Kilmore, Saturday 24th May
Fair to say my reading of the races at Melton, especially the pace, was poor last night but we regroup and push on.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 6 Summer Ace
Been unlucky vs good fields lately and this is a huge step back in class. Got it's only danger on it's outside so expect Gaita to get the advantage by going forward early. I'd be surprised to see it lose.
RESULT: WINNER! Just.. Would've been a tragedy beaten. Drifted out to $2.80 but was smashed late. Collect $100
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Major Crocker
Should work his way to the front early and from there looks mighty hard to beat, if Royal Capone is scratched. It'll be a pest if it isn't! Even if Rochnroll Music crosses it'll hand up to Crocker. The mile didn't suit last star and has run belters in this years Derbys and I'm taking the early odds of $4.20 here at Bet365. Possible collect $210
RESULT: 4th. My speed maps need work! But where has that early speed been from Smokey Quartz?? Death seated Major and did well to finish 4th considering the work it did
$25WIN
Race 10 No 9 Bayridge Bill
No idea what odds we'll get here
with it being first u for a year but trialled ok at Melton and this field can hardly walk yet alone run! First up for Petroff looks a winner
BEST MULTI
$100WIN
Race 4 No 6 Our Petite Soeur
It's due. If Anna Faye leads and holds, Mick Stanley will be the one laughing like a big fat hairy spider because it has shown no bottom whatsoever in it's first 2 runs, even when winning first up. Only danger is Bonny Under Fire but I can't see where the mid race speed will come from in the small field
RESULT: LOST! Weak..
Race 8 No 7 Mister OneTwo
Just flying this bloke and even though I'm yet to tip it since identifying it as a trial flyer over a month ago! Has the ability to go forward or win from behind, either way just looks too strong. I do hate tipping odds on pops but if you can get anything near $2 it looks a lock
RESULT: WINNER! but means nothing for multi punters. I hope some followed through with it tho. $2.30 was bet!
MEEITNG RESULT: Back into the red after 2 bad nights on the punt although would've suggested to back Mister OneTwo if I'd known $2.30 was on offer! Confident with a couple tomorrow though.. Lost $125
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 6 Summer Ace
Been unlucky vs good fields lately and this is a huge step back in class. Got it's only danger on it's outside so expect Gaita to get the advantage by going forward early. I'd be surprised to see it lose.
RESULT: WINNER! Just.. Would've been a tragedy beaten. Drifted out to $2.80 but was smashed late. Collect $100
$50WIN
Race 7 No 5 Major Crocker
Should work his way to the front early and from there looks mighty hard to beat, if Royal Capone is scratched. It'll be a pest if it isn't! Even if Rochnroll Music crosses it'll hand up to Crocker. The mile didn't suit last star and has run belters in this years Derbys and I'm taking the early odds of $4.20 here at Bet365. Possible collect $210
RESULT: 4th. My speed maps need work! But where has that early speed been from Smokey Quartz?? Death seated Major and did well to finish 4th considering the work it did
$25WIN
Race 10 No 9 Bayridge Bill
No idea what odds we'll get here
with it being first u for a year but trialled ok at Melton and this field can hardly walk yet alone run! First up for Petroff looks a winner
BEST MULTI
$100WIN
Race 4 No 6 Our Petite Soeur
It's due. If Anna Faye leads and holds, Mick Stanley will be the one laughing like a big fat hairy spider because it has shown no bottom whatsoever in it's first 2 runs, even when winning first up. Only danger is Bonny Under Fire but I can't see where the mid race speed will come from in the small field
RESULT: LOST! Weak..
Race 8 No 7 Mister OneTwo
Just flying this bloke and even though I'm yet to tip it since identifying it as a trial flyer over a month ago! Has the ability to go forward or win from behind, either way just looks too strong. I do hate tipping odds on pops but if you can get anything near $2 it looks a lock
RESULT: WINNER! but means nothing for multi punters. I hope some followed through with it tho. $2.30 was bet!
MEEITNG RESULT: Back into the red after 2 bad nights on the punt although would've suggested to back Mister OneTwo if I'd known $2.30 was on offer! Confident with a couple tomorrow though.. Lost $125
Melton, Friday 23rd May
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Glenthorne
Was unbelievably unlucky last start and really should have won with any sort of clear running. I expect No Tomorrow and Tezz Khora to hammer for the first 200 metres and split the field up which should mean Glenthorne can slip into the running line. Whilst the times between the 2 heats are miles apart, Terang is a much slower track than Shepparton and Glenthorne was never at top speed. Hoping for a strong lead time, consistent midrace pressure from Wounded & Cool Carrot leaving them a sitting shot. Expect around $15
RESULT: LOST! Badly.. Run off it's legs.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Highview Conall
Thought his run was fantastic over the sprint trip last start. Showed his liking for the longer trip 2 starts back with a crushing win over good company in quick time at Shepparton. Will go back early but I'm banking on the fact it'll be the one getting the 3 wide trail up into the race on the back on Clancey's Fobwatch. Sprint will be far superior from there from me. $4 on SB
RESULT: LOST! Well I read that wrong. Clanceys goes straight to the front early and walks whilst HC sat out the back in a 62 first half. No chance but a good run considering
$50WIN
Race 9 No 2 Musical Delight
Got run down over the longer distance in what looked a disappointing run. It's trials leading up to that run suggested the last 100 metres was going to be a struggle because of lack of fitness. Should be primed for tonight and is unbeaten over the short course. Leads from gate 2 but will hand up tonight and Nathan Jack is the man you want on your horse in that situation. Expect $3.50
RESULT: 2nd. Another boat race but that's what Jack opted for and where I thought it could run them down as well
DAY RESULT: Well my pocket took an absolute battering today, lucky I didn't include all the bets I was going to! Lost $150
Swan Hill, Thursday 22nd May
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 3 Tennaya
We were on last start and she just couldn't hold them off. Pulled her head off in the run which didn't help. This is weaker here tonight and I'd expect her to roll to the lead and win
RESULT: 2nd. again.. Too short and again too keen in the run.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Eliska
Going the stable double here. Her win 2 starts back was very good beating Awesome Mattjesty who is flying at the minute. Has the gate speed to hold the leaders back which I think will be Attack On Command. Should get every opportunity from there
RESULT: 2nd. Thought we were home rounding the bend, then Rocky comes out of the pack and destroys us. That hurt considering I've been on Rocky the last 4 times.. Collect $66
QUADDIE:
$24 for 100%
1-4-9-11 / 1-3-6 / 3-9 / 1
RESULT: WINNER! $18.20. well that's embarrassing
DAY RESULT: Lost $73.80
$50WIN
Race 1 No 3 Tennaya
We were on last start and she just couldn't hold them off. Pulled her head off in the run which didn't help. This is weaker here tonight and I'd expect her to roll to the lead and win
RESULT: 2nd. again.. Too short and again too keen in the run.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Eliska
Going the stable double here. Her win 2 starts back was very good beating Awesome Mattjesty who is flying at the minute. Has the gate speed to hold the leaders back which I think will be Attack On Command. Should get every opportunity from there
RESULT: 2nd. Thought we were home rounding the bend, then Rocky comes out of the pack and destroys us. That hurt considering I've been on Rocky the last 4 times.. Collect $66
QUADDIE:
$24 for 100%
1-4-9-11 / 1-3-6 / 3-9 / 1
RESULT: WINNER! $18.20. well that's embarrassing
DAY RESULT: Lost $73.80
MELton, Thursday 22nd May
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 3 Lucky Metro
Form on paper is no good but considering the opposition, good form for a race like this. I have him leading early and the one to beat from there
RESULT: 2nd. Bloody good run that. Attacked the whole trip, looked the winner half way down the straight but just couldn't hold out the fav. Collect $66
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Mad Robber
Not my favourite horse going around but should have the gate speed to lead here and with the only the danger drawn in 9, looks the winner. Hopefully punters come for the 9 giving us $2+
RESULT: 4th. Punter did come for the 9 and they were smarter than me.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 3 Lucky Metro
Form on paper is no good but considering the opposition, good form for a race like this. I have him leading early and the one to beat from there
RESULT: 2nd. Bloody good run that. Attacked the whole trip, looked the winner half way down the straight but just couldn't hold out the fav. Collect $66
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Mad Robber
Not my favourite horse going around but should have the gate speed to lead here and with the only the danger drawn in 9, looks the winner. Hopefully punters come for the 9 giving us $2+
RESULT: 4th. Punter did come for the 9 and they were smarter than me.
Ballarat, Wednesday 21st May
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Coltrane Bromac
Forget it went around last start at Melton it was 3 wide the first lap, snagged back to last and followed pegs runs and was never pushed out. Worth noting, it was only 12 metres away from Glenferrie College who should start favourite here. From the draw it should race handy enough around 1x2, and I can see a couple of drivers thinking the lead is up for grabs with Metrofromelle leading early and knowing it's not so strong over the longer distances. That should equal a genuine speed for Coltrane which he'll enjoy. 2nd up is a slight concern and he'll probably benefit from the run again but his last win came in similar circumstances over this tack and distance against similar class. Won at $30 that night, should be a similar price here.
RESULT: LOST! Genuine speed? Ritchy Calendar runs faster! No hope
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Johnny Quid
Risky business tipping a horse who lost by over 50 metres last start but there were reasons for it. Didn't look right pre race seating up enormously, then stuck 3 wide the first lap before restraining to last and not pushed out by Gath assuming something was wrong with the horse. The fact Emma Stewart has backed it up so quickly is a good sign that it was just a run to forget. Go back 2 starts and the formline out of that race is very good. Couldn't hold out Amajorjo early, not many would, but then ended 3 pegs after Amajorjo handed up. Was never going to win in the run but only finished 4.9metres off them with something left to give. I think he can lead and it's biggest danger is on it's back with no sprint lane. If he's right he gives us a great run for our money @ around $3.5
RESULT: WINNER! Super drive Brian Gath. Collect $180
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Urban Shadow
Loved the way he stuck to his guns last start. Jodi Quinlan sent him forward early from a poor draw but he couldn't get the death. Stuck 3 wide the trip, he fought off the 2 leaders but was no match for the 2 swoopers finishing 3rd. Not the ideal draw but this is a race full of horses that prefer the mile. I'd expect Jodi to get Urban Shadow off the pegs early here and look to outstay them from the death. If she stays on the pegs, I'll be amazed. Expect around $8
RESULT: SCRATCHED
DAY RESULT: Lost $20. Thanks to Johnny for something!
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Coltrane Bromac
Forget it went around last start at Melton it was 3 wide the first lap, snagged back to last and followed pegs runs and was never pushed out. Worth noting, it was only 12 metres away from Glenferrie College who should start favourite here. From the draw it should race handy enough around 1x2, and I can see a couple of drivers thinking the lead is up for grabs with Metrofromelle leading early and knowing it's not so strong over the longer distances. That should equal a genuine speed for Coltrane which he'll enjoy. 2nd up is a slight concern and he'll probably benefit from the run again but his last win came in similar circumstances over this tack and distance against similar class. Won at $30 that night, should be a similar price here.
RESULT: LOST! Genuine speed? Ritchy Calendar runs faster! No hope
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Johnny Quid
Risky business tipping a horse who lost by over 50 metres last start but there were reasons for it. Didn't look right pre race seating up enormously, then stuck 3 wide the first lap before restraining to last and not pushed out by Gath assuming something was wrong with the horse. The fact Emma Stewart has backed it up so quickly is a good sign that it was just a run to forget. Go back 2 starts and the formline out of that race is very good. Couldn't hold out Amajorjo early, not many would, but then ended 3 pegs after Amajorjo handed up. Was never going to win in the run but only finished 4.9metres off them with something left to give. I think he can lead and it's biggest danger is on it's back with no sprint lane. If he's right he gives us a great run for our money @ around $3.5
RESULT: WINNER! Super drive Brian Gath. Collect $180
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Urban Shadow
Loved the way he stuck to his guns last start. Jodi Quinlan sent him forward early from a poor draw but he couldn't get the death. Stuck 3 wide the trip, he fought off the 2 leaders but was no match for the 2 swoopers finishing 3rd. Not the ideal draw but this is a race full of horses that prefer the mile. I'd expect Jodi to get Urban Shadow off the pegs early here and look to outstay them from the death. If she stays on the pegs, I'll be amazed. Expect around $8
RESULT: SCRATCHED
DAY RESULT: Lost $20. Thanks to Johnny for something!
Maryborough, Wednesday 21st May
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Canyouseeme
Improved massively last start & it's taken me over an hour to figure out why.. David Aiken now trains it. Drew gate 7, death seated and was only out sprinted late by a horse who had the cheat lane run finishing 2nd. The time wasn't impressive but still, had to do it tough. There is bugger all speed off the front line here so if it can show the same amount of early toe it leads on it's ear. It's really hard to see an danger from there apart from Master Mach Manus but I'm not convinced that it's a sit sprinter. Good bet this at around $3
RESULT: LOST! Had me worried when it was refusing to score up but in the end got a flyer to lead. Just got too fired up in front and went too quick and was left a sitting shot. Never really wanted to be on in the run
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Shift Shivas
Probably a little disappointing last start after getting the early speed it needed but did get too far back and hit the line strong. 3rd up here today should be ideal and gets another race where the speed is going to be on throughout. Expect around $10
UPDATE: @ 1pm: The problem with doing analysis a day prior is you do analysis on the field pre scratchings. The 2 is scratched which removes a fair bit of pace from the race. I'm still happy with the EW punt but Classy Guy looks the one to beat with Nikki's Delight the massive overs. $14 fixed? Should be closer to half that quote.
RESULT: 4th. Not a bad run being 3 wide without cover but Classy Guy just had it too easy early and run away an easy winner.
BEST EXOTIC
$20 DAILY DOUBLE
1 & 9
For obvious reasons!
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Canyouseeme
Improved massively last start & it's taken me over an hour to figure out why.. David Aiken now trains it. Drew gate 7, death seated and was only out sprinted late by a horse who had the cheat lane run finishing 2nd. The time wasn't impressive but still, had to do it tough. There is bugger all speed off the front line here so if it can show the same amount of early toe it leads on it's ear. It's really hard to see an danger from there apart from Master Mach Manus but I'm not convinced that it's a sit sprinter. Good bet this at around $3
RESULT: LOST! Had me worried when it was refusing to score up but in the end got a flyer to lead. Just got too fired up in front and went too quick and was left a sitting shot. Never really wanted to be on in the run
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Shift Shivas
Probably a little disappointing last start after getting the early speed it needed but did get too far back and hit the line strong. 3rd up here today should be ideal and gets another race where the speed is going to be on throughout. Expect around $10
UPDATE: @ 1pm: The problem with doing analysis a day prior is you do analysis on the field pre scratchings. The 2 is scratched which removes a fair bit of pace from the race. I'm still happy with the EW punt but Classy Guy looks the one to beat with Nikki's Delight the massive overs. $14 fixed? Should be closer to half that quote.
RESULT: 4th. Not a bad run being 3 wide without cover but Classy Guy just had it too easy early and run away an easy winner.
BEST EXOTIC
$20 DAILY DOUBLE
1 & 9
For obvious reasons!
Melton, Tuesday 20th May
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Nobetterthanthis
Upped the stakes here as this bloke will never get a better chance to win one and draws favourably against Awesome Mattjesty, his conqueror last week. He led up Awesome Mattjesty last week which suited that horse perfectly. Tonight I think he'll lead, run them along at a consistent pace and out bat them late. Expect $2-$2.5
RESULT: 4th. I got the speed map wrong punters. It's a real one paced animal that's going to struggle to win many but had no luck after getting crossed. Awesome Mattjesty may tip from last week craps in. That's racing!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Dentona
I'm going again with this fella even with the 7 horse field. There is a huge chance the likely odds on pop gets crossed from the 1 by the 2 who will be struggling before the last turn for mine and that'll bring the swoopers right into the race. Being drawn outside Melita Bromac not the worst as they usually both snag back early meaning Dentona will follow Melita everywhere in the race. Expect $5
RESULT: WINNER! You little ripper. We were helped out by the favourite going roughy around the last bend once again but I'll take it! Was cursing Greg Sugars early after he went to the pegs rather than follow Melita Bromac but it didn't matter. Collect $259
DAY RESULT: Won $109
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Nobetterthanthis
Upped the stakes here as this bloke will never get a better chance to win one and draws favourably against Awesome Mattjesty, his conqueror last week. He led up Awesome Mattjesty last week which suited that horse perfectly. Tonight I think he'll lead, run them along at a consistent pace and out bat them late. Expect $2-$2.5
RESULT: 4th. I got the speed map wrong punters. It's a real one paced animal that's going to struggle to win many but had no luck after getting crossed. Awesome Mattjesty may tip from last week craps in. That's racing!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Dentona
I'm going again with this fella even with the 7 horse field. There is a huge chance the likely odds on pop gets crossed from the 1 by the 2 who will be struggling before the last turn for mine and that'll bring the swoopers right into the race. Being drawn outside Melita Bromac not the worst as they usually both snag back early meaning Dentona will follow Melita everywhere in the race. Expect $5
RESULT: WINNER! You little ripper. We were helped out by the favourite going roughy around the last bend once again but I'll take it! Was cursing Greg Sugars early after he went to the pegs rather than follow Melita Bromac but it didn't matter. Collect $259
DAY RESULT: Won $109
Cobram, Monday 19th May
Not a fan of the Cobram track at all as it's biased to front runners however some drivers get over excited and think that's the only way to win and ruin it for everyone. Hopefully not the case today
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 2 Ramblenroller
Went well against good opposition last start, only finishing 8 metres off Stunning Grin who'd thrash this mob. If he managed to cross the 1 early, I think we're in the queue at around $3
BET365 UPDATE: Opened $4.20. Into $3 @ 1pm
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in. Collect $120
$25WIN
Race 8 No 1 Raylan Gibbins
Hasn't been the same horse this time in but it's recent runs have been good enough to win against this class. Should be able to hold them out early and with Nathan Jack on board, he looks a good bet at around $3
BET365 UPDATE: Opened $3.75 into $2.40 @ 1pm
RESULT: 2nd. Shouldn't have lost, Nathan Jack did everything possible. Its a cat
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Paul Land
Has a liking for this track and was unlucky not to place 2 starts back against better than what it meet today. The small field should suit, sit's behind the leader and favourite that is new to this class of race. Even though there is only 2 places paid because of the 7 horse field, Im still on EW. Expect $30
BET365 UPDATE: Opened $41 into $26 @ 1pm
RESULT: LOST! Weird run. Looked like it was traveling and went rough for a 100 metres before the turn losing 20-30metres quickly before holding it's own late. Disappointing, thought we were in the queue
GOTTA GET IN EARLY WITH BET365. And no, it's not me, I've been banned!
DAY RESULT: Won $40.. Slowly slowly...
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 2 Ramblenroller
Went well against good opposition last start, only finishing 8 metres off Stunning Grin who'd thrash this mob. If he managed to cross the 1 early, I think we're in the queue at around $3
BET365 UPDATE: Opened $4.20. Into $3 @ 1pm
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in. Collect $120
$25WIN
Race 8 No 1 Raylan Gibbins
Hasn't been the same horse this time in but it's recent runs have been good enough to win against this class. Should be able to hold them out early and with Nathan Jack on board, he looks a good bet at around $3
BET365 UPDATE: Opened $3.75 into $2.40 @ 1pm
RESULT: 2nd. Shouldn't have lost, Nathan Jack did everything possible. Its a cat
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Paul Land
Has a liking for this track and was unlucky not to place 2 starts back against better than what it meet today. The small field should suit, sit's behind the leader and favourite that is new to this class of race. Even though there is only 2 places paid because of the 7 horse field, Im still on EW. Expect $30
BET365 UPDATE: Opened $41 into $26 @ 1pm
RESULT: LOST! Weird run. Looked like it was traveling and went rough for a 100 metres before the turn losing 20-30metres quickly before holding it's own late. Disappointing, thought we were in the queue
GOTTA GET IN EARLY WITH BET365. And no, it's not me, I've been banned!
DAY RESULT: Won $40.. Slowly slowly...
Terang, Sunday May 18th
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Forced Out
Looked ordinary it's past 2 runs but they were over the sprint distances from unsuitable draws. Should spear straight to the front here today and get every opportunity
RESULT: LOST! David Murphy falls asleep in front and gifts the lead to a weak horse and he gets dragged out of the race.
BEST MULTI
$50WIN
Race 5 No 12 Aqua Luvvy
Put in a super run against much stronger opposition than it meets tonight at Melton last start. Only bad luck beats it tonight but don't be taking silly odds from the backrow draw.
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely
Race 7 No 11 Flaming Hero
Risky punt with Tim McLean still onboard but hopefully his learnt from his drive last time. Just never gave the horse a chance and it went to the line hard held. Races better over the sprint trip as it can sprint extremely fast. With early speed from Cobargo Jack and it likely to be pestered by Boyz Torque & Isabelle Delacour. Just get him to the outside and whoooska son.
RESULT: 2nd. A long way from the winner.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Forced Out
Looked ordinary it's past 2 runs but they were over the sprint distances from unsuitable draws. Should spear straight to the front here today and get every opportunity
RESULT: LOST! David Murphy falls asleep in front and gifts the lead to a weak horse and he gets dragged out of the race.
BEST MULTI
$50WIN
Race 5 No 12 Aqua Luvvy
Put in a super run against much stronger opposition than it meets tonight at Melton last start. Only bad luck beats it tonight but don't be taking silly odds from the backrow draw.
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely
Race 7 No 11 Flaming Hero
Risky punt with Tim McLean still onboard but hopefully his learnt from his drive last time. Just never gave the horse a chance and it went to the line hard held. Races better over the sprint trip as it can sprint extremely fast. With early speed from Cobargo Jack and it likely to be pestered by Boyz Torque & Isabelle Delacour. Just get him to the outside and whoooska son.
RESULT: 2nd. A long way from the winner.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $100
Cranbourne, Saturday May 17th
BEST MULTI
$50WIN
Race 1 No 5 Rocknroll Music: Held off the flying Kiss Kenny last start which is good form. Leads and would be a surprise to see him lose.
Race 3 No 5 Goodtime Mike: Should've bolted in last start after getting stuck 3 pegs. Just looks the form horse by a mile.
RESULT: WINNER! Short but can't lose backing winners. Collect $98
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Gozo Lighting
Thought he was huge n running 2nd last start after working very hard early but just kept kicking late and just got nutted. There is a bit of speed underneath him but I still think he can cross and be very hard to beat at around $5
RESULT: 2nd. Got smashed in the betting but couldn't hold them out. Collect $37.80
MEETING RESULT: Won $35.80
$50WIN
Race 1 No 5 Rocknroll Music: Held off the flying Kiss Kenny last start which is good form. Leads and would be a surprise to see him lose.
Race 3 No 5 Goodtime Mike: Should've bolted in last start after getting stuck 3 pegs. Just looks the form horse by a mile.
RESULT: WINNER! Short but can't lose backing winners. Collect $98
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Gozo Lighting
Thought he was huge n running 2nd last start after working very hard early but just kept kicking late and just got nutted. There is a bit of speed underneath him but I still think he can cross and be very hard to beat at around $5
RESULT: 2nd. Got smashed in the betting but couldn't hold them out. Collect $37.80
MEETING RESULT: Won $35.80
Melton, Friday May 16th
This is a great meeting but a real tough punting meeting so keeping the outlay to a minimum
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 8 Inky Cullen
There is
a fair bit of risk associated with this bet but the drop in class suits and it loves a peg run. The problem is Born Again Sassy. It has a new trainer and I think it can hold them out early. If it does, we are laughing like big fat hairy spiders because I can't see them beating Inky with that sort of run. Expect $5
UPDATE: 11:40am: Not as keen with the scratching of the 2 lads. Will now follow through the 1 who isn't up to this class. I'll keep the bet here but if backing keep your bet to a minimum
RESULT: WINNER! Got out in the nick of time! Collect $122.50
BEST MULTI
$26WIN
Race 3 No 3 Lennytheshark: If anything it's be better this week and that's scary
Race 9 No 4 Berisari: Reckon it can lead and value of the race from there in the small field
(Taking current BET365 Odds)
MULTI ODDS: $5.12 for a possible $133.12
RESULT: Lost! Berisari lets us down
BEST EXOTIC
Race 9
My speed map has the 2 getting to the pegs first but handing up to the 4 with 3 without cover. I think they battle out the race from there. The danger is Bettordownunder. Should have finished side by side with Quick Draft last week but was held up late. The small field probably doesn't suit but if the 2 fav's cut at each other, he's the blowout and the $17 on offer @ Bet365 is massive offers. Should be $8
$24 BOXED
TRIFECTA: 3-4-6 for 400%
RESULT: WINNER! $156 collect
DAY RESULT: Won $128.50
This is a great meeting but a real tough punting meeting so keeping the outlay to a minimum
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 8 Inky Cullen
There is
a fair bit of risk associated with this bet but the drop in class suits and it loves a peg run. The problem is Born Again Sassy. It has a new trainer and I think it can hold them out early. If it does, we are laughing like big fat hairy spiders because I can't see them beating Inky with that sort of run. Expect $5
UPDATE: 11:40am: Not as keen with the scratching of the 2 lads. Will now follow through the 1 who isn't up to this class. I'll keep the bet here but if backing keep your bet to a minimum
RESULT: WINNER! Got out in the nick of time! Collect $122.50
BEST MULTI
$26WIN
Race 3 No 3 Lennytheshark: If anything it's be better this week and that's scary
Race 9 No 4 Berisari: Reckon it can lead and value of the race from there in the small field
(Taking current BET365 Odds)
MULTI ODDS: $5.12 for a possible $133.12
RESULT: Lost! Berisari lets us down
BEST EXOTIC
Race 9
My speed map has the 2 getting to the pegs first but handing up to the 4 with 3 without cover. I think they battle out the race from there. The danger is Bettordownunder. Should have finished side by side with Quick Draft last week but was held up late. The small field probably doesn't suit but if the 2 fav's cut at each other, he's the blowout and the $17 on offer @ Bet365 is massive offers. Should be $8
$24 BOXED
TRIFECTA: 3-4-6 for 400%
RESULT: WINNER! $156 collect
DAY RESULT: Won $128.50
Mildura, Friday 16th May
BEST MULTI:
$25WIN
Race 5 No 5 Angrist: Vee Rock has no early speed and Zac Phillips should take advantage and lead early. Angrist beat Vee Rock in a trial last week and by all reports, there wasn't much left in the tank for both horses.
Race 6 No 5 Washington Heritage: Cramp has 5 of the 6 runners. Easy bet, back what Shayne drives.
Race 8 No 1 Jilliby Showtime: Ryan Hryhorec has a great strike rate at Mildura and this fella llooks the leader and winner.
BEST EW
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 9 No 7 Bella Hotshot
Takes another step down in class today and gets the gun run behind the leader and favourite.
RESULT: 4th. Wont be backing it again in a hurry
$25WIN
Race 5 No 5 Angrist: Vee Rock has no early speed and Zac Phillips should take advantage and lead early. Angrist beat Vee Rock in a trial last week and by all reports, there wasn't much left in the tank for both horses.
Race 6 No 5 Washington Heritage: Cramp has 5 of the 6 runners. Easy bet, back what Shayne drives.
Race 8 No 1 Jilliby Showtime: Ryan Hryhorec has a great strike rate at Mildura and this fella llooks the leader and winner.
BEST EW
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 9 No 7 Bella Hotshot
Takes another step down in class today and gets the gun run behind the leader and favourite.
RESULT: 4th. Wont be backing it again in a hurry
Melton, Thursday 15th May
BEST ROUGHY
$5WIN/$45PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Jilda
Has been caught wide in it's first 2 starts and has battled on well even though beaten a fair way. This is a very weak race, that Loong Nien should be winning but it'll be at unbackable odds and is no certainty. Jilda actually draws 1 after the 1 has been placed EOD so hopefully can keep the 3 at bay early and get every opportunity behind the fav. The 2240m suits as it is a bit one paced and there is every chance John Justice will run along in front which should also suit
RESULT: LOST! Never started really. Broke at the start and that was it..
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Calcavado
Finally gets a draw that he can set himself up for victory. Very unlucky last start and to be honest, wasn't a great deal of vigour from the driver late. Jnr is on again tonight but does drive them well from the top where he doesn't have to think too much and the horse is versatile enough to win from leading or sitting on the leaders back. Keen here @ around $5
RESULT: 3rd. Johshy Joshy Joshy.. Tried to give the stablemate the easy lead & they both get crossed! Never got a crack at them and had plenty left to give.. Opened $12 on Bet365 too & closed @ $5 Frustrating. Collect $108
DAY RESULT: Won $313
$5WIN/$45PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Jilda
Has been caught wide in it's first 2 starts and has battled on well even though beaten a fair way. This is a very weak race, that Loong Nien should be winning but it'll be at unbackable odds and is no certainty. Jilda actually draws 1 after the 1 has been placed EOD so hopefully can keep the 3 at bay early and get every opportunity behind the fav. The 2240m suits as it is a bit one paced and there is every chance John Justice will run along in front which should also suit
RESULT: LOST! Never started really. Broke at the start and that was it..
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Calcavado
Finally gets a draw that he can set himself up for victory. Very unlucky last start and to be honest, wasn't a great deal of vigour from the driver late. Jnr is on again tonight but does drive them well from the top where he doesn't have to think too much and the horse is versatile enough to win from leading or sitting on the leaders back. Keen here @ around $5
RESULT: 3rd. Johshy Joshy Joshy.. Tried to give the stablemate the easy lead & they both get crossed! Never got a crack at them and had plenty left to give.. Opened $12 on Bet365 too & closed @ $5 Frustrating. Collect $108
DAY RESULT: Won $313
Maryborough, Thursday 15th May
$50 RUNNING DOUBLE
First ever running double for Poggaharness!
Race 4 No 6 Kiss Kenny
Is flying this bloke but we'll know our fate after the first 100 metres. Flies the gate and needs to cross early. If he does, they can't run him down for mine. Beat a similar field from gate 7 at Ballarat but it is a little harder to cross from a wide gate for whatever reason at Maryborough. Willing to take the risk @ around $3-$4
Race 5 No 3 Amajorjo
I think if Matty Craven had his time over again last start he would've kept the lead (and we may have collected with Johnny Quid!). Just didn't get the running room late but hit the line well to finish 2nd to the flying Mister OneTwo. Leads today, wont hand up and small field suits.
RESULT: WINNER! I don't think Ive ever had a collect easier than that. Both bolted in. Collect $405
First ever running double for Poggaharness!
Race 4 No 6 Kiss Kenny
Is flying this bloke but we'll know our fate after the first 100 metres. Flies the gate and needs to cross early. If he does, they can't run him down for mine. Beat a similar field from gate 7 at Ballarat but it is a little harder to cross from a wide gate for whatever reason at Maryborough. Willing to take the risk @ around $3-$4
Race 5 No 3 Amajorjo
I think if Matty Craven had his time over again last start he would've kept the lead (and we may have collected with Johnny Quid!). Just didn't get the running room late but hit the line well to finish 2nd to the flying Mister OneTwo. Leads today, wont hand up and small field suits.
