering 1:56 sec mile rate over the 2190metres at this track in a trial last week, says he's ready for this & Im very happy Nathan Jack is onboard. Be warned, it's a horse that can be heavily backed and if we're getting $2+ then take it.
RESULT: LOST! Its a cat.. Goes into the never again bucket. Backed like it couldn't lose too.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Sullenberger
Loved his return the racetrack last start when an unlucky 4th from inside the back row. Thought it's run was better than Arrowkeefe and Somedreamsomewhere. his main 2 dangers tonight and with that run, I expect him to improve a fair bit tonight. I marked it $4 but I think we'll be getting much better than that. Expect a much more aggressive drive too. Another big watch on the first starter. Born To Be Brave, whose trials have been the equal or even maybe the better of Alpha Jet in race 2. If Alpha Jet runs well in race 2, might be worth having a few bucks on this fella.
RESULT: 4th.. The less said the better..
QUADDIES
$20 for 500%
2-3-6-10 / 13 / 4 / 11
$30 for 50%
2-3-6-10 / 4-5-7-12-13 / 4 / 4-7-11
RESULT: MAJORLICIOUS!! hmmmm.
MEETING RESULT: After all that we lose $58...
Mildura, Wednesday 17th September
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 3 Artistic Mover
One hell of a longshot here punters. Loved his run 2 starts back when did a power of work to lead early and just when he slowed the favourites took off from the back of the field to keep the pressure on. He only weakened the last 50 metres that night but wasn't far off Paint The Hammer. Looks like leading tonight very easily and may actually hand up to the first favourite that goes forward first. The 2190metres maybe a blessing in disguise as those up front will have a distinct advantage. I marked him $30/$5 but for a horse with a record of 14 starts 0 wins, 0 2nds and a 3rd, much better should be out there.
RESULT: 4th... beaten a long long way but started far too short @ $14.. Its a cat..
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Montana Madge
An old favourite to get me out of the crap.. Has beaten most of these from a similar draw recently and just looks the leader and winner in the small field. Expect $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.20 BET365.. Closed $1.40!! Hard to predict that a night before but I'll take any winner at the moment. Collect $75
MEETING RESULT: Lost $5
Race 1 No 3 Artistic Mover
One hell of a longshot here punters. Loved his run 2 starts back when did a power of work to lead early and just when he slowed the favourites took off from the back of the field to keep the pressure on. He only weakened the last 50 metres that night but wasn't far off Paint The Hammer. Looks like leading tonight very easily and may actually hand up to the first favourite that goes forward first. The 2190metres maybe a blessing in disguise as those up front will have a distinct advantage. I marked him $30/$5 but for a horse with a record of 14 starts 0 wins, 0 2nds and a 3rd, much better should be out there.
RESULT: 4th... beaten a long long way but started far too short @ $14.. Its a cat..
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Montana Madge
An old favourite to get me out of the crap.. Has beaten most of these from a similar draw recently and just looks the leader and winner in the small field. Expect $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.20 BET365.. Closed $1.40!! Hard to predict that a night before but I'll take any winner at the moment. Collect $75
MEETING RESULT: Lost $5
Ballarat, Tuesday 16th September
Superb meeting here.. 7 races, 3 are trotters, 1 stand start with 7 horses, leaves me with just a couple of races to concentrate on... Im excited!
$100WIN
Race 5 No 9 Jimmy The Editor
Has been flying for Allison Chisholm. All recent runs have been from the front row where he's been able to bully his opposition. Not going to be as easy tonight but he played with his rivals last week and just looks far too good. Hoping for $2+
RESULT: 3rd.. Driven confidently in the breeze but was out fought by Christian Torado which was a major surprise based on times.. and then.. Mymumsabankmanger swamps them.. Bugger me..
$100WIN
Race 5 No 9 Jimmy The Editor
Has been flying for Allison Chisholm. All recent runs have been from the front row where he's been able to bully his opposition. Not going to be as easy tonight but he played with his rivals last week and just looks far too good. Hoping for $2+
RESULT: 3rd.. Driven confidently in the breeze but was out fought by Christian Torado which was a major surprise based on times.. and then.. Mymumsabankmanger swamps them.. Bugger me..
Bendigo, Sunday 14th September
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Our Pontiac
Has been racing in much better races than this recently and has been not disgraced until a hard last run against Jilliby Jagger last start. Should pus forward and lead these early and this really looks his race tonight. Expect $2
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $3.50 on BET365 and that's why so many people are banned by them. Closed $1.60 and although not impressive, still won. Collect $160
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Outlaw
Forget last start when went 3 wide mid race when the death was never up for grabs and was restrained back to last and was never a chance. Previous 2 starts for Scotty Dyer were very good for a race like this and I'm keen especially if it's $2+
RESULT: WINNER! Another opens nice overs on BET365 @ $2.50 and was backed with big confidence. Even though it worked harder than any other in the race was just too good. Collect $140
MEETING RESULT: Won $100
Race 4 No 4 Our Pontiac
Has been racing in much better races than this recently and has been not disgraced until a hard last run against Jilliby Jagger last start. Should pus forward and lead these early and this really looks his race tonight. Expect $2
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $3.50 on BET365 and that's why so many people are banned by them. Closed $1.60 and although not impressive, still won. Collect $160
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Outlaw
Forget last start when went 3 wide mid race when the death was never up for grabs and was restrained back to last and was never a chance. Previous 2 starts for Scotty Dyer were very good for a race like this and I'm keen especially if it's $2+
RESULT: WINNER! Another opens nice overs on BET365 @ $2.50 and was backed with big confidence. Even though it worked harder than any other in the race was just too good. Collect $140
MEETING RESULT: Won $100
Kilmore, Saturday 13th September
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 Broadband
Bit of an understatement to say this is a drop in class. Has struggled to match it with the city class horses but hasn't been disgraced at the same time. Comes back to a very weak claimer here and has the advantage on it's main rival Lady Suffragette and the Rogue Trader. Should work it way to the front and looks bloody hard to beat at around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.50 but was absolutely smashed in. Collect $80
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Paradise Ranch
Ran pretty well in the Breeders Crown and should've finished closer in the final. 3 starts ago at Cobram she was really unlucky but flashed home late to snatch 3rd. Drawn to get a lovely run here and even though Show heza classic looks hard to beat, it'll be unders and at around $10, Id rather be on Paradise Ranch.
RESULT: 3rd. Opened $16 on BET365. Started @ $5. Not the best drive you'll ever see. Collect $42
MEETING RESULT: Won $22 but a fair bit more if you snagged the early odds
Race 2 No 4 Broadband
Bit of an understatement to say this is a drop in class. Has struggled to match it with the city class horses but hasn't been disgraced at the same time. Comes back to a very weak claimer here and has the advantage on it's main rival Lady Suffragette and the Rogue Trader. Should work it way to the front and looks bloody hard to beat at around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.50 but was absolutely smashed in. Collect $80
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Paradise Ranch
Ran pretty well in the Breeders Crown and should've finished closer in the final. 3 starts ago at Cobram she was really unlucky but flashed home late to snatch 3rd. Drawn to get a lovely run here and even though Show heza classic looks hard to beat, it'll be unders and at around $10, Id rather be on Paradise Ranch.
RESULT: 3rd. Opened $16 on BET365. Started @ $5. Not the best drive you'll ever see. Collect $42
MEETING RESULT: Won $22 but a fair bit more if you snagged the early odds
$50WIN
Race 4 No 3 Dagati Image
Worked extremely hard early last start and once Rate Highly took the lead it kept them running. Dagati did well to hold onto 4th but more importantly was a better run than Mixed With a Jasper who'll start favourite here from gate 7. Tres Hombre beat both of them last start but it draws awkwardly in gate 8. The only other danger is Tearitup but it draws wide first up and most likely run out of condition. I expect Dagati to lead and looks to be little pressure in the race. Over the shorter trip, he's the one I want to be on at around $4
RESULT: LOST! 2 words, Daryl Douglas..
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Lively Operative
Wasn't a bad run last start considering the slow time they ran in the first lap whilst he was back in the field. Came 3 wide without cover but those at the back had no hope. Finished alongside Rajah Wealth (won last week impressively) and Popeye Village (should've won last week) so the form isn't too bad. The start previous he was first up and did well to finish only 13 metres behind them in a very quick 1:57 for the 2200metres at Ballarat in a C2/3. Back to C1 from a good draw today and should be going very close.
RESULT: 2nd, had every chance.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Race 4 No 3 Dagati Image
Worked extremely hard early last start and once Rate Highly took the lead it kept them running. Dagati did well to hold onto 4th but more importantly was a better run than Mixed With a Jasper who'll start favourite here from gate 7. Tres Hombre beat both of them last start but it draws awkwardly in gate 8. The only other danger is Tearitup but it draws wide first up and most likely run out of condition. I expect Dagati to lead and looks to be little pressure in the race. Over the shorter trip, he's the one I want to be on at around $4
RESULT: LOST! 2 words, Daryl Douglas..
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Lively Operative
Wasn't a bad run last start considering the slow time they ran in the first lap whilst he was back in the field. Came 3 wide without cover but those at the back had no hope. Finished alongside Rajah Wealth (won last week impressively) and Popeye Village (should've won last week) so the form isn't too bad. The start previous he was first up and did well to finish only 13 metres behind them in a very quick 1:57 for the 2200metres at Ballarat in a C2/3. Back to C1 from a good draw today and should be going very close.
RESULT: 2nd, had every chance.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Melton, Friday 12th September
EARLY QUADDIE
$32 for 200%
6-7 / 9 / 2-7-11-13 / 7-10
$100WIN
Race 4 No 10 Chilled Desire
Looks a great horse in the making. Won as he liked last start after leading but showed his versatility winning from the death the start prior. I reckon he's got a few lengths on these and I can't believe you can get $2.80 on fixed odds right now. I marked him $1.90
RESULT: LOST! I was right about the price, wrong about the horse..
$20 PLACE
Race 4 No 7 Snip Of Grand
Has put in 2 good runs in it's only 2 starts to date. It was a poor drive last start coming 3 wide without cover far too early but he kept finding the line to finish 3rd. Was the 2nd best run of that race and beat home Vapar Grin on it's merits. Vapar Grin is $5 the win (big unders on it's last start and draw) and Snip of Grand $6.50 a place. Value, but is fighting for 3rd placing with Chilled Desire and Glory Daze looking the top 2.
RESULT: 2nd! Wowee, missed winning by a head @ $50. Collect $172
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Wolfpack
His last 2 runs after being unsuccessful in his attempt at leading have been first class, not being beaten far in both. Tonight I think he has more speed than those on his inside and I have him on top. That gives him a huge advantage over his main rival Flaming Hero & the only concern I have is Star Chamber who hit the line real hard late last start and has a good 2nd to the super smart Devendra. Ive taken all 3 in the quad but if Wolfpack is in front, he's the one I want my money on. I marked him $3.50 and he's currently $5.50 on Sportsbet
RESULT: Winner! Star Chamber gave me a fright but had to good a run Wolfpack. Collect $264
$25 Running Double
Race 4 No 9 Chilled Desire into Race 5 No 6 Wolfpack
Reckon we can get a little bit of value here with Flaming Hero likely to be strongly fancied in Race 5.
MEETING RESULT: Won $191.. The come back is on.
$32 for 200%
6-7 / 9 / 2-7-11-13 / 7-10
$100WIN
Race 4 No 10 Chilled Desire
Looks a great horse in the making. Won as he liked last start after leading but showed his versatility winning from the death the start prior. I reckon he's got a few lengths on these and I can't believe you can get $2.80 on fixed odds right now. I marked him $1.90
RESULT: LOST! I was right about the price, wrong about the horse..
$20 PLACE
Race 4 No 7 Snip Of Grand
Has put in 2 good runs in it's only 2 starts to date. It was a poor drive last start coming 3 wide without cover far too early but he kept finding the line to finish 3rd. Was the 2nd best run of that race and beat home Vapar Grin on it's merits. Vapar Grin is $5 the win (big unders on it's last start and draw) and Snip of Grand $6.50 a place. Value, but is fighting for 3rd placing with Chilled Desire and Glory Daze looking the top 2.
RESULT: 2nd! Wowee, missed winning by a head @ $50. Collect $172
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Wolfpack
His last 2 runs after being unsuccessful in his attempt at leading have been first class, not being beaten far in both. Tonight I think he has more speed than those on his inside and I have him on top. That gives him a huge advantage over his main rival Flaming Hero & the only concern I have is Star Chamber who hit the line real hard late last start and has a good 2nd to the super smart Devendra. Ive taken all 3 in the quad but if Wolfpack is in front, he's the one I want my money on. I marked him $3.50 and he's currently $5.50 on Sportsbet
RESULT: Winner! Star Chamber gave me a fright but had to good a run Wolfpack. Collect $264
$25 Running Double
Race 4 No 9 Chilled Desire into Race 5 No 6 Wolfpack
Reckon we can get a little bit of value here with Flaming Hero likely to be strongly fancied in Race 5.
MEETING RESULT: Won $191.. The come back is on.
Move on nothing to see here! Wow, tough meeting so just a quaddie from me:
$22.50 for 50%
1-5-7-8-10 / 1-2-7 / 2-4-5 / 2
(4 scratched in the 3rd leg giving us 75%)
RESULT: WINNER! Don't spend it all at once.. Collect $32.32
$22.50 for 50%
1-5-7-8-10 / 1-2-7 / 2-4-5 / 2
(4 scratched in the 3rd leg giving us 75%)
RESULT: WINNER! Don't spend it all at once.. Collect $32.32
Shepparton, Wednesday 10th September
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Sir Briggen
I do think Sir Briggen is the best of the poor bunch here. I think it can cross & lead from the draw. Can run these along and be too strong. They ran very quick time for Echuca over the 1755metres last start when he death seated and he battled it out pretty well considering not many do at Echuca from that position. Should be a different story from the top. I priced it $3.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $125
$25WIN
Race 5 No 6 Kensington Palace
Was showing signs of a toughness I hadn't seen before a Bec Bartley shocker last start. Been a month and a half between runs which is a slight concern but she has a good record over the trip and looks your leader. That's the place to be at Shep. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $75
$50QUINELLA
Race 6: 1 & 8
Taking the risk here. Bucksaroo hasn't drawn this well since June 2013 where it was ok out of the gate. Natural improvement since then should see it have enough speed to hold out average speed on it's outside. Popeye Village holds it's back and it's hard to split the 2 if it's leader/leaders back scenario. We'll know our fate 100 metres into the race.
RESULT: LOST! I don't want to watch the replay. Awful drives on both
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Brother Rabbit
3rd up from a break here and looks to have returned in very good shape. Looked in need of the run first up at Echuca, then put is a lovely effort at this track last start when let down 6 & 7 wide around the last bend to fly home and snatch 3rd. Can leave the gate ok and should position in the top 6 after settling, in what looks likely to be a good early speed. I do expect Rajah Wealth and Mister Clooney to both be sent forward early and Desert Safari & Niquero hunting up to keep them out. Should give Brother Rabbit the perfect sit and he can certainly outsprint them even if 3 wide without cover. EW all day @ $6
RESULT: LOST! Had every chance
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Catch Me If Youcan
Showed great early toe to lead early last start before unbelievably handing up to an $80 shot. No surprises that it handed up to the odds on pop leaving this fella 3 pegs. They ran an extremely slow 3rd quarter in that race but he hit the line well to just miss 2nd. Leads early here and hopefully hands up to Somedreamsomewhere. Looks like plenty of mid race pressure on as well which should help. Best longshot of the night. I marked it $10 but I'm expecting much better when odds open.
RESULT: LOST! Holds the lead this week? Not strong enough to lead them & win.
MEETING RESULT: Still bloody lost! $5 down
Race 3 No 2 Sir Briggen
I do think Sir Briggen is the best of the poor bunch here. I think it can cross & lead from the draw. Can run these along and be too strong. They ran very quick time for Echuca over the 1755metres last start when he death seated and he battled it out pretty well considering not many do at Echuca from that position. Should be a different story from the top. I priced it $3.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $125
$25WIN
Race 5 No 6 Kensington Palace
Was showing signs of a toughness I hadn't seen before a Bec Bartley shocker last start. Been a month and a half between runs which is a slight concern but she has a good record over the trip and looks your leader. That's the place to be at Shep. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $75
$50QUINELLA
Race 6: 1 & 8
Taking the risk here. Bucksaroo hasn't drawn this well since June 2013 where it was ok out of the gate. Natural improvement since then should see it have enough speed to hold out average speed on it's outside. Popeye Village holds it's back and it's hard to split the 2 if it's leader/leaders back scenario. We'll know our fate 100 metres into the race.
RESULT: LOST! I don't want to watch the replay. Awful drives on both
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Brother Rabbit
3rd up from a break here and looks to have returned in very good shape. Looked in need of the run first up at Echuca, then put is a lovely effort at this track last start when let down 6 & 7 wide around the last bend to fly home and snatch 3rd. Can leave the gate ok and should position in the top 6 after settling, in what looks likely to be a good early speed. I do expect Rajah Wealth and Mister Clooney to both be sent forward early and Desert Safari & Niquero hunting up to keep them out. Should give Brother Rabbit the perfect sit and he can certainly outsprint them even if 3 wide without cover. EW all day @ $6
RESULT: LOST! Had every chance
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Catch Me If Youcan
Showed great early toe to lead early last start before unbelievably handing up to an $80 shot. No surprises that it handed up to the odds on pop leaving this fella 3 pegs. They ran an extremely slow 3rd quarter in that race but he hit the line well to just miss 2nd. Leads early here and hopefully hands up to Somedreamsomewhere. Looks like plenty of mid race pressure on as well which should help. Best longshot of the night. I marked it $10 but I'm expecting much better when odds open.
RESULT: LOST! Holds the lead this week? Not strong enough to lead them & win.
MEETING RESULT: Still bloody lost! $5 down
Bendigo, Tuesday 9th September
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Arthur Henry
Thought he went super last start after pulling it's head off in the lead but just kept on kicking to hold off the challengers. The back row maybe a blessing in disguise and help him settle tonight. This is no stronger tonight and looks a great ew bet @ $6
RESULT: AWFUL! Tried to get to the breeze mid race but was hanging in badly and eventually stuck 3 wide the trip. Here's a challenge for me, $595 down and only 9 days into the month. The rollercoaster ride continues
Race 5 No 12 Arthur Henry
Thought he went super last start after pulling it's head off in the lead but just kept on kicking to hold off the challengers. The back row maybe a blessing in disguise and help him settle tonight. This is no stronger tonight and looks a great ew bet @ $6
RESULT: AWFUL! Tried to get to the breeze mid race but was hanging in badly and eventually stuck 3 wide the trip. Here's a challenge for me, $595 down and only 9 days into the month. The rollercoaster ride continues
Yarra Valley. Monday 8th September
$50QUINELLA
Race 4: 3 & 4
They look leader & leaders back Bettor Than Best & Village Cruiser. The 3 looks the only party pooper for mine but lacks gate speed and the 2 may cross it. If that happens we're laughing to the tote window like big fat hairy spiders.
RESULT: LOST! 1st & 3rd after Bettor Than Best was unable to lead
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Antiquities
Mighty unlucky against some very good mares two starts back and then had to race in te death last start and weakened late. It's a pure sit sprinter and gets that run today on the back of Franco Seelster. Looks to be a bit of pace on too which will only help her chances late. I marked her $5
RESULT: LOST! Well I can't get a break.. Gets the sit like I thought but the leader finds nothing & severely checks her. NEXT!
Race 4: 3 & 4
They look leader & leaders back Bettor Than Best & Village Cruiser. The 3 looks the only party pooper for mine but lacks gate speed and the 2 may cross it. If that happens we're laughing to the tote window like big fat hairy spiders.
RESULT: LOST! 1st & 3rd after Bettor Than Best was unable to lead
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Antiquities
Mighty unlucky against some very good mares two starts back and then had to race in te death last start and weakened late. It's a pure sit sprinter and gets that run today on the back of Franco Seelster. Looks to be a bit of pace on too which will only help her chances late. I marked her $5
RESULT: LOST! Well I can't get a break.. Gets the sit like I thought but the leader finds nothing & severely checks her. NEXT!
Geelong, Sunday 7th September
Oh we're from Tiger... ohh, not here for the footy. Pretty happy with these ones today:
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Alwynsart
Has been running out of it's skin from poor draws of late. Gets the ideal draw to either lead or trail Christian Tornado. Happy that he can win from either position. I wouldn't be taking odds on but marked him $2.20
RESULT: LOST! Great drive..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Apollo Thirteen
Been racing ok against strong fields before a failure last start after being 3 wide the trip. HUGE step back in class tonight, gets his chance to settle nice and close to the lead and looks like getting every opportunity tonight
RESULT: 4th.. Got every opportunity and was weak
Race 7 BOX TRIFECTA
1-4-6 $30 for 500%
My speed maps have Lake Eyre leading with Apollo Thirteen on it's back. Jeans Mattjesty likely to go back. Not easy to win from there at Geelong but it'll be storming home late.
RESULT: LOST! Apollo Thirteen couldn't hold off the 100-1 shot for 3rd..
$100WIN
Race 9 No 6 Jimmy The Editor
I maybe kidding myself hoping for $2 here but looks a certainty in this. Has been flying for Allison Chisholm and looks like bullying its way to the front here and really should be winning easily. Hoping punters come for the 8
RESULT: WINNER! Very very short though.. Collect $145
MEETING RESULT: Tough start to the month.. Lost $135
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Alwynsart
Has been running out of it's skin from poor draws of late. Gets the ideal draw to either lead or trail Christian Tornado. Happy that he can win from either position. I wouldn't be taking odds on but marked him $2.20
RESULT: LOST! Great drive..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Apollo Thirteen
Been racing ok against strong fields before a failure last start after being 3 wide the trip. HUGE step back in class tonight, gets his chance to settle nice and close to the lead and looks like getting every opportunity tonight
RESULT: 4th.. Got every opportunity and was weak
Race 7 BOX TRIFECTA
1-4-6 $30 for 500%
My speed maps have Lake Eyre leading with Apollo Thirteen on it's back. Jeans Mattjesty likely to go back. Not easy to win from there at Geelong but it'll be storming home late.
RESULT: LOST! Apollo Thirteen couldn't hold off the 100-1 shot for 3rd..
$100WIN
Race 9 No 6 Jimmy The Editor
I maybe kidding myself hoping for $2 here but looks a certainty in this. Has been flying for Allison Chisholm and looks like bullying its way to the front here and really should be winning easily. Hoping punters come for the 8
RESULT: WINNER! Very very short though.. Collect $145
MEETING RESULT: Tough start to the month.. Lost $135
MELTON, Saturday 6th September
Cranky old Pogga comes out at this time of year.. New season time and the Battle Of The Claimers races come out.. Real tricky meeting that I'm not to keen to get involved with but heres a couple to throw some money at:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Palais Du Louvre
Love this horse. Just tries his guts out every run. I reckon Artoc leads these early and should keep it. Asoka will keep the pressure on throughout and that should get Palais every chance along the sprint lane. EW at $7
RESULT: 4th.. Could've sworn it snagged 3rd but anyway..
$25WIN
Race 9 No 3 Allwevneed
Was a certainty beaten for mine last start when 3rd behind Tyler Bromac & Cowboy Cadillac. Both those horses have won since so it's been a good form race. Looks like receiving a good sit in this and looks hard to hold out @ $7
RESULT: LAST! Claimers.. Should never bet in them.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $75
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Palais Du Louvre
Love this horse. Just tries his guts out every run. I reckon Artoc leads these early and should keep it. Asoka will keep the pressure on throughout and that should get Palais every chance along the sprint lane. EW at $7
RESULT: 4th.. Could've sworn it snagged 3rd but anyway..
$25WIN
Race 9 No 3 Allwevneed
Was a certainty beaten for mine last start when 3rd behind Tyler Bromac & Cowboy Cadillac. Both those horses have won since so it's been a good form race. Looks like receiving a good sit in this and looks hard to hold out @ $7
RESULT: LAST! Claimers.. Should never bet in them.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $75
Kilmore, Friday 5th September
Not a great meeting here punters a lot of races with no a hell of a lot of exposed form so unfortunately it's short and sweet from me hopefully!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Abitgoingonhere
TRAINER/DRIVER: David Lewis/Matthew Craven
Tipping first starters is always dangerous but it's 2 trials look very impressive on paper. Good draw, Matt Craven onboard, if it runs up to it's trial from goes very close.. My odds $6. Shadow Of Fortune the main danger but just does too many things wrong to bet confidently.
RESULT: 3rd. Not sure if it would've won but went to the outside rather than sprint laning. Collect $51
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Midnitedelite
TRAINER/DRIVER: Keith Cotchin/Daryl Douglas
Has been racing in the Breeders Crown heats and certainly wasn't disgraced. This is the weakest class of field it's seen in months, should lead, the mile distance suits. Tick, tick, tick. Some big question marks on some of his main rivals too, especially Somebeach, who'll be backed heavily. I'd rather be on Midnitedelite. I marked him $3.50 but I'm expecting to get much better
RESULT: 3rd... Didn't lead.. Didn't even try and lead.. Collect $102
MEETING RESULT: Won $3.. Better than a loss I suppose
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Abitgoingonhere
TRAINER/DRIVER: David Lewis/Matthew Craven
Tipping first starters is always dangerous but it's 2 trials look very impressive on paper. Good draw, Matt Craven onboard, if it runs up to it's trial from goes very close.. My odds $6. Shadow Of Fortune the main danger but just does too many things wrong to bet confidently.
RESULT: 3rd. Not sure if it would've won but went to the outside rather than sprint laning. Collect $51
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Midnitedelite
TRAINER/DRIVER: Keith Cotchin/Daryl Douglas
Has been racing in the Breeders Crown heats and certainly wasn't disgraced. This is the weakest class of field it's seen in months, should lead, the mile distance suits. Tick, tick, tick. Some big question marks on some of his main rivals too, especially Somebeach, who'll be backed heavily. I'd rather be on Midnitedelite. I marked him $3.50 but I'm expecting to get much better
RESULT: 3rd... Didn't lead.. Didn't even try and lead.. Collect $102
MEETING RESULT: Won $3.. Better than a loss I suppose
Shepparton, Thursday 4th September
$50WIN
Race 1 No 4 Chain Of Gold
TRAINER/DRIVER: John Newberry
First up and returns after a strong trial win. John Newberry knows how to place his horses and this race looks real light on. Should roll to the front early & take a sit off it's stablemate, who he beat in the trial. That's the place to be at Shepparton over the short course. Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd.. Didn't get out as fast as it can and it's stablemate walked in front whilst he was stuck without cover.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Kalahari King
TRAINER/DRIVER: PAUL BUHAGIAR/DARYL DOUGLAS
An absolute moral beaten behind Magnificent Art last start. Was the widest at the turn after coming from last and was just gaining momentum when he locked wheels. Finally unlocked with 100 metres to go and hit the line real impressively albeit in a slow last quarter. That was on his 3rd run from a spell after 2 ordinary efforts. Should be hard hard fit and with a big chance to cross the 1 early, I think $8 or more is worth a crack ew
RESULT: 2nd.. Thought we were home on the turn but the longshot leader found & found plenty! Collect $69
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Majorama
TRAINER/DRIVER: LISA MILES
Has been racing over the sprint trip distances and they just have not suited, being outsprinted in everyone he's contested. Back to the 2190metres here is a big plus. Last time he raced over this distance, he worked very hard in the death to finish 3rd behind Santa Catalina who was huge in the Breeders Crown Series and beat Just Carla last week. With there looking like a lack of mid race pressure, the death seat should be up for grabs. At $8 probably goes down at the best EW of the night.
RESULT: 4th.. Started massive unders and just plodded away
MEETING RESULT: Well shit start to the month. Lost $81
Race 1 No 4 Chain Of Gold
TRAINER/DRIVER: John Newberry
First up and returns after a strong trial win. John Newberry knows how to place his horses and this race looks real light on. Should roll to the front early & take a sit off it's stablemate, who he beat in the trial. That's the place to be at Shepparton over the short course. Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd.. Didn't get out as fast as it can and it's stablemate walked in front whilst he was stuck without cover.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Kalahari King
TRAINER/DRIVER: PAUL BUHAGIAR/DARYL DOUGLAS
An absolute moral beaten behind Magnificent Art last start. Was the widest at the turn after coming from last and was just gaining momentum when he locked wheels. Finally unlocked with 100 metres to go and hit the line real impressively albeit in a slow last quarter. That was on his 3rd run from a spell after 2 ordinary efforts. Should be hard hard fit and with a big chance to cross the 1 early, I think $8 or more is worth a crack ew
RESULT: 2nd.. Thought we were home on the turn but the longshot leader found & found plenty! Collect $69
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Majorama
TRAINER/DRIVER: LISA MILES
Has been racing over the sprint trip distances and they just have not suited, being outsprinted in everyone he's contested. Back to the 2190metres here is a big plus. Last time he raced over this distance, he worked very hard in the death to finish 3rd behind Santa Catalina who was huge in the Breeders Crown Series and beat Just Carla last week. With there looking like a lack of mid race pressure, the death seat should be up for grabs. At $8 probably goes down at the best EW of the night.
RESULT: 4th.. Started massive unders and just plodded away
MEETING RESULT: Well shit start to the month. Lost $81
Terang, Wednesday 3rd September
$25WIN
Race 2 No 4 Mymumsabankmanager
Raced extremely well in what looks to be a good form race. After finding the death for the first 600 metres received a nice 1x1 trail for the remainder of the trip. Hit a flat sport at the 400 metres (3rd time this prep) and looked gone, but picked up the bit again to only go down by 5 metres after being pushed out wide. Exotic Guy was the unlucky runner in that race who ran well last night.& the top 2 Narreeva and Snack BEast who are both classy animals. Nothing like that in this race today. I don't think it can cross the 2 early and hopefully that'll mean the 6 will give us cover in the 1x1. That should be the place to be. Expect $8
RESULT: LOST! Galloped early and had no chance from there on.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Razeldazelrustler
Has returned from a spell in good form. Showed great early speed to lead and then hand up to Sapper Ford last start. Sapper Ford was gone at the turn whilst Keayang Storm kicked clear. Once out RazelDazel hit the line well for 2nd. Should be a similar scenario again here with Sapper Ford on its outside although the 3 may have something to say about that. Either way, up near the front whilst his main dangers are off the back row, I'm keen at around $6
RESULT: 4th.. Well lets just say it shouldn't have finished 4th
MEETING RESULT: LOST $125 and not happy about because we shouldn't have
Race 2 No 4 Mymumsabankmanager
Raced extremely well in what looks to be a good form race. After finding the death for the first 600 metres received a nice 1x1 trail for the remainder of the trip. Hit a flat sport at the 400 metres (3rd time this prep) and looked gone, but picked up the bit again to only go down by 5 metres after being pushed out wide. Exotic Guy was the unlucky runner in that race who ran well last night.& the top 2 Narreeva and Snack BEast who are both classy animals. Nothing like that in this race today. I don't think it can cross the 2 early and hopefully that'll mean the 6 will give us cover in the 1x1. That should be the place to be. Expect $8
RESULT: LOST! Galloped early and had no chance from there on.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Razeldazelrustler
Has returned from a spell in good form. Showed great early speed to lead and then hand up to Sapper Ford last start. Sapper Ford was gone at the turn whilst Keayang Storm kicked clear. Once out RazelDazel hit the line well for 2nd. Should be a similar scenario again here with Sapper Ford on its outside although the 3 may have something to say about that. Either way, up near the front whilst his main dangers are off the back row, I'm keen at around $6
RESULT: 4th.. Well lets just say it shouldn't have finished 4th
MEETING RESULT: LOST $125 and not happy about because we shouldn't have
Ballarat, Tuesday 2nd September
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 13 Exotic Guy
Extremely unlucky not to finish in the top 3 or even end up winning last start after he hit a brick wall late and had no where to go and was only beaten 5 metres. That race was stronger than he meets tonight and Ben Yole looks to have solved his over racing problems that he had when last in Victoria. In The Trenches in the race along with Grand Attack drawn wide outside the front row should guarantee a genuine pace. With the right trail into the race not sure how they'll hold him out late. Should be getting $6 here.
RESULT: 2nd. By a lip. Grand Attack finds a heart this week and kept finding! Collect $108
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Deejay Dillinger
Finally showed a glimpse of form after nearly a year off the scene. Had the easy run behind the leader last start but was very unlucky not to finish closer than 3rd after not getting a run on this track last week. They ran very good time for the 2200metres. There is plenty of speed on throughout here and we're definitely hoping United Legacy doesn't gallop as he'll provide a good genuine tempo in this. Back to the sprint trip is a huge plus also with all his wins over the distance. Good ew chance at $10
RESULT: LOST! Never really put into the race but not sure how well it was travelling
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Blissful Kisses
Just been crying out for a draw where she can lead and gets that tonight. 2 starts back stuck 3 back the pegs and never saw daylight until too late and then a similar story at Melton last start but hit the line well. She is no sit sprinter and looks your leader here tonight. Not many rate them as well as Matty Craven does in front and I'm keen on her chances at around $6. (NTD here hence I've just gone straight out)
RESULT: LOST! Pressured throughout the race by the longshots of the field setting it up for the swoopers. Frustrating but she folded up without much fight
LAY OF THE DAY
Race 8 No 7 Classievale
A risky lay this one. He was just plain first up last start after having the perfect sit. King Of Paradise death seated in that race and beat him hands down. Going to have to force his way into this last and it hard seeing the small field going too quick here. Some early odds have him around the $2 mark but that's based on what he produced 2 years back. Based on his last run, he's more of a $6 chance for mine considering you'd expect a bit of improvement 2nd up
RESULT: 2nd. I got this one wrong and lucky it didn't win. Having said that, opened $2.25 on SB and drifted out to $4-$5 so not much value in laying.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $92
Race 1 No 13 Exotic Guy
Extremely unlucky not to finish in the top 3 or even end up winning last start after he hit a brick wall late and had no where to go and was only beaten 5 metres. That race was stronger than he meets tonight and Ben Yole looks to have solved his over racing problems that he had when last in Victoria. In The Trenches in the race along with Grand Attack drawn wide outside the front row should guarantee a genuine pace. With the right trail into the race not sure how they'll hold him out late. Should be getting $6 here.
RESULT: 2nd. By a lip. Grand Attack finds a heart this week and kept finding! Collect $108
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Deejay Dillinger
Finally showed a glimpse of form after nearly a year off the scene. Had the easy run behind the leader last start but was very unlucky not to finish closer than 3rd after not getting a run on this track last week. They ran very good time for the 2200metres. There is plenty of speed on throughout here and we're definitely hoping United Legacy doesn't gallop as he'll provide a good genuine tempo in this. Back to the sprint trip is a huge plus also with all his wins over the distance. Good ew chance at $10
RESULT: LOST! Never really put into the race but not sure how well it was travelling
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Blissful Kisses
Just been crying out for a draw where she can lead and gets that tonight. 2 starts back stuck 3 back the pegs and never saw daylight until too late and then a similar story at Melton last start but hit the line well. She is no sit sprinter and looks your leader here tonight. Not many rate them as well as Matty Craven does in front and I'm keen on her chances at around $6. (NTD here hence I've just gone straight out)
RESULT: LOST! Pressured throughout the race by the longshots of the field setting it up for the swoopers. Frustrating but she folded up without much fight
LAY OF THE DAY
Race 8 No 7 Classievale
A risky lay this one. He was just plain first up last start after having the perfect sit. King Of Paradise death seated in that race and beat him hands down. Going to have to force his way into this last and it hard seeing the small field going too quick here. Some early odds have him around the $2 mark but that's based on what he produced 2 years back. Based on his last run, he's more of a $6 chance for mine considering you'd expect a bit of improvement 2nd up
RESULT: 2nd. I got this one wrong and lucky it didn't win. Having said that, opened $2.25 on SB and drifted out to $4-$5 so not much value in laying.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $92
Maryborough, Monday 1st September
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Endorsement
Comes into this race with solid form and gets back to his preferred distance. Flies the gate and will be leading early and I hope Mark Pitt decides to keep it today. Either way the best EW bet of the day @ around $8
RESULT: 2nd. HUGE run! Just hopped and skipped a bit early and cost it the lead early. Had to sit without cover and I must admit my ticket was in the bin but showed toughness I haven't seen before. If it crossed early, I think we were in the queue but we'll never know. Collect $160
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Dam Lucky
Good return from a spell last start. Looked gone at the turn but just kept plugging away late to only be beaten 4 metres after being 3 wide without cover the last lap. Will strip much fitter for this and looks worth a risk at $4.
RESULT: LOST! Copped a fair check on the final bend but it never looked likely.
LAY OF THE DAY
I'll be posting my lay of the day for each meeting from here on in. Hope they don't make a fool of me!
Race 8 No 1 Royal Icing
I actually marked this fella as a black booker a month ago but has a few things against it today. 1. Likely to be crossed early. 2. Has had every opportunity its last 2 start against similar opposition. 3. Yet to place beyond 1755metres. No, No No for mine & I think it's likely to start your favourite in this race
RESULT: 2nd! 1 from 1 but only just. Having said that with the run it had should've crapped in and still couldn't get the job done and happy to say I was right
MEETING RESULT: Won $10
Race 7 No 5 Endorsement
Comes into this race with solid form and gets back to his preferred distance. Flies the gate and will be leading early and I hope Mark Pitt decides to keep it today. Either way the best EW bet of the day @ around $8
RESULT: 2nd. HUGE run! Just hopped and skipped a bit early and cost it the lead early. Had to sit without cover and I must admit my ticket was in the bin but showed toughness I haven't seen before. If it crossed early, I think we were in the queue but we'll never know. Collect $160
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Dam Lucky
Good return from a spell last start. Looked gone at the turn but just kept plugging away late to only be beaten 4 metres after being 3 wide without cover the last lap. Will strip much fitter for this and looks worth a risk at $4.
