Melton, Thursday 31st December
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Hellfire Angel ($5)
Went huge at Terang last start after having no cart into the race. Back to the stand start is a big bonus.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $51.60
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Hellfire Angel ($5)
Went huge at Terang last start after having no cart into the race. Back to the stand start is a big bonus.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $51.60
Bendigo, Wednesday 30th December
BEST EXOTIC
$50 Trifecta
Race 8: 8 / 1 / 2-9 for 2500%
Lucky Lombo looks a good horse in the making, draws leaders back, and should be too strong late. Heza Modern Guy is your leader and this is a nice class drop for him. Looks to have 2nd in his keeping. Trillion Lombo is racing in the best form in its career and is a must for 3rd whilst Dont Be Foolish should be 3 pegs and is very capable on its day. Expecting a $10 dividend here
RESULT: LOST! Dear oh dear Zac, gave up the lead & the race.
$50 Trifecta
Race 8: 8 / 1 / 2-9 for 2500%
Lucky Lombo looks a good horse in the making, draws leaders back, and should be too strong late. Heza Modern Guy is your leader and this is a nice class drop for him. Looks to have 2nd in his keeping. Trillion Lombo is racing in the best form in its career and is a must for 3rd whilst Dont Be Foolish should be 3 pegs and is very capable on its day. Expecting a $10 dividend here
RESULT: LOST! Dear oh dear Zac, gave up the lead & the race.
Melton, Wednesday 30th December
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Aguante ($5)
Raced against handy 2yo's last season & even though still a maiden raced well. Has had a few trials coming into this race most recently a very good 2nd to the smart Gotttashopearly. Should get a nice trial through early and settle leaders back and looks a chance via the sprint lane
RESULT: 2nd. Hit a flat spot before the turn and looked shot but battled away for a close 2nd. Collect $60
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Aguante ($5)
Raced against handy 2yo's last season & even though still a maiden raced well. Has had a few trials coming into this race most recently a very good 2nd to the smart Gotttashopearly. Should get a nice trial through early and settle leaders back and looks a chance via the sprint lane
RESULT: 2nd. Hit a flat spot before the turn and looked shot but battled away for a close 2nd. Collect $60
Mildura, Tuesday 29th December
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Artistic Mover ($11)
Forget it's first up run when got a couple of checks in between horses when finishing last over the longer distance. Should spear straight to the front if the 1st emergency is scratched, and likely to hold it and is much better suited over the shorter distance. Daniel Rose must keep him running throughout as if it turns into a sprint home they''ll go straight past him as he's a one batter but off an even tempo, he's a rough show at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after leading and carving up a fair way out
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 9 Murranji Track ($1.80)
Marked it odds on but reckon we'll get better. First up had he'd of gotten out he would've won easily. Gets out in the open tonight & even though he's likely to have to death seat, should be even fitter tonight & I think he's in for better things.
RESULT: WINNER! He was a bit wayward but got the chocolates. Collect $270
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Artistic Mover ($11)
Forget it's first up run when got a couple of checks in between horses when finishing last over the longer distance. Should spear straight to the front if the 1st emergency is scratched, and likely to hold it and is much better suited over the shorter distance. Daniel Rose must keep him running throughout as if it turns into a sprint home they''ll go straight past him as he's a one batter but off an even tempo, he's a rough show at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after leading and carving up a fair way out
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 9 Murranji Track ($1.80)
Marked it odds on but reckon we'll get better. First up had he'd of gotten out he would've won easily. Gets out in the open tonight & even though he's likely to have to death seat, should be even fitter tonight & I think he's in for better things.
RESULT: WINNER! He was a bit wayward but got the chocolates. Collect $270
Ararat, Monday 28th December
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 My Mijito ($6)
First time I've seen him race with a sit last start and it's obvious he's a better horse with a sit. Just couldn't find a gap late but had plenty to give. Going to need as he'll probably end up 3 pegs but I think they'll get pretty keen in this race and he's going to be hard to hold out with a genuine speed on.
RESULT: 2nd. Broke when the sprint lane became available so was a good 2nd but never going to win. Winner broke the track record!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 My Mijito ($6)
First time I've seen him race with a sit last start and it's obvious he's a better horse with a sit. Just couldn't find a gap late but had plenty to give. Going to need as he'll probably end up 3 pegs but I think they'll get pretty keen in this race and he's going to be hard to hold out with a genuine speed on.
RESULT: 2nd. Broke when the sprint lane became available so was a good 2nd but never going to win. Winner broke the track record!
Cobram Cup Day
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Artistic Bella ($3.50)
Gets her chance to break through from the good draw today. Was beaten over 100metres last start but that was in a ridiculously quick time against possibly the best 3yo in Oz. Has run her best over the shorter trip to date and should be leading here and that's a massive advantage at this track.
RESULT: LOST! Had it's chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Lombo Newsy Scoop ($5)
First up today and comes into this off the back of a couple of OK trials. Finished off last prep against better opposition, should get a lovely sit in transit here & Gavin Lang a bonus. EW all day
RESULT: WINNER! Got the lovely sit and got the job done. Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Almost El Eagle ($4)
Would love to see what his closing sectionals where at the Stawell Cup when flew home from an impossible position. Has to getaway cleaner here today as there are some quality animals in this but he is low flying and if close enough on the final turn, look out
RESULT: 4th. Flew the start and I thought it was all over 600 out but the leader just didn't take him into the sprint lane like he needed to.
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Artistic Bella ($3.50)
Gets her chance to break through from the good draw today. Was beaten over 100metres last start but that was in a ridiculously quick time against possibly the best 3yo in Oz. Has run her best over the shorter trip to date and should be leading here and that's a massive advantage at this track.
RESULT: LOST! Had it's chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Lombo Newsy Scoop ($5)
First up today and comes into this off the back of a couple of OK trials. Finished off last prep against better opposition, should get a lovely sit in transit here & Gavin Lang a bonus. EW all day
RESULT: WINNER! Got the lovely sit and got the job done. Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Almost El Eagle ($4)
Would love to see what his closing sectionals where at the Stawell Cup when flew home from an impossible position. Has to getaway cleaner here today as there are some quality animals in this but he is low flying and if close enough on the final turn, look out
RESULT: 4th. Flew the start and I thought it was all over 600 out but the leader just didn't take him into the sprint lane like he needed to.
Ballarat, Saturday 26th December
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 2 No 10 Astronaut ($3.50)
Outclassed at Melton last week but his closing sectionals were very good. Only 12metres off Desdon Murruffy & Almost El Eagle after a great Melton win. Looks like getting a good cart into the race and Greg Sugars in the cart a massive advantage
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$50WIN
Race 2 No 10 Astronaut ($3.50)
Outclassed at Melton last week but his closing sectionals were very good. Only 12metres off Desdon Murruffy & Almost El Eagle after a great Melton win. Looks like getting a good cart into the race and Greg Sugars in the cart a massive advantage
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Maryborough, Thursday 24th December
BEST EXOTIC
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 1 / 8 / 4-5 for 1000%
The Stunning One wins this by a long way. Our Strategic Miss gets the gun sit and back to the sprint trip looks to have every opportunity to hold 2nd. 4 & 5 the only others with chances for mine. For those a little less risk adverse take a saver trifecta, 1/4-5/8
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 1 / 8 / 4-5 for 1000%
The Stunning One wins this by a long way. Our Strategic Miss gets the gun sit and back to the sprint trip looks to have every opportunity to hold 2nd. 4 & 5 the only others with chances for mine. For those a little less risk adverse take a saver trifecta, 1/4-5/8
Mildura, Wednesday 23rd December
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Kilburnie North View ($2.20)
We're finally back at Mildura & it's impossible to know how the track will play but have to assume it's going to favour leadrs like it always has & this beast fits the bill. Wasn't far off when 5th in a C2-4 race last start. The horse that had every opportunity to beat it Miss Tanami (ran last) ran a very good 2nd at Swan Hill last week. With the claim of Emma Hamblin gets back to a C1 tonight. Looks the leader and hard to see them running him down over the sprint trip.
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't lead after missing the start slighty, I think Emma tried to get a running start and failed..
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Kilburnie North View ($2.20)
We're finally back at Mildura & it's impossible to know how the track will play but have to assume it's going to favour leadrs like it always has & this beast fits the bill. Wasn't far off when 5th in a C2-4 race last start. The horse that had every opportunity to beat it Miss Tanami (ran last) ran a very good 2nd at Swan Hill last week. With the claim of Emma Hamblin gets back to a C1 tonight. Looks the leader and hard to see them running him down over the sprint trip.
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't lead after missing the start slighty, I think Emma tried to get a running start and failed..
Warragul, Wednesday 23rd December
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 He's Just Rusty ($2)
Was just OK before a slight return to form with a fast finishing 3rd at Melton over the 2240m. I think the main thing in his favour today is that he looks a 70% chance to lead these up and if he does can run time over the short course. The only time he really punctured over the distance is when Bushi put him to the sword but that looks unlikely to happen here. Has a 1.7m 3rd behind Macterra Lad in May! REAL confident he wins if he leads, still confident if Brian Gath crosses and we're left with the sprint lane.
RESULT: AWFUL. Never again
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 He's Just Rusty ($2)
Was just OK before a slight return to form with a fast finishing 3rd at Melton over the 2240m. I think the main thing in his favour today is that he looks a 70% chance to lead these up and if he does can run time over the short course. The only time he really punctured over the distance is when Bushi put him to the sword but that looks unlikely to happen here. Has a 1.7m 3rd behind Macterra Lad in May! REAL confident he wins if he leads, still confident if Brian Gath crosses and we're left with the sprint lane.
RESULT: AWFUL. Never again
Shepparton, Tuesday 22nd December
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Golden Scribe ($6)
Went well in a similar race when had to come 3wide without cover when only beaten 1.8metres in 5th. This is a very similar race and should settle leaders back at worst. Looks a great value bet
RESULT: LOST! Didn't show the speed I was expecting and ended 4 pegs. Hit the line strong but was too far back. Close to a win but makes it tough when they don't show gate speed.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 9 To The Rescue ($6)
Broke after rushing the start last time out and then had little luck in gaining a clear run the last 300 metres. Should've finished closer. Doesn't get any weaker than this & should get a nice trail through early. Should be no excuses.
RESULT: LOST! No excuses and ran close to last
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Golden Scribe ($6)
Went well in a similar race when had to come 3wide without cover when only beaten 1.8metres in 5th. This is a very similar race and should settle leaders back at worst. Looks a great value bet
RESULT: LOST! Didn't show the speed I was expecting and ended 4 pegs. Hit the line strong but was too far back. Close to a win but makes it tough when they don't show gate speed.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 9 To The Rescue ($6)
Broke after rushing the start last time out and then had little luck in gaining a clear run the last 300 metres. Should've finished closer. Doesn't get any weaker than this & should get a nice trail through early. Should be no excuses.
RESULT: LOST! No excuses and ran close to last
Bendigo, Monday 21st December
BEST BET
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 6 Streamliner ($1.8)
Nice win at Swan Hill when able to as he liked over a distance he's struggled at in the past. Back to the mile here and does look the likely leader. Hard to see him get rolled from the top & expecting overs with Morior Invictus likely to be supported.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally I read one like a book. Very happy that Morior Invictus was driven sit/sprint. Allowed Streamliner to run a 33 second 2nd quarter & it was game over a fair way out. Collect $270
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Pental Pointer ($8)
Went real well at a recent Bendigo trial when not over extended in good time. The draw is a little tricky but expect Mick Stanleys horse to go forward so my speed map has Pental 1x1. Has a real live chance if that eventuates.
RESULT: Restrained at the start and struggled with the hot early speed. Raced rough the last 400metres so maybe best to forgive but probably should've sat back & waited on that tip.
DAY RESULT: Won $140
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 6 Streamliner ($1.8)
Nice win at Swan Hill when able to as he liked over a distance he's struggled at in the past. Back to the mile here and does look the likely leader. Hard to see him get rolled from the top & expecting overs with Morior Invictus likely to be supported.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally I read one like a book. Very happy that Morior Invictus was driven sit/sprint. Allowed Streamliner to run a 33 second 2nd quarter & it was game over a fair way out. Collect $270
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Pental Pointer ($8)
Went real well at a recent Bendigo trial when not over extended in good time. The draw is a little tricky but expect Mick Stanleys horse to go forward so my speed map has Pental 1x1. Has a real live chance if that eventuates.
RESULT: Restrained at the start and struggled with the hot early speed. Raced rough the last 400metres so maybe best to forgive but probably should've sat back & waited on that tip.
DAY RESULT: Won $140
Melton, Saturday 19th December
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Crusader Acey ($6)
Just hasn't been suited to recent recent but certainly been running well enough for a race like this. The draw is ideal has it can either choose to lead or sit leaders back and thats where he races best over the sprint trip.
RESULT: WINNER! Was alway running top 2 in the run and Im bloody happy he got the job done. Collect $258
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Crusader Acey ($6)
Just hasn't been suited to recent recent but certainly been running well enough for a race like this. The draw is ideal has it can either choose to lead or sit leaders back and thats where he races best over the sprint trip.
RESULT: WINNER! Was alway running top 2 in the run and Im bloody happy he got the job done. Collect $258
Ballarat, Friday 18th December
VALUE BET
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Ourgirlbillilee ($3)
Been knocking on the door recently. Settles 3 pegs last start and finished off nicely in 4th just behind Union Ally. Settles 1x1 here if my speed map is correct and looks a chance to outsprint them late
RESULT: 2nd. Never looked likely after the leader got everything its own way
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Ourgirlbillilee ($3)
Been knocking on the door recently. Settles 3 pegs last start and finished off nicely in 4th just behind Union Ally. Settles 1x1 here if my speed map is correct and looks a chance to outsprint them late
RESULT: 2nd. Never looked likely after the leader got everything its own way
Maryborough, Thursday 17th December
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Lotsa Life ($6)
Been over a year since he saluted but strikes a winnable race here. Hasn't had a whole lot go right in recent times but is a different horse in front and thats where I expect him to be. Chris Alford onboard is a bonus
RESULT: 3rd. Had its chance. Collect $57
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Maka Killin ($10)
Was outclassed against much better quality horses last start after a 6 week break but didn't finish too far behind them. Looks to be a crazy pace on here and I expect a last man standing situation which will suit this fella down to the ground especially if he can follow Hellovaway into the race
RESULT: LOST! Not the best of drives. Finished up close behind them but never looked likely
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Lotsa Life ($6)
Been over a year since he saluted but strikes a winnable race here. Hasn't had a whole lot go right in recent times but is a different horse in front and thats where I expect him to be. Chris Alford onboard is a bonus
RESULT: 3rd. Had its chance. Collect $57
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Maka Killin ($10)
Was outclassed against much better quality horses last start after a 6 week break but didn't finish too far behind them. Looks to be a crazy pace on here and I expect a last man standing situation which will suit this fella down to the ground especially if he can follow Hellovaway into the race
RESULT: LOST! Not the best of drives. Finished up close behind them but never looked likely
Swan Hill, Wednesday 16th December
THE VALUE
$25WIN
Race 6 No 4 Kate Lovemetwotimes ($4)
Ex kiwi who has actually beaten Mach Denario back in NZ. Both his starts has been restrained at the start and hasn't been suited by pattern of racing. Trialed nicely prior. Has to go forward here as the front is full of non leaders & it's his for the taking. Ive reduced win bet as I'm not overly confident they will. Definitely watch for any change of tactics and increase the bet if they confirm they're going forward.
RESULT: LOST! Went back at the start & they walked but the driver who made the first move got the choccies. They need to drive it differently to get on the winners list
$25WIN
Race 6 No 4 Kate Lovemetwotimes ($4)
Ex kiwi who has actually beaten Mach Denario back in NZ. Both his starts has been restrained at the start and hasn't been suited by pattern of racing. Trialed nicely prior. Has to go forward here as the front is full of non leaders & it's his for the taking. Ive reduced win bet as I'm not overly confident they will. Definitely watch for any change of tactics and increase the bet if they confirm they're going forward.
RESULT: LOST! Went back at the start & they walked but the driver who made the first move got the choccies. They need to drive it differently to get on the winners list
Kilmore, Wednesday 16th December
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Union Ally ($2.50)
She's one of my favourites and I've been patiently waiting for her to get out over some distance and gets it today. She's been very good against similar opposition & put up a huge run when 2nd around Stawell over the sprint trip, a track not suited to her racing style. Beat Glory Daze easily there but that horse should be leading and having an easier run today. That just means better odds for Union Ally if you ask me. I think she just a rung below the best of her age over distance and gets her chance to show that today.
RESULT: WINNER! Love this horse more and more each day. She really dug in after death seating and we finally get overs. Collect $360
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Union Ally ($2.50)
She's one of my favourites and I've been patiently waiting for her to get out over some distance and gets it today. She's been very good against similar opposition & put up a huge run when 2nd around Stawell over the sprint trip, a track not suited to her racing style. Beat Glory Daze easily there but that horse should be leading and having an easier run today. That just means better odds for Union Ally if you ask me. I think she just a rung below the best of her age over distance and gets her chance to show that today.
RESULT: WINNER! Love this horse more and more each day. She really dug in after death seating and we finally get overs. Collect $360
Shepparton, Tuesday 15th December
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 3 No 2 Hooper Road ($1.80)
Did all the work at Albury and just missed & a similar story at this track and distance when 3 wide without cover the last lap missing by a head. Was a very easy winner prior to that when able to lead. Thats your scenario here with the 1 having no early pace & this is no harder than his win a few weeks back. Should be winning
RESULT: 2nd. Unbelievable, the 1 shows speed it's never shown before and holds us out. Always going to be tough from there on in
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Major Missile ($6)
Much better run when no match for the winner at Melton but they ran home in 55.5 for the last half. Was only 10 metres off Bubbas Princess first up when never a chance off a slow tempo. We really need Chris Alford to fire Secret Wisdom out of the gate but I think he will giving us the perfect trail. (Watch for any COT for Secret Wisdom - not keen if they announce they're taking cover)
RESULT: LOST! Finally read the speed map, not the horse. Every possible chance and did zilch.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Sammysluck ($3.50)
Scratching of the fav opens this race right up & over the short trip, this bloke gets all the favours. Did all the work at Albury last start to only get nutted right on the line. Should be the leader again here & in a race that seems to lack pressure gets his opportunity
RESULT: WINNER!! Saved me.. Easy winner in the end. Collect $190
MEETING RESULT: LOST $10
$100WIN
Race 3 No 2 Hooper Road ($1.80)
Did all the work at Albury and just missed & a similar story at this track and distance when 3 wide without cover the last lap missing by a head. Was a very easy winner prior to that when able to lead. Thats your scenario here with the 1 having no early pace & this is no harder than his win a few weeks back. Should be winning
RESULT: 2nd. Unbelievable, the 1 shows speed it's never shown before and holds us out. Always going to be tough from there on in
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Major Missile ($6)
Much better run when no match for the winner at Melton but they ran home in 55.5 for the last half. Was only 10 metres off Bubbas Princess first up when never a chance off a slow tempo. We really need Chris Alford to fire Secret Wisdom out of the gate but I think he will giving us the perfect trail. (Watch for any COT for Secret Wisdom - not keen if they announce they're taking cover)
RESULT: LOST! Finally read the speed map, not the horse. Every possible chance and did zilch.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Sammysluck ($3.50)
Scratching of the fav opens this race right up & over the short trip, this bloke gets all the favours. Did all the work at Albury last start to only get nutted right on the line. Should be the leader again here & in a race that seems to lack pressure gets his opportunity
RESULT: WINNER!! Saved me.. Easy winner in the end. Collect $190
MEETING RESULT: LOST $10
Hamilton, Monday 14th December
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 3 No 3 Just Wantano ($1.80)
Wasn't given much chance in a slowly run race at Stawell last start, a known leaders track/tight turning circuit. Flashed home late taking plenty of ground of Motlop Magic late in the quickest last quarter of the day. She was first up last week and should settle closer to the speed today. Looks too good
RESULT: WINNER! Tyre came off the rim last 100 metres but was still too good. Couldn't done without the heart attack though. Collect $180, $2.60 last night for BET365 punters, Sportsbet best of the others that I saw at $2.10
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 3 In A Rose Tattoo ($6)
She has limited ability only winning once from 28 starts but has placed 43% of those starts. Has had 2 starts back from a break and wasn't disgraced in either especially last start only beaten 9 metres behind some handy types. (Beat Rainbow Sue home easily and that horse has since won at Melton) Gets out of the gate very well & with 2 moderate beginners on her inside she should be the first to the pegs. Has options from there and looks a great ew bet.
RESULT: 3rd. Bugger off. The 1 has shown no speed at all and today shows plenty to hold them out. Even the 2 showed plenty in a very quick lead time. Ended 3 pegs and was very plain though. Collect $51, again much better value out there than closing odds
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Sign No More ($3)
Was pretty plain against much better opposition last start but was unlucky previous 2 starts prior. This is the weakest he's seen in sometime with the only danger for mine on his back but did beat the same horse on it's merits at Ararat.
RESULT: 3rd. Kerryn Manning gave them a driven lesson there.. Every chance Sign No More.
DAY RESULT: Won $31
$100WIN
Race 3 No 3 Just Wantano ($1.80)
Wasn't given much chance in a slowly run race at Stawell last start, a known leaders track/tight turning circuit. Flashed home late taking plenty of ground of Motlop Magic late in the quickest last quarter of the day. She was first up last week and should settle closer to the speed today. Looks too good
RESULT: WINNER! Tyre came off the rim last 100 metres but was still too good. Couldn't done without the heart attack though. Collect $180, $2.60 last night for BET365 punters, Sportsbet best of the others that I saw at $2.10
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 3 In A Rose Tattoo ($6)
She has limited ability only winning once from 28 starts but has placed 43% of those starts. Has had 2 starts back from a break and wasn't disgraced in either especially last start only beaten 9 metres behind some handy types. (Beat Rainbow Sue home easily and that horse has since won at Melton) Gets out of the gate very well & with 2 moderate beginners on her inside she should be the first to the pegs. Has options from there and looks a great ew bet.
RESULT: 3rd. Bugger off. The 1 has shown no speed at all and today shows plenty to hold them out. Even the 2 showed plenty in a very quick lead time. Ended 3 pegs and was very plain though. Collect $51, again much better value out there than closing odds
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Sign No More ($3)
Was pretty plain against much better opposition last start but was unlucky previous 2 starts prior. This is the weakest he's seen in sometime with the only danger for mine on his back but did beat the same horse on it's merits at Ararat.
RESULT: 3rd. Kerryn Manning gave them a driven lesson there.. Every chance Sign No More.
DAY RESULT: Won $31
Wedderburn, Sunday 13th December
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Mar Nein ($1.80)
First up here. Trialed impressively at Melton last week and this looks weak. Should get us off to a good start
RESULT: WINNER! No where near the odds I thought we'd get. collect $130
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Bobby Fabulous ($6)
Absolutely flying. Belted a good bunch at Melton last start when beautifully driven by Zac Steenhuis. Brian Gath jumps onboard here and that to me suggests a bold front running drive is on the cards. Never started behind the tapes but did trial behind them last week & flew away. If he can do the same here look out.
RESULT: LOST! Broke at the start and that was game over
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Mar Nein ($1.80)
First up here. Trialed impressively at Melton last week and this looks weak. Should get us off to a good start
RESULT: WINNER! No where near the odds I thought we'd get. collect $130
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Bobby Fabulous ($6)
Absolutely flying. Belted a good bunch at Melton last start when beautifully driven by Zac Steenhuis. Brian Gath jumps onboard here and that to me suggests a bold front running drive is on the cards. Never started behind the tapes but did trial behind them last week & flew away. If he can do the same here look out.
RESULT: LOST! Broke at the start and that was game over
Melton, Saturday 12th December
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Courageousnquick ($6)
Great first up run behind Lets Elope & follow up with a very quick 3rd when she just weakened late. Leader or leaders back here and I think the fav is vulnerable
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Courageousnquick ($6)
Great first up run behind Lets Elope & follow up with a very quick 3rd when she just weakened late. Leader or leaders back here and I think the fav is vulnerable
Yarra Valley, Friday 11th December
$30 EXACTA
Race 1: 5/4-8 for 1500%
Laying Dont Hold Me Back here after two horrible trials. Arden Legacy looks extremely smart & went huge first up. Majordan has been trialing well & Sahara Sunrise is very smart. Think we can snag a $10+ result here
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 3 / 2-5 / 1-2-5 for 500%
Taking a little risk here for a result as Rosie ORielly is pretty smart but Machli form against better horses looks very good in a race of few chances
Race 1: 5/4-8 for 1500%
Laying Dont Hold Me Back here after two horrible trials. Arden Legacy looks extremely smart & went huge first up. Majordan has been trialing well & Sahara Sunrise is very smart. Think we can snag a $10+ result here
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 3 / 2-5 / 1-2-5 for 500%
Taking a little risk here for a result as Rosie ORielly is pretty smart but Machli form against better horses looks very good in a race of few chances
Kilmore, Thursday 10th December
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 7 Mister Pickles ($5)
Has had 3 starts starts for Danny O'Bree for 2 wins & a very close up 2nd. Been out for a rest but trialed well last weekend behind Keystone Del when not really pushed. Should push forward from the draw & with leader Blurred lines not strong over the distance I can see Pickles hitting the front at the turn and looks hard to beat.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 7 Mister Pickles ($5)
Has had 3 starts starts for Danny O'Bree for 2 wins & a very close up 2nd. Been out for a rest but trialed well last weekend behind Keystone Del when not really pushed. Should push forward from the draw & with leader Blurred lines not strong over the distance I can see Pickles hitting the front at the turn and looks hard to beat.
Echuca, Wednesday 9th December (Night)
BEST EXOTIC
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 1-5 / 1-5 / 7 for 2500%
Platinum Powers record is much better than it looks and returned from a spell with a very good 2nd. If it holds the lead, looks real hard to beat. Only danger is Eye See Diamonds who toyed with an average field from the death at Shepparton but could be very smart. They look far better than the rest with I'm Simply Red getting the lovely pegs run behind them looks a monty for 3rd.
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Madis Mate ($2)
Putting all my eggs in the one basket here. I expect Ramblin Roller to cross early & will be looking to hand up straight away. That'll be to Madis Mate & with form behind Barimah, looks too good for these if that scenario eventuates.
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 1-5 / 1-5 / 7 for 2500%
Platinum Powers record is much better than it looks and returned from a spell with a very good 2nd. If it holds the lead, looks real hard to beat. Only danger is Eye See Diamonds who toyed with an average field from the death at Shepparton but could be very smart. They look far better than the rest with I'm Simply Red getting the lovely pegs run behind them looks a monty for 3rd.
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Madis Mate ($2)
Putting all my eggs in the one basket here. I expect Ramblin Roller to cross early & will be looking to hand up straight away. That'll be to Madis Mate & with form behind Barimah, looks too good for these if that scenario eventuates.
Melton, Wednesday 9th December
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Justalilbitgreek ($11)
The 14 starts for 0 wins isn't a great look but has ran some OK races of late. Last time he drew gate 1 he ran a solid 3rd behind OK horses when ended up 3 pegs. The front line isn't as fast as that day & I think he settles leaders back at worst. Most of these have limited ability and he's worth a throw at the stumps. Think we'll get much better than my $11 quote
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Justalilbitgreek ($11)
The 14 starts for 0 wins isn't a great look but has ran some OK races of late. Last time he drew gate 1 he ran a solid 3rd behind OK horses when ended up 3 pegs. The front line isn't as fast as that day & I think he settles leaders back at worst. Most of these have limited ability and he's worth a throw at the stumps. Think we'll get much better than my $11 quote
Ballarat, Tuesday 8th December
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Narre Boy ($6)
Thought his 2nd to Our Missionary Man 2 starts back was very good for a race like this. (Beat home No Bettertime who has been good since behind Ponder Girl) You can forgive last start when attacked to hard for the lead early and spent too much petrol. Can fly the gate and is a chance to cross this lot especially with the old master in the sulky. Is versatile enough to win with a sit as well if that scenario doesn't play out. Looks the best value of the night with any sort of luck.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally.. Got a fair whacking late but plenty of overs about. $17BET365, $10 Sportsbet. Unfortunately not quite so much for closing odds TAB. Collect $151.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Narre Boy ($6)
Thought his 2nd to Our Missionary Man 2 starts back was very good for a race like this. (Beat home No Bettertime who has been good since behind Ponder Girl) You can forgive last start when attacked to hard for the lead early and spent too much petrol. Can fly the gate and is a chance to cross this lot especially with the old master in the sulky. Is versatile enough to win with a sit as well if that scenario doesn't play out. Looks the best value of the night with any sort of luck.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally.. Got a fair whacking late but plenty of overs about. $17BET365, $10 Sportsbet. Unfortunately not quite so much for closing odds TAB. Collect $151.
Stawell, Sunday 6th December
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 1 No 3 Jackabeems ($3)
Was pretty poor last prep but returned from a spell with a strong win from the death at Swan Hill. That was against a weaker field but should only improve from that run & looks the leader here today. In a small field should be able to run this to suit.
RESULT: LAST! Didn't find the lead & the ran along in track record time. No chance
$50WIN
Race 1 No 3 Jackabeems ($3)
Was pretty poor last prep but returned from a spell with a strong win from the death at Swan Hill. That was against a weaker field but should only improve from that run & looks the leader here today. In a small field should be able to run this to suit.
RESULT: LAST! Didn't find the lead & the ran along in track record time. No chance
Melton, Friday 4th December
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Makin Art Magic ($3)
Was beaten easily by Village Safari last start but the table should be turned here with Makin Art Magic leading and Village Safari death seating. He's won both starts in Oz when able to hold the lead and looks mighty hard to beat tonight.
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Sir Swayze ($6)
Had every opportunity when 2nd in slightly stronger class last start but was 2nd to Classy Western who is low flying. The front line here is chock full of speed and this looks set for a swooper to take advantage. Worth noting he can take a couple of run before he hits his straps & should be ready 3rd up here.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Makin Art Magic ($3)
Was beaten easily by Village Safari last start but the table should be turned here with Makin Art Magic leading and Village Safari death seating. He's won both starts in Oz when able to hold the lead and looks mighty hard to beat tonight.
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Sir Swayze ($6)
Had every opportunity when 2nd in slightly stronger class last start but was 2nd to Classy Western who is low flying. The front line here is chock full of speed and this looks set for a swooper to take advantage. Worth noting he can take a couple of run before he hits his straps & should be ready 3rd up here.
Geelong, Thursday Night, 3rd December
BEST EXOTIC's
$24 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 8 / 2-5 / 2-3-5-9 / 2-3-5-9 for 200%
Im a huge fan of Sir Macs Man & his recent trial at Melton shows he's ready first up. Tough draw but I think that just adds value. Rule Of Thumb was very good in the same trial but isn't a fan of winning. Glenferrie Arch is racing very well and should receive a lovely run. I'm risking Blurred Lines (I think it's better suited over the sprint distance) and Keayang Squizzy was very impressive on debut but led as it liked and this is much harder but no doubt could knock me out. 8 / 2-3-5-9 for those that don't want to take a risk.
RESULT: LOST! We get 1st, 2nd & 3rd but somehow the 3 & 9 couldn't hold out the longshot in 4th.. Ouch..
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 4-7 / 4-7 / 1-4-7 for 500%
Swiftly Tothebeach looks the leader here but has to be a little query over the longer distance especially when leading. Mick Stanley looks to have another impressive youngster with Soho Montelena who won well off an easy run last start. Has to be a query from the draw but looks smart. Miss Quatro is my roughy, She looks to be screaming out for the distance after finishing off well in each of her 3 starts. She just needs to hold out the 2 & 3 to trail Swiftly Tothebeach and she might be a handful when the sprint lane presents if that scenario occurs.
RESULT: WINNER! Just.. Collect $57
$24 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 8 / 2-5 / 2-3-5-9 / 2-3-5-9 for 200%
Im a huge fan of Sir Macs Man & his recent trial at Melton shows he's ready first up. Tough draw but I think that just adds value. Rule Of Thumb was very good in the same trial but isn't a fan of winning. Glenferrie Arch is racing very well and should receive a lovely run. I'm risking Blurred Lines (I think it's better suited over the sprint distance) and Keayang Squizzy was very impressive on debut but led as it liked and this is much harder but no doubt could knock me out. 8 / 2-3-5-9 for those that don't want to take a risk.
RESULT: LOST! We get 1st, 2nd & 3rd but somehow the 3 & 9 couldn't hold out the longshot in 4th.. Ouch..
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 4-7 / 4-7 / 1-4-7 for 500%
Swiftly Tothebeach looks the leader here but has to be a little query over the longer distance especially when leading. Mick Stanley looks to have another impressive youngster with Soho Montelena who won well off an easy run last start. Has to be a query from the draw but looks smart. Miss Quatro is my roughy, She looks to be screaming out for the distance after finishing off well in each of her 3 starts. She just needs to hold out the 2 & 3 to trail Swiftly Tothebeach and she might be a handful when the sprint lane presents if that scenario occurs.
RESULT: WINNER! Just.. Collect $57
Shepparton, Thursday 3rd December
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 4 No 12 Another Derek ($2.50)
Draw isn't ideal but wasn't given a hope in his heat. Only pulled out at the top of the straight from near last after they ran 64 seconds for the first half (extremely slow for Shepparton) and hit the line very nicely in the fastest last half of the heats (close to a second faster). That was it's debut run and should only improve on that in a race that looks to have a much more genuine speed.
RESULT: 4th. Everything went to plan, got the perfect run into the race off a good speed. The horse just wasn't good enough
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Calcavado ($6)
Driven like a $50 shot last week & was pretty stiff to not at least place last start. I'm forgiving that and sticking with him tonight. Looks a similar type race, has options from gate 2 and the extra distance suits. Last time Kima Frenning was on he ran a very nice 3rd against good company this track and distance.
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around. No idea idea why she didn't pull out from the 1x1 but was struck in traffic all the way down the straight & never saw daylight
$100WIN
Race 4 No 12 Another Derek ($2.50)
Draw isn't ideal but wasn't given a hope in his heat. Only pulled out at the top of the straight from near last after they ran 64 seconds for the first half (extremely slow for Shepparton) and hit the line very nicely in the fastest last half of the heats (close to a second faster). That was it's debut run and should only improve on that in a race that looks to have a much more genuine speed.
RESULT: 4th. Everything went to plan, got the perfect run into the race off a good speed. The horse just wasn't good enough
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Calcavado ($6)
Driven like a $50 shot last week & was pretty stiff to not at least place last start. I'm forgiving that and sticking with him tonight. Looks a similar type race, has options from gate 2 and the extra distance suits. Last time Kima Frenning was on he ran a very nice 3rd against good company this track and distance.
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around. No idea idea why she didn't pull out from the 1x1 but was struck in traffic all the way down the straight & never saw daylight
Swan Hill, Wednesday 2nd December
BEST BETS
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Live in Abby ($1.80)
May or may not get a price here (currently $2.40 on BET365) but just looks the leader and winner. Another Buddy can ping the gate over the sprint trip but even if that happens expect Bellman to retake the leader soon after. Past couple of starts suggests that he's ready for a race of this nature and really looks to have a bit on these.
RESULT: 2nd.. No excuses, outsprinted by the cheat lane..
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Times A Bonus ($1.60)
Probably another for those that can bet on BET365. $2.80 when typing this. Got stuck behind a weakening Blacktie Lightning last start in a hot race. From prior was first class & even though I prefer him over further, I think he can cross these early & they can't beat him from the top. $2.80?
RESULT: WINNER! And lets not speak of it again. Collect $230
DAY RESULT: Won $30
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Live in Abby ($1.80)
May or may not get a price here (currently $2.40 on BET365) but just looks the leader and winner. Another Buddy can ping the gate over the sprint trip but even if that happens expect Bellman to retake the leader soon after. Past couple of starts suggests that he's ready for a race of this nature and really looks to have a bit on these.
RESULT: 2nd.. No excuses, outsprinted by the cheat lane..
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Times A Bonus ($1.60)
Probably another for those that can bet on BET365. $2.80 when typing this. Got stuck behind a weakening Blacktie Lightning last start in a hot race. From prior was first class & even though I prefer him over further, I think he can cross these early & they can't beat him from the top. $2.80?
RESULT: WINNER! And lets not speak of it again. Collect $230
DAY RESULT: Won $30
Ararat, Tuesday 1st December
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 7 No 4 Never Sighted ($2)
Never looked likely over the short course at Horsham having come off the back row in quick time. Took the final turn awkwardly when coming 4wide but kept finding the line. Worth noting that was his first start in a year. With the benefit of the run, looks like the extra distance will suit along with the better draw. Shown OK gate speed in NZ so should be in front of his major dangers early & be able to control the race whether that be in front or in the death. Butterworth Racing don't bring them across the ditch for a holiday!
RESULT: WINNER! Did plenty of work to get the lead but was too good for that lot. Not sure how good it is though. $3.50 for early shoppers on BET365. Collect $195
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Virginia Lightning ($6)
She's been struggling over the further distances of late but against quality opposition. 2 starts back was a very good 3rd to quality horses Love In A Chevy & Mister Whittaker. Should lob behind the leader here and looks hard to hold out late
RESULT: AWFUL! Jason Lee couldn't have done anymore. Might need a rest
DAY RESULT: Won $45
$100WIN
Race 7 No 4 Never Sighted ($2)
Never looked likely over the short course at Horsham having come off the back row in quick time. Took the final turn awkwardly when coming 4wide but kept finding the line. Worth noting that was his first start in a year. With the benefit of the run, looks like the extra distance will suit along with the better draw. Shown OK gate speed in NZ so should be in front of his major dangers early & be able to control the race whether that be in front or in the death. Butterworth Racing don't bring them across the ditch for a holiday!
RESULT: WINNER! Did plenty of work to get the lead but was too good for that lot. Not sure how good it is though. $3.50 for early shoppers on BET365. Collect $195
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Virginia Lightning ($6)
She's been struggling over the further distances of late but against quality opposition. 2 starts back was a very good 3rd to quality horses Love In A Chevy & Mister Whittaker. Should lob behind the leader here and looks hard to hold out late
RESULT: AWFUL! Jason Lee couldn't have done anymore. Might need a rest
DAY RESULT: Won $45
Warragul, Monday 30th November
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Comply Or Die ($3)
Broke at a critical stage of the race last start but hit the line well late. Amazingly his last win was against Devendra, last Friday night's Interdom heat winner! Should restrain from the start here & follow Mels Dream's every move. Chris Alford back onboard only enhances his chances
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Comply Or Die ($3)
Broke at a critical stage of the race last start but hit the line well late. Amazingly his last win was against Devendra, last Friday night's Interdom heat winner! Should restrain from the start here & follow Mels Dream's every move. Chris Alford back onboard only enhances his chances
Shepparton, Sunday 29th November
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Bubbas Princess ($6)
She was outclassed but not disgraced last start. Was very good at Cobram the start prior. From similar draws she got past Tontina last time so same should happen here & she'll take a sit. Looks a great ew bet from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Amazing. Got the lead & nothing challenged her! Got away with some of the slowest quarters of the night & she managed to hold them off. $218.80 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Bubbas Princess ($6)
She was outclassed but not disgraced last start. Was very good at Cobram the start prior. From similar draws she got past Tontina last time so same should happen here & she'll take a sit. Looks a great ew bet from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Amazing. Got the lead & nothing challenged her! Got away with some of the slowest quarters of the night & she managed to hold them off. $218.80 collect
Melton, Saturday 28th November
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Springfield Tattoo ($11)
Been stiff his past few starts but only beaten 7metres last start when held up at a vital stage. Gets a much better draw tonight & is a sneaky chance of crossing them early. If he can find the pegs he's a huge chance
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $114
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Jazi Jodi ($6)
No doubt the favourite is the one to beat but it does lack a bit of gate speed & if crossed early, it's game on. Jazi Jodi looks like a chance of either crossing and taking a sit or taking cover one off close to the lead. Even if the fav leads, the 8 is slow out so the spot behind the leader is on. Was very stiff last start when Maree Cross elected to hand up only to end up 3 pegs. Hit the line impressively late. Trialed well before that too. Massive price of $18 when typing this which is huge value for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Cyrus ($6)
A couple of forget runs to start of his prep.First up was stuck 3 wide wothout cover before restraining to last but hit the line well the last 100 metres. Was buried away 4 pegs last start in a much better field & never saw daylight hitting the line hard held. Both those start were over the short distance. The step up in distance is ideal and can work from this draw & win. Should be primed 3rd up.$9 Sportsbet
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Springfield Tattoo ($11)
Been stiff his past few starts but only beaten 7metres last start when held up at a vital stage. Gets a much better draw tonight & is a sneaky chance of crossing them early. If he can find the pegs he's a huge chance
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $114
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Jazi Jodi ($6)
No doubt the favourite is the one to beat but it does lack a bit of gate speed & if crossed early, it's game on. Jazi Jodi looks like a chance of either crossing and taking a sit or taking cover one off close to the lead. Even if the fav leads, the 8 is slow out so the spot behind the leader is on. Was very stiff last start when Maree Cross elected to hand up only to end up 3 pegs. Hit the line impressively late. Trialed well before that too. Massive price of $18 when typing this which is huge value for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Cyrus ($6)
A couple of forget runs to start of his prep.First up was stuck 3 wide wothout cover before restraining to last but hit the line well the last 100 metres. Was buried away 4 pegs last start in a much better field & never saw daylight hitting the line hard held. Both those start were over the short distance. The step up in distance is ideal and can work from this draw & win. Should be primed 3rd up.$9 Sportsbet
Ballarat, Friday 27th November
BEST EXOTIC
$21 TRIFECTA
RACE 1: 2-6 / 1-2-6 / 1-2-4 for 300%
With the scratching of the odds on favourite Keayang Kalllisto is your leader and whatever beats him will win. Can be his own worst enemy but doesn't seem to be a great deal of pressure in the race which wont suit Union Ally but she is a quality animal and can still win anyway. My roughy is Little Lyn who if she could cross, could run a great race. City Sneak was very good in the heat and from the draw has to go in but Id be surprised if it could reverse last starts result.
THE VALUE
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 The Good Times ($3)
Usually a very good fresh horse. Trialed impressively in a strong last half going past good horses like Abettorpunt, Kurahaupo Gambler & Hiltop Hustler. She'll go back from the draw but a chance to follow Lets Elope into the race who'll start odds on and thats massive unders for mine. The Good Times could do the damage with one last sprint at them.
$21 TRIFECTA
RACE 1: 2-6 / 1-2-6 / 1-2-4 for 300%
With the scratching of the odds on favourite Keayang Kalllisto is your leader and whatever beats him will win. Can be his own worst enemy but doesn't seem to be a great deal of pressure in the race which wont suit Union Ally but she is a quality animal and can still win anyway. My roughy is Little Lyn who if she could cross, could run a great race. City Sneak was very good in the heat and from the draw has to go in but Id be surprised if it could reverse last starts result.
THE VALUE
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 The Good Times ($3)
Usually a very good fresh horse. Trialed impressively in a strong last half going past good horses like Abettorpunt, Kurahaupo Gambler & Hiltop Hustler. She'll go back from the draw but a chance to follow Lets Elope into the race who'll start odds on and thats massive unders for mine. The Good Times could do the damage with one last sprint at them.
Kilmore, Thursday 26th November
THE VALUE
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 5 Superlenny ($8)
Pretty risky punt this as his ability is limited and the draw isn't ideal however the facts state (especially over his past 6-12mths) his form over the longer distance is far better than most of these. Was stiff not to finish closer at Bendigo over the mile before a good 3rd behind Fire Up Franco who'd start long odds on in this. Should push forward from the draw and sit handy.
RESULT: LAST! Never a chance after restraining early and they walked but went awful
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 5 Superlenny ($8)
Pretty risky punt this as his ability is limited and the draw isn't ideal however the facts state (especially over his past 6-12mths) his form over the longer distance is far better than most of these. Was stiff not to finish closer at Bendigo over the mile before a good 3rd behind Fire Up Franco who'd start long odds on in this. Should push forward from the draw and sit handy.
RESULT: LAST! Never a chance after restraining early and they walked but went awful
Bendigo, Wednesday 25th November
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Felecity Funkhouser ($3)
Trial flyer from last week with a super 2nd to Steam Washed. Gets the option of leading of taking the sit over the 1650m and from either position looks very hard to beat.
RESULT: Winner! $3? Only for Bet365 users. Collect $85
BEST ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 1 The Coquette ($7)
This is a tough race to debut in and the 6 horse field means on top 2 dividend but worth a risk. Hasn't been touched in either of his trials and the 2 favs could cut at each other here. He gets the option of who to sit on in the leaders back position, a perfect spot to be at Bendigo
RESULT: WINNER! Has plenty to learn but nice win. Collect $111
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Calcavado ($8)
Forget he went around last start. Was only just beaten by Hellovaway who has since gone onto win at Melton in a C2/4 race. The drop back to the sprint distance suits.
RESULT: 4th.. Went to the line hard but unfortunately, too late she cried.
DAY RESULT: Won $66
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Felecity Funkhouser ($3)
Trial flyer from last week with a super 2nd to Steam Washed. Gets the option of leading of taking the sit over the 1650m and from either position looks very hard to beat.
RESULT: Winner! $3? Only for Bet365 users. Collect $85
BEST ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 1 The Coquette ($7)
This is a tough race to debut in and the 6 horse field means on top 2 dividend but worth a risk. Hasn't been touched in either of his trials and the 2 favs could cut at each other here. He gets the option of who to sit on in the leaders back position, a perfect spot to be at Bendigo
RESULT: WINNER! Has plenty to learn but nice win. Collect $111
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Calcavado ($8)
Forget he went around last start. Was only just beaten by Hellovaway who has since gone onto win at Melton in a C2/4 race. The drop back to the sprint distance suits.
RESULT: 4th.. Went to the line hard but unfortunately, too late she cried.
DAY RESULT: Won $66
Geelong, Tuesday 24th November
BEST EXOTIC
$24TRIFECTA
Race 1: 3-9 / 3-7-9 / 3-4-7-9-10 for 200%
Captain Snoozzze gets to the pegs first here and looks mighty hard to beat. Royal Deviate was massive over the short course against C2/3 class and in C1 class looks suited. Jimmy The Editor a threat but struggles to win. Wallis King & Star Crossed the only other chances for mine
RESULT: LOST! Favourite gallops and that was that really
$24TRIFECTA
Race 1: 3-9 / 3-7-9 / 3-4-7-9-10 for 200%
Captain Snoozzze gets to the pegs first here and looks mighty hard to beat. Royal Deviate was massive over the short course against C2/3 class and in C1 class looks suited. Jimmy The Editor a threat but struggles to win. Wallis King & Star Crossed the only other chances for mine
RESULT: LOST! Favourite gallops and that was that really
Gunbower Cup Day
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Dallas Nikolay ($6)
Galloped at the start last week & cost him his chance in the race but was still a very good run to get so close. Theres a fair chance he'll get the trail on the fav's back into this. Looks a great ew bet if he behaves!
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Master Pip ($11)
Didn't lose any ground on Almost El Eagle when running 4th behind Yankee Rockstar last start. Usually good from a stand and gets a 10 metre advantage on Almost El Eagle here. We'll get much better than $11
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Dallas Nikolay ($6)
Galloped at the start last week & cost him his chance in the race but was still a very good run to get so close. Theres a fair chance he'll get the trail on the fav's back into this. Looks a great ew bet if he behaves!
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Master Pip ($11)
Didn't lose any ground on Almost El Eagle when running 4th behind Yankee Rockstar last start. Usually good from a stand and gets a 10 metre advantage on Almost El Eagle here. We'll get much better than $11
Cranbourne, Saturday 21st November
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Travtiano ($6)
Showed a return to form last start albeit in slow time. Hasn't been in this class for sometime and settles leaders back here. Fav wlll be hard to beat but happy to take it on from the back row.
RESULT: LOST! Is it out yet?
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Travtiano ($6)
Showed a return to form last start albeit in slow time. Hasn't been in this class for sometime and settles leaders back here. Fav wlll be hard to beat but happy to take it on from the back row.
RESULT: LOST! Is it out yet?
melton, Friday 20th November
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Desdon Murruffy ($3)
HUGE first up run after doing all the work at this track and distance last week. Should be much fitter for that run and gets the chance to control the race from the death here. Only danger draws gate 8 and will need luck, plenty of it.
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run after doing all the work. Dont jump off yet
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 7 Alina ($10)
Looked a little plain against the boys during the week at Shepparton but Im prepared to forgive considering she tried to sprint down the back out wide in a 26 .8 3rd quarter. Better suited back against her own sex here. Plenty of speed on and should follow Mistress Of Illusion into the race.
RESULT: LOST! Might need a spell from the Poggaharness stable
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Desdon Murruffy ($3)
HUGE first up run after doing all the work at this track and distance last week. Should be much fitter for that run and gets the chance to control the race from the death here. Only danger draws gate 8 and will need luck, plenty of it.
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run after doing all the work. Dont jump off yet
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 7 Alina ($10)
Looked a little plain against the boys during the week at Shepparton but Im prepared to forgive considering she tried to sprint down the back out wide in a 26 .8 3rd quarter. Better suited back against her own sex here. Plenty of speed on and should follow Mistress Of Illusion into the race.
RESULT: LOST! Might need a spell from the Poggaharness stable
Bendigo, Thursday 19th November
THE VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Miss Metro Glen ($6)
Nice run even though never likely to win behind a couple of smart ones at this track and distance last start . Union Ally has since won again impressively. This easier!
RESULT: WINNER! Did all the work and held them out. Nice value too with $8.50 available at one stage. Collect $199.50.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Miss Metro Glen ($6)
Nice run even though never likely to win behind a couple of smart ones at this track and distance last start . Union Ally has since won again impressively. This easier!
RESULT: WINNER! Did all the work and held them out. Nice value too with $8.50 available at one stage. Collect $199.50.
Swan Hill, Wednesday 18th November
VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Johns Grin ($6)
Looked like being in the finish coming from near last before the turn but broke stride. The walked the first half of the race and considering he looked a winning chance had no right to be. Should get a solid speed in this and looks hard to hold out late
RESULT: LOST! If you haven't seen the race don't watch the replay. Good thing beaten for mine.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Johns Grin ($6)
Looked like being in the finish coming from near last before the turn but broke stride. The walked the first half of the race and considering he looked a winning chance had no right to be. Should get a solid speed in this and looks hard to hold out late
RESULT: LOST! If you haven't seen the race don't watch the replay. Good thing beaten for mine.
Terang, Tuesday 17th November
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Ritzy Fitz ($2.20)
Redemption day for Ritzy. He is a much better horse than his 17: 2-2-2 stats suggest. Matthew Craven onboard a horse that has 2 very good 2nds and a win when Robert Arundell isn't driving. His last start should've finished closer than 10metres away from Ricimer after being held up when Ricimer dashed away. He'd start a very short favourite in this. Has since won a trial at Ballarat by a small margin but wasn't let go at all in a 58 last half after a slow lead time. Just looks far too good for these with even luck
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Ritzy Fitz ($2.20)
Redemption day for Ritzy. He is a much better horse than his 17: 2-2-2 stats suggest. Matthew Craven onboard a horse that has 2 very good 2nds and a win when Robert Arundell isn't driving. His last start should've finished closer than 10metres away from Ricimer after being held up when Ricimer dashed away. He'd start a very short favourite in this. Has since won a trial at Ballarat by a small margin but wasn't let go at all in a 58 last half after a slow lead time. Just looks far too good for these with even luck
Melton, Monday 16th November
VALUE BETS
$25WIN
Race 3 No 1 Carseblue ($4)
First starter who won well at a recent Maryborough trial before being beaten at Ballarat by a long way over the 2200 metres. Was beaten by a smart one and raced in the death the last lap in a 58 last half, quick going for a trial. 1720m suits here and showed a heap of pace in his last trial. This isn't a strong race.
RESULT: 4th. Galloped out and that was that
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Upwardly ($6)
Amazed he was restrained at the start at at Kilmore when had the draw advantage on the fav but was never a chance after doing that. His form was extremely good for a race of this nature and although seldom wins, gets no better chance to do that than today.providing they go forward!
RESULT: LOST! Went forward and was gone at the turn
$25WIN
Race 3 No 1 Carseblue ($4)
First starter who won well at a recent Maryborough trial before being beaten at Ballarat by a long way over the 2200 metres. Was beaten by a smart one and raced in the death the last lap in a 58 last half, quick going for a trial. 1720m suits here and showed a heap of pace in his last trial. This isn't a strong race.
RESULT: 4th. Galloped out and that was that
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Upwardly ($6)
Amazed he was restrained at the start at at Kilmore when had the draw advantage on the fav but was never a chance after doing that. His form was extremely good for a race of this nature and although seldom wins, gets no better chance to do that than today.providing they go forward!
RESULT: LOST! Went forward and was gone at the turn
St Arnaud CUP Day
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Almost El Eagle ($6)
Has bumped into Yankee Rockstar in both runs this prep for to very good 2nds. I can't image what his last half was run in last start comin from midfield in a 55.3 last half! Just needs to step away from the tapes to be right in this.
RESULT: WINNER! Never looked like it but somehow split them late and got the money. $8 early on BET365. Collect $129
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Almost El Eagle ($6)
Has bumped into Yankee Rockstar in both runs this prep for to very good 2nds. I can't image what his last half was run in last start comin from midfield in a 55.3 last half! Just needs to step away from the tapes to be right in this.
RESULT: WINNER! Never looked like it but somehow split them late and got the money. $8 early on BET365. Collect $129
Shepparton, Saturday 14th November
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 1 No 6 Fire Up Franco ($3)
Had no hope from the poor draw coming wide late in a very quick last half at Melton against some good quality animals. Can be a little risky at the start when pushed but thats his best option here with little to no speed on his inside. He crosses them early and he's home but can still win if he doesn't. Best horse in the race
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $150
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Alina ($5)
She was simply outclassed against the best mares the state has to offer last start. Was super the start prior and just looks very well suited in this race. Can't see her missing top 3 with even luck.
RESULT: 4th.. Real disappointing run
$50WIN
Race 1 No 6 Fire Up Franco ($3)
Had no hope from the poor draw coming wide late in a very quick last half at Melton against some good quality animals. Can be a little risky at the start when pushed but thats his best option here with little to no speed on his inside. He crosses them early and he's home but can still win if he doesn't. Best horse in the race
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $150
BEST VALUE
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Alina ($5)
She was simply outclassed against the best mares the state has to offer last start. Was super the start prior and just looks very well suited in this race. Can't see her missing top 3 with even luck.
RESULT: 4th.. Real disappointing run
Melton, Friday 13th November
THE VALUE
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 11 Bushi ($10)
Did all the work last start and wasn't beaten far. Was very good this track & distance on October 10th against better opposition. Just needs luck from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! No luck & Lance Justice did him no favours!
BEST EXOTIC
$24 FIRST FOUR
Race 3: 7-8-9 / 7-8-9 / 1-8-9 / 1-8-9 for 300%
Savesometimetodream the logical fav with form behind Arden Rooney after a soft run after being beaten by Gumdrops after death seating the start previous. Similar scenario here with it likely to death seat & I think it's worth taking on for a small play
RESULT: LOST! Gifted the lead the fav and that was that
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 11 Bushi ($10)
Did all the work last start and wasn't beaten far. Was very good this track & distance on October 10th against better opposition. Just needs luck from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! No luck & Lance Justice did him no favours!
BEST EXOTIC
$24 FIRST FOUR
Race 3: 7-8-9 / 7-8-9 / 1-8-9 / 1-8-9 for 300%
Savesometimetodream the logical fav with form behind Arden Rooney after a soft run after being beaten by Gumdrops after death seating the start previous. Similar scenario here with it likely to death seat & I think it's worth taking on for a small play
RESULT: LOST! Gifted the lead the fav and that was that
Cranbourne, Thursday 12th November
THE VALUE
$25WIN
Race 3 No 3 Ocean Bay ($4)
A very good 3rd in much tougher company last start, including the very much inform Provocator and Fifty Shades. Forget his run 2 starts ago when carrying a flat tire but was very good 3 starts back from a poor draw. Gets the draw to lead these early & whether he takes a sit or decides to hold and lead the trip, looks a great chance at odds in this small field. $11 BET365 when writing this
RESULT: LOST! Wish I didn't play. Every chance
$25WIN
Race 3 No 3 Ocean Bay ($4)
A very good 3rd in much tougher company last start, including the very much inform Provocator and Fifty Shades. Forget his run 2 starts ago when carrying a flat tire but was very good 3 starts back from a poor draw. Gets the draw to lead these early & whether he takes a sit or decides to hold and lead the trip, looks a great chance at odds in this small field. $11 BET365 when writing this
RESULT: LOST! Wish I didn't play. Every chance
Ballarat, Wednesday 11th November
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Lively Operative ($11)
It's been over 3 years since it's last win ut it's first 2 starts back from a spell have been unlucky, especially last start. Looked to be working into the race perfectly and a huge winning chance before hitting a brick wall behind tiring horses before the turn & losing all winning hope. Looks to be some very good pace on in this race throughout & could be a last man standing affair which would suit. Jason Lee in the bike and huge plus also.
RESULT: LOST! Not Jason Lee's best drive..
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Lively Operative ($11)
It's been over 3 years since it's last win ut it's first 2 starts back from a spell have been unlucky, especially last start. Looked to be working into the race perfectly and a huge winning chance before hitting a brick wall behind tiring horses before the turn & losing all winning hope. Looks to be some very good pace on in this race throughout & could be a last man standing affair which would suit. Jason Lee in the bike and huge plus also.
RESULT: LOST! Not Jason Lee's best drive..
Ararat, Tuesday 10th November
THE VALUE
$25WIN
Race 2 No 8 Dallas Nikolay ($4)
Returned with a very nice 3rd behind the smart Senor Macray at Shepparton after coming from last. Followed that up with a nice 3rd behind 2 smart ones at Swan Hill. Will need to rely on the 1 leading here but it should & he'll get his chance from there via the sprint lane.
BEST EXOTIC
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 5 / 1 / 8 for 2000%
Expect Keayang Kallisto to lead easily here but I think it'll take the trail off Keayang Mercedes soon after the start. They'll dominate the race with Cryptic Chance getting the nice trail in behind them. Small risk for hopefully a decent collect
$25WIN
Race 2 No 8 Dallas Nikolay ($4)
Returned with a very nice 3rd behind the smart Senor Macray at Shepparton after coming from last. Followed that up with a nice 3rd behind 2 smart ones at Swan Hill. Will need to rely on the 1 leading here but it should & he'll get his chance from there via the sprint lane.
BEST EXOTIC
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 6: 5 / 1 / 8 for 2000%
Expect Keayang Kallisto to lead easily here but I think it'll take the trail off Keayang Mercedes soon after the start. They'll dominate the race with Cryptic Chance getting the nice trail in behind them. Small risk for hopefully a decent collect
Cobram, Monday 9th November
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Bella Sanz ($1.70)
RESULT: WINNER! Got the job done but the scr of the 2nd fav hurt the odds. Collect $150
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Eliska ($16)
RESULT: LOST! Never given a chance. Forget it ran.
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Bella Sanz ($1.70)
RESULT: WINNER! Got the job done but the scr of the 2nd fav hurt the odds. Collect $150
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Eliska ($16)
RESULT: LOST! Never given a chance. Forget it ran.
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
Swan Hill, Sunday 8th November
BEST EXOTIC
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 2/1/3 for 2000%
Ricciardo is a class animal and even though first up without a trial here should be too good. Only 2 others in the race for mine with the 1 and the 3 rounding out the placings.
RESULT: LOST! Pretty poor effort from all 3 really!
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 2/1/3 for 2000%
Ricciardo is a class animal and even though first up without a trial here should be too good. Only 2 others in the race for mine with the 1 and the 3 rounding out the placings.
RESULT: LOST! Pretty poor effort from all 3 really!
Bendigo, Saturday 7th November
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Chequeitout ($1.80)
Has trialed impressively twice although beaten twice both by very good horses. Shown gate speed in those runs and should be in front and out of trouble here. Looks mighty hard to beat from the top. Joannes Delight will be posted the early fav but will need to improve a fair bit if it's trials are anything to go by.
RESULT: LOST! Led and didn't stop running! 1:54 and change over the mile, was set up for the swooper.
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Our Missionary Man ($3)
Looked in need of the run first up before a very lucky effort behind Astronaut when lost plenty of ground early after locking wheels but hit the line strong. Gets the draw advantage over its rivals and should go very close.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $210
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Long Life Voyage ($10)
Forget last start when outclassed in a very quick time for C0's. His time is actually very good compared to that ran by Makin Art Magic the previous week. Should get a cozy sit tonight, would be ideal if he could be leaders back but likely to be 1x1. Looks by far the best roughy of the night.
RESULT: LOST! Every possible chance
MEETING RESULT: Won $30
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Chequeitout ($1.80)
Has trialed impressively twice although beaten twice both by very good horses. Shown gate speed in those runs and should be in front and out of trouble here. Looks mighty hard to beat from the top. Joannes Delight will be posted the early fav but will need to improve a fair bit if it's trials are anything to go by.
RESULT: LOST! Led and didn't stop running! 1:54 and change over the mile, was set up for the swooper.
BEST VALUE
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Our Missionary Man ($3)
Looked in need of the run first up before a very lucky effort behind Astronaut when lost plenty of ground early after locking wheels but hit the line strong. Gets the draw advantage over its rivals and should go very close.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $210
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Long Life Voyage ($10)
Forget last start when outclassed in a very quick time for C0's. His time is actually very good compared to that ran by Makin Art Magic the previous week. Should get a cozy sit tonight, would be ideal if he could be leaders back but likely to be 1x1. Looks by far the best roughy of the night.
RESULT: LOST! Every possible chance
MEETING RESULT: Won $30
Melton, Friday 6th November
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Wartime Sweetheart ($6)
Loved his run when 3rd behind Im Corzin Terror & Hotasel. Was 3 wide without cover pouring on the pressure the last 600 metres and kept giving late. Hotasel has franked that form beautifully last week. Looks to be a tonne of pressure on in this race and he's likely to be the one who has the 3 wide cover in the run late. Best value bet of the night by far.
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance when they gifted the fav the lead
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 9 No 2 Wemen Dot ($11)
Was a very good run i the heat of this final when hit the line very well after being held up down the straight. The driver is a concern, but if the 1 is scratched, should be able to hold leaders back or be 3 pegs at worst. Will need a little bit of luck but if they pour the pressure on as expected, he can dive bomb them late.
RESULT: 3rd. I was right, the driver was a major concern. Reckon a nice collect goes begging there. $62 Collect
MEETING RESULT: Lost $18
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Wartime Sweetheart ($6)
Loved his run when 3rd behind Im Corzin Terror & Hotasel. Was 3 wide without cover pouring on the pressure the last 600 metres and kept giving late. Hotasel has franked that form beautifully last week. Looks to be a tonne of pressure on in this race and he's likely to be the one who has the 3 wide cover in the run late. Best value bet of the night by far.
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance when they gifted the fav the lead
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 9 No 2 Wemen Dot ($11)
Was a very good run i the heat of this final when hit the line very well after being held up down the straight. The driver is a concern, but if the 1 is scratched, should be able to hold leaders back or be 3 pegs at worst. Will need a little bit of luck but if they pour the pressure on as expected, he can dive bomb them late.
RESULT: 3rd. I was right, the driver was a major concern. Reckon a nice collect goes begging there. $62 Collect
MEETING RESULT: Lost $18
Yarra Valley, Thursday 5th November
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Exotic Native ($6)
Hasn't had any luck in all 4 runs back from a spell but to be fair, you have to drive him for luck. Didn't get a lot of room late when finishing on their backs at Ballarat last start after having to restrain from the draw early. Should be able to slot in early here from the draw with plenty of speed on his inside. Just needs his luck to turn to be a chance.
RESULT: 3rd. Bloody stiff. Didn't get the run when needed & probably a missed collect. $48 Collect
BEST EXOTIC
$50 FIRST FOUR
Race 6: Roving Banker 1 with 4-8-9-10 for 52.08%
Risking Lucky Ha Ha from the draw here. Unlikely to lead and may have to death seat. Going to find it hard going for mine after having every chance in a weaker race at Swan Hill last start. Queen Of Kings the hardest to beat from the draw & lobs leader or leaders back here. Shouldn't miss top 4 hence the roving banker. Ohana has been impressive at the trials, including a close 2nd to Joannes A Delight, an ex NZer who ran 2nd in the 2yo Breeders Crown final. That is very good going for a race like this. All those off the back row have a chance with the right run with the 8 being the value runner following Queen Of Hearts everywhere it goes. Good race, fingers crossed a value result.
RESULT: LOST! The 4 gets scratched and buggers everything up. Those that were smart enough take the trifecta instead with a $22 profit.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $52
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Exotic Native ($6)
Hasn't had any luck in all 4 runs back from a spell but to be fair, you have to drive him for luck. Didn't get a lot of room late when finishing on their backs at Ballarat last start after having to restrain from the draw early. Should be able to slot in early here from the draw with plenty of speed on his inside. Just needs his luck to turn to be a chance.
RESULT: 3rd. Bloody stiff. Didn't get the run when needed & probably a missed collect. $48 Collect
BEST EXOTIC
$50 FIRST FOUR
Race 6: Roving Banker 1 with 4-8-9-10 for 52.08%
Risking Lucky Ha Ha from the draw here. Unlikely to lead and may have to death seat. Going to find it hard going for mine after having every chance in a weaker race at Swan Hill last start. Queen Of Kings the hardest to beat from the draw & lobs leader or leaders back here. Shouldn't miss top 4 hence the roving banker. Ohana has been impressive at the trials, including a close 2nd to Joannes A Delight, an ex NZer who ran 2nd in the 2yo Breeders Crown final. That is very good going for a race like this. All those off the back row have a chance with the right run with the 8 being the value runner following Queen Of Hearts everywhere it goes. Good race, fingers crossed a value result.
RESULT: LOST! The 4 gets scratched and buggers everything up. Those that were smart enough take the trifecta instead with a $22 profit.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $52
Ballarat, Wednesday 4th November
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 4 No 5 Threestones ($1.90)
Went super in the C1 final sprint when did all the work & just kept giving. He's been 7 metres off Tact Tate and 9metres off Under Worked over this distance and even though it looked a failure 2 starts back at Maryborough you can rule a line through that. Can work his way to the front tonight but can still win from the death. Should be beating these with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! A couple of anxious moments but in the end too good for them. Nice surprise with the tote paying $2.20! Collect $220
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Ourgirlbillilee ($6)
Did an outstanding job to finish 5th in the same C1 final as Threestones. Came 3 wide with no cover in a 56sec last half. Not beaten far. Gets the poor draw here but is slow out anyway and the early pace looks to be very good here. If Michelle Wight pours on the pace like she usually does mid race they're going to find it hard to hold her out late.
RESULT: 3rd. Stiff! Galloped out but still managed to sit leaders back but there ain't no sprint lane at Ballarat. Collect $60
MEETING RESULT: Won $130
$100WIN
Race 4 No 5 Threestones ($1.90)
Went super in the C1 final sprint when did all the work & just kept giving. He's been 7 metres off Tact Tate and 9metres off Under Worked over this distance and even though it looked a failure 2 starts back at Maryborough you can rule a line through that. Can work his way to the front tonight but can still win from the death. Should be beating these with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! A couple of anxious moments but in the end too good for them. Nice surprise with the tote paying $2.20! Collect $220
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Ourgirlbillilee ($6)
Did an outstanding job to finish 5th in the same C1 final as Threestones. Came 3 wide with no cover in a 56sec last half. Not beaten far. Gets the poor draw here but is slow out anyway and the early pace looks to be very good here. If Michelle Wight pours on the pace like she usually does mid race they're going to find it hard to hold her out late.
RESULT: 3rd. Stiff! Galloped out but still managed to sit leaders back but there ain't no sprint lane at Ballarat. Collect $60
MEETING RESULT: Won $130
Swan Hill, Tuesday 3rd November
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 3 King Rafa ($6)
Was not match for the C2 horses last start but not disgraced getting beaten less than 8 metres. That was over the longer distance and back to the short trip & C1 here suits. Should be first to the pegs and make his own luck from the draw. Biggest query the Gath horse who will no doubt be fav after a good trial win at Melton.
RESULT: WINNER! Love it when it all goes to plan. Easy winner. Collect $200.50
Race 2 No 3 King Rafa ($6)
Was not match for the C2 horses last start but not disgraced getting beaten less than 8 metres. That was over the longer distance and back to the short trip & C1 here suits. Should be first to the pegs and make his own luck from the draw. Biggest query the Gath horse who will no doubt be fav after a good trial win at Melton.
RESULT: WINNER! Love it when it all goes to plan. Easy winner. Collect $200.50
Terang, Monday 2nd November
$100WIN
Race 6 No 7 Mistressofillusion ($1.80)
She has blown away here opposition her past 2 races and looks set for a good season. Gets plenty of pace in this race thanks to Our Bedrock. She's going to be extremely hard to hold out late. ($2 BET365 at the time of writing this)
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't win as easily as I thought it would with the run it had but winners are grinners. Collect $160
Race 6 No 7 Mistressofillusion ($1.80)
She has blown away here opposition her past 2 races and looks set for a good season. Gets plenty of pace in this race thanks to Our Bedrock. She's going to be extremely hard to hold out late. ($2 BET365 at the time of writing this)
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't win as easily as I thought it would with the run it had but winners are grinners. Collect $160
Melton, Saturday 31st October
BEST BETS
$100WIN
Race 5 No 8 Yankee Rockstar ($2)
I have a huge opinion of this horse and drawing the 8 holds no problem for me as he'll be snagged back early. Went huge first up in what was really a trial for this running home the last half in 56secs from the death. I wouldn't be on if Major Crocker drew to lead as he's a different horse in front but he'll find it tough from the draw for mine. Yankee looks primed and far too good for mine. Get him home Group 1 Gav!
RESULT: 2nd.. Big run after settling back in the field in a slow lead time
$100WIN
Race 6 No 9 Hotasel ($2.50)
Lovely return to racing behind Im Corzin Terror when held up at the top of the straight but hit the line real well. (Im Corzin Terror off to the NZ Cup) There is a massive chance that Crusader Acey crosses early and put the 2 in a bit of trouble with Wow She's Smooth or Jilliby Master likely to zoom out also. That for me sets the race up perfectly for Hotasel who is lined up for bigger and better things this prep
RESULT: WINNER! Was home a long way out. Collect $260
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Astronaut ($10)
Beat Wartime Sweatheart on it's merits when 2nd to Will Mach My Word in a 56sec last half when coming 4 & 5 wide on the turn. He's flying and this is easier but the stand start is the issue. With a clean getaway, right in this.
RESULT: WINNER! If only all $15 shots won like that! Collect $410
MEETING RESULT: Won $420
$100WIN
Race 5 No 8 Yankee Rockstar ($2)
I have a huge opinion of this horse and drawing the 8 holds no problem for me as he'll be snagged back early. Went huge first up in what was really a trial for this running home the last half in 56secs from the death. I wouldn't be on if Major Crocker drew to lead as he's a different horse in front but he'll find it tough from the draw for mine. Yankee looks primed and far too good for mine. Get him home Group 1 Gav!
RESULT: 2nd.. Big run after settling back in the field in a slow lead time
$100WIN
Race 6 No 9 Hotasel ($2.50)
Lovely return to racing behind Im Corzin Terror when held up at the top of the straight but hit the line real well. (Im Corzin Terror off to the NZ Cup) There is a massive chance that Crusader Acey crosses early and put the 2 in a bit of trouble with Wow She's Smooth or Jilliby Master likely to zoom out also. That for me sets the race up perfectly for Hotasel who is lined up for bigger and better things this prep
RESULT: WINNER! Was home a long way out. Collect $260
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Astronaut ($10)
Beat Wartime Sweatheart on it's merits when 2nd to Will Mach My Word in a 56sec last half when coming 4 & 5 wide on the turn. He's flying and this is easier but the stand start is the issue. With a clean getaway, right in this.
RESULT: WINNER! If only all $15 shots won like that! Collect $410
MEETING RESULT: Won $420
Shepparton, Friday 30th October
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 3 Kissed Flush ($2)
Went better than what it looks in the form guide last start. Didn't give up over the short course after being 3 wide without cover in the quickest quarter of the race. Looked gone but found again at the line. Only danger for mine is Blazing Orion but there is little to no pressure in this race and it would be a major surprise to see her get rolled tonight in a weak C1.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Shell Green ($8)
22 starts for 4 2nds and a 3rd isn't flattering but this is a winnable race. Was only 8metres off Our Awesome finishing 4th with Virgil Hilts in 3rd in that race. 2 races since that he broke in both so they're forget runs. Has trialled since very well at Shepparton in times that would go very close in this. $35 when writing this up & I need it to stay those odds to be any chance to get back in front this month!
$100WIN
Race 1 No 3 Kissed Flush ($2)
Went better than what it looks in the form guide last start. Didn't give up over the short course after being 3 wide without cover in the quickest quarter of the race. Looked gone but found again at the line. Only danger for mine is Blazing Orion but there is little to no pressure in this race and it would be a major surprise to see her get rolled tonight in a weak C1.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Shell Green ($8)
22 starts for 4 2nds and a 3rd isn't flattering but this is a winnable race. Was only 8metres off Our Awesome finishing 4th with Virgil Hilts in 3rd in that race. 2 races since that he broke in both so they're forget runs. Has trialled since very well at Shepparton in times that would go very close in this. $35 when writing this up & I need it to stay those odds to be any chance to get back in front this month!
Kilmore, Thursday 29th October
VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Racer ($6)
Battled on well after finding a flat spot over the short course last start vs the flying Under Worked (in the Melton Plate this week) Back to the longer trip fourth up should be ideal. A question mark has to go on Rory Mach but it's run last start was huge but the value has to be with Racer.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how it lost but it did. Collect $39
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Koten Blossom Lombo ($11)
Thought the drive was a little weird by Anthony Butt in the heat. Lost a bit of ground before the final turn but wasn't driven out. Once he was he responded very well and hit the line hard late. Chris Alford on is a plus and knows this horse has a sprint worth about 100metres. If he gets the cold sit and clear room late, looks a chance
RESULT: 2nd. Massive unders for everyone bar BET365 punters. Collect $44
BEST EXOTICs
$30 FIRST FOUR
RACE 3: 1-4 / 1-4-7 / 4-7 / 2-6 for 500%
$15 TRIFECTA
RACE 3: 1-4 /1-4-7 / 4-7 for 500%
Swiftly to The Beach has the advantage and looks tough to roll but Ilikemillie did beat it in a Melton trial by 11metres (unfortunately no footage) but have to take that on face value. Looks an impressive type and can roll the fav with luck first up. Thats our value. Queen Of Kings has been good against quality opposition and can give these a fright but hard to see him winning from the draw.