RESULT: WINNER! I don't think Ive ever had a collect easier than that. Both bolted in. Collect $405
Echuca, Wednesday 14th MAy
A punters nightmare here so lets keep the outlay to a minimum
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 3 Tennaya
Pretty stiff last start when 3rd behind the smart Liculia when only saw daylight late. I think its a chance to roll to the lead early and it's certainly the one to beat from there.
RESULT: 2nd. Pulled too hard in front and just wilted late
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Border Patrol
The last time it run at this track and distance was on New Years Day when a super 2nd in C3-5 class behind Timeseel. Gets back to C1 class today. Pretty easy to see why it hasn't been winning recently. Last 5 starts, 5 back the pegs, 3 back pegs, 4 pegs, 5 pegs & 4 pegs. Memo to Josh Aiken: STAY AWAY FROM THE PEGS AND GIVE IT A CHANCE
RESULT: LOST! Dear oh dear
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 3 Tennaya
Pretty stiff last start when 3rd behind the smart Liculia when only saw daylight late. I think its a chance to roll to the lead early and it's certainly the one to beat from there.
RESULT: 2nd. Pulled too hard in front and just wilted late
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Border Patrol
The last time it run at this track and distance was on New Years Day when a super 2nd in C3-5 class behind Timeseel. Gets back to C1 class today. Pretty easy to see why it hasn't been winning recently. Last 5 starts, 5 back the pegs, 3 back pegs, 4 pegs, 5 pegs & 4 pegs. Memo to Josh Aiken: STAY AWAY FROM THE PEGS AND GIVE IT A CHANCE
RESULT: LOST! Dear oh dear
Charlton, Wednesday 14th May
I've gone back through my results and where I lose most my $$. Horses @ $2 or less. So I'll be taking a different approach on any shorties from here on in..
BEST MULTI
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Milly Perez: Low flying. Should hold them out early and win easily @ $1.50
Race 5 No 6 The Good Times: Has a huge amount of ability. Has beaten Beauty Secret and Restrepo in recent trials. Should beat these if anywhere near fit @ $1.80.
RESULT: WINNER! Well I got Milly's price wrong and Bet365 got The Good Times prices wrong @ $4. Closes at $2 & wins in near track record time. I hope someone snapped up the $4! S-tab collect $132
BEST ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Heads Or Tails
They don't get much rougher than this bloke. Thought his run was good last start. Form guide states it lost by 29 metres but settled 3pegs and was pretty much knocked out of the race after the horse it was following choked down. Close to 40 metres off the leaders roundin the turn, no other horse in the race made up more ground late. Should get one off fairly quickly here and probably settle 1x1. Whilst it's hard seeing it knocking off Cohort, I think it's a real chance to fill a place @ around $30/$6
RESULT: LOST! Had to do everything right to be a chance. Galloped at the start
DAY RESULT: Lost $13
BEST MULTI
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Milly Perez: Low flying. Should hold them out early and win easily @ $1.50
Race 5 No 6 The Good Times: Has a huge amount of ability. Has beaten Beauty Secret and Restrepo in recent trials. Should beat these if anywhere near fit @ $1.80.
RESULT: WINNER! Well I got Milly's price wrong and Bet365 got The Good Times prices wrong @ $4. Closes at $2 & wins in near track record time. I hope someone snapped up the $4! S-tab collect $132
BEST ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Heads Or Tails
They don't get much rougher than this bloke. Thought his run was good last start. Form guide states it lost by 29 metres but settled 3pegs and was pretty much knocked out of the race after the horse it was following choked down. Close to 40 metres off the leaders roundin the turn, no other horse in the race made up more ground late. Should get one off fairly quickly here and probably settle 1x1. Whilst it's hard seeing it knocking off Cohort, I think it's a real chance to fill a place @ around $30/$6
RESULT: LOST! Had to do everything right to be a chance. Galloped at the start
DAY RESULT: Lost $13
Kilmore, Tuesday 13th May
Dear oh dear, is it just me or are some of the fields being offered up of late just been plain? Anyway, here's my crack at it:
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Dentona
Should have a few more than 1 win on the board but looks suited even from the bas draw tonight. The front line is full of speed and I expect Our Petite Soeur to continue to put the pressure on mid-race to take up the death seat. All Dentona will need is a nice tow to the top half of the field before the last turn and I think he can outsprint these. Expect $8
RESULT: 3rd. Good run but was never beating Royal Capone. How good was that win?? Collect $102
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Seven Ounce
Just wasn't suited by the midrace walk in the heat of this final but ran well out wide at Cranbourne late which is hard to do around that tight last turn. Should be better pace on this race with a few leaders challenging early on and has raced well at Kilmore before. Great EW punt at around $6-$8
RESULT: WINNER! Finally snagged one. Galloped at the start and thought we were gone but just loves tracks like Kilmore where it can wind up a let down. Nice odds too. Collect $305
BEST WIN
$25 MULTI
Going to have a ping at the stumps at a decent collect here but it is exactly that:
Race 3 No 4 Awesome Mattjesty: Travelling better than his rivals, should be winning at $2
Race 7 No 2 Our Femme Fatale: Class 4yo mare who was never put in the race last start. Should lead and go close @ $4
Race 8 No 5 Public Persuasion: Doesn't get any easier than this for this fella. Been beating C5-9 horses at the trials. $3
Obviously a risky punt but worth a crack with a small amount @ around $24.
RESULT: LOST! First 2 legs home but Public Persuasion decides to hand up to a $20 shot?! Probaly doesn't win anyway but we'll never know.
MEETING RESULT: Won $282
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Dentona
Should have a few more than 1 win on the board but looks suited even from the bas draw tonight. The front line is full of speed and I expect Our Petite Soeur to continue to put the pressure on mid-race to take up the death seat. All Dentona will need is a nice tow to the top half of the field before the last turn and I think he can outsprint these. Expect $8
RESULT: 3rd. Good run but was never beating Royal Capone. How good was that win?? Collect $102
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Seven Ounce
Just wasn't suited by the midrace walk in the heat of this final but ran well out wide at Cranbourne late which is hard to do around that tight last turn. Should be better pace on this race with a few leaders challenging early on and has raced well at Kilmore before. Great EW punt at around $6-$8
RESULT: WINNER! Finally snagged one. Galloped at the start and thought we were gone but just loves tracks like Kilmore where it can wind up a let down. Nice odds too. Collect $305
BEST WIN
$25 MULTI
Going to have a ping at the stumps at a decent collect here but it is exactly that:
Race 3 No 4 Awesome Mattjesty: Travelling better than his rivals, should be winning at $2
Race 7 No 2 Our Femme Fatale: Class 4yo mare who was never put in the race last start. Should lead and go close @ $4
Race 8 No 5 Public Persuasion: Doesn't get any easier than this for this fella. Been beating C5-9 horses at the trials. $3
Obviously a risky punt but worth a crack with a small amount @ around $24.
RESULT: LOST! First 2 legs home but Public Persuasion decides to hand up to a $20 shot?! Probaly doesn't win anyway but we'll never know.
MEETING RESULT: Won $282
Yarra Valley, Monday 12th MAy
Another light on meeting and there is only 1 horse I'm confidently willing to put my money on:
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 1 Virgil Hilts
Solid run 2 back when lead and surrendered to Follow The Stars and wasn't disgraced in running 4th in a super quick mile for the 2yo's. I expect it to lead here today and if it runs the same sort of race as it did 2 starts back, wins here. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Always going to happen once I reduced the outlay! Take the money and run though because that 2nd horse, Awesome Cullect was something beaten. Happy it's us finally on the right side of luck though. Collect $75
OTHERS:
General Justice: I didn't have the heart to tip it again but has gone back to the trials and run very well again. Seems everytime he gets back to the races he puts on a show and breaks. The old General Justice leads and wins this. Too hard to predict whats in his head.
Loong Nien: If it leads it wins race 2. Too big an if at around $2 though.
Cheveyo: Had to mention it but went too bad last start to tip today. Having said that, Yarra Valley suits the one paced type which he definitely is.
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 1 Virgil Hilts
Solid run 2 back when lead and surrendered to Follow The Stars and wasn't disgraced in running 4th in a super quick mile for the 2yo's. I expect it to lead here today and if it runs the same sort of race as it did 2 starts back, wins here. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! Always going to happen once I reduced the outlay! Take the money and run though because that 2nd horse, Awesome Cullect was something beaten. Happy it's us finally on the right side of luck though. Collect $75
OTHERS:
General Justice: I didn't have the heart to tip it again but has gone back to the trials and run very well again. Seems everytime he gets back to the races he puts on a show and breaks. The old General Justice leads and wins this. Too hard to predict whats in his head.
Loong Nien: If it leads it wins race 2. Too big an if at around $2 though.
Cheveyo: Had to mention it but went too bad last start to tip today. Having said that, Yarra Valley suits the one paced type which he definitely is.
ARARAT, Sunday 11th May
BEST EW
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Lombo Krista Bella
Needs luck, obviously only winning 2 from plenty, hasn't had any the past 2, but looks like settling close to the lead here and in a race that lacks depth, looks a great ew punt @ around $8
RESULT: 3rd. Never backing this horse again if Mahncke is in the sulky. Not sure what goes through his head. Somehow snagged 3rd with a couple of cheap inside runs. Collect $147
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Nikkis Delight
Tini Ridis has this fella going very nicely considering it looked legless before joining her. Did a mountain of work last start but just kept coming at them over the longer journey. Last time over this distance led and was just run down by So It Goes which is very good form. Follows through the early leader here and looks likely to receive every opportunity @ around $15
RESULT: 2nd. My reading of the race over the past week needs improving. I had the 1 leading easily but it gets crossed leaving us 3 pegs. Good run all the same to snag 2nd. Collect $58
OTHERS:
Little Lyn gets around here again in Race 1. Probably runs a place again but likely to be unders.
RESULT: Another battling place.
Union Belle in Race 7 is flying. Couldn't have drawn worse but if you like riding your luck, she'll give you a run for you money at an ew quote
RESULT: Never really threatened but a good 2nd.
MEETING RESULT: Didn't back a winner but still a profit and I'll take it!! Won $75
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Lombo Krista Bella
Needs luck, obviously only winning 2 from plenty, hasn't had any the past 2, but looks like settling close to the lead here and in a race that lacks depth, looks a great ew punt @ around $8
RESULT: 3rd. Never backing this horse again if Mahncke is in the sulky. Not sure what goes through his head. Somehow snagged 3rd with a couple of cheap inside runs. Collect $147
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Nikkis Delight
Tini Ridis has this fella going very nicely considering it looked legless before joining her. Did a mountain of work last start but just kept coming at them over the longer journey. Last time over this distance led and was just run down by So It Goes which is very good form. Follows through the early leader here and looks likely to receive every opportunity @ around $15
RESULT: 2nd. My reading of the race over the past week needs improving. I had the 1 leading easily but it gets crossed leaving us 3 pegs. Good run all the same to snag 2nd. Collect $58
OTHERS:
Little Lyn gets around here again in Race 1. Probably runs a place again but likely to be unders.
RESULT: Another battling place.
Union Belle in Race 7 is flying. Couldn't have drawn worse but if you like riding your luck, she'll give you a run for you money at an ew quote
RESULT: Never really threatened but a good 2nd.
MEETING RESULT: Didn't back a winner but still a profit and I'll take it!! Won $75
Ballarat, Saturday 10th May
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Crusader Acey
Real consistent horse who is going to be suited by a very quick pace here. Thought his run was very good even though he was beaten 14 metres at Mildura but was 3 wide the last lap without cover and not many win from there at that track. That was a C2/3 race, tonight back to a C1. Follows though a horse who is likely to be the one to give it good 3wide cover late and he's every chance to outsprint them late.
RESULT: 2nd. Had to come 3wide without cover and was a good 2nd but never looked like getting there. Collect $108
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Johnny Quid
Really thought he was stiff versus a similar field last week. Pushed hard for the lead but couldn't cross and then never got a crack at them finishing on their backs. Races best on the speed and even though he's going to have to work a little to keep the front or leaders back, I like his chances at good odds
RESULT: 3 back the pegs and never got a clear crack
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Shifty Shivas
Returned from a short spell with an OK run when leading over the longer distance at Cranbourne in C4/5 class. Back to his favourite distance here and follows through the early leader. Has a best mile rate of 1:54sec at Menangle against C3/4 class and if he shows any of that sort of form, he goes very close.
RESULT: 4th!! Closed at $40! Had the pace on to suit and just left it too late.. I'm due for one of these to salute..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $142. Not dire yet, Ive come back from worse but time to start putting some runs on the board
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Crusader Acey
Real consistent horse who is going to be suited by a very quick pace here. Thought his run was very good even though he was beaten 14 metres at Mildura but was 3 wide the last lap without cover and not many win from there at that track. That was a C2/3 race, tonight back to a C1. Follows though a horse who is likely to be the one to give it good 3wide cover late and he's every chance to outsprint them late.
RESULT: 2nd. Had to come 3wide without cover and was a good 2nd but never looked like getting there. Collect $108
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Johnny Quid
Really thought he was stiff versus a similar field last week. Pushed hard for the lead but couldn't cross and then never got a crack at them finishing on their backs. Races best on the speed and even though he's going to have to work a little to keep the front or leaders back, I like his chances at good odds
RESULT: 3 back the pegs and never got a clear crack
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Shifty Shivas
Returned from a short spell with an OK run when leading over the longer distance at Cranbourne in C4/5 class. Back to his favourite distance here and follows through the early leader. Has a best mile rate of 1:54sec at Menangle against C3/4 class and if he shows any of that sort of form, he goes very close.
RESULT: 4th!! Closed at $40! Had the pace on to suit and just left it too late.. I'm due for one of these to salute..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $142. Not dire yet, Ive come back from worse but time to start putting some runs on the board
Melton, Friday 9th May
A few more options here tonight but still a hard meeting to get too confident on. Some great races though on a tough card. Even thrown a trotter tip in..
A small Jackpot quaddie for the early quad so here's a little go at that
EARLY QUAD
$18 for 50%
1-4-5-6 / 4-7-8 / 6-10-11 / 2
RESULT: 3 legs and a second but was paying bugger all.
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Idle Suntime
Forget it's last run when had to work far too hard against some of the best trotters the land has to offer. 2 starts back ran a super race against the pacers after being wide the majority of the first lap before settling in the death. Was only beaten 6 metres in good time. Steps back in grade and has the gate speed to hold a good position up on the lead. Showed it likes that sort of run when beating a similar field 3 starts back along the sprint lane at $70. Not sure we get $70's but certainly double figures
($17/$3.25 on Sportsbet)
RESULT: 4th. Shouldve ran top 3 but anyway..
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 8 Tandias Bromac
Geez I tossed up a few times between Glenferrie Shuffle and Tandias Bromac but have settled with Tandias after watching their last clash a few times here last week. Tandias was stuck 5 pack the pegs after trying to get off the fence early but Alford wan't successful from inside the back row, whilst Shuffle was 3 back the fence. Shuffle got the sprint lane run when Tandias was stuck behind tiring horses close to last. The both hit the line impressively but and reckon Tandias has an advantage tonight. Shuffle will have to either death seat or snag back to last and I reckon Alford wont make the same mistake twice and will have Tandias off the fence early here. They are the best 2 horses in the race with a close 3rd to Magnificent Art who will lead early. Hopefully Alford takes advantage of that with an early move with Magnificent Art likely to hand up. Even if it doesn't. it's a very versatile horse so can win from any position against this sort of class and I just think it's the best horse in the race. Expect around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Super drive Chis Alford. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Baby Bling
Miracle Mile winner who was super 2 starts but against the mares. Did bugger all in the Warragul Cup but just wasn't suited by the track or the draw. Gets the draw to either lead or sit on Beauty Secrets back, hopefully the latter and I expect back to her own sex would be too good for these.
RESULT: 3rd. Disappointing. Got her chance on the sprint lane and couldn't get the job done
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Narra Operative
Last time I tipped this fella it ended in tears after he put in a shocker 3 starts back but his last 2 starts since have been very good. Follows through early leader Our Warwick Lad who is likely to hand up to Flaming Flutter early so he will be 3back the pegs which is a risk but he has shown he can sprint extremely quickly. I expect Flaming Flutter to win easily at the short quote and hoefully break up the field a bit, which should give Narra Operative the opportunity to get a run with time to snag a placing. $3.50 is being offered at the minute
RESULT: LOST! I cant catch him. Sin binned
MEETING RESULT: LOST $68. Pressure on now. Refunds due if I don't pull my finger out.
A small Jackpot quaddie for the early quad so here's a little go at that
EARLY QUAD
$18 for 50%
1-4-5-6 / 4-7-8 / 6-10-11 / 2
RESULT: 3 legs and a second but was paying bugger all.
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Idle Suntime
Forget it's last run when had to work far too hard against some of the best trotters the land has to offer. 2 starts back ran a super race against the pacers after being wide the majority of the first lap before settling in the death. Was only beaten 6 metres in good time. Steps back in grade and has the gate speed to hold a good position up on the lead. Showed it likes that sort of run when beating a similar field 3 starts back along the sprint lane at $70. Not sure we get $70's but certainly double figures
($17/$3.25 on Sportsbet)
RESULT: 4th. Shouldve ran top 3 but anyway..
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 8 Tandias Bromac
Geez I tossed up a few times between Glenferrie Shuffle and Tandias Bromac but have settled with Tandias after watching their last clash a few times here last week. Tandias was stuck 5 pack the pegs after trying to get off the fence early but Alford wan't successful from inside the back row, whilst Shuffle was 3 back the fence. Shuffle got the sprint lane run when Tandias was stuck behind tiring horses close to last. The both hit the line impressively but and reckon Tandias has an advantage tonight. Shuffle will have to either death seat or snag back to last and I reckon Alford wont make the same mistake twice and will have Tandias off the fence early here. They are the best 2 horses in the race with a close 3rd to Magnificent Art who will lead early. Hopefully Alford takes advantage of that with an early move with Magnificent Art likely to hand up. Even if it doesn't. it's a very versatile horse so can win from any position against this sort of class and I just think it's the best horse in the race. Expect around $3
RESULT: WINNER! Super drive Chis Alford. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Baby Bling
Miracle Mile winner who was super 2 starts but against the mares. Did bugger all in the Warragul Cup but just wasn't suited by the track or the draw. Gets the draw to either lead or sit on Beauty Secrets back, hopefully the latter and I expect back to her own sex would be too good for these.
RESULT: 3rd. Disappointing. Got her chance on the sprint lane and couldn't get the job done
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Narra Operative
Last time I tipped this fella it ended in tears after he put in a shocker 3 starts back but his last 2 starts since have been very good. Follows through early leader Our Warwick Lad who is likely to hand up to Flaming Flutter early so he will be 3back the pegs which is a risk but he has shown he can sprint extremely quickly. I expect Flaming Flutter to win easily at the short quote and hoefully break up the field a bit, which should give Narra Operative the opportunity to get a run with time to snag a placing. $3.50 is being offered at the minute
RESULT: LOST! I cant catch him. Sin binned
MEETING RESULT: LOST $68. Pressure on now. Refunds due if I don't pull my finger out.
Shepparton, Thursday 8th May
Another tough day today and I'm not overly keen to play
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Wheresyreallyben
Could almost just tip it because of the name! Has been beating older horses in small fields at the Mooroopna trials so a little hard to get a gauge how well it's really going before debuting today but impressive to beat The Warratah on the 3oth of March and then Metropolitan on the 6th of April. Worthwhile taking a risk. I am a fan of Fill Up but it's trials have been less than impressive although I watched the Shepparton trial last week and it wasn't pushed at all running 6th. Could blow these away but is going to be too short & too risky for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Just a run..
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Wheresyreallyben
Could almost just tip it because of the name! Has been beating older horses in small fields at the Mooroopna trials so a little hard to get a gauge how well it's really going before debuting today but impressive to beat The Warratah on the 3oth of March and then Metropolitan on the 6th of April. Worthwhile taking a risk. I am a fan of Fill Up but it's trials have been less than impressive although I watched the Shepparton trial last week and it wasn't pushed at all running 6th. Could blow these away but is going to be too short & too risky for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Just a run..
Bendigo, Thursday 8th May
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 Rocky Carrington
After initially thinking he was disappointing after having every chance to beat Extremely Efficient last start, Extremely Efficient comes out and spanks a C2-3 class field last week. So obviously Rocky went bloody well! Has good gate speed and may find itself in front which if it did, I think can't lose. Still can win from the death also. It is going to be a very keenly run race though as it's a Junior drivers race and historically, they can go a little silly. Still happy to be on Rocky
RESULT: LOST! Silly? What the hell was that?? Good thing beaten after being stuck 3 and 4 wide early, retrained back to last, when coming 3 wide late, was checked by a galloping hose & then locked wheels when making ground 4 wide! Still wasn't beaten far. Lesson: Never bet in these races again
DAY RESULT: Lost $80
$50WIN
Race 2 No 4 Rocky Carrington
After initially thinking he was disappointing after having every chance to beat Extremely Efficient last start, Extremely Efficient comes out and spanks a C2-3 class field last week. So obviously Rocky went bloody well! Has good gate speed and may find itself in front which if it did, I think can't lose. Still can win from the death also. It is going to be a very keenly run race though as it's a Junior drivers race and historically, they can go a little silly. Still happy to be on Rocky
RESULT: LOST! Silly? What the hell was that?? Good thing beaten after being stuck 3 and 4 wide early, retrained back to last, when coming 3 wide late, was checked by a galloping hose & then locked wheels when making ground 4 wide! Still wasn't beaten far. Lesson: Never bet in these races again
DAY RESULT: Lost $80
Maryborough, Wednesday 7th May
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Dentona
Has been smashing the door down for a win but just keeps running into bad luck. Gets the perfect draw here today following Cohorts every move, a horse who is unproven over the distance. It just needs to get Dentona to the sprint lane with momentum and he's a huge chance at around $5
RESULT: 2nd. Opened $8! Well how frustrating was that. The odds on pop just gifts the lead to Chris Alford and Dentona gets stuck 3 pegs.. He outsprints the fav late but the leader had too soft a run.. SSSUUUUUGGGGGAAAARRRRSSSS!!! And then ripped off by s-tab.. $1.30 the place??? Yep, pretty happy right now. Collect $78
DAY RESULT: Lost $58
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Dentona
Has been smashing the door down for a win but just keeps running into bad luck. Gets the perfect draw here today following Cohorts every move, a horse who is unproven over the distance. It just needs to get Dentona to the sprint lane with momentum and he's a huge chance at around $5
RESULT: 2nd. Opened $8! Well how frustrating was that. The odds on pop just gifts the lead to Chris Alford and Dentona gets stuck 3 pegs.. He outsprints the fav late but the leader had too soft a run.. SSSUUUUUGGGGGAAAARRRRSSSS!!! And then ripped off by s-tab.. $1.30 the place??? Yep, pretty happy right now. Collect $78
DAY RESULT: Lost $58
Swan Hill, Wednesday 7th MAy
A form analysts nightmare this meeting but here goes..
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Vivant
This might be blind faith in Michael Stanley's ability as a trainer (one of Vic's best in my opinion) but I reckon this horse could be a future FFA'er in time and the further they run, the better it'll go. Showed zero gate speed from gate 1 last start and ended up death seating. Hit a flat spot before the turn but just kept finding the line against questionable opposition. The distance and small field suits, likely to get a softer run from gate 2 and there looks to be speed on throughout. Should have every opportunity when the whips are cracking at around $8-$10
RESULT: 2nd. Real good run. Had to work 3 wide without cover and just kept coming. Was beaten by a horse with the cheap sprint lane run. Will be a better horse next prep but not before winning one this prep. Collect $54
ROUGHIES
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Bella Hotshot
Has had excuses in all it's runs since a good 2nd to Local Vicka Lombo and should sit behind Mind The Wire the trip. Mind The Wire is weak over the last 50 metres at this distance so I'm confident Bella can outsprint it, the dangers will come from Desiring Kate (Death Seat) and Niquero late. Happy to be on at around $20
RESULT: 4th. Up to $35 around got the perfect sit on Mind The Wire's back and then Nathan Jack decides to hand up to Cramp... Runs a good 4th. Frustrating, very frustrating for the punter
$20PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Waterboy
Swan Hill is a track that over the 1609metres, is virtually impossible not to lead from gate one as the turn comes up after the first 100 metres. So I think the 1 leads early, Waterboy on it's back but Bryce Copper will quickly run to the lead soon after and control the race. In these types of races the place to be is on the pegs and the sprint lane here gives those every opportunity to run on. The last time Waterboy got that sort of run over the sprint distance was on April 3rd and he ran on very well late and probably should have run. Look up BET365 odds as early as possible as I reckon they may throw up some ridiculous place odds here.
RESULT: LOST! Won't be on it again.. Legless
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Vivant
This might be blind faith in Michael Stanley's ability as a trainer (one of Vic's best in my opinion) but I reckon this horse could be a future FFA'er in time and the further they run, the better it'll go. Showed zero gate speed from gate 1 last start and ended up death seating. Hit a flat spot before the turn but just kept finding the line against questionable opposition. The distance and small field suits, likely to get a softer run from gate 2 and there looks to be speed on throughout. Should have every opportunity when the whips are cracking at around $8-$10
RESULT: 2nd. Real good run. Had to work 3 wide without cover and just kept coming. Was beaten by a horse with the cheap sprint lane run. Will be a better horse next prep but not before winning one this prep. Collect $54
ROUGHIES
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Bella Hotshot
Has had excuses in all it's runs since a good 2nd to Local Vicka Lombo and should sit behind Mind The Wire the trip. Mind The Wire is weak over the last 50 metres at this distance so I'm confident Bella can outsprint it, the dangers will come from Desiring Kate (Death Seat) and Niquero late. Happy to be on at around $20
RESULT: 4th. Up to $35 around got the perfect sit on Mind The Wire's back and then Nathan Jack decides to hand up to Cramp... Runs a good 4th. Frustrating, very frustrating for the punter
$20PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Waterboy
Swan Hill is a track that over the 1609metres, is virtually impossible not to lead from gate one as the turn comes up after the first 100 metres. So I think the 1 leads early, Waterboy on it's back but Bryce Copper will quickly run to the lead soon after and control the race. In these types of races the place to be is on the pegs and the sprint lane here gives those every opportunity to run on. The last time Waterboy got that sort of run over the sprint distance was on April 3rd and he ran on very well late and probably should have run. Look up BET365 odds as early as possible as I reckon they may throw up some ridiculous place odds here.
RESULT: LOST! Won't be on it again.. Legless
Cranbourne, Tuesday 6th May
Sometimes I wonder why the HRV bother putting up meetings like this. Not punter friendly with small fields of out of form horses but they have to run somewhere I suppose.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Royal Deviate
Ive been throwing away money on Dornauf horses lately and here I go again. Plenty of pace in this race on paper and it'll snag back out to the back early. We're hoping that Lance Justice can't cross because he'll ensure a solid tempo is set. With Our Burning Desire likely to take off from the back first I can see Royal Deviate follow it's every move and be there right in the finish.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance. Super drive by Sugars on Our Burning Desire. Sugarman at his best. Collect $54.90
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Madison Louise
Forget it went around in the Oaks heat. Form says it finished last but never out got out behind tired horses. With clear running probably runs a good 4th or 5th. Her previous form is great for a race like this with the main danger Fon Design
RESULT: WINNER!! Just got there. Another super drive from Sugars. Set the tempo perfectly after being attacked early Collect $264
ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Stylish Jasper
Again tipping here on what should be a genuine speed throughout. Going to get back and likely to follow Artoc's every move who Id expect to pop off the pegs early and be the first one 3wide. Expect Stylish to come with one last sprint at them at a track he loves
RESULT: 4th. Looked a huge chance on the turn but Artoc just didn't take him into the race like I thought it would and had to pull wide before the turn. Run ended with 50 to go. Good run. Keep backing at Cranbourne
RESULT: Won $148.90
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Royal Deviate
Ive been throwing away money on Dornauf horses lately and here I go again. Plenty of pace in this race on paper and it'll snag back out to the back early. We're hoping that Lance Justice can't cross because he'll ensure a solid tempo is set. With Our Burning Desire likely to take off from the back first I can see Royal Deviate follow it's every move and be there right in the finish.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance. Super drive by Sugars on Our Burning Desire. Sugarman at his best. Collect $54.90
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Madison Louise
Forget it went around in the Oaks heat. Form says it finished last but never out got out behind tired horses. With clear running probably runs a good 4th or 5th. Her previous form is great for a race like this with the main danger Fon Design
RESULT: WINNER!! Just got there. Another super drive from Sugars. Set the tempo perfectly after being attacked early Collect $264
ROUGHY
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Stylish Jasper
Again tipping here on what should be a genuine speed throughout. Going to get back and likely to follow Artoc's every move who Id expect to pop off the pegs early and be the first one 3wide. Expect Stylish to come with one last sprint at them at a track he loves
RESULT: 4th. Looked a huge chance on the turn but Artoc just didn't take him into the race like I thought it would and had to pull wide before the turn. Run ended with 50 to go. Good run. Keep backing at Cranbourne
RESULT: Won $148.90
HAMILTON, Monday 5th May
UPDATE @ 12pm: Heavy rain at Hamilton = tread warily. Likely to suit front runners but too hard to predict the impact without watching a few races, something I wont be able to do today
$50WIN
Race 2 No 9 Game Deliver
Something not right with him first up when beaten a long way after a tough run against fairly weak opposition. Stepped up slightly in class last start and raced well after having a good sit. Ran on well for 2nd off a slow pace, 2 metres off Mad Robber. There is no Mad Robber in this and he really should be smashing these at around $2. (I notice the harness expert has only mentioned to throw it into your multiples! That might give us some value!)
RESULT: WINNER! As expected, started $2 and smashed them. Price in the Herald-Sun. $7. If you have no idea, don't be quoting prices Herald-Sun. Collect $100
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Misschinoise
Thought her run behind Our Missionary Man was huge in C4/5 class last start. The draw here isn't ideal but most of these are stepping up in class. Back to C2/3 class here and it's likely to be liking some fast pace on here with the 2, 3, 5 & 6 looking to find a forward position. All we need is a bit of Michael Bellman magic
RESULT: LOST! No magic. Stuck 3 back the outside in between runners in a 62 second first half. Went rough on the turn and never looked likely.
QUADDIE
$18 for 50%
5-6-8 / FIELD / 1 / 8
Little Lyn the good thing of the meeting after Smileawayjo franked her form last week but is going to be very short. If they open anywhere near $2, jump on.
MEETING: Lost $68
$50WIN
Race 2 No 9 Game Deliver
Something not right with him first up when beaten a long way after a tough run against fairly weak opposition. Stepped up slightly in class last start and raced well after having a good sit. Ran on well for 2nd off a slow pace, 2 metres off Mad Robber. There is no Mad Robber in this and he really should be smashing these at around $2. (I notice the harness expert has only mentioned to throw it into your multiples! That might give us some value!)
