FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 15TH
Race 1:
A raffle to start off with. The majority of these are out of form. Sonnys Amazing will love the front row draw against restricted grade. Gilardi the class in the race but I doubt gate 1 is a great draw. 1st up for 6 months without a trial (from what I can see) so would rather watch. Apache Wind loves the restricted grade but usually better suited over the 2190m. Blissful Penny will be a pain for Sonnys Amazing. He led last week & was very plain. Might improve 2nd up but would need to by a far way. I thought Cotton Candy Man was racing well before last week. He did get inconvenienced a couple of time so maybe spat the dummy but hard to forgive that run
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 2:
A strong front line with some aggressive drivers = a great watch to the short first turn. Not sure its a great betting race & based on early odds Im staying out. Watch twitter for any updates as I may have a bet on one of the better swoopers, 7 or 10 but as we know, 2nd row bets are low percentage plays
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 3:
Arendelle's first look at Mildura. Has run well against some above average horses in her short career to date so no doubt suited in this. Happy to watch 1st look at the track. Frivolity has beaten better horses than these from good draws. The draw makes life much tougher here but can definitely win with the right run. Wouldn't be surprised if Justunderthelimit run a much improved race back to her own age. Had excuses 1st up & has a nice trailing draw. Another race Im not keen to have a bet on.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 4:
This is a ripper final for the restricted horses. Yep, I love these races! For Tony was a huge improver winning the heat last week from the death. Previous races he'd drop out from that position but no way in the heat! He demolished them. Tough draw here at first look but might end up leaders back & a huge chance if runs up to last week. Jay Miller is a horse that can really misbehave in his races. Has broken 6 times from front line draws, a couple of those with Wayne Hill on, so Wayne will be well aware of his tricks. IF he can lead, he'll be hard to roll especially if he steals a cheap sectional early. Mista Pumblechook will be trying to cross & likely to if Jay Miller is rough in any way. Just thought he was slightly disappointing in the heat & there were better runs from the heat. Same rule applies though, if he led & run some slower early sectionals than last week, can win. Thought Beejays Stars run in the heats was the best of any. 3 wide without cover for the majority of the last lap, it was a quick 3rd quarter, & never gave in for a strong 2nd. Will be better for that run & will trail through nicely early. The one to beat
SUGGETSED BET:
2 UNIT WIN No 8 Beejays Star @ $5
Race 5:
Steal Some Time won a similar race back in July when able to lead all the way from the same draw. Looks your leader after an early burn & should be right in the finish. Abbey Fields jumps a little in class here & I think her chances are shot if she cant lead but the market suggests she can. Hard to roll out in front. Dougs Cino might be the best roughy. Nothing has gone right from poor draws the past few months & cops another bad draw. Just needs a Sanderson gem to be a blowout chance
SUGGESTED BET:
1 UNIT WIN No 1 Steal Some Time @ $5
Race 6:
Staying out of this one.
Race 7:
Toss up between Markleigh Caz & Im Stuck Man but another race Im not keen on.
SUGGETSED BET: NONE
Race 8:
Plenty of speed on early but I reckon Regardless will hold them to the first turn. Thought he was very disappointing over the 2190m after leading last week but gets his chance to atone in front over the sprint. Loseashoe was plain first up but has shown he can run a slick 1790m on pace before. Expect better here. Im a big fan of Powerofpersuasion but he's racing style gets him into trouble. They walked early in his race last week & he had no right to finish as close as he did. In fact, with any luck he wins. I think he's moving onto better races than this & he's my on top selection even over the 1790m from the 2nd row considering he's backable each way. Roscos Rescue is flyng and can also figure from the trailing draw
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 8 Powersofpersuasion @ $7/$2.40
Race 9:
Looks very peggy. In The Paper should be leading & should be winning. Itsallaboutned has enough speed to hold leaders back & going well enough to hold 2nd. Raindrops SHOULD follow the peg line and a massive chance to snag 3rd.
SUGGESTED BETS:
3 UNIT PLACE No 7 Itsallaboutned @ $2.40
2 UNIT Trifecta: 1/7/8
Race 10:
No bet
Race 11:
Found it hard to split John McLean & Shady Azz. Might John McLean on top from the better draw but there isn't much between them.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
A raffle to start off with. The majority of these are out of form. Sonnys Amazing will love the front row draw against restricted grade. Gilardi the class in the race but I doubt gate 1 is a great draw. 1st up for 6 months without a trial (from what I can see) so would rather watch. Apache Wind loves the restricted grade but usually better suited over the 2190m. Blissful Penny will be a pain for Sonnys Amazing. He led last week & was very plain. Might improve 2nd up but would need to by a far way. I thought Cotton Candy Man was racing well before last week. He did get inconvenienced a couple of time so maybe spat the dummy but hard to forgive that run
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 2:
A strong front line with some aggressive drivers = a great watch to the short first turn. Not sure its a great betting race & based on early odds Im staying out. Watch twitter for any updates as I may have a bet on one of the better swoopers, 7 or 10 but as we know, 2nd row bets are low percentage plays
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 3:
Arendelle's first look at Mildura. Has run well against some above average horses in her short career to date so no doubt suited in this. Happy to watch 1st look at the track. Frivolity has beaten better horses than these from good draws. The draw makes life much tougher here but can definitely win with the right run. Wouldn't be surprised if Justunderthelimit run a much improved race back to her own age. Had excuses 1st up & has a nice trailing draw. Another race Im not keen to have a bet on.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 4:
This is a ripper final for the restricted horses. Yep, I love these races! For Tony was a huge improver winning the heat last week from the death. Previous races he'd drop out from that position but no way in the heat! He demolished them. Tough draw here at first look but might end up leaders back & a huge chance if runs up to last week. Jay Miller is a horse that can really misbehave in his races. Has broken 6 times from front line draws, a couple of those with Wayne Hill on, so Wayne will be well aware of his tricks. IF he can lead, he'll be hard to roll especially if he steals a cheap sectional early. Mista Pumblechook will be trying to cross & likely to if Jay Miller is rough in any way. Just thought he was slightly disappointing in the heat & there were better runs from the heat. Same rule applies though, if he led & run some slower early sectionals than last week, can win. Thought Beejays Stars run in the heats was the best of any. 3 wide without cover for the majority of the last lap, it was a quick 3rd quarter, & never gave in for a strong 2nd. Will be better for that run & will trail through nicely early. The one to beat
SUGGETSED BET:
2 UNIT WIN No 8 Beejays Star @ $5
Race 5:
Steal Some Time won a similar race back in July when able to lead all the way from the same draw. Looks your leader after an early burn & should be right in the finish. Abbey Fields jumps a little in class here & I think her chances are shot if she cant lead but the market suggests she can. Hard to roll out in front. Dougs Cino might be the best roughy. Nothing has gone right from poor draws the past few months & cops another bad draw. Just needs a Sanderson gem to be a blowout chance
SUGGESTED BET:
1 UNIT WIN No 1 Steal Some Time @ $5
Race 6:
Staying out of this one.
Race 7:
Toss up between Markleigh Caz & Im Stuck Man but another race Im not keen on.
SUGGETSED BET: NONE
Race 8:
Plenty of speed on early but I reckon Regardless will hold them to the first turn. Thought he was very disappointing over the 2190m after leading last week but gets his chance to atone in front over the sprint. Loseashoe was plain first up but has shown he can run a slick 1790m on pace before. Expect better here. Im a big fan of Powerofpersuasion but he's racing style gets him into trouble. They walked early in his race last week & he had no right to finish as close as he did. In fact, with any luck he wins. I think he's moving onto better races than this & he's my on top selection even over the 1790m from the 2nd row considering he's backable each way. Roscos Rescue is flyng and can also figure from the trailing draw
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 8 Powersofpersuasion @ $7/$2.40
Race 9:
Looks very peggy. In The Paper should be leading & should be winning. Itsallaboutned has enough speed to hold leaders back & going well enough to hold 2nd. Raindrops SHOULD follow the peg line and a massive chance to snag 3rd.
SUGGESTED BETS:
3 UNIT PLACE No 7 Itsallaboutned @ $2.40
2 UNIT Trifecta: 1/7/8
Race 10:
No bet
Race 11:
Found it hard to split John McLean & Shady Azz. Might John McLean on top from the better draw but there isn't much between them.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 8TH
Race 1:
Looks like Mista Pumblechooks race to lose. A solid 2nd behind his stablemate Dallas Patrick but was no match late over the 2190m. 1790m is ideal & I have him crossing & holding the lead. Tashs Mate is a tricky one to access. Hasn't been leaving the gate as quickly as Id expect recently but should be leaders back at worst. Wouldn't be a surprise to see Ellen hunt her &up & find that gate speed again but hard to trust based on recent form. Happy to take on Beejays Star 1st up at Mildura but will be fancied. Dont be surprised if Impetuoso runs an improved race over the 1790m. Just needs to be driven quietly
SUGGESTED BET:
No 2 Mista Pumblechook
3 UNITS WIN @ $3.8
RESULT: Usual Chook performance. Plugged away for 3rd
Race 2:
Hard to get too confident about his chances but I reckon Chalkncheddar can kick up, lead & be very hard to beat. His form looks awful but he's either had unsuitable maps or bad draws in better company. This is his chance to return to the winners list. Blissfull Penny is a real interesting runner. 1st up for Vozlic after coming from Derrick Kraft who still owns, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a big improvement. Happy to watch at her first look at Mildura. Forget the run of Unethical last week. Racing extremely well against arguably better horses before that & should get a gun run. Moreartsthanclass might have a decent crack at crossing & is a chance if it can. Problem is, I dont think she can sprint at both ends of a race so if she did cross, it might be trouble for those following her! She did look a big chance of winning before the race was called off last week so is going well enough.
SUGGESTED BET
2 UNITS WIN No 1 Chalkncheddar @ $4.20
No 7 Unethical
1x4EW @ $11/$2.70
RESULT: Both unplaced
Race 3:
Tough race this! If you could trust Pirates Of Zanzibar its the one I'd want to be one. Maybe Grand Torino a sneaky chance but it could end up 3 pegs
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 4:
A real even speed off the front row & there are some aggressive drivers in the bike too. Could be an ugly watch to the 1st turn! Leads me to sway to a backrow horse but my results tell me thats a very low percentage play!
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 5:
Robert Crocka has speed to burn & I think he can cross early but Mach Hu will be trying to hold him out. Im Alright Jack pushing through as well from gate 1. Markleigh Caz gets the tricky inside back row draw & likley to be 3 pegs. With any luck though look out. She'll love this grade. Staying out again though.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 6:
Might be best to forget Deebo's first up run at Mildura when it locked wheels down the back straight with Shallow Pockets on its outside. Dont tell that to the punters that backed it into $1.28! Once he gained his momentum back he actually held his ground pretty well. Not sure if he's the leader here as Lilbitahenrytee can really get the revs up early & Ive said it plenty of times before. Crossing from the 1790m from an outside draw is easier than what you'd think. Henry is back outside of restricted class so probably as strong as he wants & if crosses could hand up so Deebo could still roll to the front. Half Moon Beach & maybe Abbey Fields could knock them off if they overdo things early. Deebo on top but not overly keen on this race
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Was going to have a play on Lilbitahenrytee at least the place but wanted $2+ to run a drum
Race 7:
Rose Noire mustered enough speed to lead a maiden last week, slowed them to a crawl before pulling away late. Hard to gauge how much was in the locker late & she'll need to go up another level in a 54 rater. I wouldnt be surprised if she did but not confident enough to bet. Wesaidso is low flying. Wish I hadve stuck after tipping it just before his run of good form! I am worried about the driver change. Purely based on stats, Kathy has driven 1 winner from her 71 drives this season. Orama is a frustrating horse to follow. I dont think Ive ever had a collect on her but on her best form could blow these away. Draw not ideal though. Justunderthelimit has its first start with Kate Attard & it's trials have just been ok. Kate can improve them quickly so maybe watch in a couple of runs time. Im Reggie will enoy a cozy run & just needs a bit of luck to figure. Another race Im not keen to play.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 8:
Ozzie Battler & All Da Rage to fly out & I think the latter might hold them out after a quick spurt. Sahara Tiger & old marvel Bernie Winkle to come at them late. I think they're the chances. Maybe a roving banker with All Da Rage in exotics with 4,7 & 8 but Im staying out.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 9:
Best race of the day this. Willshire Boulevard will be trying it's hardest to hold them out early & I think he will. Going to go mighty close over the 1790m out in front. Goodtime Maddie will be trying to push up & hold leaders back. Nothing wrong with her run last week & she's a sneaky chance from a soft peg run even though I like her better over the 2190m. Shady Azz will be cherry ripe after a few runs back from a long spell. I was initially disappointed with his run last week out in front but the winner has gone super winning from the death in very quick time. Gets into this with the claim of Ryan Backhouse who is driving well but the old 2nd row draw over 1790m can bring the best undone. Cee Cee In America is a nice horse suited in this grade but this is a tough draw. Feisty Phoebe can sneak a place a massive odds but probably looking for a class below these.
SUGGESTED BET:
5 UNITS WIN No 9 Shady Azz @ $2.70
1/4EW No 1 Willshire Boulevard @ $7.50/$2.10
RESULT: Shady Azz a big winner & Willshire tires into 4th.
Race 10:
Roscos Rescue stacked & racked them in a 51 rater last week but this is a much tougher assignment vs 61 raters. Id say Neds Beach will be having a decent look early too & the lead could be there. If he doesnt I dont expect You Beauty to push through from gate 7 so leaders back is just fine. Best draw he's had since May & has won in this grade before when on speed. Looks the value. You Beauty is obviously the class. Has raced against the best Vic 2 & 3yo's in her career & hasn't been disgraced. Couldn't have drawn worse so happy to risk her & likely to get egg on my face. Linx is back to full fitness & a win isn't far away but the draw is tough.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 2 Neds Beach @ $19/$3.90 (Best Roughy)
RESULT: 3rd
Race 11:
Another real competitive race. I've got Regardless on top. Think he can make his way to the lead & be hard to roll. Storm Stride has handled the step up in grade recently well & can run a cheeky race from the draw. Powersofpersuasion & Aintsobad both had a crack at qualifying for the Vicbred last week & whilst they didnt, certainly weren't out of place. Especially Powersofpersuasion. Both have to be respected in this. Hesalltorque likely to be fancied but Im keen to take him on. Was disappointing last time he visited Mildura in a 53 rater. Strikes a 60 rater here.
SUGGESTED BET:
4 UNITS WIN No 2 Regardless @ $2.50
RESULT: Led & was disappointing. Unplaced
Race 12:
Nelson Bay was a good trial winner here last week. Likely to be fancied. Hezrockingroyalty also a recent trial winner at Globe Derby. Was an easy win too but it's so hard to line it up with the local horses engaged here. Of the raced, Bay Jim Major was a massive 2nd here last time. Has to do it again from the backrow draw but he looks to have a bit of class. Komodo beat him there, just, after a nice run out in front & I doubt he can beat him again from the draw all things being equal. Candle Flame might be massive overs because of the draw. Can fly the gate so dont discount crossing but hard to know with the 2 debutants drawn 1 & 2. I was initially disappointed with his 4th behind You Beauty, Avoca Blues & Powersofpersuasion but that form looks bloody awesome now!
SUGGESTED BET:
1x2EW No 6 Candle Flame @ $81/$6
(Might be money down the drain but worth a throw at the stumps.)
RESULT: 4th. Ran a cheeky race but was no match
MEETING RESULT: Small loss for the day
Looks like Mista Pumblechooks race to lose. A solid 2nd behind his stablemate Dallas Patrick but was no match late over the 2190m. 1790m is ideal & I have him crossing & holding the lead. Tashs Mate is a tricky one to access. Hasn't been leaving the gate as quickly as Id expect recently but should be leaders back at worst. Wouldn't be a surprise to see Ellen hunt her &up & find that gate speed again but hard to trust based on recent form. Happy to take on Beejays Star 1st up at Mildura but will be fancied. Dont be surprised if Impetuoso runs an improved race over the 1790m. Just needs to be driven quietly
SUGGESTED BET:
No 2 Mista Pumblechook
3 UNITS WIN @ $3.8
RESULT: Usual Chook performance. Plugged away for 3rd
Race 2:
Hard to get too confident about his chances but I reckon Chalkncheddar can kick up, lead & be very hard to beat. His form looks awful but he's either had unsuitable maps or bad draws in better company. This is his chance to return to the winners list. Blissfull Penny is a real interesting runner. 1st up for Vozlic after coming from Derrick Kraft who still owns, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a big improvement. Happy to watch at her first look at Mildura. Forget the run of Unethical last week. Racing extremely well against arguably better horses before that & should get a gun run. Moreartsthanclass might have a decent crack at crossing & is a chance if it can. Problem is, I dont think she can sprint at both ends of a race so if she did cross, it might be trouble for those following her! She did look a big chance of winning before the race was called off last week so is going well enough.
SUGGESTED BET
2 UNITS WIN No 1 Chalkncheddar @ $4.20
No 7 Unethical
1x4EW @ $11/$2.70
RESULT: Both unplaced
Race 3:
Tough race this! If you could trust Pirates Of Zanzibar its the one I'd want to be one. Maybe Grand Torino a sneaky chance but it could end up 3 pegs
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 4:
A real even speed off the front row & there are some aggressive drivers in the bike too. Could be an ugly watch to the 1st turn! Leads me to sway to a backrow horse but my results tell me thats a very low percentage play!
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 5:
Robert Crocka has speed to burn & I think he can cross early but Mach Hu will be trying to hold him out. Im Alright Jack pushing through as well from gate 1. Markleigh Caz gets the tricky inside back row draw & likley to be 3 pegs. With any luck though look out. She'll love this grade. Staying out again though.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 6:
Might be best to forget Deebo's first up run at Mildura when it locked wheels down the back straight with Shallow Pockets on its outside. Dont tell that to the punters that backed it into $1.28! Once he gained his momentum back he actually held his ground pretty well. Not sure if he's the leader here as Lilbitahenrytee can really get the revs up early & Ive said it plenty of times before. Crossing from the 1790m from an outside draw is easier than what you'd think. Henry is back outside of restricted class so probably as strong as he wants & if crosses could hand up so Deebo could still roll to the front. Half Moon Beach & maybe Abbey Fields could knock them off if they overdo things early. Deebo on top but not overly keen on this race
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Was going to have a play on Lilbitahenrytee at least the place but wanted $2+ to run a drum
Race 7:
Rose Noire mustered enough speed to lead a maiden last week, slowed them to a crawl before pulling away late. Hard to gauge how much was in the locker late & she'll need to go up another level in a 54 rater. I wouldnt be surprised if she did but not confident enough to bet. Wesaidso is low flying. Wish I hadve stuck after tipping it just before his run of good form! I am worried about the driver change. Purely based on stats, Kathy has driven 1 winner from her 71 drives this season. Orama is a frustrating horse to follow. I dont think Ive ever had a collect on her but on her best form could blow these away. Draw not ideal though. Justunderthelimit has its first start with Kate Attard & it's trials have just been ok. Kate can improve them quickly so maybe watch in a couple of runs time. Im Reggie will enoy a cozy run & just needs a bit of luck to figure. Another race Im not keen to play.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 8:
Ozzie Battler & All Da Rage to fly out & I think the latter might hold them out after a quick spurt. Sahara Tiger & old marvel Bernie Winkle to come at them late. I think they're the chances. Maybe a roving banker with All Da Rage in exotics with 4,7 & 8 but Im staying out.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 9:
Best race of the day this. Willshire Boulevard will be trying it's hardest to hold them out early & I think he will. Going to go mighty close over the 1790m out in front. Goodtime Maddie will be trying to push up & hold leaders back. Nothing wrong with her run last week & she's a sneaky chance from a soft peg run even though I like her better over the 2190m. Shady Azz will be cherry ripe after a few runs back from a long spell. I was initially disappointed with his run last week out in front but the winner has gone super winning from the death in very quick time. Gets into this with the claim of Ryan Backhouse who is driving well but the old 2nd row draw over 1790m can bring the best undone. Cee Cee In America is a nice horse suited in this grade but this is a tough draw. Feisty Phoebe can sneak a place a massive odds but probably looking for a class below these.
SUGGESTED BET:
5 UNITS WIN No 9 Shady Azz @ $2.70
1/4EW No 1 Willshire Boulevard @ $7.50/$2.10
RESULT: Shady Azz a big winner & Willshire tires into 4th.