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Racer ($6)
Battled on well after finding a flat spot over the short course last start vs the flying Under Worked (in the Melton Plate this week) Back to the longer trip fourth up should be ideal. A question mark has to go on Rory Mach but it's run last start was huge but the value has to be with Racer.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how it lost but it did. Collect $39
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Koten Blossom Lombo ($11)
Thought the drive was a little weird by Anthony Butt in the heat. Lost a bit of ground before the final turn but wasn't driven out. Once he was he responded very well and hit the line hard late. Chris Alford on is a plus and knows this horse has a sprint worth about 100metres. If he gets the cold sit and clear room late, looks a chance
RESULT: 2nd. Massive unders for everyone bar BET365 punters. Collect $44
BEST EXOTICs
$30 FIRST FOUR
RACE 3: 1-4 / 1-4-7 / 4-7 / 2-6 for 500%
$15 TRIFECTA
RACE 3: 1-4 /1-4-7 / 4-7 for 500%
Swiftly to The Beach has the advantage and looks tough to roll but Ilikemillie did beat it in a Melton trial by 11metres (unfortunately no footage) but have to take that on face value. Looks an impressive type and can roll the fav with luck first up. Thats our value. Queen Of Kings has been good against quality opposition and can give these a fright but hard to see him winning from the draw.
RESULT: LOST!
Swan Hill, Wednesday 28th October
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Double Baileys ($3)
Went 1:54 and change for the 1720m at Melton behind Blacktie Lightning 2 starts back and then forget he went around at Shep last start when stuck 3 pegs. He's the type of horse that needs to be out in the open and likely to get that chance from the death tonight. I think it can death seat and win this, especially if he can run up to anywhere near his Melton run
RESULT: LOST! Given absolutely no chance with the drive.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Double Baileys ($3)
Went 1:54 and change for the 1720m at Melton behind Blacktie Lightning 2 starts back and then forget he went around at Shep last start when stuck 3 pegs. He's the type of horse that needs to be out in the open and likely to get that chance from the death tonight. I think it can death seat and win this, especially if he can run up to anywhere near his Melton run
RESULT: LOST! Given absolutely no chance with the drive.
Ballarat, Tuesday 27th October
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Zuko Dream ($3)
He's a better horse than what it looks on paper. Has the very good record of 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 starts over the sprint trip when able to lead. Should do exactly that here and thats a massive advantage at Ballarat. Get every possible chance against a group of non winners.
RESULT: 2nd. Unbelievable. Gets a flat & the tube caught around the rim, still manages to hold 2nd. How far? I've upset the karma gods somewhere.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Mister Hairy Maclary ($4)
Run was HUGE at Echuca last start in a very good field. Went forward early but was stuck 3 wide & restrained back to last. Flash home late (4wide) and took big ground of the 1st & 2nd placegetters (very hard to do at Echuca). This race is no harder and looks to be a genuine speed on throughout. Just add luck please..
RESULT: 3rd
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Zuko Dream ($3)
He's a better horse than what it looks on paper. Has the very good record of 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 starts over the sprint trip when able to lead. Should do exactly that here and thats a massive advantage at Ballarat. Get every possible chance against a group of non winners.
RESULT: 2nd. Unbelievable. Gets a flat & the tube caught around the rim, still manages to hold 2nd. How far? I've upset the karma gods somewhere.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Mister Hairy Maclary ($4)
Run was HUGE at Echuca last start in a very good field. Went forward early but was stuck 3 wide & restrained back to last. Flash home late (4wide) and took big ground of the 1st & 2nd placegetters (very hard to do at Echuca). This race is no harder and looks to be a genuine speed on throughout. Just add luck please..
RESULT: 3rd
Stawell, Monday 26th October
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 6 No 11 Big Spending Telf ($1.8)
Don't usually tip things I mark odds on but I reckon black odds maybe available for this fella. Went huge in the heat of this race and never gave up, only beten because Art Pleaser had the much easier run. He is the best horse in the race and this time Art Pleaser draws next to him. Only back luck can beat him
RESULT: LOST! Bad luck or himself. Galloped.
BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIE
1-2-5-6 / 1-7 / 11 / 1-2-7 $24 for 100%
RESULT: LOST!
$100WIN
Race 6 No 11 Big Spending Telf ($1.8)
Don't usually tip things I mark odds on but I reckon black odds maybe available for this fella. Went huge in the heat of this race and never gave up, only beten because Art Pleaser had the much easier run. He is the best horse in the race and this time Art Pleaser draws next to him. Only back luck can beat him
RESULT: LOST! Bad luck or himself. Galloped.
BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIE
1-2-5-6 / 1-7 / 11 / 1-2-7 $24 for 100%
RESULT: LOST!
Maryborough, Sunday 25th October
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Part Time Paradise ($2) (Bet on only If the 2 is scratched)
Forget last run in a much stronger race when it got taken out of the race by a galloper. Was racing extremely well prior and Greg Sugars keeps the drive. Yes!
RESULT: 2nd. NO! Weak performance..
VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Lets Elope ($6)
Had his chance in the Swan Hill Cup but was still a good run in a slightly strong cup. Flew the tapes that night and only has to do the same to be a great chance in this.
RESULT: 2nd. Huge run after working hard early. Backed for a stack too. Collect $48
BEST EXOTIC
$60 TRIFECTA
5/1-8/1-2-4-8 for 1000%
Animated is a horse going places and this should be a walk in the park. The 1 leads & the 8, desperately unlucky last start, leaders back & they really should fill 2nd place. Long Life Voyage the best roughy & you can't leave out Jason Lee in anything so the 2 must be included
RESULT: LOST! The one collapses and we're done
MEETING RESULT: Lost $162, Ive never had such a horror run but it'll turn
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Part Time Paradise ($2) (Bet on only If the 2 is scratched)
Forget last run in a much stronger race when it got taken out of the race by a galloper. Was racing extremely well prior and Greg Sugars keeps the drive. Yes!
RESULT: 2nd. NO! Weak performance..
VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Lets Elope ($6)
Had his chance in the Swan Hill Cup but was still a good run in a slightly strong cup. Flew the tapes that night and only has to do the same to be a great chance in this.
RESULT: 2nd. Huge run after working hard early. Backed for a stack too. Collect $48
BEST EXOTIC
$60 TRIFECTA
5/1-8/1-2-4-8 for 1000%
Animated is a horse going places and this should be a walk in the park. The 1 leads & the 8, desperately unlucky last start, leaders back & they really should fill 2nd place. Long Life Voyage the best roughy & you can't leave out Jason Lee in anything so the 2 must be included
RESULT: LOST! The one collapses and we're done
MEETING RESULT: Lost $162, Ive never had such a horror run but it'll turn
Melton, Friday 23rd October
VALUE BETS
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Soho Madonna ($7)
This is as good as a race as he wants it but gets a lovely draw advantage here. Was no match for Heza Modern Guy last start but battled away to hold out Maken Art Magic. Heza Modern Guy draws back row here so he'll get his chance to reverse the placings here.
RESULT: LOST! Not the best drive from Michael Bellman.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Alina ($10)
Somehow Chris Shinn got her beten last start at Bendigo when totally out driven by Chris Alford. Whilst the draw isn't kind she's better than most of these. $16 BET365 whilst typing this up
RESULT: 2nd. Should've bolted in.. Collect $81
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Mister Sumna ($8)
Forget runs the past 2 when couldn't get into the race but closing sectionals from both races were good. (Fastest last qrt & half in his race last week) Back to the sprint distance suits, he won a similar race 3 starts back from the 1x1. If Diamond Ace sneaks behind the leader (big chance) he may find himself nice and handy from the draw
RESULT: 4th. Ohhhh dear.. That was the one that got away. Never saw daylight and flashed at them late but too late she cried..
BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIES
$28 for 100%
4 / 1-2-8-9 / 10 / 3-4-5-6-8-9-10
$22 for 39.29%
6-10 / 1-2-8-9 / 10 / 3-4-5-6-8-9-10
$14 for 50%
4 / 1-2-8-9 / 1 / 3-4-5-6-8-9-10
$11 for 19.64%
6-10 / 1-2-8-9 / 1 / 3-4-5-6-8-9-10
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $144
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Soho Madonna ($7)
This is as good as a race as he wants it but gets a lovely draw advantage here. Was no match for Heza Modern Guy last start but battled away to hold out Maken Art Magic. Heza Modern Guy draws back row here so he'll get his chance to reverse the placings here.
RESULT: LOST! Not the best drive from Michael Bellman.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Alina ($10)
Somehow Chris Shinn got her beten last start at Bendigo when totally out driven by Chris Alford. Whilst the draw isn't kind she's better than most of these. $16 BET365 whilst typing this up
RESULT: 2nd. Should've bolted in.. Collect $81
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Mister Sumna ($8)
Forget runs the past 2 when couldn't get into the race but closing sectionals from both races were good. (Fastest last qrt & half in his race last week) Back to the sprint distance suits, he won a similar race 3 starts back from the 1x1. If Diamond Ace sneaks behind the leader (big chance) he may find himself nice and handy from the draw
RESULT: 4th. Ohhhh dear.. That was the one that got away. Never saw daylight and flashed at them late but too late she cried..
BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIES
$28 for 100%
4 / 1-2-8-9 / 10 / 3-4-5-6-8-9-10
$22 for 39.29%
6-10 / 1-2-8-9 / 10 / 3-4-5-6-8-9-10
$14 for 50%
4 / 1-2-8-9 / 1 / 3-4-5-6-8-9-10
$11 for 19.64%
6-10 / 1-2-8-9 / 1 / 3-4-5-6-8-9-10
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $144
Shepparton, Thursday 22Nd October
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Pushnupdasies ($2.50)
Been desperately unlucky of late. Was taken on by a pest last start before handing up & then got stuck behind it when it tired in C1/2 class. Should've at least placed. His runs prior to that were very good & tonight can make his own luck from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't make his own luck, got stuck behind a $40 shot and that was that.
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Pushnupdasies ($2.50)
Been desperately unlucky of late. Was taken on by a pest last start before handing up & then got stuck behind it when it tired in C1/2 class. Should've at least placed. His runs prior to that were very good & tonight can make his own luck from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't make his own luck, got stuck behind a $40 shot and that was that.
Ararat, Wednesday 21st October
BEST BET
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 My Mojito ($2)
Been a long time between runs for this ex NZer but finished 2nd to Amury in a trial a couple of weeks back with that horse coming out & running a super 2nd last week at Terang. Ive watched his NZ replays and it's fair to say his driver gave it little chance in 3 runs but showed plenty of ability, including a 3rd behing Fernco Booby G who has gone onto better things, winning $48k and a C6. Only has to recapture that NZ form to beat these and has shown gate speed in his runs so the draw should be no concern. I'm a little cautious of the Dashing Julius first up for Emma Stewart but happy to take it on from the draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Got taken on but too good. $2.70 on BET365, $2.50 the best on the others. Collect $200
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Westernview Jack ($6)
Hasn't been quite himself lately but has been driven real quietly and I believe he's a horse that needs his room. This is a step back in class tonight & there looks to be a genuine tempo in this race with many of these struggling to cope with the 2195metres. Kerryn Manning back onboard a plus also as she's driven this horse well in the past.
RESULT: SACKED. Nothing ran on but just not going at all.
BEST EXOTIC
$48 FIRST FOUR
Race 1: 3/2-8/1-2-6-8/1-2-6-8 for 400%
Atticus Finch will never win again if he cant win tonight. Wins. Who's Whispering is a weird horse to work out but gets a chance from the draw whilst Chrissybungally is probably the clear 2nd pick but the draw is a shocker. Heart Of Courage the next best with Sweet Forty Seven the only other possible chance from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! Had excuses the fav, maybe but the 1 not handing up wasn't in anyones play book but the drivers
MEETING RESULT: Won $2 if you bet on tote, a bit more for those that shop around..
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 My Mojito ($2)
Been a long time between runs for this ex NZer but finished 2nd to Amury in a trial a couple of weeks back with that horse coming out & running a super 2nd last week at Terang. Ive watched his NZ replays and it's fair to say his driver gave it little chance in 3 runs but showed plenty of ability, including a 3rd behing Fernco Booby G who has gone onto better things, winning $48k and a C6. Only has to recapture that NZ form to beat these and has shown gate speed in his runs so the draw should be no concern. I'm a little cautious of the Dashing Julius first up for Emma Stewart but happy to take it on from the draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Got taken on but too good. $2.70 on BET365, $2.50 the best on the others. Collect $200
BEST VALUE
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Westernview Jack ($6)
Hasn't been quite himself lately but has been driven real quietly and I believe he's a horse that needs his room. This is a step back in class tonight & there looks to be a genuine tempo in this race with many of these struggling to cope with the 2195metres. Kerryn Manning back onboard a plus also as she's driven this horse well in the past.
RESULT: SACKED. Nothing ran on but just not going at all.
BEST EXOTIC
$48 FIRST FOUR
Race 1: 3/2-8/1-2-6-8/1-2-6-8 for 400%
Atticus Finch will never win again if he cant win tonight. Wins. Who's Whispering is a weird horse to work out but gets a chance from the draw whilst Chrissybungally is probably the clear 2nd pick but the draw is a shocker. Heart Of Courage the next best with Sweet Forty Seven the only other possible chance from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! Had excuses the fav, maybe but the 1 not handing up wasn't in anyones play book but the drivers
MEETING RESULT: Won $2 if you bet on tote, a bit more for those that shop around..
Geelong, Tuesday 20th October
BEST BET:
$75WIN
Race 3 No 1 Black Magic Mara ($3)
Been plagued by bad draws in in shorts career to date but finally comes up with a draw in a fairly slow front line. He only battled to the line last start but that was a sit sprint run. Needs to be out in the open setting the pace and should be able to keep them out early. Massive concern if he doesn't but looks to have the necessary speed & should take plenty of running down
RESULT: LOST! Will be a very long time before he gets my money again
VALUE BET:
$25WIN
Race 7 No 4 Ritzy Fitz ($4)
Simply a better horse when a certain driver isn't on as he last showed when Matty Craven was in the sulky. First head the run was a head scratcher considering he was driven 3 wide pretty much the entire race without cover. Wasn't beaten too far considering the run he had. Chris Alford takes the driver tonight and has the draw advantage on his main rivals.
RESULT: 2nd. Got held up at a critical stage but never beating the fav
BEST EXOTICS:
$30TRIFECTA
Race 8: 6/2-3/2-3 for 1500%
RESULT: WINNER! The exacta nearly paid more but I'll take it. Collect $96
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 6/2-3/2-3/1-8 for 500%
Tee Cee Bee Macray was simply awesome winning first up and should only get better here. Would be a major surprise if he lost. Streamliner should be the first to the pegs whilst Fire Up Franco is low flying and should get a handy position up on the lead. They look your stand-outs. Steely Blue the roughy and Churpy Chuckles has talent but not up to these for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Chirpy Chuckles falls in for 4th! Collect $97
MEETING RESULT: Won $43
$75WIN
Race 3 No 1 Black Magic Mara ($3)
Been plagued by bad draws in in shorts career to date but finally comes up with a draw in a fairly slow front line. He only battled to the line last start but that was a sit sprint run. Needs to be out in the open setting the pace and should be able to keep them out early. Massive concern if he doesn't but looks to have the necessary speed & should take plenty of running down
RESULT: LOST! Will be a very long time before he gets my money again
VALUE BET:
$25WIN
Race 7 No 4 Ritzy Fitz ($4)
Simply a better horse when a certain driver isn't on as he last showed when Matty Craven was in the sulky. First head the run was a head scratcher considering he was driven 3 wide pretty much the entire race without cover. Wasn't beaten too far considering the run he had. Chris Alford takes the driver tonight and has the draw advantage on his main rivals.
RESULT: 2nd. Got held up at a critical stage but never beating the fav
BEST EXOTICS:
$30TRIFECTA
Race 8: 6/2-3/2-3 for 1500%
RESULT: WINNER! The exacta nearly paid more but I'll take it. Collect $96
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 6/2-3/2-3/1-8 for 500%
Tee Cee Bee Macray was simply awesome winning first up and should only get better here. Would be a major surprise if he lost. Streamliner should be the first to the pegs whilst Fire Up Franco is low flying and should get a handy position up on the lead. They look your stand-outs. Steely Blue the roughy and Churpy Chuckles has talent but not up to these for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Chirpy Chuckles falls in for 4th! Collect $97
MEETING RESULT: Won $43
Maryborough, Monday 19th October
BEST BET:
$100WIN
Race 7 No 8 Reign Of Pain ($2.50)
Only 2 horses in this for mine, Reign Of Pain & Mach Denario. Looks 3 starts back, from level marks, Reign Of Pain was extremely unlucky & only finished 5 metres off Mach Denario who led. There is a 20metre advantage for Reign Of Pain. He just needs to step to be bloody hard to beat in this.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure why the lead wasn't up for grabs for Reign Of Pain from the $70 shot but was for Grins Rendition. Not sure if he wins or not but certainly didn't want to be on after that.
VALUE BET:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Ducale Bromac ($8)
First up and was run off it's legs behind Mistress Of Illusion however wasn't that far off the others. This is a fair step back in class from that race and should strip much fitter for that run
RESULT: 4th. Driven beautifully by the young fella I thought & simply wasn't good enough to win from the death. They pay nothing for 4th unfortunately.
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Dark Ally ($16)
Form on paper looks ordinary but has been picking up ground late in his races over the short trips. Gets out to the 2190metres today and should sit close to the lead as he has good gate speed.
RESULT: LOST! Elected to take the sit early so no speed used up early. Had a beautiful run in transit but went roughly the last 4oometres when they sprinted. Just battled to the line. Needs it much weaker.
BEST EXOTIC:
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 2: 6/3-5-8/3-5-8 for 500%
Whilst Vae Victus is up against the older horses today, still should get the job done. Lets Jazz It Up is constantly hindered by his driver but should find the pegs first or the other chance to lead is Just Like Charlie. I think whoever does can run 2nd but you have to through in the 8 even though it's looked just OK the past couple. Need the 3 or 5 to run 2nd to boost odds here. En Bates would be the only danger if it reproduces it's last prep form but Lets Jazz It Up beat it comfortably in a trial at Melton recently so happy to leave it out.
RESULT: WINNER!! Hooraaaayyyy! $215 collect.
MEETING RESULT: Won $15
$100WIN
Race 7 No 8 Reign Of Pain ($2.50)
Only 2 horses in this for mine, Reign Of Pain & Mach Denario. Looks 3 starts back, from level marks, Reign Of Pain was extremely unlucky & only finished 5 metres off Mach Denario who led. There is a 20metre advantage for Reign Of Pain. He just needs to step to be bloody hard to beat in this.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure why the lead wasn't up for grabs for Reign Of Pain from the $70 shot but was for Grins Rendition. Not sure if he wins or not but certainly didn't want to be on after that.
VALUE BET:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Ducale Bromac ($8)
First up and was run off it's legs behind Mistress Of Illusion however wasn't that far off the others. This is a fair step back in class from that race and should strip much fitter for that run
RESULT: 4th. Driven beautifully by the young fella I thought & simply wasn't good enough to win from the death. They pay nothing for 4th unfortunately.
THE ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Dark Ally ($16)
Form on paper looks ordinary but has been picking up ground late in his races over the short trips. Gets out to the 2190metres today and should sit close to the lead as he has good gate speed.
RESULT: LOST! Elected to take the sit early so no speed used up early. Had a beautiful run in transit but went roughly the last 4oometres when they sprinted. Just battled to the line. Needs it much weaker.
BEST EXOTIC:
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 2: 6/3-5-8/3-5-8 for 500%
Whilst Vae Victus is up against the older horses today, still should get the job done. Lets Jazz It Up is constantly hindered by his driver but should find the pegs first or the other chance to lead is Just Like Charlie. I think whoever does can run 2nd but you have to through in the 8 even though it's looked just OK the past couple. Need the 3 or 5 to run 2nd to boost odds here. En Bates would be the only danger if it reproduces it's last prep form but Lets Jazz It Up beat it comfortably in a trial at Melton recently so happy to leave it out.
RESULT: WINNER!! Hooraaaayyyy! $215 collect.
MEETING RESULT: Won $15
Kilmore, Sunday 18th October
$100WIN
Race 8 No 8 Wemen Sporty ($2.50)
This horse is an absolute sprint distance dive bomb expert and gets every chance to do that here. Follows through the likely leader in what looks to be a race that should be solidly run. Just needs to be taken into the sprint lane with momentum to beat these.
Race 8 No 8 Wemen Sporty ($2.50)
This horse is an absolute sprint distance dive bomb expert and gets every chance to do that here. Follows through the likely leader in what looks to be a race that should be solidly run. Just needs to be taken into the sprint lane with momentum to beat these.
Swan Hill, Saturday 17th October
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Hezthebigbopper ($6)
Hit some form the past 2 runs before a forget effort at Echuca Thursday night. Does rise slightly in class here but geez there looks to be speed on throughout in what I think will be the last man standing. That'll suit this bloke down to the ground.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$25WIN
Race 2 No 9 Amarooka Fire ($4)
First up here after a pretty good first prep. Doesn't have to be anything special to win this and has trialled well for this race. I think the distance will suit also. Small play.
RESULT: 2nd. Not a bad run but no match for the winner
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Road TO Rock ($21)
Not overly confident that he can win this but thought his run in the Gammilite was full of merit. Pinged the tapes from the 10metres handicap but couldn't get through the field and ultimately was restrained to get off the pegs. He was the one making ground late and did go past Arden Rooney with ease. Back to the front row & has very good stand start manners and lands the front early if he does behave. Ran 2nd to Guaranteed in this race last year. Best roughy of the race for mine. $41/$8 on Sportsbet & Bet365 currently.
RESULT: 5th. Thought the run was very good considering he ended up 5 pegs after not beginning as fast as I thought he would. Will be winning soon.
OTHERS:
Race 8: Mistress Of Illusion looks a moral but I marked her a $1.7
Race 9: Beach Shack can death seat and smash these. Marked it $1.60.
If you can get better than those odds Id be on but I seldom back odds on runners & not what this site is about.
Race 1 No 8 Hezthebigbopper ($6)
Hit some form the past 2 runs before a forget effort at Echuca Thursday night. Does rise slightly in class here but geez there looks to be speed on throughout in what I think will be the last man standing. That'll suit this bloke down to the ground.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$25WIN
Race 2 No 9 Amarooka Fire ($4)
First up here after a pretty good first prep. Doesn't have to be anything special to win this and has trialled well for this race. I think the distance will suit also. Small play.
RESULT: 2nd. Not a bad run but no match for the winner
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Road TO Rock ($21)
Not overly confident that he can win this but thought his run in the Gammilite was full of merit. Pinged the tapes from the 10metres handicap but couldn't get through the field and ultimately was restrained to get off the pegs. He was the one making ground late and did go past Arden Rooney with ease. Back to the front row & has very good stand start manners and lands the front early if he does behave. Ran 2nd to Guaranteed in this race last year. Best roughy of the race for mine. $41/$8 on Sportsbet & Bet365 currently.
RESULT: 5th. Thought the run was very good considering he ended up 5 pegs after not beginning as fast as I thought he would. Will be winning soon.
OTHERS:
Race 8: Mistress Of Illusion looks a moral but I marked her a $1.7
Race 9: Beach Shack can death seat and smash these. Marked it $1.60.
If you can get better than those odds Id be on but I seldom back odds on runners & not what this site is about.
Melton, Friday 16th October
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Diamond Ace ($5)
Looked to be struggling early in its prep but slowly working back into form. Never got a crack at them this track & distance last start in a similar race from the back row. Draws gate 2 here & should be on the pegs first. Gets every chance
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 McRita ($4)
Driven superbly to win last start and will be hoping Magic Moment Lombo crosses as that mare will hand up & for me thats the likely scenario. Looks mighty hard to beat from the top.
Race 1 No 2 Diamond Ace ($5)
Looked to be struggling early in its prep but slowly working back into form. Never got a crack at them this track & distance last start in a similar race from the back row. Draws gate 2 here & should be on the pegs first. Gets every chance
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 McRita ($4)
Driven superbly to win last start and will be hoping Magic Moment Lombo crosses as that mare will hand up & for me thats the likely scenario. Looks mighty hard to beat from the top.
Bendigo, Wednesday 14th October
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Peppercorn Dell ($15)
Had excuses his past 2 runs over the sprint distance. 3 starts back was taking ground off Westernview Jack late after sitting leaders back over 2175m at Stawell. Settles leaders back here again and with the one unlikely to hand up, a few of the favourites are going to have to do plenty of work. Is Peppercorn Del good enough to run them down? Should be juicy enough odds to find out. $51 on bet365 when typing this.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Brother Rabbit ($6)
My old mate is finally back in my tips, I just hope I haven't missed the boat! Was a brave win when leading & running 1:55 and change for the mile at this track and distance in C1 grade. Stepped up to C2/3 grade last start and wasn't disgraced over 2190m at Shepparton after racing in the death, finishing 4th beaten 8m. Realy Under Fire flies the gate and should have too much pace for those under it and I'm confident that Brother Rabbit has sufficient speed to follow it across & take over soon after the start. Gets every chance from there!
Race 1 No 8 Peppercorn Dell ($15)
Had excuses his past 2 runs over the sprint distance. 3 starts back was taking ground off Westernview Jack late after sitting leaders back over 2175m at Stawell. Settles leaders back here again and with the one unlikely to hand up, a few of the favourites are going to have to do plenty of work. Is Peppercorn Del good enough to run them down? Should be juicy enough odds to find out. $51 on bet365 when typing this.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Brother Rabbit ($6)
My old mate is finally back in my tips, I just hope I haven't missed the boat! Was a brave win when leading & running 1:55 and change for the mile at this track and distance in C1 grade. Stepped up to C2/3 grade last start and wasn't disgraced over 2190m at Shepparton after racing in the death, finishing 4th beaten 8m. Realy Under Fire flies the gate and should have too much pace for those under it and I'm confident that Brother Rabbit has sufficient speed to follow it across & take over soon after the start. Gets every chance from there!
Terang, Tuesday 13th October
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Ima Little Tycoon ($11)
Form looks ordinary on paper but drops significantly in class tonight. Was beaten a fair way last start but was an equal run to Westernview Jack who would start fav in this race. Going to be pace on throughout with headcase Our Bedrock in front and running them on through & Little Tycoon should settle 1x2 at worst and get his chance late at juicy odds.
RESULT: 4th. The one that got away unfortunately. Just had no luck, nothing wrong with the drive, just no luck
Race 2 No 2 Ima Little Tycoon ($11)
Form looks ordinary on paper but drops significantly in class tonight. Was beaten a fair way last start but was an equal run to Westernview Jack who would start fav in this race. Going to be pace on throughout with headcase Our Bedrock in front and running them on through & Little Tycoon should settle 1x2 at worst and get his chance late at juicy odds.
RESULT: 4th. The one that got away unfortunately. Just had no luck, nothing wrong with the drive, just no luck
Yarra Valley, Monday 12th October
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Blissful Spanker ($6)
Only an average beast this fella but gets his chance today. Hasn't been beaten far in unsuitable races of late. From the draw today should be in front soon after the race and thats where he needs to be as he's very one paced.
RESULT: LAST! Beaten 312metres and didn't break. Has one speed alright, slow. Sorry punters, that was awful to watch. Just checking the vet report, it bled..
Race 6 No 2 Blissful Spanker ($6)
Only an average beast this fella but gets his chance today. Hasn't been beaten far in unsuitable races of late. From the draw today should be in front soon after the race and thats where he needs to be as he's very one paced.
RESULT: LAST! Beaten 312metres and didn't break. Has one speed alright, slow. Sorry punters, that was awful to watch. Just checking the vet report, it bled..
Shepparton, Sunday 11th October
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Another Ajay ($2)
Went super at Shep 2 starts back behind a smart one & then extremely unlucky last start. Leads and in a race that looks to have no pressure, should be winning.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & there was little pressure throughout & he fell in! Collect $270
Race 8 No 1 Another Ajay ($2)
Went super at Shep 2 starts back behind a smart one & then extremely unlucky last start. Leads and in a race that looks to have no pressure, should be winning.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & there was little pressure throughout & he fell in! Collect $270
Melton, Saturday 10th October
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Magic Moment Lombo ($3.50)
Got monstored mid-race race at Shepparton last week and wasn't disgraced finishing behind smart horses Beach Shack & McRita. Not a whole lot of depth in this race and I thought Stunning Grin had it's chance to win last start. I hope Boyington takes the trail here as Magic Moment Lombo can really dive bomb the sprint lane off a cold run. Looks value.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Beach Shack ($6)
Not a whole lot went right last start after being crossed early but was always going to struggle to hold out Magic Moment Lombo's early speed. Not huge gate speed off the front here & I think she can hold the front and over the sprint trip will give them plenty to chase.
Race 1 No 1 Magic Moment Lombo ($3.50)
Got monstored mid-race race at Shepparton last week and wasn't disgraced finishing behind smart horses Beach Shack & McRita. Not a whole lot of depth in this race and I thought Stunning Grin had it's chance to win last start. I hope Boyington takes the trail here as Magic Moment Lombo can really dive bomb the sprint lane off a cold run. Looks value.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Beach Shack ($6)
Not a whole lot went right last start after being crossed early but was always going to struggle to hold out Magic Moment Lombo's early speed. Not huge gate speed off the front here & I think she can hold the front and over the sprint trip will give them plenty to chase.
Ballarat, Friday 9th October
If you love backing a shorty, this is the meeting for you! Not me unfortunately. Been a while since Ive been excited about a meeting. Just a small play tonight
$25 WIN
Race 5 No 8 Fire Up Franco ($5)
Forget last start when they fired him out of the gate and he broke. Has been super impressive before that winning over longer distances. This is a sprint but there looks to be some very good speed on here & I expect Petroff to pull back early & I can see him having the 3 wide trail into the race off a hot speed. Worth a small play.
$25 WIN
Race 5 No 8 Fire Up Franco ($5)
Forget last start when they fired him out of the gate and he broke. Has been super impressive before that winning over longer distances. This is a sprint but there looks to be some very good speed on here & I expect Petroff to pull back early & I can see him having the 3 wide trail into the race off a hot speed. Worth a small play.
Kilmore, Thursday 8th October
$50WIN
Race 1 No 11 Kamwood Caesar ($3.50)
Stiff not to beat Streamliner a couple of starts ago after being held up at a critical point. That horse draws awkwardly in gate 8. His form against good horses was solid for a race like this & Petroff on is a positive. Gets his chance to finally break through for trainer Keith Cotchin
RESULT: LOST! Locked wheels & galloped..
Race 1 No 11 Kamwood Caesar ($3.50)
Stiff not to beat Streamliner a couple of starts ago after being held up at a critical point. That horse draws awkwardly in gate 8. His form against good horses was solid for a race like this & Petroff on is a positive. Gets his chance to finally break through for trainer Keith Cotchin
RESULT: LOST! Locked wheels & galloped..
Bendigo, Wednesday 7th October
Not a meeting Im keen to attack with many chances in most races so we'll play exotics tonight and we're due for a bit of luck
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 5-6 / 5-6-7 / 3-5-6-7 for 625%
NOTE: 3 is scratched. Trifecta now for 1250%
RESULT: LOST! The favourite driven terribly.
$24 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 1-8 / 1-8 / 3-4-6-9 for 300%
RESULT: LOST! The 8 couldn't hold the leaders back and that was that!
$35 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 1-4 / 1-4-7 / 4-7-8 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! Pays $65 on Uni-tab, unfortunately $24.50 on s-tab. Collect $122.50
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 5-6 / 5-6-7 / 3-5-6-7 for 625%
NOTE: 3 is scratched. Trifecta now for 1250%
RESULT: LOST! The favourite driven terribly.
$24 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 1-8 / 1-8 / 3-4-6-9 for 300%
RESULT: LOST! The 8 couldn't hold the leaders back and that was that!
$35 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 1-4 / 1-4-7 / 4-7-8 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! Pays $65 on Uni-tab, unfortunately $24.50 on s-tab. Collect $122.50
Shepparton, Tuesday 6th October
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Catchthateye ($6.50)
Hasn't been disgraced his past 2 starts in unsuitable races and 3 starts ago was close up against similar opposition over the sprint. The 2190metres here is right up his alley and should cross these early & take the sit. Thats the place to be at Shepparton & I think we'll get much better than the $6.50 Ive marked him.
1 WILLS SON $81.00
2 FOYER $81.00
3 IRISH CREST $41.00
4 CATCHTHATEYE $6.50
5 MISS TANAMI $26.00
6 ARTHUR HENRY $4.00
7 CURRENT ASSESSMENT $4.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 FROSTY STAR $16.00
9 DECILEIGHT $26.00
10 LIFE LONG VOYAGE $16.00
11 ANOTHER BROADWAY $3.75
$75WIN
Race 6 No 3 Forbidden Forrest ($3.25)
Such a hard horse to catch but up against a similar field to what he beat at his last win at this track and distance from gate 7. Had to work exceptionally hard that night and still beat Provocator his main danger here. Gets Gate 3, his danger gate 9
1 ARMA AUGUSTUS NZ $11.00
2 TOP VENUE NZ $26.00
3 FORBIDDEN FOREST $3.25
4 JUST KNEW SCR
5 OCEAN BAY $13.00
6 BROTHER RABBIT $26.00
7 LIGHTS AND MUSIC SCR
---------- Second Row ----------
8 MASTER MACH MANUS $8.50
9 PROVOCATOR $3.50
10 ARRIENS $8.50
11 TOP TRIO $8.50
Race 1 No 4 Catchthateye ($6.50)
Hasn't been disgraced his past 2 starts in unsuitable races and 3 starts ago was close up against similar opposition over the sprint. The 2190metres here is right up his alley and should cross these early & take the sit. Thats the place to be at Shepparton & I think we'll get much better than the $6.50 Ive marked him.
1 WILLS SON $81.00
2 FOYER $81.00
3 IRISH CREST $41.00
4 CATCHTHATEYE $6.50
5 MISS TANAMI $26.00
6 ARTHUR HENRY $4.00
7 CURRENT ASSESSMENT $4.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 FROSTY STAR $16.00
9 DECILEIGHT $26.00
10 LIFE LONG VOYAGE $16.00
11 ANOTHER BROADWAY $3.75
$75WIN
Race 6 No 3 Forbidden Forrest ($3.25)
Such a hard horse to catch but up against a similar field to what he beat at his last win at this track and distance from gate 7. Had to work exceptionally hard that night and still beat Provocator his main danger here. Gets Gate 3, his danger gate 9
1 ARMA AUGUSTUS NZ $11.00
2 TOP VENUE NZ $26.00
3 FORBIDDEN FOREST $3.25
4 JUST KNEW SCR
5 OCEAN BAY $13.00
6 BROTHER RABBIT $26.00
7 LIGHTS AND MUSIC SCR
---------- Second Row ----------
8 MASTER MACH MANUS $8.50
9 PROVOCATOR $3.50
10 ARRIENS $8.50
11 TOP TRIO $8.50
Cranbourne, Sunday 4th October
$25WIN
Race 2 No 6 Lucknpower ($3.50)
Throw away it's previous form with a change of trainer here. Went around at the Melton trials on the 29th of September and was a strong 3rd behind good horses Dazzling Arden & Glenferrie Arch. Only has to replicate that effort to go close against this field of average horses.
RESULT: LOST! Driven like Gammalite and went like, well Lucknpower..
1 ROMANTIC BLISS $101.00
2 HUGH NZ $3.75
3 PELLING $6.50
4 MOR LAAG $6.50
5 INDULGENT $15.00
6 LUCKNPOWER $3.50
7 ART PREVAILS $6.50
---------- Second Row ----------
8 THIS IS YOUR LIFE $15.00
9 ITSCOTTOBEGOOD $60.00
10 INTERROGATOR $101.00
11 SURREAL DREAMER $26.00
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Egyptian Art ($6)
Form looks pretty ordinary on paper but hasn't been disgraced. Last time he had this draw was very unlucky not to place at big odds behind Betabcool. Settles leaders back here and gets his chance at what should be juicy odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Never looked like winning. Collect $57
1 EGYPTIAN ART $6.00
2 SHEILA BLIGE $3.75
3 RHYGRIN $26.00
4 FIVE STAR BELLE $6.00
5 TOTAL ENERGY $26.00
6 MELTON LITTLE MAX $41.00
7 CHANCE THE MACH NZ $5.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 EZYCOME EZYGO $67.00
9 WINGOFWAVES $7.50
10 KALAHARI KING $8.00
Race 2 No 6 Lucknpower ($3.50)
Throw away it's previous form with a change of trainer here. Went around at the Melton trials on the 29th of September and was a strong 3rd behind good horses Dazzling Arden & Glenferrie Arch. Only has to replicate that effort to go close against this field of average horses.
RESULT: LOST! Driven like Gammalite and went like, well Lucknpower..
1 ROMANTIC BLISS $101.00
2 HUGH NZ $3.75
3 PELLING $6.50
4 MOR LAAG $6.50
5 INDULGENT $15.00
6 LUCKNPOWER $3.50
7 ART PREVAILS $6.50
---------- Second Row ----------
8 THIS IS YOUR LIFE $15.00
9 ITSCOTTOBEGOOD $60.00
10 INTERROGATOR $101.00
11 SURREAL DREAMER $26.00
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Egyptian Art ($6)
Form looks pretty ordinary on paper but hasn't been disgraced. Last time he had this draw was very unlucky not to place at big odds behind Betabcool. Settles leaders back here and gets his chance at what should be juicy odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Never looked like winning. Collect $57
1 EGYPTIAN ART $6.00
2 SHEILA BLIGE $3.75
3 RHYGRIN $26.00
4 FIVE STAR BELLE $6.00
5 TOTAL ENERGY $26.00
6 MELTON LITTLE MAX $41.00
7 CHANCE THE MACH NZ $5.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 EZYCOME EZYGO $67.00
9 WINGOFWAVES $7.50
10 KALAHARI KING $8.00
Mildura, Saturday 3rd October
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 Shez From Heaven ($2.50)
Liked her 2nd to Count The Aces last start after coming from last a lap out. Has good gate speed, enough to hold the lead here & from the top should dictate the race to suit.
RESULT: WINNER but massive unders. Collect $190
1 OLDMATEFROMTHEBUSH SCR
2 SHEZ FROM HEAVEN $2.50
3 ARFER $11.00
4 ROBELLES ART $21.00
5 STELLA RENAE $101.00
6 BEAUTY OF CHANGE $3.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 PACIFIC ISLAND $4.50
8 REDRUMANDRUSKIES $67.00
9 SINGED $41.00
Race 4 No 2 Shez From Heaven ($2.50)
Liked her 2nd to Count The Aces last start after coming from last a lap out. Has good gate speed, enough to hold the lead here & from the top should dictate the race to suit.
RESULT: WINNER but massive unders. Collect $190
1 OLDMATEFROMTHEBUSH SCR
2 SHEZ FROM HEAVEN $2.50
3 ARFER $11.00
4 ROBELLES ART $21.00
5 STELLA RENAE $101.00
6 BEAUTY OF CHANGE $3.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 PACIFIC ISLAND $4.50
8 REDRUMANDRUSKIES $67.00
9 SINGED $41.00
Melton, Friday 2nd October
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 3 Reeds May ($5)
Went huge at this track & distance 2 starts back & wasn't disgraced from the back row last start. Has very good gate speed and I expect enough to cross the likely short favourite. Will be hard to run down from there
RESULT: LOST! Tried to break the track record and failed..
1 DESIRING KATE $2.75
2 THE WARATAH (Em 1) $51.00
3 REEDS MAY GBR $5.00
4 BLACKS A BEAUTY $15.00
5 MRS DEVINE NZ $81.00
6 HOLLYS MISS MOLLY $51.00
7 BONNY UNDER FIRE $7.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 HELLOVAWAY $14.00
9 KAMWOOD DAWN $7.00
10 AWESOME MATTJESTY $7.50
11 JODILA $15.00
Race 1 No 3 Reeds May ($5)
Went huge at this track & distance 2 starts back & wasn't disgraced from the back row last start. Has very good gate speed and I expect enough to cross the likely short favourite. Will be hard to run down from there
RESULT: LOST! Tried to break the track record and failed..
1 DESIRING KATE $2.75
2 THE WARATAH (Em 1) $51.00
3 REEDS MAY GBR $5.00
4 BLACKS A BEAUTY $15.00
5 MRS DEVINE NZ $81.00
6 HOLLYS MISS MOLLY $51.00
7 BONNY UNDER FIRE $7.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 HELLOVAWAY $14.00
9 KAMWOOD DAWN $7.00
10 AWESOME MATTJESTY $7.50
11 JODILA $15.00
Geelong, Thursday 1st October
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Balance Point ($4.50)
I reckon you can forget his past 2 starts. Last start was back in the field and had to come 3 & 4 wide late in a 55 second last half. This looks to be a much better tempo in the race and gets a nice trailing draw.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $75
1 PRESIDENTIALSECRET $4.50
2 BETTOR THAN BEST $15.00
3 MISTER HAIRY MACLARY NZ $26.00
4 GARIBALDI NZ $3.50
5 BLITZSUZY $41.00
6 SKIPPY RASCAL NZ $15.00
7 NO BETTERTIME $51.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 LETS GO LANCASHIRE $4.50
9 BALANCE POINT $4.50
10 MOTU PRINCE OF PERU NZ $51.00
Race 5 No 9 Balance Point ($4.50)
I reckon you can forget his past 2 starts. Last start was back in the field and had to come 3 & 4 wide late in a 55 second last half. This looks to be a much better tempo in the race and gets a nice trailing draw.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $75
1 PRESIDENTIALSECRET $4.50
2 BETTOR THAN BEST $15.00
3 MISTER HAIRY MACLARY NZ $26.00
4 GARIBALDI NZ $3.50
5 BLITZSUZY $41.00
6 SKIPPY RASCAL NZ $15.00
7 NO BETTERTIME $51.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 LETS GO LANCASHIRE $4.50
9 BALANCE POINT $4.50
10 MOTU PRINCE OF PERU NZ $51.00
Shepparton, Wednesday 30th September
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Provocator ($3)
Been racing out of his depth in recent starts. Back to a winnable C2 and Josh Aiken onboard a huge plus from the draw. Yes.
RESULT: WINNER! Not quite how I thought it would go but Josh Aiken drives a pearler to get us home. Collect $140
1 PROVOCATOR $3.00
2 HAZPAZZAZ $15.00
3 FIFTY SHADES $12.00
4 OCEAN BAY $7.50
5 TENNAYA $6.50
6 TELL US WE DREAM $18.00
7 MASTER MACH MANUS $8.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 SUTTER MAN $67.00
9 BOOKKEEPER $18.00
10 JUST KNEW $8.00
11 LIGHTS AND MUSIC $34.00
12 YNOBE COBY $101.00
Race 5 No 1 Provocator ($3)
Been racing out of his depth in recent starts. Back to a winnable C2 and Josh Aiken onboard a huge plus from the draw. Yes.
RESULT: WINNER! Not quite how I thought it would go but Josh Aiken drives a pearler to get us home. Collect $140
1 PROVOCATOR $3.00
2 HAZPAZZAZ $15.00
3 FIFTY SHADES $12.00
4 OCEAN BAY $7.50
5 TENNAYA $6.50
6 TELL US WE DREAM $18.00
7 MASTER MACH MANUS $8.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 SUTTER MAN $67.00
9 BOOKKEEPER $18.00
10 JUST KNEW $8.00
11 LIGHTS AND MUSIC $34.00
12 YNOBE COBY $101.00
Ararat, Tuesday 29th September
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Xbolt ($5.50)
Beaten a fair way at Swan Hill but run was better than what it looks on paper when making late ground into 5th in track record time. Jason Lee onboard here makes a huge difference and can fly the gate when asked. Taking the rest with the young champ onboard in a very even race
1 BANKONACES $8.50
2 MAGICAL BAZZ (Em 1) SCR
3 MAYOROFSHINETOWN $12.00
4 CHIP NUKEM $5.50
5 TOMMASO $5.50
6 XBOLT $5.50
7 UMI $18.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 SASSY MAN $18.00
9 DONT TELL JIM NZ $51.00
10 BROADWAY CLASSIC $7.50
11 BABALAAS JACK $6.50
Race 1 No 6 Xbolt ($5.50)
Beaten a fair way at Swan Hill but run was better than what it looks on paper when making late ground into 5th in track record time. Jason Lee onboard here makes a huge difference and can fly the gate when asked. Taking the rest with the young champ onboard in a very even race
1 BANKONACES $8.50
2 MAGICAL BAZZ (Em 1) SCR
3 MAYOROFSHINETOWN $12.00
4 CHIP NUKEM $5.50
5 TOMMASO $5.50
6 XBOLT $5.50
7 UMI $18.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 SASSY MAN $18.00
9 DONT TELL JIM NZ $51.00
10 BROADWAY CLASSIC $7.50
11 BABALAAS JACK $6.50
Yarra Valley, Monday 28th September
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Fiery Bluechip ($2.75)
Ive always had an opinion of this horse but always seems to draw poorly/outside horses with greater speed. Exactly that happened at Stawell last start when he settled in the death before receiving 1x1 cover. Never got a crack at them in the straight but found the line very strongly late. I think today is the day that he can cross them and lead. Looks mighty hard to beat from the top & Damian Wilson onboard is a plus, a driver is terrific form.
RESULT: LOST! Give a driver a wrap & look what happens. Not sure how the horse was travelling but 3 pegs not the place to be. Black Saddle winning said it all!
1 IM DEXEL $18.00
2 ARTS RUSH $34.00
3 TWOFORSIXTY $3.00
4 FIERY BLUE CHIP NZ $2.75
5 JUSTLIKE CHARLIE $4.50
6 BLACK SADDLE $100.00
7 MAJOR LLOYD $31.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 AVALON CASTLE $7.00
Race 4 No 4 Fiery Bluechip ($2.75)
Ive always had an opinion of this horse but always seems to draw poorly/outside horses with greater speed. Exactly that happened at Stawell last start when he settled in the death before receiving 1x1 cover. Never got a crack at them in the straight but found the line very strongly late. I think today is the day that he can cross them and lead. Looks mighty hard to beat from the top & Damian Wilson onboard is a plus, a driver is terrific form.
RESULT: LOST! Give a driver a wrap & look what happens. Not sure how the horse was travelling but 3 pegs not the place to be. Black Saddle winning said it all!
1 IM DEXEL $18.00
2 ARTS RUSH $34.00
3 TWOFORSIXTY $3.00
4 FIERY BLUE CHIP NZ $2.75
5 JUSTLIKE CHARLIE $4.50
6 BLACK SADDLE $100.00
7 MAJOR LLOYD $31.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 AVALON CASTLE $7.00
Mildura, Sunday 27th September
$75WIN
Race 1 No 1 Tippitinya ($1.80)
Didn't show a great deal of gate speed on it's debut but it was very unlucky not to finish much closer against quality opposition. Should hold the likely favourites back & they look the only 2 in it. I expect them to break away from the field early & that'll suit Tipitinya.
RESULT: WINNER! I was surprised it held them out early & was always the one to beat from there. Collect $225
1 TIPPITINYA $1.80
2 CARLOAD $2.10
3 RATTLENHUM $101.00
4 BLISSFULLWADE $18.00
5 REDRUMANDRUSKIES $100.00
6 OUR GUY $34.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 ITZEXCEPTIONAL $100.00
8 ABSOLUTELY WICKED $100.00
9 WALNJAK $100.00
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Outback Hall ($1.80)
Has been racing OK against much better opposition of late. Should lead & hard seeing them beating him from the top.
RESULT: WINNER! $4-$3.50 for BET365 users, not so much for others. Collect $160
1 SINGED $34.00
2 OUTBACK HALL $1.80
3 WICKED ISLE $20.00
4 ROYAL ICING $18.00
5 SECA DREAM $4.50
6 SOLACE $18.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 FAIRHURST $5.50
Race 1 No 1 Tippitinya ($1.80)
Didn't show a great deal of gate speed on it's debut but it was very unlucky not to finish much closer against quality opposition. Should hold the likely favourites back & they look the only 2 in it. I expect them to break away from the field early & that'll suit Tipitinya.
RESULT: WINNER! I was surprised it held them out early & was always the one to beat from there. Collect $225
1 TIPPITINYA $1.80
2 CARLOAD $2.10
3 RATTLENHUM $101.00
4 BLISSFULLWADE $18.00
5 REDRUMANDRUSKIES $100.00
6 OUR GUY $34.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 ITZEXCEPTIONAL $100.00
8 ABSOLUTELY WICKED $100.00
9 WALNJAK $100.00
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Outback Hall ($1.80)
Has been racing OK against much better opposition of late. Should lead & hard seeing them beating him from the top.
RESULT: WINNER! $4-$3.50 for BET365 users, not so much for others. Collect $160
1 SINGED $34.00
2 OUTBACK HALL $1.80
3 WICKED ISLE $20.00
4 ROYAL ICING $18.00
5 SECA DREAM $4.50
6 SOLACE $18.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 FAIRHURST $5.50
Bendigo, Saturday 26th Spetember
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Reign Of Pain ($3)
Locked wheel for a stride at the stand start at Melton last week (not his fault) and had no luck late after being 4 pegs & should've at least placed in a strong race. Gets the advantage of the front row here and only needs to step to the front to win this.
RESULT: WINNER! Was backed for a stack. Collect $95
POGGA MARKET
1 THUNDER FEE $5.50
2 REIGN OF PAIN $3.00
3 VIRGINIA LIGHTNING NZ $18.00
4 LOHI LIZ $3.50
5 FANAGALO $41.00
6 COUNTDOWN $13.00
7 LE PREMIERE $6.50
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 2 / 1 / 3 - 6 for 2500%
Will Mach My Word was pretty stiff not to win last week and should walk in here. Fernco Bobby G gets the gun run behind it, while Road To Rock or Centonic look to fight out 3rd.
RESULT: WINNER! But a horrible collect. $80
Race 4 No 2 Reign Of Pain ($3)
Locked wheel for a stride at the stand start at Melton last week (not his fault) and had no luck late after being 4 pegs & should've at least placed in a strong race. Gets the advantage of the front row here and only needs to step to the front to win this.
RESULT: WINNER! Was backed for a stack. Collect $95
POGGA MARKET
1 THUNDER FEE $5.50
2 REIGN OF PAIN $3.00
3 VIRGINIA LIGHTNING NZ $18.00
4 LOHI LIZ $3.50
5 FANAGALO $41.00
6 COUNTDOWN $13.00
7 LE PREMIERE $6.50
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 2 / 1 / 3 - 6 for 2500%
Will Mach My Word was pretty stiff not to win last week and should walk in here. Fernco Bobby G gets the gun run behind it, while Road To Rock or Centonic look to fight out 3rd.
RESULT: WINNER! But a horrible collect. $80
Melton, Friday 25th September
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Classy Western ($3.75)
Has had 3 runs back from a spell & all have been super, especially last start. Did work at both ends of the race in the Gammalite and just kept giving for a very good 4th behind Five Star Anvil. Should be cherry ripe for this race which looks a little weaker than his last assignment. Should sit with cover close to the lead & be very hard to hold out.
POGGA MARKET
1 SKIPPY RASCAL NZ $26.00
2 LIVIN IT LOVIN IT NZ $41.00
3 OUTRAGEOUS EL NZ $6.00
4 CLASSY WESTERN $3.75
5 COPPER COAST $7.50
6 IM BARNEY RUBBLE NZ $7.50
7 BRYCE COOPER $4.50
---------- Second Row ----------
8 ARBER $34.00
9 MAGICAL TELF NZ $10.00
10 GUMDROPS $16.00
Race 5 No 4 Classy Western ($3.75)
Has had 3 runs back from a spell & all have been super, especially last start. Did work at both ends of the race in the Gammalite and just kept giving for a very good 4th behind Five Star Anvil. Should be cherry ripe for this race which looks a little weaker than his last assignment. Should sit with cover close to the lead & be very hard to hold out.
POGGA MARKET
1 SKIPPY RASCAL NZ $26.00
2 LIVIN IT LOVIN IT NZ $41.00
3 OUTRAGEOUS EL NZ $6.00
4 CLASSY WESTERN $3.75
5 COPPER COAST $7.50
6 IM BARNEY RUBBLE NZ $7.50
7 BRYCE COOPER $4.50
---------- Second Row ----------
8 ARBER $34.00
9 MAGICAL TELF NZ $10.00
10 GUMDROPS $16.00
Ballarat, Thursday 24th September
$50WIN
Race 2 No 5 Bobby Fabulous ($3)
Forget his last start effort when they went far too quick at Terang over the 2180 metres. Breaking the 2 minutes for the mile at that track over that track is quick. This race lacks pressure and I think Mick Stanley finds the lead at some point. Even from the death he's a great chance on a track that suits on pace runners.
RESULT: 2nd. Got crossed & with no sprint lane, was out too late..
POGGA MARKET
1 NONNO MEDORO ($2,000) $81.00
2 SERENE MAJOR ($4,000) $11.00
3 ALL HONOUR NZ ($5,000) $81.00
4 TYLER BROMAC NZ ($6,000) $4.00
5 BOBBY FABULOUS ($9,000) $3.00
6 JEAN BAPTISTE NZ ($9,000) $5.50
7 SHIFTY SHIVAS NZ ($9,000) $8.50
---------- Second Row ----------
8 SPRINGFIELD TATTOO ($9,000) $26.00
9 DODGE THE BULLET ($9,000) $8.50
Race 2 No 5 Bobby Fabulous ($3)
Forget his last start effort when they went far too quick at Terang over the 2180 metres. Breaking the 2 minutes for the mile at that track over that track is quick. This race lacks pressure and I think Mick Stanley finds the lead at some point. Even from the death he's a great chance on a track that suits on pace runners.
RESULT: 2nd. Got crossed & with no sprint lane, was out too late..
POGGA MARKET
1 NONNO MEDORO ($2,000) $81.00
2 SERENE MAJOR ($4,000) $11.00
3 ALL HONOUR NZ ($5,000) $81.00
4 TYLER BROMAC NZ ($6,000) $4.00
5 BOBBY FABULOUS ($9,000) $3.00
6 JEAN BAPTISTE NZ ($9,000) $5.50
7 SHIFTY SHIVAS NZ ($9,000) $8.50
---------- Second Row ----------
8 SPRINGFIELD TATTOO ($9,000) $26.00
9 DODGE THE BULLET ($9,000) $8.50
Stawell, Monday 21st September
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Wheatsheaf Avaball ($2.10)
Desperately unlucky last start when getting into the clear too late behind the smart Ideal Diamante in C2/3 grade. Was racing in much stronger grade previous to that and his main danger Virginia Lightning has been racing well but in much weaker fields. I think he can death seat and still win here.
RESULT: 2nd. That man Jason Lee nabs us right on the line. Had his chance & my poor run continues
POGGA MARKET
1 STARLIGHT LOGAN NZ $100.00
2 VIRGINIA LIGHTNING NZ $2.75
3 ROYAL SAFARI $12.00
4 WHEATSHEAF AVABALL $2.10
5 LONGTAN BLISS $11.00
6 TEARITUP $5.50
$100WIN
Race 6 No 11 Westernview Jack ($2)
Hasn't had the greatest of luck in recent times. Was given no chance at Charlton last start when they just sprinted the last 800 metres whilst here was stuck in last place. I clocked him getting home in 56.9 his last half, something none of his opposition here can do. Expect him to be driven tough here & be put into the race much earlier.
RESULT: WINNER! Good profit for Sportsbet and Bet365 users with $2.60 & $3.20 offered. $1.90 closing TAB odds. Collect $190
POGGA MARKET
1 GOLDIEDOMIC $67.00
2 PEPPERCORN DELL $26.00
3 BLAZING COURAGE $100.00
4 DOYOUSEEWHATISEE $26.00
5 MAC DEPARTMENT $67.00
6 MAGICAL BAZZ $18.00
7 MAYOROFSHINETOWN $67.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 PARTNERSINVANCELOT $4.00
9 KAI STAR FELLA (Em 1) $8.00
10 KIWI RAGE NZ $8.00
11 WESTERNVIEW JACK $2.00
Race 4 No 4 Wheatsheaf Avaball ($2.10)
Desperately unlucky last start when getting into the clear too late behind the smart Ideal Diamante in C2/3 grade. Was racing in much stronger grade previous to that and his main danger Virginia Lightning has been racing well but in much weaker fields. I think he can death seat and still win here.
RESULT: 2nd. That man Jason Lee nabs us right on the line. Had his chance & my poor run continues
POGGA MARKET
1 STARLIGHT LOGAN NZ $100.00
2 VIRGINIA LIGHTNING NZ $2.75
3 ROYAL SAFARI $12.00
4 WHEATSHEAF AVABALL $2.10
5 LONGTAN BLISS $11.00
6 TEARITUP $5.50
$100WIN
Race 6 No 11 Westernview Jack ($2)
Hasn't had the greatest of luck in recent times. Was given no chance at Charlton last start when they just sprinted the last 800 metres whilst here was stuck in last place. I clocked him getting home in 56.9 his last half, something none of his opposition here can do. Expect him to be driven tough here & be put into the race much earlier.
RESULT: WINNER! Good profit for Sportsbet and Bet365 users with $2.60 & $3.20 offered. $1.90 closing TAB odds. Collect $190
POGGA MARKET
1 GOLDIEDOMIC $67.00
2 PEPPERCORN DELL $26.00
3 BLAZING COURAGE $100.00
4 DOYOUSEEWHATISEE $26.00
5 MAC DEPARTMENT $67.00
6 MAGICAL BAZZ $18.00
7 MAYOROFSHINETOWN $67.00
---------- Second Row ----------
8 PARTNERSINVANCELOT $4.00
9 KAI STAR FELLA (Em 1) $8.00
10 KIWI RAGE NZ $8.00
11 WESTERNVIEW JACK $2.00
Echuca, Wednesday 23rd September
$100WIN
Race 1 No 4 Double Baileys ($2)
Did a great job to finish 2nd at Charlton last start after working early, and the time was very good for his class. Drawn to advantage here and should lead throughout for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Took a little than planned to get the lead but was far too good. Collect $200
POGGA MARKET
1 LUCINDAS FELLA $20.00
2 FRELYN $34.00
3 MIAMI RULER $34.00
4 DOUBLE BAILEYS $2.00
5 ACE DUIGAN $4.00
6 HINCHINBROOK $31.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 SMOOTH MIKAELA $10.00
8 DRUNKEN JEFF $34.00
9 MIDNITEDELITE $6.50
10 FLEETING GRIN $21.00
$25WIN
Race 8 No 1 Lucy Mccool ($4.50)
Liked her run at Echuca last start after breaking early behind good horses Hosier Lane & Bee Bee Elle. Has since won a trial easily at Shepparton when leading. Should be cherry ripe for this race and has the option of leading of sitting leaders back here. Great value chance
RESULT: WINNER! Too many people watching the trials I think! We get under the odds unless you have access to BET365. Collect $82.50
POGGA MARKET
1 LUCY MCCOOL $4.50
2 GRAN LEMA GIRL $6.00
3 THE LAST CULLECT $100.00
4 DYNAMITE DINGO $3.75
5 BRIDIE HANOVER $15.00
6 SECRET WISDOM $67.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 LOTZA PURPLE $67.00
8 TIDAPAR $5.00
9 OUR BALDY BAY $5.00
MEETING RESULT: Won $157.50
Race 1 No 4 Double Baileys ($2)
Did a great job to finish 2nd at Charlton last start after working early, and the time was very good for his class. Drawn to advantage here and should lead throughout for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Took a little than planned to get the lead but was far too good. Collect $200
POGGA MARKET
1 LUCINDAS FELLA $20.00
2 FRELYN $34.00
3 MIAMI RULER $34.00
4 DOUBLE BAILEYS $2.00
5 ACE DUIGAN $4.00
6 HINCHINBROOK $31.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 SMOOTH MIKAELA $10.00
8 DRUNKEN JEFF $34.00
9 MIDNITEDELITE $6.50
10 FLEETING GRIN $21.00
$25WIN
Race 8 No 1 Lucy Mccool ($4.50)
Liked her run at Echuca last start after breaking early behind good horses Hosier Lane & Bee Bee Elle. Has since won a trial easily at Shepparton when leading. Should be cherry ripe for this race and has the option of leading of sitting leaders back here. Great value chance
RESULT: WINNER! Too many people watching the trials I think! We get under the odds unless you have access to BET365. Collect $82.50
POGGA MARKET
1 LUCY MCCOOL $4.50
2 GRAN LEMA GIRL $6.00
3 THE LAST CULLECT $100.00
4 DYNAMITE DINGO $3.75
5 BRIDIE HANOVER $15.00
6 SECRET WISDOM $67.00
---------- Second Row ----------
7 LOTZA PURPLE $67.00
8 TIDAPAR $5.00
9 OUR BALDY BAY $5.00
MEETING RESULT: Won $157.50
Bendigo, Sunday 20th September
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 5/ 3-4 / 1-3-4 for 1250%
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 5 Something Western ($3)
Race 1: 5/ 3-4 / 1-3-4 for 1250%
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 5 Something Western ($3)
Cranbourne, Saturday 19th September
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 11 No 11 Guts ($6)
Has had 2 tries at this longer distance for a nice 4th 5 metres off Quant Glen and a tough 7th when 3 wide without cover the last lap only beaten 7 metres in the final. This is one very weak race and looks a nice ew play
RESULT: 2nd. Well driven but leader just had too easy a run in front. Collect $75
Race 11 No 11 Guts ($6)
Has had 2 tries at this longer distance for a nice 4th 5 metres off Quant Glen and a tough 7th when 3 wide without cover the last lap only beaten 7 metres in the final. This is one very weak race and looks a nice ew play
RESULT: 2nd. Well driven but leader just had too easy a run in front. Collect $75
Melton, Friday 18th September
SUGGESTED BET:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Copper Coast ($7)
Was racing in super form before being skittled at Melton last start and pulled up. More than likely settles 3 pegs here but should be a hot early speed. Just needs luck late to figure.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely once 4 pegs
Meeting Selections:
Race 1:
TOP SELECTION: Stunning Grin
VALUE: Balance Point
Race 3
TOP SELECTION: Will Mach My Word
VALUE: -
Race 4
TOP SELECTION: Tact Tate
VALUE: Art Pleaser
Race 6
TOP SELECTION: Flamming Flutter
VALUE: Franco Ledger
Race 7
TOP SELECTION: Mach Denario
VALUE: Nimble Jack
Race 10:
TOP SELECTION: Flying McPocket
VALUE: Our Miss Vivienne
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Copper Coast ($7)
Was racing in super form before being skittled at Melton last start and pulled up. More than likely settles 3 pegs here but should be a hot early speed. Just needs luck late to figure.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely once 4 pegs
Meeting Selections:
Race 1:
TOP SELECTION: Stunning Grin
VALUE: Balance Point
Race 3
TOP SELECTION: Will Mach My Word
VALUE: -
Race 4
TOP SELECTION: Tact Tate
VALUE: Art Pleaser
Race 6
TOP SELECTION: Flamming Flutter
VALUE: Franco Ledger
Race 7
TOP SELECTION: Mach Denario
VALUE: Nimble Jack
Race 10:
TOP SELECTION: Flying McPocket
VALUE: Our Miss Vivienne
Shepparton, Thursday 17th September
SUGGESTED BETS:
$60 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 1 / 2-3-8 / 2-3-8 / 2-3-8 for 1000%
Pretty keen on Animated here but likely to start odds on. I'm laying Some Beach here who was real disappointing for mine after leading last start with 2, 3 & 8 primed to take the placings here
RESULT: LOST! Favourite gallops and that was that.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Magic Moment Lombo ($3.50)
Won with ease albeit in a small field when had it all his own way in front. A bit more depth to this race but more than up to leading the trip here once again.
RESULT: WINNER! Out to $3.60 available but closed much short. Lead & they all decided to leave her alone! Thanks very much. Collect $160
Meeting Selections:
Race 1:
TOP SELECTION: BEAUTEOUS MAXIMUS
VALUE: ALDERBARAN BRANDI
Race 2:
TOP SELECTION: ANIMATED
VALUE: THAT CHILL DEVINE
Race 3
TOP SELECTION: FIFTY SHADES
VALUE: EXTREMELY EFFICIENT NZ
Race 6
BEST OF THE NIGHT: STAR BLACK
VALUE: ARRIENS
Race 7
TOP SELECTION: GIANT STEPS
VALUE: SOUND THE ALARM
Race 8
TOP SELECTION: COUTA ROCKS
VALUE: PAWTEENY
Race 9:
TOP SELECTION: MISCHIF MADE LOMBO
VALUE: MISSING MARY
$60 FIRST FOUR
Race 2: 1 / 2-3-8 / 2-3-8 / 2-3-8 for 1000%
Pretty keen on Animated here but likely to start odds on. I'm laying Some Beach here who was real disappointing for mine after leading last start with 2, 3 & 8 primed to take the placings here
RESULT: LOST! Favourite gallops and that was that.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Magic Moment Lombo ($3.50)
Won with ease albeit in a small field when had it all his own way in front. A bit more depth to this race but more than up to leading the trip here once again.
RESULT: WINNER! Out to $3.60 available but closed much short. Lead & they all decided to leave her alone! Thanks very much. Collect $160
Meeting Selections:
Race 1:
TOP SELECTION: BEAUTEOUS MAXIMUS
VALUE: ALDERBARAN BRANDI
Race 2:
TOP SELECTION: ANIMATED
VALUE: THAT CHILL DEVINE
Race 3
TOP SELECTION: FIFTY SHADES
VALUE: EXTREMELY EFFICIENT NZ
Race 6
BEST OF THE NIGHT: STAR BLACK
VALUE: ARRIENS
Race 7
TOP SELECTION: GIANT STEPS
VALUE: SOUND THE ALARM
Race 8
TOP SELECTION: COUTA ROCKS
VALUE: PAWTEENY
Race 9:
TOP SELECTION: MISCHIF MADE LOMBO
VALUE: MISSING MARY
Geelong, Wednesday 16th September
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Houhora Delight ($6)
Trialed ok before getting knocked over early first up and his effort to come back for 3rd was good. Has gate speed, enough to at least be leaders back here for mine & looks a solid ew bet.
Race 4 No 1 Houhora Delight ($6)
Trialed ok before getting knocked over early first up and his effort to come back for 3rd was good. Has gate speed, enough to at least be leaders back here for mine & looks a solid ew bet.
Terang, Tuesday 15th September
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 1 / 2 / 3-8 for 2000%
Putting my faith in Mick Stanley to get behind the leader early here. I think if he can, the top 2 is a moral. 3 and 8 the only other dangers.
Race 3: 1 / 2 / 3-8 for 2000%
Putting my faith in Mick Stanley to get behind the leader early here. I think if he can, the top 2 is a moral. 3 and 8 the only other dangers.
Charlton, Monday 14th September
$25WIN
Race 3 No 6 Double Baileys ($4)
Liked his 3rd at this track even though beaten a long way, was behind smart horses Ellas Puppeteer and Swagger Like Jagger. Has since trialed very well only 3 metres off Itsa New Deal who belted a field at Shepparton Saturday night. We have to beat Blurred Lines here first up for Brent Lilley but I think his form is questionable over the distance.
$100WIN
Race 6 No 8 Eric Clapton ($2)
Not sure how he got within a neck at Melton last start after it was just a sprint home the last 400 metres coming from well back in the field. He's running as good as he ever has, follows through the leader early and can eventually settle in the death and be too good for these.
Race 3 No 6 Double Baileys ($4)
Liked his 3rd at this track even though beaten a long way, was behind smart horses Ellas Puppeteer and Swagger Like Jagger. Has since trialed very well only 3 metres off Itsa New Deal who belted a field at Shepparton Saturday night. We have to beat Blurred Lines here first up for Brent Lilley but I think his form is questionable over the distance.
$100WIN
Race 6 No 8 Eric Clapton ($2)
Not sure how he got within a neck at Melton last start after it was just a sprint home the last 400 metres coming from well back in the field. He's running as good as he ever has, follows through the leader early and can eventually settle in the death and be too good for these.
Mildura, Sunday 13th September
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Top Of The Moon ($7)
Rule a line through his last start failure when wide the last lap over the longer distance. Won a similar race 2 starts ago when camping just off a very solid speed. Massive chance they go crazy early here & he should have the last shot at them.
RESULT: LOST! Went about as well as the Tigers did..
Race 8 No 2 Top Of The Moon ($7)
Rule a line through his last start failure when wide the last lap over the longer distance. Won a similar race 2 starts ago when camping just off a very solid speed. Massive chance they go crazy early here & he should have the last shot at them.
RESULT: LOST! Went about as well as the Tigers did..
Shepparton, Saturday 12th September
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Another Ajay ($11)
His form on paper looks horrible but his last start was OK against better opposition. Haydon Gray takes the drive back & he knows the horse very well. Should be taking the sit behind the odds on pop & will get every chance late at odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Never going to win but held his own to hold 2nd. Collect $78
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Ugo Stanotte ($3)
Was a very nice 2nd to the smart Francisco De Gore at Wagga in very good time for that track 3 starts back and followed that up with a strong win at Leeton after being 3 wide without cover the final lap in C0/1 company. You can forgive last start after death seating, gets the perfect draw to sit leaders back & Gavin onboard is a big plus
RESULT: LOST! Ended 3 pegs, locked wheels before the last turn but just plodded to the line
MEETING RESULT: Lost $2
Race 5 No 1 Another Ajay ($11)
His form on paper looks horrible but his last start was OK against better opposition. Haydon Gray takes the drive back & he knows the horse very well. Should be taking the sit behind the odds on pop & will get every chance late at odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Never going to win but held his own to hold 2nd. Collect $78
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Ugo Stanotte ($3)
Was a very nice 2nd to the smart Francisco De Gore at Wagga in very good time for that track 3 starts back and followed that up with a strong win at Leeton after being 3 wide without cover the final lap in C0/1 company. You can forgive last start after death seating, gets the perfect draw to sit leaders back & Gavin onboard is a big plus
RESULT: LOST! Ended 3 pegs, locked wheels before the last turn but just plodded to the line
MEETING RESULT: Lost $2
Melton, Friday 11th September
$50WIN
Race 2 No 11 Mighty Mav ($2.50)
Impressive win in the heat last week and this race should again be set up for a swooper with a few off the front keen to be on the speed. Looks very hard to hold out & $4 is available when writing this
RESULT: 2nd. Thought he was home and hosed on the turn but just didn't finish off.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Outrageous El ($3)
Has been racing against slight better class of late without luck, last week desperately unlucky to finish closer. I expect Gavin to push forward from the draw tonight and looks tough to roll on the speed.
RESULT: WINNER! Great drive from the Iceman and we collect the chocolates. Collect $135
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
Race 2 No 11 Mighty Mav ($2.50)
Impressive win in the heat last week and this race should again be set up for a swooper with a few off the front keen to be on the speed. Looks very hard to hold out & $4 is available when writing this
RESULT: 2nd. Thought he was home and hosed on the turn but just didn't finish off.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Outrageous El ($3)
Has been racing against slight better class of late without luck, last week desperately unlucky to finish closer. I expect Gavin to push forward from the draw tonight and looks tough to roll on the speed.
RESULT: WINNER! Great drive from the Iceman and we collect the chocolates. Collect $135
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
Kilmore, Thursday 10th September
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Somedreamsomewhere ($7)
Liked his run last start even though beaten over 10 metres in 4th, it was at Ballarat in a race where not many made ground on the leaders. Won a race under similar circumstances from a stand against the same type of horse when able to lead. Racing as good now as he was then, just needs to step to be right in this.
RESULT: LOST! Led and had it's chance. Disappointing
Race 7 No 1 Somedreamsomewhere ($7)
Liked his run last start even though beaten over 10 metres in 4th, it was at Ballarat in a race where not many made ground on the leaders. Won a race under similar circumstances from a stand against the same type of horse when able to lead. Racing as good now as he was then, just needs to step to be right in this.
RESULT: LOST! Led and had it's chance. Disappointing
Bendigo, Wednesday 9th September
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Mister Bellismo ($7)
I'm not usually keen on these concession driver races but I do have plenty of time for Nathan Weightman and he has driven this horse well in the past. Hasn't had a great deal of luck in recent starts and should be sitting back watching at least 4 of the 7 horses jostling for a position up on the lead. Just needs a cart into the race late and and nice each way odds I'm happy to be on.
RESULT: 2nd. Missed by that much. Collect $60
Race 2 No 9 Mister Bellismo ($7)
I'm not usually keen on these concession driver races but I do have plenty of time for Nathan Weightman and he has driven this horse well in the past. Hasn't had a great deal of luck in recent starts and should be sitting back watching at least 4 of the 7 horses jostling for a position up on the lead. Just needs a cart into the race late and and nice each way odds I'm happy to be on.
RESULT: 2nd. Missed by that much. Collect $60
Ballarat, Tuesday 8th September
$100WIN
Race 1 No 4 Du Vella ($2.20)
Been racing against the best 3yo's of her sex in the Breeders Crown and raced out of her preferred running pattern last start when death seating. Put the heat on in the 2nd and 3rd quarters and the effort told late but it was a great run. I believe her best form is over this shorter distance (3 starts for 2 wins and a 2nd in Oz - loss coming when death seating in a 56.5 last half in the death @ Cranbourne!) Expect Gnotuk to speed to the early lead here and Jason Lee will be keen to hand up against this class & Du Vella is the first horse on the scene to take it & geez she looks real hard to beat from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally got my speed maps right & we cash in. Collect $310
Race 1 No 4 Du Vella ($2.20)
Been racing against the best 3yo's of her sex in the Breeders Crown and raced out of her preferred running pattern last start when death seating. Put the heat on in the 2nd and 3rd quarters and the effort told late but it was a great run. I believe her best form is over this shorter distance (3 starts for 2 wins and a 2nd in Oz - loss coming when death seating in a 56.5 last half in the death @ Cranbourne!) Expect Gnotuk to speed to the early lead here and Jason Lee will be keen to hand up against this class & Du Vella is the first horse on the scene to take it & geez she looks real hard to beat from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally got my speed maps right & we cash in. Collect $310
Horsham, Monday 7th September
$20 QUADDIE
2-3-7-8-10 / 1 / 8 / 4 for 400%
$20 QUADDIE
2-3-7-8-10 / 1-2 / 5-8 / 4-9 for 50%
RESULT: Collect $20.30
2-3-7-8-10 / 1 / 8 / 4 for 400%
$20 QUADDIE
2-3-7-8-10 / 1-2 / 5-8 / 4-9 for 50%
RESULT: Collect $20.30
Cranbourne, Sunday 6th September
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Village Man ($7)
Hasn't got a great record but this isn't a great field. The 1 & 2 here are likely to go very hard early & Village Man should get a lovely trail through. His last start was good when only getting a run at the top of the straight and didn't finish far off them in a 58.8 last half. 3 starts back was ok in a much stronger race at this track and distance. Gets his chance tonight.