RESULT: WINNER! As expected, started $2 and smashed them. Price in the Herald-Sun. $7. If you have no idea, don't be quoting prices Herald-Sun. Collect $100
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Misschinoise
Thought her run behind Our Missionary Man was huge in C4/5 class last start. The draw here isn't ideal but most of these are stepping up in class. Back to C2/3 class here and it's likely to be liking some fast pace on here with the 2, 3, 5 & 6 looking to find a forward position. All we need is a bit of Michael Bellman magic
RESULT: LOST! No magic. Stuck 3 back the outside in between runners in a 62 second first half. Went rough on the turn and never looked likely.
QUADDIE
$18 for 50%
5-6-8 / FIELD / 1 / 8
Little Lyn the good thing of the meeting after Smileawayjo franked her form last week but is going to be very short. If they open anywhere near $2, jump on.
MEETING: Lost $68
Melton, Sunday 4th May
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Brite Spark Lombo
Did well to finish so close against stronger opposition last start. Can show gate speed when needed and I think can lead the trip here
RESULT: WINNER! Led and was far too good. Collect $200
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Chain Of Gold
Been racing well without luck. This is a little stronger than what it has raced lately but is still a good ew chance and a stronger winning chance if it crossed early.
RESULT: LOST! On the right horse, wrong driver
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Brite Spark Lombo
Did well to finish so close against stronger opposition last start. Can show gate speed when needed and I think can lead the trip here
RESULT: WINNER! Led and was far too good. Collect $200
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Chain Of Gold
Been racing well without luck. This is a little stronger than what it has raced lately but is still a good ew chance and a stronger winning chance if it crossed early.
RESULT: LOST! On the right horse, wrong driver
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
Shepparton, Saturday 3rd MAy
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Our Nancy Miles
Forget last start when never in it but was in good form prior to that. Draws to follow the leader here and that looks the place to be.
RESULT: 3rd. Dead heated for 3rd. Just had to work too hard early. Collect $30
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Innocent Vance
Just couldn't pick up Whats The Big Idea last time and it's likely the same scenario of it following it tonight should occur. Shepparton is a track that you can sprint lane and win much easier than Echuca. It's going to have the run of the race and no excuses.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple. Collect $120
ROUGHY
You know it's coming, wait for it..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Cheveyo!!
Yes my mate is back from a good draw finally. There is a stack of early pace but he should have enough toe to either keep them out or sit leaders back. Absolutely excels from there and is as fit as it can be.
RESULT: LOST! Opened $15 and backed into $5.50 but did nothing
MEETING RESULT: Lost $30
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Our Nancy Miles
Forget last start when never in it but was in good form prior to that. Draws to follow the leader here and that looks the place to be.
RESULT: 3rd. Dead heated for 3rd. Just had to work too hard early. Collect $30
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Innocent Vance
Just couldn't pick up Whats The Big Idea last time and it's likely the same scenario of it following it tonight should occur. Shepparton is a track that you can sprint lane and win much easier than Echuca. It's going to have the run of the race and no excuses.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple. Collect $120
ROUGHY
You know it's coming, wait for it..
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Cheveyo!!
Yes my mate is back from a good draw finally. There is a stack of early pace but he should have enough toe to either keep them out or sit leaders back. Absolutely excels from there and is as fit as it can be.
RESULT: LOST! Opened $15 and backed into $5.50 but did nothing
MEETING RESULT: Lost $30
Melton, Friday 2nd May
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Royal Hustler
Very unlucky last start after settling 3 pegs and never getting a proper crack at them. His run when 4th versus similar company was very good after being 4 and 5 wide late. Eye Like Candy and Niquero had the easy runs up front that night. Tonight he draws the plumb draw. Looks a great EW punt
RESULT: LOST! Galloped out and that was that
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 7 Taratop Lady
When is this mare going to draw a gate?? I'm still keen here. Ran a great 3rd over this distance 2 back from the same gate after being 4 wide early and then death seating, beating a few of her rivals here. Death seats here again tonight and this looks her night,
RESULT: LOST! Death seated and found zilch!
$100WIN
Race 7 No 5 Nike Franco
First time I'll be backing this filly ever. How could you not after her heat win last week & looks suited by a tonne of pace on tonight. She ran the quickest last half of the night last week without cover, albeit after there was plenty of speed on early. Her only blemish in Oz came in the NSW Oaks and that was after she was bolting in the 1x1 but blocked for a run. Broke when she hit the sulky in front of her and nearly fell. Reckon sh wins that race if she got a run. The $2.50 on offer looks value to me,
RESULT: LOST! Death seated and ran a brave race in very quick time to run 4th
ROUGHY
$20PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Its Only Rocknroll
Didn't show a great deal of speed early but wasn't hustled either from 1 but ended up 4 pegs. Broke half way around and looked like no hope of qualifying for the final but ran on really well late to snatch 5th. Was beaten a fair way but if it behaves, the $9 a place looks attractive
RESULT: LOST! Stiff.. Mach Doro leading folded up like a pack of cards and leaders back and Rochnroll were badly held up. Hit the line strong but was never a chance after that
MEETING RESULT: DONUTS! One of those night for me and the wallet is bare. BAck on the horse tomorrow. Lost $245
Clock Breakers
BARYNYA: Sneaky chance but really relying on Mindarie Pridy leading. If it does, is a great ew chance.
CHILLI PALMER NZ: Looks a class above it's rivals but at $1.40, no thanks
NIKE FRANCO: We're on!
Black Booker:
BETTOR DOWNUNDER: Horror draw and going to need luck. Likely to settle 5 or 6 back the fence looking for lucky runs. Wait for a run versus easier
INKY CULLEN NZ: Another poor draw tonight but if got a cart into the race, a rough place chance.
NIQUERO NZ : I was close to adding this horse as a suggested place bet but I don't see it finding the pegs first. Will need plenty of luck from the 2 wide line. If it did cross early, runs a place
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Royal Hustler
Very unlucky last start after settling 3 pegs and never getting a proper crack at them. His run when 4th versus similar company was very good after being 4 and 5 wide late. Eye Like Candy and Niquero had the easy runs up front that night. Tonight he draws the plumb draw. Looks a great EW punt
RESULT: LOST! Galloped out and that was that
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 7 Taratop Lady
When is this mare going to draw a gate?? I'm still keen here. Ran a great 3rd over this distance 2 back from the same gate after being 4 wide early and then death seating, beating a few of her rivals here. Death seats here again tonight and this looks her night,
RESULT: LOST! Death seated and found zilch!
$100WIN
Race 7 No 5 Nike Franco
First time I'll be backing this filly ever. How could you not after her heat win last week & looks suited by a tonne of pace on tonight. She ran the quickest last half of the night last week without cover, albeit after there was plenty of speed on early. Her only blemish in Oz came in the NSW Oaks and that was after she was bolting in the 1x1 but blocked for a run. Broke when she hit the sulky in front of her and nearly fell. Reckon sh wins that race if she got a run. The $2.50 on offer looks value to me,
RESULT: LOST! Death seated and ran a brave race in very quick time to run 4th
ROUGHY
$20PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Its Only Rocknroll
Didn't show a great deal of speed early but wasn't hustled either from 1 but ended up 4 pegs. Broke half way around and looked like no hope of qualifying for the final but ran on really well late to snatch 5th. Was beaten a fair way but if it behaves, the $9 a place looks attractive
RESULT: LOST! Stiff.. Mach Doro leading folded up like a pack of cards and leaders back and Rochnroll were badly held up. Hit the line strong but was never a chance after that
MEETING RESULT: DONUTS! One of those night for me and the wallet is bare. BAck on the horse tomorrow. Lost $245
Clock Breakers
BARYNYA: Sneaky chance but really relying on Mindarie Pridy leading. If it does, is a great ew chance.
CHILLI PALMER NZ: Looks a class above it's rivals but at $1.40, no thanks
NIKE FRANCO: We're on!
Black Booker:
BETTOR DOWNUNDER: Horror draw and going to need luck. Likely to settle 5 or 6 back the fence looking for lucky runs. Wait for a run versus easier
INKY CULLEN NZ: Another poor draw tonight but if got a cart into the race, a rough place chance.
NIQUERO NZ : I was close to adding this horse as a suggested place bet but I don't see it finding the pegs first. Will need plenty of luck from the 2 wide line. If it did cross early, runs a place
Ballarat, Thursday 1st May
Found it hard to find value here so I'm concentrating on the shorties:
$50WIN ALL UP
Race 1 No 1
Race 5 No 4
RESULT: WINNER! Short but something.. Collect $104
BEST EXOTIC
Race 8 $50 QUINELLA
1 & 10
Smileawayjo is a sneaky chance on winning here but the safe bet is the quinella with Bespoke Artist. With the only other danger drawn 7, I'm pretty confident they run top 2.
RESULT: LOST! Horror run from Bespoke Artist. Smileawayjo won easily.
$50WIN ALL UP
Race 1 No 1
Race 5 No 4
RESULT: WINNER! Short but something.. Collect $104
BEST EXOTIC
Race 8 $50 QUINELLA
1 & 10
Smileawayjo is a sneaky chance on winning here but the safe bet is the quinella with Bespoke Artist. With the only other danger drawn 7, I'm pretty confident they run top 2.
RESULT: LOST! Horror run from Bespoke Artist. Smileawayjo won easily.
Charlton, Thursday 1st May
BEST EXOTIC
RACE 5 $20 TRIFECTA
10 / 1-8 / 1-8
$20 FIRST 4
10 / 1-8 / 1-8-9 / 1-8-9
I think Milly Perez is a special horse in the making. It'll eventually death seat and be too strong. Bit Noisy leads and was a good 3rd at huge odds last week vs Adam Cartwright. Angrist gets the behind leader sit and is the danger but isn't up to beating the favourite for mine. 9 the only other possible chance. If you wanted to take a risk, 10-8-1-9 straight
RESULT: LOST! Think I'll park the exotics for a while, can't remember the last time I snagged one! Milly Perez far too good as predicted but Bit Noisy showed zero gate speed today after flying out last start.. C A T
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Fergus McCool
Looked disappointing when sat leaders back and couldn't sprint with them late over the mile. Fact is, he's never performed well over the shorter trips and back to the 2100metres here today is ideal. Has the speed to lead these today but even from leaders back looks a fantastic ew bet at around $6
RESULT: LOST! Never looked like it
DAY RESULT: Lost $86. The exotics will take a back seat for a while!
RACE 5 $20 TRIFECTA
10 / 1-8 / 1-8
$20 FIRST 4
10 / 1-8 / 1-8-9 / 1-8-9
I think Milly Perez is a special horse in the making. It'll eventually death seat and be too strong. Bit Noisy leads and was a good 3rd at huge odds last week vs Adam Cartwright. Angrist gets the behind leader sit and is the danger but isn't up to beating the favourite for mine. 9 the only other possible chance. If you wanted to take a risk, 10-8-1-9 straight
RESULT: LOST! Think I'll park the exotics for a while, can't remember the last time I snagged one! Milly Perez far too good as predicted but Bit Noisy showed zero gate speed today after flying out last start.. C A T
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Fergus McCool
Looked disappointing when sat leaders back and couldn't sprint with them late over the mile. Fact is, he's never performed well over the shorter trips and back to the 2100metres here today is ideal. Has the speed to lead these today but even from leaders back looks a fantastic ew bet at around $6
RESULT: LOST! Never looked like it
DAY RESULT: Lost $86. The exotics will take a back seat for a while!
Mildura, Wednesday 30th April
Bloody tough meeting here so just a couple of exotics to keep us interested
Race 8
$20 QUINELLA
2 & 3
$10 Trifecta for 500%
3 / 8 - 9 / 2
QUADDIE
$12 for 100%
5 / 1-2-6-8 / 8 / 2-3-9
RESULT: $0 collect. Bloody fav puts us out in the last leg
Race 8
$20 QUINELLA
2 & 3
$10 Trifecta for 500%
3 / 8 - 9 / 2
QUADDIE
$12 for 100%
5 / 1-2-6-8 / 8 / 2-3-9
RESULT: $0 collect. Bloody fav puts us out in the last leg
Bankstown, Wednesday 30th April
Off to NSW we go!
Roughy
$10WIN
Race 1 No 1 Singed
A little birdy tells me that this will be it's last run for the current trainer before a stint in NSW, all going well today. Is going to get a perfect sit on the leader and likely favorites back and get every chance here.
RESULT: LOST! It's finished
Roughy
$10WIN
Race 1 No 1 Singed
A little birdy tells me that this will be it's last run for the current trainer before a stint in NSW, all going well today. Is going to get a perfect sit on the leader and likely favorites back and get every chance here.
RESULT: LOST! It's finished
Maryborough, Wednesday 30th April
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 3 Union Fame
Looked to have it's last start sewn up for all money on the turn but as soon as Caldow released the plugs it galloped. Had to go back to the trials for being a naughty boy and trialled very impressively beating higher classed horses by 30 metres untouched. This will be it's 2nd run for Caldow and looks to be thriving in the new stable. Fingers crossed he does everything right
RESULT: 3rd. Galloped early just as it was about to cross and lead. Eventually got to the lead but the tough run took its toll late
$50WIN
Race 4 No 3 Union Fame
Looked to have it's last start sewn up for all money on the turn but as soon as Caldow released the plugs it galloped. Had to go back to the trials for being a naughty boy and trialled very impressively beating higher classed horses by 30 metres untouched. This will be it's 2nd run for Caldow and looks to be thriving in the new stable. Fingers crossed he does everything right
RESULT: 3rd. Galloped early just as it was about to cross and lead. Eventually got to the lead but the tough run took its toll late
Terang, Tuesday 29th April
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
TRIAL FLYER!
Race 2 No 1 Vivant
We start off the night with a very risky bet. This bloke has only had the one start in 2013 for a disappointing 9th and Mick Stanley immediately sent it back to the paddock. Has returned with 2 very good trial wins in good time. It's going to have to be on it's game to beat Snack Beast but I expect it to be trained to the minute by Stanley and get the perfect trail tonight. Once people figure out the trial form expect the money to come so I'd suggest to take whatever fixed odds are available early on. I marked it $4
RESULT: LOST! Showed no gate speed and had to come off the fence to race without cover. Hit a flat spot and looked gone on the turn but toughed it out well to finish 3rd. Has a good future especially over the longer distances.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Break Of Dawn
Another risky punt but this fella has been racing very well against much better class than this. It's last start looks bad on paper but the run was ok considering it came from last in a 56.7 last half. Had no hope of making any ground. Finished side by side with Brother Rabbit and we saw what it did to an OK field on Sunday night. He'll just need some luck from the wide draw but I reckon we'll be getting some very nice odds here. Expect around $15
RESULT: LOST! Never in it. Followed a tiring horse and then just plodded out 3 wide.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 6 Forced Out
Another roughy here. I think the 2 can cross the 1 early and in turn, Forced Out be the one taking up the front with the aggressive Glen Craven onboard. If that scenario pans out, we'll be laughing like big fat hairy spiders as it'll be the one to beat from there. Expect $15+
RESULT: LOST! Horrible driver, terrible run. Gone a long way out after doing plenty of work early.
MEETING RESULT: Not my finest work tonight followers. Lost $125
$25 WIN
TRIAL FLYER!
Race 2 No 1 Vivant
We start off the night with a very risky bet. This bloke has only had the one start in 2013 for a disappointing 9th and Mick Stanley immediately sent it back to the paddock. Has returned with 2 very good trial wins in good time. It's going to have to be on it's game to beat Snack Beast but I expect it to be trained to the minute by Stanley and get the perfect trail tonight. Once people figure out the trial form expect the money to come so I'd suggest to take whatever fixed odds are available early on. I marked it $4
RESULT: LOST! Showed no gate speed and had to come off the fence to race without cover. Hit a flat spot and looked gone on the turn but toughed it out well to finish 3rd. Has a good future especially over the longer distances.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Break Of Dawn
Another risky punt but this fella has been racing very well against much better class than this. It's last start looks bad on paper but the run was ok considering it came from last in a 56.7 last half. Had no hope of making any ground. Finished side by side with Brother Rabbit and we saw what it did to an OK field on Sunday night. He'll just need some luck from the wide draw but I reckon we'll be getting some very nice odds here. Expect around $15
RESULT: LOST! Never in it. Followed a tiring horse and then just plodded out 3 wide.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 6 Forced Out
Another roughy here. I think the 2 can cross the 1 early and in turn, Forced Out be the one taking up the front with the aggressive Glen Craven onboard. If that scenario pans out, we'll be laughing like big fat hairy spiders as it'll be the one to beat from there. Expect $15+
RESULT: LOST! Horrible driver, terrible run. Gone a long way out after doing plenty of work early.
MEETING RESULT: Not my finest work tonight followers. Lost $125
Cranbourne, Monday 28th April
BET365 OVERs!
Race 2: General Justice: Very happy with the $21/$4.33
UPDATE @ 12:55pm. Didn't last long, into $8!!
Race 5 No 2 Modern Warrior: $26. For a horse who was very unlucky versus a similar field last start, $26 is a big quote. Should be closer to $10
Race 7 No 7 Put Mback: $26. Was big in running 3rd last start from a similar draw. Going to need plenty of luck but even the $6 a place is big overs. Suggest that should be closer to $3
RESULT: Well just because there overs doesn't mean they're going to run well. Maybe Bet365 are smarter than what I think!
Betting Summary
$10WIN/$20PLACE Race 2 No 11 General Justice (LOST!)
$100WIN Race 4 No 7 McNiven (WINNER!)
$20WIN$30PLACE Race 7 No 10 Classy Western (WINNER!)
$25WIN Race 9 No 8 Hurricane Stride (WINNER!)
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 4 No 7 McNiven
Don't be taking silly odds here but if he's in the black, looks a great bet. Been driven too conservatively against good class recently and gets Greg Sugars back in the cart today. He'll race without cover and I'd be very surprised to see it get rolled from there
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $220. $2.50 available early on. Fell in, survived a protest but winners are grinners!
$25WIN
Race 9 No 8 Hurricane Stride
Took a while to wind up last start but once it did hit the line very strong. Gets the same draw here today and the 1 shouldn't be handing up the lead today so behind the leader scenario should pan out and the extra distance suits.
RESULT: WINNER! What a super drive Chris Alford. Got off the pegs and after they went nuts early, he knew the place to be was outside the leader and moved forward in the slowest quarter of the race. Bravo Chris, bravo! Collect $250
BEST EW
$20WIN$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Classy Western
Should've won last start with the Ice Man being little bit too icy. Aqua Luvvy who knocked him off by a nose has since run very well again against strong company so the form is strong. If he'd drawn the front row Id be going straight out but still a good ew punt from the back row.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez I got the bet wrong there but ah well, can't lose backing winners! Collect $110
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 11 General Justice
Late tip here and maybe one I'll regret as this fella just keeps doing things wrong on race day but keeps flying in the trials. Placed ODM here after missing the start last time out after I was very keen at odds, so the outside back row isn't ideal however he is much better than these. In fact most of these horses are running around weekly just to earn a crust for their trainers. With a couple on the front line likely to think their horse is better than what they really are, expect a good speed on throughout and if the General behaves, is a massive chance to outsprint them late. Very hard to mark the odds as he hasn't raced truly for a while but should be $10+
RESULT: LOST! Sin binned. Galloped again. No more for you General. Head case
MEEING RESULT: Well that was a day out.. Won $375
Race 2: General Justice: Very happy with the $21/$4.33
UPDATE @ 12:55pm. Didn't last long, into $8!!
Race 5 No 2 Modern Warrior: $26. For a horse who was very unlucky versus a similar field last start, $26 is a big quote. Should be closer to $10
Race 7 No 7 Put Mback: $26. Was big in running 3rd last start from a similar draw. Going to need plenty of luck but even the $6 a place is big overs. Suggest that should be closer to $3
RESULT: Well just because there overs doesn't mean they're going to run well. Maybe Bet365 are smarter than what I think!
Betting Summary
$10WIN/$20PLACE Race 2 No 11 General Justice (LOST!)
$100WIN Race 4 No 7 McNiven (WINNER!)
$20WIN$30PLACE Race 7 No 10 Classy Western (WINNER!)
$25WIN Race 9 No 8 Hurricane Stride (WINNER!)
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 4 No 7 McNiven
Don't be taking silly odds here but if he's in the black, looks a great bet. Been driven too conservatively against good class recently and gets Greg Sugars back in the cart today. He'll race without cover and I'd be very surprised to see it get rolled from there
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $220. $2.50 available early on. Fell in, survived a protest but winners are grinners!
$25WIN
Race 9 No 8 Hurricane Stride
Took a while to wind up last start but once it did hit the line very strong. Gets the same draw here today and the 1 shouldn't be handing up the lead today so behind the leader scenario should pan out and the extra distance suits.
RESULT: WINNER! What a super drive Chris Alford. Got off the pegs and after they went nuts early, he knew the place to be was outside the leader and moved forward in the slowest quarter of the race. Bravo Chris, bravo! Collect $250
BEST EW
$20WIN$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Classy Western
Should've won last start with the Ice Man being little bit too icy. Aqua Luvvy who knocked him off by a nose has since run very well again against strong company so the form is strong. If he'd drawn the front row Id be going straight out but still a good ew punt from the back row.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez I got the bet wrong there but ah well, can't lose backing winners! Collect $110
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 11 General Justice
Late tip here and maybe one I'll regret as this fella just keeps doing things wrong on race day but keeps flying in the trials. Placed ODM here after missing the start last time out after I was very keen at odds, so the outside back row isn't ideal however he is much better than these. In fact most of these horses are running around weekly just to earn a crust for their trainers. With a couple on the front line likely to think their horse is better than what they really are, expect a good speed on throughout and if the General behaves, is a massive chance to outsprint them late. Very hard to mark the odds as he hasn't raced truly for a while but should be $10+
RESULT: LOST! Sin binned. Galloped again. No more for you General. Head case
MEEING RESULT: Well that was a day out.. Won $375
Echuca, Sunday 27th April
We're still down for the month but it's a hell of a lot better position than what it was a fortnight ago. These Sunday night meetings can be a bit hit or miss but I don't mind a crack at Echuca:
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Brother Rabbit
Love this horse. Gives 110% each time it steps out onto the track and gets the ideal draw here as it loves a cold rails run. No Tomorrow will have the speed to lead early and even though there looks to be no pace in the race, I'm backing the Rabbit to outsprint it late.
RESULT: WINNER! Galloped and almost threw the ticket away! Rounded them u after giving away a 50 metres head start and went wooosshhhkaaaaa! You beauty Brother! Collect $333
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Rajah Wealth
Last chance for this bloke. (I may have said that before) Draws outside a very slow beginner so should be in front first and hard to see anything else crossing it. If it runs anywhere near as good as what he did at Shepparton last start he'll blow them away from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Well didn't lead early but eventually did after getting crossed and it was far too good. Collect $145
MEETING RESULT: Won $378, keep the faith members because over time the results speak for themselves
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Brother Rabbit
Love this horse. Gives 110% each time it steps out onto the track and gets the ideal draw here as it loves a cold rails run. No Tomorrow will have the speed to lead early and even though there looks to be no pace in the race, I'm backing the Rabbit to outsprint it late.
RESULT: WINNER! Galloped and almost threw the ticket away! Rounded them u after giving away a 50 metres head start and went wooosshhhkaaaaa! You beauty Brother! Collect $333
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Rajah Wealth
Last chance for this bloke. (I may have said that before) Draws outside a very slow beginner so should be in front first and hard to see anything else crossing it. If it runs anywhere near as good as what he did at Shepparton last start he'll blow them away from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Well didn't lead early but eventually did after getting crossed and it was far too good. Collect $145
MEETING RESULT: Won $378, keep the faith members because over time the results speak for themselves
Bendigo, Saturday 26th April
I've upped the outlay tonight with the meeting looking chock full of value and hopefully with a bit of luck, a nice return.
BLACKBOOKERS:
Race 4: Chain Of Gold: Hard to back it from the draw but if she somehow managed to cross it wins for mine. Can't see that happening though.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Royal Deviate
Owes us after tipping it last Saturday and it never saw daylight and really not sure how hard they were trying considering they had a chance to go 3 wide in front of the train. Anyway. Tonight it'll receive a perfect trail behind Wounded and looks to have every conceivable chance from there as long as Wounded can take it into the sprint lane with momentum
RESULT: SCRATCHED
** My old mate Cheveyo is in the race and is a real live hope if it can lead. If it gets out to $20+ worth a fiver.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
BLACKBOOKER
Race 7 No 12 Lovable Larrikin
Not many going better than this fella at the minute. Ran a great 2nd in the Warragul Cup last start and returns to a track which he relishes tonight. I expect Villagem to take off 3wide without cover first in the final lap and Lovable Larrikin should receive the perfect 3 wide one back trail into the race. Risky business trying to predict that sort of move but happy to be on ew.
RESULT: LOST! I predicted right but I didn't think Villagem would get to the death, leaving Larrikin 3wide without cover which ain't his go. Don't sack it on that
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Rocky Carrington
Has been racing very well against much better opposition. Has 2 horses to beat tonight, United Legacy but I think that horse is much better suited over the sprint distances and Extremely Efficient who was disappointing against a better field last week.. Each way all day Rocky
RESULT: 2nd. Fav gallops at the start and I was rubbing my hands together at the turn with him 3wide with cover but Extremely Efficient was too good. Opened $15 Extremely Efficient, huge overs.. Collect $96
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 9 No 2 Stunning Grin
This horse owes me plenty but I really think it's going to end up a very good horse in the future. The draw looks perfect here. The 1 should lead early and the 8 has less gate speed than I do so I'd expect Stunning Grin to lob onto the 1's back and it's a ra; chance at what should be odds of $10+
RESULT: WINNER! I got $8 when Bet365 opened and the word was obviously out it was leading tonight as it was smashed into $2.80! Was pressured most the way but toughed it out. Good win. Collect $300
MEETING RESULT: Won $146
BLACKBOOKERS:
Race 4: Chain Of Gold: Hard to back it from the draw but if she somehow managed to cross it wins for mine. Can't see that happening though.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Royal Deviate
Owes us after tipping it last Saturday and it never saw daylight and really not sure how hard they were trying considering they had a chance to go 3 wide in front of the train. Anyway. Tonight it'll receive a perfect trail behind Wounded and looks to have every conceivable chance from there as long as Wounded can take it into the sprint lane with momentum
RESULT: SCRATCHED
** My old mate Cheveyo is in the race and is a real live hope if it can lead. If it gets out to $20+ worth a fiver.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
BLACKBOOKER
Race 7 No 12 Lovable Larrikin
Not many going better than this fella at the minute. Ran a great 2nd in the Warragul Cup last start and returns to a track which he relishes tonight. I expect Villagem to take off 3wide without cover first in the final lap and Lovable Larrikin should receive the perfect 3 wide one back trail into the race. Risky business trying to predict that sort of move but happy to be on ew.
RESULT: LOST! I predicted right but I didn't think Villagem would get to the death, leaving Larrikin 3wide without cover which ain't his go. Don't sack it on that
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 10 Rocky Carrington
Has been racing very well against much better opposition. Has 2 horses to beat tonight, United Legacy but I think that horse is much better suited over the sprint distances and Extremely Efficient who was disappointing against a better field last week.. Each way all day Rocky
RESULT: 2nd. Fav gallops at the start and I was rubbing my hands together at the turn with him 3wide with cover but Extremely Efficient was too good. Opened $15 Extremely Efficient, huge overs.. Collect $96
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 9 No 2 Stunning Grin
This horse owes me plenty but I really think it's going to end up a very good horse in the future. The draw looks perfect here. The 1 should lead early and the 8 has less gate speed than I do so I'd expect Stunning Grin to lob onto the 1's back and it's a ra; chance at what should be odds of $10+
RESULT: WINNER! I got $8 when Bet365 opened and the word was obviously out it was leading tonight as it was smashed into $2.80! Was pressured most the way but toughed it out. Good win. Collect $300
MEETING RESULT: Won $146
Melton, Friday 25th April
BEST EW
$20WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Forty Seven Flash
Thought it was super in running 2nd in 1:53 at this track and distance 2 starts back when leading. Forget last start when had to go back from the start from a poor draw and just couldn't get into the race. Is going to run out of it's skin to beat Sir Swayze but that horse is going to gave to work very hard from the draw and if there is to be a chink in it's armour I can see that coming from Forty Seven Flash. I'm taking the early odds offered from BET365 here. $8/$1.91
RESULT: LOST! Crossed early and ended up in the death seat. Dear oh dear
BEST PLACE
$20PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Travtiano
Going to get a super drag into this race following through the early leader and races best over the sprint distance. At $6 a place I'm taking that!! Possible collect $120
RESULT: 3rd! Snuck in for 3rd, somehow! Never travelling and not sure I ever thought it was ever going to run 3rd but it did. Take the money and run Collect $120
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Whereisbylong
Ran the quickest last half of the night in running 2nd to Mindarie Priddy last start. Likely to get the gun run behind that horse tonight and looks hard to hold out but I wouldn't want to be taking anything shorter than $3. Mindarie Priddy should be fav.
RESULT: LOST! Crossed early & ended up 3 pegs. No hope from there
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Blazeaway Macray
Great win over the sprint trip here last start. Was pressured throughout and kept finding. This is a slight step up in grade tonight but she has shown a greater liking for the longer distances over her career and it's hard to see her get rolled from the top tonight
RESULT: LOST! Horrible run. Couldn't have wished for an easier run in front and front nothing.
QUADDIE
$20 for 25%
1-6-7-10 / 6-7-9-10-11 / 1 / 5-6-8-9
I reckon there could be a few shorties get rolled tonight. If they don't, we'll be lucky to get the $20 back!
RESULT: One out Blazeaway very very silly.
MEETING RESULT: Poor effort tonight losing $100
$20WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Forty Seven Flash
Thought it was super in running 2nd in 1:53 at this track and distance 2 starts back when leading. Forget last start when had to go back from the start from a poor draw and just couldn't get into the race. Is going to run out of it's skin to beat Sir Swayze but that horse is going to gave to work very hard from the draw and if there is to be a chink in it's armour I can see that coming from Forty Seven Flash. I'm taking the early odds offered from BET365 here. $8/$1.91
RESULT: LOST! Crossed early and ended up in the death seat. Dear oh dear
BEST PLACE
$20PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Travtiano
Going to get a super drag into this race following through the early leader and races best over the sprint distance. At $6 a place I'm taking that!! Possible collect $120
RESULT: 3rd! Snuck in for 3rd, somehow! Never travelling and not sure I ever thought it was ever going to run 3rd but it did. Take the money and run Collect $120
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Whereisbylong
Ran the quickest last half of the night in running 2nd to Mindarie Priddy last start. Likely to get the gun run behind that horse tonight and looks hard to hold out but I wouldn't want to be taking anything shorter than $3. Mindarie Priddy should be fav.
RESULT: LOST! Crossed early & ended up 3 pegs. No hope from there
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Blazeaway Macray
Great win over the sprint trip here last start. Was pressured throughout and kept finding. This is a slight step up in grade tonight but she has shown a greater liking for the longer distances over her career and it's hard to see her get rolled from the top tonight
RESULT: LOST! Horrible run. Couldn't have wished for an easier run in front and front nothing.