RESULT: LOST! Copped a fair check on the final bend but it never looked likely.
LAY OF THE DAY
I'll be posting my lay of the day for each meeting from here on in. Hope they don't make a fool of me!
Race 8 No 1 Royal Icing
I actually marked this fella as a black booker a month ago but has a few things against it today. 1. Likely to be crossed early. 2. Has had every opportunity its last 2 start against similar opposition. 3. Yet to place beyond 1755metres. No, No No for mine & I think it's likely to start your favourite in this race
RESULT: 2nd! 1 from 1 but only just. Having said that with the run it had should've crapped in and still couldn't get the job done and happy to say I was right
MEETING RESULT: Won $10
Mildura, Sunday 31st August
Gee whizz, not a great meeting to be punting on so will be short and sweet hopefully from me
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Faenza
Not the most talented beast going around but you can forget it's last run when it had no luck and concentrate on its run prior. Looks like receiving a similar type run here and against a weaker field, should be a good ew bet at around $8
RESULT: 4th. Walked out and ended up 3 pegs... No sprint lane at Mildura.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Colada Mach
A trial flyer from a few weeks back he has performed well since. Should be cherry ripe tonight and push forward from the wide draw. If it leads we're in the queue but even enforcing from the death will go mighty close at around $6
RESULT: 2nd. HUGE run but couldn't get past the favourite. Collect $45
MEETING RESULT: Lost $55. $107 profit for the month. Better than a loss I suppose.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Faenza
Not the most talented beast going around but you can forget it's last run when it had no luck and concentrate on its run prior. Looks like receiving a similar type run here and against a weaker field, should be a good ew bet at around $8
RESULT: 4th. Walked out and ended up 3 pegs... No sprint lane at Mildura.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Colada Mach
A trial flyer from a few weeks back he has performed well since. Should be cherry ripe tonight and push forward from the wide draw. If it leads we're in the queue but even enforcing from the death will go mighty close at around $6
RESULT: 2nd. HUGE run but couldn't get past the favourite. Collect $45
MEETING RESULT: Lost $55. $107 profit for the month. Better than a loss I suppose.
Cranbourne, Saturday 30th August
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Stylish Jasper
She's a very hard horse to catch but this is her easiest assignment for sometime. I expect V C Devil to lead these with Stuck In Second applying the pressure from the death. Dodge The Bullet will be sitting 1x1 and that there is the key to the race. Stylish Jasper will be restrained back to last early but a move in the last lap should flush Dodge The Bullet out in front of her which looks the ideal run into the race. Fingers crossed for whoooska late @ around the $6 quote.
RESULT: 3rd. Massive unders and I hope punters did have a crack at the ridiculously short odds. I would have never tipped it if I knew it would be at those odds. Collect $78
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Jewel Castle
Another who won't know herself against this class. She was desperately unlucky last start in the Breeders Crown Consolation ad should've finished closer. The 1609metres isn't her best distance but she should be able to push forward early and either lead or sit in the death and from either position should be too strong. Expect $2 but get on early. I reckon they be lining up to get on & I'm not so keen if she gets into odds on
RESULT: OUCH! Sat without cover but somehow Lance Justice led from gate 12. Still ordinary run from the mare.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Bop Shoobop
I might be throwing money away with this one with Mach My Word looking very hard to beat but her last 100 metres at Yarra Valley last start caught my eye, running on hard in after being wide on the last turn. In her debut run, looked to be travelling 3 pegs before hanging in badly at the 300 metres and lost about 30 metres. Once she balanced up she held her own, albeit 20 metres from the winner Bettor Than Best. This race is slightly weaker than that she met in her debut run and with this being her 3rd start and learning the caper a little more, I think she worth a stab at the $50 mark.
RESULT: LOST! Broke and trailed the field
MEETING RESULT: Lost $152 but hey, the Tigers won!
Race 5 No 6 Stylish Jasper
She's a very hard horse to catch but this is her easiest assignment for sometime. I expect V C Devil to lead these with Stuck In Second applying the pressure from the death. Dodge The Bullet will be sitting 1x1 and that there is the key to the race. Stylish Jasper will be restrained back to last early but a move in the last lap should flush Dodge The Bullet out in front of her which looks the ideal run into the race. Fingers crossed for whoooska late @ around the $6 quote.
RESULT: 3rd. Massive unders and I hope punters did have a crack at the ridiculously short odds. I would have never tipped it if I knew it would be at those odds. Collect $78
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Jewel Castle
Another who won't know herself against this class. She was desperately unlucky last start in the Breeders Crown Consolation ad should've finished closer. The 1609metres isn't her best distance but she should be able to push forward early and either lead or sit in the death and from either position should be too strong. Expect $2 but get on early. I reckon they be lining up to get on & I'm not so keen if she gets into odds on
RESULT: OUCH! Sat without cover but somehow Lance Justice led from gate 12. Still ordinary run from the mare.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Bop Shoobop
I might be throwing money away with this one with Mach My Word looking very hard to beat but her last 100 metres at Yarra Valley last start caught my eye, running on hard in after being wide on the last turn. In her debut run, looked to be travelling 3 pegs before hanging in badly at the 300 metres and lost about 30 metres. Once she balanced up she held her own, albeit 20 metres from the winner Bettor Than Best. This race is slightly weaker than that she met in her debut run and with this being her 3rd start and learning the caper a little more, I think she worth a stab at the $50 mark.
RESULT: LOST! Broke and trailed the field
MEETING RESULT: Lost $152 but hey, the Tigers won!
Melton. Friday 29th August
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Earth Angel
Had to wait until I knew the 8 was scratched before putting this one up as a tip. She's a much better horse over this distance and from this sort of draw. Now she has The Baggy Green behind her, I expect Josh Aitken to take the sit on Illawong Joyful's back leaving the Baggy Green 3 back the pegs. Earth Angel has an explosive turn of foot as she showed at Cobram a few starts back and at $3.5, she looks the value runner of the race
RESULT: 3rd. Held the lead! NOOOOOOO Josh. Gave her main danger the dream run and game over. She's not a leader for mine and that showed in that run.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 12 Game We Play
Loved his run at Cranbourne behind Bettor Than Best last start. Was last at the 600 metres, came 3 wide without cover and was still wide at the turn which is a massive disadvantage at Cranbourne. He kept kicking late and wasn't beaten far. Jimmy The Editor has won impressively since too. Just Knew should get to the pegs first here and I expect Lance Justice to follow it through and really attack hard for the lead. As soon as the dust settles, Karkarooc will be off and running keeping the pressure on. Im really pinning my hopes on Lance Justice running them along once the favourite finds the death. If thy do, Game We Play is in this up to it's ears and at $15, well worth a punt
RESULT: WINNER! Early punters get the nice payout. $260 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Essbee Doubleyou
Should have won last start with any sort of luck over the 2240metres. Got stuck behind a tiring leader and only saw daylight late but hit the line impressively for 2nd. Back to the 1720metres is a big plus and he's a sneaky chance to find the pegs here early. The last time over this trip he gave Bettor Rock On a run for it's money and beat home Tandia's Bromac. Really keen here if he can lead but he's still not hopeless with a sit. Happy to take on Young Modern over the sprint trip. Currently $13 on Sportsbet looks value
RESULT: 4th. Got the lead as expected but had it's chance. Young Modern far too good. I was wrong!
QUADDIE
$48 for 50% (late adjustment with scratchings. Added 10 into the 3rd leg)
2-11 / 3-7-9 / 1-2-8-10 / 2-3-8-9
RESULT: Lost!! Bloody Gumdrops..
1st Leg: Washmepockets gets the Junior driver claim here and the class drop suits. Tandia's Bromac is the obvious favourite and really looks your winner. 1 out for those confident enough. Other chance for punters wanting to go wider go to 9, 1 & 10 in that order.
2nd Leg: Essbee Doubleyou as per my tip. Young Modern is a definite danger but is starting to hit good class races now. Have to throw him in but he's a lay for the risky punter. Wolfpack comes in a few with the early scratchings and good get a nice run across here. A must inclusion. Others to consider are 8 and 10 in that order
3rd Leg: Hilltop Hustler should really be winning this but I get worried with horses 2nd up after a gutbuster. Another 1 out leg if you wanted to save money on your quad but for mine you have to include Asoka who should be leading and with the late scratching, I'd suggest adding the first emergency Composed to your Quads.
4th Leg: Got to love it when a trot race is part of the quaddie.. Lord Liam or Quite a Moment your 2 main chances as they look the likely leaders. Brief Glance and El Paco do things wrong from the stand but if they behaved are right in this. Laying the 4 after it's run last start but again, one you can include if you can afford it.
MEETING RESULT: Won $62
Race 1 No 1 Earth Angel
Had to wait until I knew the 8 was scratched before putting this one up as a tip. She's a much better horse over this distance and from this sort of draw. Now she has The Baggy Green behind her, I expect Josh Aitken to take the sit on Illawong Joyful's back leaving the Baggy Green 3 back the pegs. Earth Angel has an explosive turn of foot as she showed at Cobram a few starts back and at $3.5, she looks the value runner of the race
RESULT: 3rd. Held the lead! NOOOOOOO Josh. Gave her main danger the dream run and game over. She's not a leader for mine and that showed in that run.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 12 Game We Play
Loved his run at Cranbourne behind Bettor Than Best last start. Was last at the 600 metres, came 3 wide without cover and was still wide at the turn which is a massive disadvantage at Cranbourne. He kept kicking late and wasn't beaten far. Jimmy The Editor has won impressively since too. Just Knew should get to the pegs first here and I expect Lance Justice to follow it through and really attack hard for the lead. As soon as the dust settles, Karkarooc will be off and running keeping the pressure on. Im really pinning my hopes on Lance Justice running them along once the favourite finds the death. If thy do, Game We Play is in this up to it's ears and at $15, well worth a punt
RESULT: WINNER! Early punters get the nice payout. $260 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Essbee Doubleyou
Should have won last start with any sort of luck over the 2240metres. Got stuck behind a tiring leader and only saw daylight late but hit the line impressively for 2nd. Back to the 1720metres is a big plus and he's a sneaky chance to find the pegs here early. The last time over this trip he gave Bettor Rock On a run for it's money and beat home Tandia's Bromac. Really keen here if he can lead but he's still not hopeless with a sit. Happy to take on Young Modern over the sprint trip. Currently $13 on Sportsbet looks value
RESULT: 4th. Got the lead as expected but had it's chance. Young Modern far too good. I was wrong!
QUADDIE
$48 for 50% (late adjustment with scratchings. Added 10 into the 3rd leg)
2-11 / 3-7-9 / 1-2-8-10 / 2-3-8-9
RESULT: Lost!! Bloody Gumdrops..
1st Leg: Washmepockets gets the Junior driver claim here and the class drop suits. Tandia's Bromac is the obvious favourite and really looks your winner. 1 out for those confident enough. Other chance for punters wanting to go wider go to 9, 1 & 10 in that order.
2nd Leg: Essbee Doubleyou as per my tip. Young Modern is a definite danger but is starting to hit good class races now. Have to throw him in but he's a lay for the risky punter. Wolfpack comes in a few with the early scratchings and good get a nice run across here. A must inclusion. Others to consider are 8 and 10 in that order
3rd Leg: Hilltop Hustler should really be winning this but I get worried with horses 2nd up after a gutbuster. Another 1 out leg if you wanted to save money on your quad but for mine you have to include Asoka who should be leading and with the late scratching, I'd suggest adding the first emergency Composed to your Quads.
4th Leg: Got to love it when a trot race is part of the quaddie.. Lord Liam or Quite a Moment your 2 main chances as they look the likely leaders. Brief Glance and El Paco do things wrong from the stand but if they behaved are right in this. Laying the 4 after it's run last start but again, one you can include if you can afford it.
MEETING RESULT: Won $62
Echuca, Thursday 28th August
$25WIN
Race 3 No 4 Twindet
This really is a blind leap of faith this bet. First up looked like it was desperately in need of the run and was driven accordingly restraining from gate 3. He did what you'd expect from there considering he's best suited when in front. Does have good gate speed when asked and should be able to amble to the lead tonight with average speed on it's inside and should go very close at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up $3 around the traps but the word was out tonight. Into $2.20 by close. Collect $55
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Desert Safari
He was poorly driven last start and really should've been fighting out the finish but still managed a good 4th behind Missanger Management. Has an awful record over the sprint trip but showed last start he's more than capable at the distance. Has good early gate speed and if able to cross early is a massive winning chance. Even if he doesn't should position close enough to be a big factor in this. Expect $10
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $35/$8 on BET365!! $12 for those that have been banned but that'll do me after the week Ive had.. Collect $324
DAY RESULT: Won $254
Race 3 No 4 Twindet
This really is a blind leap of faith this bet. First up looked like it was desperately in need of the run and was driven accordingly restraining from gate 3. He did what you'd expect from there considering he's best suited when in front. Does have good gate speed when asked and should be able to amble to the lead tonight with average speed on it's inside and should go very close at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up $3 around the traps but the word was out tonight. Into $2.20 by close. Collect $55
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Desert Safari
He was poorly driven last start and really should've been fighting out the finish but still managed a good 4th behind Missanger Management. Has an awful record over the sprint trip but showed last start he's more than capable at the distance. Has good early gate speed and if able to cross early is a massive winning chance. Even if he doesn't should position close enough to be a big factor in this. Expect $10
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $35/$8 on BET365!! $12 for those that have been banned but that'll do me after the week Ive had.. Collect $324
DAY RESULT: Won $254
Maryborough, Thursday 28th August
Pretty awful meeting here punters with first starters galore. My advice... stay away..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Mymumsabankmanager
I thought she put up a great effort against some talented types at Terang last start after working early. She did finish 16 metres from them but todays race is much weaker. Its first emergency but if she gets a run, she looks your early leader and a great EW chance.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Thatz Four Starzzz
Thought his run to grab 3rd behind Kinda Black was super. Was following the Shayne Cramp favourite which looked the place to be but it folded in his lap. Had to go 4 & 5 wide on the turn but hit the line well. Whilst the draw isn't great, this isn't strong. The horse that ran 2nd against it last start draws outside back row so has a good advantage especially if he rolls forward. A repeat of last start see's him right in this at around $10.
RESULT: LOST! Worked too hard in the run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Mymumsabankmanager
I thought she put up a great effort against some talented types at Terang last start after working early. She did finish 16 metres from them but todays race is much weaker. Its first emergency but if she gets a run, she looks your early leader and a great EW chance.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Thatz Four Starzzz
Thought his run to grab 3rd behind Kinda Black was super. Was following the Shayne Cramp favourite which looked the place to be but it folded in his lap. Had to go 4 & 5 wide on the turn but hit the line well. Whilst the draw isn't great, this isn't strong. The horse that ran 2nd against it last start draws outside back row so has a good advantage especially if he rolls forward. A repeat of last start see's him right in this at around $10.
RESULT: LOST! Worked too hard in the run
Bendigo, Wednesday 27th August
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 10 The Pix
Has been super unlucky in his first 2 runs for Wayne Potter after being stuck on the pegs on both occasions. Got home hard last start to just miss out on 2nd behind the very smart Karkarooc with A Bit Ruthless 2nd who is not too shabby itself. This is a step down for mine tonight and we maybe getting double figure odds with any luck.
RESULT: AWFUL. Bloody hell, the Pogga jinx is on over the past week
$50WIN
Race 7 No 3 With Gusto
Has been on fire this preparation until it stepped up in class and got taught a lesson behind Our Sky Major last start. He was stuck in the death there but races best in front and that's exactly where he'll be tonight. Expect $3
RESULT: LOST! Every possible chance.
DAY RESULT: Lost $250. POOR POOR POOR day on the punt and continues a bad week. IN THE RED!!
Race 6 No 10 The Pix
Has been super unlucky in his first 2 runs for Wayne Potter after being stuck on the pegs on both occasions. Got home hard last start to just miss out on 2nd behind the very smart Karkarooc with A Bit Ruthless 2nd who is not too shabby itself. This is a step down for mine tonight and we maybe getting double figure odds with any luck.
RESULT: AWFUL. Bloody hell, the Pogga jinx is on over the past week
$50WIN
Race 7 No 3 With Gusto
Has been on fire this preparation until it stepped up in class and got taught a lesson behind Our Sky Major last start. He was stuck in the death there but races best in front and that's exactly where he'll be tonight. Expect $3
RESULT: LOST! Every possible chance.
DAY RESULT: Lost $250. POOR POOR POOR day on the punt and continues a bad week. IN THE RED!!
$50WIN
Race 3 No 8 Niquero
First up from a few months on the sidelines and has been trialling well in preparation for this race. In particular his trial on the 14th of August where he flashed home late for 4th against much stronger horses than he meets tonight. Follows through the leader and if he's anywhere near right should be going very close at around $5
RESULT: 2nd. Leader had it too easy in front
Race 3 No 8 Niquero
First up from a few months on the sidelines and has been trialling well in preparation for this race. In particular his trial on the 14th of August where he flashed home late for 4th against much stronger horses than he meets tonight. Follows through the leader and if he's anywhere near right should be going very close at around $5
RESULT: 2nd. Leader had it too easy in front
Horsham, Wednesday 27th August
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 French Lesson
Went super on Monday after being severely checked early. Had to make it's run 4 and 5 wide around the last bend which is extremely hard to do at Yarra Valley but managed to finish 3rd. The start is critical here especially with no sprint lane however there doesn't seem to be a whole lot of speed off the front row. If she leads, she wins @ around $3
RESULT: LOST! Well that was horrible. Lead, wasn't pressured and found nothing. It's a maiden for a reason
Race 6 No 1 French Lesson
Went super on Monday after being severely checked early. Had to make it's run 4 and 5 wide around the last bend which is extremely hard to do at Yarra Valley but managed to finish 3rd. The start is critical here especially with no sprint lane however there doesn't seem to be a whole lot of speed off the front row. If she leads, she wins @ around $3
RESULT: LOST! Well that was horrible. Lead, wasn't pressured and found nothing. It's a maiden for a reason
Ballarat, Tuesday 26th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Saxon Warrior
Got absolutely smashed when 3 back the pegs and was dragged out to last close to 40 metres off the leaders. Once out he hit the line really impressively beaten 18metres. Won't be on the pegs tonight and with In The Trenches drawn wide the front row likely to take on Jimmy The Editor, expect Saxon to be flying home late. Untried over the sprint trip maybe my only concern but at $10 worth a go
RESULT: LOST! Another unlucky run after being Ko'd at the start. Finished off strongly where no other horse did which is a goood sign. Itll win one soon
QUADDIE
$24 for 100%
1/ 6-7-9-10 / 6-7-9 / 5-6
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $74 continues a poor week
Race 6 No 9 Saxon Warrior
Got absolutely smashed when 3 back the pegs and was dragged out to last close to 40 metres off the leaders. Once out he hit the line really impressively beaten 18metres. Won't be on the pegs tonight and with In The Trenches drawn wide the front row likely to take on Jimmy The Editor, expect Saxon to be flying home late. Untried over the sprint trip maybe my only concern but at $10 worth a go
RESULT: LOST! Another unlucky run after being Ko'd at the start. Finished off strongly where no other horse did which is a goood sign. Itll win one soon
QUADDIE
$24 for 100%
1/ 6-7-9-10 / 6-7-9 / 5-6
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $74 continues a poor week
Yarra Valley, Monday 24th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Tennaya
This is probably the hardest race of the day and that's probably why I've gone with this horse from the draw. She was a little unlucky over the sprint trip after being 3 back the pegs from a back row draw. Ran home OK late to finish 5th not far from the winner. Much better suited over this trip only having missed a place 3 times from 10 attempts. She has good gate speed so should position nice and handy here, where you want to be at Yarra Valley. Im expecting $8 here.
RESULT: 2nd. Just hung out on the turn and let the horse 3 pegs get a run and was outsprinted late. Luck has disappeared the last week! Collect $78
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Lucky Metro
I haven't tipped one like this for a while but she's the sort of horse that needs a certain run to figure. That's in front and running along. Last time she was able to lead she did exactly that and was only nabbed late by the promising Sweet Kisses. That was in May but I think she's battled away OK to be a chance in a race of this nature. Got to lead to be a chance. At around $25, worth a risk
RESULT: LOST! Unlucky. We'll never know how close it would've gone after it was crossed early and that horse was gone at the 400 metres. Ended up galloping trying to get a run. We might get huge odds next time out from a similar draw
Race 5 No 1 Tennaya
This is probably the hardest race of the day and that's probably why I've gone with this horse from the draw. She was a little unlucky over the sprint trip after being 3 back the pegs from a back row draw. Ran home OK late to finish 5th not far from the winner. Much better suited over this trip only having missed a place 3 times from 10 attempts. She has good gate speed so should position nice and handy here, where you want to be at Yarra Valley. Im expecting $8 here.
RESULT: 2nd. Just hung out on the turn and let the horse 3 pegs get a run and was outsprinted late. Luck has disappeared the last week! Collect $78
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Lucky Metro
I haven't tipped one like this for a while but she's the sort of horse that needs a certain run to figure. That's in front and running along. Last time she was able to lead she did exactly that and was only nabbed late by the promising Sweet Kisses. That was in May but I think she's battled away OK to be a chance in a race of this nature. Got to lead to be a chance. At around $25, worth a risk
RESULT: LOST! Unlucky. We'll never know how close it would've gone after it was crossed early and that horse was gone at the 400 metres. Ended up galloping trying to get a run. We might get huge odds next time out from a similar draw
EARLY MELTON TIPS FOR BREEDERS CROWN
Our Sky Major: Was $3 but still $2.80 around which I think is extraordinary for this horse regardless of the fact it's drawn 13. Into $2.20 @ 9pm 18/8.
Soho Tokyo: Thought she went super in the semi. I don't think the current best odds of around $18 will be the best you can get so hold out for later in the week (or whenever BET365 goes up).
Jilliby Jagger: $27 FIXED the place on Tattsbet. Do I think he does place? Probably not with Bling It On and Our Sky Major in a 2 horse race but if they break the field up and this bloke is sitting 4 back the pegs, the $27 is massive overs. Into $11 @ 9pm 18/8
Our Sky Major: Was $3 but still $2.80 around which I think is extraordinary for this horse regardless of the fact it's drawn 13. Into $2.20 @ 9pm 18/8.
Soho Tokyo: Thought she went super in the semi. I don't think the current best odds of around $18 will be the best you can get so hold out for later in the week (or whenever BET365 goes up).
Jilliby Jagger: $27 FIXED the place on Tattsbet. Do I think he does place? Probably not with Bling It On and Our Sky Major in a 2 horse race but if they break the field up and this bloke is sitting 4 back the pegs, the $27 is massive overs. Into $11 @ 9pm 18/8
Melton, Breeder's Crown Day
Will be placing bets on all pacing races but I'll leave the trotters alone apart from 1. I will be taking fixed odds available now on best price I can find. Any collects will be based on these prices:
RACE 1:
Plenty of pace off the front line and I'm pinning my hopes on Illawong Joy or Courageousnquick speeding across early to lead and handing up to I'm Smouldering. She's a chance to knock off Frith from there. The other value comes from either Rogers Passion & The Baggy Green. With Frith 99% chance to restrain early, the position behind Our Femme Fatale is up for grabs. If that horse did hold the lead, both Rogers Passion & The Baggy Green are the ones to snag the position behind the leader.
SUGGESTED BET:
$50WIN No 6 Im Smouldering @ $6 BET365
$50PLACE No 10 The Baggy Green @ $5.38 TAB FIXED
RESULT: 2nd for the Baggy One! Collect $269
RACE 5:
Fascinating race this one. Almost El Eagle looks almost certain to cross the 1 early but it'll be looking for Mart Monkhouser to hand up to straight after. Chilli Palmer has no speed and will be straight out the back and the advantage for Bit Of A Legend is that it's drawn to follow out Marty Monkhouser. I can't see why Lauren Panella would not hand up to Bit Of A Legend and for the very reason, not sure how they can beat him. As good as Chilli Palmer was last week, there are too many if's and buts for it to win. IF it got the perfect trail into the race and is close enough to the leaders at the turn, I'm going to be crying. Pachacuti is the other live chance but it's likely to have to make a midrace move and work to the death. Not sure how it wins from there.
SUGGESTED BET
$90WIN No 13 Bit Of A Legend @ $2.30 BET365
$10 First 4: 5 / 13 / 6-11 / 1-2-6-11-12 for 125%
RESULT: Lost! Bit Of A Legend just struggled around the bends and never look like catching the winner. Chilli Palmer galloped
RACE 6
I hope this race is as simple as I think it is to work out. Soho Tokyo looks your early leader and I'm close to certain will hand up to Katy Perry. I expect Linda Lovegrace to restrain early and make a mid race move, more than likely on the back of Joanne's A Delight with Cyclone Kate likely to settle 1x3. There's your race right there. I give nothing else a live chance.
SUGGESTED BET:
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 3 Soho Tokyo @ $16/$3.40 BET365
$50 First 4: 3-4-10 / 3-4-8-10/ 3-4-5-8-10 / 3-4-5-8-10 for 92%
RESULT: Lost! Soho weak and the 12 puts us out of the F4.
RACE 7
As I suggested in my preview this week. the start here has never been more important here. Hectorjayjay flies the gate, Major Crocker gets out almost as good. If Hector gets across, I expect it to hand up to Bling It On and that's the only scenario I give Bling It On a chance of winning. If Major Crocker leads, it won't hand up and you can expect plenty of speed to be on. That sets it up for Our Sky Major to round them up and outsprint them. That's the scenario I'm banking on. Jilliby Jagger and Lettucerockthem were both superb runs in their respective and will need some luck to figure here but some big odds available if they did.
SUGGESTED BET:
$80WIN No 13 Our Sky Major @ $2.50 TAB FIXED ODDS
$20WIN No 9 Lettucerockthem @ $11 Tattsbet
RESULT: Lost! Bugger me. Our Sky Major huge in running 4th but just worked too hard
RACE 8
By far the hardest race on the card for mine. Hard seeing Just Carla holding out Spicy Stride early here which would then mean the $3 on Barynya is massive unders. Just Carla would then be hoping Spicy Stride wouldn't hand up but with it's stablemate Nike Franco likely to be on the forward march early, the lead looks it for the taking which would also mean the $4.20 available for it is also unders. Chris Alford maybe the fly in the ointment for Nike Franco but it's slow out of the gate and from the wide draw, going to have to work very hard to find the death & there is no chance Spicy Stride hands up to it. All roads point to Nike Franco, even if she's improved just slightly on last weeks run. Fingers crossed she behaves herself
SUGGESTED BET:
$100WIN No 11 Nike Franco @ $3.80
RESULT: Lost! Nike Franco every chance
RACE 9
I absolutely loved Kept Under Wraps 2nd in the heat after copping one hell of a check early on, racing 3 wide to get the death & still battled away to run 2nd. Frighteningly good. Got to beat one of the best 2yo colts Ive seen come across from NZ, Follow The Stars and it's hard to think it can, especially with them both from the same stable. I'd be shocked not to see Kept Under Wraps not lead early and there is only one horse it'll hand up to. They run 1st and 2nd by miles for mine. Artistic Flight the best roughy in the race after a huge effort in the heat also after being checked in the same race as Kept Under Wraps, flashing home for 4th. Mojo Major the other worth considering as it's likely to get to the pegs first.
SUGGESTED BET
If the quinella is paying north of $1.50 you can unleash but its likely to be $1.10 so playing with the below:
$15EXACTA 4 to beat 7
$10PLACE No 3 Mojo Major @ $17 BET365
$20 TRIFECTA 4-7/4-7/3-13 for 500%
$5 TRIFECTA 7/4/13 for 500%
RESULT: Lost! All bloody over it and get nothing. Mojo 4th!!
RACE 11
There is some crazy early speed in this race with the 1, 2, 3, 5 & 7 all having great early toe. I'd suggest Blazeaway Macrae gets to the pegs first and it's best chance of winning is keeping it early from Palais De Louvre. Not sure if Amy Tubbs will though. Either way the front line will do plenty of work early and as soon as they find there positions there will be more speed with Fearless Leader likely to be set alight mid race. For mine that'll turn this into the race of the fittest. That makes me turn back to my old mates Artoc and Road To Rock. Artoc was a super run last start after following the leader but they ran 1:53 for the last mile where he finished 3rd. Road TO Rock led from a start start race and was never tested in M0 or better class. Artoc likely to be 3 wide without cover late and Road To Rock getting the lovely cart into it.
SUGGESTED BET:
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 11 Road To Rock @ $11/$2.66 TAB FIXED ODDS
$10WIN/$40PLACE No 10 Artoc @ $21/$4.40 @ Sportsbet
RESULT: Artoc 3rd, Road to Rock. I picked the wrong old mate with Palais De Louvre winning at a massive $8! Collect $176
DAY RESULT: Tough day on the punt. Thought my analysis was pretty good but just on the wrong ones.. Lost $215
RACE 1:
Plenty of pace off the front line and I'm pinning my hopes on Illawong Joy or Courageousnquick speeding across early to lead and handing up to I'm Smouldering. She's a chance to knock off Frith from there. The other value comes from either Rogers Passion & The Baggy Green. With Frith 99% chance to restrain early, the position behind Our Femme Fatale is up for grabs. If that horse did hold the lead, both Rogers Passion & The Baggy Green are the ones to snag the position behind the leader.
SUGGESTED BET:
$50WIN No 6 Im Smouldering @ $6 BET365
$50PLACE No 10 The Baggy Green @ $5.38 TAB FIXED
RESULT: 2nd for the Baggy One! Collect $269
RACE 5:
Fascinating race this one. Almost El Eagle looks almost certain to cross the 1 early but it'll be looking for Mart Monkhouser to hand up to straight after. Chilli Palmer has no speed and will be straight out the back and the advantage for Bit Of A Legend is that it's drawn to follow out Marty Monkhouser. I can't see why Lauren Panella would not hand up to Bit Of A Legend and for the very reason, not sure how they can beat him. As good as Chilli Palmer was last week, there are too many if's and buts for it to win. IF it got the perfect trail into the race and is close enough to the leaders at the turn, I'm going to be crying. Pachacuti is the other live chance but it's likely to have to make a midrace move and work to the death. Not sure how it wins from there.
SUGGESTED BET
$90WIN No 13 Bit Of A Legend @ $2.30 BET365
$10 First 4: 5 / 13 / 6-11 / 1-2-6-11-12 for 125%
RESULT: Lost! Bit Of A Legend just struggled around the bends and never look like catching the winner. Chilli Palmer galloped
RACE 6
I hope this race is as simple as I think it is to work out. Soho Tokyo looks your early leader and I'm close to certain will hand up to Katy Perry. I expect Linda Lovegrace to restrain early and make a mid race move, more than likely on the back of Joanne's A Delight with Cyclone Kate likely to settle 1x3. There's your race right there. I give nothing else a live chance.
SUGGESTED BET:
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 3 Soho Tokyo @ $16/$3.40 BET365
$50 First 4: 3-4-10 / 3-4-8-10/ 3-4-5-8-10 / 3-4-5-8-10 for 92%
RESULT: Lost! Soho weak and the 12 puts us out of the F4.
RACE 7
As I suggested in my preview this week. the start here has never been more important here. Hectorjayjay flies the gate, Major Crocker gets out almost as good. If Hector gets across, I expect it to hand up to Bling It On and that's the only scenario I give Bling It On a chance of winning. If Major Crocker leads, it won't hand up and you can expect plenty of speed to be on. That sets it up for Our Sky Major to round them up and outsprint them. That's the scenario I'm banking on. Jilliby Jagger and Lettucerockthem were both superb runs in their respective and will need some luck to figure here but some big odds available if they did.
SUGGESTED BET:
$80WIN No 13 Our Sky Major @ $2.50 TAB FIXED ODDS
$20WIN No 9 Lettucerockthem @ $11 Tattsbet
RESULT: Lost! Bugger me. Our Sky Major huge in running 4th but just worked too hard
RACE 8
By far the hardest race on the card for mine. Hard seeing Just Carla holding out Spicy Stride early here which would then mean the $3 on Barynya is massive unders. Just Carla would then be hoping Spicy Stride wouldn't hand up but with it's stablemate Nike Franco likely to be on the forward march early, the lead looks it for the taking which would also mean the $4.20 available for it is also unders. Chris Alford maybe the fly in the ointment for Nike Franco but it's slow out of the gate and from the wide draw, going to have to work very hard to find the death & there is no chance Spicy Stride hands up to it. All roads point to Nike Franco, even if she's improved just slightly on last weeks run. Fingers crossed she behaves herself
SUGGESTED BET:
$100WIN No 11 Nike Franco @ $3.80
RESULT: Lost! Nike Franco every chance
RACE 9
I absolutely loved Kept Under Wraps 2nd in the heat after copping one hell of a check early on, racing 3 wide to get the death & still battled away to run 2nd. Frighteningly good. Got to beat one of the best 2yo colts Ive seen come across from NZ, Follow The Stars and it's hard to think it can, especially with them both from the same stable. I'd be shocked not to see Kept Under Wraps not lead early and there is only one horse it'll hand up to. They run 1st and 2nd by miles for mine. Artistic Flight the best roughy in the race after a huge effort in the heat also after being checked in the same race as Kept Under Wraps, flashing home for 4th. Mojo Major the other worth considering as it's likely to get to the pegs first.
SUGGESTED BET
If the quinella is paying north of $1.50 you can unleash but its likely to be $1.10 so playing with the below:
$15EXACTA 4 to beat 7
$10PLACE No 3 Mojo Major @ $17 BET365
$20 TRIFECTA 4-7/4-7/3-13 for 500%
$5 TRIFECTA 7/4/13 for 500%
RESULT: Lost! All bloody over it and get nothing. Mojo 4th!!
RACE 11
There is some crazy early speed in this race with the 1, 2, 3, 5 & 7 all having great early toe. I'd suggest Blazeaway Macrae gets to the pegs first and it's best chance of winning is keeping it early from Palais De Louvre. Not sure if Amy Tubbs will though. Either way the front line will do plenty of work early and as soon as they find there positions there will be more speed with Fearless Leader likely to be set alight mid race. For mine that'll turn this into the race of the fittest. That makes me turn back to my old mates Artoc and Road To Rock. Artoc was a super run last start after following the leader but they ran 1:53 for the last mile where he finished 3rd. Road TO Rock led from a start start race and was never tested in M0 or better class. Artoc likely to be 3 wide without cover late and Road To Rock getting the lovely cart into it.
SUGGESTED BET:
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 11 Road To Rock @ $11/$2.66 TAB FIXED ODDS
$10WIN/$40PLACE No 10 Artoc @ $21/$4.40 @ Sportsbet
RESULT: Artoc 3rd, Road to Rock. I picked the wrong old mate with Palais De Louvre winning at a massive $8! Collect $176
DAY RESULT: Tough day on the punt. Thought my analysis was pretty good but just on the wrong ones.. Lost $215
Shepparton, Saturday 23rd August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Just Knew
Suer unlucky not to win last start after only seeing daylight late but monstered the line. 3rd up tonight should be cherry ripe for a real attack on this race, even though this is a slight step up in class, I think he's up to it.
RESULT: LOST! Not from the death he wasn't
QUADDIE
$52.50 for 50%
1-2-4-6-8 / 2-3-4-5-7-10-11 / 1 / 2-3-9
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $102.50
Race 5 No 2 Just Knew
Suer unlucky not to win last start after only seeing daylight late but monstered the line. 3rd up tonight should be cherry ripe for a real attack on this race, even though this is a slight step up in class, I think he's up to it.