RESULT: LOST! Made an early move to take up a closer position but was the first one beat.
Race 1 No 9 Village Man ($7)
Hasn't got a great record but this isn't a great field. The 1 & 2 here are likely to go very hard early & Village Man should get a lovely trail through. His last start was good when only getting a run at the top of the straight and didn't finish far off them in a 58.8 last half. 3 starts back was ok in a much stronger race at this track and distance. Gets his chance tonight.
RESULT: LOST! Made an early move to take up a closer position but was the first one beat.
Kilmore, Friday 4th September
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Majordan ($4)
Had 3 starts this time in and has ran well in all of them against better opposition. Last start an into too many dead ends but finished off nicely into 3rd in a 57 last half at Yarra Valley. Was a strong 2nd behind the smart Rock Of America the start prior after sitting behind the leader. Won't lead here but should settle 1x1 and finally get his chance to break through.
RESULT: ORDINARY. Had to death seat but should have found more
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Angrist ($13)
Has had a tough time of it his past 2 starts having to death seat. Won't have that happen here & should settle leaders back here, and did win at Bendigo in March off the back of a similar run beating Kissed Flush. Should be getting large odds.
RESULT: WINNER! A couple of scratchings cost us value but I'll take anything at the minute! Collect $131
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Black N Brown ($3.50)
Massive run last start against slightly weaker opposition than this but was a moral beaten. They might get very keen early here and that'll suit him perfectly.
RESULT: WINNER! Been a while since we've had some luck but we got some there. $210 collect
DAY RESULT: Won $136
Race 3 No 4 Majordan ($4)
Had 3 starts this time in and has ran well in all of them against better opposition. Last start an into too many dead ends but finished off nicely into 3rd in a 57 last half at Yarra Valley. Was a strong 2nd behind the smart Rock Of America the start prior after sitting behind the leader. Won't lead here but should settle 1x1 and finally get his chance to break through.
RESULT: ORDINARY. Had to death seat but should have found more
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Angrist ($13)
Has had a tough time of it his past 2 starts having to death seat. Won't have that happen here & should settle leaders back here, and did win at Bendigo in March off the back of a similar run beating Kissed Flush. Should be getting large odds.
RESULT: WINNER! A couple of scratchings cost us value but I'll take anything at the minute! Collect $131
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Black N Brown ($3.50)
Massive run last start against slightly weaker opposition than this but was a moral beaten. They might get very keen early here and that'll suit him perfectly.
RESULT: WINNER! Been a while since we've had some luck but we got some there. $210 collect
DAY RESULT: Won $136
Mildura, Friday 4th September
$75WIN
Race 4 No 3 Franco Talen ($3)
Has been working up to a win in recent starts and this looks ideal. Was a tough placing last start at this track and distance when raced in the death. They ran home in under 60 seconds for the last half. Doesn't have massive early speed but should follow Noted Company across and that horse usually hands up, leaving Franco in front. If he runs under 60 seconds for the last half in front, wont be beaten for mine.
RESULT: 3rd. Got the lead as predicted but kept running along for some reason.. Set it up for the swoopers.
Race 4 No 3 Franco Talen ($3)
Has been working up to a win in recent starts and this looks ideal. Was a tough placing last start at this track and distance when raced in the death. They ran home in under 60 seconds for the last half. Doesn't have massive early speed but should follow Noted Company across and that horse usually hands up, leaving Franco in front. If he runs under 60 seconds for the last half in front, wont be beaten for mine.
RESULT: 3rd. Got the lead as predicted but kept running along for some reason.. Set it up for the swoopers.
Bendigo, Thursday 3rd September
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 2 / 1-4-8 / 1-4-8 for 500%
The Gingerbread Man should roll to the lead early here & looks a good thing from the top. My old favourite gets the gun run & the run it needs to figure in the finish at big odds. Last start tip Life Long Voyage should be smoking the pipe 1x1. The only other chance for mine is Threestones.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 6 Another Colony ($4)
Been real unlucky his past 2. Never got a crack at them at Shep before getting knocked over at Echuca last start. I must admit I'd rather Mark Pitt on but Gary has chosen to drive this fella tonight. Has to push forward from the draw Gary as he his the big advantage on his opponents here if he does.
Race 1: 2 / 1-4-8 / 1-4-8 for 500%
The Gingerbread Man should roll to the lead early here & looks a good thing from the top. My old favourite gets the gun run & the run it needs to figure in the finish at big odds. Last start tip Life Long Voyage should be smoking the pipe 1x1. The only other chance for mine is Threestones.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 6 Another Colony ($4)
Been real unlucky his past 2. Never got a crack at them at Shep before getting knocked over at Echuca last start. I must admit I'd rather Mark Pitt on but Gary has chosen to drive this fella tonight. Has to push forward from the draw Gary as he his the big advantage on his opponents here if he does.
Shepparton, Wednesday 2nd September
$50WIN
Race 1 No 11 Peking Duck ($4)
Has been trialing extremely well against much stronger horses in the lead up to his first up run. The draw is a slight concern, but up against this class goes very close with luck
RESULT: WINNER! They went very quick early and the duck loved it. Nice overs too, got out to $6 at one point. Collect $275
$60 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 7 / 8-10-11 / 8-10-11 / 8-10-11 for 1000%
The NZ'er first up gets the advantage on her rivals here & should push forward, lead and be very hard to beat. Trip Sevens, Diamond Castle & Grinear Girl are a class above the rest and only bad luck knocks us out of a collect here.
RESULT: LOST! Or a poor drive. 4 pegs Trip Sevens, got stuck behind some slow ones..
MEETING RESULT: Won $165
Race 1 No 11 Peking Duck ($4)
Has been trialing extremely well against much stronger horses in the lead up to his first up run. The draw is a slight concern, but up against this class goes very close with luck
RESULT: WINNER! They went very quick early and the duck loved it. Nice overs too, got out to $6 at one point. Collect $275
$60 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 7 / 8-10-11 / 8-10-11 / 8-10-11 for 1000%
The NZ'er first up gets the advantage on her rivals here & should push forward, lead and be very hard to beat. Trip Sevens, Diamond Castle & Grinear Girl are a class above the rest and only bad luck knocks us out of a collect here.
RESULT: LOST! Or a poor drive. 4 pegs Trip Sevens, got stuck behind some slow ones..
MEETING RESULT: Won $165
Ballarat, Tuesday 1st September
$100WIN
Race 2 No 6 Angry Beach ($2.50)
Trialed well before a real unlucky effort at this track & distance last start in a much better quality field. I think he pushes froward from the draw tonight and looks the one to beat from the top
RESULT: 3rd. Backed like it was unbeatable. Had it's chance
$48 FIRST FOUR
5-8 / 5-8 / 1-2-4-6 / 1-2-4-6 for 200%
Tenacious One holds the key to this race and if able to amble to the front early should win however there is some speed from horses on it's inside that may like to hold. Maneouver Man has shown no speed to date and should be crossed early by In A Rose Tatoo with Chris Alford pushing hard from 4 with Lucindas Fella. Thats where I think we'll get our value. If that scenario pans out, it'll bring Captain Snoozzze right into the race who should now be cherry ripe after 3 runs back from a spell.
RESULT: LOST! Favourite was uncontrollable and for mine, costs us a nice collect.
Race 2 No 6 Angry Beach ($2.50)
Trialed well before a real unlucky effort at this track & distance last start in a much better quality field. I think he pushes froward from the draw tonight and looks the one to beat from the top
RESULT: 3rd. Backed like it was unbeatable. Had it's chance
$48 FIRST FOUR
5-8 / 5-8 / 1-2-4-6 / 1-2-4-6 for 200%
Tenacious One holds the key to this race and if able to amble to the front early should win however there is some speed from horses on it's inside that may like to hold. Maneouver Man has shown no speed to date and should be crossed early by In A Rose Tatoo with Chris Alford pushing hard from 4 with Lucindas Fella. Thats where I think we'll get our value. If that scenario pans out, it'll bring Captain Snoozzze right into the race who should now be cherry ripe after 3 runs back from a spell.
RESULT: LOST! Favourite was uncontrollable and for mine, costs us a nice collect.
Yarra Valley, Monday August 31st
This is it, need to win over $1.2k to get us back in front today, unlikely but hopefully this will make a dent.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 9 Mighty Mav ($2.50)
Has been impressive since joining Matty Craven. 2 starts back pulled his head off in the death but amazingly kept kicking late to just miss. Backed that up with a strong 3rd behind Jilliby Jagger and Macterra Lad. Looks to be decent pace on early and Peter Craven is in good driving form and should have plenty of options here.
RESULT: 3rd. Thought the drives was spot on, wasn't good enough...
$100WIN
Race 9 No 1 Bee Bee Elle ($2.50)
Was real unlucky not to beat Hosier Lane at Echuca, who is a smart horse. Has been crying out for a good draw & finally gets one today. Time to remove its maiden status.
RESULT: LOST! Going to be a maiden for a longtime to come based on that
$48 QUADDIE
3-5-7-9 / 2-8-9 / 1-5 / 9 for 200%
$50 RUNNING DOUBLE
Race 8 No 9 Mighty Mav / Race 9 No 1 Bee Bee Elle
MEETING RESULT: Lost $298 and ends a real poor month on the punt. I'll review the result and tinker with a few things and will attempt to repay your faith in September.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 9 Mighty Mav ($2.50)
Has been impressive since joining Matty Craven. 2 starts back pulled his head off in the death but amazingly kept kicking late to just miss. Backed that up with a strong 3rd behind Jilliby Jagger and Macterra Lad. Looks to be decent pace on early and Peter Craven is in good driving form and should have plenty of options here.
RESULT: 3rd. Thought the drives was spot on, wasn't good enough...
$100WIN
Race 9 No 1 Bee Bee Elle ($2.50)
Was real unlucky not to beat Hosier Lane at Echuca, who is a smart horse. Has been crying out for a good draw & finally gets one today. Time to remove its maiden status.
RESULT: LOST! Going to be a maiden for a longtime to come based on that
$48 QUADDIE
3-5-7-9 / 2-8-9 / 1-5 / 9 for 200%
$50 RUNNING DOUBLE
Race 8 No 9 Mighty Mav / Race 9 No 1 Bee Bee Elle
MEETING RESULT: Lost $298 and ends a real poor month on the punt. I'll review the result and tinker with a few things and will attempt to repay your faith in September.
Melton, Breeders Crown Preview
SUGGESTED BETS:
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Zee Dana ($17 LUXBET)
RESULT: LOST! (Broke down)
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Zibibbo ($31 BET365)
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $132
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 12 / 2-6 / 2-6-9-10 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $72
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 6 My Kiwi Mate ($9 SPORTSBET)
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $108
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 11 No 12 Milly Perez ($9 Ladbrokes)
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $84
MEETING RESULT: A hard way to win $66
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Zee Dana ($17 LUXBET)
RESULT: LOST! (Broke down)
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Zibibbo ($31 BET365)
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $132
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 12 / 2-6 / 2-6-9-10 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $72
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 6 My Kiwi Mate ($9 SPORTSBET)
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $108
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 11 No 12 Milly Perez ($9 Ladbrokes)
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $84
MEETING RESULT: A hard way to win $66
Bendigo, Saturday 29th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Justlike Charlie ($11)
Ran a solid race against similar class first up at Ballarat on the 25th of June. Has found confidence against much weaker grade of horse recently but finds himself on a front row void of pace and should stroll to the found and looks to be minimal pressure mid race. Is he good enough to hold them out? At the value worth finding out
RESULT: LOST! Looked a chance on the turn but no good enough.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 8 Life Long Voyage ($6)
Looked a little disappointing when he didn't finish off last start from 3 pegs but this is a hell of a lot easier and should be leaders back tonight. Gets every opportunity.
RESULT: 2nd. Hmmm undecision from the driver might have cost it. Non winner. Collect $54
Race 1 No 4 Justlike Charlie ($11)
Ran a solid race against similar class first up at Ballarat on the 25th of June. Has found confidence against much weaker grade of horse recently but finds himself on a front row void of pace and should stroll to the found and looks to be minimal pressure mid race. Is he good enough to hold them out? At the value worth finding out
RESULT: LOST! Looked a chance on the turn but no good enough.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 8 Life Long Voyage ($6)
Looked a little disappointing when he didn't finish off last start from 3 pegs but this is a hell of a lot easier and should be leaders back tonight. Gets every opportunity.
RESULT: 2nd. Hmmm undecision from the driver might have cost it. Non winner. Collect $54
Melton, Friday 28th August
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Earth Angel ($2.50)
Went wayward last start against a level up than what she meets tonight, should've finished much closer. Was a good winner at the track and distance last month and a strong 2nd behind Whereibylong. Gets the perfect run in transit.(if the 1 is scratched) and every opportunity here.
RESULT: LOST! The leader folded in her face & she had no hope.
Race 1 No 2 Earth Angel ($2.50)
Went wayward last start against a level up than what she meets tonight, should've finished much closer. Was a good winner at the track and distance last month and a strong 2nd behind Whereibylong. Gets the perfect run in transit.(if the 1 is scratched) and every opportunity here.
RESULT: LOST! The leader folded in her face & she had no hope.
Mildura, Friday 28th August
$100WIN
Race 1 No 5 Phabulous Pheltra ($2.50)
Still yet to win from 6 starts but it's run some good races against above average animals. Has had excuses its past 3 starts and 4 starts ago was only rolled by Paying Your Way who contested the Breeders Crown heats recently. First up with Boris today and his aggressive style should see him up in the lead early and if that eventuates, very hard to toss.
RESULT: WINNER! Did everything it could to lose but we get the chocolates, even after a protest was fired in! Collect $300
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Plati ($3.50)
Liked his run 2 starts back when failed in his attempt to lead but did a power of work before weakening late into 3rd. Was good again last start against better opposition when again couldn't lead. Will lead here tonight and over the short trip looks hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Got smashed in the market. Closed at $1.80. Collect $90
Race 1 No 5 Phabulous Pheltra ($2.50)
Still yet to win from 6 starts but it's run some good races against above average animals. Has had excuses its past 3 starts and 4 starts ago was only rolled by Paying Your Way who contested the Breeders Crown heats recently. First up with Boris today and his aggressive style should see him up in the lead early and if that eventuates, very hard to toss.
RESULT: WINNER! Did everything it could to lose but we get the chocolates, even after a protest was fired in! Collect $300
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Plati ($3.50)
Liked his run 2 starts back when failed in his attempt to lead but did a power of work before weakening late into 3rd. Was good again last start against better opposition when again couldn't lead. Will lead here tonight and over the short trip looks hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Got smashed in the market. Closed at $1.80. Collect $90
Charlton, Thursday 27th August
$60 QUADDIE
3-8-10 / 1-3-4-8 / 3 / 2-3-5-6-10 for 100%
Another tricky meeting here and I reckon the quaddie could be the value play today anchoring around Ellas Puppeteer.
RESULT: WINNER! Mightve been a little stiff not to get a little more after the fav in the 2nd leg fell in but wouldn't have been much more. Collect $94.30
3-8-10 / 1-3-4-8 / 3 / 2-3-5-6-10 for 100%
Another tricky meeting here and I reckon the quaddie could be the value play today anchoring around Ellas Puppeteer.
RESULT: WINNER! Mightve been a little stiff not to get a little more after the fav in the 2nd leg fell in but wouldn't have been much more. Collect $94.30
Kilmore, Thursday 27th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Tarin Kwot ($8)
Got knocked over at the start first up last week at Geelong from the back row and lost close to 20 metres before tacking onto the main pack. Went to the line with plenty left to give running into dead ends all the way down the straight. In his trial at Shepparton on the 18th of August beat Maken Art Magic hands down and with Iceobar struggling a bit at the trials, he looks the value runner in this race. Just needs a bit of luck early to slot in.
RESULT: POOR tip. Looked to be travelling but went no where.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 Nothings Final ($3.50)
Been unlucky past couple from inside back row draws. Gets the draw to push forward and take the lead here with the 1 a sit sprint horse. The longer distance is a slight concern but there doesn't look to be any pressure on in this race and he gets his chance to return to the winners list.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally get my speed map right & we collect. $160 collect
DAY RESULT: WON $94.30
Race 1 No 6 Tarin Kwot ($8)
Got knocked over at the start first up last week at Geelong from the back row and lost close to 20 metres before tacking onto the main pack. Went to the line with plenty left to give running into dead ends all the way down the straight. In his trial at Shepparton on the 18th of August beat Maken Art Magic hands down and with Iceobar struggling a bit at the trials, he looks the value runner in this race. Just needs a bit of luck early to slot in.
RESULT: POOR tip. Looked to be travelling but went no where.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 Nothings Final ($3.50)
Been unlucky past couple from inside back row draws. Gets the draw to push forward and take the lead here with the 1 a sit sprint horse. The longer distance is a slight concern but there doesn't look to be any pressure on in this race and he gets his chance to return to the winners list.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally get my speed map right & we collect. $160 collect
DAY RESULT: WON $94.30
Cranbourne, Tuesday 25th August
$60 FIRST FOUR
Race 1: 9/3-8-10/3-8-10/3-8-10 for 1000%
Really hoping that Gavin gets on his bike early here with the 2 likely to hand up and he looks the value of the race, whilst no chance of beating Colonel Joy, should provide a good div for the first 4 players if can hold them out for 2nd. Tenacious One & Stone of Destiny are far better than the rest. Fingers grossed for a $40+ F4.
$40 FIRST FOUR
Race 4: 4-5/4-5/3-6/3-6 for 1000%
Our value here is if Rock Of America can roll the fav and based on last start, has plenty of talent. Madeeba looks very smart & should lead on it's ear nd very hard to run down, whilst Major Dan was unlucky last start & Pablo Santanna did a good job to place last start. The race does look pretty thin outside those four.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 8 Balance Point ($2.50)
7 metres off Jilliby Jagger, 5 metres off Desdon Murruffy, unlucky not to beat Smokey Quartz in the past month. Draws to follow the leader, who I expect to run well & take us into the sprint lane nicely, & his sprint should be far too good for these late.
Race 1: 9/3-8-10/3-8-10/3-8-10 for 1000%
Really hoping that Gavin gets on his bike early here with the 2 likely to hand up and he looks the value of the race, whilst no chance of beating Colonel Joy, should provide a good div for the first 4 players if can hold them out for 2nd. Tenacious One & Stone of Destiny are far better than the rest. Fingers grossed for a $40+ F4.
$40 FIRST FOUR
Race 4: 4-5/4-5/3-6/3-6 for 1000%
Our value here is if Rock Of America can roll the fav and based on last start, has plenty of talent. Madeeba looks very smart & should lead on it's ear nd very hard to run down, whilst Major Dan was unlucky last start & Pablo Santanna did a good job to place last start. The race does look pretty thin outside those four.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 8 Balance Point ($2.50)
7 metres off Jilliby Jagger, 5 metres off Desdon Murruffy, unlucky not to beat Smokey Quartz in the past month. Draws to follow the leader, who I expect to run well & take us into the sprint lane nicely, & his sprint should be far too good for these late.
Melton, Monday 24th August
$50TRIFECTA
Race 6: 8-9 / 1-8-9-11 / 1-8-9-11 for 500%
Real interesting race this. Love Ina Chevy looks very smart but will have to be from the draw over the short course whilst Our Sir Ivanhoe finally gets the exact type of draw/run it needs to run at it's best. The only 2 winning chances for mine. The Gingerbread Man should have enough speed to hold out the 2 early doors and hold the lead but there is a question mark on this horse after an ordinary run first up & has been better over longer distances in the past. Love Ina Chevy should be death seating shortly after the start & I think the first horse to make a 3 wide move will be Punchinello, giving Sammy Seelstar the perfect run into the race. Sammy maybe not quite up to these but can certainly place. Risking Blisstar from the draw but it could figure with the right run.
RESULT: WINNER! Trifecta pays a whopping $8.10 but with the scratching we get 1250%. Collect $101.25
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Field Major ($6)
Went huge at Melton last start when running home his last half in 54 seconds & a last quarter of 27seconds against quality animals. His form against some Australia's best 4yo's was very good for a race like this & the draw maybe a blessing in disguise. Just give it luck please.
RESULT: 4th. Went forward today & death seated. Good run to just miss 3rd but that gives us $0
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Whata Redwood ($8)
There was a lot to like about his debut. Got away pretty well from a wide draw before Peter Craven restrained. Came at them 3wide without cover and looked a huge chance before losing his balance for a stride or 2 & all his momentum. Once he balanced up again though hit the line real strong & was stiff not to win. Should settle leaders back here and if anything the longer distance should suit. It is a much stronger field here but it maybe a bit better than what looks on paper.
RESULT: LOST! Will never know how it would've gone after the leader & favourite compounded before the final turn taken it right back to last.
DAY RESULT: Stiff but it's a loss. $98.75 loss
Race 6: 8-9 / 1-8-9-11 / 1-8-9-11 for 500%
Real interesting race this. Love Ina Chevy looks very smart but will have to be from the draw over the short course whilst Our Sir Ivanhoe finally gets the exact type of draw/run it needs to run at it's best. The only 2 winning chances for mine. The Gingerbread Man should have enough speed to hold out the 2 early doors and hold the lead but there is a question mark on this horse after an ordinary run first up & has been better over longer distances in the past. Love Ina Chevy should be death seating shortly after the start & I think the first horse to make a 3 wide move will be Punchinello, giving Sammy Seelstar the perfect run into the race. Sammy maybe not quite up to these but can certainly place. Risking Blisstar from the draw but it could figure with the right run.
RESULT: WINNER! Trifecta pays a whopping $8.10 but with the scratching we get 1250%. Collect $101.25
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Field Major ($6)
Went huge at Melton last start when running home his last half in 54 seconds & a last quarter of 27seconds against quality animals. His form against some Australia's best 4yo's was very good for a race like this & the draw maybe a blessing in disguise. Just give it luck please.
RESULT: 4th. Went forward today & death seated. Good run to just miss 3rd but that gives us $0
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Whata Redwood ($8)
There was a lot to like about his debut. Got away pretty well from a wide draw before Peter Craven restrained. Came at them 3wide without cover and looked a huge chance before losing his balance for a stride or 2 & all his momentum. Once he balanced up again though hit the line real strong & was stiff not to win. Should settle leaders back here and if anything the longer distance should suit. It is a much stronger field here but it maybe a bit better than what looks on paper.
RESULT: LOST! Will never know how it would've gone after the leader & favourite compounded before the final turn taken it right back to last.
DAY RESULT: Stiff but it's a loss. $98.75 loss
Geelong, Sunday 23rd August
$50TRIFECTA
Race 5: 9/1-8/1-8 for 2500%
Jimmy The Editor is screaming to win a race and it would be a major surprise to see it get rolled today. Dayraid is a plodder but should lead & Just Call Me Mac is an honest horse who'll be leaders back but better suited to the sprint distance. They look better than the rest.
RESULT: WINNER! Looked a little shaky with 100 to go but we get the cash and a badly needed collect. $267.50 return
Race 5: 9/1-8/1-8 for 2500%
Jimmy The Editor is screaming to win a race and it would be a major surprise to see it get rolled today. Dayraid is a plodder but should lead & Just Call Me Mac is an honest horse who'll be leaders back but better suited to the sprint distance. They look better than the rest.
RESULT: WINNER! Looked a little shaky with 100 to go but we get the cash and a badly needed collect. $267.50 return
Ballarat BREEDERS CROWN SEMI's - EARLY PLAYS
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Rule Of Thumb ($26 Sportsbet)
Might've looked a little disappointing at Kilmore but did do all the work in what was a sprint home in the last half. Almost knocked off My Kiwi Mate 2 starts back off a cold sit. Draws to follow through a quick beginner & his chance sky rocket if Mojo Major can cross early but even if it doesn't probably settles 1x3 with My Kiwi Mate and Sluggem going at each other up front. Is he good enough to run them down? I'm willing to have a go at $26 Sportsbet
RESULT: LAST!
$50PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Dancingwithsierra ($2.55 UBET)
Amazing win last start when never went around a horse from last. Beat older horses in a trial last week at Melton although the time was just OK but did win easily. The move to the Adam Kelly seems to have done the trick. Probably no match for the top 2 but looks better than the rest.
RESULT: 4th
$100PLACE
Race 4 No 1 I Will Rock You ($2 UBET)
Comes to Oz with good NZ form & trialed very well at Shepparton for this race. Should trail the fav every where it goes. Hard to seeing it miss a place & the $2 on UBET looks a gift.
RESULT: 4th
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Born To Rocknroll ($3.40 @ UBET)
Only finished 3.4 metres off Shadow Sax when it led & he sat in the death in the Vicbred final. They swap positions here and the $3.40 is good value for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $170
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Follow The Stars ($2.10 Ladbrokes)
Superstar NZ'er who holds all the aces drawing inside Menin Gate. Can he hold out Menin Gate early? If he does he wins. If he doesn't I think he can out sprint Menin Gate late & still win. I thought he'd be odds on.
RESULT: 2nd
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Gumdrops ($31/$5.8 TAB)
Has cost me plenty over the past year this mare but this is a slight drop in class from what she's faced in recent times and I loved her last start. I think there is a question mark on the fav & with Quick Draft likely to be in the death providing a genuine tempo, she'll just need a nice drag into it to be a chance at big odds.
RESULT: LOST!
Race 1 No 10 Rule Of Thumb ($26 Sportsbet)
Might've looked a little disappointing at Kilmore but did do all the work in what was a sprint home in the last half. Almost knocked off My Kiwi Mate 2 starts back off a cold sit. Draws to follow through a quick beginner & his chance sky rocket if Mojo Major can cross early but even if it doesn't probably settles 1x3 with My Kiwi Mate and Sluggem going at each other up front. Is he good enough to run them down? I'm willing to have a go at $26 Sportsbet
RESULT: LAST!
$50PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Dancingwithsierra ($2.55 UBET)
Amazing win last start when never went around a horse from last. Beat older horses in a trial last week at Melton although the time was just OK but did win easily. The move to the Adam Kelly seems to have done the trick. Probably no match for the top 2 but looks better than the rest.
RESULT: 4th
$100PLACE
Race 4 No 1 I Will Rock You ($2 UBET)
Comes to Oz with good NZ form & trialed very well at Shepparton for this race. Should trail the fav every where it goes. Hard to seeing it miss a place & the $2 on UBET looks a gift.
RESULT: 4th
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Born To Rocknroll ($3.40 @ UBET)
Only finished 3.4 metres off Shadow Sax when it led & he sat in the death in the Vicbred final. They swap positions here and the $3.40 is good value for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $170
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Follow The Stars ($2.10 Ladbrokes)
Superstar NZ'er who holds all the aces drawing inside Menin Gate. Can he hold out Menin Gate early? If he does he wins. If he doesn't I think he can out sprint Menin Gate late & still win. I thought he'd be odds on.
RESULT: 2nd
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Gumdrops ($31/$5.8 TAB)
Has cost me plenty over the past year this mare but this is a slight drop in class from what she's faced in recent times and I loved her last start. I think there is a question mark on the fav & with Quick Draft likely to be in the death providing a genuine tempo, she'll just need a nice drag into it to be a chance at big odds.
RESULT: LOST!
Melton, Friday 21st August
$100WIN
Race 6 No 4 Annie Morva ($2.50)
Loved her run last week at this track ans distance. They walked early and from the inside back row she settled 1x2. Had to go 3 wide without cover for the final 800metres and kept giving late running the quickest last half of the night (over the 1720m). I think she is a moral if she can get across them early and there is a huge chance of that with the 2 slow out, 3 hands up & assuming the 1 is scratched. Only issue might be holding the 5 out but I think she can. Lead Blake lead & I think we can have a tidy collect here & a much needed one.
RESULT: LOST!
$100WIN
Race 9 No 2 Baccarat ($3)
Run a nice race in the Traralgon Cup with a close up 4th but then put in some flat efforts over the short course against much better company than he meets tonight. Was a much better run here last week even though never threatened. This is as weak as he's had it for some time and with the 1 having zero gate speed, Chris Alford should be smoking the pipe behind the leader and be too good late.
RESULT: LOST!
Race 6 No 4 Annie Morva ($2.50)
Loved her run last week at this track ans distance. They walked early and from the inside back row she settled 1x2. Had to go 3 wide without cover for the final 800metres and kept giving late running the quickest last half of the night (over the 1720m). I think she is a moral if she can get across them early and there is a huge chance of that with the 2 slow out, 3 hands up & assuming the 1 is scratched. Only issue might be holding the 5 out but I think she can. Lead Blake lead & I think we can have a tidy collect here & a much needed one.
RESULT: LOST!
$100WIN
Race 9 No 2 Baccarat ($3)
Run a nice race in the Traralgon Cup with a close up 4th but then put in some flat efforts over the short course against much better company than he meets tonight. Was a much better run here last week even though never threatened. This is as weak as he's had it for some time and with the 1 having zero gate speed, Chris Alford should be smoking the pipe behind the leader and be too good late.
RESULT: LOST!
Shepparton, Thursday 20th August
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Bridie Hanover ($11)
Didn't show huge ability last time in but I really liked it's trial against tonights favourite last week when doing all the work in the breeze the last lap, hung on for 3rd not beaten far. Will get the trail on it's back tonight & will get his chance late.
RESULT: LOST! Not good enough
$100WIN
Race 3 No 8 Soho Brooklyn ($2)
Leader & winner ran home the last half in 57.6 seconds last start and Soho Brooklyn gave it close to 30 metres start at the 600 metres to be beaten 13metres so fair to say this fella has a lot of ability. Awkward draw but looks too good.
RESULT: AWFUL! Started unders and did zero
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Just Knew ($4)
Has been a victim of a couple of ordinary steers the past 2 runs but both times he ran out of his skin. Jake still drive but the return to the front line against against a slightly easier field suits. If he managed to cross the 1 early, we're in the queue for mine
RESULT: Lost, never looked likely.
Race 2 No 1 Bridie Hanover ($11)
Didn't show huge ability last time in but I really liked it's trial against tonights favourite last week when doing all the work in the breeze the last lap, hung on for 3rd not beaten far. Will get the trail on it's back tonight & will get his chance late.
RESULT: LOST! Not good enough
$100WIN
Race 3 No 8 Soho Brooklyn ($2)
Leader & winner ran home the last half in 57.6 seconds last start and Soho Brooklyn gave it close to 30 metres start at the 600 metres to be beaten 13metres so fair to say this fella has a lot of ability. Awkward draw but looks too good.
RESULT: AWFUL! Started unders and did zero
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Just Knew ($4)
Has been a victim of a couple of ordinary steers the past 2 runs but both times he ran out of his skin. Jake still drive but the return to the front line against against a slightly easier field suits. If he managed to cross the 1 early, we're in the queue for mine
RESULT: Lost, never looked likely.
Swan Hill, Wednesday 19th August
$50WIN
Race 2 No 9 Architecture ($4)
First starter who trialed very well at Bendigo last week, winning in a 28.7 last quarter beating some talented horses. Always risky backing a first starter but doesn't have to be a star to beat these.
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run but never in it after racing as green as grass & took a pie rounding the final bend.
$20WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Mister Zhavago ($6)
Got absolutely polaxed at the first turn at Albury before settling 3 pegs. Did one bat a bit before the final turn but found the line late before running out of room for 3rd. Follows Midnitedelite's every move here and will get it's chance late.
RESULT: LOST! The fav dragged us right back through the field but only battled late.
Race 2 No 9 Architecture ($4)
First starter who trialed very well at Bendigo last week, winning in a 28.7 last quarter beating some talented horses. Always risky backing a first starter but doesn't have to be a star to beat these.
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run but never in it after racing as green as grass & took a pie rounding the final bend.
$20WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Mister Zhavago ($6)
Got absolutely polaxed at the first turn at Albury before settling 3 pegs. Did one bat a bit before the final turn but found the line late before running out of room for 3rd. Follows Midnitedelite's every move here and will get it's chance late.
RESULT: LOST! The fav dragged us right back through the field but only battled late.
Kilmore, Wednesday 19th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 That Chill Devine ($7)
Since Mark Pitt has got back in the cart this filly has found a leg. Improved late at Melton before a very good placing at Geelong last start. Has gate speed early to position close to the lead and with a sit, looks to have a great each way chance
RESULT: LOST! No luck at all.
Race 5 No 5 That Chill Devine ($7)
Since Mark Pitt has got back in the cart this filly has found a leg. Improved late at Melton before a very good placing at Geelong last start. Has gate speed early to position close to the lead and with a sit, looks to have a great each way chance
RESULT: LOST! No luck at all.
Terang, Tuesday 18th August
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Saab Magic ($1.80)
Never raced better this horse and was a very good 2nd behind what looks to be one very smart horse last start. Should stroll to the front shortly after the start here and dictate terms from there in a small field. I don't usually tip odds on pops but i reckon there maybe better odds available on some corps. $2.25 BET365 at the time of writing this.
RESULT: 2nd. Got hammered in front and just got rolled. Mighty Mav huge in defeat also..
Race 7 No 2 Saab Magic ($1.80)
Never raced better this horse and was a very good 2nd behind what looks to be one very smart horse last start. Should stroll to the front shortly after the start here and dictate terms from there in a small field. I don't usually tip odds on pops but i reckon there maybe better odds available on some corps. $2.25 BET365 at the time of writing this.
RESULT: 2nd. Got hammered in front and just got rolled. Mighty Mav huge in defeat also..
Warragul, Monday 17th August
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 His Makers Mark ($2.20)
Loved his first up run when settled back in a race that was very slowly run early and powered home late to finish 2nd behind the impressive Soho Brooklyn. Should push forward early here with the lead up for grabs & they'd want to be very good to beat him from there. The task will be harder if Jodi decides to go back but can still win in that scenario
RESULT: 2nd. Ive watched the replay close to 50 times.. Not sure how it lost. Doesn't help the bank balance.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Bushrod ($4)
Been racing well since joining the Chisholm stable and even though well beaten in 3rd last start wasn't disgraced as it didn't lose much ground off Upanatom who will start odds on in this. Should settle closer to the lead today and receive every chance
RESULT: WINNER! Well I was due to get a winner and he had everything go right today. Collect $190.
MEETING RESULT: Won $40
Race 4 No 4 His Makers Mark ($2.20)
Loved his first up run when settled back in a race that was very slowly run early and powered home late to finish 2nd behind the impressive Soho Brooklyn. Should push forward early here with the lead up for grabs & they'd want to be very good to beat him from there. The task will be harder if Jodi decides to go back but can still win in that scenario
RESULT: 2nd. Ive watched the replay close to 50 times.. Not sure how it lost. Doesn't help the bank balance.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Bushrod ($4)
Been racing well since joining the Chisholm stable and even though well beaten in 3rd last start wasn't disgraced as it didn't lose much ground off Upanatom who will start odds on in this. Should settle closer to the lead today and receive every chance
RESULT: WINNER! Well I was due to get a winner and he had everything go right today. Collect $190.
MEETING RESULT: Won $40
Melton, Sunday 16th August
$100WIN
Race 3 No 1 Chasing A Win ($2)
Appropriately named after the month Im having! Ran some good races for Bill Morgan last prep against some quality animals. Wasn't pushed at it's Melton trial on the 11th of August and looked to have plenty in hand at the finish in 3rd place. Holds all the aces from the draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $220
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 5: 4/8/1-6/1-6 for 1000%
Star Black looks a handy type and doesn't have to be a star to win this. Should win easily based on NZ form. Dodge The Bullet will enjoy the return to the longer distance and even though it'll settle 3 pegs, is my clear 2nd pick. More Than Alright could not have been more disappointing this prep but has the draw to figure whilst Angrist is a much better horse than what looks on paper. They look far better than the rest
RESULT: LOST!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Real Elegance ($3.50)
Its been a long time between drinks for this horse but it's last 2 starts against good opposition have been very good. He's a chance to find the leaders back with the 1 being very slow out from the mobile to date in it's Oz career & should get his chance late to break through.
RESULT: LOST! Why oh why did I tip this non winner....
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
Race 3 No 1 Chasing A Win ($2)
Appropriately named after the month Im having! Ran some good races for Bill Morgan last prep against some quality animals. Wasn't pushed at it's Melton trial on the 11th of August and looked to have plenty in hand at the finish in 3rd place. Holds all the aces from the draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $220
$20 FIRST FOUR
Race 5: 4/8/1-6/1-6 for 1000%
Star Black looks a handy type and doesn't have to be a star to win this. Should win easily based on NZ form. Dodge The Bullet will enjoy the return to the longer distance and even though it'll settle 3 pegs, is my clear 2nd pick. More Than Alright could not have been more disappointing this prep but has the draw to figure whilst Angrist is a much better horse than what looks on paper. They look far better than the rest
RESULT: LOST!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Real Elegance ($3.50)
Its been a long time between drinks for this horse but it's last 2 starts against good opposition have been very good. He's a chance to find the leaders back with the 1 being very slow out from the mobile to date in it's Oz career & should get his chance late to break through.
RESULT: LOST! Why oh why did I tip this non winner....
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
ballarat, saturday 15th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Maka Killin ($7)
Had great form in some strong C1 races before an unlucky effort in a similar race last start. The draw will actually help the way he races & loves the track. Great EW bet
RESULT: 4th. Just plugged away late, no match
Race 5 No 10 Maka Killin ($7)
Had great form in some strong C1 races before an unlucky effort in a similar race last start. The draw will actually help the way he races & loves the track. Great EW bet
RESULT: 4th. Just plugged away late, no match
Melton, Friday 14th August
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Givemeaspell ($6)
Didn't have a great deal of luck at this track and distance last start and probably shouldve finished closer in a strong M0. This is a similar line but gets the advantage of gate one tonight. Ew all day
RESULT: LOST!
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Another Safari ($3)
Went super at this track and distance 2 starts ago when leading a winning with plenty left up it's sleeve. Did what it had to do last start at Bendigo again winning with ease. Should follow Crusader Acey across at the start here & be in front shortly after with Crusader Acey handing up. (Watch for any COT on it!) Doesn't look to be a whole heap of pressure in the race and if front is the place to be. If it gets as easy as run as I think, I cant see Crusader running him down.
RESULT: LOST!
Race 1 No 1 Givemeaspell ($6)
Didn't have a great deal of luck at this track and distance last start and probably shouldve finished closer in a strong M0. This is a similar line but gets the advantage of gate one tonight. Ew all day
RESULT: LOST!
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Another Safari ($3)
Went super at this track and distance 2 starts ago when leading a winning with plenty left up it's sleeve. Did what it had to do last start at Bendigo again winning with ease. Should follow Crusader Acey across at the start here & be in front shortly after with Crusader Acey handing up. (Watch for any COT on it!) Doesn't look to be a whole heap of pressure in the race and if front is the place to be. If it gets as easy as run as I think, I cant see Crusader running him down.
RESULT: LOST!
Bendigo, Friday 14th August
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Prince Of Thieves ($6)
Hoping for an early scratching here as it is first emergency. Went huge when deatrth seating 2nd behind the very smart Another Safari last start. This is his first claining race and it's a very winnable one. Huge chance if it gets the run.
SCRATCHED
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Whitney H ($6)
Was a good winner first up in Oz over the short course and past 2 runs has had excuses against better fields. I don't think he can lead but should position up close to the lead and looks like a horse suited to applying the pressure so even a death seat run wouldn't hurt. Looks a great EW play.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $480
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Endorsement ($8)
Trialed well for this first up attempt behind Cardon Merger at Bendigo last week. Follows Frenco Bobby G's every step here and is a great chance to run them down late.
RESULT: LOST!
Race 3 No 9 Prince Of Thieves ($6)
Hoping for an early scratching here as it is first emergency. Went huge when deatrth seating 2nd behind the very smart Another Safari last start. This is his first claining race and it's a very winnable one. Huge chance if it gets the run.
SCRATCHED
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Whitney H ($6)
Was a good winner first up in Oz over the short course and past 2 runs has had excuses against better fields. I don't think he can lead but should position up close to the lead and looks like a horse suited to applying the pressure so even a death seat run wouldn't hurt. Looks a great EW play.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $480
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Endorsement ($8)
Trialed well for this first up attempt behind Cardon Merger at Bendigo last week. Follows Frenco Bobby G's every step here and is a great chance to run them down late.
RESULT: LOST!
Mildura, Thursday 13th August
$100WIN
Race 2 No 3 Straight to Jail ($2)
Wasn't suited last start from a poor draw but still ran well. Was a good 2nd behind Winterfeel when leading in a 58 second last half. Those times in front win this race.
RESULT: WINNER! Took a while to lead but got the job done easily. Collect $210
$100WIN
Race 6 No 9 Dark Side ($2.20)
Has been an eye catcher late in the past 2 starts against much stronger opposition. 3rd up tonight against some fairly weak C1 opposition looks ideal
RESULT: WINNER! A bit skinnier than expected but Ill take anything at the minute. Collect $170
$24 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 1-2-8/1-2-8/1-2-7-8/1-2-4-7-8 for 100%
Cashrang Smoker looks your leader but has struggled in the past to hang on over this distance when leading. It'll start unders. That gives us value for the exotics and hopefully we can land it with the bet above.
RESULT: LOST! Got the fav beaten but not to be
DAY RESULT: Won $6 & I'll take it! More for the early shoppers though.
Race 2 No 3 Straight to Jail ($2)
Wasn't suited last start from a poor draw but still ran well. Was a good 2nd behind Winterfeel when leading in a 58 second last half. Those times in front win this race.
RESULT: WINNER! Took a while to lead but got the job done easily. Collect $210
$100WIN
Race 6 No 9 Dark Side ($2.20)
Has been an eye catcher late in the past 2 starts against much stronger opposition. 3rd up tonight against some fairly weak C1 opposition looks ideal
RESULT: WINNER! A bit skinnier than expected but Ill take anything at the minute. Collect $170
$24 FIRST FOUR
Race 8: 1-2-8/1-2-8/1-2-7-8/1-2-4-7-8 for 100%
Cashrang Smoker looks your leader but has struggled in the past to hang on over this distance when leading. It'll start unders. That gives us value for the exotics and hopefully we can land it with the bet above.
RESULT: LOST! Got the fav beaten but not to be
DAY RESULT: Won $6 & I'll take it! More for the early shoppers though.
Cobram, Thursday 13th August
$100PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Life Long Voyage ($2.50)
Just continues to run good races without winning. I think he has the pace early to lead and hand up to the best suitor. If that goes to plan I think we start the day with a handy collect
RESULT: LOST! Didn't lead and that was that.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Nothings Final ($8)
Forget last start when never a chance off the 20metres in a stand start. The start prior he ran out of room late for an unlucky 4th in a strong race at Shepparton. The move back to the mile is ideal and even though he may end up 3 pegs, looks great value.
RESULT: 4th! Ended up 4 pegs and did well to finish as close as it did. Follow.
Race 5 No 3 Life Long Voyage ($2.50)
Just continues to run good races without winning. I think he has the pace early to lead and hand up to the best suitor. If that goes to plan I think we start the day with a handy collect
RESULT: LOST! Didn't lead and that was that.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Nothings Final ($8)
Forget last start when never a chance off the 20metres in a stand start. The start prior he ran out of room late for an unlucky 4th in a strong race at Shepparton. The move back to the mile is ideal and even though he may end up 3 pegs, looks great value.
RESULT: 4th! Ended up 4 pegs and did well to finish as close as it did. Follow.
KIlmore, Wednesday 12th August
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Reign Of Pain ($4)
Been racing without luck in much better fields of recent starts but is extremely well graded here in stand start conditions. Trialed behind the tapes (maybe more of a walk up start) at Melton
RESULT: 2nd. Death seated but just didn't put enough pressure on the leader to win. Still a good run
DAY RESULT: My worst start to a month for the year to date but it'll turn.. Lost $300
Race 7 No 5 Reign Of Pain ($4)
Been racing without luck in much better fields of recent starts but is extremely well graded here in stand start conditions. Trialed behind the tapes (maybe more of a walk up start) at Melton
RESULT: 2nd. Death seated but just didn't put enough pressure on the leader to win. Still a good run
DAY RESULT: My worst start to a month for the year to date but it'll turn.. Lost $300
Horsham, Wednesday 12th August
$100WIN
Race 2 No 2 Sole Desire ($2)
Was a good run when 3rd at Charlton last start when coming from too far back in the field on a renown leaders track. Should have enough gate speed to grab the lead and with the only danger for mine drawn 8, gets every opportunity
RESULT: 3rd. Got every opportunity, not good enough
$100WIN
Race 3 No 1 Lindsey Effect ($2)
First up was well fancied after trialing well but after looking a top 3 chance after leading against good opposition, broke under pressure. Will lead and the shorter distance is in his favour.
RESULT: LOST! Wow that was bad... Lead and folded badly
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Westernview Jack ($4)
Last time out beat Spinners Boy very impressively. The distance suits and has the advantage on the fav who is first up from NZ. Im happy to take the chance with Kerryn Manning.
RESULT: 4th. Never likely after getting caught wide early and having to restrain
Race 2 No 2 Sole Desire ($2)
Was a good run when 3rd at Charlton last start when coming from too far back in the field on a renown leaders track. Should have enough gate speed to grab the lead and with the only danger for mine drawn 8, gets every opportunity
RESULT: 3rd. Got every opportunity, not good enough
$100WIN
Race 3 No 1 Lindsey Effect ($2)
First up was well fancied after trialing well but after looking a top 3 chance after leading against good opposition, broke under pressure. Will lead and the shorter distance is in his favour.
RESULT: LOST! Wow that was bad... Lead and folded badly
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Westernview Jack ($4)
Last time out beat Spinners Boy very impressively. The distance suits and has the advantage on the fav who is first up from NZ. Im happy to take the chance with Kerryn Manning.
RESULT: 4th. Never likely after getting caught wide early and having to restrain
Geelong, Tuesday 11th August
$25WIN
Race 1 No 10 Shakahari ($6)
Ran another honest race last start when 3rd and had no chance from the back of the field of the back of a 63.9 first half. Again doesn't look to be a great deal of speed in this race but does look to follow Glenferrie Baby's every move which may prove to be the difference.
RESULT: SCRATCHED!
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 2/1-4/1-4 for 2500%
Looks simple & it should be with Christmas Jolt leading and it's going to be very tough for Code Black to run it down from the death. Herehecomes will get his chance late. Not going to pay huge but confident of a collect here.
RESULT: LOST! Christmas Jolt was pig headed in front and just went far too quick ruining the chances of the 2 favs.
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 5-7/5-7/4
Looks and absolute match in two here with both horses looking a class above these & it should be a great duel. Courageous Call is by far the best of the rest and can give cheek if able to cross.
RESULT: LOST! Got the first 2 right, Courageous Call horrible
$50 EXACTA
Race 6: 4 to beat 2.
Soho Madeleine should lead comfortably here and Mick Stanley doesn't hand up. I'm banking on Dougs Limousine holding out the 3 early here & I think if it can, 2nd is hers.
RESULT: LOST! The less said about it the better
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150. No more Breeders Crown heat betting. We await the finals day.
Race 1 No 10 Shakahari ($6)
Ran another honest race last start when 3rd and had no chance from the back of the field of the back of a 63.9 first half. Again doesn't look to be a great deal of speed in this race but does look to follow Glenferrie Baby's every move which may prove to be the difference.
RESULT: SCRATCHED!
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 2/1-4/1-4 for 2500%
Looks simple & it should be with Christmas Jolt leading and it's going to be very tough for Code Black to run it down from the death. Herehecomes will get his chance late. Not going to pay huge but confident of a collect here.
RESULT: LOST! Christmas Jolt was pig headed in front and just went far too quick ruining the chances of the 2 favs.
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 5-7/5-7/4
Looks and absolute match in two here with both horses looking a class above these & it should be a great duel. Courageous Call is by far the best of the rest and can give cheek if able to cross.
RESULT: LOST! Got the first 2 right, Courageous Call horrible
$50 EXACTA
Race 6: 4 to beat 2.
Soho Madeleine should lead comfortably here and Mick Stanley doesn't hand up. I'm banking on Dougs Limousine holding out the 3 early here & I think if it can, 2nd is hers.
RESULT: LOST! The less said about it the better
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150. No more Breeders Crown heat betting. We await the finals day.
Maryborough, Monday 10th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 11 Cardon Merger ($8)
Hit the line very well after being driven for luck in a M0 race at Melton last start, a race that has held up well for form. Has since demolished a field in a trial at Bendigo winning after coming from last at the 600 to run home in a 58.6 last half with a bit up his sleeve. Looks to be plenty of pace on in this and is the value runner of the race
Race 9 No 11 Cardon Merger ($8)
Hit the line very well after being driven for luck in a M0 race at Melton last start, a race that has held up well for form. Has since demolished a field in a trial at Bendigo winning after coming from last at the 600 to run home in a 58.6 last half with a bit up his sleeve. Looks to be plenty of pace on in this and is the value runner of the race
Shepparton, Sunday 9th August
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 1/2-8/2-8 for 1000%
A bit of a stab here but I think Petite Agee can lead and hold it here making life difficult for the likely odds on fav with Modern Lebron getting the cozy run behind them.
RESULT: LOST! Got the speed map wrong with the 4 crossing early & that was that.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Western Life ($2)
Was very good off a soft run first up after a long spell behind what looks to be a smart horse. These are very slow horses he's up against tonight and I'd be surprised if he couldn't get the job done
RESULT: WINNER! Finally got a photo at Shepparton but far to close for a horse who finished up $1.80. $3 for early BET365 shoppers. Collect $180
Race 7: 1/2-8/2-8 for 1000%
A bit of a stab here but I think Petite Agee can lead and hold it here making life difficult for the likely odds on fav with Modern Lebron getting the cozy run behind them.
RESULT: LOST! Got the speed map wrong with the 4 crossing early & that was that.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Western Life ($2)
Was very good off a soft run first up after a long spell behind what looks to be a smart horse. These are very slow horses he's up against tonight and I'd be surprised if he couldn't get the job done
RESULT: WINNER! Finally got a photo at Shepparton but far to close for a horse who finished up $1.80. $3 for early BET365 shoppers. Collect $180
Cranbourne, Saturday 8th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Clancys Fobwatch ($7)
Didn't have a great deal of luck before running into a couple of real smart ones last start. Go back 4 starts and it was an eye catcher in the same class when 2nd behind Gowan Brae after having no luck. Should have enough early speed to hold a leaders back position which I think will be Cillas Boy. That horse isn't travelling as well as it can but should get a good enough run to take Clancy into the sprint lane and give us every chance.
Race 5 No 1 Clancys Fobwatch ($7)
Didn't have a great deal of luck before running into a couple of real smart ones last start. Go back 4 starts and it was an eye catcher in the same class when 2nd behind Gowan Brae after having no luck. Should have enough early speed to hold a leaders back position which I think will be Cillas Boy. That horse isn't travelling as well as it can but should get a good enough run to take Clancy into the sprint lane and give us every chance.
Melton, Friday 7th August
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Heading North ($8)
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $102
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Fernco Bobby G ($7)
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Gumdrops ($8)
RESULT: LOST!
Race 1 No 1 Heading North ($8)
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $102
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Fernco Bobby G ($7)
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Gumdrops ($8)
RESULT: LOST!
Mildura, Friday 7th August
$50PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Fairhurst ($3.50)
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $140
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Laquilla ($2.50)
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $180
Race 6 No 1 Fairhurst ($3.50)
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $140
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Laquilla ($2.50)
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $180
Bendigo, Thursday 6th August
$50TRIFECTA
Race 2: 5/3/1-4 for 2500%
Morior Invictus was massive winning from the chair last start and I think will be too strong for Streamliner. 1 & 4 the only other possible hopes.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $92.50
Race 2: 5/3/1-4 for 2500%
Morior Invictus was massive winning from the chair last start and I think will be too strong for Streamliner. 1 & 4 the only other possible hopes.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $92.50
Hamilton, Thursday 6th August
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Jacka Art ($2)
Been fantastic in it's past 2 runs against good opposition. Finally gets a good draw and there seems to be little or no pace off the front line so Kerryn can choose on whether to lead or hand up. She's the best reignswoman going around so Im sure whatever choice she makes will be the right one.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $160
Race 8 No 1 Jacka Art ($2)
Been fantastic in it's past 2 runs against good opposition. Finally gets a good draw and there seems to be little or no pace off the front line so Kerryn can choose on whether to lead or hand up. She's the best reignswoman going around so Im sure whatever choice she makes will be the right one.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $160
Ballarat, Wednesday 5th August
$50WIN
Race 5 No 11 Motu Prince Of Peru ($5)
Went Ok first up in an unsuitable race at Cobram before breaking at the start last week but was a massive effort to get as close as he did. Would love to see what his sectionals were. Going to be pressure on here and he should have the last crack at them.
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Kai Star Fella ($8)
This is a fairly limited horse but this is one very weak field. Will trail through the leader and sit leaders back, a horse that has drifted up the track on this final bend many times, a perfect scenarios for Kai Star Fella. Question is, is he good enough to run them down? Should get every chance
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $63
Race 5 No 11 Motu Prince Of Peru ($5)
Went Ok first up in an unsuitable race at Cobram before breaking at the start last week but was a massive effort to get as close as he did. Would love to see what his sectionals were. Going to be pressure on here and he should have the last crack at them.
RESULT: LOST!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Kai Star Fella ($8)
This is a fairly limited horse but this is one very weak field. Will trail through the leader and sit leaders back, a horse that has drifted up the track on this final bend many times, a perfect scenarios for Kai Star Fella. Question is, is he good enough to run them down? Should get every chance
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $63
Shepparton, Tuesday 4th August
$100WIN
Race 2 No 8 Heza Warhorse ($2)
Has run some super impressive races against some of the top level 3yo's in the state this preparation & hits a winnable race here, even from the tricky draw. Has had a month off since a very strong 2nd after doing all the work behind Lucky Lombo, a horse that'll win plenty of races. Greg Sugars onboard should only give us more confidence that he'll be off the pegs soon after the start & be in the action. Looks the winner.
RESULT: LOST! But declared a non runner! Money back..
$50WIN
Race 3 No 8 Terror Man ($3.50)
Finally did everything right last start, and even though no match for the winner, did outsprint Infinitynbeyond quite easily at Echuca. That horse looks it's main danger again and they are likely to position in the same order here.
RESULT: 4th. Haven't seen the race and not sure I want to. Runs 4th beaten half a head.
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 1/7-8/5-7-8 for 1250%
Quagmire trialed very impressively at Melton for this and should be winning easily at a short quote. Lombo Idle Belief & Grasshopper are both class animals that do plenty wrong but one of them should be able to hold down 2nd whilst the 5 is thrown in just incase either of them play up. The remainder will be lucky to finish.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the $50 pop to run 3rd but the trifecta pays a disappointing $10.60. Collect $132.50
$100 QUINELLA
Race 7: 1 & 8
Tennaya is a mare in the form of her life and should lead giving Awesome Mattjesty the perfect run behind her. Very hard to see anything else troubling them if my speed maps are right.
RESULT: LOST! Weak Tennaya, weak.. Quinella was very skinny too. Poor punting from me there.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 6 Nor Nor West ($2.50)
Is unbeaten first up from 3 attempts, has trialed well in the lead up to this race and gets the draw advantage over his 2 main rivals. I expect Mark Buckingham to cut the ribbons early & have him in front & in control of this race and looks mighty hard to beat from the top.
RESULT: 3rd. Looked the winner on the turn but the quick 3rd quarter did him over. Not sure why he didn't go forward early. The lead was up for grabs
Race 2 No 8 Heza Warhorse ($2)
Has run some super impressive races against some of the top level 3yo's in the state this preparation & hits a winnable race here, even from the tricky draw. Has had a month off since a very strong 2nd after doing all the work behind Lucky Lombo, a horse that'll win plenty of races. Greg Sugars onboard should only give us more confidence that he'll be off the pegs soon after the start & be in the action. Looks the winner.
RESULT: LOST! But declared a non runner! Money back..
$50WIN
Race 3 No 8 Terror Man ($3.50)
Finally did everything right last start, and even though no match for the winner, did outsprint Infinitynbeyond quite easily at Echuca. That horse looks it's main danger again and they are likely to position in the same order here.
RESULT: 4th. Haven't seen the race and not sure I want to. Runs 4th beaten half a head.
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 1/7-8/5-7-8 for 1250%
Quagmire trialed very impressively at Melton for this and should be winning easily at a short quote. Lombo Idle Belief & Grasshopper are both class animals that do plenty wrong but one of them should be able to hold down 2nd whilst the 5 is thrown in just incase either of them play up. The remainder will be lucky to finish.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the $50 pop to run 3rd but the trifecta pays a disappointing $10.60. Collect $132.50
$100 QUINELLA
Race 7: 1 & 8
Tennaya is a mare in the form of her life and should lead giving Awesome Mattjesty the perfect run behind her. Very hard to see anything else troubling them if my speed maps are right.
RESULT: LOST! Weak Tennaya, weak.. Quinella was very skinny too. Poor punting from me there.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 6 Nor Nor West ($2.50)
Is unbeaten first up from 3 attempts, has trialed well in the lead up to this race and gets the draw advantage over his 2 main rivals. I expect Mark Buckingham to cut the ribbons early & have him in front & in control of this race and looks mighty hard to beat from the top.
RESULT: 3rd. Looked the winner on the turn but the quick 3rd quarter did him over. Not sure why he didn't go forward early. The lead was up for grabs
Yarra Valley, Monday 3rd AUGUST
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Altugo Franco ($6)
Wasn't a bad run when back to the longer distance when 4th against much better than it meets tonight. Many of the favourite runners are struggling for form and with a front line with a ton of speed, he'll get his chance to get back on the winners list today
RESULT: 2nd.. Had it's chance but just missed. Collect $126
Race 4 No 8 Altugo Franco ($6)
Wasn't a bad run when back to the longer distance when 4th against much better than it meets tonight. Many of the favourite runners are struggling for form and with a front line with a ton of speed, he'll get his chance to get back on the winners list today
RESULT: 2nd.. Had it's chance but just missed. Collect $126
Mildura, Sunday 2nd August
$75WIN
Race 1 No 9 Tommys Song ($3)
Has been a little off against a much better class of horse in recent times but certainly not disgraced. Wont know himself back in C1 class and should get a lovely trail through early. I think only bad luck can beat him and is my best of the night
RESULT: 2nd looked to have the race at its mercy on the final bend but too good the winner
$25WIN
Race 8 No 2 Sir Liberty ($4)
Debutant and a real interesting runner. Trialled for Gary Hoban at Tabcorp Park in June and did a real good job running 3rd. Has every chance to get to the pegs first here and thats the place to be at Mildura.
RESULT: LAST! Sorry subscribers, that was awful. Never looked comfortable. Bring on Yarra Valley
Race 1 No 9 Tommys Song ($3)
Has been a little off against a much better class of horse in recent times but certainly not disgraced. Wont know himself back in C1 class and should get a lovely trail through early. I think only bad luck can beat him and is my best of the night
RESULT: 2nd looked to have the race at its mercy on the final bend but too good the winner
$25WIN
Race 8 No 2 Sir Liberty ($4)
Debutant and a real interesting runner. Trialled for Gary Hoban at Tabcorp Park in June and did a real good job running 3rd. Has every chance to get to the pegs first here and thats the place to be at Mildura.
RESULT: LAST! Sorry subscribers, that was awful. Never looked comfortable. Bring on Yarra Valley
Kilmore, Saturday 1st August
$50WIN
Race 3 No 7 Shakari
Race 3 No 7 Shakari
Melton, Friday 31st July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Exciteusinthecity ($10)
Has had excuses the past 2 and go back 3 starts he won but lost on protest at this track & distance. Leads this and at the juicy EW odds looks worth a crack even though there is no 3rd dividend.
Race 5 No 2 Exciteusinthecity ($10)
Has had excuses the past 2 and go back 3 starts he won but lost on protest at this track & distance. Leads this and at the juicy EW odds looks worth a crack even though there is no 3rd dividend.
Bendigo, Thursday 30th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Our Leo ($7)
Won 2 in a row in slightly weaker opposition than it meets here earlier in the month. Should be a nice tempo in this race with plenty of front runners off the front line. Looks a good ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! Tough win after being 3 wide without cover the last lap. Unfortunately price impacted by the late scratching of one of the favs. Collect $148
MEETING RESULT: Won $98
Race 1 No 6 Our Leo ($7)
Won 2 in a row in slightly weaker opposition than it meets here earlier in the month. Should be a nice tempo in this race with plenty of front runners off the front line. Looks a good ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! Tough win after being 3 wide without cover the last lap. Unfortunately price impacted by the late scratching of one of the favs. Collect $148
MEETING RESULT: Won $98
Melton, Thursday 30th July
$60 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 2/1-7/1-7-8 for 1500%
Really impressed by Animated's first up run, Should win. The peg line looks a great chance of figuring with Art Keeper a chance despite drawing wide
RESULT: WINNER! An the trifecta pays a whopping $7. Collect $105
$50WIN
Race 4 No 8 The Stags Roar ($3.5)
Risky bet as could end up 3 pegs with a very fast front line however it was huge running 2nd at Maryborough last start when it really had no right to off a slow speed, settling back in the field. Just need the 1 to hold them out to be a major chance but can still win from 3 pegs with luck
RESULT: WINNER! Impressive again this horse. Well backed too. Collect $110
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Tyler Bromac ($7)
Should've gone much closer than he did last start when off level marks with Eric Clapton. Same scenario again here & this is a weaker field.
RESULT: LOST! Did cop a check on the final bend but don't think it was travelling anyway. A horse bound for SA Id suggest
MEETING RESULT: Won $55
Race 3: 2/1-7/1-7-8 for 1500%
Really impressed by Animated's first up run, Should win. The peg line looks a great chance of figuring with Art Keeper a chance despite drawing wide
RESULT: WINNER! An the trifecta pays a whopping $7. Collect $105
$50WIN
Race 4 No 8 The Stags Roar ($3.5)
Risky bet as could end up 3 pegs with a very fast front line however it was huge running 2nd at Maryborough last start when it really had no right to off a slow speed, settling back in the field. Just need the 1 to hold them out to be a major chance but can still win from 3 pegs with luck
RESULT: WINNER! Impressive again this horse. Well backed too. Collect $110
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Tyler Bromac ($7)
Should've gone much closer than he did last start when off level marks with Eric Clapton. Same scenario again here & this is a weaker field.
RESULT: LOST! Did cop a check on the final bend but don't think it was travelling anyway. A horse bound for SA Id suggest
MEETING RESULT: Won $55
Terang, Wednesday 29th July
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Saab Magic ($2)
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $190
Race 8 No 3 Saab Magic ($2)
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $190
Shepparton, Wednesday 29th July
$50WIN
Race 3 No 8 Ace Duigan ($4)
Result: WINNER! Collect $170
Race 3 No 8 Ace Duigan ($4)
Result: WINNER! Collect $170
Swan Hill, Tuesday 28th July
$50WIN
Race 7 No 10 One Tough Reign ($5)
RESULT: LOST!
Race 7 No 10 One Tough Reign ($5)
RESULT: LOST!
Warragul, Monday 27th July
$50WIN
Race 4 No 3 Bee Bee Elle ($3.50)
RESULT: 2nd
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Takeonharry ($11)
RESULT: 4th
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Lagoon Beach ($2)
RESULT: 4th
Race 4 No 3 Bee Bee Elle ($3.50)
RESULT: 2nd
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Takeonharry ($11)
RESULT: 4th
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Lagoon Beach ($2)
RESULT: 4th
Ballarat, Sunday 26th July
$50WIN
Race 1 No 8 Part Time Paradise ($4)
Has been racing extremely well without winning of late. This is as weak as it's seen for some time & should receive the ruun on the leaders back. Just needs a gap late to be a real chance
RESULT: 4th. Ended up 3 pegs and that was the end of its chances.
Race 1 No 8 Part Time Paradise ($4)
Has been racing extremely well without winning of late. This is as weak as it's seen for some time & should receive the ruun on the leaders back. Just needs a gap late to be a real chance
RESULT: 4th. Ended up 3 pegs and that was the end of its chances.
Melton, Saturday 25th July
$90 BOXED TRIFECTA
Race 4: 5-11-12 for 1500%
These 3 look far too good for the rest of the field here and depending on the run, each can win. Als Courage winning would be the best result and going on last start is a real chance. If Ricimer can lead super hard to beat with Mojo Major going to have to do it tough but is very smart. Should be an easy collect this.
RESULT: LOST! Saab Magic runs out of it's skin and puts a dampener on things..
Race 4: 5-11-12 for 1500%
These 3 look far too good for the rest of the field here and depending on the run, each can win. Als Courage winning would be the best result and going on last start is a real chance. If Ricimer can lead super hard to beat with Mojo Major going to have to do it tough but is very smart. Should be an easy collect this.
RESULT: LOST! Saab Magic runs out of it's skin and puts a dampener on things..
Kilmore, Friday 24th July
$100WIN
Race 1 No Diamond Castle ($3.5)
Was a good thing beaten last start at this track and distance against a similar field. Was driven for luck but I don't think it needs to be tonight to win. Should be enough early pace to suit and is in great form. The value in the race for mine.
RESULT: 3rd. Being pushed 4 wide down the back didn't help but wasn't good enough in the end.
Race 1 No Diamond Castle ($3.5)
Was a good thing beaten last start at this track and distance against a similar field. Was driven for luck but I don't think it needs to be tonight to win. Should be enough early pace to suit and is in great form. The value in the race for mine.
RESULT: 3rd. Being pushed 4 wide down the back didn't help but wasn't good enough in the end.
Echuca, Thursday 23rd July
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Seeking Dreams ($4)
Had only been plain its first couple of runs with Glenn Douglas but relished the return to the mile with an eye catching 3rd from a long way back in a slowly run race. Has the speed to hold the leaders back here and will get his chance along the sprint lane late.
RESULT: LOST! The 1 showed bugger all speed early but he only battled anyway
Race 7 No 7 Seeking Dreams ($4)
Had only been plain its first couple of runs with Glenn Douglas but relished the return to the mile with an eye catching 3rd from a long way back in a slowly run race. Has the speed to hold the leaders back here and will get his chance along the sprint lane late.
RESULT: LOST! The 1 showed bugger all speed early but he only battled anyway
Maryborough, Thursday 23rd July
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Dougs Limousine ($6)
Loved her debut run. Showed no early toe and ended up 4 pegs. Looked a winning chance before the turn but kept running into dead ends. Once out and balanced up, hit the line real impressively for a close up 4th & I have no doubt if the run came at the turn she was a certain winner. The wide draw is a little concern but with what looks a fairly aggressive front line (I get the feeling the 2 has been waiting for its good draw) she should be real hard to hold out late.
RESULT: 2nd.. Stiff. Just got blocked by an over ambitious David Miles but she hit the line impressively again. Will be winning real soon
Race 5 No 7 Dougs Limousine ($6)
Loved her debut run. Showed no early toe and ended up 4 pegs. Looked a winning chance before the turn but kept running into dead ends. Once out and balanced up, hit the line real impressively for a close up 4th & I have no doubt if the run came at the turn she was a certain winner. The wide draw is a little concern but with what looks a fairly aggressive front line (I get the feeling the 2 has been waiting for its good draw) she should be real hard to hold out late.
RESULT: 2nd.. Stiff. Just got blocked by an over ambitious David Miles but she hit the line impressively again. Will be winning real soon
Mildura, Wednesday 22nd July
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Modern Madam ($2.20)
Reverse the positions in the race of it & Boneshaka last start and Im pretty confident this mare would've got the job done. Only weakened late after a tough run in the death but still managed to hold 2nd in the quickest heat. The front line here isn't overly quick and just needs to hold them out early to win this for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Led and too good for them from the top. $2 the best available on opening at Sportsbet. Collect $190
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Artistic Mover ($2.50)
Has only won once from 29 starts but has returned this prep in very good form. Was real strong from the death in good time for this track and class last start and on weakened late in the piece. Showed in a trial in June his like for this distance when Kylie Hughes let him run and broke 2 minutes for the last mile. Should stroll straight to the front here and looks mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Looked in trouble a fair way out but out plodded them! $2.60 available at Sportbet on opening. Collect $220
DAY RESULT: Won $268
Race 1 No 1 Modern Madam ($2.20)
Reverse the positions in the race of it & Boneshaka last start and Im pretty confident this mare would've got the job done. Only weakened late after a tough run in the death but still managed to hold 2nd in the quickest heat. The front line here isn't overly quick and just needs to hold them out early to win this for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Led and too good for them from the top. $2 the best available on opening at Sportsbet. Collect $190
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Artistic Mover ($2.50)
Has only won once from 29 starts but has returned this prep in very good form. Was real strong from the death in good time for this track and class last start and on weakened late in the piece. Showed in a trial in June his like for this distance when Kylie Hughes let him run and broke 2 minutes for the last mile. Should stroll straight to the front here and looks mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Looked in trouble a fair way out but out plodded them! $2.60 available at Sportbet on opening. Collect $220
DAY RESULT: Won $268
Stawell, Wednesday 22nd July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Onetoughreign ($7)
Got held up late when 3 pegs last start but hit the line impressively late. Has been in really good form of late and this race lacks depth. Just needs a little luck from the draw to figure
RESULT: 3rd. Probably had the race set up for it but just couldn't reel them in late. Happy to take $3.60 for the site result though! Collect $108
Race 8 No 9 Onetoughreign ($7)
Got held up late when 3 pegs last start but hit the line impressively late. Has been in really good form of late and this race lacks depth. Just needs a little luck from the draw to figure
RESULT: 3rd. Probably had the race set up for it but just couldn't reel them in late. Happy to take $3.60 for the site result though! Collect $108
Cranbourne, Tuesday 21st July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Ezycome Ezygo ($16)
This is a horse of less than average ability and needs everything to go right but his form in recent times isn't as bad as it looks. Has been racing from poor draws & getting too far back to make an impression but still has finished off OK. Should settle behind the leader after the likely scratching of the 8 and in a race of battlers, gets his chance
(Reduce the bet if the 8 gains a start - alot)
RESULT: LOST! Poor run, every chance
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Bruneover ($4)
Trialed well before an encouraging 4th at Yarra Valley after getting too far back in a slowly run race. Gets the opportunity to follow the fav here and looks above average. Should get his chance late.
RESULT: LOST! Never looked comfortable in the run and didn't find a lot late
Race 3 No 9 Ezycome Ezygo ($16)
This is a horse of less than average ability and needs everything to go right but his form in recent times isn't as bad as it looks. Has been racing from poor draws & getting too far back to make an impression but still has finished off OK. Should settle behind the leader after the likely scratching of the 8 and in a race of battlers, gets his chance
(Reduce the bet if the 8 gains a start - alot)
RESULT: LOST! Poor run, every chance
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Bruneover ($4)
Trialed well before an encouraging 4th at Yarra Valley after getting too far back in a slowly run race. Gets the opportunity to follow the fav here and looks above average. Should get his chance late.
RESULT: LOST! Never looked comfortable in the run and didn't find a lot late
Charlton, Monday 20th July
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Dawson Street ($2)
Looked a little disappointing on paper last start but i think it was just beaten by a better horse. Gets the perfect draw here & all he has to do is hold out Tooram Lad early to be the one they have to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! $2.10 available early on but smashed in late. Just got the job done! Collect $160
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Lights And Music ($7)
Starting to hit good form in recent times and gets the type of draw it needs to race well here. Follows through the early leader and should park behind leader or 3 pegs at worst. Looks a great EW play at odds
RESULT: 4th. Ended up 3 pegs after the 1 handed up & was always going to struggle from there.
DAY RESULT: Won $10, dont spend it all at once..
Race 1 No 1 Dawson Street ($2)
Looked a little disappointing on paper last start but i think it was just beaten by a better horse. Gets the perfect draw here & all he has to do is hold out Tooram Lad early to be the one they have to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! $2.10 available early on but smashed in late. Just got the job done! Collect $160
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Lights And Music ($7)
Starting to hit good form in recent times and gets the type of draw it needs to race well here. Follows through the early leader and should park behind leader or 3 pegs at worst. Looks a great EW play at odds
RESULT: 4th. Ended up 3 pegs after the 1 handed up & was always going to struggle from there.
DAY RESULT: Won $10, dont spend it all at once..
Shepparton, Sunday 19th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Brother Rabbit ($8)
Has been racing over the unsuitable sprint trips of recent times and certainly hasn't been disgraced. Was pushed back through the field and wide on the final bend but finished off well at Cobram last start, an indication he's in good enough form to be a chance in this. Follows through the likely fav and should get his chance late in the piece.
Race 5 No 10 Brother Rabbit ($8)
Has been racing over the unsuitable sprint trips of recent times and certainly hasn't been disgraced. Was pushed back through the field and wide on the final bend but finished off well at Cobram last start, an indication he's in good enough form to be a chance in this. Follows through the likely fav and should get his chance late in the piece.
Ballarat, Saturday 18th July
$50WIN
Race 3 No 5 Our White Knight ($6)
Loved his run against strong metropolitan class horses at Melton last start. Was last the whole race and was only leashed with 200 or so to go and hit the line impressively. Back to a relatively weaker claimer than he's faced for a while and really gets a chance to return to the winners list especially if the 1 holds them all out early.
RESULT: 4th. Never given a chance. Not sure why he didn't pull out earlier.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Jimmy The Editor ($2)
Has returned from a spell in real good form despite not being suited. Gets back to the sprint trip and should hold the lead early & kept it tonight. Should set the tempo to suit and get his chance
RESULT: 2nd. Every possible chance
Race 3 No 5 Our White Knight ($6)
Loved his run against strong metropolitan class horses at Melton last start. Was last the whole race and was only leashed with 200 or so to go and hit the line impressively. Back to a relatively weaker claimer than he's faced for a while and really gets a chance to return to the winners list especially if the 1 holds them all out early.
