2013 Results

Kilmore TUESDAY June 25th

Best Bet: $100 Win Race 4 No 5 Cool Machrista. Tonight is the night and if it isn't I'm going to one very disappointed fella because a front row draw has been a long time coming. Only problem is its main danger draws inside it, Luke Hobbs but Cool is a better horse for mine. The driver on the other hand, hmmmmmmm.
Result: Winner! Sat in the death and smashed them! Collect $210

Best EW: $50 Ew Race 7 No 10 The Rogue Trader. Did it tough last start and was out sprinted. I reckon it'll get a better cart into this race which looks to have plenty of speed
Result: Winner! So much for having an easier run! Went round them early, worked real hard but was far too good. Collect $285

A Real Roughy: $10 Win/$20 Place Race 1 No 5 Magne. First up off an encouraging 2nd in a trial, albeit with only 3 horses in it. This isn't a strong claimer and worth a risk at what SHOULD be good odds
Result: Lost! Led and went harder than it needed to for mine but weakened to finish midfield

Meeting Result: Won $265

Warrigul Monday 24th June

Tough meeting here and I'm only confident with one so that's all Ill tip:

$50 Ew Race 4 No 1 Now and Forever
Result: Winner!! Pays a lot more than I expected. Led from pillar to post to scored easily. Collect $470

Meeting Result: $370 profit! Makes up for the shit Sunday!

Ararat, Sunday June 23rd.

Best Bet: $100 Win Race 7 No 1 Burston Holme
Result: 2nd beaten a pimple

Best Ew: $50EW Race 5 No 3 Pirates Plunder
Result: Awful. Finished well back after death seating

Best Roughy: $20 Win/$30 Place Race 1 no 10 Sophie's Shark
Result: Lost! Forget it ran. Galloped at start and then severely checked.

Meeting Result: Donuts! Lost $200. Bad night but surely Burston Holme hung on ?!?

Shepparton Saturday June 22nd

Best Bet: $100 Win Race 3 No 1 Salem
Result: 2nd. Lost by a pimple

Next Best: $50 Win Race 7 No 3 Real Bonus
Result: Winner! Started a lot shorter than I thought it would. $70 Collect

Roughies: $10 Win/$40 Place Race 4 No 8 Dynamite Dude
Result: 2nd. Snuck along the rails nicely but a long way off the winner. Collect $128

$10 Win/$40 Place Race 6 No 8 Beau Dandy
Result: 3rd. Another that starter way shorter than it should've. Collect $70

Meeting Result. Won $18! Wahhooo

Mildura Friday June 21st

Best Bet: Race 7 No 1 Goodtime Slater. Leads and wins. $100 Win
$100 Win Race 6 No 9 Four Sisters. Fantastic run last start when 2nd from the death in a much stronger race. This is weak and even though it has the back row draw should be winning.

I'm that confident with the above Ill whack on a running double for $100 as well

Result: All won but very short. Can't believe the running double paid $2.30. Beautiful. $230 profit

Melton Friday 21st

Best Bet: comes up in the first. It'll be short but hopefully not too short. $100 Win Youanut
Result: Winner! Nothing to crow about. Backed in from $1.45 to $1.30 fixed. $30 profit

Best EW: $50EW. Race 7 No 8 Smudge Bromac. Draws behind Lance Justice so you can pretty much guarantee it'll be sitting behind the leader and he is in fine form of late. Great bet
Result: 4th. Sat behind the leader hit the front at the top of the straight and found nothing

Meeting Result: lost $70

GeelOng Thursday June 10th

Race 4 No 8 Game Deliver $50 EW. I think this bloke is a very good horse in the making. With Matty Craven in the sulky it's going to be very hard to beat
Result: Lost! Galloped out and that was the end of it

Race 7 No 6 Lombo Flashlight $25 Ew. Going to need everything to go right but has been real unlucky of late. This is the weakest field it's seen in some time too.
Result; 4th. Jodi Q, not one of your best drives.

Day Result: All that for a $10 loss

Charlton Thursday June 20th

Really tough meeting here so only 1 tip from me:

Race 8 No 3 Sukovia. $100 Win. Nice run last start after doing a bit of work. I think the 1 will be scratched so will start from the 1 and hold all the aces from there
Result: Winner! Wouldn't want to have it over again but it got the chocolates. Collect $240

BendiGo WednesDay Night

No best bet straight out tonight but I like 3 at ew odds:

Race 1 No 7 Yerrington Bob. Had a few starts from a spell now and the trick to him is going forward early. If he can show the gate speed he did last prep he'll be really hard to beat. $25 EW
Result: 2nd. Probably the best run of the race. Unlucky not I win for mine. Collect $60

Race 5 No 8 Paua Fella $50ew. Taking on the 'smart' kiwi here but I reckon this bloke has got untapped talent and if the $8 in the paper holds up, a great value bet
Result: 3rd. Probably ended up working too hard but no match for the first 2. Collect $90

Race 7 No 1 Bettor Move. $50 EW. Draws to either lead or sit behind the lead. Either way shouldn't miss top 3 at ok odds
Result: 2nd. Had every chance. Beaten by Double Happy my tip from a fortnight ago. Should never have jumped off Ellen Tormey. Great driver. Collect $70

Meeting Result: lost $30. Every tip run top 3 today but only 1 winner. Frustrating

Yarra Valley Wednesday June 19th

VicBred heats on here so going to be some short favourites running around.

Best Bets: $100 Win Race 1 No 2 Kazaree. Hopefully it doesn't start too short but it looks a moral
Result: Winner! Nothing to brag about with it starting $1.25 fixed. Where was the $1.90 advertised in the paper?!? Oh well, almost got the money lost last night back

$100 Win Race 7 No 5 Metro Mike. Looks the leader here and should get a soft run. Tipping against one of my favourite horses It Is Billy but he will need everything to go right to win
Result: 2nd beaten by It Is Billy. That hurst. Too good Billy

Best Ew: $50 Ew Race 4 No 6 Artoc. I think today is the day for the boy. I think it'll be sent forward early, control the race from the death and be very hard to beat. No 3rd dividend here but I do think it'll finish 2nd at worst
Result: 2nd! Panned out like I thought it would but couldn't kick on fast enough from the death. Collect $100

Meeting Result: $75 lost. Onto Bendigo

Kilmore Tuesday June 18th

Tough meeting again here with 3 trot races and a standing start in the mix so the tips are light on again.

Best Bet: $50EW Race 5 No 9 Earth Angel. Draws behind the fast beginner and looks like receiving every chance in this. Expect $5
Result: 4th. Beaten a very long way. Disappointing. Up to Talk To The Hand to pull me out of the crap.

Roughy: $10 EW Race 7 No 2 Talk To The Hand. Has had no luck or had to work too hard from poor draws past 4. Gets gate 2 and I think may cross the 1 early. Worth the risk at massive odds
Result: BAM!! 3rd. I got a little excited around the turn with the fav under the whip and us coming home well but it wasn't good enough to win. $8.80 the place will do though! Collect $88

Meeting Result: Lost $32. Earth Angel won't be in my tips for a long time

Hamilton June 17th

I found it very tough to find any value in this meeting and again am only going to post the one tip:

Race 7 no 9 The Rogue Trader $100 Win.
Been racing well in stronger class and follows through the quick beginner Blissful Spanker so should be rewarded with a nice trail. I'd expect it'll pay around $3

Result: 2nd. Got the trail we wanted but the fav kept going in the death to lead leaving Rogue Trader without cover. Thought it was home with 100 to go but was out sprinted by a longshot in te sprint lane.

Meeting result: lost $100

Shepparton June 16th

Tough meeting here where Id be happy to walk away with a profit. To be fair to followers I wouldn't bet in any race apart from the below:

Best Bet: race 4 no 9 War Emblem. Beat the favourite 3 starts back and it's form since has been good against stronger. Great EW bet. $50 EW

Result: BAM nice odds. $515 collect for a $415 profit. Short n sweet!

Ballarat Saturday June 15th

Best Bet: $100 Win Race 5 No 9 Crusader Acey
Best Ew: $50 Ew Race 7 No 2 Fiery Count

Melton June 14th

No web access for a fortnight so best bets only here:

Best Bet:
Race 2 No 13 Jewel Castle $100 Win

Best EW:
Race 6 No 9 Fiery Achiever $50ew
Race 5 No 11 Cullen Bromac $50ew
Race 3 No 6 Lady Tara's Bulba $25ew

Meeting result: 3 winners and a 3rd for a $980 profit. Thanks very much Melton

MaRyborough June 14th

Race 1
$50 Win Glenferrie College
Confidence Rating: 99%
Will be very short

Race 2
$50 Win I'm Stately
Confidence Rating: 70%
Will be short and it is a 2yo trotter. Anything could happen

Race 3
$25 ew Edge Hill
Confidence Rating: 50%
Another 2yo trot, this bloke run super last start against stronger

Race 4
$25 EW Livia Deferolsteon
Confidence Rating: 60%
Shocking race. At her best she'd win easily

Race 5
$25 ew Master Pip
Confidence Rating: 60%
First up from NZ but has good form in SS races back in NZ

Race 6
Best Bet: $50 EW Cool Machrista
Confidence Rating: 90%
Should've at least been top 3 last start. It just needed a pinch of luck

Race 7
$50 win Brite Spark Lombo
Confidence Rating: 85%
Should be winning this

Race 8
$15 Win/$35 Place Sunset Tour
Confidence Rating: 50%

Race 9
$50 Win Brunelleschi
Should win easily

Meeting result: $180 profit. Collects from all but 1 race but biggest collect came from the one that finished 3rd!

Cranbourne & Terang,wednesday 12 June

Unfortunately I have no web access at the minute so just best bets for Cranbourne and Terang:

Cranbourne:

Best Bet: $100 all up race 1 no 5, race 2 no 1 and race 4 no 6
Best EW: $50 ew race 7 no 1 Shake It Mumma
Best roughy: $10 win/$40 place race 6 no 2
$10 win/$40 place race 8 no 10
Result: Rubbish. Not a cent. Almost bailed out by I'm Jenson but missed 3rd by a pimple
Terang: tough meeting and couldn't come up with a best bet. Gone value instead
Race 1
Ynobe Coby looks to be the one to beat here based on its past 2 efforts. Big watch on the 2nd starter Shes His Story first up. Been trialling ok ready for this

Bet: $25 Win Ynone Coby
$25 place Shes His Story
Confidence Rating: 60%
Result: 2nd and 4th! Aimed up my day

Race 2
Trot race. Here with Maorisfavouritesun the one to beat. Up and coming trotter who wins if he puts it altogether. To date that happens 40% of the time!

Bet: $50 Win Maorisfavouritesun
Confidence Rating: 40%
Result: 3rd
Race 3
Hard 2yo race to work out here. 7 will be favourite after winning its first start but it will be tough from the draw. 6 was impressive sitting in the death and running 3rd to Thr Fat Man which is very good form. The 2 leads and is a great chance. I'm a confused with this race but have settled on Vader.

Bet: $25 Ew Vader
Confidence Rating: 60%
Result: 2nd. Collect $67.50. Picked the trifecta ! Pays $46

Race 4
Magical Telf has a mortgage on this race. It'll probably lead here and ill be taking a punt that the race will be peg dominated.

Bet: $50 trifecta 6/1-2-4-8/1-2-4-8
Confidence Rating: 60%
Result: 7 runs 2nd, trifecta no good

Race 5
There is speed aplenty in this race which will probably make Major Steppe impossible to beat. It's no value however so I've settled on Rosharni. It draws behind Lockins Art who should lead and keep it but is fairly weak. Just need it to take Rosharni to the sprint lane and its a chance

Bet: $10 win/$40 place Rosharni
Confidence Rating: 70%
Result: 3rd. Kicked clear on the turn but faded the last 100 to run 3rd. Collect $84.80

Race 6
Tipperary Seelstar is a 20+ start maiden but gets its chance tonight. Should find the pegs first and will be mighty hard to run down.