RESULT: LOST! Not from the death he wasn't
QUADDIE
$52.50 for 50%
1-2-4-6-8 / 2-3-4-5-7-10-11 / 1 / 2-3-9
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $102.50
Melton, Friday 22nd August
$50WIN
Race 1 No 9 Valley Of Diamonds
Did what he needed to do last start but was a better effort than what it looked after they walked early and he needed to outsprint the leader. Won a similar race to this in June and should get a nice run into the race. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Late scratched of the 7 didn't help the odds or it's chances as it was the speed in the race. Did well considering.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 12 National Service
Worked hard early from a wide draw last start and never got a clear crack at them and should've finished much closer. The draw isn't too much of a disadvantage here with so much pace off the front row and if they make Hilltop Hustler work hard early it'll bring the swoopers right into this race. 5th up, he's cherry ripe for this race. Currently $8 on Sportsbet but I think you will be able to get better
RESULT: LOST! Not worth writing about. Sacked..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
Race 1 No 9 Valley Of Diamonds
Did what he needed to do last start but was a better effort than what it looked after they walked early and he needed to outsprint the leader. Won a similar race to this in June and should get a nice run into the race. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Late scratched of the 7 didn't help the odds or it's chances as it was the speed in the race. Did well considering.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 12 National Service
Worked hard early from a wide draw last start and never got a clear crack at them and should've finished much closer. The draw isn't too much of a disadvantage here with so much pace off the front row and if they make Hilltop Hustler work hard early it'll bring the swoopers right into this race. 5th up, he's cherry ripe for this race. Currently $8 on Sportsbet but I think you will be able to get better
RESULT: LOST! Not worth writing about. Sacked..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
MAryborough, Friday 22nd August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Olivia Rockstar
She's no superstar but should've finished a little closer to Dancing Arden than she did last start. She'll be getting a good run in transit once again today and is well worth an ew punt at $8
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Race 6 No 1 Olivia Rockstar
She's no superstar but should've finished a little closer to Dancing Arden than she did last start. She'll be getting a good run in transit once again today and is well worth an ew punt at $8
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Mildura, Thursday 21st August
Not keen on this meeting at all so just the one punt..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Wiley Jasper
Been a long time between drinks for this fella and he has cost me money recently but this is a big step back in class. Been racing against C2-4 company in recent times and hasn't been disgraced. Back to C1 class here and follows the favoured Cramp runner everywhere it goes. Good ew punt at $8
RESULT: WINNER! Took forever to get there but got the job done! Collect $143
DAY RESULT: Mildura saves me from embarrassment! Lost $107
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Wiley Jasper
Been a long time between drinks for this fella and he has cost me money recently but this is a big step back in class. Been racing against C2-4 company in recent times and hasn't been disgraced. Back to C1 class here and follows the favoured Cramp runner everywhere it goes. Good ew punt at $8
RESULT: WINNER! Took forever to get there but got the job done! Collect $143
DAY RESULT: Mildura saves me from embarrassment! Lost $107
Melton, Thursday 21st August
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Jewel Castle
Forget she went around last start after she settled last in a 63.2 second first half. She didn't lose much ground on Cool Machrista who will star shorter than her in this. She has good gate speed on a front line that has hardly any. I think she can lead and run a real cheeky race @ $10
RESULT: 4th. Didn't lead and was always in trouble after the $50 shot crossed it. Dragged back through the field and flashed home late. We were stiff there. Leads and wins for mine.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 4 Jackabeems
Not usually a horse I like to back but it was hard not to be impressed with it's semi run. Clocked his last mile in 1:56 almost 2 seconds quicker than some of these. Should sit in the death today and I think he'll be too strong @ $3
RESULT: LOST! Yep, that's why I don't back it..
Race 5 No 1 Jewel Castle
Forget she went around last start after she settled last in a 63.2 second first half. She didn't lose much ground on Cool Machrista who will star shorter than her in this. She has good gate speed on a front line that has hardly any. I think she can lead and run a real cheeky race @ $10
RESULT: 4th. Didn't lead and was always in trouble after the $50 shot crossed it. Dragged back through the field and flashed home late. We were stiff there. Leads and wins for mine.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 4 Jackabeems
Not usually a horse I like to back but it was hard not to be impressed with it's semi run. Clocked his last mile in 1:56 almost 2 seconds quicker than some of these. Should sit in the death today and I think he'll be too strong @ $3
RESULT: LOST! Yep, that's why I don't back it..
Terang, Wednesday 20th August
NOTE: I will be running the members forum on this meeting from 7:45pm AEDT.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 One Wise Man
I thought he did a great job in running 3rd beaten a half neck after they walked the first half in first whilst he was stuck out the back. Emma Hamblin went early which she had to and to only be beaten that margin in a 58.7 last half at Ararat is good going. Looks like getting a good run into the race here especially with the leader Reeds May not likely to hold up but will be finding nothing at the top of the straight. You want to be on the swoopers for mine and with Michael Bellman back in the cart, @ around $10, I'm happy to be on.
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run but never wanted to be on when it was 3 wide without cover.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 All The Cards
Fairly ordinary drive fair to say last start when stuck in no mans land 3 wide before restraining to remain 3 wide with cover the trip. Battled away late but was never a chance. Thought his run previous after death seating was solid and looks likely to get a good trail through the field early here. With Sapper Ford the likely leader and Keayang Storm likely to attack mid race, I think some of these maybe a little tired late. At around the $14 mark, he worth an each way flutter
RESULT: LAST! Did absolutely nothing.. Horrible
DAY RESULT: Won $140
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 One Wise Man
I thought he did a great job in running 3rd beaten a half neck after they walked the first half in first whilst he was stuck out the back. Emma Hamblin went early which she had to and to only be beaten that margin in a 58.7 last half at Ararat is good going. Looks like getting a good run into the race here especially with the leader Reeds May not likely to hold up but will be finding nothing at the top of the straight. You want to be on the swoopers for mine and with Michael Bellman back in the cart, @ around $10, I'm happy to be on.
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run but never wanted to be on when it was 3 wide without cover.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 All The Cards
Fairly ordinary drive fair to say last start when stuck in no mans land 3 wide before restraining to remain 3 wide with cover the trip. Battled away late but was never a chance. Thought his run previous after death seating was solid and looks likely to get a good trail through the field early here. With Sapper Ford the likely leader and Keayang Storm likely to attack mid race, I think some of these maybe a little tired late. At around the $14 mark, he worth an each way flutter
RESULT: LAST! Did absolutely nothing.. Horrible
DAY RESULT: Won $140
Charlton, Wednesday 20th August
$50 EXACTA
Race 1: 1st: 8 - 2nd: 1
Almost tipped the 8 just to win but this really looks a 2 horse race with the one leading and the 8 leaders back. Loved the 8's debut run when 2nd to Royal Icing. Was inconvenienced early, stuck behind tiring runners at the 400 but hit the line very strongly late. Royal Icing would be odds on in this. Stylish Ruler is no star but this is a leaders track and he did win well from that position 3 starts back against weak opposition. If you can get $2+ the 8, that's the safer bet but I'm expecting it to start odds on.
RESULT: LOST! The 8 wins, the 1 runs 3rd..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Kinda Black
Thought he was very stiff not to win at Echuca last start. Got held up behind a tiring leader at a vital stage but once out took heaps of ground off the winner. 3rd up today so should be cherry ripe after a 6 month spell. Love his chances at around $6
RESULT: Winner! Worked pretty hard for it too. Good win. Collect $390
Race 1: 1st: 8 - 2nd: 1
Almost tipped the 8 just to win but this really looks a 2 horse race with the one leading and the 8 leaders back. Loved the 8's debut run when 2nd to Royal Icing. Was inconvenienced early, stuck behind tiring runners at the 400 but hit the line very strongly late. Royal Icing would be odds on in this. Stylish Ruler is no star but this is a leaders track and he did win well from that position 3 starts back against weak opposition. If you can get $2+ the 8, that's the safer bet but I'm expecting it to start odds on.
RESULT: LOST! The 8 wins, the 1 runs 3rd..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Kinda Black
Thought he was very stiff not to win at Echuca last start. Got held up behind a tiring leader at a vital stage but once out took heaps of ground off the winner. 3rd up today so should be cherry ripe after a 6 month spell. Love his chances at around $6
RESULT: Winner! Worked pretty hard for it too. Good win. Collect $390
Cranbourne, Tuesday 19th August
TRIAL FLYER
RACE 2 No 9 Tenno Dance: Not a suggested bet especially from the back row but worth a throw at the stumps if you're looking for a punt: Galloped but never looked a chance
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Imhisdaughter
Had to do a power of work behind Arthur Henry last start and was entitled to weaken late after racing in the death. Her from prior to that was very strong and looks too good for her rivals. May get crossed by Mumbai Majik early but that horse is really struggling and I'd expect to hand up straight away. In every scenario I have she leads eventually and looks too good from there. I marked her at $2
RESULT: 2nd. Deah oh dear. Got stuck behind the leader early and missed the opportunity to take the lead of Mumbai Majik. Started at $1.40 too which hopefully made most of you stay away. Never a $1.40 shot
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Better Than Best
Went super first up for Lance Justice after working extremely hard in by far the quickest lead time of the night. Battled on well late to finish 3rd but was beaten by 9 metres. That sort of speed leads these and looks mighty hard to beat if he replicates last start. I'll be having a little saver on Village Cruiser just incase but it's hard seeing him winning to be honest.
RESULT: WINNER! That angle at Cranbourne got me again, though he'd lost! Collect $155
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Jean Mattjesty
Gee so much riding on the start here. If Getyawingsout holds VC Devil, I have no doubt Jeans will win this. Can still win from 3 back the pegs but would make it a lot harder obviously. His run against the flying Jilliby Master was super considering he got so close in a 1:58.4 mile rate for the 2100metres around Ararat which is flying for that track. At around $2.50 I'm happy to take the risk.
RESULT: LOST! Got crossed by the 2 which was the plan but I'm pretty pissed that the 2 handed up to the 3. No change of driving tactics and the punter is worse off. Locked wheels late and lost by a fair way. Forget it ran
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Isabella Delacour
Went pretty well when 4th behind Classy Guy in a C4/5 event over the 1609metres in 1:55. Drops back a class here and follows Jeans Mattjesty every he goes. We should be getting $3 a place here and I think is well worth a go (Only if there are no scratchings!)
RESULT: WINNER! Yep, it won @ $26 & $6.35.. Bugger me. Collect $317.50
MEETINNG RESULT: Won $172.50
RACE 2 No 9 Tenno Dance: Not a suggested bet especially from the back row but worth a throw at the stumps if you're looking for a punt: Galloped but never looked a chance
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Imhisdaughter
Had to do a power of work behind Arthur Henry last start and was entitled to weaken late after racing in the death. Her from prior to that was very strong and looks too good for her rivals. May get crossed by Mumbai Majik early but that horse is really struggling and I'd expect to hand up straight away. In every scenario I have she leads eventually and looks too good from there. I marked her at $2
RESULT: 2nd. Deah oh dear. Got stuck behind the leader early and missed the opportunity to take the lead of Mumbai Majik. Started at $1.40 too which hopefully made most of you stay away. Never a $1.40 shot
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Better Than Best
Went super first up for Lance Justice after working extremely hard in by far the quickest lead time of the night. Battled on well late to finish 3rd but was beaten by 9 metres. That sort of speed leads these and looks mighty hard to beat if he replicates last start. I'll be having a little saver on Village Cruiser just incase but it's hard seeing him winning to be honest.
RESULT: WINNER! That angle at Cranbourne got me again, though he'd lost! Collect $155
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Jean Mattjesty
Gee so much riding on the start here. If Getyawingsout holds VC Devil, I have no doubt Jeans will win this. Can still win from 3 back the pegs but would make it a lot harder obviously. His run against the flying Jilliby Master was super considering he got so close in a 1:58.4 mile rate for the 2100metres around Ararat which is flying for that track. At around $2.50 I'm happy to take the risk.
RESULT: LOST! Got crossed by the 2 which was the plan but I'm pretty pissed that the 2 handed up to the 3. No change of driving tactics and the punter is worse off. Locked wheels late and lost by a fair way. Forget it ran
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Isabella Delacour
Went pretty well when 4th behind Classy Guy in a C4/5 event over the 1609metres in 1:55. Drops back a class here and follows Jeans Mattjesty every he goes. We should be getting $3 a place here and I think is well worth a go (Only if there are no scratchings!)
RESULT: WINNER! Yep, it won @ $26 & $6.35.. Bugger me. Collect $317.50
MEETINNG RESULT: Won $172.50
Shepparton, Monday 18th August
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Whisper Away
Doesn't get a better chance to break through than today over the short trip. Failed badly at Warragul last start but that's twice he's done that at that track so pay to forgive. Has good gate speed and should be leading these. With a lack of pressure he looks the one you want to be on. Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd. $3? Smashed all over the joint & best was $1.75 but ran like a $10 pop. Its weak..
QUADDIE
$36 for 100%
1-2-3-6-7-9 / 6 / 2-3 / 2-3-4
RESULT: Missed the last leg after NZer first up gets backed off the map after doing zero at the trials. Hmm.
DAY RESULT: Poor tipping today. Lost $86
Race 4 No 1 Whisper Away
Doesn't get a better chance to break through than today over the short trip. Failed badly at Warragul last start but that's twice he's done that at that track so pay to forgive. Has good gate speed and should be leading these. With a lack of pressure he looks the one you want to be on. Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd. $3? Smashed all over the joint & best was $1.75 but ran like a $10 pop. Its weak..
QUADDIE
$36 for 100%
1-2-3-6-7-9 / 6 / 2-3 / 2-3-4
RESULT: Missed the last leg after NZer first up gets backed off the map after doing zero at the trials. Hmm.
DAY RESULT: Poor tipping today. Lost $86
MELTON, SUNDAY 17th August
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 Courageousnquick
I'm a big fan of this mare and love how she races against her own sex. 2 starts back was a great 3rd when leading from a wide gate and getting pressured throughout. They ran a 56 last half that night. Gets the great draw here to lead and there looks to be little to no pressure in this race and if she reels off a 56 last half here, they won't catch her. $3.5-$4
RESULT: WINNER! Handed up early which wasn't in my plans and I actually thought that was the end of her chances but hit the line strongly to knock them off. Collect $360
$100WIN
Race 7 No 12 Chilli Palmer
Back from a couple of months at Albion Park with his best run 2 starts back when winning in 1:54 for the 2100metres. Not bad for a horse who never really looked like it handled the track. Back to Melton where he loves it, and an almost guaranteed early speed battle with Tritton's horse drawn 7, he should trail into the race nicely. Looks a good bet at $2.5-$3
RESULT: 2nd. The scratching of the 7 didn't help but was a huge run after getting too far back. Ive said that a bit about this horse though
$100WIN
Race 8 No 9 Flaming Flutter
First up here and I think races best when fresh. Been worked beautifully in 3 trials running some impressive times against the likes of Hilltop Hustler and Chilli Palmer. Should get a nice trail through the field early and I wouldn't be surprised to see Sugars push on for the front. If it does, $2.50 looks tasty. ($2.70 if you have BET365)
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance for mine and was very disappointing
QUADDIE
$20 for 1000%
3 / 1-3 / 12 / 9
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Won $40
Race 5 No 3 Courageousnquick
I'm a big fan of this mare and love how she races against her own sex. 2 starts back was a great 3rd when leading from a wide gate and getting pressured throughout. They ran a 56 last half that night. Gets the great draw here to lead and there looks to be little to no pressure in this race and if she reels off a 56 last half here, they won't catch her. $3.5-$4
RESULT: WINNER! Handed up early which wasn't in my plans and I actually thought that was the end of her chances but hit the line strongly to knock them off. Collect $360
$100WIN
Race 7 No 12 Chilli Palmer
Back from a couple of months at Albion Park with his best run 2 starts back when winning in 1:54 for the 2100metres. Not bad for a horse who never really looked like it handled the track. Back to Melton where he loves it, and an almost guaranteed early speed battle with Tritton's horse drawn 7, he should trail into the race nicely. Looks a good bet at $2.5-$3
RESULT: 2nd. The scratching of the 7 didn't help but was a huge run after getting too far back. Ive said that a bit about this horse though
$100WIN
Race 8 No 9 Flaming Flutter
First up here and I think races best when fresh. Been worked beautifully in 3 trials running some impressive times against the likes of Hilltop Hustler and Chilli Palmer. Should get a nice trail through the field early and I wouldn't be surprised to see Sugars push on for the front. If it does, $2.50 looks tasty. ($2.70 if you have BET365)
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance for mine and was very disappointing
QUADDIE
$20 for 1000%
3 / 1-3 / 12 / 9
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Won $40
Ballarat, Saturday 16th August
I won't be able to post tips tomorrow night as I'll be staying on track at Melton so here's my early summary for Saturday night, a night I'm really not keen to punt. Odds on favourites all over the place!
$100 PLACE
Race 2 No 12 Ameretto
Was a huge run running 2nd behind Cyclone Kate after being near last on the turn and rocketing home to be beaten 6 metres. She's a massive chance to follow Cyclone Katie into the race here and @ $3.70 a place on Sportsbet, looks a good bet. Won't beat Linda Lovelace though
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$25 PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Glamour Art
Blackbooker from last start that isn't as good as the top 3 but with the likely scratching of the 1, she'll be following the leader, likely to be Big Lucy. With Katie Perry likely having to work mighty hard in the death and Joannes Delight drawn poor, @ $15 a place BET365, I happy to depart with $25.
RESULT: LOST! Got buried back 3 pegs and never a chance
QUADDIE
$24 for 200%
4-5-11 / 4-5-12-13 / 2 / 3
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $49
$100 PLACE
Race 2 No 12 Ameretto
Was a huge run running 2nd behind Cyclone Kate after being near last on the turn and rocketing home to be beaten 6 metres. She's a massive chance to follow Cyclone Katie into the race here and @ $3.70 a place on Sportsbet, looks a good bet. Won't beat Linda Lovelace though
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$25 PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Glamour Art
Blackbooker from last start that isn't as good as the top 3 but with the likely scratching of the 1, she'll be following the leader, likely to be Big Lucy. With Katie Perry likely having to work mighty hard in the death and Joannes Delight drawn poor, @ $15 a place BET365, I happy to depart with $25.
RESULT: LOST! Got buried back 3 pegs and never a chance
QUADDIE
$24 for 200%
4-5-11 / 4-5-12-13 / 2 / 3
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $49
Melton, Friday 15th August (POGGAHARNESS.COM PACE!)
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Just Knew
First up last start he had to come 3wide without cover off a farcical slow speed, pushed 4 wide at the bend and lost balance, but he was the one hitting the line the best late to run 4th only beaten 3 metres. Key to his chances will be if he can hold the leaders back and I think he can. With the likelihood to be plenty of pressure on he should be hitting the line very strong late. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd. Good thing beaten after being stuck 3 pegs. Collect $39
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Kotare Roland
He's been low flying without winning lately. Was extremely unlucky not to beat Smudge Bromac 2 starts ago after getting stuck 4 back the pegs. Then was again hitting the line strong for a very good 4th behind Exciteusinthecity. Back to claimers class and I think Geoff Webster will restrain from the draw to follow Inky Cullen everywhere it goes which I think will be 3 wide with cover. They find it very hard to hold him out late from there. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Had every possible chance.
$100WIN
Race 6 No 2 Goodtime Mike
Extremely unlucky when blocked for runs all the way down the straight when 4th behind Bettor Sweet. Finally gets a draw where he can lead and a massive plus to get Chris Alford onboard. Looks a massive chance at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! BOLTED IN.. Painless way to win money. Collect $270
MEETING RESULT: Won $59
Race 2 No 9 Just Knew
First up last start he had to come 3wide without cover off a farcical slow speed, pushed 4 wide at the bend and lost balance, but he was the one hitting the line the best late to run 4th only beaten 3 metres. Key to his chances will be if he can hold the leaders back and I think he can. With the likelihood to be plenty of pressure on he should be hitting the line very strong late. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd. Good thing beaten after being stuck 3 pegs. Collect $39
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Kotare Roland
He's been low flying without winning lately. Was extremely unlucky not to beat Smudge Bromac 2 starts ago after getting stuck 4 back the pegs. Then was again hitting the line strong for a very good 4th behind Exciteusinthecity. Back to claimers class and I think Geoff Webster will restrain from the draw to follow Inky Cullen everywhere it goes which I think will be 3 wide with cover. They find it very hard to hold him out late from there. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Had every possible chance.
$100WIN
Race 6 No 2 Goodtime Mike
Extremely unlucky when blocked for runs all the way down the straight when 4th behind Bettor Sweet. Finally gets a draw where he can lead and a massive plus to get Chris Alford onboard. Looks a massive chance at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! BOLTED IN.. Painless way to win money. Collect $270
MEETING RESULT: Won $59
Bendigo, Friday 15th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Ya Messin
Only had a handful of runs but has been good against class horses. Strikes a very winnable race first up after 3 strong trials, it's last a close 2nd to Chance The Mach who ran a very unlucky race at Warragul on Monday. Should get a good run from the draw and looks a solid ew bet at around $6
QUADDIE
$36 for 50%
4-8 / 1-2-5 / 5-7-11 / 1-3-8-9
Race 6 No 2 Ya Messin
Only had a handful of runs but has been good against class horses. Strikes a very winnable race first up after 3 strong trials, it's last a close 2nd to Chance The Mach who ran a very unlucky race at Warragul on Monday. Should get a good run from the draw and looks a solid ew bet at around $6
QUADDIE
$36 for 50%
4-8 / 1-2-5 / 5-7-11 / 1-3-8-9
Swan Hill, Thursday 14th August
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Courageous Emm
Returned to form 2 starts ago with a strong win from the back row and then not suited with they walked in front early and run home in 56 seconds giving those back in the field no chance. Has good gate speed and I expect her to lead and win here at around $2.20
RESULT: Winner! Did I say $2.20? I meant $1.20! Bugger me it was short. Collect $62.50
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Boom Boom Hall
People forget this fella qualified for last years Breeders Crown final. Got thrashed but still managed to qualify against some of the best 4yo's going around. Has had excuses of late but this is the weakest field he's faced in some time. Just need a good trail into it late to be a real chance at around $10
RESULT: 2nd. Started $4, big unders and probably had it's chance late off the back of a very fast speed. Collect $110.60
Race 2 No 2 Courageous Emm
Returned to form 2 starts ago with a strong win from the back row and then not suited with they walked in front early and run home in 56 seconds giving those back in the field no chance. Has good gate speed and I expect her to lead and win here at around $2.20
RESULT: Winner! Did I say $2.20? I meant $1.20! Bugger me it was short. Collect $62.50
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Boom Boom Hall
People forget this fella qualified for last years Breeders Crown final. Got thrashed but still managed to qualify against some of the best 4yo's going around. Has had excuses of late but this is the weakest field he's faced in some time. Just need a good trail into it late to be a real chance at around $10
RESULT: 2nd. Started $4, big unders and probably had it's chance late off the back of a very fast speed. Collect $110.60
Maryborough, Thursday 14th August
$100 QUINELLA
Race 5: 3 & 8
Asdenro leads and has the field cover apart from Claudys Princess. She couldn't have drawn worse but I expect Gavin Lang to get off the fence very early and I'd be surprised if that didn't fight out the finish
RESULT: WINNER! Hmmm, I think quinellas maybe off the menu on this site. I think the members scooped the pool! Collect $140 but it was painless.
$50WIN
Race 9 No 7 Blended Family
Gets back to a tough mark here at 30metres but he is flying. Belted a similar field from the 2ometre handicap last start and with the smaller field, looks very hard to beat again. Expect $3.5
RESULT: WINNER! $5.5 available early but closing price more like I thought it would be. Collect $160
DAY RESULT: Won $173.10.. didn't bloody include Blackbooker Miss Metro Glenn.. Wins at $3.50. I hope someone remembered..
Race 5: 3 & 8
Asdenro leads and has the field cover apart from Claudys Princess. She couldn't have drawn worse but I expect Gavin Lang to get off the fence very early and I'd be surprised if that didn't fight out the finish
RESULT: WINNER! Hmmm, I think quinellas maybe off the menu on this site. I think the members scooped the pool! Collect $140 but it was painless.
$50WIN
Race 9 No 7 Blended Family
Gets back to a tough mark here at 30metres but he is flying. Belted a similar field from the 2ometre handicap last start and with the smaller field, looks very hard to beat again. Expect $3.5
RESULT: WINNER! $5.5 available early but closing price more like I thought it would be. Collect $160
DAY RESULT: Won $173.10.. didn't bloody include Blackbooker Miss Metro Glenn.. Wins at $3.50. I hope someone remembered..
Echuca, Thursday 13th August
Not real keen to take part tonight so lets keep the bets to a minimum
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Linora Dawn
Forget it's last start when it pulled far too hard throughout over the longer distance. Should've won the previous start after only receiving a late split. Has good gate speed and these are pretty weak. Has only won 2 from 35 for a reason so keep the bet small. Expect $2.80
RESULT: WINNER! Led, ran them along at a farcical slow pace and just won, somehow. Never again but we take the cash! Collect $125
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Shut Eye
First up in Vic last start and was an OK run after drawing wide and running home ok late. Raced roughly late which didn't help it's cause. Gets the good draw here against some weak opposition. Chris Alford takes the reigns which is only a plus. Expect $10
RESULT: LOST! Showed bugger all early speed got stuck 3 pegs and never saw daylight. Going to struggle to win one with that type of early speed.
DAY RESULT: Won $159
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Linora Dawn
Forget it's last start when it pulled far too hard throughout over the longer distance. Should've won the previous start after only receiving a late split. Has good gate speed and these are pretty weak. Has only won 2 from 35 for a reason so keep the bet small. Expect $2.80
RESULT: WINNER! Led, ran them along at a farcical slow pace and just won, somehow. Never again but we take the cash! Collect $125
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Shut Eye
First up in Vic last start and was an OK run after drawing wide and running home ok late. Raced roughly late which didn't help it's cause. Gets the good draw here against some weak opposition. Chris Alford takes the reigns which is only a plus. Expect $10
RESULT: LOST! Showed bugger all early speed got stuck 3 pegs and never saw daylight. Going to struggle to win one with that type of early speed.
DAY RESULT: Won $159
Kilmore, Wednesday 13th August
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Frosty Union
Went to the line under double wraps when finished 7th only 10 metres from Arthur Henry, a horse I have a good opinion of. They ran 58.3 for the last half which was good going for that class. The problem that day was it showed no pace from the mobile from the same draw and ended up 4 back the pegs. Should be better for the experience of it's debut run and hoping for a little more aggression early on here. Whilst it'll be hard to beat the 11 still worth a go. Has been quoted at $100 on some early publications but there is no way possible it'll start those odds. Should be $20/$3.50
RESULT: LOST! Geez, it's got a fair bit to learn. Dropped the bit badly at the 600 but started to hit the line strong again over the last 100metres. Ordinary
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Missanger Management
Went ok last start when raced 4 back the pegs and had near to no hope of running on after they walked in the first half of the race behind Kiss Kenny. That horse has since won a heat of the Breeders Crown. This race looks very suitable with 4 leader/death seat horses off the front row, the speed should be on throughout. Has shown a liking for the Kilmore track in the past and looks a good ew bet at around $10
RESULT: WINNER! Always wanted to be on after they went nuts in front. Got the wobbles late but the lead was big enough to hold on.
Race 3 No 1 Frosty Union
Went to the line under double wraps when finished 7th only 10 metres from Arthur Henry, a horse I have a good opinion of. They ran 58.3 for the last half which was good going for that class. The problem that day was it showed no pace from the mobile from the same draw and ended up 4 back the pegs. Should be better for the experience of it's debut run and hoping for a little more aggression early on here. Whilst it'll be hard to beat the 11 still worth a go. Has been quoted at $100 on some early publications but there is no way possible it'll start those odds. Should be $20/$3.50
RESULT: LOST! Geez, it's got a fair bit to learn. Dropped the bit badly at the 600 but started to hit the line strong again over the last 100metres. Ordinary
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Missanger Management
Went ok last start when raced 4 back the pegs and had near to no hope of running on after they walked in the first half of the race behind Kiss Kenny. That horse has since won a heat of the Breeders Crown. This race looks very suitable with 4 leader/death seat horses off the front row, the speed should be on throughout. Has shown a liking for the Kilmore track in the past and looks a good ew bet at around $10
RESULT: WINNER! Always wanted to be on after they went nuts in front. Got the wobbles late but the lead was big enough to hold on.
Ararat, Tuesday 12th August
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Indiana Angel
Put up a good effort against what could be a very good 3yo. Key to her chances tonight is crossing those on her inside early and I think she can do that. She should be able to control the race from there and at around $3, she's good value.
RESULT: LOST! Got pestered by a longshot in front but was pretty weak late. Maybe a sit sprinter only but not to be backed at those odds again
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Xavier Jack
Really liked his run 3 starts ago when struggled to get a clear run down the straight and only beaten 4.5metres. That was against much better than he meets tonight. That run was followed by an OK run when raced in the death and weakened late but showed he's much better than that with a very close 2nd after leading last start. I think Kankkunen leads and there looks to be a whole heap of pace on throughout. Xaver Jack will be suited by that and looks mighty hard to hold out via the sprint lane. Expect $6
RESULT: WINNER!! Opened $13 on the tote. I hope some of you got that. Collect $476
$25 EXACTA Race 8
1st: 1 - Jeans Mattjesty
2nd: 2 - Jilliby Master
Bit of a throw at the stumps here but Jeans Mattjesty really gets every possible chance behind Jilliby Master, who backs up from a very impressive win. Should be a very good battle and for the safer punter, the quinella looks a moral.
RESULT: LOST! Wrong order.. Can't believe the 1 & 2 quinella paid $1.70,, Giving money away that is..
QUADDIE:
$30 for 500%
7-10-11 / 4 / 8 / 1-2
DAY RESULT: Won $271
Race 6 No 4 Indiana Angel
Put up a good effort against what could be a very good 3yo. Key to her chances tonight is crossing those on her inside early and I think she can do that. She should be able to control the race from there and at around $3, she's good value.
RESULT: LOST! Got pestered by a longshot in front but was pretty weak late. Maybe a sit sprinter only but not to be backed at those odds again
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Xavier Jack
Really liked his run 3 starts ago when struggled to get a clear run down the straight and only beaten 4.5metres. That was against much better than he meets tonight. That run was followed by an OK run when raced in the death and weakened late but showed he's much better than that with a very close 2nd after leading last start. I think Kankkunen leads and there looks to be a whole heap of pace on throughout. Xaver Jack will be suited by that and looks mighty hard to hold out via the sprint lane. Expect $6
RESULT: WINNER!! Opened $13 on the tote. I hope some of you got that. Collect $476
$25 EXACTA Race 8
1st: 1 - Jeans Mattjesty
2nd: 2 - Jilliby Master
Bit of a throw at the stumps here but Jeans Mattjesty really gets every possible chance behind Jilliby Master, who backs up from a very impressive win. Should be a very good battle and for the safer punter, the quinella looks a moral.
RESULT: LOST! Wrong order.. Can't believe the 1 & 2 quinella paid $1.70,, Giving money away that is..
QUADDIE:
$30 for 500%
7-10-11 / 4 / 8 / 1-2
DAY RESULT: Won $271
Warragul, Monday 11th August
$50WIN
Race 2 No 9 Chilled Desire
Debutant who has won 2 trials in just OK times however, beat Man In Arms who debuted impressively last week when running 2nd and beat Our Boy Jay who has a win under his belt and although well beaten, ran 3rd to 2 very classy NZ'ers Saturday night. These aren't superstar 2yo's he's racing today and if he runs up to his trial form should be winning. Get on the early odds, Vince Vallelonga horses are backed very well.
RESULT: 2nd. Another bloody close 2nd and beaten by a horse I tipped last time always hurts. Wasn't a bad run though and I'll be sticking with him
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Dodge The Bullet
Never got into the race from back in the field last start so Im prepared to forgive. It's form previous to the run was very good for a race such as this. Has good gate speed but I think he'll hand up to either the 2 or 6. Either way, massive chance to outsprint them late
RESULT: 2nd. Kept the lead and always looked a sitting shot for the fav but was only nabbed late.
DAY RESULT: Lost $75
Race 2 No 9 Chilled Desire
Debutant who has won 2 trials in just OK times however, beat Man In Arms who debuted impressively last week when running 2nd and beat Our Boy Jay who has a win under his belt and although well beaten, ran 3rd to 2 very classy NZ'ers Saturday night. These aren't superstar 2yo's he's racing today and if he runs up to his trial form should be winning. Get on the early odds, Vince Vallelonga horses are backed very well.
RESULT: 2nd. Another bloody close 2nd and beaten by a horse I tipped last time always hurts. Wasn't a bad run though and I'll be sticking with him
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Dodge The Bullet
Never got into the race from back in the field last start so Im prepared to forgive. It's form previous to the run was very good for a race such as this. Has good gate speed but I think he'll hand up to either the 2 or 6. Either way, massive chance to outsprint them late
RESULT: 2nd. Kept the lead and always looked a sitting shot for the fav but was only nabbed late.
DAY RESULT: Lost $75
Ballarat, Sunday 10th August
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Ynobe Coby
Is busting to win a race and finds a weak field here. Plenty of pace off the front row here which should provide a solid pace throughout. I think he's the one you want to be on late.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple but had it's chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Grand Attack
Put up a good effort to hold 4rd after leading last start from a wide draw. Should lead these again today and it looks a weaker field than it met last time out. Good ew value at $6
RESULT: 3rd. Started shorter than I thought it would. Didn't lead but had the perfect sit. Hit the lead at the top of the straight but went like a crab the last 50 metres. Weak horse. Collect $48
DAY RESULT: Lost $52.. Coulda, woulda, shoulda kinda day..
Race 7 No 9 Ynobe Coby
Is busting to win a race and finds a weak field here. Plenty of pace off the front row here which should provide a solid pace throughout. I think he's the one you want to be on late.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple but had it's chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Grand Attack
Put up a good effort to hold 4rd after leading last start from a wide draw. Should lead these again today and it looks a weaker field than it met last time out. Good ew value at $6
RESULT: 3rd. Started shorter than I thought it would. Didn't lead but had the perfect sit. Hit the lead at the top of the straight but went like a crab the last 50 metres. Weak horse. Collect $48
DAY RESULT: Lost $52.. Coulda, woulda, shoulda kinda day..
Bendigo, Saturday 9th August
$50WIN
Race 1 No 10 Show Heeza Classic
Forget last start. Nicely graded with the Junior driver. Expect $3.5
RESULT: 3rd. Went a little early junior I thought..
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Bit Of A Babe
Two starts this prep have been very good. Trialled impressively last week and looks the early leader. Loves the distance and is 1/1 at the track and distance. Looks a great chance to roll the favourite
RESULT: 3rd. Led and wasn't good enough
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Getyawingsout
Has been a little disappointing this prep but against much tougher opposition than it meets tonight. Leads and I'd be very surprised to see her get beat
RESULT: WINNER! Up to $2.50 on offer BET365. Opened $1.40 s-tab. Oh how I miss BET365. Collect $150
Race 1 No 10 Show Heeza Classic
Forget last start. Nicely graded with the Junior driver. Expect $3.5
RESULT: 3rd. Went a little early junior I thought..
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Bit Of A Babe
Two starts this prep have been very good. Trialled impressively last week and looks the early leader. Loves the distance and is 1/1 at the track and distance. Looks a great chance to roll the favourite
RESULT: 3rd. Led and wasn't good enough
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Getyawingsout
Has been a little disappointing this prep but against much tougher opposition than it meets tonight. Leads and I'd be very surprised to see her get beat
RESULT: WINNER! Up to $2.50 on offer BET365. Opened $1.40 s-tab. Oh how I miss BET365. Collect $150
Melton, Friday 9th August
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2. Yankee Showgirl
Thought she was fantastic through the Vicbred series before having to work 3wide without cover in a 57 second last half in the Tatlow. Gets her best draw to date and has plenty of gate speed. I really hope Gavin Lang doesn't hand up with her as I think she can hold these out and be too good. Expect $3
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Asoka
The speed maps say this fella ends up in front and from there looks mighty hard to beat. Had to work 3 wide without cover for the majority of the race but was still battling away at the finish. Ran a 56.5 second last half when racing in the death so if he can find the front here tonight it's hard seeing them run him down.
RESULT: WINNER! Led and that was that! Collect $175 but much more for early shoppers
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Road To Rock
Loved his 2nd to Remember Joe last start after being wide the last lap. Looks extremely well graded off the front row and has won it's only 1 stand start well after leading. We just need a clean getaway to be a very big chance at around $5
RESULT: WINNER! Pinged to the front and belted them. Collect $180
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 National Service
Thought he's first couple of runs were full of merit and I think I may have said this before and buggered it up. Usually comes to hand 3rd or 4th run from a spell. (Tipped him 3rd up and he won 4th up at odds) I think he's a massive chance of crossing these early and with the favourite drawn horribly and at around $20 happy to be on National Service
RESULT: LOST! Just a run...
QUADDIE
$45 for 25%
5-7-10 / 1-2-5-6-11 / 4-5-8-9 / 3-4-9
(Praying for Keayang Steamer to get rolled)
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Won $60
Race 2 No 2. Yankee Showgirl
Thought she was fantastic through the Vicbred series before having to work 3wide without cover in a 57 second last half in the Tatlow. Gets her best draw to date and has plenty of gate speed. I really hope Gavin Lang doesn't hand up with her as I think she can hold these out and be too good. Expect $3
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Asoka
The speed maps say this fella ends up in front and from there looks mighty hard to beat. Had to work 3 wide without cover for the majority of the race but was still battling away at the finish. Ran a 56.5 second last half when racing in the death so if he can find the front here tonight it's hard seeing them run him down.
RESULT: WINNER! Led and that was that! Collect $175 but much more for early shoppers
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Road To Rock
Loved his 2nd to Remember Joe last start after being wide the last lap. Looks extremely well graded off the front row and has won it's only 1 stand start well after leading. We just need a clean getaway to be a very big chance at around $5
RESULT: WINNER! Pinged to the front and belted them. Collect $180
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 National Service
Thought he's first couple of runs were full of merit and I think I may have said this before and buggered it up. Usually comes to hand 3rd or 4th run from a spell. (Tipped him 3rd up and he won 4th up at odds) I think he's a massive chance of crossing these early and with the favourite drawn horribly and at around $20 happy to be on National Service
RESULT: LOST! Just a run...
QUADDIE
$45 for 25%
5-7-10 / 1-2-5-6-11 / 4-5-8-9 / 3-4-9
(Praying for Keayang Steamer to get rolled)
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Won $60
MILDURA, Friday 8th August
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Indigo Smile
Has been racing without luck from some poor draws against much better horses. Got some weak horses underneath her today and I'd be surprised if she wasn't in front shortly after the start. Looks mighty hard to beat from the lead or even death @ around $4
RESULT: LOST! Started $1.7 and did bugger all
Race 8 No 5 Indigo Smile
Has been racing without luck from some poor draws against much better horses. Got some weak horses underneath her today and I'd be surprised if she wasn't in front shortly after the start. Looks mighty hard to beat from the lead or even death @ around $4
RESULT: LOST! Started $1.7 and did bugger all
Kilmore, Thursday 7th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Our Artistic Leigh
We'll be sweating on the 1 holding the lead here but still a chance from 3 pegs. Went super in the heat of the Breeders Crown beating home Spicy Stride, one of the likely favourites in this race. Just needs the right run late.