QUADDIE
$20 for 25%
1-6-7-10 / 6-7-9-10-11 / 1 / 5-6-8-9
I reckon there could be a few shorties get rolled tonight. If they don't, we'll be lucky to get the $20 back!
RESULT: One out Blazeaway very very silly.
MEETING RESULT: Poor effort tonight losing $100
Ballarat, Thursday 24th April
Follow me on twitter as I go one on one with Jason Bonnington for Breast Cancer Awareness race by race. Truthfully, probably the worst punting card Ballarat has seen but here my suggested bet:
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Brite Spark Lombo
Should almost be unbeaten this prep. A moral beaten last start after a shocking drive from Amy Tubbs but that was a start after she drove it perfectly to win the week prior. Fact is, the horse is flying and I just hope that the right run presents for Amy to follow.
RESULT: LOST! Wasn't run to suit and she did well to finish so close. Keep following
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Brite Spark Lombo
Should almost be unbeaten this prep. A moral beaten last start after a shocking drive from Amy Tubbs but that was a start after she drove it perfectly to win the week prior. Fact is, the horse is flying and I just hope that the right run presents for Amy to follow.
RESULT: LOST! Wasn't run to suit and she did well to finish so close. Keep following
Maryborough, Thursday 24th April
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Our Eastwood Cullen
Went huge finishing at Melton last start after death seating and was only beaten by those having a cushy run in the hot pace. Meets a field of most out of form horses with his main rivals on the back row. Even from the death, should be winning at around $2.5
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a lip. Wouldn't have been so keen if I knew it was going back at the start (where was the CDTs??) but still probably should've saluted. Frustrating
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Azumah The Booma
Forget it ran last start at Shepparton. Poor drive and stuck behind tired horses. The start prior was a good 2nd against Goodtime Bobby who has since won again so the form is strong. There could be a sneaky chance that Nathan Jack could find the leaders back here with the 1 likely to struggle and from there would be a huge chance. Even not still worth a go at $15+
RESULT: WINNER! $15? Obviously had too many beers at the time! It was the only horse you wanted to be on a long way out. Nathan Jack, best going around at the minute. Collect $216.80
DAY RESULT: Won $66.80
$50WIN
Race 5 No 7 Our Eastwood Cullen
Went huge finishing at Melton last start after death seating and was only beaten by those having a cushy run in the hot pace. Meets a field of most out of form horses with his main rivals on the back row. Even from the death, should be winning at around $2.5
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a lip. Wouldn't have been so keen if I knew it was going back at the start (where was the CDTs??) but still probably should've saluted. Frustrating
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Azumah The Booma
Forget it ran last start at Shepparton. Poor drive and stuck behind tired horses. The start prior was a good 2nd against Goodtime Bobby who has since won again so the form is strong. There could be a sneaky chance that Nathan Jack could find the leaders back here with the 1 likely to struggle and from there would be a huge chance. Even not still worth a go at $15+
RESULT: WINNER! $15? Obviously had too many beers at the time! It was the only horse you wanted to be on a long way out. Nathan Jack, best going around at the minute. Collect $216.80
DAY RESULT: Won $66.80
Swan Hill, Wednesday 23rd April
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Strawberry Heart
Put in a super run at Mildura last start beating his major rivals in this race. I expect it to settle in the death early but likely to take a sit. Looks a super chance @ around $4
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a pimple but started much shorter than expected after the scratching of the fav. Was backed into $1.7 from $3.50.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Hotasel
Never put into the race last start. I need to learn not tip tip a Shayne Cramp horse unless Shayne is onboard. He is tonight and looks likely to receive a beautiful run in transit off what looks to be a very genuine tempo. Great EW bet
RESULT: WINNER! Superb drive. Could've got $4.20 at Bet365 early. Jumped $2.50. Collect $110
MEETING RESULT: Won $35.. How did I miss Mister OneTwo?? TRIAL FLYER!! Those following my email last week have their pockets full
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Strawberry Heart
Put in a super run at Mildura last start beating his major rivals in this race. I expect it to settle in the death early but likely to take a sit. Looks a super chance @ around $4
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten a pimple but started much shorter than expected after the scratching of the fav. Was backed into $1.7 from $3.50.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Hotasel
Never put into the race last start. I need to learn not tip tip a Shayne Cramp horse unless Shayne is onboard. He is tonight and looks likely to receive a beautiful run in transit off what looks to be a very genuine tempo. Great EW bet
RESULT: WINNER! Superb drive. Could've got $4.20 at Bet365 early. Jumped $2.50. Collect $110
MEETING RESULT: Won $35.. How did I miss Mister OneTwo?? TRIAL FLYER!! Those following my email last week have their pockets full
Hamilton, Wednesday 23rd April
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 3 No 2 Little Lyn
Today is the day for this little 3yo filly. Has the gate speed to cross the 1 and should have beaten likely favourite Smileawayjo last start after getting shuffled back. The only query for mine is that it hasn't led before and it seems to have raced super off a cold sit. I still think it's by far the one to beat. Expect $2-$2.5
RESULT: 2nd. Smileawayjo far too good and maybe leading didn't suit Little Lyn. Lets me down today
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Citysneak
Has been racing extremely well with bugger all luck of late. Gets a draw that Glen Craven should be able to utilise here was just OK speed on it's inside. Reckon it can get to the pegs first and put up a huge effort. Has raced it's better races over this distance at this track. Expect $4-5
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but deserved to win after doing the work. Got out to $4.30 at one stage but smashed in late. Collect $232
MEETING RESULT: Won $32..
$100 WIN
Race 3 No 2 Little Lyn
Today is the day for this little 3yo filly. Has the gate speed to cross the 1 and should have beaten likely favourite Smileawayjo last start after getting shuffled back. The only query for mine is that it hasn't led before and it seems to have raced super off a cold sit. I still think it's by far the one to beat. Expect $2-$2.5
RESULT: 2nd. Smileawayjo far too good and maybe leading didn't suit Little Lyn. Lets me down today
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Citysneak
Has been racing extremely well with bugger all luck of late. Gets a draw that Glen Craven should be able to utilise here was just OK speed on it's inside. Reckon it can get to the pegs first and put up a huge effort. Has raced it's better races over this distance at this track. Expect $4-5
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but deserved to win after doing the work. Got out to $4.30 at one stage but smashed in late. Collect $232
MEETING RESULT: Won $32..
Geelong, Tuesday 22nd April
Not a great punting meeting so will be keeping the bets to a minimum
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Ketut
It's had excuses in it's first 2 starts. Stuck 3wide the trip and tired badly in it's debut run and then held on OK after death seating on a heavy rain affected track at Ballarat only 6 metres from the impressive Will Cooper. Gets a cosy draw here and should either be leaders back or at worst 3 pegs. Think that sort of run will suit as it showed in a trial when running 2nd 4 metres off WIll Cooper and I think the step up in distance will suit it better than most. Should be $30+
RESULT: LOST! Shouldve been $100+ on that effort. Shocker
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 5 No 8 Dentona
Really relying on the 1 holding the lead here which it should and give Dentona the perfect position behind it. Thought it's run versus Bespoke Artist was very good for a race of this nature.
RESULT: 4th. Never got a proper crack at them after the 1 broke and Dentona ended up 4 pegs. Good run
MEETING RESULT: Lost $55
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Ketut
It's had excuses in it's first 2 starts. Stuck 3wide the trip and tired badly in it's debut run and then held on OK after death seating on a heavy rain affected track at Ballarat only 6 metres from the impressive Will Cooper. Gets a cosy draw here and should either be leaders back or at worst 3 pegs. Think that sort of run will suit as it showed in a trial when running 2nd 4 metres off WIll Cooper and I think the step up in distance will suit it better than most. Should be $30+
RESULT: LOST! Shouldve been $100+ on that effort. Shocker
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 5 No 8 Dentona
Really relying on the 1 holding the lead here which it should and give Dentona the perfect position behind it. Thought it's run versus Bespoke Artist was very good for a race of this nature.
RESULT: 4th. Never got a proper crack at them after the 1 broke and Dentona ended up 4 pegs. Good run
MEETING RESULT: Lost $55
Charlton, Monday 21st April
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Hayabusa Flyer
Blackbooker from Mildura last week and really looks the leader and winner in a weak race
RESULT: WINNER! Led and smashed them! Love ya Hayabusa, finally we get the money we deserved a few weeks back! Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Mind The Wire
Is a horse who must lead to be a chance in it's races and should have the speed to hold them out here. Ellen Tormey rates them pretty well once in front. Should win
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure why it tried to break the track record, and not the first time it's done that. 29.6, 30.6, 30.1 & 29.1. Why in a 7 horse field?
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Hayabusa Flyer
Blackbooker from Mildura last week and really looks the leader and winner in a weak race
RESULT: WINNER! Led and smashed them! Love ya Hayabusa, finally we get the money we deserved a few weeks back! Collect $150
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Mind The Wire
Is a horse who must lead to be a chance in it's races and should have the speed to hold them out here. Ellen Tormey rates them pretty well once in front. Should win
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure why it tried to break the track record, and not the first time it's done that. 29.6, 30.6, 30.1 & 29.1. Why in a 7 horse field?
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
Echuca, Sunday 20th April
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Die Tryin
Is flying at the minute and gets every chance from the draw. Should've gone a hell of a lot closer last start. Hopefully leads and keeps it.
RESULT: 2nd. Started at a ridiculous odds of $1.45. Hopefully no one took those odds. Sorry punters
$25 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Jaxon Fella
It's been crying out for a good draw and finally gets it. The only danger will be on his back
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won, just, but winners are grinners. Collect $72.50
$50WIN
Race 10 No 1 Hoppy Joe
Form on paper looks horrible but the fact is, I'm 99% certain he leads tonight and against these weak animals, shouldn't get rolled from there.
RESULT: WINNER! $2 on offer very early but that was snapped up and it jumped $1.50. Tote was a little kinder. Collect $85
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6: 1 & 7
A saver just incase Jaxon cant hold out the 7.
RESULT: WINNER! They streeted the field. Collect $100
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Desert Safari
Absolutely loves a rails run. Needs a sit to run well and gets the perfect sit behind the favourite here.
RESULT: WINNER! Not the result I wanted and I'll never learn. I hope someone was smart enough to back it ew! Ah well.. $20 fixed but the s-tab place dividends were a joke. Collect $120
MEETING RESULT: Won $177.50
$25WIN
Race 5 No 1 Die Tryin
Is flying at the minute and gets every chance from the draw. Should've gone a hell of a lot closer last start. Hopefully leads and keeps it.
RESULT: 2nd. Started at a ridiculous odds of $1.45. Hopefully no one took those odds. Sorry punters
$25 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Jaxon Fella
It's been crying out for a good draw and finally gets it. The only danger will be on his back
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won, just, but winners are grinners. Collect $72.50
$50WIN
Race 10 No 1 Hoppy Joe
Form on paper looks horrible but the fact is, I'm 99% certain he leads tonight and against these weak animals, shouldn't get rolled from there.
RESULT: WINNER! $2 on offer very early but that was snapped up and it jumped $1.50. Tote was a little kinder. Collect $85
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6: 1 & 7
A saver just incase Jaxon cant hold out the 7.
RESULT: WINNER! They streeted the field. Collect $100
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Desert Safari
Absolutely loves a rails run. Needs a sit to run well and gets the perfect sit behind the favourite here.
RESULT: WINNER! Not the result I wanted and I'll never learn. I hope someone was smart enough to back it ew! Ah well.. $20 fixed but the s-tab place dividends were a joke. Collect $120
MEETING RESULT: Won $177.50
Warragul, Sunday 20th April
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 1 Khaleesi
It can not run well past a mile so forget it's last few runs. Leads here, should love the Warragul track and looks a great chance at ok odds.
RESULT: 4th. You'll never see it tipped by me again
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Lady Suffragette
Never a chance when blocked behind tired horses at Yarra Valley and tried coming 5 & 6 wide late but you can't do that at that track. Leads here today and they won't beat her from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Started short, didn't lead and just reeled them in. Take the money and run. Collect $170
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 General Justice
I've been waiting a very very long time for this bloke to get a draw. The problem is, he does a hell of a lot wrong. Has broking in 3 of it's past 5 runs from bad gates. Worth a risk today as he usually shows very good gate speed and has been trialling the house down and in front is where you want to be at Warragul. Lets just hope it's odds are marked on exposed form and $20+ is on offer.
RESULT: LOST! Broke at the start and never took part. Blackbooker Intergalactic bolts in..
CLOCK BREAKERs:
Baby Bling: Races in the Cup but would need to have everything go right to win from the draw. Wait until against mares class.
Waltzn With Cullen: Also in the Cup but would rather versus a class a step down from this
MEETING RESULT: Lost $5
$25WIN
Race 3 No 1 Khaleesi
It can not run well past a mile so forget it's last few runs. Leads here, should love the Warragul track and looks a great chance at ok odds.
RESULT: 4th. You'll never see it tipped by me again
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Lady Suffragette
Never a chance when blocked behind tired horses at Yarra Valley and tried coming 5 & 6 wide late but you can't do that at that track. Leads here today and they won't beat her from there.
RESULT: WINNER! Started short, didn't lead and just reeled them in. Take the money and run. Collect $170
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 General Justice
I've been waiting a very very long time for this bloke to get a draw. The problem is, he does a hell of a lot wrong. Has broking in 3 of it's past 5 runs from bad gates. Worth a risk today as he usually shows very good gate speed and has been trialling the house down and in front is where you want to be at Warragul. Lets just hope it's odds are marked on exposed form and $20+ is on offer.
RESULT: LOST! Broke at the start and never took part. Blackbooker Intergalactic bolts in..
CLOCK BREAKERs:
Baby Bling: Races in the Cup but would need to have everything go right to win from the draw. Wait until against mares class.
Waltzn With Cullen: Also in the Cup but would rather versus a class a step down from this
MEETING RESULT: Lost $5
Kilmore, Saturday 19th April
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Hurricane Stride
Looks like getting the perfect trail into this race and I think it's sprint will be too good for Cashwrang Smoker, a trial flyer from last week.
RESULT: 2nd.. To Cashwrang Smoker the trial flyer. Ouch. Collect $48
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Royal Deviate
Been racing well against much stronger in recent starts. Settles close to the lead here in a race with plenty of pressure. Goes close at odds
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race, never got out.. A common story when backing Dornof horses
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Travelnfirstclass
Was not too flash first up but the race just didn't suit. He only really warmed up late and took a little bit of ground of the leaders late. Draws behind the early leader here and with likely pressure from the fav, Traveln might just be the one to knock them off.
RESULT: 3rd. Just but held on at odds shorter than I thought we'd get. Collect $54
MEETING RESULT: LOST $28
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Hurricane Stride
Looks like getting the perfect trail into this race and I think it's sprint will be too good for Cashwrang Smoker, a trial flyer from last week.
RESULT: 2nd.. To Cashwrang Smoker the trial flyer. Ouch. Collect $48
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Royal Deviate
Been racing well against much stronger in recent starts. Settles close to the lead here in a race with plenty of pressure. Goes close at odds
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race, never got out.. A common story when backing Dornof horses
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Travelnfirstclass
Was not too flash first up but the race just didn't suit. He only really warmed up late and took a little bit of ground of the leaders late. Draws behind the early leader here and with likely pressure from the fav, Traveln might just be the one to knock them off.
RESULT: 3rd. Just but held on at odds shorter than I thought we'd get. Collect $54
MEETING RESULT: LOST $28
Ballarat, Thursday 17th April
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Sign Of Oro
Shouldve won last start but just kept running into brick walls. Has a liking for this track with a couple of placings behind Young Modern. I would've been keener over a longer distance but from the good draw he'll run a cheeky race
RESULT: LOST! Poor tip, just doesn't go at all over the sprint.
BEST EXOTIC
$50QUINELLA
Race 8: 1 & 8
PresidentialSecret starts a very short priced favourite and should lead on it's ear with Ithappenstobeametro hard up on it's back. With what seems to be a lack of pressure in the race, they should fight out 1st and 2nd.
RESULT: WINNER! Got there but not sure how after the 8 ends up 3 pegs! Collect $140
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Sign Of Oro
Shouldve won last start but just kept running into brick walls. Has a liking for this track with a couple of placings behind Young Modern. I would've been keener over a longer distance but from the good draw he'll run a cheeky race
RESULT: LOST! Poor tip, just doesn't go at all over the sprint.
BEST EXOTIC
$50QUINELLA
Race 8: 1 & 8
PresidentialSecret starts a very short priced favourite and should lead on it's ear with Ithappenstobeametro hard up on it's back. With what seems to be a lack of pressure in the race, they should fight out 1st and 2nd.
RESULT: WINNER! Got there but not sure how after the 8 ends up 3 pegs! Collect $140
Maryborough, Thursday 17th April
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Authorised
Going against Endorsement today who is one of my favourites but there looks to be a chance of a ridiculous speed set here. Authorised was huge in running 3rd to Endorsement after being 3wide without cover the last lap last start, only beaten 3 metres. Follows through Endorsement and should get a beautiful run here.
RESULT: WINNER! Just got there but who cares! Collect $333
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Brite Spark Lombo
Has returned from a spell in the best form of it's career. Belted a strong field last start after being beautifully driven by Amy Tubbs. Should receive a good sit just off the pace again today and it's hard seeing it getting rolled
RESULT: 3rd. Dear oh dear Amy Tubbs. Like watching a car crash
DAY RESULT: Ohhh that's better.. Won $293
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Authorised
Going against Endorsement today who is one of my favourites but there looks to be a chance of a ridiculous speed set here. Authorised was huge in running 3rd to Endorsement after being 3wide without cover the last lap last start, only beaten 3 metres. Follows through Endorsement and should get a beautiful run here.
RESULT: WINNER! Just got there but who cares! Collect $333
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 3 Brite Spark Lombo
Has returned from a spell in the best form of it's career. Belted a strong field last start after being beautifully driven by Amy Tubbs. Should receive a good sit just off the pace again today and it's hard seeing it getting rolled
RESULT: 3rd. Dear oh dear Amy Tubbs. Like watching a car crash
DAY RESULT: Ohhh that's better.. Won $293
Melton, Wednesday 16th April
Live forum on from Race 4!
BEST EXOTIC
RACE 6
$20 STRAIGHT TRIFECTA
1-2-3
You can expect single file racing here with Bespoke Artist leading, Jay Dee Zed sitting leaders back and Fon Design 3 back. Gavin Lang will eventually come out to death seat which is why I think the 2 is a cert for 2nd with Fon Design holding onto 3rd.
RESULT: Wrong bloody order
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Pascarma
Is the form horse of the field and loves the sprint trip. With question marks over the 1 first up & Public Persuasion's form, looks like getting the good sit and being too strong for these. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd. Had it's chance but the leader was too good. $54 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Narra Operative
It's last 5 starts read, 6 metres loss to Savesometimetodream, 11 metres loss to It Is Billy, 8 metre loss to Arber and a 5 metres loss to Flaming Flutter. It can be a hard horse to catch but looks certain to death seat, it's favourite place to be, and I think it can out tough these. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Put in a shocker
BEST EXOTIC
RACE 6
$20 STRAIGHT TRIFECTA
1-2-3
You can expect single file racing here with Bespoke Artist leading, Jay Dee Zed sitting leaders back and Fon Design 3 back. Gavin Lang will eventually come out to death seat which is why I think the 2 is a cert for 2nd with Fon Design holding onto 3rd.
RESULT: Wrong bloody order
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Pascarma
Is the form horse of the field and loves the sprint trip. With question marks over the 1 first up & Public Persuasion's form, looks like getting the good sit and being too strong for these. Expect $6
RESULT: 2nd. Had it's chance but the leader was too good. $54 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Narra Operative
It's last 5 starts read, 6 metres loss to Savesometimetodream, 11 metres loss to It Is Billy, 8 metre loss to Arber and a 5 metres loss to Flaming Flutter. It can be a hard horse to catch but looks certain to death seat, it's favourite place to be, and I think it can out tough these. Expect $6
RESULT: LOST! Put in a shocker
Horsham, Wednesday 16th April
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Lombo Krista Bella
She's no superstar but this looks weak. She couldn't get one off from gate 4 last start and had to restrain right back to last settling 5 back the pegs. Her effort was pretty good to only finish 12metres off the winner after they ran a 58 sec last half. This is a further step back in class today. She does have average gate speed but should be able to settle nice and close to the lead today with 2 longshots on her inside. Expect $5-7
RESULT: 3rd. Should've won, no initiative from the driver. Collect $96
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Little Lyn
Yep, here we go again! Gets a big advantage on some of it's rivals here today and the key to the race is whether the 2 will hand up the lead or not. I think it will and PLEAAASEEE Kerryn Manning do not hand up. I think Little Lyn is more a one paced animal and to be able to lead this lot up will be the ideal scenario for it. Courageous Emm beat her hands down 2 starts back but that was after having it's favourite run. Not used out of the gate and 1 last sprint at them. Lets just hope Little Lyn has enough gate speed to hold her out! Expect $10
RESULT: 3rd. Lonshot says "no lead for you Kerryn" and she gets shuffled out to last. Sprinted hard late for a great 3rd. Got to win one soon!! Collect $60
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 9 No 2 Amberlu Angus
Drops back from C2/3 class to C1 today with the lead his. The only possible danger is Adam Cartwright who is likely to be drawn inside the front row with the emergency drawn 8. On a track that suits the on pace runner, Amberlu might be able to steal this. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! $80
DAY RESULT: Lost $5!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Lombo Krista Bella
She's no superstar but this looks weak. She couldn't get one off from gate 4 last start and had to restrain right back to last settling 5 back the pegs. Her effort was pretty good to only finish 12metres off the winner after they ran a 58 sec last half. This is a further step back in class today. She does have average gate speed but should be able to settle nice and close to the lead today with 2 longshots on her inside. Expect $5-7
RESULT: 3rd. Should've won, no initiative from the driver. Collect $96
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Little Lyn
Yep, here we go again! Gets a big advantage on some of it's rivals here today and the key to the race is whether the 2 will hand up the lead or not. I think it will and PLEAAASEEE Kerryn Manning do not hand up. I think Little Lyn is more a one paced animal and to be able to lead this lot up will be the ideal scenario for it. Courageous Emm beat her hands down 2 starts back but that was after having it's favourite run. Not used out of the gate and 1 last sprint at them. Lets just hope Little Lyn has enough gate speed to hold her out! Expect $10
RESULT: 3rd. Lonshot says "no lead for you Kerryn" and she gets shuffled out to last. Sprinted hard late for a great 3rd. Got to win one soon!! Collect $60
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 9 No 2 Amberlu Angus
Drops back from C2/3 class to C1 today with the lead his. The only possible danger is Adam Cartwright who is likely to be drawn inside the front row with the emergency drawn 8. On a track that suits the on pace runner, Amberlu might be able to steal this. Expect $4
RESULT: WINNER! $80
DAY RESULT: Lost $5!
Shepparton, Tuesday 15th April
BETTING SUMMARY
$50WIN Race 2 No 1 Modern Warrior
$20WIN/$30PLACE Race 3 No 4 Chain Of Gold
$20WIN/$30PLACE Race 5 No 10 Gamechanger
STRAIGHT TRIFECTA $10 Race 4: 5 / 2 / 1
** Tuxedo Toff goes around at big odds in the first. If you're willing to forgive it's last start it's worth a fiver ew. I will be just because I can't help myself!
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Modern Warrior
Was an absolute certainty beaten last start at Cranbourne. Got checked at the 600metres, lost 15 metres on the top 4 and had to come 3 wide without cover to make ground. He kept finding under hard driving and just missed finishing 2nd. He couldn't cross from gate 2 that night but almost did. Gets gate 1 tonight and although this race has a little more depth he looks a bloody good bet here. Expect $2.5-$3
UPDATE: Just checked the paper.. I've either lost it or I'm a genius. Marked $12 in the HeraldSun and none of the 3 tipsters have picked it to run top four! Maybe an EW bet is a safer option but I stand by my analysis! Opened $9 on BET365
RESULT: 4th. I don't like bagging driver but Zac Phillips that was a head scratcher. Got crossed early but the opportunity was there to come of the fence and take the lead back. Elects to stay 3 pegs. Then when the run opened up to follow the horse without cover elects to wait for the sprint lane. Couldn't have won at that stage but should've run top 3 and my huge lash at th $2.80 a place on BET365 would've been vindicated, Rant over...
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Chain Of Gold
Decided to take the sit last start and was no match for the winner. I was disappointed on the night with the run but in hindsight, they broke 56 seconds for the last half and Magic Moment Lombo has since won well since. Won't lead from the draw tonight but there is a heap of pace in this race and it looks likely to be set up for a late finisher. Looks a good bet at around the $6 mark
RESULT: 2nd. Stiff. Did all the work and kept finding the line late to go done by a head. Collect $57
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Gamechanger
Tuned up for this race with a 5 metre 4th in a trial behind Cold Major who ran a good 3rd in M2-4 company Friday night. First up for David Aiken it's a horse with untapped potential and a great get for that stable. He actually smashed Baccarat last time they met in the 4yo classic consolation at Melton last August. He death seated whilst Baccarat had the perfect sit in the 1x1. There was 33metres between them at the finish but there maybe a reason behind that because Baccarat hasn't started since. With that being said, Gamechanger should be 3rd favourite here. From a front row draw it's favourite for mine. Is very tough so the back row draw shouldn't matter
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race. Looked like it was just going around for the run.
BEST EXOTIC
STRAIGHT TRIFECTA $10
Race 4: 5 / 2 / 1
This looks a dead set peg dominated race. Wolfpack should stroll to the lead early with Popeye Village on it's back and Trottin Rosco 3 pegs. The race looks to be a stroll-a-thon from there and hard to see anything else make ground on these. If you wanted to go wider Bolland Borg is a good roughy in the race, especially if Wolfpack doesn't lead as expected.
RESULT: WINNER! Thank fark for that. Bolland Borg snags 4th for those playing first 4's. Not sure why I didn't put that down as a suggested bet! $166.60 for the F4 x 10 would've put the balance in front for the month! Collect $202
MEETING RESULT: Won $99
$50WIN Race 2 No 1 Modern Warrior
$20WIN/$30PLACE Race 3 No 4 Chain Of Gold
$20WIN/$30PLACE Race 5 No 10 Gamechanger
STRAIGHT TRIFECTA $10 Race 4: 5 / 2 / 1
** Tuxedo Toff goes around at big odds in the first. If you're willing to forgive it's last start it's worth a fiver ew. I will be just because I can't help myself!
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Modern Warrior
Was an absolute certainty beaten last start at Cranbourne. Got checked at the 600metres, lost 15 metres on the top 4 and had to come 3 wide without cover to make ground. He kept finding under hard driving and just missed finishing 2nd. He couldn't cross from gate 2 that night but almost did. Gets gate 1 tonight and although this race has a little more depth he looks a bloody good bet here. Expect $2.5-$3
UPDATE: Just checked the paper.. I've either lost it or I'm a genius. Marked $12 in the HeraldSun and none of the 3 tipsters have picked it to run top four! Maybe an EW bet is a safer option but I stand by my analysis! Opened $9 on BET365
RESULT: 4th. I don't like bagging driver but Zac Phillips that was a head scratcher. Got crossed early but the opportunity was there to come of the fence and take the lead back. Elects to stay 3 pegs. Then when the run opened up to follow the horse without cover elects to wait for the sprint lane. Couldn't have won at that stage but should've run top 3 and my huge lash at th $2.80 a place on BET365 would've been vindicated, Rant over...
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Chain Of Gold
Decided to take the sit last start and was no match for the winner. I was disappointed on the night with the run but in hindsight, they broke 56 seconds for the last half and Magic Moment Lombo has since won well since. Won't lead from the draw tonight but there is a heap of pace in this race and it looks likely to be set up for a late finisher. Looks a good bet at around the $6 mark
RESULT: 2nd. Stiff. Did all the work and kept finding the line late to go done by a head. Collect $57
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Gamechanger
Tuned up for this race with a 5 metre 4th in a trial behind Cold Major who ran a good 3rd in M2-4 company Friday night. First up for David Aiken it's a horse with untapped potential and a great get for that stable. He actually smashed Baccarat last time they met in the 4yo classic consolation at Melton last August. He death seated whilst Baccarat had the perfect sit in the 1x1. There was 33metres between them at the finish but there maybe a reason behind that because Baccarat hasn't started since. With that being said, Gamechanger should be 3rd favourite here. From a front row draw it's favourite for mine. Is very tough so the back row draw shouldn't matter
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race. Looked like it was just going around for the run.
BEST EXOTIC
STRAIGHT TRIFECTA $10
Race 4: 5 / 2 / 1
This looks a dead set peg dominated race. Wolfpack should stroll to the lead early with Popeye Village on it's back and Trottin Rosco 3 pegs. The race looks to be a stroll-a-thon from there and hard to see anything else make ground on these. If you wanted to go wider Bolland Borg is a good roughy in the race, especially if Wolfpack doesn't lead as expected.
RESULT: WINNER! Thank fark for that. Bolland Borg snags 4th for those playing first 4's. Not sure why I didn't put that down as a suggested bet! $166.60 for the F4 x 10 would've put the balance in front for the month! Collect $202
MEETING RESULT: Won $99
Yarra Valley, Monday 14th April
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Pink Ponder
First starter who won well over 2240 metres at Melton last week in a 29.6 last quarter and a 60.65 last half. That's not bad going for a 2yo over that trip and this is a fairly weak 2yo race. Expect $2.5 to $3. An ew look at the 4 if it's $6+, it's the main danger for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Opened $7 and started $2.80. Just they way I'm rolling at the minute, get the overs for no result.. The 1 is slow out and ends up death seating and giving the 4 the perfect sit. Whooska, 4 wins..
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Classy Western
Went huge first up when running on hard late to snag 2nd behind Graybuck at this track in very quick time. This race lacks the depth of his last start and I think he can death seat and win this. Expect $2.5 - $3
RESULT: 2nd.. Beaten a pimple. Opened $5 and backed into $3. Pretty confident it got there as well. I don't want another Hayabusa result here.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Bad Boy Brad
Looks a super talented youngster but has done plenty wrong in it's first 5 starts. Has had a few months rest and returns in a top heavy race with only 4 strong chances. Looks like a few of them may set a strong early tempo here and that should suit this bloke. At around $5, looks a good punt
RESULT: LOST! Never looked comfortable and ended up galloping down the straight. Sin bin
QUADDIE
$15 for 500%
1 / 6 / 3-8-9 / 11
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Shocker, again.. Gotta turnaround soon. Lost $215
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Pink Ponder
First starter who won well over 2240 metres at Melton last week in a 29.6 last quarter and a 60.65 last half. That's not bad going for a 2yo over that trip and this is a fairly weak 2yo race. Expect $2.5 to $3. An ew look at the 4 if it's $6+, it's the main danger for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Opened $7 and started $2.80. Just they way I'm rolling at the minute, get the overs for no result.. The 1 is slow out and ends up death seating and giving the 4 the perfect sit. Whooska, 4 wins..