Race 10:
Roscos Rescue stacked & racked them in a 51 rater last week but this is a much tougher assignment vs 61 raters. Id say Neds Beach will be having a decent look early too & the lead could be there. If he doesnt I dont expect You Beauty to push through from gate 7 so leaders back is just fine. Best draw he's had since May & has won in this grade before when on speed. Looks the value. You Beauty is obviously the class. Has raced against the best Vic 2 & 3yo's in her career & hasn't been disgraced. Couldn't have drawn worse so happy to risk her & likely to get egg on my face. Linx is back to full fitness & a win isn't far away but the draw is tough.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 2 Neds Beach @ $19/$3.90 (Best Roughy)
RESULT: 3rd
Race 11:
Another real competitive race. I've got Regardless on top. Think he can make his way to the lead & be hard to roll. Storm Stride has handled the step up in grade recently well & can run a cheeky race from the draw. Powersofpersuasion & Aintsobad both had a crack at qualifying for the Vicbred last week & whilst they didnt, certainly weren't out of place. Especially Powersofpersuasion. Both have to be respected in this. Hesalltorque likely to be fancied but Im keen to take him on. Was disappointing last time he visited Mildura in a 53 rater. Strikes a 60 rater here.
SUGGESTED BET:
4 UNITS WIN No 2 Regardless @ $2.50
RESULT: Led & was disappointing. Unplaced
Race 12:
Nelson Bay was a good trial winner here last week. Likely to be fancied. Hezrockingroyalty also a recent trial winner at Globe Derby. Was an easy win too but it's so hard to line it up with the local horses engaged here. Of the raced, Bay Jim Major was a massive 2nd here last time. Has to do it again from the backrow draw but he looks to have a bit of class. Komodo beat him there, just, after a nice run out in front & I doubt he can beat him again from the draw all things being equal. Candle Flame might be massive overs because of the draw. Can fly the gate so dont discount crossing but hard to know with the 2 debutants drawn 1 & 2. I was initially disappointed with his 4th behind You Beauty, Avoca Blues & Powersofpersuasion but that form looks bloody awesome now!
SUGGESTED BET:
1x2EW No 6 Candle Flame @ $81/$6
(Might be money down the drain but worth a throw at the stumps.)
RESULT: 4th. Ran a cheeky race but was no match
MEETING RESULT: Small loss for the day
Friday SEPTEMBER 1ST
Race 1: NO BET
Race 2: NO BET
Race 3:
The step up outside of restricted class isnt exactly ideal after dropping out over 2190m last week but I willing to give Highway Writer another chance frm the draw over 1790m. Its as strong as he wants it but he should get every chance from the draw. Le Spartacus & Pirates Of Zanzibar the biggest dangers.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 1 Highway Writer @ $15/$3.50 (I reckon we'll get better)
RESULT: WINNER! Just but who cares at those odds!
Race 4:
Pinning my hopes on Ozzie Playgirl handing up to Roscos Rescue over the 2190m. Liked Roscos Rescues 3rd over the 1790m in a better race. Comes back to a 51 rater & even if he doesnt cross he's still a chance. My best value play of the day. I am very worried about Raindrops but looks slight unders from the inside backrow draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 4 Roscos Rescue @ $4.40 (BEST VALUE)
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in
Race 6: NO BET
In The Paper looks the anchor for your quaddie leg. 1790m looks perfect & has great gate speed. First look at Mildura a slight concern but if he handles that should be winning. Rojenbye & Dougs Cino can both run much improved races in the grade & King Solomon, well, I just cant anymore but he can definitely win IF close enough on the turn.
Race 7
John Mclean looks a class above these but 1st look at Mildura from the 2nd row draw has undone better horses than he before. I just cant let Feisty Phoebe go around at $26/$5 without my money on. She's had a month away from the track after a tough death seat run in 64 grade. Comes back to a 61 and should settle 3 pegs at worst. Michelle Phillips onboard who has returned to Mildura in great form.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 7 Feisty Phoebe @ $26/$5 (BEST ROUGHY)
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 8
I have Twisted Bliss on top but Starvin Marvin is the better value of the 2. Forget last 2 from poor draws but hasnt been disgraced. Great run in the fast class 3 starts back when 2nd behind Dennis which is great form for this. Hopefully Ryan Backhouse is aggressive early & takes the front. Looks a great ew play.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 2 Starvin Marvin @ $6.50/$2
RESULT: Unplaced. Thought it was going to win at the top of the straight. Found little late
Race 9: NO BET
Race 10
If Rose Noire gets to $2+ I'll have a bet. Went rough early last week which cost it the lead & ultimately the race. Great 2nd. With improved manners this week should lead & win. They're a fairly average lot behind her so if the above scenario plays out it & she loses Im not sure whats next for her.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 2 Rose Noire if theres $2+ available (Hopefully punters have nodded off by 9.55pm)
RESULT: WINNER! But no $2 found so we let that one slide...
Race 11
Plenty of speed of the front row which may spell trouble for those on pace. Something on Vieira who's racing well without luck.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x2EW No 9 Vieira @ $15/$3
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 12
By no means a confident bet, but backable EW is Moreartsthanclass. She's a much better horse on pace & should settle close enough following through Des Troy who looks the early leader.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 8 Moreartsthanclass @ $6/$2
RESULT: Race abandoned. Looked a massive chance too 600 out!
MEETING SUMMARY:
Highway Writer & Roscos Rescue made it a very profitable day!
Race 2: NO BET
Race 3:
The step up outside of restricted class isnt exactly ideal after dropping out over 2190m last week but I willing to give Highway Writer another chance frm the draw over 1790m. Its as strong as he wants it but he should get every chance from the draw. Le Spartacus & Pirates Of Zanzibar the biggest dangers.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 1 Highway Writer @ $15/$3.50 (I reckon we'll get better)
RESULT: WINNER! Just but who cares at those odds!
Race 4:
Pinning my hopes on Ozzie Playgirl handing up to Roscos Rescue over the 2190m. Liked Roscos Rescues 3rd over the 1790m in a better race. Comes back to a 51 rater & even if he doesnt cross he's still a chance. My best value play of the day. I am very worried about Raindrops but looks slight unders from the inside backrow draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 4 Roscos Rescue @ $4.40 (BEST VALUE)
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in
Race 6: NO BET
In The Paper looks the anchor for your quaddie leg. 1790m looks perfect & has great gate speed. First look at Mildura a slight concern but if he handles that should be winning. Rojenbye & Dougs Cino can both run much improved races in the grade & King Solomon, well, I just cant anymore but he can definitely win IF close enough on the turn.
Race 7
John Mclean looks a class above these but 1st look at Mildura from the 2nd row draw has undone better horses than he before. I just cant let Feisty Phoebe go around at $26/$5 without my money on. She's had a month away from the track after a tough death seat run in 64 grade. Comes back to a 61 and should settle 3 pegs at worst. Michelle Phillips onboard who has returned to Mildura in great form.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 7 Feisty Phoebe @ $26/$5 (BEST ROUGHY)
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 8
I have Twisted Bliss on top but Starvin Marvin is the better value of the 2. Forget last 2 from poor draws but hasnt been disgraced. Great run in the fast class 3 starts back when 2nd behind Dennis which is great form for this. Hopefully Ryan Backhouse is aggressive early & takes the front. Looks a great ew play.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 2 Starvin Marvin @ $6.50/$2
RESULT: Unplaced. Thought it was going to win at the top of the straight. Found little late
Race 9: NO BET
Race 10
If Rose Noire gets to $2+ I'll have a bet. Went rough early last week which cost it the lead & ultimately the race. Great 2nd. With improved manners this week should lead & win. They're a fairly average lot behind her so if the above scenario plays out it & she loses Im not sure whats next for her.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 2 Rose Noire if theres $2+ available (Hopefully punters have nodded off by 9.55pm)
RESULT: WINNER! But no $2 found so we let that one slide...
Race 11
Plenty of speed of the front row which may spell trouble for those on pace. Something on Vieira who's racing well without luck.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x2EW No 9 Vieira @ $15/$3
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 12
By no means a confident bet, but backable EW is Moreartsthanclass. She's a much better horse on pace & should settle close enough following through Des Troy who looks the early leader.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 8 Moreartsthanclass @ $6/$2
RESULT: Race abandoned. Looked a massive chance too 600 out!
MEETING SUMMARY:
Highway Writer & Roscos Rescue made it a very profitable day!
FRIDAY AUGUST 25TH
Race 1:
Looks a nice race for Majestic Sue to score her 1st win at this track. Nothing wrong with her 1st up run when stuck in the death over the 2190m & then didnt have a whole heap of luck last week over the 1790m from the back row draw. Sanderson back on for Vozlic is a good lead as well. A minor question mark on whether she can hold them out but I reckon she can from the 2190m start which is a short run into the first turn. Ohoka Agent plodded away for 3rd 1st up for Reece Moore last week. Will be thereabouts again especially if he sneaks onto Majestic Sue's back early with Vierra not the quickest out from the mobile but he's 2 from 50 starts for a reason. Vierra can run a cheeky race from 3 pegs and one for the exotic players. A real even bunch outside Majestic Sue.
SUGGESTED BETS
WIN No 1 Majestic Sue @ $2+
TRIFECTA for fun. 1 / 2 / 7
RESULT: Majestic Sue 3rd & very plain
Race 2:
Rocking Wroxton looks the leader & even though Id rather him over the 1790m, should be able to dictate this race to his liking & get every chance. He can do things wrong so it could be heat in mouth stuff on the first turn but Wayne Hill is well aware of his tricks. Sonnys Amazing will likely be death seating or in front if Rocking Wroxton misbehaves. Will enjoy the drop down to restricted grade. Woody Nightshade another that'll appreciate the restricted grade. Forget last start when tired from the death in a 51rater. His form stacks up pretty well for a race like this & the more time I spend looking at this race the more I think he wins! Cotton Candy Man could be the improver from gate 1. Was good first up when 4th over this distance. Didn't show any gate speed in his first prep but that could've changed. He actually followed the speed through well last week. Punto Caliente would surprise if won as the draw couldn't be worse & Kathy Watson wont be driving him aggressively from there. Horse is capable of winning one of these soon though from a better map. Robert Crocka would need a Sando special to win & Id prefer over the 1790m
SUGGESTED BET:
No 2 Woody Nightshade 2/3EW @ $7.50/2.30
RESULT: WINNER!
Race 3:
A slow front row gives Yering Soho her chance to finish at least top 3. Was OK from 3pegs last time but they did break 60s for the last half, something restricted class horses struggle to do. 3rd up, she'll be cherry ripe. Call Me Henry cant be trusted. Best class horse in the race & just cant work in his races. Even in restricted grade. My concern is if they do go against his normal pattern & try to lead with him, will there be any carrot's left late over the 2190m? If he's driven sit sprint then a few things need to go right for him to win. Just looks under the odds for me to get involved. Beatboxer an interesting runner having his first look at the track. Been racing against better quality horses & races best in front over sprint distances. Not sure if the lead is there today so the 2190m has to be a query. Glitzy All Over is right in this but I can never catch her. The 2190m is her go & with the right run could beat these easily. Low confidence race
SUGGESTED BET:
No 1 Yering Soho 1x4EW @ $9/2.50
RESULT: Last!
Race 4:
Expecting a much better run from Rose Noire 2nd up. Last week got stuck in the death in a 53 rater & dropped out late in ok time. Down to a 53 rater over the 1790m looks a much better assignment. Happy to forgive. Courtney Katarina right in this but seems to keep finding a few better outside restricted grade & Mark Riseley has never driven her to a win. Moreartsthanclass could spear straight to the front and be a threat but had every opportunity last week when led & walked over the 1790m & was still overrun. They might hand up today which would be bad news for Rose Noire. Cheers Poverty will be hoping Moreartsthanclass does hand up as that'll be it's only chance of saluting. Massive chance if it found the lead or even leaders back. Shallow Pockets 1st up for a year & likely to need racing. Trial was just ok but has the class to surprise these. Bloody tough race. Just a small bet
SUGGESTED BET:
No 1 Rose Noire WIN @ $3
RESULT: 2nd.. Galloped for a few strides early & was crossed. End of the race after that
Race 5:
Ronzel Micky looks the leader & will be right in the finish. Often finds one better in that scenario so does look a little unders in the market. Happy to risk Starzinhereyes & Ozzie Playgirl 1st up but both could ruin my speed map! You Little Terror gets the gun run again here if it can hold leaders back early. Might be touch & go but should kick through & no reason why it cant win again.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 8 You Little Terror 2/3EW @ $7.50/$2.20
SMALL TRIFECTA
8 / 1 / 9
RESULT: 3rd @ $2.20
Race 6:
3 horses lining up at Mildura for the first time all off the front have put me off this race. Just a watch for me.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 7:
Our Master Play is a speedy 3yo returning from a 5 month break. Won first up on debut as a 2yo leading from gate 1 over the 1790m beating horses that would be very short priced favourites in this. Tuned up for this with an easy trial win over the 2190m in average time but looked to have plenty left on the line. Wouldn't be surprised to see Two Way Wonder run a big race. Rock hard fit and back to a suitable 54 rating race looks perfect.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 1 Our Master Play WIN @ $2.70
No 8 Two Way Wonder 1x2EW @ $21/$4
RESULT: Both unplaced. Bad result!
Race 8:
Its a real even speed off the front & Dallas Patrick probably the one that'll eventually find the top with Wesaidso relenting. Dougs Cino will definitely have a look along with Bettor Star so she'll be "True Mildura Style" to the first turn at least. If they slow things too quickly after a quick burn expect a horse like Spring Delight to take off to keep the speed on. I've been trying to stay away from swoopers in recent times & Im hesitant to tip one here but does look swooperish! Siangdi & King Solomon the 2 swoopers Im looking at with King Solomon the one Ive sided with. He hasnt seen a 54 rating race before so wont know himself. Cross the fingers & hope they go nuts early.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 9 King Solomon 2x3EW @ $11/$3.10
RESULT: Unplaced. Never likely
Race 9:
Komodo is a debutant thats likely to start very short after winning a recent Ararat trial in good time for a 2yo over the 2195m. The Waiting will find this easier than its debut at Maryborough where it did a few things wrong. Bay Jim Major ran a super quick Gawler trial (better than the old horses by a few seconds) & then matched that with a first up win at Globe Derby demolishing his rivals from the death. Mildura is a different kettle of fish though & he'll need to be very good to win from outside the back row & he might just be that.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 10:
Looks to be another willing run to the first turn. Talent Agent kept out the fast class horses last week until finally handing up. Does he hand up in 80 rating? Im not sure over the 1790m. Blacktop Rock, Shady Azz & Renko will all be asking the question & I think Shady Azz is a chance to bully it's way to the top. Worked extremely hard from the backrow over the 2190m last week & wasnt disgraced even though beaten 17.8m. That was his first run for 8 months. The last time he raced here over the 1790m he was just beaten from the death when they rattled off a 57.5 last half. If he matches that Im not sure they beat him from the death or in front. The other quality comes from the backrow. Missed The Truth is one of the most consistent horses you'll ever see pretty much only missing a place when it misbehaves. Did exactly that the last time it was here. Happy to watch it first up but should be thereabouts.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 3 Shady Azz WIN @ $2.60
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Winner too good.
Race 11:
Its time for Maddie! Goodtime Maddie. Wayne Hill takes the drive. I reckon there is a massive chance she'll hold these out, the 2190m is her go & was a very unlucky 3rd from on speed in a 75 rater 3 starts ago. I dont think they'll beat her if she leads. Still a chance if she doesnt. I'm still crying after seeing the $11 opening quote flutter its way down to $4.40 overnight but I'd take anything $3+. Flame Blaster will be trying to cross & does have better speed early but it's harder to cross from gate 2 especially from the 2190m start. Its about as strong as she wants it too so if she did cross Maddie early she might hand up which would be a disaster for Maddie. A pretty even lot outside those. Putting my faith in Wayne hoping he can keep Goodtime Maddies legs in front of the back wheels of Flame Blaster early & lead all the way.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 1 Goodtime Maddie WIN @ $4.40 (BEST VALUE)
RESULT: 1st. Easy winner after being able to lead. Great result to get things back on track for the day
Race 12:
Half Moon Beach is one of the quickest beginners in the region & looks like the leader here. The problem for him is the 2190m. When he's pushed to lead he pulls & eventually tires. Can see a similar scenario here potentially killing the chances of those horses following him on the pegs. Thought that sort of scenario sets up nicely for a horse like Rojenbye. Laugher can some things up from the nice trailing draw & maybe follow a horse like Love Me Or Hate Me's every move. I've always thought she races best over the 1790m but she showed she can match it with this class over the longer distance last week. I think the $3.90 is unders though.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
MEETING REVIEW
Race 1:
Forgive: Vierra
Race 2:
Follow: Reailty Player
Race 3:
Follow: Call Me Henry, Impetuoso
Race 4:
Forgive: Rose Noire, Courtney Katarina, Ozzie Daybreak
Race 5:
Forgive: You Little Terror
Race 6:
Follow: Lildablildoya
Race 7:
Follow: I Runformum
Forgive: Rupert Ross
Race 8:
Follow: Siangdi, King Solomon (forever in the BB)
Forgive: Couldnt Recommend, Spring Delight
Race 9:
Follow: Bay Jim Major (Huge 2nd!), Branson (in easier grade)
Forgive:
The Waiting
Race 10:
Follow: Springfield Affair
Race 11:
Follow: Thomas Royal, Tupelo Beach
Race 12:
Follow: Le Spartacus
Forgive: Rojenbye (1790m)
Looks a nice race for Majestic Sue to score her 1st win at this track. Nothing wrong with her 1st up run when stuck in the death over the 2190m & then didnt have a whole heap of luck last week over the 1790m from the back row draw. Sanderson back on for Vozlic is a good lead as well. A minor question mark on whether she can hold them out but I reckon she can from the 2190m start which is a short run into the first turn. Ohoka Agent plodded away for 3rd 1st up for Reece Moore last week. Will be thereabouts again especially if he sneaks onto Majestic Sue's back early with Vierra not the quickest out from the mobile but he's 2 from 50 starts for a reason. Vierra can run a cheeky race from 3 pegs and one for the exotic players. A real even bunch outside Majestic Sue.
SUGGESTED BETS
WIN No 1 Majestic Sue @ $2+
TRIFECTA for fun. 1 / 2 / 7
RESULT: Majestic Sue 3rd & very plain
Race 2:
Rocking Wroxton looks the leader & even though Id rather him over the 1790m, should be able to dictate this race to his liking & get every chance. He can do things wrong so it could be heat in mouth stuff on the first turn but Wayne Hill is well aware of his tricks. Sonnys Amazing will likely be death seating or in front if Rocking Wroxton misbehaves. Will enjoy the drop down to restricted grade. Woody Nightshade another that'll appreciate the restricted grade. Forget last start when tired from the death in a 51rater. His form stacks up pretty well for a race like this & the more time I spend looking at this race the more I think he wins! Cotton Candy Man could be the improver from gate 1. Was good first up when 4th over this distance. Didn't show any gate speed in his first prep but that could've changed. He actually followed the speed through well last week. Punto Caliente would surprise if won as the draw couldn't be worse & Kathy Watson wont be driving him aggressively from there. Horse is capable of winning one of these soon though from a better map. Robert Crocka would need a Sando special to win & Id prefer over the 1790m
SUGGESTED BET:
No 2 Woody Nightshade 2/3EW @ $7.50/2.30
RESULT: WINNER!
Race 3:
A slow front row gives Yering Soho her chance to finish at least top 3. Was OK from 3pegs last time but they did break 60s for the last half, something restricted class horses struggle to do. 3rd up, she'll be cherry ripe. Call Me Henry cant be trusted. Best class horse in the race & just cant work in his races. Even in restricted grade. My concern is if they do go against his normal pattern & try to lead with him, will there be any carrot's left late over the 2190m? If he's driven sit sprint then a few things need to go right for him to win. Just looks under the odds for me to get involved. Beatboxer an interesting runner having his first look at the track. Been racing against better quality horses & races best in front over sprint distances. Not sure if the lead is there today so the 2190m has to be a query. Glitzy All Over is right in this but I can never catch her. The 2190m is her go & with the right run could beat these easily. Low confidence race
SUGGESTED BET:
No 1 Yering Soho 1x4EW @ $9/2.50
RESULT: Last!