Bet: $25 EW Tipperary Seelstar
Confidence Rating: 70%
Result: lost! That's what you get for picking a 23 start maiden

Race 7
It's Dreamin Jonesy will be short here but it's a 3yo taking on the older horses which is often a no no. One at odds & a fairly risky bet here is Jenna's Highview. It's run placings to Baby Bling before albeit over 2years ago. First up tonight it's had 1 trial for a 3rd behind I'm Smouldering not beaten far. This isn't a strong race and it should be nice value.

Bet: $20 Win/$30 Place
Confidence Rating 50%
Result: lost! Loomed up quickly but the wide run told on the end. I was right about the fav at least

Day result: lost a crap load today. Was very confident at crany which was terrible and no confidence at terang which never looked likely. Like the look of Marybourough tomorrow though.

Some very good 2yo's in this race & hard to back one of them straight out to win as I think at least 4

Shepparton, Tuesday 11 June

Race 1
Some very good 2yo's in this race & hard to back one of them straight out to win as I think at least 4 can win. Going to settle with Punchinello. Has been sold to John Justice who is now also training it. This is the first time it draws well in its first 7 starts and all previous starts have been good runs in fast times. Taking the risk here as it'll represent the ew value

BET: $20 WIN / $30 PLACE Punchinello

Confidence Rating: 80%
Result: 3rd. Was an ok run but no match for the winner. Collect $57
Race 2
Thanks to everyone that pointed out my mistake here. I got my Rainbows mixed up. I was looking up Kyvalleys Roy trial form & got Rapt in Raibox & Rainbow Jay Jay mixed up! Original bet was for Rainbow Jay Jay but its not in the race so no chance of winning! I'm now going with Kyvalley Roy first up. Kyvalley Roy is the class horse in the race & even though off the 20 metre handicap should run really well in this race.

(Apologies for any confusion caused with the original post)

BET: $25 Kyvalley Roy
Confidence Rating: 60%
Result: lost! Should've stuck with the non runner!
Race 3
Found this race tough to figure out. Another 2yo race over the longer distance. 3 will lead. The 5 sits without cover. 7 is the unknown but has been trialling impressively & the 10 is talented & might be saved for the last crack at them. I believe these 4 horses are the only ones in the race that can place. So on that theory I'll be taking a trifecta here:

BET: $50 Boxed Trifecta 3/5/7/10 (208%)
Confidence Rating: 80%
Result: winner! 7 was scratched so we end up getting the trifecta 8.33 times. Not enough for a profit though! Collect $45.81
Race 4
Looks to be a fair bit of speed on here early. 1 should lead but Incoming Flight flies the gate also & I think Whatafinefella will push forward hoping for one of those to hand up. I think this will suit Bettor Give It & I think he'll steam roll them late

BET: $50 WIN Bettor Give It
Confidence Rating: 80%
Result: winner! Went exactly as I thought it would and it won impressively. Collect $155
Race 5
Trying to find value in this race as Im Smouldering wins this at about $1.20. Quick Jet will lead early & hand up to the fav. Mary Mon is 1st emergency drawn the 8 to trial the leader but it has no gate speed & Hollys Miss Molly end up 3 back the pegs here. It was very disappointing at Mildura last start but I think it just didn't handle the tight circuit there & back to Shepparton suits.

BET: $50 Trifecta 2/ 1-8 / 1-8 (2500%)
Confidence Rating: 40%
Result: lost. Missed by a bees dick. Reckon the tri pays at least $50. A bees dick from $1250
Race 6
Another tough race to figure out here but I think Irish Crest will get its chance tonight. Rebecca Bartley is back on board tonight, knows the horse well & she's one hell of a driver. Looks a great ew bet at odds

BET: $25 EW Irish Crest
Confidence Rating: 70%
Result: lost. Got a fair way back in the race, not where I thought it would be. Finished off ok but wasn't good enough
Race 7
Best bet of the night comes up here & Im really keen. Lenny The Shark. He'll probably get crossed early but he'll be the first one to Ginger Bliss who will hand up here. He wont be beaten from there!

Best Bet Of The Night: $100 WIN Lenny The Shark
Confidence Rating: 95%
Result: 2nd, certainty beaten. Carried a badly buckled tire and it was amazing it finished 2nd.
Race 8
A few weak ones in this race & that can often mean a mad rush to get the lead & hold on! Im not keen on this race at all but settled on Benoah. Seems to like the shorter races better than most. Im very happy to say I was on it last time it ran over the mile where it won @ $60! Won't be those odds here but should still be good ew odds here.

BET: $20 WIN/$30 Place Benoah
Confidence rating: 60%
Result: 3rd. Thought he had them at the turn at the very nice odds of $20. Brilliantly driven to get behind the leader early gave the horse every chance but just plodded down the straight. Collect $144

Meeting result: lost $48.19 but wowee it was so close to being something big tonight

Bendigo, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 8 Jun 2013

Race 1
This bloke doesn't win often but gets his chance to win tonight Easton All Action. He should spear to the front & be very hard to run down at good ew odds.

BET: $25 EW Easton All Action
Confidence Rating: 70%
RESULT: 2nd. Extremely unlucky. Got hammered early when the leader broke in its face. Recovered but ended 3 back the pegs. Got a run late in the sprint lane & finished well for 2nd. Collect $60

Race 2
Real Character looks the value here. He's been racing against the best 2yo's in the land & although drawn outside the back row, I think he'll be big overs here.

BET: $20 EW Real Character
Confidence Rating: 60%
RESULT: LOST. Horror drive. Keep following, it's got ability, shame the driver doesn't.

Decileight might be a huge improver here. Never was in the hunt last start in a slowly run race & never saw day light. Doubt it could win but could sneak a place at big odds
BET: $10 PLACE
Confidence Rating: 40%
RESULT: 4th! Bugger. Came from well back to grab 4th not far behind them. Great run. Was paying $10 the place

Race 3
Looking for the best value here again & I think it comes in the form of Im Barney Rubble. He only wins when he can lead & with not a heap of speed inside him & the aggressive one in the sulky, he's a huge chance of leading. Worth a game at nice odds.

BET: $50 WIN Im Barney Rubble
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT: WINNER! Big winner, pays $13 fixed. Man love for Lance.. Collect $650

Race 4
A few mares down in class competing in this race, with best chances with Paintball & Better Believe It. Ive settled on Paintball. Back to the more suitable longer distance tonight. Can come with a sprint or even death seat & win. Think it'll be ok EW odds too.
BET: $25 EW Paintball
Confidence rating: 70%
RESULT: 2nd. Just missed, beaten by last weeks tip Gotalotaspeed. Boooooooooooo! Collect $50.50

Race 5
I think this race is the best of the night with Majorlook looking like a future fast class star. It is first up tonight but I don't think that'll stop him.

BEST BET: $100 WIN Majorlook
Confidence Rating: 90%
RESULT: WINNER! Scary how good this horse could be. Absolutely smashed them. Easy Lightning runs a great 2nd. Collect $150

Race 6
Tsonga ran a good 2nd last start & with better luck tonight looks to have these covered.

BET: $50 WIN
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT: 3rd. Im jumping off. No excuses tonght

Race 7
Great race this with some of Victoria's best up & comers. Looks to be plenty of speed in the race, especially if Youranut gets off the pegs & is sent forward. I think It Is Billy will relish that speed & appears to be a great ew bet.

BET: $25 EW It Is Billy
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT: 4th. Couldn't get the right run into the race & had to go 3wide without cover. Youranut is one impressive horse

Race 8
The Boss Man gets my favourite alley for trottters here. He raced very roughly last start, aganst much better than he meets here. Should cross them easily here & win.

BET: $50 WIN The Boss Man
Confidence rating 85%
RESULT: WINNER! Led & holds on. Thought it maybe in trouble with 100 to go but Scotty Dyer was kidding to them! Collect $165

Race 9
Shocking race, don't bet here, anything could happen. If you have money to burn, burn it on Majestic Swan. Going to need luck but has been running against better than these & not finishing far from them.

BET: $10 WIN/ $40 PLACE Majestic Swan
Confidence Rating: 20%
RESULT: LOST! Won by a horse first up for 4 years. Nuff said

Race 10
This race is worse than the last! In an attempt to not lose $50, I'm going to have everything on the place on the horse I believe to have the most ability & that aint much

Bet: $50 PLACE Susila
Confidence rating: 20%
RESULT: WINNER! Hahaha.. Too bad I only suggested a place bet! Collect $95

Race 11
An awful trot race to finish off the race. Really, the last 3 races should be non tab meetings but that's just my opinion. Gidah would be $1.20 in this if you knew it wasn't going to break. Its broken in 6 of its 7 starts & the one time it didn't ran a good 2nd in ok time.

BET: $50 WIN Gidah
Confidence Rating: 20%
RESULT: WINNER! Caps off a very good night for followers demanding something, anything from my tips! Collect $95

MEETING RESULT: Won $615.50 & it was desperately needed

Shepparton, Tuesday 11 June

Mooroopna at Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Twilight) - Sunday, 9 Jun 2013

No tips for Sunday, meed to drag my wallet down to the bank. Will be back for a crack at Charlton on Monday which looks to be one of the worst meeting seen in recent history!

Donald at Charlton, VIC (Day) - Monday, 10 Jun 2013

This is an awful meeting but hopefully Ive got something for the battler

Race 1
A couple of unknowns here, mainly from Highview Jackie, but one fact is Sukovia should have finished a lot closer than it did last start vs Nuggets Brother & Clanceys Fobwatch who would both smash thi sfield. Good ew odds here.

BET: $20 WIN/$30 Place
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT: 2nd. No match for the fav. Collect $57

Race 2
Flying Pirate had to do all the work vs Timeseel last start, its first, & didn't end up that far from them. From the 1 is a good EW bet

BET: $20 WIN/$30 Place
Confidence Rating: 60%
RESULT: LOST! Had the run of the race but did nothing. Started $1.9! massive unders

Race 3
No idea here. All horses have either never won or have been out of the winners circle for years. Settling on Rose Harvest mainly because of the draw, its last start 3rd in a C1 & this is a C0. No confidence at all though

BET: $20 WIN/$30 Place Rose Harvest
Confidence Rating: 50%
RESULT: LOST! Had the run of the race but did nothing

Race 4
Another shocker with not a lot of form to go on. Settling on Junie Jasper here. 3rd up today it should get a nice run through from the back row & be within striking distance when the whips are cracking. Last start you can forget when dragged back through the field by a tiring horse.

BET: $20 WIN/$30 PLACE Junie Jasper
Confidence Rating: 40%
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 3 back the pegs but couldn't sprint fast enough from there to place

Race 5
Another wide open race here. Going for Beau Cecil again with little confidence. He's been in pretty good form, goes well at the track & should give you a good run for your money from the draw

BET: $20 WIN/$30 PLACE Beau Cecil
Confidence Rating: 40%
RESULT: WINNER! Wins comfortably. Collect $103

Race 6
Goes from bad to worse here. Most of these are horribly out of form. Beachstar is no star but should end up 3 pegs here & with a bit of luck, wouldn't need much to go straight past these
BET: $20 WIN / $30 PLACE Beachstar
Confidence Rating 30%
RESULT: 5th beaten 1 metre at good odds..

Race 7
Best bet of the day here with Double Happy. Flew the gates 2 starts back to lead & gave nothing else a chance. It did run on Saturday night but hard a fairly easy time of it when never got a run. Should lead here again today & be too good for them.

BET: $100 WIN Double Happy
Confidence Rating 90%
RESULT: WINNER! I was worried at the turn but Ellen got everything out of it. She's all class as a driver, doesn't put it too many bad ones. I snatched up $4 early in the day & it started $2.10! Collect $210

Race 8
Sir Pegasus gets its chance to break through for a long overdue win here. This is a very weak trot race & it should really be winning this at its best

BET: $50 WIN Sir Pegasus
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT": 2nd. No match for the winner.