RESULT: 3rd and had every chance. Collect $54
QUADDIE
$64 for 50%
1-6-8-9 / 3-6-7-9 / 5-11 / 1-3-4-5
RESULT: Lost, missed the first leg with a Pogga favourite putting us out, Kiss Kenny.
DAY RESULT: Won $248.20 & we're back in front..
Race 5 No 8 Our Artistic Leigh
We'll be sweating on the 1 holding the lead here but still a chance from 3 pegs. Went super in the heat of the Breeders Crown beating home Spicy Stride, one of the likely favourites in this race. Just needs the right run late.
RESULT: 3rd and had every chance. Collect $54
QUADDIE
$64 for 50%
1-6-8-9 / 3-6-7-9 / 5-11 / 1-3-4-5
RESULT: Lost, missed the first leg with a Pogga favourite putting us out, Kiss Kenny.
DAY RESULT: Won $248.20 & we're back in front..
Cobram, Thursday 7th August
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Earth Angel
She's been running well from unsuitable draws/races. Back to gate 1, over the sprint trip, she is going to be mighty hard to beat in front around Cobram
RESULT: WINNER! In front? Ended up 3 pegs but still outsprinted them. Finally some luck. Collect $175
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Illawong Fantasia
Was a little disappointing for mine at Shepparton even if it was first up. The Cobram track is a different story though. He'll be in front shortly after the start and with No Tomorrow drawn poorly, I can't see him being rolled at around $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Good win after being pressured. Collect $160
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 5 Arthur Henry
Desperately unlucky last start and really should won from any other draw than gate 8. Pushes forward from this draw and even from the death is the one to beat. Ran Real Character to a head 2 starts back and there is no horse of that calibre in this race. Should be $5
RESULT: WINNER! $5? Must have been a few big multi's kicking around and was backed right into $2 early before a late ease. Very good win. Just hope punters adjusted to win only due to the odds. Collect $173.20
Race 4 No 1 Earth Angel
She's been running well from unsuitable draws/races. Back to gate 1, over the sprint trip, she is going to be mighty hard to beat in front around Cobram
RESULT: WINNER! In front? Ended up 3 pegs but still outsprinted them. Finally some luck. Collect $175
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Illawong Fantasia
Was a little disappointing for mine at Shepparton even if it was first up. The Cobram track is a different story though. He'll be in front shortly after the start and with No Tomorrow drawn poorly, I can't see him being rolled at around $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Good win after being pressured. Collect $160
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 5 Arthur Henry
Desperately unlucky last start and really should won from any other draw than gate 8. Pushes forward from this draw and even from the death is the one to beat. Ran Real Character to a head 2 starts back and there is no horse of that calibre in this race. Should be $5
RESULT: WINNER! $5? Must have been a few big multi's kicking around and was backed right into $2 early before a late ease. Very good win. Just hope punters adjusted to win only due to the odds. Collect $173.20
Geelong, Wednesday 6th August
$50WIN
Race 1 No 9 Exotic Native
A wee bit risky this punt. First up and has only won 2 from 24 but really should have a much better record. It's last prep it ran some seriously good races against Rocky Carrington, Earth Angel, Here And Now who have all worked through their classes nicely. Has trialled well for this first up tilt running 2nd to C8 assessed Hung Jury & 2nd to the smart Stunning Grin which suggests he's right to go. Follows through the early leader so should settle nice and close to the lead. Should be too good. Expect $3
RESULT: LOST! Ummmmm the less said about the drive the better. Moral beaten
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Francisco De Gore
Debuted with a fairly ordinary looking run on paper but certainly wasn't given any favours by the drive. Followed that with a super 2nd to Ominous Warning who beat it by a neck in a lightning quick 55 second last half. I would love to know what Francisco ran it's last quarter in considering it was 5 or more lengths off Ominous Warning at the turn. Going to need a little bit of luck but looks like it has a fair bit of talent. Happy to take the risk at double figure odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Good run after having to race 3wide without cover in the last lap but was way shorter than I thought it would be. Collect $38
$50WIN
Race 8 No 10 Cyclone Kate
Looked like giving Katie Perry a run for her money before breaking 2 starts ago but then made up for that with a good win in very quick time over the mile. Hasn't raced past a mile yet but isn't here in Oz for a holiday. Only has to run up to it's last win to beat these and Gareth Dixon has had plenty of success in Victoria before. No idea of what odds to expect here but I'm happy to take anything $2.5+
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them!! Opened $3.40 on sportsbet. Collect $125
DAY RESULT: Lost $16
Race 1 No 9 Exotic Native
A wee bit risky this punt. First up and has only won 2 from 24 but really should have a much better record. It's last prep it ran some seriously good races against Rocky Carrington, Earth Angel, Here And Now who have all worked through their classes nicely. Has trialled well for this first up tilt running 2nd to C8 assessed Hung Jury & 2nd to the smart Stunning Grin which suggests he's right to go. Follows through the early leader so should settle nice and close to the lead. Should be too good. Expect $3
RESULT: LOST! Ummmmm the less said about the drive the better. Moral beaten
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Francisco De Gore
Debuted with a fairly ordinary looking run on paper but certainly wasn't given any favours by the drive. Followed that with a super 2nd to Ominous Warning who beat it by a neck in a lightning quick 55 second last half. I would love to know what Francisco ran it's last quarter in considering it was 5 or more lengths off Ominous Warning at the turn. Going to need a little bit of luck but looks like it has a fair bit of talent. Happy to take the risk at double figure odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Good run after having to race 3wide without cover in the last lap but was way shorter than I thought it would be. Collect $38
$50WIN
Race 8 No 10 Cyclone Kate
Looked like giving Katie Perry a run for her money before breaking 2 starts ago but then made up for that with a good win in very quick time over the mile. Hasn't raced past a mile yet but isn't here in Oz for a holiday. Only has to run up to it's last win to beat these and Gareth Dixon has had plenty of success in Victoria before. No idea of what odds to expect here but I'm happy to take anything $2.5+
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them!! Opened $3.40 on sportsbet. Collect $125
DAY RESULT: Lost $16
Hamilton, Wednesday 6th August
$50WIN (Updated 10am: Changed from EW with the early scratching. NTD)
Race 1 No 3 Ruben Hall
Changed stables and trialled OK before a first up 4th behind Gozo Lighting and Miss Metro Glen. He was out very wide around the last behind, not the place to be at Cranbourne and the horses he finished behind are much better than what he meets today. Can lead but doesn't have to to win today. Only danger is Promising Edition for mine but it'll be unders from the wide draw. Hoping for $5-$6
RESULT: Lost! The less said about that the better
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Ultimate Dawn
Really liked has debut run at Cranbourne. Drew gate 7, had to restrain early and after the settled copped a fair old check and lost around 20metres. Had to come 4 & 5 wide around the last bend and finished off impressively. Certainly didn't lose ground on the smart Forest Verdi. Did look like it wanted to run the gate last week so I wouldn't be surprised if it got out well. This looks a little easier than what it met last start but always tread carefully in 2yo races. Tough to place a market in this race but should be around the $6-$8 mark
RESULT: 2nd but no match for the winner. Collect $51
Race 1 No 3 Ruben Hall
Changed stables and trialled OK before a first up 4th behind Gozo Lighting and Miss Metro Glen. He was out very wide around the last behind, not the place to be at Cranbourne and the horses he finished behind are much better than what he meets today. Can lead but doesn't have to to win today. Only danger is Promising Edition for mine but it'll be unders from the wide draw. Hoping for $5-$6
RESULT: Lost! The less said about that the better
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Ultimate Dawn
Really liked has debut run at Cranbourne. Drew gate 7, had to restrain early and after the settled copped a fair old check and lost around 20metres. Had to come 4 & 5 wide around the last bend and finished off impressively. Certainly didn't lose ground on the smart Forest Verdi. Did look like it wanted to run the gate last week so I wouldn't be surprised if it got out well. This looks a little easier than what it met last start but always tread carefully in 2yo races. Tough to place a market in this race but should be around the $6-$8 mark
RESULT: 2nd but no match for the winner. Collect $51
Cranbourne, Tuesday 5th August
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Macworthy
Looks a dead set certainty and I'm hoping the bad draw gets us a price here. Went super after doing plenty of work behind the smart Time Capsule. No Time Capsule here tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! No $2 around, Best was $1.75 BET365 but I'll take anything at the minute. Collect $160
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Terra Beau
He's back! One of my personal favourites who has been on a spell for over 6 months. Trialled ok for this first up tilt against very beatable opposition. If he's anywhere near right, goes very close at double figure odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Ohhhh how I love this horse. Won enough on it to own it. Super drive too I reckon. Didn't panick when challenged and got him to the outside in plenty of time. Knew he was on the better horse Darren! Collect $336
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Mister Clooney
I've been waiting for this fella to draw well against the suitable class of race and tonight gets that. Has enough gate speed to cross the 1 and with Chris Alford in the cart in a small field, I expect him to control the race in front
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't lead but had his chance in the sprint lane. Winner just had too much momentum
MEETING RESULT: Won $296. That's better.
Race 1 No 7 Macworthy
Looks a dead set certainty and I'm hoping the bad draw gets us a price here. Went super after doing plenty of work behind the smart Time Capsule. No Time Capsule here tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! No $2 around, Best was $1.75 BET365 but I'll take anything at the minute. Collect $160
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Terra Beau
He's back! One of my personal favourites who has been on a spell for over 6 months. Trialled ok for this first up tilt against very beatable opposition. If he's anywhere near right, goes very close at double figure odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Ohhhh how I love this horse. Won enough on it to own it. Super drive too I reckon. Didn't panick when challenged and got him to the outside in plenty of time. Knew he was on the better horse Darren! Collect $336
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Mister Clooney
I've been waiting for this fella to draw well against the suitable class of race and tonight gets that. Has enough gate speed to cross the 1 and with Chris Alford in the cart in a small field, I expect him to control the race in front
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't lead but had his chance in the sprint lane. Winner just had too much momentum
MEETING RESULT: Won $296. That's better.
Maryborough, Monday 4th August
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Su You Too
Absolutely outclassed last start behind HectorJayJay but I'm not convinced it's a 2000metre+ horse. Back to the mile which suits but the problem here is going to be the draw. Isn't overly quick out and I'd expect the 2 to cross which may put him 3 back the fence. Still worth a crack for mine as it ran 1:55 second mile rate at this track from that very position and in the small field 3 pegs isn't the worst place to be. Just needs a little luck to figure at around $15
RESULT: LOST! Luck? Needed divine intervention. Hope this isn't the story of the day!
$10WIN/$90PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Asdenro
Was huge in the Group 1 Vic Derby last start after being attacked in front when finishing 4th. Going to find it hard to beat the 2 favs but looks like following the leader here and at $21/$3 I'm happy to be on.
UPDATE: No I'm not the racing trader at BET365. Opened $21/$3. Into $8/$1.53. No value there
RESULT: 3rd. Never a winning chance but was always placing. I hope someone got the $3. Collect $135
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Mosquito Zephyr
Ummmed and ahhhed about putting this bloke in because of the current negative balance but this is the way I punt and he's on the website! Has a quick turn of foot and I've seriously been waiting a couple of years for him to draw well over the sprint distance. Last time he was able to he lead and was outclassed behind Jewel Castle, and fair enough, that horse would be loonngg odds on fav here. His recent form looks plain but had an excuse last start after being 3 wide the last lap and a half without cover but his first up start was OK at Echuca. Should be in front soon after the start here and whether he hands up to Rate Highly or not, he runs his best races on the speed over the sprint trip. Worth a go at what should be odds of around $40. I just hope he doesn't run like one.
UPDATE: Opened $26 which I thought was unders. Into $16!
RESULT: LAST! Couldn't cross early and was never a chance from there and looks likely to never be a hance again on that effort. Sorry punters
DAY RESULT: Lost $15 if you punted on s-tab. Profit for the smarter punter who got the better odds Asdenro
Race 2 No 1 Su You Too
Absolutely outclassed last start behind HectorJayJay but I'm not convinced it's a 2000metre+ horse. Back to the mile which suits but the problem here is going to be the draw. Isn't overly quick out and I'd expect the 2 to cross which may put him 3 back the fence. Still worth a crack for mine as it ran 1:55 second mile rate at this track from that very position and in the small field 3 pegs isn't the worst place to be. Just needs a little luck to figure at around $15
RESULT: LOST! Luck? Needed divine intervention. Hope this isn't the story of the day!
$10WIN/$90PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Asdenro
Was huge in the Group 1 Vic Derby last start after being attacked in front when finishing 4th. Going to find it hard to beat the 2 favs but looks like following the leader here and at $21/$3 I'm happy to be on.
UPDATE: No I'm not the racing trader at BET365. Opened $21/$3. Into $8/$1.53. No value there
RESULT: 3rd. Never a winning chance but was always placing. I hope someone got the $3. Collect $135
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Mosquito Zephyr
Ummmed and ahhhed about putting this bloke in because of the current negative balance but this is the way I punt and he's on the website! Has a quick turn of foot and I've seriously been waiting a couple of years for him to draw well over the sprint distance. Last time he was able to he lead and was outclassed behind Jewel Castle, and fair enough, that horse would be loonngg odds on fav here. His recent form looks plain but had an excuse last start after being 3 wide the last lap and a half without cover but his first up start was OK at Echuca. Should be in front soon after the start here and whether he hands up to Rate Highly or not, he runs his best races on the speed over the sprint trip. Worth a go at what should be odds of around $40. I just hope he doesn't run like one.
UPDATE: Opened $26 which I thought was unders. Into $16!
RESULT: LAST! Couldn't cross early and was never a chance from there and looks likely to never be a hance again on that effort. Sorry punters
DAY RESULT: Lost $15 if you punted on s-tab. Profit for the smarter punter who got the better odds Asdenro
Shepparton, Sunday 3rd August
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Dobop
Not suited from the back row last start. Gets the gun draw and the small field suits. Should be winning this at around $2
RESULT: 4th. Gee that was weak
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Indiana Angel
Certainty beaten last start after being badly held up. Gets the perfect draw tonight and probably looks the best value bet on the card.
RESULT: 2nd. Ran into a smart one. Backed from $4.20 into $1.50 on s-tab so the punters were onto it.. Collect $139.42
MEETING RESULT: Lost $60.58
Race 5 No 1 Dobop
Not suited from the back row last start. Gets the gun draw and the small field suits. Should be winning this at around $2
RESULT: 4th. Gee that was weak
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Indiana Angel
Certainty beaten last start after being badly held up. Gets the perfect draw tonight and probably looks the best value bet on the card.
RESULT: 2nd. Ran into a smart one. Backed from $4.20 into $1.50 on s-tab so the punters were onto it.. Collect $139.42
MEETING RESULT: Lost $60.58
Melton, Saturday 2nd August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Dodge The Bullet
Solid win off a great drive from the inform Jodi Quinlan last start. After settled well back took off from home a long way out and caught them napping, managing to hold off Amazing Kano late. The was well deserved after some super runs behind the likes of HectorJayJay, Garabaldi and Almost El Eagle. Going to receive some very good pace in this race and he'll just need the right cart into the race to figure. Currently $20 on Sportsbet, overs in my opinion
RESULT: LOST! Never got into it
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Whata Avenue
Weird horse who hits slow patches in her races which has cost her a few wins in her career. Similar thing happened last start when looked gone before the turn but hit the line hard to run 3rd over the sprint trip behind Tandias Bromac. Should settle in the top 6 here and likely to follow Eye Like Candy. If that scenario plays out, the $21 looks very sweet indeed.
RESULT: LOST! The less said the better
.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Beauty Secret
There is no unluckier mare going around than her over the past 2 months. Should've won her heat with even luck but was driven for luck, the start previous was only beaten 3 metres after death seating over the sprint trip in 1:54 which isn't her go and first up she was a very unlucky 4th behind Frith. The draw isn't ideal, but this type of final guarantees a strong speed, especially with a few death seat horses in the race. I do hope they restrain from the wide draw early to take advantage of that good speed. She should be cherry ripe and is my best EW of the night. Currently $9 on Sportsbet which I think is overs.
RESULT: LOST! A 56 second last half had her done.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Palais Du Louvre
Wasn't disgraced behind Keayang Cullen and Restrepo last start. We were on the previous start when I still think he won after sitting behind the leader but did have his chance to nab the winner. It's been 2 years since it's last win (did have a 12 month spell) but tonight gets every opportunity against the weakest field it's met in a while. Follows Classy Western's every move here too which isn't a disadvantage. Pay us back Palais! Curently $5.5 Sportsbet, we should be getting better
RESULT: 2nd Another good run. Collect $138
MEETING RESULT: Lift Pogga lift. Not even close tonight. Lost $162
Race 2 No 10 Dodge The Bullet
Solid win off a great drive from the inform Jodi Quinlan last start. After settled well back took off from home a long way out and caught them napping, managing to hold off Amazing Kano late. The was well deserved after some super runs behind the likes of HectorJayJay, Garabaldi and Almost El Eagle. Going to receive some very good pace in this race and he'll just need the right cart into the race to figure. Currently $20 on Sportsbet, overs in my opinion
RESULT: LOST! Never got into it
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Whata Avenue
Weird horse who hits slow patches in her races which has cost her a few wins in her career. Similar thing happened last start when looked gone before the turn but hit the line hard to run 3rd over the sprint trip behind Tandias Bromac. Should settle in the top 6 here and likely to follow Eye Like Candy. If that scenario plays out, the $21 looks very sweet indeed.
RESULT: LOST! The less said the better
.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Beauty Secret
There is no unluckier mare going around than her over the past 2 months. Should've won her heat with even luck but was driven for luck, the start previous was only beaten 3 metres after death seating over the sprint trip in 1:54 which isn't her go and first up she was a very unlucky 4th behind Frith. The draw isn't ideal, but this type of final guarantees a strong speed, especially with a few death seat horses in the race. I do hope they restrain from the wide draw early to take advantage of that good speed. She should be cherry ripe and is my best EW of the night. Currently $9 on Sportsbet which I think is overs.
RESULT: LOST! A 56 second last half had her done.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Palais Du Louvre
Wasn't disgraced behind Keayang Cullen and Restrepo last start. We were on the previous start when I still think he won after sitting behind the leader but did have his chance to nab the winner. It's been 2 years since it's last win (did have a 12 month spell) but tonight gets every opportunity against the weakest field it's met in a while. Follows Classy Western's every move here too which isn't a disadvantage. Pay us back Palais! Curently $5.5 Sportsbet, we should be getting better
RESULT: 2nd Another good run. Collect $138
MEETING RESULT: Lift Pogga lift. Not even close tonight. Lost $162
Ballarat, Friday 1st August
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 6 All The Cards
Had 2 starts since a 2 year break and both runs have been full of merit. Put the writing on the wall with a strong 2nd after death seating only beaten 4 metres in a 57 second last half. Probably likely to get the 1x1 sit here and 3rd up from a spell, looks ready. I marked him $5/$1.75
RESULT: LOST! Stuck wide early and not really sure why they went back and not forward from there. Never a chance 3 wide the trip!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Desdon Murruffy
Put up a huge effort when running 2nd to the smart Baccarat by a lip last start. Meets a bunch of out of form horses here and can lead or death seat and win. Looks well suited at around $6
RESULT: WINNER! The get out stakes provides but not enough to rescue a deficit for the day. Collect $140
DAY RESULT: Not the best start to the month. Lost $160
Race 2 No 6 All The Cards
Had 2 starts since a 2 year break and both runs have been full of merit. Put the writing on the wall with a strong 2nd after death seating only beaten 4 metres in a 57 second last half. Probably likely to get the 1x1 sit here and 3rd up from a spell, looks ready. I marked him $5/$1.75
RESULT: LOST! Stuck wide early and not really sure why they went back and not forward from there. Never a chance 3 wide the trip!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Desdon Murruffy
Put up a huge effort when running 2nd to the smart Baccarat by a lip last start. Meets a bunch of out of form horses here and can lead or death seat and win. Looks well suited at around $6
RESULT: WINNER! The get out stakes provides but not enough to rescue a deficit for the day. Collect $140
DAY RESULT: Not the best start to the month. Lost $160
Mildura, Friday 1st August
$100WIN
Race 6 No 3 Superstar Xpress
Its D-Day for this horse. It's last win was just under 2 years ago in C6 or better class. Today, C2 only over it's preferred sprint trip. His past 3 have been outstanding against strong and today should be leading without too much fuss. Not sure how he gets beaten with my only concern being the 2 Shayne Cramp runners in the race. Expect $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Backed for a stack and I got over confident when I saw the $4.40. Started $1.70 but was outsprinted. Every chance
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Woodlea Cosmos
Has come back to racing extremely well. Even though beaten 18 metres by the smart Hargrave last start, he did it tough in the breeze and for a sit sprinter, to finish that close was a great effort. Its going to be very hard to beat Intransit (who'll start close to $1.10) but the extra distance and the back row draw throws up a few questions. I know Woodlea enjoys the extra trip and if they do go too quickly in the first half, I'm happy to have my money on Woodlea. I marked him $20/$3.50
RESULT: 4th but never really a chance. Disappointing and Mildura gets me again.
Race 6 No 3 Superstar Xpress
Its D-Day for this horse. It's last win was just under 2 years ago in C6 or better class. Today, C2 only over it's preferred sprint trip. His past 3 have been outstanding against strong and today should be leading without too much fuss. Not sure how he gets beaten with my only concern being the 2 Shayne Cramp runners in the race. Expect $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Backed for a stack and I got over confident when I saw the $4.40. Started $1.70 but was outsprinted. Every chance
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Woodlea Cosmos
Has come back to racing extremely well. Even though beaten 18 metres by the smart Hargrave last start, he did it tough in the breeze and for a sit sprinter, to finish that close was a great effort. Its going to be very hard to beat Intransit (who'll start close to $1.10) but the extra distance and the back row draw throws up a few questions. I know Woodlea enjoys the extra trip and if they do go too quickly in the first half, I'm happy to have my money on Woodlea. I marked him $20/$3.50
RESULT: 4th but never really a chance. Disappointing and Mildura gets me again.
Bendigo, THursday 31st July
$50WIN
Race 2 No 5 I Am Louie
Thought he went super in the death finishing 6th to the likes of Gian and Master Mach Manus at Charlton last start. Today he has some great speed inside of him but whoever leads early, will hand up. I think that'll be to I Am Louie and he'll be mighty hard to beat from there at around the $3 quote
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't lead but it didn't matter. Collect $150
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Countdown
Had to work hard for the win last start but it was against older horses and got the job down against the pattern of racing for the day. Previous to that start had been running bloody well against the cream of the crop. If you go back to his run from the 7th of June when 2nd to Diamond Ace, it's in this race up to its ears. Looks to be a good pace set here and if the leader does cop too much, I'm very happy to be on Countdown. Reckon we should be getting around $10 too.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance, the fav was too good. Collect $66
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Amazing Kano
Has had it's chances of late but draws favourably here against a field of out of form horses. Thought he went super after pulling very hard throughout and just missing the prize last start. The Amazing Kano of 3/4 years ago was a leader horse only with no versatility so drawing the 1 should be a huge advantage. Worth a crack at around the $4
RESULT: 2nd.. beaten a nose. Hates winning.
QUADDIE
$48 for 100%
1-8 / 1-5-6-8-10-11 / 1-7-8-9 / 2
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: LOST $34. So close to ending up in profit for the month but it wasn't to be
Race 2 No 5 I Am Louie
Thought he went super in the death finishing 6th to the likes of Gian and Master Mach Manus at Charlton last start. Today he has some great speed inside of him but whoever leads early, will hand up. I think that'll be to I Am Louie and he'll be mighty hard to beat from there at around the $3 quote
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't lead but it didn't matter. Collect $150
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Countdown
Had to work hard for the win last start but it was against older horses and got the job down against the pattern of racing for the day. Previous to that start had been running bloody well against the cream of the crop. If you go back to his run from the 7th of June when 2nd to Diamond Ace, it's in this race up to its ears. Looks to be a good pace set here and if the leader does cop too much, I'm very happy to be on Countdown. Reckon we should be getting around $10 too.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance, the fav was too good. Collect $66
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Amazing Kano
Has had it's chances of late but draws favourably here against a field of out of form horses. Thought he went super after pulling very hard throughout and just missing the prize last start. The Amazing Kano of 3/4 years ago was a leader horse only with no versatility so drawing the 1 should be a huge advantage. Worth a crack at around the $4
RESULT: 2nd.. beaten a nose. Hates winning.
QUADDIE
$48 for 100%
1-8 / 1-5-6-8-10-11 / 1-7-8-9 / 2
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: LOST $34. So close to ending up in profit for the month but it wasn't to be
Melton, Thursday 31st July
$50PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Lombo Krista Bella
Ran the race of her life last start. After being caught 3 wide early and copping a decent check, dragged back to last. She took all the shortcuts to just miss 3rd behind Nicki's Delight who is low flying. She can't beat Upanatom for mine but is going better than the rest and with there only being 2 place dividends, take tote odds to hopefully get $2.50ish. (Or take the quinella)
RESULT: 3rd.. Not the best drive you'll ever see.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Jeans Mattjesty
Never got a crack at them 2 starts back when 4 back the pegs then last start was 3 wide the majority of the trip when held on well for 3rd. Today I think Blue Seelster is a huge chance of leading early and that will gives Jeans the behind the leader trail into the race. With Lance Justice likely to pour on the pressure throughout if he can't lead, Jeans is a huge chance. Even if caught 3 back the pegs, I'm happy to be on EW. Should be around $6
RESULT: 2nd. Good thin beaten after ending up 4 pegs. Collect $48
Race 1 No 1 Lombo Krista Bella
Ran the race of her life last start. After being caught 3 wide early and copping a decent check, dragged back to last. She took all the shortcuts to just miss 3rd behind Nicki's Delight who is low flying. She can't beat Upanatom for mine but is going better than the rest and with there only being 2 place dividends, take tote odds to hopefully get $2.50ish. (Or take the quinella)
RESULT: 3rd.. Not the best drive you'll ever see.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Jeans Mattjesty
Never got a crack at them 2 starts back when 4 back the pegs then last start was 3 wide the majority of the trip when held on well for 3rd. Today I think Blue Seelster is a huge chance of leading early and that will gives Jeans the behind the leader trail into the race. With Lance Justice likely to pour on the pressure throughout if he can't lead, Jeans is a huge chance. Even if caught 3 back the pegs, I'm happy to be on EW. Should be around $6
RESULT: 2nd. Good thin beaten after ending up 4 pegs. Collect $48
Kilmore Wednesday 30th July
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Five Star Belle
Looks the leader and winner here. The 8 for mine the only danger after it did beat Five Star Belle by 15metres but one had the cozy 3 pegs run, the other a chequered run to the line and suggest finished much closer. The draw sees Five Star in front of it's main rival, and with the rest making up the numbers, I can't see how the 8 will out sprint the 1. We should be getting better than $2
RESULT: WINNER! Never looked like losing. Collect $220
$100QUINELLA
Race 1: 1 & 8
As noted above, they look the only 2 in the race but the only reason I can see this going pear shaped is if the 1 is crossed early but it's highly unlikely.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $170
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 Vikenti
Hit the line OK last start after being 4 back the pegs, running 5th as favourite after over a month off. Never really looked comfortable in the run and I think he'll be much sharper here tonight. I expect Daryl Douglas to push forward from the draw and I wouldn't be surprised if he were in front not long after the start. Should be getting close to $4 here.
RESULT: WINNER! $3 was the best price going around but I'm not complaining picking winners finally. Collect $140
QUADDIE
$40 for 500%
4-6 / 4-7 / 2-7 / 7
RESULT: WINNER! Bugger me, I actually got a quaddie that we collect more than we outlay. Collect $89
MEETING RESULT: Finally a good night out. Won $329 for a total profit for the day of $184
Race 1 No 1 Five Star Belle
Looks the leader and winner here. The 8 for mine the only danger after it did beat Five Star Belle by 15metres but one had the cozy 3 pegs run, the other a chequered run to the line and suggest finished much closer. The draw sees Five Star in front of it's main rival, and with the rest making up the numbers, I can't see how the 8 will out sprint the 1. We should be getting better than $2
RESULT: WINNER! Never looked like losing. Collect $220
$100QUINELLA
Race 1: 1 & 8
As noted above, they look the only 2 in the race but the only reason I can see this going pear shaped is if the 1 is crossed early but it's highly unlikely.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $170
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 Vikenti
Hit the line OK last start after being 4 back the pegs, running 5th as favourite after over a month off. Never really looked comfortable in the run and I think he'll be much sharper here tonight. I expect Daryl Douglas to push forward from the draw and I wouldn't be surprised if he were in front not long after the start. Should be getting close to $4 here.
RESULT: WINNER! $3 was the best price going around but I'm not complaining picking winners finally. Collect $140
QUADDIE
$40 for 500%
4-6 / 4-7 / 2-7 / 7
RESULT: WINNER! Bugger me, I actually got a quaddie that we collect more than we outlay. Collect $89
MEETING RESULT: Finally a good night out. Won $329 for a total profit for the day of $184
Charlton, Wednesday 3oth July
$50WIN
Race 1 No 5 Allwevneed
Stiff last start but probably still should've finished closer after copping a couple of checks. Beat a similar field of claimers with ease a few weeks back and looks to have these covered. Should be getting $2.50 here
UPDATE: Opened $1.75 on BET365. I wouldn't be taking odds on figures
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 4 One Knight Stand
Extraordinary first up run albeit against a lot weaker than what it meets today. Started badly from the 2nd row, scooted up the fence, couldn't find a way clear until it was too late. Michael Bellman on today it what has swayed me and I'm happy to be on EW. Should be getting better than $10
UPDATE: Opened $8 on BET365. Again I think we get better closer to race time. Change of tactics from Artista Lombo to hold the lead if possible is a plus for us, especially if we can cross the 1 early. Will give us every opportunity via the sprint lane
RESULT: 5th. Looked the winner before the turn but did nothing.
QUADDIE
$45 for 50%
1-3-6-7-9 / 4-5-8 / 7 / 1-3-7-10-11-12
RESULT: LOST
MEETING RESULT: Donuts. Lost $145
Race 1 No 5 Allwevneed
Stiff last start but probably still should've finished closer after copping a couple of checks. Beat a similar field of claimers with ease a few weeks back and looks to have these covered. Should be getting $2.50 here
UPDATE: Opened $1.75 on BET365. I wouldn't be taking odds on figures
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 4 One Knight Stand
Extraordinary first up run albeit against a lot weaker than what it meets today. Started badly from the 2nd row, scooted up the fence, couldn't find a way clear until it was too late. Michael Bellman on today it what has swayed me and I'm happy to be on EW. Should be getting better than $10
UPDATE: Opened $8 on BET365. Again I think we get better closer to race time. Change of tactics from Artista Lombo to hold the lead if possible is a plus for us, especially if we can cross the 1 early. Will give us every opportunity via the sprint lane
RESULT: 5th. Looked the winner before the turn but did nothing.
QUADDIE
$45 for 50%
1-3-6-7-9 / 4-5-8 / 7 / 1-3-7-10-11-12
RESULT: LOST
MEETING RESULT: Donuts. Lost $145
Shepparton, Tuesday 29th July
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Show Me The Bling
RESULT: WINNER! Too good. Collect $220
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Glenferrie Boss
First up, good trial when 2nd to Ricimer. Distance suits and there should be speed on throughout. Will be hammering home late
RESULT: AWFUL. Hung, raced roughly and finished a long last
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Every One Knows
Loved its last run, only beaten a few metres behind Countdown who would start odds on in this. Going to need luck as it'll end up 3 back the pegs but looks to be a whole heap of speed in this race and if the run presents at the right time, right in this at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Got out too late
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
Race 5 No 6 Show Me The Bling
RESULT: WINNER! Too good. Collect $220
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Glenferrie Boss
First up, good trial when 2nd to Ricimer. Distance suits and there should be speed on throughout. Will be hammering home late
RESULT: AWFUL. Hung, raced roughly and finished a long last
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Every One Knows
Loved its last run, only beaten a few metres behind Countdown who would start odds on in this. Going to need luck as it'll end up 3 back the pegs but looks to be a whole heap of speed in this race and if the run presents at the right time, right in this at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Got out too late
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
Stawell, Monday 28th July
$100 WIN MULTI
Race 1 No 6 Usage
Race 5 No 6 Keayang Storm
RESULT: LOST!
Race 1 No 6 Usage
Race 5 No 6 Keayang Storm
RESULT: LOST!
Cranbourne, Sunday 27th July
$100WIN
Race 3 No 8 Gozo Lighting
RESULT: Winner! Opened $2 and got smashed. Collect $150
QUADDIE
$30 for 200%
8/2/2-6-7/1-3-4-5-7
RESULT: Collect $15.60
MEETING RESULT: Won $35.60
Race 3 No 8 Gozo Lighting
RESULT: Winner! Opened $2 and got smashed. Collect $150
QUADDIE
$30 for 200%
8/2/2-6-7/1-3-4-5-7
RESULT: Collect $15.60
MEETING RESULT: Won $35.60
Ballarat, Saturday 26th July
$100WIN
Race 3 No 3 Luvumum
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Nonno Medoro
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $48
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Soho Tokoyo
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $125
MEETING RESULT: Lost $77
Race 3 No 3 Luvumum
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Nonno Medoro
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $48
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Soho Tokoyo
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $125
MEETING RESULT: Lost $77
Melton, Friday 25th July
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Here and Now
Forget last week, should lead tonight
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $165
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 The Majority
Nice step down in class. Good time Mike in the race should guarantee pace if Justice doesn't hand up. The Majority should follow into the race nicely, although small betting here as punting on back row horses at Melton over the 1720metres is tough going
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $204
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 no 6 Asoka
Absolutely flying. Should settle close to the lead and looks the each way bet of the night
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $108
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Our Femme Fatale
Leads and at $3.25, looks fantastic value. Tandias Bromac the biggest danger
RESULT: CAT! Tandias Bromac far too good.
MEETING RESULT: Won $177
Race 3 No 2 Here and Now
Forget last week, should lead tonight
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $165
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 The Majority
Nice step down in class. Good time Mike in the race should guarantee pace if Justice doesn't hand up. The Majority should follow into the race nicely, although small betting here as punting on back row horses at Melton over the 1720metres is tough going
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $204
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 no 6 Asoka
Absolutely flying. Should settle close to the lead and looks the each way bet of the night
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $108
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Our Femme Fatale
Leads and at $3.25, looks fantastic value. Tandias Bromac the biggest danger
RESULT: CAT! Tandias Bromac far too good.
MEETING RESULT: Won $177
Mildura, Friday 25th July
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Our Walden Bury
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 George's Lad
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Race 4 No 6 Our Walden Bury
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 George's Lad
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Kilmore, Thursday 24th July
$50WIN
Race 8 No 8 KENSINGTON PALACE (Poggaprice $4)
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Won $110
Race 8 No 8 KENSINGTON PALACE (Poggaprice $4)
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Won $110
charlton, Thursday 24th July
$100WIN
Race 6 No 4 Beachstar (Poggaprice $3)
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $260
Race 6 No 4 Beachstar (Poggaprice $3)
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $260
Echuca, Wednesday 23rd July
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Black Jasmin
RESULT: Lost!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Miss McManus
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Won $142
Race 1 No 1 Black Jasmin
RESULT: Lost!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Miss McManus
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Won $142
Melton, Wednesday 23rd July
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Arts Professor
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $392
Race 1 No 2 Arts Professor
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $392
Terang, Tuesday 22nd July
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Volatile Girl
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Classy Guy
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
Race 6 No 1 Volatile Girl
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Classy Guy
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
Warragul, Monday 21st July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Celestial Safari
RESULT: LOST!
Race 5 No 8 Celestial Safari
RESULT: LOST!
Mildura, Sunday 20th July
$100ALL UP
WIN Race 1 No 5 Vivant
PLACE Race 4 No 1 Superstar Xpress
RESULT: Won $66
WIN Race 1 No 5 Vivant
PLACE Race 4 No 1 Superstar Xpress
RESULT: Won $66
Maryborough, Sunday 20th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Rostevarren
RESULT: 4th
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Stoned I Am
RESULT: 3rd. NTD!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Race 6 No 9 Rostevarren
RESULT: 4th
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Stoned I Am
RESULT: 3rd. NTD!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Melton, Saturday 19th July
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Palais Du Louvre
Best EW bet on the card for mine. Huge 2nd from this gate behind Cold Major in May at the track and distance. They ran 1:53 for the mile in M2-4. This is M1-2 and non of these horse can run that time. His runs since have also been very good so has held the form well. $6 available Sportsbet but might be better on offer.
RESULT: 2nd. $102 collect
$100WIN
Race 3 No 7 Allies Mate
Bat the very talented Kept Under Wraps at it's debut and then treated the horses in the heat of this race with distain running away an easy winner in a 27 last quarter. Impressive considering he did that from the death. Get on whilst black odds are still available
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Show Me The Bling
Thought he was the best run in the race in the group 1 Vicbred. Had to work very hard early and kept coming at the winner late but the hard run made it too tough. With the Long odds on favourite never racing past 1609metres and having a tendency to do things wrong, I'm happy to take on the risk.. Gate 8 is awkward but Nathan Jack negates that. I'm happy to be on EW at around $8.