Race 4:
Expecting a much better run from Rose Noire 2nd up. Last week got stuck in the death in a 53 rater & dropped out late in ok time. Down to a 53 rater over the 1790m looks a much better assignment. Happy to forgive. Courtney Katarina right in this but seems to keep finding a few better outside restricted grade & Mark Riseley has never driven her to a win. Moreartsthanclass could spear straight to the front and be a threat but had every opportunity last week when led & walked over the 1790m & was still overrun. They might hand up today which would be bad news for Rose Noire. Cheers Poverty will be hoping Moreartsthanclass does hand up as that'll be it's only chance of saluting. Massive chance if it found the lead or even leaders back. Shallow Pockets 1st up for a year & likely to need racing. Trial was just ok but has the class to surprise these. Bloody tough race. Just a small bet
SUGGESTED BET:
No 1 Rose Noire WIN @ $3
RESULT: 2nd.. Galloped for a few strides early & was crossed. End of the race after that
Race 5:
Ronzel Micky looks the leader & will be right in the finish. Often finds one better in that scenario so does look a little unders in the market. Happy to risk Starzinhereyes & Ozzie Playgirl 1st up but both could ruin my speed map! You Little Terror gets the gun run again here if it can hold leaders back early. Might be touch & go but should kick through & no reason why it cant win again.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 8 You Little Terror 2/3EW @ $7.50/$2.20
SMALL TRIFECTA
8 / 1 / 9
RESULT: 3rd @ $2.20
Race 6:
3 horses lining up at Mildura for the first time all off the front have put me off this race. Just a watch for me.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 7:
Our Master Play is a speedy 3yo returning from a 5 month break. Won first up on debut as a 2yo leading from gate 1 over the 1790m beating horses that would be very short priced favourites in this. Tuned up for this with an easy trial win over the 2190m in average time but looked to have plenty left on the line. Wouldn't be surprised to see Two Way Wonder run a big race. Rock hard fit and back to a suitable 54 rating race looks perfect.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 1 Our Master Play WIN @ $2.70
No 8 Two Way Wonder 1x2EW @ $21/$4
RESULT: Both unplaced. Bad result!
Race 8:
Its a real even speed off the front & Dallas Patrick probably the one that'll eventually find the top with Wesaidso relenting. Dougs Cino will definitely have a look along with Bettor Star so she'll be "True Mildura Style" to the first turn at least. If they slow things too quickly after a quick burn expect a horse like Spring Delight to take off to keep the speed on. I've been trying to stay away from swoopers in recent times & Im hesitant to tip one here but does look swooperish! Siangdi & King Solomon the 2 swoopers Im looking at with King Solomon the one Ive sided with. He hasnt seen a 54 rating race before so wont know himself. Cross the fingers & hope they go nuts early.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 9 King Solomon 2x3EW @ $11/$3.10
RESULT: Unplaced. Never likely
Race 9:
Komodo is a debutant thats likely to start very short after winning a recent Ararat trial in good time for a 2yo over the 2195m. The Waiting will find this easier than its debut at Maryborough where it did a few things wrong. Bay Jim Major ran a super quick Gawler trial (better than the old horses by a few seconds) & then matched that with a first up win at Globe Derby demolishing his rivals from the death. Mildura is a different kettle of fish though & he'll need to be very good to win from outside the back row & he might just be that.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 10:
Looks to be another willing run to the first turn. Talent Agent kept out the fast class horses last week until finally handing up. Does he hand up in 80 rating? Im not sure over the 1790m. Blacktop Rock, Shady Azz & Renko will all be asking the question & I think Shady Azz is a chance to bully it's way to the top. Worked extremely hard from the backrow over the 2190m last week & wasnt disgraced even though beaten 17.8m. That was his first run for 8 months. The last time he raced here over the 1790m he was just beaten from the death when they rattled off a 57.5 last half. If he matches that Im not sure they beat him from the death or in front. The other quality comes from the backrow. Missed The Truth is one of the most consistent horses you'll ever see pretty much only missing a place when it misbehaves. Did exactly that the last time it was here. Happy to watch it first up but should be thereabouts.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 3 Shady Azz WIN @ $2.60
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Winner too good.
Race 11:
Its time for Maddie! Goodtime Maddie. Wayne Hill takes the drive. I reckon there is a massive chance she'll hold these out, the 2190m is her go & was a very unlucky 3rd from on speed in a 75 rater 3 starts ago. I dont think they'll beat her if she leads. Still a chance if she doesnt. I'm still crying after seeing the $11 opening quote flutter its way down to $4.40 overnight but I'd take anything $3+. Flame Blaster will be trying to cross & does have better speed early but it's harder to cross from gate 2 especially from the 2190m start. Its about as strong as she wants it too so if she did cross Maddie early she might hand up which would be a disaster for Maddie. A pretty even lot outside those. Putting my faith in Wayne hoping he can keep Goodtime Maddies legs in front of the back wheels of Flame Blaster early & lead all the way.
SUGGESTED BET:
No 1 Goodtime Maddie WIN @ $4.40 (BEST VALUE)
RESULT: 1st. Easy winner after being able to lead. Great result to get things back on track for the day
Race 12:
Half Moon Beach is one of the quickest beginners in the region & looks like the leader here. The problem for him is the 2190m. When he's pushed to lead he pulls & eventually tires. Can see a similar scenario here potentially killing the chances of those horses following him on the pegs. Thought that sort of scenario sets up nicely for a horse like Rojenbye. Laugher can some things up from the nice trailing draw & maybe follow a horse like Love Me Or Hate Me's every move. I've always thought she races best over the 1790m but she showed she can match it with this class over the longer distance last week. I think the $3.90 is unders though.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
MEETING REVIEW
Race 1:
Forgive: Vierra
Race 2:
Follow: Reailty Player
Race 3:
Follow: Call Me Henry, Impetuoso
Race 4:
Forgive: Rose Noire, Courtney Katarina, Ozzie Daybreak
Race 5:
Forgive: You Little Terror
Race 6:
Follow: Lildablildoya
Race 7:
Follow: I Runformum
Forgive: Rupert Ross
Race 8:
Follow: Siangdi, King Solomon (forever in the BB)
Forgive: Couldnt Recommend, Spring Delight
Race 9:
Follow: Bay Jim Major (Huge 2nd!), Branson (in easier grade)
Forgive:
The Waiting
Race 10:
Follow: Springfield Affair
Race 11:
Follow: Thomas Royal, Tupelo Beach
Race 12:
Follow: Le Spartacus
Forgive: Rojenbye (1790m)
FRIDAY (DAY) AUGUST 18TH
Race 1:
Even pace from the front row apart from Lilbitahenrytee. The best class horse in the race & will appreciate the return to restricted class. It's not the worst draw to cross from the 1790m start. Ohoka Agent is first up for Reece Moore. Ellen Tormey is a great gate driver & should be leaders back. Had been to the track 3 times and hasn't been placed but all 3 runs were from the back row. Expect a good run. Tale Of The Dragon can fly the gate when asked & if he crossed is a danger at odds although it's been 3 years since he's saluted. If they overdo things Call Me Henry a danger back in restricted class. Im Stuck Man just needs to hold 3 pegs to be a place chance.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 6 Lilbitahenrytee @ $3.50
RESULT: WINNER! $4.64 BSP
TRIFECTA: 1-6 / 1-6 / 7
Result: No collect
Race 2:
Whips will be cracking early with Startup trying to hold out Heston Blue Streak & Bizzness Class. I think is Heston Blue Streak the one to beat if he crossed but Im just not confident of my speed map. Many chances outside them as well so happy to stay clear of this race.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 3:
Should lead & should win again Abbey Fields. Looks even better placed than its heat win last week from gate 1. The big improver is Tashs Mate. Ive been keen to take it on since arriving at Mildura from bad draws & finally snags a draw to receive a cold sit. Was held up at the turn 4 pegs in the same heat as Abbey Fields & battled on well without taking much ground off Abbey Fields. I doubt it can win but can definitely fill top 3 from the draw. Bravely Done could be the one to snag 3rd & complete the pegs, pegs, pegs top 3. A raffle outside those
SUGGESTED BET:
Trifecta: 1 / 8 / 9
RESULT: No collect
Race 4:
Thought Im Alright Jack could cross and run a cheeky race out in front. Back to the 1790m suits better than the 2190m. Impetuoso will be trying his hardest to cross & if he did would be the one I'd want to be on. Moreartsthanclass will love this set up. Has the speed to hold leaders back & loves a pegs run. Can win. I think the winner comes from one of those 3 with lesser chances to Highway Writer & Half Moon Beach who'd need them to go very quick early to be a chance. You Little Terror a sneaky chance if he can find a spot 3 pegs which is a chance as Lochster is very slow from the gate.
SUGGESTED BETS:
QUINELLA: 1 & 6
F4: 1-6 / 1-6 / 2-3-9-10 / 2-3-9-10
RESULT: No collect
Race 5:
Martha Lavinia looks suited from the draw. Not a huge amount of high speed off the front and it's easier to kick up from the pole & hold from the 2190m start. They're a real even bunch behind her & even though this is as strong as she wants it Im happy to be on
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 1 Martha Lavinia @ $3.60
RESULT: 2nd
Race 6:
Staying out
Race 7:
Another race with too many mixed formlines. No bet
Race 8:
Mighty Flying Art led & beat a better field than this a few runs back. Abbey Sanderson isn't as aggressive as her brother but Im sure the lead will still be there. Hard to see him being beaten from there over the 1790m
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 4 Mighty Flying Art @ $2.10
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 9:
Very well placed Willshire Boulevard thanks to the driver concession of Luke Dunne. I'd rather him over the 1790m against this class but he'll be right in the finish. Shady Azz hasn't won a race since winning here in the same rating race in 2021. Been racing very well against better opposition at Menangle of late & can win. All Da Rage is 2 from 2 back with his owner Andrew German & will be well fancied again.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 1 Willshire Boulevard @ $10/$2.40
RESULT: 2nd @ $3.92 BSP
Race 10:
Im not sure how Flame Blaster didn't win last week but he should've. Massive chance to cross them here & Id expect they'd hold it over the 1790m. Happy to be on
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 5 Flame Blaster @ $4.60
RESULT: Winner! $6 BSP
Race 11:
Cliffhanger is no doubt the one to beat first up but Im not sure Mildura will suit. Frivolity the horse I'd trust the most off the front. Should spear to the front early & might hand up over the 2190m. Won easily racing that way last time in a maiden but obviously this is a bit tougher. Happy to watch Four Mens Folly first up for Ros Rolfe. Was just ok in a recent trial here. Sweet Agenda could be the best of the lot. Raced in the NSW Oaks heats. Placed in an up to 65 rating race last time so back to her own age restricted to horses with no more than 2 wins is ideal. The one to beat but again, first look at Mildura.
SUGGESTED BET:
PLACE No 3 Frivolity if we can find $2+
Race 12:
Real tough finish & Im just happy to have something on Another Sparky from the trailing draw at odds.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW Another Sparky @ $8.50/$2.40
Even pace from the front row apart from Lilbitahenrytee. The best class horse in the race & will appreciate the return to restricted class. It's not the worst draw to cross from the 1790m start. Ohoka Agent is first up for Reece Moore. Ellen Tormey is a great gate driver & should be leaders back. Had been to the track 3 times and hasn't been placed but all 3 runs were from the back row. Expect a good run. Tale Of The Dragon can fly the gate when asked & if he crossed is a danger at odds although it's been 3 years since he's saluted. If they overdo things Call Me Henry a danger back in restricted class. Im Stuck Man just needs to hold 3 pegs to be a place chance.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 6 Lilbitahenrytee @ $3.50
RESULT: WINNER! $4.64 BSP
TRIFECTA: 1-6 / 1-6 / 7
Result: No collect
Race 2:
Whips will be cracking early with Startup trying to hold out Heston Blue Streak & Bizzness Class. I think is Heston Blue Streak the one to beat if he crossed but Im just not confident of my speed map. Many chances outside them as well so happy to stay clear of this race.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 3:
Should lead & should win again Abbey Fields. Looks even better placed than its heat win last week from gate 1. The big improver is Tashs Mate. Ive been keen to take it on since arriving at Mildura from bad draws & finally snags a draw to receive a cold sit. Was held up at the turn 4 pegs in the same heat as Abbey Fields & battled on well without taking much ground off Abbey Fields. I doubt it can win but can definitely fill top 3 from the draw. Bravely Done could be the one to snag 3rd & complete the pegs, pegs, pegs top 3. A raffle outside those
SUGGESTED BET:
Trifecta: 1 / 8 / 9
RESULT: No collect
Race 4:
Thought Im Alright Jack could cross and run a cheeky race out in front. Back to the 1790m suits better than the 2190m. Impetuoso will be trying his hardest to cross & if he did would be the one I'd want to be on. Moreartsthanclass will love this set up. Has the speed to hold leaders back & loves a pegs run. Can win. I think the winner comes from one of those 3 with lesser chances to Highway Writer & Half Moon Beach who'd need them to go very quick early to be a chance. You Little Terror a sneaky chance if he can find a spot 3 pegs which is a chance as Lochster is very slow from the gate.
SUGGESTED BETS:
QUINELLA: 1 & 6
F4: 1-6 / 1-6 / 2-3-9-10 / 2-3-9-10
RESULT: No collect
Race 5:
Martha Lavinia looks suited from the draw. Not a huge amount of high speed off the front and it's easier to kick up from the pole & hold from the 2190m start. They're a real even bunch behind her & even though this is as strong as she wants it Im happy to be on
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 1 Martha Lavinia @ $3.60
RESULT: 2nd
Race 6:
Staying out
Race 7:
Another race with too many mixed formlines. No bet
Race 8:
Mighty Flying Art led & beat a better field than this a few runs back. Abbey Sanderson isn't as aggressive as her brother but Im sure the lead will still be there. Hard to see him being beaten from there over the 1790m
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 4 Mighty Flying Art @ $2.10
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 9:
Very well placed Willshire Boulevard thanks to the driver concession of Luke Dunne. I'd rather him over the 1790m against this class but he'll be right in the finish. Shady Azz hasn't won a race since winning here in the same rating race in 2021. Been racing very well against better opposition at Menangle of late & can win. All Da Rage is 2 from 2 back with his owner Andrew German & will be well fancied again.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 1 Willshire Boulevard @ $10/$2.40
RESULT: 2nd @ $3.92 BSP
Race 10:
Im not sure how Flame Blaster didn't win last week but he should've. Massive chance to cross them here & Id expect they'd hold it over the 1790m. Happy to be on
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 5 Flame Blaster @ $4.60
RESULT: Winner! $6 BSP
Race 11:
Cliffhanger is no doubt the one to beat first up but Im not sure Mildura will suit. Frivolity the horse I'd trust the most off the front. Should spear to the front early & might hand up over the 2190m. Won easily racing that way last time in a maiden but obviously this is a bit tougher. Happy to watch Four Mens Folly first up for Ros Rolfe. Was just ok in a recent trial here. Sweet Agenda could be the best of the lot. Raced in the NSW Oaks heats. Placed in an up to 65 rating race last time so back to her own age restricted to horses with no more than 2 wins is ideal. The one to beat but again, first look at Mildura.
SUGGESTED BET:
PLACE No 3 Frivolity if we can find $2+
Race 12:
Real tough finish & Im just happy to have something on Another Sparky from the trailing draw at odds.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW Another Sparky @ $8.50/$2.40
FRIDAY (DAY) AUGUST 11TH
Race 1:
Up to 39 rating restricted race so plenty of these are out of form & havent won for a loooong time. Going back to old mate Fortitudo. Was restrained from gate 2 in a 51 rater last time to grab a position on the pegs & battled away ok. Time was good for this type of race. Should cross the 1 early & get every chance. Our Grand Torino is probably racing better than most than he meets here but his lack of early speed is a huge disadvantage. Could be 3 pegs & will need plenty to go right. Hasn't won since 2020! For Tony might find itself in front but my concern is that he's tired after working too hard in his races. Best runs have come when not used up early. This is weak though. Rocking Wroxton needs to lead to win.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 2 Fortitudo @ $10/$2.80
RESULT: 3rd @ $2.80
Race 2:
Maywyn Bolton Boy wouldn't have to improve much on his trial to win this. Gate speed maybe the query on debut. Goodtime Jazzi didnt have a great deal of luck last time even though beaten a long way. Could run an improved race from the trailing draw. Pink Scooter right in this if Maywyn Bolton Boy cant muster early. Nice return last week when beating some of these easily in 3rd. Classic Watch improving with each run also but the draw makes things tough. Staying out of this one
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 3:
Abbey Fields flew to the front at Bendigo and was a great 3rd 1st up. Never seen Mildura but has handled tight tracks previously. Looks your leader & should be winning if out in front. Bravely Done will enjoy the draw & can run a cheeky race. Is a maiden from 28 starts though. Egbert & Des Troy can fill a place.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 4 Abbey Fields @ $2.60
RESULT: WInner! $3.9 BSP
TRIFECTA: 4/2/3-7
RESULT Winner! $60.25 collect for every $1 invested. ie. $3,012.50 collect for a lazy $50 outlay
Race 4:
Robert Crocka your early leader & the biggest question is who does he hand up to. Headbanger has the best speed outside of Crocka on the front row but his record over 2190m is poor. Is he the right horse to sit on? Courtney Katarina might be the other option but she may take too long to get there so I think its likely Headbanger takes it up. Stormstride a huge danger if they overdo things in front early stepping down slightly in class.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 5:
Itsallaboutned belted a restricted grade 2 starts ago before breaking at $1.90 last time and losing all chance. Looks likely to bully his way to the front and the obvious top pick. Steal Some Time races best over the shorter distance but will race a great sit on these & is a strong place chance. Siangdi was in great form before I picked her last week! Sat 3 pegs in a crazy quick speed for low grade horses over the 2190m & she was beaten 800m out, beaten 90m+. If you can forgive her for that she's a chance with a softer run & likely they wont run this race as quick. Apache Wind likely to be 3 pegs but if the runs come, is a huge chance. Loves the longer distance & just needs luck to figure. Rupert Ross likely to be fancied but I cant have it when its not going to be leading. Glitzy All Over needs them to be crawling late to be a chance of swooping. All wins over the 21990m have been in 61s+ last halves. Could be 61s+ if they go too hard early.. Tough race
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 2 Itsallaboutned @ $4.40
RESULT: Unplaced. I got the speed map wrong & that was that. Something licked Ned. Was right about Rupert Ross though. Backed into $1.70fav & I have no idea why. When he draws to lead I'll be on though against similar class.
Race 6:
The fast class race of the day & I thought Sahara Tiger was the one to beat. Has had nothing go right this prep so far. Last week tried to advance to the death but it wasn't there & he ended up 3 wide the trip. Did well to only be beaten by 7m. Unlikely that'll happen here & deserves a change of luck. Bernie Winkle loved that mid race pressure in that race & was too strong late. Needs the same set up to win again but obviously can win if the speed is on throughout. Rick Reilly is a different horse in front so the inside backrow draw is awful. Cheyella is an interesting runner. Has raced well against the best of her age over the years. I'd just rather wait & see at her first look at Mildura. Yorkshire the other well in this with the right run. Dennis a value place chance. I think he finds the pegs first & will run a cheeky race.
SUGGESTED BETS:
2x3EW No 9 Sahara Tiger @ $5.5/$1.70
RESULT: Unplaced & never likely
PLACE No 3 Dennis @ $2.90
RESULT: WInner! Led all the way
Race 7:
Only Once Bitten looks best suited. Was impressive off a cold sit against up to 54 raters 1st up before 2nd last week in up to 61 raters. Did have every chance to run down the leader there . Aintsobad bullied 53 raters after working to the front & just kept going. Bit harder to do that here from the outside gate. Abstractor gets a nice trailing draw & can win again. Never raced better, Kate Attard has him flying. Alexis Rocket worth a mention but plenty needs to go right from the draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 1 Only Once Bitten @ $5.5/$1.70
RESULT: WInner! Led & was too strong
Race 8:
Renko has the speed to hold early & I think he'll keep it. Should run an improved race from out in front. Tupela Beach will be hoping Renko holds as he'll receive the exact run it needs to figure in the finish. Just seems to always find one better this season. Gracie Cullen's chances hinge on tempo from outside backrow. She can go straight past these if the race shapes up the way she wants.
SUGGESTED BET:
SMALL WIN No 11 Gracie Cullen @ $5
RESULT: 4th. Couldn't get into the race
Race 9:
Online Model holds the key to the map early & I expect it to hand up to Im Reggie being 1st up. Can run top 3 first up at odds. I dont think Chirripo has enough speed to cross & that'll make life tough from the draw unless they decide to hand up on Im Reggie. Definitely the class runner though. Last win was at this track in 2022, from gate 6 so has done it before. The class runners are Raindrops & Two Way Wonder. Both will need a bit to go right to salute.