RESULT: 4th. Never given a chance. Not sure why he didn't pull out earlier.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Jimmy The Editor ($2)
Has returned from a spell in real good form despite not being suited. Gets back to the sprint trip and should hold the lead early & kept it tonight. Should set the tempo to suit and get his chance
RESULT: 2nd. Every possible chance
Melton, Friday 17th July
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Flaming Flutter ($2.50)
Interdom place getter who returned to racing with a super 2nd to Philadelphia Man last week after leading & handing up. Will strip much fitter for that run and with the expectation of Keayang Starzzz to hand up, should roll to the front early and be extremely hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the lead as expected and really was a class above them. Collect $260
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 8 No Bettertime ($21)
(1st Emergency)
May not get a run here but if he does looks suited off what looks to be a very quick early pace. Hasn't been disgraced in slightly better company of late and is a sneaky sprint chance at huge odds.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$100WIN
Race 10 No 3 Desdon Murruffy ($2)
David Murphy forgot how to drive this fella last preparation and was unlucky more times than not. First up for Matty Craven with the on fire Chris Svanosio onboard, should roll to the front and win for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Not sure how but it won. Restrained at the start, took every possible short cut & the seas parted for it. Chris Svanosio must be god. Collect $200
DAY RESULT: Won $210
Race 5 No 5 Flaming Flutter ($2.50)
Interdom place getter who returned to racing with a super 2nd to Philadelphia Man last week after leading & handing up. Will strip much fitter for that run and with the expectation of Keayang Starzzz to hand up, should roll to the front early and be extremely hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the lead as expected and really was a class above them. Collect $260
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 8 No Bettertime ($21)
(1st Emergency)
May not get a run here but if he does looks suited off what looks to be a very quick early pace. Hasn't been disgraced in slightly better company of late and is a sneaky sprint chance at huge odds.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$100WIN
Race 10 No 3 Desdon Murruffy ($2)
David Murphy forgot how to drive this fella last preparation and was unlucky more times than not. First up for Matty Craven with the on fire Chris Svanosio onboard, should roll to the front and win for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Not sure how but it won. Restrained at the start, took every possible short cut & the seas parted for it. Chris Svanosio must be god. Collect $200
DAY RESULT: Won $210
Mildura, Friday 17th July
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Modern Madam ($4)
Her first 2 runs with Kate Attard have been luckless. 2 starts back was planted 4 wide with a lap to go from last before getting a cart into the race but lost vital momentum when inconvenienced just before the final turn so was a good effort to hold 3rd. Last start was a forget run when inconvenienced behind a tiring leader before locking wheels and being dragged out the back. Looked to be travelling before that happened. Showed very good gate speed early on their and thats its key today, cross early and the race is right in it's keeping.
RESULT: 2nd. Showed no pace today & had to death seat. Good run considering
Race 2 No 2 Modern Madam ($4)
Her first 2 runs with Kate Attard have been luckless. 2 starts back was planted 4 wide with a lap to go from last before getting a cart into the race but lost vital momentum when inconvenienced just before the final turn so was a good effort to hold 3rd. Last start was a forget run when inconvenienced behind a tiring leader before locking wheels and being dragged out the back. Looked to be travelling before that happened. Showed very good gate speed early on their and thats its key today, cross early and the race is right in it's keeping.
RESULT: 2nd. Showed no pace today & had to death seat. Good run considering
Geelong, Thursday 16th July
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Luvumum ($2)
Wasn't disgraced in the Vicbred and followed that up with a tough 2nd at Maryborough last start after death seating. Gets her chance here to from the good draw on a track that favours those on the speed.
RESULT: POOR! Walked out and never looked likely after being crossed. Wont start those odds for a while
Race 5 No 1 Luvumum ($2)
Wasn't disgraced in the Vicbred and followed that up with a tough 2nd at Maryborough last start after death seating. Gets her chance here to from the good draw on a track that favours those on the speed.
RESULT: POOR! Walked out and never looked likely after being crossed. Wont start those odds for a while
Kilmore, Wednesday 15th July
$100WIN
Race 6 No 5 Glenferrie Baby ($2.5)
Was unlucky not to finish closer in the Vicbred final (beat home Diamond Castle) before another unlucky placing last start when held up 3 pegs. I think he can lead from this draw today and is the one to beat from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Couldn't lead when the 1 decided to keep it. Death seated, hit the front rounding the turn but was found wanting late.
$100 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 7 / 8-9 / 8-9-10 2500%
I was going to tip Mojo Major but he's likely to start odds on but the exotics look easy. 8 & 9 look far superior than the rest and the 10 isn't hopeless and can place with luck. Trifecta should be paying $15+
RESULT: WINNER! Got a little worried when Mojo blew out from $1.55 to $2.40 but got the job done. Collect $325
DAY RESULT: Good day on the punt. Won $252.40
Race 6 No 5 Glenferrie Baby ($2.5)
Was unlucky not to finish closer in the Vicbred final (beat home Diamond Castle) before another unlucky placing last start when held up 3 pegs. I think he can lead from this draw today and is the one to beat from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Couldn't lead when the 1 decided to keep it. Death seated, hit the front rounding the turn but was found wanting late.
$100 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 7 / 8-9 / 8-9-10 2500%
I was going to tip Mojo Major but he's likely to start odds on but the exotics look easy. 8 & 9 look far superior than the rest and the 10 isn't hopeless and can place with luck. Trifecta should be paying $15+
RESULT: WINNER! Got a little worried when Mojo blew out from $1.55 to $2.40 but got the job done. Collect $325
DAY RESULT: Good day on the punt. Won $252.40
Hamilton, Wednesday 15th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Doyouseewhatisee ($16)
This is a real risky bet as the horse has struggled of late but hasn't been suited. I look back 4 starts ago when a very close 2nd to Master Of Thurles where he sat 3 pegs and just missed in good time. They ran along very quickly in the first half of that race which is a likely scenario here. He'll be smoking the pipe 3 pegs here and should receive his chance late when I expect others to be on their last legs.
RESULT: WINNER! Right on the line. Collect $253
$60 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 4-5 / 2-4-5 / 1-2-4-5-7 for 500%
Really impressive Mighty Mav first up for Craven and should win again but if Our Supreme Guy can cross early which I think it can, it'll make a race of it. I'm pretty confident they run 1st & 2nd but there is a slight chance the 2 can hold. For those a little more daring 5 to beat 4 exacta might get you a decent result.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't expect the 7 to be the one the 4 handed up too & that proved to be it's downfall
QUADDIE
I think there is a chance a couple of these odds on favs can get rolled today so quad could be value. Small play.
$36 for 100%
7-9 / 4-6-11 / 1-6-9 / 4-5
RESULT: WINNER! Noooo Loser. Quaddie pays a massive $20.40
Race 2 No 8 Doyouseewhatisee ($16)
This is a real risky bet as the horse has struggled of late but hasn't been suited. I look back 4 starts ago when a very close 2nd to Master Of Thurles where he sat 3 pegs and just missed in good time. They ran along very quickly in the first half of that race which is a likely scenario here. He'll be smoking the pipe 3 pegs here and should receive his chance late when I expect others to be on their last legs.
RESULT: WINNER! Right on the line. Collect $253
$60 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 4-5 / 2-4-5 / 1-2-4-5-7 for 500%
Really impressive Mighty Mav first up for Craven and should win again but if Our Supreme Guy can cross early which I think it can, it'll make a race of it. I'm pretty confident they run 1st & 2nd but there is a slight chance the 2 can hold. For those a little more daring 5 to beat 4 exacta might get you a decent result.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't expect the 7 to be the one the 4 handed up too & that proved to be it's downfall
QUADDIE
I think there is a chance a couple of these odds on favs can get rolled today so quad could be value. Small play.
$36 for 100%
7-9 / 4-6-11 / 1-6-9 / 4-5
RESULT: WINNER! Noooo Loser. Quaddie pays a massive $20.40
Cobram, Monday 13th July
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 Our Grasshopper ($2.50)
Loved his effort when a death seating 3rd behind Be Good Juddy when got taken up the track in the straight but once balanced up again hit the well to just miss 2nd. Gets the chance to lead today and even though Long Ago beat it last start, from the front looks very hard to beat. My best of the day
RESULT: SCRATCHED. Was in a pig of a mood and scratched before the start. Backed into $1.65 as well at one point.
$25WIN
Race 5 No 4 Joezac ($5)
Should've won with a half decent drive last start at Yarra Valley. Has gate speed to get across and take 1x1 cover here, hopefully on the back of the 7. Without doubt Perspective is the best horse in the race but if it decides to follow the 1, I think we're in with a real show here as I think the 1 is fairly weak.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how it lost to be honest. Once it lead I thought that was game over but switched off with 100 to go until the winner past it and then kicked back when it saw the other horse in front. Too late! I was right about the 1.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Magic Moment Lombo ($4)
Never got a look in at Shepparton over the sprint trip last week and went over the line hard held. Looks ideally suited from the draw today & should take a sit on the best suitor. With question marks on how Motu Prince Of Peru's trial form happy to be on the value runner here
RESULT: LATE SCRATCHING
$50WIN
Race 8 No 8 Sir Roy ($4)
Was some sort of win at Wagga when almost won from last at the final turn, something you just dont do at Wagga. I know this is a step up in class yet again and may end up 3 pegs but going to be value and I think he can outsprint them late
RESULT: 3rd. With the run it had I expected it to win. Maybe struggled with the class rise
Race 4 No 2 Our Grasshopper ($2.50)
Loved his effort when a death seating 3rd behind Be Good Juddy when got taken up the track in the straight but once balanced up again hit the well to just miss 2nd. Gets the chance to lead today and even though Long Ago beat it last start, from the front looks very hard to beat. My best of the day
RESULT: SCRATCHED. Was in a pig of a mood and scratched before the start. Backed into $1.65 as well at one point.
$25WIN
Race 5 No 4 Joezac ($5)
Should've won with a half decent drive last start at Yarra Valley. Has gate speed to get across and take 1x1 cover here, hopefully on the back of the 7. Without doubt Perspective is the best horse in the race but if it decides to follow the 1, I think we're in with a real show here as I think the 1 is fairly weak.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how it lost to be honest. Once it lead I thought that was game over but switched off with 100 to go until the winner past it and then kicked back when it saw the other horse in front. Too late! I was right about the 1.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Magic Moment Lombo ($4)
Never got a look in at Shepparton over the sprint trip last week and went over the line hard held. Looks ideally suited from the draw today & should take a sit on the best suitor. With question marks on how Motu Prince Of Peru's trial form happy to be on the value runner here
RESULT: LATE SCRATCHING
$50WIN
Race 8 No 8 Sir Roy ($4)
Was some sort of win at Wagga when almost won from last at the final turn, something you just dont do at Wagga. I know this is a step up in class yet again and may end up 3 pegs but going to be value and I think he can outsprint them late
RESULT: 3rd. With the run it had I expected it to win. Maybe struggled with the class rise
Melton, Sunday 12th July
$50WIN
Race 1 No 5 Our Pepperjack ($4)
First up at Charlton from NZ & had to be restrained from a wide gate early. They walked in the first half and that gave anything from behind absolutely no chance of winning but this fella wasn't disgraced finishing 4th in a 56.8 last half albeit beaten 18metres. Meets a field of walkers here and doesn't have to be restrained early. Even though Id rather it be over further, still looks a great chance against these.
RESULT: WINNER! $4.80 for those on the go early enough. Won easily. Collect $165
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 More Than Alright ($4)
The draws haven't been kind to him of late but the driver certainly was last start, never pushing the button. Finally gets a draw here against some real out of form horses. Should lead and win for mine.
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance, showed little
MEETING RESULT: Won $65
Race 1 No 5 Our Pepperjack ($4)
First up at Charlton from NZ & had to be restrained from a wide gate early. They walked in the first half and that gave anything from behind absolutely no chance of winning but this fella wasn't disgraced finishing 4th in a 56.8 last half albeit beaten 18metres. Meets a field of walkers here and doesn't have to be restrained early. Even though Id rather it be over further, still looks a great chance against these.
RESULT: WINNER! $4.80 for those on the go early enough. Won easily. Collect $165
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 More Than Alright ($4)
The draws haven't been kind to him of late but the driver certainly was last start, never pushing the button. Finally gets a draw here against some real out of form horses. Should lead and win for mine.
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance, showed little
MEETING RESULT: Won $65
Cranbourne, Saturday 11th July
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Irish Player ($6)
Put in an eye catcher when flashing home at this track and distance when 5th 2 starts back. Was again very good after breaking early at Warragul last start. Looks ideally suited here and is a fantastic ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! I was cursing Charlie half way out when he went 4 pegs but finally go to the outside and din't it win impressively. Collect $390
Race 1 No 9 Irish Player ($6)
Put in an eye catcher when flashing home at this track and distance when 5th 2 starts back. Was again very good after breaking early at Warragul last start. Looks ideally suited here and is a fantastic ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! I was cursing Charlie half way out when he went 4 pegs but finally go to the outside and din't it win impressively. Collect $390
Melton, Friday 10th July
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Sirladyn Reba ($21)
Has never raced better but really has been thrown in the deep end here. Going to follow through a quick beginner and there is every chance he ends up 1x1 off a fast pace. Worth a small play at the odds
RESULT: LOST! Never given a chance with the drive
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Beach Boy Adios ($4)
Still not sure how he didnt win at Warragul over the longer distance. Should receive the perfect trail behind the leader Shataki Bromac and looks very hard to hold out late over the sprint trip.
RESULT: 2nd. Had his chance late and couldnt get the job done
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Outback Mach ($8)
Tassy visitor who went extremely well at this track and distance last week. Worked hard early before being shuffled back and then dragged the field up 3 wide without cover and just kept giving late for 3rd. Should be primed for this.
RESULT: LOST! Worked hard and was a spent force at the turn
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Gumdrops ($8)
She was back to something like her best last week when finishing off extremely well late. Its extremely hard to line up the form of the Tassy horse here so if there are any chinks in the armor, this mare is the one to find them.
RESULT: LOST! Was backed for a stack and the drive was well, not worth mentioning.
MEETING RESULT: It's official. I have no idea of how to read Melton. Lost $180
Race 1 No 9 Sirladyn Reba ($21)
Has never raced better but really has been thrown in the deep end here. Going to follow through a quick beginner and there is every chance he ends up 1x1 off a fast pace. Worth a small play at the odds
RESULT: LOST! Never given a chance with the drive
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Beach Boy Adios ($4)
Still not sure how he didnt win at Warragul over the longer distance. Should receive the perfect trail behind the leader Shataki Bromac and looks very hard to hold out late over the sprint trip.
RESULT: 2nd. Had his chance late and couldnt get the job done
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Outback Mach ($8)
Tassy visitor who went extremely well at this track and distance last week. Worked hard early before being shuffled back and then dragged the field up 3 wide without cover and just kept giving late for 3rd. Should be primed for this.
RESULT: LOST! Worked hard and was a spent force at the turn
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Gumdrops ($8)
She was back to something like her best last week when finishing off extremely well late. Its extremely hard to line up the form of the Tassy horse here so if there are any chinks in the armor, this mare is the one to find them.
RESULT: LOST! Was backed for a stack and the drive was well, not worth mentioning.
MEETING RESULT: It's official. I have no idea of how to read Melton. Lost $180
Ballarat, Thursday 9th July
$50WIN
Race 2 No 8 Seven Ounce ($4)
Just got run off his legs a bit in the 3rd quarter over the sprint trip last start but wasn't disgraced in finishing 3rd in very good time behind My Kiwi Mate. With Basil Dooley likely to be a pest early for the 2 favs and a question mark on them both, Seven Ounce looks hard too hold out late.
RESULT: LOST! Pretty weak performance
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Here And Now ($6)
Has been around the mark against similar fields of late but disappointingly not use up out of the gate. The speed on her inside here is only average so David Murphy gets every opportunity to use her up & lead, where she races at her best, especially at this track. With the favourite drawn inside back row, it's your only option My Murphy!! Still a chance if she doesn't but more a place if she cant cross early.
RESULT: 4th. Led and didn't find much
Race 2 No 8 Seven Ounce ($4)
Just got run off his legs a bit in the 3rd quarter over the sprint trip last start but wasn't disgraced in finishing 3rd in very good time behind My Kiwi Mate. With Basil Dooley likely to be a pest early for the 2 favs and a question mark on them both, Seven Ounce looks hard too hold out late.
RESULT: LOST! Pretty weak performance
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Here And Now ($6)
Has been around the mark against similar fields of late but disappointingly not use up out of the gate. The speed on her inside here is only average so David Murphy gets every opportunity to use her up & lead, where she races at her best, especially at this track. With the favourite drawn inside back row, it's your only option My Murphy!! Still a chance if she doesn't but more a place if she cant cross early.
RESULT: 4th. Led and didn't find much
Shepparton, Wednesday 8th July
$50 WIN
Race 6 No 11 Alina ($3)
Was game in defeat over the shorter distance last start and unlucky not to finish closer at Melton the start previous. The longer trip and slight drop in drop suits here and she'll go mighty close.
RESULT: 4th. Just had to work too hard in the death and only weakened late
Race 6 No 11 Alina ($3)
Was game in defeat over the shorter distance last start and unlucky not to finish closer at Melton the start previous. The longer trip and slight drop in drop suits here and she'll go mighty close.
RESULT: 4th. Just had to work too hard in the death and only weakened late
Kilmore, Tuesday 7th July
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Miss Metro Glen ($4)
Was never a winning chance but was solid enough against much tougher opposition when 4th. Won 2nd up last preparation and can win tough against these even from the back row.
RESULT: 2nd. Looked the winner with 50 to go but hit the wall.
Race 5 No 10 Miss Metro Glen ($4)
Was never a winning chance but was solid enough against much tougher opposition when 4th. Won 2nd up last preparation and can win tough against these even from the back row.
RESULT: 2nd. Looked the winner with 50 to go but hit the wall.
Yarra Valley, Monday 6th July
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 3 Joezac ($8)
Was never going to win but locking wheels at the top of the straight cost it a bit of momentum and was a strong 3rd against a couple of quality youngsters. This is a step down in class today and should get nice cover up on the speed. A good value punt
RESULT: LOST! Good thing beaten for mine but we'll never know.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Terra Beau ($4)
Was a good run in a very strong C1 race at Ballarat last start when 5th behind Westview Jack. Never raced better and gets the exact run it needs to win today. Should be no excuses.
RESULT: WINNER! Love this horse. Led & did things to suit & won easily. Collect $200 but there was up to as much as $6 on offer at some stages.
Race 3 No 3 Joezac ($8)
Was never going to win but locking wheels at the top of the straight cost it a bit of momentum and was a strong 3rd against a couple of quality youngsters. This is a step down in class today and should get nice cover up on the speed. A good value punt
RESULT: LOST! Good thing beaten for mine but we'll never know.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Terra Beau ($4)
Was a good run in a very strong C1 race at Ballarat last start when 5th behind Westview Jack. Never raced better and gets the exact run it needs to win today. Should be no excuses.
RESULT: WINNER! Love this horse. Led & did things to suit & won easily. Collect $200 but there was up to as much as $6 on offer at some stages.
Mildura, Sunday 5th July
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Alessa ($2)
Thought it's run was very good when 3 wide without cover the last 600metres at Swan Hill for a strong 3rd. The longer distance should hold no fears and from the draw looks the winner.
RESULT: WINNER! Yeah well I got the price way wrong there. Still, cant lose backing winners. Collect $125
$50WIN
Race 6 No 8 Larwood ($4)
Honest 5yo gelding who always tries his guts out. Just had no luck against a very strong C1 field last start when caught 3wide for the first 600 metres before restraining to last. I loved the way he hit the line late. Put in 2 strong runs before that for good placings. That is super form for a race like this and would be my best of the night if not for the poor draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally grabbed some huge overs. Kylie left it to the last minute but again this horse finished off really well. Collect $430
MEETING RESULT: Won $405
Race 4 No 1 Alessa ($2)
Thought it's run was very good when 3 wide without cover the last 600metres at Swan Hill for a strong 3rd. The longer distance should hold no fears and from the draw looks the winner.
RESULT: WINNER! Yeah well I got the price way wrong there. Still, cant lose backing winners. Collect $125
$50WIN
Race 6 No 8 Larwood ($4)
Honest 5yo gelding who always tries his guts out. Just had no luck against a very strong C1 field last start when caught 3wide for the first 600 metres before restraining to last. I loved the way he hit the line late. Put in 2 strong runs before that for good placings. That is super form for a race like this and would be my best of the night if not for the poor draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally grabbed some huge overs. Kylie left it to the last minute but again this horse finished off really well. Collect $430
MEETING RESULT: Won $405
Melton, Saturday 4th July
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Blackberry Lane ($5)
Went OK last time out over the sprint trip when just one batted away to the line. Seems to be better suited over the longer distance and should either lead or be leaders back here. (Lets Elope)
RESULT: 2nd. Fav far too good.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 Spokeswoman ($4)
Has been around the mark in much better company than she meets tonight in recent weeks. From the the good gate should lead these with ease and the looks to be little pressure in this mid race. Gets her chance.
RESULT: LOST! Never again. Led and Lance ran them along in front but she found zilch. Best has past her by or maybe better with a sit.
$100WIN
Race 6 No 10 Metro Mike ($2.30)
Low flying since the stable decided to put Jason Lee in the sulky and I think his 2nd last start was close to one of his best runs. Follows through Gumdrops here and I'd expect Jason Lee to take advantage of that and eventually find the death. Has monstered his opposition from that position over this trip before and he looks very hard to roll. My best of the night
RESULT: LOST! Last. Real plain tonight
$54 FIRST FOUR
Race 9: 1 / 2-4 / 2-4-9-13 / 2-4-5-9-13
Berisari should win this very easily from the draw. Quick Draft & Shes A Runa were both huge last week & I just couldn't leave out Milly Perez who was just driven to qualify last week & her closing sectionals were extremely good. Barynya was poor last week and Beach Shack racing good enough to figure in the top 4.
RESULT: LOST! Milly Perez! Noooooooooooooooo!
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Brocks Territory ($26)
Loved his run in the semi final. Did work early and then was shuffled back before the turn & had to change course 2 or 3 times before finishing off just as well as Shadow Sax. Obviously going to need luck but if they go too quick in front, especially with Born To Rocknroll likely to pour the pressure on mid race, she'll just need a crack at them late to snag at least a place.
RESULT: 4th. Topped off the night really. Sat pretty 1x1 but just wasn't up to them.
MEETING RESULT: The evil that is Melton continues. Lost $284
Race 1 No 1 Blackberry Lane ($5)
Went OK last time out over the sprint trip when just one batted away to the line. Seems to be better suited over the longer distance and should either lead or be leaders back here. (Lets Elope)
RESULT: 2nd. Fav far too good.
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 Spokeswoman ($4)
Has been around the mark in much better company than she meets tonight in recent weeks. From the the good gate should lead these with ease and the looks to be little pressure in this mid race. Gets her chance.
RESULT: LOST! Never again. Led and Lance ran them along in front but she found zilch. Best has past her by or maybe better with a sit.
$100WIN
Race 6 No 10 Metro Mike ($2.30)
Low flying since the stable decided to put Jason Lee in the sulky and I think his 2nd last start was close to one of his best runs. Follows through Gumdrops here and I'd expect Jason Lee to take advantage of that and eventually find the death. Has monstered his opposition from that position over this trip before and he looks very hard to roll. My best of the night
RESULT: LOST! Last. Real plain tonight
$54 FIRST FOUR
Race 9: 1 / 2-4 / 2-4-9-13 / 2-4-5-9-13
Berisari should win this very easily from the draw. Quick Draft & Shes A Runa were both huge last week & I just couldn't leave out Milly Perez who was just driven to qualify last week & her closing sectionals were extremely good. Barynya was poor last week and Beach Shack racing good enough to figure in the top 4.
RESULT: LOST! Milly Perez! Noooooooooooooooo!
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 11 Brocks Territory ($26)
Loved his run in the semi final. Did work early and then was shuffled back before the turn & had to change course 2 or 3 times before finishing off just as well as Shadow Sax. Obviously going to need luck but if they go too quick in front, especially with Born To Rocknroll likely to pour the pressure on mid race, she'll just need a crack at them late to snag at least a place.
RESULT: 4th. Topped off the night really. Sat pretty 1x1 but just wasn't up to them.
MEETING RESULT: The evil that is Melton continues. Lost $284
Shepparton, Thursday 2nd July
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 No Tomorrow ($4)
Was a very good winner 2 starts back at Bendigo before a handy run at Melton in an extremely strong form race with half the horses from that race winning since. The draw is a slight concern but going back at at the start could be a god send if he gets a cart into the race
RESULT: LOST! Given absolutely no hope at all.
Race 6 No 7 No Tomorrow ($4)
Was a very good winner 2 starts back at Bendigo before a handy run at Melton in an extremely strong form race with half the horses from that race winning since. The draw is a slight concern but going back at at the start could be a god send if he gets a cart into the race
RESULT: LOST! Given absolutely no hope at all.
Charlton, Thursday 2nd July
$100WIN
Race 2 No 2 Ironhide ($2)
Was a good debut run when got stuck in the death but pressured the leader throughout. Only weakened late. Should have sufficient gate speed and only has to hold out the 3 to win this in my opinion.
RESULT: WINNER! Wasn't much left in the tank but got the job done. Opened $2. 3 ran the quinella also which paid a decent $3.40. Collect $190
Race 2 No 2 Ironhide ($2)
Was a good debut run when got stuck in the death but pressured the leader throughout. Only weakened late. Should have sufficient gate speed and only has to hold out the 3 to win this in my opinion.
RESULT: WINNER! Wasn't much left in the tank but got the job done. Opened $2. 3 ran the quinella also which paid a decent $3.40. Collect $190
Bendigo, Wednesday 1st July
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Hosier Lane ($3.50)
Was desperately unlucky last start after being stuck 3 pegs and never saw daylight. That won't happen here from gate 2. Was impressive winning from the death at this track 2 starts back & from the good draw should settle close and get every opportunity to return to the winners list
RESULT: LOST! A wee bit disappointing from Hosier on first looks but did work forward 3wide in a strong 2nd quarter. Forgive
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Cardon Merger ($3.50)
Yet to win this time in but I was really impressed with how he finished off in a lightning quick last half against a quality animal. Gets the ideal draw and gets his chance tonight
RESULT: WINNER! Well that was easy. Led and brained them! Collect $235
Race 1 No 2 Hosier Lane ($3.50)
Was desperately unlucky last start after being stuck 3 pegs and never saw daylight. That won't happen here from gate 2. Was impressive winning from the death at this track 2 starts back & from the good draw should settle close and get every opportunity to return to the winners list
RESULT: LOST! A wee bit disappointing from Hosier on first looks but did work forward 3wide in a strong 2nd quarter. Forgive
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Cardon Merger ($3.50)
Yet to win this time in but I was really impressed with how he finished off in a lightning quick last half against a quality animal. Gets the ideal draw and gets his chance tonight
RESULT: WINNER! Well that was easy. Led and brained them! Collect $235
Geelong, Wednesday 1st July
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Kotare York ($2.2)
Has been a money burner for punters more than once this preparation but doesn't get any better chance to return to the winners list than this. Should push forward and bully his way to the front early and looks a good bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Was restrained at the start and really had an uphill battle from then on but the winner was too good.
Race 1 No 7 Kotare York ($2.2)
Has been a money burner for punters more than once this preparation but doesn't get any better chance to return to the winners list than this. Should push forward and bully his way to the front early and looks a good bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Was restrained at the start and really had an uphill battle from then on but the winner was too good.
ARarat, Tuesday 30th June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Precious Cullen ($7)
Its debut run was every bit as good as it's stablemates Mister Untouchable. Meets that horse on good terms here considering Space Alert has high early speed and Aerodyne Fellas driver declaring he's pushing to lead tonight. That should enable Precious Cullen to take a nice trail on them early & with his main danger hopefully stuck on the pegs, should be able to take advantage late.
RESULT: WINNER! Real impressive win. $10 was available early but smashed in late. Collect $125.60
$25WIN
Race 7 No 6 If The Mood Suits ($5)
Its form on paper looks ordinary but has been an eye catcher in both runs to date, especially last week at Terang. Had similar issues to Togetherwedream in obtaining a run late and went to the line hard held in 6th place, not far behind the place getters. He did have a flat patch in the 3rd quarter of that race over the sprint trip when they upped the tempo but did hit the line hard. That suggests that the step up in distance is no concern but the draw maybe a slight one. Glen Craven is a fine driver though and should give it every possible chance
RESULT: WINNER! Galloped at the start and I thought it lost all chance but round them up late in a real impressive win. Collect $180
DAY RESULT: Won $230.60
Race 2 No 4 Precious Cullen ($7)
Its debut run was every bit as good as it's stablemates Mister Untouchable. Meets that horse on good terms here considering Space Alert has high early speed and Aerodyne Fellas driver declaring he's pushing to lead tonight. That should enable Precious Cullen to take a nice trail on them early & with his main danger hopefully stuck on the pegs, should be able to take advantage late.
RESULT: WINNER! Real impressive win. $10 was available early but smashed in late. Collect $125.60
$25WIN
Race 7 No 6 If The Mood Suits ($5)
Its form on paper looks ordinary but has been an eye catcher in both runs to date, especially last week at Terang. Had similar issues to Togetherwedream in obtaining a run late and went to the line hard held in 6th place, not far behind the place getters. He did have a flat patch in the 3rd quarter of that race over the sprint trip when they upped the tempo but did hit the line hard. That suggests that the step up in distance is no concern but the draw maybe a slight one. Glen Craven is a fine driver though and should give it every possible chance
RESULT: WINNER! Galloped at the start and I thought it lost all chance but round them up late in a real impressive win. Collect $180
DAY RESULT: Won $230.60
Warragul, Monday 29th June
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Beach Boy Adios ($4)
Went super behind Hotasel even though it had it's chance to beat it 2 starts back. Has been to Menangle since where it had nothing go right. Gets the beautiful sit on Phil Montys back here & in a race that looks to have pace on, gets his chance late.
RESULT: 2nd. Missed by a whisker. Was it just me or did Nathan think he had the prize with 50 metres to go?!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 10 Modern Bliss ($11)
Was a close up & solid 3rd in a race where the leader Quaint Glenn should have bolted in given the early sectionals they ran. With the early scratchings, get the nice trailig draw behind Rosie O'Reily who is quick out of the gate. With both favs slightly disappoitning last start and likely to have to do a touch more work early, I'm happy to be on the value runner.
RESULT: LOST! Needed luck, driven for luck, never got it, still looking for a run...
Race 7 No 8 Beach Boy Adios ($4)
Went super behind Hotasel even though it had it's chance to beat it 2 starts back. Has been to Menangle since where it had nothing go right. Gets the beautiful sit on Phil Montys back here & in a race that looks to have pace on, gets his chance late.
RESULT: 2nd. Missed by a whisker. Was it just me or did Nathan think he had the prize with 50 metres to go?!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 10 Modern Bliss ($11)
Was a close up & solid 3rd in a race where the leader Quaint Glenn should have bolted in given the early sectionals they ran. With the early scratchings, get the nice trailig draw behind Rosie O'Reily who is quick out of the gate. With both favs slightly disappoitning last start and likely to have to do a touch more work early, I'm happy to be on the value runner.
RESULT: LOST! Needed luck, driven for luck, never got it, still looking for a run...
Shepparton, Saturday 27th June
$100WIN
Race 1 No 5 Vikenti ($2.5)
Last couple of starts. 10 metres off Macterra Lad & Young Modern, 7 metres off Sirladyn Reba, 7 metres off Jewel Castle/Magic Moment Lombo. Comes back to a C1 tonight, should push forward and get every possible chance from in front
RESULT: LOST! LEd easily, walked them in front, gone before the turn. Awful.
Race 1 No 5 Vikenti ($2.5)
Last couple of starts. 10 metres off Macterra Lad & Young Modern, 7 metres off Sirladyn Reba, 7 metres off Jewel Castle/Magic Moment Lombo. Comes back to a C1 tonight, should push forward and get every possible chance from in front
RESULT: LOST! LEd easily, walked them in front, gone before the turn. Awful.
Melton, Friday 26th June
$100WIN
Race 3 No 5 Morton Plains ($1.80)
Went super at Ballarat last start behind the very smart Lovelist after doing all the work & stuck on extremely well. Has trialed well at Maryborough since. Should roll to the front after Jilliby Ebonyrose crosses and looks mighty hard to beat. Surprised it isn't odds on with Sportsbet offering $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Easy as you like! Collect $200
$100WIN
Race 4 No 7 Courageous Call ($4)
Relished the longer distance last start and it really was an easy win in the end,even though the race was set up for it, beat Whirily School by 14 metres!. The draw is a slight problem & it's likely that it'll end up death seating but just looks better than them
RESULT: LOST! Didn't like the death seat
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Jilliby Jagger ($8)
Was huge in running 3rd in super time at Charlton behind Hectorjayjay and Messini after racing without cover. Had every right to drop out but did well to hold 3rd. I would've gone a little harder here but reality is, there maybe little pace on especially if All Eyes On Us gets to the death seat without any effort. Jilliby is far too good a horse to be at the current odds and if anything, this is a drop in class from last start
RESULT: WINNER! Got the perfect run into the race and you wanted to be on a long way out. Collect $257.20.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Menin Gate ($2)
Yet to salute from his 2 runs in this time in but has had excuses. Has been wound up for this with one VERY impressive trial win at Maryborough running home the last half in 55.5 seconds against older horses. Should lead early here but there is a small possibility that Jilliby Royal could cross but even if that happened I think Chris Alford would be smart enough to retake. Looks mighty hard to beat from the top.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance
$50 Quinella
Race 8: 10 & 11
Both mares are low flying this time in and you can expect Shes A Runna to take off early with Quick Draft on her back to sit in the death. Both these mares are going much better than My Bella Star and they should be fighting out the finish
RESULT: WINNER! Never looked in doubt with the 2 of them kicking away at the turn. Disappointing collect though. $165
$60 First Four
Race 11: 2 / 11 / 1-8-10 / 1-8 -10 for 1000%
Hectorjayjay looks to have a mortgage on this race with Messini the only danger if any. Fingers crossed Simone lets Messini take the lead again at some stage as that would guarantee they finish top 2. The other 3 the only other possible chances for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Looked all over a collect but Field Major got it's second wind & knocked Messini off for 2nd.
$100 Quinella
Race 12: 7 & 10
Milly Perez has come back in super form. Real unlucky last start and has trialed well behind Menin Gate since. Should bully her way to the front and be mighty hard to beat. Berisari is simply a champion mare but is going to have to do it the hard way. I'm happy to take on Barynya from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! Chris Alford totally missed the boat. Pulled out far too late & hits the line hard from an impossible position. Disapointing but thats heat racing!
MEETING RESULT: Won $62.20 but much better if on the early odds.
Race 3 No 5 Morton Plains ($1.80)
Went super at Ballarat last start behind the very smart Lovelist after doing all the work & stuck on extremely well. Has trialed well at Maryborough since. Should roll to the front after Jilliby Ebonyrose crosses and looks mighty hard to beat. Surprised it isn't odds on with Sportsbet offering $2.50
RESULT: WINNER! Easy as you like! Collect $200
$100WIN
Race 4 No 7 Courageous Call ($4)
Relished the longer distance last start and it really was an easy win in the end,even though the race was set up for it, beat Whirily School by 14 metres!. The draw is a slight problem & it's likely that it'll end up death seating but just looks better than them
RESULT: LOST! Didn't like the death seat
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Jilliby Jagger ($8)
Was huge in running 3rd in super time at Charlton behind Hectorjayjay and Messini after racing without cover. Had every right to drop out but did well to hold 3rd. I would've gone a little harder here but reality is, there maybe little pace on especially if All Eyes On Us gets to the death seat without any effort. Jilliby is far too good a horse to be at the current odds and if anything, this is a drop in class from last start
RESULT: WINNER! Got the perfect run into the race and you wanted to be on a long way out. Collect $257.20.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Menin Gate ($2)
Yet to salute from his 2 runs in this time in but has had excuses. Has been wound up for this with one VERY impressive trial win at Maryborough running home the last half in 55.5 seconds against older horses. Should lead early here but there is a small possibility that Jilliby Royal could cross but even if that happened I think Chris Alford would be smart enough to retake. Looks mighty hard to beat from the top.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance
$50 Quinella
Race 8: 10 & 11
Both mares are low flying this time in and you can expect Shes A Runna to take off early with Quick Draft on her back to sit in the death. Both these mares are going much better than My Bella Star and they should be fighting out the finish
RESULT: WINNER! Never looked in doubt with the 2 of them kicking away at the turn. Disappointing collect though. $165
$60 First Four
Race 11: 2 / 11 / 1-8-10 / 1-8 -10 for 1000%
Hectorjayjay looks to have a mortgage on this race with Messini the only danger if any. Fingers crossed Simone lets Messini take the lead again at some stage as that would guarantee they finish top 2. The other 3 the only other possible chances for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Looked all over a collect but Field Major got it's second wind & knocked Messini off for 2nd.
$100 Quinella
Race 12: 7 & 10
Milly Perez has come back in super form. Real unlucky last start and has trialed well behind Menin Gate since. Should bully her way to the front and be mighty hard to beat. Berisari is simply a champion mare but is going to have to do it the hard way. I'm happy to take on Barynya from the draw.
RESULT: LOST! Chris Alford totally missed the boat. Pulled out far too late & hits the line hard from an impossible position. Disapointing but thats heat racing!
MEETING RESULT: Won $62.20 but much better if on the early odds.
Ballarat, Thursday 25th June
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Sirladyn Reba ($5)
He has returned from a spell in tip top condition as evidenced with an impressive fast finish at Shepparton beofre another fast finishing 4th in a very strong form race at Melton last week. The draw is the massive problem here but Zac should be restraining early here considering the amount of early speed off the front line. If anything this race is a step down in class from what he met at Melton. Just get him off the fence Zac.
Race 5 No 8 Sirladyn Reba ($5)
He has returned from a spell in tip top condition as evidenced with an impressive fast finish at Shepparton beofre another fast finishing 4th in a very strong form race at Melton last week. The draw is the massive problem here but Zac should be restraining early here considering the amount of early speed off the front line. If anything this race is a step down in class from what he met at Melton. Just get him off the fence Zac.
Bendigo, Wednesday 24th June
$10WIN/$90PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Long Life Voyage ($14)
Weird bet I know but this fella struggles to win but runs his best races over this trip. Was super in the heat of this race last week after working early & battling away well late for a strong place. Gets a good sit here & just needs the 2 to take him to the sprint lane to be a place bet moral.
RESULT: 3rd. Did what he does best. Collect $171
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Our Pearl Harbour ($6)
Liked his run last start. Petroff revved him out early & was unsuccessful in his attempt to lead. Settled 1x1 and probably had his chance to win late but it was still good in 2nd. No doubt this is a little harder here with a bit more depth but the front row looks very ordinary and should get an easy lead & hand up to Demonstrative. Meets Hosier Lane much better at the draw too. There should be plenty of mid race moves and he'll get his chance to outsprint them late.
RESULT: WINNER! Lovely when a plan comes together but was well under the odds I expected. Collect $264
DAY RESULT: Won $235
Race 1 No 1 Long Life Voyage ($14)
Weird bet I know but this fella struggles to win but runs his best races over this trip. Was super in the heat of this race last week after working early & battling away well late for a strong place. Gets a good sit here & just needs the 2 to take him to the sprint lane to be a place bet moral.
RESULT: 3rd. Did what he does best. Collect $171
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Our Pearl Harbour ($6)
Liked his run last start. Petroff revved him out early & was unsuccessful in his attempt to lead. Settled 1x1 and probably had his chance to win late but it was still good in 2nd. No doubt this is a little harder here with a bit more depth but the front row looks very ordinary and should get an easy lead & hand up to Demonstrative. Meets Hosier Lane much better at the draw too. There should be plenty of mid race moves and he'll get his chance to outsprint them late.
RESULT: WINNER! Lovely when a plan comes together but was well under the odds I expected. Collect $264
DAY RESULT: Won $235
Terang, Tuesday 23rd June
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Togetherwedream ($2)
Was responsible for a huge run 2 starts back when pol-axed before the turn but hit the line impressively for 4th. Started odds on last start and was driven poorly. Looked to have no chance rounding the turn and did extremely well to get within a neck of the winner Art Keeper who ran a good tough 3rd at Cranbourne Sunday night. It will be a massive advantage if the 1 is scratched but even if it isn't, still looks the one to beat from the draw.
RESULT: 4th. Give me a spell Jodi. Had every opportunity to get off the fence but didn't want it.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Amazing Cruiser ($8)
Hasn't been disgraced against strong C1 fields of late running behind The Culture & Time Thief. Has the gate speed to either lead or take the sit here and looks a great value bet. Destined To Take the biggest threat here with a big drop in class but the back row and more so the driver threw me off at the short odds.
RESULT: LOST! Showed bugger all gate speed & was gone before the turn. Ouch
Race 1 No 2 Togetherwedream ($2)
Was responsible for a huge run 2 starts back when pol-axed before the turn but hit the line impressively for 4th. Started odds on last start and was driven poorly. Looked to have no chance rounding the turn and did extremely well to get within a neck of the winner Art Keeper who ran a good tough 3rd at Cranbourne Sunday night. It will be a massive advantage if the 1 is scratched but even if it isn't, still looks the one to beat from the draw.
RESULT: 4th. Give me a spell Jodi. Had every opportunity to get off the fence but didn't want it.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Amazing Cruiser ($8)
Hasn't been disgraced against strong C1 fields of late running behind The Culture & Time Thief. Has the gate speed to either lead or take the sit here and looks a great value bet. Destined To Take the biggest threat here with a big drop in class but the back row and more so the driver threw me off at the short odds.
RESULT: LOST! Showed bugger all gate speed & was gone before the turn. Ouch
Cobram, Monday 22nd June
$100WIN
Race 6 No 3 My Mach Scooter ($2.50)
Has uncharacteristically broke it's past 2 starts and Im forgiving him for that here. Usually flies the gate and should lead with ease here and in a race full of sit sprinters, he'll have no excuses.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped away & never looked likely after that
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Magic Moment Lombo ($2)
Great run at Melton against some very smart types when finishing only 6 metres from the winner but more importantly, with plenty left to give with no clear run. Gets the perfect draw here and should be beating this with even luck.
RESULT: WINNER! Driven upside down but obviously the driver knew what he was doing. Pace was on throughout & he was just too strong for them late. Collect $300, finally.
DAY RESULT: Won $100
Race 6 No 3 My Mach Scooter ($2.50)
Has uncharacteristically broke it's past 2 starts and Im forgiving him for that here. Usually flies the gate and should lead with ease here and in a race full of sit sprinters, he'll have no excuses.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped away & never looked likely after that
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Magic Moment Lombo ($2)
Great run at Melton against some very smart types when finishing only 6 metres from the winner but more importantly, with plenty left to give with no clear run. Gets the perfect draw here and should be beating this with even luck.
RESULT: WINNER! Driven upside down but obviously the driver knew what he was doing. Pace was on throughout & he was just too strong for them late. Collect $300, finally.
DAY RESULT: Won $100
Cranbourne, Sunday 21st June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Ymbro Toto ($8)
Was an OK 3rd against similar class first up 3 starts back. Forgot its run 2 back after it galloped & then had no luck here last start but hit the line nicely late. Im only on here because of how the 1 started last time out and I expect Ymbro to get to the pegs first and get every possible chance at nice ew odds.
Race 5 No 2 Ymbro Toto ($8)
Was an OK 3rd against similar class first up 3 starts back. Forgot its run 2 back after it galloped & then had no luck here last start but hit the line nicely late. Im only on here because of how the 1 started last time out and I expect Ymbro to get to the pegs first and get every possible chance at nice ew odds.
Kilmore, Saturday 20th June
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 Admiral Joy ($2)
Been racing in C3/4 races and has been real competitive. Back to a C1 class here & should be leading. My only concern, it's a concession driver race.
RESULT: 2nd. 58sec first half when nothing applied pressure. Troy McDonald you have a lot to learn.
Race 4 No 2 Admiral Joy ($2)
Been racing in C3/4 races and has been real competitive. Back to a C1 class here & should be leading. My only concern, it's a concession driver race.
RESULT: 2nd. 58sec first half when nothing applied pressure. Troy McDonald you have a lot to learn.
Melton, Friday 19th June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Samantha Sparkle ($8)
Was held up at a crucial stage in the race just before the turn at which point both leaders had kicked away. She hit the line really strong late for a good 3rd. She'll settle 3 pegs here and in this final, expect there to be a fair bit of fire on throughout. She'll need luck but if the run opens up late, she has the sprint to go close.
RESULT: LOST! She had no hope off a slow speed.
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 1-4 / 1-4 / 8 for 1500%
Mister Mundaka could possibly be a open class star in the making but Big Spook can run a mighty cheeky race from the draw over the sprint trip. Gollahman will get a suck along 3 back the pegs and after it's good 2nd behind Shes A Runa, should be able to hold 3rd.
RESULT: LOST! The 2 leaders took each other on and that was that.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Washmepockets ($21)
Forget last start when never given a chance but was a very good 2nd to Barynya 2 starts back. Back to the front row from the stand & usually pings the tapes and expect him to settle leaders back behind the right leader. Sneaky chance if he does PING
RESULT: LOST! No ping, ended up 4 pegs off the back of a slow speed.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Courageous N Quick ($6)
I was lost for words when they announced a change of tactics last start, wanting not to be aggressive at the start when her early gate speed is her weapon. Ran well considering. She'll settle leaders back at worst here and looks an ew special.
RESULT: 3rd. Poor run really. Had every chance. Collect $108
Race 2 No 9 Samantha Sparkle ($8)
Was held up at a crucial stage in the race just before the turn at which point both leaders had kicked away. She hit the line really strong late for a good 3rd. She'll settle 3 pegs here and in this final, expect there to be a fair bit of fire on throughout. She'll need luck but if the run opens up late, she has the sprint to go close.
RESULT: LOST! She had no hope off a slow speed.
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 1-4 / 1-4 / 8 for 1500%
Mister Mundaka could possibly be a open class star in the making but Big Spook can run a mighty cheeky race from the draw over the sprint trip. Gollahman will get a suck along 3 back the pegs and after it's good 2nd behind Shes A Runa, should be able to hold 3rd.
RESULT: LOST! The 2 leaders took each other on and that was that.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Washmepockets ($21)
Forget last start when never given a chance but was a very good 2nd to Barynya 2 starts back. Back to the front row from the stand & usually pings the tapes and expect him to settle leaders back behind the right leader. Sneaky chance if he does PING
RESULT: LOST! No ping, ended up 4 pegs off the back of a slow speed.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Courageous N Quick ($6)
I was lost for words when they announced a change of tactics last start, wanting not to be aggressive at the start when her early gate speed is her weapon. Ran well considering. She'll settle leaders back at worst here and looks an ew special.
RESULT: 3rd. Poor run really. Had every chance. Collect $108
Mildura, Friday 19th June
$100WIN
Race 6 No 7 Captain Under Fire ($2.5)
Outclassed last start behind Hectorjayjay. This is a few steps back in class here today but even from the awkward draw, he has got a lot on these & it'll just take a good drive to get him away from the pegs early to win here for mine
RESULT: 3rd. Got out but never looked comfortable in the death. Leader only.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Tommys Song ($6)
Has been racing extremely well over the sprint distance of late, a distance he has shown his best in throughout his career. The longer distance is ideal here & will get a lovely run behind Oneminutetodream here. Just needs an out late to be a real chance.
RESULT: 3rd. Never got out. Collect $120
DAY RESULT: $182 lost in what been a very poor week on the punt
Race 6 No 7 Captain Under Fire ($2.5)
Outclassed last start behind Hectorjayjay. This is a few steps back in class here today but even from the awkward draw, he has got a lot on these & it'll just take a good drive to get him away from the pegs early to win here for mine
RESULT: 3rd. Got out but never looked comfortable in the death. Leader only.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Tommys Song ($6)
Has been racing extremely well over the sprint distance of late, a distance he has shown his best in throughout his career. The longer distance is ideal here & will get a lovely run behind Oneminutetodream here. Just needs an out late to be a real chance.
RESULT: 3rd. Never got out. Collect $120
DAY RESULT: $182 lost in what been a very poor week on the punt
Shepparton, Wednesday 17th June
$100WIN
Race 6 No 5 Abettatinydancer ($2.50)
She has had to do a power of work in all her 5 starts since an impressive debut win. Looked gone at the turn but kept kicking after death seating behind the smart Spinners Boy & Yackandandah. Gets her opportunity to bully her way to the front tonight and she looks like the type of horse thats going to relish leading and running them along. Im confident Kate Gath will be real aggressive early and those underneath her should give way. Looks a solid bet for mine
RESULT: 2nd. The fav took it on mid race and they were left sitting ducks for the 3rd fav. Still probably had it's chance.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 One Mans Pass ($8)
Tassie gelding who had ok form across the ditch before trialling very nicely at Melton last week. Sprint laned to beat Fake Smile easily who looks a talented youngster. Has to outspint Soho Tokoyo here but will give it a fair crack
RESULT: 4th. Got crossed and ended 3 pegs. Got out with plenty of time to run them down but just battled.
$50 QUINELLA
Race 9: 1 & 8
Soho Madeline looks yopur leader and is one very smart filly. I was impressed by thepresidentslady first 2 wins before she broke last start & broke gear. Kerryn Manning back onboard a major plus and she should sit leaders back the trip. Doesn't look to be a whole heap of speed on here and they should fight out the finish
RESULT: LOST! 1st & 3rd. The 8 hops skips and jumps at the start and that cost it 2nd no doubt.
Race 6 No 5 Abettatinydancer ($2.50)
She has had to do a power of work in all her 5 starts since an impressive debut win. Looked gone at the turn but kept kicking after death seating behind the smart Spinners Boy & Yackandandah. Gets her opportunity to bully her way to the front tonight and she looks like the type of horse thats going to relish leading and running them along. Im confident Kate Gath will be real aggressive early and those underneath her should give way. Looks a solid bet for mine
RESULT: 2nd. The fav took it on mid race and they were left sitting ducks for the 3rd fav. Still probably had it's chance.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 One Mans Pass ($8)
Tassie gelding who had ok form across the ditch before trialling very nicely at Melton last week. Sprint laned to beat Fake Smile easily who looks a talented youngster. Has to outspint Soho Tokoyo here but will give it a fair crack
RESULT: 4th. Got crossed and ended 3 pegs. Got out with plenty of time to run them down but just battled.
$50 QUINELLA
Race 9: 1 & 8
Soho Madeline looks yopur leader and is one very smart filly. I was impressed by thepresidentslady first 2 wins before she broke last start & broke gear. Kerryn Manning back onboard a major plus and she should sit leaders back the trip. Doesn't look to be a whole heap of speed on here and they should fight out the finish
RESULT: LOST! 1st & 3rd. The 8 hops skips and jumps at the start and that cost it 2nd no doubt.
Horsham, Wednesday 17th June
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Illawong Libby ($6)
Couldn't cross early from gate 3 and had to be restrained back to last last start. Hit the line ok late and wasn't disgraced even though it finished 2nd last. Perfect draw here off a front row with average speed so should be leading and getting every possible chance.
RESULT: 4th. Poor run and in hindsight a poor tip.
Race 8 No 1 Illawong Libby ($6)
Couldn't cross early from gate 3 and had to be restrained back to last last start. Hit the line ok late and wasn't disgraced even though it finished 2nd last. Perfect draw here off a front row with average speed so should be leading and getting every possible chance.
RESULT: 4th. Poor run and in hindsight a poor tip.
Ballarat, Tuesday 16th June
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Royal Icing ($16)
One from left of field here. Has struggled over the longer distances in recent times but was unlucky over this distance at Bendigo 3 starts back when 4th against good quality animals for a C1. There is going to be a crazy speed on here and if it's a last man standing, he'll get his chance at them late. Maybe a tip for BET365 users if you can't get the $26, wait until opening odds as I reckon it'll start large!
RESULT: 4th. Right horse, wrong driver? Thats probably a bit harsh looking back at the replay as I reckon the right move was to follow Goodtime Rusty but it unexpectedly fell in hole. Thats racing
Race 6 No 2 Royal Icing ($16)
One from left of field here. Has struggled over the longer distances in recent times but was unlucky over this distance at Bendigo 3 starts back when 4th against good quality animals for a C1. There is going to be a crazy speed on here and if it's a last man standing, he'll get his chance at them late. Maybe a tip for BET365 users if you can't get the $26, wait until opening odds as I reckon it'll start large!
RESULT: 4th. Right horse, wrong driver? Thats probably a bit harsh looking back at the replay as I reckon the right move was to follow Goodtime Rusty but it unexpectedly fell in hole. Thats racing
Yarra Valley, Monday 15th June
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 2: 3 / 2 / 1 for 2500%
The fav will be long odds on here for good reason after beaten Hosier Lane & Trison with ease first up in Oz & this is easier! I think Sahara Bedouin is going much better than it's form suggests and is a clear 2nd pick. Temporial Join is a fairly weak animal but draws to get a beautiful run and that should be enough to hold 3rd.
RESULT: LOST! Both favs were very disappointing
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 1 / 4 / 8 for 2500%
Padrisimo shocked a few by taken a sit last week but it suited it's strengths and sprint laned to victory. I think they'll use similar tactics here and the leader for mine is Madison Louise. Can get out quick enough when need & should do that today. All Aussie Star gets the suck along 3 pegs and is going much better than it's form suggests
RESULT: NO BET: Madison Louise scratched.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Chestervale Jet ($3.5)
Forget last start when got caught in the death and this sit sprinter certainly didnt appreciate it but wasn't disgraced. Liked his run 2 starts back at this track over this distance when had little luck when a close up 4th against much stronger than this. Gets the draw to settle very close to the lead & looks a huge chance to outsprint them late.
RESULT: 2nd. Led! Wasn't expecting that & showed today it's a much better sit sprinter. Every chance in front.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Destined To Take ($2.50)
Hasn't had anything go his way the past couple and you can rule a line through those runs. Was a strong winner against weak opposition over the sprint trip 3 starts back but it's his 2nd to My Mack Scooter under similar circumstances that gets me keen on his chances today. Sat leaders back that day and beat home Copper Coast which is very good form for this. My only concern is can Im The Boss take him to the sprint lane with momentum? I think so.
RESULT: 3rd. I was wrong. Im The Boss was struggling before the turn and that was his chances gone. A win isn't far away but that doesn't help us today.
$25 QUADDIE
1 / 1 / 1 / 1 for 2500%
Might make a fool of myself here but with my best bets in the quaddie legs and odds on favs book ending the quad, I think there a great chance we can come away with a nice dividend.
RESULT: LOST! Yep, Im a fool...
DAY RESULT: Gave back the money won yesterday. Lost $200
Race 2: 3 / 2 / 1 for 2500%
The fav will be long odds on here for good reason after beaten Hosier Lane & Trison with ease first up in Oz & this is easier! I think Sahara Bedouin is going much better than it's form suggests and is a clear 2nd pick. Temporial Join is a fairly weak animal but draws to get a beautiful run and that should be enough to hold 3rd.
RESULT: LOST! Both favs were very disappointing
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 3: 1 / 4 / 8 for 2500%
Padrisimo shocked a few by taken a sit last week but it suited it's strengths and sprint laned to victory. I think they'll use similar tactics here and the leader for mine is Madison Louise. Can get out quick enough when need & should do that today. All Aussie Star gets the suck along 3 pegs and is going much better than it's form suggests
RESULT: NO BET: Madison Louise scratched.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Chestervale Jet ($3.5)
Forget last start when got caught in the death and this sit sprinter certainly didnt appreciate it but wasn't disgraced. Liked his run 2 starts back at this track over this distance when had little luck when a close up 4th against much stronger than this. Gets the draw to settle very close to the lead & looks a huge chance to outsprint them late.
RESULT: 2nd. Led! Wasn't expecting that & showed today it's a much better sit sprinter. Every chance in front.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Destined To Take ($2.50)
Hasn't had anything go his way the past couple and you can rule a line through those runs. Was a strong winner against weak opposition over the sprint trip 3 starts back but it's his 2nd to My Mack Scooter under similar circumstances that gets me keen on his chances today. Sat leaders back that day and beat home Copper Coast which is very good form for this. My only concern is can Im The Boss take him to the sprint lane with momentum? I think so.
RESULT: 3rd. I was wrong. Im The Boss was struggling before the turn and that was his chances gone. A win isn't far away but that doesn't help us today.
$25 QUADDIE
1 / 1 / 1 / 1 for 2500%
Might make a fool of myself here but with my best bets in the quaddie legs and odds on favs book ending the quad, I think there a great chance we can come away with a nice dividend.
RESULT: LOST! Yep, Im a fool...
DAY RESULT: Gave back the money won yesterday. Lost $200
Bendigo, Sunday 14th June
$100WIN
Race 8 No 6 Hosier Lane ($2.5)
This is a race in 2 for mine & he draws much better than his rival Trison. Was unlucky last start when finishing alongside Trison & but it hands down it's previous start. Hoping Ross Graham drives aggressively early & if the lead is his, looks your winner.
RESULT: WINNER! The front row advantage was the difference. Lovely overs too. Collect $320
Race 8 No 6 Hosier Lane ($2.5)
This is a race in 2 for mine & he draws much better than his rival Trison. Was unlucky last start when finishing alongside Trison & but it hands down it's previous start. Hoping Ross Graham drives aggressively early & if the lead is his, looks your winner.
RESULT: WINNER! The front row advantage was the difference. Lovely overs too. Collect $320
Melton, Saturday 13th June
$100WIN
Race 3 No 9 Upanatom ($2.50)
Won his heat with ease when drawing the front row and who knows how much he had left in the bag. Obviously tougher from the back row here but should get a lovely cart through early and with it's main danger drawn inside back row, I can't see them holding him out.
RESULT: 4th. Got to the death fairly easily and although not beaten far, a little disappointing.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Shataki Bromac ($13)
Went very well behind Lenny The Shark and It Is Billy when settling 3 back the pegs last start. This is easier and he has a good record over the distance. Should be able to hold out the early challengers & hand up to the stablemate. I'm happy to have a go at it rolling his stablemate at the odds. Currently 20-1 Ladbrokes & Sportsbet. $31 BET365.
RESULT: 3rd. Led & held it which was a surprise. Held on well for 3rd. Well done to BET365 users that snagged $7 a place & $5 for Ladbrokes.. Collect $87
Race 3 No 9 Upanatom ($2.50)
Won his heat with ease when drawing the front row and who knows how much he had left in the bag. Obviously tougher from the back row here but should get a lovely cart through early and with it's main danger drawn inside back row, I can't see them holding him out.
RESULT: 4th. Got to the death fairly easily and although not beaten far, a little disappointing.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Shataki Bromac ($13)
Went very well behind Lenny The Shark and It Is Billy when settling 3 back the pegs last start. This is easier and he has a good record over the distance. Should be able to hold out the early challengers & hand up to the stablemate. I'm happy to have a go at it rolling his stablemate at the odds. Currently 20-1 Ladbrokes & Sportsbet. $31 BET365.
RESULT: 3rd. Led & held it which was a surprise. Held on well for 3rd. Well done to BET365 users that snagged $7 a place & $5 for Ladbrokes.. Collect $87
Kilmore, Friday 12th June
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Starzzz Of Icon ($3)
I really think this lady is on the up & gets his chance to prove it tonight. Monstered a poor field of older horses last start & gets back to a perfect draw here & will sail to an easy early lead. The odds on pop Smooth Cowgirl is no doubt a star but will have to be very very good in this from the back row draw, especially in a heat. How hard will they push from there? I am always wary of heat racing as Lang could hand up but surely not, his only chance of winning is holding out the fav.
RESULT: PULLED UP! Geez not sure what happened but was gone close to 600 to go.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Tuxedo Max ($3.50)
Would be the best bet of the night if you knew he'd get away from the stand start. Messed it up and was tailed off first up in oz & it's past 2 runs have been very unlucky. Gets in well for the concession driver claim. Looks the winner, if he steps!
RESULT: LOST! Stepped, eventually led, and did bugger all
Race 6 No 4 Starzzz Of Icon ($3)
I really think this lady is on the up & gets his chance to prove it tonight. Monstered a poor field of older horses last start & gets back to a perfect draw here & will sail to an easy early lead. The odds on pop Smooth Cowgirl is no doubt a star but will have to be very very good in this from the back row draw, especially in a heat. How hard will they push from there? I am always wary of heat racing as Lang could hand up but surely not, his only chance of winning is holding out the fav.
RESULT: PULLED UP! Geez not sure what happened but was gone close to 600 to go.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Tuxedo Max ($3.50)
Would be the best bet of the night if you knew he'd get away from the stand start. Messed it up and was tailed off first up in oz & it's past 2 runs have been very unlucky. Gets in well for the concession driver claim. Looks the winner, if he steps!
RESULT: LOST! Stepped, eventually led, and did bugger all
Mildura, Friday 12th June
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Flojos Gold ($4)
Had been trialing the house down with 3 wins at this track but more impressively against older horses including Murranji Track. Went over to Globe Derby & was really well looked after by Watson when a very easy winner so I wouldn't take too much notice of the time. Main problem maybe early speed here but Im happy too take the risk a nice value.
RESULT: WINNER! Far shorter than I thought it would be but winners are grinners. $110 collect
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Dream Always ($3)
Today is D-Day. Raced against a good class of horse for Mildura last week & struggled to sprint with them in the 3rd quarter but picked up again late, only to run into a brick wall. Should've placed. Comes into gate 1 with the scratching of the 1 & there should be no excuses today.
RESULT: Lost! No excuses & it did little. Sin bin for you.
Race 4 No 1 Flojos Gold ($4)
Had been trialing the house down with 3 wins at this track but more impressively against older horses including Murranji Track. Went over to Globe Derby & was really well looked after by Watson when a very easy winner so I wouldn't take too much notice of the time. Main problem maybe early speed here but Im happy too take the risk a nice value.
RESULT: WINNER! Far shorter than I thought it would be but winners are grinners. $110 collect
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Dream Always ($3)
Today is D-Day. Raced against a good class of horse for Mildura last week & struggled to sprint with them in the 3rd quarter but picked up again late, only to run into a brick wall. Should've placed. Comes into gate 1 with the scratching of the 1 & there should be no excuses today.
RESULT: Lost! No excuses & it did little. Sin bin for you.
Shepparton, Thursday 12th June
$50WIN
Race 8 No 8 Itcan Happen ($5)
Should have finished much closer than he did behind Hectorjayjay at this track and distance a few starts ago. Past 2 runs have again been luckless. Gets speed on throughout here & he'll be mighty hard to hold out late.
RESULT: LOST! Backed like it couldn't lose, ran like a $50 shot.
Race 8 No 8 Itcan Happen ($5)
Should have finished much closer than he did behind Hectorjayjay at this track and distance a few starts ago. Past 2 runs have again been luckless. Gets speed on throughout here & he'll be mighty hard to hold out late.
RESULT: LOST! Backed like it couldn't lose, ran like a $50 shot.
Melton, Thursday 11th June
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Attentiontodetail ($4)
Won at Melton against a similar field over this distance from a very similar scenario. Looks a good chance once again.
RESULT: LOST! Weak effort that.. Every opportunity
Race 5 No 1 Attentiontodetail ($4)
Won at Melton against a similar field over this distance from a very similar scenario. Looks a good chance once again.
RESULT: LOST! Weak effort that.. Every opportunity
Ballarat, Wednesday 10th June
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Jackabeems ($6)
Been racing out of it's class from poor draws in recent times. The only time he didn't he ran a very good 2nd to Jilliby Jagger. Looks a super chance in this especially if he holds the lead.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & only a super drive by Kate Gath got us rolled. Too good Kate. Collect $108
Race 5 No 1 Jackabeems ($6)
Been racing out of it's class from poor draws in recent times. The only time he didn't he ran a very good 2nd to Jilliby Jagger. Looks a super chance in this especially if he holds the lead.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & only a super drive by Kate Gath got us rolled. Too good Kate. Collect $108
Charlton, Wednesday 10th June
$25WIN
Race 7 No 1 Shards Of Cullen ($6)
Deserves change of luck after a string of very good efforts probably against slightly weaker grade of horse than it meets today. Bonus here is that it'll settle leaders back and have every possible chance on a leaders track
RESULT: LOST! Gone a long way out.
DAY RESULT: Lost $17
Race 7 No 1 Shards Of Cullen ($6)
Deserves change of luck after a string of very good efforts probably against slightly weaker grade of horse than it meets today. Bonus here is that it'll settle leaders back and have every possible chance on a leaders track
RESULT: LOST! Gone a long way out.
DAY RESULT: Lost $17
Cranbourne, Tuesday 9th June
$60 BOXED TRIFECTA
Race 1: 1-4-8 for 1000%
Looks a dead set pegs domination here and all 3 could win based on the right tempo and luck late. Expect the 4 to lead, 1 to sit leaders back & 8 3 pegs. They are the best horses in the race & we'll just need a little luck to collect here.
RESULT: LOST! The less said about that the better
Race 1: 1-4-8 for 1000%
Looks a dead set pegs domination here and all 3 could win based on the right tempo and luck late. Expect the 4 to lead, 1 to sit leaders back & 8 3 pegs. They are the best horses in the race & we'll just need a little luck to collect here.
RESULT: LOST! The less said about that the better
Hamilton, Monday 8th June
$100WIN
Race 4 No 4 Riccimer ($2)
Looks very well suited here today. Always going to find it tough from the back row draw last start and even though a beaten fav, wasn't disgraced. This is a lovely drop down in class for it & can scoot across these early with the 1 just OK out of the gate. Should control the race from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Thats how you want them all to win. Couldn't cross early but settled leaders back and just gave them a racing lesson. Solidly backed late too with Sportsbet (excluding BET365) at $2.20 the best on offer. Collect $170
Race 4 No 4 Riccimer ($2)
Looks very well suited here today. Always going to find it tough from the back row draw last start and even though a beaten fav, wasn't disgraced. This is a lovely drop down in class for it & can scoot across these early with the 1 just OK out of the gate. Should control the race from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Thats how you want them all to win. Couldn't cross early but settled leaders back and just gave them a racing lesson. Solidly backed late too with Sportsbet (excluding BET365) at $2.20 the best on offer. Collect $170
Shepparton, Sunday 7th June
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1: 4/2-3/2-3-9 for 1250%
Majorlicious looks primed to win this after a massive class drop to C1. Terra Beau is better off over further with his one paced style but will take it up to them from the good draw, whilst Modern Lebron was stiff from a poor draw after a class drop last start. Im not a fan of Peitite Agee but it can fill a place. Should get better value than just backing the top selection straight out.
RESULT: LOST! David Jack, interesting drive & Terra Beau wins. Noooooo!
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Alina ($4)
First up today and she's warmed up for this with an easy trial last week in preparation for this. She hasn't won for a long time but she is the best horse in this by a mile & only average luck from the poor draw will stop her.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good for them. Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Sir Briggen ($4)
Much better suited today after a couple of tough runs over the longer journey at Wagga. Was stiff 3 runs back over the sprint trip at Cobram when 4th in a similar race. Should be able to work his way to the front here & be very hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Driven aggressively and did better than I thought it would after a real tough run. Loves the sprint trips. Collect $250
MEETING RESULT: Won $250
Race 1: 4/2-3/2-3-9 for 1250%
Majorlicious looks primed to win this after a massive class drop to C1. Terra Beau is better off over further with his one paced style but will take it up to them from the good draw, whilst Modern Lebron was stiff from a poor draw after a class drop last start. Im not a fan of Peitite Agee but it can fill a place. Should get better value than just backing the top selection straight out.
RESULT: LOST! David Jack, interesting drive & Terra Beau wins. Noooooo!
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Alina ($4)
First up today and she's warmed up for this with an easy trial last week in preparation for this. She hasn't won for a long time but she is the best horse in this by a mile & only average luck from the poor draw will stop her.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good for them. Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Sir Briggen ($4)
Much better suited today after a couple of tough runs over the longer journey at Wagga. Was stiff 3 runs back over the sprint trip at Cobram when 4th in a similar race. Should be able to work his way to the front here & be very hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Driven aggressively and did better than I thought it would after a real tough run. Loves the sprint trips. Collect $250
MEETING RESULT: Won $250
Bendigo, Saturday 6th June
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Royal Vendetta ($5)
First starter who has trialled very impressively it's past 2 winning both with ease. These 2150m races for 2yo's sort a few out & expect the 1 & 3 to jostle early & that may give Royal Vendetta a chance to either slot leaders back or be on Christmas Jolts back, both perfect spots to be in this. There is no doubt this is a strong 2yo race but I think this fella has an engine.
RESULT: Never a chance from bac k in the field after the top few controlled the race. I won't be jumping off just yet.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Phantom Rockstar ($8)
I'm not usually a fan of this horse but does look suited here. It's past month its drawn the back row where it hasn't been able to use it's biggest weapon, early speed. Has all horses on it's inside covered early here & will lead. Whether it hands up or not shouldn't matter as it's effective leading or sitting leaders back. Looks a good ew play back on the front line.
RESULT: WINNER! Couldn't lead but young Kev knew it races best on the pegs and took that option when 3 pegs opened up. Weaved in and out before the last turn before shooting up the sprint lane to get the choccies. My savior Kevin. Collect $724
MEETING RESULT: Won $624
Race 2 No 2 Royal Vendetta ($5)
First starter who has trialled very impressively it's past 2 winning both with ease. These 2150m races for 2yo's sort a few out & expect the 1 & 3 to jostle early & that may give Royal Vendetta a chance to either slot leaders back or be on Christmas Jolts back, both perfect spots to be in this. There is no doubt this is a strong 2yo race but I think this fella has an engine.
RESULT: Never a chance from bac k in the field after the top few controlled the race. I won't be jumping off just yet.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Phantom Rockstar ($8)
I'm not usually a fan of this horse but does look suited here. It's past month its drawn the back row where it hasn't been able to use it's biggest weapon, early speed. Has all horses on it's inside covered early here & will lead. Whether it hands up or not shouldn't matter as it's effective leading or sitting leaders back. Looks a good ew play back on the front line.
RESULT: WINNER! Couldn't lead but young Kev knew it races best on the pegs and took that option when 3 pegs opened up. Weaved in and out before the last turn before shooting up the sprint lane to get the choccies. My savior Kevin. Collect $724
MEETING RESULT: Won $624
Melton, Friday 5th June
$50WIN
Race 1 No 9 Blackberry Lane ($4)
looks to be nice speed on in this early & expect Blackberry Lane to settle just off the pace following the right horse here. Was extremely stiff in it's first run in Victoria when shouldve finished much closer to Hectorjajay which is very good for a race like this. Driver change a huge bonus
RESULT: 3rd. Just had to work too hard mid race.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 5 The Good Times ($6)
Been racing in super form without winning of late but placing in her past 4 in very strong company is no disgrace. Probably wins the Queen of The Pacific with a wee bit of luck late a few weeks ago. Doesn't mind the sprint trip & expect Arber to hand up if it keeps up with it's racing pattern. Even if she doesn't, she can settle close & still be a major player. Great ew bet in a strong race
RESULT: Galloped & that was that.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Royal Witness ($16)
Returned to the winners list with a good win in a strong C4/5 class race at Bendigo. Ran the quickest last mile of the night in the heat of this race last week when had little luck before the turn & losing momentum so potentially should've ran quicker! Needs a bit of luck to get a trail into this but finals racing is usually keen racing & if they go too hard he'll be flashing at hard late.
RESULT: LOST! Not the best of drives but never in the hunt
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Spitfire Rose ($9)
Not sure how he hasn't won one of late. Just missed Barynya after receiving a run he's likely to receive tonight. Just needs a biit of Sugars magic to get him close
RESULT: LOST! Hung terribly around the last bend & that was the end of him after making a couple of moves
$50WIN
Race 10 No 13 Brighty Valentine ($4)
Beat a handy field 2 starts ago and was very unlucky not to finish much closer in the heat last week. The winner of that race won't be leading tonight & thats advantage Gavin Lang for mine.
RESULT: 3rd. Never given a chance.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $300. Read the pattern terribly. You had to be on speed to be any chance again tonight & becoming a problem at Melton.
Race 1 No 9 Blackberry Lane ($4)
looks to be nice speed on in this early & expect Blackberry Lane to settle just off the pace following the right horse here. Was extremely stiff in it's first run in Victoria when shouldve finished much closer to Hectorjajay which is very good for a race like this. Driver change a huge bonus
RESULT: 3rd. Just had to work too hard mid race.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 5 The Good Times ($6)
Been racing in super form without winning of late but placing in her past 4 in very strong company is no disgrace. Probably wins the Queen of The Pacific with a wee bit of luck late a few weeks ago. Doesn't mind the sprint trip & expect Arber to hand up if it keeps up with it's racing pattern. Even if she doesn't, she can settle close & still be a major player. Great ew bet in a strong race
RESULT: Galloped & that was that.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Royal Witness ($16)
Returned to the winners list with a good win in a strong C4/5 class race at Bendigo. Ran the quickest last mile of the night in the heat of this race last week when had little luck before the turn & losing momentum so potentially should've ran quicker! Needs a bit of luck to get a trail into this but finals racing is usually keen racing & if they go too hard he'll be flashing at hard late.
RESULT: LOST! Not the best of drives but never in the hunt
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Spitfire Rose ($9)
Not sure how he hasn't won one of late. Just missed Barynya after receiving a run he's likely to receive tonight. Just needs a biit of Sugars magic to get him close
RESULT: LOST! Hung terribly around the last bend & that was the end of him after making a couple of moves
$50WIN
Race 10 No 13 Brighty Valentine ($4)
Beat a handy field 2 starts ago and was very unlucky not to finish much closer in the heat last week. The winner of that race won't be leading tonight & thats advantage Gavin Lang for mine.
RESULT: 3rd. Never given a chance.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $300. Read the pattern terribly. You had to be on speed to be any chance again tonight & becoming a problem at Melton.
Ballarat, Thursday 4th June
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Upanatom ($4)
Went super against the likes of Lenny The Shark, Chilli Palmer, HectorJayJay & Hotasel last start at Melton when only 5 metres off them in 5th. Has got to beat the very impressive My Kiwi Mate but that horse is a 3yo taking on the older horses for the first time. Upanatom should get a lovely sit here & is going to go mighty close.
RESULT: WINNER! Surpised me that he led & once he did, game over. Not quite the $4 I expected but you can lose backing winners. Collect $145
Race 5 No 2 Upanatom ($4)
Went super against the likes of Lenny The Shark, Chilli Palmer, HectorJayJay & Hotasel last start at Melton when only 5 metres off them in 5th. Has got to beat the very impressive My Kiwi Mate but that horse is a 3yo taking on the older horses for the first time. Upanatom should get a lovely sit here & is going to go mighty close.
RESULT: WINNER! Surpised me that he led & once he did, game over. Not quite the $4 I expected but you can lose backing winners. Collect $145
Maryborough, Thursday 4th June
No bets
Mildura, Wednesday 3rd June
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Bonny Under Fire ($4)
Very smart mare that has a metro win on the cards in my opinion. Has had a slight freshen up for this and trialed very well last Monday at Melton. Looked like they tried to go unnoticed taking a sit but hit the line with plenty in hand against some very smart horses. She has huge gate speed but doesn't have to lead to win. Over this distance I think she can death seat and still beat the fav. Time will tell.
RESULT: WINNER! Confident drive, good win. Collect $175
Race 7 No 6 Bonny Under Fire ($4)
Very smart mare that has a metro win on the cards in my opinion. Has had a slight freshen up for this and trialed very well last Monday at Melton. Looked like they tried to go unnoticed taking a sit but hit the line with plenty in hand against some very smart horses. She has huge gate speed but doesn't have to lead to win. Over this distance I think she can death seat and still beat the fav. Time will tell.