RESULT: 4th
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Maid For You Lombo.
Another that was an eye catcher in the group 1 Vicbred although it could be a trap as they only ran home in 60 seconds but in their defence, was a bloody strong head wind that night. Got caught wide early from 5 on the back row before being restrained out to last. Weaved her way through for a fast finishing 7th. Likely to start from gate 2 if the emergency is scratched and with the 2 a bit scratchy from the gate she may find herself in front early and eventually taking a sit. Currently at $35 on BET365 seems real value
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Wartime Sweetheart
Very unlucky not to finish 2nd behind Keayang Cullen over the sprint trip last start when never got out. May find itself in front not long after the start here and is likely to take a trail on Cold Major if that's the case. With their main dangers going to have to do it tough from the back row draw, he's a great ew chance at the $16 on offer at BET365.
RESULT: 3rd. $99 Collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Crusader Acey
Was the run of the race in it's heat. Almost El Eagle walked them early whilst Crusader sat last. They ran home in 56 seconds for the last half and Crusader Acey was still taking ground off the winner late after being 3 wide without cover for the last lap. Has a great turn of foot, Mark Purdon the magician is onboard, and just needs an ounce of luck from the draw to figure. $16 BET365
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 8 Catch A Breath
Not sure Gavin was trying too hard first up but worth noting it and Our White Knight (2nd fav here) went over the line together. 2nd up he went OK against FFA class and personally ran good times for the sprint. He's a much better horse over this distance and you just get the feeling Gavin will be tired a wee bit harder 3rd up here. $10 available Sportsbet
RESULT: CAT!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 10 No 5 Here And Now
Shouldve beaten McRita in the final of the Vicbred last start. Sat 3 pegs & McRita behind the leader. Was gobbling up the ground late until McRita shifted out, checked Here And Now, causing t to gallop. Still not sure how the minor protest was not upheld. Beat Earth Angel over this distance on her merits and is likely to get a nice sit on it's back here tonight. I'm staggered $9 is available.. Might have something to do with the driver
RESULT: 4th
MEETING RESULT: Lost $299. One pinch of luck away from a profit.
Race 1 No 1 Palais Du Louvre
Best EW bet on the card for mine. Huge 2nd from this gate behind Cold Major in May at the track and distance. They ran 1:53 for the mile in M2-4. This is M1-2 and non of these horse can run that time. His runs since have also been very good so has held the form well. $6 available Sportsbet but might be better on offer.
RESULT: 2nd. $102 collect
$100WIN
Race 3 No 7 Allies Mate
Bat the very talented Kept Under Wraps at it's debut and then treated the horses in the heat of this race with distain running away an easy winner in a 27 last quarter. Impressive considering he did that from the death. Get on whilst black odds are still available
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Show Me The Bling
Thought he was the best run in the race in the group 1 Vicbred. Had to work very hard early and kept coming at the winner late but the hard run made it too tough. With the Long odds on favourite never racing past 1609metres and having a tendency to do things wrong, I'm happy to take on the risk.. Gate 8 is awkward but Nathan Jack negates that. I'm happy to be on EW at around $8.
RESULT: 4th
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Maid For You Lombo.
Another that was an eye catcher in the group 1 Vicbred although it could be a trap as they only ran home in 60 seconds but in their defence, was a bloody strong head wind that night. Got caught wide early from 5 on the back row before being restrained out to last. Weaved her way through for a fast finishing 7th. Likely to start from gate 2 if the emergency is scratched and with the 2 a bit scratchy from the gate she may find herself in front early and eventually taking a sit. Currently at $35 on BET365 seems real value
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Wartime Sweetheart
Very unlucky not to finish 2nd behind Keayang Cullen over the sprint trip last start when never got out. May find itself in front not long after the start here and is likely to take a trail on Cold Major if that's the case. With their main dangers going to have to do it tough from the back row draw, he's a great ew chance at the $16 on offer at BET365.
RESULT: 3rd. $99 Collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Crusader Acey
Was the run of the race in it's heat. Almost El Eagle walked them early whilst Crusader sat last. They ran home in 56 seconds for the last half and Crusader Acey was still taking ground off the winner late after being 3 wide without cover for the last lap. Has a great turn of foot, Mark Purdon the magician is onboard, and just needs an ounce of luck from the draw to figure. $16 BET365
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 8 Catch A Breath
Not sure Gavin was trying too hard first up but worth noting it and Our White Knight (2nd fav here) went over the line together. 2nd up he went OK against FFA class and personally ran good times for the sprint. He's a much better horse over this distance and you just get the feeling Gavin will be tired a wee bit harder 3rd up here. $10 available Sportsbet
RESULT: CAT!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 10 No 5 Here And Now
Shouldve beaten McRita in the final of the Vicbred last start. Sat 3 pegs & McRita behind the leader. Was gobbling up the ground late until McRita shifted out, checked Here And Now, causing t to gallop. Still not sure how the minor protest was not upheld. Beat Earth Angel over this distance on her merits and is likely to get a nice sit on it's back here tonight. I'm staggered $9 is available.. Might have something to do with the driver
RESULT: 4th
MEETING RESULT: Lost $299. One pinch of luck away from a profit.
BENDIGO, Friday 18th July
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Arrokeefe
One of my favourites this fella and finally draws a gate. Went super from a back row draw and longer distance last start. Had to sustain a long run and was beaten by an impressive NZ'er. The mile suits and he should either lead or sit leaders back. From either position will be very hard to beat at around $8
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start and that was that.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Desert Safari
Nice little roughy on the cards here. Marked him down as a blackbooker last week after his run at Kilmore. At 100-1 he hit the line hard held after racing in the 1x1 the entire race and with clear running late I have no doubt it wins. This is a much weaker race than what it met last time and is a huge show with average luck. Should be at around the $20 mark.
RESULT: 2nd. Interesting drive but probably never beating the winner. Collect $99
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 With Gusto
Is absolutely flying. Endorsement leads early but usually takes a sit. I think With Gusto is the next fastest out and the most likely recipient of the lead. If he gets it cheaply enough, I can't see them beating him. If he can't lead it may make life tough hence the straight out bet. (Can't believe Blake Redden hasn't mentioned him in his write up) We should be getting $4-$5
RESULT: WINNER! Finally one goes to plan. Collect $210
$40 TRIFECTA for 1000%
Race 8
7/ 1-3 /1-2-3
Stunning Grin looks a cert but hoping Break Of Dawn can snag 2nd to give us some value from the type of draw it excels from.
RESULT: LOST! The less said about it the better
DAY RESULT: Won $19.. A hard way to win $19....
Race 1 No 1 Arrokeefe
One of my favourites this fella and finally draws a gate. Went super from a back row draw and longer distance last start. Had to sustain a long run and was beaten by an impressive NZ'er. The mile suits and he should either lead or sit leaders back. From either position will be very hard to beat at around $8
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start and that was that.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Desert Safari
Nice little roughy on the cards here. Marked him down as a blackbooker last week after his run at Kilmore. At 100-1 he hit the line hard held after racing in the 1x1 the entire race and with clear running late I have no doubt it wins. This is a much weaker race than what it met last time and is a huge show with average luck. Should be at around the $20 mark.
RESULT: 2nd. Interesting drive but probably never beating the winner. Collect $99
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 With Gusto
Is absolutely flying. Endorsement leads early but usually takes a sit. I think With Gusto is the next fastest out and the most likely recipient of the lead. If he gets it cheaply enough, I can't see them beating him. If he can't lead it may make life tough hence the straight out bet. (Can't believe Blake Redden hasn't mentioned him in his write up) We should be getting $4-$5
RESULT: WINNER! Finally one goes to plan. Collect $210
$40 TRIFECTA for 1000%
Race 8
7/ 1-3 /1-2-3
Stunning Grin looks a cert but hoping Break Of Dawn can snag 2nd to give us some value from the type of draw it excels from.
RESULT: LOST! The less said about it the better
DAY RESULT: Won $19.. A hard way to win $19....
Maryborough, Friday 18th July
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Pride Of Sundon
The only horse I'd back all day personally on a all trotters meeting. Sped to the front and nearly pinched it over the 1720 at Melton. Leads again today and looks very hard to beat over the short trip.
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance
Race 8 No 3 Pride Of Sundon
The only horse I'd back all day personally on a all trotters meeting. Sped to the front and nearly pinched it over the 1720 at Melton. Leads again today and looks very hard to beat over the short trip.
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance
Ballarat, Thursday 17th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Vapar Grin
Loved it's first up run. Settled last and Matthew Craven gave her a very easy time of it, sneaking runs up the inside late and if it didn't get held up late, a sneaky chance to grab 3rd. Looks like there will be some early pace on here and 2nd up Id expect Craven to fire her up a little more tonight and she looks a good ew chance in a hard race.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$100WIN
Race 3 No 3 Destiny Warrior
Very unlucky first up went hit the line with plenty up it's sleeve against good 3yo company. Has good early gate speed and has the 1 & 2 covered for early speed. The distance suits and for mine, the only danger is the first starter. I found it extremely hard to frame a market for this race but we should be getting at least $3
RESULT: 2nd. First starter turned out to be pretty damn good..
DAY RESULT: After all that, we lose $10
Race 1 No 10 Vapar Grin
Loved it's first up run. Settled last and Matthew Craven gave her a very easy time of it, sneaking runs up the inside late and if it didn't get held up late, a sneaky chance to grab 3rd. Looks like there will be some early pace on here and 2nd up Id expect Craven to fire her up a little more tonight and she looks a good ew chance in a hard race.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$100WIN
Race 3 No 3 Destiny Warrior
Very unlucky first up went hit the line with plenty up it's sleeve against good 3yo company. Has good early gate speed and has the 1 & 2 covered for early speed. The distance suits and for mine, the only danger is the first starter. I found it extremely hard to frame a market for this race but we should be getting at least $3
RESULT: 2nd. First starter turned out to be pretty damn good..
DAY RESULT: After all that, we lose $10
Cobram, Thursday 17th July
$50WIN
Race 2 No 9 Wes Lewinsky
Bloody stiff not to win last start after being taken wide by the leader who shifted out down the back. Gets a good run through here and with average luck, I think he's a great bet at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! Got there somehow but winners are grinners. Collect $190
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Border Patrol
Its been a while between drinks (5 years!) but doesn't get any better chance than today to break through for a win. Got stuck in the breeze last start (even though the form says it got the 1x1) and weakened late but was to be expected as it needs cover. From the draw can lead or take leaders back and looks like receiving every possible chance today. Should be getting nice each way odds based on exposed form and with the more fancied runners drawing the back row. Im expecting $15
RESULT: LOST! Well, theres the reason it hasn't won for 5 years. Tipping it's next win maybe at Broken Hill. Never again
Race 2 No 9 Wes Lewinsky
Bloody stiff not to win last start after being taken wide by the leader who shifted out down the back. Gets a good run through here and with average luck, I think he's a great bet at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! Got there somehow but winners are grinners. Collect $190
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Border Patrol
Its been a while between drinks (5 years!) but doesn't get any better chance than today to break through for a win. Got stuck in the breeze last start (even though the form says it got the 1x1) and weakened late but was to be expected as it needs cover. From the draw can lead or take leaders back and looks like receiving every possible chance today. Should be getting nice each way odds based on exposed form and with the more fancied runners drawing the back row. Im expecting $15
RESULT: LOST! Well, theres the reason it hasn't won for 5 years. Tipping it's next win maybe at Broken Hill. Never again
Geelong, Wednesday 16th July
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Getya Wings Out
Thought her run in the 4yo Vicbred was super. Had to come 5 & 6 wide late and ran some of the quickest closing sectionals of the race. This is a fair step down in class and if she can cross early she's almost a cert for mine. She can still win if she doesn't lead and at around $3.50 worth a go.
RESULT: 2nd.. Couldn't hold the fav out..
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6 :1 & 5
This looks a classic leader / behind leader scenario and with there likely to be little pace on throughout it's hard no seeing The 1 & 5 come away from the rest. Must Be Nice the threat but it's likely to have to do it tough in the death. The 2 a must for exotic punters for 3rd/4th
RESULT: LOST! Not even close..
MEETING RESULT: Dear oh dear.. Into the red for July. First time since March. Time to extract the digit. Lost $100
Race 4 No 2 Getya Wings Out
Thought her run in the 4yo Vicbred was super. Had to come 5 & 6 wide late and ran some of the quickest closing sectionals of the race. This is a fair step down in class and if she can cross early she's almost a cert for mine. She can still win if she doesn't lead and at around $3.50 worth a go.
RESULT: 2nd.. Couldn't hold the fav out..
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6 :1 & 5
This looks a classic leader / behind leader scenario and with there likely to be little pace on throughout it's hard no seeing The 1 & 5 come away from the rest. Must Be Nice the threat but it's likely to have to do it tough in the death. The 2 a must for exotic punters for 3rd/4th
RESULT: LOST! Not even close..
MEETING RESULT: Dear oh dear.. Into the red for July. First time since March. Time to extract the digit. Lost $100
Horsham, Wednesday 16th July
The BackpageScribe looks a certainty in race two but it'll be very short against these. (Opened $3.30 BET365 and wins. Ohhh I wish I still had access)
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Tres Hombres
Hasn't been as bad as it's form suggests its past 2 over the short trips. Last start was dragged out to last by the final bend but hit the line with a whole heap left up it's sleeve. The longer distance suits as well as the drop to C1 class and should be able to hold up early and hopefully hand up to the Fire Within. Although this track has no sprint lane, Daryl Douglas is likely to try and space these and I expect that to give Tres Hombre every possible chance at around $10
RESULT: LOST! Still looking for a run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Ark
Forget it ran last start at Melton. His first up run in Oz was good enough to win this. Follows Johnos Jet every where it goes today and looks like receiving a great trail into the race. Great ew bet at around $6
RESULT: WINNER! Not at the price I expected, would've suggested straight out at the odds available but thats the short comings of posting tips the night before. Collect $107
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Kiwi Rage
Another that's going to need a little bit of luck late with no sprint lane but looks ready to hit top gear 3 runs in. Only really let down the last 100 meres last start and hit the line impressively out wide. Follows the leaders every move here and he'll just needs a late split to be right in the finish. Should be $10+
RESULT: LOST! Every possible chance. SACKED
SUGGESTED QUADDIE
1-2-5 / 7-8-9 / 1-4-6-8-9-10/ 4
if the above is too much spend take out 4 & 9 in the 3rd leg..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $43
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Tres Hombres
Hasn't been as bad as it's form suggests its past 2 over the short trips. Last start was dragged out to last by the final bend but hit the line with a whole heap left up it's sleeve. The longer distance suits as well as the drop to C1 class and should be able to hold up early and hopefully hand up to the Fire Within. Although this track has no sprint lane, Daryl Douglas is likely to try and space these and I expect that to give Tres Hombre every possible chance at around $10
RESULT: LOST! Still looking for a run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Ark
Forget it ran last start at Melton. His first up run in Oz was good enough to win this. Follows Johnos Jet every where it goes today and looks like receiving a great trail into the race. Great ew bet at around $6
RESULT: WINNER! Not at the price I expected, would've suggested straight out at the odds available but thats the short comings of posting tips the night before. Collect $107
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Kiwi Rage
Another that's going to need a little bit of luck late with no sprint lane but looks ready to hit top gear 3 runs in. Only really let down the last 100 meres last start and hit the line impressively out wide. Follows the leaders every move here and he'll just needs a late split to be right in the finish. Should be $10+
RESULT: LOST! Every possible chance. SACKED
SUGGESTED QUADDIE
1-2-5 / 7-8-9 / 1-4-6-8-9-10/ 4
if the above is too much spend take out 4 & 9 in the 3rd leg..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $43
Mildura, Tuesday 15th July
This is not a meeting I'll be betting on. Its Shayne Cramp charity night and short priced favourites will be on the menu but seriously a tipsters nightmare. Multiple Cramp runners in every race! So I'm taking him on...once at least.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Superstar Express
Didn't mind his last start 3rd last start. Just couldn't hold out the gate flyer Cenosilocophobia but nearly did and had the trial behind the leader. Once out he grinded home well. Becoming more one paced as he gets older so the longer distance should suit, the problem will be if team Cramp gangs up on him. I think he can cross these early and he'll give them a mighty fright if able to get some sort of breather mid race.
RESULT; 3rd. Led but handed up to the fav which led to his downfall. Never saw daylight. Collect $84
$50 Crampy Multi
Race 3 No 3 Glen Alpine Drive: I'm tipping this is the last chance this bloke has with Cramp after a few ordinary runs. Won't find any easier than this.
Race 6 No 6 Hargrave: Just looks simply too good for these. Should find himself in front shortly after the start and can't see him being beat from there
Race 7 No 4 Vivant: I'm a little surprised to see him up on the Sunraysia but I reckon he'll be racking up plenty of wins up there and these look no where near good enough to beat him
Apologies in advance if the above are too short to back but trying to find some sort of way to extract money out of the meeting.
RESULT: Not even close! Keep following Vivant. Will win over further next start
MEETING RESULT: Lost $16
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Superstar Express
Didn't mind his last start 3rd last start. Just couldn't hold out the gate flyer Cenosilocophobia but nearly did and had the trial behind the leader. Once out he grinded home well. Becoming more one paced as he gets older so the longer distance should suit, the problem will be if team Cramp gangs up on him. I think he can cross these early and he'll give them a mighty fright if able to get some sort of breather mid race.
RESULT; 3rd. Led but handed up to the fav which led to his downfall. Never saw daylight. Collect $84
$50 Crampy Multi
Race 3 No 3 Glen Alpine Drive: I'm tipping this is the last chance this bloke has with Cramp after a few ordinary runs. Won't find any easier than this.
Race 6 No 6 Hargrave: Just looks simply too good for these. Should find himself in front shortly after the start and can't see him being beat from there
Race 7 No 4 Vivant: I'm a little surprised to see him up on the Sunraysia but I reckon he'll be racking up plenty of wins up there and these look no where near good enough to beat him
Apologies in advance if the above are too short to back but trying to find some sort of way to extract money out of the meeting.
RESULT: Not even close! Keep following Vivant. Will win over further next start
MEETING RESULT: Lost $16
Kilmore, Monday 14th July
If you love a short favourite Time Capsule is a certainty in race 2. Will be too short for mine. Here's the value bets for the day:
$25WIN
Race 6 No 1 Mister Smoochy
Went super against inferior opposition last start. Still ultra impressive after being 3 and 4 wide early after being restrained from gate 8 before death seating the rest of the race. Won by 8 metres under hard driving. Doesn't seem to be a whole lot of pace from the front line here so should be either able to hold the lead or leaders back. Should be hard to beat from either position at around $4
UPDATE: Opened $4 on BET365. Already into $2.8!!
RESULT: WINNER! Geez he made us earn it but we take the money. Not sure if he'll win many more in better class. Collect $80
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Forbidden Forrest
Been thereabouts the last 2 runs without really threatening. However both over the 1609metres and he's better over further. Gets that today and with the majority of these horses out of form, I expect him to be fighting out the finish.
UPDATE: Three Pints has opened up huge overs on BET365. I rated it an equal chance to Forbidden Forrest and thought the odds would be the opposite way around. FF opened $3.8, Three Pints $9!
RESULT: 4th. Took off 3 wide with lap to go, unfortunately the fastest quarters of the race. Ran well but is just one of those horses who keeps running well without winning
QUADDIE
With a couple I like in the quaddie, lets risk a small amount
$15 for 100%
4/1/1-9-11/1-3-4-6-7
RESULT: LOST
MEETING RESULT: Too much fluffing about. Dieing to get serious on one of these meetings soon. Unfortunately Mildura Tuesday night is a disgrace. Lost $10
$25WIN
Race 6 No 1 Mister Smoochy
Went super against inferior opposition last start. Still ultra impressive after being 3 and 4 wide early after being restrained from gate 8 before death seating the rest of the race. Won by 8 metres under hard driving. Doesn't seem to be a whole lot of pace from the front line here so should be either able to hold the lead or leaders back. Should be hard to beat from either position at around $4
UPDATE: Opened $4 on BET365. Already into $2.8!!
RESULT: WINNER! Geez he made us earn it but we take the money. Not sure if he'll win many more in better class. Collect $80
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Forbidden Forrest
Been thereabouts the last 2 runs without really threatening. However both over the 1609metres and he's better over further. Gets that today and with the majority of these horses out of form, I expect him to be fighting out the finish.
UPDATE: Three Pints has opened up huge overs on BET365. I rated it an equal chance to Forbidden Forrest and thought the odds would be the opposite way around. FF opened $3.8, Three Pints $9!
RESULT: 4th. Took off 3 wide with lap to go, unfortunately the fastest quarters of the race. Ran well but is just one of those horses who keeps running well without winning
QUADDIE
With a couple I like in the quaddie, lets risk a small amount
$15 for 100%
4/1/1-9-11/1-3-4-6-7
RESULT: LOST
MEETING RESULT: Too much fluffing about. Dieing to get serious on one of these meetings soon. Unfortunately Mildura Tuesday night is a disgrace. Lost $10
Shepparton, Sunday 13th July
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Wes Lewinsky
It's been a while since I've been really keen to have a crack at something but this fella gets the right class and draw to figure here. Worked home well behind Wounded last start after not having much luck in C2/3 company. The start previous he beat home Forbidden Forrest when running 2nd to Upanatom. Back to C1 class here and really looks the winner. My only concern is the 1 probably leads but even if that's the case I'm still keen.
RESULT: 2nd! Bugger. The 1 comes away from the pegs well before the sprint lane and pushed Wes 3 & 4 wide. Only beaten a head in the end. Stiff. Collect $86
Race 7 No 2 Wes Lewinsky
It's been a while since I've been really keen to have a crack at something but this fella gets the right class and draw to figure here. Worked home well behind Wounded last start after not having much luck in C2/3 company. The start previous he beat home Forbidden Forrest when running 2nd to Upanatom. Back to C1 class here and really looks the winner. My only concern is the 1 probably leads but even if that's the case I'm still keen.
RESULT: 2nd! Bugger. The 1 comes away from the pegs well before the sprint lane and pushed Wes 3 & 4 wide. Only beaten a head in the end. Stiff. Collect $86
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Supreme Bliss
What David Moran was doing last start only he will know but should've finished a hell of a lot closer in a race much stronger than this. Good news is that gives us good odds here tonight and with Chris Alford onboard, I'm expecting a much better drive. We should be getting $10+
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in but the word was out and he started way shorter than I thought it would. Winners are grinners tho. Collect $130
MEETING RESULT: Won $66
Race 3 No 10 Supreme Bliss
What David Moran was doing last start only he will know but should've finished a hell of a lot closer in a race much stronger than this. Good news is that gives us good odds here tonight and with Chris Alford onboard, I'm expecting a much better drive. We should be getting $10+
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in but the word was out and he started way shorter than I thought it would. Winners are grinners tho. Collect $130
MEETING RESULT: Won $66
Cranbourne, Saturday 12th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Village Cruiser
He's a real hard horse to catch but the fact he handles this track well are big pluses and should settle close to the front with a cold sit. Loved his run 3 starts back at Ballarat where he was 5 wide without cover rounding the turn giving Real Character 15 metres. Took late ground off that horse to run a strong 3rd, 5 metres from the winner. Forgive his last start when caught in the death over the longer trip and his previous start was very unlucky behind Holdonsu. Might be one of those horses but at around $8, worth the risk for mine
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple and was bloody stiff. Locked wheels after getting the 1x1 and lost 10 or 15 metres early. Great run Collect $60
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Johnny Quid
Very tough win from the death last time out which followed a good 4th after leading at Melton but that was over the sprint trip against very good horses. Loves this distance, will get the leaders back early with Lance Justice unlikely to hand up on the 1. It's going to get every chance late at around $4
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Majorama
Showed that he's much better over the longer distances when he was very one paced to the line last start. The start before was a great win albeit against weaker but did well to win from the 1x1 beating Tennaya who has won impressively since. Should push forward from the draw and get the huge advantage over the 2 favourites. I'd be very happy if Lisa Miles found the front. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd but no much for the winner. Collect $42
MEETING RESULT: Lost $58
Race 2 No 5 Village Cruiser
He's a real hard horse to catch but the fact he handles this track well are big pluses and should settle close to the front with a cold sit. Loved his run 3 starts back at Ballarat where he was 5 wide without cover rounding the turn giving Real Character 15 metres. Took late ground off that horse to run a strong 3rd, 5 metres from the winner. Forgive his last start when caught in the death over the longer trip and his previous start was very unlucky behind Holdonsu. Might be one of those horses but at around $8, worth the risk for mine
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple and was bloody stiff. Locked wheels after getting the 1x1 and lost 10 or 15 metres early. Great run Collect $60
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Johnny Quid
Very tough win from the death last time out which followed a good 4th after leading at Melton but that was over the sprint trip against very good horses. Loves this distance, will get the leaders back early with Lance Justice unlikely to hand up on the 1. It's going to get every chance late at around $4
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Majorama
Showed that he's much better over the longer distances when he was very one paced to the line last start. The start before was a great win albeit against weaker but did well to win from the 1x1 beating Tennaya who has won impressively since. Should push forward from the draw and get the huge advantage over the 2 favourites. I'd be very happy if Lisa Miles found the front. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd but no much for the winner. Collect $42
MEETING RESULT: Lost $58
Melton, Friday 11th July
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Killara Lightning
Been impressive it's past 2 from awkward draws. Reckon she leads and in a race that looks to lack any type of mid race pressure I can't see how they can beat her.
RESULT: LOST! Awful. Showed no gate speed and was gone before the turn.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Brief Glance
Absolutely loved his 4th against Victoria's best trotters last week over the short course. Reckon he's better over the 2240 metres and with Thanesan likely to get buried away on the pegs I'm very keen about his chances, especially at the $9 quote.
RESULT: LOST! Broke but was racing roughly most the race. I love trotters.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Broadways Best
Went super to knock off the males last start. Really earnt the win after working very hard mid race and just kept finding the line. This is a very tough race and gets the shocking draw once again but she's currently sitting @ $35 on BET365 which are just ridiculous odds. She'll start closer to $15.
RESULT: 3rd. We got lucky a little there but I'll take anything after the first 2 bets. $6 the place for BET365 shoppers early. Collect $105
$25WIN
Race 8 No 1 Graybuck
We were on last start and he just had no luck and got shuffled back through the field. Will sit behind Ginger Bliss here tonight and looks like he'll get every possible chance from there. $4 available
RESULT: LOST! A bit one paced. Not a mile horse obviously..
$50PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Washmepockets
Loved the way he hit the line late behind Composed and he should've finished much closer than he did. Is going to sit 3 pegs here and should be flying home late once again. $3.50 available.
RESULT: 3rd. Snagged 3rd off Graybuck late. That'll do! Collect $165
MEETING RESULT: Saved myself from being in the red for July. Lost $5 for the night on s-tab but some big odds on Broadways Bet for some hopefully.
Race 3 No 1 Killara Lightning
Been impressive it's past 2 from awkward draws. Reckon she leads and in a race that looks to lack any type of mid race pressure I can't see how they can beat her.
RESULT: LOST! Awful. Showed no gate speed and was gone before the turn.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Brief Glance
Absolutely loved his 4th against Victoria's best trotters last week over the short course. Reckon he's better over the 2240 metres and with Thanesan likely to get buried away on the pegs I'm very keen about his chances, especially at the $9 quote.
RESULT: LOST! Broke but was racing roughly most the race. I love trotters.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Broadways Best
Went super to knock off the males last start. Really earnt the win after working very hard mid race and just kept finding the line. This is a very tough race and gets the shocking draw once again but she's currently sitting @ $35 on BET365 which are just ridiculous odds. She'll start closer to $15.
RESULT: 3rd. We got lucky a little there but I'll take anything after the first 2 bets. $6 the place for BET365 shoppers early. Collect $105
$25WIN
Race 8 No 1 Graybuck
We were on last start and he just had no luck and got shuffled back through the field. Will sit behind Ginger Bliss here tonight and looks like he'll get every possible chance from there. $4 available
RESULT: LOST! A bit one paced. Not a mile horse obviously..
$50PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Washmepockets
Loved the way he hit the line late behind Composed and he should've finished much closer than he did. Is going to sit 3 pegs here and should be flying home late once again. $3.50 available.
RESULT: 3rd. Snagged 3rd off Graybuck late. That'll do! Collect $165
MEETING RESULT: Saved myself from being in the red for July. Lost $5 for the night on s-tab but some big odds on Broadways Bet for some hopefully.
Swan Hill, Thursday 10th July
Another day another tough 2 meetings. Low outlay to match my confidence. We'll keep our money for Melton Friday
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Wiley Jasper
Has been extremely stiff it's past 2 wins. Even though I was on the winner last start I thought he probably should've won with even luck. May get to the lead early here but even if he doesn't, looks hard to beat in C2 class.
RESULT: 3rd. No excuses, it wasn't good enough
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Tell Us We Dream
Forget it went around last start after being severely checked. Once it balanced up after that incident still hit the line OK but was hard to tell how well it went. It's previous starts was against much stronger than this and although the draw isn't great, if it gets a little bit of luck, it's going to be very hard to beat at around the $15 mark
RESULT: LOST! Horrible horrible horrible to watch. Pulled it's head off and it's race was over a fair way out. A night to forget..
MEETING RESULT: LOST $100
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Wiley Jasper
Has been extremely stiff it's past 2 wins. Even though I was on the winner last start I thought he probably should've won with even luck. May get to the lead early here but even if he doesn't, looks hard to beat in C2 class.
RESULT: 3rd. No excuses, it wasn't good enough
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Tell Us We Dream
Forget it went around last start after being severely checked. Once it balanced up after that incident still hit the line OK but was hard to tell how well it went. It's previous starts was against much stronger than this and although the draw isn't great, if it gets a little bit of luck, it's going to be very hard to beat at around the $15 mark
RESULT: LOST! Horrible horrible horrible to watch. Pulled it's head off and it's race was over a fair way out. A night to forget..
MEETING RESULT: LOST $100
Geelong, Wednesday 9th July
Pretty average meeting on here, theme for the week from the HRV, so apologies for the lack of tips but it's not a meeting you want to be wasting too much money on.
$50 MULTI
Race 2 No 1 Tuscan Breeze
Match race here but I think Tuscan is going to end up with the much better run in front. For the safer players, the 1 & 9 quinella should be a certainty barring accidents but it will pay accordingly.
Race 8 No 6 Melita Bromac
Just not up to the top class 3yo's recently but has a nice drop back in class and the front row draw is an advantage. Should be in front not long after the arms fold and I can't see him being beaten around the $1.80 mark
RESULT: WINNER! Both win with relative ease. Collect $222.75
$50 MULTI
Race 2 No 1 Tuscan Breeze
Match race here but I think Tuscan is going to end up with the much better run in front. For the safer players, the 1 & 9 quinella should be a certainty barring accidents but it will pay accordingly.
Race 8 No 6 Melita Bromac
Just not up to the top class 3yo's recently but has a nice drop back in class and the front row draw is an advantage. Should be in front not long after the arms fold and I can't see him being beaten around the $1.80 mark
RESULT: WINNER! Both win with relative ease. Collect $222.75
Maryborough, Wednesday 9th July
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Fremarks Cejay
Geez it was stiff last start after never getting a clear crack at them but hit the line strong once out. The start is vital here with it's main rival drawing it's outside. I think it has the necessary speed to hold Mixed with A Jasper out early and cross those on it's outside. She's a filly that' likes to run along once in front which should make life tough for the others. Expect $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough, the bad run continues this week
QUADDIE
$30 for 50%
3 / 4-7-9 / 1-7-9-11 / 1-4-6-8-10
RESULT: LOST! Not sure what the driver on the first let was doing. Missed the last leg anyway with last weeks tip saluting
DAY RESULT: Won $92.75. Happy with that after tipping on a day I wasn't keen taking part in
Race 4 No 6 Fremarks Cejay
Geez it was stiff last start after never getting a clear crack at them but hit the line strong once out. The start is vital here with it's main rival drawing it's outside. I think it has the necessary speed to hold Mixed with A Jasper out early and cross those on it's outside. She's a filly that' likes to run along once in front which should make life tough for the others. Expect $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough, the bad run continues this week
QUADDIE
$30 for 50%
3 / 4-7-9 / 1-7-9-11 / 1-4-6-8-10
RESULT: LOST! Not sure what the driver on the first let was doing. Missed the last leg anyway with last weeks tip saluting
DAY RESULT: Won $92.75. Happy with that after tipping on a day I wasn't keen taking part in
Shepparton, Tuesday 8th July
Not a meeting I'm loving once again with not a whole lot of value on offer..
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Marek
Looks the leader and winner here. There is a fair bit of speed on it's outside but once they settle she should be getting an easy run. I wouldn't be taking anything under $2 though.
RESULT: Lost! Couldn't hold them out early and it's too one paced to win sit sprinting..
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Earth Angel
Raced extremely well recently against much better than what she meets tonight. Even though there is a bit of speed on her inside, I think she can still win from the death over the short course. If she was able to lead then gam over for mine. Should be getting $2
RESULT: SCRATCHED
QUADDIE
$20 for 500%
4 / 6 / 1-3-8-10 / 6
It's a night full of shorties but hopefully the 3rd leg throws in some value
RESULT: SCRATCHED
DAY RESULT: LOST $50.. Not a great start to the week.. I'll be back
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Marek
Looks the leader and winner here. There is a fair bit of speed on it's outside but once they settle she should be getting an easy run. I wouldn't be taking anything under $2 though.
RESULT: Lost! Couldn't hold them out early and it's too one paced to win sit sprinting..
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Earth Angel
Raced extremely well recently against much better than what she meets tonight. Even though there is a bit of speed on her inside, I think she can still win from the death over the short course. If she was able to lead then gam over for mine. Should be getting $2
RESULT: SCRATCHED
QUADDIE
$20 for 500%
4 / 6 / 1-3-8-10 / 6
It's a night full of shorties but hopefully the 3rd leg throws in some value
RESULT: SCRATCHED
DAY RESULT: LOST $50.. Not a great start to the week.. I'll be back
Yarra Valley, Monday 7th July
Horror meeting here, but sometimes there have hidden gems. Hoping I've found some here.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Four Smart Aces
Form on paper looks terrible but looks can be deceiving. He was very unlucky last start but it was driven for luck. After being stuck 4 back the pegs, he hit the line very impressively late. Has tired badly previously when used up early so expect him to be looking for cover without too much effort early. These are pretty weak and I'd expect at least a top 3 finish. Expect $5
RESULT: 3rd. Superb drive, ordinary horse.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Our Work Of Art
Debutant for the on fire Lilley stable. Beat older horses in a trial a few weeks back showing it's ready for a first up win. Very hard to mark a price for a debutant although I marked it $6 I wouldn't be surprised if it started much shorter
RESULT: LOST! Well backed but didn't do anything.
DAY RESULT: A day I was keen to stay away from and it proved out that way. Bring on Tuesday. Lost $100
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Four Smart Aces
Form on paper looks terrible but looks can be deceiving. He was very unlucky last start but it was driven for luck. After being stuck 4 back the pegs, he hit the line very impressively late. Has tired badly previously when used up early so expect him to be looking for cover without too much effort early. These are pretty weak and I'd expect at least a top 3 finish. Expect $5
RESULT: 3rd. Superb drive, ordinary horse.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Our Work Of Art
Debutant for the on fire Lilley stable. Beat older horses in a trial a few weeks back showing it's ready for a first up win. Very hard to mark a price for a debutant although I marked it $6 I wouldn't be surprised if it started much shorter
RESULT: LOST! Well backed but didn't do anything.
DAY RESULT: A day I was keen to stay away from and it proved out that way. Bring on Tuesday. Lost $100
Ararat, Sunday 6th July
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Nikkis Delight
Surely today is the day. Been dieing to lead a race but has always found one faster than it on it's inside. I reckon it holds them out today and is by far the best bet of the meet at around $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.20 on BET365 and was smashed in. Collect $155
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Attack On Command
Been plagued by bad draws but finally gets the draw it needs today and the short distance suits. This is very weak and it would be a major surprise to see it get beaten.
RESULT: WINNER! Sorry followers, I'm not about tipping odds on favourites and this one started massive unders but I suppose you can't lose backing winners. Collect $67.50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Little Tweek
Unlucky not to finish closer last start from the back row and raced well the start prior against stronger. From the draw is the best ew bet of the day
RESULT: LOST! Horrible. Got the perfect run and did nothing.
DAY RESULT: Won $22.50
Race 5 No 2 Nikkis Delight
Surely today is the day. Been dieing to lead a race but has always found one faster than it on it's inside. I reckon it holds them out today and is by far the best bet of the meet at around $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.20 on BET365 and was smashed in. Collect $155
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Attack On Command
Been plagued by bad draws but finally gets the draw it needs today and the short distance suits. This is very weak and it would be a major surprise to see it get beaten.
RESULT: WINNER! Sorry followers, I'm not about tipping odds on favourites and this one started massive unders but I suppose you can't lose backing winners. Collect $67.50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Little Tweek
Unlucky not to finish closer last start from the back row and raced well the start prior against stronger. From the draw is the best ew bet of the day
RESULT: LOST! Horrible. Got the perfect run and did nothing.