SUGGESTED BET:
SMALL PLACE No 1 Online Model @ $6
RESULT: 3rd. $17 on BSP!
Race 10:
Real Dash an interesting runner. 1st up after 9 months in the paddock without a trial. Ran a ripping 2nd here back in November last year from the same draw. Watch the market. Denzel Debro should be the big improver. Not a quick front line so should find the front. Mark Risely the question mark. Has a winning driving strike rate of 2% but that could easily be put down to the quality of horse he's driven. Flame Blaster could blast to the front. Did that 2 starts ago & ran well in a better field. Is pretty versatile and gets into this well with the driver claim. Tact Fergie a big watch. 1st up here off the back of a nice trial win Monday beating home Gojoe. (Led in the trial & Gojoe's trial the equal of) Goodtime Maddie gets a shocking draw and likely to be restrained. Will be praying for speed on. Tricky race.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 11:
I can make a great case for a pegs pegs pegs finish. Thought Bizzness Class had the better early dash of those on it's inside, just! Expect Reality Player to hold leaders back & Shes My Little Gem 3 pegs. Shouldn't be a heap of pressure mid race & those on speed should slow the speed accordingly. If my speed map is right he should be winning Bizzness Class. Beat a similar field 2 starts back and nothing wrong with running 2nd to Rockaria last time. That horse is low flying. Reality Player will be plugging away & for place punters you might have your hearts in your mouth before the bend but he just doesnt have the sprint of others. The pegs is the key to his chances because he'll one pace all the way home & I'm confident will place. Shes My Little Gem will be hoping to outsprint them if a run comes early enough. Bit of a risk of being a hard luck story. Im Stuck Man, Hungry Hogarth, Le Spartacus could all throw a spanner in the works especially if my speed map is way off!
SUGGESTED BETS:
WIN No 4 Bizzness Class @ $3.30
TRIFECTA: 4 / 1 / 7 for more. 4 / 7 / 1 for less
RESULT: 3rd. Had his chance. May have needed a cheaper early section after burning across early.
Race 12:
Expecting big improvement from Punto Caliente. Hasn't had a draw since arriving at Mildura but hasn't been disgraced, probably until last week. Settled 1x1 & did get pushed out 4 & 5 wide late but shouldve finished closer. I think being on the pegs will be the key & this isn't a fast front line. Could lead all the way. Missed the $23 unfortunately but still backable at $8. Stablemate Yearing Soho usually takes a few runs to show her best & was just a run in her trial on Monday. No doubt will take great improvement from this run. Oh So Easy won that way last week. Belted them! Was 1790m & has shown a dislike for the 2190m. Wasnt much between her & Punto Caliente in early July over the 1790m. Draws could be the difference. Another Sparky races best on pace but this is the easiest field he's faced for a long time. Can win!
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 1 Punto Caliente @ $8.50/2.30
RESULT: Unplaced. Was a strange run. Not sure what to make of it to be honest!
Great result in all on the day - pockets filled for the weekend
Up to 39 rating restricted race so plenty of these are out of form & havent won for a loooong time. Going back to old mate Fortitudo. Was restrained from gate 2 in a 51 rater last time to grab a position on the pegs & battled away ok. Time was good for this type of race. Should cross the 1 early & get every chance. Our Grand Torino is probably racing better than most than he meets here but his lack of early speed is a huge disadvantage. Could be 3 pegs & will need plenty to go right. Hasn't won since 2020! For Tony might find itself in front but my concern is that he's tired after working too hard in his races. Best runs have come when not used up early. This is weak though. Rocking Wroxton needs to lead to win.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 2 Fortitudo @ $10/$2.80
RESULT: 3rd @ $2.80
Race 2:
Maywyn Bolton Boy wouldn't have to improve much on his trial to win this. Gate speed maybe the query on debut. Goodtime Jazzi didnt have a great deal of luck last time even though beaten a long way. Could run an improved race from the trailing draw. Pink Scooter right in this if Maywyn Bolton Boy cant muster early. Nice return last week when beating some of these easily in 3rd. Classic Watch improving with each run also but the draw makes things tough. Staying out of this one
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 3:
Abbey Fields flew to the front at Bendigo and was a great 3rd 1st up. Never seen Mildura but has handled tight tracks previously. Looks your leader & should be winning if out in front. Bravely Done will enjoy the draw & can run a cheeky race. Is a maiden from 28 starts though. Egbert & Des Troy can fill a place.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 4 Abbey Fields @ $2.60
RESULT: WInner! $3.9 BSP
TRIFECTA: 4/2/3-7
RESULT Winner! $60.25 collect for every $1 invested. ie. $3,012.50 collect for a lazy $50 outlay
Race 4:
Robert Crocka your early leader & the biggest question is who does he hand up to. Headbanger has the best speed outside of Crocka on the front row but his record over 2190m is poor. Is he the right horse to sit on? Courtney Katarina might be the other option but she may take too long to get there so I think its likely Headbanger takes it up. Stormstride a huge danger if they overdo things in front early stepping down slightly in class.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 5:
Itsallaboutned belted a restricted grade 2 starts ago before breaking at $1.90 last time and losing all chance. Looks likely to bully his way to the front and the obvious top pick. Steal Some Time races best over the shorter distance but will race a great sit on these & is a strong place chance. Siangdi was in great form before I picked her last week! Sat 3 pegs in a crazy quick speed for low grade horses over the 2190m & she was beaten 800m out, beaten 90m+. If you can forgive her for that she's a chance with a softer run & likely they wont run this race as quick. Apache Wind likely to be 3 pegs but if the runs come, is a huge chance. Loves the longer distance & just needs luck to figure. Rupert Ross likely to be fancied but I cant have it when its not going to be leading. Glitzy All Over needs them to be crawling late to be a chance of swooping. All wins over the 21990m have been in 61s+ last halves. Could be 61s+ if they go too hard early.. Tough race
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 2 Itsallaboutned @ $4.40
RESULT: Unplaced. I got the speed map wrong & that was that. Something licked Ned. Was right about Rupert Ross though. Backed into $1.70fav & I have no idea why. When he draws to lead I'll be on though against similar class.
Race 6:
The fast class race of the day & I thought Sahara Tiger was the one to beat. Has had nothing go right this prep so far. Last week tried to advance to the death but it wasn't there & he ended up 3 wide the trip. Did well to only be beaten by 7m. Unlikely that'll happen here & deserves a change of luck. Bernie Winkle loved that mid race pressure in that race & was too strong late. Needs the same set up to win again but obviously can win if the speed is on throughout. Rick Reilly is a different horse in front so the inside backrow draw is awful. Cheyella is an interesting runner. Has raced well against the best of her age over the years. I'd just rather wait & see at her first look at Mildura. Yorkshire the other well in this with the right run. Dennis a value place chance. I think he finds the pegs first & will run a cheeky race.
SUGGESTED BETS:
2x3EW No 9 Sahara Tiger @ $5.5/$1.70
RESULT: Unplaced & never likely
PLACE No 3 Dennis @ $2.90
RESULT: WInner! Led all the way
Race 7:
Only Once Bitten looks best suited. Was impressive off a cold sit against up to 54 raters 1st up before 2nd last week in up to 61 raters. Did have every chance to run down the leader there . Aintsobad bullied 53 raters after working to the front & just kept going. Bit harder to do that here from the outside gate. Abstractor gets a nice trailing draw & can win again. Never raced better, Kate Attard has him flying. Alexis Rocket worth a mention but plenty needs to go right from the draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 1 Only Once Bitten @ $5.5/$1.70
RESULT: WInner! Led & was too strong
Race 8:
Renko has the speed to hold early & I think he'll keep it. Should run an improved race from out in front. Tupela Beach will be hoping Renko holds as he'll receive the exact run it needs to figure in the finish. Just seems to always find one better this season. Gracie Cullen's chances hinge on tempo from outside backrow. She can go straight past these if the race shapes up the way she wants.
SUGGESTED BET:
SMALL WIN No 11 Gracie Cullen @ $5
RESULT: 4th. Couldn't get into the race
Race 9:
Online Model holds the key to the map early & I expect it to hand up to Im Reggie being 1st up. Can run top 3 first up at odds. I dont think Chirripo has enough speed to cross & that'll make life tough from the draw unless they decide to hand up on Im Reggie. Definitely the class runner though. Last win was at this track in 2022, from gate 6 so has done it before. The class runners are Raindrops & Two Way Wonder. Both will need a bit to go right to salute.
SUGGESTED BET:
SMALL PLACE No 1 Online Model @ $6
RESULT: 3rd. $17 on BSP!
Race 10:
Real Dash an interesting runner. 1st up after 9 months in the paddock without a trial. Ran a ripping 2nd here back in November last year from the same draw. Watch the market. Denzel Debro should be the big improver. Not a quick front line so should find the front. Mark Risely the question mark. Has a winning driving strike rate of 2% but that could easily be put down to the quality of horse he's driven. Flame Blaster could blast to the front. Did that 2 starts ago & ran well in a better field. Is pretty versatile and gets into this well with the driver claim. Tact Fergie a big watch. 1st up here off the back of a nice trial win Monday beating home Gojoe. (Led in the trial & Gojoe's trial the equal of) Goodtime Maddie gets a shocking draw and likely to be restrained. Will be praying for speed on. Tricky race.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 11:
I can make a great case for a pegs pegs pegs finish. Thought Bizzness Class had the better early dash of those on it's inside, just! Expect Reality Player to hold leaders back & Shes My Little Gem 3 pegs. Shouldn't be a heap of pressure mid race & those on speed should slow the speed accordingly. If my speed map is right he should be winning Bizzness Class. Beat a similar field 2 starts back and nothing wrong with running 2nd to Rockaria last time. That horse is low flying. Reality Player will be plugging away & for place punters you might have your hearts in your mouth before the bend but he just doesnt have the sprint of others. The pegs is the key to his chances because he'll one pace all the way home & I'm confident will place. Shes My Little Gem will be hoping to outsprint them if a run comes early enough. Bit of a risk of being a hard luck story. Im Stuck Man, Hungry Hogarth, Le Spartacus could all throw a spanner in the works especially if my speed map is way off!
SUGGESTED BETS:
WIN No 4 Bizzness Class @ $3.30
TRIFECTA: 4 / 1 / 7 for more. 4 / 7 / 1 for less
RESULT: 3rd. Had his chance. May have needed a cheaper early section after burning across early.
Race 12:
Expecting big improvement from Punto Caliente. Hasn't had a draw since arriving at Mildura but hasn't been disgraced, probably until last week. Settled 1x1 & did get pushed out 4 & 5 wide late but shouldve finished closer. I think being on the pegs will be the key & this isn't a fast front line. Could lead all the way. Missed the $23 unfortunately but still backable at $8. Stablemate Yearing Soho usually takes a few runs to show her best & was just a run in her trial on Monday. No doubt will take great improvement from this run. Oh So Easy won that way last week. Belted them! Was 1790m & has shown a dislike for the 2190m. Wasnt much between her & Punto Caliente in early July over the 1790m. Draws could be the difference. Another Sparky races best on pace but this is the easiest field he's faced for a long time. Can win!
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 1 Punto Caliente @ $8.50/2.30
RESULT: Unplaced. Was a strange run. Not sure what to make of it to be honest!
Great result in all on the day - pockets filled for the weekend
FRIDAY (DAY) AUGUST 4th
Race 1:
Mixed formlines to kick us off & thats something that usually puts me off betting in a race. Frivolity might get her chance. I have her leading but the question mark is the 2190m. The change from 1790m to 2190m is significant especially around Mildura. Off Ya Rocker will be fancied and will have to do plenty of work from the draw. Frivolity shouldve beaten him home last time. Till Next Time has his first look at the track & he's been ok against better opposition. Rita has a bloody good strike rate when bringing horses to Mildura. The first starter Royal Blue Bell would need to improve significantly from what Ive seen in it's trials. Yet to beat one home. No.
SUGGESTED BET:
SMALL WIN No 3 Frivolity @ $3.2
RESULT: WINNER @ $5.5 fixed
Race 2:
D Day for Gives Us A Wink. Should be leading & getting every possible chance. OK last time in a better restricted race than this hen leaders back. Good enough form for this. Im expecting a much improved run from Martha Lavinia. All 3 starts back from a spell have been over the sprint trip & she just hasn't been able to go with them. Plenty to like from her last start in a 54 rater. Up to 42 rating restricted race here! Startup a chance if he can cross early but I doubt it can. Moreartsthanclass & Chalkncheddar both minor chances. I prefer both over the shorter trip.
SUGGESTED BETS;
WIN No 1 Give Us A Wink @ $4 (2nd)
1x4EW No 10 Martha Lavinia @ $6.5/$2.10 (Winner @ $8/$2.30)
Race 3:
Close to the hardest race of the day. The speed off the front comes from 4,5 & 6 & I think if Egbert can cross he's a chance. Cant handle doing too much work in his races so would need to pinch a cheap quarter or 2 early. Ronzel Micky likely to ask the question to see if the lead is there & it could be. If he's in front he'll go mighty close. Punto Caliente may not be a betting proposition but sheez he's racing well without luck. If the luck comes here I wouldn't be surprised if he won. Kathy Watson onboard & she's currently sitting with 1 win from 49 drives at Mildura this season. That has to be factor when betting. Maybe place only.
SUGGESTED BET:
BET IN PLAY: WIN if No 5 Ronzel Micky leads. WIN if No 4 Egbert holds the lead.
RESULT: No bet - neither led
Race 4:
Nicely Spoken the class runner & only bad luck will stop him from winning this. Got knocked over here 2 starts back & did well to finish as close as he did. Backed that up with an arrogant win at Globe Derby when 3 & 4 wide the last lap pulling away to win by 18m. Maybe a question mark on the opposition there & it was a 61s last half but 51 raters dont win like that usually. Couldn't Recommend looks beautifully placed from the draw & the biggest danger. Couldn't go with better horses over the 2240m at Swan Hill last week but wasn't disgraced. Will be the first horse to the pegs & will run well. Wesaidso was driven far too aggressively last start after coming off the pegs early to death seat. He was beaten a long way out. With a more patient drive he'll be thereabouts at odds. Mach Hu demolished an up to 53 bunch 2 starts ago when spearing to the lead & won at $101! Broke from the 2nd row last time so forget that. Back to a 51 rater & his chance depend on whether he can cross early. I think not but maybe a saver bet in play if he does. Starzzzofmichael an interesting runner. 1st look at Mildura. Beat an ordinary lot at Kilmore last week. Happy to risk from the draw. Steal Some Time the other with a chance from the trailing draw. Can win if the fav has to over do it & beat Couldn't Recommend hands down last time.
SUGGESTED BET:
1X4EW No 2 Couldn't Recommend $8/$2.10
RESULT: 2nd
Race 5:
All the inform horses drawn the 2nd row. Milliondollar Kiss might bully her way to the front and its really her race to lose from there. Liked her run 2 starts back here over the distance when death seating & never threw in the towel for solid 3rd behind Fletch Maguire. Trailblazer is low flying. Couldn't have drawn worse but if Ryan Hryhorec gets off early he can win. I think the $4 is too good to pass up. Fortitudo can fill a place especially if he found the pegs. Robert Crocka a blowout chance with a cold sit.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 7 Trailblazer @ $4
RESULT: Just missed! 2nd..
Race 6:
Real even speed off the front row which probably means Son Of Zodiac will eventually find his way to the top with Chogi leaders back. Son Of Zodiac will run them along at an even clip as he's not a horse with a great sprint. He'll be whacking away at the finish & I have a little concern that this is as strong as he wants it. Ive given up on Chogi but a win wouldn't surprise from the soft draw. Write About Angus is the class horse of the field. He'll push forward to find a spot on pace at some stage & my main concern with him is he's 0/8 at the track & just doesnt seem to handle the turns. Luv Me Or Hate Me will be pinching runs along the pegs & is a place chance.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 7:
Speed map says Storm Stride leads & I think holds with Siangdi leaders back. I think they're the main plays in the race from there. Storm Stride is 2 from 3 when leading & his only loss was when he was with David Miles vs much better horses than he's meet at Mildura. The one to beat especially with McCallum in the cart, the master of the stack & rack out in front. Siangdi is low flying. His last start 3rd rated through the roof for a 51 rated horse having to come wide late over the 1790m. Won from leaders back over this distance against weaker 2 starts back. Right in this. Aintsobad didn't handle Mildura last time. Leaving out. Jilliby Flash has it's first look at Mildura and has been racing against much better horses. Going to have to be good to win from the 2nd row. Either that or be the recipient of an Albie special. Raindrops has been mixing its form and if the speed is too quick early, he's a minor chance. Cant leave Sunshine Warrior (3pegs) or even White Star Village out of your exotics. Risking Miramanee from the draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
2xEW No 7 Siangdi @ $9.50/$2.70
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 8:
Might be some "True Mildura Style" on early with Spring Delight trying to hold out Let Me Tell You, Abstractor, Im Reggie & My Korona. I thought My Korona might be the one to keep pushing on & find the lead with Abstractor leaders back but the first turn could get very ugly! For that reason I siding with Blacktop Rock. The class horse off the backrow & he hasn't been disgraced in better class. Will be money down the drain if Ive got the early speed wrong
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 10 Blacktop Rock @ $14/$3.3
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 9:
Mach Brilliance your early leader. Will be interesting to see if they hold. She's lost all from since his back to back wins during the carnival. Led in a 61 rater over this distance on June 2nd and was the first horse beaten & the end margin was 91m. She's been better since with a sit sprint pattern from bad draws. Only Once Bitten was an arrogant win in the end 1st up at Mildura. Same draw but behind Mach Brilliance might be the problem. I think he'll handle the step up in grade though. Regardless smashed a 55 rating race from the 2nd row over the 2190m. Tougher over the sprint from the 2nd row & this is a step up. The more I look at the race the more I get confused so I'll leave it at that! Anything can win this..
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 10:
If this were a 1790m race I'd say Neds Beach would be able to cross but it aint! So hard to cross from out wide from the 2190m start. My biggest question is can Goodtime Maddie keep her feet in front of some of those coming across from out wide to either lead or hold leaders back. I think the answer is yes to be at least leaders back. She's had bugger all luck for the last couple of months & this is her chance to hit back even though is is a slight step up in grade. Best value of the race. Willshire Boulevard will go mighty close if he can cross. Been a super horse for connections since arriving in Mildura a couple of seasons ago. Happy to take on All Da Rage from the draw.
SUGGESTED BETS:
WIN No 4 Willshire Boulevard @ $5
RESULT: Unplaced - didnt lead
1x4EW No 1 Goodtime Maddie $13/$3.20
RESULT: 3rd
Race 11:
The fast class race which I usually struggle with & this is no different. I think the winner comes from the backrow Im just not sure which one!
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 12:
I reckon Corey Johnson will be keen to lead on Highway Writer & he'll get his chance from out in front. Another Sparky will be having a look but I doubt he can win if he cant lead. Hesastar is an interesting runner. Didn't fire with the Douglas camp. Did race around Mildura with Vozlic & built a good record a few seasons ago. With Albie now & hes just been ok at the trials. Big watch.
SUGGESTED BET:
4/6EW No 1 Highway Writer $12/$3.10
RESULT: Race was abandoned
Mixed formlines to kick us off & thats something that usually puts me off betting in a race. Frivolity might get her chance. I have her leading but the question mark is the 2190m. The change from 1790m to 2190m is significant especially around Mildura. Off Ya Rocker will be fancied and will have to do plenty of work from the draw. Frivolity shouldve beaten him home last time. Till Next Time has his first look at the track & he's been ok against better opposition. Rita has a bloody good strike rate when bringing horses to Mildura. The first starter Royal Blue Bell would need to improve significantly from what Ive seen in it's trials. Yet to beat one home. No.
SUGGESTED BET:
SMALL WIN No 3 Frivolity @ $3.2
RESULT: WINNER @ $5.5 fixed
Race 2:
D Day for Gives Us A Wink. Should be leading & getting every possible chance. OK last time in a better restricted race than this hen leaders back. Good enough form for this. Im expecting a much improved run from Martha Lavinia. All 3 starts back from a spell have been over the sprint trip & she just hasn't been able to go with them. Plenty to like from her last start in a 54 rater. Up to 42 rating restricted race here! Startup a chance if he can cross early but I doubt it can. Moreartsthanclass & Chalkncheddar both minor chances. I prefer both over the shorter trip.
