November 29th
Main Plays
BEST BETS
10 Units WIN
Race 12 No 2 Tarifa Girl @ $2.20
VALUE BET
4 Units Win @ $3.9
Race 11 No 1 Dontshowyouraces
ROUGHIES
2.5 Units Place @ $4.20
Race 10 No 1 Lets Go Exclusive
Units Bet: 16.5
Units Returned: 22
Summary: Tarifa Girl was an easy winner & a great end to the night. Dontshowyouraces handed up to the favourite & that was game over. Lets Go Exclusive got caught up in a speed battle early & he just cant do that. 5.5 unit profit.
------------------------------------------------------
MEETING SUMMARY
Race 1:
4 main chances and Gracie Cullen might be the best value of the 4. She's been racing extremely well against much better company. Backing backrow runners is always a massive risk especially at Mildura with so much depending on tempo but happy to have a small play. Stormont Star is another that'll appreciate this class. Expect an early move that'll put speed into the race & ultimately that may suit Gracie. Gracie Cullen's stablemate Southern Burgundy is racing without much luck & nearly saluted in a much better race last week. Another poor draw here but she doesn't have much gate speed anyway. Another Sparky has to be mentioned as its likely he'll find the front tonight. If managed to sneak a cheap sectional he can win. Good race this for a 55 rater.
Race 2:
I thought one of the best of the night was here in C C Jones @ $2.8 but now into $2 TAB ($1.75 others). I think he's the strongest horse in the race and the 2190m suits him better than most. Doesn't have to lead & could even dictate the pace of the race from the death here. Plenty is this will be struggling with 400m to go! Fifty Shades Cresco seldom wins but he'll be the first to the front & likely to hand up to the first horse to put pressure on (probably Trebek, another that struggles at the distance)
Im not that keen to take $2 on a horse like CC Jones but maybe something on for the thrill seekers!
Race 3:
A few of these would've been eligible for the 45 rating restricted race later on if not for the $3k condition so this is a pretty weak 50 rater. Coco Beach looks well suited coming down from a 54 rater last time but Fomo will be pushing underneath early to make it work & I doubt will hand up unless Boris doesnt take no for an answer. Been over 700 days since he saluted though! Glitzy All Over is racing in career best form. Loved its last 400m last week when flashing home to snag 3rd. Big chance to settle leaders back & will just need a gap late to be in the finish. Got One Better the other improver from a trailing draw although could be stuck 3 or 4 pegs. The chances dont end there either with 4, 5,8,9 & 11 all a chance with the right run.
Race 4:
This race will be determined in the 1st 400m. If So She Said can hold them out she'll be winning. Im not so certain she can though with Doc Harvey & Waiting For You having good gate speed. Maybe a better than 50% chance to hold but the market says she's leading & winning ($2.4 into $1.75). It becomes a very open race if she doesn't lead bringing Mischievous Maggie & Our Modern Maggie right into the race.
Race 5:
No Win No Worries in this race has thrown me. Its the class horse of the race by a mile but the backrow wont suit & could start unders. Im also keen to find the right race for Triplets but dont think this is it. Another win a big odds isnt far away. Staying out of this one
Race 6:
No bet
Race 7
Sahara Tiger beat an arguably better field last time out than it meets here & looks very hard to beat but it is 1790m this time from the back row. I'm not pushing anyone into taking odds on. No bet
Race 8:
Murranji Track looks a graded certainty. 116 rater vs 54-68 raters but there has to be a question mark on how well he's racing. Not keen on the race
Race 9:
Rocking Tiff does look the leader & winner. Handled Stawell fine so Mildura should be no issue. 2190m maybe the small query. $1.60 when writing this is far too short for me. Beaudacious can definitely win if holds leaders back but another thats founds its right price now after being $12 into $7.5. Something ew for fun
Race 10:
Lets Go Exclusive is 0 from 52 and I cant see him breaking his maiden status here but I can see him filling a top 3 position. This horse need a perfect run to perform at his best & should get that here. He'll find the pegs first & then hand up to the best option. He had a similar type run at Swan Hill in a good maiden race & battled on well for 3rd. At $4.20 a place, Im happy to have a play the place.
Race 11:
Thought Dontshowyouraces got its chance to get back to the winners stall here. Should kick up & lead these. Dont seem to be any pressure in the race and he has to be the one to beat.