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Classy Western
Went huge first up when running on hard late to snag 2nd behind Graybuck at this track in very quick time. This race lacks the depth of his last start and I think he can death seat and win this. Expect $2.5 - $3
RESULT: 2nd.. Beaten a pimple. Opened $5 and backed into $3. Pretty confident it got there as well. I don't want another Hayabusa result here.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Bad Boy Brad
Looks a super talented youngster but has done plenty wrong in it's first 5 starts. Has had a few months rest and returns in a top heavy race with only 4 strong chances. Looks like a few of them may set a strong early tempo here and that should suit this bloke. At around $5, looks a good punt
RESULT: LOST! Never looked comfortable and ended up galloping down the straight. Sin bin
QUADDIE
$15 for 500%
1 / 6 / 3-8-9 / 11
RESULT: LOST!
DAY RESULT: Shocker, again.. Gotta turnaround soon. Lost $215
Melton, Sunday 13th April
Wow, horrific meeting here.. I wont be betting myself, going on an Easter Egg hunt in Mornington!
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Jeans Mattjesty
It's not often I back a NZ'er first up but his trial at Melton last week was very impressive and if it brings that sort of form to this race it brains them
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $1.80 and backed into $1.30 fixed. We know why, won easily. Collect $140
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Goodtime Paul
It's career stats are horrible with only one win from 68 starts! Might need my head read but it's past 2 months have been very good. He was out the back 2nd last in a very slowly run race at Cranbourne last start but hit the line hard to finish 4th are having a chequered passage. Best draw it's had for a while and against some weak animals today, fingers crossed.
RESULT: LOST! There was a reason it had won one start from 68. Never, ever again.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $10
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Jeans Mattjesty
It's not often I back a NZ'er first up but his trial at Melton last week was very impressive and if it brings that sort of form to this race it brains them
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $1.80 and backed into $1.30 fixed. We know why, won easily. Collect $140
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 4 Goodtime Paul
It's career stats are horrible with only one win from 68 starts! Might need my head read but it's past 2 months have been very good. He was out the back 2nd last in a very slowly run race at Cranbourne last start but hit the line hard to finish 4th are having a chequered passage. Best draw it's had for a while and against some weak animals today, fingers crossed.
RESULT: LOST! There was a reason it had won one start from 68. Never, ever again.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $10
Mildura Saturday 12th April
EARLY BET365 BET
$100 PLACE
Mildura Cup
Washington Heritage @ $3.20
A ridiculous price for the Sunraysia champ even from the draw. Going to need a little bit of luck but at these odds worth a go. Tab have opened it $5 the win!
UPDATE 11/04: Into $2 the place now and will continue to shorten Id expect
RESULT: LOST! Got the value but wasn't good enough
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 9 Hotasel
Takes a nice little step back in class here and looks likely to receive a nice trail into the race. Gavin onboard wont hurt
RESULT: LOST! Picked the wrong Cramp runner
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Changing Code
Went huge last start and brained them in by far the quickest heat. Not a whole lot of speed of the front here apart from Crusader Acey who draws very wide. Should hold them out early & if it does, it's the winner
RESULT: WINNER! Geez it was short.. Collect $70
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Uncle Wingnut
The margin was unfair last week after he broke in the heat of the Cup. Raced in the death in a 56 sec last half so had every right to get tired. Likely to get a better run with Lance on his outside and I think he'll receive a much better much tonight in a race that looks to have a false favourite. Looks a great ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! Was $7 on bet365 when I posted the tips. Half that quote at start time and brained them. Collect $117
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Loong Nien
Flies the gate and I think it can cross early and in front is the place to be here. Notched up 2 impressive wins against good horses before failing from the back row at Melton last start. Id probably double the bet with a different driver.
RESULT: LOST! Showed zero of it's usual early pace and that's what I get for backing Justice
MEETING RESULT: Lost $113
$100 PLACE
Mildura Cup
Washington Heritage @ $3.20
A ridiculous price for the Sunraysia champ even from the draw. Going to need a little bit of luck but at these odds worth a go. Tab have opened it $5 the win!
UPDATE 11/04: Into $2 the place now and will continue to shorten Id expect
RESULT: LOST! Got the value but wasn't good enough
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 9 Hotasel
Takes a nice little step back in class here and looks likely to receive a nice trail into the race. Gavin onboard wont hurt
RESULT: LOST! Picked the wrong Cramp runner
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Changing Code
Went huge last start and brained them in by far the quickest heat. Not a whole lot of speed of the front here apart from Crusader Acey who draws very wide. Should hold them out early & if it does, it's the winner
RESULT: WINNER! Geez it was short.. Collect $70
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Uncle Wingnut
The margin was unfair last week after he broke in the heat of the Cup. Raced in the death in a 56 sec last half so had every right to get tired. Likely to get a better run with Lance on his outside and I think he'll receive a much better much tonight in a race that looks to have a false favourite. Looks a great ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! Was $7 on bet365 when I posted the tips. Half that quote at start time and brained them. Collect $117
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Loong Nien
Flies the gate and I think it can cross early and in front is the place to be here. Notched up 2 impressive wins against good horses before failing from the back row at Melton last start. Id probably double the bet with a different driver.
RESULT: LOST! Showed zero of it's usual early pace and that's what I get for backing Justice
MEETING RESULT: Lost $113
MELTON, Friday 11th April
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Quick Draft
Lost to Mindarie Priddy last start but it's run from the death was extraordinary. They ran the quickest ever time for 3yo fillies around the 1720 metres at Melton and she only failed by a neck. Going to have to death seat again tonight but the extra distance will suit her and I expect the tables to be turned
RESULT: LOST! Not the same horse tonight and I got this one wrong. Struggled in the death over the distance
$25WIN
Race 1 No 10 Amajorjo
Ridiculous tactics first up vs It Is Billy. Sat in the death and ran stupid quick early sectionals and had to drop out which it did. It is the best horse by far in this race and will trail likely favourite Waltzing With Cullen into the race. If he's close enough on the turn, I can't see them holding him out.
RESULT: LOST! Forget he went around
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Lovable Larrikin
I had a hate for this horse for much of it's 5 year career but since joining Gaita's stable, it's become much more consistent against better class horses to what it meets tonight. Forget last start when racing over the 1200metre stampede. Should settle much closer than usual here and with Come On Frank likely to be testing Cold Major throughout, that'll suit Lovable perfectly
RESULT: Winner! FINALLY!!! Collect $352
MEETING RESULT: Won $177
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Quick Draft
Lost to Mindarie Priddy last start but it's run from the death was extraordinary. They ran the quickest ever time for 3yo fillies around the 1720 metres at Melton and she only failed by a neck. Going to have to death seat again tonight but the extra distance will suit her and I expect the tables to be turned
RESULT: LOST! Not the same horse tonight and I got this one wrong. Struggled in the death over the distance
$25WIN
Race 1 No 10 Amajorjo
Ridiculous tactics first up vs It Is Billy. Sat in the death and ran stupid quick early sectionals and had to drop out which it did. It is the best horse by far in this race and will trail likely favourite Waltzing With Cullen into the race. If he's close enough on the turn, I can't see them holding him out.
RESULT: LOST! Forget he went around
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 3 Lovable Larrikin
I had a hate for this horse for much of it's 5 year career but since joining Gaita's stable, it's become much more consistent against better class horses to what it meets tonight. Forget last start when racing over the 1200metre stampede. Should settle much closer than usual here and with Come On Frank likely to be testing Cold Major throughout, that'll suit Lovable perfectly
RESULT: Winner! FINALLY!!! Collect $352
MEETING RESULT: Won $177
MILDURA, Thursday 10th April
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Can But Dream
Hit the mobile arm and galloped 3 starts from a similar draw after Nathan Weightman tried to fly the start but missed times it. ODM since it's been running well without threatening it's past 2 runs. Should cross these early (as long as it doesn't hit the mobile!) and give plenty of cheek.
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $72
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Can But Dream
Hit the mobile arm and galloped 3 starts from a similar draw after Nathan Weightman tried to fly the start but missed times it. ODM since it's been running well without threatening it's past 2 runs. Should cross these early (as long as it doesn't hit the mobile!) and give plenty of cheek.
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $72
Bendigo, Thursday 10th April
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Blisstar
Went super last start after drawing wide and working home well in just a sprint over the last 400 metres. Gets the gun draw and shouldn't get rolled today
RESULT: 3rd. Gets rolled by the 3yo.. The bad run continues..
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Blisstar
Went super last start after drawing wide and working home well in just a sprint over the last 400 metres. Gets the gun draw and shouldn't get rolled today
RESULT: 3rd. Gets rolled by the 3yo.. The bad run continues..
Ballarat, Wednesday 9th April
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Major Minor
Taking on a likely odds on pop with this fella but it'll lead and be mighty hard to run down here. Faraway Man's best form is over the mile and it's first up with it's only public trial over a month ago where it was beaten in a stand start race by a trotter. Happy to take it on.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't show any of it's early zip and was bloody ordinary
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Bobby Fabulous
Has had excuses in good fields it's past 2 runs and should have finished much closer in both. Follows through the favourite here and should position nice and handy. I'm a little concerned young Zac Steenhuis is on as he's only had a handful of drives but no time like the present to notch his first win! Good ew punt
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect run but just plodded.
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Major Minor
Taking on a likely odds on pop with this fella but it'll lead and be mighty hard to run down here. Faraway Man's best form is over the mile and it's first up with it's only public trial over a month ago where it was beaten in a stand start race by a trotter. Happy to take it on.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't show any of it's early zip and was bloody ordinary
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Bobby Fabulous
Has had excuses in good fields it's past 2 runs and should have finished much closer in both. Follows through the favourite here and should position nice and handy. I'm a little concerned young Zac Steenhuis is on as he's only had a handful of drives but no time like the present to notch his first win! Good ew punt
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect run but just plodded.
Cobram, Wednesday 9th April
BET 365 ODDS
Nothing stands out today. Their markets are pretty much spot on. Amazing!
One I maybe missed and this is an absolute guess work suggestion, Paul Land in race 6. Form guide suggests that Gangster Boy beat it by 35metres a few starts ago but it was held up and checked by tired horses whilst Gangster Boy was in front on a leaders track. Paul Land has 2 wins and a placing from 4 starts at Cobram and looks likely to position closer today in a race full of pace. I'm not suggesting a win bet but it's a fair chance of snagging a place. $9.50 on BET365.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Border Patrol
Super run against stronger last start after being buried away. I expect the 1 to lead and hand up to the 5 with the 4 to death seat here with all better milers. With my speed map suggesting Border Patrol sitting 1x1, it's massive chance to outsprint them late at what should be good ew odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Finished hard late and just missed. Collect $90
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Three Secrets
Been flying around at the trials. This is a tough race to win first up but I expect it to settle in front or behind the leader and with most of it's dangers drawn the back row it's a sneaky chance
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect run and did nothing
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 6 Singed
Surely today is the day. Been battling against better fields and luck in recent times. Gets another awkward draw but this is as weak as it's faced in some time. Hoping they push forward with it early and tries to outstay them. $7.50 on Bet365 is a good price
RESULT: LOST! Went for a bath in the ring and raced like it.
DAY RESULT: Horror day, poor tipping. Lost $135
Nothing stands out today. Their markets are pretty much spot on. Amazing!
One I maybe missed and this is an absolute guess work suggestion, Paul Land in race 6. Form guide suggests that Gangster Boy beat it by 35metres a few starts ago but it was held up and checked by tired horses whilst Gangster Boy was in front on a leaders track. Paul Land has 2 wins and a placing from 4 starts at Cobram and looks likely to position closer today in a race full of pace. I'm not suggesting a win bet but it's a fair chance of snagging a place. $9.50 on BET365.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Border Patrol
Super run against stronger last start after being buried away. I expect the 1 to lead and hand up to the 5 with the 4 to death seat here with all better milers. With my speed map suggesting Border Patrol sitting 1x1, it's massive chance to outsprint them late at what should be good ew odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Finished hard late and just missed. Collect $90
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Three Secrets
Been flying around at the trials. This is a tough race to win first up but I expect it to settle in front or behind the leader and with most of it's dangers drawn the back row it's a sneaky chance
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect run and did nothing
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 6 Singed
Surely today is the day. Been battling against better fields and luck in recent times. Gets another awkward draw but this is as weak as it's faced in some time. Hoping they push forward with it early and tries to outstay them. $7.50 on Bet365 is a good price
RESULT: LOST! Went for a bath in the ring and raced like it.
DAY RESULT: Horror day, poor tipping. Lost $135
mildura, Tuesday 8th April
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Uncle Wingnut
Grows a leg over the marathon trips and looks to benefit here from the pressure put on the fav from 2, 5 and 6. He'll keep finding over the trip which only two of his opponents have won over. Just needs a cart into it and look out.
RESULT: LOST! Death seated and was under pressure before the turn. Disappointing
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Flaming Flutter
Gets his main danger right where he wants him. On his back on a track with no sprint lane. Should lead comfortably early and its unlikely Cramp will send one of his other stable out to pester Flaming Flutter as it may hurt Washingtons chances. Think Flaming can get a cheap enough run to hold them out here
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $1.80 and closed $1.40. Won but wouldn't want to be on it in the final. Collect $70
MEETING RESULT: Lost $30
OTHERS TO CONSIDER:
Its a good meeting here at Mildura so if you are keen on a flutter throughout the night here are some value suggestions to play with but note, personally I'm only concentrating on the above to races
Race 1: The one leads here and its major concern will be that 2 Cramp runners have drawn the back row. Which one attacks, which one will be set up for te last crack? Not worth backing any of them for mine but White Sands should be able to hold leaders back and benefit from a consistent pace. I doubt it can win but at $3+ a place a must for multiples and a value place punt
Race 2: wouldn't want to be on Yeslpa here. Has no gate speed and likely to be crossed. No sprint lane at Mildura means it'll need a superb drive to win. Sutter Man looks the one beat but I hate backing favourites from the back row at Mildura. If Hayabusa Flyer crossed early its a great ew bet but I'd suggest the 3 probably holds it out. Even without leading it'll settle in the death with Sutter Man likely to give it cover midrace. Maybe a small ew bet
Race 3: Toughest race of the night. Gavin Lang onboard the 1 is huge but expected more from it last start and expect it to be pressured throughout tonight. Crazy Dave at $4 seems a good bet for an inform horse drawn well
Race 4: The 1 leads early but is weak so the distance is a worry, stay clear for mine. May hand up which put Gavin Langs drive right into the race. At $18 fixed worth a 1x4 bet.
Race 6: I have a huge opinion of Spokeswoman but its worst runs have been when first up so happy to watch even though $3.20 is mighty tempting. I fell for Fiery Count last time but this is another step down in class and if it crossed, a huge chance at $35.
Race 8: Big query Our Missionary Man and whether it'll handle the tight track. I wouldn't be confident taking the short odds but could smash these. The value is Wongalea Bingo. Just needs luck from inside back and will be 3 back the pegs. $21 available for a horse that beat some of these off a similar run last start is overs for mine.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Uncle Wingnut
Grows a leg over the marathon trips and looks to benefit here from the pressure put on the fav from 2, 5 and 6. He'll keep finding over the trip which only two of his opponents have won over. Just needs a cart into it and look out.
RESULT: LOST! Death seated and was under pressure before the turn. Disappointing
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 1 Flaming Flutter
Gets his main danger right where he wants him. On his back on a track with no sprint lane. Should lead comfortably early and its unlikely Cramp will send one of his other stable out to pester Flaming Flutter as it may hurt Washingtons chances. Think Flaming can get a cheap enough run to hold them out here
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $1.80 and closed $1.40. Won but wouldn't want to be on it in the final. Collect $70
MEETING RESULT: Lost $30
OTHERS TO CONSIDER:
Its a good meeting here at Mildura so if you are keen on a flutter throughout the night here are some value suggestions to play with but note, personally I'm only concentrating on the above to races
Race 1: The one leads here and its major concern will be that 2 Cramp runners have drawn the back row. Which one attacks, which one will be set up for te last crack? Not worth backing any of them for mine but White Sands should be able to hold leaders back and benefit from a consistent pace. I doubt it can win but at $3+ a place a must for multiples and a value place punt
Race 2: wouldn't want to be on Yeslpa here. Has no gate speed and likely to be crossed. No sprint lane at Mildura means it'll need a superb drive to win. Sutter Man looks the one beat but I hate backing favourites from the back row at Mildura. If Hayabusa Flyer crossed early its a great ew bet but I'd suggest the 3 probably holds it out. Even without leading it'll settle in the death with Sutter Man likely to give it cover midrace. Maybe a small ew bet
Race 3: Toughest race of the night. Gavin Lang onboard the 1 is huge but expected more from it last start and expect it to be pressured throughout tonight. Crazy Dave at $4 seems a good bet for an inform horse drawn well
Race 4: The 1 leads early but is weak so the distance is a worry, stay clear for mine. May hand up which put Gavin Langs drive right into the race. At $18 fixed worth a 1x4 bet.
Race 6: I have a huge opinion of Spokeswoman but its worst runs have been when first up so happy to watch even though $3.20 is mighty tempting. I fell for Fiery Count last time but this is another step down in class and if it crossed, a huge chance at $35.
Race 8: Big query Our Missionary Man and whether it'll handle the tight track. I wouldn't be confident taking the short odds but could smash these. The value is Wongalea Bingo. Just needs luck from inside back and will be 3 back the pegs. $21 available for a horse that beat some of these off a similar run last start is overs for mine.
Maryborough, Monday 7th April
Todays Betting Summary:
$50WIN Race 5 No 6 Celebrity Miss
$20WIN/$30PLACE Race 6 No 1 Lively Operative
$20WIN/$30PLACE Race 7 No 8 Brite Spark Lombo
BET365 OVERS/UNDERS
UNDERS
Race 3: Lovelist @ $1.50. Sit back and watch
RESULT: Won very very impressively. That $1.50 was overs!
Race 4: I Am Louie: $2.10. Drawn wide & probably is the form runner but you'd want $3+. Not saying it can't win but worth the risk?
Tuscany Eyre: $4. First up, still a maiden and off the back row drawn behind a moderate beginner. Won a recent trial in ok time but led. Can win but would want $6+
RESULT: Can win & did @ $4.2
Race 5: Celebrity Lass $1.80. I hate tipping odds on pops and it shouldn't be odds on as it needs to lead to win. It should lead but it's a slight risk. I marked it $2.5 but with the scratching of Fon Design that has obviously come in
Overs
Race 5: Stormy Lecture $8.50 place. It's a very consistent horse that finds a way to lose but loves running a place at odds. In fact if you total up it's odds when it's placed, the average would be $4.22 (or thereabouts!). Likely to get a sit close to the lead today and with a couple of horses suspect at the trip, $8.50 is huge overs. Should be closer to $4
RESULT: Closer the $40 maybe... Horrific
Fixed odds for race 6 onwards not yet available
BETTING COMMENTARY
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 6 Celebrity Miss
Not sure what odds to expect here punters. It's a talented horse but can throw in the odd shocker. If it reproduces last starts effort it'll win. Expect it to push forward and lead. I can't see it get rolled from there. Huge pointer is Gavin Lang choosing this horse over Fon Design, one of it's main dangers today. I'd suggest if you see $2.5 + on offer early take it as I can see a late plunge occurring here.
RESULT: 3rd. Beaten by a better horse.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Lively Operative
Can't see this fella miss the top 2 so still keen ew in a 7 horse field. Should take a sit on either Ambro Higgens or So It Goes and have every opportunity via the sprint lane. 3rd up today, down a little in class, looks a good bet
RESULT: LOST!. Awful, never looked comfortable. On a roll this month... Need to snap out of it!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Brite Spark Lombo
Was huge last start. Had no right to go as close as it did running 3 wide without cover in a 56 sec last half at Melton. I'd doubt any of his opposition could do that. The problem today is the draw. I'm hoping Amy Tubbs restrains early to get off the fence but we're in trouble if she persists with inside runs as the 1 maybe weak here. That big if should give us odds and I think its form is far better than any other than it meets today. If it get open running, we're in the queue.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $153
WATCH: Race 3 Lovelist. If you get anywhere near black odds smash it but I'd expect it'll be a long odds on favourite
MEETING RESULT: Won $3. Don't spend it all at once
$50WIN Race 5 No 6 Celebrity Miss
$20WIN/$30PLACE Race 6 No 1 Lively Operative
$20WIN/$30PLACE Race 7 No 8 Brite Spark Lombo
BET365 OVERS/UNDERS
UNDERS
Race 3: Lovelist @ $1.50. Sit back and watch
RESULT: Won very very impressively. That $1.50 was overs!
Race 4: I Am Louie: $2.10. Drawn wide & probably is the form runner but you'd want $3+. Not saying it can't win but worth the risk?
Tuscany Eyre: $4. First up, still a maiden and off the back row drawn behind a moderate beginner. Won a recent trial in ok time but led. Can win but would want $6+
RESULT: Can win & did @ $4.2
Race 5: Celebrity Lass $1.80. I hate tipping odds on pops and it shouldn't be odds on as it needs to lead to win. It should lead but it's a slight risk. I marked it $2.5 but with the scratching of Fon Design that has obviously come in
Overs
Race 5: Stormy Lecture $8.50 place. It's a very consistent horse that finds a way to lose but loves running a place at odds. In fact if you total up it's odds when it's placed, the average would be $4.22 (or thereabouts!). Likely to get a sit close to the lead today and with a couple of horses suspect at the trip, $8.50 is huge overs. Should be closer to $4
RESULT: Closer the $40 maybe... Horrific
Fixed odds for race 6 onwards not yet available
BETTING COMMENTARY
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 6 Celebrity Miss
Not sure what odds to expect here punters. It's a talented horse but can throw in the odd shocker. If it reproduces last starts effort it'll win. Expect it to push forward and lead. I can't see it get rolled from there. Huge pointer is Gavin Lang choosing this horse over Fon Design, one of it's main dangers today. I'd suggest if you see $2.5 + on offer early take it as I can see a late plunge occurring here.
RESULT: 3rd. Beaten by a better horse.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Lively Operative
Can't see this fella miss the top 2 so still keen ew in a 7 horse field. Should take a sit on either Ambro Higgens or So It Goes and have every opportunity via the sprint lane. 3rd up today, down a little in class, looks a good bet
RESULT: LOST!. Awful, never looked comfortable. On a roll this month... Need to snap out of it!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Brite Spark Lombo
Was huge last start. Had no right to go as close as it did running 3 wide without cover in a 56 sec last half at Melton. I'd doubt any of his opposition could do that. The problem today is the draw. I'm hoping Amy Tubbs restrains early to get off the fence but we're in trouble if she persists with inside runs as the 1 maybe weak here. That big if should give us odds and I think its form is far better than any other than it meets today. If it get open running, we're in the queue.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $153
WATCH: Race 3 Lovelist. If you get anywhere near black odds smash it but I'd expect it'll be a long odds on favourite
MEETING RESULT: Won $3. Don't spend it all at once
Cranbourne, Sunday 6th april
Best Win
$25Win
Race 5 No 3
RESULT: Lost! Smashed after being pestered in front
$50Win
Race 8 No 4
RESULT: LOST! Driver error?
$25Win
Race 5 No 3
RESULT: Lost! Smashed after being pestered in front
$50Win
Race 8 No 4
RESULT: LOST! Driver error?
Ararat, Saturday 5th April
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Little Lyn
3 starts into it's career and I'm already falling for this horse. Looked average last start but Courageous Emm franked the form by winning at Charlton on Thursday. This is the weakest field she's met to date and the shorter distance should suit. We may get nice overs here with what I think will be 2 false fav's in the 1 & 8.
RESULT: 2nd! Good little horse who will win one very soon. Collect $90
BEST EXOTIC
Race 7 First Four
1-3/ 1-3-7 / 1-2-3-7-8-9 / 1-2-3-7-8-9
$48 for 100%
Jadahson should be winning this but that what I thought last start. Can't see the handicap horses winning and Inky Cullen looks the only danger if it steps away
RESULT: Savesometimetodream puts us out!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $8
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Little Lyn
3 starts into it's career and I'm already falling for this horse. Looked average last start but Courageous Emm franked the form by winning at Charlton on Thursday. This is the weakest field she's met to date and the shorter distance should suit. We may get nice overs here with what I think will be 2 false fav's in the 1 & 8.
RESULT: 2nd! Good little horse who will win one very soon. Collect $90
BEST EXOTIC
Race 7 First Four
1-3/ 1-3-7 / 1-2-3-7-8-9 / 1-2-3-7-8-9
$48 for 100%
Jadahson should be winning this but that what I thought last start. Can't see the handicap horses winning and Inky Cullen looks the only danger if it steps away
RESULT: Savesometimetodream puts us out!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $8
Melton, Friday 4th April
The more I read the form the more horses I like. So much for dialing down the bets!
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 9 Classievale
Wasn't keen with Cyrus in the race but now Cyrus is scratched, this bloke looks a cert first up. Won a trial last week with no effort in good time. Has form around Carribean Blast when last in work. If it is anywhere near it's best, it wins. Was $3.5 before Cyrus was scratched now $3 with Sportsbet. That looks tremendous value.
RESULT: LOST. Chocked down and didn't finish. Not a great start to the night..
$25WIN
Race 2 No 2 Sophies Ideal
Been racing in super form and last start was the first time I've seen her do it tough the last lap and still keep finding the line. Just missed beating Beachstar who is low flying. The draw is reversed today and at $4.80, she looks value especially if Mark Pitt attacks for the lead early
RESULT: WINNER! Took her sweet time but got there! Collect $102.50
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 HectorJayJay
Just can't ignore the $4.20 on offer. Presidential Secret and Major Croker will set a cracker of a pace early and expect Royal Capone to keep them rolling in the breeze. That should really set this up for Hector especially if Vox Populi gives it a trail into the race
RESULT: 2nd. Very good run considering git had to go 3 wide without cover. Leader had the easier run
$25WIN
Race 9 No 6 Princess Asha
Was pretty unlucky first up after being checked and raced wide early on the tight Warragul track. Risky punt as there are a few first starters in the race but Princess looks very talented
RESULT: LOST! No good, needs an easier run to figure. Maybe a sit sprint horse only
BEST ROUGHY
$5WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Rocky Carrington
Massive odds for a horse who did all the work and still finished 4th in it's heat last week. The problem is the draw but expect Scott Dyer to find a away off the fence early and put this fella into the race early. Worth a risk at $20.
RESULT: 4th. Ahhhhhh. Geez I love this horse. Tries his guts out but the run took it's toll late.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Lite Jagermeister
With Courageous And Quick the early leader and odds on to hand up, I'm predicting some craziness from 4, 6 & 7 to find the leaders position. With a couple of smart ones off the back row, that type of early speed should suit and I reckon the class is Lite Jagermeister. Raced well against some very smart Tassy horses last month and wasn't suited by the tracks down south. Back to her favourite track and should get a nice tow into the race on the back of Rogers Passion who is tough as nails. The $9 on offer looks very nice indeed
RESULT: LOST! I picked the run exactly, the horse wasn't good enough.
BEST EXOTIC
Race 2 $20 Quinella 3 & 5
Yes, I'm punting on the trotters so it must be a certainty! Purplepeopleater should cross early and should really be favourite for mine so if your keen for a straight out punt, $5 is good value. Mister Gunsen is the obvious favouriite as it'll scoot to the lead early and run the race to suit however Mister Scorcher maybe a pain in it's arse if Caldow elects to go forward early. That will leave Purple with the last crack at them and thats the way it races best. Just don't gallop you friggen trotters!!!
RESULT: WINNER!! Collect $130
MEETING RESULT: Lost $12.50
==============================================================================
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 9 Classievale
Wasn't keen with Cyrus in the race but now Cyrus is scratched, this bloke looks a cert first up. Won a trial last week with no effort in good time. Has form around Carribean Blast when last in work. If it is anywhere near it's best, it wins. Was $3.5 before Cyrus was scratched now $3 with Sportsbet. That looks tremendous value.
RESULT: LOST. Chocked down and didn't finish. Not a great start to the night..
$25WIN
Race 2 No 2 Sophies Ideal
Been racing in super form and last start was the first time I've seen her do it tough the last lap and still keep finding the line. Just missed beating Beachstar who is low flying. The draw is reversed today and at $4.80, she looks value especially if Mark Pitt attacks for the lead early
RESULT: WINNER! Took her sweet time but got there! Collect $102.50
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 HectorJayJay
Just can't ignore the $4.20 on offer. Presidential Secret and Major Croker will set a cracker of a pace early and expect Royal Capone to keep them rolling in the breeze. That should really set this up for Hector especially if Vox Populi gives it a trail into the race
RESULT: 2nd. Very good run considering git had to go 3 wide without cover. Leader had the easier run
$25WIN
Race 9 No 6 Princess Asha
Was pretty unlucky first up after being checked and raced wide early on the tight Warragul track. Risky punt as there are a few first starters in the race but Princess looks very talented
RESULT: LOST! No good, needs an easier run to figure. Maybe a sit sprint horse only
BEST ROUGHY
$5WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Rocky Carrington
Massive odds for a horse who did all the work and still finished 4th in it's heat last week. The problem is the draw but expect Scott Dyer to find a away off the fence early and put this fella into the race early. Worth a risk at $20.
RESULT: 4th. Ahhhhhh. Geez I love this horse. Tries his guts out but the run took it's toll late.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Lite Jagermeister
With Courageous And Quick the early leader and odds on to hand up, I'm predicting some craziness from 4, 6 & 7 to find the leaders position. With a couple of smart ones off the back row, that type of early speed should suit and I reckon the class is Lite Jagermeister. Raced well against some very smart Tassy horses last month and wasn't suited by the tracks down south. Back to her favourite track and should get a nice tow into the race on the back of Rogers Passion who is tough as nails. The $9 on offer looks very nice indeed
RESULT: LOST! I picked the run exactly, the horse wasn't good enough.
BEST EXOTIC
Race 2 $20 Quinella 3 & 5
Yes, I'm punting on the trotters so it must be a certainty! Purplepeopleater should cross early and should really be favourite for mine so if your keen for a straight out punt, $5 is good value. Mister Gunsen is the obvious favouriite as it'll scoot to the lead early and run the race to suit however Mister Scorcher maybe a pain in it's arse if Caldow elects to go forward early. That will leave Purple with the last crack at them and thats the way it races best. Just don't gallop you friggen trotters!!!
RESULT: WINNER!! Collect $130
MEETING RESULT: Lost $12.50
==============================================================================
Kilmore, Thursday 3rd April
BET365 OVERs
Donated $4. I expect $2.5
Courageous Spirit $10 a place. Should be $3
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 7 Tuxedo Toff
Was super in defeat last start. Looked home for all money after a very tough run and just got caught on the line. That's 2 runs over this distance for 2 great runs. Reign Of Pain the horse to beat in this but it will be unders first up.
RESULT: LAST! What Don Gee was doing I don't know. Had to finish last after going nuts early.
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Donated
Looked to have HectorJayJay's measure 2 starts back but was nabbed on the line after leading. Was massive last start after death seating only beaten 4 metres to Jewel Castle. Leads here and looks the winner.