MEETING RESULT: Best Bet of the day saluted but come out with an $80 loss. 'Green' confidence bets netted 2 2nds and a winner.

Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (NIGHT)Friday, 7 Jun 2013

Race 1
Ive been waiting for a while for Brunelleschi to run after some fantastic trial efforts. Might be short but if it does everything right will win.

BET: $50 WIN Brunelleschi
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't do everything right. Hung in on straightening & cost him the race

Race 2
I tipped I'm Living The Dream in the heat of this race & Authorised blew it away. It should lead again from the 5 and looks like the winner. Magical Molly I also tipped on Sunday where it won as it like but this is tougher & hard to see it death seating & beating Authorised.

BET: $50 WIN Authorised
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT: WINNER! Looks a very smart horse. Collect $105

Race 3
Found it really hard to figure this race out with the favourites drawn poorly & a risk at short odds. Settle on a horse I despise believe it or not, Eljulio. Doesn't win often but he'll be the first one to the pegs & will either lead or be behind the leader. Over the 1720metres at Melton, that's the place to be.

BET: $10 WIN/$40 Place
Confidence Rating: 60%
RESULT: 4th! Look the winner with 100 to go but got a stitch to be lipped out of the place

Race 4
Heats of this race were run in the slosh @ Melton last week so hard to get a gauge on some of these. Johnny Quid is the obvious choice but even though it won last week I thought it was entitled to win a little easier than it did after leading. Won't lead tonight from the back row. Similar story for Keyang Rustler but he's as strong as an ox but not sure if he can get the death seat. Going to go for a longshot here. I don't think Illawong Kath led as easily as I thought it would last start & tonight either Illawong Geraldine or Giveusagrin have a chance to cross it & in turn, whoever leads, maybe crossed by Pinevale Willpower. At the odds, I think either Illawong Geraldine or Giveusagrin are worth a go at the odds.. Could all go pear shaped if Illawong Kath leads!!

BET: $35 Place Illawong Geraldine
$15 Place Giveusagrin
Confidence Rating: 40%
RESULT: LOST! Hated the race but really should've had something on Keyang Rustler. He was too strong for them

Race 5
A race full of horses who of late, hate to win. For me, if he was anywhere near his best, Savesometimetodream would win this. He was ok last time over 2240metres, this week over the 1720metres, his favoured distance, their should be no excuses.

BET: $50 WIN Savesometimetodream
Confidence Rating: 75%
RESULT: LAST!! Not the best drive Ive seen, sent forward early & got stuck 3 wide. Not the way to drive him

Race 6
Decorated Jasper will be very well fancied in this race & so it should. It's been running well from poor draws of late but tonight will lead in a race that looks to have little pressure in it. Hopefully it's the Decorated Jasper of old tonight. Main danger are Jack In Flight & Smudge Bromac

BET: $50 WIN Decorated Jasper
Confidence Rating 80%
RESULT: WINNER! The old boy gets the job done. Collect $125

Race 7
The trotters Oaks & I'd be almost 100% confident of collecting here if it weren't a bloody trot race. The only 2 hopes for mine are Spidergirl & Habibti & the latter looks to be the winner.

BET: $50 Exacta Habibti to beat Spidergirl
Confidence 80%
RESULT: WiNNER! Easy as you liked & cant believe how much the exacta paid. A very nice collect for me personally. Collect $115

Race 8
Cold Sister has been racing extremely well against the best trotters in Victoria of late & is definitely the class runner of the race. He should get a great trail through on the back of Monica My Dear who can fly the gate & I wouldn't be surprised if he was in front not long after the start.

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: $100 Win Cold Sister
Confidence Rating: 90% (Take the $3.50 on offer now!)
RESULT: 2nd. Waikari Patricia managed to get behind the leader from 5 & that was pretty much the ball game.

Race 9
This will be a great race to watch early. The 1, 3 & 7 all fly the gate. I don't think The Night Affair can cross them this week as Narre Boy is lightning from the gate. If it gets an easy enough run, they'll find it really hard to run it down

BET: $25 EW Narre Boy
RESULT: LAST. Horrible.

Race 10
Claiming race which is bloody hard to figure out. Pete Of Pan leads but will hand up. Not sure who to! Onedin Hustler will be flying out with it, Luv the Aces not far behind. Whatever happens I'm confident Flyin Interstate will be 3 pegs. He's had 2 starts back from a spell both from bad draws & the runs have been ok. He'll be sneaking up the sprint lane here & whilst he cant win, a place chance at big odds

BET: $50 PLACE Flyin Interstate
Confidence Rating: 40%

Race 11
Ohhhhhhhhh my boy Fiery Count gets his chance tonight!! He has been racing in much better fields than this recently & has had no luck, although has been driven for it. Michael Bellman can afford to be a little more aggressive in this weaker race tonight & I really like his chances

BET: $25 EW Fiery Count
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT: 2nd. Another good run from Fiery Count. He'll win won sooner rather than later. Collect $38

Race 12
Shhheeeeeezzzuuuzzzzz. C0-C4 claimer to end the night. Lets hope we're that far in front that this doesn't count! Jilliby Ling looks to be much better than the rest of them but draws wide. I don't think it'll matter though.

BET: $50 WIN Jilliby Ling
Confidence Rating: 80%
RESULT: Winner! Got there but so he should've against them. Collect $82.50

Meeting result: $184 lost for the night on the above tips in every race but I'm walking away with a full wallet.

Ballarat , VIC (Night) - Thursday, 6 Jun 2013

Race 1
Pretty sure that Glenferrie Shuffle wins. No value though so going a couple of exotics to start the night:

$40 Trifecta : 5 / 6 / 2-9-10
$10 Trifecta : 6 / 5 / 2-9-10
RESULT: LOST! 6 runs 3rd & didn't have the 7 at all.

Race 2
2yo races have cost me plenty recently & here's another with no exposed form on a few of them. My pick is with the first starter Ramplestiltskin. It beat Mulgrave hard held in a trial, (Mulgrave wasnt really pushed either) & thats a great lead up for this. My only concern is that Gavin Lang has chosen to drive the stable mate Sandy Kay who was beaten by Blitzsuzy in its trial. That ran the other day & was pretty plain.

BET: $50 WIN Ramplestiltskin
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing run. Never looked comfortable.

Race 3
Again lots of first starters here in the trot. Going to stick with Spidergrace here. She broke at the start in the final of the Tatlow & was tailed off. At her debut run she was nursed the trip & never really pushed when running 3rd in a quick last half for the 2yo trotters. This bet could be over within the first 10 metres of the event. Sit back & watch would be my advice

$25 EW Spidergrace
RESULT: LOST! Broke..end of story

Race 4
Doomed will be far too good for these. Going with exotics to get some value:

$40 Trifecta : 7 / 6 / 1-2-3-8 RESULT: Lost! Doomed should have been too good but an absolute shocker of a drive from Gavin Lang & a belter from Amy Tubbs
$10 Trifecta : 6 / 7 / 1-2-3-8 RESULT: WINNER!! Collect $30.75

5
Miss Precious Mach was very impressive last start when led early & handed up to the fav. Got the sprint lane & gave them wind burn. I definitely thinks shes better with a sit so this Ballarat track aint going to suit as there is no sprint lane. If she does keep the lead then Eliminator looks the better bet for mine. Was huge running 4th 2 starts back after being trapped 3 wide the trip, then backed up with a very good death seat 2nd where they ran 56.4 for the last half @ Warragul which is unheard of over the 2200metres.

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: $100 WIN Eliminator
RESULT: 2nd. To say that Im annoyed about this result is an understatement. 1. Miss Precious MAch wins, I tipped her as my best last week. 2. Eliminator is driven totally upside down & never put into the race. Wouldn't have had a cent on it had I of known that it was going to be restrained & driven from last. Thanks Gavin Lang again..

Race 6
Going the safe option in this trot stand start race. Button Brigade. Has been so consistent this prep & is again off 40 metres but it begins so well it doesn't matter.

BET: $20 WIn/$30 Place Button Brigade
RESULT: LOST! All backmarkers struggled to catch them.

Race 7
Beauty Secret a good thing here but will be very short. The 1 & 5 have better gate speed though so will have to do it tough unless one of them hands up which quite often happens in Victoria Harness racing.

BET: $50 TRIFECTA: 3 / 1 - 5 / 1-2-5-10
RESULT: LOST! 10 flies home to knock the 5 off from 2nd.

Race 8
Sookin Up wins this. This rest are pretty much a rabble so not going exotics. Going to take an all up to improve the odds

$50 All Up
Race 5 Eliminator PLACE
Race 6 Button Brigade PLACE
Race 7 Beauty Secret WIN
race 8 Sookin Up WIN
RESULT: Button Brigade no good..

MEETING RESULT: OUCH.. An absolute shocker. In hindsight too many exotics but what else can you do when there are $1.20 pops running around? Lost $419.25

Yarra Valley , VIC (Day) - Thursday, 6 Jun 2013

Race 1
Shes a runa was huge in defeat in the Tatlow final a fortnight ago & draws to lead here. Although the 3 is an unknown & Fon Design has plenty of ability I think it'll win.

BET: $50 WIN Shes A Runa
RESULT: Winner! Led & won as it liked. Collect $80

Race 2
Keeper of The Fire owes me a bit of money, likes to run 4th, but looks really well suited in todays claimer. I think he'll be in front after 400 metres & be mighty hard to run down from there. Dartmoor the danger

BET: $25 EW Keeper Of The Fire
RESULT: 2nd. Dartmoor too good. Collect $40

Race 3
Like one here at nice ew odds. Sophies Deal. Only had 2 runs. At her debut had the cushy run behind the leader, only to have it fold up into her face. Managed to get around it after losing 10 metres & caught up to the leaders on the turn but ran into the horse in front of it & broke. I have no doubt it would've won. Last start was a good 3rd when stuck 3 pegs. Got out in the straight & ran home well. From the draw here today I'm making her my best EW bet of the day

BEST BET: $50 EW Sophies Deal
RESULT: LOST. Got the gun run behind the leader but the leader tired before the sprint lane. When she went for the run she broke. Grrrrrrrr

Race 4
Baccarat wins this by a mile & will be $1.20 at the most so cant back that for a win. Really hard to find any value in the race. I'm going to take a risk on exotics to find something at value:

BET:
$25 First Four: 2 / 9 / 1-3-4-8 /1-3-4-8-11
$25 Trifecta : 2 / Field / 9
RESULT: LOST! 2 beat 9, no 11 for 3rd..

Race 5
Stand Start race here & this bet could be all over within the first 100 metres. Rubys Bad Boy was exactly that last start when it galloped out but was very impressive going forward to death seat & win untouched. If he manages to step, I can't see them beating him. We Never Say Die is the only danger for mine.

BET: $50 WIN Rubys Bad Boy if above $1.80
or
$25 EW We Never Say Die if Rubys Bad Boy shorter than $1.80
RESULT: 3rd. Missed the jump again but found the death easily enough. Not as good as last time.

Race 6
A race with many chances here. Franco Seelster draws to lead & looks very hard to beat & Intergalactic has been running some good races against quality opposition without winning. But I'm all about value today & I reckon Ive found 1. Number 1, Outer Join. If you look at his run on paper last start it looks ordinary. Drew 2, 1x3, finished 11 metres off them. Fact is, drew 2, outside Tommy Tupence a known fast beginner, got shuffled back to 1x3 & got caught behind a tiring horse in the 1x1. Once he finally got around that horse when he pulled out 3wide but he got checked twice in the straight. He finally balanced up over the last 50 & hit the line strong. He'll be good odds here & if he can manage to keep the back of Franco Seelstar he's a sneaky chance to win & a strong place bet.