DAY RESULT: Won $22.50
Melton. Saturday 5th July
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Graybuck
A little risky this punt as I am relying on Blazeaway Macray holding the lead and I think it will. That'll give Graybuck the exact type of run it loves behind the leader. Never a chance last start when 4 back the pegs but he hit the line very hard. Good winner the start before that when leading but looks a better horse with a sit. Super EW bet for mine at around $8
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance after getting buried.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Sketchman
I don't get why this fella is $30. Went super in his semi after having no luck running some strong late sectionals. Gave Ricimer windburn and beat home Wemen Sporty and Mister Wickem 2 starts back which is brilliant form for this. Ricimer leads and Sketchman ends up leaders back unless they decide to hand up on the 1 but I doubt it. With the favourites drawn poorly, he's by far my best roughy of the night.
RESULT: LOST! 4th and stiff!
$100WIN
Race 6 No 5 Mindarie Priddy
Looks the leader here tonight and I've racked my brain over this race for a long time. They just can't beat her if she finds the top for mine. Berisari and My Bella Start were probably the best 2 runs out of the semi's but the draw has pretty much taken care of them. Kooks the winner for min and there are still some good odds of around $2.50 available
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$25EXACTA
Race 8
1st Guaranteed
2nd Lenny The Shark
Taking on Lenny here. If any horse will find a chick in it's armour it's Guaranteed. Very impressive last start but look to have more improvement in him. The draw is irrelevant because it's a terrible starter from the mobile anyway. Expect him to be in the death seat not long after the start with Lenny in front. It'll be a ding dong battle and 3rd up, I'm predicting Guaranteed will have Lennys measure. If you're looking for trifecta options, Boyz Torque is the best roughy in the race but cant win.
RESULT:LOST! Wrong way around. Lenny too good.
NIGHT RESULT: Nothing! Email recipients get Viva Safari at $9.50 a place. Lost $175
Race 1 No 8 Graybuck
A little risky this punt as I am relying on Blazeaway Macray holding the lead and I think it will. That'll give Graybuck the exact type of run it loves behind the leader. Never a chance last start when 4 back the pegs but he hit the line very hard. Good winner the start before that when leading but looks a better horse with a sit. Super EW bet for mine at around $8
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance after getting buried.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Sketchman
I don't get why this fella is $30. Went super in his semi after having no luck running some strong late sectionals. Gave Ricimer windburn and beat home Wemen Sporty and Mister Wickem 2 starts back which is brilliant form for this. Ricimer leads and Sketchman ends up leaders back unless they decide to hand up on the 1 but I doubt it. With the favourites drawn poorly, he's by far my best roughy of the night.
RESULT: LOST! 4th and stiff!
$100WIN
Race 6 No 5 Mindarie Priddy
Looks the leader here tonight and I've racked my brain over this race for a long time. They just can't beat her if she finds the top for mine. Berisari and My Bella Start were probably the best 2 runs out of the semi's but the draw has pretty much taken care of them. Kooks the winner for min and there are still some good odds of around $2.50 available
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$25EXACTA
Race 8
1st Guaranteed
2nd Lenny The Shark
Taking on Lenny here. If any horse will find a chick in it's armour it's Guaranteed. Very impressive last start but look to have more improvement in him. The draw is irrelevant because it's a terrible starter from the mobile anyway. Expect him to be in the death seat not long after the start with Lenny in front. It'll be a ding dong battle and 3rd up, I'm predicting Guaranteed will have Lennys measure. If you're looking for trifecta options, Boyz Torque is the best roughy in the race but cant win.
RESULT:LOST! Wrong way around. Lenny too good.
NIGHT RESULT: Nothing! Email recipients get Viva Safari at $9.50 a place. Lost $175
Mildura, Friday 4th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Montana Madge
Long time followers know I love tipping this horse as it's saluted for us a few times at nice odds. Leads these and there looks to be no pressure on throughout so should get a fairly easy time of it. Its past few runs have been good, good enough to win for mine. Expect $6
RESULT: WINNER! Led and bolted in. I might have too many members, unders again! Collect $129
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Illawong Lively
Good win last start at Swan Hill but the race was set up for it. Has got a fair bit of early toe and should lead these easily. The only problem might be the extra distance but it racing against some very weak opposition here. Would be a major surprise to see it get beaten. Expect $2
RESULT: LOST! Didn't lead and that was the end of that
FRIDAY RESULT: Won $254
Race 1 No 1 Montana Madge
Long time followers know I love tipping this horse as it's saluted for us a few times at nice odds. Leads these and there looks to be no pressure on throughout so should get a fairly easy time of it. Its past few runs have been good, good enough to win for mine. Expect $6
RESULT: WINNER! Led and bolted in. I might have too many members, unders again! Collect $129
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Illawong Lively
Good win last start at Swan Hill but the race was set up for it. Has got a fair bit of early toe and should lead these easily. The only problem might be the extra distance but it racing against some very weak opposition here. Would be a major surprise to see it get beaten. Expect $2
RESULT: LOST! Didn't lead and that was the end of that
FRIDAY RESULT: Won $254
Melton, Friday 4th July
$25WIN
Race 3 No 11 Asdenro
Racing in great heart and won his semi impressively after a couple of his opponents had every chance to beat him. Back row isn't ideal but did beat the favourite on it's merits a couple of starts ago. $5 available
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run. Inconvenienced early after the couple of horses in front of it galloped. Then had to go 3wide without cover. Good horse in the making.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 10 Vincennes
A pretty disgraceful drive last start as an odds on favourite. Fair to say we didn't get to see the best of this horse but also wasn't suited by the slow speed mid race. Going to get plenty of speed on here throughout and he has one hell of a late sprint on him. Went close to beating Blitzthemcalder last time they met after Blitzem had a very easy run in front. That won't happen here with The Boss Man likely to lead. Still $4 available and its the first time in a very long time Ive been this keen on a trotter.
RESULT: WINNER! YOU BEAUTY! Very well driven tonight, (surprise, surprise) and just had the perfect sit on the first 2 before the turn. Sprint was far too good late. Collect $350
Race 3 No 11 Asdenro
Racing in great heart and won his semi impressively after a couple of his opponents had every chance to beat him. Back row isn't ideal but did beat the favourite on it's merits a couple of starts ago. $5 available
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run. Inconvenienced early after the couple of horses in front of it galloped. Then had to go 3wide without cover. Good horse in the making.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 10 Vincennes
A pretty disgraceful drive last start as an odds on favourite. Fair to say we didn't get to see the best of this horse but also wasn't suited by the slow speed mid race. Going to get plenty of speed on here throughout and he has one hell of a late sprint on him. Went close to beating Blitzthemcalder last time they met after Blitzem had a very easy run in front. That won't happen here with The Boss Man likely to lead. Still $4 available and its the first time in a very long time Ive been this keen on a trotter.
RESULT: WINNER! YOU BEAUTY! Very well driven tonight, (surprise, surprise) and just had the perfect sit on the first 2 before the turn. Sprint was far too good late. Collect $350
Echuca, Thursday 3rd july
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Sinead
Critical start here for this horse. Must hold the leaders back early to be any chance. I think the leader is Dobop and without a great deal of early speed outside of it, Sinead should holds it's back. Had no clear run behind Dobop last start and wasn't far off that horse at the finish. Is going to go mighty close here at around the $5 quote.
RESULT: 3rd.. Got the perfect sit but Dobop lost the lead mid race and we ended up 3pegs. Hit the line strong but too far off them at the turn to win. Collect $96
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Katie Lively
Thought she went super 2 starts ago when only 3 metres off a fairly smart Riverina pacer. Goes best when leading or leaders back and Im predicting the latter will happen here. With what looks to be a lack of pace in this race, the leaders are going to be suited and at around the $8 mark, looks a good ew bet
RESULT: 3rd. Started huge unders and raced terribly throughout, throwing it head around and racing rough. Won't be on this tips page for a while. Collect $42
DAY RESULT: Happy with 2 of the tips today but would've never tipped Katie Lively at $4. Anyway, still in front for the day but it was hard work. Won $52
Race 5 No 1 Sinead
Critical start here for this horse. Must hold the leaders back early to be any chance. I think the leader is Dobop and without a great deal of early speed outside of it, Sinead should holds it's back. Had no clear run behind Dobop last start and wasn't far off that horse at the finish. Is going to go mighty close here at around the $5 quote.
RESULT: 3rd.. Got the perfect sit but Dobop lost the lead mid race and we ended up 3pegs. Hit the line strong but too far off them at the turn to win. Collect $96
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Katie Lively
Thought she went super 2 starts ago when only 3 metres off a fairly smart Riverina pacer. Goes best when leading or leaders back and Im predicting the latter will happen here. With what looks to be a lack of pace in this race, the leaders are going to be suited and at around the $8 mark, looks a good ew bet
RESULT: 3rd. Started huge unders and raced terribly throughout, throwing it head around and racing rough. Won't be on this tips page for a while. Collect $42
DAY RESULT: Happy with 2 of the tips today but would've never tipped Katie Lively at $4. Anyway, still in front for the day but it was hard work. Won $52
Maryborough, Thursday 3rd July
Another tough meeting here so again keeping the outlay to a minimum
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Another Elsu
He's a horse that struggles to win but draws very well in the weakest race it's seen for a while. Pas Mate will lead these early and that'll give Another Elsu the perfect sit in the race. The only concern will be how slow they go. Too slow and it's going to be hard to knock off Pas Mate but it's worth a risk at around $5.
RESULT: WINNER! Ended up 3 pegs after Pas Mate decided to take a trail & I thought we were toast. Step in Greg Sugars. BANG! Collect $114. Opened $6 on BET365
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Another Elsu
He's a horse that struggles to win but draws very well in the weakest race it's seen for a while. Pas Mate will lead these early and that'll give Another Elsu the perfect sit in the race. The only concern will be how slow they go. Too slow and it's going to be hard to knock off Pas Mate but it's worth a risk at around $5.
RESULT: WINNER! Ended up 3 pegs after Pas Mate decided to take a trail & I thought we were toast. Step in Greg Sugars. BANG! Collect $114. Opened $6 on BET365
Ballarat, Wednesday 2nd July
What a horrible meeting this is but I'll try to provide something considering you're paying for a service!
$25WIN
Race 4 No 3 Classic Falcon
Had to work very hard the last lap 3 wide without cover but finished close up in 6th. Amazingly good form race with 4 of the 5 horses finishing in front of it winning their next start. I don't think Ive ever seen that before. Probably settles 1x1 or 1x2 if Forced Out goes forward. Most of these are out of form or up in class. With even luck, should go close. Expect $8 (Only 2 placings here so just gone for the throat with a win bet)
RESULT: LAST! Had the run I thought it would get and did nothing.
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Lombo Flashlight
Taking on the odds on pop here as I like to do. This gelding has a dislike of the shorter distances as it showed last start as he's a little bit one paced. 0 wins from 15 starts tells the story. Likely to get the run it's going to love here back out to 2200metres, with the favourite going to have to circle the field and pour on the pressure a fair way out in an attempt to break their hearts. If likely leader Arr En Special hands up to the fav without a yelp we can give up any hope of winning but I doubt Jason Lee will, he's far too aggressive for that. Good ew show t around $5
RESULT: LOST! Surprised me by leading, tried to had tough the fav but it was waaaaaay too good. Lombo weakened badly late. End to a poor night
DAY RESULT: Lost $35
$25WIN
Race 4 No 3 Classic Falcon
Had to work very hard the last lap 3 wide without cover but finished close up in 6th. Amazingly good form race with 4 of the 5 horses finishing in front of it winning their next start. I don't think Ive ever seen that before. Probably settles 1x1 or 1x2 if Forced Out goes forward. Most of these are out of form or up in class. With even luck, should go close. Expect $8 (Only 2 placings here so just gone for the throat with a win bet)
RESULT: LAST! Had the run I thought it would get and did nothing.
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Lombo Flashlight
Taking on the odds on pop here as I like to do. This gelding has a dislike of the shorter distances as it showed last start as he's a little bit one paced. 0 wins from 15 starts tells the story. Likely to get the run it's going to love here back out to 2200metres, with the favourite going to have to circle the field and pour on the pressure a fair way out in an attempt to break their hearts. If likely leader Arr En Special hands up to the fav without a yelp we can give up any hope of winning but I doubt Jason Lee will, he's far too aggressive for that. Good ew show t around $5
RESULT: LOST! Surprised me by leading, tried to had tough the fav but it was waaaaaay too good. Lombo weakened badly late. End to a poor night
DAY RESULT: Lost $35
Kilmore, Wednesday 2nd July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Matter Of Course
Went super 2 runs ago in a better run than Yankee Strutter for mine who he meets better at the draw today. Followed that run with a tough effort to breeze and win at Cobram. Going to get plenty of early speed on here and with luck, one of either Valens or Wegottarocketmachine will end up in the death to keep the pace on. In a small field he'll be running on strong late and looks a great ew punt. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Ordinary. They walked in front but shouldve at least placed after the run it had.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 9 Mister Smoochy
Went ok after having a tough run last start. Was 3wide pretty much the entire last lap and was entitled to weaken late but did well to hold 2nd. This looks weaker and follows through a good beginner. Looks hard to beat and whilst I've marked it $3 don't be taking any shorter.
UPDATE @ 1:30pm: Scratching of the 8 might make life tougher for this fella. Will now follow the 1 horse through. Will be relying on Joe Pace's ability to get him into the clear. Hmmmmmmm..
RESULT: WINNER! Why worry, Joe Pace snags back and drives aggressively. Super drive! Collect $190
Race 3 No 9 Matter Of Course
Went super 2 runs ago in a better run than Yankee Strutter for mine who he meets better at the draw today. Followed that run with a tough effort to breeze and win at Cobram. Going to get plenty of early speed on here and with luck, one of either Valens or Wegottarocketmachine will end up in the death to keep the pace on. In a small field he'll be running on strong late and looks a great ew punt. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Ordinary. They walked in front but shouldve at least placed after the run it had.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 9 Mister Smoochy
Went ok after having a tough run last start. Was 3wide pretty much the entire last lap and was entitled to weaken late but did well to hold 2nd. This looks weaker and follows through a good beginner. Looks hard to beat and whilst I've marked it $3 don't be taking any shorter.
UPDATE @ 1:30pm: Scratching of the 8 might make life tougher for this fella. Will now follow the 1 horse through. Will be relying on Joe Pace's ability to get him into the clear. Hmmmmmmm..
RESULT: WINNER! Why worry, Joe Pace snags back and drives aggressively. Super drive! Collect $190
Bendigo, Tuesday 1st July
$25WIN
Race 2 No 10 Waltalight
Was very unlucky not to salute first up after a year off the seen last start. After sitting 5 back the pegs had to circle the field late and with another 2 meters wins the race. Should be fitter again here and should be able to follow the favourite everywhere it goes. Expect $4. I also thought The Love Child had a sneaky place chance at huge odds here. Throw it into your multiples
RESULT: LOST! Poor run really. Had the favourites back but just couldn't run on. Not a bad run by the longshot.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 With Gusto
Gave the very smart Phil Monty a fright last week after sitting on it's back. They ran a 55 second last half which is damn impressive for C2/3 class. Likely to sit leaders back here and this is no harder. Great chance at around the $5 mark.
RESULT: WINNER! Far from the $5 I expected but you can't lose backing winners. Collect $164
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Highview Conall
Becoming very expensive for followers but the step up in distance and wider draw in it's advantage here. I would be surprised if the stablemate (drawn 1) led and handed up to it. Would you if your Mrs was driving the 6? Even if it doesn't led, likely to get the 1x1 sit from Asoka. Looks very hard to beat at around the $3 mark
RESULT: WINNER! Was always confident in the run and won easily in the end. Collect $135
MEETING RESULT: Won $124
Race 2 No 10 Waltalight
Was very unlucky not to salute first up after a year off the seen last start. After sitting 5 back the pegs had to circle the field late and with another 2 meters wins the race. Should be fitter again here and should be able to follow the favourite everywhere it goes. Expect $4. I also thought The Love Child had a sneaky place chance at huge odds here. Throw it into your multiples
RESULT: LOST! Poor run really. Had the favourites back but just couldn't run on. Not a bad run by the longshot.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 With Gusto
Gave the very smart Phil Monty a fright last week after sitting on it's back. They ran a 55 second last half which is damn impressive for C2/3 class. Likely to sit leaders back here and this is no harder. Great chance at around the $5 mark.
RESULT: WINNER! Far from the $5 I expected but you can't lose backing winners. Collect $164
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Highview Conall
Becoming very expensive for followers but the step up in distance and wider draw in it's advantage here. I would be surprised if the stablemate (drawn 1) led and handed up to it. Would you if your Mrs was driving the 6? Even if it doesn't led, likely to get the 1x1 sit from Asoka. Looks very hard to beat at around the $3 mark
RESULT: WINNER! Was always confident in the run and won easily in the end. Collect $135
MEETING RESULT: Won $124
Stawell, Monday 30th June
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 The Fire Within
Hasn't drawn a gate this prep and has performed well considering. His best run being 2 starts back when leading from outside the front line and only being run down late in quick time at Terang. Gets the lead a little easier for mine today and on a track suited to leaders, I'd be very surprised if they run him down. Expect $2.50
RESULT: LOST! Galloped 20 metres after the start and that was that..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Benchmark
Well it's the end of the month, we have money to play with so lets throw out a real roughy. Didn't mind his run last start after being 3 back the pegs. Whilst the front 2 kicked clear he was stuck behind a tiring runner. Made up some good ground on those 2 late who have both run well since. This race isn't strong and the only worry for mine is gate 6. If he slots in and gets a run at them late, a sneaky chance of knocking them off.
UPDATE: Opened $14 BET365 but very short now! MASSIVE unders. I marked it $20
RESULT: 3rd. Beaten a fair way but will be winning one soon. Collect $93
QUADDIE
$30 for 50%
3 / 1-3-4 / 1-3-4-7 / 1-2-3-6-10
RESULT: LOST! 2 legs, rrruuubbbiissshh
DAY RESULT: We had a crack but was a long way from it to round out June. Still a great month on the punt. Lost $87
Race 5 No 3 The Fire Within
Hasn't drawn a gate this prep and has performed well considering. His best run being 2 starts back when leading from outside the front line and only being run down late in quick time at Terang. Gets the lead a little easier for mine today and on a track suited to leaders, I'd be very surprised if they run him down. Expect $2.50
RESULT: LOST! Galloped 20 metres after the start and that was that..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Benchmark
Well it's the end of the month, we have money to play with so lets throw out a real roughy. Didn't mind his run last start after being 3 back the pegs. Whilst the front 2 kicked clear he was stuck behind a tiring runner. Made up some good ground on those 2 late who have both run well since. This race isn't strong and the only worry for mine is gate 6. If he slots in and gets a run at them late, a sneaky chance of knocking them off.
UPDATE: Opened $14 BET365 but very short now! MASSIVE unders. I marked it $20
RESULT: 3rd. Beaten a fair way but will be winning one soon. Collect $93
QUADDIE
$30 for 50%
3 / 1-3-4 / 1-3-4-7 / 1-2-3-6-10
RESULT: LOST! 2 legs, rrruuubbbiissshh
DAY RESULT: We had a crack but was a long way from it to round out June. Still a great month on the punt. Lost $87
Shepparton, Sunday 29th June
Extraordinarily hard meeting to analyse and find value so will be keeping the outlay pretty small on some rough bets.
$25PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Wes Lewinsky
Has had 2 runs back from a long spell. First up was 3 wide the trip and tired badly and rightly so. 2nd up was stuck at the back of the field behind a tiring horse. Lost valuable ground before he was taken 3 wide and made up good ground on the leaders late. Going to settle 3 back the pegs here and with the favourite likely to spread the field out late (it'll shit in). should get plenty of opportunity to run on late. Should be getting $4+ to run a drum.
RESULT: 2nd. Had to run 2nd after 2 early scratchings & did. A win not far away for this fella. Collect $137.50
$25WIN
Race 7 No 10 Centonic
Forget it's last run when had an impossible task. Looks certain to get plenty of pace on here and will just need the right trail into the race to win. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Good drive, took the initiative for once on this sit sprinter and death seated in a quarter where they ran 33 secs. Always the one to beat after that. Collect $115
$25WIN
Race 9 No 2 Elements Of Art
No superstar but most of these are one step away from the knackery. Has good gate speed and enough to lead these tonight which is a huge advantage in these bottom up races. Won't get a better chance to win at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! For a 15 start maiden that was one easy win. Collect $92.50
MEETING RESULT: Won $270
$25PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Wes Lewinsky
Has had 2 runs back from a long spell. First up was 3 wide the trip and tired badly and rightly so. 2nd up was stuck at the back of the field behind a tiring horse. Lost valuable ground before he was taken 3 wide and made up good ground on the leaders late. Going to settle 3 back the pegs here and with the favourite likely to spread the field out late (it'll shit in). should get plenty of opportunity to run on late. Should be getting $4+ to run a drum.
RESULT: 2nd. Had to run 2nd after 2 early scratchings & did. A win not far away for this fella. Collect $137.50
$25WIN
Race 7 No 10 Centonic
Forget it's last run when had an impossible task. Looks certain to get plenty of pace on here and will just need the right trail into the race to win. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Good drive, took the initiative for once on this sit sprinter and death seated in a quarter where they ran 33 secs. Always the one to beat after that. Collect $115
$25WIN
Race 9 No 2 Elements Of Art
No superstar but most of these are one step away from the knackery. Has good gate speed and enough to lead these tonight which is a huge advantage in these bottom up races. Won't get a better chance to win at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! For a 15 start maiden that was one easy win. Collect $92.50
MEETING RESULT: Won $270
Cranbourne, Saturday 28Th JUNE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Stylish Jasper
Never got out last start and was bolting in M0-1 company. This is slightly stronger but loves this track and only needs to be close enough at the turn to be a big chance at odds. Expect $20
RESULT: LOST! Started far too short but ended up 4 back the pegs after they went a little nuts early. Never a chance from there and quick becoming a money muncher
$100WIN
Race 10 No 7 Miss Metro Glen
Just looks far too good for these. She just needs to behave at the start and she'll win this easily. Should be able to get $2.
RESULT: WINNER! $1.90 was close enough.. Collect $190
MEETING RESULT: WON $40
Race 7 No 1 Stylish Jasper
Never got out last start and was bolting in M0-1 company. This is slightly stronger but loves this track and only needs to be close enough at the turn to be a big chance at odds. Expect $20
RESULT: LOST! Started far too short but ended up 4 back the pegs after they went a little nuts early. Never a chance from there and quick becoming a money muncher
$100WIN
Race 10 No 7 Miss Metro Glen
Just looks far too good for these. She just needs to behave at the start and she'll win this easily. Should be able to get $2.
RESULT: WINNER! $1.90 was close enough.. Collect $190
MEETING RESULT: WON $40
Melton, FRIDAY 27th June
A word of warning here tonight, semi's racing is a huge trap so won't be any substantial punting
$25WIN
Race 2 No 6 Yankee Cowgirl
Loved her debut run. She did all the work in the race and was still coming at them at the line. This is stronger again but with a softer run, she's a massive chance
RESULT: 2nd. Probably had to work too hard early but was still a good run. Winner was brilliant.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Courageous N Quick
Went super winning at Shepparton last start. After being pressured mid race she had the cheek to run home the last half in 55 seconds. HUGE. Only a little more depth in this race but looks the leader and winner again.
RESULT: WINNER! Gave us a fright halfway down the straight but she held them out. Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Berisari
Has the draw advantage on her rivals here in a race that Mindarie Priddy won't have her own way. I expect her to sit on Bettor Downunders back with MP in the death. Those 2 will hopefully cut at each other and I think Berisari will have every chance. At $7, worth a go
RESULT: WINNER! The $7 didn't last long. What a run. Death seated and was too good for some very good horses. $128 Collect
$25 PLACE
Race 9 No 8 Reign Of Pain
Been racing out of position lately but still been running extremely well. Ran 3rd in the 3yo version of this race in the final behind Guaranteed from a similar position from where it'll be tonight. The top 2 position will be filled by Guaranteed and Gingerbliss but he's a massive chance to snag 3rd along the pegs. Nice odds of $5.50 available
RESULT: Not a bad run but had no hope after Guaranteed walked out.
$50EXACTA
Race 9
1st; 5: Ginger Bliss
2nd: 1 Guaranteed
Ginger Bliss leads on it's ear and had the measure of Guaranteed last start. I think it will again here tonight.
RESULT: LOST! Unfortunately the real Guaranteed showed up tonight
MEETING RESULT: Won $158
$25WIN
Race 2 No 6 Yankee Cowgirl
Loved her debut run. She did all the work in the race and was still coming at them at the line. This is stronger again but with a softer run, she's a massive chance
RESULT: 2nd. Probably had to work too hard early but was still a good run. Winner was brilliant.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Courageous N Quick
Went super winning at Shepparton last start. After being pressured mid race she had the cheek to run home the last half in 55 seconds. HUGE. Only a little more depth in this race but looks the leader and winner again.
RESULT: WINNER! Gave us a fright halfway down the straight but she held them out. Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Berisari
Has the draw advantage on her rivals here in a race that Mindarie Priddy won't have her own way. I expect her to sit on Bettor Downunders back with MP in the death. Those 2 will hopefully cut at each other and I think Berisari will have every chance. At $7, worth a go
RESULT: WINNER! The $7 didn't last long. What a run. Death seated and was too good for some very good horses. $128 Collect
$25 PLACE
Race 9 No 8 Reign Of Pain
Been racing out of position lately but still been running extremely well. Ran 3rd in the 3yo version of this race in the final behind Guaranteed from a similar position from where it'll be tonight. The top 2 position will be filled by Guaranteed and Gingerbliss but he's a massive chance to snag 3rd along the pegs. Nice odds of $5.50 available
RESULT: Not a bad run but had no hope after Guaranteed walked out.
$50EXACTA
Race 9
1st; 5: Ginger Bliss
2nd: 1 Guaranteed
Ginger Bliss leads on it's ear and had the measure of Guaranteed last start. I think it will again here tonight.
RESULT: LOST! Unfortunately the real Guaranteed showed up tonight
MEETING RESULT: Won $158
Melton, Thursday 26th June
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Sweet Wise
We're not going to get the $80 this week but more like $4 today from the front row draw. Greg Sugars on board is a major plus, settles much closer to the lead today, if not in front, and looks the winner from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Doesn't get much easier than that. Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Villagem
Totally forget it's past 2 runs in unsuitable races. Back to the mobile in a step down in class, looks the one to beat with average luck. Expect $3
RESULT: LOST! Just worked far too hard early.
Race 3 No 4 Sweet Wise
We're not going to get the $80 this week but more like $4 today from the front row draw. Greg Sugars on board is a major plus, settles much closer to the lead today, if not in front, and looks the winner from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Doesn't get much easier than that. Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Villagem
Totally forget it's past 2 runs in unsuitable races. Back to the mobile in a step down in class, looks the one to beat with average luck. Expect $3
RESULT: LOST! Just worked far too hard early.
Swan Hill, Thursday June 26th
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Magic Attack
Call me cocky, I got a horse over the line that hadn't won for 2 years yesterday, lets go for 3! Really liked his run last start. Led and looked a huge chance on the bend, only to be run down late and just missed out on a placing in stronger than this. They ran home in 3 successive 29 second quarters in that race and those sort of times go close to winning this. Leads again and if left alone, I reckon he can win, but I'm not as confident as yesterday. Expect $15
RESULT: 4th. Led and had every possible chance. Fair chance it'll never win a race again
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Rae 5 No 3 Gian
Big run last start beating home Nikkis Delight who is in good form and the start previous finished well ahead on Boom Boom Hall one of his main rivals today. I reckon he can settle on the back of the 2 here with Boom Boom slow out from the 9 and settle 1x2 or 1x3 at worst. The 1 is likely to be favourite but unders for mine as a 3yo taken on the older horses. Great EW bet this one at around $6
RESULT: 2nd.. but beaten a long way. Collect $49.80
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Arrokeefe
Gets the gun run behind the 1 tonight and that horse should be good enough to take him into the sprint lane with momentum. This is much easier than what he has been racing against. At around $8 looks a great EW punt.
RESULT: 2nd. Had all the momentum up along the sprint lane but seemed to be hampered by the leader shifting in. No protest though.. Collect $49.80
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Blissfull Hart
I have plenty of time for this fella. Forget he started last week after he locked wheels and was pulled out of the race. First up he wasn't disgraced against some inform horses. Gets the gun trail behind the favourite and will get every opportunity to win this late. The key for me is most of the horses in this race are stepping up slightly in class whilst this is a step back for her. Expect $8
RESULT: WINNER! Super drive but had everything go right. Collect $159
DAY RESULT: WON $128.60
Race 2 No 1 Magic Attack
Call me cocky, I got a horse over the line that hadn't won for 2 years yesterday, lets go for 3! Really liked his run last start. Led and looked a huge chance on the bend, only to be run down late and just missed out on a placing in stronger than this. They ran home in 3 successive 29 second quarters in that race and those sort of times go close to winning this. Leads again and if left alone, I reckon he can win, but I'm not as confident as yesterday. Expect $15
RESULT: 4th. Led and had every possible chance. Fair chance it'll never win a race again
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Rae 5 No 3 Gian
Big run last start beating home Nikkis Delight who is in good form and the start previous finished well ahead on Boom Boom Hall one of his main rivals today. I reckon he can settle on the back of the 2 here with Boom Boom slow out from the 9 and settle 1x2 or 1x3 at worst. The 1 is likely to be favourite but unders for mine as a 3yo taken on the older horses. Great EW bet this one at around $6
RESULT: 2nd.. but beaten a long way. Collect $49.80
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Arrokeefe
Gets the gun run behind the 1 tonight and that horse should be good enough to take him into the sprint lane with momentum. This is much easier than what he has been racing against. At around $8 looks a great EW punt.
RESULT: 2nd. Had all the momentum up along the sprint lane but seemed to be hampered by the leader shifting in. No protest though.. Collect $49.80
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Blissfull Hart
I have plenty of time for this fella. Forget he started last week after he locked wheels and was pulled out of the race. First up he wasn't disgraced against some inform horses. Gets the gun trail behind the favourite and will get every opportunity to win this late. The key for me is most of the horses in this race are stepping up slightly in class whilst this is a step back for her. Expect $8
RESULT: WINNER! Super drive but had everything go right. Collect $159
DAY RESULT: WON $128.60
Terang, Wednesday 25th June
$50WIN
Race 1 No 7 In The Trenches
Went huge versus good 3yo's Melita Bromac and Azumah The Booma last week and meets weak opposition here. The only one to beat maybe the first starter but it's trials have been run in very slow time. I expect Douglas to drive aggressively here and it would be a surprise if it didn't break it's maiden status here at around $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! Money came for the first starter but Trenches was far too good from the death. Overs too. Collect $225
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Apeaceof His Story
Was beaten by not disgraced by the likely favourite here Pas Mate last start. Pas Mate sat outside the leader but got away with some slow sectionals early and just had the better run to hold off Apeaceof his story. Looks like there will be a bit more pressure on in this race which should suits and look for him to charge at them late at around $6
RESULT: 3rd. A little disappointing. Collect $57
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 The Red Opal
It's been a very long time between drinks for this fella but looks the leader tonight and that's where it races best, especially over the sprint distance. Forget last start when caught wide early and had to be restrained back to last. It's previous form was against C2/3 class horses and slots back against C1s here. Never going to get a better chance. Expect $10
RESULT: WINNER! Don't you love it when you're bloody confident on a horse at odds and it gets the job done!! Led and thought it was in huge trouble when the death horse was uncontrollable but he just kept going. Opened $41 for BET365 users. Collect $484
MEETING RESULT: Won $555
Race 1 No 7 In The Trenches
Went huge versus good 3yo's Melita Bromac and Azumah The Booma last week and meets weak opposition here. The only one to beat maybe the first starter but it's trials have been run in very slow time. I expect Douglas to drive aggressively here and it would be a surprise if it didn't break it's maiden status here at around $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! Money came for the first starter but Trenches was far too good from the death. Overs too. Collect $225
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Apeaceof His Story
Was beaten by not disgraced by the likely favourite here Pas Mate last start. Pas Mate sat outside the leader but got away with some slow sectionals early and just had the better run to hold off Apeaceof his story. Looks like there will be a bit more pressure on in this race which should suits and look for him to charge at them late at around $6
RESULT: 3rd. A little disappointing. Collect $57
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 The Red Opal
It's been a very long time between drinks for this fella but looks the leader tonight and that's where it races best, especially over the sprint distance. Forget last start when caught wide early and had to be restrained back to last. It's previous form was against C2/3 class horses and slots back against C1s here. Never going to get a better chance. Expect $10
RESULT: WINNER! Don't you love it when you're bloody confident on a horse at odds and it gets the job done!! Led and thought it was in huge trouble when the death horse was uncontrollable but he just kept going. Opened $41 for BET365 users. Collect $484
MEETING RESULT: Won $555
Cobram, Wednesday 25th June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Yankee Mara
Must be keen if I'm backing a trotter but it should have bolted in last start. Not sure what Moran was waiting for but had the race at his mercy with the leaders having little left in hand but sat last and only pulled out at the top of the straight and flashed home. Driver replaced today with the trainer taking over and expect him to be driven more aggressively today. Look a great ew bet especially with the likely odds on pop drawn inside back row. No thanks. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Never again, thanks trotters..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Shakchloe
Shes had her problems over the past 2 years but her first 2 runs back from a spell have been ok. Even though she finished 9th of 10 last start she never got a clear run after lobbing 1x1. Her first up run was very good. Gets the draw to win here today and importantly has won her only start here. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd. She walked out of the gate, costing her the position of where the winner came from.. Annoying. Collect $51
$25WIN
Race 6 No 11 Goezee
Thought his run against Frankie Valley in the Vicbred heats was fantastic. Never really balanced up until entering the straight but finished off very well late. The draw is a little concern at this track hence the smaller bet but just looks the best form horse of the race by a mile. Wins with average luck. Expect $5
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $4.40 on BET365, closed $3. Collect $75
MEETING RESULT: Won $1.. Bloody trotters
Race 1 No 6 Yankee Mara
Must be keen if I'm backing a trotter but it should have bolted in last start. Not sure what Moran was waiting for but had the race at his mercy with the leaders having little left in hand but sat last and only pulled out at the top of the straight and flashed home. Driver replaced today with the trainer taking over and expect him to be driven more aggressively today. Look a great ew bet especially with the likely odds on pop drawn inside back row. No thanks. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Never again, thanks trotters..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Shakchloe
Shes had her problems over the past 2 years but her first 2 runs back from a spell have been ok. Even though she finished 9th of 10 last start she never got a clear run after lobbing 1x1. Her first up run was very good. Gets the draw to win here today and importantly has won her only start here. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd. She walked out of the gate, costing her the position of where the winner came from.. Annoying. Collect $51
$25WIN
Race 6 No 11 Goezee
Thought his run against Frankie Valley in the Vicbred heats was fantastic. Never really balanced up until entering the straight but finished off very well late. The draw is a little concern at this track hence the smaller bet but just looks the best form horse of the race by a mile. Wins with average luck. Expect $5
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $4.40 on BET365, closed $3. Collect $75
MEETING RESULT: Won $1.. Bloody trotters
Bendigo, Tuesday 24th June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Suspicious Behaviour
Didn't think it's run was too bad over the longer journey first up even though it finished 2nd last. Much better suited over this distance and it's a great EW bet at OK odds here.
RESULT: 4th. Started way shorter than what it should've and was disappointing.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Uroc Mman
Looked a little disappointing to me last start but it's turned out to bad a very strong form race. Back to the mile, off the front row looks ideal. Expect him to be in front shortly after the start and be too strong for them
RESULT: WINNER! Led and probably a little lucky to win with Lights N Music pretty stiff. On the right side of the ledger for once! Collect $110
MEETING RESULT: Won $10
Race 7 No 1 Suspicious Behaviour
Didn't think it's run was too bad over the longer journey first up even though it finished 2nd last. Much better suited over this distance and it's a great EW bet at OK odds here.