UPDATE 9:35pm: I'm concerned about the head win here. Most leaders have knocked up badly tonight. Fingers crossed that don't happen with this fella 'cause I'm already on!
RESULT: LOST! Didn't lead & then pops off to sit without cover?!?! Not my week
DAY RESULT: Lost $130
Donated $4. I expect $2.5
Courageous Spirit $10 a place. Should be $3
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 7 Tuxedo Toff
Was super in defeat last start. Looked home for all money after a very tough run and just got caught on the line. That's 2 runs over this distance for 2 great runs. Reign Of Pain the horse to beat in this but it will be unders first up.
RESULT: LAST! What Don Gee was doing I don't know. Had to finish last after going nuts early.
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 2 Donated
Looked to have HectorJayJay's measure 2 starts back but was nabbed on the line after leading. Was massive last start after death seating only beaten 4 metres to Jewel Castle. Leads here and looks the winner.
UPDATE 9:35pm: I'm concerned about the head win here. Most leaders have knocked up badly tonight. Fingers crossed that don't happen with this fella 'cause I'm already on!
RESULT: LOST! Didn't lead & then pops off to sit without cover?!?! Not my week
DAY RESULT: Lost $130
Charlton, Thursday 3rd April
BET365 EARLY OVERS!
I'll try and review early fixed odds before every meeting:
Race 4 No 8: $4.33 the place. I don't think it can win but it's a huge chance of placing. Thought it should be $2 a place
RESULT: 4th! Ended up 3back after the fav couldn't lad..
Race 7 No 4: Marked it $1.80. $2.30 looks mighty fine odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Started $1.40!!
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 Ellectric Ollie
We were on last start and it looked disappointing but the fact was it tried to run them off there legs in 29.6. 29.4 & 27.6 last quarters. Needed to be doing the opposite to win that race. Drops a few grades back here and will likely death seat. I just think it'll be too strong.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but winners are grinners. Collect $170
$100WIN
Race 7 No 4 The Ole Buckaroo
Leads and wins for mine. Jewel Castle beat it 2 starts back after he led and was nabbing on the line. Jewel Castle has a good 3rd in metro class to it's name on Friday night so the form out of the race is good. Back to 1609 metres here at Charlton. YES
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure what impact heading his head on the faulty mobile had in the false start but certainly didn't zip out like usual and had to death seat. Still thought it should have won from there but rolled by the sprint laner.
I'll try and review early fixed odds before every meeting:
Race 4 No 8: $4.33 the place. I don't think it can win but it's a huge chance of placing. Thought it should be $2 a place
RESULT: 4th! Ended up 3back after the fav couldn't lad..
Race 7 No 4: Marked it $1.80. $2.30 looks mighty fine odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Started $1.40!!
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 Ellectric Ollie
We were on last start and it looked disappointing but the fact was it tried to run them off there legs in 29.6. 29.4 & 27.6 last quarters. Needed to be doing the opposite to win that race. Drops a few grades back here and will likely death seat. I just think it'll be too strong.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but winners are grinners. Collect $170
$100WIN
Race 7 No 4 The Ole Buckaroo
Leads and wins for mine. Jewel Castle beat it 2 starts back after he led and was nabbing on the line. Jewel Castle has a good 3rd in metro class to it's name on Friday night so the form out of the race is good. Back to 1609 metres here at Charlton. YES
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure what impact heading his head on the faulty mobile had in the false start but certainly didn't zip out like usual and had to death seat. Still thought it should have won from there but rolled by the sprint laner.
Shepparton, Wednesday 2nd April
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Barley Shaker
I have a bit of time for this horse. It's run against the smart Exclusive Matt (engaged in the main race tonight) was very good after being wide late at Echuca. This is strong but it's a horse that races best off a cold sit and drawing behind Tooram Lad should be perfect. Expect $8-$10
RESULT: 3rd. Had it's chance. Collect $60
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Nuggets Court
Big reliance on Thunder Fee holding the lead here but I think it can with Nuggets right on it's hammer. That's the exact run it likes and Gavin Lang has a very good record on this horse. I'd be surprised if it lost if it did settle leaders back.
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 4 pegs and had no hope
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Chain Of Gold
Was a little stiff last start after never getting the run at the right time. Sure gets it's chance today against a weaker field.
RESULT: 2nd. Fav too good. Collect $120
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Brother Rabbit
Quickly becoming my favourite horse because it keeps running well at big odds! Likely to be good ew odds here and should receive a good trail and it's the form horse of the race.
RESULT: LOST! Had to death seat and that ain't his go.
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 2 On Fire Within
Meets pretty much the same field it beat last time and draws better today. Should lead and win
RESULT: 2nd. Driver got caught napping mid race and that cost it the race.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 It Can Happen
3rd to Arber and Jadahson beaten 3metres in the Echuca Cup after breaking early. That form wins this.
RESULT: LOST! Awful
$5oWIN
Race 7 No 10 Smokey Quartz
Was huge running 2nd to Diamond Ace last start after they walked early. Should get the speed on mid race here and I expect it's sprint to be too good for these. Currently $3
RESULT: LOST! Tops off a shocking day. No chance after never getting into the race
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Barley Shaker
I have a bit of time for this horse. It's run against the smart Exclusive Matt (engaged in the main race tonight) was very good after being wide late at Echuca. This is strong but it's a horse that races best off a cold sit and drawing behind Tooram Lad should be perfect. Expect $8-$10
RESULT: 3rd. Had it's chance. Collect $60
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Nuggets Court
Big reliance on Thunder Fee holding the lead here but I think it can with Nuggets right on it's hammer. That's the exact run it likes and Gavin Lang has a very good record on this horse. I'd be surprised if it lost if it did settle leaders back.
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 4 pegs and had no hope
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Chain Of Gold
Was a little stiff last start after never getting the run at the right time. Sure gets it's chance today against a weaker field.
RESULT: 2nd. Fav too good. Collect $120
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Brother Rabbit
Quickly becoming my favourite horse because it keeps running well at big odds! Likely to be good ew odds here and should receive a good trail and it's the form horse of the race.
RESULT: LOST! Had to death seat and that ain't his go.
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 2 On Fire Within
Meets pretty much the same field it beat last time and draws better today. Should lead and win
RESULT: 2nd. Driver got caught napping mid race and that cost it the race.
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 It Can Happen
3rd to Arber and Jadahson beaten 3metres in the Echuca Cup after breaking early. That form wins this.
RESULT: LOST! Awful
$5oWIN
Race 7 No 10 Smokey Quartz
Was huge running 2nd to Diamond Ace last start after they walked early. Should get the speed on mid race here and I expect it's sprint to be too good for these. Currently $3
RESULT: LOST! Tops off a shocking day. No chance after never getting into the race
Melton, Wednesday 2nd April
Awful meeting this one so lets dial down the outlay.(usually when I get my best results!)
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 7 Blisstar
Not sure what odds we'll be getting here but I wouldn't be surprised if they backed it off the map. Run a great 2nd in a recent trial to Reign Of Pain last week in preparation for this and this is very weak. Should push forward early and death seat but likely to take a sit on Rockn Ruby midrace. Think it's between those 2 and I think Blisstars sprint will be superior with only a small chance to the 1.
RESULT: 3rd. Stuck 3 wide early and had to restrain back to last. Good run considering
BEST EW
$5WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Public Persuasion
Put in a super trial last Monday at this track in distance running 2 seconds quicker than Voce the likely favourite today. The 2240 metres isn't ideal as it's best form is over the mile but Gaita has a habit of getting a leader home and it's worth a go at odds.
RESULT: 4th. Sprint distance horse only
DAY RESULT: Lost $295 in one shocker of a day. Bring on Thursday
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 7 Blisstar
Not sure what odds we'll be getting here but I wouldn't be surprised if they backed it off the map. Run a great 2nd in a recent trial to Reign Of Pain last week in preparation for this and this is very weak. Should push forward early and death seat but likely to take a sit on Rockn Ruby midrace. Think it's between those 2 and I think Blisstars sprint will be superior with only a small chance to the 1.
RESULT: 3rd. Stuck 3 wide early and had to restrain back to last. Good run considering
BEST EW
$5WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Public Persuasion
Put in a super trial last Monday at this track in distance running 2 seconds quicker than Voce the likely favourite today. The 2240 metres isn't ideal as it's best form is over the mile but Gaita has a habit of getting a leader home and it's worth a go at odds.
RESULT: 4th. Sprint distance horse only
DAY RESULT: Lost $295 in one shocker of a day. Bring on Thursday
Bendigo, Tuesday 1st April
April fools day even though it felt like it on Sunday after we were robbed. Lets put that behind us with some winners today:
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Im A Peregrine
Not one of my favourite horses but raced out of it's skin last start in a strong form race. Has very quick gate speed & should hit the fence first here and looks hard to beat from there
RESULT: LOST! Was sluggish early and by the time Gary Hoban fired him up, Gavin Lang had already found the lead and wasn't letting it go. No chance after that
$25WIN
Race 8 No 6 Endorsement
One of the most frustrating horses going around in recent times as it's a dead set leader but they continually hand up over the longer distances. The last time it won, it led the trip & bolted away to win by 14 metres. Flies the gate so heading these off should be no problem, lets just hope he stays there tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! Why they don't lead on it more often I don't know. Pressured all the way and still had the cheek to pull away and win by 20metres. Collect $105
MEETING RESULT: Won $30
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Im A Peregrine
Not one of my favourite horses but raced out of it's skin last start in a strong form race. Has very quick gate speed & should hit the fence first here and looks hard to beat from there
RESULT: LOST! Was sluggish early and by the time Gary Hoban fired him up, Gavin Lang had already found the lead and wasn't letting it go. No chance after that
$25WIN
Race 8 No 6 Endorsement
One of the most frustrating horses going around in recent times as it's a dead set leader but they continually hand up over the longer distances. The last time it won, it led the trip & bolted away to win by 14 metres. Flies the gate so heading these off should be no problem, lets just hope he stays there tonight.
RESULT: WINNER! Why they don't lead on it more often I don't know. Pressured all the way and still had the cheek to pull away and win by 20metres. Collect $105
MEETING RESULT: Won $30
Yarra Valley, Monday 31st March
Not going to go under $1k profit for the month but lets have a play with $250 today.
BEST WIN
$80WIN
Race 4 No 4 Pass It To Billy
Races best when fresh and tuned up for this with a trial win, albeit in very slow time over the 2150 at Bendigo in a 2.09 mile rate but was just sent out for a jog and won by 25. Loves the 1609 metres and has lightning gate speed. Its a huge advantage to lead at Yarra Valley so if it finds the front with little effort he wins for mine
RESULT: LOST! Ridiculous early speed battle but the way it weakened out, it was never going to win today
$100WIN
Race 8 No 8 Glenferrie Shuffle
I'm hoping gate 8 will give us some nice black figure odds here. The draw should be pefect with the trail behind the speedy Khaleesi the place to be. Glenferrie Shuffle has a super sprint and if Khaleesi does the right thing like it should & take us into the sprint lane in 2nd place, we're home.
RESULT: LOST! Rubbish. Looked home for all money before the turn & found zilch
ROUGH ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Cheveyo
Ok so maybe I've got the rose coloured glasses on here as this bloke was responsible for my best ever result on this site but I reckon he's going better than his form suggests. The key to this horse is that it must race up on the speed to be any possible winning chance. It's last 2 it's been driven cold and hasn't been disgraced & 3 starts ago looked a chance after death seating and only weakened late over the unsuitable 2190 metres in C3/4 class. Back in class today and is likely to sit outside the weak Franco Seelster. I'm just hoping that Chris Shinn really applies the pressure at the 600metre mark and we're a live chance at big odds
RESULT: LOST!. Death seated but worked a little harder than I thought it would early. Having said that, if it was good enough, it should have finished closer.
QUADDIE
$20 for 50%
1-2 / 1-3-5-7-8 / 1-3-5-8 / 8
RESULT: LOST! Out in the 3rd
MEETING RESULT: Upped the anti and failed dismally. Still a good month.. Lost $250
BEST WIN
$80WIN
Race 4 No 4 Pass It To Billy
Races best when fresh and tuned up for this with a trial win, albeit in very slow time over the 2150 at Bendigo in a 2.09 mile rate but was just sent out for a jog and won by 25. Loves the 1609 metres and has lightning gate speed. Its a huge advantage to lead at Yarra Valley so if it finds the front with little effort he wins for mine
RESULT: LOST! Ridiculous early speed battle but the way it weakened out, it was never going to win today
$100WIN
Race 8 No 8 Glenferrie Shuffle
I'm hoping gate 8 will give us some nice black figure odds here. The draw should be pefect with the trail behind the speedy Khaleesi the place to be. Glenferrie Shuffle has a super sprint and if Khaleesi does the right thing like it should & take us into the sprint lane in 2nd place, we're home.
RESULT: LOST! Rubbish. Looked home for all money before the turn & found zilch
ROUGH ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Cheveyo
Ok so maybe I've got the rose coloured glasses on here as this bloke was responsible for my best ever result on this site but I reckon he's going better than his form suggests. The key to this horse is that it must race up on the speed to be any possible winning chance. It's last 2 it's been driven cold and hasn't been disgraced & 3 starts ago looked a chance after death seating and only weakened late over the unsuitable 2190 metres in C3/4 class. Back in class today and is likely to sit outside the weak Franco Seelster. I'm just hoping that Chris Shinn really applies the pressure at the 600metre mark and we're a live chance at big odds
RESULT: LOST!. Death seated but worked a little harder than I thought it would early. Having said that, if it was good enough, it should have finished closer.
QUADDIE
$20 for 50%
1-2 / 1-3-5-7-8 / 1-3-5-8 / 8
RESULT: LOST! Out in the 3rd
MEETING RESULT: Upped the anti and failed dismally. Still a good month.. Lost $250
Mildura, Sunday 30th March
What a horrific meeting but it is Sunday I suppose.
$100 CRAMPY DOUBLE
Race 5 No 4 Sutter Man & Race 7 No 1 Local Vicka Lombo
Sutter Man got smashed at the start last week and was tailed off. Back to the front line today and wins. Local Vicka leads and even though this is tougher than what it's met recently, I'd be surprised if he got run down.
RESULT: WINNER! Both win at a short quote but it's better than bank interest. Collect $228
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Haybusa Flyer
Went well from behind the leader last start without ever threatening. That was against much stronger opposition than it meets here. Wins if it can get to the pegs first but still a great ew punt with a sit.
RESULT: 2nd. Led and just got run down, just!! Collect $120
QUADDIE
$20 for 200%
4 / 3-5-6-7-8 / 1 / 4-8
RESULT: Lost! Pretty pissed not having the 1 in the last. Liked it's last start but thought the fav's were too good. Quaddie pays $500+. Ahhh well..
MEETING RESULT: Won $178
$100 CRAMPY DOUBLE
Race 5 No 4 Sutter Man & Race 7 No 1 Local Vicka Lombo
Sutter Man got smashed at the start last week and was tailed off. Back to the front line today and wins. Local Vicka leads and even though this is tougher than what it's met recently, I'd be surprised if he got run down.
RESULT: WINNER! Both win at a short quote but it's better than bank interest. Collect $228
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Haybusa Flyer
Went well from behind the leader last start without ever threatening. That was against much stronger opposition than it meets here. Wins if it can get to the pegs first but still a great ew punt with a sit.
RESULT: 2nd. Led and just got run down, just!! Collect $120
QUADDIE
$20 for 200%
4 / 3-5-6-7-8 / 1 / 4-8
RESULT: Lost! Pretty pissed not having the 1 in the last. Liked it's last start but thought the fav's were too good. Quaddie pays $500+. Ahhh well..
MEETING RESULT: Won $178
Geelong, Saturday 29th March
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Post It Away
Starting to work back into form nicely. Should've won with any luck last start over the sprint tip but has always shown a liking for the longer distances so tonight suits. From gate 1 expect it to hold leaders back, which I expect to be Magnificent Art. Should have every chance from there at nice odds
RESULT: LOST! Magnificent Art was a spent force before the turn which didn't help but I don't think it would've won
$50WIN MULTI
Race 6 No 7 into Race 7 No 3.
Getyawingsout was smashed from start to finish last start after leading. Shouldn't cop the same pressure here tonight & I expect it to spear to the early lead & win. Smoken Up just looks far too good for tonights opposition. As much as I like Chilli Palmer, it's unproven against open class. Smoken Up, 5 starts at the track for 4 wins & a 2nd against much, much better than these..
RESULT: Miles off. Jodi Quinlan throws in a head scratcher and Chilli Palmer wins well. With the help of a stablemate but was too good for Smoken Up.
QUADDIE
1-2-7-8-9-10 / 7 / 3 / 1-4-7
$18 for 100%
RESULT: Missed the 2 one outs!
MEETING RESULT: Duck eggs.. Lost $168
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Post It Away
Starting to work back into form nicely. Should've won with any luck last start over the sprint tip but has always shown a liking for the longer distances so tonight suits. From gate 1 expect it to hold leaders back, which I expect to be Magnificent Art. Should have every chance from there at nice odds
RESULT: LOST! Magnificent Art was a spent force before the turn which didn't help but I don't think it would've won
$50WIN MULTI
Race 6 No 7 into Race 7 No 3.
Getyawingsout was smashed from start to finish last start after leading. Shouldn't cop the same pressure here tonight & I expect it to spear to the early lead & win. Smoken Up just looks far too good for tonights opposition. As much as I like Chilli Palmer, it's unproven against open class. Smoken Up, 5 starts at the track for 4 wins & a 2nd against much, much better than these..
RESULT: Miles off. Jodi Quinlan throws in a head scratcher and Chilli Palmer wins well. With the help of a stablemate but was too good for Smoken Up.
QUADDIE
1-2-7-8-9-10 / 7 / 3 / 1-4-7
$18 for 100%
RESULT: Missed the 2 one outs!
MEETING RESULT: Duck eggs.. Lost $168
Melton, Friday 28th March
BEST EW
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Indulgent
His last few have been ok from poor draws and today is it's last chance for mine. Likely to follow the 3 everywhere it goes in front, it should finally have every chance in the run to the line.
RESULT: LOST! Never really wanted to be on it in the run. SACKED.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Carpenters Daughter
Is dying to win one but just keeps finding bad luck. Should end up behind the leader here and finally get every chance. Big run last start against similar last time, fingers crossed for some sort of luck
RESULT: WINNER! Got the perfect run & a well deserved win. Collect $286 but much bigger if not betting on s-tab
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Washmepockets
Looks very well suited from the draw following It Is Billy every where it goes. May end up 3 pegs but with Amajorjo and It Is Billy likely to engage in a war late, this fella is a big chance to snag a placing at odds
RESULT: 2nd. I thought I'd done it again entering the straight, place punting on a winner but It Is Billy kept finding fortunately! Collect $150 but yet again, much bigger if punting elsewhere.
MEETING RESULT: Won $236
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Indulgent
His last few have been ok from poor draws and today is it's last chance for mine. Likely to follow the 3 everywhere it goes in front, it should finally have every chance in the run to the line.
RESULT: LOST! Never really wanted to be on it in the run. SACKED.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Carpenters Daughter
Is dying to win one but just keeps finding bad luck. Should end up behind the leader here and finally get every chance. Big run last start against similar last time, fingers crossed for some sort of luck
RESULT: WINNER! Got the perfect run & a well deserved win. Collect $286 but much bigger if not betting on s-tab
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Washmepockets
Looks very well suited from the draw following It Is Billy every where it goes. May end up 3 pegs but with Amajorjo and It Is Billy likely to engage in a war late, this fella is a big chance to snag a placing at odds
RESULT: 2nd. I thought I'd done it again entering the straight, place punting on a winner but It Is Billy kept finding fortunately! Collect $150 but yet again, much bigger if punting elsewhere.
MEETING RESULT: Won $236
Kilmore, Thursday 27th March
Keeping the bets small as this is one very bad meeting:
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 4 No 3 Jaccka Murphy
Had some impressive form vs good opposition early in it's prep but has really fell away lately. This is the weakest field it has faced in a very long time. Leads and gives this a big shake if anywhere near best
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won easily. Collect $67.50
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Rocky Carrington
His first 3 runs from a spell have been huge and could lead early. If he does I think he'll win but even off a sit, he's a great EW punt
RESULT: 4th. Good run. Couldn't cross early and had to race in the death. Going to win plenty of races this fella
MEETING RESULT: Lost $7.50
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 4 No 3 Jaccka Murphy
Had some impressive form vs good opposition early in it's prep but has really fell away lately. This is the weakest field it has faced in a very long time. Leads and gives this a big shake if anywhere near best
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won easily. Collect $67.50
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Rocky Carrington
His first 3 runs from a spell have been huge and could lead early. If he does I think he'll win but even off a sit, he's a great EW punt
RESULT: 4th. Good run. Couldn't cross early and had to race in the death. Going to win plenty of races this fella
MEETING RESULT: Lost $7.50
Terang, Wednesday 26th MArch
Live forum will commence from race 4 and I'll post the bets for the night pre race. Looking forward to it all!
Race 4
Suggested bet: $10WIN/$40PLACE Electric Ollie
RESULT: LOST!
Race 6
$25WIN Arr En Special
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $125
$25 PLACE Keayang Genius
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $87.50
Race 7
$25PLACE Guilty Rama
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $365
Race 4
Suggested bet: $10WIN/$40PLACE Electric Ollie
RESULT: LOST!
Race 6
$25WIN Arr En Special
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $125
$25 PLACE Keayang Genius
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $87.50
Race 7
$25PLACE Guilty Rama
RESULT: 3rd. Collect $365
Charlton, Wednesday 26th March
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Philtra Phella
Forget it's past 2 runs when caught wide from bad draws and never in the race. Gets the perfect draw for it's style of racing and for this track here and looks very hard to beat, especially over the mile
RESULT: 2nd. Crossed early & looked to have the perfect run as the leader had to weaken after all the work it did. It didn't...
$25WIN
Race 8 No 4 Beachstar
Last chance for this horse even though it's been running really well. The stats don't lie. 1 win from 22 ain't great but it was huge after having to work at both ends of the race at Swan Hill. Gets its chance to roll to the front today and if it does, there are no excuses.
RESULT: WINNER! Too bloody short. Opened $2.20 which I thought was unders and then was smashed into $1.60! Collect $40
BEST EW
BLACKBOOKER
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Little Lyn
Loved it's run against much better class than this last start. Gets the draw to follow through the early leader and with any luck late, I'm confident it's right in the finish.
RESULT: 3rd! Beaten a fair way but 3rd will do at $3.60 fixed! Collect $288
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 4 No 1 En Aye Jay
Has been running well from poor draws of late. Strikes it's best draw this preparation and has gate speed to find a forward position. Looks a certain top 3 for mine but unsure what odds s-tab will throw up here. Have a look elsewhere for $2+ odds the place. Grand Attack another good roughy in the race but it's form is too inconsistent to have a crack at
RESULT: 2nd. If it was any good it would've won that. To say I got a little excited at the turn would be an understatement after I got $30 but just battled to the line. Collect $108
DAY RESULT: Won $633! Guilty Rama, you beauty!!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Philtra Phella
Forget it's past 2 runs when caught wide from bad draws and never in the race. Gets the perfect draw for it's style of racing and for this track here and looks very hard to beat, especially over the mile
RESULT: 2nd. Crossed early & looked to have the perfect run as the leader had to weaken after all the work it did. It didn't...
$25WIN
Race 8 No 4 Beachstar
Last chance for this horse even though it's been running really well. The stats don't lie. 1 win from 22 ain't great but it was huge after having to work at both ends of the race at Swan Hill. Gets its chance to roll to the front today and if it does, there are no excuses.
RESULT: WINNER! Too bloody short. Opened $2.20 which I thought was unders and then was smashed into $1.60! Collect $40
BEST EW
BLACKBOOKER
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Little Lyn
Loved it's run against much better class than this last start. Gets the draw to follow through the early leader and with any luck late, I'm confident it's right in the finish.
RESULT: 3rd! Beaten a fair way but 3rd will do at $3.60 fixed! Collect $288
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 4 No 1 En Aye Jay
Has been running well from poor draws of late. Strikes it's best draw this preparation and has gate speed to find a forward position. Looks a certain top 3 for mine but unsure what odds s-tab will throw up here. Have a look elsewhere for $2+ odds the place. Grand Attack another good roughy in the race but it's form is too inconsistent to have a crack at
RESULT: 2nd. If it was any good it would've won that. To say I got a little excited at the turn would be an understatement after I got $30 but just battled to the line. Collect $108
DAY RESULT: Won $633! Guilty Rama, you beauty!!
Mildura, Tuesday 25th March
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Finedropofred
Doesn't win out of turn but his turn looks to be tonight again. Has sufficient gate speed to hold these out and has been racing pretty well from bad draws against much better of late. Looks the winner with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2 and starts $1.4!! Collect $70
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Queen Mab
Comes across the easiest field its seen in some time. Has plenty of early gate speed and I'd be surprised not to see her leading not long after the start. A win versus Uncle Wingnut last start = a win against these.
RESULT: LOST! Just worked far too hard in the death in a strange drive from Cramp but it's not the first time Ive said that.
BEST EXOTIC
Race 8 $50 QUINELLA
1 & 4
Raynor Strom had been flying before failing in a strong C1/2 rac at Swan Hill. He'll take a sit on the back of Can But Dream here tonight and expect those two to fight out the finish
RESULT: LOST! Can But Dream breaks at the start and there goes all chance..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $80.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Finedropofred
Doesn't win out of turn but his turn looks to be tonight again. Has sufficient gate speed to hold these out and has been racing pretty well from bad draws against much better of late. Looks the winner with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2 and starts $1.4!! Collect $70
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Queen Mab
Comes across the easiest field its seen in some time. Has plenty of early gate speed and I'd be surprised not to see her leading not long after the start. A win versus Uncle Wingnut last start = a win against these.
RESULT: LOST! Just worked far too hard in the death in a strange drive from Cramp but it's not the first time Ive said that.
BEST EXOTIC
Race 8 $50 QUINELLA
1 & 4
Raynor Strom had been flying before failing in a strong C1/2 rac at Swan Hill. He'll take a sit on the back of Can But Dream here tonight and expect those two to fight out the finish
RESULT: LOST! Can But Dream breaks at the start and there goes all chance..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $80.
Warragul, Monday 24th March
BEST WIN
TRIAL FLYER
$50WIN
Race 1 No 6 Princess Asha
Beat Soho Berlin with ease in it's trial and that's her main danger here today. If you can get black figures early I'd be taking it but don't bet silly amounts as it is it's debut run
RESULT: 2nd. Big run considering it was checked early and raced without cover the trip.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Now And Forever
Looked very plain last start but the facts are you had to be in the top 4 at the turn at Wangaratta and nothing made ground. Back to it's favourite track today (only track it's won on!) and has the early speed to lead and then hand up to probably Classy Guy. Looks a great EW bet from there.
RESULT: LOST! Led! It's no leader thats for sure. Must sit sprint and just couldn't finish it off
TRIAL FLYER
Classy Guy: Spotted in Version 1 of the Pogga Review running a 55 second last half at Ballarat. I just can't have it over the distance but I wouldn't be surprised if it got up
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Wingofwaves
Has done things wrong in it's first 2 races, then worked too hard early (28.3 1st quarter) and quite rightly struggled late at Yarra Valley. Has good gate speed and in a front line that has little, should lead and get every chance here. John Justice can rate them very well from the top too. Hoping for $8.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance. Meeeoooww. Collect $63
MEETING RESULT: Lost $137
TRIAL FLYER
$50WIN
Race 1 No 6 Princess Asha
Beat Soho Berlin with ease in it's trial and that's her main danger here today. If you can get black figures early I'd be taking it but don't bet silly amounts as it is it's debut run
RESULT: 2nd. Big run considering it was checked early and raced without cover the trip.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Now And Forever
Looked very plain last start but the facts are you had to be in the top 4 at the turn at Wangaratta and nothing made ground. Back to it's favourite track today (only track it's won on!) and has the early speed to lead and then hand up to probably Classy Guy. Looks a great EW bet from there.
RESULT: LOST! Led! It's no leader thats for sure. Must sit sprint and just couldn't finish it off
TRIAL FLYER
Classy Guy: Spotted in Version 1 of the Pogga Review running a 55 second last half at Ballarat. I just can't have it over the distance but I wouldn't be surprised if it got up
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Wingofwaves
Has done things wrong in it's first 2 races, then worked too hard early (28.3 1st quarter) and quite rightly struggled late at Yarra Valley. Has good gate speed and in a front line that has little, should lead and get every chance here. John Justice can rate them very well from the top too. Hoping for $8.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance. Meeeoooww. Collect $63
MEETING RESULT: Lost $137
Ballarat, Sunday 23rd March
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Seven Ounce
Hold onto your breath. This bloke can do plenty wrong but his last start 3rd to Bella Star was huge after coming from a mile back in a 57.7 sec last half. Can get out of the gate when he wants and with a safe getaway today, I'd be surprised if he lost
RESULT: WINNER! Hopped and skipped a few times but led and was too good. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 9 No 4 Seville Lady
Had a good first prep running some good races against quality opposition. Has had 2 ok trials in the lead up to this race and should be ready to fire. This is a weak field and she should be winning
RESULT: WINNER! Led them up & I was worried when Lance Justice took it on early. Found plenty in the run to the line in what was a strong win. Collect $140
TRIAL FLYER
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 9 No 9 Anna Blue
If there is a chink in the favourites armour this might be the filly to find it. Beat older horses in a trial during the week which is a great indicator that she ready to run huge here today.
RESULT: 3rd. Held up for a run late but hit the line hard. Started way shorter than I thought it would but $1.90 a place was finally overs on s-tab! $76 collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $196
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Seven Ounce
Hold onto your breath. This bloke can do plenty wrong but his last start 3rd to Bella Star was huge after coming from a mile back in a 57.7 sec last half. Can get out of the gate when he wants and with a safe getaway today, I'd be surprised if he lost
RESULT: WINNER! Hopped and skipped a few times but led and was too good. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 9 No 4 Seville Lady
Had a good first prep running some good races against quality opposition. Has had 2 ok trials in the lead up to this race and should be ready to fire. This is a weak field and she should be winning
RESULT: WINNER! Led them up & I was worried when Lance Justice took it on early. Found plenty in the run to the line in what was a strong win. Collect $140
TRIAL FLYER
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 9 No 9 Anna Blue
If there is a chink in the favourites armour this might be the filly to find it. Beat older horses in a trial during the week which is a great indicator that she ready to run huge here today.
RESULT: 3rd. Held up for a run late but hit the line hard. Started way shorter than I thought it would but $1.90 a place was finally overs on s-tab! $76 collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $196
Melton, Saturday 22nd March
Ahhhh bliss. A meeting full of trot races. Here goes nothing:
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Mister Gunsen
Speedy horse who will amble to the lead here early and looks hard to roll from the top. Can win in quick time and it's major rivals here have drawn poorly. Big chance
RESULT: WINNER! Led and won easily, just the way I like it. Collect $115
$25WIN
Race 2 No 1 Sweetasay
Impressive winning first up for David Miles in a quick 2:00 minute mile. Should sit behind the leader here and barring bad manners should be winning this
RESULT: 3rd. Probably had it's chance late.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 11 Spidergirl
Looks cherry ripe for this. Got stuck too far back last start but really hit the line hard late to finish 2nd vs Vics Cheval. Should be a good early speed on here and expect Spidergirl to unleash wide late. At $3, looks overs.