RESULT: WINNER! Confident drive, good win. Collect $175
Melton, Wednesday 3rd June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Modern Kozak ( $16)
Looks a weird tip this on paper I know but if you look a little closer at it's runs its going much better, Go back 3 starts from a similar draw, followed Valens every move and just missed a place in 5th just behind horses like Major In Arms, Jodan & Twoforsixty, all horse who would start short in this race. Both runs since he hasn't been suited & you can forget he went around. Much better suited from the draw today. Has gate speed & either leads or takes the sit on a suitable suitor, and gets every chance at big odds. (Apologies BET365 users, I think my account is being monitored. Tried to put $50 on @ $34, let on for $5, next minute, $14! Wait for others to post prices, you'll get better)
RESULT: 5th. Couldn't run out of it's own way.
Race 1 No 1 Modern Kozak ( $16)
Looks a weird tip this on paper I know but if you look a little closer at it's runs its going much better, Go back 3 starts from a similar draw, followed Valens every move and just missed a place in 5th just behind horses like Major In Arms, Jodan & Twoforsixty, all horse who would start short in this race. Both runs since he hasn't been suited & you can forget he went around. Much better suited from the draw today. Has gate speed & either leads or takes the sit on a suitable suitor, and gets every chance at big odds. (Apologies BET365 users, I think my account is being monitored. Tried to put $50 on @ $34, let on for $5, next minute, $14! Wait for others to post prices, you'll get better)
RESULT: 5th. Couldn't run out of it's own way.
Shepparton, Tuesday 2nd June
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Sailors Sweetheart ($8)
There's no doubt she's just an average horse but a few things line up for her tonight. She hasn't had any luck from poor draws recently but hasn't been disgraced. I go back to her run at this track on the 1st of May, against similar if not a slightly stronger field from a wide draw, when 4th beaten 7 metres. Got 1x3 and was driven for luck but got out late and hit the line strong taking big ground off one of her main rivals Glory Daze. She should be leaders back here if Danny Ferris is aggressive enough & I expect that to be Glory Daze's back. If that scenario plays out I think she's a major player at generous odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance and probably lucky to hang onto 3rd late. Take the money & run. $85.20 collect
$50WIN
Race 4 No 3 Party Boy ($4)
I reckon you can completely forget it's last start over the sprint trip at this course when it took the final bend poorly 3 & 4 wide and lost ground quickly but held ground ok late. It's a different scenario tonight back to the front row where he should roll to the front and control the race and the extra distance is no disadvantage. At his best he would start close to even money in this and 4th start back from a spell has no excuses. Get him rolling Kate!
RESULT: 2nd! Wait didn't it win? I wish Kate went a little quicker early to take the legs out of Beach Shack but who knows. Amazingly bad angle at Shepparton. Looked like Party Boy won easily! Ahhh well.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Young Modern ($2)
Never a chance of winning against Keayang Starzzz when the walked up front early but he took good ground off the leader in a sizzling 56 last quarter. He hasn't won for a while but this field looks the easiest it's met for some time and I expect Mick Stanley to have him fired up for a win tonight.
RESULT: 2nd. Might've looked after him too much in the run Mick. Kept coning late but too late she cried & another close miss..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $114.80
Race 1 No 1 Sailors Sweetheart ($8)
There's no doubt she's just an average horse but a few things line up for her tonight. She hasn't had any luck from poor draws recently but hasn't been disgraced. I go back to her run at this track on the 1st of May, against similar if not a slightly stronger field from a wide draw, when 4th beaten 7 metres. Got 1x3 and was driven for luck but got out late and hit the line strong taking big ground off one of her main rivals Glory Daze. She should be leaders back here if Danny Ferris is aggressive enough & I expect that to be Glory Daze's back. If that scenario plays out I think she's a major player at generous odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance and probably lucky to hang onto 3rd late. Take the money & run. $85.20 collect
$50WIN
Race 4 No 3 Party Boy ($4)
I reckon you can completely forget it's last start over the sprint trip at this course when it took the final bend poorly 3 & 4 wide and lost ground quickly but held ground ok late. It's a different scenario tonight back to the front row where he should roll to the front and control the race and the extra distance is no disadvantage. At his best he would start close to even money in this and 4th start back from a spell has no excuses. Get him rolling Kate!
RESULT: 2nd! Wait didn't it win? I wish Kate went a little quicker early to take the legs out of Beach Shack but who knows. Amazingly bad angle at Shepparton. Looked like Party Boy won easily! Ahhh well.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Young Modern ($2)
Never a chance of winning against Keayang Starzzz when the walked up front early but he took good ground off the leader in a sizzling 56 last quarter. He hasn't won for a while but this field looks the easiest it's met for some time and I expect Mick Stanley to have him fired up for a win tonight.
RESULT: 2nd. Might've looked after him too much in the run Mick. Kept coning late but too late she cried & another close miss..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $114.80
Stawell, Monday 1st June
$75WIN
Race 5 No 8 Altugo Franco ($2.80)
Was extremely good 2 starts ago behind the very smart Starburst Girl before messing up the start last week and having no right finishing as close as it did in 5th place. He's flying this prep and just needs to behave early to be in this right up to his ears.
RESULT: WINNER! That was as good a drive as you'll see from Lisa Miles. Knew she only had one danger, made the mid race move & they had no chance chasing. Easy money. Collect $292.50
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1-8 / 1-8 / 9 for 2500%
Looks like an easy lead for the 1, 8 follows through & they really should battle out the race. Hez The One will have to do all the work from the draw & I can't see it beating the first 2 fav's but he's a mile better than the rest.
RESULT: WINNER! Not a great collect but better than losing. Collect $132.50
DAY RESULT: Won $300
Race 5 No 8 Altugo Franco ($2.80)
Was extremely good 2 starts ago behind the very smart Starburst Girl before messing up the start last week and having no right finishing as close as it did in 5th place. He's flying this prep and just needs to behave early to be in this right up to his ears.
RESULT: WINNER! That was as good a drive as you'll see from Lisa Miles. Knew she only had one danger, made the mid race move & they had no chance chasing. Easy money. Collect $292.50
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1-8 / 1-8 / 9 for 2500%
Looks like an easy lead for the 1, 8 follows through & they really should battle out the race. Hez The One will have to do all the work from the draw & I can't see it beating the first 2 fav's but he's a mile better than the rest.
RESULT: WINNER! Not a great collect but better than losing. Collect $132.50
DAY RESULT: Won $300
Ballarat, Saturday 30th May
$25WIN
Race 1 No 3 Bee Bee Elle ($5)
Should have won with a leg in the air at Shep last start, it's first for new trainer David Miles. The lead should be it's for the taking tonight and with it's main dangers drawn poorly gets her just to break through tonight.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance
$100WIN
Race 2 No 4 Masterofthurles ($2)
Last chance for this bloke. Looked home for all money mid week before Justbrittel nabbed him on the line. His formlines prior were very good for a race like this. Can death seat and win but is a near moral if able to lead.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance. I won't be on it at short odds again.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $125
Race 1 No 3 Bee Bee Elle ($5)
Should have won with a leg in the air at Shep last start, it's first for new trainer David Miles. The lead should be it's for the taking tonight and with it's main dangers drawn poorly gets her just to break through tonight.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance
$100WIN
Race 2 No 4 Masterofthurles ($2)
Last chance for this bloke. Looked home for all money mid week before Justbrittel nabbed him on the line. His formlines prior were very good for a race like this. Can death seat and win but is a near moral if able to lead.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance. I won't be on it at short odds again.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $125
Melton, Friday 29th May
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Barynya ($2)
Something was wrong when a bad last in Tas last start in March & was put out for a rest. Last time she drew this gate she led & won the Charlton Cup. Looks ideally suited in this M1/2 and either from in front or taking the sit on Keayang Active, looks the winner. Trialed very well on Monday night in preparation too
RESULT: WINNER! She got a little weary late but got the job done. Collect $280
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Gollahman ($12)
The Boort Cup winner & Ouyen Cup placegetter has been racing without luck in recent times. Last week at Swan Hill had no chance from back in the field in a slowly run race but finished on hard without much room late. At Melton the start previous was again driven for luck & never got a crack at them but again his final 100 metres was very good. Can be driven with a bit more aggression here tonight & the appointment of Michael Bellman is a positive. In a race that should have pressure on throughout, they'll struggle to hold him out late.
RESULT: 4th. Had his chance but wasn't good enough
MEETING RESULT: Won $130
Race 5 No 1 Barynya ($2)
Something was wrong when a bad last in Tas last start in March & was put out for a rest. Last time she drew this gate she led & won the Charlton Cup. Looks ideally suited in this M1/2 and either from in front or taking the sit on Keayang Active, looks the winner. Trialed very well on Monday night in preparation too
RESULT: WINNER! She got a little weary late but got the job done. Collect $280
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Gollahman ($12)
The Boort Cup winner & Ouyen Cup placegetter has been racing without luck in recent times. Last week at Swan Hill had no chance from back in the field in a slowly run race but finished on hard without much room late. At Melton the start previous was again driven for luck & never got a crack at them but again his final 100 metres was very good. Can be driven with a bit more aggression here tonight & the appointment of Michael Bellman is a positive. In a race that should have pressure on throughout, they'll struggle to hold him out late.
RESULT: 4th. Had his chance but wasn't good enough
MEETING RESULT: Won $130
Mildura, Thursday 28th May
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Altana Blue ($2.50)
Could not have been more impressive winning the heat of this race. He's going to need a good drive from Ellen Tormey here but expect her to get off the pegs early & he seriously looks far too good for these.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good. Nice to back a winner after a tough week. Collect $300
$25WIN
Race 6 No 7 Dream Always ($5)
Damian Wilson missed the boat last start but it was a good effort to finish 4th but a more aggressive drive sees it place a big odds. This is a weaker race & expect there to be a good speed on early. Expect the leaders to get wobbly late and Dream Always can certainly round them up.
RESULT: 2nd! Hit the line hard but just ran out of time. Horse is flying at the minute.
DAY RESULT: Won $125
Race 1 No 7 Altana Blue ($2.50)
Could not have been more impressive winning the heat of this race. He's going to need a good drive from Ellen Tormey here but expect her to get off the pegs early & he seriously looks far too good for these.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good. Nice to back a winner after a tough week. Collect $300
$25WIN
Race 6 No 7 Dream Always ($5)
Damian Wilson missed the boat last start but it was a good effort to finish 4th but a more aggressive drive sees it place a big odds. This is a weaker race & expect there to be a good speed on early. Expect the leaders to get wobbly late and Dream Always can certainly round them up.
RESULT: 2nd! Hit the line hard but just ran out of time. Horse is flying at the minute.
DAY RESULT: Won $125
Maryborough, Thursday 28th May
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Turnpike Cruiser ($8)
50 metres is a huge handicap to overcome but this is a very weak stand start compared to what he's faced in recent times. Flies the tapes so should round them up quickly enough, just needs a trail into it late. Worth a go at the odds.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't turn up today. Was always chasing the field after a good start. Couldn't even tack on. AWFUL!
Race 7 No 13 Turnpike Cruiser ($8)
50 metres is a huge handicap to overcome but this is a very weak stand start compared to what he's faced in recent times. Flies the tapes so should round them up quickly enough, just needs a trail into it late. Worth a go at the odds.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't turn up today. Was always chasing the field after a good start. Couldn't even tack on. AWFUL!
Horsham, Wednesday 27th May
$40 FIRST FOUR
Race 5: 7-8 / 7-8 / 1-3 / 1-3 for 1000%
Really looks a race in 2 here with Jambiani & She's Just a Delight battling out the heat of this race. Im taking a risk with the placing with Okerlehro Lad the leader & Forced Out leaders back with the latter very unlucky last start. We should get a tidy result if Forced out can place.
RESULT: LOST! Forced out was the first horse beaten & Jambiani was awful..
$50WIN
Race 7 No 10 Masterofthurles ($5)
A significant driving change here with Matty Craven taking the reigns. He has been so consistent working overtime in just about every race it's contested this preparation. Expect Matt to find the death a little earlier than normal here & he looks mighty hard to hold out, especially over the short trip with his main dangers drawn poorly.
RESULT: 2nd. Nabbed right on the line...
Race 5: 7-8 / 7-8 / 1-3 / 1-3 for 1000%
Really looks a race in 2 here with Jambiani & She's Just a Delight battling out the heat of this race. Im taking a risk with the placing with Okerlehro Lad the leader & Forced Out leaders back with the latter very unlucky last start. We should get a tidy result if Forced out can place.
RESULT: LOST! Forced out was the first horse beaten & Jambiani was awful..
$50WIN
Race 7 No 10 Masterofthurles ($5)
A significant driving change here with Matty Craven taking the reigns. He has been so consistent working overtime in just about every race it's contested this preparation. Expect Matt to find the death a little earlier than normal here & he looks mighty hard to hold out, especially over the short trip with his main dangers drawn poorly.
RESULT: 2nd. Nabbed right on the line...
Bendigo, Tuesday 26th May
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Marrisima ($4)
All 3 starts with Ellen Tormey have been very good, against slightly weaker opposition than what it meets tonight. Can either lead or settle close enough to be right in this tonight
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Always Arjay ($3.50)
Did all the work last start whilst Jambiani followed it's every move and outsprinted it late. The was only his 2nd run from a lengthy spell & expect him to be cherry ripe here. Should settle leaders back & get every possible chance
RESULT: WINNER! Surprised me & led and I don't think it's a natural leader! Just got the job done. Collect $145
Race 7 No 2 Marrisima ($4)
All 3 starts with Ellen Tormey have been very good, against slightly weaker opposition than what it meets tonight. Can either lead or settle close enough to be right in this tonight
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Always Arjay ($3.50)
Did all the work last start whilst Jambiani followed it's every move and outsprinted it late. The was only his 2nd run from a lengthy spell & expect him to be cherry ripe here. Should settle leaders back & get every possible chance
RESULT: WINNER! Surprised me & led and I don't think it's a natural leader! Just got the job done. Collect $145
Yarra Valley, Monday 25th May
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Artoc ($4)
Very easy win at Cranny last start against only a slightly easier field. I reckon he can bully his way to the death seat here & out stay them again.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $160
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Ymbro Toto ($6)
Been a long time since he's raced but 3 trials leading into this should have him aup and about. Draws to get a beautiful run & has a good burst of speed when right. Sugars onboard a plus.
RESULT: LOST!
Race 5 No 5 Artoc ($4)
Very easy win at Cranny last start against only a slightly easier field. I reckon he can bully his way to the death seat here & out stay them again.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $160
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Ymbro Toto ($6)
Been a long time since he's raced but 3 trials leading into this should have him aup and about. Draws to get a beautiful run & has a good burst of speed when right. Sugars onboard a plus.
RESULT: LOST!
Geelong, Sunday 24th May
$100WIN
Race 6 No 3 Bushi ($2)
Has been racing extremely well against similar opposition working hard. Should roll to the front & have every opportunity here. Last time he did, it was only Jambiani that could run him down & that horse is beating talented fields at the minute.
RESULT: LOST!
Race 6 No 3 Bushi ($2)
Has been racing extremely well against similar opposition working hard. Should roll to the front & have every opportunity here. Last time he did, it was only Jambiani that could run him down & that horse is beating talented fields at the minute.
RESULT: LOST!
Melton, Saturday 23rd May
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Fernco Bobby G ($8)
Didn't have a whole lot of luck in the Rising Stars Final last week but was very good in the heat the previous week. Settles leaders back, 3 pegs at worst here in a race that looks to have good pace in it. Will just need a late split to flash at them late.
RESULT: Lost
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Hectojayjay ($3)
Gets the beautiful draw here and will probably hand up to Lenny The Shark at some point. I just think his electrifying sprint late will be too good. Its how he races best & fingers crossed thats how it goes down tonight.
RESULT: LOST!
Race 1 No 8 Fernco Bobby G ($8)
Didn't have a whole lot of luck in the Rising Stars Final last week but was very good in the heat the previous week. Settles leaders back, 3 pegs at worst here in a race that looks to have good pace in it. Will just need a late split to flash at them late.
RESULT: Lost
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Hectojayjay ($3)
Gets the beautiful draw here and will probably hand up to Lenny The Shark at some point. I just think his electrifying sprint late will be too good. Its how he races best & fingers crossed thats how it goes down tonight.
RESULT: LOST!
Ballarat, Friday 22nd May
$48 QUADDIE
3-6 / 1-2-4-5 / 7-9 / 5 for 300%
Really not liking anything at value in todays meeting so I go back to old not so faithful the Quaddie! Jilliby Jagger my best and think Keayang Storm is a massive chance to roll Macterra Lad.
RESULT: WINNER! We finally snagged one! Collect $236.40
3-6 / 1-2-4-5 / 7-9 / 5 for 300%
Really not liking anything at value in todays meeting so I go back to old not so faithful the Quaddie! Jilliby Jagger my best and think Keayang Storm is a massive chance to roll Macterra Lad.
RESULT: WINNER! We finally snagged one! Collect $236.40
Charlton, Thursday 21st May
$48TRIFECTA
Race 7: 12-13 / 3-12-13 / 1-3-5-12-13 for 400%
I was very close to tipping Just Brittel straight out but the form of So Demanding is a concern for it especially if it's moving forward 3wide without cover. They both look the class of the race & as long as they don't play cat & mouse out the back of the field, should fight out the finish. Booby Fabulous the likely leader but struggles to win, Elsu Prince gets the cosy run & Ark a risk first up off fair trial form. We should be getting a result here
Race 7: 12-13 / 3-12-13 / 1-3-5-12-13 for 400%
I was very close to tipping Just Brittel straight out but the form of So Demanding is a concern for it especially if it's moving forward 3wide without cover. They both look the class of the race & as long as they don't play cat & mouse out the back of the field, should fight out the finish. Booby Fabulous the likely leader but struggles to win, Elsu Prince gets the cosy run & Ark a risk first up off fair trial form. We should be getting a result here
Bendigo, Wednesday 20th May
$75WIN
Race 6 No 2 Sevenandahalf ($4)
Absolutely flying since Neil McCallum has taken the reigns. Both wins past 2 starts have been tough as nails, grinding it's opposition into the ground from the death. Get an easy lead here tonight and as long as Michelle Manning isn't stupid on the 6, He's Okey Dokey is going to have one hell of a task to run him down.
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 6 : 2-7 / 1-2-7 / 1-2-7 for 625%
This idea failed dismally last time I tried but I think it's a worthwhile saver if Sevenandahalf gets rolled. As I wrote, I expect Sevenandahalf to lead & be very hard to beat. The favourite doesn't miss a place & I'm really keen on the 1 holding up well from the leaders back. Looks a safe saver on the race.
RESULT: LOST! Not even close
$25WIN
Race 7 No 6 Nothings Final ($6)
Was stiff from the stand last start but hit the line impressively behind Ultimate Sheldon and Vanderley. Started well from the tapes, not fast but safe, and from the wide position might be able to push on early here & hold a forward position today. Always risky these stand start affairs but worth a small win bet in this slightly easier event.
RESULT: LOST! Led and ran them along at a ridiculous speed & found zilch.
DAY RESULT: Horror day on the punt. Lost $175
Race 6 No 2 Sevenandahalf ($4)
Absolutely flying since Neil McCallum has taken the reigns. Both wins past 2 starts have been tough as nails, grinding it's opposition into the ground from the death. Get an easy lead here tonight and as long as Michelle Manning isn't stupid on the 6, He's Okey Dokey is going to have one hell of a task to run him down.
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 6 : 2-7 / 1-2-7 / 1-2-7 for 625%
This idea failed dismally last time I tried but I think it's a worthwhile saver if Sevenandahalf gets rolled. As I wrote, I expect Sevenandahalf to lead & be very hard to beat. The favourite doesn't miss a place & I'm really keen on the 1 holding up well from the leaders back. Looks a safe saver on the race.
RESULT: LOST! Not even close
$25WIN
Race 7 No 6 Nothings Final ($6)
Was stiff from the stand last start but hit the line impressively behind Ultimate Sheldon and Vanderley. Started well from the tapes, not fast but safe, and from the wide position might be able to push on early here & hold a forward position today. Always risky these stand start affairs but worth a small win bet in this slightly easier event.
RESULT: LOST! Led and ran them along at a ridiculous speed & found zilch.
DAY RESULT: Horror day on the punt. Lost $175
Hamilton, Wednesday 20th May
$50TRIFECTA
Race 5: 6/8/1 for 5000%
Yeah a tipster throwing out a straight trifecta but please read on! The Culture is just a star in the making and has trialed huge for this first up. Leads & wins. Bellas Jet is a 3yo filly taking on the older horses here and even though it'll get a cozy run, it'll be vulnerable late & I really expect the talented Major Cruiser to pick it up late from 3 pegs. Expect Matt Craven to make a bit of a statement on The Culture so the field should break up and give Major Cruiser every opportunity to do just that. It wont pay much but, it'll pay enough if it salutes.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after the 7 crossed. Having said that, looked like the 1 broke down anyway. Never driven out & was gone before the turn.
Race 5: 6/8/1 for 5000%
Yeah a tipster throwing out a straight trifecta but please read on! The Culture is just a star in the making and has trialed huge for this first up. Leads & wins. Bellas Jet is a 3yo filly taking on the older horses here and even though it'll get a cozy run, it'll be vulnerable late & I really expect the talented Major Cruiser to pick it up late from 3 pegs. Expect Matt Craven to make a bit of a statement on The Culture so the field should break up and give Major Cruiser every opportunity to do just that. It wont pay much but, it'll pay enough if it salutes.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after the 7 crossed. Having said that, looked like the 1 broke down anyway. Never driven out & was gone before the turn.
Shepparton, Tuesday 19th May
$50WIN
Race 4 No 10 Del Rasario ($5)
Thought he was pretty stiff last start after getting stuck behind a slow one and losing a heap of ground before finishing off well for 3rd. Beat home Jax Tellar there on it's merits one of it's rivals here. Previous start was also good when 3rd against quality animals in Kiwi Mate & Captain Bronzie, both of who would start long odds on here. Im a little wary that both those runs where from cheap runs 3 back the pegs and he will have to work harder from the draw. Josh Aiken onboard knows how to steer them at this track and thats enough for me to bet here.
RESULT: LOST! Never given a chance.
Race 4 No 10 Del Rasario ($5)
Thought he was pretty stiff last start after getting stuck behind a slow one and losing a heap of ground before finishing off well for 3rd. Beat home Jax Tellar there on it's merits one of it's rivals here. Previous start was also good when 3rd against quality animals in Kiwi Mate & Captain Bronzie, both of who would start long odds on here. Im a little wary that both those runs where from cheap runs 3 back the pegs and he will have to work harder from the draw. Josh Aiken onboard knows how to steer them at this track and thats enough for me to bet here.
RESULT: LOST! Never given a chance.
Melton, Monday 18th May
Interesting to see how the track plays today with Friday nights bog favouring the inside big time. Watch the weather!
$24 First Four
Race 2: 9/1-4-5-8 for 100%
Looks an absolute cake walk for the favourite here but that makes the race a little predictable for miine. Thought Glenmarks Tiger was big last start & will lead most the race, Tiana Rosedale's debut was much better than what it looks on paper and should receive the perfect trail. Question mark on Wemen Sporty but have to include & Jodi's Choice is a quality horse resuming but has a bad draw. Fingers crossed the 1 & 4 can place & we end up with a tidy dividend.
RESULT: LOST! Not even close. Roughies did bugger all.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Dependlebury ($12)
Loved his run a Warragul where he just didn't look comfortable. Copped bi interference around the final bend & lost plenty of ground having to scrap the grandstand but finished off like a real good horse. The 2240metres looks ideal and should settle leaders back. This is a quality field but he just maybe better than what looks on paper.
RESULT: 4th. Unlucky! Leader was gonski well before the sprint lane & he lost all momentum. Ready to win this horse.
$24 First Four
Race 2: 9/1-4-5-8 for 100%
Looks an absolute cake walk for the favourite here but that makes the race a little predictable for miine. Thought Glenmarks Tiger was big last start & will lead most the race, Tiana Rosedale's debut was much better than what it looks on paper and should receive the perfect trail. Question mark on Wemen Sporty but have to include & Jodi's Choice is a quality horse resuming but has a bad draw. Fingers crossed the 1 & 4 can place & we end up with a tidy dividend.
RESULT: LOST! Not even close. Roughies did bugger all.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Dependlebury ($12)
Loved his run a Warragul where he just didn't look comfortable. Copped bi interference around the final bend & lost plenty of ground having to scrap the grandstand but finished off like a real good horse. The 2240metres looks ideal and should settle leaders back. This is a quality field but he just maybe better than what looks on paper.
RESULT: 4th. Unlucky! Leader was gonski well before the sprint lane & he lost all momentum. Ready to win this horse.
Ballarat, Sunday 17th May
$50WIN
Race 1 No 11 In a Rose Tattoo ($6)
Didn't show a hell of a lot in it's first 2 preps as a 2 & 3yo but returned with a lovely run first up at Ballarat. Was in the 3wide train 3 back down the back and unfortunately that train was going nowhere fast. Had to pull 4 & 5 wide rounding the turn in which time the inform Zermanion had kicked away with an unbeatable lead. It was a solid 2nd from this mare, probably the best run of her career to date. Follows the likely favourites into the race and should get a lovely trail into it. Looks value considering I thought the odds on fav here looked spent in a very weak affair at Melton last week.
Race 1 No 11 In a Rose Tattoo ($6)
Didn't show a hell of a lot in it's first 2 preps as a 2 & 3yo but returned with a lovely run first up at Ballarat. Was in the 3wide train 3 back down the back and unfortunately that train was going nowhere fast. Had to pull 4 & 5 wide rounding the turn in which time the inform Zermanion had kicked away with an unbeatable lead. It was a solid 2nd from this mare, probably the best run of her career to date. Follows the likely favourites into the race and should get a lovely trail into it. Looks value considering I thought the odds on fav here looked spent in a very weak affair at Melton last week.
Cranbourne, Saturday 16th May
$100WIN
Race 1 No 13 Sahara Bedouin ($2)
Broke at the start first up and lost around 50 metres early as a short odds on pop but was very good late and was only beaten 10metres. It was the weaker of the 2 lead in races but should've won by plenty. Gets the outside back row now because of his bad manners but I can't see these beating him if he behaves.
RESULT: 3rd. Just worked too hard 3wide but still thought he could roll them. Disappointing
$50WIN
Race 6 No 10 Artoc ($4)
This horse was contesting the Ballarat Cup last prep and gets into a C2/3 race tonight. Jumped an object and cost itself any chance of winning the race in a much harder affair last start. That was the sprint distance, tonight looks much better suited over the 2080metres. I would've gone the full $100 but he does find a way to lose but really should be no excuses tonight
RESULT: Winner! Good old Artoc!! He was just far too good for this class & a super drive from Duggan. Well done to those who got the $8.50 with BET365 & even $5.5 Sportsbet. Collect $165
MEETING RESULT: Won $15
Race 1 No 13 Sahara Bedouin ($2)
Broke at the start first up and lost around 50 metres early as a short odds on pop but was very good late and was only beaten 10metres. It was the weaker of the 2 lead in races but should've won by plenty. Gets the outside back row now because of his bad manners but I can't see these beating him if he behaves.
RESULT: 3rd. Just worked too hard 3wide but still thought he could roll them. Disappointing
$50WIN
Race 6 No 10 Artoc ($4)
This horse was contesting the Ballarat Cup last prep and gets into a C2/3 race tonight. Jumped an object and cost itself any chance of winning the race in a much harder affair last start. That was the sprint distance, tonight looks much better suited over the 2080metres. I would've gone the full $100 but he does find a way to lose but really should be no excuses tonight
RESULT: Winner! Good old Artoc!! He was just far too good for this class & a super drive from Duggan. Well done to those who got the $8.50 with BET365 & even $5.5 Sportsbet. Collect $165
MEETING RESULT: Won $15
Melton, Friday 15th May
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 10 Celebrity Guest ($10)
She was only plain her two runs leading into the heat of this race (better opposition) but was an eye catcher late at Geelong. The walked the first half and it was just a sprint home late. Celebrity Guest was the one hitting the line strong when she really had no right to. I expect there to be more pace on here in this final and she'll be hard to hold out late.
RESULT: LOST! Had her chance but out wide not the place to be at Melton late.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Showgun Thomas ($10)
Got stuck behind a slow one in the heat and was around 50 metres off the leader before he saw daylight. Hit the line extremely well late (even though it was a 30sec last quarter). He's likely to sit 3 back the pegs here but He'll Be Right will run them along in this so expect the field to break up early. That should give him every opportunity late
RESULT: WINNER! The favourite gallops, the leader went right angles & we get the choccies. Rubbing the fat budda did the trick! Collect $300
MEETING RESULT: Won $200
Race 3 No 10 Celebrity Guest ($10)
She was only plain her two runs leading into the heat of this race (better opposition) but was an eye catcher late at Geelong. The walked the first half and it was just a sprint home late. Celebrity Guest was the one hitting the line strong when she really had no right to. I expect there to be more pace on here in this final and she'll be hard to hold out late.
RESULT: LOST! Had her chance but out wide not the place to be at Melton late.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Showgun Thomas ($10)
Got stuck behind a slow one in the heat and was around 50 metres off the leader before he saw daylight. Hit the line extremely well late (even though it was a 30sec last quarter). He's likely to sit 3 back the pegs here but He'll Be Right will run them along in this so expect the field to break up early. That should give him every opportunity late
RESULT: WINNER! The favourite gallops, the leader went right angles & we get the choccies. Rubbing the fat budda did the trick! Collect $300
MEETING RESULT: Won $200
Shepparton, Wednesday 13th May
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Hypervigilant ($8)
Loved his run 2 starts back when 2nd to Nicky Maguire even though it was never a chance to knock it off. The times were good and did beat home the smart Trison. Couldn't sprint at Cobram last start when 3 pegs & that just didn't look his go. Gets the draw to lead/sit leaders back & looks a great EW bet.
RESULT: WINNER! Not quite how I imagined it with a longshot crossing early but got the job done. Collect $159.50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Miss Tanami ($10)
A 49 start maiden and obviously has had it's chances to break through but it's been racing in fantastic fashion of late. Was knocked over at the start and was extremely unlucky not to place at Cobram last week in a similar type of race. With the likely scratching of the 9 draws to follow through nicely early and just needs to find a way to work into late to be a real player in this.
RESULT: 3rd. One hell of a drive from Nathan Jack (hence the short odds) but still couldn't win! Needs to draw a gate where it does no work and use it's sprint the last 50 against equal animals. Just not good enough tonight. Collect $48
$100WIN
Race 5 No 8 Smo ($3)
Went HUGE in the Echuca Cup 3 starts back when 2nd at odds. Followed that up with a strong placing after being left a sitting shot in the death but recovered from that with an impressive win last start from the 1x1 after the leaders walked early. Gets the exact type of run it needs today, a cold sit off a likely hot pace and really looks near impossible to hold out along the sprint lane late.
RESULT: WINNER! The bet of the day gets up at juicy odds. Worked out as planned. Collect $350
DAY RESULT: Won $307.50 and we get things back on track
Race 1 No 1 Hypervigilant ($8)
Loved his run 2 starts back when 2nd to Nicky Maguire even though it was never a chance to knock it off. The times were good and did beat home the smart Trison. Couldn't sprint at Cobram last start when 3 pegs & that just didn't look his go. Gets the draw to lead/sit leaders back & looks a great EW bet.
RESULT: WINNER! Not quite how I imagined it with a longshot crossing early but got the job done. Collect $159.50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Miss Tanami ($10)
A 49 start maiden and obviously has had it's chances to break through but it's been racing in fantastic fashion of late. Was knocked over at the start and was extremely unlucky not to place at Cobram last week in a similar type of race. With the likely scratching of the 9 draws to follow through nicely early and just needs to find a way to work into late to be a real player in this.
RESULT: 3rd. One hell of a drive from Nathan Jack (hence the short odds) but still couldn't win! Needs to draw a gate where it does no work and use it's sprint the last 50 against equal animals. Just not good enough tonight. Collect $48
$100WIN
Race 5 No 8 Smo ($3)
Went HUGE in the Echuca Cup 3 starts back when 2nd at odds. Followed that up with a strong placing after being left a sitting shot in the death but recovered from that with an impressive win last start from the 1x1 after the leaders walked early. Gets the exact type of run it needs today, a cold sit off a likely hot pace and really looks near impossible to hold out along the sprint lane late.
RESULT: WINNER! The bet of the day gets up at juicy odds. Worked out as planned. Collect $350
DAY RESULT: Won $307.50 and we get things back on track
Stawell, Wednesday 13th May
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Okelehro Lad ($4)
I'm taking on another odds on pop here but geez this bloke has been crying out to lead a race and gets his opportunity with only average speed on it's inside. If he crosses the tables are turned this week on the fav who'll have to work mighty hard to beat him. Looks worth a go at anything $4+
RESULT: 2nd. Led & had it's chance, favourite was too good.
Race 6 No 6 Okelehro Lad ($4)
I'm taking on another odds on pop here but geez this bloke has been crying out to lead a race and gets his opportunity with only average speed on it's inside. If he crosses the tables are turned this week on the fav who'll have to work mighty hard to beat him. Looks worth a go at anything $4+
RESULT: 2nd. Led & had it's chance, favourite was too good.
Bendigo, Tuesday 12th May
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Ramblenroller ($15)
He loved the step back in class last start in the heat of this race and really should have won after getting inconvenienced before the last turn. The draw is a slight concern here with the 1 average out of the gate but looks huge value on BET365 @ $41. I do expect around the $20+ from other because of the draw but add a little luck, he is in this up to his ears.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Prince Of Thieves ($10)
Was a forget run when he was carted back through the field by a tiring leader in a strong race behind HectorJayJay at Shepparton. This is a lovely drop back in grade and gets a draw that he loves behind the likely favourite here who has struggled at this level. I don't know a lot about the driver but the equation is pretty simple here.
Race 5 No 8 Ramblenroller ($15)
He loved the step back in class last start in the heat of this race and really should have won after getting inconvenienced before the last turn. The draw is a slight concern here with the 1 average out of the gate but looks huge value on BET365 @ $41. I do expect around the $20+ from other because of the draw but add a little luck, he is in this up to his ears.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Prince Of Thieves ($10)
Was a forget run when he was carted back through the field by a tiring leader in a strong race behind HectorJayJay at Shepparton. This is a lovely drop back in grade and gets a draw that he loves behind the likely favourite here who has struggled at this level. I don't know a lot about the driver but the equation is pretty simple here.
Yarra Valley, Monday 11th May
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Always Arjay ($4)
I never liked him first up over the sprint trip at Shepparton. Was run off his legs throughout but really was doing his best work late in 7th, a better run than what it looks on paper. It;s been a few weeks since that run but still should benefit from it. Looks much better suited in this over the 2150metres and this race looks a little easier if anything. I think he's a smart one in the making and he should put his best foot forward here today
RESULT: 2nd. Brave run but the favourite had the cold sit on it's back & had the superior sprint late. Wouldn't be jumping off just yet.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Rowdy Rocket ($8)
Yeah he's back on the tips even after a slightly disappointing run last start. Facts are that he should amble to the front early & take a sit on Lucknpower who is fairly weak late. The likely fav Monumental is equally weak with other main dnger drawn poorly in 7 (Outer Join also a chance at nice odds) and 10. It's D-Day for him today. Doesn't get a better opportunity to win his first race for over 2 years.
RESULT: 4th. Surprised me a little when it kept the lead but they may have been because a few on it's outside raced roughly. Looked like there was a prize to be in the death today as the first half was slightly slower than the last half. Good run to just miss a placing.
MEETING RESULT: Close yet so far away. Donuts today. Lost $100
Race 5 No 4 Always Arjay ($4)
I never liked him first up over the sprint trip at Shepparton. Was run off his legs throughout but really was doing his best work late in 7th, a better run than what it looks on paper. It;s been a few weeks since that run but still should benefit from it. Looks much better suited in this over the 2150metres and this race looks a little easier if anything. I think he's a smart one in the making and he should put his best foot forward here today
RESULT: 2nd. Brave run but the favourite had the cold sit on it's back & had the superior sprint late. Wouldn't be jumping off just yet.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Rowdy Rocket ($8)
Yeah he's back on the tips even after a slightly disappointing run last start. Facts are that he should amble to the front early & take a sit on Lucknpower who is fairly weak late. The likely fav Monumental is equally weak with other main dnger drawn poorly in 7 (Outer Join also a chance at nice odds) and 10. It's D-Day for him today. Doesn't get a better opportunity to win his first race for over 2 years.
RESULT: 4th. Surprised me a little when it kept the lead but they may have been because a few on it's outside raced roughly. Looked like there was a prize to be in the death today as the first half was slightly slower than the last half. Good run to just miss a placing.
MEETING RESULT: Close yet so far away. Donuts today. Lost $100
Melton, Sunday 10th May
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Glamour Art ($4)
Don't be fooled by the 23 starts, 0 wins, 1 2nd & 5 3rds stats as she raced against the best around in her first prep. She's had 8 runs in this time in and really hasn't had much go right for her. She was outclassed last start & never got out her previous two & had plenty to offer. She's changed stables to Nathan Ford today which may mean she's Tassy bound after this race but the change of driver is a slight plus. Expect her to go forward from the good gate and if she was able to lead I don't think they can get past her. She'd dour enough to win from the death also. At around $4, looks value.
RESULT: 4th. Took the sit and just hasn't got the sprint. At the same time, I hope it goes to Tassy.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Destined To Take ($2)
Did well when 2nd first up in Vic even though it had every chance in 2nd in C3/4 class before a forget run last start when he had no hope in C2/3 class when they walked early whilst he settled last. Just looks far too good for this R1 class of horse & it would be a major surprise to see it get beaten.
RESULT: WINNER! Was too good for that class winning against the style it usually races. Got smashed in late with best around $2.20. Collect $180
Race 3 No 4 Glamour Art ($4)
Don't be fooled by the 23 starts, 0 wins, 1 2nd & 5 3rds stats as she raced against the best around in her first prep. She's had 8 runs in this time in and really hasn't had much go right for her. She was outclassed last start & never got out her previous two & had plenty to offer. She's changed stables to Nathan Ford today which may mean she's Tassy bound after this race but the change of driver is a slight plus. Expect her to go forward from the good gate and if she was able to lead I don't think they can get past her. She'd dour enough to win from the death also. At around $4, looks value.
RESULT: 4th. Took the sit and just hasn't got the sprint. At the same time, I hope it goes to Tassy.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Destined To Take ($2)
Did well when 2nd first up in Vic even though it had every chance in 2nd in C3/4 class before a forget run last start when he had no hope in C2/3 class when they walked early whilst he settled last. Just looks far too good for this R1 class of horse & it would be a major surprise to see it get beaten.
RESULT: WINNER! Was too good for that class winning against the style it usually races. Got smashed in late with best around $2.20. Collect $180
Kilmore, Saturday 9th May
$50WIN
Race 8 No 11 Our Miss Vivienne ($4)
Forget last start when raced well out of its class behind Just Carla. Was driven for luck the start previous and was unlucky not to win in C2 class. Follows the fav everywhere here & even though she doesn't win out of turn, she looks a good bet here.
RESULT: LOST! Forget she went around. Not the best steer. Forced four wide down the back & then copped a fair check when the fav galloped beside her. She's much better than the 5th she ran
Race 8 No 11 Our Miss Vivienne ($4)
Forget last start when raced well out of its class behind Just Carla. Was driven for luck the start previous and was unlucky not to win in C2 class. Follows the fav everywhere here & even though she doesn't win out of turn, she looks a good bet here.
RESULT: LOST! Forget she went around. Not the best steer. Forced four wide down the back & then copped a fair check when the fav galloped beside her. She's much better than the 5th she ran
Melton, Friday 8th May
$100WIN
Race 1 No 4 Goodtime Mike ($2.20)
Went huge first up after death seating in good company (HectorJayJay) after trialing well. Just looks like working it's way to the front here and there seems to be little to no pressure in the race. Looks a very good bet 2nd up.
RESULT: LOST! Got to the death fairly easily but never looked to be travelling and was struggling a fair way out. Ouch
$48 FIRST4
Race 2: 6/1-8/1-3-5-8/2-3-5-8 for 300%
Frith with the McCarthy's is an exciting prospect and you can expect to see the best of Frith tonight. Should lead and win. Just Carla should receive the perfect trail and I'd be surprised if she didn't hold 2nd, especially with the form she's in. The remainder round out your chance in one hell of a talented field.
RESULT: WINNER! Don't spend it all at once! Collect $93
$50WIN
Race 7 No 13 Franco Ledger ($4)
Never a chance last week in a farcical run race. Before that had issues at Mildura and Im happy to forgive. Previous form was first class and loves the stand start. The 30metre handicap is a little concern but usually steps well and obviously the 2760m makes it easier. Worth a go at around the $4 mark. $5.5 Sportsbet. I was on Bettor Rock On last start for the place & might have been slightly disappointing but worth noting he did run 5th in the Kilmore Cup last year from the walk up start behind Guaranteed. If he finds that sort of form, he's a blowout chance. I was close to tipping but its recent form is a worry.
RESULT: LOST! The handicap proved to great
$45 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 3/1-2-8/1-2-8-10 for 500%
Keayang Active finished last prep beating the very impressive Berisari. Returns here on the back of a good trial where he was not pushed in 2nd where they ran 55 for the last half. 26.6 the last quarter! Should speed to the lead and is the one to beat. Only concern is is he good enough first up? I think so. The Fat Man hasn't got massive early speed & is likely to have to do it tough but is in super form & you can't leave him out. Our Walden Bury the big unknown with a new trainer. Upanatom & Diamond Ace the class factors needing luck to figure.
RESULT: LOST! McRita my old mate puts us out!!
$25WIN
Race 9 No 10 Hotasel ($8)
He was HUGE in the Mildura Cup. Broke at the start and looked to have lost all hope but kept taking inside runs and amazingly ran down Major Crocker for 2nd. (Cost me a fortune!) Change of trainer is interesting! Why the win only? Simple. If the 1 leads, I think it's a race in 2 between it & the 8 & Hotasel will find it tough to get into the race. I think there is a chance though that the 1 could get crossed and look for Justice to take advantage if it does. Beat Keayang Active in the trial I mentioned above so still going very well. Worth a crack at $8 which is currently available.
RESULT: WINNER! Panned out exactly as planned! Go Johnny go! Collect $175
Race 1 No 4 Goodtime Mike ($2.20)
Went huge first up after death seating in good company (HectorJayJay) after trialing well. Just looks like working it's way to the front here and there seems to be little to no pressure in the race. Looks a very good bet 2nd up.
RESULT: LOST! Got to the death fairly easily but never looked to be travelling and was struggling a fair way out. Ouch
$48 FIRST4
Race 2: 6/1-8/1-3-5-8/2-3-5-8 for 300%
Frith with the McCarthy's is an exciting prospect and you can expect to see the best of Frith tonight. Should lead and win. Just Carla should receive the perfect trail and I'd be surprised if she didn't hold 2nd, especially with the form she's in. The remainder round out your chance in one hell of a talented field.
RESULT: WINNER! Don't spend it all at once! Collect $93
$50WIN
Race 7 No 13 Franco Ledger ($4)
Never a chance last week in a farcical run race. Before that had issues at Mildura and Im happy to forgive. Previous form was first class and loves the stand start. The 30metre handicap is a little concern but usually steps well and obviously the 2760m makes it easier. Worth a go at around the $4 mark. $5.5 Sportsbet. I was on Bettor Rock On last start for the place & might have been slightly disappointing but worth noting he did run 5th in the Kilmore Cup last year from the walk up start behind Guaranteed. If he finds that sort of form, he's a blowout chance. I was close to tipping but its recent form is a worry.
RESULT: LOST! The handicap proved to great
$45 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 3/1-2-8/1-2-8-10 for 500%
Keayang Active finished last prep beating the very impressive Berisari. Returns here on the back of a good trial where he was not pushed in 2nd where they ran 55 for the last half. 26.6 the last quarter! Should speed to the lead and is the one to beat. Only concern is is he good enough first up? I think so. The Fat Man hasn't got massive early speed & is likely to have to do it tough but is in super form & you can't leave him out. Our Walden Bury the big unknown with a new trainer. Upanatom & Diamond Ace the class factors needing luck to figure.
RESULT: LOST! McRita my old mate puts us out!!
$25WIN
Race 9 No 10 Hotasel ($8)
He was HUGE in the Mildura Cup. Broke at the start and looked to have lost all hope but kept taking inside runs and amazingly ran down Major Crocker for 2nd. (Cost me a fortune!) Change of trainer is interesting! Why the win only? Simple. If the 1 leads, I think it's a race in 2 between it & the 8 & Hotasel will find it tough to get into the race. I think there is a chance though that the 1 could get crossed and look for Justice to take advantage if it does. Beat Keayang Active in the trial I mentioned above so still going very well. Worth a crack at $8 which is currently available.
RESULT: WINNER! Panned out exactly as planned! Go Johnny go! Collect $175
Mildura, Friday 8th May
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Scout Hall Road ($4)
Was unlucky not to win last start after getting out late from behind the leader. This is a similar type race and the shorter distance is in its favour especially with less speed off the front row. I'm hoping they hold the lead today and it will be mighty hard to run down.
RESULT: WINNER! It held the lead, just, and gets the chocolates to get us off to a good start fpr the day. Collect $225
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Larwood ($12)
Did it very tough early on before eventually find the deat & eventualy the 1x1 last start. Got into a jostling match on the corner with One Knight Stand and lost out. Battled on well but the effort told late but wasn't that far off them. It's a tough ask from the draw but it's likely the 2 will breeze and Larwood should follow it's every move.
RESULT: 3rd.. Collect $82.80
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Beachstar ($2.50)
Went super to win from back in the field at Swan Hill in a 56.8 last half where the leaders had every opportunity. Beat Vee Rock hands down in Feb in similar circumstances as we have today. Even from the draw, looks the winner for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Took his sweet time getting there but we get the result! Collect $250
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 McArdles Art ($8)
I thought the driver got caught napping a bit late at Mildura but was still a good 3rd. Follows through pace and loves the short trip here. I expect there to be plenty of pace on throughout which will suit. My main concern would be the youngster in the sulky but it's the equal of last week
RESULT: LOST! The less said the better
Race 2 No 1 Scout Hall Road ($4)
Was unlucky not to win last start after getting out late from behind the leader. This is a similar type race and the shorter distance is in its favour especially with less speed off the front row. I'm hoping they hold the lead today and it will be mighty hard to run down.
RESULT: WINNER! It held the lead, just, and gets the chocolates to get us off to a good start fpr the day. Collect $225
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Larwood ($12)
Did it very tough early on before eventually find the deat & eventualy the 1x1 last start. Got into a jostling match on the corner with One Knight Stand and lost out. Battled on well but the effort told late but wasn't that far off them. It's a tough ask from the draw but it's likely the 2 will breeze and Larwood should follow it's every move.
RESULT: 3rd.. Collect $82.80
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Beachstar ($2.50)
Went super to win from back in the field at Swan Hill in a 56.8 last half where the leaders had every opportunity. Beat Vee Rock hands down in Feb in similar circumstances as we have today. Even from the draw, looks the winner for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Took his sweet time getting there but we get the result! Collect $250
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 McArdles Art ($8)
I thought the driver got caught napping a bit late at Mildura but was still a good 3rd. Follows through pace and loves the short trip here. I expect there to be plenty of pace on throughout which will suit. My main concern would be the youngster in the sulky but it's the equal of last week
RESULT: LOST! The less said the better
Maryborough, Wednesday 6th May
$50WIN
Race 5 No 11 Come Cullect ($4)
Broke in the Oaks heat but was a huge run to get so close to some of the classiest fillies in Oz. Last start was again up against it from a wide draw in a very good race. Went straight to the front after working hard early & then handed up, on a track with no sprint lane. Was carted back late & lost all momentum so was a forget run. Looks good value here & the only concern for me is Queen Of Pop. The horse with the better run wins for mine and happy to side with the value runner.
RESULT: 3rd. Hit a flat spot in the 3rd quarter & looked to be struggling but flashed home for third. That doesn't help the balance though.
Race 5 No 11 Come Cullect ($4)
Broke in the Oaks heat but was a huge run to get so close to some of the classiest fillies in Oz. Last start was again up against it from a wide draw in a very good race. Went straight to the front after working hard early & then handed up, on a track with no sprint lane. Was carted back late & lost all momentum so was a forget run. Looks good value here & the only concern for me is Queen Of Pop. The horse with the better run wins for mine and happy to side with the value runner.
RESULT: 3rd. Hit a flat spot in the 3rd quarter & looked to be struggling but flashed home for third. That doesn't help the balance though.
Terang, Tuesday 5th May
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Samara Sky ($2)
These $100 bets have been a killer so far this month but geez she looks a good think here IF she behaves. She was driven terribly last start but just missed when coming from a mile back first up at Mt Gambier which isn't easy to do. Will sit on Missurquhart's back here and Samar's sprint will be far too strong for that horse who I think is the only danger. She can misbehave but she paced OK last week (a bit rough in patches) and just needs to stay down to win this.
RESULT: LOST! Misbehave she did. Had it shot to bits but for whatever reason Glynn decides to throw the kitchen sinks at her and she gallops. At a $1.40 I wouldve never tipped it either. Grrrr
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Four Starzzz Fella ($4)
Thought his run 2 starts was too bad to be true & that turned out right when he put in a superb 2nd to Bad Boy Brad. He made an early 3wide move in a slick 29sec quarter and kept whacking away to only finish 5metres of the winner who had the much easier run. Matty Craven keeps the drive & he'll be very aggressive early to ensure he leads. A big question mark on the fav who could be anything but Im happy to take it on.
RESULT: 2nd. Fav was far too good.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Topsie Grinner ($4)
Beat some good horses on it's debut in very good time before going out for a spell. He beat Bettors Package in a trial leading up to that run but has no trials before his run tonight. I'm tipping him purely on potential here and should track Justbritel's every move. With the likely hood of a very quick pace on, he's going to be hard to hold out late.
RESULT: 4th. Set too big a task 3 wide without cover after Justbritel decided to stay in the 1x1 and was driven for luck. Good run.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Jialiner ($8)
Ive never been a fan of this horse until this prep. Both runs have been very good against similar if not slightly stronger horses. Should settle behind the leader here & get every opportunity via the sprint lane, the place to be at Terang.
Race 2 No 1 Samara Sky ($2)
These $100 bets have been a killer so far this month but geez she looks a good think here IF she behaves. She was driven terribly last start but just missed when coming from a mile back first up at Mt Gambier which isn't easy to do. Will sit on Missurquhart's back here and Samar's sprint will be far too strong for that horse who I think is the only danger. She can misbehave but she paced OK last week (a bit rough in patches) and just needs to stay down to win this.
RESULT: LOST! Misbehave she did. Had it shot to bits but for whatever reason Glynn decides to throw the kitchen sinks at her and she gallops. At a $1.40 I wouldve never tipped it either. Grrrr
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Four Starzzz Fella ($4)
Thought his run 2 starts was too bad to be true & that turned out right when he put in a superb 2nd to Bad Boy Brad. He made an early 3wide move in a slick 29sec quarter and kept whacking away to only finish 5metres of the winner who had the much easier run. Matty Craven keeps the drive & he'll be very aggressive early to ensure he leads. A big question mark on the fav who could be anything but Im happy to take it on.
RESULT: 2nd. Fav was far too good.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Topsie Grinner ($4)
Beat some good horses on it's debut in very good time before going out for a spell. He beat Bettors Package in a trial leading up to that run but has no trials before his run tonight. I'm tipping him purely on potential here and should track Justbritel's every move. With the likely hood of a very quick pace on, he's going to be hard to hold out late.
RESULT: 4th. Set too big a task 3 wide without cover after Justbritel decided to stay in the 1x1 and was driven for luck. Good run.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Jialiner ($8)
Ive never been a fan of this horse until this prep. Both runs have been very good against similar if not slightly stronger horses. Should settle behind the leader here & get every opportunity via the sprint lane, the place to be at Terang.
Warragul, Monday 4th May
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Sentimental Life ($3)
Was an absolute moral beaten at Yarra Valley 2 starts back and followed that up with a good second to the inform Ourgirlbillilie when not suited by an early crawl from back in the field. Finally gets a good draw and whether she leads or sits leaders back, Im pretty confident today is the day for this 20 start maiden
Race 2 No 1 Sentimental Life ($3)
Was an absolute moral beaten at Yarra Valley 2 starts back and followed that up with a good second to the inform Ourgirlbillilie when not suited by an early crawl from back in the field. Finally gets a good draw and whether she leads or sits leaders back, Im pretty confident today is the day for this 20 start maiden
Bendigo, Sunday 3rd May
$100WIN
Race 7 No 4 Master Mach Manus ($2.20)
Was set an impossible task in a strong race last Saturday need when 3 wide without cover the entire trip so did very well to only finish 14 metres off the winner. His start previous he was very good when 3rd only 3 metres of Vox Populi in very quick time. Gets the draw to be aggressive early & lead today & it's hard seeing them going past him
RESULT: 4th. Led and had every chance. Just wasn't good enough.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Rowdy Rocket ($8)
Didn't have a whole lot of luck in a much better race last start even though he never had a chance. He's the type of horse that needs a soft peg line run which he gets here. This field is the weakest he's faced for while and gets his chance today via the sprint lane
RESULT: 4th. Didn't get out until late but didn't have the sprint to cut them down late. Needs to be closer to the front to be a chance & from 3 pegs found it tough.
Race 7 No 4 Master Mach Manus ($2.20)
Was set an impossible task in a strong race last Saturday need when 3 wide without cover the entire trip so did very well to only finish 14 metres off the winner. His start previous he was very good when 3rd only 3 metres of Vox Populi in very quick time. Gets the draw to be aggressive early & lead today & it's hard seeing them going past him
RESULT: 4th. Led and had every chance. Just wasn't good enough.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Rowdy Rocket ($8)
Didn't have a whole lot of luck in a much better race last start even though he never had a chance. He's the type of horse that needs a soft peg line run which he gets here. This field is the weakest he's faced for while and gets his chance today via the sprint lane
RESULT: 4th. Didn't get out until late but didn't have the sprint to cut them down late. Needs to be closer to the front to be a chance & from 3 pegs found it tough.
Melton, Saturday 2nd May
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 For Joy ($8)
Forget his heat run when never in it from a bad draw & was stuck behind some slow ones in the last lap. Finished off well late though. Will settle leaders back here & his sectional details from last week suggest he can outsprint these late from there. Apologies for the late tip as was $20+ earlier in the week.
RESULT: LOST! Ah 2yo's.. They went very quick earlier & this lady had the drop on them but did absolutely nothing down the straight. Awful
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Chilli Palmer ($4)
If there was a horse that wasn't suited to Mildura it was this bloke but geez he ran well considering. Back to Melton in a race without Arden Rooney but looks to have plenty of pace on throughout, tonight looks like his chance to get back on the winners list
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around but Im saying that a lot about this horse lately. They ran the first half in 63secs plus and those in the back of the field had no chance.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Three Squared ($8)
Did all the work in the heat, put the pressure on the fav down the back straight in a 28 sec 3rd quarter but the effort told. Was only beaten 5metres and was one of the better runs of the race. I don't think Luke will adopt the same tactics tonight and from the draw should settle nice and close with cover. Looks a great ew bet.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance once it got the lead but simply wasn't good enough. Collect $78
$45 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1-4 / 1-4 / 8-10-11 for 750%
Bit Of A Babe was a big improver first up for Emma Stewart and should have taken great benefit from that run. Better suited over this distance and should cruise across to lead. Eye Like Candy settles leaders back and gets her chance via the sprint lane. Can't see these 2 missing top 2. Almost took Franco Bobby G one out for third but the step up in class is a worry. 10 & 11 are the class runners of the others.
RESULT: LOST! Bit Of A Babe goes into the Bit Of A Cat bucket.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $117. Ordinary night on the punt at head quarters but I don't think I was the only one with some surprising results. Still can't believe Tallulah Bay won!
Race 2 No 8 For Joy ($8)
Forget his heat run when never in it from a bad draw & was stuck behind some slow ones in the last lap. Finished off well late though. Will settle leaders back here & his sectional details from last week suggest he can outsprint these late from there. Apologies for the late tip as was $20+ earlier in the week.
RESULT: LOST! Ah 2yo's.. They went very quick earlier & this lady had the drop on them but did absolutely nothing down the straight. Awful
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Chilli Palmer ($4)
If there was a horse that wasn't suited to Mildura it was this bloke but geez he ran well considering. Back to Melton in a race without Arden Rooney but looks to have plenty of pace on throughout, tonight looks like his chance to get back on the winners list
RESULT: LOST! Forget it went around but Im saying that a lot about this horse lately. They ran the first half in 63secs plus and those in the back of the field had no chance.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Three Squared ($8)
Did all the work in the heat, put the pressure on the fav down the back straight in a 28 sec 3rd quarter but the effort told. Was only beaten 5metres and was one of the better runs of the race. I don't think Luke will adopt the same tactics tonight and from the draw should settle nice and close with cover. Looks a great ew bet.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance once it got the lead but simply wasn't good enough. Collect $78
$45 TRIFECTA
Race 8: 1-4 / 1-4 / 8-10-11 for 750%
Bit Of A Babe was a big improver first up for Emma Stewart and should have taken great benefit from that run. Better suited over this distance and should cruise across to lead. Eye Like Candy settles leaders back and gets her chance via the sprint lane. Can't see these 2 missing top 2. Almost took Franco Bobby G one out for third but the step up in class is a worry. 10 & 11 are the class runners of the others.
RESULT: LOST! Bit Of A Babe goes into the Bit Of A Cat bucket.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $117. Ordinary night on the punt at head quarters but I don't think I was the only one with some surprising results. Still can't believe Tallulah Bay won!
Shepparton, Friday 1st May
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Alittle Bit Frosty ($8)
Was only 13 metres off Our Santa Catalina 2 starts ago and that horse lines up in the Silver Chalice on Saturday night. Got a nice sit off a good early pace in his heat last week but got stuck behind the tiring death horse & cost him valuable ground before the turn. Finished off well late to finish 4th. Should be able to slot in early with the 3 inside it likely to go hard. Can see them continue the pace on throughout which will suit this horse. Good ew punt
RESULT: WINNER! At double the odds I thought we'd get! Everything panned out for it and we get the chocolates. Collect $438
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 10: 7/1-5/1-5 for 1000%
Milliondollar Wave looks far too good for these. Im banking on Smiling Spirit crossing them early with Long Ago hard on their back. Happy to lay the 9 who'll need to do plenty of work from the draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez we looked gone at the turn but the 1 just kept kicking! Collect $389
MEETING RESULT: What a way to start the month! $748.90 profit
Race 1 No 4 Alittle Bit Frosty ($8)
Was only 13 metres off Our Santa Catalina 2 starts ago and that horse lines up in the Silver Chalice on Saturday night. Got a nice sit off a good early pace in his heat last week but got stuck behind the tiring death horse & cost him valuable ground before the turn. Finished off well late to finish 4th. Should be able to slot in early with the 3 inside it likely to go hard. Can see them continue the pace on throughout which will suit this horse. Good ew punt
RESULT: WINNER! At double the odds I thought we'd get! Everything panned out for it and we get the chocolates. Collect $438
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 10: 7/1-5/1-5 for 1000%
Milliondollar Wave looks far too good for these. Im banking on Smiling Spirit crossing them early with Long Ago hard on their back. Happy to lay the 9 who'll need to do plenty of work from the draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez we looked gone at the turn but the 1 just kept kicking! Collect $389
MEETING RESULT: What a way to start the month! $748.90 profit
Ballarat, Thursday 30th April
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Union Ally ($5)
She didn't have the best of draws in the Oaks Heat & final but was super in the final even though finishing in 8th place. This is a super race & luck will play a big part but from the draw I think she can settle up on the lead & be very hard to hold out late with any luck.
RESULT: WINNER! She looked a massive chance a long way out after getting the perfect trail into the race and she did the rest. Collect $405
DAY RESULT: Nice way to end the day. If only Vanderley hadve done the right thing. Won $375
Race 7 No 5 Union Ally ($5)
She didn't have the best of draws in the Oaks Heat & final but was super in the final even though finishing in 8th place. This is a super race & luck will play a big part but from the draw I think she can settle up on the lead & be very hard to hold out late with any luck.
RESULT: WINNER! She looked a massive chance a long way out after getting the perfect trail into the race and she did the rest. Collect $405
DAY RESULT: Nice way to end the day. If only Vanderley hadve done the right thing. Won $375
Maryborough, Thursday 30th April
$20 First Four
Race 3: 1-2/ 1-2/ 8-9 / 8-9 for 500%
Mairhed Fallen leads, Sound The Alarms sits leaders back & it's between those for the quinella. I slightly favour the 2 over the sprint distance. The risk is Olivia Rockstar who is just an average beast but will get the run to suit and Highly Persuasive is in good form but the draw is right against. Worth the risk for a small bet with the F4 likely $50+ if we get the 2 up.
RESULT: LOST! The 8 & 9 were awful
$100WIN
Race 4 No 5 Bettors Package ($2.20)
Had no hope at Melton last start after they walked early but her closing sectionals were impressive. Her previous 2 runs she wasn't suited from gate 1 as she's only a moderate starter. I think she'll push forward here & can win from either the death or 1x1. This is a nice step down in class & she just looks too good.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good for these. Collect $240
$100WIN
Race 7 No 12 Vanderley ($2.50)
You have to watch it's last run to grasp just how big it was. Actually pinged the start for once but was cramped for room and galloped. Not his fault for once! Was pretty much 50 metres off the main group but rounded them up and working 3 & 4 wide the last lap amazingly kept kicking for 3rd. Just needs to step cleanly & stay out of trouble early to win this. Its a risk but worth taking.
RESULT: 3rd. Jack pushed the button down the back & for mine, that was way too early. Good run but that was costly.
Race 3: 1-2/ 1-2/ 8-9 / 8-9 for 500%
Mairhed Fallen leads, Sound The Alarms sits leaders back & it's between those for the quinella. I slightly favour the 2 over the sprint distance. The risk is Olivia Rockstar who is just an average beast but will get the run to suit and Highly Persuasive is in good form but the draw is right against. Worth the risk for a small bet with the F4 likely $50+ if we get the 2 up.
RESULT: LOST! The 8 & 9 were awful
$100WIN
Race 4 No 5 Bettors Package ($2.20)
Had no hope at Melton last start after they walked early but her closing sectionals were impressive. Her previous 2 runs she wasn't suited from gate 1 as she's only a moderate starter. I think she'll push forward here & can win from either the death or 1x1. This is a nice step down in class & she just looks too good.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good for these. Collect $240
$100WIN
Race 7 No 12 Vanderley ($2.50)
You have to watch it's last run to grasp just how big it was. Actually pinged the start for once but was cramped for room and galloped. Not his fault for once! Was pretty much 50 metres off the main group but rounded them up and working 3 & 4 wide the last lap amazingly kept kicking for 3rd. Just needs to step cleanly & stay out of trouble early to win this. Its a risk but worth taking.
RESULT: 3rd. Jack pushed the button down the back & for mine, that was way too early. Good run but that was costly.
Kilmore, Wednesday 29th April
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 More Than Alright ($8)
Just went around for fitness first up when given absolutely no chance but was only beaten a few metres. Gavin Lang hops back onboard who knows this horse extremely well. Should be suited by a solid tempo here and likely to follow the aggressive Kissed Flush into the race. Right in this race at good each way odds.
RESULT: LOST! He goes into the scrap heap for a while after that.
DAY RESULT: Won $7
Race 7 No 10 More Than Alright ($8)
Just went around for fitness first up when given absolutely no chance but was only beaten a few metres. Gavin Lang hops back onboard who knows this horse extremely well. Should be suited by a solid tempo here and likely to follow the aggressive Kissed Flush into the race. Right in this race at good each way odds.
RESULT: LOST! He goes into the scrap heap for a while after that.
DAY RESULT: Won $7
Horsham, Wednesday 29th April
$50WIN
Race 2 No 5 Lavish Smile ($5)
His run was much better than what it looks on paper last start. Got a mile back over the short course after getting caught behind a slow one. Hit the line really well & I thought his run was the equal of one of his main rivals here, Vincent Van Oro. Jason Lee jumps onboard which is obviously a huge tick & he'll be revved up at the start here to try & lead. If he crosses, he's going to be mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: 4th. Led & was presured a little midrace but had his chance.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Nelsondale ($4)
Was no match for the leaders last start at Hamilton after they got their own way but battled away well for 3rd. Was beaten a fair way but at the same time, it was the quickest last half run for the day. This is a slight step down in class here and again Jason Lee jumps onboard which Im very happy with. Looks a solid chance with even luck against a bunch of non winners
RESULT: LOST! Galloped.. Raced roughly & galloped soon after the start. Never in the race.
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 3/ 1-6/1-6 for 1000%
The Fatman looks like cruising to the lead and almost impossible to run down. Djibouti gets the perfect sit behind it & it's impossible to ignore the form of Arr En Special who will be suited if Boris goes handle bars down early!. Im not a massive fan of Racer the 2 but he's the other logical danger for 2nd & 3rd. Happy to have a small play here.
RESULT: WINNER! Thought Arr En Special would have given us close to a $20 result but trifecta pays $11.20, best of all 3 totes!. Collect $112
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Shipstern ($8)
Showed a return to the form of last prep last start. Was caught wide early before finding cover. Pushed forward 3 wide without cover at the bell and really pushed the issue until weakening slightly late to hold 3rd against similar opposition. Should be driven more aggressively early here with the front up for grabs & his one batting style should see him be in this race for a very long time.
RESULT: LAST! Struggled to get momentum early and plodded its way to the death. Didn't travel well from that point onwards & was gone at the 400metre mark. Awful run.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 7 Kyms Boy ($4)
Wasnt the best drive when got caught up in traffic off a hot speed at Hamilton last start in C2/3 class. Wasn't disgraced but was outclassed in a strong C2/3 event the start previous behind Keeyang Storm. Gets back to C1 class here today with the concession of Alex Ashwood but thats no disadvantage considering who has been sitting in the sulky lately. Should push forward from the wide draw early and looks mighty hard to beat settling in the first few.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in. Had the perfect run in front and fell in. Big run So Demanding who is very close to a win. Take the money and run! Collect $165
Race 2 No 5 Lavish Smile ($5)
His run was much better than what it looks on paper last start. Got a mile back over the short course after getting caught behind a slow one. Hit the line really well & I thought his run was the equal of one of his main rivals here, Vincent Van Oro. Jason Lee jumps onboard which is obviously a huge tick & he'll be revved up at the start here to try & lead. If he crosses, he's going to be mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: 4th. Led & was presured a little midrace but had his chance.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Nelsondale ($4)
Was no match for the leaders last start at Hamilton after they got their own way but battled away well for 3rd. Was beaten a fair way but at the same time, it was the quickest last half run for the day. This is a slight step down in class here and again Jason Lee jumps onboard which Im very happy with. Looks a solid chance with even luck against a bunch of non winners
RESULT: LOST! Galloped.. Raced roughly & galloped soon after the start. Never in the race.
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 5: 3/ 1-6/1-6 for 1000%
The Fatman looks like cruising to the lead and almost impossible to run down. Djibouti gets the perfect sit behind it & it's impossible to ignore the form of Arr En Special who will be suited if Boris goes handle bars down early!. Im not a massive fan of Racer the 2 but he's the other logical danger for 2nd & 3rd. Happy to have a small play here.
RESULT: WINNER! Thought Arr En Special would have given us close to a $20 result but trifecta pays $11.20, best of all 3 totes!. Collect $112
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Shipstern ($8)
Showed a return to the form of last prep last start. Was caught wide early before finding cover. Pushed forward 3 wide without cover at the bell and really pushed the issue until weakening slightly late to hold 3rd against similar opposition. Should be driven more aggressively early here with the front up for grabs & his one batting style should see him be in this race for a very long time.
RESULT: LAST! Struggled to get momentum early and plodded its way to the death. Didn't travel well from that point onwards & was gone at the 400metre mark. Awful run.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 7 Kyms Boy ($4)
Wasnt the best drive when got caught up in traffic off a hot speed at Hamilton last start in C2/3 class. Wasn't disgraced but was outclassed in a strong C2/3 event the start previous behind Keeyang Storm. Gets back to C1 class here today with the concession of Alex Ashwood but thats no disadvantage considering who has been sitting in the sulky lately. Should push forward from the wide draw early and looks mighty hard to beat settling in the first few.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in. Had the perfect run in front and fell in. Big run So Demanding who is very close to a win. Take the money and run! Collect $165
Mildura, Tuesday 28th April
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Can But Dream ($4)
Usually I have a rule for this mare & thats not punting past the sprint trip but she does look suited here. Form has been good in recent times and should have had a couple of placing but for a few driving issues. Rolls straight to the front here & against this mob, should hold it. Looks the one to beat especially if she can walk in front to save herself for that last 50 metres.
RESULT: LOST! I should've kept to the rule. She's weak!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Tibytoa ($3)
Forget it went round last start after having to restrain to last after getting caught wide and watching the replay, there was no real effort by the driver to try & get close from there on in. His previous form, especially over this distance says he wins this. Just needs to hold the 2 out early without spending too much petrol to win here.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & ran the first 2 sectionals at a walk. Had to win with that run and did, just! Collect $105
MEETING RESULT: Well that was worth it. Won $5!
Race 4 No 2 Can But Dream ($4)
Usually I have a rule for this mare & thats not punting past the sprint trip but she does look suited here. Form has been good in recent times and should have had a couple of placing but for a few driving issues. Rolls straight to the front here & against this mob, should hold it. Looks the one to beat especially if she can walk in front to save herself for that last 50 metres.
RESULT: LOST! I should've kept to the rule. She's weak!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Tibytoa ($3)
Forget it went round last start after having to restrain to last after getting caught wide and watching the replay, there was no real effort by the driver to try & get close from there on in. His previous form, especially over this distance says he wins this. Just needs to hold the 2 out early without spending too much petrol to win here.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & ran the first 2 sectionals at a walk. Had to win with that run and did, just! Collect $105
MEETING RESULT: Well that was worth it. Won $5!
Cranbourne, Monday 27th April
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Major Minor ($8)
He's only won once from 34 starts so this is a risky tip but I liked his run 2 starts back. Got stuck 3 pegs behind a tiring leader and lost close to 20 metres but hit the line well to snag 4th in a similar race, Should position much closer to the lead here & in a race not full of much talent, he''ll get his chance to make it number 2.
RESULT: WINNER! We got a little lucky with the 2 galloping but that's racing! Leads all the way. I got a little worried at the turn when Gavin Lang challenged but Zahra was kidding to them. The best way to start the punting day. Collect $257
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Ideal Majority ($6)
Attacked the line impressively last start against some quality animals at Melton. 2 starts ago at Melton was used up early from the mobile and weakened late against Victoria's 2nd best. Has always raced best when not used up early & doesn't have to be here with speed, speed & more speed off the arm & likely pressure on throughout. That'll suit this gelding perfectly. Fingers crossed Nowitzki keeps the pressure on throughout!
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't pan out the way I'd hoped for with Ideal Majority left in the death seat leading up the fav and 2nd fav into the race. Good run considering thats not how he races best.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Ringtripleowe ($8)
Went super when flashing home over the 1720metres at Melton when well back at the turn to finish 4th only 3.4metres off the winner. Wasnt suited at Mildura or Echuca the starts previous but was very good against the smart Texiera at Yarra Glen in early March. Holding his form well and just needs an ounce of luck to be a winning chance today
RESULT: LOST! Got the 1x1 sit and had a decision to make. Go 3 wide without cover or drive for luck. The latter was chosen and no luck there. Not sure how well it was traveling anyway but we'll never know.
$45 TRIFECTA
Race 7: Roving Banker 2 with 4-9-10 for 250%
Good little race this but it looks fairly easy to work out. Loong Nein looks the early leader & looked a little disappointing last start but hard to see him missing top 3. Tuscan Breeze the logical danger and gets a nice run through on the back of Loong Nein. Phil Monty was very good 2nd up in the Concession drivers comp last week after working both ends of the race & had no luck mid race behind a tiring horse. Baccarat the blow out after a very good first up performance in Loong Nein's race and will strip much fitter here. Follows Tuscan Breeze's every move.
RESULT: LOST! No where near it in the end. No pace on and the fav's struggled to get into it. Very poor Loong Nein as well.
MEETING RESULT: Thank the harny god for Major Minor!! Won $62
Race 2 No 1 Major Minor ($8)
He's only won once from 34 starts so this is a risky tip but I liked his run 2 starts back. Got stuck 3 pegs behind a tiring leader and lost close to 20 metres but hit the line well to snag 4th in a similar race, Should position much closer to the lead here & in a race not full of much talent, he''ll get his chance to make it number 2.
RESULT: WINNER! We got a little lucky with the 2 galloping but that's racing! Leads all the way. I got a little worried at the turn when Gavin Lang challenged but Zahra was kidding to them. The best way to start the punting day. Collect $257
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Ideal Majority ($6)
Attacked the line impressively last start against some quality animals at Melton. 2 starts ago at Melton was used up early from the mobile and weakened late against Victoria's 2nd best. Has always raced best when not used up early & doesn't have to be here with speed, speed & more speed off the arm & likely pressure on throughout. That'll suit this gelding perfectly. Fingers crossed Nowitzki keeps the pressure on throughout!
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't pan out the way I'd hoped for with Ideal Majority left in the death seat leading up the fav and 2nd fav into the race. Good run considering thats not how he races best.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Ringtripleowe ($8)
Went super when flashing home over the 1720metres at Melton when well back at the turn to finish 4th only 3.4metres off the winner. Wasnt suited at Mildura or Echuca the starts previous but was very good against the smart Texiera at Yarra Glen in early March. Holding his form well and just needs an ounce of luck to be a winning chance today
RESULT: LOST! Got the 1x1 sit and had a decision to make. Go 3 wide without cover or drive for luck. The latter was chosen and no luck there. Not sure how well it was traveling anyway but we'll never know.
$45 TRIFECTA
Race 7: Roving Banker 2 with 4-9-10 for 250%
Good little race this but it looks fairly easy to work out. Loong Nein looks the early leader & looked a little disappointing last start but hard to see him missing top 3. Tuscan Breeze the logical danger and gets a nice run through on the back of Loong Nein. Phil Monty was very good 2nd up in the Concession drivers comp last week after working both ends of the race & had no luck mid race behind a tiring horse. Baccarat the blow out after a very good first up performance in Loong Nein's race and will strip much fitter here. Follows Tuscan Breeze's every move.
RESULT: LOST! No where near it in the end. No pace on and the fav's struggled to get into it. Very poor Loong Nein as well.