RESULT: 4th. Started way shorter than what it should've and was disappointing.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Uroc Mman
Looked a little disappointing to me last start but it's turned out to bad a very strong form race. Back to the mile, off the front row looks ideal. Expect him to be in front shortly after the start and be too strong for them
RESULT: WINNER! Led and probably a little lucky to win with Lights N Music pretty stiff. On the right side of the ledger for once! Collect $110
MEETING RESULT: Won $10
Warragul, Monday 23rd June
A big day for me sponsoring the Traralgon Cup and great to give something back to the sport I love. So today I've put together my predicted finishes of every race and my suggested bets for selected races
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Melton Little Max
Form looks horrific on paper but it's been running better than that suggests. Needs a gate 1 or 8 draw to get the right run it loves, leaders back. Think he can hold up that position here and even with only the 2 places being paid in the 7 horse field today, looks a good chance to roll them late via the sprint lane at big odds. Expect $25+
RESULT: 2nd. Opened the odds I expected ($8 a place!) but really was hammered in betting starting $4.60. Had every chance on the sprint lane and I must admit, I thought he should've run down Now & Forever but got no where near it. Collect $ 69
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Stormont Czar
It's only run over this distance it went huge running 2nd to Major Score from the death in good time at Kilmore. Did well against very good horses at Shepparton last start and certainly wasn't disgraced even though beaten 17 metres by Business In Motion. Nothing like that class in this, looks the leader and winner at around $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Scratching of the 9 tightened in his odds but I was surprised he started the odds he did. Won easily and the $2.20 on offer was very nice indeed. Collect $100
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Popeye Village
Maddie Ray the junior driver, has really found a way not to get a run on this bloke it's past 2 months but to be fair, from horrible draws. Should've gone very close to winning 2 starts ago. The 2, it's stablemate, looks the early leader and Popeye will have the perfect run behind the leader. Senior driver back on today with the 2 having Maddies services. Has shown a liking for the longer distances and I'm really keen on his top 3 chances today at around $6
RESULT: WINNER! Well, started way shorter than I thought it would but Senior told junior before the race who was winning and I reckon a few punters knew it. Collect $180
MEETING RESULT: Won $149
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Melton Little Max
Form looks horrific on paper but it's been running better than that suggests. Needs a gate 1 or 8 draw to get the right run it loves, leaders back. Think he can hold up that position here and even with only the 2 places being paid in the 7 horse field today, looks a good chance to roll them late via the sprint lane at big odds. Expect $25+
RESULT: 2nd. Opened the odds I expected ($8 a place!) but really was hammered in betting starting $4.60. Had every chance on the sprint lane and I must admit, I thought he should've run down Now & Forever but got no where near it. Collect $ 69
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Stormont Czar
It's only run over this distance it went huge running 2nd to Major Score from the death in good time at Kilmore. Did well against very good horses at Shepparton last start and certainly wasn't disgraced even though beaten 17 metres by Business In Motion. Nothing like that class in this, looks the leader and winner at around $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Scratching of the 9 tightened in his odds but I was surprised he started the odds he did. Won easily and the $2.20 on offer was very nice indeed. Collect $100
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Popeye Village
Maddie Ray the junior driver, has really found a way not to get a run on this bloke it's past 2 months but to be fair, from horrible draws. Should've gone very close to winning 2 starts ago. The 2, it's stablemate, looks the early leader and Popeye will have the perfect run behind the leader. Senior driver back on today with the 2 having Maddies services. Has shown a liking for the longer distances and I'm really keen on his top 3 chances today at around $6
RESULT: WINNER! Well, started way shorter than I thought it would but Senior told junior before the race who was winning and I reckon a few punters knew it. Collect $180
MEETING RESULT: Won $149
Ballarat, Sunday 22nd June
Sorry followers, this is a horrific meeting and keen to stay away.. Geez, Warragul Monday not looking much better, apart from the poggaharness.com Traralgon Cup!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Nikkis Delight
Never put into the race last start and really should've won by a long way. Gets a better draw today and looks either leader of leaders back. At around $10, looks the value bet of the race
RESULT: 2nd. Interesting drive but was never beating the winner who looks something special. Collect $48
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Nikkis Delight
Never put into the race last start and really should've won by a long way. Gets a better draw today and looks either leader of leaders back. At around $10, looks the value bet of the race
RESULT: 2nd. Interesting drive but was never beating the winner who looks something special. Collect $48
Kilmore, Saturday 21st June
$50WIN
Race 1 No 7 Melita Bromac
Drops back nicely in class here tonight. Forget last start when they walked early and that gave the back markers no chance of running home in 54 second last half. I hope Alex pushes forward here tonight because I think it can death seat and win. Still the class horse of the race and is the one to beat even if they go back early. Marked at $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Deserved to win after doing all the work, just grabbed on the line
Race 1 No 7 Melita Bromac
Drops back nicely in class here tonight. Forget last start when they walked early and that gave the back markers no chance of running home in 54 second last half. I hope Alex pushes forward here tonight because I think it can death seat and win. Still the class horse of the race and is the one to beat even if they go back early. Marked at $2.50
RESULT: 2nd. Deserved to win after doing all the work, just grabbed on the line
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 He's Kinky
Was huge at Melton last start and has won 2 from 2 at this track, a track some horses find hard to handle. Really hoping Classy Guy leads early because I think he'll hand up to Kinky and that for mine will be game over. Expect $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! I got $5.50 for the Pogga Punt Club and it jumped at $2.30. Thanks BET365. Collect $110
Race 4 No 4 He's Kinky
Was huge at Melton last start and has won 2 from 2 at this track, a track some horses find hard to handle. Really hoping Classy Guy leads early because I think he'll hand up to Kinky and that for mine will be game over. Expect $2.5
RESULT: WINNER! I got $5.50 for the Pogga Punt Club and it jumped at $2.30. Thanks BET365. Collect $110
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Earth Angel
Was very unlucky not to go close last start against some very good mares last start. Leads here and looks bloody hard to beat from the top with the only danger the Tassy. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd. Opened $11, jumped big unders & favourite at $3.60. Led and had every chance but outstayed. Collect $85.80
Race 5 No 2 Earth Angel
Was very unlucky not to go close last start against some very good mares last start. Leads here and looks bloody hard to beat from the top with the only danger the Tassy. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd. Opened $11, jumped big unders & favourite at $3.60. Led and had every chance but outstayed. Collect $85.80
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Shifty Shivas
Went HUGE last time out. Death seated in a very fast lead time and first half but just whacking away late to hold 3rd. Finally snags a good draw and will be leading these early. Going to be hard to be Hectorjayjay but it's got the big draw advantage. Expect $7
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing after having an easy run in front.
Race 7 No 1 Shifty Shivas
Went HUGE last time out. Death seated in a very fast lead time and first half but just whacking away late to hold 3rd. Finally snags a good draw and will be leading these early. Going to be hard to be Hectorjayjay but it's got the big draw advantage. Expect $7
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing after having an easy run in front.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Jaxon Fella
Really finished his last preparation off well but you could tell it needed a break after it's last win. Freshened up for this and get the draw to help it. If it's anywhere near right, which it's trial suggests, it wins this. Expect $4. Keep your eye on the place odds for Smart Major. Forget it's last start run and gets a cold sit on them here. It looks a dead set BET365 overs job
RESULT: LOST! Led and weakened. It's a better horse than that but that one hurt.
MEETING RESULT: Poor couple of nights, but we'll be back. Lost $214.20
Race 8 No 1 Jaxon Fella
Really finished his last preparation off well but you could tell it needed a break after it's last win. Freshened up for this and get the draw to help it. If it's anywhere near right, which it's trial suggests, it wins this. Expect $4. Keep your eye on the place odds for Smart Major. Forget it's last start run and gets a cold sit on them here. It looks a dead set BET365 overs job
RESULT: LOST! Led and weakened. It's a better horse than that but that one hurt.
MEETING RESULT: Poor couple of nights, but we'll be back. Lost $214.20
Melton, Friday 20th June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 7 Our Son Of Courage
Not an ideal draw but reckon if you forget it's run against Lenny The Shark, he's form is much better than these. One of those runs included beaten Travtiano (one of his biggest dangers here) and Classic Icon on their merits. His best mile rate of 1:55 was at the track and distance. I really hope he pushes forward from his draw tonight with a slight possibility the lead is up for grabs. Even from the death is a great chance. If they restrain early it'll make his task a little tough because it's hard to see where the pace will come from in this race. Currently $11 on IASBET/SB
RESULT: LOST! Should've spoke to Daryl Douglas before the race. He knew he was giving it no chance
Race 4 No 7 Our Son Of Courage
Not an ideal draw but reckon if you forget it's run against Lenny The Shark, he's form is much better than these. One of those runs included beaten Travtiano (one of his biggest dangers here) and Classic Icon on their merits. His best mile rate of 1:55 was at the track and distance. I really hope he pushes forward from his draw tonight with a slight possibility the lead is up for grabs. Even from the death is a great chance. If they restrain early it'll make his task a little tough because it's hard to see where the pace will come from in this race. Currently $11 on IASBET/SB
RESULT: LOST! Should've spoke to Daryl Douglas before the race. He knew he was giving it no chance
$100WIN MULTI
Race 7 No 2 Keayang Cullen
Race 8 No 1 Highview Conall
Both look the leaders in their respective races and I think Keayang Cullen is close to unbeatable. $1.85 early is huge odds. Highview Conall $1.70 IASBET currently but we might get slightly better. Again Highview looks far too good for it's rivals from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! Highview lets us down. Don't think it was ever winning with the outside horses getting momentum but it was a weird looking drive
Race 7 No 2 Keayang Cullen
Race 8 No 1 Highview Conall
Both look the leaders in their respective races and I think Keayang Cullen is close to unbeatable. $1.85 early is huge odds. Highview Conall $1.70 IASBET currently but we might get slightly better. Again Highview looks far too good for it's rivals from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! Highview lets us down. Don't think it was ever winning with the outside horses getting momentum but it was a weird looking drive
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 12 Stylish Jasper
Risky punt here but she's a mare very well suited to this class and back against her own sex. Simply outclassed last start against strong M0's and had to be used up a little early to keep a forward position which she can't do. The back row suits because she can ease back early and will be likely to follow Bellasario into the race. Don't go crazy with your punt here as she will need a few things to go right but $41 for the best performed mare in the race is crazy talk.
RESULT: LOST! Never saw daylight after going 3 pegs and the leaders collapsed.
Race 1 No 12 Stylish Jasper
Risky punt here but she's a mare very well suited to this class and back against her own sex. Simply outclassed last start against strong M0's and had to be used up a little early to keep a forward position which she can't do. The back row suits because she can ease back early and will be likely to follow Bellasario into the race. Don't go crazy with your punt here as she will need a few things to go right but $41 for the best performed mare in the race is crazy talk.
RESULT: LOST! Never saw daylight after going 3 pegs and the leaders collapsed.
Mildura, Thursday 19th June
It didn't work last time but I'm going again in what looks a meeting to stay away from:
THE CRAMPY MULTI
$50WIN
Race 4 No1 Alderbaron Macha
Race 7 No 2 Beticanfly
RESULT: LOST! I know the secret to the Cramp! When Zac is on, get off. Not his best drive..
THE CRAMPY MULTI
$50WIN
Race 4 No1 Alderbaron Macha
Race 7 No 2 Beticanfly
RESULT: LOST! I know the secret to the Cramp! When Zac is on, get off. Not his best drive..
Maryborough, Thursday 19th June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Holdonsu
HUGE run last start. Almost knocked out of the race early and lost valuable ground before settling last of the main field. Finished on hard late to beat home Smokey Quartz who'd start odds on in this. Going to need a little bit of luck in this but I'd rather be on him than Time Capsule first up. Expect $8
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $12 on BET365.. Amazing. Closed $2.60. Just too good for them Collect $109
Race 5 No 11 Holdonsu
HUGE run last start. Almost knocked out of the race early and lost valuable ground before settling last of the main field. Finished on hard late to beat home Smokey Quartz who'd start odds on in this. Going to need a little bit of luck in this but I'd rather be on him than Time Capsule first up. Expect $8
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $12 on BET365.. Amazing. Closed $2.60. Just too good for them Collect $109
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Distant Memory
Super run in the Newcastle Oaks after leading and not coming up for air in a crazy time over the 2550metres for 3yo fillies. Great win over the sprint trip after working hard early last start suggests it's holding its form well for this. Leads these and I'd expect it to hold the lead and be too strong for My Bella Star. Expect $2.5-$3
RESULT: 2nd. Led and not good enough to beat My Bella Star
DAY RESULT: Lost $41
Race 7 No 5 Distant Memory
Super run in the Newcastle Oaks after leading and not coming up for air in a crazy time over the 2550metres for 3yo fillies. Great win over the sprint trip after working hard early last start suggests it's holding its form well for this. Leads these and I'd expect it to hold the lead and be too strong for My Bella Star. Expect $2.5-$3
RESULT: 2nd. Led and not good enough to beat My Bella Star
DAY RESULT: Lost $41
Melton, Wednesday 18th June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Sweet Wise
Has never missed a place over the sprint distance and I reckon he is right in this against some pretty weak opposition. The only problem is Anna Faye may get an easy run in front but I rate the 2 of them on par over the distance so with even luck @ around the $6 mark, Id rather take the odds on Sweet Wise. (Get on early)
RESULT: LOST! Wow, started $88 on NSW tote. Thought he was a little stiff not to finish closer after it and Never Let Me Go got inconvenienced by Hens Party who broke down.
Race 3 No 10 Sweet Wise
Has never missed a place over the sprint distance and I reckon he is right in this against some pretty weak opposition. The only problem is Anna Faye may get an easy run in front but I rate the 2 of them on par over the distance so with even luck @ around the $6 mark, Id rather take the odds on Sweet Wise. (Get on early)
RESULT: LOST! Wow, started $88 on NSW tote. Thought he was a little stiff not to finish closer after it and Never Let Me Go got inconvenienced by Hens Party who broke down.
Shepparton, Wednesday 18th June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Artarama
Just wasn't suited last start after they walked in front. I still liked the way he worked home late and with there likely to be a good speed on here he should be suited nicely at around the $15 mark
RESULT: 4th. David Miles decides to go 5 back the pegs. Genius. Hit the line well again but a mile away from the top 3.
FINISH PREDICTION:
Race 5 No 11 Artarama
Just wasn't suited last start after they walked in front. I still liked the way he worked home late and with there likely to be a good speed on here he should be suited nicely at around the $15 mark
RESULT: 4th. David Miles decides to go 5 back the pegs. Genius. Hit the line well again but a mile away from the top 3.
FINISH PREDICTION:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Frankie Valley
His hopes really hinge on the 1 holding the lead but if it does, he's in this up to his ears. Beat Real Character last start who impressively franked that form last Saturday. Also beat home Royal Capone that night so has the score on the board, albeit from in front last time. Still happy to be on at an EW basis but I'm struggling to mark odds for the race. Should be double figures from the draw though
RESULT: WINNER! Frankie does it again for us! Collect $250
FINISH PREDICTION:
Race 7 No 8 Frankie Valley
His hopes really hinge on the 1 holding the lead but if it does, he's in this up to his ears. Beat Real Character last start who impressively franked that form last Saturday. Also beat home Royal Capone that night so has the score on the board, albeit from in front last time. Still happy to be on at an EW basis but I'm struggling to mark odds for the race. Should be double figures from the draw though
RESULT: WINNER! Frankie does it again for us! Collect $250
FINISH PREDICTION:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Daylight Dan
Been in red hot form without winning lately. Forget last start when in a small field vs Cramp at Mildura. They ran 55seconds in the last half after walking early and had no chance running those sort of times late. His runs 2,3 & 4 starts back were all first class for a race like this and should get the speed right on throughout. Just needs the right drag into late and we're a chance @ around $25.
FINISH PREDICTION:
Race 8 No 3 Daylight Dan
Been in red hot form without winning lately. Forget last start when in a small field vs Cramp at Mildura. They ran 55seconds in the last half after walking early and had no chance running those sort of times late. His runs 2,3 & 4 starts back were all first class for a race like this and should get the speed right on throughout. Just needs the right drag into late and we're a chance @ around $25.
FINISH PREDICTION:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 10 No 8 Glenferrie Blade
Been running well against good class and looks the horse most suited to this distance. In his past 3 starts just hasn't been able to get into clear racing room without a jostle with another horse which has cost it momentum in every run, though hasn't been close enough to them to be a winning chance. There isn't a whole heap of speed early in the race and I think he can hold the leaders back and with the 1 the one to beat, should get every chance in the run to the line today
DAY RESULT: 1 winner from a shit load of tips and we finish even..
Race 10 No 8 Glenferrie Blade
Been running well against good class and looks the horse most suited to this distance. In his past 3 starts just hasn't been able to get into clear racing room without a jostle with another horse which has cost it momentum in every run, though hasn't been close enough to them to be a winning chance. There isn't a whole heap of speed early in the race and I think he can hold the leaders back and with the 1 the one to beat, should get every chance in the run to the line today
DAY RESULT: 1 winner from a shit load of tips and we finish even..
Geelong, Tuesday 17th June
QUADDIE
$24 for 200%
3 / 2-8 / 2 / 1-2-3-6-8-9
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Lots More Art (7:00pm AEDT)
Danger danger, tipping a 17 start maiden to salute here but it's been racing extremely well from bad draws against a wee bit stronger than what it meets tonight. Was snagged back from a bad draw and had to come 4 and 5 wide at Charlton. To snag 3rd from that position on that track is some effort. It'll never have a better opportunity to win than it does today. Leads and wins for mine at around the $2.5 mark but I wouldn't be surprised if he was popular with the punters tonight.
RESULT: LOST! What a cat. NEVER AGAIN..
$24 for 200%
3 / 2-8 / 2 / 1-2-3-6-8-9
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Lots More Art (7:00pm AEDT)
Danger danger, tipping a 17 start maiden to salute here but it's been racing extremely well from bad draws against a wee bit stronger than what it meets tonight. Was snagged back from a bad draw and had to come 4 and 5 wide at Charlton. To snag 3rd from that position on that track is some effort. It'll never have a better opportunity to win than it does today. Leads and wins for mine at around the $2.5 mark but I wouldn't be surprised if he was popular with the punters tonight.
RESULT: LOST! What a cat. NEVER AGAIN..
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Captain Bronzie (7:30pm AEDT)
Was just outclassed from a poor draw last week against the very impressive Iceobar and Show Me The Bling but certainly not disgraced. Back to the front row draw here and looks the leader. Exactly where you want to be at Geelong and should be around the $4 mark
RESULT: LOST! 2 from 2 tonight that were very disappointing. Was backed into odds on on BET365, hopefully not poggaharness members having a crack!
Race 5 No 3 Captain Bronzie (7:30pm AEDT)
Was just outclassed from a poor draw last week against the very impressive Iceobar and Show Me The Bling but certainly not disgraced. Back to the front row draw here and looks the leader. Exactly where you want to be at Geelong and should be around the $4 mark
RESULT: LOST! 2 from 2 tonight that were very disappointing. Was backed into odds on on BET365, hopefully not poggaharness members having a crack!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Bettors Package (8:00pm AEDT)
Takes on the impressive Barynya here but has the draw advantage that Barynya had last time. Should zoom to the front early and typically in heats of these types of series the leader is left alone and gets every opportunity. Take the early odds as I expect her to be backed confidently here. Marked it $3.5 and that what I expect her to open at.
RESULT: 2nd. Had to go forward early. I have no doubt the lead was up for grabs for it but maybe because it's a heat, Gavin Lang wasn't keen to push the issue. Probably loses anyway
Race 6 No 2 Bettors Package (8:00pm AEDT)
Takes on the impressive Barynya here but has the draw advantage that Barynya had last time. Should zoom to the front early and typically in heats of these types of series the leader is left alone and gets every opportunity. Take the early odds as I expect her to be backed confidently here. Marked it $3.5 and that what I expect her to open at.
RESULT: 2nd. Had to go forward early. I have no doubt the lead was up for grabs for it but maybe because it's a heat, Gavin Lang wasn't keen to push the issue. Probably loses anyway
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Glenferrie Shuffle (8:30pm AEDT)
Drops back to weak C2/3 class here after a string of good wins. The problem with her is that she's a sit sprinter that always seems to have excuses but I expect her to be driven a lot more aggressively tonight and it would be a major surprise to see her get rolled. Here I go tipping a favourite but I've been waiting for her to strike a winnable race and this is it. Don't be taking crazy odds though. I marked her $1.80
RESULT: 3rd. Started way too short and was really disappointing. Race didn't suit her style but no excuse for tipping it. Poor tipping
MEETING RESULT: Duck eggs!! Embarrassing night but I'll get back to what I do best and that's tipping value. I had value throughout the night in the predicted finishes.. Anyway
Race 7 No 2 Glenferrie Shuffle (8:30pm AEDT)
Drops back to weak C2/3 class here after a string of good wins. The problem with her is that she's a sit sprinter that always seems to have excuses but I expect her to be driven a lot more aggressively tonight and it would be a major surprise to see her get rolled. Here I go tipping a favourite but I've been waiting for her to strike a winnable race and this is it. Don't be taking crazy odds though. I marked her $1.80
RESULT: 3rd. Started way too short and was really disappointing. Race didn't suit her style but no excuse for tipping it. Poor tipping
MEETING RESULT: Duck eggs!! Embarrassing night but I'll get back to what I do best and that's tipping value. I had value throughout the night in the predicted finishes.. Anyway
Horsham, Monday 16th June
$50WIN
Race 3 No 3 Xavier Jack
This is one pretty average horse but meets horses that are one step away from the Pal factory. Has great gate speed when asked and just looks the leader and winner. Don't be taking anything shorter than $3
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $6.50 on BET365 thank you very much.. Closed at $3.90. Still happy with that! Collect $195
Race 3 No 3 Xavier Jack
This is one pretty average horse but meets horses that are one step away from the Pal factory. Has great gate speed when asked and just looks the leader and winner. Don't be taking anything shorter than $3
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $6.50 on BET365 thank you very much.. Closed at $3.90. Still happy with that! Collect $195
First of all, cant wait to watch Clark Griswald in the 2nd. It'll be long odds on but just looks a monster with raw talent. I'll keep an eagle eye out early for any stupidity from certain corporate bookies.
Other than that, it looks a real tough punting card so not a lot from me today, so I'll throw in a quaddie as well.
QUADDIE
$16 for 25%
2-3 / 1-3 / 1-5-6-8 / 1-5-7-9
RESULT: LOST! Out in the first leg
MEETING RESULT: Won $129
Other than that, it looks a real tough punting card so not a lot from me today, so I'll throw in a quaddie as well.
QUADDIE
$16 for 25%
2-3 / 1-3 / 1-5-6-8 / 1-5-7-9
RESULT: LOST! Out in the first leg
MEETING RESULT: Won $129
Cranbourne, Sunday 15th June
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Drunken Jeff
Forget his first up run against much stronger than this. Settled 1x2 and was dragged out to near last by a tiring horse and then just couldn't find a clear run. The are a couple of unknowns in the race with a couple of first starters, but for mine, he beats the raced brigade easily. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Handed up to the first starter and hit the front late only for the first start to kick back & win by a short half head.
$100WIN
Race 6 No 9 Rocky Carrington
Racing in super form. Raced 3 wide the majority of the race over the sprint trip and still had the cheek to run 2nd. He beat Pressplay his biggest danger home in that race and that horse had every opportunity to beat him. The extra distance is only a bonus. Looks the winner @ $2
RESULT: 2nd. Got to be kidding me. I was bloody confident on Rocky, still scratching my head on how Pressplay turned around last weeks result.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Richly Deserved
Thought her run was better than what it looks on paper against Fremarks Ceejay. The horse it was following was struggling to keep up at the 800 metres but Alford elected to stay in following it. Whilst that was happening the 3 favourites had kicked away 20-25metres in front of it. She ran on well late but the race was over but she held her ground against stronger than what she meets here. Good draw and she has good gate speed. Really like her chances of a top 3 finish at around $6
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Lets Go Happy
I ummed and ahhhed about whether to put this bloke in as a tip but I think he's worth the risk from the draw. Desperately unlucky after landing 3 pegs and getting shuffled out to last. He hit the line strong and wasn't beaten far. If Gavin manages to hold the lead on the 1 I think he wins but he's still a rough show from 3 back at around $8.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure why he wouldn't even attempt to hold the leaders back. Anyway, I wont be tipping it again anytime soon.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $200. Got a habit of giving back a bit after a good night..
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Drunken Jeff
Forget his first up run against much stronger than this. Settled 1x2 and was dragged out to near last by a tiring horse and then just couldn't find a clear run. The are a couple of unknowns in the race with a couple of first starters, but for mine, he beats the raced brigade easily. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Handed up to the first starter and hit the front late only for the first start to kick back & win by a short half head.
$100WIN
Race 6 No 9 Rocky Carrington
Racing in super form. Raced 3 wide the majority of the race over the sprint trip and still had the cheek to run 2nd. He beat Pressplay his biggest danger home in that race and that horse had every opportunity to beat him. The extra distance is only a bonus. Looks the winner @ $2
RESULT: 2nd. Got to be kidding me. I was bloody confident on Rocky, still scratching my head on how Pressplay turned around last weeks result.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Richly Deserved
Thought her run was better than what it looks on paper against Fremarks Ceejay. The horse it was following was struggling to keep up at the 800 metres but Alford elected to stay in following it. Whilst that was happening the 3 favourites had kicked away 20-25metres in front of it. She ran on well late but the race was over but she held her ground against stronger than what she meets here. Good draw and she has good gate speed. Really like her chances of a top 3 finish at around $6
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Lets Go Happy
I ummed and ahhhed about whether to put this bloke in as a tip but I think he's worth the risk from the draw. Desperately unlucky after landing 3 pegs and getting shuffled out to last. He hit the line strong and wasn't beaten far. If Gavin manages to hold the lead on the 1 I think he wins but he's still a rough show from 3 back at around $8.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure why he wouldn't even attempt to hold the leaders back. Anyway, I wont be tipping it again anytime soon.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $200. Got a habit of giving back a bit after a good night..
Ballarat, Saturday 14th June
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Graybuck
Racing in super form lately including a 3rd against Cold Major and Keayang Cullen and a 3rd to Composed. May lead the trip but likely to hand up to Metro Mike. Even without a sprint lane I think he'll get the space he needs late in this small field and looks hard to beat at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! Led the trip and just held out the fav. Opened $7! Collect $275
$50WIN
Race 6 No 9 Real Character
Very unlucky not to knock off Frankie Valley late (glad he didn't) last week. Looks a class above these even though he does find excuses to lose. At around $2.5 should be going very close
RESULT: WINNER! Never looked like losing after landing the 1x1. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Post It Away
Just can't take a trick this prep. Very unlucky last start. Even though never a chance to win should've finished much closer. I hate stand starts but I cant see him being beaten with a safe getaway at around $5
RESULT: WINNER! Somehow opened $1.85 but got out to the price it should've been late on NSW tote at $4.70. It was a race of centimetres as it was almost headed early but managed to keep them out and control the race from there. Collect $190
MEETING RESULT: Won $445. Not a bad way to spend a Saturday night
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Graybuck
Racing in super form lately including a 3rd against Cold Major and Keayang Cullen and a 3rd to Composed. May lead the trip but likely to hand up to Metro Mike. Even without a sprint lane I think he'll get the space he needs late in this small field and looks hard to beat at around $4
RESULT: WINNER! Led the trip and just held out the fav. Opened $7! Collect $275
$50WIN
Race 6 No 9 Real Character
Very unlucky not to knock off Frankie Valley late (glad he didn't) last week. Looks a class above these even though he does find excuses to lose. At around $2.5 should be going very close
RESULT: WINNER! Never looked like losing after landing the 1x1. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Post It Away
Just can't take a trick this prep. Very unlucky last start. Even though never a chance to win should've finished much closer. I hate stand starts but I cant see him being beaten with a safe getaway at around $5
RESULT: WINNER! Somehow opened $1.85 but got out to the price it should've been late on NSW tote at $4.70. It was a race of centimetres as it was almost headed early but managed to keep them out and control the race from there. Collect $190
MEETING RESULT: Won $445. Not a bad way to spend a Saturday night
Melton, Friday 13th June
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Magical Telf
Has been playing 2nd fiddle to it's stablemates in recent times but I reckon he looks suited even though it's drawn the 2nd row over the short distance. Was a very good 4th behind Lenny last start and was taking ground off Chilli Palmer late. This is a step back in class tonight and he'll have the advantage of following Amajorjo's every move. Reckon he'll be too strong late at around $3
RESULT: 2nd. Never looked a chance
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 13 Arts Bliss
Has very strong form across the state running some great races against some strong fast class horses. Ultra consistant and he wouldn't have been brought across here for a holiday. The depth of this race is very questionable and even from the back row looks a great we bet at close to double figure odds.
RESULT: OUCH.. Did nothing. Mid race move, death seated and gone a looong way out.
DAY RESULT: Lost $105
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Magical Telf
Has been playing 2nd fiddle to it's stablemates in recent times but I reckon he looks suited even though it's drawn the 2nd row over the short distance. Was a very good 4th behind Lenny last start and was taking ground off Chilli Palmer late. This is a step back in class tonight and he'll have the advantage of following Amajorjo's every move. Reckon he'll be too strong late at around $3
RESULT: 2nd. Never looked a chance
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 13 Arts Bliss
Has very strong form across the state running some great races against some strong fast class horses. Ultra consistant and he wouldn't have been brought across here for a holiday. The depth of this race is very questionable and even from the back row looks a great we bet at close to double figure odds.
RESULT: OUCH.. Did nothing. Mid race move, death seated and gone a looong way out.
DAY RESULT: Lost $105
Mildura, Friday 13th June
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Rate Highly
Gets a very easy lead here and the only issue will be whether he's fit enough. Unsure what odds we'll get here but hopefully the punters come for Crampy. Expecting at least $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! We got lucky after he was crossed early but the leader broke leaving us in the lead. Game over from there. Opened $3. Closed $1.7 fixed. Collect $95
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Beachstar
Looks like it'll be suited by some crazy early speed here and whether Bellman moves mid race or has the last crack at them, she looks bloody hard to beat. Praying for better than $3
RESULT: 3rd. Good run, just too hard to make up ground on the leaders
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Rate Highly
Gets a very easy lead here and the only issue will be whether he's fit enough. Unsure what odds we'll get here but hopefully the punters come for Crampy. Expecting at least $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! We got lucky after he was crossed early but the leader broke leaving us in the lead. Game over from there. Opened $3. Closed $1.7 fixed. Collect $95
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Beachstar
Looks like it'll be suited by some crazy early speed here and whether Bellman moves mid race or has the last crack at them, she looks bloody hard to beat. Praying for better than $3
RESULT: 3rd. Good run, just too hard to make up ground on the leaders
Shepparton, Thursday 12th June
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Who Broke Our Halo
Liked his run last start even though it finished 2nd in the slowest heat. Had to work mid race and death seated the last lap and was only beaten by the horse who had the easy sprint lane run. Id be surprised if he didn't lead these early and they're going to find it extremely had to run him down in front. Great EW bet at around $5
RESULT: 4th. I was surprised. Didn't lead and it's too one paced to win from behind the leader
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Courageousnquick
She's been running without luck against Australia's best mares and this is a huge step back in class. Has been racing best over the longer distances this preparation and looks perfectly suited from gate 1. Currently at $3.75 on BET365, I'm happy to take that. Sophies Ideal is the query runner but I'm happy to take her on over the longer distance.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & I was worried at the turn but she found plenty. Collect $375
MEETING RESULT: Won $175
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Who Broke Our Halo
Liked his run last start even though it finished 2nd in the slowest heat. Had to work mid race and death seated the last lap and was only beaten by the horse who had the easy sprint lane run. Id be surprised if he didn't lead these early and they're going to find it extremely had to run him down in front. Great EW bet at around $5
RESULT: 4th. I was surprised. Didn't lead and it's too one paced to win from behind the leader
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Courageousnquick
She's been running without luck against Australia's best mares and this is a huge step back in class. Has been racing best over the longer distances this preparation and looks perfectly suited from gate 1. Currently at $3.75 on BET365, I'm happy to take that. Sophies Ideal is the query runner but I'm happy to take her on over the longer distance.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & I was worried at the turn but she found plenty. Collect $375
MEETING RESULT: Won $175
Charlton, Thursday 12th June
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Nikkis Delight
Followers know this horse pretty well and it's yet to salute for us but reckon it's suited over the longer distance today. I expect the Ole Buckaroo and Tezz Khora to burn early and there is a likelihood of constant pressure in this race which Tezz Khora hates. I think Nikki's will get a nice sit just off the lead and at around $20 looks a sneaky chance.
RESULT: 3rd. I wasn't far off the price. Started $18/$3.5 with most corps. Another good run but finding it hard to win. Bloody s-tab gives us a lovely $2.5 a place. Might start using mid tote as the guide for collects! Collect $75
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Buddyonit
This is probably a little step up in class from last start but he's a blackbooker after an unlucky 2nd last start. Forget the time they ran as he only saw daylight late. Extra distance suits
RESULT: 2nd. Very good run. Absorbed a whole lot of pressure early and the odds on fav just outstayed him late after having an easier run. Collect $60
QUADDIE
$24 for 100%
2 / 1-3-8-11 / 4-6-9 / 2-11
RESULT: Lets go through each leg:
1: Winner at $1.30
2: Tip the trifecta but odds on fav wins
3: Tip the trifecta and the odds on fav just holds on
4: Tip the quinella and the odds on fav just gets the better of the 2 late.
Collect $4.90. Bloody hell
MEETING RESULT: Won $15.90. Don't spend it all at once..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Nikkis Delight
Followers know this horse pretty well and it's yet to salute for us but reckon it's suited over the longer distance today. I expect the Ole Buckaroo and Tezz Khora to burn early and there is a likelihood of constant pressure in this race which Tezz Khora hates. I think Nikki's will get a nice sit just off the lead and at around $20 looks a sneaky chance.
RESULT: 3rd. I wasn't far off the price. Started $18/$3.5 with most corps. Another good run but finding it hard to win. Bloody s-tab gives us a lovely $2.5 a place. Might start using mid tote as the guide for collects! Collect $75
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Buddyonit
This is probably a little step up in class from last start but he's a blackbooker after an unlucky 2nd last start. Forget the time they ran as he only saw daylight late. Extra distance suits
RESULT: 2nd. Very good run. Absorbed a whole lot of pressure early and the odds on fav just outstayed him late after having an easier run. Collect $60
QUADDIE
$24 for 100%
2 / 1-3-8-11 / 4-6-9 / 2-11
RESULT: Lets go through each leg:
1: Winner at $1.30
2: Tip the trifecta but odds on fav wins
3: Tip the trifecta and the odds on fav just holds on
4: Tip the quinella and the odds on fav just gets the better of the 2 late.
Collect $4.90. Bloody hell
MEETING RESULT: Won $15.90. Don't spend it all at once..
Geelong, Wednesday 11th June
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 The Rogue Trader
Looks well suited here even against trial flyer Our El Fuego. Showed no gate speed 2 starts back but had the perfect 1x1 sit but Nigel decided it was to be best to sit outside the favourite where it had no hope. Still it battled on well for a close up 4th and funnily enough, I think the death is where it can win from tonight at around $6
RESULT: LOST! Not sure why Nathan was in so much of a hurry. Opened $35, closed at $4.80 and thought we were in the queue when it rolled to the lead. Why he didn't put the breaks on once he got there I don't know but ultimately it wasn't good enough.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Extremely Efficient
Ive got a bit of time for this bloke. Forget he went around it's last starts after it was caught 3 wide the first lap in a 58 second first half. Did well to only be beaten by 12metres. It's previous form was good for a race like this, back down to C2 class. The problem here is he won't be able to hold out Walky Talky early but that horse doesn't usually hand up. From the leaders back looks a huge chance. Any further back than that we're in trouble.
RESULT: 3rd. 3 pegs and we were in trouble. Never got a look in.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 The Rogue Trader
Looks well suited here even against trial flyer Our El Fuego. Showed no gate speed 2 starts back but had the perfect 1x1 sit but Nigel decided it was to be best to sit outside the favourite where it had no hope. Still it battled on well for a close up 4th and funnily enough, I think the death is where it can win from tonight at around $6
RESULT: LOST! Not sure why Nathan was in so much of a hurry. Opened $35, closed at $4.80 and thought we were in the queue when it rolled to the lead. Why he didn't put the breaks on once he got there I don't know but ultimately it wasn't good enough.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Extremely Efficient
Ive got a bit of time for this bloke. Forget he went around it's last starts after it was caught 3 wide the first lap in a 58 second first half. Did well to only be beaten by 12metres. It's previous form was good for a race like this, back down to C2 class. The problem here is he won't be able to hold out Walky Talky early but that horse doesn't usually hand up. From the leaders back looks a huge chance. Any further back than that we're in trouble.
RESULT: 3rd. 3 pegs and we were in trouble. Never got a look in.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Maryborough, Wednesday 11th June
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Beau Reve
Has found consistency in his racing now and looks like the first favourite to hit the pegs here. If he finds the front, it's game over for mine @ around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Opened at $2 and wins at $1.80. Too short for mine but hopefully someone snagged the $2. Collect $90
Race 7 No 6 Beau Reve
Has found consistency in his racing now and looks like the first favourite to hit the pegs here. If he finds the front, it's game over for mine @ around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Opened at $2 and wins at $1.80. Too short for mine but hopefully someone snagged the $2. Collect $90
Kilmore, Tuesday 10th June
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Dainty Cloud
I'm really playing risky here but we have money under the belt and I reckon this horse has found the type of draw, distance and class it needs. Liked its run 2 starts back when trailing the leader over 2150m at Bendigo. Even though it had its chance, it just struggles to run out a strong middle distance but loomed up strongly before the turn. That's a good form indicator for a race such as this. Forget it's last run altogether when never a chance from back in the field. Settles on Wounded's back and in what looks to be a constant fast pace in the race, I think Dainty can go close late at around $20
RESULT: LOST!, Had every chance, just not good enough
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Artarama
Loved it's run last start. Had to make a mid race move, took cover but the horse that it took cover off folded in it's lap and he lost valuable ground. Had to make it up 3 wide without cover and the tough run took it's toll late finishing 5th. It's a super form race with both A Bit Ruthless running 3rd since winning and Dentona 4th winning at Melton. Should get the speed on early here. If they go too crazy I'm not sure how he won't win @ around $5
RESULT: 3rd. Just wasn't put into the race and the leaders got away with murder. Good run considering. Collect $120
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 10 No 9 Its Girl Power
Comes into this very weak claimer with stronger Riverina form, and was very good the last time in Vic when 2nd in a stand start race in a 56 sec last half and was unlucky not to win. Just needs an ounce of luck to win this. Very hard to price this race but should be around the $8 mark
RESULT: LOST! Why did I have a crack at a claimer? That was awful
DAY RESULT: Lost $130..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Dainty Cloud
I'm really playing risky here but we have money under the belt and I reckon this horse has found the type of draw, distance and class it needs. Liked its run 2 starts back when trailing the leader over 2150m at Bendigo. Even though it had its chance, it just struggles to run out a strong middle distance but loomed up strongly before the turn. That's a good form indicator for a race such as this. Forget it's last run altogether when never a chance from back in the field. Settles on Wounded's back and in what looks to be a constant fast pace in the race, I think Dainty can go close late at around $20
RESULT: LOST!, Had every chance, just not good enough
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Artarama
Loved it's run last start. Had to make a mid race move, took cover but the horse that it took cover off folded in it's lap and he lost valuable ground. Had to make it up 3 wide without cover and the tough run took it's toll late finishing 5th. It's a super form race with both A Bit Ruthless running 3rd since winning and Dentona 4th winning at Melton. Should get the speed on early here. If they go too crazy I'm not sure how he won't win @ around $5
RESULT: 3rd. Just wasn't put into the race and the leaders got away with murder. Good run considering. Collect $120
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 10 No 9 Its Girl Power
Comes into this very weak claimer with stronger Riverina form, and was very good the last time in Vic when 2nd in a stand start race in a 56 sec last half and was unlucky not to win. Just needs an ounce of luck to win this. Very hard to price this race but should be around the $8 mark
RESULT: LOST! Why did I have a crack at a claimer? That was awful
DAY RESULT: Lost $130..