BET: $10 WIN / $40 Place Outer Join
RESULT: 3rd. Nice run to snatch 3rd right on the line. Collect $266.80

Race 7
Another race with a few chances. Interesting to see how Chanels Charm goes first up for Adam Kelly. It'll be short though & may brain them but I'd rather see it first before burning any money on the hype. I would've had a nibble on Tere T at big odds had he drawn closer to the rails, ran 2nd to Pocket Boy 2 starts ago, but he's drawn 7. Discrimination is another Ive burnt money on recently & I can see Lance Justice circle the field and put the pressure on Chanels Charm. That leads me to La Pucelle, probably the safest ew bet of the race. A little disappointing for mine with they ran fast early which should've suited her out the back & run third. The driver did take a wee bit too long to make a run. I'm going on the fact she was first up & probably in need of that run. I haven't mentioned Clissic Bliss either only because she draws 8 & likely to find herself 3 or 4 back the pegs. Not a fan of the longer distances either so I only give her a rough chance.

BET: $20 WIN / $30 Place La Pucelle.
RESULT: 3rd. Goood thing beaten! Was fighting back likeda caged Lion in the straight when Discrimination shifted out & it run out of room. Lost 5 metres. Once it balanced up again it came at them to lose by a freaken head. Collect $54

Race 8
One of the hardest trot races Ive seen. I suggest you pull up stumps early and crack open a coldy. Soho Ledger would probably win this if it were a mobile start but has broken at both starts behind the tapes. Same goes for Katmandonny who is hopeless behind the tapes. Going to go for one who was really unlucky last start. It hasn't won for 5 years! Yep Mountain Earl. Having said that he had a 5 year break before returning in Feb so not too bad. I watched his last start replay. Got stuck 3 pegs in a fairly strong trot race @ Ballarat. Got stuck behind the tiring Keystone Blues who gave him 10 metres that night & 20 today. On my assumption that both the favourites gallop its worth a few ew at very big odds.

BET: $10 WIN/$40 Place Mountain Earl
RESULT: Lost. The less said about that the better

Meeting Result: Lost $9.8. Thank god for Outer Join

Horsham , VIC (Day) - Wednesday, 5 Jun 2013

Race 1
Horrific race to start the programme. Starts at 1.22pm so maybe take a long lunch instead. The 1 will lead but looks fairly weak (so is this race mind you), the 6 will be pressuring the crap out of it from the death & I think the 2 will drop in on the 1's back as the 8 is slow off the mobile. It represents the value for mine.

BET: $25 EW Irish Fella
RESULT: LOST. Had his chance.

Race 2
Trot race here that looks as hard to pick as the first. Going to back the backmarker here. Ran ok when 2nd off the 50metres last start in a smaller field. This field looks a shade weaker this race & it just looks better than them

BET: $50 WIN Paparazzi Snapshot
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in. $130 collect

Race 3
2yo race here with a couple of first starters. I actually think the 1 has plenty of ability. His manners let it down last prep but was a great run 1st up to the very promising Our Petite Souer. Should lead here & provided his mind is on the job, I expect him to win.

BEST BET OF THE MEET: $100 WIN Real Elegance
RESULT: LOST. Led & did absolutely nothing. OUCH

Race 4
Some good early speed in the race & when Nolagalile leads, it doesn't usually hand up. That could mean trouble for the 3 & the 8 as the 3 will have to do it tough & the 8 maybe stuck behind a tiring Nolagalile late in the race. Based on the above I'm going to give Forced Out his last chance, only because of the significant driver change. John Caldow takes over the reigns today & hopefully the horse is at least put into the race to give it a chance.

BET: $10 WIN/$40 Place Forced Out
RESULT: 2nd. Never seen a horse beaten a head that never looked likely to win. I did today! Nice place dividend though. Collect $128

Race 5
Crusader Acey is the class horse of this race but the draw isn't so kind here but hopefully that'll mean better odds. I expect him to win this. I keep getting tips for Big Storm Warning who has doing absolutely nothing in its 8 starts to date. Best draw it's had yet today so will be good to see if it does have any ability at all.

BET: $45 WIN Crusader Acey RESULT: 4th. Driver should hang his head in shame. Never put it into the race & was something beaten.
$5 Place Big Storm Warning RESULT: 5th. Plugged away @ 100-1. Need to find a weaker one for him.

Race 6
If the 1 holds the lead here it wins. I don't think it will though. The 2 flies the gate & I think crosses it. If that happens Run Ripalong becomes the horse to beat. Great run last start when it did all the work & held on well when running 3rd to Precious Mach. Should find the death here again & will be hard to beat

BET: $25 EW Run Ripalong
RESULT: LOST! Favourite led. End of story

Race 7
Imposible race to work out over the shithouse 1200 metres. Should be banned for mine but anyway.. I'm going to go with Modern Scooter here first up. Been trialling well & wasn't far off Cliss Bliss in it's last run of its last prep.

BET: $25 EW Modern Scooter
RESULT: LOST! My mind remains unchanged. Ban these 1200 metre races.

Meeting result: Lost $142 which betting $50 a race on a meeting like this I consider a win..

Echuca , VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 5 Jun 2013

A shocking punting meeting here but what do you expect on a Wednesday night.

Race 1
Trotters race to start off the meeting. As always a tough race to work out but there seems to be value with the 1 here. Races well at the track and is a chance to lead here, vital when running at Echuca. I don't think it can win but certainly a good place bet

BET: $50 Place Dabbsey
RESULT: LOST! Broke at the start & that was the end of the ball game.

Race 2
This could be one of the worst bets ever here but it's that sort of race where I think every horse has a chance. Traveller started well from the gate & was driven confidently the 1st lap but punctured badly to run a long way back. Will lead based on his gate speed last start here & this is a much weaker race. Taking the risk

BET: $25 EW Traveller
RESULT: 2nd. Had the dream run behind the 2nd fav & leader but wasn't good enough to win. Collect $105

Race 3
Greg Sugars got Chick At The Bar over the line over the shorter distance here 3 starts back. This is a slightly weaker race & even though over the longer distance I think it can lead & win.

BET: $25 EW Chick At The Bar
RESULT: LOST! Led but the longer distance was too much for it tonight & it punctured. Short distances only

Race 4
Another very open race here. The 1 probably leads but better suited over shorter. The likely favourite is first up & ability is still unknown from the mobile. I've decided to go with the track specialist, The Numbers Man. He'll need the right run but excels here.

BET: $25 EW The Numbers Man
RESULT: LOST! Massive pilot error but will be kind on the kid as I think it may have been his first drive. Something beaten.

Race 5
Think Classic Jet draws perfectly here over the sprint trip & is the one to beat. The 2 can fly the gate but even from behind the leader he's the one to beat

BET: $20 EW Classic Jet RESULT: 3rd. Fav led but couldn't take us into the sprint lane as fast as he needed. Battled on for 3rd. Collect $40
$10 Quinella 1 & 2

Race 6
I think the 1 will lead here & if it does it'll bring Bowland Borg right into the race. Its a risk but I think he's the best horse in the race.

BET: $25 EW Bowland Borg
RESULT: LOST! Not having a great deal of luck but you obviously had to be up on the lead to be a chance tonight. 4 back pegs, pulled out widest and ran home well.

Race 7
I have a man crush on a horse in this race & it's Rajah Wealth. Doesn't win too often but is always good for a place bet. Think well get good value here too Should get a nice run through the field, especially if the 9 is scratched. Twindet should lead here & that almost guarantees a good pace as well. Going to make him my best bet of the night.

BEST BET: $100 Place Rajah Wealth
RESULT: 4th. Not sure what the driver was doing on the turn? Had the 1x1 the horse behind it goes 3wide, he stays in?!?! Got out anyway in the straight but only pulled it out with 150 to go. Strange.

Race 8
Arma Augustus should really be the bet of the night as this looks an easy kill for him but it's a nut case & untrustworthy. I expect it to lead & win but dont be taking any silly odds.

BET: $50 WIN Arma Augustus
RESULT: WINNER! Thank god for that. Led & won comfortably. Collect $90.

MEETING RESULT: Lost $215 but would never bet like like on a meeting so poor. Tough night for punting

Maryborough, Monday 3 June

Race 1
There are a couple of question mark on the favourites in this race so I'm going to go the value runner who for mine is Blitzsuzy. She finished her first prep with a good win defeating Tallulah Bay which has recently shown to be very good form. She trialled very impressively at Melton recently & I'm very keen on her chances here at the value

BET: $25 EW Blitzsuzy
RESULT: 4th. Interesting drive but I don't think it made a difference, its was 25 metres off the 3rd horse!

Race 2
Again I'm not confident on the 2 favourites here with Galeforce Grin drawn 7 & Classy Guy drawn the back row. The eye catcher from Galeforce Grins last 2nd was Rocket Trip. It settled 1x3 got an ok trail into the race & finished well for 3rd, not being beaten far by Galeforce Grin. From the good draw today he's a great EW bet

BET: $25 EW Rocket Trip
RESULT: LOST. Just a run really. Had a nice sit but just plugged to the line. Had I of known that Galeforce Grin was going to be $7, that would've been my EW bet. Huge overs there.

Race 3
3yo trot race here which are always tricky but there look to be 4 winning chances. 1,6,7 & 10. Im going to maintain my theory on trotters here & going the one drawn the outside front row. Bellmac Kody. It beat the 1 hands down from similar draws in January & although this race has more depth, I reckon he represents the best value in the race.

BET: $25 EW Bellmac Kody
RESULT: 3rd. Sat without cover the trip & boxed on really well. Nice run. Collect $47.5

Race 4
Lombo Cloud Nine owes me a fair bit of money & Im not falling for her today from the 1 gate. Her gate speed is a worry & may end up 3 back the pegs. Fiery Achiever looks to be the one to beat. Zac Phillips will stoke him up early & I'm confident it'll lead. Once in front in the small field, there is likely to be little to no pressure & I can't see them beating him. My best bet of the day. (Change of tact: My best bet of the day gets double the outlay)

BEST BET OF THE DAY: $100 WIN Fiery Achiever
RESULT: WINNER!! Straight to the front & just held on from Lombo Cloud Nine who if hadve won, I think I may have cried. Nice odds too for Fiery. Collect $380

Race 5
Not keen on this race at all. Most of them are allergic to winning. I'm going to follow the Daryl Douglas lead here. Looks like had the pick of the drives between With Gusto & Real Performer & has chosen the latter. Come on Dasher!!

BET: $50 WIN Real Performer
SCRATCHED

Race 6
Trot race no 2 for the day. What happened to the good old days where there was only one trot race in a meeting?! This race is very open & I again I'm going to have something on the 7. I hope Douglas pushes forward here as some of them underneath her can be suspect when pushed out. The 4 could be anything but I'll have a punt at the value.

Bet: $10 WIN / $40 Place Claire Jasper
RESULT: 2nd! Ohhh thought it had them on the turn but the fav was just too strong. Collect $152

Race 7
This is a great race with the 2,4,6 & 7 coming from the same 3yo Classic race at Melton a fortnight ago. The most impressive from that race was Glenferrie Lady but it did have a nice cozy run 4 back the pegs so was entitled to run on but still, it was motoring at the end. Any of these 4 could win, maybe apart from the 2. I'm going to go with exotics here as I just wouldn't be surprised if one of the 3 won.

BET:
$30 Trifecta: 4-6-7 / 4-6-7 / 2-4-6-7 = 250%
$20 First 4: 4-6-7 / 4-6-7 / 2-4-6-7 / 2-4-6-7-8-9 = 55%
RESULT: Got the trifecta, just and it really wasn't worth it. $74 Collect

Race 8
Trot race no 3 for the day.. Gavlenn Sunset is trotting really well of late & more importantly, safe. Many of these in this race don't. The problem today is it's drawn the 8 but hopefully Michael Bellman can work his magic & get off the pegs at the right time. It did run 2nd to Torida Heir who franked that form by winning @ Cranbourne on Sunday night

BET: $25 EW Gavlenn Sunset
RESULT: 3rd. Got the perfect cart into the race behind the fav but the fav was far tood good. Battled on ok for 3rd. $47.75 Collect

MEETING RESULT: Another profit but a good one today. Won $301.25

Mildura, Tuesday 4 June

Not a bad meeting here tonight & there might be a couple of value runners to have a crack at.