SUGGESTED BETS;
WIN No 1 Give Us A Wink @ $4 (2nd)
1x4EW No 10 Martha Lavinia @ $6.5/$2.10 (Winner @ $8/$2.30)
Race 3:
Close to the hardest race of the day. The speed off the front comes from 4,5 & 6 & I think if Egbert can cross he's a chance. Cant handle doing too much work in his races so would need to pinch a cheap quarter or 2 early. Ronzel Micky likely to ask the question to see if the lead is there & it could be. If he's in front he'll go mighty close. Punto Caliente may not be a betting proposition but sheez he's racing well without luck. If the luck comes here I wouldn't be surprised if he won. Kathy Watson onboard & she's currently sitting with 1 win from 49 drives at Mildura this season. That has to be factor when betting. Maybe place only.
SUGGESTED BET:
BET IN PLAY: WIN if No 5 Ronzel Micky leads. WIN if No 4 Egbert holds the lead.
RESULT: No bet - neither led
Race 4:
Nicely Spoken the class runner & only bad luck will stop him from winning this. Got knocked over here 2 starts back & did well to finish as close as he did. Backed that up with an arrogant win at Globe Derby when 3 & 4 wide the last lap pulling away to win by 18m. Maybe a question mark on the opposition there & it was a 61s last half but 51 raters dont win like that usually. Couldn't Recommend looks beautifully placed from the draw & the biggest danger. Couldn't go with better horses over the 2240m at Swan Hill last week but wasn't disgraced. Will be the first horse to the pegs & will run well. Wesaidso was driven far too aggressively last start after coming off the pegs early to death seat. He was beaten a long way out. With a more patient drive he'll be thereabouts at odds. Mach Hu demolished an up to 53 bunch 2 starts ago when spearing to the lead & won at $101! Broke from the 2nd row last time so forget that. Back to a 51 rater & his chance depend on whether he can cross early. I think not but maybe a saver bet in play if he does. Starzzzofmichael an interesting runner. 1st look at Mildura. Beat an ordinary lot at Kilmore last week. Happy to risk from the draw. Steal Some Time the other with a chance from the trailing draw. Can win if the fav has to over do it & beat Couldn't Recommend hands down last time.
SUGGESTED BET:
1X4EW No 2 Couldn't Recommend $8/$2.10
RESULT: 2nd
Race 5:
All the inform horses drawn the 2nd row. Milliondollar Kiss might bully her way to the front and its really her race to lose from there. Liked her run 2 starts back here over the distance when death seating & never threw in the towel for solid 3rd behind Fletch Maguire. Trailblazer is low flying. Couldn't have drawn worse but if Ryan Hryhorec gets off early he can win. I think the $4 is too good to pass up. Fortitudo can fill a place especially if he found the pegs. Robert Crocka a blowout chance with a cold sit.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 7 Trailblazer @ $4
RESULT: Just missed! 2nd..
Race 6:
Real even speed off the front row which probably means Son Of Zodiac will eventually find his way to the top with Chogi leaders back. Son Of Zodiac will run them along at an even clip as he's not a horse with a great sprint. He'll be whacking away at the finish & I have a little concern that this is as strong as he wants it. Ive given up on Chogi but a win wouldn't surprise from the soft draw. Write About Angus is the class horse of the field. He'll push forward to find a spot on pace at some stage & my main concern with him is he's 0/8 at the track & just doesnt seem to handle the turns. Luv Me Or Hate Me will be pinching runs along the pegs & is a place chance.
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 7:
Speed map says Storm Stride leads & I think holds with Siangdi leaders back. I think they're the main plays in the race from there. Storm Stride is 2 from 3 when leading & his only loss was when he was with David Miles vs much better horses than he's meet at Mildura. The one to beat especially with McCallum in the cart, the master of the stack & rack out in front. Siangdi is low flying. His last start 3rd rated through the roof for a 51 rated horse having to come wide late over the 1790m. Won from leaders back over this distance against weaker 2 starts back. Right in this. Aintsobad didn't handle Mildura last time. Leaving out. Jilliby Flash has it's first look at Mildura and has been racing against much better horses. Going to have to be good to win from the 2nd row. Either that or be the recipient of an Albie special. Raindrops has been mixing its form and if the speed is too quick early, he's a minor chance. Cant leave Sunshine Warrior (3pegs) or even White Star Village out of your exotics. Risking Miramanee from the draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
2xEW No 7 Siangdi @ $9.50/$2.70
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 8:
Might be some "True Mildura Style" on early with Spring Delight trying to hold out Let Me Tell You, Abstractor, Im Reggie & My Korona. I thought My Korona might be the one to keep pushing on & find the lead with Abstractor leaders back but the first turn could get very ugly! For that reason I siding with Blacktop Rock. The class horse off the backrow & he hasn't been disgraced in better class. Will be money down the drain if Ive got the early speed wrong
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW No 10 Blacktop Rock @ $14/$3.3
RESULT: Unplaced
Race 9:
Mach Brilliance your early leader. Will be interesting to see if they hold. She's lost all from since his back to back wins during the carnival. Led in a 61 rater over this distance on June 2nd and was the first horse beaten & the end margin was 91m. She's been better since with a sit sprint pattern from bad draws. Only Once Bitten was an arrogant win in the end 1st up at Mildura. Same draw but behind Mach Brilliance might be the problem. I think he'll handle the step up in grade though. Regardless smashed a 55 rating race from the 2nd row over the 2190m. Tougher over the sprint from the 2nd row & this is a step up. The more I look at the race the more I get confused so I'll leave it at that! Anything can win this..
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 10:
If this were a 1790m race I'd say Neds Beach would be able to cross but it aint! So hard to cross from out wide from the 2190m start. My biggest question is can Goodtime Maddie keep her feet in front of some of those coming across from out wide to either lead or hold leaders back. I think the answer is yes to be at least leaders back. She's had bugger all luck for the last couple of months & this is her chance to hit back even though is is a slight step up in grade. Best value of the race. Willshire Boulevard will go mighty close if he can cross. Been a super horse for connections since arriving in Mildura a couple of seasons ago. Happy to take on All Da Rage from the draw.
SUGGESTED BETS:
WIN No 4 Willshire Boulevard @ $5
RESULT: Unplaced - didnt lead
1x4EW No 1 Goodtime Maddie $13/$3.20
RESULT: 3rd
Race 11:
The fast class race which I usually struggle with & this is no different. I think the winner comes from the backrow Im just not sure which one!
SUGGESTED BET: NONE
Race 12:
I reckon Corey Johnson will be keen to lead on Highway Writer & he'll get his chance from out in front. Another Sparky will be having a look but I doubt he can win if he cant lead. Hesastar is an interesting runner. Didn't fire with the Douglas camp. Did race around Mildura with Vozlic & built a good record a few seasons ago. With Albie now & hes just been ok at the trials. Big watch.
SUGGESTED BET:
4/6EW No 1 Highway Writer $12/$3.10
RESULT: Race was abandoned
FRIDAY JULY 21ST
Race 1:
Trick race to kick off. Frivolity broke on the first turn last start & cost him all chance. Actually did well to only be beaten 5m. His unlucky 3rd to Two Way Wonder & Bizzness Class looks super form with both those horses winning again since. Bizzness Class belted a similar class race last week. Providing he behaves, looks the best of the locals. Holdem or Foldem could belt these. Has plenty of early toe & his form stacks up really well for a race like this. Im just reluctant to get on with a horses first look at Mildura & could be a horse thats stays here. Off Me Rocka the other that could do the same & Aaron Dunn has a great strike rate around Mildura. Great form for this type of class & looks hard to beat. Bad Boy Carter can place from the soft draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
PLACE No 1 Frivolity @ $4
Race 2:
Geez this is an even field & an even map from the front. I thought Mexican Standoff might try & hold from the draw but Im not sure he can hold out Give Us A Wink early. Leader does come from one of those. Give Us A Wink the one Id want to be on. Has won 3 & run 3rd from 4 when he's led at the bell in his races. Not bad for a horse that only won 5 from its 61 starts. Oh So Easy a chance with the right run. Probably has the same ability as Give Us A Wink but needs the right cart into the race. Ronzel Sonny can be a big improver from the draw, even from 3 pegs.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 2 Give Us A Wink @ $2.50
Race 3:
Buggered if I know what leads this! Such an even front row. Moreartsthanclass probably the best suited from those on the front & the 54 rater is as strong as he wants. Dougs Cino even though from the 2nd row, looks so well graded. There could be some silly speed early & that'll suit him perfectly. Won a similar race in June from the 2nd row beating Stylish Gem & that horse has now won 2 in a row, impressively. Im wary of Couldn't Recommend. Improving every time he runs around Mildura & was unlucky last time. Can line his form up against Stylish Gem & that holds welll for a race like this. Just needs a bit of luch from inside backrow
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 11 Dougs Cino @ $3.8
SAVER No 7 Couldnt Recommend @ $8
Race 4:
He's had 98 starts at the track Robert Crocka & I still cant work him out. He'll go close to leading again but is his best when he's driven with cover? Led over the 1790m on June 23rd & had his chance but maybe the early quarters may have been a little too quick? All runs since have been very good for this class of race. Should be leading & I'd say will hold it. How quick he comes back to Ryan Sanderson might the key but has to be the one to beat. They're a real even lot behind him & I'd be able to make a case for most of them to win.
SUGGESTED BET:
NONE
Race 5:
Favoring a couple from the backrow. Hard to go past Stylish Gem. Been so impressive it's past couple & this is no hard than last weeks win. Well found in the market though vs the $16 on offer last week. Frankntank couldn't sprint with Stylish Gem down the back straight in that same race but was taking ground off them late. If he's the one leading the 3 wide train that could be the difference in the result. This is his distance. Only Once Bitten an interesting runner. 1st up for the Vozlic camp from QLD, he comes into this off the back of a good trial win here on Monday. Can win. Luv Me Or Hate Me led and won well against weaker 2 starts back & was ok last week. I just think he might be found wanting late against the 54 raters. Highway Writer was actually pretty stiff over the 1790m last week after working hard early. Goes close with a run late. If he could cross early he's a sneaky chance at odds but I doubt he can & any early burn will hurt over the 2190m.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW NO 9 Franktank @ $6/$2 but I think he'll drift
Race 6:
4yo mare Mykorona an interesting runner. She's struggled to find her 2yo form that saw her run 3rd to Amore Vita! A better run at Kilmore on July15th running 4th against strong opposition from 3 pegs so no doubt the 54 rater here is much easier. Can she win doing work against these? I think the jury is out but at the same time, Im struggling to find one to beat her. Staying out of this one!
SUGGESTED BET:
NONE
Race 7:
Another race where I could make a case for the majority of runners. Feisty Phoebe raced in a similar race over the 1790m 2 starts back & was beaten 15m but was 3 wide without cover the majority of the last lap. With a softer run, she can definitely win. Her 4th last week in a 75 rater was very good & back to a 64 rater obviously a plus but unfortunately the early price is gone & she's a touch unders in the current market. Sinister & Gojoe will be in the finish from their good draws.
SUGGESTED BET:
NONE
Race 8:
6th change of trainer for All Da Rage with the owner Andrew German now taking over. Has the speed to hold early & I think they'll hold. Good enough to win but a query in the new stable maybe? Magic Mike was very good in a 75 rater last week & probably should've won. Likely to build momentum from out wide & ask the question of All Da Rage. If the lead is there he'll be hard to beat albeit in a stronger race than last week. I'm going to get sucked in by Dennis again. Just been so unlucky of late but you have to drive him for luck & with no sprint lane at Mildura it can be hard to catch him. Gets a nice run through & settle 3 pegs at worst. If the run comes he'll be right in the finish. Platinum Stride was an impressive winner last week having to do it tough from the death. Likely he'll have to move to the death & out tough them again here.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 7 Dennis @ $6/$2 - I reckon he'll drift from this quote
Race 9:
Not a bad fast class race. Sahara Tiger is the reigning Mildura Cup winner & this is his 1st start back at Mildura since that win. He's flying too. Last 2 he's hit the line strongly at massive odds against strong class & probably should've placed with a clear run in the metro Kilmore meeting Saturday night. Looks the one to beat. Ozzie Battler the big improver. His form looks and is terrible. Only beaten 1 home in his past 3 runs beaten a combined 150m! He hasn't been able to find the pegs since his first up 3rd in a claimer & thats where he races best, pace in the top couple. He's a massive chance to lead them & there really doesn't look to be a natural death seat horse in the race. I doubt he can win but I think he can turn around his poor form. (Hopefully he doesnt make look like an idiot!) Bernie Winkle is always a chance in these races. Just needs some early tempo to be a chance. If theyre stealing 31s quarters up front, I doubt he can win.
SUGGESTED BET:
SMALL PLACE No 3 Ozzie Battler @ $4
Race 10:
Might give Another Sparky another chance. Could lead last week & spat the dummy a long way out. Has done that previously & won the next start. Doesnt look to be a heap of pressure on here & I think he'll go close with an easy time of it in front. The main danger on his back Roll With Ron. A forgive run first up for Kate Attard when just couldn't get into the race. Gets the cold sit on the leader & is a huge chance if the run comes. Regardless the best horse in the race but is going to have to earn it to win from outside the back row. Treacherous Saint a knock out hope.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 1 Another Sparky @ $5.50
Race 11:
Bizzness Class jumps up in class after his maiden victory after leading all the way last week. This race has much more depth but he'll be in front again & gets his chance to double up. Im keen on Wesaidso. Loved his run when having to come 4 & 5 wide late & snagged 2nd placing last week. That was 3 runs in a row that he's been impressive without winning for the Watson stable & finally gets a soft draw. Looks perfectly suited to run a race. I was calling for Half Moon Beach to be spelled in early June but he's slowly returning to form. He can peel off some quick sectionals so any pace on early he'll love & back in class. Rockaria & Aintsobad the other winning chances.
SUGGESTED BET:
3x7EW No 7 Wesaidso @ $10/$2.70 (BEST VALUE BET)
1x2EW No 11 Half Moon Beach @ $26/$5 (BEST ROUGHY)
Race 12:
Fletch Maguire looks too good for these & I'm keep away from this one.
SUGGESTED BET:
None
Trick race to kick off. Frivolity broke on the first turn last start & cost him all chance. Actually did well to only be beaten 5m. His unlucky 3rd to Two Way Wonder & Bizzness Class looks super form with both those horses winning again since. Bizzness Class belted a similar class race last week. Providing he behaves, looks the best of the locals. Holdem or Foldem could belt these. Has plenty of early toe & his form stacks up really well for a race like this. Im just reluctant to get on with a horses first look at Mildura & could be a horse thats stays here. Off Me Rocka the other that could do the same & Aaron Dunn has a great strike rate around Mildura. Great form for this type of class & looks hard to beat. Bad Boy Carter can place from the soft draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
PLACE No 1 Frivolity @ $4
Race 2:
Geez this is an even field & an even map from the front. I thought Mexican Standoff might try & hold from the draw but Im not sure he can hold out Give Us A Wink early. Leader does come from one of those. Give Us A Wink the one Id want to be on. Has won 3 & run 3rd from 4 when he's led at the bell in his races. Not bad for a horse that only won 5 from its 61 starts. Oh So Easy a chance with the right run. Probably has the same ability as Give Us A Wink but needs the right cart into the race. Ronzel Sonny can be a big improver from the draw, even from 3 pegs.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 2 Give Us A Wink @ $2.50
Race 3:
Buggered if I know what leads this! Such an even front row. Moreartsthanclass probably the best suited from those on the front & the 54 rater is as strong as he wants. Dougs Cino even though from the 2nd row, looks so well graded. There could be some silly speed early & that'll suit him perfectly. Won a similar race in June from the 2nd row beating Stylish Gem & that horse has now won 2 in a row, impressively. Im wary of Couldn't Recommend. Improving every time he runs around Mildura & was unlucky last time. Can line his form up against Stylish Gem & that holds welll for a race like this. Just needs a bit of luch from inside backrow
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 11 Dougs Cino @ $3.8
SAVER No 7 Couldnt Recommend @ $8
Race 4:
He's had 98 starts at the track Robert Crocka & I still cant work him out. He'll go close to leading again but is his best when he's driven with cover? Led over the 1790m on June 23rd & had his chance but maybe the early quarters may have been a little too quick? All runs since have been very good for this class of race. Should be leading & I'd say will hold it. How quick he comes back to Ryan Sanderson might the key but has to be the one to beat. They're a real even lot behind him & I'd be able to make a case for most of them to win.
SUGGESTED BET:
NONE
Race 5:
Favoring a couple from the backrow. Hard to go past Stylish Gem. Been so impressive it's past couple & this is no hard than last weeks win. Well found in the market though vs the $16 on offer last week. Frankntank couldn't sprint with Stylish Gem down the back straight in that same race but was taking ground off them late. If he's the one leading the 3 wide train that could be the difference in the result. This is his distance. Only Once Bitten an interesting runner. 1st up for the Vozlic camp from QLD, he comes into this off the back of a good trial win here on Monday. Can win. Luv Me Or Hate Me led and won well against weaker 2 starts back & was ok last week. I just think he might be found wanting late against the 54 raters. Highway Writer was actually pretty stiff over the 1790m last week after working hard early. Goes close with a run late. If he could cross early he's a sneaky chance at odds but I doubt he can & any early burn will hurt over the 2190m.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW NO 9 Franktank @ $6/$2 but I think he'll drift
Race 6:
4yo mare Mykorona an interesting runner. She's struggled to find her 2yo form that saw her run 3rd to Amore Vita! A better run at Kilmore on July15th running 4th against strong opposition from 3 pegs so no doubt the 54 rater here is much easier. Can she win doing work against these? I think the jury is out but at the same time, Im struggling to find one to beat her. Staying out of this one!
SUGGESTED BET:
NONE
Race 7:
Another race where I could make a case for the majority of runners. Feisty Phoebe raced in a similar race over the 1790m 2 starts back & was beaten 15m but was 3 wide without cover the majority of the last lap. With a softer run, she can definitely win. Her 4th last week in a 75 rater was very good & back to a 64 rater obviously a plus but unfortunately the early price is gone & she's a touch unders in the current market. Sinister & Gojoe will be in the finish from their good draws.
SUGGESTED BET:
NONE
Race 8:
6th change of trainer for All Da Rage with the owner Andrew German now taking over. Has the speed to hold early & I think they'll hold. Good enough to win but a query in the new stable maybe? Magic Mike was very good in a 75 rater last week & probably should've won. Likely to build momentum from out wide & ask the question of All Da Rage. If the lead is there he'll be hard to beat albeit in a stronger race than last week. I'm going to get sucked in by Dennis again. Just been so unlucky of late but you have to drive him for luck & with no sprint lane at Mildura it can be hard to catch him. Gets a nice run through & settle 3 pegs at worst. If the run comes he'll be right in the finish. Platinum Stride was an impressive winner last week having to do it tough from the death. Likely he'll have to move to the death & out tough them again here.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 7 Dennis @ $6/$2 - I reckon he'll drift from this quote
Race 9:
Not a bad fast class race. Sahara Tiger is the reigning Mildura Cup winner & this is his 1st start back at Mildura since that win. He's flying too. Last 2 he's hit the line strongly at massive odds against strong class & probably should've placed with a clear run in the metro Kilmore meeting Saturday night. Looks the one to beat. Ozzie Battler the big improver. His form looks and is terrible. Only beaten 1 home in his past 3 runs beaten a combined 150m! He hasn't been able to find the pegs since his first up 3rd in a claimer & thats where he races best, pace in the top couple. He's a massive chance to lead them & there really doesn't look to be a natural death seat horse in the race. I doubt he can win but I think he can turn around his poor form. (Hopefully he doesnt make look like an idiot!) Bernie Winkle is always a chance in these races. Just needs some early tempo to be a chance. If theyre stealing 31s quarters up front, I doubt he can win.