MEETING RESULT: Thank the harny god for Major Minor!! Won $62
BALANCE since 1/3/14 $5,951.89 ($15,951.89 since inception)
APRIL BALANCE: $335.70
Results In Detail
APRIL BALANCE: $335.70
Results In Detail
Echuca, Sunday 26th April
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Giant Steps ($4)
Can only really tip this fella when the stars align which they seems to do here. Leads over the short course on a track suited to leaders. Showed he was returning to form with a good 3rd to Ortabe Good who has since won easily at Swan Hill so the form is good. Only has one to beat for mine & thats Bobby Fabulous who I did think will handle this track too well. Im fairly confident on an all the way win here.
RESULT: WINNER! Worked hard for the lead, pressured mid race & did well to hold them off. He's only won 2 races but we've been on both times & he becomes another Pogga favourite! Collect $220
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Whisky And Ice ($4)
Was pretty unlucky to not finish much closer last start in much better company. Awkward draw but just looks better than these. Should win with average luck
RESULT: WINNER! Got a lovely run into the race early & even better when they went hard mid race. Even though he was left in the breeze he was the only horse you wanted to be on throughout the race. Bolted in! Collect $220
MEETING RESULT: A lovely Sunday on the punt! Won $340.
Race 6 No 2 Giant Steps ($4)
Can only really tip this fella when the stars align which they seems to do here. Leads over the short course on a track suited to leaders. Showed he was returning to form with a good 3rd to Ortabe Good who has since won easily at Swan Hill so the form is good. Only has one to beat for mine & thats Bobby Fabulous who I did think will handle this track too well. Im fairly confident on an all the way win here.
RESULT: WINNER! Worked hard for the lead, pressured mid race & did well to hold them off. He's only won 2 races but we've been on both times & he becomes another Pogga favourite! Collect $220
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Whisky And Ice ($4)
Was pretty unlucky to not finish much closer last start in much better company. Awkward draw but just looks better than these. Should win with average luck
RESULT: WINNER! Got a lovely run into the race early & even better when they went hard mid race. Even though he was left in the breeze he was the only horse you wanted to be on throughout the race. Bolted in! Collect $220
MEETING RESULT: A lovely Sunday on the punt! Won $340.
Bendigo, Saturday 25th April
$50PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Peppercorn Dell ($4) **NO BET IF THE 1 GETS A START**
Thought he went super first up in Vic 2 starts ago when pressure in front throughout. Followed that up with a very good effort from near last in that final when getting home late for 4th. Follows through the fav who should hold the lead without a great deal of speed on his outside. Looks a great place bet from there.
RESULT: 2nd! Well the 1 gets scratched and BET365 holders rejoice with the $11 on offer! Closing odds not so good. Collect $120
$20 TRIFECTA **NO BET IF THE 1 GAINS A START**
Race 2: 2/ 6-8 / 6-8 from 1000%
If my speed map works out, the 2 leads with the 6 outside leader & 8 leaders back. I cant see the others making an impact. If the 6 crosses it'll likely hand up to the 2 anyway & I reckon that'll pretty much guarantee this result
RESULT: LOST! The 6 worked far too hard from the death
$54 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 1-2-8 / 1-2-8 / 1-2-4-8-10 for 300%
Big watch on the Col Latter first upper here who has gate speed could cross early with the aggressive Matthew Craven onboard. If that doesn't eventuate it's hard not seeing the 1 & 8 running top 2. The others good place changs but hard to see them challenge. Fingers crossed for the 2 & value.
RESULT: LOST! We get the 2 home at $20+ but the fav's let us down big time! Didn't have the 6 who ran 2nd & the trifecta pays massive!
$50WIN
Race 5 No 6 Tallulah Bay ($3.50)
She is a hard horse to catch. She loses when you expect her to win and throws in some absolute rippers when up against it but tonight does look suitable. She has a huge amount of gate speed & should lead without hassle. A nice little drop in grade should see her have every opportunity to win. I'd go a little harder if it was a horse with the same formlines if it wasn't called Tallulah Bay!
RESULT: WEAK! She's banned. Got the lead & although pressured a little mid race, had every chance. No more.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $54
Race 2 No 8 Peppercorn Dell ($4) **NO BET IF THE 1 GETS A START**
Thought he went super first up in Vic 2 starts ago when pressure in front throughout. Followed that up with a very good effort from near last in that final when getting home late for 4th. Follows through the fav who should hold the lead without a great deal of speed on his outside. Looks a great place bet from there.
RESULT: 2nd! Well the 1 gets scratched and BET365 holders rejoice with the $11 on offer! Closing odds not so good. Collect $120
$20 TRIFECTA **NO BET IF THE 1 GAINS A START**
Race 2: 2/ 6-8 / 6-8 from 1000%
If my speed map works out, the 2 leads with the 6 outside leader & 8 leaders back. I cant see the others making an impact. If the 6 crosses it'll likely hand up to the 2 anyway & I reckon that'll pretty much guarantee this result
RESULT: LOST! The 6 worked far too hard from the death
$54 TRIFECTA
Race 4: 1-2-8 / 1-2-8 / 1-2-4-8-10 for 300%
Big watch on the Col Latter first upper here who has gate speed could cross early with the aggressive Matthew Craven onboard. If that doesn't eventuate it's hard not seeing the 1 & 8 running top 2. The others good place changs but hard to see them challenge. Fingers crossed for the 2 & value.
RESULT: LOST! We get the 2 home at $20+ but the fav's let us down big time! Didn't have the 6 who ran 2nd & the trifecta pays massive!
$50WIN
Race 5 No 6 Tallulah Bay ($3.50)
She is a hard horse to catch. She loses when you expect her to win and throws in some absolute rippers when up against it but tonight does look suitable. She has a huge amount of gate speed & should lead without hassle. A nice little drop in grade should see her have every opportunity to win. I'd go a little harder if it was a horse with the same formlines if it wasn't called Tallulah Bay!
RESULT: WEAK! She's banned. Got the lead & although pressured a little mid race, had every chance. No more.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $54
Melton, Friday 24th April
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 It Is Billy ($2)
Has returned to racing in fine form. Run a super 2nd to Lenny The Shark after that horse ran slow early sectionals for this class of horse. Sitting in the 1x1 Billy ran some impressive closing sectionals to snag 2nd. Should be bustled out early & it would be a major surprise if he wasn't in front. If that scenario pans out he wins.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good Billy. Collect $150
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Our Mels Dream ($4)
Went super in an easier race 2 starts ago when 2nd but ran the race of it's life last start when 2nd to Wartime Sweetheart after drawing poorly. Gets a cushy run either behind the leader or 3 pegs where he can use his great finishing burst
RESULT: LOST! Awful run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 11 McRita ($8)
Showed a return to form after she was driven the way she likes, saved for one last crack at them. Rushed home late for 3rd in a race set up for those in front. There looks to be pace on pace on pace in this race & likely to be a last horse standing affair. If she gets the luck she needs, looks a great ew bet
RESULT: 5th. Worked too hard early to get a spot up on the lead but had her chance late. Not how Id planned it.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 6 Rockstar Angel ($12)
Super debut run behind the extremely impressive Magical Delight when 4 back the pegs, got out late and steamed home late. The NZ'er fav could be anything but there looks to be a few that will want the lead here & usually when these young 2yo's go hard, there ain't much left in the tank late. He's right in this if they do.
RESULT: LOST! They walked & he had no hope..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Race 5 No 6 It Is Billy ($2)
Has returned to racing in fine form. Run a super 2nd to Lenny The Shark after that horse ran slow early sectionals for this class of horse. Sitting in the 1x1 Billy ran some impressive closing sectionals to snag 2nd. Should be bustled out early & it would be a major surprise if he wasn't in front. If that scenario pans out he wins.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good Billy. Collect $150
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Our Mels Dream ($4)
Went super in an easier race 2 starts ago when 2nd but ran the race of it's life last start when 2nd to Wartime Sweetheart after drawing poorly. Gets a cushy run either behind the leader or 3 pegs where he can use his great finishing burst
RESULT: LOST! Awful run
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 11 McRita ($8)
Showed a return to form after she was driven the way she likes, saved for one last crack at them. Rushed home late for 3rd in a race set up for those in front. There looks to be pace on pace on pace in this race & likely to be a last horse standing affair. If she gets the luck she needs, looks a great ew bet
RESULT: 5th. Worked too hard early to get a spot up on the lead but had her chance late. Not how Id planned it.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 6 Rockstar Angel ($12)
Super debut run behind the extremely impressive Magical Delight when 4 back the pegs, got out late and steamed home late. The NZ'er fav could be anything but there looks to be a few that will want the lead here & usually when these young 2yo's go hard, there ain't much left in the tank late. He's right in this if they do.
RESULT: LOST! They walked & he had no hope..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Ballarat, Thursday 23rd April
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Lets Jazz It Up ($8)
Its form on paper looks nothing short of ordinary but looks can be deceiving. Has been racing against a much better class of horse than he meets tonight & this is his best draw since arriving form NZ. The main problem is the driver but all he has to do is cross the 1 early to be a real show which looks likely. Great EW bet.
RESULT: 4th! Oh Derrik. Hit the mobile just before the start & cost it momentum early & then just kept driving up bums down the straight.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Frosty Flyer ($2.50)
Worked hard early to lead but kept kicking to win against an almost identical field to what he meets tonight. Cant see them turning the tables.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & did it easily breaking the 3yo track record in the process. Collect $200
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Masterofthurles ($8)
Every run this prep has been full of merit, none better than last start, Caught 3 wide the trip, he just kept fining the line for a very good 4th in a good form race. Should get a nice cart through early & there does seem to be soome good pace on in the race. As long as Clare doesn't get itchy fingers, should be right in the finish.
RESULT: 2nd. Huge run after being 3wide the last lap but seems to be the tactic the driver loves to use. Collect $90
DAY RESULT: Won $160
Race 1 No 2 Lets Jazz It Up ($8)
Its form on paper looks nothing short of ordinary but looks can be deceiving. Has been racing against a much better class of horse than he meets tonight & this is his best draw since arriving form NZ. The main problem is the driver but all he has to do is cross the 1 early to be a real show which looks likely. Great EW bet.
RESULT: 4th! Oh Derrik. Hit the mobile just before the start & cost it momentum early & then just kept driving up bums down the straight.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 6 Frosty Flyer ($2.50)
Worked hard early to lead but kept kicking to win against an almost identical field to what he meets tonight. Cant see them turning the tables.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & did it easily breaking the 3yo track record in the process. Collect $200
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Masterofthurles ($8)
Every run this prep has been full of merit, none better than last start, Caught 3 wide the trip, he just kept fining the line for a very good 4th in a good form race. Should get a nice cart through early & there does seem to be soome good pace on in the race. As long as Clare doesn't get itchy fingers, should be right in the finish.
RESULT: 2nd. Huge run after being 3wide the last lap but seems to be the tactic the driver loves to use. Collect $90
DAY RESULT: Won $160
Maryborough, Thursday 23rd April
$100WIN
Race 7 No 5 Koree Jayne ($2)
Went straight to the front and never looked in danger last start. This is the same quality of race and if anything, should get the lead a whole lot easier. Best of the day
RESULT: WINNER! Deary me, had the easiest run of the race, got headed but kicked to win on the line. We collect but it was heart attack stuff! Collect $220
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Bisping ($4)
Had a great prep last time in against some very good horses. Has slowly been wound up for this at the trials without being fully let go but expect Gavin to have him rolling early from the wide draw & in front. Looks the one to beat from the top.
RESULT: 2nd. Typical non aggressive Gavin Lang drive. I just cant catch him.
Race 7 No 5 Koree Jayne ($2)
Went straight to the front and never looked in danger last start. This is the same quality of race and if anything, should get the lead a whole lot easier. Best of the day
RESULT: WINNER! Deary me, had the easiest run of the race, got headed but kicked to win on the line. We collect but it was heart attack stuff! Collect $220
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Bisping ($4)
Had a great prep last time in against some very good horses. Has slowly been wound up for this at the trials without being fully let go but expect Gavin to have him rolling early from the wide draw & in front. Looks the one to beat from the top.
RESULT: 2nd. Typical non aggressive Gavin Lang drive. I just cant catch him.
Hamilton, Wednesday 22nd April
$25WIN
Race 4 No 5 Nelsondale ($6)
Was desperately unlucky last start at Terang. Showed no speed early from gate 1 and ended up 4 pegs over the sprint trip. Was winding up quickly before the gaps closed late so the margin of 10.3metres was unfair. I'd almost go as far to say it should've won with clear running. The likely fav Major Cruiser has OK speed but theres a huge chance it'll get crossed but Sugars can get them running from the gate. If it leads it makes our task tougher but I think Nelsondale is a horse with good ability and looks value.
RESULT: 3rd. Leaders always had it in the bad but was beaten a fair way back in 3rd. $2.20 a place for those smarter than me!
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Okelerho Lad ($2.20)
Did a power of work over the longer trip last start and was very good in running 2nd to the impressive Kuroharpo Gambler. Key to that race is that it beat Keayang Storm home comfortably albeit the latter did have a tough run early. I think Craven with have him fired up early & there will be no surprise to see him in front here again today & over the shorter trip looks a good bet.
RESULT: LOST! A real plain run even though they ran real quick time whilst he was in the death. Did nothing.
Race 4 No 5 Nelsondale ($6)
Was desperately unlucky last start at Terang. Showed no speed early from gate 1 and ended up 4 pegs over the sprint trip. Was winding up quickly before the gaps closed late so the margin of 10.3metres was unfair. I'd almost go as far to say it should've won with clear running. The likely fav Major Cruiser has OK speed but theres a huge chance it'll get crossed but Sugars can get them running from the gate. If it leads it makes our task tougher but I think Nelsondale is a horse with good ability and looks value.
RESULT: 3rd. Leaders always had it in the bad but was beaten a fair way back in 3rd. $2.20 a place for those smarter than me!
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Okelerho Lad ($2.20)
Did a power of work over the longer trip last start and was very good in running 2nd to the impressive Kuroharpo Gambler. Key to that race is that it beat Keayang Storm home comfortably albeit the latter did have a tough run early. I think Craven with have him fired up early & there will be no surprise to see him in front here again today & over the shorter trip looks a good bet.
RESULT: LOST! A real plain run even though they ran real quick time whilst he was in the death. Did nothing.
Shepparton, Tuesday 21st April
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Ramblenroller ($20)
Certainly not a confident bet here but he's certainly a sneaky chance back in grade over the shorter trip. Was close to a $200 chance last start and even though beaten a long way, got held up before the turn, and matched it with the rest of the also rans. Had a forget run when not suited at Echuca 2 back but it's run previous when only 5.5metres off them in C2/3 company in 1:55 at this track is good enough to go close here. Needs the 1 to hold the lead and keep it which I think it will. (Fingers crossed they don't gift the lead to the stablemate.) Always Arjay and Last Issue are quality up and comers but both have been unimpressive over the trip & have question marks tonight. Happy to have a small amount on here. $67 on BET365 if you're quick!
RESULT: 4th. Never likely though after losing his position at the 400 metres. Battled away.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Royal Capone ($8)
Had no luck at Cranbourne on Sunday night over the mile, a trip he's never enjoyed. Back to the 2190metres is ideal and this is a very slow front line so the front maybe his for the taking. Even if it isn't, looks very well placed in this company. My best EW of the night by a long way
RESULT: WINNER! My mistake punters, I got the price wrong, unless you have a BET365 account. Led & won easily. Collect $192
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Lost In Bankok ($8)
Liked his run last start when 3 wide without cover the final 800metres (57.5) and was only beaten just over 2 metres. Was a little unlucky not to place behind Bettor Downunder 2 starts ago when held up at a vital stage but was a very good winner beating the flying Vox Populi when leading at Geelong 3 start back. The speed will be on throughout in this and just needs a cart into it to be very hard to hold out.
RESULT: 4th. Caldow got caught napping! Missed the 3wide train & was stuck back in the pack. Rattled home late but too late she cried!
MEETING RESULT: Won $12!
Race 5 No 8 Ramblenroller ($20)
Certainly not a confident bet here but he's certainly a sneaky chance back in grade over the shorter trip. Was close to a $200 chance last start and even though beaten a long way, got held up before the turn, and matched it with the rest of the also rans. Had a forget run when not suited at Echuca 2 back but it's run previous when only 5.5metres off them in C2/3 company in 1:55 at this track is good enough to go close here. Needs the 1 to hold the lead and keep it which I think it will. (Fingers crossed they don't gift the lead to the stablemate.) Always Arjay and Last Issue are quality up and comers but both have been unimpressive over the trip & have question marks tonight. Happy to have a small amount on here. $67 on BET365 if you're quick!
RESULT: 4th. Never likely though after losing his position at the 400 metres. Battled away.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Royal Capone ($8)
Had no luck at Cranbourne on Sunday night over the mile, a trip he's never enjoyed. Back to the 2190metres is ideal and this is a very slow front line so the front maybe his for the taking. Even if it isn't, looks very well placed in this company. My best EW of the night by a long way
RESULT: WINNER! My mistake punters, I got the price wrong, unless you have a BET365 account. Led & won easily. Collect $192
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Lost In Bankok ($8)
Liked his run last start when 3 wide without cover the final 800metres (57.5) and was only beaten just over 2 metres. Was a little unlucky not to place behind Bettor Downunder 2 starts ago when held up at a vital stage but was a very good winner beating the flying Vox Populi when leading at Geelong 3 start back. The speed will be on throughout in this and just needs a cart into it to be very hard to hold out.
RESULT: 4th. Caldow got caught napping! Missed the 3wide train & was stuck back in the pack. Rattled home late but too late she cried!
MEETING RESULT: Won $12!
Geelong, Monday 20th April
$30 Trifecta
Race 4: 1-2 / 1-2 / 3 for 1500%
Soho Tokoyo leads, Luvumum first up takes the sit behind the leader and they should be fighting out the finished. Abetta Tiny Dincer was impressive winning it's debut albeit it in slow time and he should settle 3 pegs and be flashing at them late but I don't think he can get past the top 2.
RESULT: WINNER! Kate Gath knew better than me & she got it right going to the death, well for our bet anyway, as Mick Stanley did as he pleased in front. Easy money! Collect $174
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Balance Point ($20)
Loved his run last start behind Rocknroll Music. Did plenty of work mid race to get the death but kept on giving to run a solid 2nd. This is a slight step up in class however likely to receive a much easier run in transit in a race that looks to have plenty of speed on throughout. It could be last man standing stuff here and if thats the case, he'll get his chance late at very good odds. It has been a fair while between drinks but still keen at the odds.
RESULT: WINNER! What? How the bloody hell did he lose that! Looked all over a winner in the sprint lane and them turned his head sideways to get nabbed by a whisker. Costly! Collect $91.80
MEETING RESULT: Won $185.80 & we're into the black in April, FINALLY!!
Race 4: 1-2 / 1-2 / 3 for 1500%
Soho Tokoyo leads, Luvumum first up takes the sit behind the leader and they should be fighting out the finished. Abetta Tiny Dincer was impressive winning it's debut albeit it in slow time and he should settle 3 pegs and be flashing at them late but I don't think he can get past the top 2.
RESULT: WINNER! Kate Gath knew better than me & she got it right going to the death, well for our bet anyway, as Mick Stanley did as he pleased in front. Easy money! Collect $174
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Balance Point ($20)
Loved his run last start behind Rocknroll Music. Did plenty of work mid race to get the death but kept on giving to run a solid 2nd. This is a slight step up in class however likely to receive a much easier run in transit in a race that looks to have plenty of speed on throughout. It could be last man standing stuff here and if thats the case, he'll get his chance late at very good odds. It has been a fair while between drinks but still keen at the odds.
RESULT: WINNER! What? How the bloody hell did he lose that! Looked all over a winner in the sprint lane and them turned his head sideways to get nabbed by a whisker. Costly! Collect $91.80
MEETING RESULT: Won $185.80 & we're into the black in April, FINALLY!!
Cranbourne, Sunday 19th April
Not really keen on anything straight out so playing a few exotics today:
$40 Trifecta
Race 1: 1-2 / 1-2 / 4-6-11-13 for 500%
My speed map has the 2 leading and 1 on it's back. Hard to see them not finishing top 2. The others the only chances to snag 3rd.
RESULT: WINNER! Not quite the way I thought it would pan out but winners are grinners! Collect $266
$50WIN
Race 2 No 8 Terra Beau ($4)
Misbehaved last start when broke shortly after finding the lead. Held off Tuscan Breeze the start previous and that horse has won impressively since. Follows through the likely leader here & this is much weaker than he has faced in recent times.
RESULT: 2nd. Ended up 3 back the pegs and the winner got too big a break on him down the straight.
$50 Quinella
Race 6: 1 & 8
Lanista looks the early lead and mighty hard to hold out. Only danger is Madison Louise who'll be following it's every move. Id be surprised if they're not fighting out the finish.
RESULT: Lost! 1st and 3rd. Madison Louise was very plain tonight, no excuses.
MEETING RESULT: Won $126
$40 Trifecta
Race 1: 1-2 / 1-2 / 4-6-11-13 for 500%
My speed map has the 2 leading and 1 on it's back. Hard to see them not finishing top 2. The others the only chances to snag 3rd.
RESULT: WINNER! Not quite the way I thought it would pan out but winners are grinners! Collect $266
$50WIN
Race 2 No 8 Terra Beau ($4)
Misbehaved last start when broke shortly after finding the lead. Held off Tuscan Breeze the start previous and that horse has won impressively since. Follows through the likely leader here & this is much weaker than he has faced in recent times.
RESULT: 2nd. Ended up 3 back the pegs and the winner got too big a break on him down the straight.
$50 Quinella
Race 6: 1 & 8
Lanista looks the early lead and mighty hard to hold out. Only danger is Madison Louise who'll be following it's every move. Id be surprised if they're not fighting out the finish.
RESULT: Lost! 1st and 3rd. Madison Louise was very plain tonight, no excuses.
MEETING RESULT: Won $126
Melton, Saturday 18th April
A different approach here members, I'm taking the odds on offer either at TAB or Sportsbet.
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Here And Now
Forget it went around last start. Previous start to that was run off here legs behind Bettor Downunder & was a very good 3rd in MO class 3 runs ago. I think the fav will be hard to beat but it's unknown over the sprint distance. I think David Murphy will hand up and give this mare every chance along the sprint lane.
ODDS: $13 & $2.50 @ Sportsbet
RESULT: Lost! I was surprised Murphy didn't hand up to be honest but was no match.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Niki No No
Huge heat run. Sat in the death and kept out all hose wanting the death mid race and just kept kicking late in the quickest heat of the night. Should be the first of the favourites to the pegs here & whether she decides to hold or take the sit behind the leader she's holding all the cards here.
ODDS: $4.60 @ TAB.
RESULT: WINNER! Everything just worked out perfectly in the run after securing the spot behind the leader & was too strong in the lane. Collect $460
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Here And Now
Forget it went around last start. Previous start to that was run off here legs behind Bettor Downunder & was a very good 3rd in MO class 3 runs ago. I think the fav will be hard to beat but it's unknown over the sprint distance. I think David Murphy will hand up and give this mare every chance along the sprint lane.
ODDS: $13 & $2.50 @ Sportsbet
RESULT: Lost! I was surprised Murphy didn't hand up to be honest but was no match.
$100WIN
Race 7 No 2 Niki No No
Huge heat run. Sat in the death and kept out all hose wanting the death mid race and just kept kicking late in the quickest heat of the night. Should be the first of the favourites to the pegs here & whether she decides to hold or take the sit behind the leader she's holding all the cards here.
ODDS: $4.60 @ TAB.
RESULT: WINNER! Everything just worked out perfectly in the run after securing the spot behind the leader & was too strong in the lane. Collect $460
Melton, Friday 17th April
$50WIN
Race 6 No 8 Milliondollar Wave ($5)
Was trialing well before his first up run where he had no chance after settling back in the field off a slow speed. Still a strong 3rd in a 57sec last half. Gets the gun run here behind Virgil Hilts and I think the fav has a question mark on it. 1720metres and if the 2 favs are at each other, bring on the sprint lane. Happy to go straight out here.
Race 6 No 8 Milliondollar Wave ($5)
Was trialing well before his first up run where he had no chance after settling back in the field off a slow speed. Still a strong 3rd in a 57sec last half. Gets the gun run here behind Virgil Hilts and I think the fav has a question mark on it. 1720metres and if the 2 favs are at each other, bring on the sprint lane. Happy to go straight out here.
Kilmore, Thursday 16th April
$100WIN
Race 5 No 13 Snip Of Grand ($2.50)
Huge run inthe Oaks heat on Friday and she's pretty stiff not to be in the final after being dragged out of it before the last turn. Worked hard early but once out late really attacked the line. Did all the work the start previous to just miss out behind Supersonic. The draw is awful but I jut think she's fit and low flying and only a bad drive will stop her tonight. Drive aggressively Mr Douglas!!
RESULT: 3rd. Wasn't good enough and that ends a close but no where near it day
Race 5 No 13 Snip Of Grand ($2.50)
Huge run inthe Oaks heat on Friday and she's pretty stiff not to be in the final after being dragged out of it before the last turn. Worked hard early but once out late really attacked the line. Did all the work the start previous to just miss out behind Supersonic. The draw is awful but I jut think she's fit and low flying and only a bad drive will stop her tonight. Drive aggressively Mr Douglas!!
RESULT: 3rd. Wasn't good enough and that ends a close but no where near it day
Maryborough, Thursday 16th April
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Just Call Me Mac ($2)
Was OK in holding 3rd behind Blazing Orion after death seating last start. That horse has won since. 3rd up he should strip a whoe heap fitter and Im pretty happy Michael Bellman hops back into the cart. Best bet of the day for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Best bet of the day for many others by the looks. Was into $1.40 at one stage & odds on punt is not my go so not a dime on for me. Got that one wrong but winners are grinners I suppose. Collect $150
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Captain Mordecai ($6)
Has been no chance in it's past few runs but if he lives up to his run behind Quaint Glenn 4 runs ago he'll go mighty close in this race that looks to lack any mid race pressure. Must lead/leaders back to be a winning chance
RESULT: 2nd. Just didn't get the slingshot into the sprint lane it needed but I think the winner was too good anyway. Collect $84
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Lika Gee Six ($4)
Looked a little plain last start but did work pretty hard mid race to get the death and battled on late in average time. Marked him as a blackbooker 2 starts ago at Melton after having no luck. Can do things wrong from the front line but on his best behavior he should bully his way to the front and be very hard to roll.
RESULT: LOST! Into the sacked bucket it goes..
$50WIN
Race 8 No 9 Vital Sign ($4)
Was anabsulte forget run in a very strong race at Geelong last start after never seeing daylight. Was a good winner from well back in the field the start previous at Stawell which is tough to do. With a few question marks on Koree Jayne. especially over distance, I think we have value here.
RESULT: 2nd. Massive drift out to $11 and Koree Jayne was nice odds too & was too good. Cant believe Kodimali was odds on!!
Race 2 No 1 Just Call Me Mac ($2)
Was OK in holding 3rd behind Blazing Orion after death seating last start. That horse has won since. 3rd up he should strip a whoe heap fitter and Im pretty happy Michael Bellman hops back into the cart. Best bet of the day for mine.
RESULT: WINNER! Best bet of the day for many others by the looks. Was into $1.40 at one stage & odds on punt is not my go so not a dime on for me. Got that one wrong but winners are grinners I suppose. Collect $150
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Captain Mordecai ($6)
Has been no chance in it's past few runs but if he lives up to his run behind Quaint Glenn 4 runs ago he'll go mighty close in this race that looks to lack any mid race pressure. Must lead/leaders back to be a winning chance
RESULT: 2nd. Just didn't get the slingshot into the sprint lane it needed but I think the winner was too good anyway. Collect $84
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Lika Gee Six ($4)
Looked a little plain last start but did work pretty hard mid race to get the death and battled on late in average time. Marked him as a blackbooker 2 starts ago at Melton after having no luck. Can do things wrong from the front line but on his best behavior he should bully his way to the front and be very hard to roll.
RESULT: LOST! Into the sacked bucket it goes..
$50WIN
Race 8 No 9 Vital Sign ($4)
Was anabsulte forget run in a very strong race at Geelong last start after never seeing daylight. Was a good winner from well back in the field the start previous at Stawell which is tough to do. With a few question marks on Koree Jayne. especially over distance, I think we have value here.
RESULT: 2nd. Massive drift out to $11 and Koree Jayne was nice odds too & was too good. Cant believe Kodimali was odds on!!
Shepparton, Wednesday 15th April
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Prince Of Dawn ($8)
Liked his run 3 starts back behind Just Kenny and was outclassed but not disgraced behind the smart Glenferrie Bronte. Last start galloped at the final bend when looking a huge chance but recovered to hit the line very well. There is a slight chance he ends up 3 pegs but that may not be the worst place to be in this race as I think the field should break up with the likes of A Matter Of Course & Yankee Strutter likely to pour on the pressure in the 3rd quarter. If he gets that little bit of luck he needs he's right in this
RESULT: Lost! The late scracting not ideal. Pretty much made the fav a good thing as it was virtually off the front line but he had his chance
$25WIN
Race 3 No 7 Realy Under Fire ($5)
He was climbing all over their backs last start in a field far superior to this. Needs a little bit of luck but looks the best form horse in the race and worth a throw at the stumps in a very weak race
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Rowdy Rocket ($6)
I tipped him last start and in hindsight the class over the longer trip was always going to be a struggle for him. Back to the sprint trip & the great draw suits. You only have to look back at Kilmore on the 11th of February when he finished 2.4metres off Okey Dokey who is now winning C3/4 class races. Even though last start was a C1 event, it was a quality field of up and commers & this is definitely a step back. Goes close IF he gets a run. 1st emergency!
RESULT: SCRATCHED bugger it. Real confident he would've gone close looking at the final result too. Ah well
Race 1 No 8 Prince Of Dawn ($8)
Liked his run 3 starts back behind Just Kenny and was outclassed but not disgraced behind the smart Glenferrie Bronte. Last start galloped at the final bend when looking a huge chance but recovered to hit the line very well. There is a slight chance he ends up 3 pegs but that may not be the worst place to be in this race as I think the field should break up with the likes of A Matter Of Course & Yankee Strutter likely to pour on the pressure in the 3rd quarter. If he gets that little bit of luck he needs he's right in this
RESULT: Lost! The late scracting not ideal. Pretty much made the fav a good thing as it was virtually off the front line but he had his chance
$25WIN
Race 3 No 7 Realy Under Fire ($5)
He was climbing all over their backs last start in a field far superior to this. Needs a little bit of luck but looks the best form horse in the race and worth a throw at the stumps in a very weak race
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Rowdy Rocket ($6)
I tipped him last start and in hindsight the class over the longer trip was always going to be a struggle for him. Back to the sprint trip & the great draw suits. You only have to look back at Kilmore on the 11th of February when he finished 2.4metres off Okey Dokey who is now winning C3/4 class races. Even though last start was a C1 event, it was a quality field of up and commers & this is definitely a step back. Goes close IF he gets a run. 1st emergency!
RESULT: SCRATCHED bugger it. Real confident he would've gone close looking at the final result too. Ah well
Terang, Tuesday 14th April
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Ritzy Fitz ($4)
Matthew Craven keeps the drive which is very pleasing to the punter. Was extremely impressive against weak opposition at Horsham last start when Craven cut the ribbons to run very good time to win. I think he can cross early here and more than likely hand up to Goodtime Rusty, the place to be at Terang! Looks a good bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Huge run after death seating and nabbed on the line
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Djibouti ($10)
He's a big awkward fella this gelding but is finally getting back to a winnable race after competing against much stronger earlier in his prep. Came from a mile back to hit the line strong in C2/3 grade at Stawell (a known leaders track) and last start hit the line strong after receiving a dream run against much stronger opposition. Races against some up & comers here tonight but the pace should be on throughout. Looks goos ew bet especially for those with BET365 accounts. ($26)
RESULT: 4th. The less said about the drive the better
Race 5 No 3 Ritzy Fitz ($4)
Matthew Craven keeps the drive which is very pleasing to the punter. Was extremely impressive against weak opposition at Horsham last start when Craven cut the ribbons to run very good time to win. I think he can cross early here and more than likely hand up to Goodtime Rusty, the place to be at Terang! Looks a good bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Huge run after death seating and nabbed on the line
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Djibouti ($10)
He's a big awkward fella this gelding but is finally getting back to a winnable race after competing against much stronger earlier in his prep. Came from a mile back to hit the line strong in C2/3 grade at Stawell (a known leaders track) and last start hit the line strong after receiving a dream run against much stronger opposition. Races against some up & comers here tonight but the pace should be on throughout. Looks goos ew bet especially for those with BET365 accounts. ($26)
RESULT: 4th. The less said about the drive the better
Yarra Valley, Monday 13th April
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Washmepockets ($4)
I think Discrimination leads & will hold the lead giving Washmepockets the best chance of winning a race for the first time since June 2014. He's been running very well against some of Victoria's best over the past 2 months without any luck. Just needs Discrimination to take him to the sprint lane to be very hard to hold out.
Race 7 No 8 Washmepockets ($4)
I think Discrimination leads & will hold the lead giving Washmepockets the best chance of winning a race for the first time since June 2014. He's been running very well against some of Victoria's best over the past 2 months without any luck. Just needs Discrimination to take him to the sprint lane to be very hard to hold out.
Melton, Sunday 12th April
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 11 Hoofnit ($10)
Showed huge improvement first up for Angela McDonough who has a great record getting average types to win races. This race is a step down from its last start 2nd and just needs an ounce of luck to figure from the poor draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Absolute smashed in late to $4! Won like an odds on pop. Collect $129.10
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Our Leo ($2.50)
Was desperately unlucky not to finish closer last start after being trapped 4 back the pegs. Should amble to the front early here and the addition of Greg Sugars is a massive bonus. Pretty keen on his chances in a very weak race.
RESULT: WINNER! Another smashed in the betting. Closed $1.60! I was worried half way out but got the job done. Collect $160
MEETING RESULT: Won $139.10
Race 1 No 11 Hoofnit ($10)
Showed huge improvement first up for Angela McDonough who has a great record getting average types to win races. This race is a step down from its last start 2nd and just needs an ounce of luck to figure from the poor draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Absolute smashed in late to $4! Won like an odds on pop. Collect $129.10
$100WIN
Race 5 No 5 Our Leo ($2.50)
Was desperately unlucky not to finish closer last start after being trapped 4 back the pegs. Should amble to the front early here and the addition of Greg Sugars is a massive bonus. Pretty keen on his chances in a very weak race.
RESULT: WINNER! Another smashed in the betting. Closed $1.60! I was worried half way out but got the job done. Collect $160
MEETING RESULT: Won $139.10
Mildura, Saturday 11th April
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Primo Tapia ($4)
Hasn't been suited in it's past 2 from poor draws but returns to the perfect draw & distance and will lead here. The only query maybe how much pressure they apply mid race but at $4 I think he's the value on a leader biased track
RESULT: 3rd. Attacked the whole way. Those that attacked him finish well back.. Not happy.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Dream Always ($8)
This is an average horse and it's a fairly risky tip (yet to win from 29 starts) but he was a really nice run after working at both ends of the race and only finishing 3 metres off the winner in 3rd. Should find the lead with little trouble here considering his stablemate draws 1 and should get every possible chance in a very thin race.
RESULT: 2nd. The late scratching of the 2nd favourite killed the odds but wasn't good enough to beat the fav. $39.30 collect
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 7 for 2500%
10 / 2 / 1
Arden Rooney was massive in the heat and I expect him to lead mid race with Major Crocker electing to take a sit on his back. Hotasel the value after his run in the heat was very good. They walked early (for this class of horse) and to hit the line late like he did to finish on their heels from 1x2 on a night heavily favouring the leaders, was a huge effort. The less riskier bet maybe a place bet on Hotasel at around $4 but I think we can snag some value here.
RESULT: LOST! Wrong bloody order!! Gutted absolutely gutted. I hope subscribers backed Hotasel. Huge run it after galloping early. Got the dream run late & pipped Major Crocker on the line for 2nd.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Big Bang Penny ($4)
Last chance! Been a very costly conveyance for poggaharness but there should be no excuses tonight. Showed early in it's career it has the necessary gate sppeed to hold the lead early here and he's be racing a bit one paced in recent starts so the front should suit. His biggest danger will be sitting on his back (if my speed maps are right) but with no sprint lane I'm predicting an all the way victory
RESULT: LOST! Crossed and then checked early when the leader galloped. Not sure what Justice was doing at the start, wasn't even up at the gate when the began. Horse is a non winner
Race 2 No 1 Primo Tapia ($4)
Hasn't been suited in it's past 2 from poor draws but returns to the perfect draw & distance and will lead here. The only query maybe how much pressure they apply mid race but at $4 I think he's the value on a leader biased track
RESULT: 3rd. Attacked the whole way. Those that attacked him finish well back.. Not happy.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Dream Always ($8)
This is an average horse and it's a fairly risky tip (yet to win from 29 starts) but he was a really nice run after working at both ends of the race and only finishing 3 metres off the winner in 3rd. Should find the lead with little trouble here considering his stablemate draws 1 and should get every possible chance in a very thin race.
RESULT: 2nd. The late scratching of the 2nd favourite killed the odds but wasn't good enough to beat the fav. $39.30 collect
$25 TRIFECTA
Race 7 for 2500%
10 / 2 / 1
Arden Rooney was massive in the heat and I expect him to lead mid race with Major Crocker electing to take a sit on his back. Hotasel the value after his run in the heat was very good. They walked early (for this class of horse) and to hit the line late like he did to finish on their heels from 1x2 on a night heavily favouring the leaders, was a huge effort. The less riskier bet maybe a place bet on Hotasel at around $4 but I think we can snag some value here.
RESULT: LOST! Wrong bloody order!! Gutted absolutely gutted. I hope subscribers backed Hotasel. Huge run it after galloping early. Got the dream run late & pipped Major Crocker on the line for 2nd.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Big Bang Penny ($4)
Last chance! Been a very costly conveyance for poggaharness but there should be no excuses tonight. Showed early in it's career it has the necessary gate sppeed to hold the lead early here and he's be racing a bit one paced in recent starts so the front should suit. His biggest danger will be sitting on his back (if my speed maps are right) but with no sprint lane I'm predicting an all the way victory
RESULT: LOST! Crossed and then checked early when the leader galloped. Not sure what Justice was doing at the start, wasn't even up at the gate when the began. Horse is a non winner
Melton, Friday 10th April
$50WIN
Race 7 No 10 Lovable Larrikin ($4)
His last 2 runs have been luckless after being driven for luck. Previous wins at this track were first class and this is arguable a drop down in class. As long as they don't walk in front, he goes extremely close yet again.
RESULT: 2nd. Not close enough! Great run though and we'll keep following.
Race 7 No 10 Lovable Larrikin ($4)
His last 2 runs have been luckless after being driven for luck. Previous wins at this track were first class and this is arguable a drop down in class. As long as they don't walk in front, he goes extremely close yet again.
RESULT: 2nd. Not close enough! Great run though and we'll keep following.
Bendigo, Thursday 9th April
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Sonofamasterpiece ($10)
Looking back on his Kilmore run, it's better than what appears. There was a strong head wind throughout the day and his mile was the quickest run on the whole meeting. He was just bloused on the line so reckon he was stiff not to win. Has to contend with an odds on fav who should lead but it has been ordinary of late. The race is pretty thin outside of these 2. At a double figure quote, worth a go.
RESULT: LOST! Good win by the fav after Richard Caruana declared war in the first 2 quarters of the race. Shocking drive and we had no chance after sitting in the breeze in a 57.7 first half.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Shakchloe ($5)
Its now or never for this mare. This is a nice drop in depth and class from what she's been racing against of late. Her form over the past month has been fantastic against some quality fields but her problem is her early speed. She showed enough and couple of starts ago to make me think she's a sneaky chance to hold them out here. If she does, I think she's an absolute moral but even if crossed she's a solid chance in this.
RESULT: WINNER! Nice drive Mr Jack. $8 for early shoppers. Collect $125
Race 1 No 2 Sonofamasterpiece ($10)
Looking back on his Kilmore run, it's better than what appears. There was a strong head wind throughout the day and his mile was the quickest run on the whole meeting. He was just bloused on the line so reckon he was stiff not to win. Has to contend with an odds on fav who should lead but it has been ordinary of late. The race is pretty thin outside of these 2. At a double figure quote, worth a go.
RESULT: LOST! Good win by the fav after Richard Caruana declared war in the first 2 quarters of the race. Shocking drive and we had no chance after sitting in the breeze in a 57.7 first half.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Shakchloe ($5)
Its now or never for this mare. This is a nice drop in depth and class from what she's been racing against of late. Her form over the past month has been fantastic against some quality fields but her problem is her early speed. She showed enough and couple of starts ago to make me think she's a sneaky chance to hold them out here. If she does, I think she's an absolute moral but even if crossed she's a solid chance in this.
RESULT: WINNER! Nice drive Mr Jack. $8 for early shoppers. Collect $125
Geelong, Wednesday 8th April
$100WIN
Race 7 No 3 Rocknroll Music ($2.50)
One last chance for this gelding. Was very plain last start after receiving the perfect trail into the race. His best wins/races have been up on the speed and gets that opportunity tonight & interesting that Michael Stanley is onboard who is renowned for his aggressive approach to driving. Will get every possible chance.
RESULT: WINNER! Take the money and run. Had an easy run and just held on. Collect $290
Race 7 No 3 Rocknroll Music ($2.50)
One last chance for this gelding. Was very plain last start after receiving the perfect trail into the race. His best wins/races have been up on the speed and gets that opportunity tonight & interesting that Michael Stanley is onboard who is renowned for his aggressive approach to driving. Will get every possible chance.
RESULT: WINNER! Take the money and run. Had an easy run and just held on. Collect $290
Cobram, Wednesday 8th April
$100WIN
Race 2 No 7 A Matter Of Course ($2)
Forget last start when looked the winner before getting a badly punctured tyre and dropping out late. Was racing OK in much better races before that and this is another step down in class. Over to you Nathan.
RESULT: WINNER! $1.70? Didn't think it would be that short. Heart in mouth stuff for those that took the shorts. Happy days for BET365 punters who snapped up the early $2.50 Collect $170
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Brother Rabbit ($4)
He's back! Longtime members know my love for this horse and gets conditions to suit here. Back to the 2190 metres & early speed will be on. Was caught wide over the unsuitable mile trip at Shepparton last start before settling 5 back the pegs. Never got a crack at them so forget the run. His form before that was very good for a race like this. Donna Castles onboard is a plus as she knows the horse so well.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a pimple. Good run considering the bias towards leaders but that doesn't pay.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Attack On Command ($4)
Has pretty much had nothing go right from poor draws all preparation. Gets the draw, back to C1 class and looks the leader & winner
RESULT: WINNER! $4.20 was available for those lucky enough to hold a BET365 account. Closed $1.65! Collect $82.50
DAY RESULT: Won $242.50. You probably double that and more if you hold a BET365 account
Race 2 No 7 A Matter Of Course ($2)
Forget last start when looked the winner before getting a badly punctured tyre and dropping out late. Was racing OK in much better races before that and this is another step down in class. Over to you Nathan.
RESULT: WINNER! $1.70? Didn't think it would be that short. Heart in mouth stuff for those that took the shorts. Happy days for BET365 punters who snapped up the early $2.50 Collect $170
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Brother Rabbit ($4)
He's back! Longtime members know my love for this horse and gets conditions to suit here. Back to the 2190 metres & early speed will be on. Was caught wide over the unsuitable mile trip at Shepparton last start before settling 5 back the pegs. Never got a crack at them so forget the run. His form before that was very good for a race like this. Donna Castles onboard is a plus as she knows the horse so well.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a pimple. Good run considering the bias towards leaders but that doesn't pay.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Attack On Command ($4)
Has pretty much had nothing go right from poor draws all preparation. Gets the draw, back to C1 class and looks the leader & winner
RESULT: WINNER! $4.20 was available for those lucky enough to hold a BET365 account. Closed $1.65! Collect $82.50
DAY RESULT: Won $242.50. You probably double that and more if you hold a BET365 account
Charlton, Monday 6th April
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 3 In House ($8)
Has had two runs back this preparation and although finishing back in the field, hasn't been suited and certainly not disgraced. Comes back to a very winnable race and one thing Im very confident of, Rita Burnett will have him in front & running. The final 100metres is the worry but so of these in this race are walkers and I'm tipping will have a hard time keeping up. Good EW punt.
RESULT: 4th. The final 200 metres was a worry. Started massive unders too.
Race 8 No 3 In House ($8)
Has had two runs back this preparation and although finishing back in the field, hasn't been suited and certainly not disgraced. Comes back to a very winnable race and one thing Im very confident of, Rita Burnett will have him in front & running. The final 100metres is the worry but so of these in this race are walkers and I'm tipping will have a hard time keeping up. Good EW punt.
RESULT: 4th. The final 200 metres was a worry. Started massive unders too.
Echuca, Sunday 5th April
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Classic Grin ($2)
Has been very good this time in against much stronger grade of horse than it meets tonight. May not cross early but can still take a sit close enough to the lead and win. Looks it's race to lose.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally on the board for April. Collect $200
Race 8 No 3 Classic Grin ($2)
Has been very good this time in against much stronger grade of horse than it meets tonight. May not cross early but can still take a sit close enough to the lead and win. Looks it's race to lose.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally on the board for April. Collect $200
Warragul, Sunday 5th April
$25WIN
Race 1 No 1 Live In Doubt ($8)
Went round for practice last week but finished off very well late. Gets the draw today & should be much fitter 2nd up. Big chance at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Started extremely short, led & did nothing
Race 1 No 1 Live In Doubt ($8)
Went round for practice last week but finished off very well late. Gets the draw today & should be much fitter 2nd up. Big chance at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Started extremely short, led & did nothing
Ararat, Saturday 4th April
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Alesha Maguire ($3)
Liked her run at Melton last week when only got out late and hit the line strong in one of the better 2yo races in Vic this season. Only got the 1 to beat here who has trialed well but has to be a question mark on it's debut.
RESULT: 3rd. Led and was disappointing
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Amberlu Angus ($6)
Looked like a major player turning into the straight last start but locked wheels & got dragged out of it to the punters dismay. $19 into $6! Will roll straight to the front and possibly hand up to the favourite Keeyang Storm & get every opportunity here. Redeem yourself Zac!
RESULT: 4th. Ordinary run
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Dobop ($4)
Wasn't suited at Melton last start, where she had a heap of excuses. Was a good winner at Boort previous to that and looks a huge chance from the draw.
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance
Race 3 No 2 Alesha Maguire ($3)
Liked her run at Melton last week when only got out late and hit the line strong in one of the better 2yo races in Vic this season. Only got the 1 to beat here who has trialed well but has to be a question mark on it's debut.
RESULT: 3rd. Led and was disappointing
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Amberlu Angus ($6)
Looked like a major player turning into the straight last start but locked wheels & got dragged out of it to the punters dismay. $19 into $6! Will roll straight to the front and possibly hand up to the favourite Keeyang Storm & get every opportunity here. Redeem yourself Zac!
RESULT: 4th. Ordinary run
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Dobop ($4)
Wasn't suited at Melton last start, where she had a heap of excuses. Was a good winner at Boort previous to that and looks a huge chance from the draw.
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance
Ballarat, Thursday 2nd April
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 5 for 2500%
2 / 1-5 / 1-5
Think Major Crocker crosses early, Regal Knight is leaders back & Messini will be left to do all the work in the breeze. Going to be extremely tough to roll Major Croker from the top and think there is great value in the trifecta
RESULT: Lost! Major Crocker hands up & that was the bet done.
Race 5 for 2500%
2 / 1-5 / 1-5
Think Major Crocker crosses early, Regal Knight is leaders back & Messini will be left to do all the work in the breeze. Going to be extremely tough to roll Major Croker from the top and think there is great value in the trifecta
RESULT: Lost! Major Crocker hands up & that was the bet done.
Kilmore, Thursday 2nd April
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Sonofamasterpiece ($4)
It's been a long wait, close to 12months, for this bloke to race against the right grade from a good draw. Only had the 6 starts but they've all been against a level or 2 higher than what he meets tonight. Hasn't been really been let loose from the gate yet but looked like it was there 2 starts ago. Either from the lead or leaders back looks value.
RESULT: 2nd. A $40 shot pesters it at the start (didn't bloody need to, leaders back was there!) and they nearly broke 27 for the first quarter. Kept kicking in the straight but the fav just had the easier run. $12 opening on BET365 would have been very very nice.
Race 4 No 1 Sonofamasterpiece ($4)
It's been a long wait, close to 12months, for this bloke to race against the right grade from a good draw. Only had the 6 starts but they've all been against a level or 2 higher than what he meets tonight. Hasn't been really been let loose from the gate yet but looked like it was there 2 starts ago. Either from the lead or leaders back looks value.
RESULT: 2nd. A $40 shot pesters it at the start (didn't bloody need to, leaders back was there!) and they nearly broke 27 for the first quarter. Kept kicking in the straight but the fav just had the easier run. $12 opening on BET365 would have been very very nice.
Bendigo, Wednesday 1st April
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 4 The Numbers Man ($8)
Claimers and me haven't been a great mix over the years but I just can't ignore this horse, especially after seeing the BET365 odds. Works extremely hard early when leading over the longer trip. Did well to keep battling to the line late in a slow last hlf but did beat home Classic Icon & Bout Time who are both chances in this race. Needs to cross early but I think he can against those on his inside. If he does so easily, he's going to be mighty hard to catch. $26 on BET365. OVERS
RESULT: LOST! Just went far too quick. 1:55 over the mile and was gone at the top of the straight. Bout Time wins at $40, which was enormous overs..
Race 4 No 4 The Numbers Man ($8)
Claimers and me haven't been a great mix over the years but I just can't ignore this horse, especially after seeing the BET365 odds. Works extremely hard early when leading over the longer trip. Did well to keep battling to the line late in a slow last hlf but did beat home Classic Icon & Bout Time who are both chances in this race. Needs to cross early but I think he can against those on his inside. If he does so easily, he's going to be mighty hard to catch. $26 on BET365. OVERS
RESULT: LOST! Just went far too quick. 1:55 over the mile and was gone at the top of the straight. Bout Time wins at $40, which was enormous overs..
Melton, Wednesday 1st April
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6: 9 & 10
I think this race is simple. Both these horses are a level above what they meet today and I had trouble splitting the pair with a slight favoring to Diamond Castle. Should be a good battle if they have average luck and Im confident they'll give us a winning start to April
RESULT: Lost! Weird race & awful to watch. Diamond Castle ran like it had 3 legs & Glenferrie never looked comfortable.
Race 6: 9 & 10
I think this race is simple. Both these horses are a level above what they meet today and I had trouble splitting the pair with a slight favoring to Diamond Castle. Should be a good battle if they have average luck and Im confident they'll give us a winning start to April
RESULT: Lost! Weird race & awful to watch. Diamond Castle ran like it had 3 legs & Glenferrie never looked comfortable.
Shepparton, Tuesday 31st MArch
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 1 To The Rescue ($26)
Was never a chance against some very smart NSW 3yo's after settling last and trying to come round their outsides last time out. I marked him as a black booker after his Kilmore run 2 starts after he charged at them late, nearly running down Yankee Strutter, a major player in this race. The major problem here is the draw as he has bugger all early speed but if he can manage to at least 3 back the pegs he's a chance. At the big odds Im happy to be on for a small amount.
RESULT: WINNER! Showed gate speed this week & that was the difference. Took it's sweet time getting there but it did at big odds. Collect $482
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Ramblenroller ($12)
Fair to say I do love this horse & had to await the announcement on the scratching of the emergency before I could tip it which has now happened. Finally gets the inside draw it needs to figure in the finish & follows through the odds on favourite who should be leading. Ramblen has a very good final sprint especially over the short course and should be getting every opportunity tonight via the sprint lane. Looks massive overs on BET365
RESULT: LOST! Late mail, what the hell was a thinking. Fav couldn't lead and it was curtains after he settled 3 pegs. Wasn't a bad run but never a threat.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 9 Nothings Final ($4)
Was a strong winner of his heat after leading from gate 7, working early & finsihing off well. It was the 2nd quickest of the heats but I think he had a little up his sleave, drawing away impressively late. It's a different story from the back row but he's versatile enough to win from back in the field and should get a nice trail through early in what looks a good early speed. I reckon we'll get nice overs here.
RESULT: WINNER! Overs alright. Got out to $10 at one stage. Had the perfect trail through as predicted & finished off well. Takes a while to wind up this fella but he's very strong & will be winning again soon. Collect $450
MEETING RESULT: Won $802. That's a decent day in the office
Stawell, Monday 30th March
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Frostyflyer ($2)
Still a maiden after 4 starts but loved his run first up. The walked in front and he had to make ground in a slick 57.3 last half and did well to finish only 3 metres off the winner in 2nd. Should be much fitter for that run and I think he's a better horse than the likely fav in this race. Gets the advantage of the good draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Great drive by Caldow. As soon as the 2nd fav made a move he put the foot down running a 27 sec 3rd quarter. Took the wind out of it's sails and we were home. Collect $230
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Our Supreme Guy ($7)
Just missed last start after getting a late run from 3 pegs. Its best runs have been over the longer distances with a sit and gets every opportunity to get that type of run here. Looks a great EW bet.
RESULT: 2nd beaten a head. I got the odds wrong here, by a fair way! Opened $3.80 and drifted out to $4.40 on closing. Collect $78
MEETING RESULT: Won $108
Race 1 No 1 Frostyflyer ($2)
Still a maiden after 4 starts but loved his run first up. The walked in front and he had to make ground in a slick 57.3 last half and did well to finish only 3 metres off the winner in 2nd. Should be much fitter for that run and I think he's a better horse than the likely fav in this race. Gets the advantage of the good draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Great drive by Caldow. As soon as the 2nd fav made a move he put the foot down running a 27 sec 3rd quarter. Took the wind out of it's sails and we were home. Collect $230
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Our Supreme Guy ($7)
Just missed last start after getting a late run from 3 pegs. Its best runs have been over the longer distances with a sit and gets every opportunity to get that type of run here. Looks a great EW bet.
RESULT: 2nd beaten a head. I got the odds wrong here, by a fair way! Opened $3.80 and drifted out to $4.40 on closing. Collect $78
MEETING RESULT: Won $108
Mildura, Sunday 29th March
$100 TRIFECTA
Race 4 for 2500%
1 / 7 / 2-5-6-10
Flying McPocket wins this easily & Slims Kitchen will be receiving the best run of the race & is a lock for 2nd. It's a raffle for 3rd but I reckon we can snag it with a couple of longshots.
RESULT: LOST! The $1.04 fav goes down. Didn't see that one coming..
$25WIN
Race 6 No 7 One Knight Stand ($6)
Just a small go here on this bloke. I liked it's run last start after it did a few things wrong but it's a slight worry a $100 shot won the race. Gets a good sit on the favourites back here who I think is suspect. Worth a go
RESULT: 2nd. Good run but no answer for the favourite
Race 4 for 2500%
1 / 7 / 2-5-6-10
Flying McPocket wins this easily & Slims Kitchen will be receiving the best run of the race & is a lock for 2nd. It's a raffle for 3rd but I reckon we can snag it with a couple of longshots.
RESULT: LOST! The $1.04 fav goes down. Didn't see that one coming..
$25WIN
Race 6 No 7 One Knight Stand ($6)
Just a small go here on this bloke. I liked it's run last start after it did a few things wrong but it's a slight worry a $100 shot won the race. Gets a good sit on the favourites back here who I think is suspect. Worth a go
RESULT: 2nd. Good run but no answer for the favourite
Cranbourne, Saturday 28th March
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 No Tomorrow ($4)
Was driven a shocker by Bec last start and was a certainty beaten. The draw maybe a blessing in disguise here as she's shouldn't be locked away on the rails. I expect him to settle with cover here up & handy to the lead and as long as Bec doesn't get caught up in traffic she should go very close to winning.
RESULT: 3rd. Got stuck wothout cover and was a good run all considering. A poor tip in hindsight.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Rocknroll Music ($12)
Loved his run at Yarra Valley after Major Secret led as he liked whilst he settled out the back. He let down really nicely down the back straight but the 55 second last half took it's toll late but was only 5.7metres behind at the finish. Major Secret won't have it it's own way from 8 tonight and I think the fireworks are going to be on throughout in this. We just need a trail into the race late & if it's last man standing, this bloke is a huge chance at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Had every opportunity and was very plain
$50PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Rowdy Rocket ($5)
Really liked the way this bloke has returned to racing albeit in weaker races than tonight. Was never in the hunt over the sprint at Melton last start but fnished the race off well. Previous start to that was caught 4 pegs and again finished off the race well again. He's got the gate speed to lead & either hand up to the 4 or Im sure the stable will be praying it's Terra Beau. Should get the good trail and finish hard along the sprint. I don't think he can win but a massive place chance at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Ran like a $50 shot..
Race 5 No 4 No Tomorrow ($4)
Was driven a shocker by Bec last start and was a certainty beaten. The draw maybe a blessing in disguise here as she's shouldn't be locked away on the rails. I expect him to settle with cover here up & handy to the lead and as long as Bec doesn't get caught up in traffic she should go very close to winning.
RESULT: 3rd. Got stuck wothout cover and was a good run all considering. A poor tip in hindsight.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Rocknroll Music ($12)
Loved his run at Yarra Valley after Major Secret led as he liked whilst he settled out the back. He let down really nicely down the back straight but the 55 second last half took it's toll late but was only 5.7metres behind at the finish. Major Secret won't have it it's own way from 8 tonight and I think the fireworks are going to be on throughout in this. We just need a trail into the race late & if it's last man standing, this bloke is a huge chance at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Had every opportunity and was very plain
$50PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Rowdy Rocket ($5)
Really liked the way this bloke has returned to racing albeit in weaker races than tonight. Was never in the hunt over the sprint at Melton last start but fnished the race off well. Previous start to that was caught 4 pegs and again finished off the race well again. He's got the gate speed to lead & either hand up to the 4 or Im sure the stable will be praying it's Terra Beau. Should get the good trail and finish hard along the sprint. I don't think he can win but a massive place chance at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Ran like a $50 shot..
Melton, Friday 27th March
NO BETS
Shepparton, Thursday 26th March
$45 Trifecta
Race 4: 5-7-10 / 2-5-7-10 / 2-5-7-10 for 250%
Class horse of the field Wemen Sporty but first up from gate 7 and Leigh Miles in the gig has me a little worried, not that Leigh is that bad but it's a downgrade from Greg Sugars. Really thought Just Call Me Mac was a forgive run first up and if you have BET365, $21 is huge value. Blazing Orion has trialed well after finishing his last prep off well & is a huge danger especially if the go silly early whilst Smiling Again struggles to win and will be thereabouts on the pegs. The rest look a class below. If we can get the fav rolled at a very short quote, yesterdays loss is gone.
RESULT: WINNER! Well we got lucky. The 8 goes for a run on the inside and probably shouldve run 2nd but galloped and we get the result. How does a trifecta pay $200+ when the $1.20 fav runs out of the top 3 I ask you? Collect $519.50
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 Nothings Final ($4)
Got carted back behind a tiring horse at Melton last start behind Bettor Downunder but his start previous attacked the line real well when 3rd behind Bettor Downunder (beaten 40+metres) but that sounds worse than it is considering that horse is a potential star. Happy Schnapps is a decent horse was 2nd in that race & beat it a lip so the form is solid for a race such as this. The draw is a little worry but had it drawn 1-4 it would've been my best of the day. Grades beautifully in this C1, just needs average luck
RESULT: WINNER! How easy was that. Shouldve been 100% bet that but yesterday scared me a little. Collect $285
Day Result: Won $709.50
Race 4: 5-7-10 / 2-5-7-10 / 2-5-7-10 for 250%
Class horse of the field Wemen Sporty but first up from gate 7 and Leigh Miles in the gig has me a little worried, not that Leigh is that bad but it's a downgrade from Greg Sugars. Really thought Just Call Me Mac was a forgive run first up and if you have BET365, $21 is huge value. Blazing Orion has trialed well after finishing his last prep off well & is a huge danger especially if the go silly early whilst Smiling Again struggles to win and will be thereabouts on the pegs. The rest look a class below. If we can get the fav rolled at a very short quote, yesterdays loss is gone.
RESULT: WINNER! Well we got lucky. The 8 goes for a run on the inside and probably shouldve run 2nd but galloped and we get the result. How does a trifecta pay $200+ when the $1.20 fav runs out of the top 3 I ask you? Collect $519.50
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 Nothings Final ($4)
Got carted back behind a tiring horse at Melton last start behind Bettor Downunder but his start previous attacked the line real well when 3rd behind Bettor Downunder (beaten 40+metres) but that sounds worse than it is considering that horse is a potential star. Happy Schnapps is a decent horse was 2nd in that race & beat it a lip so the form is solid for a race such as this. The draw is a little worry but had it drawn 1-4 it would've been my best of the day. Grades beautifully in this C1, just needs average luck
RESULT: WINNER! How easy was that. Shouldve been 100% bet that but yesterday scared me a little. Collect $285
Day Result: Won $709.50
Bendigo, Wednesday 25th March
$100WIN
Race 2 No 10 Yackandandah ($2)
Hit the line well late in a ridiculous time at Ballarat first up before a forget run at Melton last start. Should be speed on here and I just thinks it's by far the best horse in the race.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a lip. Keep hanging in down the straight & couldn't go bloody straight!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Lohi Liz ($7)
This is a stand start race full of horses that are very scratchy away from the stand and I wouldn't be surprised if Lohi Liz is in front not long after the start, even from the 20metres handicap. Led from the 10 metres at Melton when annoyed throughout by a ridiculous Lance Justice drive and did well to finish as close as she did. Followed that up with another tough effort after death seating in strong time. This is a much weaker race and looks really suited. Mr Alford you owe us!
RESULT: LOST! Galloped away, stuck in the death & carbon copy run of it's last start
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Crusader Acey ($6)
Was 5 & 6 wide late at Charlton last start finishing just behind the likes of Smo & Gollahman who have been running well on the country cup scene of late. No country cups winners here & looks a great EW bet
RESULT: 4th. Driver error, driver error, driver bloody error. Took off at the 600metres & went for home. No carrots left at the end. Beaten by No Bettertime, a Pogga favourite. Sums up the day
DAY RESULT: Lost $350. OUCH.
Race 2 No 10 Yackandandah ($2)
Hit the line well late in a ridiculous time at Ballarat first up before a forget run at Melton last start. Should be speed on here and I just thinks it's by far the best horse in the race.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a lip. Keep hanging in down the straight & couldn't go bloody straight!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Lohi Liz ($7)
This is a stand start race full of horses that are very scratchy away from the stand and I wouldn't be surprised if Lohi Liz is in front not long after the start, even from the 20metres handicap. Led from the 10 metres at Melton when annoyed throughout by a ridiculous Lance Justice drive and did well to finish as close as she did. Followed that up with another tough effort after death seating in strong time. This is a much weaker race and looks really suited. Mr Alford you owe us!
RESULT: LOST! Galloped away, stuck in the death & carbon copy run of it's last start
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Crusader Acey ($6)
Was 5 & 6 wide late at Charlton last start finishing just behind the likes of Smo & Gollahman who have been running well on the country cup scene of late. No country cups winners here & looks a great EW bet
RESULT: 4th. Driver error, driver error, driver bloody error. Took off at the 600metres & went for home. No carrots left at the end. Beaten by No Bettertime, a Pogga favourite. Sums up the day
DAY RESULT: Lost $350. OUCH.
Horsham, Wednesday 25th MArch
$50WIN
Race 2 No 9 Ess Prefontaine ($4)
First up for new trainer at My Gambier and was flatenned almost to a stand still early doors. Ran into dead ends with 400 to go before getting out and battling to the line but I think the extra effort told. The winner of that race Winterfel is a decent SA beast and a horse that would start long odds on in this so the form is solid. These are very weak here. My main concern is the driver
RESULT: 3rd. Had it's chance.
Race 2 No 9 Ess Prefontaine ($4)
First up for new trainer at My Gambier and was flatenned almost to a stand still early doors. Ran into dead ends with 400 to go before getting out and battling to the line but I think the extra effort told. The winner of that race Winterfel is a decent SA beast and a horse that would start long odds on in this so the form is solid. These are very weak here. My main concern is the driver
RESULT: 3rd. Had it's chance.
Kilmore, Tuesday 24th March
$100WIN
Race 5 No 1 Secret Agenda ($1.80)
Trialed very well before a solid 2nd behind the low flying Glenferrie Blade first up. Has the gate speed to hold them early and should be leading all the way here. Ive marked it odds on but I think there maybe black odds available early here.
RESULT: LOST! No black odds but wow that was bad. Gone a long way out.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Mister Rufus ($8)
On paper his last run looks fair but the fact is it was pushed 5 & 6 wide late but ran past horses like Show Heeza Classic late and made up good ground on the leaders in a 28 second last quarter. The draw looks ideal here and lacks the depth of his last start. The 1 has walked out in it's couple of run in Oz & expect Giant Steps to lead & hand up. Ideally to Mister Rufus if Zac is aggressive enough although if not still be getting a sit close to the lead. Those with Bet365 accounts, $17 looks juicy
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance. Great drive from the young fella Zac Steenhuis. Collect $96
$20 DAILY DOUBLE
Race 5 No 1 into Race 7 No 4
Think they is real value in this and for a small investment worth a go.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $74.
Race 5 No 1 Secret Agenda ($1.80)
Trialed very well before a solid 2nd behind the low flying Glenferrie Blade first up. Has the gate speed to hold them early and should be leading all the way here. Ive marked it odds on but I think there maybe black odds available early here.
RESULT: LOST! No black odds but wow that was bad. Gone a long way out.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Mister Rufus ($8)
On paper his last run looks fair but the fact is it was pushed 5 & 6 wide late but ran past horses like Show Heeza Classic late and made up good ground on the leaders in a 28 second last quarter. The draw looks ideal here and lacks the depth of his last start. The 1 has walked out in it's couple of run in Oz & expect Giant Steps to lead & hand up. Ideally to Mister Rufus if Zac is aggressive enough although if not still be getting a sit close to the lead. Those with Bet365 accounts, $17 looks juicy
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance. Great drive from the young fella Zac Steenhuis. Collect $96
$20 DAILY DOUBLE
Race 5 No 1 into Race 7 No 4
Think they is real value in this and for a small investment worth a go.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $74.
Warragul, Monday 23rd March
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Zuko Dream ($3)
I think this bloke is a whole lot more talented than his 1 win from 33 starts suggest, he's just been really poorly placed, continues to draw badly and puts in the odd mistake here or there. Today gets his chance. Drawn 3 with a couple of average beginners on his inside, he should get the front fairly easily. This is not a race of great depth and it's unlikely to have much mid race pressure. Trialed well behind a couple of talented types at Melton last week which suggests he's ready to go.
RESULT: 4th. No lead no win..
$100WIN
Race 7 No 3 Big Bang Penny ($2.5)
Has benefited from a drop in class recently running some nice placings from poor draws against the likes of Melita Bromac and Uroc Mman which is very good form for a race such as this. He won't know himself from gate 3 and he does have early speed and John Justice would be crazy not to use it here as the lead is there for the taking with the 2 horses on his inside running better with a sit. With his main dangers drawn his outside, I think only driver error can lose this for him.
RESULT: 2nd. Had to drive more aggresively JJ and didn't. That was hard to watch.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Mor Laag ($20)
This is a bit of a stab this tip but thought he was a recipient of a very poor drive last start and should've finished much closer in a similar if not stronger race than this. Missed getting on the back of Outer Join who was tracking into the race nicely and that cost him close to 20metres and for mine cost him a placing considering he only got beaten by Outer Jon (3rd) by 10metres. He is a much better horse closer to the lead and should settle 1x1 here (a sneaky chance of leading if driven aggressively) and with the likely fav mixing it's form he's a definite knock out chance at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Pretty ordinary finish to an ordinary day
MEETING RESULT: Lost $180
Race 6 No 3 Zuko Dream ($3)
I think this bloke is a whole lot more talented than his 1 win from 33 starts suggest, he's just been really poorly placed, continues to draw badly and puts in the odd mistake here or there. Today gets his chance. Drawn 3 with a couple of average beginners on his inside, he should get the front fairly easily. This is not a race of great depth and it's unlikely to have much mid race pressure. Trialed well behind a couple of talented types at Melton last week which suggests he's ready to go.
RESULT: 4th. No lead no win..
$100WIN
Race 7 No 3 Big Bang Penny ($2.5)
Has benefited from a drop in class recently running some nice placings from poor draws against the likes of Melita Bromac and Uroc Mman which is very good form for a race such as this. He won't know himself from gate 3 and he does have early speed and John Justice would be crazy not to use it here as the lead is there for the taking with the 2 horses on his inside running better with a sit. With his main dangers drawn his outside, I think only driver error can lose this for him.
RESULT: 2nd. Had to drive more aggresively JJ and didn't. That was hard to watch.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Mor Laag ($20)
This is a bit of a stab this tip but thought he was a recipient of a very poor drive last start and should've finished much closer in a similar if not stronger race than this. Missed getting on the back of Outer Join who was tracking into the race nicely and that cost him close to 20metres and for mine cost him a placing considering he only got beaten by Outer Jon (3rd) by 10metres. He is a much better horse closer to the lead and should settle 1x1 here (a sneaky chance of leading if driven aggressively) and with the likely fav mixing it's form he's a definite knock out chance at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Pretty ordinary finish to an ordinary day
MEETING RESULT: Lost $180
Ouyen Cup, Sunday 22nd March
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Hotasel ($6)
Has been low flying of late and put up a super effort when placed behind Arden Rooney and Goodtime Marjie at Swan Hill which is fair form! The unknown here is the stand start. First time behind the tapes but certainly worth a go at around the $6 mark.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped away and although lost his chance early looks at least a place chance late broke again on the final turn. I wouldn't sack on the back of that.
Race 7 No 1 Hotasel ($6)
Has been low flying of late and put up a super effort when placed behind Arden Rooney and Goodtime Marjie at Swan Hill which is fair form! The unknown here is the stand start. First time behind the tapes but certainly worth a go at around the $6 mark.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped away and although lost his chance early looks at least a place chance late broke again on the final turn. I wouldn't sack on the back of that.
Echuca, Saturday 21st March
$100PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Miss Tanami ($2.50)
Yet to win in 42 starts but it's last couple have been good. Never going to win last start but did well to battle on for 3rd behind the smart Bright and Sunny. Should settle leaders back and around the tight Echuca circuit, thats the place to be.
RESULT: 2nd! Never ever looked in doubt. Collect $310
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Washmepockets ($8)
Been racing well of late but just struggling to win one from tricky draws. Gets into this race extremely well considering he beat home some of these 3 starts back off the 10 metres handicap. No handicap here and is likely to settle behind the leader or 3 pegs as he's usually a reliable beginner from the stand. Thats where he races best and looks extraordinary value at the minute..
RESULT: LOST! Never got into the race after settling last.
Race 3 No 2 Miss Tanami ($2.50)
Yet to win in 42 starts but it's last couple have been good. Never going to win last start but did well to battle on for 3rd behind the smart Bright and Sunny. Should settle leaders back and around the tight Echuca circuit, thats the place to be.
RESULT: 2nd! Never ever looked in doubt. Collect $310
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Washmepockets ($8)
Been racing well of late but just struggling to win one from tricky draws. Gets into this race extremely well considering he beat home some of these 3 starts back off the 10 metres handicap. No handicap here and is likely to settle behind the leader or 3 pegs as he's usually a reliable beginner from the stand. Thats where he races best and looks extraordinary value at the minute..
RESULT: LOST! Never got into the race after settling last.
Melton, Friday 20th March
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Presidential Secret ($5)
I was really impressed with his 4th in the heat of this race last week. The leaders got away with a 31.2 2nd quarter (slowest of any heat) and he had no right to run on and get as close as he did. His last mile, half & quarter was the quickest by some time of any horses from all the heats. There will be no rest for the leaders here tonight with the 4 quickets horses out of the gate drawing 1-4. Expect Quick Draft & Vee Rock to make early mid race moves to keep the pressure on. Should really set it up perfectly for Presidential Secret. Gavin, it is time to break your Poggaharness hoodoo!
RESULT: LOST! No where near it.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Tiago Bromac ($1.80)
We were on last week & even though he lost, wasn't disgraced against Lets Elope after having the harder run. Likely to have to work hard again here but looks better than these over this trip. Overdue for a win and this really looks his race. $2.35 BET365 and $2.30 on Ladbrokes/Betstar
RESULT: WINNER! Wow.. He's called the Iceman for a reason but bugger me, what was that! Take the money and run. Collect $220
Race 7 No 7 Presidential Secret ($5)
I was really impressed with his 4th in the heat of this race last week. The leaders got away with a 31.2 2nd quarter (slowest of any heat) and he had no right to run on and get as close as he did. His last mile, half & quarter was the quickest by some time of any horses from all the heats. There will be no rest for the leaders here tonight with the 4 quickets horses out of the gate drawing 1-4. Expect Quick Draft & Vee Rock to make early mid race moves to keep the pressure on. Should really set it up perfectly for Presidential Secret. Gavin, it is time to break your Poggaharness hoodoo!
RESULT: LOST! No where near it.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Tiago Bromac ($1.80)
We were on last week & even though he lost, wasn't disgraced against Lets Elope after having the harder run. Likely to have to work hard again here but looks better than these over this trip. Overdue for a win and this really looks his race. $2.35 BET365 and $2.30 on Ladbrokes/Betstar
RESULT: WINNER! Wow.. He's called the Iceman for a reason but bugger me, what was that! Take the money and run. Collect $220
Bendigo, Thursday 19th March
$100WIN
Race 6 No 6 Union Ally ($3)
Looked a little plain late at Melton last start but that was against a quality line up of 3yo's and did beat home the smart Sudden Change. She'll settle back in the field early here but there should be enough challengers early to take the sting out of the leaders. I just think she's much better than these & should be too strong.
RESULT: WINNER! Got to love it when a race goes to plan. Collect $250
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Another Ajay ($10)
Yes Im backing him again. LAST CHANCE! Looks the early leader and the 2 likely favs have huge question marks on them. Struggled to get into the race at Boort but the track played that way all day. Gets his chance here.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally the boy delivers but wow, the word was out. Opened $7.50 with the TAB and closes $3.60. I hope subscribers shopped wisely. Collect $121
Race 6 No 6 Union Ally ($3)
Looked a little plain late at Melton last start but that was against a quality line up of 3yo's and did beat home the smart Sudden Change. She'll settle back in the field early here but there should be enough challengers early to take the sting out of the leaders. I just think she's much better than these & should be too strong.