Race 1
Hard race to be real confident about. Kenmore Albertina has panels on these for mine but showed it's dislike for the small track last start, breaking early & hanging round the turns at Albury. It still won! Mildura in many ways is a similar track but isnt as forgiving for those back in the field so it can't afford to miss the start here. Dangers will be the 3 and 5. If the 5 had drawn closer to the fence I'd definitely be keen.

BET: $50 WIN Kenmore Albertina
RESULT: 2nd. Really surprised Shezagrinner wins. It was horrible last week after leading with an easier run. Smashed the clock & its opposition tonight. Kenmore Albertina started very short & wasn't a bad run but no match for the winner

Race 2
Good race this. I reckon it's a match in 2, Hollys Miss Molly & Mammals Maker. The latter will lead with Hollys taking the sit on its back. No sprint lane will make t tough for Hollys & Mammals Maker is a very high quality animal. Safe bet quinella, risk bet 2 to beat 1 in exacta.

BET: $50 QUINELLA 1 & 2
RESULT: LOST! Hollys Miss Molly let me down for the first time tonight. May not have handled the track but shouldve finished closer than 4th with the run she had. The 2 won easily. BAd start to the night.

Race 3
Weak race here. All the horses off the front have some gate speed but I think Fairhurst has the best of the lot of them. Question will be can it cross before the tight turn? Probably not. I'd definitely be keen if I was confident he would lead. So I'm looking at the scenario where he doesn't & who does. Thats Larry Barry for me. If he does, Itsmentamota is the value. First up he was awful. Might have been one of those "throw him in the race for a run" moment from the trainer. 2nd up was much better when following the leader & held onto 3rd in a much stronger field than it meets here. Its going to need luck but its one of those races for mine

BET: $20 WIN/ $30 Place Itsamentamota
RESULT: Lost! No on its best behaviour tonight and missed the kick. Never in it after that.

Race 4
I'm really undecided on this race. Hexem Heartbeat has the advantage of gate 1 & 3rd up should be ready to win. Jilliby Daphine is going extremely well in much higher graded races. Case & point a death seat effort at Geelong in 1.55 around Geelong in a C4/5 race. Hexem couldn't beat a C1 field from the death last week but should lead here. The track has swayed me...

BET: $50 WIN Hexem Heartbeat
RESULT: Winner! I made the right choice. It leads, Jilliby Daphine sat in the death & tired. Collect $90

Race 5
They'll be going nuts for the first 400 metres of this race. Pretty much all of the front row race best in front or trailing the leader. I actually think the 1 can hold out the 2 early but with pressure will hand up. I think it'll be handing up to Did It Alone. If that happens Did It Alone will be very hard to beat.

BET
$50 WIN Did It Alone
RESULT: WINNER! Read this race like a book! held out the 2 to manys surprise but not mine. It hands the lead over to Did It Alone & it was game over. Collect $125

Race 6
Here is my best bet of the night. Pirates Plunder gets back to his favourite distance tonight. Drawn outside the back row is no concern as it has no speed early anyway. Last start over 1790 he was stuck 4 back the pegs & actually got out in plenty of time to catch them but that isn't his go. He needs to grind away at his opposition & in this weaker field tonight gets that opportunity. Daryl Weightman will take off as soon as the dust settles & if the death seat is up for grabs this bloke is going to be mighty hard to beat.

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: $50EW Pirates Plunder
RESULT: 4th. I did go hard on a longshot here but I was pretty confident. Started $30 at the jump. Unfortunately One Dog One Bone got to the death first & with a lap & a half to go you could see Weightman undecided on whether to push forward or not & wisely decided to stay back as it wouldn't have got the death. I did I did get a little excited at the home turn when he had the back of the winner but as I stated in the summary, sit sprinting isn't his go.

Race 7
Tried really hard to find one to beat Maastrict in this race but I don't think there is anything going as well as it in the race. 2 maybe a danger but it's Maastricts stablemate & Im sure the fav has been set for bigger and better things. Lord Coburn I would've been keen on with a better draw but will have to work pretty hard in the race.

BET: $50 WIN Maastrict
RESULT: WINNER! This mare is city bound. Collect $75

Race 8
Tough race here with all horse in terrible form. If the real All Charged Up turned up tonight, it would win easily, especially from gate 1 over the short distance. Its last 7 starts have been woeful, admittedly from worse draws or longer distances, but you still want a horse to show something. I just cant fid anything else in the race to get keen about so am taking the risk here.

BET: $50 WIN All Charged Up
RESULT: 3rd. Would never had picked it if I knew it was paying $1.70. Huge unders. Led, had a fairly easy trip & plugged away for 3rd.

Race 9
fairly strong 2yo race to finish off with here. Jackatac the one to beat with Commanci Chief it's only danger as its been flying around Globe Derby of late & 3 starts back beat Thats Rite. Going to play some exotics here as Jackatac will be far too short to back.

$40 Trifecta 6 / 5 / 2-3
$10 Trifecta 5 / 6 / 2-3
RESULT: LOST! The horse I didn't give much hope to after watching it last start brained them!

Meeting Result: Not good! Lost $210 but thats what happens when you pick $1.40 shots to win & make your best bet a $30 shot.. Hmmm.

Cranbourne, Sunday 2 June

Im really up against it betting $50 a race especially in a meeting like we have here but hopefully the followers are getting something out of it:

Race 1
Process of elimination here. Theres is only one horse Id consider having a bet on here & it's Sir Gorilla whos had 44 starts for 1 win!
A huge no bet race.

BET: $50 WIN Sir Gorilla
RESULT: LOST! Yep, as I thought, that was an absolute raffle with all the favourite horses running poorly.

Race 2
Restricted trot race where I won't be betting myself. Most of these trotters make alot of mistakes which makes this race very hard to get excited about. I do have a theory, trotters often grow a leg when drawn outside the front line. They can stay out of trouble and be given the time to balance up. Torida Heir draws that here & was impressive winning last time behind the mobile. However, it's previous 2 starts it galloped from a mobile so it is hit & miss.

BET: $50 WIn Torida Heir
RESULT: Winner! Sat without cover & was just better than its rivals. $145 Collect

Race 3
Well it doesn't get any easier here with a 2yo restricted race where have the field is yet to have a start. I've watched too many trial races here trying to get a guide and Im not impressed by any first starter thats trialled. I may have been tempted to back Craig Demmlers first starter Christian Torado if it had drawn better. So I'm taking a blind punt here on the horse that hasn't trialled in Oz. Thats the NZ'er Watch This Spot. Dean Braun doesn't get them if they have no ability.

BET: $50 WIN Watch This Spot.
RESULT: Winner! Backed for a stack & won fairly easily. Collect $75

Race 4
Fairly easy to work this one out for me. Dicky Beach will lead this & try & run them off their legs. Magical Molly is far better suited here over the longer distance & will be suited by any pace in the race. The only problem is, can she get a drag into the race? Place chances to 6 & 11

BET:
$40 WIN Magical Molly
$10 WIN Dicky Beach
Result: Magical Molly wins! $96 collect

Race 5
Probably my best bet of the meet here. I'm banking on the fact the Now & Forever will hold the lead here. I'll watch for any change of tactics announcements. If that does happen, Im Living The Dream is a certainty. Has improved every start since coming across from NZ & shown more gate speed every time she's run so I'm confident it'll get the leaders back. Now & Forever is much better over the mile & will be feeling the pinch at the top of the straight (hopefully not before the sprint lane arrives).The only party spoiler I can see is Authorised. Can fly the gate & if led, he becomes the one to beat.

BET: $50 WIN Im Living The Dream
RESULT: 2nd. Got stuck 3 back the pegs. Good to see the change of tactics advised on the 1!! Anyway, the 4 was far too good, even if we were behind the leader I still think the leader would've won.

Race 6
Ymbro Toto gets a good draw for the first time in a while thanks to breaking 4 starts back from gate 2. Obviously he can do things wrong, otherwise he'd be by far my best of the day. He's recent runs have been really good especially 2 starts back where he was 3 wide the trip & only got beat 7.5 metres to La Machane. That sort of form wins this race easily.

BET: $50 WIn Ymbro Toto
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Got crossed at the start but had every chance to passed the leader & longshot Double Happy. Great drive by Ellen Tormey on it.

Race 7
Our Eastwood Cullen looks very hard to beat here after 2 4ths behind the flying Salem & It Is Billy. He'll either lead or sit behind Courageous Spirit although Incoming Flight & Aftermidnight Sam both can fly the gate too so the start is very important for favourite backers... I had one of my biggest ever collects on Courageous Spirit a year ago when it won @ $50 when leading at this very track. (It says $20 in the formguide but let me tell you as much as $70 was offered at one point!) It wont be those odds here but if there is anything that could knock off the favourite, he's it if he leads.

BET:
$40 WIN Eastwood Cullen Scratched
$25 EW Courageous Spirit
RESULT: Lost. Led & found little

Race 8
Rule Like A King will win this but is going to be extremely short. Too hard to work out the others so I'm using my $50 on an all up to try and boost its odds.

BET:
$50 Multi
Race 4 Magical Molly PLACE $1.2
Race 5 Im Living The Dream PLACE $1.30
Race 7 Our Eastwood Cullen PLACE SCRATCHED Changed to Race 6 No 1 Ymbro Toto $1.10
Race 8 Rule Like A King WIN $1.30

RESULT: WINNER!! Easy money. Collect $111.54

Meeting Result: Somehow Ive managed to come out of that with a profit! Won $27.54

Ballarat, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 1 Jun 2013

Race 1
Button Brigade is one of the safest trotters going around. Steps well in stand starts & even though of 30metres here, he beat most of these with ease off 20 2 starts back

Bet: $50 WIN
RESULT: 2nd. Good run. Would've had it ew had I of known it was $2 a place!

Race 2
My regular followers would have had one look at this field & would know what Im backing. Reign Of Pain! Thought he was poorly driven last time & did well to finish as close as he did. I think Ballarat will suit him too. Its a race of few chances as well with 5,6 & 9 the only other possible hopes

BET: $20 EW Reign Of Pain - 2nd - did the work 3 wide on his own & the run ended. fav had it too easy in front. Collect $36
$10 First 4 Boxed: 5-6-9-10: Lost. Bloody 9 galloped

Race 3
Good 2yo race here. Tezz Khora was very disappointing losing last start when it walked in front & got run down by Ruato Bay who draws 7 here. Or maybe Ruato improved greatly in his 2nd run? Either way both will be too short to take the risk on for mine in this. I'll be going back to one of my new favourites, the Chris Shinn trained Fill Up. Thought his last start 2nd was huge under the circumstances. Death seated the whole trip & kept kicking only to be beaten by the very smart Raylan Gibbons. There is no Raylan Gibbons in this race tonight & he draws to follow Tezz Khora everywhere it goes.

Bet: $25 EW Fill Up
RESULT: 3rd. Another good run from the breeze but I think he needs it a bit weaker to win. Collect $43

Race 4
Going to take on the favourite here. Easy Lightning has good gate speed & draws to lead from the one. The fav will be parked on its outside & is first up. I just think fitness will prove a factor & the Big Easy will get the job done

Bet: $50 WIN Easy Lightning
RESULT: 2nd! Another I wouldve had ew had I known it was $2+ a place! Good run but no math for the fav

Race 5
Another Emma Stewart short priced favourite first up here & I can't back them. Win The Crowd trialled last week in a stand start & the result wasn't overly impressive but very hard to tell in a 3 horse trial. Again I'm going to go the fitter in form horse & that for mine is Gotalotaspeed. Draws 1 & I think will take the sit behind the favourite tonight. He was unlucky not to salute last start just being beaten by Better Believe It who is also in this race draw outside back row. I think those 3 will battle it out with a very rough hope to my boy Artoc.

Bet:
$20 EW Gotalotaspeed. RESULT: Winner! Sat behind the leader, got out on the turn & just held off Better Believe It. Collect $194
$5 EW Artoc. RESULT: LOST. He was just OK. Can't believe it started $4.70. I marked it $12!