SUGGESTED BET:
SMALL PLACE No 3 Ozzie Battler @ $4
Race 10:
Might give Another Sparky another chance. Could lead last week & spat the dummy a long way out. Has done that previously & won the next start. Doesnt look to be a heap of pressure on here & I think he'll go close with an easy time of it in front. The main danger on his back Roll With Ron. A forgive run first up for Kate Attard when just couldn't get into the race. Gets the cold sit on the leader & is a huge chance if the run comes. Regardless the best horse in the race but is going to have to earn it to win from outside the back row. Treacherous Saint a knock out hope.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 1 Another Sparky @ $5.50
Race 11:
Bizzness Class jumps up in class after his maiden victory after leading all the way last week. This race has much more depth but he'll be in front again & gets his chance to double up. Im keen on Wesaidso. Loved his run when having to come 4 & 5 wide late & snagged 2nd placing last week. That was 3 runs in a row that he's been impressive without winning for the Watson stable & finally gets a soft draw. Looks perfectly suited to run a race. I was calling for Half Moon Beach to be spelled in early June but he's slowly returning to form. He can peel off some quick sectionals so any pace on early he'll love & back in class. Rockaria & Aintsobad the other winning chances.
SUGGESTED BET:
3x7EW No 7 Wesaidso @ $10/$2.70 (BEST VALUE BET)
1x2EW No 11 Half Moon Beach @ $26/$5 (BEST ROUGHY)
Race 12:
Fletch Maguire looks too good for these & I'm keep away from this one.
SUGGESTED BET:
None
FRIDAY JULY 14TH
Race 1:
He was restrained from the start last week Another Sparky over the 2190m from a similar draw but I think he can lead these in the race to the first turn. Its much easier to lead from a wide draw over the 1790m. Roll With Ron the class runner 1st up for Kate Attard. Can do it tough but happy to watch after nearly 2 months without a run. Happy to play Another Sparky straight out. Boss Major a minor chance if the run comes
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 5 Another Sparky @ $3.5
Race 2:
There is plenty of early speed with Come On Sloopy, Siangdi, Ozzie Daybreak & Im Alright Jack likely to battle for the front. Typically over the 2190m especially, it'll bring a swooper into the race. Not sure I can dive into Heza Western again after being on the past 2 but the race should set up nicely for him & Tayla French on is no disadvantage. The other is White Star Village. Been a super horse around this track but just needs luck. Hasnt had that for a little while now but if the runs come, could be the knock out. If the speed isn't on early, Siangdi & Ozzie Daybreak the 2 best chances. Placing faith on my maps & expectation of a quick lead time playing both White Star Village & Heza Western for the last time for fun only.
Race 3:
Bizzness Class your leader & looks ready to win. Is 0/18 for a reason though. Seems to race better with a sit but wont get a better chance to win one. I wouldve had Buziness Class as my best bet on the card if it weren't for the NSW visitor Shes Bewitched. Has produced her best runs at the trials but yet to show that at the track & has done a few things wrong. Could blow these away but has to be a risk at her first look at Mildura. Goodtime Jazzi a strong place chance from the draw. Classic Watch is on debut & has a the widest draw. Gawler trial win was ok, times weren't flash though. Happy to watch 1st up.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 1 Bizzness Class @ $4.20
Race 4:
Chogi has enough speed to hold but likely to hand up to Son Of Zodiac. That horse can really get pulling & that can be a disaster over the 2190m. Did exactly that when fancied 2 starts ago & dropped out before the final turn. Anything on the pegs behind him might be the unlucky ones here. There was plenty to like about Thiswaytothebeach's 1st up run for the Attard stable. Down in class and they may opt to settle closer but could be in the death. Can win swooping or doing it tough & the one I want to be on at anything $3.5. The snipers got $8! Tougher from the 2nd row draw this week for Luv Me Or Hate Me but can run a race with the right run.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 5 Thiswaytothebeach @ $3.90
Race 5:
Miss Artemis might have enough gate speed to hold them, JUST. Bettor Star the one that will be sailing across & that short run to the turn will make it tough to get across. If he did lead, he'll be mighty hard to run down. Gojoe will either settle leaders back or 3 pegs and looks to get his chance to make it 2 from 2 but I just thought he had every chance in winning last week & it was only because the leader went rough that he won. Might be a place only proposition. Goodtime Maddie was good along the pegs last week in a strong race. Might have to come wide here though & Im not sure she can this doing that work. Frankntank can. This bloke is flying & has been screaming out for the 2190m. Likely to make a move to the death if they slow the tempo enough but can also win swooping. Happy to be on EW.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW Frankntank $11/$3.10 (BEST VALUE)
Race 6:
Such an even race here. Plenty of toe early & Heavens Way likely to lead with Wilshire Boulevard hard on its back. I think there will be plenty that might want the death seat spot as well so this could be a "True Mildura Style" race. I wasn't overly keen on the race but I just kept coming back to Gracie Cullen. She hasn't been disgraced against the fast class horses here and either side of those runs she's belted similar opposition to what she meets here. Loves the sprint distance with 13 of her 15 wins coming from the short course races. Looks the value play & she'll be hard to hold out late if the speed is on throughout.
SUGGESTED BET:
1/2EW No 11 Gracie Cullen @ $23/$4.60
Race 7:
Abstractor looks the leader but up in class this week. Couldn't hold out the higher class horse from this draw 2 starts back but I think he will here. Should've won the 54 rater last week but ran like a crab the last 100 metres & cost himself the race. Ran consistent sectionals then & a similar tactic here could work but he'd want to improve his manners. Spring Delight, Denzil Debro & Alexis Rocket are all strong horses that have raced against better class of horse. They could guarantee a genuine tempo. Neds Beach looks well suited even though he's inside backrow. Forget last week over the 1790m when 5 back the pegs and never got into the race. Finished on well his last 100m. He loves the track & distance and was a strong 2nd from the death against a similar field 2 starts back. Will just need a little luck from the draw to be right in the finish. Alwaysbealady looks the class runner of the race & seems to race best over the longer distance. Im risking her at her first look at Mildura & it could be costly. She could blow these away with any luck from the draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW Neds Beach @ $5.5/$1.90
Race 8:
The races dont get any easier with another even field. Speed from Urbadboy (hasn't won for nearly 3 years), Platinum Stride, Cutty Sark will be lit up & even Dennis can push out when asked to do so. Thats the horse Ive settled on here without a great deal of confidence. Just hasn't been able to get into his races of late. Total forget run at Globe Derby last weekend. His prior 2 runs were very good for a race like this & he showed he can still mix it with the fast class with a very unlucky 4th behind Bernie Winkle here in late May. Lip Reader will enjoy coming back slightly in class although has to be a question mark on his form. Been driven aggressively his past 2 & was well beaten. I wouldn't be surprised to see him winning with a quieter drive. National Draft the other that'll appreciate this class. Just hasn't been quite up to the faster ones around here but will any luck from the draw can win. Many chances & Ive settled on playing the value.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x2EW Dennis @ $11/$2.40
Race 9:
Not a bad up to 53 rater. Highway Writer steps up a little in class but is racing extremely well and has been looking for the pegs draw. Can he hold leaders back is a big question mark. I think he will & a great EW play. Rockaria the one that should spear across to lead. Led in a 53 rater 2 starts back, walked them to a 63.5s 1st half before running them home in 59.1s which is good going for this class of horse. I doubt the easy first half will be on the cards with Courtney Katarina drawn wide & likely to push forward and death seat. A mare in great form & she can death seat & win even though this is a slight step up in class to what shes raced against recently. Beaudacious is a blow out chance if they overdo things early especially if he lands 3 pegs. The draw makes life tough for Powersofpersuasion, Sunshine Warrior but are both good enough to swoop but will be relying on a quick tempo.
He’s All Torque is a very short priced fav and deserves to be. Run some cracking races against very good horses in his 2yo season and returned a beaten fav when they made him death seat at Globe Derby is a quick time. Not a betting proposition from the 2nd row at his first look at Mildura but my on top selection.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW Highway Writer @ $26/$3.90 (BEST ROUGHY)
Race 10:
Sharkbite Alto won a restricted race here 2 starts ago @ $1.35 after leading over the 1790m & I reckon if they raced another 10m he loses. He did go 61.8s for the first half & then backed that up with a 29s 3rd quarter so probably fair enough he was gassed late. He'll lead but there is a little more depth in this than the last time he won here so likely unders. Impetuoso the one I reckon is value but we could be getting a good price because he may be left death seating. He run last week looked a little disappointing but considering he worked early to eventually find the 1x1 & was only beaten 6.6m on the line in good time measures up to this class. Its All About Ned is yet to show he's best around here but could improve from the good draw. I doubt he can cross but I reckon Ellen will have a good look. That may open up the 1x1 position for Impetuoso. Dallas Nikolay, Gives Us A Wink & Village Lover can all win but the draws make it tough for them. I did have Punto Caliente as one to follow from last week but the draw makes it too tough
SUGGESTED BET:
Small WIN Impetuoso @ $5
Race 11:
Will be interesting to see what version of Rocking Wroxton turns up tonight 2nd up. When he behaves he has the gate speed to lead & the 1790m is his preferred trip. 1st up last week was just a pass mark from an unsuitable draw & usually a horse that takes a few runs to find his best. Have I talked myself out of backing him? Maybe! The best version of Rocking Wroxton leads & wins this type of race easily though. Start Up will be hoping Rocking Wroxton does misbehave as if he leads he looks nearly a moral to win back to restricted grade. Been slightly disappointing in recent times but from unsuitable positions & was unlucky not to place in a better race last week. The one to beat out in front. Asher Abbey can run a race without winning. Follows through on the pegs to be either leaders back or 3 pegs. Runs its best races from there like most Francis runners. One for the place punters but a word of warning, it'll be a plugathon down the straight for 3rd!
SUGGESTED BET:
PLACE No 7 Asher Abbey @ $6
Race 12:
Can Headbanger cross? Im not sure he can. Probably has a bit more toe than Sonnys Amazing early but it's minimal. If he crossed I reckon he wins. Sonnys Amazing led & was outsprinted by Robert Crocka last week over the 1790m. I think Robert Crocka will outsprint him again for that scenario unfolds again. I'll be surprised if the winner doesn't come from either Headbanger or Robert Crocka
SUGGESTED BET:
IF Headbanger leads IN PLAY WIN
He was restrained from the start last week Another Sparky over the 2190m from a similar draw but I think he can lead these in the race to the first turn. Its much easier to lead from a wide draw over the 1790m. Roll With Ron the class runner 1st up for Kate Attard. Can do it tough but happy to watch after nearly 2 months without a run. Happy to play Another Sparky straight out. Boss Major a minor chance if the run comes
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 5 Another Sparky @ $3.5
Race 2:
There is plenty of early speed with Come On Sloopy, Siangdi, Ozzie Daybreak & Im Alright Jack likely to battle for the front. Typically over the 2190m especially, it'll bring a swooper into the race. Not sure I can dive into Heza Western again after being on the past 2 but the race should set up nicely for him & Tayla French on is no disadvantage. The other is White Star Village. Been a super horse around this track but just needs luck. Hasnt had that for a little while now but if the runs come, could be the knock out. If the speed isn't on early, Siangdi & Ozzie Daybreak the 2 best chances. Placing faith on my maps & expectation of a quick lead time playing both White Star Village & Heza Western for the last time for fun only.
Race 3:
Bizzness Class your leader & looks ready to win. Is 0/18 for a reason though. Seems to race better with a sit but wont get a better chance to win one. I wouldve had Buziness Class as my best bet on the card if it weren't for the NSW visitor Shes Bewitched. Has produced her best runs at the trials but yet to show that at the track & has done a few things wrong. Could blow these away but has to be a risk at her first look at Mildura. Goodtime Jazzi a strong place chance from the draw. Classic Watch is on debut & has a the widest draw. Gawler trial win was ok, times weren't flash though. Happy to watch 1st up.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 1 Bizzness Class @ $4.20
Race 4:
Chogi has enough speed to hold but likely to hand up to Son Of Zodiac. That horse can really get pulling & that can be a disaster over the 2190m. Did exactly that when fancied 2 starts ago & dropped out before the final turn. Anything on the pegs behind him might be the unlucky ones here. There was plenty to like about Thiswaytothebeach's 1st up run for the Attard stable. Down in class and they may opt to settle closer but could be in the death. Can win swooping or doing it tough & the one I want to be on at anything $3.5. The snipers got $8! Tougher from the 2nd row draw this week for Luv Me Or Hate Me but can run a race with the right run.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 5 Thiswaytothebeach @ $3.90
Race 5:
Miss Artemis might have enough gate speed to hold them, JUST. Bettor Star the one that will be sailing across & that short run to the turn will make it tough to get across. If he did lead, he'll be mighty hard to run down. Gojoe will either settle leaders back or 3 pegs and looks to get his chance to make it 2 from 2 but I just thought he had every chance in winning last week & it was only because the leader went rough that he won. Might be a place only proposition. Goodtime Maddie was good along the pegs last week in a strong race. Might have to come wide here though & Im not sure she can this doing that work. Frankntank can. This bloke is flying & has been screaming out for the 2190m. Likely to make a move to the death if they slow the tempo enough but can also win swooping. Happy to be on EW.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW Frankntank $11/$3.10 (BEST VALUE)
Race 6:
Such an even race here. Plenty of toe early & Heavens Way likely to lead with Wilshire Boulevard hard on its back. I think there will be plenty that might want the death seat spot as well so this could be a "True Mildura Style" race. I wasn't overly keen on the race but I just kept coming back to Gracie Cullen. She hasn't been disgraced against the fast class horses here and either side of those runs she's belted similar opposition to what she meets here. Loves the sprint distance with 13 of her 15 wins coming from the short course races. Looks the value play & she'll be hard to hold out late if the speed is on throughout.
SUGGESTED BET:
1/2EW No 11 Gracie Cullen @ $23/$4.60
Race 7:
Abstractor looks the leader but up in class this week. Couldn't hold out the higher class horse from this draw 2 starts back but I think he will here. Should've won the 54 rater last week but ran like a crab the last 100 metres & cost himself the race. Ran consistent sectionals then & a similar tactic here could work but he'd want to improve his manners. Spring Delight, Denzil Debro & Alexis Rocket are all strong horses that have raced against better class of horse. They could guarantee a genuine tempo. Neds Beach looks well suited even though he's inside backrow. Forget last week over the 1790m when 5 back the pegs and never got into the race. Finished on well his last 100m. He loves the track & distance and was a strong 2nd from the death against a similar field 2 starts back. Will just need a little luck from the draw to be right in the finish. Alwaysbealady looks the class runner of the race & seems to race best over the longer distance. Im risking her at her first look at Mildura & it could be costly. She could blow these away with any luck from the draw.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW Neds Beach @ $5.5/$1.90
Race 8:
The races dont get any easier with another even field. Speed from Urbadboy (hasn't won for nearly 3 years), Platinum Stride, Cutty Sark will be lit up & even Dennis can push out when asked to do so. Thats the horse Ive settled on here without a great deal of confidence. Just hasn't been able to get into his races of late. Total forget run at Globe Derby last weekend. His prior 2 runs were very good for a race like this & he showed he can still mix it with the fast class with a very unlucky 4th behind Bernie Winkle here in late May. Lip Reader will enjoy coming back slightly in class although has to be a question mark on his form. Been driven aggressively his past 2 & was well beaten. I wouldn't be surprised to see him winning with a quieter drive. National Draft the other that'll appreciate this class. Just hasn't been quite up to the faster ones around here but will any luck from the draw can win. Many chances & Ive settled on playing the value.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x2EW Dennis @ $11/$2.40
Race 9:
Not a bad up to 53 rater. Highway Writer steps up a little in class but is racing extremely well and has been looking for the pegs draw. Can he hold leaders back is a big question mark. I think he will & a great EW play. Rockaria the one that should spear across to lead. Led in a 53 rater 2 starts back, walked them to a 63.5s 1st half before running them home in 59.1s which is good going for this class of horse. I doubt the easy first half will be on the cards with Courtney Katarina drawn wide & likely to push forward and death seat. A mare in great form & she can death seat & win even though this is a slight step up in class to what shes raced against recently. Beaudacious is a blow out chance if they overdo things early especially if he lands 3 pegs. The draw makes life tough for Powersofpersuasion, Sunshine Warrior but are both good enough to swoop but will be relying on a quick tempo.
He’s All Torque is a very short priced fav and deserves to be. Run some cracking races against very good horses in his 2yo season and returned a beaten fav when they made him death seat at Globe Derby is a quick time. Not a betting proposition from the 2nd row at his first look at Mildura but my on top selection.
SUGGESTED BET:
1x4EW Highway Writer @ $26/$3.90 (BEST ROUGHY)
Race 10:
Sharkbite Alto won a restricted race here 2 starts ago @ $1.35 after leading over the 1790m & I reckon if they raced another 10m he loses. He did go 61.8s for the first half & then backed that up with a 29s 3rd quarter so probably fair enough he was gassed late. He'll lead but there is a little more depth in this than the last time he won here so likely unders. Impetuoso the one I reckon is value but we could be getting a good price because he may be left death seating. He run last week looked a little disappointing but considering he worked early to eventually find the 1x1 & was only beaten 6.6m on the line in good time measures up to this class. Its All About Ned is yet to show he's best around here but could improve from the good draw. I doubt he can cross but I reckon Ellen will have a good look. That may open up the 1x1 position for Impetuoso. Dallas Nikolay, Gives Us A Wink & Village Lover can all win but the draws make it tough for them. I did have Punto Caliente as one to follow from last week but the draw makes it too tough
SUGGESTED BET:
Small WIN Impetuoso @ $5
Race 11:
Will be interesting to see what version of Rocking Wroxton turns up tonight 2nd up. When he behaves he has the gate speed to lead & the 1790m is his preferred trip. 1st up last week was just a pass mark from an unsuitable draw & usually a horse that takes a few runs to find his best. Have I talked myself out of backing him? Maybe! The best version of Rocking Wroxton leads & wins this type of race easily though. Start Up will be hoping Rocking Wroxton does misbehave as if he leads he looks nearly a moral to win back to restricted grade. Been slightly disappointing in recent times but from unsuitable positions & was unlucky not to place in a better race last week. The one to beat out in front. Asher Abbey can run a race without winning. Follows through on the pegs to be either leaders back or 3 pegs. Runs its best races from there like most Francis runners. One for the place punters but a word of warning, it'll be a plugathon down the straight for 3rd!
SUGGESTED BET:
PLACE No 7 Asher Abbey @ $6
Race 12:
Can Headbanger cross? Im not sure he can. Probably has a bit more toe than Sonnys Amazing early but it's minimal. If he crossed I reckon he wins. Sonnys Amazing led & was outsprinted by Robert Crocka last week over the 1790m. I think Robert Crocka will outsprint him again for that scenario unfolds again. I'll be surprised if the winner doesn't come from either Headbanger or Robert Crocka
SUGGESTED BET:
IF Headbanger leads IN PLAY WIN
FRIDAY JULY 7TH
SUMMARY:
Race 1:
Competitive up to 50 rater to kick us off. Lilbitahenrytee looks like the one to cross to the pegs first and get his chance in a slight jump in class from restricted grade. A race with a bit more depth than he's previous couple of runs but I still think his form measures up. Biggest danger is likely to be whoever he hands up to. Could be any of Impetuoso, Martha Lavinia or Heston Blue Streak. Or can Start Up kick through on the pegs and hold? Whichever way I look at it, it'll guarantee a nice solid lead time & as soon as they settle, expect Courtney Katarina to take off to find the death seat. Might mean the 3rd quarter or even the last quarter is the slowest and that type of race will bring a horse like Rojenbye right into calculations. He didnt get those conditions in a up to 53 rater last week & a little jump down in class here. Keen to lay Bettors Boy. His only race here was a disappointing 9th of 10 after working hard. Both wins at Globe he's been close to the pace with very soft runs. Might get an ok run through from the draw but Im not sure he'll be figuring in the finish if having to go with a run 4 or 5 wide late.
SUGGESTED BET:
2/3EW No 10 Rojenbye
LAY No 8 Bettors Boy a PLACE
Race 2:
Interesting up to 50 rater with a 8 of the field eligible for restricted grade. Really gives Heza Western his chance to get back in the winners stall. Looked disappointing at first look last week but he was trying to make ground out wide when they sprinted home in a 58.2s last half & he worked a little early. Last time he raced in this grade he was simply too strong from the same draw where they ran home in a 61.5 last half. That'll suit him if the same happens here! Luv Me Or Hate Me could throw a spanner in the works but Im not sure if the lead is there. If it is he's likely to going to have to work pretty hard to get it. If Im wrong & he leads with ease, he'll be hard to beat. (0 from 4 at Mildura but has never had a chance to lead here) Son Of Zodiac the other winning chance.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 10 Heza Western
Race 3:
Might be the slowest front row ever to be seen at Mildura & it's really thrown my analysis out the window. Must be bad if I think Reality Player who has the stats 27 starts for 0 wins & 0 placings has a sneaky chance! Didnt mind his run behind Siangdi 2 starts backs & will follow the pegs throughout. Best place to be in these races. Daylight was OK in a 54 rater behind Maluka Miss last week so will obviously appreciate a much easier race. The 3yo SA visitors Nicely Spoken & Aintsobad obviously have the most upside but the draws are tricky. You Little Terror arguably brings the best form into the race but the draw is awful. Had he drawn to lead I would've been all in. I reckon we'll leave this race alone.