Hamilton, Monday 9th June
BEST ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Oarsome Rhys
I've won a bucket load on this fella over the years as he has a habit of winning at massive odds. His first 2 runs this time in have been OK. Got stuck 3 wide early and couldn't get in so was restrained out to last and was always going to struggle last start. I liked his first up run considering it was his first run for 2 years. Death seated after working hard early and wasn't beaten far but it was a slow time. Gets the perfect draw here. Either leads of takes a sit on the leaders back. 3rd up should be almost ready to ri but it could be one of those tips that could go very wrong! At around $20, worth a gamble in the small field.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Beau Ciel
Was absolutely bolting at Horsham last start but never got a crack at them after being 3 pegs on a track with no sprint lane. Settles leaders back at best here but likely to be 3 pegs if the 1 hands up to Young Modern. If it doesn't and he ends up behind the leader I'm really keen on his chances at around $15.
RESULT: 2nd. Thought he was home on the turn after overtaking the $1.30 shot but was outsprinted by the longshot of the field. Collect $116 (bigger odds available outside of Vic Tote)
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Forced Out
I know I did say no more favourites but this bloke looks over the line here and I reckon we'll be able to snag some good odds early. Went really well last start against much stronger after handing up the lead and didn't get the clearest of runs late. Leads here and wins easily for mine
RESULT: WINNER! Couldn't have scripted it any better. Opened $2.90 on some corps, jumped at $1.80. Led and brained them. If only betting was always that easy. Collect $200
MEETING RESULT: Won $166
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Oarsome Rhys
I've won a bucket load on this fella over the years as he has a habit of winning at massive odds. His first 2 runs this time in have been OK. Got stuck 3 wide early and couldn't get in so was restrained out to last and was always going to struggle last start. I liked his first up run considering it was his first run for 2 years. Death seated after working hard early and wasn't beaten far but it was a slow time. Gets the perfect draw here. Either leads of takes a sit on the leaders back. 3rd up should be almost ready to ri but it could be one of those tips that could go very wrong! At around $20, worth a gamble in the small field.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Beau Ciel
Was absolutely bolting at Horsham last start but never got a crack at them after being 3 pegs on a track with no sprint lane. Settles leaders back at best here but likely to be 3 pegs if the 1 hands up to Young Modern. If it doesn't and he ends up behind the leader I'm really keen on his chances at around $15.
RESULT: 2nd. Thought he was home on the turn after overtaking the $1.30 shot but was outsprinted by the longshot of the field. Collect $116 (bigger odds available outside of Vic Tote)
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Forced Out
I know I did say no more favourites but this bloke looks over the line here and I reckon we'll be able to snag some good odds early. Went really well last start against much stronger after handing up the lead and didn't get the clearest of runs late. Leads here and wins easily for mine
RESULT: WINNER! Couldn't have scripted it any better. Opened $2.90 on some corps, jumped at $1.80. Led and brained them. If only betting was always that easy. Collect $200
MEETING RESULT: Won $166
Shepparton, Sunday 8th June
Going to start taking a different approach punters. Im the curse of the favourite so favourites are out. Nothing but value from here on in but lets be honest. they're the only ones that I can get up!
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Daddy Who
Strange pacer to understand. Has shown ability but just seems to plod away. That however has been against much stronger than what it meets today. Last start was stuck 3 pegs and dragged out to last by a tiring leader and did ok late behind Admiral Joy & Frankie Valley. Both of those have won very well since. Trails the likely leader but there maybe a risk that he may not hold it's back. Fingers crossed they try to anticipate the start and hold that position because from there he's a huge chance @ around $15.
RESULT: 4th. $15? Wow, way off the mark there. Showed zero speed but eventually found itself 3 pegs which looked the place to be then the driver has a brain fade and follows the horse in the death seat who was going backwards at the rate of knots. Hit the line hard for 4th but maybe it's finishing into midfield placing has nothing to do with the horse.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Uroc Mman (If the 1 is scratched only! NO BET if emergency not scratched)
Loved his run last start from a wide back row draw. He did a huge amount of work 3 wide early in a 58 sec first half. It was entitled to drop right out late but battled on really well to be only beaten 4 metres behind Brite Spark Lombo. Follows through the likely leader No Tomorrow and with there likely to be constant pressure throughout this race, his lightning turn of foot is going to be perfectly suited for a late sprint lane run.
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up 3 pegs after No Tomorrow handed up. Got a run late but was disappointing. Collect $108
MEETING RESULT: Lost $42
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Daddy Who
Strange pacer to understand. Has shown ability but just seems to plod away. That however has been against much stronger than what it meets today. Last start was stuck 3 pegs and dragged out to last by a tiring leader and did ok late behind Admiral Joy & Frankie Valley. Both of those have won very well since. Trails the likely leader but there maybe a risk that he may not hold it's back. Fingers crossed they try to anticipate the start and hold that position because from there he's a huge chance @ around $15.
RESULT: 4th. $15? Wow, way off the mark there. Showed zero speed but eventually found itself 3 pegs which looked the place to be then the driver has a brain fade and follows the horse in the death seat who was going backwards at the rate of knots. Hit the line hard for 4th but maybe it's finishing into midfield placing has nothing to do with the horse.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Uroc Mman (If the 1 is scratched only! NO BET if emergency not scratched)
Loved his run last start from a wide back row draw. He did a huge amount of work 3 wide early in a 58 sec first half. It was entitled to drop right out late but battled on really well to be only beaten 4 metres behind Brite Spark Lombo. Follows through the likely leader No Tomorrow and with there likely to be constant pressure throughout this race, his lightning turn of foot is going to be perfectly suited for a late sprint lane run.
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up 3 pegs after No Tomorrow handed up. Got a run late but was disappointing. Collect $108
MEETING RESULT: Lost $42
BENDIGO, Saturday 7th June
Sorry punters small fields plague this meeting and again value is hard to find.
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 5 No 12 My Zach Bromac
This bloke has got untapped talent. Never go a crack at them last start and was real impressive first up from NZ. He'll circle them early to death seat and I can't see him getting rolled. $2.50 or around the mark
RESULT: 3rd.. Was backed in late but Gavin missed the boat. The leaders had it too easy in front and Gav only made the move at the bell. He's a frustrating driver
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Frankie Valley
Been really stiff it's past 2 runs. Has got great gate speed and might be able to cross and take up a prime posiyion. Even if it doesn't it can sit sprint and win. At around $10, good value
RESULT: WINNER! $10? Got out to $41!! $46 on other totes. Led and just held them out. Michael Bellman pays us back for ruining us last night. Collect $897.90
MEETING RESULT: Won $747.90
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 5 No 12 My Zach Bromac
This bloke has got untapped talent. Never go a crack at them last start and was real impressive first up from NZ. He'll circle them early to death seat and I can't see him getting rolled. $2.50 or around the mark
RESULT: 3rd.. Was backed in late but Gavin missed the boat. The leaders had it too easy in front and Gav only made the move at the bell. He's a frustrating driver
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Frankie Valley
Been really stiff it's past 2 runs. Has got great gate speed and might be able to cross and take up a prime posiyion. Even if it doesn't it can sit sprint and win. At around $10, good value
RESULT: WINNER! $10? Got out to $41!! $46 on other totes. Led and just held them out. Michael Bellman pays us back for ruining us last night. Collect $897.90
MEETING RESULT: Won $747.90
Melton, Friday 6th June
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Exciteusinthecity
Thought his run last start, even though beaten 17 metres, was very good after death seating and locking wheels before the turn in 1:52 for the mile. That ain't his go and will get the type of run he loves tonight. Should either lead or sit leaders back and from either position looks hard to be at around $8
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Collect $69
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Villagem
Huge run when 3wide without cover the last lap in a sec last half and was only nabbed late by the short cutting Gumdrops. Will get a heap of speed on early here and it's likely to continue mid race. They'll find it hard to hold him out late @ $8
RESULT: LOST! Forget it ran. Locked wheels early and lost all chance. Was a good run considering
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Tessanzo
Was simply too good last start when able to lead but run them along and belted the strongest of the heats. Leads again and I can't see him getting rolled. So much so, I'm taking the early odds of $2.80 on BET365 for this bet. Get on early because it'll start closer to odds on.
RESULT: LOST! Thank you Michael Bellman
QUADDIE
$24 for 100%
1-3-6-10-11-13 / 2-9 / 7-9 / 2
MEETING RESULT: Just wasn't meant to be tonight. Lost $205
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Exciteusinthecity
Thought his run last start, even though beaten 17 metres, was very good after death seating and locking wheels before the turn in 1:52 for the mile. That ain't his go and will get the type of run he loves tonight. Should either lead or sit leaders back and from either position looks hard to be at around $8
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Collect $69
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Villagem
Huge run when 3wide without cover the last lap in a sec last half and was only nabbed late by the short cutting Gumdrops. Will get a heap of speed on early here and it's likely to continue mid race. They'll find it hard to hold him out late @ $8
RESULT: LOST! Forget it ran. Locked wheels early and lost all chance. Was a good run considering
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Tessanzo
Was simply too good last start when able to lead but run them along and belted the strongest of the heats. Leads again and I can't see him getting rolled. So much so, I'm taking the early odds of $2.80 on BET365 for this bet. Get on early because it'll start closer to odds on.
RESULT: LOST! Thank you Michael Bellman
QUADDIE
$24 for 100%
1-3-6-10-11-13 / 2-9 / 7-9 / 2
MEETING RESULT: Just wasn't meant to be tonight. Lost $205
Mildura, Friday 6th June
THE CRAMPY MULTI
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Hargrave: First up for Cramp and they don't often lose1st up for him
Race 6 No 1 Romantic Bliss: Has won everytime it's led for Cramp and it'll do just that here today
Race 8 No 3 Cenosilocophobia: Led and was very impressive winning last week. Should dish up the same
RESULT: 2 outta 3 ain't good enough..
QUADDIE
$10 for 500%
1 / 1-6 / 11 / 3
RESULT: LOST!
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Hargrave: First up for Cramp and they don't often lose1st up for him
Race 6 No 1 Romantic Bliss: Has won everytime it's led for Cramp and it'll do just that here today
Race 8 No 3 Cenosilocophobia: Led and was very impressive winning last week. Should dish up the same
RESULT: 2 outta 3 ain't good enough..
QUADDIE
$10 for 500%
1 / 1-6 / 11 / 3
RESULT: LOST!
Ballarat, Thursday 5th June
Apologies punters, a horrible night for a punter here. No value whatsoever but we'll try:
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Captain Snoozzze
We'll know our fate not long after the start here but on it's debut run, it's a great chance if it can hold a forward position. Hung out badly in the score up in it's debut and was very slow out but settled 4 pegs. Hit the line strong with a bit left in the tank after never really getting clear room. He would've run close to a 27 last quarter in that race, fingers crossed Justice has worked out the problem with it's start.
RESULT: Meeting was abandoned
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Captain Snoozzze
We'll know our fate not long after the start here but on it's debut run, it's a great chance if it can hold a forward position. Hung out badly in the score up in it's debut and was very slow out but settled 4 pegs. Hit the line strong with a bit left in the tank after never really getting clear room. He would've run close to a 27 last quarter in that race, fingers crossed Justice has worked out the problem with it's start.
RESULT: Meeting was abandoned
Yarra Valley, Thursday 5th June
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Magnificent Art
Hasn't been going as badly as what it form suggests. Worked hard from a wide draw early and was left wanting late even though it had cheap sectionals mid race. He's much better suited over the mile and the small field suits. Looks his race today @ around $2.5
RESULT: 2nd. Had to lead but didn't even attempt to hold out his only danger early. Mind boggling. Lost by a half head and Im not happy
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Magnificent Art
Hasn't been going as badly as what it form suggests. Worked hard from a wide draw early and was left wanting late even though it had cheap sectionals mid race. He's much better suited over the mile and the small field suits. Looks his race today @ around $2.5
RESULT: 2nd. Had to lead but didn't even attempt to hold out his only danger early. Mind boggling. Lost by a half head and Im not happy
Terang, Wednesday 4th June
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 3: 1 & 2
Cool Carat leads here and should come out hard. The 8 struggles to leave the gate and will have all sorts of trouble holding Cool Carat's back. That'll leave Lombo Krista Bella with the option of dropping on it's back and they really should fight it out from there.
Throw in Latoya Lass for your trifecta's
RESULT: WINNER! Short but keeps the momentum going. $85 Collect
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 5 One Wise Man
Had excuses last start and did beat home Glenthorne even after locking wheels. There is going to be a whole heap of pace in this race and that suit this fella to a tee. Loves the track and distance and I'd be surprised if it wasn't top 3 at around $8
RESULT: WINNER! $8 for early Bet365 clients. Great drive by Emma Hamblin to lead early (I wasn't expecting that!) and hand up to the 2nd fav. Sprint laned and just nabbed it on the line. When your hot your hot. Collect $175
MEETING RESULT: Won $160
$50 QUINELLA
Race 3: 1 & 2
Cool Carat leads here and should come out hard. The 8 struggles to leave the gate and will have all sorts of trouble holding Cool Carat's back. That'll leave Lombo Krista Bella with the option of dropping on it's back and they really should fight it out from there.
Throw in Latoya Lass for your trifecta's
RESULT: WINNER! Short but keeps the momentum going. $85 Collect
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 5 One Wise Man
Had excuses last start and did beat home Glenthorne even after locking wheels. There is going to be a whole heap of pace in this race and that suit this fella to a tee. Loves the track and distance and I'd be surprised if it wasn't top 3 at around $8
RESULT: WINNER! $8 for early Bet365 clients. Great drive by Emma Hamblin to lead early (I wasn't expecting that!) and hand up to the 2nd fav. Sprint laned and just nabbed it on the line. When your hot your hot. Collect $175
MEETING RESULT: Won $160
Echuca, Wednesday 4th June
Geez, I'm struggling to find a bet here so I'd suggest keeping your punts to a minimum
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Catchthateye
4th up today and will be handed the lead on a platter. Significant driving change with Sugars onboard. Won't get a better chance to return to the winners list than this @ around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $3 into $1.7 when they jumped.. Collect $90
ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Foyer
It's first emergency and a maiden after 44 starts so obviously doesn't have a whole heap of talent. That being said, it should lead and get every possible chance here if it gains a start and I reckon it can run a real cheeky race at around $30
RESULT: SCRATCHED
MEETING RESULT: Won $40
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Catchthateye
4th up today and will be handed the lead on a platter. Significant driving change with Sugars onboard. Won't get a better chance to return to the winners list than this @ around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $3 into $1.7 when they jumped.. Collect $90
ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Foyer
It's first emergency and a maiden after 44 starts so obviously doesn't have a whole heap of talent. That being said, it should lead and get every possible chance here if it gains a start and I reckon it can run a real cheeky race at around $30
RESULT: SCRATCHED
MEETING RESULT: Won $40
MELTON, Tuesday 3rd June
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Fremarks Ceejay
I've been waiting a long while for this bloke to draw well over the sprint trip after marking it a trial flyer, and he gets his opportunity against very beatable opposition. Forget it ran last start when it had to work ridiculously hard in the first lap in a 1:55 second mile. It's run from a bad draw finishing 4th behind Beau Reve was an eye catcher in quick time. Only has to run 1:58 here to win and he can certainly do that here tonight especially from the front. Expect $5
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $12 on Bet365 and that's the odds the punters club got! Started $4.80 and even though the tactics were questionable, was too good! Collect $276
BEST MULTI
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Brite Spark Lombo
Would almost stand her out on her own if I'd know the odds were $2+. The short distance and the wide draw the worry but looks a class above
Race 8 No 2 Patch It Up Baby
Looks the leader and winner here. The last time it lead it ran 3rd to Almost El Eagle. 3rd up tonight is ideal.
RESULT: WINNER! Wow, Patchitupbaby was ridiculously short but I hope people managed to snap up the $3.40 on offer for Brite Spark Lombo. I missed it! Collect $123.50
SUGGUESTED QUADDIE:
1-3-6-10-11 / 1-3-9 /6-7 / 2
RESULT: WINNER! $1,003.40 for a $30 outlay!
MEETING RESULT: Won $208.80
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Fremarks Ceejay
I've been waiting a long while for this bloke to draw well over the sprint trip after marking it a trial flyer, and he gets his opportunity against very beatable opposition. Forget it ran last start when it had to work ridiculously hard in the first lap in a 1:55 second mile. It's run from a bad draw finishing 4th behind Beau Reve was an eye catcher in quick time. Only has to run 1:58 here to win and he can certainly do that here tonight especially from the front. Expect $5
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $12 on Bet365 and that's the odds the punters club got! Started $4.80 and even though the tactics were questionable, was too good! Collect $276
BEST MULTI
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Brite Spark Lombo
Would almost stand her out on her own if I'd know the odds were $2+. The short distance and the wide draw the worry but looks a class above
Race 8 No 2 Patch It Up Baby
Looks the leader and winner here. The last time it lead it ran 3rd to Almost El Eagle. 3rd up tonight is ideal.
RESULT: WINNER! Wow, Patchitupbaby was ridiculously short but I hope people managed to snap up the $3.40 on offer for Brite Spark Lombo. I missed it! Collect $123.50
SUGGUESTED QUADDIE:
1-3-6-10-11 / 1-3-9 /6-7 / 2
RESULT: WINNER! $1,003.40 for a $30 outlay!
MEETING RESULT: Won $208.80
Charlton, Monday 2nd June
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Goodtime Paul
Roughy here and I black booked it after it galloped out and never got a crack at them last start. Doesn't win often but looks like it's going well enough to go very close in this.
RESULT: WINNER! Ran like a horse that didn't want to win but thankfully had another non winner on it's inside! Opened $35 on Bet365, I hope someone got some of that! Collect $188
$50 WIN MULTI
Race 2 No 2 Master Grinner
Really impressed with his 2 wins first up in Vic. These are weak and this should be an early kill
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Race 7 No 1 Beachstar
Is low flying but this is the toughest test to date. May take a sit today but it showed the quick sectionals to can reel off a few starts back at this track running a 55 second last half.
RESULT: 2nd @ $7. Beaten a pimple by our black booker, Highview Conall.. Oh dear, Ive done it again!
MEETING RESULT: Won $108
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Goodtime Paul
Roughy here and I black booked it after it galloped out and never got a crack at them last start. Doesn't win often but looks like it's going well enough to go very close in this.
RESULT: WINNER! Ran like a horse that didn't want to win but thankfully had another non winner on it's inside! Opened $35 on Bet365, I hope someone got some of that! Collect $188
$50 WIN MULTI
Race 2 No 2 Master Grinner
Really impressed with his 2 wins first up in Vic. These are weak and this should be an early kill
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Race 7 No 1 Beachstar
Is low flying but this is the toughest test to date. May take a sit today but it showed the quick sectionals to can reel off a few starts back at this track running a 55 second last half.
RESULT: 2nd @ $7. Beaten a pimple by our black booker, Highview Conall.. Oh dear, Ive done it again!
MEETING RESULT: Won $108
Cranbourne, Sunday 1st June
BEST MULTI
$50WIN
Race 3 No 5 Soho Wonder
The last time over this track and distance he belted Kiss Kenny after leading. Should roll to the front and the favourite is going to find it extremely tough to run him down
RESULT: 2nd. Worked too hard early but it wouldn't have mattered. Kiss Kenny is low flying
Race 4 No 4 Awesome Cullect
Was just poorly driven first up and given no chance. Was close to over 20 metres off the leaders at the turn at Yarra Valley so to only lose by 5 in a 28 last quarter shows the talent it has. I'll be very worried if he got too far back again but I'm expecting a much more aggressive drive tonight
RESULT: 2nd. Led and did bugger all!
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Jeans Mattjesty
Looks very well graded here. I'd suggest the 1 will hold the lead tonight and Jeans should be following it's every move. Best horse in the race for mine and with even luck, should be winning
RESULT: LOST! Never got out..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 General Justice
Here I go again. Please just start safely! Vincent Langdon seems to found the trick with him and he races best over the mile. Should lead and be very hard to roll
RESULT: LOST! Galloped again. BANNED
MEETING RESULT: Horror start to June. Lost $180
$50WIN
Race 3 No 5 Soho Wonder
The last time over this track and distance he belted Kiss Kenny after leading. Should roll to the front and the favourite is going to find it extremely tough to run him down
RESULT: 2nd. Worked too hard early but it wouldn't have mattered. Kiss Kenny is low flying
Race 4 No 4 Awesome Cullect
Was just poorly driven first up and given no chance. Was close to over 20 metres off the leaders at the turn at Yarra Valley so to only lose by 5 in a 28 last quarter shows the talent it has. I'll be very worried if he got too far back again but I'm expecting a much more aggressive drive tonight
RESULT: 2nd. Led and did bugger all!
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Jeans Mattjesty
Looks very well graded here. I'd suggest the 1 will hold the lead tonight and Jeans should be following it's every move. Best horse in the race for mine and with even luck, should be winning
RESULT: LOST! Never got out..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 General Justice
Here I go again. Please just start safely! Vincent Langdon seems to found the trick with him and he races best over the mile. Should lead and be very hard to roll
RESULT: LOST! Galloped again. BANNED
MEETING RESULT: Horror start to June. Lost $180
Ballarat, Saturday 31st May
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Urban Shadow
Risky betting in a junior driver race but this bloke looks the winner. Leads and I just can't see anything getting past it.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped out..
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 La Machane
Forget she went around last time behind Baby Bling. After settle 5 back the pegs, she got too far back and wasn't pushed out late when Sugars knew she had no chance, Gets the draw she thrives on here and follows the very smart Nowitzki who'll lead. Mister Onetwo will inject the speed La Machane needs into the race and even though there is no sprint lane, I'm keen on an ew basis.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance, Mister Onetwo just too good. Collect $132
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Urban Shadow
Risky betting in a junior driver race but this bloke looks the winner. Leads and I just can't see anything getting past it.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped out..
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 La Machane
Forget she went around last time behind Baby Bling. After settle 5 back the pegs, she got too far back and wasn't pushed out late when Sugars knew she had no chance, Gets the draw she thrives on here and follows the very smart Nowitzki who'll lead. Mister Onetwo will inject the speed La Machane needs into the race and even though there is no sprint lane, I'm keen on an ew basis.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance, Mister Onetwo just too good. Collect $132
Melton, Friday 30th May
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Villagem
Found something with his new trainer. Or with Sugars in the cart. Good run last start considering they went 53 in the last half after walking. There will be more pressure in this race and whether he sits parked after a midrace move or coming at them with one last sprint, looks a great ew punt.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost be a short half head to Gumdrops. Bloody Gumdrops.. Collect $58
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 8 It Is Billy
Was very unlucky last start but was taking plenty of ground off Chilli Palmer late. Hard to see him win but looks likely to receive the gun run on the back of Lenny The Shark. I can't see it winning but at $3.50 a place looks a sound place punt
RESULT: 5th. Had every chance and was disappointing
Suggested Quaddies:
A couple of lads have asked for quaddie numbers to help them out so if I were taking a quaddie here are my suggestions:
EARLY:
3-10-11 / 2-3-8-10-12 / 4-8-13 / 6-7
LATE
2-4-7-12 / 3 / 1-4 / 1-2
MEETING RESULT: Lost $42
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Villagem
Found something with his new trainer. Or with Sugars in the cart. Good run last start considering they went 53 in the last half after walking. There will be more pressure in this race and whether he sits parked after a midrace move or coming at them with one last sprint, looks a great ew punt.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost be a short half head to Gumdrops. Bloody Gumdrops.. Collect $58
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 8 It Is Billy
Was very unlucky last start but was taking plenty of ground off Chilli Palmer late. Hard to see him win but looks likely to receive the gun run on the back of Lenny The Shark. I can't see it winning but at $3.50 a place looks a sound place punt
RESULT: 5th. Had every chance and was disappointing
Suggested Quaddies:
A couple of lads have asked for quaddie numbers to help them out so if I were taking a quaddie here are my suggestions:
EARLY:
3-10-11 / 2-3-8-10-12 / 4-8-13 / 6-7
LATE
2-4-7-12 / 3 / 1-4 / 1-2
MEETING RESULT: Lost $42
Shepparton, Thursday 29th May
Junior driver races, trot races = I'm not keen!! Just the one tip for the night
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Calcavado
Pretty stiff last time out but might have something to do with the bloke in the cart. Im delighted with the change to T McCarthy. I think he can cross the 1 early and likely to take the sit on the 3. From there looks a very good chance.
RESULT: Didn't cross but looked a good thing before the turn but did nothing!
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Calcavado
Pretty stiff last time out but might have something to do with the bloke in the cart. Im delighted with the change to T McCarthy. I think he can cross the 1 early and likely to take the sit on the 3. From there looks a very good chance.
RESULT: Didn't cross but looked a good thing before the turn but did nothing!
Horsham, Thursday 29th May
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Our Summer Wind
Thought his 3 in the heat was very encouraging after not receiving much room late. The draw is no worry as it'll go back early and I trust Gavin Lang to get this bloke into the right trailing position late into the race. Looks like the pace will be on throughout which should suit. A little risky but happy to be on at $10+
RESULT: LOST! Gav ended uo making a mid race more and death seating.. Not what I had in mind Gav
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Lombo Krista Bella
Not giving up on her yet but the relationship is getting a little frosty. Michael Bellman in cart might be the difference today but is going to need a little bit of luck with no sprint lane at Horsham but in Bellman we trust.
RESULT: WINNER! And that's why he's a gun. Somehow managed to lead and she wasn't getting beaten from there. Collect $140
DAY RESULT: Lost $10
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Our Summer Wind
Thought his 3 in the heat was very encouraging after not receiving much room late. The draw is no worry as it'll go back early and I trust Gavin Lang to get this bloke into the right trailing position late into the race. Looks like the pace will be on throughout which should suit. A little risky but happy to be on at $10+
RESULT: LOST! Gav ended uo making a mid race more and death seating.. Not what I had in mind Gav
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Lombo Krista Bella
Not giving up on her yet but the relationship is getting a little frosty. Michael Bellman in cart might be the difference today but is going to need a little bit of luck with no sprint lane at Horsham but in Bellman we trust.
RESULT: WINNER! And that's why he's a gun. Somehow managed to lead and she wasn't getting beaten from there. Collect $140
DAY RESULT: Lost $10
Mildura, Wednesday 28th May
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Larwood
Im a little worried about Shayne Cramps here but not sure how that'll go first up for the stable. I marked Larwood as a black booker after it finished a great 3rd a couple of starts back after leading over the 1790metres behind Mad Robber and Look Down Charlie, great form for a race of this nature. Leads or sits on the leaders back and should be a cert for top 3 @ $8/$2
RESULT: 2nd. No match for the winner Collect $57
$10WIN/$90PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Hayabusa Flyer
Finally draws well and will lead early. There is a very big problem in the race though. Vee Rock. It could be anything but I think Hayabusa will push it all the way. Look for early place odds here as we might snag $2 the place
RESULT: LOST! Horrible horrible drive
DAY RESULT: Lost $193.. I got cocky
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Larwood
Im a little worried about Shayne Cramps here but not sure how that'll go first up for the stable. I marked Larwood as a black booker after it finished a great 3rd a couple of starts back after leading over the 1790metres behind Mad Robber and Look Down Charlie, great form for a race of this nature. Leads or sits on the leaders back and should be a cert for top 3 @ $8/$2
RESULT: 2nd. No match for the winner Collect $57
$10WIN/$90PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Hayabusa Flyer
Finally draws well and will lead early. There is a very big problem in the race though. Vee Rock. It could be anything but I think Hayabusa will push it all the way. Look for early place odds here as we might snag $2 the place
RESULT: LOST! Horrible horrible drive
DAY RESULT: Lost $193.. I got cocky
Maryborough, Wednesday 28th May
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 The Rogue Trader
Forget it's last run when first up. Went around for practise when settled 5 back the pegs and never ever pushed to the line in very quick time. Should settle close to the lead today and at around $8, looks a good ew punt.
RESULT: 4th.. Another drive that had me head scratching. Got $36 too.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Nikkis Delight
Been flying of late against better horses without winning but from the draw should lead and win against easier today. Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd. Led but just got attacked the entire race
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 The Rogue Trader
Forget it's last run when first up. Went around for practise when settled 5 back the pegs and never ever pushed to the line in very quick time. Should settle close to the lead today and at around $8, looks a good ew punt.
RESULT: 4th.. Another drive that had me head scratching. Got $36 too.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Nikkis Delight
Been flying of late against better horses without winning but from the draw should lead and win against easier today. Expect $3
RESULT: 3rd. Led but just got attacked the entire race
Geelong, Tuesday 27th May
BEST EW
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 1 On The Leash
He's a rising 10yo taking on a couple of good 3yo's in this but I lied his 2nd up run over the unsuitable 1609 metres from the back row. He looked a slight chance turnin the bend at Cranbourne but it's very hard to sustain that type of run at that track and finished 3rd 16 metres off Rocknroll Music, a very smart 3yo. He races best when he leads, and leads setting a consistent speed. He can't win leading, slowing them up and then sprinting in the last quarter, he has to outstay his rivals. I think he can do that if he holds out the favourite Live In Doubt and they run that pace throughout he needs. Worth noting, the last time at this track & distance, he death seated and ran 7.5metres off Chilli Palmer. Can his old legs get him over the line? I hope so at around $10
RESULT: LOST! They just went too hard early and even though he kept them out, was a spent force before the turn.
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Turnpike Cruiser
Geez I hope I was the only one that noticed his run last start. Only got clear with 100 metres to go but hit the line very hard late only beaten 12 metres. That should've been a lot closer but never drove it to give it a chance. He should settle closer tonight and hopefully Zac can give him the run at the right time at what should be $20+
RESULT: WINNER!! Go you good thing! Opened $71! Drove it a treat and helped by the fact the favourite galloped but I reckon we had it covered anyway. Collect $537
MEETING RESULT: Apologies members, no refunds this month! Won $437
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 1 On The Leash
He's a rising 10yo taking on a couple of good 3yo's in this but I lied his 2nd up run over the unsuitable 1609 metres from the back row. He looked a slight chance turnin the bend at Cranbourne but it's very hard to sustain that type of run at that track and finished 3rd 16 metres off Rocknroll Music, a very smart 3yo. He races best when he leads, and leads setting a consistent speed. He can't win leading, slowing them up and then sprinting in the last quarter, he has to outstay his rivals. I think he can do that if he holds out the favourite Live In Doubt and they run that pace throughout he needs. Worth noting, the last time at this track & distance, he death seated and ran 7.5metres off Chilli Palmer. Can his old legs get him over the line? I hope so at around $10
RESULT: LOST! They just went too hard early and even though he kept them out, was a spent force before the turn.
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Turnpike Cruiser
Geez I hope I was the only one that noticed his run last start. Only got clear with 100 metres to go but hit the line very hard late only beaten 12 metres. That should've been a lot closer but never drove it to give it a chance. He should settle closer tonight and hopefully Zac can give him the run at the right time at what should be $20+
RESULT: WINNER!! Go you good thing! Opened $71! Drove it a treat and helped by the fact the favourite galloped but I reckon we had it covered anyway. Collect $537
MEETING RESULT: Apologies members, no refunds this month! Won $437
Warragul, Monday 26th May
Even though I'm sponsoring race 3 today, STAY AWAY! What a tough punting card to start the week but we'll try..
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 1 Danish King
We'll know our fate possibly just before the start with this horse. Has started in gate 1 around 4 times and has broke twice. Usually has good gate speed and that'll be enough to hold them out early. Can't see him being rolled from there but it's a real risky bet at around $4
Now, this is strange from a tipster I know, but if the 2 is not scratched then the bet turns into
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Broadway Avenue (First Emergency)
Trialled really well behind Scruffy Major and Musial Delight a week ago. Was 20 metres off that pair rounding the bend after following a slow one and didn't lose any ground off them late in a 56 last half. It has good gate speed to keep a forward position and have a great chance in this. Obviously I'd rather be on it than Danish King so that probably says it all.
RESULT: 3rd. Danish King wins. Insert 'you dickhead' comments here.. Opened $10 Broadway & into $2.60!! Led and weakened late to be nosed out by the sprint laning Danish King, who pays $4+.. Sorry punters. Collect $54
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Walky Talky
A little risky again here with this fella being first up but did trial well over a week ago. Follows through the leader who should take it to the sprint lane nicely and if it's anywhere near right wins.
RESULT: WINNER! We got a little lucky maybe but winners are grinners! Thought Post It Away was massive in defeat, one for the blackbook. Collect $140
DAY RESULT: Won $94
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 1 Danish King
We'll know our fate possibly just before the start with this horse. Has started in gate 1 around 4 times and has broke twice. Usually has good gate speed and that'll be enough to hold them out early. Can't see him being rolled from there but it's a real risky bet at around $4
Now, this is strange from a tipster I know, but if the 2 is not scratched then the bet turns into
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Broadway Avenue (First Emergency)
Trialled really well behind Scruffy Major and Musial Delight a week ago. Was 20 metres off that pair rounding the bend after following a slow one and didn't lose any ground off them late in a 56 last half. It has good gate speed to keep a forward position and have a great chance in this. Obviously I'd rather be on it than Danish King so that probably says it all.
RESULT: 3rd. Danish King wins. Insert 'you dickhead' comments here.. Opened $10 Broadway & into $2.60!! Led and weakened late to be nosed out by the sprint laning Danish King, who pays $4+.. Sorry punters. Collect $54
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Walky Talky
A little risky again here with this fella being first up but did trial well over a week ago. Follows through the leader who should take it to the sprint lane nicely and if it's anywhere near right wins.
RESULT: WINNER! We got a little lucky maybe but winners are grinners! Thought Post It Away was massive in defeat, one for the blackbook. Collect $140
DAY RESULT: Won $94
Shepparton, Sunday 25th May
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Chantel Loren
I liked it's debut run when 5th to Mary's Little Rose in very quick time. Was making late ground in a 56 sec last half which is a good sign for a race like this. Didn't show explosive speed early but should hold it's own from the draw and if it can settle top four is a huge chance at ew odds
RESULT: LOST! Broke.. Hard game this sometimes
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Arrokeefe
It's been a while since I've really liked one at odds and you're right to question me with this fella still a maiden and only placed twice of 14. Fact is it's been running against the 2nd & 3rd tier 3yo's of the state in all it's starts and strikes restricted class today. Last start was very unlucky after getting carted back through the field after following a slow one, then broke when getting squeezed late and lost by 80+ metres. Shouldve been a lot closer. Has good gate speed, much better than those 2 inside of him (Im due to get one right!) and if he leads can't miss top 3 for mine but I'm confident it can salute. I expect it to get backed in here with a few wise judges sitting and waiting for odds so suggest the better fixed odds will be available early. I'm praying for double figures.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $10 on BET365 for the early shoppers. Led and I was cursing when he let the fav drop in behind it. It was the only bloody danger in the race! Still managed to hold it out, just! Collect $260
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Chain Of Gold
Last chance for this fella. Tipped it plenty of times on the site for it to run well at odds but today is D Day. Leads from the draw, SHOULDNT hand up, and looks far too good for his rivals. Theres a reason it's only won twice but no excuses today
RESULT: SCRATCHED
MEETING RESULT: Won $110
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Chantel Loren
I liked it's debut run when 5th to Mary's Little Rose in very quick time. Was making late ground in a 56 sec last half which is a good sign for a race like this. Didn't show explosive speed early but should hold it's own from the draw and if it can settle top four is a huge chance at ew odds
RESULT: LOST! Broke.. Hard game this sometimes
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Arrokeefe
It's been a while since I've really liked one at odds and you're right to question me with this fella still a maiden and only placed twice of 14. Fact is it's been running against the 2nd & 3rd tier 3yo's of the state in all it's starts and strikes restricted class today. Last start was very unlucky after getting carted back through the field after following a slow one, then broke when getting squeezed late and lost by 80+ metres. Shouldve been a lot closer. Has good gate speed, much better than those 2 inside of him (Im due to get one right!) and if he leads can't miss top 3 for mine but I'm confident it can salute. I expect it to get backed in here with a few wise judges sitting and waiting for odds so suggest the better fixed odds will be available early. I'm praying for double figures.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $10 on BET365 for the early shoppers. Led and I was cursing when he let the fav drop in behind it. It was the only bloody danger in the race! Still managed to hold it out, just! Collect $260
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Chain Of Gold
Last chance for this fella. Tipped it plenty of times on the site for it to run well at odds but today is D Day. Leads from the draw, SHOULDNT hand up, and looks far too good for his rivals. Theres a reason it's only won twice but no excuses today
RESULT: SCRATCHED
MEETING RESULT: Won $110