Race 6
Another trot race. Wont go into too much detail here other than Tsonga wins

Bet: $50 Win Tsonga
RESULT: 2nd. Winner was very good as was Tsonga

Race 7
Tough race to work out. Keyang Steamer is first up from a 4th in the Charriots of Fire but draws inside back row on a track with no sprint lane. If he drew anywhere else I'd be backing him straight out. Great to see Allrightythen back in Victoria with original trainer Michael Stanley. He's been wound up for this with 2 solid trials in very good time & looks ready for a big run. The other I'll be thowing something on is Fiery Count. He's probably not up to beating these but he looks a solid place chance at big odds. He was desperately unlucky at Melton last start & with a bit of luck hopefully can snatch a minor placing.

Bet:
$40 WIN Allrightythen: Result: Not a flash first up run. Will be watching next time
$10 PLACE Fiery Count Result: Lost. Absolutely no luck. He will win @ big odds soon.

Race 8
I like a few in this but you can't back them all. The first starter Arty Missy draws well after a good trial win, the fastest trial of the day @ Bendigo. None the Wiser looks better suited tonight over the short course mobile than a standing start. She last won when leading from this same draw but not sure how fast out Arty Missy will be. The big watch is on Tuscadero. Was just about to get a run from 3 back the pegs when it broke & lost all chance in its first start. Looked to be travelling too. The 2 fav's look to be a little weak for mine so will play it as follows.

Bet:
$25 Win Arty Missy RESULT: Winner! Very impressive from 3 pegs. Collect $57.50
$25 WIn None The Wiser RESULT: LAST!

Race 9
Horrific race & will be a miracle if I pull off a profit here. Hion Attack at least has run against some good horses even though being beaten by a far way. First up it was shocking but I feel the trainer may have been behind on its work as 2nd up it ran a ok 3rd improving by about 5 seconds. Its the only horse I could really make a case for. Default!

Bet: $25 EW Hion Attack
RESULT: WINNER!! What a horrible race. It was gone at the turn but all the others runs finished & it just kept plugging away to nose them out. Note down every horse in the race to ensure you never back them again. Collect $180

Race 10
A 7 horse trot race to end the night. Bliss! Im actually keen on one here. Nippa Wagon. Not the best horse in the race but may have the best manners. Tonight is the first time it runs behind the mobile & has been tuned up for this with 3 trials winning its last one. 5 the one to beat but if it does anything wrong I think Nippa will be the one left in front

Bet: $25 EW Nippa Wagon
RESULT: Last. Broke 3 or 4 times. thats why I hate trotters

Meeting Result: $10.50 profit! Considering Id never bet on every race like this not a bad result. With average luck tonight wouldve been a heap more

Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 31 May 2013

Last meeting of the month & Im going to punt $50 on every race here & may do so from every meeting here on in. (Until my long service leave is over anyways, takes a lot of time to study the form!)

Race 1
Good race to start off the programme. Looks to be a huge amount of speed & pressure in this race. 2 is the logical leader but there are 4 horses in the race that race best from the death, 4,5,7 & 12. With Lance Justice on the 4, the most likely to get there first, all out war could be declared in this race. This will set it up for either of the 2 favourites, It Is Billy (one of my favourite horses) or Magical Telf. Now It Is Billy has drawn 9 but the 8 is an emergency. If the 8 is scratched then I will be having a fair decent crack at Magical Telf here. If not, I'll still back MT the win but for a little less with a saver on Billy.

Bet: $50 WIN Magical Telf (approx $2)
Result: WINNER! Chris Alford drove it how it likes to be driven tonight & that's with a cold sit & sprint. Collect $135

Race 2
Ohh this is tough. 4 & 5yo mares final for trotters. I have declared my hate for trot races in the past but in the spirit of having $50 a race, here goes nothing. For mine you can only pick horses from the fastest heat won by Sunduns Promise. The other heat was won in a last half that was 3 seconds slower than the other. In that heat Sundons Promise missing the start by 20metres. At the bell it took off 3 wide without cover & looked shot at the turn but kept grinding away to win in quick time. Huge run. The only problem with this horse is that its a nut case so it'll either win or finish last so I'll be punting 2 ways here.

Bet:
$30 WIN Sundons Promise ($4.8)
$20 Place Monicas Dream ($3.50 place)- Just keeps running great races each start without winning. Should pay around $2.50 a place here so hoping to cover Sundons Promise if it's naughty
RESULT: WINNER! WINNER! 1st & 3rd thanks for coming. I love trot races!! Collect $240

Race 3
It gets worse. A 2yo trotters race! Im Stately looks the one to beat. Has been very safe in all his starts & proven it can win from anywhere in the field. Miracle has one 4 from 5 so obviously goes ok but all of those starts he's led. They look to have their rivals covered. In Miracles heat I noticed Spidergrace was never pushed along at any stage. Gets Gavin Lang here who is often the master from an inside draw, but it isnt the ideal spot to be in a 2yo trot.

Bet:
$40 WIN Im Stately ($2.50)
$10 Place Spidergrace ($4.50 place)
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them. Let me tell you, trot races are the best thing ever to be introduced. Cant get enough! Collect. $88

Race 4
This is a no bet race for mine. 1,2,3,6 & 7 all have good gate speed here & I'm struggling to work out who'll end up with it. I think it'll be the 1 or 6 at a guess. if its Astronaut its a big chance. Johnny Quid had some of my money last start & was a little disappointing. He'll sit back off them early here & eventually work his way to the death & really should control the race. If he's back to his old form, he wins. The one horse that could throw a spanner in the works is the 7. Schnappy has run some big races in his time at this track & can ping the gate when in the right mood. His last start effort was actually pretty good on the tight Albury circuit. Dundgeon Queen is the other I give a chance to just because of the speed in the race. She absolutely needs everything to go right for her to be a winning chance but will be at odds.

Bet:
$30 WIN Johnny Quid ($2.50) RESULT: WINNER! Collect $55
$5 WIN / $15 place Dungeon Queen ($20) RESULT: LOST! She's in terrible form at the minute

Race 5
I love the 1720metre races at Melton because they're usually easy to work out. I think this race is not exception. My old mate Repelem comes up with the gun draw & I can promise you will be handing up tonight. She tried to lead 2 starts back & punctured a looonngg way out. She races best with a sit & she'll get that here from Summer Ace I expect. She can absolutely fly the gate & is the biggest danger. I'm going to play 2 ways again in this race.

Bet:
$40 WIN Repelem ($3)
$10 Trifecta. 1-4 /1-4-8/1-4-8
RESULT: 2nd. Showed little gate speed tonight, got crossed by 2 horses but managed to get one off & take over the lead after 400metre or so metres. Looked to be travelling at the top of the straight but the sprint lane horse have far greater sprint than she did

Race 6
A few horses in this race that have been in form from good draws. They all have poor draws tonight, in particular the 7 & the 9. Going for one at a bit of value here, Whatavenue. Draws the 1 gate & has ok gate speed, enough to hold them out or be behind the leader. This is a step up in grade for it tonight but it's run 2 starts ago against the likes of Beauty Secret was superb running 4th in 1.56 over this distance. Forget it run last start when never in the hunt over the short course. Will be $10+ here & gets its chance tonight.

Bet: $25 EW Whatavenue ($10)
RESULT: LAST! Led & went far too hard early & was gone a fair way out.

Race 7
Another short course race here where I'd expect everyone to jump on the Alchemy bandwagon... Im not. He does draw to take the perfect sit behind the leader & thats where you want to be in these races but will be unders for mine as he often finds one better than him. Im going for the horse who'll be sitting on his back. Zanardi. Listed as a emergency he gets a run from 8 with the confirmed scratching. This bloke is low flying back in SA smashing whatever fields he meets. He showed he can mix it with the high class horses with a great heat & final placing in the Mildura Cup. It is a big risk though as he will be 3 pegs at best but if he sees daylight with enough distance between him & the winning post I think he'll win.

Bet: $20 WIN/$30 Place Zanardi ($15)
RESULT: LOST! Unlucky. Just held the position behind the leader & I was cheering with a lap to go think how far the Zanardi!! Alchemy however punctured like the mule he is before the sprint lane taken him through the field & by the time the sprint lane arrived he was to far back. Damn you Lance Justice!!

Race 8
Another bloody trot but I think we can get some value here. One of my favourite drivers Scotty Dyer holds the key to the race over the 1720. The Boss Man has great early speed and is very reliable from the mobile. His dangers are Roy Hobbs who breaks every 2nd start when put under the sword & Habibti who needs a bit of time to balance up in its races before its motor gets warm. Having said that it only needs to get warm for 100 metres for it to be a force as its a freak. But 3 starts over the sprint for a 3rd aint great reading.

Bet: $50 Win The Boss Man ($4.50) (wait for tote odds too because everyone will be talking up Habibti)
RESULT: Lost. Galloped twice. My theory was right, just picked the wrong horse to lead as the favourite got rolled

Race 9
ANOTHER BLOODY TROT RACE!! Aheemm.. Real hard to work this out. Mister Gunsen has the best gate speed & leads early. Paul Grech just doesnt hand up either so the 1 & 8 who are well fancied could be in trouble when Gunsen starts to tire. That probably mean Stoned I Am is the one to beat because it'll be the one 3 wide with or without a trial latebut it'll be short & I just can't take the short odds on it. I'm putting my money on Salute To Wagon. First up here, has had 2 trials for a 4th in a mobile race where they ran 2.00minutes for 2240metres. It was 8 metres from the winner. The other it won from a stand start in a god 59 second last half. Gary Hoban takes over the training from Graeme Lang & I think the horse is thriving from it. Worth a risk

Bet: $25 EW Salute To Wagon ($25)
RESULT: 3rd. Strange drive. Loomed up 3 wide with cover at the turn & I thought he was home for all money but instead of peeling 4 wide Hoban went inside into traffic! Lost momentum& the horse that did go 4 wide in his place goes onto win. Still a nice collect but ohhhh dear, couldve been a huge collect. $180 collect

The rest of the meeting was called off.

Meeting Result: $248 profit. Who would've thought thanks to the trotters I end up in profit!

Hamilton, VIC (Day) - Thursday, 30 May 2013

Well I need a minor miracle to get back to profit for May. One things for sure, I'll be having a crack!!

Race 2 No 1 Cool Carat
$20 Win / $30 Place
First starter who tuned up for this with a 2nd to Amajorjo! Ok, was beaten 50metres but it beat The Gunstar (who is a C5 for memory) & Amajorfrost (who ran 2nd to Inkycullen in March) by 20 metres in that trial. This is a C0 race. Following trial form is very risky but this is a race worth taking a risk as I believe the fav is a money muncher. I don't know what odds it'll start but maybe up the win bet if under $10
RESULT: 3RD!! NTD.. Hmmmm, could've sworn I saw 8 in the race last night!! Misses 2nd by a pimple. If my luck keeps running like it is I'm off to Church Sunday. Obviously I've offended the great man in some way shape or form!!

Race 4 No 10 My Bros Dreaming
$50 WIN
Was terrific running 2nd first up for 2 years last start. Will be fitter & will be very hard to beat in todays final.
Result: Winner! Big winner at that. Craven went for home a long way out to make it survival of the fittest. He looked wobbly on the turn but was too strong. Collect $160

Race 5 No 1 Ruby My Love
$25 Place
Can't win but wasn't a bad run for 4th in the heat of this race. Draws the 1 here & has quite often placed at big odds when its had the cozy peg run. A lot does depend on the 2 leading & holding the lead. If the 2 hands up to the 4 she'll find it hard to place from 3 pegs
Result: Lost! Had to be behind the leader & the speed map suggested it would be but Nifty Manwarra sprung a surprise early & crossed the 2. Ended up 3 pegs & she hasn't got a big enough sprint to win from there.