Race 4:
This does look Chogi's race if it can find the lead but I reckon it's 50/50 if it can cross Im Stuck Man who I'd say would want to hold against this field. They are both restricted graded horses in a 50 rater but there is only 1 other horse in the race that wouldn't qualify for restricted grade & thats Storm Stride who's drawn outside backrow. The class runner of the race & will be hard to hold out if close enough at the final bend. Too tough for me this race.
Race 5:
Can Another Sparky spear across the front and cross is the question Im battling with. Albie has a great knack of firing them out of the gate but Im not sure he'll cross Ferocious Son. That horse has had success leading & winning over the 2190m in 51 grade here previously & looks the one to beat. The one to watch off the backrow is Treacherous Saint. Back here for the first time since leaving the Attard stable, he's won better races than this from the 2nd row & was a much improved run 2nd up last week. Stylish Gem the other back just needs too much luck in her races. The sort of horse Id only consider at big odds. .
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 2 Ferocious Son
Race 6:
Abstractor was crossed convincingly from gate 1 in a strong 75 rating race last week. There isnt as much gate speed off the front line here & he should be leading & enjoy the return to a 54 rating race. In that same race was my old mate Gojoe & he was no doubt a better run than Abstractor. Sat on Abstractors back and went past him with ease in the straight. Draws to be leaders back if I've got the speed map right & back to 54 grade is a big tick. Looks ready to win. Wary of Sunshine Warrior a horse racing well without luck recently. This is as strong as he wants it right now but if the right runs come, no surprise to see him win.
SUGGESTED BET:
2/3 EW No 7 Gojoe (Marked him $5 so hopefully he'll drift)
Race 7:
Avoca Blues looks the leader & will be looking to go all the way. The form hasn't really held up too well from his last start win where he fell in against average 3yo class. 61 rater here? Flame Blaster Im interested in. Draws to get a soft run but there is a chance he'll be 3 pegs. Looks ready to peak here after 2 solid runs back & gets the run he likes & Tayla French onboard is no disadvantage. Feisty Phoebe is racing so well & drops in grade. Tough ask from the draw but she's added racing tough to her armory of late. No surprise to see her winning. Small knockout hopes to Neds Beach, & Urgoodboy.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 7 Flame Blaster
Race 8:
Likely to be a real tactical affair this. Blacktop Rock has the speed to lead & then choose who to hand up to. I doubt they'll hold. The likely options Wonga Lake or Twisted Bliss coming across from out wide or even Wilshire Boulevard who has raced well from the front before. Whichever way you look at it Ryan Sanderson holds the key to the race. I'm actually happy to play on the 2 horses coming way down in grade, Starvin Marvin & Urbadboy. The latter probably racing the better of the 2. Urbadboy beat Starvin Marvin last week hands down behind the flying Rick Reilly. He'll be following Blacktop Rocks every move meaning he's likely to end up 3 pegs needing luck but if the runs come, he can win. Obviously Wonga Lake & Twisted Bliss both hard to beat but I'm happy to take them on in the current market.
Small outlay race but happy to play Urbadboy & Starvin Marvin.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 7 Urbadboy
Small saver 1x2EW No 8 Starvin Marvin
Race 9:
Rick Reilly should lead and win again.
Race 10:
3yo race and Let Me Tell You will be heavily fancied 1st up at Mildura. Would only have to hold form to beat these but his gate speed has to be a question mark. Wasn't asked to leave the gate on debut from gate 2 & then 2nd row draw last time. Not great gate speed on his outside so I'd expect him to hold & from there win. Frivolity will be fancied to run 2nd after a solid 3rd last time beating home a couple of his rivals in Bad Boy Carter & Sir Vincent. Goodtime Jazzi I think can hit tp 3 here. Might be 3 pegs & a chance to outsprint Frivolity late.
The favourite should be winning but I just dont like trusting them 1st up around Mildura. Happy to sit back & watch
Race 11:
Sonnys Amazing & Robert Crocka the only 2 pace horses off the front row. I wouldn't be surprised if Robert Crocka crossed & then the retake was there for Sonnys Amazing. Either way I have Sonnys Amazing in front & Robert Crocka leaders back. Can be hard to catch Sonnys Amazing. Led a similar class race back in April over the 2190m, slowed them to a 63.4s 1st half & was still over run for 3rd. Robert Crocka a chance but Id rather him over the 1790m. Tends to get too fired up, likely to do that here if they fire him out of the gate. Classic Reactor a chance if he gains a start, loves the 2190m & working back into fitness after 2 starts back. Call Me Henry & Tuakana the best swoopers. Not keen on this race.
Race 12:
A typically tough restricted race. Beyonski was well fancied 1st up but got too fired up & eventually chocked down. If she shows the same gate speed she should be leading & her QLD form is easily good enough to win this. Fortitudo will love being back in this grade & can win. I hope they go forward and not back at the start. I'm still not sold on Tashs Mate. Won a trial in very slow time on Monday beating Powersofpersuasion (who'd start long odds on in this). Has to contend with the backrow draw & even though this is as weak as he's seen for some time, he's last 2 starts around here have been pretty disappointing. Manhattan Lass the likely improver from the good draw.
Race 1:
Competitive up to 50 rater to kick us off. Lilbitahenrytee looks like the one to cross to the pegs first and get his chance in a slight jump in class from restricted grade. A race with a bit more depth than he's previous couple of runs but I still think his form measures up. Biggest danger is likely to be whoever he hands up to. Could be any of Impetuoso, Martha Lavinia or Heston Blue Streak. Or can Start Up kick through on the pegs and hold? Whichever way I look at it, it'll guarantee a nice solid lead time & as soon as they settle, expect Courtney Katarina to take off to find the death seat. Might mean the 3rd quarter or even the last quarter is the slowest and that type of race will bring a horse like Rojenbye right into calculations. He didnt get those conditions in a up to 53 rater last week & a little jump down in class here. Keen to lay Bettors Boy. His only race here was a disappointing 9th of 10 after working hard. Both wins at Globe he's been close to the pace with very soft runs. Might get an ok run through from the draw but Im not sure he'll be figuring in the finish if having to go with a run 4 or 5 wide late.
SUGGESTED BET:
2/3EW No 10 Rojenbye
LAY No 8 Bettors Boy a PLACE
Race 2:
Interesting up to 50 rater with a 8 of the field eligible for restricted grade. Really gives Heza Western his chance to get back in the winners stall. Looked disappointing at first look last week but he was trying to make ground out wide when they sprinted home in a 58.2s last half & he worked a little early. Last time he raced in this grade he was simply too strong from the same draw where they ran home in a 61.5 last half. That'll suit him if the same happens here! Luv Me Or Hate Me could throw a spanner in the works but Im not sure if the lead is there. If it is he's likely to going to have to work pretty hard to get it. If Im wrong & he leads with ease, he'll be hard to beat. (0 from 4 at Mildura but has never had a chance to lead here) Son Of Zodiac the other winning chance.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 10 Heza Western
Race 3:
Might be the slowest front row ever to be seen at Mildura & it's really thrown my analysis out the window. Must be bad if I think Reality Player who has the stats 27 starts for 0 wins & 0 placings has a sneaky chance! Didnt mind his run behind Siangdi 2 starts backs & will follow the pegs throughout. Best place to be in these races. Daylight was OK in a 54 rater behind Maluka Miss last week so will obviously appreciate a much easier race. The 3yo SA visitors Nicely Spoken & Aintsobad obviously have the most upside but the draws are tricky. You Little Terror arguably brings the best form into the race but the draw is awful. Had he drawn to lead I would've been all in. I reckon we'll leave this race alone.
Race 4:
This does look Chogi's race if it can find the lead but I reckon it's 50/50 if it can cross Im Stuck Man who I'd say would want to hold against this field. They are both restricted graded horses in a 50 rater but there is only 1 other horse in the race that wouldn't qualify for restricted grade & thats Storm Stride who's drawn outside backrow. The class runner of the race & will be hard to hold out if close enough at the final bend. Too tough for me this race.
Race 5:
Can Another Sparky spear across the front and cross is the question Im battling with. Albie has a great knack of firing them out of the gate but Im not sure he'll cross Ferocious Son. That horse has had success leading & winning over the 2190m in 51 grade here previously & looks the one to beat. The one to watch off the backrow is Treacherous Saint. Back here for the first time since leaving the Attard stable, he's won better races than this from the 2nd row & was a much improved run 2nd up last week. Stylish Gem the other back just needs too much luck in her races. The sort of horse Id only consider at big odds. .
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 2 Ferocious Son
Race 6:
Abstractor was crossed convincingly from gate 1 in a strong 75 rating race last week. There isnt as much gate speed off the front line here & he should be leading & enjoy the return to a 54 rating race. In that same race was my old mate Gojoe & he was no doubt a better run than Abstractor. Sat on Abstractors back and went past him with ease in the straight. Draws to be leaders back if I've got the speed map right & back to 54 grade is a big tick. Looks ready to win. Wary of Sunshine Warrior a horse racing well without luck recently. This is as strong as he wants it right now but if the right runs come, no surprise to see him win.
SUGGESTED BET:
2/3 EW No 7 Gojoe (Marked him $5 so hopefully he'll drift)
Race 7:
Avoca Blues looks the leader & will be looking to go all the way. The form hasn't really held up too well from his last start win where he fell in against average 3yo class. 61 rater here? Flame Blaster Im interested in. Draws to get a soft run but there is a chance he'll be 3 pegs. Looks ready to peak here after 2 solid runs back & gets the run he likes & Tayla French onboard is no disadvantage. Feisty Phoebe is racing so well & drops in grade. Tough ask from the draw but she's added racing tough to her armory of late. No surprise to see her winning. Small knockout hopes to Neds Beach, & Urgoodboy.
SUGGESTED BET:
2x3EW No 7 Flame Blaster
Race 8:
Likely to be a real tactical affair this. Blacktop Rock has the speed to lead & then choose who to hand up to. I doubt they'll hold. The likely options Wonga Lake or Twisted Bliss coming across from out wide or even Wilshire Boulevard who has raced well from the front before. Whichever way you look at it Ryan Sanderson holds the key to the race. I'm actually happy to play on the 2 horses coming way down in grade, Starvin Marvin & Urbadboy. The latter probably racing the better of the 2. Urbadboy beat Starvin Marvin last week hands down behind the flying Rick Reilly. He'll be following Blacktop Rocks every move meaning he's likely to end up 3 pegs needing luck but if the runs come, he can win. Obviously Wonga Lake & Twisted Bliss both hard to beat but I'm happy to take them on in the current market.
Small outlay race but happy to play Urbadboy & Starvin Marvin.
SUGGESTED BET:
WIN No 7 Urbadboy
Small saver 1x2EW No 8 Starvin Marvin
Race 9:
Rick Reilly should lead and win again.
Race 10:
3yo race and Let Me Tell You will be heavily fancied 1st up at Mildura. Would only have to hold form to beat these but his gate speed has to be a question mark. Wasn't asked to leave the gate on debut from gate 2 & then 2nd row draw last time. Not great gate speed on his outside so I'd expect him to hold & from there win. Frivolity will be fancied to run 2nd after a solid 3rd last time beating home a couple of his rivals in Bad Boy Carter & Sir Vincent. Goodtime Jazzi I think can hit tp 3 here. Might be 3 pegs & a chance to outsprint Frivolity late.
The favourite should be winning but I just dont like trusting them 1st up around Mildura. Happy to sit back & watch
Race 11:
Sonnys Amazing & Robert Crocka the only 2 pace horses off the front row. I wouldn't be surprised if Robert Crocka crossed & then the retake was there for Sonnys Amazing. Either way I have Sonnys Amazing in front & Robert Crocka leaders back. Can be hard to catch Sonnys Amazing. Led a similar class race back in April over the 2190m, slowed them to a 63.4s 1st half & was still over run for 3rd. Robert Crocka a chance but Id rather him over the 1790m. Tends to get too fired up, likely to do that here if they fire him out of the gate. Classic Reactor a chance if he gains a start, loves the 2190m & working back into fitness after 2 starts back. Call Me Henry & Tuakana the best swoopers. Not keen on this race.
Race 12:
A typically tough restricted race. Beyonski was well fancied 1st up but got too fired up & eventually chocked down. If she shows the same gate speed she should be leading & her QLD form is easily good enough to win this. Fortitudo will love being back in this grade & can win. I hope they go forward and not back at the start. I'm still not sold on Tashs Mate. Won a trial in very slow time on Monday beating Powersofpersuasion (who'd start long odds on in this). Has to contend with the backrow draw & even though this is as weak as he's seen for some time, he's last 2 starts around here have been pretty disappointing. Manhattan Lass the likely improver from the good draw.
FRIDAY JUNE 30TH
BEST BET
WIN Race 11 No 5 Heston Blue Streak @ $3.2
BEST VALUE
2/3EW ($13/$2.30)
R3 No 4 Heza Western
ROUGHY
1/2EW ($26/4.60)
R7 No 7 Gojoe
SUMMARY
Race 1:
Looks a race in 2. Hard to assess Fiesta Stride. Led in a better race last time & looks much better suited in this class. Two Way Wonder gets a horror draw but any luck in running brings him into the race. Bizzness Class likely to run a cheeky race from the draw. Bad Boy Carter mightve had the 2nd up blues last week so if you can forgive that, is a place chance. Frivolity could be the improver if it behaves. No bet race.
Race 2:
Looks a near moral 1 to beat 7 at first look BUT theres a bit more to this race. Lilbitahentrytee has super early speed and is a huge chance to cross & if they maintain tactics, hand up to either You Little Terror or a retake from Courtney Katarina. I think Lilbithenrytee will cross so its really impacted my assessment of the race! If Im wrong & Courtney Katarina holds, they wont beat her. So I think its a small pre race bet You Little Terror & even small ew play Fortitudo who will eat up any fast early tempo. The draw is tricky but has the ability to swoop if they overdo it. If Courtney Katarina does lead, expect a pegs, pegs, pegs finish so have something on 1 / 7 / 8 straight trifecta. Hopefully I haven't confused people like Ive confused myself on this race!
Race 3:
Rupert Ross comes here with some strong Globe Derby form & will be hard to roll out in front. Recent SA form hasn't quite measured up to the Mildura form so could be unders. Heza Western the best credentialed local & was a total forget run last week. Horse is flying. Cheers Poverty will be thereabouts from the draw & Hawaiianbeach a watch first up for Cassandra O'Brien. I couldnt find a trial for it but raced well against much better than these in Vic before a failed stint in NSW/QLD.
SUGGESTED BET: 2/3EW No 4 Heza Western ($13/$2.3)
Race 4:
This race really is a lottery. Write About Angus the best horse in the race but will have to out tough them from the draw. 0 from 7 at the track. Wemen Bella is a mare out of form and Im happy to take on even after drawing 1. Call Me Henry could improve 2nd up for Kate Attard but hard to get excited about after his last run. Vierra interests with a softer run. Cant do too much work in his races as shown 2 starts ago. Should get a nice run through & run a cheeky race. I couldn't put you off anything that you like in the race. I wouldn't be surprised if anything won. Maybe something on Vierra for interest at big odds.
Race 5:
61 rating race where many of these are stepping up in class, excluding Alexis Rocket & Wilshire Boulevard. Alexis Rocket looks the best placed of the 2 from the draw & I think he's a bet against these even if he's death seating. Spring Delight had a trial last week against 55 raters but likely to be in front & get his chance again. Dougs Cino will run a cheeky race especially if he managed to cross to the pegs early. We'll find out how good Heavensway is from the draw but of the horses rising in class, it's the one with the most upside. Tricky race again but happy to have something on Alexis Rocket
Race 6:
He's eligible for the restricted race Rockaria but they've opted for the $7k prizemoney instead here & why not after his win at Echuca. Its a massive advantage to be in front there (even more so than Mildura!) and this is stronger so we'll find out how well he's going. One thing is for sure, he'll be leading. CC Jones draws his back & this is a big class drop however he may struggle to hold leaders back. Might have to out sprint them from 3 pegs & hope for a run. Storm Stride could the one that finds leaders back & he'll enjoy a softer run. My old mate Rojenbye is flying and is likely to position closer than usual here. Going to need a bit to go right against these to figure & no Jack Laugher. Sunshine Warrior the knockout if they overdo things in front. Might be an in play race for me, backing CC Jones if he holds leaders back.
Race 7:
Abstractor jumps from a 54 to 75 rater here but is your likely leader & his times are close to matching this grade. Needs to step again though. Gojoe Im happy to play EW more the place. Should be leaders back & hopefully the run comes early this week. Overpowering the other. He'll be on the move early to death seat to try & outstay them. Hopefully the stay in front of Cutty Sark early as they're likely to try & use the same tactics. Blacktop Rock out sprinted Overpowering last start after a soft run 3 pegs. Unlikely to receive that sort of run here but cant ignore the winning form. Believe In Forever the other likely to be in the market but it's a horse I struggle to catch. Will be put into the race from the draw & Ellen on.
SUGGESTED BETS:
WIN No 11 Overpowering (if $3+)
1x4EW No 7 Gojoe ($26/$4.6)
Race 8:
The fast class race I'm not spending too much time on. Think 8,9,10 or 11 can win.
Race 9:
Im Alright Jack the leader & a horse that just struggles over the 2190m. 0/19. White Star Village is the opposite and improves the further they run. Forget last week after a farcical speed was set & he had no luck the 2 starts prior. Wayne Hill onboard is no loss & just needs a bit of luck in running to be winning this. Bruised Ego hasn't won since 2020 but looks well suited in this class. Im Stuck Man a place chance, racing really well. For Tony is improving with each run with Naomi Kerr & whilst I dont think he can win, a chance to fill the placings. Apache Wind will need the speed on early to be a chance.
SUGGESTED BET: SMALL WIN No 4 White Star Village
Race 10
A massive class discrepancy with some of these. We have a couple of 30 raters drawn 1 & 2 vs 52+ raters on the backrow. Petrea Bromac wont know herself in this class but she is a mare out of form & she may just not be racing well enough. Maluka Miss the likely short priced fav & as I mentioned previously Im not sure how well the Globe Derby form is matching up against the Mildura form recently. Going to have to death seat & out tough them. Daylight an interesting runner for Fred Posgate after breaking her maiden at Wagga in ok time for that track. Miss Artemis could improve 2nd up for Summit Bloodstock under Reece Moore for the first time. Couldnt Recommend the other who has won better races than this in the past but the draw makes things tough. Too hard to line these up but I'll lay the fav for something small if the odds are ridiculously short. ($1.10 TAB, I thought abut $1.70 chance)
Race 11
Thebestisyettocome has been racing well in low graded races around Globe Derby & will no doubt be fancied here. Thought Heston Blue Chip gets its chance in this though. Can fly the gate & if leads the one to beat. Dont leave Robert Croker out of exotics. Can unleash a strong sprint especially against this class if they overdo it early.
SUGGESTED BET: WIN No 5 Heston Blue Streak
Race 12
Thought Sharkbite Alto was the one to beat. Yep its won 1 from 31 but this is very weak. Liked his run last week when having to push 4 & 5 wide the last 600-800m here. Has always run it's best races when on speed & I think the front is there. The track will suit & the 1790m is ideal but was pretty disappointed to see $1.75 next to his name! Thought we'd be getting black odds. He's a bet if he drifts but looks unlikely.
SUGGESTED BET: WIN No 2 Sharkbite Alto (if $2+)
WIN Race 11 No 5 Heston Blue Streak @ $3.2
BEST VALUE
2/3EW ($13/$2.30)
R3 No 4 Heza Western
ROUGHY
1/2EW ($26/4.60)
R7 No 7 Gojoe
SUMMARY
Race 1:
Looks a race in 2. Hard to assess Fiesta Stride. Led in a better race last time & looks much better suited in this class. Two Way Wonder gets a horror draw but any luck in running brings him into the race. Bizzness Class likely to run a cheeky race from the draw. Bad Boy Carter mightve had the 2nd up blues last week so if you can forgive that, is a place chance. Frivolity could be the improver if it behaves. No bet race.