Race 12:
Im pretty keen on Tarifa Girl. Led over the 2190m and got run down by Yering Soho in what has turned out to be a good form race with Sadie Jayne winning a heat of the Southern Cross on Saturday night at Globe Derby. Back to the 1790m with Mr Mildura in the cart, I think she's the best of the night at $2.20
10 Units WIN
Race 12 No 2 Tarifa Girl @ $2.20
VALUE BET
4 Units Win @ $3.9
Race 11 No 1 Dontshowyouraces
ROUGHIES
2.5 Units Place @ $4.20
Race 10 No 1 Lets Go Exclusive
Units Bet: 16.5
Units Returned: 22
Summary: Tarifa Girl was an easy winner & a great end to the night. Dontshowyouraces handed up to the favourite & that was game over. Lets Go Exclusive got caught up in a speed battle early & he just cant do that. 5.5 unit profit.
------------------------------------------------------
MEETING SUMMARY
Race 1:
4 main chances and Gracie Cullen might be the best value of the 4. She's been racing extremely well against much better company. Backing backrow runners is always a massive risk especially at Mildura with so much depending on tempo but happy to have a small play. Stormont Star is another that'll appreciate this class. Expect an early move that'll put speed into the race & ultimately that may suit Gracie. Gracie Cullen's stablemate Southern Burgundy is racing without much luck & nearly saluted in a much better race last week. Another poor draw here but she doesn't have much gate speed anyway. Another Sparky has to be mentioned as its likely he'll find the front tonight. If managed to sneak a cheap sectional he can win. Good race this for a 55 rater.
Race 2:
I thought one of the best of the night was here in C C Jones @ $2.8 but now into $2 TAB ($1.75 others). I think he's the strongest horse in the race and the 2190m suits him better than most. Doesn't have to lead & could even dictate the pace of the race from the death here. Plenty is this will be struggling with 400m to go! Fifty Shades Cresco seldom wins but he'll be the first to the front & likely to hand up to the first horse to put pressure on (probably Trebek, another that struggles at the distance)
Im not that keen to take $2 on a horse like CC Jones but maybe something on for the thrill seekers!
Race 3:
A few of these would've been eligible for the 45 rating restricted race later on if not for the $3k condition so this is a pretty weak 50 rater. Coco Beach looks well suited coming down from a 54 rater last time but Fomo will be pushing underneath early to make it work & I doubt will hand up unless Boris doesnt take no for an answer. Been over 700 days since he saluted though! Glitzy All Over is racing in career best form. Loved its last 400m last week when flashing home to snag 3rd. Big chance to settle leaders back & will just need a gap late to be in the finish. Got One Better the other improver from a trailing draw although could be stuck 3 or 4 pegs. The chances dont end there either with 4, 5,8,9 & 11 all a chance with the right run.
Race 4:
This race will be determined in the 1st 400m. If So She Said can hold them out she'll be winning. Im not so certain she can though with Doc Harvey & Waiting For You having good gate speed. Maybe a better than 50% chance to hold but the market says she's leading & winning ($2.4 into $1.75). It becomes a very open race if she doesn't lead bringing Mischievous Maggie & Our Modern Maggie right into the race.
Race 5:
No Win No Worries in this race has thrown me. Its the class horse of the race by a mile but the backrow wont suit & could start unders. Im also keen to find the right race for Triplets but dont think this is it. Another win a big odds isnt far away. Staying out of this one
Race 6:
No bet
Race 7
Sahara Tiger beat an arguably better field last time out than it meets here & looks very hard to beat but it is 1790m this time from the back row. I'm not pushing anyone into taking odds on. No bet
Race 8:
Murranji Track looks a graded certainty. 116 rater vs 54-68 raters but there has to be a question mark on how well he's racing. Not keen on the race
Race 9:
Rocking Tiff does look the leader & winner. Handled Stawell fine so Mildura should be no issue. 2190m maybe the small query. $1.60 when writing this is far too short for me. Beaudacious can definitely win if holds leaders back but another thats founds its right price now after being $12 into $7.5. Something ew for fun
Race 10:
Lets Go Exclusive is 0 from 52 and I cant see him breaking his maiden status here but I can see him filling a top 3 position. This horse need a perfect run to perform at his best & should get that here. He'll find the pegs first & then hand up to the best option. He had a similar type run at Swan Hill in a good maiden race & battled on well for 3rd. At $4.20 a place, Im happy to have a play the place.
Race 11:
Thought Dontshowyouraces got its chance to get back to the winners stall here. Should kick up & lead these. Dont seem to be any pressure in the race and he has to be the one to beat.
Race 12:
Im pretty keen on Tarifa Girl. Led over the 2190m and got run down by Yering Soho in what has turned out to be a good form race with Sadie Jayne winning a heat of the Southern Cross on Saturday night at Globe Derby. Back to the 1790m with Mr Mildura in the cart, I think she's the best of the night at $2.20