Race 7 No 4 Miss Precious Mach ** Best Value Bet**
$50 EW
On the day, her run 2 starts @ Yarra Valley looked disappointing after leading & weakening for 4th. Looking back, they run 1.57 for the longer trip & was beaten by Paintball who has gone on to run well at Melton. Last start she trailed a tiring 3 wide horse & wasn't taken into the race & was entitled to finish back in the field but she finished extremely well for 3rd & with another 10 metres wins the race (A race Jilliby Ling won after having the easy run behind the leader)
Result: WINNER! Very impressive today. She led & surprisingly took a sit behind the odds on fav with a lap to go but she sprinted right past when the sprint lane came along. Keep following, she's a good horse. (Opened up $5 fixed!) Collect $295

Meeting Result: $230 profit

Shepparton, VIC (Night) - Thursday, 30 May 2013

Race 2 No 8 Clanceys Fobwatch ** BEST OF THE NIGHT**
$100 WIN
I just think he's classes above these & the draw will give us some value. Chris Lang will no doubt drag him back to last to get off the rails here, like he did last start, & has the option of either going forward early (I think he can lead) or have the last crack at them which he's no mug at either. Hopefully a good start to the night.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten fair and square by the 2nd fav

Race 3 No 10 Sukhovey Wind
$20 WIN/$30 Place
Strange name but looks to have a fair bit of ability. 1st up last start was 4 back the pegs after drawing inside the back row. Got a head of steam up when got off the rails with 500 to go but ran straight into the back of horses. Once he balance up again he started to find the line nicely again to finish 3rd. That wasn't a strong race but I loved the quick sprint he showed from the tail. (They ran 58 secs - he mustve reeled of low 57 which is great for this race). There will be a $1.40 fav in the race (11) but it races best on leading/behind the leader. I think Yerrington Bob (my other roughy in the race) will be in front early & he doesn't hand up so the fav will have to do it tough. Lets hope Sukhovey is close enough at the turn to go woooosshhhkaaa!
RESULT: 3rd. I was counting the cash with 500 to go after he made an early move & take a sit on the favourites back but he wa no match for the first 2 across the line. Collect $60

Race 4 No 10 Cool Machrista
$30WIN /$70 Place
Really tossed up between it and the 7. I just think the longer distance suits more and her recent trials have been sensational. Beat Majorlook (running a 2.00minutes & a last half of 56.6) She led that trial & obviously will need to come from the tail tonight but should be value
RESULT: 4th. Horrible drive. The race was set up for it with a good pace but unfortunately left his run too late for a fast finishing 4th. uurrrggghhhhh...

Race 7 No 10 La Pucelle
$50 WIN
Best horse in the race, 1st up for 2 months. Trialled well a week ago when winning at Melton. Her last run she was 5th in a very strong C3-C4 battling the likes of Jilliby Ablett & Shifting Sand. This is a weak C3-C4 & even though she's first up, I think she'll be winning
Result: 3rd. Started at an ew price & I wouldve had on here back ew if I knew the odds, one of the pitfalls of tipping the night before! Bad drive but I'm still disappointed it took it so long to wind up.

Meeting Result: Lost $240 meaning I lost $10 for the day..

Charlton, VIC (Day) - Wednesday , 29 May 2013

BEST EW
$50 EW
Race 7 No 4 Mathias
Been racing well from bad draws of late. His last start 2nd to the freak rustler was very good. He should lead here today and although Id much prefer him over further he looks to have the measure in most his rivals. There are 2 horses ive tipped in the past week in the race too. Ourcrowninn who showed little gate speed last week so the 1 gate looks no good and Bettor Move who i still have the shits with after he lost as my best bet last week. he looks the main danger but the scratching of the 8 means hes inside back row. Go Mathias!!
Result: Embarrassing. Read that wrong. The 1 shows pace today & the 9 sits on its back whilst Mathias is stuck out 3 wide. 1 & 9 quinella with the rest of the field 15 metres back!

Geelong, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 29 May 2013

Best Exotics
$100 Quinella
Race 4: 1 & 8 - The one leads & 8 lobs it's back. Should be a very easy quinella

$20 Trifecta
Race 4: 1 / 8 / 4 - Taking the punt on the 4 death seating and being good enough to hold onto 3rd. Fairly confident Doomed wins as was with the above quinella as back up if it doesn't.
RESULT: LOST! Not sure what Courtney Slater was thinking or what instructions was given but the place to be was leaders back & it's snagged back to 3rd last at the start to get off the fence. Even then I thought, ok, they're going forward to sit in the death. Alas I was wrong. Geelong has a sprint lane!!

Best EW
$50 EW
Race 6 No 6 Claire Jasper
Going against my usual punting rules here & backing a horse from the stand start but this horse looks very well placed. Has great recent form in SS races against stronger fields. Drops back to a C1+ here & with most horses not having SS experience looks a great ew bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Favourite was far too good for her. Collect $80

$50 EW
Race 7 No 9 Jilliby Daphine
Plenty of speed on in this race which should suit him perfectly. Draws right behind the fav so should position close enough to sprint past them in the straight.
RESULT: 3rd! Good drive by Glen Craven to put it into the race once the pace settled but the fav was too good. Just held on for 3rd. Waiting until it draws to lead again before jumping on Collect $125

Day result: Shocker of a day. Need to rethink my strategies with 2 days to go to get back in the black for May! Lost

Mildura, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 28 May 2013

BEST EW
$50 EW
Race 5 No 11 Caulonia Babe
Nice drop back in class tonight. Even from the bad draw I think she'll get the nice drag home on the back of Miss Ruthless & go very close tonight. Many of the horse she meets in this race are stepping up in grade. Big chance
Result: 3rd. Collect $85. Opened up $9 & $2.40 fixed. I don't think he would've won but not sure what Luke Watson was thinking staying behind the tiring $50 shot for so long. Pull round it!!!
Race 7 No 3 Did It Alone
Gets his chance to get back on the winners list tonight drawing to lead. If he can cross the 1 it'll win but it's a big if. If it doesn't it can still go close from the death as it showed last start
Result: Winner!! And the bronx jeers go up! $220 collect meaning I finally end up with a profit!

Meeting result: $105 profit.

Bendigo, Saturday 25 May

Best Bet
$100 Win
Race 8 No 3 Tezz Khora
Don't take any silly odds here but if it gets anywhere near the $2 mark get on. There are a bunch of unraced horses in the race but I think he's a class 2yo who'll be winning far better races.
Result: 2nd! Story of my week. Got a fairly easy lead but was out-sprinted by the 2nd favourite in the sprit lane

Best EW
$20 WIN/$30 Place
Race 7 No 1 Fiery Count
Good run last start when 9th to Aitch Cue (who ran 2nd in the Group 1 Friday night). It was getting home late & should finished top 4 but the run ended & it was blocked the last 50 metres. He gets the gun draw tonight back to a more suitable class of race. Only problem is he's the first emergency. Hopefully he gains a start. Youranut will be very hard to beat also but at the odds Fiery will be worth a go.
SCRATCHED

Real Rough Roughy
$10 Place
Race 5 No 3 Scotts Den
I think it'll be leaders back or at worst 3 pegs & if you look at its form you probably think I'm nuts. Forget it ran last start, 2 starts back was ok beaten 12 metres in a 1.58 2180 metre race. The race hasn't got the same depth as that race 2 starts back & with Donna Castles in the sulky (2 drives for 1 win & a 3rd on him) I think it may sneak a place at huuugggee odds.
Result: Lost! No wonder it was huge odds. Didn't get to the fence as I predicted & struggled

Others to consider:
Race 2: Ambro Higgens should win this but my concern is how much work it may have to do early. Charlie Springfield can win with the right run. The rest of them look pretty average.
Wow, 1st & 2nd favourites very poor

Race 3 No 7 Kensington Palace: I still have a bit of hate for this horse after it lost @ $1.20 last start. Will be short again but this field is even weaker than it met last start & the shorter distance should suit. Too many ifs for the short odds for mine. Danger 2
She got rolled again in another weak performance. Learnt my lesson & took 8 & 2 to beat it in a trifecta which paid very nicely thanks very much

Race 4: I like 4 horses in this race. 1, 7, 10 & 11. Still not sure how I'll play it. The 11 was made to look good last start with the quick early speed so maybe unders. The 7 flies the gate & if it led the 1 I'd be fairly confident I'd have the trifecta covered. Big if. The 10 should receive a trial into the race from the fav which is how it races best. The 2 you could probably throw in also but I personally think its a cat over the longer distances. Good betting race!
Picked the first four with my numbers & as predicted the 2 is a weak mule. Nice collect for those taking the favourite one out.

Warragul , VIC (Day) - Monday, 27 May 2013

Best Bet
$100 WIN

Race 4 No 4 Rowville
This fella is a fairly weak individual but is a different horse when he leads & will do so on his ear today. Loves the mile & I pretty much made him the best bet due to his main 2 rivals being Got Nothing who has only won once and that was 4 years ago & Magic One who draws the back row & seems to need everything to go right to be a chance in its races. Love the way George Schembri drives his horses too. One way & thats flat out.
RESULT: 2nd! He went flat out alright. Too fast in front & was swamped by a 27 start maiden.

Best EW Bet
$30 WIN / $70 Place
Race 2 No 2 The Delirama
Very risky punt here with this bloke not saluting for close to a year but it's been about that long since he had a good draw in a suitable race. Gets that here today and has shown a liking for this track & distance in the past.
RESULT: Horrific. The 1 showed gate speed for the first time a kept him out but he was gone halfway out! Never again

First Starter bonanza!
Race 1: Going to back the 2 first starters here. Sugar Town & Outer Join. Both run in the same trial over a week ago and there was only a head between them. It may go pear shaped because a horse I love to pot, Gracenator joins the Douglas team and may grow a leg. Happy to take the risk.
No 2 Outer Join $20 WIN - Should end up with cover behind the favourite in 1x1
No 8 Sugar Town $30 WIN - Should sit behind the leader Tommy Tuppence who is no good past the mile. Hopefully he at least gets us to the sprint lane
RESULT: 8 runs 2nd and the 2 down the track but it wasn't suited by the slow pace up front.

Meeting result: $250 loss. Things go from bad to worse. Only takes one day to get back on track though. With only 4 days left in the month, I'll need to pull my finger out to make profit for May

Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 24 May 2013

Best EW Bets
All $50 EW

Race 1 No 12 Classic Bliss
Been racing extremely well lately in high class races. Was drawn similarly over the same distance when just beaten by La Machane 3 starts back. Last start took all the short cuts to run 3rd but was against tough opposition. This is a step back in class & with the likelihood of all out war in front looks a very good bet
Result: Lost! Never in the race. She did very well to finish as close as she did in a leader dominated race. Not happy that Jasmine Sheffield wins, my best bet from last Saturday night!

Race 8 No 10 My Bella Star
Had to do all the work & just missed being beaten by Sheza Runa. That horse draws wide tonight & is unlikely to lead with Distant Memory having the better draw & gate speed. It hasn't handed up to date so Sheza Runa will be death seating early. From a sit or even pushing forward to the death I think Bella is the better bet at the value
Result: Lost! Pulled herself into the ground & was gone a long way out. Note to self, stay away from long distance 2yo races

Best WIN
$100 WIN
Race 9 No 1 Teo Enteo
This is his night to shine. If he can't from this draw either off to the paddock or sin binned. He'll either lead or have the sit behind the leader. Has a great 200 metres burst of burst so hopefully sitting off the back of the leader which should be Barkers Hall who is good enough to take us into the stra
Result: Winner! Smashed them. Had the perfect run & did it easily through the sprint lane. Collect $280

Others worth thought:
Race 2 No 3 - Bowland Borg - Thought the favourite was average winning last week. This bloke did a little bit of work early & plugged away for a good 2nd in the quicker of the heats. With the 2 favourites drawn the back row he's a good ew show
Race 4: This is a raffle that Im happy to stay out of. I'll be throwing a few bucks on me mate Artoc the place (only because Ill be pissed if does without me on him) but happy to watch
Race 5: Im Smouldering the one to beat but it'll be short. Mary Mon, Our Femme Fatal & Jewel Castle for the minors
Race 6: Soooo much speed early here. The 1 will only hand up to the 5 I'd think. If the 2 decides to hold back early I'd be on it but too confusing for mine.
Race 7: Great race with heaps of chances. Standing start & most have had no SS experience. Too tough to work out. I'll be having a few ew on the 4.
Race 10 Flyn Indi Air - Finally cracked it for a win on Sunday when it smashed a weak field. This field is pretty much the same but I wouldn't be taking any ridiculous odds (Seems to find a leg when Lisa Miles drives & she's on board again tonight)
Race 11 No 7 Washmepockets - Killed me last week. D Mooron is off surprisingly after his drive last week (high fives all round) & is replaced by Emmett Bronson who knows this hoorse very well. SHOULD be driven forward tonight & back to the claimers is a strong chance.