RESULT: WINNER! Got to love it when a race goes to plan. Collect $250
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Another Ajay ($10)
Yes Im backing him again. LAST CHANCE! Looks the early leader and the 2 likely favs have huge question marks on them. Struggled to get into the race at Boort but the track played that way all day. Gets his chance here.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally the boy delivers but wow, the word was out. Opened $7.50 with the TAB and closes $3.60. I hope subscribers shopped wisely. Collect $121
GEELONG, THURSDAY 19TH MARCH
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Matai Bryan ($2.50)
Solid run at Cobram when 2nd from an unsuitable position. Was a tad disappointing in a strange race at Yarra Valley the start previous so prepared to forgive. Looks your leader & should run the race to suit.
RESULT: AWFUL! Handed up half way out & was gone with 400 to go. Beaten a very long way
Race 5 No 2 Matai Bryan ($2.50)
Solid run at Cobram when 2nd from an unsuitable position. Was a tad disappointing in a strange race at Yarra Valley the start previous so prepared to forgive. Looks your leader & should run the race to suit.
RESULT: AWFUL! Handed up half way out & was gone with 400 to go. Beaten a very long way
KILMORE, Wednesday 18th March
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Michael Vincent ($4)
Senior has said get off Junior & let me have a go after Josh drove this horse a shocker last start and was an absolute forgive. Beat home Big Shot Bob 3 starts back in a solid race for the 3yo's. Looks to be good pace on early, and even though Im a little concerned about his early gate speed, but even 3 pegs wouldn't be the worst place to be in this as I reckon they'll get spread out in this.
RESULT: LOST! Was gone a long way out. Had to be something wrong, it's not that bad.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Hellfire Angel ($10)
I've never really been a fan of this horse before this prep but he's returned to the track in good shape. Wasn't suited first uo when not disgraced in 3rd, 2nd up a total forgive run in a similar stand start race after getting stuck behind a slow one & last start hit the line well when 3rd behind the inform Artarama. That looks strong form for a race such as this especially considering he's usually very safe from the stand. Great EW bet
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Race 4 No 1 Michael Vincent ($4)
Senior has said get off Junior & let me have a go after Josh drove this horse a shocker last start and was an absolute forgive. Beat home Big Shot Bob 3 starts back in a solid race for the 3yo's. Looks to be good pace on early, and even though Im a little concerned about his early gate speed, but even 3 pegs wouldn't be the worst place to be in this as I reckon they'll get spread out in this.
RESULT: LOST! Was gone a long way out. Had to be something wrong, it's not that bad.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Hellfire Angel ($10)
I've never really been a fan of this horse before this prep but he's returned to the track in good shape. Wasn't suited first uo when not disgraced in 3rd, 2nd up a total forgive run in a similar stand start race after getting stuck behind a slow one & last start hit the line well when 3rd behind the inform Artarama. That looks strong form for a race such as this especially considering he's usually very safe from the stand. Great EW bet
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Maryborough, Wednesday 18th March
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Snip Of Grand ($4)
Liked his first up run even though he was 9th of 12. Sat last and wasn't let down at full speed at any point after a receiving a no favours down the straight and had plenty left to give. Im really hoping Chilled Desire doesn't gallop as it'll run along like the head strong beast it is & think the distance with sort it out. That'll suit Snip Of Grand perfectly & looks great value 2nd up.
RESULT: LOST! I got the tempo wrong & therefor the tip. They just went far too slow & anything in the back of the field had no hope.
Race 4 No 6 Snip Of Grand ($4)
Liked his first up run even though he was 9th of 12. Sat last and wasn't let down at full speed at any point after a receiving a no favours down the straight and had plenty left to give. Im really hoping Chilled Desire doesn't gallop as it'll run along like the head strong beast it is & think the distance with sort it out. That'll suit Snip Of Grand perfectly & looks great value 2nd up.
RESULT: LOST! I got the tempo wrong & therefor the tip. They just went far too slow & anything in the back of the field had no hope.
Terang, Tuesday 17th March
$50 FIRST 4
Race 3 for 1250%
1-4 / 1-4 / 3-5 / 3-5
My speed map says 1 hands up to the 4 and in the small field, a very slow pace on here. I think the 1 is a very good chance to go close but for the riskier punters , the 4 should be winning under that scenario. Rule Of Thumb can threaten but will have to be very good to run top 2 if the slow speed occurs. The 3 put up a good effort first up but it was against a lesser horse than what it meets here. I don't give the other 2 any hope in hell. Should be looking at around a $15-$20 F4 if the 4 salutes. $40+ if the 1 salutes & the 3 & 5 do what they should.
RESULT: LOST! What the hell happened to the 3?!?! Beaten 114metres and didn't gallop. Very costly, very costly indeed. Cost us a $800+ return I reckon.
$50 QUINELLA
Race 3: 1 & 4
As stated above I can't see the 1 & 4 missing top 2 & with the 5 fancied might be a $3 - $4 Quinella on offer.
RESULT: WINNER! They didn't walk but we still get the result. Paid $8+ in QLD, $6+ NSW & $4.7 VIC. Pays to bet in another state when following my multi selections. Collect $235
MEETING RESULT: Won $135
Race 3 for 1250%
1-4 / 1-4 / 3-5 / 3-5
My speed map says 1 hands up to the 4 and in the small field, a very slow pace on here. I think the 1 is a very good chance to go close but for the riskier punters , the 4 should be winning under that scenario. Rule Of Thumb can threaten but will have to be very good to run top 2 if the slow speed occurs. The 3 put up a good effort first up but it was against a lesser horse than what it meets here. I don't give the other 2 any hope in hell. Should be looking at around a $15-$20 F4 if the 4 salutes. $40+ if the 1 salutes & the 3 & 5 do what they should.
RESULT: LOST! What the hell happened to the 3?!?! Beaten 114metres and didn't gallop. Very costly, very costly indeed. Cost us a $800+ return I reckon.
$50 QUINELLA
Race 3: 1 & 4
As stated above I can't see the 1 & 4 missing top 2 & with the 5 fancied might be a $3 - $4 Quinella on offer.
RESULT: WINNER! They didn't walk but we still get the result. Paid $8+ in QLD, $6+ NSW & $4.7 VIC. Pays to bet in another state when following my multi selections. Collect $235
MEETING RESULT: Won $135
Melton, Monday 16th March
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 The Pix ($8)
Desperately unlucky last start after being dragged back through the field but hit the line well once out for a close up 5th. This is a very weak field and is overdue for a change of luck.
RESULT: LOST! Plain, very plain.
Race 5 No 11 The Pix ($8)
Desperately unlucky last start after being dragged back through the field but hit the line well once out for a close up 5th. This is a very weak field and is overdue for a change of luck.
RESULT: LOST! Plain, very plain.
Boort CUp
$100WIN
Race 3 No 5 Times A Bonus ($3)
Nice return last time out when 3rd in a very strong 3yo race. Amanda Turnbull should have him in front soon after the start and he'll take plenty of running down.
RESULT: WINNER! 3 late scratchings kill the odds. Collect $130
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Another Ajay ($6)
Is usually better suited off a front line draw but should trail through nicely from the draw here. A nice run last start after having every chance in a strong C2 two starts back. Gets back to C1 and I just think he's the best horse in the race. Just needs a little bit of luck from the draw.
RESULT: 4th. Got caught behind tired horses down the back and was no chance after that
Race 3 No 5 Times A Bonus ($3)
Nice return last time out when 3rd in a very strong 3yo race. Amanda Turnbull should have him in front soon after the start and he'll take plenty of running down.
RESULT: WINNER! 3 late scratchings kill the odds. Collect $130
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Another Ajay ($6)
Is usually better suited off a front line draw but should trail through nicely from the draw here. A nice run last start after having every chance in a strong C2 two starts back. Gets back to C1 and I just think he's the best horse in the race. Just needs a little bit of luck from the draw.
RESULT: 4th. Got caught behind tired horses down the back and was no chance after that
Melton, Saturday 14th March
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 Rocknroll Magic ($2.50)
Well bred youngster who has trialled impressively for this first up tilt. Will have to be good to beat the 7 but based on it's trials, should be winning.
RESULT: WINNER! Got out to $3.2 with some corps. Derserved the win too after working at both ends of the race. Good future. Collect $270
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Brite Spark Lombo ($6)
Never got a crack at them against good horses at Melton last start. Looks like she's back in the form we expect and from the draw should go very close.
RESULT: LOST! Walked out.. A horse that has always shown speed walks out. Form analysts nightmare
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8 for 800%
4 / 1-5 / 1-3-5-9
Quick Draft was super last start and looks your winner here even from the death. Lierre Noir is your leader and will be in front for a very long way. McRita is flying and should be running on hard late with Our Femme Fatale a small place chance along with Indi Bapu
RESULT: LOST! Could've sworn Lierre Noir got 2nd but the photo said otherwise..
$50WIN
Race 9 No 6 Tiago Bromac ($4)
Forget last start, he just isn't suited to sprint racing, especially from an inside draw. Trialed well before that first up run. Needs to be out in the open and running and over distance. Should have enough speed to push forward early and lead here as I think the stablemate will hold them fence early & hand up. From the top will get every opportunity. Worth noting, since capturing results from 1st of October, Gavin Lang is one of my worst culprits for losses but lets hope he can turn that around here.
RESULT: 2nd. Fav had it too easy. Paid $2.6 a place...
MEETING RESULT: Close but no cigar. Lost $30
Race 4 No 2 Rocknroll Magic ($2.50)
Well bred youngster who has trialled impressively for this first up tilt. Will have to be good to beat the 7 but based on it's trials, should be winning.
RESULT: WINNER! Got out to $3.2 with some corps. Derserved the win too after working at both ends of the race. Good future. Collect $270
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Brite Spark Lombo ($6)
Never got a crack at them against good horses at Melton last start. Looks like she's back in the form we expect and from the draw should go very close.
RESULT: LOST! Walked out.. A horse that has always shown speed walks out. Form analysts nightmare
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8 for 800%
4 / 1-5 / 1-3-5-9
Quick Draft was super last start and looks your winner here even from the death. Lierre Noir is your leader and will be in front for a very long way. McRita is flying and should be running on hard late with Our Femme Fatale a small place chance along with Indi Bapu
RESULT: LOST! Could've sworn Lierre Noir got 2nd but the photo said otherwise..
$50WIN
Race 9 No 6 Tiago Bromac ($4)
Forget last start, he just isn't suited to sprint racing, especially from an inside draw. Trialed well before that first up run. Needs to be out in the open and running and over distance. Should have enough speed to push forward early and lead here as I think the stablemate will hold them fence early & hand up. From the top will get every opportunity. Worth noting, since capturing results from 1st of October, Gavin Lang is one of my worst culprits for losses but lets hope he can turn that around here.
RESULT: 2nd. Fav had it too easy. Paid $2.6 a place...
MEETING RESULT: Close but no cigar. Lost $30
Swan Hill, Friday 13th March
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 12 Yes It Was ($8)
First up from NSW here on the back of a very strong trial win @ Mildura. Trails the favourite into the race and if it can bring it's trial form to the track, it's in this up to it's ears.
RESULT: LOST! A forgive run. Not sure what the driver was doing but never in it. I still think it'll be winning very soon.
$48 FIRST FOUR
Race 7 for 400%
6 / 3-8 / 3-7-8-11 / 3-7-8-11
Madis Mate is an impressive youngster and should win easily. Slims Kitchen and Bonny Under Fire receive the cheap peg line runs. Risking Colada Mach for 2nd here as will have to death seat against a stronger field than it met last week.
RESULT: LOST! Fav was weak
$100WIN
Race 8 No 4 Captain Under Fire ($1.8)
Joins the Boris Devic camp for the first time here. Should bully his way to the front and I'd expect him to win this comfortably considering he was just rolled by Gozo Lightning after leading last start. The extra distance should hold no fears either. I don't usually tip something that Ive marked odds on but I think you'll get better odds than that.
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in after having the easiest run in the lead you'll ever see. Something after a frustrating day. Collect $250
DAY RESULT: Lost $11.10
Race 6 No 12 Yes It Was ($8)
First up from NSW here on the back of a very strong trial win @ Mildura. Trails the favourite into the race and if it can bring it's trial form to the track, it's in this up to it's ears.
RESULT: LOST! A forgive run. Not sure what the driver was doing but never in it. I still think it'll be winning very soon.
$48 FIRST FOUR
Race 7 for 400%
6 / 3-8 / 3-7-8-11 / 3-7-8-11
Madis Mate is an impressive youngster and should win easily. Slims Kitchen and Bonny Under Fire receive the cheap peg line runs. Risking Colada Mach for 2nd here as will have to death seat against a stronger field than it met last week.
RESULT: LOST! Fav was weak
$100WIN
Race 8 No 4 Captain Under Fire ($1.8)
Joins the Boris Devic camp for the first time here. Should bully his way to the front and I'd expect him to win this comfortably considering he was just rolled by Gozo Lightning after leading last start. The extra distance should hold no fears either. I don't usually tip something that Ive marked odds on but I think you'll get better odds than that.
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in after having the easiest run in the lead you'll ever see. Something after a frustrating day. Collect $250
DAY RESULT: Lost $11.10
Shepparton, Friday 13th March
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Yerrington Bob ($6)
Huge effort in the heat of this race last week. Worked extremely hard in the first half lap (quickest first half of the night) before taking a sit. Then was the first to go 3 wide without cover and really stuck to his guns late to hold 3rd beaten 6 metres. Ryder has a change of driver (why?) and is likely to go nuts in this and give hell to those in front. Really keen on Yerringtons chances if that occurs.
RESULT: 3rd. Weird race and those from the back struggled to make ground. Another one paced effort. Collect $120
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 No Tomorrow ($3)
Been racing against much more talented horses than this in recent times. Outclassed in the Tontine final last start, not far away in C5+ class 2 starts back and was a very good 2nd to Another Safari 3 starts back. That is very good form for a race like this. Rebecca Bartley has been costly for us in the past but this is redemption day!
RESULT: 3rd. Redemption day? Bec Bartely is officially on the banned list. Certainty beaten & a very costly result considering the $5.50 snapped up & it started odds on. Not happy.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Three Mugs In ($10)
Was desperately unlucky in the strong heat of the George Croxford Tribute at Cobram last start when stuck behind tiring horse. Loved the way he hit the line late once he saw daylight. Showed no gate speed then which is a slight concern but worth a go in a weaker race today.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a whisker. Was backed for a fair bit too. Just not my day. Collect $66.90
Race 5 No 10 Yerrington Bob ($6)
Huge effort in the heat of this race last week. Worked extremely hard in the first half lap (quickest first half of the night) before taking a sit. Then was the first to go 3 wide without cover and really stuck to his guns late to hold 3rd beaten 6 metres. Ryder has a change of driver (why?) and is likely to go nuts in this and give hell to those in front. Really keen on Yerringtons chances if that occurs.
RESULT: 3rd. Weird race and those from the back struggled to make ground. Another one paced effort. Collect $120
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 No Tomorrow ($3)
Been racing against much more talented horses than this in recent times. Outclassed in the Tontine final last start, not far away in C5+ class 2 starts back and was a very good 2nd to Another Safari 3 starts back. That is very good form for a race like this. Rebecca Bartley has been costly for us in the past but this is redemption day!
RESULT: 3rd. Redemption day? Bec Bartely is officially on the banned list. Certainty beaten & a very costly result considering the $5.50 snapped up & it started odds on. Not happy.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Three Mugs In ($10)
Was desperately unlucky in the strong heat of the George Croxford Tribute at Cobram last start when stuck behind tiring horse. Loved the way he hit the line late once he saw daylight. Showed no gate speed then which is a slight concern but worth a go in a weaker race today.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a whisker. Was backed for a fair bit too. Just not my day. Collect $66.90
Geelong, Thursday 12th March
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Glenferrie Arch ($4)
Her last 2 runs have been good from poor draws. The return to the sprint distance is a plus and should be sitting behind Four Smart Aces awaiting the sprint from the good draw. Good value
RESULT: WINNER! I was a little surprised that Jodi held the lead but it got the job done! Collect $140
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 8 for 500%
1-8 / 1-8 / 3-5-9
A real toss up here between the 1 & 8 with Eyes On The Sky likely to be unders with it's form falling away of late. Bank On Aces has been the opposite, low flying with a huge 2nd last week against very strong horses. That form franked at Ballarat with Flying McPocket winning impressively. Rock Albert my 3rd pick after being unlucky at Ararat last start but the draw isn't ideal. Ya Messin & Atticus Finch likely to receive soft runs.
Race 6 No 2 Glenferrie Arch ($4)
Her last 2 runs have been good from poor draws. The return to the sprint distance is a plus and should be sitting behind Four Smart Aces awaiting the sprint from the good draw. Good value
RESULT: WINNER! I was a little surprised that Jodi held the lead but it got the job done! Collect $140
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 8 for 500%
1-8 / 1-8 / 3-5-9
A real toss up here between the 1 & 8 with Eyes On The Sky likely to be unders with it's form falling away of late. Bank On Aces has been the opposite, low flying with a huge 2nd last week against very strong horses. That form franked at Ballarat with Flying McPocket winning impressively. Rock Albert my 3rd pick after being unlucky at Ararat last start but the draw isn't ideal. Ya Messin & Atticus Finch likely to receive soft runs.
Ballarat, Wednesday 11th March
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Big Bang Penny ($6)
Racing in very good form. Probably would've won with another step at Ararat last start behind Melita Bromac. He's a duffer behind the tapes so forget 2 starts back. Was another eye catcher 3 starts back at Bendigo when flashed home from last in very quick time behind Tabanan. No superstars in this and gets his chance to break through with even luck
RESULT: 2nd. Hates winning. Collect $120
Race 6 No 7 Big Bang Penny ($6)
Racing in very good form. Probably would've won with another step at Ararat last start behind Melita Bromac. He's a duffer behind the tapes so forget 2 starts back. Was another eye catcher 3 starts back at Bendigo when flashed home from last in very quick time behind Tabanan. No superstars in this and gets his chance to break through with even luck
RESULT: 2nd. Hates winning. Collect $120
Maryborough, Wednesday 11th MArch
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Lotsa Life ($3)
Gets a nice drop in class here and will thrive on a return to the front line. If he leads I think it's game over but even from the death or 1x1 is still the one to beat for mine.
RESULT: 4th. Led & went to the queue to collect only to be met with "Nil Pay". Can't believe even the 1 beat it home. Every chance..
Race 8 No 6 Lotsa Life ($3)
Gets a nice drop in class here and will thrive on a return to the front line. If he leads I think it's game over but even from the death or 1x1 is still the one to beat for mine.
RESULT: 4th. Led & went to the queue to collect only to be met with "Nil Pay". Can't believe even the 1 beat it home. Every chance..
Kilmore, Tuesday 10th March
$50WIN
Race 6 No 5 Sweet Kisses ($3.50)
Her last 2 runs have been super impressive. Had no right to win when a mile back at the bell at Maryborough but flashed home late to snatch the prize. The trick to her seems to be to save her for the one last sprint at them rather than being used up early so fingers crossed Zac Phillips follows that tactic here as she seems to be a massive chance with the concession drive
RESULT: AWFUL! Had the race run to suit but showed nothing..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Classic Bliss ($12)
Really liked her run against a bloody hot M1/2 field at Melton last week over the longer journey where she's always struggled at this level. Will snag back from the start here and there does seem to be pace on here that should. If Michael Bellman can somehow find the back of Eye Like Candy she is a huge chance at tasty odds. (opened $31 on BET365!)
RESULT: LOST! Never dragged into the race from a mile back. The winners comes from a position that it could've taken but thats racing
Race 6 No 5 Sweet Kisses ($3.50)
Her last 2 runs have been super impressive. Had no right to win when a mile back at the bell at Maryborough but flashed home late to snatch the prize. The trick to her seems to be to save her for the one last sprint at them rather than being used up early so fingers crossed Zac Phillips follows that tactic here as she seems to be a massive chance with the concession drive
RESULT: AWFUL! Had the race run to suit but showed nothing..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Classic Bliss ($12)
Really liked her run against a bloody hot M1/2 field at Melton last week over the longer journey where she's always struggled at this level. Will snag back from the start here and there does seem to be pace on here that should. If Michael Bellman can somehow find the back of Eye Like Candy she is a huge chance at tasty odds. (opened $31 on BET365!)
RESULT: LOST! Never dragged into the race from a mile back. The winners comes from a position that it could've taken but thats racing
Wangaratta CUP SUNDAY
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Catch A Ruby ($2)
Been racing well without threatening in much better races. Leads and wins.
RESULT: WINNER! Not as easy as I thought it would but still got the bikkies. Collect $170
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Classy Western ($8)
Didn't have the best of luck in the Charlton Cup last start and was a big winner at Melton the tart previous. Should push forward and take a sit handy to the lead early. I'd be surprised if he didn't look the winner at some stage.
RESULT: LOST! Driven tough and tough it aint.
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
Race 2 No 1 Catch A Ruby ($2)
Been racing well without threatening in much better races. Leads and wins.
RESULT: WINNER! Not as easy as I thought it would but still got the bikkies. Collect $170
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Classy Western ($8)
Didn't have the best of luck in the Charlton Cup last start and was a big winner at Melton the tart previous. Should push forward and take a sit handy to the lead early. I'd be surprised if he didn't look the winner at some stage.
RESULT: LOST! Driven tough and tough it aint.
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
Bendigo, Friday 6th March
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Our Classie Mach ($8)
Wasn't suited to the sprint style of race when 4 back the pegs at Swan Hill last time out but loved it's run 2 starts ago against a strong field at Maryborough even though it finished 8th. Had to work hard early and then was shuffled back to near last on the turn. Battled away well late. Should push forward here & lead early but I'd suggest hands up to Caesar Supreme. If that happens he's a huge show.
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $54
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Outback Hall ($12)
Was a little stiff not to win under these conditions 2 starts back. Meets Holly Miss Molly 10 metres better off and Vanderley is very risky from the stand. Provided he steps cleanly, massive overs at the $21 with Bet365
RESULT: LOST! Had every chance.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Cold Major ($3.50)
Has been a little below his best over the past month but that was in an Interdom Heat and against Victorias best before that. Any early pace will only suit him more which is likely to happen but expect Josh to take off mid race to control things from the death.
RESULT: 3rd. Brilliant drive, horse just wasn't good enough
MEETING RESULT: Lost $96
Race 4 No 5 Our Classie Mach ($8)
Wasn't suited to the sprint style of race when 4 back the pegs at Swan Hill last time out but loved it's run 2 starts ago against a strong field at Maryborough even though it finished 8th. Had to work hard early and then was shuffled back to near last on the turn. Battled away well late. Should push forward here & lead early but I'd suggest hands up to Caesar Supreme. If that happens he's a huge show.
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $54
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Outback Hall ($12)
Was a little stiff not to win under these conditions 2 starts back. Meets Holly Miss Molly 10 metres better off and Vanderley is very risky from the stand. Provided he steps cleanly, massive overs at the $21 with Bet365
RESULT: LOST! Had every chance.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Cold Major ($3.50)
Has been a little below his best over the past month but that was in an Interdom Heat and against Victorias best before that. Any early pace will only suit him more which is likely to happen but expect Josh to take off mid race to control things from the death.
RESULT: 3rd. Brilliant drive, horse just wasn't good enough
MEETING RESULT: Lost $96
Cranbourne, Thursday 5th March
$48 TRIFECTA
Race 1 for 800%
3 / 1-8-10 / 1-8-10
RESULT: Not even close
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 McRita ($8)
She is racing in career best form and looks suited with plenty of hoons on the front row here. Good EW value
RESULT: 3rd. Good thing beaten. Collect $51
Race 1 for 800%
3 / 1-8-10 / 1-8-10
RESULT: Not even close
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 McRita ($8)
She is racing in career best form and looks suited with plenty of hoons on the front row here. Good EW value
RESULT: 3rd. Good thing beaten. Collect $51
Charlton, Thursday 5th March
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Mighty Mav ($12)
Last 2 starts you can forget. Galloped away from the stand start last start & was severely checked 2 starts back. Its previous start however was full of merit finishing only 6 metres away from the very smart The Fat Man. Just needs a little bit of luck for once to figure at nice odds here.
RESULT: LOST! Took off before acceptances and was gone a long way out..
DAY RESULT: Lost $97
Race 7 No 9 Mighty Mav ($12)
Last 2 starts you can forget. Galloped away from the stand start last start & was severely checked 2 starts back. Its previous start however was full of merit finishing only 6 metres away from the very smart The Fat Man. Just needs a little bit of luck for once to figure at nice odds here.
RESULT: LOST! Took off before acceptances and was gone a long way out..
DAY RESULT: Lost $97
Mildura, Wednesday 4th March
$50WIN
Race 2 No 8 Dark Side ($5)
Was a super run last week after doing all the work and it was only bad luck that cost it the race. Expect Cashwrang Smoker & Colada Mach to go at each other here throughout and they'll be sitting shots late. Graceful Art who we were on last week is a blow out chance but needs to be $9+ for me to consider.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple but had everychance.
Race 2 No 8 Dark Side ($5)
Was a super run last week after doing all the work and it was only bad luck that cost it the race. Expect Cashwrang Smoker & Colada Mach to go at each other here throughout and they'll be sitting shots late. Graceful Art who we were on last week is a blow out chance but needs to be $9+ for me to consider.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple but had everychance.
Ballarat, Wednesday 4th March
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Prince Of Thieves ($12)
Just been racing a little out of it's class at Melton of late but was pretty unlucky not to finish in the top 3 in a strong M0 over the 1720metres. Back to the 2200metres is a bonus I think, especially in a race that looks to have speed on throughout. Great ew show
RESULT: 3rd. Had his chance. Collect $79.50
DAY RESULT: Lost $20.50
Race 5 No 9 Prince Of Thieves ($12)
Just been racing a little out of it's class at Melton of late but was pretty unlucky not to finish in the top 3 in a strong M0 over the 1720metres. Back to the 2200metres is a bonus I think, especially in a race that looks to have speed on throughout. Great ew show
RESULT: 3rd. Had his chance. Collect $79.50
DAY RESULT: Lost $20.50
Ararat, Tuesday 3rd March
$48 FIRST 4
Race 2 for 200%
1-3-7 / 1-3-7 / 1-3-4-7 / 1-3-4-7-8
All the top 3 selections were good runs last start with the 7 likely to be big unders here although has the biggest scope for improvement. They should battle out the top 2 positions. Fear No Evil, a disappointing Poggaharness tip last week, had every chance last start and even though should receive 1x1 cover, would need to improve greatly to figure in the top 2. 8 is the only other chance but it has been plain of late but can run 4th with a cheap peg run. If we can snag this with the 1 or 3 winning we should be in for a handy collect
RESULT: LOST! Well less said about that the better
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Arr En Special ($15)
Didn't have the clearest of runs against a very strong C4/6 race on Terang Cup night. He galloped away his previous start from a stand and was slightly disappointing when I tipped him 3 starts back. Big difference here is Jason Lee is back onboard and he knows this horse extremely well. I expect Im Noddy to lead and keep it and that'll give Arr En Special every possible chance at a good ew price.
RESULT: WINNER! Jason Lee is some sort of driver. The 1 gallops in his face but some how he got around it and ended up 1x1. Superb. Collect $465
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Sazzasophie ($2)
Was OK in it's first run for the Brent Lilley stable 2 starts ago when having every chance behind the culture but it was last start that had me take notice. Was driven more aggressively to lead and hold it throughout, even though he was pressured the entire trip. Was still kicking late and was just run down in the shadows of the post against some quality opposition. Gets the good draw, should be leading throughout.
RESULT: 2nd. No excuses. Had the run and wasn't good enough
MEETING RESULT: Won $267
Race 2 for 200%
1-3-7 / 1-3-7 / 1-3-4-7 / 1-3-4-7-8
All the top 3 selections were good runs last start with the 7 likely to be big unders here although has the biggest scope for improvement. They should battle out the top 2 positions. Fear No Evil, a disappointing Poggaharness tip last week, had every chance last start and even though should receive 1x1 cover, would need to improve greatly to figure in the top 2. 8 is the only other chance but it has been plain of late but can run 4th with a cheap peg run. If we can snag this with the 1 or 3 winning we should be in for a handy collect
RESULT: LOST! Well less said about that the better
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Arr En Special ($15)
Didn't have the clearest of runs against a very strong C4/6 race on Terang Cup night. He galloped away his previous start from a stand and was slightly disappointing when I tipped him 3 starts back. Big difference here is Jason Lee is back onboard and he knows this horse extremely well. I expect Im Noddy to lead and keep it and that'll give Arr En Special every possible chance at a good ew price.
RESULT: WINNER! Jason Lee is some sort of driver. The 1 gallops in his face but some how he got around it and ended up 1x1. Superb. Collect $465
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Sazzasophie ($2)
Was OK in it's first run for the Brent Lilley stable 2 starts ago when having every chance behind the culture but it was last start that had me take notice. Was driven more aggressively to lead and hold it throughout, even though he was pressured the entire trip. Was still kicking late and was just run down in the shadows of the post against some quality opposition. Gets the good draw, should be leading throughout.
RESULT: 2nd. No excuses. Had the run and wasn't good enough
MEETING RESULT: Won $267
Cobram, Monday 2nd March
$50WIN
Race 1 No 4 Lust ($3.5)
Last 2 runs have been forgets. This is a race that lacks any type of depth and he should settle in the top 4 and looks mighty hard to roll from there.
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't have a great deal of luck but looked no match for the winner
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Brother Rabbit
His times 3 starts back at this track and distance after working hard the final lap suggests he's well in this. Finds it hard to win but this is his best opportunity to do so in sometime.
RESULT: LOST! We'll never know how it would've gone because it's still trying to get out. Not a great drive
Race 1 No 4 Lust ($3.5)
Last 2 runs have been forgets. This is a race that lacks any type of depth and he should settle in the top 4 and looks mighty hard to roll from there.
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't have a great deal of luck but looked no match for the winner
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Brother Rabbit
His times 3 starts back at this track and distance after working hard the final lap suggests he's well in this. Finds it hard to win but this is his best opportunity to do so in sometime.
RESULT: LOST! We'll never know how it would've gone because it's still trying to get out. Not a great drive
Melton, Sunday 1st March
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 BlackNBrown ($2.20)
Went via the car park when trying to run on in a slowly run race at Melton last start against much better than this. There are a couple of first starters in this but none of them have shown much at the trials. I think Craig will be driving it more aggressively today and I'd be surprised if it wasn't saluting.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $180
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Charlie System ($6)
Wasn't disgraced when a good 4th against some quality 3yo's. Watch for any change of driving tactics on the 1 but I had Charlie settling leaders back and he'll go mighty close from there over the short trip.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $102
Race 1 No 7 BlackNBrown ($2.20)
Went via the car park when trying to run on in a slowly run race at Melton last start against much better than this. There are a couple of first starters in this but none of them have shown much at the trials. I think Craig will be driving it more aggressively today and I'd be surprised if it wasn't saluting.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $180
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Charlie System ($6)
Wasn't disgraced when a good 4th against some quality 3yo's. Watch for any change of driving tactics on the 1 but I had Charlie settling leaders back and he'll go mighty close from there over the short trip.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $102
Menangle, Sunday 1st March
$20WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 11 For A Reason ($8)
Showed a good return to form although no match for Beautide last start. He was a great run in last years Interdom when 3rd behind Beautide when flashing at them late from near last on the turn. Settles leaders back and races best with a cold sit. If there are any doubts about Beautide after a dodgy prep he is the one to find them
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $120
$20PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Flaming Flutter ($6)
Should have finished much closer to Lenny The Shark than it did last start after that horse had it all it's own way in the heat. Likely to settle 1x1 or 1x2, hopefully on the back of Beautide. If that happens the $10-$11 the place on offer is ridiculous odds. Great roughy
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $126.60
$36 TRIFECTA
5-11 / 1-3-5-11 / 1-3-5-11-12 for 200%
I think Beautide should be winning but I still have my concerns about his prep. For A Reason the 2nd best horse in the race with Lenny The Shark to get every possible chance in front but I just don't think he's good enough, yet. Flaming Flutter the roughy as stated but if things don't pan out for it Easy On The Eye looks a peg line danger late. 11-5-12 & we're laughing like big fat hairy spiders!
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $494.40
DAY RESULT: Made up the February deficit in one day. $687 profit
Race 7 No 11 For A Reason ($8)
Showed a good return to form although no match for Beautide last start. He was a great run in last years Interdom when 3rd behind Beautide when flashing at them late from near last on the turn. Settles leaders back and races best with a cold sit. If there are any doubts about Beautide after a dodgy prep he is the one to find them
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $120
$20PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Flaming Flutter ($6)
Should have finished much closer to Lenny The Shark than it did last start after that horse had it all it's own way in the heat. Likely to settle 1x1 or 1x2, hopefully on the back of Beautide. If that happens the $10-$11 the place on offer is ridiculous odds. Great roughy
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $126.60
$36 TRIFECTA
5-11 / 1-3-5-11 / 1-3-5-11-12 for 200%
I think Beautide should be winning but I still have my concerns about his prep. For A Reason the 2nd best horse in the race with Lenny The Shark to get every possible chance in front but I just don't think he's good enough, yet. Flaming Flutter the roughy as stated but if things don't pan out for it Easy On The Eye looks a peg line danger late. 11-5-12 & we're laughing like big fat hairy spiders!
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $494.40
DAY RESULT: Made up the February deficit in one day. $687 profit
GEELONG CUP
Not a whole heap of value in this meeting and looks a great card to do your nuts. Just the one bet for me:
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Chilli Palmer ($4)
Form doesn't look great on paper but the races haven't been run to suit. Should get enough early pressure on here & mid race with Arden Rooney no doubt pouring it on. Have they got the speed necessary to hold him out late? I dont think so.
RESULT: 3rd. Forget it went around
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Chilli Palmer ($4)
Form doesn't look great on paper but the races haven't been run to suit. Should get enough early pressure on here & mid race with Arden Rooney no doubt pouring it on. Have they got the speed necessary to hold him out late? I dont think so.
RESULT: 3rd. Forget it went around
Melton, Friday 27th February
$100WIN
Race 1 No 13 Rock N Roll Music ($2)
Impressive run after having a nice trail into the race last week in the heat of this race. Looks to have taken the next step in class since joining Adam Kelly's stable and is the horse to beat in this. (BET365 punters. They have yet to realise the 8 was scratched on Thursday. The fav they've marked $1.90 now starts inside back row)
RESULT: 3rd. Not good enough
$100 Running Double
Race 1 no 13 into Race 2 No 3
Throwing all my eggs into the RocknRoll Music basket but I think we can get a little bit of value out of the double with Madison Louise looking an absolute moral in race 2.
RESULT: Madison Louise scratched
$50 EARLY QUADDIE
13 / 3 / 8 / 3-4-6-7-8 for 1000%
I can't remember the last time I snagged a quaddie but I persist!. We continue the faith with the good things in the first 2 races and add Claudys Princess to the mix. She has been huge in her first 2 runs back this preparation when never really put into the race. Gets the nice trail through early here (as long as the 1 doesn't gallop!) and looks close to unbeatable with even luck. We go a little wider in a very strong 3yo race to round out the quaddie.
RESULT: Madison Louise scratched
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Indi Bapu ($8)
Not one of my favourite horses but his run last week after death seating over the longer trip was very good. Gets a very good draw here with Rumson likely to lead & hand up to it straight away so shouldn't be spending too much petrol early. (Hasn't shown gate speed for a while but definitely has it & Jack knows what to do) In a race that looks void of pressure he looks the best EW bet of the night
RESULT: 3rd. Backed for a stack and had it's chance. Collect $126
$54 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 3-5-7 / 3-4-5-7 / 3-4-5-7-8 for 200%
Really looks a race in 3. I have them settling Mister One Two leading, Keeyang Starzzz leaders back & Barynya in the death with Ideal Majority in the 1x1. They really look like controlling the race from there with Washmepockets a threat late if the run comes.
RESULT: LOST! Barynya weakened late cost us
BLACK BOOKERS RUNNING TODAY
Keeyang Starzzz: A major player in Race 7 but likely to be unders in a strong race. Should spear to the front early & likely to hand up to Mister One Two. The star youngster from Tassie Barynya should be without cover which will set it up for one hell of a race.
TRIAL FLYERS RUNNING TODAY
Tiago Bromac: Solid trial last week at Melton but the draw & distance just don't suit here especially considering the 1 is likely to be scratched. Could end up 3 back the pegs & that'll make life tough.
Aldebaran Shades: Racing out of it's depth but is a rough place chance with the right run
Race 1 No 13 Rock N Roll Music ($2)
Impressive run after having a nice trail into the race last week in the heat of this race. Looks to have taken the next step in class since joining Adam Kelly's stable and is the horse to beat in this. (BET365 punters. They have yet to realise the 8 was scratched on Thursday. The fav they've marked $1.90 now starts inside back row)
RESULT: 3rd. Not good enough
$100 Running Double
Race 1 no 13 into Race 2 No 3
Throwing all my eggs into the RocknRoll Music basket but I think we can get a little bit of value out of the double with Madison Louise looking an absolute moral in race 2.
RESULT: Madison Louise scratched
$50 EARLY QUADDIE
13 / 3 / 8 / 3-4-6-7-8 for 1000%
I can't remember the last time I snagged a quaddie but I persist!. We continue the faith with the good things in the first 2 races and add Claudys Princess to the mix. She has been huge in her first 2 runs back this preparation when never really put into the race. Gets the nice trail through early here (as long as the 1 doesn't gallop!) and looks close to unbeatable with even luck. We go a little wider in a very strong 3yo race to round out the quaddie.
RESULT: Madison Louise scratched
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Indi Bapu ($8)
Not one of my favourite horses but his run last week after death seating over the longer trip was very good. Gets a very good draw here with Rumson likely to lead & hand up to it straight away so shouldn't be spending too much petrol early. (Hasn't shown gate speed for a while but definitely has it & Jack knows what to do) In a race that looks void of pressure he looks the best EW bet of the night
RESULT: 3rd. Backed for a stack and had it's chance. Collect $126
$54 TRIFECTA
Race 7: 3-5-7 / 3-4-5-7 / 3-4-5-7-8 for 200%
Really looks a race in 3. I have them settling Mister One Two leading, Keeyang Starzzz leaders back & Barynya in the death with Ideal Majority in the 1x1. They really look like controlling the race from there with Washmepockets a threat late if the run comes.
RESULT: LOST! Barynya weakened late cost us
BLACK BOOKERS RUNNING TODAY
Keeyang Starzzz: A major player in Race 7 but likely to be unders in a strong race. Should spear to the front early & likely to hand up to Mister One Two. The star youngster from Tassie Barynya should be without cover which will set it up for one hell of a race.
TRIAL FLYERS RUNNING TODAY
Tiago Bromac: Solid trial last week at Melton but the draw & distance just don't suit here especially considering the 1 is likely to be scratched. Could end up 3 back the pegs & that'll make life tough.
Aldebaran Shades: Racing out of it's depth but is a rough place chance with the right run
Bendigo, Thursday 26th February
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Milady Denver ($3.50)
I'm pinning the ears back and having a crack here as I think this is a great opportunity to eat into the deficit. Beat Summer Of Courage last start after having the better run in transit. Likely to get that here as I think it'll zoom straight to the lead early. My only slight concern is Geoffrey Allen on the 7. Who is he & will he drive like a cowboy and destroy our chances. I think not. It's a 20 start maiden & Nigel Milne on is sometimes a concern but to be honest, he drives a leader very well. It will never get a better chance to beat it's maiden status than this.
RESULT: WINNER! Oh thank you Milady. I can pay the bills again. Collect $350
Race 8 No 3 Milady Denver ($3.50)
I'm pinning the ears back and having a crack here as I think this is a great opportunity to eat into the deficit. Beat Summer Of Courage last start after having the better run in transit. Likely to get that here as I think it'll zoom straight to the lead early. My only slight concern is Geoffrey Allen on the 7. Who is he & will he drive like a cowboy and destroy our chances. I think not. It's a 20 start maiden & Nigel Milne on is sometimes a concern but to be honest, he drives a leader very well. It will never get a better chance to beat it's maiden status than this.
RESULT: WINNER! Oh thank you Milady. I can pay the bills again. Collect $350
Kilmore, Thursday 26th February
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Bettor Than Best ($6)
Tried to run Yerrington Bob off it's legs 2 starts back but just couldn't hold it out. Forget it went around last start. Back to the front row here and will be in front for the majority of the trip. Only worry is, can he hold out Happy Schnaps & Eyes On The Sky? Goes very close
RESULT: WINNER! Massive unders I thought but didn't expect them to go that slow. Was never getting beaten with that run. Collect $227
$100 TRIFECTA
Race 6 for 1250%
1-9 / 1-4-9 / 1-4-6-9
Taking a risk here and leaving the fav out of winning calculations but if you want to play with less risk add in the 4 to win. I think my old mate is a sneaky chance for 3rd Terra Beau. Fingers crossed the fav misses a place and we snag it because I reckon we'll be back in front for the month if that happens
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Dobop ($8)
Got away well from the stand last week and was very unlucky not to finish closer but needs to be driven that way. Gets a very nice advantage on her rivals and with a safe getaway looks a great ew chance
RESULT: LOST! The drive gave it absolutely no chance. Why would you elect to go 4 back the pegs? Only plodded to the line though.
DAY RESULT: Finally a decent profit. $457 in the black.
Race 6 No 1 Bettor Than Best ($6)
Tried to run Yerrington Bob off it's legs 2 starts back but just couldn't hold it out. Forget it went around last start. Back to the front row here and will be in front for the majority of the trip. Only worry is, can he hold out Happy Schnaps & Eyes On The Sky? Goes very close
RESULT: WINNER! Massive unders I thought but didn't expect them to go that slow. Was never getting beaten with that run. Collect $227
$100 TRIFECTA
Race 6 for 1250%
1-9 / 1-4-9 / 1-4-6-9
Taking a risk here and leaving the fav out of winning calculations but if you want to play with less risk add in the 4 to win. I think my old mate is a sneaky chance for 3rd Terra Beau. Fingers crossed the fav misses a place and we snag it because I reckon we'll be back in front for the month if that happens
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Dobop ($8)
Got away well from the stand last week and was very unlucky not to finish closer but needs to be driven that way. Gets a very nice advantage on her rivals and with a safe getaway looks a great ew chance
RESULT: LOST! The drive gave it absolutely no chance. Why would you elect to go 4 back the pegs? Only plodded to the line though.
DAY RESULT: Finally a decent profit. $457 in the black.
Mildura, Wednesday 25th February
$50WIN ($6)
Race 2 No 7 Fergus Mactavish
The last time he met a C1 field was way back in Sept 2013. His form into this race has been pretty inconsistent but against much better fields than what he meets here. Expect Zac Phillips to pull back at the start and circle the field to death seat. The 2190metres should be ideal & looks a great chance
RESULT: AWFUL!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 5 Graceful Art ($4)
Was a little unlucky not to run 2nd in a C2-4 class race last week after losing momentum at a critical stage. Comes back to a C1 race here thanks to a concession driver which is a slight concern but looks very well graded.
RESULT: 2nd.. Fav was too good.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Colada Mach ($2.50)
Has been a long time between drinks but his last 2 trials suggest he his ready and raring for this race. Gets the draw advantage over his only danger. Looks a good bet
RESULT: WINNER!! Short but I'll take anything right now. Collect $160
Race 2 No 7 Fergus Mactavish
The last time he met a C1 field was way back in Sept 2013. His form into this race has been pretty inconsistent but against much better fields than what he meets here. Expect Zac Phillips to pull back at the start and circle the field to death seat. The 2190metres should be ideal & looks a great chance
RESULT: AWFUL!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 5 Graceful Art ($4)
Was a little unlucky not to run 2nd in a C2-4 class race last week after losing momentum at a critical stage. Comes back to a C1 race here thanks to a concession driver which is a slight concern but looks very well graded.
RESULT: 2nd.. Fav was too good.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Colada Mach ($2.50)
Has been a long time between drinks but his last 2 trials suggest he his ready and raring for this race. Gets the draw advantage over his only danger. Looks a good bet
RESULT: WINNER!! Short but I'll take anything right now. Collect $160
Maryborough, Wednesday 25th February
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Another Ayjay ($20)
Has always taken a handful of runs to get to full fitness over it's career and hasn't been disgraced of late. Was a good 5th third up behind some good horses who have won since. Last start wasn't suited in a very quick last half when settling back in the field but did a good job late. Back to the front line where he can use his explosive pace and lead and shouldn't be getting a whole heap of pressure once there. Its a risky tip but he looks like getting his chance today at massive odds.
RESULT: 5th. Thought he had a placing all sewn up but walked the last 50..
Race 5 No 6 Another Ayjay ($20)
Has always taken a handful of runs to get to full fitness over it's career and hasn't been disgraced of late. Was a good 5th third up behind some good horses who have won since. Last start wasn't suited in a very quick last half when settling back in the field but did a good job late. Back to the front line where he can use his explosive pace and lead and shouldn't be getting a whole heap of pressure once there. Its a risky tip but he looks like getting his chance today at massive odds.
RESULT: 5th. Thought he had a placing all sewn up but walked the last 50..
ECHUCA, Tuesday 24th February
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Fear No Evil( $2.20)
Can be a bit of a head case but Nathan Jack should have him in front and controlling this race. We'll know the result after the first 100metres. Doesn't lead and we're in trouble.
RESULT: 2nd.. Story of the month. Every chance, ran like a crab down the straight
Race 1 No 2 Fear No Evil( $2.20)
Can be a bit of a head case but Nathan Jack should have him in front and controlling this race. We'll know the result after the first 100metres. Doesn't lead and we're in trouble.
RESULT: 2nd.. Story of the month. Every chance, ran like a crab down the straight
Yarra Valley, Monday 23rd February
$20 TRIFECTA
Race 3 for 1000%
1 / 4-8 / 4-8
RESULT: Lost! 1 & 8 dead heated. 4 was backed into $1.65 and was horrible. Quinella pays $26. Ouch
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Break Of Dawn ($20)
Has returned to racing in superb form. He did something first up that he's never done before, winning after leading up the 3 wide division and finding strength I haven't seen from him before. Followed that up with a very unlucky 5th behind Admiral Joy after being held up 3 back the pegs. Should get a nice trail through from the draw in a race that looks to have the pace on to suit.
RESULT; LOST! Not the best of drives but don't think it mattered.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Supreme Genes ($4)
Loves a short course race & a front row draw and gets that here. Been good in it's last few but not suited. Last time over the 1609 was a very good 2nd to McNiven!
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after Gavin Lang was superb in gained an advantage down the back straight.
Race 3 for 1000%
1 / 4-8 / 4-8
RESULT: Lost! 1 & 8 dead heated. 4 was backed into $1.65 and was horrible. Quinella pays $26. Ouch
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Break Of Dawn ($20)
Has returned to racing in superb form. He did something first up that he's never done before, winning after leading up the 3 wide division and finding strength I haven't seen from him before. Followed that up with a very unlucky 5th behind Admiral Joy after being held up 3 back the pegs. Should get a nice trail through from the draw in a race that looks to have the pace on to suit.
RESULT; LOST! Not the best of drives but don't think it mattered.
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 Supreme Genes ($4)
Loves a short course race & a front row draw and gets that here. Been good in it's last few but not suited. Last time over the 1609 was a very good 2nd to McNiven!
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after Gavin Lang was superb in gained an advantage down the back straight.
Terang Cup Night
$48 TRIFECTA for 400%
Race 4
2-8/ 2-5-6-8 / 2-5-6-8
RESULT: Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 No Bettertime ($10)
Settles leaders back here and even though up in class races best from that position
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 National Service ($10)
Extremely unlucky albeit against weaker opposition. Reckon he is in similar form that won him the Hamilton Cup last year. Settles 3 pegs and expect Keayang Steamer to try and take there legs away in the last lap which should break the field up. Should get his chance.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Alina ($3.5)
Class mare of the race whose last win came in a M0! She doesn't win out of turn but this really looks her race with even luck. Will get crossed early but expect her to be leaders back and be too strong late
$25WIN
Race 9 No 10 Saxon Warrior ($6)
I think Blackwarrior is a massive chance to get crossed early and that'll open this race right up if it does. Saxon has been unlucky in pretty much every race it's started in. Follows the 2nd favourite into the race, Greg Sugars on board, go close.
MEETING RESULT: Won $7
Race 4
2-8/ 2-5-6-8 / 2-5-6-8
RESULT: Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2 No Bettertime ($10)
Settles leaders back here and even though up in class races best from that position
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 National Service ($10)
Extremely unlucky albeit against weaker opposition. Reckon he is in similar form that won him the Hamilton Cup last year. Settles 3 pegs and expect Keayang Steamer to try and take there legs away in the last lap which should break the field up. Should get his chance.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Alina ($3.5)
Class mare of the race whose last win came in a M0! She doesn't win out of turn but this really looks her race with even luck. Will get crossed early but expect her to be leaders back and be too strong late
$25WIN
Race 9 No 10 Saxon Warrior ($6)
I think Blackwarrior is a massive chance to get crossed early and that'll open this race right up if it does. Saxon has been unlucky in pretty much every race it's started in. Follows the 2nd favourite into the race, Greg Sugars on board, go close.
MEETING RESULT: Won $7
Melton, Friday 20th February
EARLY QUADDIE
$60 for 50%
7-9-10 / 2-8-9-13 / 8-9 / 1-3-6-9-10
RESULT: LOST! 3 legs...
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 12 Washmepockets
Was extremely unlucky in both runs leading up to the Hunter Cup where he was outclassed but not disgraced after a bad start. Usually fairly reliable from the strands and can navigate any early trouble from the wide draw. Currently $17 on Sportsbet @ $35 BET265. I marked it a $15 chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Found 1 better. Collect $62
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Realmein
2 starts back was extremely unlucky in 4th behind Flying Isa and then worked hard in the breeze and only faded the final 20 metres to 4th only beaten 2.7 metres behind Stent. With Keystone Del having a huge question mark & Stent likely having to work extremely hard in the death, Realmein will receive every possible chance on the leaders back & in my opinion he races best with a cold sit. Looks great EW value at the moment. I marked him an $8 chance. $15 available across the corporates.
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run. Galloped early. 3 wide without cover the final lap & still snagged a place. Collect $72
MEETING RESULT: Well that was worth the effort. Lost $6
$60 for 50%
7-9-10 / 2-8-9-13 / 8-9 / 1-3-6-9-10
RESULT: LOST! 3 legs...
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 12 Washmepockets
Was extremely unlucky in both runs leading up to the Hunter Cup where he was outclassed but not disgraced after a bad start. Usually fairly reliable from the strands and can navigate any early trouble from the wide draw. Currently $17 on Sportsbet @ $35 BET265. I marked it a $15 chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Found 1 better. Collect $62
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Realmein
2 starts back was extremely unlucky in 4th behind Flying Isa and then worked hard in the breeze and only faded the final 20 metres to 4th only beaten 2.7 metres behind Stent. With Keystone Del having a huge question mark & Stent likely having to work extremely hard in the death, Realmein will receive every possible chance on the leaders back & in my opinion he races best with a cold sit. Looks great EW value at the moment. I marked him an $8 chance. $15 available across the corporates.
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run. Galloped early. 3 wide without cover the final lap & still snagged a place. Collect $72
MEETING RESULT: Well that was worth the effort. Lost $6
Mildura, Thursday 19th February
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 Saabrina Miss
I don't often back odds on favourites but this mare comes back to a C1 from a C4-5, draws to lead on a leaders biased track against walkers. I marked her a $1.90 chance and it would be a major surprise to see her beaten.
RESULT: WINNER! At a good things price though. Collect $150
Race 1 No 1 Saabrina Miss
I don't often back odds on favourites but this mare comes back to a C1 from a C4-5, draws to lead on a leaders biased track against walkers. I marked her a $1.90 chance and it would be a major surprise to see her beaten.
RESULT: WINNER! At a good things price though. Collect $150
Maryborough, Thursday 19th February
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Zach Bromac
Probably has been a little disappointing his past 2 starts but this really looks a suitable race. I cant see Stunning Grin holding them out early and that'll leave Punch Line in trouble from the draw. There is explosive pace off the front line and there are likely to spread the field out early and really set it up for the swoopers. Zach for mine at around the $4 mark.
Rumsron worth a fiver at big odds but would need to cross to be a chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how it lost. Beaten a lip. Rumson holds 3rd at large odds
$50WIN
Race 8 No 12 Tere T
Has been racing against much better class than what it meets today. Gets the concession driver as well to reduce the handicap to 10metres. Just needs to step away clean to be a real factor in this. Expect $4
RESULT: LOST! The less said about that the better
Race 7 No 9 Zach Bromac
Probably has been a little disappointing his past 2 starts but this really looks a suitable race. I cant see Stunning Grin holding them out early and that'll leave Punch Line in trouble from the draw. There is explosive pace off the front line and there are likely to spread the field out early and really set it up for the swoopers. Zach for mine at around the $4 mark.
Rumsron worth a fiver at big odds but would need to cross to be a chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure how it lost. Beaten a lip. Rumson holds 3rd at large odds
$50WIN
Race 8 No 12 Tere T
Has been racing against much better class than what it meets today. Gets the concession driver as well to reduce the handicap to 10metres. Just needs to step away clean to be a real factor in this. Expect $4
RESULT: LOST! The less said about that the better
Geelong @ Melton, Wednesday 18th February
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Dual Agent Tabman
Had his chance at Swan Hill when making ground into 2nd but run into a better horse but he can do that. His previous start to only be beaten 2.6 metres behind Quick Draft is very good form for a race like this. Gets back to a stand start which he loves and a good handicap thanks to the concession driver. Should be bugger all excuses today. Marked him $4
RESULT: WINNER! Looked in trouble on the turn but kept finding. Finally the drought is over. Collect $225
Race 7 No 9 Dual Agent Tabman
Had his chance at Swan Hill when making ground into 2nd but run into a better horse but he can do that. His previous start to only be beaten 2.6 metres behind Quick Draft is very good form for a race like this. Gets back to a stand start which he loves and a good handicap thanks to the concession driver. Should be bugger all excuses today. Marked him $4
RESULT: WINNER! Looked in trouble on the turn but kept finding. Finally the drought is over. Collect $225
Cranbourne, Tuesday 17th February
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Impressive Guy
Showed a return to form last start with a strong 3rd in very quick time against a good one. Draws alongside a very quick beginner and should position up on the pace and looks the one to beat from there. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Missed by the smallest possible margin
Race 4 No 4 Impressive Guy
Showed a return to form last start with a strong 3rd in very quick time against a good one. Draws alongside a very quick beginner and should position up on the pace and looks the one to beat from there. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Missed by the smallest possible margin
Stawell, Monday 16th February
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Riverboat Princess
Got knocked over midrace last start so forget it ran. Previous start worked far too hard early before getting shuffled back in a hot C1 field on Bendigo Cup night and never a chance. 3 starts back was driven aggressively to lead from the back row draw & won very well. Draws to lead on a leaders track & I'm happy to take on the odds on pop here. Expect $5
RESULT: LOST! Well what the hell was that.. Handlebars down from start to finish and Riverboat gone a mile out..
$100 WIN
Race 6 No 3 Solarsonic
Ran some solid races against quality opposition last prep. Joins the Emma Stewart stable for it's first up crack after a few good trials. Good on early as I reckon they'll back it hard. I marked it $2.20
RESULT: Galloped.. When you're cold you're cold
Race 5 No 2 Riverboat Princess
Got knocked over midrace last start so forget it ran. Previous start worked far too hard early before getting shuffled back in a hot C1 field on Bendigo Cup night and never a chance. 3 starts back was driven aggressively to lead from the back row draw & won very well. Draws to lead on a leaders track & I'm happy to take on the odds on pop here. Expect $5
RESULT: LOST! Well what the hell was that.. Handlebars down from start to finish and Riverboat gone a mile out..
$100 WIN
Race 6 No 3 Solarsonic
Ran some solid races against quality opposition last prep. Joins the Emma Stewart stable for it's first up crack after a few good trials. Good on early as I reckon they'll back it hard. I marked it $2.20
RESULT: Galloped.. When you're cold you're cold
Charlton CUP SUnday
$100WIN
Race 3 No 3 Soho Tokoyo
Forget it's first up run when drawn inside back row and never got a proper crack at the in a very slowly run race. Still attacked the line once out though. Draws to either lead or death seat and from either position my best of the day. Expect $2
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Eliska
Loved her run 2 starts back when flashing home late at Cobram after being buried away 4 back the pegs from a poor draw. Got knocked over last start so a definite forget run. Donna Castles should have her leaders back and getting every opportunity here @ $8
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $152.80
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Uncle Wingnut
Certainly not disgraced in the Hunter Cup and was solid the start previous. Mobile starts are his go & loves this race winning the previous couple. The outside front row draw shouldn't pose too many issues as he'll push forward early & I'm tipping rolling to the front shortly hafter the arms fold. Found it very hard to price this race but I reckon he should be around the $3.50 mark.
RESULT: 3rd. Just worked too hard
Race 3 No 3 Soho Tokoyo
Forget it's first up run when drawn inside back row and never got a proper crack at the in a very slowly run race. Still attacked the line once out though. Draws to either lead or death seat and from either position my best of the day. Expect $2
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Eliska
Loved her run 2 starts back when flashing home late at Cobram after being buried away 4 back the pegs from a poor draw. Got knocked over last start so a definite forget run. Donna Castles should have her leaders back and getting every opportunity here @ $8
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $152.80
$50WIN
Race 7 No 7 Uncle Wingnut
Certainly not disgraced in the Hunter Cup and was solid the start previous. Mobile starts are his go & loves this race winning the previous couple. The outside front row draw shouldn't pose too many issues as he'll push forward early & I'm tipping rolling to the front shortly hafter the arms fold. Found it very hard to price this race but I reckon he should be around the $3.50 mark.
RESULT: 3rd. Just worked too hard
Melton, Saturday 14th February
$100WIN
Race 1 No 3 Dentona
Ive got plenty of time for this horse and really liked his run at Warragul when not beaten far in the strongest heat of this race after doing all the work out wide. Should be driven aggressively early here and likely to take a sit on Something Western's back. Looks mighty hard to beat from there. Expect $4
RESULT: LOST! Poor run
$100WIN
Race 2 No 3 My Bella Star
Wasn't suited last start when stuck out the back in an amazingly run race last week & she wasn't the only horse to be run off their legs. This is a major step back in class and I'd be surprised if Gavini didn't have her in the lead shortly after the start. Super chance at around the $2.50 quote especially considering Quick Draft will be trailing her the majority of the race
RESULT: LOST! Terrible run
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Vienna Eyre
I've been burnt by her from a similar scenario as she faces here but she's been in solid form of late and the favourite here has a huge question mark on it Goodtime Marjie. (It's broken stride each time its drawn 1-5 over the past 18months.) If that happens again here Vienna becomes a odds on pop for mine. Even if it doesn't she'll get every possible chance via the sprint lane late, the place to be over the 1720m at Melton. Expect $4
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance
$50 Trifecta
Race 6
3 / 2- 8 / 2-8
Expecting a pretty lack lustre heat here. Lenny The Shark should amble to the front & dictate terms to suit. Wartime Sweetheart SHOULD sit leaders back (still shocked how he didn't on Bendigo Cup night) with Franco Ledger 3 pegs, the type of run that horse needs to use his explosive speed. I really can't see any other horse in the race race capable of putting pressure on and being a factor. This only risk for mine is the amount of David Aitken runners off the front line. Do they let Cold Major amble to the front and have Lenny The Shark retake the lead giving them a huge show of qualifying 3 runners? Surely not...
RESULT: LOST!
Race 1 No 3 Dentona
Ive got plenty of time for this horse and really liked his run at Warragul when not beaten far in the strongest heat of this race after doing all the work out wide. Should be driven aggressively early here and likely to take a sit on Something Western's back. Looks mighty hard to beat from there. Expect $4
RESULT: LOST! Poor run
$100WIN
Race 2 No 3 My Bella Star
Wasn't suited last start when stuck out the back in an amazingly run race last week & she wasn't the only horse to be run off their legs. This is a major step back in class and I'd be surprised if Gavini didn't have her in the lead shortly after the start. Super chance at around the $2.50 quote especially considering Quick Draft will be trailing her the majority of the race
RESULT: LOST! Terrible run
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Vienna Eyre
I've been burnt by her from a similar scenario as she faces here but she's been in solid form of late and the favourite here has a huge question mark on it Goodtime Marjie. (It's broken stride each time its drawn 1-5 over the past 18months.) If that happens again here Vienna becomes a odds on pop for mine. Even if it doesn't she'll get every possible chance via the sprint lane late, the place to be over the 1720m at Melton. Expect $4
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance
$50 Trifecta
Race 6
3 / 2- 8 / 2-8
Expecting a pretty lack lustre heat here. Lenny The Shark should amble to the front & dictate terms to suit. Wartime Sweetheart SHOULD sit leaders back (still shocked how he didn't on Bendigo Cup night) with Franco Ledger 3 pegs, the type of run that horse needs to use his explosive speed. I really can't see any other horse in the race race capable of putting pressure on and being a factor. This only risk for mine is the amount of David Aitken runners off the front line. Do they let Cold Major amble to the front and have Lenny The Shark retake the lead giving them a huge show of qualifying 3 runners? Surely not...
RESULT: LOST!
Bendigo, Thursday 11th February
$100WIN
Race 7 No 9 Uroc Mman
Unlucky against a very strong field last start. Back to the sprint trip & should sit 1x1 off the back of a strong speed. Looks the winner at $2.5
Race 7 No 9 Uroc Mman
Unlucky against a very strong field last start. Back to the sprint trip & should sit 1x1 off the back of a strong speed. Looks the winner at $2.5
Cobram, Thursday 11th February
$50WIN
Race 5 No 6 Major Jules
Past 2 runs haven't suited. Gets back to the front row and can fly the start. Marked it $4.
RESULT: 3rd. Couldn't cross early and just worked that little too hard. Not beaten far.
Race 5 No 6 Major Jules
Past 2 runs haven't suited. Gets back to the front row and can fly the start. Marked it $4.
RESULT: 3rd. Couldn't cross early and just worked that little too hard. Not beaten far.
Terang, Wednesday 11th February
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 4 Ruthless and More
Probably worked too hard early and weakened out of it late last start. His previous form was good enough to make that a forgive run. Last time over this track and distance was a good 3rd just behind Grinning Dollar who has gone to another level since. Jason Lee onboard suggests he's leading here especially with little to no pace in the race & I wouldn't be surprised if the favourite, So Demanding ended 3 pegs. Happy to take it on at around $6
RESULT: WINNER! Super confident drive by Jason Lee. Never looked like losing! Collect $350
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Arr En Special
This believe it or not is a slight step down in class from recent starts and gets the type of run he loves right behind the fav, who has a couple of question marks on it tonight, especially with there likely to be pressure on throughout. His last run from this type of draw was a luckless 3rd of the unsuitable short trip at this track. Whats the Big Idea & Itz Dreamin Jonesy ran track record time & have since run well in Metro class since. I reckon the $10 on BET365 is unders, should be around $12 and I'll get robbed by tab odds here as it'll likely to be odds on the place. If you get $2+ you're shopping well
RESULT: 3rd. Poor run and big unders. Lucky to snag 3rd. Collect $136
$50 TRIFECTA
RACE 6
1-3 /1-3/ 6 for 2500%
A couple of small question marks on the $1.40 fav here having never won over the short course but obviously no better chance for it than in this weak race. Just Like Elle gets every chance to find out if there are any weaknesses especially if Im Lonely applies pressure throughout. These 3 are well ahead of the rest with the 1 & 3 having the advantage.
RESULT: LOST! The 6 lets us down getting beat in a photo for 3rd
$100WIN
Race 7 No 9 Lets Elope
He was given no hope when 3 wide the trip at Melton last start and beaten 8 metres behind The Smiler but not disgraced. His form previous to that run was first class and returns to a race that looks to have non stop speed throughout. Follows through a horse likely to hit the lead first so should settle handy. Looks to one to beat with even luck. Expect $2
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance..
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Ritzy Fitz
HUGE run at Ballarat last start when death seated and finished just out of the placings in 4th. It was only a sprint up the straight but she's a sit sprinter not a horse that can work in the run. Its previous start at Melton was luckless after being carted back to last but ran on impressively late. Gets the perfect draw to make her own luck and either lead or take the sit, where you need to be at Terang. Looks a great chance at $4
RESULT: LOST! I don't think Ive seen a more dodgier looking drive than that. Im lost for words
MEETING RESULT: Geez, lucky I snagged the first winner at odds. Won $136
Race 4 No 4 Ruthless and More
Probably worked too hard early and weakened out of it late last start. His previous form was good enough to make that a forgive run. Last time over this track and distance was a good 3rd just behind Grinning Dollar who has gone to another level since. Jason Lee onboard suggests he's leading here especially with little to no pace in the race & I wouldn't be surprised if the favourite, So Demanding ended 3 pegs. Happy to take it on at around $6
RESULT: WINNER! Super confident drive by Jason Lee. Never looked like losing! Collect $350
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Arr En Special
This believe it or not is a slight step down in class from recent starts and gets the type of run he loves right behind the fav, who has a couple of question marks on it tonight, especially with there likely to be pressure on throughout. His last run from this type of draw was a luckless 3rd of the unsuitable short trip at this track. Whats the Big Idea & Itz Dreamin Jonesy ran track record time & have since run well in Metro class since. I reckon the $10 on BET365 is unders, should be around $12 and I'll get robbed by tab odds here as it'll likely to be odds on the place. If you get $2+ you're shopping well
RESULT: 3rd. Poor run and big unders. Lucky to snag 3rd. Collect $136
$50 TRIFECTA
RACE 6
1-3 /1-3/ 6 for 2500%
A couple of small question marks on the $1.40 fav here having never won over the short course but obviously no better chance for it than in this weak race. Just Like Elle gets every chance to find out if there are any weaknesses especially if Im Lonely applies pressure throughout. These 3 are well ahead of the rest with the 1 & 3 having the advantage.
RESULT: LOST! The 6 lets us down getting beat in a photo for 3rd
$100WIN
Race 7 No 9 Lets Elope
He was given no hope when 3 wide the trip at Melton last start and beaten 8 metres behind The Smiler but not disgraced. His form previous to that run was first class and returns to a race that looks to have non stop speed throughout. Follows through a horse likely to hit the lead first so should settle handy. Looks to one to beat with even luck. Expect $2
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance..
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Ritzy Fitz
HUGE run at Ballarat last start when death seated and finished just out of the placings in 4th. It was only a sprint up the straight but she's a sit sprinter not a horse that can work in the run. Its previous start at Melton was luckless after being carted back to last but ran on impressively late. Gets the perfect draw to make her own luck and either lead or take the sit, where you need to be at Terang. Looks a great chance at $4
RESULT: LOST! I don't think Ive seen a more dodgier looking drive than that. Im lost for words
MEETING RESULT: Geez, lucky I snagged the first winner at odds. Won $136
Swan Hill, Tuesday 9th February
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 1
2-6 / 2- 6 / 4-7-9-10 for 625%
I think the shift to the Costa/Bellman combination will see the best of Riley James & has trialled very impressively in late Jan to be ready for this. Morior Invictus is the obvious favourite and first up should be ready after a couple of impressive trials. I cant see these 2 being knocked off the top 2 positions and maybe a quinella bet for those who want the safer option but only looks to be a possible 4 chances for 3rd with Saint Grace our good result who should be much fitter for a first up run against Derby contenders. None of those here!
Race 1
2-6 / 2- 6 / 4-7-9-10 for 625%
I think the shift to the Costa/Bellman combination will see the best of Riley James & has trialled very impressively in late Jan to be ready for this. Morior Invictus is the obvious favourite and first up should be ready after a couple of impressive trials. I cant see these 2 being knocked off the top 2 positions and maybe a quinella bet for those who want the safer option but only looks to be a possible 4 chances for 3rd with Saint Grace our good result who should be much fitter for a first up run against Derby contenders. None of those here!
Warragul, Monday 8th February
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Shicka Sharka
Not an overly convincing run at Cranbourne last start but they walked and ran home far too quick for him late but still managed 2nd. Much better draw today and the likely favourite has drawn wide & will have to work very hard first up. I think he leads and wins at $3
RESULT: LOST! He led & found absolutely nothing. Awful..
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Popeye Village
Thought his first up run was full of merit after working early & holding it's own against a similar field at Yarra Valley over the sprint trip. Has always shown it's best form over the longer journey and from a sit sprint draw and gets that today. Should follow Something Western the whole way, the only question for me, is it good enough against these? We'll soon find out. Happy to risk at $20. Currently $40 on BET365
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect run and gave nothing..
MEETING RESULT: 2 very poor punting efforts the past 2 meetings and thats all it takes to get us back to almost level pegging. Lost $100
Race 3 No 1 Shicka Sharka
Not an overly convincing run at Cranbourne last start but they walked and ran home far too quick for him late but still managed 2nd. Much better draw today and the likely favourite has drawn wide & will have to work very hard first up. I think he leads and wins at $3
RESULT: LOST! He led & found absolutely nothing. Awful..
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Popeye Village
Thought his first up run was full of merit after working early & holding it's own against a similar field at Yarra Valley over the sprint trip. Has always shown it's best form over the longer journey and from a sit sprint draw and gets that today. Should follow Something Western the whole way, the only question for me, is it good enough against these? We'll soon find out. Happy to risk at $20. Currently $40 on BET365
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect run and gave nothing..
MEETING RESULT: 2 very poor punting efforts the past 2 meetings and thats all it takes to get us back to almost level pegging. Lost $100
Melton, Saturday 7th February
$50WIN
Race 1 No 3 Mister Livan
Was restrained almost before the gates opened last start. Made a midrace move and took the 1x1 sit with a lap to go before flashing late to just miss in 3rd place at Maryborough. This is a slightly weaker race than that and I expect Chris Alford to ping the start tonight & eventually take the sit on Christian Sloy. Looks mighty hard to beat from there. I marked him $3.50.
RESULT: 4th. Run off his legs..
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Cut For An Ace
Forget last start when bombed a stand start. Its run 2 starts ago was very good after beiinig 3 & 4 wide early before being restrained out to last. zigged and zagged late and wasn't beaten far behind Lovable Larikan and Classy Western. Gets his best draw from behind the mobile in some time and should either lead or be leaders back & will give us a great sight here. Expect $6
RESULT: Lost! Got stuck behind a $150 shot and that was it..
$50WIN
Race 5 No 12 Vincennes
Did exactly what Blake Fitzpatrick wanted it to do in the heat of this race last week when a nice 4th when never really put into the race. Stand start is always a risk but expect a much more aggressive drive here tonight and it'll be in this up to its ears if it begins safe.
RESULT: LOST! Did it too tough
$100WIN
Race 6 No 7 Follow The Stars
Thought his heat run was probably the run of all the derby heats considering the windy conditions. It was a pretty subdued drive early on, a drive just aimed to qualify for this final. That wont happen tonight. Mark Purdon will rev him up early & I expect him to be in front shortly after the start. From there I just can't see how they'll beat him. If he doesn't lead it'll make it interesting but still win. $2.10 Centrebet is very nice odds. I thought it was a $1.80 chance.
RESULT: 2nd.. Poor drive Mark Purden. I still think he had the better horse but let Chris Alford drive the race to suit..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 The Good Times
Probably had her chance to beat Beauty Secret last start but did just hand her the lead & was always going to be tough to run her down from there. Back to the 1720metres here is no problem and there looks to be a heap of speed on throughout here. Nathan Jack onboard who knows to navigate through traffic and will just need a little bit of luck to be a huge show here at around the $20 mark. $26 around at the minute.
RESULT: 5th. Good run, just had to go far too wide on the final turn but finished off well..
HUNTER CUP - TOP CHANCES
Lets be honest, no stand start here, it's a walk up start which should ensure most get away safe. My top 4 are:
1st: Adore Me: Super run in the Vic Cup, loves the stand and the longer distance and draws to position very handy to the lead. $2.8 is too short though.
2nd: Christen Me: He and Dexter Dunn are probably the best partnership in harness. The stand start is no concern and if he leads again & there is no pressure like last week, no reason why he cant win.
3rd: Guaranteed: By the time the Vic Cup came around the wind was reeking havoc with those horses racing without cover so thought his run to finish 4th was very good. Going to have to work extremely hard again here though but the stand start and distance certainly no issue.
ROUGHY: Im Corzin Terror: Not suited at all last week but not disgraced at the same time. Is a bit flukey from the stand and galloped out in this race last year when a big run. Likes these distance races and he's a rough chance to snag a place
MEETING RESULT: WIPEOUT! Ouch, just couldn't get anything to go right tonight. Lost $300
Race 1 No 3 Mister Livan
Was restrained almost before the gates opened last start. Made a midrace move and took the 1x1 sit with a lap to go before flashing late to just miss in 3rd place at Maryborough. This is a slightly weaker race than that and I expect Chris Alford to ping the start tonight & eventually take the sit on Christian Sloy. Looks mighty hard to beat from there. I marked him $3.50.
RESULT: 4th. Run off his legs..
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Cut For An Ace
Forget last start when bombed a stand start. Its run 2 starts ago was very good after beiinig 3 & 4 wide early before being restrained out to last. zigged and zagged late and wasn't beaten far behind Lovable Larikan and Classy Western. Gets his best draw from behind the mobile in some time and should either lead or be leaders back & will give us a great sight here. Expect $6
RESULT: Lost! Got stuck behind a $150 shot and that was it..
$50WIN
Race 5 No 12 Vincennes
Did exactly what Blake Fitzpatrick wanted it to do in the heat of this race last week when a nice 4th when never really put into the race. Stand start is always a risk but expect a much more aggressive drive here tonight and it'll be in this up to its ears if it begins safe.
RESULT: LOST! Did it too tough
$100WIN
Race 6 No 7 Follow The Stars
Thought his heat run was probably the run of all the derby heats considering the windy conditions. It was a pretty subdued drive early on, a drive just aimed to qualify for this final. That wont happen tonight. Mark Purdon will rev him up early & I expect him to be in front shortly after the start. From there I just can't see how they'll beat him. If he doesn't lead it'll make it interesting but still win. $2.10 Centrebet is very nice odds. I thought it was a $1.80 chance.
RESULT: 2nd.. Poor drive Mark Purden. I still think he had the better horse but let Chris Alford drive the race to suit..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 The Good Times
Probably had her chance to beat Beauty Secret last start but did just hand her the lead & was always going to be tough to run her down from there. Back to the 1720metres here is no problem and there looks to be a heap of speed on throughout here. Nathan Jack onboard who knows to navigate through traffic and will just need a little bit of luck to be a huge show here at around the $20 mark. $26 around at the minute.
RESULT: 5th. Good run, just had to go far too wide on the final turn but finished off well..
HUNTER CUP - TOP CHANCES
Lets be honest, no stand start here, it's a walk up start which should ensure most get away safe. My top 4 are:
1st: Adore Me: Super run in the Vic Cup, loves the stand and the longer distance and draws to position very handy to the lead. $2.8 is too short though.