RESULT: WINNER! Too big, too strong. Collect $150
ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Rainbow Jay Jay
Fired up for this race with a win over the pacers in a trial during the week, a very good indicator on how well he's travelling. Draws to follow Stent every here, most likely to end up 3 pegs, but with late luck, is right in this.
RESULT: LOST! It's the reason I hate the trots. Breaks before the start and the punter is punished for it..
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Neville Vaughan
Not quite up to the top class this fella but has still been racing very well versus top grade. Nice step back in class here and just needs a little bit of luck from the wide draw to figure in the finish at around $8
RESULT: LOST! Just had to work too hard and battled.
MEETING RESULT: Won $85
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 4 Mister Gunsen
Speedy horse who will amble to the lead here early and looks hard to roll from the top. Can win in quick time and it's major rivals here have drawn poorly. Big chance
RESULT: WINNER! Led and won easily, just the way I like it. Collect $115
$25WIN
Race 2 No 1 Sweetasay
Impressive winning first up for David Miles in a quick 2:00 minute mile. Should sit behind the leader here and barring bad manners should be winning this
RESULT: 3rd. Probably had it's chance late.
$50WIN
Race 8 No 11 Spidergirl
Looks cherry ripe for this. Got stuck too far back last start but really hit the line hard late to finish 2nd vs Vics Cheval. Should be a good early speed on here and expect Spidergirl to unleash wide late. At $3, looks overs.
RESULT: WINNER! Too big, too strong. Collect $150
ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Rainbow Jay Jay
Fired up for this race with a win over the pacers in a trial during the week, a very good indicator on how well he's travelling. Draws to follow Stent every here, most likely to end up 3 pegs, but with late luck, is right in this.
RESULT: LOST! It's the reason I hate the trots. Breaks before the start and the punter is punished for it..
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Neville Vaughan
Not quite up to the top class this fella but has still been racing very well versus top grade. Nice step back in class here and just needs a little bit of luck from the wide draw to figure in the finish at around $8
RESULT: LOST! Just had to work too hard and battled.
MEETING RESULT: Won $85
Echuca, Friday 21st March
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Jadahson
I think there is only the one danger in this race and that's Arber. The last time they met in these conditions Jadahson smashed Arber and Arber had a 10metre advantage. Tonight Jadahson gets the 10 metre advantage! Now I know that was in November but Jadah has still been racing well against good class. Going well enough to win this easily if he steps away cleanly. Take $3 if you can get it.
RESULT: OUCH! Lead and had every opportunity, Arber which just too good
$25WIN
Race 7 No 10 Tezz Khora
It's last start certainly wasn't disgraced running 4th to Hector Jay Jay not beaten far after racing in the death. This is a step back in class today and has trialled ok in preparation for tonight's race. With even luck it wins
RESULT: 3rd. Disappointing. Had the run of the race but just didn't finish it off.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 7 Susila
Looks a different horse with Kim Hillier. Will follow through the likely leader here and with Blake Jones in the sulky, expect it to be given every possible chance
RESULT: LOST! Favourite gallops In front of it, ends up stuck out 3 wide the last lap & dropped out.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Chiquita Bromac
Loves this track and races best over this distance. Forget last start when he got stuck behind a tiring leader. Kate Gath on board is a plus and can lead tonight. Looks very hard to beat
RESULT: 3rd. Big effort to run 3rd after challenging for the lead and having to race in the death. Collect $126
MEETING RESULT: Lost $99
$50WIN
Race 8 No 6 Jadahson
I think there is only the one danger in this race and that's Arber. The last time they met in these conditions Jadahson smashed Arber and Arber had a 10metre advantage. Tonight Jadahson gets the 10 metre advantage! Now I know that was in November but Jadah has still been racing well against good class. Going well enough to win this easily if he steps away cleanly. Take $3 if you can get it.
RESULT: OUCH! Lead and had every opportunity, Arber which just too good
$25WIN
Race 7 No 10 Tezz Khora
It's last start certainly wasn't disgraced running 4th to Hector Jay Jay not beaten far after racing in the death. This is a step back in class today and has trialled ok in preparation for tonight's race. With even luck it wins
RESULT: 3rd. Disappointing. Had the run of the race but just didn't finish it off.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 7 Susila
Looks a different horse with Kim Hillier. Will follow through the likely leader here and with Blake Jones in the sulky, expect it to be given every possible chance
RESULT: LOST! Favourite gallops In front of it, ends up stuck out 3 wide the last lap & dropped out.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Chiquita Bromac
Loves this track and races best over this distance. Forget last start when he got stuck behind a tiring leader. Kate Gath on board is a plus and can lead tonight. Looks very hard to beat
RESULT: 3rd. Big effort to run 3rd after challenging for the lead and having to race in the death. Collect $126
MEETING RESULT: Lost $99
Bendigo, Thursday 20th March
ROUGHY
BLACKBOOKER
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Haryda Hanover
Poor drive by Bellman last start when stuck in traffic and the final margin was unfair in it's heat. Should position closer to the lead today and Bellman doesn't drive them badly 2 in a row. Looks a good ew bet at very good odds
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance after not being able to get in and being restrained to last
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Chain Of Gold
Should have won his heat with a clear run but I often say that about this horse as it's usually driven for luck. Not a whole heap of speed inside it here today. I think the 2 will lead but is likely to hand up immediately, I think to Chain Of Gold. From either in front or even leaders back he would be very hard to beat but crossing them early is a big if. Worth the risk at odds.
RESULT: LOST! If you followed the number and not the number you won over $300! Apologies. my tips need vetting! Chain of Gold unlucky again but always seems to be
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Galatos
Has been running some super quick times at the trials. Raced ok vs second level open class last prep. A step down in class first up and follows through likely leader Born Again Sassy. Sneaky place chance at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Got buried 4 back the pegs. Not a bad run though. Just needs a good draw
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 11 Lovable Larrikin
Not many in better form. Ran a super quick last half vs Smoken Up on Friday after being held up and had excuses the start previous. Back in class tonight in a race that has plenty of speed which will suit. Loves Bendigo using the camber turns to it's advantage. Looks the winner
RESULT: WINNER! & was the winner.. I love the way Gaita rolls up the track on the turn to get the momentum running. Nice win. Collect $140
DAY RESULT: Won $125
BLACKBOOKER
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Haryda Hanover
Poor drive by Bellman last start when stuck in traffic and the final margin was unfair in it's heat. Should position closer to the lead today and Bellman doesn't drive them badly 2 in a row. Looks a good ew bet at very good odds
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance after not being able to get in and being restrained to last
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Chain Of Gold
Should have won his heat with a clear run but I often say that about this horse as it's usually driven for luck. Not a whole heap of speed inside it here today. I think the 2 will lead but is likely to hand up immediately, I think to Chain Of Gold. From either in front or even leaders back he would be very hard to beat but crossing them early is a big if. Worth the risk at odds.
RESULT: LOST! If you followed the number and not the number you won over $300! Apologies. my tips need vetting! Chain of Gold unlucky again but always seems to be
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Galatos
Has been running some super quick times at the trials. Raced ok vs second level open class last prep. A step down in class first up and follows through likely leader Born Again Sassy. Sneaky place chance at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Got buried 4 back the pegs. Not a bad run though. Just needs a good draw
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 11 Lovable Larrikin
Not many in better form. Ran a super quick last half vs Smoken Up on Friday after being held up and had excuses the start previous. Back in class tonight in a race that has plenty of speed which will suit. Loves Bendigo using the camber turns to it's advantage. Looks the winner
RESULT: WINNER! & was the winner.. I love the way Gaita rolls up the track on the turn to get the momentum running. Nice win. Collect $140
DAY RESULT: Won $125
Stawell, Thursday 20th March
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Reeds May Eu
I'll be the first to admit this tip is way out there but it's a horse who is hopeless in races apart from the sprints. The last time he drew the front over the sprint he broke but did very well to only finish 10 metres off Rogue Assassin. Usually he flies the start and if he does that today and crosses, we may find ourselves with a lovely priced winner because this is very weak.. $20+ hopefully
UPDATE: I've miss calculated by a zero. Opened $2.4!! Need to employ a racing trader. Sorry guys..
RESULT: 2nd. Led but just spent too much petrol early & leaders back ran it down. Collect $48
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 11 Presidentialsecret
Back with Emma Stewart is a massive key today. Was racing very well against the best 2yo's last prep under Emma but has lost a little under Mark Thompson. Gavin Lang back in the sulky, I think he'll be back on the winners list today.
RESULT: WINNER! EASY MONEY!! Collect $140
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Forced Out
Forget last start at Mt Gambier. Go back 2 starts where in challenged for the lead early eventually ending up with a 1x2 sit. Wobbled a bit when rounding the final turn but once balanced up, finished really well to finish 2nd. Draws to lead today and if he runs up to its run 2 back, it wins.
RESULT: WINNER! That's about as easy as it gets. Opened $3.50 and closes $2.20. Collect $110
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Paris To Berlin
Has been working up to a win and looks very well suited from the draw today. Beat Big Gorrilla on it's merits last time they met and that's the only danger I can see here today but it's likely to be crossed today & get buried. Great ew chance.
RESULT: LOST!
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Reeds May Eu
I'll be the first to admit this tip is way out there but it's a horse who is hopeless in races apart from the sprints. The last time he drew the front over the sprint he broke but did very well to only finish 10 metres off Rogue Assassin. Usually he flies the start and if he does that today and crosses, we may find ourselves with a lovely priced winner because this is very weak.. $20+ hopefully
UPDATE: I've miss calculated by a zero. Opened $2.4!! Need to employ a racing trader. Sorry guys..
RESULT: 2nd. Led but just spent too much petrol early & leaders back ran it down. Collect $48
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 11 Presidentialsecret
Back with Emma Stewart is a massive key today. Was racing very well against the best 2yo's last prep under Emma but has lost a little under Mark Thompson. Gavin Lang back in the sulky, I think he'll be back on the winners list today.
RESULT: WINNER! EASY MONEY!! Collect $140
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Forced Out
Forget last start at Mt Gambier. Go back 2 starts where in challenged for the lead early eventually ending up with a 1x2 sit. Wobbled a bit when rounding the final turn but once balanced up, finished really well to finish 2nd. Draws to lead today and if he runs up to its run 2 back, it wins.
RESULT: WINNER! That's about as easy as it gets. Opened $3.50 and closes $2.20. Collect $110
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Paris To Berlin
Has been working up to a win and looks very well suited from the draw today. Beat Big Gorrilla on it's merits last time they met and that's the only danger I can see here today but it's likely to be crossed today & get buried. Great ew chance.
RESULT: LOST!
Swan Hill, Wednesday 19th March
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 3 No 4 Billy Mack
Gets the draw advantage of his rivals tonight and based on how he toughed it out from back in the field in the heat, they shouldn't get passed him in front tonight
RESULT: 2nd. They did...$1.45?? Never would have tipped it knowing those odds
$25WIN
Race 5 No 2 Village Messenger
Draws to lead and win. Was a very tough effort to salute from the death at Mildura last start, which is bloody tough to do. The 1 will be the one to beat but it's a headcase and if Shayne Cramp tries to fly the gate, it'll break. Might get some handy odds here.
RESULT: LOST! Triple Trent leads and it was game over
BEST EW
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Beachstar
BLACKBOOKER
I just can't ignore it's super last start run. Coming from last at the bell he did a great job to run 3rd only beaten 5 metres to Lombo Vicka Lombo. Michael Bellman keeps the drive and I reckon he'll push forward here and try and take a 1x1 sit on one of the Cramp runners. Looks a solid ew bet
RESULT: 3rd. Another superb run. Worked early to death seat and then got shuffled back to midfield. Hits the front on the turn & I thought it was home for all money but just weakened late. Deserves to win one soon. Collect $108 on s-tab but much better odds available.
$25WIN
Race 3 No 4 Billy Mack
Gets the draw advantage of his rivals tonight and based on how he toughed it out from back in the field in the heat, they shouldn't get passed him in front tonight
RESULT: 2nd. They did...$1.45?? Never would have tipped it knowing those odds
$25WIN
Race 5 No 2 Village Messenger
Draws to lead and win. Was a very tough effort to salute from the death at Mildura last start, which is bloody tough to do. The 1 will be the one to beat but it's a headcase and if Shayne Cramp tries to fly the gate, it'll break. Might get some handy odds here.
RESULT: LOST! Triple Trent leads and it was game over
BEST EW
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Beachstar
BLACKBOOKER
I just can't ignore it's super last start run. Coming from last at the bell he did a great job to run 3rd only beaten 5 metres to Lombo Vicka Lombo. Michael Bellman keeps the drive and I reckon he'll push forward here and try and take a 1x1 sit on one of the Cramp runners. Looks a solid ew bet
RESULT: 3rd. Another superb run. Worked early to death seat and then got shuffled back to midfield. Hits the front on the turn & I thought it was home for all money but just weakened late. Deserves to win one soon. Collect $108 on s-tab but much better odds available.
Kilmore, Wednesday 19th March
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 11 Stunning Grin
Would love to know what he ran his last half in last start. Came from well back against very good 3yo horses and although finished 6th, Call Me Bond only beat it a head off an y easier run. I have a high opinion of this horse and I think we may find Corey Bell taking off early here placing faith in the horses ability to get the job done. Looks a great ew punt
RESULT: 4th. Geez, weird run. Had a fair crack at him and looked gone for all money on the turn and a chance to run last and then picked up the bit late to finish 4th. Still disappointing and it's put a fair dent in my back pocket
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Time Capsule
BLACKBOOKER
Was huge winning from the death at Horsham but it is the sort of track you can death seat & still win running time. Has very good gate speed and I think enough to cross these early. If that does pan out, I can't see them beating him at around $2.5-$3
RESULT: 2nd. Skipped clear on the turn but got outsprinted late
DAY RESULT: Lost $92
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 11 Stunning Grin
Would love to know what he ran his last half in last start. Came from well back against very good 3yo horses and although finished 6th, Call Me Bond only beat it a head off an y easier run. I have a high opinion of this horse and I think we may find Corey Bell taking off early here placing faith in the horses ability to get the job done. Looks a great ew punt
RESULT: 4th. Geez, weird run. Had a fair crack at him and looked gone for all money on the turn and a chance to run last and then picked up the bit late to finish 4th. Still disappointing and it's put a fair dent in my back pocket
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Time Capsule
BLACKBOOKER
Was huge winning from the death at Horsham but it is the sort of track you can death seat & still win running time. Has very good gate speed and I think enough to cross these early. If that does pan out, I can't see them beating him at around $2.5-$3
RESULT: 2nd. Skipped clear on the turn but got outsprinted late
DAY RESULT: Lost $92
This meeting comes with a huge beware sign with some short priced favourites likely to stroll in and plenty of races with out of form horses. Small outlays the order of the night:
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Koori Art
HAs been very plain in 3 runs this time in but it was against much better opposition than these tonight. Has good gate speed when asked and should either lead or be sitting leaders back. If she shows any of her last preparation form she'll win this easily.
RESULT: WINNER! Started way shorter than I thought it would but got the job done. Collect $64
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Outer Join
Looked like he was finally heading towards the winners stall last start but got a stitch the last 25 metres and fell in a hole. The 28 3rd quarter probably the reason. Not entirely sure Daniele is the right driver but should get every chance here tonight especially with the fav drawn 8. The 8 is by far the best horse in the race but inside draws over 2000 at Cranbourne sorts out many short priced favourites.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened fav but price finally switched around. Lead and won easily. Collect $101
QUADDIE
There could be some blow out results tonight so lets try and snare it:
$24 for 25%
2-4 / 2-4-6-7-8-10 / 3-4-7-9 / 2-6
RESULT: Winner! Well, not really. All favourites bar 1 won. Collect $11.20
MEETING RESULT: $71.20 profit & Im very happy with that with the tough meeting on tonight.
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Koori Art
HAs been very plain in 3 runs this time in but it was against much better opposition than these tonight. Has good gate speed when asked and should either lead or be sitting leaders back. If she shows any of her last preparation form she'll win this easily.
RESULT: WINNER! Started way shorter than I thought it would but got the job done. Collect $64
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Outer Join
Looked like he was finally heading towards the winners stall last start but got a stitch the last 25 metres and fell in a hole. The 28 3rd quarter probably the reason. Not entirely sure Daniele is the right driver but should get every chance here tonight especially with the fav drawn 8. The 8 is by far the best horse in the race but inside draws over 2000 at Cranbourne sorts out many short priced favourites.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened fav but price finally switched around. Lead and won easily. Collect $101
QUADDIE
There could be some blow out results tonight so lets try and snare it:
$24 for 25%
2-4 / 2-4-6-7-8-10 / 3-4-7-9 / 2-6
RESULT: Winner! Well, not really. All favourites bar 1 won. Collect $11.20
MEETING RESULT: $71.20 profit & Im very happy with that with the tough meeting on tonight.
Ballarat, Monday 17th March
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Black Cougar
It's going to be hard to beat Lierre Noir but with Seven Nations unlikely to hand up the lead, expect Black Cougar to get a beautiful sit. Back to the 2200 metres where he races best, I'm hoping to get some cushy odds here. Will go very close with even luck.
RESULT: 4th. Where was the luck?? Had the perfect sit on the $1.40 shots back but unfortunately the fav just plodded leaving us stranded without a run in the 1/1. Had something to give too I reckon but we'll never know.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Lively Princess
Follows through the likely early leader but I am a little worried it may also hand up on a track that has no sprint lane, hence the 1x4 bet. With that being said, the field lacks depth and when that occurs, fields can break up and runs appear. This mare has always run very well fresh and has form on the board against some very smart horses. Has trialled 3 times over the past month, getting better with each trial, winning her last easily. Fingers crossed she gets the luck she needs.
RESULT: 3rd. Just a run but she looked like she was in badly need of the run. They did only sprint the last 400 metres so was hard to pick up ground on the 2 fitter horses in front of her. Collect $80
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 7 No 2 Manningham Park
Jekyll and Hyde horse who wins this race easily if he runs up to his win a few starts back when leading and winning in 1:53 seconds. He can mix up his form so expect anything but I'm happy to have a small go against these
RESULT: LOST! Horrible. Led & found nothing in a mile rate 2 seconds slower than when he won here last. SACKED
ROUGHY
$20PLACE
Race 9 No 4 Little Lyn
Liked it's debut run. Came from a similar draw and ended up 3 pegs. When the long odds on fav took off in front before the turn, she looked likely to run onto 2nd quite easily but her momentum was slowed by the horse tiring in front of her. Once out she ran home well for 3rd taking late ground off the impressive winner. Can't win this race with Bettors Package a moral to win at a very short quote but looks to have a great chance to beat the rest at around $4-$5 the place. Well at last with Bet365
RESULT: LOST! Got the odds and looked a moral to run 3rd just before the turn before getting checked and then no clear room in running down the straight. It's got a little something this horse. Keep following.
MEETING RESULT: What could've been just wasn't. Lost $65
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Black Cougar
It's going to be hard to beat Lierre Noir but with Seven Nations unlikely to hand up the lead, expect Black Cougar to get a beautiful sit. Back to the 2200 metres where he races best, I'm hoping to get some cushy odds here. Will go very close with even luck.
RESULT: 4th. Where was the luck?? Had the perfect sit on the $1.40 shots back but unfortunately the fav just plodded leaving us stranded without a run in the 1/1. Had something to give too I reckon but we'll never know.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Lively Princess
Follows through the likely early leader but I am a little worried it may also hand up on a track that has no sprint lane, hence the 1x4 bet. With that being said, the field lacks depth and when that occurs, fields can break up and runs appear. This mare has always run very well fresh and has form on the board against some very smart horses. Has trialled 3 times over the past month, getting better with each trial, winning her last easily. Fingers crossed she gets the luck she needs.
RESULT: 3rd. Just a run but she looked like she was in badly need of the run. They did only sprint the last 400 metres so was hard to pick up ground on the 2 fitter horses in front of her. Collect $80
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 7 No 2 Manningham Park
Jekyll and Hyde horse who wins this race easily if he runs up to his win a few starts back when leading and winning in 1:53 seconds. He can mix up his form so expect anything but I'm happy to have a small go against these
RESULT: LOST! Horrible. Led & found nothing in a mile rate 2 seconds slower than when he won here last. SACKED
ROUGHY
$20PLACE
Race 9 No 4 Little Lyn
Liked it's debut run. Came from a similar draw and ended up 3 pegs. When the long odds on fav took off in front before the turn, she looked likely to run onto 2nd quite easily but her momentum was slowed by the horse tiring in front of her. Once out she ran home well for 3rd taking late ground off the impressive winner. Can't win this race with Bettors Package a moral to win at a very short quote but looks to have a great chance to beat the rest at around $4-$5 the place. Well at last with Bet365
RESULT: LOST! Got the odds and looked a moral to run 3rd just before the turn before getting checked and then no clear room in running down the straight. It's got a little something this horse. Keep following.
MEETING RESULT: What could've been just wasn't. Lost $65
Boort CUP DAY, Sunday 16th MArch
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 7 Destiny Warrior
I think this bloke is going to grow into one very nice horse. Did plenty wrong at Melton on it's debut a couple of months ago but was still too good. Had been revved up for this with a good trial win against King Rafa who has since won. Draws to sit behind the leader here and if he gets taken to the sprint lane with momentum it's hard to see him being beaten
SCRATCHED
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Four Zoe
Was extremely unlucky against very good opposition last start. She won't know herself from this draw and she should return to the winners list here.
RESULT: BROKE! Trailed field
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 2 La Moray
It's always a risk backing horses first up but this fella has had 4 good trials in the lead up to this race and has run well in all of them. This is an extremely weak race and he has won against much better. From the draw should either lead or be sitting with cover up on the lead. Looks a good ew chance.
RESULT: 3rd. Just a run really. Collect $42
THE $50 SUGARS MULTI
Race 6 No 6 Clancys Fobwatch
Race 7 No 6 Flaming Flutter
Clancys has been low flying since arriving at Ross Sugars stable and just looks far too classy for this field. Same goes for Flaming Flutter who did well vs the best 4yo's in Australasia at Menangle. With a safe start he wins.
RESULT: WINNER! Flaming Flutter was ridiculously short but winners are grinners. Collect $124
BLACK BOOKER
Race 3 Singed: Has a good chance but is going to have to work hard from the back row & will be unders. Can win but
I'm happy to watch.
MEETING RESULT: Won $16, Better than losing I suppose
$25WIN
Race 1 No 7 Destiny Warrior
I think this bloke is going to grow into one very nice horse. Did plenty wrong at Melton on it's debut a couple of months ago but was still too good. Had been revved up for this with a good trial win against King Rafa who has since won. Draws to sit behind the leader here and if he gets taken to the sprint lane with momentum it's hard to see him being beaten
SCRATCHED
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Four Zoe
Was extremely unlucky against very good opposition last start. She won't know herself from this draw and she should return to the winners list here.
RESULT: BROKE! Trailed field
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 2 La Moray
It's always a risk backing horses first up but this fella has had 4 good trials in the lead up to this race and has run well in all of them. This is an extremely weak race and he has won against much better. From the draw should either lead or be sitting with cover up on the lead. Looks a good ew chance.
RESULT: 3rd. Just a run really. Collect $42
THE $50 SUGARS MULTI
Race 6 No 6 Clancys Fobwatch
Race 7 No 6 Flaming Flutter
Clancys has been low flying since arriving at Ross Sugars stable and just looks far too classy for this field. Same goes for Flaming Flutter who did well vs the best 4yo's in Australasia at Menangle. With a safe start he wins.
RESULT: WINNER! Flaming Flutter was ridiculously short but winners are grinners. Collect $124
BLACK BOOKER
Race 3 Singed: Has a good chance but is going to have to work hard from the back row & will be unders. Can win but
I'm happy to watch.
MEETING RESULT: Won $16, Better than losing I suppose
Melton, Saturday 15th March
It's Melton & I'm doing away with the $100 portfolio. Here goes:
ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Indulgent
I think Flaming Hero is a huge risk here at the short quote. No idea of what gate speed it has as it's never drawn so well. Thre are a couple of speedsters out wide here who I think can cross giving this race huge value. That value I think is with Indulgent. Worked far too hard in the death against much stronger last week. Back to 2240 metres is a big plus and should be sitting 1x2 with the last crack at them. (If the 1 does lead, GAME OVER)
RESULT: LOST! Not the best drive by Sugars. If he pushes forward early he sit's close to the pace and that exactly what the winner did.. Just got too far back
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Washmepockets
His last 2 runs have been very good against some good fields. Draw is a little awkward but with question marks on Magical Telf and Im Barney Rubble, he's a sneaky chance with the right run.
RESULT: LOST! No luck. Stuck in traffic & ran home well late when it was all over. It'll win soon
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Victoria May
Thought she was huge running 3rd in the Ladyship Cup 3 starts back against similar. Has had plenty of excuses the past 2 and gets a draw to finally find the pegs first here. Looks a great ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but deserved to win after fending off the favourite and battling on hard to hold off the sprint lane run. Collect $237
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Cyrus
CLOCK BREAKER!
Was super running 3rd last week, even though no match for It Is Billy. It Is Billy could not have drawn worse as it isn't flash out and may end 3 or 4 back the fence. Anne Maree ain't that great with the reigns so it's a huge risk. From gate 6, expect Cyrus to sit outside I'm Smouldering or even better roll to the front if Union Belle manages to cross. If Cyrus manages to lead, we'll be laughing like big fat hairy spiders all the way to the back.
RESULT: 2nd. I was dancing in the lounge room halfway down the straight & then that dodgy bugger Cramp gets a run and spoils the party. Collect $147 (much better place odds out there. I got $3.50 early)
RESULT: Won $184, that's better..
ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Indulgent
I think Flaming Hero is a huge risk here at the short quote. No idea of what gate speed it has as it's never drawn so well. Thre are a couple of speedsters out wide here who I think can cross giving this race huge value. That value I think is with Indulgent. Worked far too hard in the death against much stronger last week. Back to 2240 metres is a big plus and should be sitting 1x2 with the last crack at them. (If the 1 does lead, GAME OVER)
RESULT: LOST! Not the best drive by Sugars. If he pushes forward early he sit's close to the pace and that exactly what the winner did.. Just got too far back
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Washmepockets
His last 2 runs have been very good against some good fields. Draw is a little awkward but with question marks on Magical Telf and Im Barney Rubble, he's a sneaky chance with the right run.
RESULT: LOST! No luck. Stuck in traffic & ran home well late when it was all over. It'll win soon
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Victoria May
Thought she was huge running 3rd in the Ladyship Cup 3 starts back against similar. Has had plenty of excuses the past 2 and gets a draw to finally find the pegs first here. Looks a great ew bet
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but deserved to win after fending off the favourite and battling on hard to hold off the sprint lane run. Collect $237
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Cyrus
CLOCK BREAKER!
Was super running 3rd last week, even though no match for It Is Billy. It Is Billy could not have drawn worse as it isn't flash out and may end 3 or 4 back the fence. Anne Maree ain't that great with the reigns so it's a huge risk. From gate 6, expect Cyrus to sit outside I'm Smouldering or even better roll to the front if Union Belle manages to cross. If Cyrus manages to lead, we'll be laughing like big fat hairy spiders all the way to the back.
RESULT: 2nd. I was dancing in the lounge room halfway down the straight & then that dodgy bugger Cramp gets a run and spoils the party. Collect $147 (much better place odds out there. I got $3.50 early)
RESULT: Won $184, that's better..
Shepparton, Friday 14th March
Another shocking meeting and disappointing it's on a Friday night but lets spread the load because we need something to follow whilst watching the footy!
BEST WIN
$30WIN
Race 2 No 10 Koten Blosem Lombo
Been out of racing for almost 2 years but was running well against Victoria's best fillies. Returns in a very weak field off the back of an easy Elmore trial win. Should win this if anywhere near right
RESULT: LOST! Driven like a $1.5 pop, ran like a $5o shot
$20WIN
Race 6 No 1 Melita Bromac
This is a risky bet with the start very important. Has been very slow away both times from front row draws but no's 2 & 3 aren't overly quick out themselves. Just needs to hold them out to the first turn to snag the perfect sit on Business In Motions back. It is first up today but has put in 2 impressive trials, winning one easily a finishing the other off very impressively to finish 4th just behind Smokey Quartz. Was close to 30 metres over Smokey at the turn & lost by under 10, not being that aggressively driven. Looks set for a first up blinder and lets have faith the puppet can hold the leaders back!
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 3 pegs but was disappointing
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Ok To Fly
Just keep find the back of slow horses last start at Melton and wasn't pushed to the line. Should have finished much closer in a stronger race than it meets here. Gets the good draw and looks a great ew bet and if it can cross the 1 early, strong winning chance.
RESULT: LOST! Horrible
ROUGHIES
$10PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Tuxedo Toff
Forget he went around at Shepparton over the short trip last start when he was checked at the start, left 3 wide and had to push forward in a very quick 2nd quarter. He weakened out late but had every right to. Back to the longer distance tonight against some very weak opposition here, worth a little ew. Lust is the other I think is a chance at odds but drawing behind the 2 isn't ideal for it.
RESULT: 2nd. Almost won! Collect $39
$10 PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Classic Jet
Hasn't run a in 19 starts and won in 21 but this is an extremely weak race and he races best of a cold sit. Run very well 2 starts back even though he finished 3rd last. Led, handed up but was eventually 3 back buried away. Finished off well late, hard on the back of the above average Sookin Up. Same draw here and should be huge odds.
RESULT: LOST! YEah, didn't do much
MEETING RESULT: Sorry followers, that was poor. I'll be hitting back hard at Melton tomorrow. Lost $61
BEST WIN
$30WIN
Race 2 No 10 Koten Blosem Lombo
Been out of racing for almost 2 years but was running well against Victoria's best fillies. Returns in a very weak field off the back of an easy Elmore trial win. Should win this if anywhere near right
RESULT: LOST! Driven like a $1.5 pop, ran like a $5o shot
$20WIN
Race 6 No 1 Melita Bromac
This is a risky bet with the start very important. Has been very slow away both times from front row draws but no's 2 & 3 aren't overly quick out themselves. Just needs to hold them out to the first turn to snag the perfect sit on Business In Motions back. It is first up today but has put in 2 impressive trials, winning one easily a finishing the other off very impressively to finish 4th just behind Smokey Quartz. Was close to 30 metres over Smokey at the turn & lost by under 10, not being that aggressively driven. Looks set for a first up blinder and lets have faith the puppet can hold the leaders back!
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 3 pegs but was disappointing
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Ok To Fly
Just keep find the back of slow horses last start at Melton and wasn't pushed to the line. Should have finished much closer in a stronger race than it meets here. Gets the good draw and looks a great ew bet and if it can cross the 1 early, strong winning chance.