Race 2:
Looks a near moral 1 to beat 7 at first look BUT theres a bit more to this race. Lilbitahentrytee has super early speed and is a huge chance to cross & if they maintain tactics, hand up to either You Little Terror or a retake from Courtney Katarina. I think Lilbithenrytee will cross so its really impacted my assessment of the race! If Im wrong & Courtney Katarina holds, they wont beat her. So I think its a small pre race bet You Little Terror & even small ew play Fortitudo who will eat up any fast early tempo. The draw is tricky but has the ability to swoop if they overdo it. If Courtney Katarina does lead, expect a pegs, pegs, pegs finish so have something on 1 / 7 / 8 straight trifecta. Hopefully I haven't confused people like Ive confused myself on this race!
Race 3:
Rupert Ross comes here with some strong Globe Derby form & will be hard to roll out in front. Recent SA form hasn't quite measured up to the Mildura form so could be unders. Heza Western the best credentialed local & was a total forget run last week. Horse is flying. Cheers Poverty will be thereabouts from the draw & Hawaiianbeach a watch first up for Cassandra O'Brien. I couldnt find a trial for it but raced well against much better than these in Vic before a failed stint in NSW/QLD.
SUGGESTED BET: 2/3EW No 4 Heza Western ($13/$2.3)
Race 4:
This race really is a lottery. Write About Angus the best horse in the race but will have to out tough them from the draw. 0 from 7 at the track. Wemen Bella is a mare out of form and Im happy to take on even after drawing 1. Call Me Henry could improve 2nd up for Kate Attard but hard to get excited about after his last run. Vierra interests with a softer run. Cant do too much work in his races as shown 2 starts ago. Should get a nice run through & run a cheeky race. I couldn't put you off anything that you like in the race. I wouldn't be surprised if anything won. Maybe something on Vierra for interest at big odds.
Race 5:
61 rating race where many of these are stepping up in class, excluding Alexis Rocket & Wilshire Boulevard. Alexis Rocket looks the best placed of the 2 from the draw & I think he's a bet against these even if he's death seating. Spring Delight had a trial last week against 55 raters but likely to be in front & get his chance again. Dougs Cino will run a cheeky race especially if he managed to cross to the pegs early. We'll find out how good Heavensway is from the draw but of the horses rising in class, it's the one with the most upside. Tricky race again but happy to have something on Alexis Rocket
Race 6:
He's eligible for the restricted race Rockaria but they've opted for the $7k prizemoney instead here & why not after his win at Echuca. Its a massive advantage to be in front there (even more so than Mildura!) and this is stronger so we'll find out how well he's going. One thing is for sure, he'll be leading. CC Jones draws his back & this is a big class drop however he may struggle to hold leaders back. Might have to out sprint them from 3 pegs & hope for a run. Storm Stride could the one that finds leaders back & he'll enjoy a softer run. My old mate Rojenbye is flying and is likely to position closer than usual here. Going to need a bit to go right against these to figure & no Jack Laugher. Sunshine Warrior the knockout if they overdo things in front. Might be an in play race for me, backing CC Jones if he holds leaders back.
Race 7:
Abstractor jumps from a 54 to 75 rater here but is your likely leader & his times are close to matching this grade. Needs to step again though. Gojoe Im happy to play EW more the place. Should be leaders back & hopefully the run comes early this week. Overpowering the other. He'll be on the move early to death seat to try & outstay them. Hopefully the stay in front of Cutty Sark early as they're likely to try & use the same tactics. Blacktop Rock out sprinted Overpowering last start after a soft run 3 pegs. Unlikely to receive that sort of run here but cant ignore the winning form. Believe In Forever the other likely to be in the market but it's a horse I struggle to catch. Will be put into the race from the draw & Ellen on.
SUGGESTED BETS:
WIN No 11 Overpowering (if $3+)
1x4EW No 7 Gojoe ($26/$4.6)
Race 8:
The fast class race I'm not spending too much time on. Think 8,9,10 or 11 can win.
Race 9:
Im Alright Jack the leader & a horse that just struggles over the 2190m. 0/19. White Star Village is the opposite and improves the further they run. Forget last week after a farcical speed was set & he had no luck the 2 starts prior. Wayne Hill onboard is no loss & just needs a bit of luck in running to be winning this. Bruised Ego hasn't won since 2020 but looks well suited in this class. Im Stuck Man a place chance, racing really well. For Tony is improving with each run with Naomi Kerr & whilst I dont think he can win, a chance to fill the placings. Apache Wind will need the speed on early to be a chance.
SUGGESTED BET: SMALL WIN No 4 White Star Village
Race 10
A massive class discrepancy with some of these. We have a couple of 30 raters drawn 1 & 2 vs 52+ raters on the backrow. Petrea Bromac wont know herself in this class but she is a mare out of form & she may just not be racing well enough. Maluka Miss the likely short priced fav & as I mentioned previously Im not sure how well the Globe Derby form is matching up against the Mildura form recently. Going to have to death seat & out tough them. Daylight an interesting runner for Fred Posgate after breaking her maiden at Wagga in ok time for that track. Miss Artemis could improve 2nd up for Summit Bloodstock under Reece Moore for the first time. Couldnt Recommend the other who has won better races than this in the past but the draw makes things tough. Too hard to line these up but I'll lay the fav for something small if the odds are ridiculously short. ($1.10 TAB, I thought abut $1.70 chance)
Race 11
Thebestisyettocome has been racing well in low graded races around Globe Derby & will no doubt be fancied here. Thought Heston Blue Chip gets its chance in this though. Can fly the gate & if leads the one to beat. Dont leave Robert Croker out of exotics. Can unleash a strong sprint especially against this class if they overdo it early.
SUGGESTED BET: WIN No 5 Heston Blue Streak
Race 12
Thought Sharkbite Alto was the one to beat. Yep its won 1 from 31 but this is very weak. Liked his run last week when having to push 4 & 5 wide the last 600-800m here. Has always run it's best races when on speed & I think the front is there. The track will suit & the 1790m is ideal but was pretty disappointed to see $1.75 next to his name! Thought we'd be getting black odds. He's a bet if he drifts but looks unlikely.
SUGGESTED BET: WIN No 2 Sharkbite Alto (if $2+)
FRIDAY JUNE 23RD
BEST BET
WIN RACE 9 No 2 Lilibitahenrytee
BEST VALUE
WIN Race 3 No 2 Robert Crocker
ROUGHY
1/2 EW Race 6 No 1 Tact Tory (NTD)
SUMMARY
Race 1:
Maggacis was looming to win a race here 2 weeks ago but after a fall the race was called off. If he reproduces that should be winning here. Although Bad Boy Carter was a solid first up run from leaders back last week. Loomed up to beat Avoca Blues but his run ended late. Looks likely to cross early & get the exact same run. A bit of a lottery the rest of them. Confident it'll be a 3-5 quinella
Race 2:
Siangdi had her chance after leading in a 51 rater over the 1790m but looks the one to beat from the draw back to a 47 rating race. Should be leading & whilst there will be some pressure early on should be able to slow them to get a breather & get her chance again. D Day. Headbanger a huge chance back in this grade especially if he did cross. A much better horse over the sprint distance & must be a huge threat. Same can be said for Im Alright Jack. If those 3 overdo it, Impetuoso & Sharkbite Alto right in this with a winning chance. No bet for me.
Race 3:
Robert Crocker, the quickest beginner in this grade in the region will lead = TICK! Back to 1790m = TICK! Back to restricted grade = TICK! Ryan Sanderson back on = TICK! Going to be hard to roll out in front even though this restricted race has a little more depth than usual. The sharks took the $9 available overnight but Im still keen at the $6.5Im a little wary of Zion Bromac. He broke last time in a 51 rater & could be the improver from leaders back. Happy to risk Tashas Mate although it could prove to be a pain to Robert Crocker if Wayne Hill decide to put the pressure on too early. If they do overdo things the Highway Writer & You Little Terror come into the race. Happy to play on Robert Crocker hoping for an all the way win.
SUGGESTED BET: WIN No 3 Robert Crocker
Race 4:
Ronzel Micky led & just got knocked off 2 starts back in a 50 rating race. Will be leading here & back to restricted is obviously a plus. Big chance to go all the way. The inform mare in the race Courtney Katarina & as the saying goes, you should just keep backing mares in form. Her times have been very slick albeit in 39 rating races from the death. A big watch on Call Me Henry first up for Kate Attard. She has a knack of improving horses very quickly under her care. This fella has been very poor his last 3 starts so it would be some sort of form reversal to win. They are the only chances IMO. Something small the win at $5+ Ronzel Micky & play exotics around 1, 5 & 10.
Race 5:
Hard to see Rick Reilly losing this. The small field suits & should finally find the front in a race here. The only question is whether he's in the same sort of form as he was earlier in the season but still looks the one to beat from out in front. Bernie Winkle the obviously threat & the small field looks to suit on paper but if Rick Reilly slows the race to suit that wont suit him coming with one run. Overpowering will be trying to do exactly that from the death but looks better suited in a grade below. I wouldve love to have snagged some of the opening $2.30 on RR as I think he's more of a $1.6 shot & into $1.70 now.
Race 6:
I reckon Tact Tates half brother will improve greatly in this race, Tact Tory. Doesn't quite have the early speed his half brother had but I think he'll show enough to hold the back of Beaudacious here & I expect that horse to hold. I really liked the way he finish off his race last week in a strong 28.7s last quarter behind Abstractor from 4 back the pegs. Settles much closer here in a similar race. Ryan Sanderson is back on who has driven this bloke to his last 4 wins. Expect him to go close with luck BUT the 2 scratching now mean NTD so Im a little wary & will adjust my bet accordingly.. Beaudacious can fly the gate & will run well from out if crossed & Ozzie Daybreak will be trying to cross from out wide. The horse is flying & if he managed to bully his way to the front would be near unbeatable in this. Can still win death seating too. The other scenario is Cotchinellie flies the gate from gate 3. Only time it drew the front row it galloped so its near impossible to know if has gate speed. If it does then I still expect Tact Tory to boot up & hold it's back. Tricky race & a small play for me
SUGGESTED BET: 1/2EW No 1 Tact Tory
Race 7:
Expecting a keenly run first 200m but I reckon Abstractor holds the lead & looks mighty hard to beat again. IF he shows the same gate speed as last week. Trying to predict his early speed has been a bit of a lottery lately. Sanderson will come out all guns ablazing trying to lead on Sunshine Warrior & could at worse open up a gap on leaders back to sneak into. Flame Blaster is a huge threat & looks extremely well graded. Just need to hold Abstractors back early to be right in it but it'll be tough from 3 pegs. If they go too quick here, Dougs Cino is low flying. I actually think he's a better sit sprint horse rather than leader so any pace will suit. No bet
Race 8:
Not a race Im too keen on. Credulous looks the short priced fav. Led last time in a 54 rater where he slowed them to a 63.6 1st half which allowed him to scoot away with an easy 18m win closing off in a 57.7 last half. He worked his way to the front there so no guarantee he'll be leading here & even if he does I doubt he'll get away with those early splits here. I reckon a slight risk in a 64 rating race. Arockingatthepark the one that can fly the gate & I think he can cross. Has mixed his form of late but likely they hold if he does lead. Gojoe could be the blow out. Nothing wrong with his last start in a similar race where he had to restrain early & come with one run out 5 & 6 wide. Back to gate 1 here and is better suited to the 1790m. All the back row horses have been racing in higher grade races & all can win with the right run. Maybe something small on Goejoe from the good draw. Credulous is currently $1.28 on TAB so I'll be laying him for something it anywhere near that come race time
Race 9:
Pretty keen on Lilbitahenrytee. I think he's your leader and the key is the return back to the 1790m. Best of the day. My old mate Fortitudo will run a cheeky race even though he's only 2nd up. Can take a few runs to find his best these days but is a top 3 chance from the good draw & his 1st up effort was better that what it looks. Heston Blue Streak will run a good race but the 2nd row draw hurts. Forget last week when he jumped a shadow and nearly fell. Form prior was good enough to figure here.
SUGGESTED BET: WIN No 2 Lilbitahenrytee
Race 10
Real tough race to line up with mixed formlines everywhere + a debutant. Happy to stay out but might have something small on Two Way Wonder after his solid 3rd from an unsuitable draw last week.
Race 11
The early speed here really sets this race up. All horses across the front have similar gate speed so it might mean Only In Rome or Absolution can push through before the first turn. Have to have something on Heza Western after his last start. Restrained back to last after getting stuck wide the first 200m before hitting road blocks before the turn. I had as the fastest last 200m in that race & looks very well suited back to a 50 rating race, especially if they overdo it early. A value EW bet. If you're the forgiving type, you cant leave out Powersofpersuasion. The early walk last week killed his chances. On face value he looked disappointing but the times tell another story. Can win with the right run and I wouldn't be surprised to see a strong market push. The market looks right now with Heza Western into $9 from $12 but watch any moves. If he manages to drift out to double figures I'll be on
Race 12
Didshedoit backers will have their hearts in mouths here as she's galloped at the first turn her last 2 starts at Mildura. They wont be able to ease her into the first turn here either with Half Moon Beach in the race - one of the fastest beginners around in this grade. A few too many risks for my liking! Half Moon Beach struggles over the 2190m so happy to risk it, which left me with 3, 4 & 6. Maybe a boxed exacta for fun or lay the fav if odds on.
WIN RACE 9 No 2 Lilibitahenrytee
BEST VALUE
WIN Race 3 No 2 Robert Crocker
ROUGHY
1/2 EW Race 6 No 1 Tact Tory (NTD)
SUMMARY
Race 1:
Maggacis was looming to win a race here 2 weeks ago but after a fall the race was called off. If he reproduces that should be winning here. Although Bad Boy Carter was a solid first up run from leaders back last week. Loomed up to beat Avoca Blues but his run ended late. Looks likely to cross early & get the exact same run. A bit of a lottery the rest of them. Confident it'll be a 3-5 quinella
Race 2:
Siangdi had her chance after leading in a 51 rater over the 1790m but looks the one to beat from the draw back to a 47 rating race. Should be leading & whilst there will be some pressure early on should be able to slow them to get a breather & get her chance again. D Day. Headbanger a huge chance back in this grade especially if he did cross. A much better horse over the sprint distance & must be a huge threat. Same can be said for Im Alright Jack. If those 3 overdo it, Impetuoso & Sharkbite Alto right in this with a winning chance. No bet for me.
Race 3:
Robert Crocker, the quickest beginner in this grade in the region will lead = TICK! Back to 1790m = TICK! Back to restricted grade = TICK! Ryan Sanderson back on = TICK! Going to be hard to roll out in front even though this restricted race has a little more depth than usual. The sharks took the $9 available overnight but Im still keen at the $6.5Im a little wary of Zion Bromac. He broke last time in a 51 rater & could be the improver from leaders back. Happy to risk Tashas Mate although it could prove to be a pain to Robert Crocker if Wayne Hill decide to put the pressure on too early. If they do overdo things the Highway Writer & You Little Terror come into the race. Happy to play on Robert Crocker hoping for an all the way win.
SUGGESTED BET: WIN No 3 Robert Crocker
Race 4:
Ronzel Micky led & just got knocked off 2 starts back in a 50 rating race. Will be leading here & back to restricted is obviously a plus. Big chance to go all the way. The inform mare in the race Courtney Katarina & as the saying goes, you should just keep backing mares in form. Her times have been very slick albeit in 39 rating races from the death. A big watch on Call Me Henry first up for Kate Attard. She has a knack of improving horses very quickly under her care. This fella has been very poor his last 3 starts so it would be some sort of form reversal to win. They are the only chances IMO. Something small the win at $5+ Ronzel Micky & play exotics around 1, 5 & 10.
Race 5:
Hard to see Rick Reilly losing this. The small field suits & should finally find the front in a race here. The only question is whether he's in the same sort of form as he was earlier in the season but still looks the one to beat from out in front. Bernie Winkle the obviously threat & the small field looks to suit on paper but if Rick Reilly slows the race to suit that wont suit him coming with one run. Overpowering will be trying to do exactly that from the death but looks better suited in a grade below. I wouldve love to have snagged some of the opening $2.30 on RR as I think he's more of a $1.6 shot & into $1.70 now.
Race 6:
I reckon Tact Tates half brother will improve greatly in this race, Tact Tory. Doesn't quite have the early speed his half brother had but I think he'll show enough to hold the back of Beaudacious here & I expect that horse to hold. I really liked the way he finish off his race last week in a strong 28.7s last quarter behind Abstractor from 4 back the pegs. Settles much closer here in a similar race. Ryan Sanderson is back on who has driven this bloke to his last 4 wins. Expect him to go close with luck BUT the 2 scratching now mean NTD so Im a little wary & will adjust my bet accordingly.. Beaudacious can fly the gate & will run well from out if crossed & Ozzie Daybreak will be trying to cross from out wide. The horse is flying & if he managed to bully his way to the front would be near unbeatable in this. Can still win death seating too. The other scenario is Cotchinellie flies the gate from gate 3. Only time it drew the front row it galloped so its near impossible to know if has gate speed. If it does then I still expect Tact Tory to boot up & hold it's back. Tricky race & a small play for me
SUGGESTED BET: 1/2EW No 1 Tact Tory
Race 7:
Expecting a keenly run first 200m but I reckon Abstractor holds the lead & looks mighty hard to beat again. IF he shows the same gate speed as last week. Trying to predict his early speed has been a bit of a lottery lately. Sanderson will come out all guns ablazing trying to lead on Sunshine Warrior & could at worse open up a gap on leaders back to sneak into. Flame Blaster is a huge threat & looks extremely well graded. Just need to hold Abstractors back early to be right in it but it'll be tough from 3 pegs. If they go too quick here, Dougs Cino is low flying. I actually think he's a better sit sprint horse rather than leader so any pace will suit. No bet
Race 8:
Not a race Im too keen on. Credulous looks the short priced fav. Led last time in a 54 rater where he slowed them to a 63.6 1st half which allowed him to scoot away with an easy 18m win closing off in a 57.7 last half. He worked his way to the front there so no guarantee he'll be leading here & even if he does I doubt he'll get away with those early splits here. I reckon a slight risk in a 64 rating race. Arockingatthepark the one that can fly the gate & I think he can cross. Has mixed his form of late but likely they hold if he does lead. Gojoe could be the blow out. Nothing wrong with his last start in a similar race where he had to restrain early & come with one run out 5 & 6 wide. Back to gate 1 here and is better suited to the 1790m. All the back row horses have been racing in higher grade races & all can win with the right run. Maybe something small on Goejoe from the good draw. Credulous is currently $1.28 on TAB so I'll be laying him for something it anywhere near that come race time
Race 9:
Pretty keen on Lilbitahenrytee. I think he's your leader and the key is the return back to the 1790m. Best of the day. My old mate Fortitudo will run a cheeky race even though he's only 2nd up. Can take a few runs to find his best these days but is a top 3 chance from the good draw & his 1st up effort was better that what it looks. Heston Blue Streak will run a good race but the 2nd row draw hurts. Forget last week when he jumped a shadow and nearly fell. Form prior was good enough to figure here.
SUGGESTED BET: WIN No 2 Lilbitahenrytee
Race 10
Real tough race to line up with mixed formlines everywhere + a debutant. Happy to stay out but might have something small on Two Way Wonder after his solid 3rd from an unsuitable draw last week.
Race 11
The early speed here really sets this race up. All horses across the front have similar gate speed so it might mean Only In Rome or Absolution can push through before the first turn. Have to have something on Heza Western after his last start. Restrained back to last after getting stuck wide the first 200m before hitting road blocks before the turn. I had as the fastest last 200m in that race & looks very well suited back to a 50 rating race, especially if they overdo it early. A value EW bet. If you're the forgiving type, you cant leave out Powersofpersuasion. The early walk last week killed his chances. On face value he looked disappointing but the times tell another story. Can win with the right run and I wouldn't be surprised to see a strong market push. The market looks right now with Heza Western into $9 from $12 but watch any moves. If he manages to drift out to double figures I'll be on
Race 12
Didshedoit backers will have their hearts in mouths here as she's galloped at the first turn her last 2 starts at Mildura. They wont be able to ease her into the first turn here either with Half Moon Beach in the race - one of the fastest beginners around in this grade. A few too many risks for my liking! Half Moon Beach struggles over the 2190m so happy to risk it, which left me with 3, 4 & 6. Maybe a boxed exacta for fun or lay the fav if odds on.