Meeting Result: Lost $20!

Ballarat, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 22 May 2013

So very glad I stayed out of Maryborough today. Looks to be a couple of value bets worth having a crack at tonight:

$50 WIN
Race 1 No 6 Keeper of the fire
Been racing in M0's at Melton which haven't suited. Back to a weak claimer here looks to be his race with his main danger drawn inside the back row on a track with no sprint lane. Worth the risk for mine.
Lost: had a nice sit but was the first 3 wide. Will wait until he draws a gate where he can lead before jumping on again
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 2 Fifth & Broadway
Gone for another 2nd fav here. He draws better than Doomed here & should hit the lead first. I don't think it'll hand up & hopefully let Doomed work in the death. If he hands up then Doomed is a moral but I don't think they will
Winner! Collect $100
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 1 Bettor Move **Best of the Night**
Great win last start when easily defeating the field in a c2-c3 no penalty race. Back to a C2 here & from 1, it'll lead and be near impossible to run down
Slow out. Never ever has it been slow out. Gets of the pegs to be 1x3, got the nice trail into the race but it was too late. Leader, where he should've been, had kicked and we lose by a metre. Not happy Jan

Meeting result: Lost $100.. At least I'm honest with my results, unlike some others out there at the minute!

Geelong , VIC (Day) - Thursday, 23 May 2013

Just a couple of small exotics today:

Race 4 Trifecta $20 for 500%
1-2 / 1-2-8 / 1-2-8

I think the 2 leads here with the 1 taking the sit awaiting the sprint lane & the only other possible hope is the 8. I just hope the driver doesn't try to be a hero & go anywhere but 3 back the pegs
Result: LOST! Never looked in doubt until the 8 punctured after an easy run. Rrrruuubbbiiissshhhh

Quaddies:

High Risk:
1-2 / 1 / 5-6 / 7 for $10 - 250% (Adjusted for the scratching of 1 in the 3rd leg)
Result: Lost! Missed 3rd leg by a whisker

Weak Bastard Punt:
1-2-8 / 1 / 5-6-8-10-11 / 2-3-7 $27 for 50% (More % now with the scratching of 1 in the 3rd leg)
LOST! Missed 3rd leg by a whisker. Didn't have the $3 shot!

For those after a few other punts, a couple I've tipped recently go around today but I'm not overly confident.

Race 6 No 6 It Takes Courage - Been costly for me as it just needs everything to go right for it to win. If it gets the right cart into the race it'll beat these. Its a bloody big if though.
Result: Its a cat. Sacked

Race 7 No 7 It is Billy - Going to be tough from the draw you would think but it actually suits it. Conroy has the option of going forward to sit in the death or going back for the last sprint at them. I think the latter is the best way to go today with heaps of speed in the race but as I've mentioned here before, I'm not the biggest fan of Anne-Marie Conroy. Maybe she can turn me round today
Result: Winner! $1.70. Just far too good for them. Nice little run from Jilliby Ling too. Get on when it draws to lead again

Meeting result: Donuts. Lost $67

Kilmore, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 21 May 2013

Well the balance for May isn't looking great but we're only half way through the month & plenty of opportunity to snag it back. Onwards to Kilmore which looks a great night to lose money, very ordinary meeting to punt on so focusing on 3 value punts:

$10 Win/ $30 Place ($15)
Race 2 No 6 Fill Up
2nd race start. His debut run was great. Sat without cover and kept finding the line last start when entitled to weaken in a fast last half for the 2yos. Draws wide again here & likely to be in the death once again but the longer distance looks like it'll suit. The horse that beat him last start is in the race Raylan Gibbons, however that had the soft sit behind the leader & may have to do more work today. Really like Fill Ups chances of running a drum.
Result: 2nd. Nice run again, just got run down by the fav after doing all the work. Nice horse. Collect $126
Race 5 No 5 Dynamite Dude ($15)
$10 Win/$30 Place
Unlucky last start when sitting behind the leader who weakened. He lost ground on the 2 in front but sprinted well late to snare 3rd. Back to a stand start race today, which he won 2 starts back, he should position close to the front & be very hard to beat. The odds stated here are from the paper. I actually think he'll start closer to $8 in which case a $20 EW bet is the way to go.
Result: Winner! Hoorah, the Brixton cheers go up! Never looked like losing. Jumped straight to the front and never headed. $188 collect
Exotic:
Race 7 Trifecta $20 gets you 400%
7 / 2-3-5-6-9 / 10
Major Calipso looks like controlling this race from either in front or in the death. Hollys Miss Molly really needs the right drag into the race to be a major player & I can't see that happening tonight. So I'm taking the risk on the idea that she'll be running home late to snag 3rd position. Hopefully 1 of the roughies I've selected can hang on for 2nd.
Result: lost! I had the theory right with Molly coming home hard late to finish 4th but I didn't have 2nd or 3rd anyway

Meeting Result: $214 profit. If only it was that easy every day

Horsham , VIC (Day) - Monday, 20 May 2013

Start of new week, time to get back into the black with a win @ Horsham:

Best Bet
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 1 Discrimination ($3.50)
Has been racing in better fields than he meets today from bad draws. Today from the 1 should stroll to the front and be very hard to beat on a re-known leaders track. Id be very surprised if it started $3.50. Id be expecting closer to $2
**looks like every man and his dog are tipping it. Grab whatever fixed odds you can get early, especially if $2+**
Result: Lost!! Seriously I can get anything beat at the minute. I thought he had panels on those & he folded out like shot.

Next Best
$50 Win
Race 4 No 4 Bursting Holme ($3.50)
Loves the short distances and suited from his front row draw. Many of the horses in this race are struggling for form so this looks his race. For your exotics throw 4 & 1 & a saver on trifecta 4/2-7-8-10/1
Result: Lost! Thank you Lance Justice for pressuring the crap out of it the whole way. Set up for the sit sprinters

Best EW
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 2 Ourcrowninn ($3)
Nice run @ Melton last start when using inside runs to finish 4th. Draws to do the same here & hopefully it'll be sitting behind the leader waiting for the last crack at them. The worry that I do have about the race is that it's a driver invitation race so every single driver are on horses they've never driven before. Lets just hope we have the right one
Result: 3rd. Got crossed early by a longshot who then handed up. Driver was smart to get off the pegs but it just couldn't make up ground out 3 wide & plugged home for third

Roughy
Race 2 No 1 Not Another De Jay ($10)
$25 EW
Finally draws well today. Has been racing well from bad draws against much better opposition. I'd be surprised if it didn't run top 3.
Result: 2nd. Started favourite! Shows you how much you can rely on HeraldSun odds. Collect $40

**All prices quoted from HeraldSun**

Meeting Result: Another shocker. Tide has to turn shortly! Lost $210

Sebastian at Tabcorp Park Melton, Sunday 19 May

Gone from not having a bet to being very , very keen on 1 bet & 1 exotic:

Race 4 No 1 Mister Rufus **BEST BET**
$100 WIN
Simple I think, leads & wins. Has had poor draws for his past 5 runs. Last time he led he ran a gallant 3rd to Regal Knight who is now mixing it at c5 level. This is a C1 race, nuff said.
Result: 3rd. No excuses. Lead, no pressure yet got out sprinted in the straight. Sacked

Race 5 $50 Quinella 1 & 7
Almost picked Gotalotaspeed to win but The Unionist has been flying & running good times of late. I think they'll space the rest as long as they don't got too hard in front. For those playing trifectas throw in the Smirker/Lively Operative for 3rd
Result: Winner! The Unionist is low flying at the minute. Won with ease with Gotalotaspped 2nd and a big gap to 3rd. I hope people followed the trifecta as well with Lively Operative snatching 3rd. Collect $150

Meeting Result: Even!

Cobram, Thursday 27th March

Not my favourite track as you really need to be in the top 4 rounding the turn to be a chance. That's what I'll be concentrating on here:

BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Attack On Command
Looks the leader and beat the 5 on it's merits last start & the likely favourite draws the back row after winning it's last 3 by leading. I reckon an all the way win is on the cards and we might be getting overs as long as the 5 isn't sent out as the sacrificial lamb for the 10. Not a fan of stable mates in races!!

$25WIN
Race 8 No 8 Brother Rabbit
I think Im in love with this horse. Just tries it's guts out every week. Gets the gun draw here following the leader and likely favourite Donated. HE went huge vs C2/3 class last started after being 4 back the pegs and only saw daylight in the straight. Flashed home. There is going to a bit of pressure applied on Donated here today and Brother is going to be smoken the pipe behind it. My main concern is it's 11 starts at Cobram for 0 wins but will get every chance today

BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Katie Lively
She races best when receiving on pace on the fence runs which she hasn't had the past 2. Won from the draw at this track in November versus slightly weaker class when led the trip. Her run 3 back was very good after never getting a crack at Paradise Ranch finishing hard on it's back after trailing the trip. Expect her to either lead or be on leaders back and it's hard seeing her missing the place at good ew odds

$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Mister Mach Manus
The punters have jumped off today after it's been a beaten it's first 2 runs back from a spell but I think both those runs were full of merit. Was as fat as a pig first up when sitting in the death and was only outsprinted late in quick time. 2nd up he lead & was attacked mid race in a 28 second 3rd quarter and only weakened late to run 2nd to Bryce Cooper who had the cushy 3 pegs fence run that he won't be getting today. Leads again today, Brian Gath back in the sulky a positive and 3rd up should be ready to perform on a noted leaders track. Opened $11/$2.75 on IASBET

BLACKBOOKER:
Goezee: Black booked after sitting in the death and almost snatching the prize at Wangaratta. I may have given that run too much credit as all the form out of it has been poor. Happy to leave alone in this class.

BEST EXOTIC
QUADDIE!!
Going to take a small quad just on the fact most my bets are through the quaddie legs.
2-4-7/1-6-10/1-3-8-9-10/8 (throw you want in the 1 in the last leg if u want but one out Brother for me)
$22.50 for 50%

Sentry Page Protection

Horsham, Monday 10th March

BEST WIN
Race 3 No 5 Mintropolitan
Has found a gear since racing in Adelaide winning 3 of it's past 5, importantly all of those wins coming when able to led. Should scoot straight to the front here today and with Gavin Lang taking the drive looks home. I wouldn't be taking ridiculous odds but you're shopping well if you get black figures
RESULT: WINNER! $1.85 fixed and won fairly easily. $2 Uni-tab if you could get it. Pain free punting.

BEST EW
Race 5 No 9 Three Pints
Always tricky betting in these invitational races as some drivers get a little bit ahead of themselves but I think this is one horse that will relish the driving change. Put up a strong effort to run third at Melton last Sunday after death seating in very strong opening sectionals. Draws to follow through a quick beginner and position very close to the lead today and with Chris Alford aboard, look out.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance for mine and was probably lucky the leaders went mad so snagged a minor place. $2.95 fix stab was the best at the close.

Race 7 No 3 Lombo Krista Bella
Looked to be running on very well last start after getting too far back. Chris Alford on board here today and should be up close to the lead. Great EW bet
RESULT: LOST! I got pretty excited when I saw $26 on bet365 but couldn't get in from gate 3 & snagged back to last. Was never in it.