2nd: Christen Me: He and Dexter Dunn are probably the best partnership in harness. The stand start is no concern and if he leads again & there is no pressure like last week, no reason why he cant win.
3rd: Guaranteed: By the time the Vic Cup came around the wind was reeking havoc with those horses racing without cover so thought his run to finish 4th was very good. Going to have to work extremely hard again here though but the stand start and distance certainly no issue.
ROUGHY: Im Corzin Terror: Not suited at all last week but not disgraced at the same time. Is a bit flukey from the stand and galloped out in this race last year when a big run. Likes these distance races and he's a rough chance to snag a place
MEETING RESULT: WIPEOUT! Ouch, just couldn't get anything to go right tonight. Lost $300
Shepparton, Friday 6th February
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Bettor Than Best
Was a little unlucky from a back row draw behind Houhora Delight last start when 3rd. This is a nice grade of race for him and the gate 1 holds no concerns as he can fly the gate and Lance wont be handing up today. Gets his chance to return to the winners list. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Had it's chance. Bloody Yerrington Bob....
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8
2 / 8 / 9 for 5000%
You might find this bet a little weird as a tip as it looks extremely risky for the possible return but if they settle & run at the pace I think they will, the result looks easy to predict. Niki No No has trialled well for this first up run and looks the winner. Should lead and run to suit. Smooth Showgirl will be following its every move and has the fitness edge but it's extremely unlikely that it'll be able to run Niki down if there is a slow tempo. Bridgit Buafai is the only other possible chance for mine with a long gap in talent to the rest. Trifecta should pay around $6 if we land it.
RESULT: WINNER! Hard work & only pays $3.80. Collect $190
Race 1 No 1 Bettor Than Best
Was a little unlucky from a back row draw behind Houhora Delight last start when 3rd. This is a nice grade of race for him and the gate 1 holds no concerns as he can fly the gate and Lance wont be handing up today. Gets his chance to return to the winners list. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Had it's chance. Bloody Yerrington Bob....
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8
2 / 8 / 9 for 5000%
You might find this bet a little weird as a tip as it looks extremely risky for the possible return but if they settle & run at the pace I think they will, the result looks easy to predict. Niki No No has trialled well for this first up run and looks the winner. Should lead and run to suit. Smooth Showgirl will be following its every move and has the fitness edge but it's extremely unlikely that it'll be able to run Niki down if there is a slow tempo. Bridgit Buafai is the only other possible chance for mine with a long gap in talent to the rest. Trifecta should pay around $6 if we land it.
RESULT: WINNER! Hard work & only pays $3.80. Collect $190
Geelong, Thursday 5th February
$100WIN
Race 5 No 3 Vinny Chase
Thought his 2nd to a the very smart Mister Mundaka was very good even though he had every opportunity to win, still beat home Outrageous El and Vanderlay. This is a fair step down in class and the extra distance holds no concerns. Should spear to the front and hold the aces from there on in. Expect $2.30
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't lead but a very good drive got the result anyway. Collect $300
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Roger Ramjet
This is a very strong race but having his stablemate on his inside has convinced me he can roll to the lead and get every opportunity to beat Mister Mundaka. His last run was a very strong 3rd at Ballarat when 3 wide without cover in the final 2 quarters of 27 & 28 seconds. The break between runs a slight concern but did have a trial hit out last Monday to sharpen him up for this. $4 my odds currently $7 BET365
RESULT: 4th. Looked the winner before the turn but wow, what a horse Mister Mundaka. It pulled hard in the death, pressured Roger the whole way & still land won. Impressive
MEETING RESULT: Won $150
Race 5 No 3 Vinny Chase
Thought his 2nd to a the very smart Mister Mundaka was very good even though he had every opportunity to win, still beat home Outrageous El and Vanderlay. This is a fair step down in class and the extra distance holds no concerns. Should spear to the front and hold the aces from there on in. Expect $2.30
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't lead but a very good drive got the result anyway. Collect $300
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Roger Ramjet
This is a very strong race but having his stablemate on his inside has convinced me he can roll to the lead and get every opportunity to beat Mister Mundaka. His last run was a very strong 3rd at Ballarat when 3 wide without cover in the final 2 quarters of 27 & 28 seconds. The break between runs a slight concern but did have a trial hit out last Monday to sharpen him up for this. $4 my odds currently $7 BET365
RESULT: 4th. Looked the winner before the turn but wow, what a horse Mister Mundaka. It pulled hard in the death, pressured Roger the whole way & still land won. Impressive
MEETING RESULT: Won $150
Hamilton, Wednesday 4th February
$100WIN
Race 8 No 6 Chief Safari
Was extremely impressive first up working at both ends of the race and winning with ease. More impressively the last mile/half was quicker than the C3/4 event on the same night by a fair way. Thats a fair indication that this bloke is a very smart individual. Will need to be here against a couple of good ones but i think he pushes forward and will be far too strong. Expect $3
RESULT: WINNER! Impressive alright. Just realised it was $4.40 on BET365! Did all the work and won pulling away. Still yet to be fully tested. Keep following. Collect $290
Race 8 No 6 Chief Safari
Was extremely impressive first up working at both ends of the race and winning with ease. More impressively the last mile/half was quicker than the C3/4 event on the same night by a fair way. Thats a fair indication that this bloke is a very smart individual. Will need to be here against a couple of good ones but i think he pushes forward and will be far too strong. Expect $3
RESULT: WINNER! Impressive alright. Just realised it was $4.40 on BET365! Did all the work and won pulling away. Still yet to be fully tested. Keep following. Collect $290
Kilmore, Tuesday 3rd February
$50WIN
Race 3 No 10 Jukebox Music
Was crawling all over there backs last start after the driver elected to go 4 back the pegs at Ballarat, a track with no sprint lane. There is a heap of speed off the front row and expect Caesar Supreme to restrain early and take off mid race. That should suit Jukebox Music perfectly and Glenn Douglas knows this horse very well so having back onboard is no disadvantage. Expect $6
RESULT: Bloody claimers...Sorry punters, these races go into the exclude bin in future. Had every possible opportunity. Probably will win next start after being 3wide the trip..
Race 3 No 10 Jukebox Music
Was crawling all over there backs last start after the driver elected to go 4 back the pegs at Ballarat, a track with no sprint lane. There is a heap of speed off the front row and expect Caesar Supreme to restrain early and take off mid race. That should suit Jukebox Music perfectly and Glenn Douglas knows this horse very well so having back onboard is no disadvantage. Expect $6
RESULT: Bloody claimers...Sorry punters, these races go into the exclude bin in future. Had every possible opportunity. Probably will win next start after being 3wide the trip..
Yarra Valley, Monday 2nd February
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Captain Under Fire
Performs best when able to control races from the top and gets the chance to do exactly that today. Hasn't been disgraced in recent starts after doing a heap of work. Down in class here today and there will be no excuses. Expect $3
RESULT: 2nd. Nutted with 20 metres to go by the cheat lane... Frustrating but had it's chance.. Reviewed the race, beaten by a better horse. Ran the last quarter in 27.1. Should never have been run down but the favourite did
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Houhora Delight
Gets a lovely drop down in class to C1 after racing C2-3's and back to the distance he races best. Expect Alex Ashwood to drive really aggressively early as the lead may just be up for grabs. Even from the death looks mighty hard to beat at around the $5 mark.
RESULT: WINNER! 10 out of 10 drive by Ashwood got him the prize. Collect $210
MEETING RESULT: Start the month off with a win but was a half head away from something much bigger. Won $60
Race 7 No 1 Captain Under Fire
Performs best when able to control races from the top and gets the chance to do exactly that today. Hasn't been disgraced in recent starts after doing a heap of work. Down in class here today and there will be no excuses. Expect $3
RESULT: 2nd. Nutted with 20 metres to go by the cheat lane... Frustrating but had it's chance.. Reviewed the race, beaten by a better horse. Ran the last quarter in 27.1. Should never have been run down but the favourite did
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Houhora Delight
Gets a lovely drop down in class to C1 after racing C2-3's and back to the distance he races best. Expect Alex Ashwood to drive really aggressively early as the lead may just be up for grabs. Even from the death looks mighty hard to beat at around the $5 mark.
RESULT: WINNER! 10 out of 10 drive by Ashwood got him the prize. Collect $210
MEETING RESULT: Start the month off with a win but was a half head away from something much bigger. Won $60
Victoria Cup Night
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Bit Of A Legend
Scrambled away in the Shep Cup & looked put off by the galloping horses in front of it. The return to the front line is a huge bonus here with a couple of known bad starters inside him. Should work his way to the front and if that eventuated Id be very surprised if it got rolled. $2.80 TAB Fixed will do me.
RESULT: WINNER! Super drive Dexter Dunn gets us the cash. Collect $270
$100WIN
Race 10 No 7 Composed
Worked mighty hard over the sprint distance last start and was only a beaten horse late in that race. This time there seems to be an abundance of speed on and I just cant see Jason Lee holding up on the one, regardless of how much pressure Lance puts on. That is going to suit Composed perfectly and I'm happy to have a crack @ the $4 TAB Fixed
RESULT: WINNER! Great drive Josh Aitken, this kid has one hell of a future. Collect $310
VICTORIA CUP
What a race. Plenty has been said about it all week and I reckon I've change my mind a few times but here are my thoughts:
1: Lenny The Shark: Good run first up against a good Shep Cup field. Gets out OK, enough to hold Beautides back but I doubt it's a sit sprint type. Rough place chance only for mine.
2: Franco Ledger: Earlier in the week I thought it was a chance to lead but after doing the speed maps properly, seems there isn't a chance in hell he can cross the 1. Hard to see him winning coming wide and will settle 1out 4 back or worse for mine. That'll make life too tough
3: Beautide: Horrible lead up to this race after being knocked down with a few injuries and that has had to have had an impact on the horse as there is nothing like race fitness. He will lead and give a mighty sight but I think he's unders and worth risking.
4: Philadelphia Man: What a return to racing this bloke has had. Always shown massive promise but finally getting the chance to match it at Grand Circuit level. I think he'll be sent out to really put the pressure right on Beautide early & eventually take a sit. Is he good enough to do it at both ends? 1 year away for mine but geez I'd love to see him win.
5: Im Corzin Terror: Ballarat Cup winner who is huge odds here and probably with good reason. Likely to settle back in the field and will need absolutely everthing to go right to figure. Not hopeless but no.
6: Christen Me: Super horse but where does he settle from the draw? Go back & will need to be better than last year to win. Go forward and with some Dexter Dunn magic slot in close to the action & look out. From a better draw I'd be on but a few too many if's. Certainly a major player though.
7: Terror To Love: Loves a punishing long distance race and I reckon that this maybe slightly too short for it against the big boys. Trainer has indicated it'll go back from the start and from there I'm not keen.
8: SCRATCHED
9: David Hercules: Will settle 3 back the pegs and is my best roughy in the race. Was huge in the WA Cup after he was given no favours by Gary Hall Jnr. His form previous to that indicates that he's at the top of his game. One thing is for sure, Lenny The Shark will wobble on the final turn and that run up the sprint lane will come earlier than most will expect. $41 & $5 on TAB Fixed
10: Guaranteed: Never raced better and for mine the major player. Loved his run in the Miracle Mile when just kept closing late finishing 3rd. Followed that run with a track record breaking win in the SA Cup from the death. Considering that was after almost a month and a half without a run, although several trials in between, that performance was HUGE. Back on home turf, he is the one to beat.
11: For A Reason: Last years winner who looks likely to follow Guaranteed everywhere it goes but just not racing well enough to figure. If it found something like it's best a definite chance but thats a guessing game. Not for me.
12: Adore Me: Mark Purdon has said this mare has never raced better and her last win was sensational. If she had drawn 11, would have been my top tip as it would have almost the perfect trail into the race. Still, takes some great form intoo this and Mark Purdon knows how to win these races. Great EW chance.
13: Restrepo: Great to see him back on the winners list at Hamilton winning the Cup but this is a whole different story. If they goes nuts up front he's a blow out chance but happy to leave out
Real tough race and not one I'd suggest to spend too much money on as really, anything can win with the right run.
Suggested Bets:
WIN: Guaranteed
ROUGHY: David Hercules
RESULT: Well wasn't the race we wanted it to be but hats off to Dexter Dunn. Out drove the field.
MEETING RESULT: Won $380
Race 5 No 4 Bit Of A Legend
Scrambled away in the Shep Cup & looked put off by the galloping horses in front of it. The return to the front line is a huge bonus here with a couple of known bad starters inside him. Should work his way to the front and if that eventuated Id be very surprised if it got rolled. $2.80 TAB Fixed will do me.
RESULT: WINNER! Super drive Dexter Dunn gets us the cash. Collect $270
$100WIN
Race 10 No 7 Composed
Worked mighty hard over the sprint distance last start and was only a beaten horse late in that race. This time there seems to be an abundance of speed on and I just cant see Jason Lee holding up on the one, regardless of how much pressure Lance puts on. That is going to suit Composed perfectly and I'm happy to have a crack @ the $4 TAB Fixed
RESULT: WINNER! Great drive Josh Aitken, this kid has one hell of a future. Collect $310
VICTORIA CUP
What a race. Plenty has been said about it all week and I reckon I've change my mind a few times but here are my thoughts:
1: Lenny The Shark: Good run first up against a good Shep Cup field. Gets out OK, enough to hold Beautides back but I doubt it's a sit sprint type. Rough place chance only for mine.
2: Franco Ledger: Earlier in the week I thought it was a chance to lead but after doing the speed maps properly, seems there isn't a chance in hell he can cross the 1. Hard to see him winning coming wide and will settle 1out 4 back or worse for mine. That'll make life too tough
3: Beautide: Horrible lead up to this race after being knocked down with a few injuries and that has had to have had an impact on the horse as there is nothing like race fitness. He will lead and give a mighty sight but I think he's unders and worth risking.
4: Philadelphia Man: What a return to racing this bloke has had. Always shown massive promise but finally getting the chance to match it at Grand Circuit level. I think he'll be sent out to really put the pressure right on Beautide early & eventually take a sit. Is he good enough to do it at both ends? 1 year away for mine but geez I'd love to see him win.
5: Im Corzin Terror: Ballarat Cup winner who is huge odds here and probably with good reason. Likely to settle back in the field and will need absolutely everthing to go right to figure. Not hopeless but no.
6: Christen Me: Super horse but where does he settle from the draw? Go back & will need to be better than last year to win. Go forward and with some Dexter Dunn magic slot in close to the action & look out. From a better draw I'd be on but a few too many if's. Certainly a major player though.
7: Terror To Love: Loves a punishing long distance race and I reckon that this maybe slightly too short for it against the big boys. Trainer has indicated it'll go back from the start and from there I'm not keen.
8: SCRATCHED
9: David Hercules: Will settle 3 back the pegs and is my best roughy in the race. Was huge in the WA Cup after he was given no favours by Gary Hall Jnr. His form previous to that indicates that he's at the top of his game. One thing is for sure, Lenny The Shark will wobble on the final turn and that run up the sprint lane will come earlier than most will expect. $41 & $5 on TAB Fixed
10: Guaranteed: Never raced better and for mine the major player. Loved his run in the Miracle Mile when just kept closing late finishing 3rd. Followed that run with a track record breaking win in the SA Cup from the death. Considering that was after almost a month and a half without a run, although several trials in between, that performance was HUGE. Back on home turf, he is the one to beat.
11: For A Reason: Last years winner who looks likely to follow Guaranteed everywhere it goes but just not racing well enough to figure. If it found something like it's best a definite chance but thats a guessing game. Not for me.
12: Adore Me: Mark Purdon has said this mare has never raced better and her last win was sensational. If she had drawn 11, would have been my top tip as it would have almost the perfect trail into the race. Still, takes some great form intoo this and Mark Purdon knows how to win these races. Great EW chance.
13: Restrepo: Great to see him back on the winners list at Hamilton winning the Cup but this is a whole different story. If they goes nuts up front he's a blow out chance but happy to leave out
Real tough race and not one I'd suggest to spend too much money on as really, anything can win with the right run.
Suggested Bets:
WIN: Guaranteed
ROUGHY: David Hercules
RESULT: Well wasn't the race we wanted it to be but hats off to Dexter Dunn. Out drove the field.
MEETING RESULT: Won $380
Ballarat, Friday 30th January
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Desdon Murruffy
Went super first up behind Keayang Active when they ran super quick time at this track. Followed that up with a good effort at Kilmore from an unsuitable draw but certainly wasn't disgraced finishing alongside Call Me Bond. Gets the draw he needs to figure and Im very confident he can cross Tuscan Breeze in the early stages & hold the lead from there. There are plenty of baggers of David Murphy but his a very good judge of pace once in front and he'll give them plenty of cheek here. I marked him a $10 chance but good old BET365 $41!
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run considering it death seated. Lost it at the start when laid in and nearly galloped.
Race 5 No 2 Desdon Murruffy
Went super first up behind Keayang Active when they ran super quick time at this track. Followed that up with a good effort at Kilmore from an unsuitable draw but certainly wasn't disgraced finishing alongside Call Me Bond. Gets the draw he needs to figure and Im very confident he can cross Tuscan Breeze in the early stages & hold the lead from there. There are plenty of baggers of David Murphy but his a very good judge of pace once in front and he'll give them plenty of cheek here. I marked him a $10 chance but good old BET365 $41!
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run considering it death seated. Lost it at the start when laid in and nearly galloped.
Echuca, Thursday 29th January
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Our Star Dust
Ran some solid races against the best 2yo's in Oz last prep. Has had plenty of trial racing in preparation for this race and should lead & win @ $2.20. The query runner is the 7. Won an Albury trial and Josh Aitken on is a small concern but maybe worth a saver if you're that way inclined.
RESULT: 3rd.. I don't like bagging drivers but.... I won't..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 6 King Rafa
Ive been waiting for this fella to draw well over the short trip but it just hasn't happened but can figure here. Forget last start when outclassed against some good lower grade horses. Its previous 3 runs were all over the longer distances which he's always struggled with. Last time over this distance drew wide, worked hard early & wasn't far off Mymumsabankmanager at Maryborough. Should push forward here again and likely to sit in the death but should take cover mid race from Party Rocka. If he hasn't used up too much petrol, he's a sneaky each way shot at big odds. I marked him $20.
RESULT: 4th. Arrgh.. SP $100 on BETFAIR..
DAY RESULT: An absolute shocker, sorry punters, nothing went right. Got work to do to claw this back now with 2 punting days left
Race 2 No 1 Our Star Dust
Ran some solid races against the best 2yo's in Oz last prep. Has had plenty of trial racing in preparation for this race and should lead & win @ $2.20. The query runner is the 7. Won an Albury trial and Josh Aitken on is a small concern but maybe worth a saver if you're that way inclined.
RESULT: 3rd.. I don't like bagging drivers but.... I won't..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 6 King Rafa
Ive been waiting for this fella to draw well over the short trip but it just hasn't happened but can figure here. Forget last start when outclassed against some good lower grade horses. Its previous 3 runs were all over the longer distances which he's always struggled with. Last time over this distance drew wide, worked hard early & wasn't far off Mymumsabankmanager at Maryborough. Should push forward here again and likely to sit in the death but should take cover mid race from Party Rocka. If he hasn't used up too much petrol, he's a sneaky each way shot at big odds. I marked him $20.
RESULT: 4th. Arrgh.. SP $100 on BETFAIR..
DAY RESULT: An absolute shocker, sorry punters, nothing went right. Got work to do to claw this back now with 2 punting days left
Melton, Thursday 29th January
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Freemason
Returned to the track with a good 5th behind Yankee Rockstar in a race that didn't suit his racing style. Back to a gate where he can lead and over the distance he loves looks a super eachway punt at around the $6 mark.
RESULT: AWFUL..
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 5
4-6-11 / 4-6-11 / 1-4-6-8-11
Regal Knight's effort last start was pretty ordinary but was against superior class whilst Itdontmattertome beat it home after a tough run that same race. The other winning chance being Freemason as stated above. The peg runner should see out any other chance in the placing. If Freemason can knock off it's more fancied rivals I think we're in for a good collect
RESULT: See Above..
$50WIN
Race 9 No 8 Brookies Jet
Very good effort at Echuca on it's debut when worked hard early and was just beaten by the impressive Always Arjay. Should settle leaders back and have every chance in an open race. I marked it $5
RESULT: 2nd.. Good run but was stuck 3 pegs. Follow
Race 5 No 4 Freemason
Returned to the track with a good 5th behind Yankee Rockstar in a race that didn't suit his racing style. Back to a gate where he can lead and over the distance he loves looks a super eachway punt at around the $6 mark.
RESULT: AWFUL..
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 5
4-6-11 / 4-6-11 / 1-4-6-8-11
Regal Knight's effort last start was pretty ordinary but was against superior class whilst Itdontmattertome beat it home after a tough run that same race. The other winning chance being Freemason as stated above. The peg runner should see out any other chance in the placing. If Freemason can knock off it's more fancied rivals I think we're in for a good collect
RESULT: See Above..
$50WIN
Race 9 No 8 Brookies Jet
Very good effort at Echuca on it's debut when worked hard early and was just beaten by the impressive Always Arjay. Should settle leaders back and have every chance in an open race. I marked it $5
RESULT: 2nd.. Good run but was stuck 3 pegs. Follow
Mildura, Wednesday 28th January
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 5
6 / 2-4 /1-2-4 for 1250%
Taking on the odds on pop here as I don't think it'll find so easy to lead here tonight & I think if it can't it's a massive chance to miss a place. With that being said, a fast early pace is really going to suit Spokeswoman who hasn't been suited in it's past couple of runs but certainly hasn't been disgraced. Givsirabone isn't good enough to beat these and likely to take all the cheap runs but can certainly sneak up for the minor prize. Hoping for a $40+ trifecta here.
RESULT: LOST! Thats the last tip you'll see from me at Mildura
Race 5
6 / 2-4 /1-2-4 for 1250%
Taking on the odds on pop here as I don't think it'll find so easy to lead here tonight & I think if it can't it's a massive chance to miss a place. With that being said, a fast early pace is really going to suit Spokeswoman who hasn't been suited in it's past couple of runs but certainly hasn't been disgraced. Givsirabone isn't good enough to beat these and likely to take all the cheap runs but can certainly sneak up for the minor prize. Hoping for a $40+ trifecta here.
RESULT: LOST! Thats the last tip you'll see from me at Mildura
Maryborough, Wednesday 28th January
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Kimama
Blackbooked it last start after a good 2nd to the smart Starburst Girl. Hit a flat spot before the final bend and looked gone for all money but found another gear to snag 2nd not far off the winner. The extra distance looks no problem but it maybe to the first & 2nd favourites. We should be getting $4.5 at least here.
RESULT: 2nd. Geez far too good Ponder Girl, it grew a leg this week after its flop last start
Race 2 No 3 Kimama
Blackbooked it last start after a good 2nd to the smart Starburst Girl. Hit a flat spot before the final bend and looked gone for all money but found another gear to snag 2nd not far off the winner. The extra distance looks no problem but it maybe to the first & 2nd favourites. We should be getting $4.5 at least here.
RESULT: 2nd. Geez far too good Ponder Girl, it grew a leg this week after its flop last start
CRanbourne, Tuesday 27th January
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Temporal Join
Giving this fella one last chance after a solid run in a good race last start. Gets the draw to either lead here and as long as he doesn't race roughly early he should. Looks to be a type that should be suited by that type of run. Looks a great chance at $4
RESULT: 3rd.. Didn't hold and just doesn't have the sprint to win. Limited horse.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Travtiano
This horses last win was in the Poggaharness.com Pace and I reckon he can notch up number 2 tonight at big odds. Saves his best races for this track and looks certain to settle 3 pegs off a very hot pace here. Thats the exact run he needs and watch for him scooting through late. At around the $20 mark, I reckon he's a huge knock out chance.
RESULT: LOST! Had its chance
Race 4 No 1 Temporal Join
Giving this fella one last chance after a solid run in a good race last start. Gets the draw to either lead here and as long as he doesn't race roughly early he should. Looks to be a type that should be suited by that type of run. Looks a great chance at $4
RESULT: 3rd.. Didn't hold and just doesn't have the sprint to win. Limited horse.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Travtiano
This horses last win was in the Poggaharness.com Pace and I reckon he can notch up number 2 tonight at big odds. Saves his best races for this track and looks certain to settle 3 pegs off a very hot pace here. Thats the exact run he needs and watch for him scooting through late. At around the $20 mark, I reckon he's a huge knock out chance.
RESULT: LOST! Had its chance
Stawell, Monday 26th January
$100WIN
Race 7 No 4 Bisping
Had every chance in a pretty hot field last start. Looks the likely leader and I think we'll get black odds thanks to Sketchman. I marked him a $2 chance and looks the best bet of the meeting.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $160
Race 7 No 4 Bisping
Had every chance in a pretty hot field last start. Looks the likely leader and I think we'll get black odds thanks to Sketchman. I marked him a $2 chance and looks the best bet of the meeting.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $160
Geelong, Sunday 25th January
$100WIN
Race 1 No 4 Its A Miss
Last chance for this mare. Should amble to the front early and thats where she races best. $2.20 I marked her.
RESULT: WINNER! $4.60 was the opening quote from BET365! Collect $240
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Keayang Starzzz
Would love to know what he ran his last mile in after galloping at the start and only being beaten 13 metres behind Yankee Rockstar. Not sure why he galloped, maybe the inside gate the issue? Usually flies the gate and I think he's a FFA'ller in the making or even better. Take the early odds as I reckon they'll jump into him at some point. Marked him a $2 shot
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $160
$50WIN
Race 8 No 7 We Never Say Die
Looks superbly graded here off the 10 metre handicap. He's a safe beginner and hasn't been disgraced in much better company of late. Didn't finish far behind Prince Of Thieves last start and we saw what he did at Kilmore. Just need a safe getaway to be a real chance. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $170
MEETING RESULT: Won $320
Race 1 No 4 Its A Miss
Last chance for this mare. Should amble to the front early and thats where she races best. $2.20 I marked her.
RESULT: WINNER! $4.60 was the opening quote from BET365! Collect $240
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Keayang Starzzz
Would love to know what he ran his last mile in after galloping at the start and only being beaten 13 metres behind Yankee Rockstar. Not sure why he galloped, maybe the inside gate the issue? Usually flies the gate and I think he's a FFA'ller in the making or even better. Take the early odds as I reckon they'll jump into him at some point. Marked him a $2 shot
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $160
$50WIN
Race 8 No 7 We Never Say Die
Looks superbly graded here off the 10 metre handicap. He's a safe beginner and hasn't been disgraced in much better company of late. Didn't finish far behind Prince Of Thieves last start and we saw what he did at Kilmore. Just need a safe getaway to be a real chance. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $170
MEETING RESULT: Won $320
Shepparton, Saturday 24th January
$50WIN
Race 1 No 12 Nor Nor West
Hard to believe how easy it won at Cobram for a couple of reasons. They walked. It was on a leaders track and he was still midfield rounding the last turn. He won pulling away with plenty to give. I think this bloke has bigger things to come in his career and just needs to be close enough on the final bend to win here. Like his chances at around $4
RESULT: Lost! Too far back on the turn
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Manuka Man
Takes on the mighty Yankee Rockstar here but if there is ever a chance that it'll get beaten against this class tonights the night. Manuka Man has been racing against the best Victoria has to offer and hasn't been disgraced with his best run arguablly coming in the Cobram Cup when 4th behind Flaming Flutter. Finally gets a draw here to lead and run along as he likes. Gets every opportunity at $4
RESULT: 2nd. Runs a track record time yet Yankee Rockstar still beats it by a half head. Super horse
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Flaming Flutter
I can't believe this fella is $21 at BET365 after a slashing 2nd to Guaranteed in the SA Cup last start. He gets away beautifully from the tapes winning 4 & running 2nd from 5 starts from the stand. Should settle nice and close and although it'll be tough to beat Philadelphia Man & maybe Lenny The Shark, the stand start evens this race right up. Great value at $21. Should be half that quote
RESULT: 4th. Had every chance
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
Race 1 No 12 Nor Nor West
Hard to believe how easy it won at Cobram for a couple of reasons. They walked. It was on a leaders track and he was still midfield rounding the last turn. He won pulling away with plenty to give. I think this bloke has bigger things to come in his career and just needs to be close enough on the final bend to win here. Like his chances at around $4
RESULT: Lost! Too far back on the turn
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Manuka Man
Takes on the mighty Yankee Rockstar here but if there is ever a chance that it'll get beaten against this class tonights the night. Manuka Man has been racing against the best Victoria has to offer and hasn't been disgraced with his best run arguablly coming in the Cobram Cup when 4th behind Flaming Flutter. Finally gets a draw here to lead and run along as he likes. Gets every opportunity at $4
RESULT: 2nd. Runs a track record time yet Yankee Rockstar still beats it by a half head. Super horse
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Flaming Flutter
I can't believe this fella is $21 at BET365 after a slashing 2nd to Guaranteed in the SA Cup last start. He gets away beautifully from the tapes winning 4 & running 2nd from 5 starts from the stand. Should settle nice and close and although it'll be tough to beat Philadelphia Man & maybe Lenny The Shark, the stand start evens this race right up. Great value at $21. Should be half that quote
RESULT: 4th. Had every chance
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
Melton. Friday 23rd January
A tough meeting for the value punter here with the meeting littered with odds on pops so just the one from me:
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Arts Professor
His last 2 runs have been full of merit. Only got out late and hit the line OK to snatch 3rd last start and his start previous was very unlucky not to finish much closer to Vox Populi and Rock N Roll Music who'd both start short in this race. Glencore is the deserved favourite of this race but it is going to have to really eaern his win here with plenty of speed underneath it. Arts will follow All By Chance everywhere it goes and it what looks to be a very strongly run race, will get his chance late. I rated him $20. Bet365 $35
My thoughts on the other races:
Race 2: Keayang Kallisto looks mighty hard to beat with the debutant the value runner in the race after a decent trial. 6-7-1
Race 4: Show Me The Bling returns and looks the one to beat. Waves Of Fire likely to get the best run in the race with the minors to be fought out by 3-5-8.
Race 5: Real open race this. Nearly tipped Gumdrops here but it's hard to know how much harm she's taken from recent gutbusters. It is a nice drop in class here tonight. Obvious chance The Smiler who'll lead and Toulouse Letrec sitting leaders back. Crazy Dave. All I Can Be & Palais De Louvre can all win with the right run. My numbers 6-2-8-3 but wouldn't be surprised if I was no where near it.
Race 6: Mister Independant & Glenferrie Typhoon fight this out IF Mister Independant behaves. Looks a moral quinella but they are trotters. My number 8-1-2
Race 7: Tough draw for Messini but it could be anything. Cant take it on. Hall Of Famer and Lovable Larrikan the value. My number 8-7-2
Race 8; Superb race in 2. Jilliby Jagger I'd back if I could get $2+. Shoould get to the fence first and make Menin Gate work hard. It's yet to be seen that Menin Gate can work that hard and win but it could just be a freak. Voxpopuli is my tip to grab 3rd & that maybe the value play the trifecta.
Race 10: Follow The Stars may lap them. Cant believe it's allowed to compete against Co's. Something is very wrong with our system. 7, 8 & 9 all should be fighting out the placings but the best roughy to place maybe Saxon Warrior. Showed a bit of ability last time in. NTD here so multiples only if you have to but just sit back & watch how far FTS wins by
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 10 Arts Professor
His last 2 runs have been full of merit. Only got out late and hit the line OK to snatch 3rd last start and his start previous was very unlucky not to finish much closer to Vox Populi and Rock N Roll Music who'd both start short in this race. Glencore is the deserved favourite of this race but it is going to have to really eaern his win here with plenty of speed underneath it. Arts will follow All By Chance everywhere it goes and it what looks to be a very strongly run race, will get his chance late. I rated him $20. Bet365 $35
My thoughts on the other races:
Race 2: Keayang Kallisto looks mighty hard to beat with the debutant the value runner in the race after a decent trial. 6-7-1
Race 4: Show Me The Bling returns and looks the one to beat. Waves Of Fire likely to get the best run in the race with the minors to be fought out by 3-5-8.
Race 5: Real open race this. Nearly tipped Gumdrops here but it's hard to know how much harm she's taken from recent gutbusters. It is a nice drop in class here tonight. Obvious chance The Smiler who'll lead and Toulouse Letrec sitting leaders back. Crazy Dave. All I Can Be & Palais De Louvre can all win with the right run. My numbers 6-2-8-3 but wouldn't be surprised if I was no where near it.
Race 6: Mister Independant & Glenferrie Typhoon fight this out IF Mister Independant behaves. Looks a moral quinella but they are trotters. My number 8-1-2
Race 7: Tough draw for Messini but it could be anything. Cant take it on. Hall Of Famer and Lovable Larrikan the value. My number 8-7-2
Race 8; Superb race in 2. Jilliby Jagger I'd back if I could get $2+. Shoould get to the fence first and make Menin Gate work hard. It's yet to be seen that Menin Gate can work that hard and win but it could just be a freak. Voxpopuli is my tip to grab 3rd & that maybe the value play the trifecta.
Race 10: Follow The Stars may lap them. Cant believe it's allowed to compete against Co's. Something is very wrong with our system. 7, 8 & 9 all should be fighting out the placings but the best roughy to place maybe Saxon Warrior. Showed a bit of ability last time in. NTD here so multiples only if you have to but just sit back & watch how far FTS wins by
Kilmore, Thursday 22nd January
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Classic Icon
Has been racing well from unsuitable draws and yes, he's been one of my favourite horses over the years, because he wins at odds and gets that chance here. You only have to go back and watch his race on the 12th of December where he was very unlucky when 3 back the fence after working hard early and having to go wide around the field to finish 4th. I'm 80% sure he crosses tonight and senior jumps back on board to make sure he does. He will hand up once there, probably to Reservation Road. Is he good enough to run that horse down is my query but we really should be getting $10+. $9 currently on BET365, I wouldnt be touching that just yet.
RESULT: Lost! In the claimers for a reason
$48 FIRST 4
Race 7
Stand Out 1 to beat 3-5-7-8 for 200%
Stunning Grin was super impressive at Melton last start when wide the first lap to find the death and never gave up. Gets the draw to lead and looks the winner. Once they settle in this race, I can't see too many moves being made. I have the 1 leading, 5 death seating, 8 leaders back and 3 1x1 who is the best roughy in the race. I can't leave out the 7 who is in fantastic form and did beat Stunning Grin last start but the draw makes it really tough. If we can get the 3 into 2nd place, we'll be collecting a good dividend here.
RESULT: LOST! If only I said roving banker instead of stand out. F4 pays $5k. Best roughy wins at $45. That hurt..
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Shadow Flag
Oh boy she looks suited tonight from the draw. Thought her run behind the very good against Smooth Showgirl after working hard in the death to only be beaten 5 metres. The 1 first up should be handing up the lead here and not up to the class of these and Shadow Flag for mine rolls straight to the lead. Small field should mean a fairly easy time in front and finally time for this horse to run things her way. I marked her a $2.5 chance. $5 on BET365
RESULT: 2nd. Got into $2.50, got an easy lead and found absolutely nothing!!
MEETING RESULT: All horse at Kilmore had the exact runs I expected and did bugger all & to rub it in my roughy in the 7th wins at massive odds. Disappointing night. Day result won $72
Race 2 No 4 Classic Icon
Has been racing well from unsuitable draws and yes, he's been one of my favourite horses over the years, because he wins at odds and gets that chance here. You only have to go back and watch his race on the 12th of December where he was very unlucky when 3 back the fence after working hard early and having to go wide around the field to finish 4th. I'm 80% sure he crosses tonight and senior jumps back on board to make sure he does. He will hand up once there, probably to Reservation Road. Is he good enough to run that horse down is my query but we really should be getting $10+. $9 currently on BET365, I wouldnt be touching that just yet.
RESULT: Lost! In the claimers for a reason
$48 FIRST 4
Race 7
Stand Out 1 to beat 3-5-7-8 for 200%
Stunning Grin was super impressive at Melton last start when wide the first lap to find the death and never gave up. Gets the draw to lead and looks the winner. Once they settle in this race, I can't see too many moves being made. I have the 1 leading, 5 death seating, 8 leaders back and 3 1x1 who is the best roughy in the race. I can't leave out the 7 who is in fantastic form and did beat Stunning Grin last start but the draw makes it really tough. If we can get the 3 into 2nd place, we'll be collecting a good dividend here.
RESULT: LOST! If only I said roving banker instead of stand out. F4 pays $5k. Best roughy wins at $45. That hurt..
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Shadow Flag
Oh boy she looks suited tonight from the draw. Thought her run behind the very good against Smooth Showgirl after working hard in the death to only be beaten 5 metres. The 1 first up should be handing up the lead here and not up to the class of these and Shadow Flag for mine rolls straight to the lead. Small field should mean a fairly easy time in front and finally time for this horse to run things her way. I marked her a $2.5 chance. $5 on BET365
RESULT: 2nd. Got into $2.50, got an easy lead and found absolutely nothing!!
MEETING RESULT: All horse at Kilmore had the exact runs I expected and did bugger all & to rub it in my roughy in the 7th wins at massive odds. Disappointing night. Day result won $72
Charlton, Thursday 22nd January
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Ideal Majority
Loved his first up run when coming at them late from well back in the field in a 57 last half at Horsham, a huge effort first up at that track. I get see him getting a nice sit 1x1or 2 here on the back of a hot speed and be really hard to hold out late. Happy to be on at around $6 & $2
RESULT: WINNER!! Got there right on the line to just nab Uroc Mman. Quinellla & exacta paid huge too. Collect $422
Race 6 No 3 Ideal Majority
Loved his first up run when coming at them late from well back in the field in a 57 last half at Horsham, a huge effort first up at that track. I get see him getting a nice sit 1x1or 2 here on the back of a hot speed and be really hard to hold out late. Happy to be on at around $6 & $2
RESULT: WINNER!! Got there right on the line to just nab Uroc Mman. Quinellla & exacta paid huge too. Collect $422
Yarra Valley, Wednesday 21st January
$50QUINELLA
Race 1
1-3
Pretty confident Real Elegance holds out Blacks A Beauty early after an early battle with Mister Bellisimo holding leaders back. I was pretty close to backing the one but safer option and potential the better value is boxing these two as I expect Blacks A Beauty to fade late. The remainder of the field are playing for 3rd.
RESULT: LOST! Shows you how important it is to get your speed maps right & I got that terribly wrong. 4 leads the 1 and they quinella the race. Quin pays $9..
BLACKBOOKER:
Race 7 Eyes on the Sky: When I completed my analysis last night Blue Seelster was still in the field. Now with that scratched, he's a live chance but I wouldn't be taking anything under $4
Race 1
1-3
Pretty confident Real Elegance holds out Blacks A Beauty early after an early battle with Mister Bellisimo holding leaders back. I was pretty close to backing the one but safer option and potential the better value is boxing these two as I expect Blacks A Beauty to fade late. The remainder of the field are playing for 3rd.
RESULT: LOST! Shows you how important it is to get your speed maps right & I got that terribly wrong. 4 leads the 1 and they quinella the race. Quin pays $9..
BLACKBOOKER:
Race 7 Eyes on the Sky: When I completed my analysis last night Blue Seelster was still in the field. Now with that scratched, he's a live chance but I wouldn't be taking anything under $4
Ballarat, Tuesday 20th January
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Cashwrangs Smoker
Led from gate 7 at this track and distance after bullying his way to the lead and held on very well behind Vanderlay, that horse winning well at Hamilton on Sunday. Should receive and easier time of it tonight and with his main dangers drawn the back row, looks the winner to me. I marked him $3.
RESULT: 4th. Received a much easier run and weak, very weak.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Chief Safari
Was super on debut winning with a bit up his sleeve in 1:56! Will only be improved by that and should get a lovely run through early. Whilst the 2 favourites look hard to beat, this fella could be very very good. Expect $6
SCRATCHED
BLACKBOOKERS:
Race 2: It Is She - Just don't know where it'll end up in the run with the 2 a little unknown. If he can cross early its a big chance but Id suggest it'll be unders at around the $5 mark. Need $8+ to consider a little ew flutter
Race 7: Show Heeza Classic - Up in class tonight and the draw makes it difficult. Could end up 3 or 4 back the pegs. Should really be $20+ here but watch for him late if he gets any luck at all.
Race 5 No 2 Cashwrangs Smoker
Led from gate 7 at this track and distance after bullying his way to the lead and held on very well behind Vanderlay, that horse winning well at Hamilton on Sunday. Should receive and easier time of it tonight and with his main dangers drawn the back row, looks the winner to me. I marked him $3.
RESULT: 4th. Received a much easier run and weak, very weak.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Chief Safari
Was super on debut winning with a bit up his sleeve in 1:56! Will only be improved by that and should get a lovely run through early. Whilst the 2 favourites look hard to beat, this fella could be very very good. Expect $6
SCRATCHED
BLACKBOOKERS:
Race 2: It Is She - Just don't know where it'll end up in the run with the 2 a little unknown. If he can cross early its a big chance but Id suggest it'll be unders at around the $5 mark. Need $8+ to consider a little ew flutter
Race 7: Show Heeza Classic - Up in class tonight and the draw makes it difficult. Could end up 3 or 4 back the pegs. Should really be $20+ here but watch for him late if he gets any luck at all.
Cobram, Monday 19th January
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Magic Moment Lombo
Forget last start when run against her pattern when death seating in a crazy first half and she rightly dropped out late. Gets the draw she absolutely adores here today on a track that is a haven for horses on the pace. I marked her a $3.5 chance. $5.50 BET365
Race 7 No 1 Magic Moment Lombo
Forget last start when run against her pattern when death seating in a crazy first half and she rightly dropped out late. Gets the draw she absolutely adores here today on a track that is a haven for horses on the pace. I marked her a $3.5 chance. $5.50 BET365
Hamilton Cup
$50WIN
Race 7 No 11 Arden Rooney
3rd in the Horsham Cup but looked gone at the turn when hit a flat spot but kicked on extremely well to not be beaten far by Restrepo. He only arrived in Oz 3 days before the Horsham Cup so considering that the effort was huge. Loves a stand start, gets 10 metres on Restrepo today & I think he can turn the tables. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Good run but just outclassed by Restrepo who looks back to it's best over the longer distances.
Race 7 No 11 Arden Rooney
3rd in the Horsham Cup but looked gone at the turn when hit a flat spot but kicked on extremely well to not be beaten far by Restrepo. He only arrived in Oz 3 days before the Horsham Cup so considering that the effort was huge. Loves a stand start, gets 10 metres on Restrepo today & I think he can turn the tables. Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Good run but just outclassed by Restrepo who looks back to it's best over the longer distances.
BENdigo CUP
Quick tips here punters as I prepare to run the punters club on track.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 11 Nuggett Pan
Expect $8
RESULT: 3rd. Favourite just didn't take it into the race. Collect $69
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Cillas Boy
Expect $3.50
RESULT: WINNER! Payback for last time! Collect $180
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Regal Knight
Expect $8
RESULT: Very disappointing
MEETING RESULT: Won $99
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 11 Nuggett Pan
Expect $8
RESULT: 3rd. Favourite just didn't take it into the race. Collect $69
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Cillas Boy
Expect $3.50
RESULT: WINNER! Payback for last time! Collect $180
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Regal Knight
Expect $8
RESULT: Very disappointing
MEETING RESULT: Won $99
Melton, Friday 16th January
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 3 Dodge The Bullet
Been racing extremely well without a hell of a lot of luck late from poor draws. Was a great 3rd last start although probably did have his chance to beat Outrageous El. That horse will have to work a fair bit harder and I expect Dodge The Bullet to be riding right on it's back tonight. Cosell the logical danger but it's a fair step up in class for it tonight. Id rather be on Dodge The Bullet at the ew odds. I marked it $6. BET365? $12
RESULT: AWFUL! Sat in the death, against a strong head wind, but still real disappointing
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Arts Professor
Loved his run last start in very quick time behind Vox Populi & Rocknroll Music who was impressive in winning at Kilmore on Thursday night. The previous start was a another metre away from victory. Follows through the early leader and even though there is a huge chance that he'll end up 3 back the pegs, if they run along like I think they will, the gaps should open up late. I marked him a $15 chance. $26 at BET365
RESULT: 3rd. I got excited when the 1 held the lead but it just didn't take him into the race weakened just before the sprint lane opened up. Another placing for Arts. Collect $109.80
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Charlie Machsheen
Picked him out from the sectionals review of Melton on the 3rd of January when had no luck but still broke the close in the last mile. Should push forward from the draw and with from the death or hopefully in front, looks the winner. I marked it a $2.20 shot.
RESULT: WINNER! Too good for them even from the death. $2.20 gets us a profit for the night.. Collect $220
MEETING RESULT: Won $79.80
Race 1 No 3 Dodge The Bullet
Been racing extremely well without a hell of a lot of luck late from poor draws. Was a great 3rd last start although probably did have his chance to beat Outrageous El. That horse will have to work a fair bit harder and I expect Dodge The Bullet to be riding right on it's back tonight. Cosell the logical danger but it's a fair step up in class for it tonight. Id rather be on Dodge The Bullet at the ew odds. I marked it $6. BET365? $12
RESULT: AWFUL! Sat in the death, against a strong head wind, but still real disappointing
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Arts Professor
Loved his run last start in very quick time behind Vox Populi & Rocknroll Music who was impressive in winning at Kilmore on Thursday night. The previous start was a another metre away from victory. Follows through the early leader and even though there is a huge chance that he'll end up 3 back the pegs, if they run along like I think they will, the gaps should open up late. I marked him a $15 chance. $26 at BET365
RESULT: 3rd. I got excited when the 1 held the lead but it just didn't take him into the race weakened just before the sprint lane opened up. Another placing for Arts. Collect $109.80
$100WIN
Race 8 No 5 Charlie Machsheen
Picked him out from the sectionals review of Melton on the 3rd of January when had no luck but still broke the close in the last mile. Should push forward from the draw and with from the death or hopefully in front, looks the winner. I marked it a $2.20 shot.
RESULT: WINNER! Too good for them even from the death. $2.20 gets us a profit for the night.. Collect $220
MEETING RESULT: Won $79.80
Kilmore, Thursday 15th January
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Yerrington Bob
Was just nosed out at Cobram by Vienna Eyre and then followed up with a very good 5th in the final at Melton. The run was much better than the placing suggests. Got dragged back to last, had to peel 5 & 6 wide around the final bend and recorded the fastest closing sectionals of any other horse in the race. Gets the lovely draw tonight and even though he hasn't got the gate speed to lead, should position nice and handy and looks an EW special. I marked him $6
RESULT: LOST! Not your best drive Mr Alford... Never ever given a chance
Race 7 No 2 Yerrington Bob
Was just nosed out at Cobram by Vienna Eyre and then followed up with a very good 5th in the final at Melton. The run was much better than the placing suggests. Got dragged back to last, had to peel 5 & 6 wide around the final bend and recorded the fastest closing sectionals of any other horse in the race. Gets the lovely draw tonight and even though he hasn't got the gate speed to lead, should position nice and handy and looks an EW special. I marked him $6
RESULT: LOST! Not your best drive Mr Alford... Never ever given a chance
Maryborough, Thursday 15th January
$50WIN
Race 7 No 6 Future Operator
We were on when it won from the stand easily against similar opposition a couple of starts back a meets a slightly weaker field today, albeit from the 10metre handicap. You can forgive his last start, even though Magic Attack beat him home! Circled the field to take the death and kept applying the pressure in a very strong race at this track last start. They broke 2 minutes for the last mile which is almost unheard of for his class so had to tire late. Likely to be driven aggressively here again today & I think from either the lead or death, is the one to beat at around the $4 mark
RESULT: 2nd. Good run, well driven, just found one better
Race 7 No 6 Future Operator
We were on when it won from the stand easily against similar opposition a couple of starts back a meets a slightly weaker field today, albeit from the 10metre handicap. You can forgive his last start, even though Magic Attack beat him home! Circled the field to take the death and kept applying the pressure in a very strong race at this track last start. They broke 2 minutes for the last mile which is almost unheard of for his class so had to tire late. Likely to be driven aggressively here again today & I think from either the lead or death, is the one to beat at around the $4 mark
RESULT: 2nd. Good run, well driven, just found one better
Shepparton, Wednesday 14th January
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Brother Rabbit
Its been a while but we're back on the rabbit!! Loved his run at Cobram last start when was only out sprinted by the smart Duardo over the unsuitable sprint trip. His previous start was also a sign he's back in form against strong C2/3 horses. Stays in C1 class again and with the favourite suspect first time against open aged horses, and the likelihood the 2 favs could be at each other a fair way out, Brother Rabbit should be getting his chance. I marked him $6
RESULT: 2nd. Big run by the Rabbit but the $1.40 favourite just had too good a run in front. $1.80 fixed in Vic tote. $2.50 was around for the place.. Anyway, a $54 collect...
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Nor Nor West
Found the step up from C1 to C3/5 and the distance a bit too much at Echuca last start when well fancied after being pressured in the lead throughout. Thats not it's go and should get a lovely trail into the race here on the back of Mac Tiger. Looks great EW value at around the $6 mark
Race 6 No 4 Brother Rabbit
Its been a while but we're back on the rabbit!! Loved his run at Cobram last start when was only out sprinted by the smart Duardo over the unsuitable sprint trip. His previous start was also a sign he's back in form against strong C2/3 horses. Stays in C1 class again and with the favourite suspect first time against open aged horses, and the likelihood the 2 favs could be at each other a fair way out, Brother Rabbit should be getting his chance. I marked him $6
RESULT: 2nd. Big run by the Rabbit but the $1.40 favourite just had too good a run in front. $1.80 fixed in Vic tote. $2.50 was around for the place.. Anyway, a $54 collect...
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Nor Nor West
Found the step up from C1 to C3/5 and the distance a bit too much at Echuca last start when well fancied after being pressured in the lead throughout. Thats not it's go and should get a lovely trail into the race here on the back of Mac Tiger. Looks great EW value at around the $6 mark
Geelong, Tuesday 13th January
$30 TRIFECTA
Race 2: 4-5 / 2-4-5 / 2-5 for 1000%
Beaming showed plenty of toe in a trial in December and I expect it to roll to the front and be near impossible to beat from there. Chief Safari trialled very impressively and is the one that could upset here. Sat outside Airsty Brag and beat that horse with something up its sleeve. Airsty Brag come out and won well at Kilmore last week so that tril forms looks very good. Lanista run out of it's skin at Melton after an ordinary run at Cranbourne but didn't seem to handle the turns that well at that track. Follows the fav everywhere it goes but can beat it. Taking a bit of a risk with the first starter here but if the trial form stacks up, the rest are just going around for practice.
RESULT: Lost! We get the right winner but gee the fav couldn't even hold onto 3rd. Impressive win Chief Safari
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Show Heeza Classic
Real hard horse to catch but geez it's been real unlucky in much better races of late. 2 starts back nearly fell on the first bend and lost plenty of ground but hit the line impressively to only be beaten 5 metres. Last start settled 5 back the pegs and was about to get going before the bend before breaking and losing all chance of placing. He has a real good short sharp sprint that looks like it'll be suited in tonights race. I think the 1 is very weak against this grade, Givemeaspell better suited over the longer distance as it's one paced and not sure where Tuscan Breeze ends up from the draw. The query runner being Here and Now first up but looked badly in need of the run even though it won in slow time at a recent Ballarat trial. We'll need a couple of things to go our way here but reckon he's a great EW show at nice odds. I marked it $12. BET365 $21.
RESULT: 2nd.. Not sure how that lost.. $117 Collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $37
Race 2: 4-5 / 2-4-5 / 2-5 for 1000%
Beaming showed plenty of toe in a trial in December and I expect it to roll to the front and be near impossible to beat from there. Chief Safari trialled very impressively and is the one that could upset here. Sat outside Airsty Brag and beat that horse with something up its sleeve. Airsty Brag come out and won well at Kilmore last week so that tril forms looks very good. Lanista run out of it's skin at Melton after an ordinary run at Cranbourne but didn't seem to handle the turns that well at that track. Follows the fav everywhere it goes but can beat it. Taking a bit of a risk with the first starter here but if the trial form stacks up, the rest are just going around for practice.
RESULT: Lost! We get the right winner but gee the fav couldn't even hold onto 3rd. Impressive win Chief Safari
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Show Heeza Classic
Real hard horse to catch but geez it's been real unlucky in much better races of late. 2 starts back nearly fell on the first bend and lost plenty of ground but hit the line impressively to only be beaten 5 metres. Last start settled 5 back the pegs and was about to get going before the bend before breaking and losing all chance of placing. He has a real good short sharp sprint that looks like it'll be suited in tonights race. I think the 1 is very weak against this grade, Givemeaspell better suited over the longer distance as it's one paced and not sure where Tuscan Breeze ends up from the draw. The query runner being Here and Now first up but looked badly in need of the run even though it won in slow time at a recent Ballarat trial. We'll need a couple of things to go our way here but reckon he's a great EW show at nice odds. I marked it $12. BET365 $21.
RESULT: 2nd.. Not sure how that lost.. $117 Collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $37
Warragul, Monday 12th January
Not a great days punting here but I reckon we can snag the quaddie without too much risk:
$50 QUADDIE
1-2-3-4-5 / 1 / 1 / 1-6-7-9 for 2500%
1st Leg: Really open race here with the horse getting the right run at the right time likely to win. Only 1 horse that can't win the race.
2nd Leg: Bobby Fabulous is flying and looks the leader and winner.
3rd Leg: Pagans Gift went super at Melton 2 starts back when leading before not liking the draw last start. Leads & looks mighty hard to beat.
4th Leg: My best roughy of the day is Mister Douglas who loves this track & the draw is perfect but it is 15years old! The 6, 7 & 9 are all in good form and likely contenders. If we're alive and get Mister Douglas home we should be getting a nice collect here.
RESULT: Not even close.
$50 QUADDIE
1-2-3-4-5 / 1 / 1 / 1-6-7-9 for 2500%
1st Leg: Really open race here with the horse getting the right run at the right time likely to win. Only 1 horse that can't win the race.
2nd Leg: Bobby Fabulous is flying and looks the leader and winner.
3rd Leg: Pagans Gift went super at Melton 2 starts back when leading before not liking the draw last start. Leads & looks mighty hard to beat.
4th Leg: My best roughy of the day is Mister Douglas who loves this track & the draw is perfect but it is 15years old! The 6, 7 & 9 are all in good form and likely contenders. If we're alive and get Mister Douglas home we should be getting a nice collect here.
RESULT: Not even close.
Horsham CUP DAY
Horsham Cup
$100 WIN
No 2 For A Reason
First up just did what it needed to and won comfortably at Bathurst. Comes into this race perfectly from the draw. Should step straight to the front and do as it pleases and it looks a real good bet even at $2.20 on TAB. Still offering $2.50 BET365 and I'd be real surprised if we're not collecting here.
RESULT: LOST! I'm surprised.. Didn't handle the track, pullled it's head off but wouldn't have won anyway. Welcome to the big league Philly..
$48 QUADDIE
3-7 / 4 / 2 / 9-10 for 1200%
1st Leg: Happy to leave out Flying Isla with both Brunelleshci & The Boss Man flying into this race.
2nd Leg: Grinning Dollar looks like the winner here even from the death, just looks better than them. If you want to go wider Id throw in Saabrina Miss
3rd Leg: Go For A Reason!
4th Leg: I was very close to taking Mad Robber one out but the 9 is a big chance to knock it off. Hopefully they don't play cat n mouse with each other but they look stand outs in the race
RESULT: Got everything pretty much bang on, apart from the main play. Hindsight says I shouldve included Philly, wouldve been a $300+ collect. I got too cocky
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
$100 WIN
No 2 For A Reason
First up just did what it needed to and won comfortably at Bathurst. Comes into this race perfectly from the draw. Should step straight to the front and do as it pleases and it looks a real good bet even at $2.20 on TAB. Still offering $2.50 BET365 and I'd be real surprised if we're not collecting here.
RESULT: LOST! I'm surprised.. Didn't handle the track, pullled it's head off but wouldn't have won anyway. Welcome to the big league Philly..
$48 QUADDIE
3-7 / 4 / 2 / 9-10 for 1200%
1st Leg: Happy to leave out Flying Isla with both Brunelleshci & The Boss Man flying into this race.
2nd Leg: Grinning Dollar looks like the winner here even from the death, just looks better than them. If you want to go wider Id throw in Saabrina Miss
3rd Leg: Go For A Reason!
4th Leg: I was very close to taking Mad Robber one out but the 9 is a big chance to knock it off. Hopefully they don't play cat n mouse with each other but they look stand outs in the race
RESULT: Got everything pretty much bang on, apart from the main play. Hindsight says I shouldve included Philly, wouldve been a $300+ collect. I got too cocky
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
Ballarat Saturday 10th January
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Silver Shark
Was pretty unlucky not to finish closer on it's debut after settling 5 pegs after restraining from a wide draw. Gets the gun draw here and likely to sit leaders back against a similar field. Worth a go at around $20. $31 currently BET365
RESULT: LOST! Broke at the start and that was that
Race 2 No 1 Silver Shark
Was pretty unlucky not to finish closer on it's debut after settling 5 pegs after restraining from a wide draw. Gets the gun draw here and likely to sit leaders back against a similar field. Worth a go at around $20. $31 currently BET365
RESULT: LOST! Broke at the start and that was that
Melton, Friday 9th January
$50WIN
Race 2 No 11 Vienna Eyre
She was a really good winner of her heat coming from 1 out 2 back on a known leaders track. She follows Gavin Lang everywhere he goes here tonight and should get the perfect trial into the race. They'll find it very hard to hold her out @ around the $4 quote.
RESULT: WINNER! Strong win. Got left 3 wide without cover a little early but just kept finding! Collect $250
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Metro Mike
Was probably a little unlucky not to win last start after not being taken into the racing rounding the turn and then having a bumping dual with Classy Western. Should position in the 1 x 1 on the back of Kamwood Jack who'll make this a fair staying test over the sprint. I can't see them holding him out from there. Looks his night. Expect $3
RESULT: WINNER! Super impressive win. Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Classy Western
Looked to be a major player in the finish before contacting the wheel of Metro Mike and galloping with 100 to go last week. 2 starts ago was another forgive run when it galloped away from the stand start however it's win in very quick time 3 starts ago shows how well he's travelling. This is a slight step up in grade tonight but they will hummmm along in this & Gavin Lang back onboard must be a plus. Great ew punt at the $8.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure what happened a lap out but dropped right out before picking up the bit late.. Will have to read the stewards report.
MEETING RESULT: WON $280
Race 2 No 11 Vienna Eyre
She was a really good winner of her heat coming from 1 out 2 back on a known leaders track. She follows Gavin Lang everywhere he goes here tonight and should get the perfect trial into the race. They'll find it very hard to hold her out @ around the $4 quote.
RESULT: WINNER! Strong win. Got left 3 wide without cover a little early but just kept finding! Collect $250
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Metro Mike
Was probably a little unlucky not to win last start after not being taken into the racing rounding the turn and then having a bumping dual with Classy Western. Should position in the 1 x 1 on the back of Kamwood Jack who'll make this a fair staying test over the sprint. I can't see them holding him out from there. Looks his night. Expect $3
RESULT: WINNER! Super impressive win. Collect $230
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Classy Western
Looked to be a major player in the finish before contacting the wheel of Metro Mike and galloping with 100 to go last week. 2 starts ago was another forgive run when it galloped away from the stand start however it's win in very quick time 3 starts ago shows how well he's travelling. This is a slight step up in grade tonight but they will hummmm along in this & Gavin Lang back onboard must be a plus. Great ew punt at the $8.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure what happened a lap out but dropped right out before picking up the bit late.. Will have to read the stewards report.
MEETING RESULT: WON $280
Shepparton, Thursday 8th January.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 9 Fireball Pup
Extremely unlucky in both it's runs to date. I have no doubt it wins if it stayed on the outside of runners rather than looking for runs inside at Albury. In it's debut at this track never saw daylight late and really should have placed against some ok horses. There are some slow weak animals in this race and as long as Natahn Jack doesn't get caught behind one, I like his chances at around the $4 mark
RESULT: Lost! Jack drove him agressively but was not up to it. Very plain
Race 8 No 9 Fireball Pup
Extremely unlucky in both it's runs to date. I have no doubt it wins if it stayed on the outside of runners rather than looking for runs inside at Albury. In it's debut at this track never saw daylight late and really should have placed against some ok horses. There are some slow weak animals in this race and as long as Natahn Jack doesn't get caught behind one, I like his chances at around the $4 mark
RESULT: Lost! Jack drove him agressively but was not up to it. Very plain
Kilmore, Wednesday 7th January
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Temporal Join
Lost momentum at a critical stage of the race at Cranbourne last start. Went to come out 3 and 4 wide and the 2 horses in front of it lost ground when jostling for position. Probably cost it around 10 metres or more as she took a while to wind up again but did finish off well to snag 3rd. Beat Baranduda home in that race who has since won impressively at Melton in a good race. This is a fairly weak C0 mares race and from the draw she should position nice and handy. I marked her $6 and my best EW of the night. Currently $9 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Whilst I didn't expect her to death seat, that was a poor run..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Felicity Funkhousa
Was no match for the winner at Bendigo last start but Brighty Valentine just nabbed it on the line for 2nd place.She will again be leaders back unless David Jack springs a surprise on Call Me July but thats doubtful considering he's a very aggressive driver. That leaves Brighty Valentine in the death and Call Me July a little volunerable first up in front. Felicity Funkhousa should be further improved from her last start and at around the $8 mark is a sneaky chance at good odds and looks a place certainty with average luck. Currently $12 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after Call Me July packed it in..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Alina
She has been racing without a great deal of luck in very good races of late, a couple of class above what her opponents have tonight.. She is the class horse of the field, follows through the likely early leader and favourite Koora Khan, who I think is a better sit sprinter, and there looks to be pace a plenty, especially early on in the piece. She gets her chance to get back in the winners list & the $6.50 on BET365 is about right.
RESULT: 2nd. Good thing beaten but it has a habit of doing that! Collect $96
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Tabanan
Looked a bit too fresh first up last start and did plenty wrong, eventually galloping on the final turn. Lost ground but picked itself up and finished very well in a very weird race. His hopes rest in finding the front here tonight & I think with Chris Alford at his aggressive best he can & win. I marked it a $3 chance. $4 BET365
RESULT: 2nd.. Had it's chance!
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8
2-3/2-3/1 for 2500%
Sketch Me leads here and always takes a sit. I expect Tabernan to be the one having enough gate speed to hold out Captain Under Fire and that horse Im will to risk from the death over the sprint. Sketch Me & Tabanan should battle it out from there & as per my suggested bet, I think Tabanan wins. Hollys Miss Molly has been racing really well & expect her to be gaining the cheap late run from 3 pegs. I think she's good enough to hold out Pushkin and Captain Under Fire late. It could go terribly wrong this race if I haven't got my speed maps right but Im confident I have. You can go the safer option of a quinella or exacta but I think Hollys can give us some nice value. (Just dont everyone use s-tab to place it!)
RESULT: WINNER! Ohhhhh thank F@&% for that.. Hollys under pressure a fair way out but got the job done. $937.50 collect & with that back in front for the month!
MEETING RESULT: $683.50 profit for the night
Race 2 No 9 Temporal Join
Lost momentum at a critical stage of the race at Cranbourne last start. Went to come out 3 and 4 wide and the 2 horses in front of it lost ground when jostling for position. Probably cost it around 10 metres or more as she took a while to wind up again but did finish off well to snag 3rd. Beat Baranduda home in that race who has since won impressively at Melton in a good race. This is a fairly weak C0 mares race and from the draw she should position nice and handy. I marked her $6 and my best EW of the night. Currently $9 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Whilst I didn't expect her to death seat, that was a poor run..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Felicity Funkhousa
Was no match for the winner at Bendigo last start but Brighty Valentine just nabbed it on the line for 2nd place.She will again be leaders back unless David Jack springs a surprise on Call Me July but thats doubtful considering he's a very aggressive driver. That leaves Brighty Valentine in the death and Call Me July a little volunerable first up in front. Felicity Funkhousa should be further improved from her last start and at around the $8 mark is a sneaky chance at good odds and looks a place certainty with average luck. Currently $12 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after Call Me July packed it in..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Alina
She has been racing without a great deal of luck in very good races of late, a couple of class above what her opponents have tonight.. She is the class horse of the field, follows through the likely early leader and favourite Koora Khan, who I think is a better sit sprinter, and there looks to be pace a plenty, especially early on in the piece. She gets her chance to get back in the winners list & the $6.50 on BET365 is about right.
RESULT: 2nd. Good thing beaten but it has a habit of doing that! Collect $96
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Tabanan
Looked a bit too fresh first up last start and did plenty wrong, eventually galloping on the final turn. Lost ground but picked itself up and finished very well in a very weird race. His hopes rest in finding the front here tonight & I think with Chris Alford at his aggressive best he can & win. I marked it a $3 chance. $4 BET365
RESULT: 2nd.. Had it's chance!
$50 TRIFECTA
Race 8
2-3/2-3/1 for 2500%
Sketch Me leads here and always takes a sit. I expect Tabernan to be the one having enough gate speed to hold out Captain Under Fire and that horse Im will to risk from the death over the sprint. Sketch Me & Tabanan should battle it out from there & as per my suggested bet, I think Tabanan wins. Hollys Miss Molly has been racing really well & expect her to be gaining the cheap late run from 3 pegs. I think she's good enough to hold out Pushkin and Captain Under Fire late. It could go terribly wrong this race if I haven't got my speed maps right but Im confident I have. You can go the safer option of a quinella or exacta but I think Hollys can give us some nice value. (Just dont everyone use s-tab to place it!)
RESULT: WINNER! Ohhhhh thank F@&% for that.. Hollys under pressure a fair way out but got the job done. $937.50 collect & with that back in front for the month!
MEETING RESULT: $683.50 profit for the night
Cranbourne, Tuesday 6th January
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Bad Business
Returned with a very unlucky 3rd over this track and distance behind Little Bit Sassy and then was huge when sitting in the breeze in the fastest early sectionals of the night when only run down late by Tuscan Breeze. The speed map is a little tricky here. He doesn't have huge early speed but enough to keep the favourite out but the 4 and 5 will come out humming here. If he leads he wins.. If he can't he's versatile enough to win with a sit or the death but still a great EW punt if you can snap up some $2+ the place. I'm not keen on the fav at all at the short quote and sticking with my gut here and going win only if even the bloke in the sulky can be a little bit of a worry. I marked him a $4 shot. BET365 currently $7.50
UPDATE: Within minutes off sending the email, into $4 on BET365.. My advice, wait until opening odds punters. I still reckon we'll get better than $4
RESULT: 3rd. Closed at $2.80 and was an absolute good thing beaten. Why the 1 wouldn't hand up the lead has got me stumped but it cost it the race..
Race 6 No 2 Bad Business
Returned with a very unlucky 3rd over this track and distance behind Little Bit Sassy and then was huge when sitting in the breeze in the fastest early sectionals of the night when only run down late by Tuscan Breeze. The speed map is a little tricky here. He doesn't have huge early speed but enough to keep the favourite out but the 4 and 5 will come out humming here. If he leads he wins.. If he can't he's versatile enough to win with a sit or the death but still a great EW punt if you can snap up some $2+ the place. I'm not keen on the fav at all at the short quote and sticking with my gut here and going win only if even the bloke in the sulky can be a little bit of a worry. I marked him a $4 shot. BET365 currently $7.50
UPDATE: Within minutes off sending the email, into $4 on BET365.. My advice, wait until opening odds punters. I still reckon we'll get better than $4
RESULT: 3rd. Closed at $2.80 and was an absolute good thing beaten. Why the 1 wouldn't hand up the lead has got me stumped but it cost it the race..
Melton, Saturday 3rd January
$50WIN
Race 1 No 13 Goodtime Marjie
She was huge in defeat over the short course at this track last start. Ran some very quick closing sectionals out 5 & 6 wide in a race that wasn't run to suit. You can almost guarantee that there is going to be speed on through out here with Hi Tech Fury liking to run along in front and Whats The Big Idea looking for the death and putting the pressure on mid race. If that does occur I think Marjie is a good thing and she is almost suited to a back row draw as she seems to get fired up from the front row. Always err on the side of caution betting on back row horse but I think shes a great chance at around the $3.50 mark.
RESULT: 3rd. Got the right run into the race but wasn't good enough
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 12 Glencore
Tough horse who was extremely unlucky in it's heat. Got held up before the the turn before rocketing home late to get beaten just over a metre by Jilliby Royal. Jilliby Royal strikes it's first back row draw here and is likely to be unders for mine at an odds on quote. I expect James Rattary to take off early (hopefully before the fav) and from up near the speed looks a great ew chance at around the $6 quote
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough to beat the fav, had its chance. Collect $54
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Washmepockets
Has had 2 starts back from a spell and and run extremely well in both from unfavourable draws. Loves to sit buried away on the pegs with the last shot at them and gets that opportunity here. Currently $26 on BET365. Closer to a $15 shot for mine. I am risking Classy Western and Hall Of Famer (blackbooker) here. Both can win at big odds but will need everything to fall into place to be a chance so probably rightfully double figure odds
RESULT: LOST! Didn't get the slingshot run I thought it would but probably a little disappointing.
MEETING RESULT: Tough night of racing and not the best start to 2015 from me. Lost $96
Race 1 No 13 Goodtime Marjie
She was huge in defeat over the short course at this track last start. Ran some very quick closing sectionals out 5 & 6 wide in a race that wasn't run to suit. You can almost guarantee that there is going to be speed on through out here with Hi Tech Fury liking to run along in front and Whats The Big Idea looking for the death and putting the pressure on mid race. If that does occur I think Marjie is a good thing and she is almost suited to a back row draw as she seems to get fired up from the front row. Always err on the side of caution betting on back row horse but I think shes a great chance at around the $3.50 mark.
RESULT: 3rd. Got the right run into the race but wasn't good enough
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 12 Glencore
Tough horse who was extremely unlucky in it's heat. Got held up before the the turn before rocketing home late to get beaten just over a metre by Jilliby Royal. Jilliby Royal strikes it's first back row draw here and is likely to be unders for mine at an odds on quote. I expect James Rattary to take off early (hopefully before the fav) and from up near the speed looks a great ew chance at around the $6 quote
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough to beat the fav, had its chance. Collect $54
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Washmepockets
Has had 2 starts back from a spell and and run extremely well in both from unfavourable draws. Loves to sit buried away on the pegs with the last shot at them and gets that opportunity here. Currently $26 on BET365. Closer to a $15 shot for mine. I am risking Classy Western and Hall Of Famer (blackbooker) here. Both can win at big odds but will need everything to fall into place to be a chance so probably rightfully double figure odds
RESULT: LOST! Didn't get the slingshot run I thought it would but probably a little disappointing.
MEETING RESULT: Tough night of racing and not the best start to 2015 from me. Lost $96
Stawell, Sunday 4th January
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Hilltop Hustler
Thought he was very brave in this years Maryborough Cup after working of the 10metre handicap to find the lead early before finding Im Corzin Terror too good in the finish which is fair enough! He was extremely stiff last start and then wasn't disgraced in the Cranbourne Cup behind NZ's finest. This is much weaker than what he's had to deal with lately and even from the 10metre handicap, is the one to beat. I marked him a $3.50 chance. Currently $4.20 on BET365
RESULT: LOST! I was very happy in the run but it found nothing
$50WIN
Race 8 No 8 Crusader Acey
Has been racing against much much better company than what it meets today. It's last 2 starts you can forget when never in the race. He was very good in the Rothacker Championship at Melton pprevious to that which is great form for a race like this. I have the 1 leading but be wary of any driving tactics as it's stablemate is drawn 4. Whilst the 1 hasn't handed up lately Ive seen stranger things happen. If there is a change of tactics from the 1 to take a sit, this is a no bet so I urge you to look out for it. I'll send an email/tweet if I can if a COT is issued. Based on the speed map that it sits behind the leader Im pretty keen at the $4.
RESULT: 3rd. They ran too slow in front and he had no hope outsprinting them late
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100. A poor start to 2015 but its very early days
Race 7 No 8 Hilltop Hustler
Thought he was very brave in this years Maryborough Cup after working of the 10metre handicap to find the lead early before finding Im Corzin Terror too good in the finish which is fair enough! He was extremely stiff last start and then wasn't disgraced in the Cranbourne Cup behind NZ's finest. This is much weaker than what he's had to deal with lately and even from the 10metre handicap, is the one to beat. I marked him a $3.50 chance. Currently $4.20 on BET365
RESULT: LOST! I was very happy in the run but it found nothing
$50WIN
Race 8 No 8 Crusader Acey
Has been racing against much much better company than what it meets today. It's last 2 starts you can forget when never in the race. He was very good in the Rothacker Championship at Melton pprevious to that which is great form for a race like this. I have the 1 leading but be wary of any driving tactics as it's stablemate is drawn 4. Whilst the 1 hasn't handed up lately Ive seen stranger things happen. If there is a change of tactics from the 1 to take a sit, this is a no bet so I urge you to look out for it. I'll send an email/tweet if I can if a COT is issued. Based on the speed map that it sits behind the leader Im pretty keen at the $4.
RESULT: 3rd. They ran too slow in front and he had no hope outsprinting them late
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100. A poor start to 2015 but its very early days
Swan Hill, Friday 2nd January
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Kayjay Mac
Has had excuses in all runs this prep but comes up with the draw to win tonight. Should cross them early and hand up. Should receive every chance although Im very wary of Urban Shadow first up for Cramp. Expect $8
RESULT: 4th. Unlucky. Why you'd ellect to go 3 peg and ultimately 4 back pegs is beyond me..
$12 FIRST 4
Race 8
7 / 10-11 / 1-5-8-10-11 / 1-5-8-10-11 for 100%
Based on the heat Ole Buckaroo wins easily with Riverboat Princess and Graceful Art the best of the others. Limited chances for the rest so reckon we can sure up a good collect here.
RESULT: LOST! Late scratching of the 10 & the 11 driven awfully! No where near it though. The more I stay away from the Sunraysia the better
MEETING RESULT: Lost $74
Race 2 No 2 Kayjay Mac
Has had excuses in all runs this prep but comes up with the draw to win tonight. Should cross them early and hand up. Should receive every chance although Im very wary of Urban Shadow first up for Cramp. Expect $8
RESULT: 4th. Unlucky. Why you'd ellect to go 3 peg and ultimately 4 back pegs is beyond me..
$12 FIRST 4
Race 8
7 / 10-11 / 1-5-8-10-11 / 1-5-8-10-11 for 100%
Based on the heat Ole Buckaroo wins easily with Riverboat Princess and Graceful Art the best of the others. Limited chances for the rest so reckon we can sure up a good collect here.
RESULT: LOST! Late scratching of the 10 & the 11 driven awfully! No where near it though. The more I stay away from the Sunraysia the better
MEETING RESULT: Lost $74