RESULT: LOST! Horrible
ROUGHIES
$10PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Tuxedo Toff
Forget he went around at Shepparton over the short trip last start when he was checked at the start, left 3 wide and had to push forward in a very quick 2nd quarter. He weakened out late but had every right to. Back to the longer distance tonight against some very weak opposition here, worth a little ew. Lust is the other I think is a chance at odds but drawing behind the 2 isn't ideal for it.
RESULT: 2nd. Almost won! Collect $39
$10 PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Classic Jet
Hasn't run a in 19 starts and won in 21 but this is an extremely weak race and he races best of a cold sit. Run very well 2 starts back even though he finished 3rd last. Led, handed up but was eventually 3 back buried away. Finished off well late, hard on the back of the above average Sookin Up. Same draw here and should be huge odds.
RESULT: LOST! YEah, didn't do much
MEETING RESULT: Sorry followers, that was poor. I'll be hitting back hard at Melton tomorrow. Lost $61
Kilmore, Thursday 13th MArch
One of the worst meetings I can remember in recent history. Snuggle up to the Mrs and earn some extra browny points for the weekend rather than waste your time here. If you can't, I'm really just keen on the 1 race so here's how I'd play it:
Race 7
$62 WIN REAL CHARACTER
$20 Quinella REAL CHARACTER & SON OF GOZO PRIDE
$18 TRIFECTA for 100%
1-2 / 1-2-5-6 / 1-2-5-6-8
Real Character won't get a better chance to win one and Gavin Lang on board seels the deal. Leads and wins for mine. Son of Gozo Pride the danger after a good 3rd against much better than these last start. Isn't blessed with great gate speed which isn't ideal over the sprint but if they go too fast here, he's a knock out chance.
RESULT: 1st & 3rd and we notch the trifecta but $22?!?! Thought it would've paid more without the 2nd fav running anywhere. Anyway, it's a win.
Collects: $130.20 + $22.20 = $54.40 profit
Race 7
$62 WIN REAL CHARACTER
$20 Quinella REAL CHARACTER & SON OF GOZO PRIDE
$18 TRIFECTA for 100%
1-2 / 1-2-5-6 / 1-2-5-6-8
Real Character won't get a better chance to win one and Gavin Lang on board seels the deal. Leads and wins for mine. Son of Gozo Pride the danger after a good 3rd against much better than these last start. Isn't blessed with great gate speed which isn't ideal over the sprint but if they go too fast here, he's a knock out chance.
RESULT: 1st & 3rd and we notch the trifecta but $22?!?! Thought it would've paid more without the 2nd fav running anywhere. Anyway, it's a win.
Collects: $130.20 + $22.20 = $54.40 profit
Maryborough, Thursday 13th MArch
Not a bad meeting for mid week here and I should be eating into the deficit.
$100 BETTING PORTFOLIO
BEST WIN
$20WIN
Race 3 No 4 Tooram Lad
Forget his first 2 runs from a spell especially last start when travelling in the 1x1 position only to be dragged back through the field and losing all chance against some quality 3yo's. Raced against the best of the best as a 2yo and anywhere near it's form of last season wins this. Should lead here and no one rates them better in front than Scotty Dyer.
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them! $68 collect
BEST EW
$30WIN/$50PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Exotic Native
Regular followers would know I'm a fan of this horse and back to the 2190 here today looks ideal. He was really brave at Geelong 2 starts back and then followed up with an OK 3rd at Melton. Drops in class and gets the ideal draw. Each way all day if odds suggest
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance. Not sure why it was so short & Rocky, another fav of mine paid $8! Frustrating but still a profit today. Collect $70
Meeting Result: Won $38
$100 BETTING PORTFOLIO
BEST WIN
$20WIN
Race 3 No 4 Tooram Lad
Forget his first 2 runs from a spell especially last start when travelling in the 1x1 position only to be dragged back through the field and losing all chance against some quality 3yo's. Raced against the best of the best as a 2yo and anywhere near it's form of last season wins this. Should lead here and no one rates them better in front than Scotty Dyer.
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them! $68 collect
BEST EW
$30WIN/$50PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Exotic Native
Regular followers would know I'm a fan of this horse and back to the 2190 here today looks ideal. He was really brave at Geelong 2 starts back and then followed up with an OK 3rd at Melton. Drops in class and gets the ideal draw. Each way all day if odds suggest
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance. Not sure why it was so short & Rocky, another fav of mine paid $8! Frustrating but still a profit today. Collect $70
Meeting Result: Won $38
Mildura, Wednesday 12th March
Betting Portfolio $100
Looks a trap for favourite punters tonight, just the way I like it! Many favourites drawn wide, back row or on a front line with likely suicidal speed. So here goes:
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Whenmechief
I have no doubt that this bloke wins with any sort of clear running last start against Billy Mack and went to the line hard held at this track and distance. Was a similar story 3 starts back again over this distance when never got a crack at them and the 26 metre loss was very unfair. Expect the 2, 3 & 5 to attack for the lead early and for a nice one off the rail position to open up for Whenmechief. Billy Mack is likely to make a mid race move to keep the pressure right on in this, pressure I don't think these horses can handle. With the Chief waiting for the last crack at them I'm very keen on his chances at ew odds.
Pog Odds: $8
RESULT: 3rd. Weird run. Never travelled in the run until the final 400 but it was too late. $45 Collect (s-tab) $1.80 best tote uni-tab
BEST WIN
$20WIN
Race 7 No 2 Ranyer Storm
Treated them like amateurs last week in a very impressive win off a slow speed. Has enough gate speed to lead them up here if Bellman chooses to do so or take a sit on Gollahman's back. I hope she leads as gaining a run late in this race with no sprint lane wouldn't be ideal and she's strong enough to lead throughout.
Pog Odds: $4
RESULT: 2nd. Was counting my money at the top of the straight but just couldn't run down the leader.
$20WIN
Race 8 No 2 Fantail
This fella is a one trick pony. Must lead in it's race and will do that tonight. Last time he did over this journey ran 1:58 for the 1790metres. Super quick for C0 class. It's only threat in this race is Warrior Mac, who smashed Fantail last start but this race looks to be a different scenario.
Pog Odds: $2.5
RESULT: LOST! Needs it weaker..
$10 QUADDIE
3 / 1-3-7 / 2-4-7 / 2-9 (55.55%)
RESULT: 3 legs and a 2nd...
DAY RESULT: Rubbish. Lost $155 but not far off at Mildura at least..
Looks a trap for favourite punters tonight, just the way I like it! Many favourites drawn wide, back row or on a front line with likely suicidal speed. So here goes:
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Whenmechief
I have no doubt that this bloke wins with any sort of clear running last start against Billy Mack and went to the line hard held at this track and distance. Was a similar story 3 starts back again over this distance when never got a crack at them and the 26 metre loss was very unfair. Expect the 2, 3 & 5 to attack for the lead early and for a nice one off the rail position to open up for Whenmechief. Billy Mack is likely to make a mid race move to keep the pressure right on in this, pressure I don't think these horses can handle. With the Chief waiting for the last crack at them I'm very keen on his chances at ew odds.
Pog Odds: $8
RESULT: 3rd. Weird run. Never travelled in the run until the final 400 but it was too late. $45 Collect (s-tab) $1.80 best tote uni-tab
BEST WIN
$20WIN
Race 7 No 2 Ranyer Storm
Treated them like amateurs last week in a very impressive win off a slow speed. Has enough gate speed to lead them up here if Bellman chooses to do so or take a sit on Gollahman's back. I hope she leads as gaining a run late in this race with no sprint lane wouldn't be ideal and she's strong enough to lead throughout.
Pog Odds: $4
RESULT: 2nd. Was counting my money at the top of the straight but just couldn't run down the leader.
$20WIN
Race 8 No 2 Fantail
This fella is a one trick pony. Must lead in it's race and will do that tonight. Last time he did over this journey ran 1:58 for the 1790metres. Super quick for C0 class. It's only threat in this race is Warrior Mac, who smashed Fantail last start but this race looks to be a different scenario.
Pog Odds: $2.5
RESULT: LOST! Needs it weaker..
$10 QUADDIE
3 / 1-3-7 / 2-4-7 / 2-9 (55.55%)
RESULT: 3 legs and a 2nd...
DAY RESULT: Rubbish. Lost $155 but not far off at Mildura at least..
Yarra ValleY, Wednesday 12th March
One of the tougher meeting you're ever likely to see. Plenty of out of form or first up horses engaged here but here's how I'd attack it:
Betting Portfolio $100
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Frank The Duck
Last run was in December when a very unlucky 9th beaten 15 metres in a C2 race at Melton. Should have finished much closer. Has warmed up for this race with a trial on the 3rd of March at Melton. Finished 4th after leading from outside the front row. The trial looks ordinary on paper but Charlie Borg was sitting quietly in the sulky and never let him down. Medonc should hold the lead here from Glenferrie College and the pressure should be on throughout. That can only suit Frank and he looks a great EW chance. Pog Odds: $6
RESULT: LAST! Well that was embarrassing.. Never wanted to be on at any point. Did nothing
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Fuji Fred
Just not suited to the mile at Shepparton last start being run of his legs the first 3 quarters of the race but his last 400 metres was very impressive in a 56.8 last half. Back to 2150metres today and with some weak horses drawn it's inside, David Miles should push forward today.. Looks mighty hard to beat.
Pog Odds: $6
RESULT: LOST! My hate of Yarra Valley continues. Worked a little early to get a forward position but just pluuged to the line
Betting Portfolio $100
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Frank The Duck
Last run was in December when a very unlucky 9th beaten 15 metres in a C2 race at Melton. Should have finished much closer. Has warmed up for this race with a trial on the 3rd of March at Melton. Finished 4th after leading from outside the front row. The trial looks ordinary on paper but Charlie Borg was sitting quietly in the sulky and never let him down. Medonc should hold the lead here from Glenferrie College and the pressure should be on throughout. That can only suit Frank and he looks a great EW chance. Pog Odds: $6
RESULT: LAST! Well that was embarrassing.. Never wanted to be on at any point. Did nothing
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Fuji Fred
Just not suited to the mile at Shepparton last start being run of his legs the first 3 quarters of the race but his last 400 metres was very impressive in a 56.8 last half. Back to 2150metres today and with some weak horses drawn it's inside, David Miles should push forward today.. Looks mighty hard to beat.
Pog Odds: $6
RESULT: LOST! My hate of Yarra Valley continues. Worked a little early to get a forward position but just pluuged to the line
Ballarat, Tuesday 11th March
This is a really tough meeting but there are a couple of target races I have my eye on. I'll give members a better idea of how to spread punting funds so here's how I'd spend $100 on this meeting:
BEST WIN
$40WIN
Race 1 No 4 Roy George
A little risky here but this fella won a trial very impressively last week and has the front row draw advantage over it's main rivals. Matty Craven doesn't take them away from home too often unless he's super confident. It's price could go either way. If early odds are $3+ take it.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.40 fixed s-tab and was smashed from there on in. Very impressive win. $1.70 fixed best s-tab at close. Collect $68
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Umi
Stand start racing can be hit and miss but Umi is very reliable from the stand. Her last start from the tapes was huge, running track record times in front and only weakened late for a good 2nd. This is a much weaker race than she met that night and if she's able to jump on the lead early, looks the ew bet of the night.
RESULT: 3rd. Ordinary. Had every possible chance after getting it's own way in front. Not the first time Ive fallen for Umi but I'm tipping that'll be the last. s-tab tote $1.40 so a small loss. Collect $28
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Gabbys Sweetheart
Forget it's last start run when broke early and lost all chance. If you go on it's previous start, where it must've run close to a 55 second last half, it would win this by panels with a similar run. We may have our hearts in our mouths early but look out if she behaves tonight, especially with Greg Sugars onboard, I'm keen at odds.
9.02pm update: Gabby's looks like starting shorter than I expected. Thought it maybe out to good ew odds but that looks unlikely, especially with Craig Rail tipping it to win.
RESULT: LOST! Roughy? Sorry all, I got that horribly wrong! On pace runners night tonight but I think Sugars took it to the extreme there with Gabby's sitting 3 wide in the quickest lead time of the night. Overaced once it got to the death and had nothing left late. One trick pony, sit sprint only.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $4.
BEST WIN
$40WIN
Race 1 No 4 Roy George
A little risky here but this fella won a trial very impressively last week and has the front row draw advantage over it's main rivals. Matty Craven doesn't take them away from home too often unless he's super confident. It's price could go either way. If early odds are $3+ take it.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.40 fixed s-tab and was smashed from there on in. Very impressive win. $1.70 fixed best s-tab at close. Collect $68
BEST EW
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Umi
Stand start racing can be hit and miss but Umi is very reliable from the stand. Her last start from the tapes was huge, running track record times in front and only weakened late for a good 2nd. This is a much weaker race than she met that night and if she's able to jump on the lead early, looks the ew bet of the night.
RESULT: 3rd. Ordinary. Had every possible chance after getting it's own way in front. Not the first time Ive fallen for Umi but I'm tipping that'll be the last. s-tab tote $1.40 so a small loss. Collect $28
BEST ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Gabbys Sweetheart
Forget it's last start run when broke early and lost all chance. If you go on it's previous start, where it must've run close to a 55 second last half, it would win this by panels with a similar run. We may have our hearts in our mouths early but look out if she behaves tonight, especially with Greg Sugars onboard, I'm keen at odds.
9.02pm update: Gabby's looks like starting shorter than I expected. Thought it maybe out to good ew odds but that looks unlikely, especially with Craig Rail tipping it to win.
RESULT: LOST! Roughy? Sorry all, I got that horribly wrong! On pace runners night tonight but I think Sugars took it to the extreme there with Gabby's sitting 3 wide in the quickest lead time of the night. Overaced once it got to the death and had nothing left late. One trick pony, sit sprint only.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $4.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Call Me Bond
Looks to have the gate speed to led and have the advantage over favourite McNiven. McNiven would've beaten Call ME Bond last time they met if not for locking wheels in the straight but Call Me Bond settled last that day. He's a different horse in front and should be value.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & had a great battle with McNiven & just held it out. Opened $2.40 and backed into $2. Collect $100
BEST PLACE
$25PLACE
Race 4 No 1 One Time Operator
Debutant who has trialled well for this. Likely to get a cosy run and should be $3+ for place.
RESULT: LOST! The less said the better
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Artoc
Always takes a few starts to get back into full fitness and is 3rd up tonight. Drops significantly in class here after a good 4th to It Is Billy Friday night at Melton. Should push forward from the wide draw and Alex Ashwood is no slouch in the cart. Should go very close & I can't see him missing a place
RESULT: WINNER! Alex will need to put his shoulder in ice. Looked gone before the turn but in true Artoc fashion, just kept whacking away under very hard driving. Good drive too. Up to $6 available on some corporates 5 mins before the race. Collect $230
MEETING RESULT: Won $150
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Call Me Bond
Looks to have the gate speed to led and have the advantage over favourite McNiven. McNiven would've beaten Call ME Bond last time they met if not for locking wheels in the straight but Call Me Bond settled last that day. He's a different horse in front and should be value.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & had a great battle with McNiven & just held it out. Opened $2.40 and backed into $2. Collect $100
BEST PLACE
$25PLACE
Race 4 No 1 One Time Operator
Debutant who has trialled well for this. Likely to get a cosy run and should be $3+ for place.
RESULT: LOST! The less said the better
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Artoc
Always takes a few starts to get back into full fitness and is 3rd up tonight. Drops significantly in class here after a good 4th to It Is Billy Friday night at Melton. Should push forward from the wide draw and Alex Ashwood is no slouch in the cart. Should go very close & I can't see him missing a place
RESULT: WINNER! Alex will need to put his shoulder in ice. Looked gone before the turn but in true Artoc fashion, just kept whacking away under very hard driving. Good drive too. Up to $6 available on some corporates 5 mins before the race. Collect $230
MEETING RESULT: Won $150
Geelong, Monday 3rd March
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 5 No 4 Thunder Fee
Loved it's run last start. After settling last she took off 3 and 4 wide at the 600 metres and did very well to hang onto 4th as it's extremely hard to keep momentum wide at Yarra Valley. Should settle closer today and the longer distance suits
RESULT: 3rd. Its just a plodder..
$25WIN
Race 5 No 4 Thunder Fee
Loved it's run last start. After settling last she took off 3 and 4 wide at the 600 metres and did very well to hang onto 4th as it's extremely hard to keep momentum wide at Yarra Valley. Should settle closer today and the longer distance suits
RESULT: 3rd. Its just a plodder..
MENANGLE, Sunday 2nd MArch
2014 Interdominion
One of the most even Interdoms that I can remember which can only be great for the sport. Here are my thoughts on the race:
THE START: Livingontheinterest looks to have the pace to cross I'm Victorious but expect Keayang Cullen and Mach Beauty to declare war on each other to hold the lead. I think Keayang Cullen will have the speed to hold the top but will be looking for a suitable leader to hand up to. Expect that to come in the form of Beautide. From 2nd on the backrow, Rattary will be pushing through early on the back of Livingontheinterest and stalking both the 2 tearaway leaders. Once the dust settles Rattary will be eyeing off top spot and expect Craven to give it to him.
MIDRACE: There doesn't seem to be many that will want to have the death seat run over the 3009 metres but expect Terror To Love to make that mid race move. Depending on where they settle, expect someone to pull out in front of it and hand up the death to obtain the 1 x 1 sit. From there on the race should be fairly settled.
THE FINISH: Beautide was very disappointing losing last week, in a last half that was much slower than the other heat. If you're prepared to forgive then it is undoubtedly the horse to beat, especially if he ends up in front like I predict. At $4, it's a big if. Terror To Love death seated in this race last year and only weakened late. Looks to be a much more improved horse this time around and if there is a chink in Beautide's armour, he's the horse to find it. For A Reason, Caribbean Blaster, Smolda will be blazing down the outside and will be extremely dangerous if they go too hard in front but I doubt this will be the case today and they'll need luck for mine. As will Restrepo and Im Victorious from the draw. I would have been keen on Restrepo if it had drawn anywhere else and can certainly be dangerous if Gavin Lang weaves his magic.
SUGGESTED BET:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Terror To Love
As mentioned, I think it's a much improved horse this time around. People have been fairly vocal about it's Menangle record but only 1 has been over this distance, last year in this race, where he certainly wasn't disgraced running 4th. He's going to have to work hard again but he'll look the winner at some stage and at the $12 available, worth a go.
RESULT: LOST! He was the one 3 wide coming at them late. Read that wrong & not very happy I jumped off Beautide. Super win.
ROUGHY:
$50PLACE
Keayang Cullen
Broke the Melton track record after having a cold sit last week. He's going to have use a fair bit of petrol to hold out Mach Beauty but if he does, looks a great place bet at $5.
RESULT: LOST! Got caught up 3 pegs & never looked likely
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Franco Nelson
The Chariots is one of if not the best 4yo race there is in harness and today is another ripper. Loved Franco Nelson's 2 efforts against open class which ended up leaving him 1st emergency for the Interdom. Steps back to his own age here and looks perfectly suited from the draw even though Gingers Bliss will cross early. Expect Franco Nelson to jump straight off the fence. I expect him to roll to the frint and be hard to beat as he showed in last years Breeders Crown leading, and importantly, has beaten Border Control back in NZ this preparation. Has a big show in a fantastic race. $4.50 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Led & not good enough
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Little Red Cloud
Put in a great effort to give Magical Telf a good fright last start when running 2nd in good time over the 2300 metres at this track. Gets a similar draw here and should sett great value at the current fixed odds. $3.30 s-tab
RESULT! WON!! Oh dear, only had it a place & it makes a fool of me winning at $20. Collect $210
$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Major Crocker
Very unlucky not to finish much closer in the heat. Drew 1 & was taken on early before eventually handing up. The horse he handed up to did the same and then again which left Major Crocker 4 pegs after working hard. Had every right to battle from the but once he was out, ran on well to finish 4th not far off them. Key to it's chances here to for Sugars to hand up to the right horse, which would leave it leaders back the entire race a sneaky chance to place At $8.50 BET365, worth the risk.
RESULT: 4th. Was always going to need luck and just got held up at a critical stage
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Lettucefib
Big drop back in class here after running a huge 4th to Guaranteed last start (Group 2) and probably should have finished closer after being held up at a vital stage. Back to a M0 here and draws perfectly in 2 and show have enough early toe to use it. Great EW punt. $5.50/$1.73 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Awful. Had every chance
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 6 Quick Draft
Has returned to racing this preparation in some sort of form topped off with a huge win from the death in its Oaks heat. Restrained from a wide draw, Alford had her up on the speed early and she raced away for a convincing win. Most importantly, in the quickest last half from the heats. With Nike Franco likely to be crossed early and stuck on the pegs, look for Nathan Jack to try & take up the same position today. EW all day. Current fixed $7.5/$1.85 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Did it tough and wasn't good enough in another blow out for punters
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Pub Blitz
Went 3 wide solo in the heat of the Inter and hit a flat spot when they upped the tempo rounding the turn. Once he balanced up he found the line impressively to finish 4th, not far off the placegetters. The looks to be heaps of pace in the race and if he can obtain a good trail into the race, the $26 on offer at BET365 looks huge
RESULT: 5th. Rattled home late after finding another flat patch around the turn. Frustrating
MEETING RESULT: Lost $310.. Frustrating day on the punt.. Back to Victoria where I belong
One of the most even Interdoms that I can remember which can only be great for the sport. Here are my thoughts on the race:
THE START: Livingontheinterest looks to have the pace to cross I'm Victorious but expect Keayang Cullen and Mach Beauty to declare war on each other to hold the lead. I think Keayang Cullen will have the speed to hold the top but will be looking for a suitable leader to hand up to. Expect that to come in the form of Beautide. From 2nd on the backrow, Rattary will be pushing through early on the back of Livingontheinterest and stalking both the 2 tearaway leaders. Once the dust settles Rattary will be eyeing off top spot and expect Craven to give it to him.
MIDRACE: There doesn't seem to be many that will want to have the death seat run over the 3009 metres but expect Terror To Love to make that mid race move. Depending on where they settle, expect someone to pull out in front of it and hand up the death to obtain the 1 x 1 sit. From there on the race should be fairly settled.
THE FINISH: Beautide was very disappointing losing last week, in a last half that was much slower than the other heat. If you're prepared to forgive then it is undoubtedly the horse to beat, especially if he ends up in front like I predict. At $4, it's a big if. Terror To Love death seated in this race last year and only weakened late. Looks to be a much more improved horse this time around and if there is a chink in Beautide's armour, he's the horse to find it. For A Reason, Caribbean Blaster, Smolda will be blazing down the outside and will be extremely dangerous if they go too hard in front but I doubt this will be the case today and they'll need luck for mine. As will Restrepo and Im Victorious from the draw. I would have been keen on Restrepo if it had drawn anywhere else and can certainly be dangerous if Gavin Lang weaves his magic.
SUGGESTED BET:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Terror To Love
As mentioned, I think it's a much improved horse this time around. People have been fairly vocal about it's Menangle record but only 1 has been over this distance, last year in this race, where he certainly wasn't disgraced running 4th. He's going to have to work hard again but he'll look the winner at some stage and at the $12 available, worth a go.
RESULT: LOST! He was the one 3 wide coming at them late. Read that wrong & not very happy I jumped off Beautide. Super win.
ROUGHY:
$50PLACE
Keayang Cullen
Broke the Melton track record after having a cold sit last week. He's going to have use a fair bit of petrol to hold out Mach Beauty but if he does, looks a great place bet at $5.
RESULT: LOST! Got caught up 3 pegs & never looked likely
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Franco Nelson
The Chariots is one of if not the best 4yo race there is in harness and today is another ripper. Loved Franco Nelson's 2 efforts against open class which ended up leaving him 1st emergency for the Interdom. Steps back to his own age here and looks perfectly suited from the draw even though Gingers Bliss will cross early. Expect Franco Nelson to jump straight off the fence. I expect him to roll to the frint and be hard to beat as he showed in last years Breeders Crown leading, and importantly, has beaten Border Control back in NZ this preparation. Has a big show in a fantastic race. $4.50 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Led & not good enough
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 1 No 6 Little Red Cloud
Put in a great effort to give Magical Telf a good fright last start when running 2nd in good time over the 2300 metres at this track. Gets a similar draw here and should sett great value at the current fixed odds. $3.30 s-tab
RESULT! WON!! Oh dear, only had it a place & it makes a fool of me winning at $20. Collect $210
$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Major Crocker
Very unlucky not to finish much closer in the heat. Drew 1 & was taken on early before eventually handing up. The horse he handed up to did the same and then again which left Major Crocker 4 pegs after working hard. Had every right to battle from the but once he was out, ran on well to finish 4th not far off them. Key to it's chances here to for Sugars to hand up to the right horse, which would leave it leaders back the entire race a sneaky chance to place At $8.50 BET365, worth the risk.
RESULT: 4th. Was always going to need luck and just got held up at a critical stage
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 2 Lettucefib
Big drop back in class here after running a huge 4th to Guaranteed last start (Group 2) and probably should have finished closer after being held up at a vital stage. Back to a M0 here and draws perfectly in 2 and show have enough early toe to use it. Great EW punt. $5.50/$1.73 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Awful. Had every chance
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 6 Quick Draft
Has returned to racing this preparation in some sort of form topped off with a huge win from the death in its Oaks heat. Restrained from a wide draw, Alford had her up on the speed early and she raced away for a convincing win. Most importantly, in the quickest last half from the heats. With Nike Franco likely to be crossed early and stuck on the pegs, look for Nathan Jack to try & take up the same position today. EW all day. Current fixed $7.5/$1.85 BET365
RESULT: LOST! Did it tough and wasn't good enough in another blow out for punters
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Pub Blitz
Went 3 wide solo in the heat of the Inter and hit a flat spot when they upped the tempo rounding the turn. Once he balanced up he found the line impressively to finish 4th, not far off the placegetters. The looks to be heaps of pace in the race and if he can obtain a good trail into the race, the $26 on offer at BET365 looks huge
RESULT: 5th. Rattled home late after finding another flat patch around the turn. Frustrating
MEETING RESULT: Lost $310.. Frustrating day on the punt.. Back to Victoria where I belong
Shepparton. Saturday 1st March
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 2: 1 & 8
Maharaja Lombo leads with Phyl Crocker right on his back. The 1609 metres at Shepparton is a pegs paradise and expect these tw0 to have a mortgage on the race
RESULT: LOST! Weak as piss Maharaja. Never again bucket
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Brother Rabbit
Was simply run off his legs last start but has been super this prep against similar opposition that it meets tonight. 2 starts back was huge after racing in the death & finishing 3rd 6 metres off Nimble Jack who is low flying. Should receive a nice trail here. Good EW bet.
RESULT: WINNER! The fav was probably stiff not to win but who bloody cares! Collect $466
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Indulgent
Weird drive from Sugars in a very strong C4/5 race last week. Was stuck behind a tiring horse but there was no really urgency to get away from the pegs and advance. Was around 20 metres off them at the turn & finished about that margin away at the finish in a 55 second last half finishing 5th. It Is Billy ran 4th in that race & smashed them at Melton last night. Should get a nice sit here on the back of some very good early pace. I'm very keen on it's chances tonight.
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up 4 back the pegs!! Probably should've finished closer but not sure if it would've won anyway. Collect $133.80
MEETING RESULT: Won $399.80
$50 QUINELLA
Race 2: 1 & 8
Maharaja Lombo leads with Phyl Crocker right on his back. The 1609 metres at Shepparton is a pegs paradise and expect these tw0 to have a mortgage on the race
RESULT: LOST! Weak as piss Maharaja. Never again bucket
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Brother Rabbit
Was simply run off his legs last start but has been super this prep against similar opposition that it meets tonight. 2 starts back was huge after racing in the death & finishing 3rd 6 metres off Nimble Jack who is low flying. Should receive a nice trail here. Good EW bet.
RESULT: WINNER! The fav was probably stiff not to win but who bloody cares! Collect $466
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Indulgent
Weird drive from Sugars in a very strong C4/5 race last week. Was stuck behind a tiring horse but there was no really urgency to get away from the pegs and advance. Was around 20 metres off them at the turn & finished about that margin away at the finish in a 55 second last half finishing 5th. It Is Billy ran 4th in that race & smashed them at Melton last night. Should get a nice sit here on the back of some very good early pace. I'm very keen on it's chances tonight.
RESULT: 3rd. Ended up 4 back the pegs!! Probably should've finished closer but not sure if it would've won anyway. Collect $133.80
MEETING RESULT: Won $399.80
Melton, Friday 28th February
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 10 The Gingerbread Man
Going again on this fella this week after being impressive winning from the back row. Sandy Kay is going to prove hard to beat especially if Justice makes his run too late as Sandy Kay will follow it's every move. He must go early to the death or push on to lead here, if he does he wins.
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't go forward as he needed to early but that was because they ran some very quick times early so not driver error. That gave Sandy Kay every opportunity & it took it.
$100WIN
Race 4 No 6 Earth Angel
Just eats up mile racing and showed that it can't just lead from leading last week after blowing them away from the 1 x 1. Will lead here tonight with Rogers Joy likely to hand up. I can't see anything running him down from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Thought it would've pressed on and led tonight but got stuck without cover & was outsprinted.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 It Is Billy
Was let down by a fairly poor drive last week when he should've taken off mid race in front of Sapphire Swayze but elected to stay in. Had to run on 4 and 5 wide in a 55 second last half so did extremely well to finish so close in the end. Should push forward from the draw tonight, Anne-Maree has to, as it'll control the race from there and should prove too good.
RESULT: WINNER! Beautiful drive Anne-Maree. Death seated and bolted in! Collect $285
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Carpenters Daughter
Broke the clock last week when running a very unlucky 4th against a stronger field. I'd be betting win only if I was confident she could hold them out early but that is the big risk with her tonight. If she can lead, I'm very confident she'll be saluting but will just need a wee bit of luck to figure if crossed.
RESULT: 3rd. Crossed early and was 3 pegs so had to come off to death seat when the opportunity was there. Good run considering how hard it worked in the run. $112
BEST EXOTICS
$50 QUINELLA
Race 1 : 10 & 11
Looks to be a 2 horse war and a saver for The Gingerbread Man bet
RESULT: WINNER! Thanks saver. Collect $110
$50 QUINELLA
Race 9: 1 & 2
I think Lierre Noir leads, just & Whata Avenue lobs straight onto it's back. With the big question mark on Courageous N Quick I'm happy to take it on.
RESULT: LOST! I was wrong. Courageous led & Whata Avenue had to death seat
QUADDIES
$30 for 1000%
6 / 5 / 10-11-13 / 1
$24 for 50%
6 / 4-5-6 / 3-10-11-13 / 1-2-3-6
RESULT: LOST! No where near it.
MEETING RESULT: Won $107.. In the positive for the month!
$50WIN
Race 1 No 10 The Gingerbread Man
Going again on this fella this week after being impressive winning from the back row. Sandy Kay is going to prove hard to beat especially if Justice makes his run too late as Sandy Kay will follow it's every move. He must go early to the death or push on to lead here, if he does he wins.
RESULT: 2nd. Didn't go forward as he needed to early but that was because they ran some very quick times early so not driver error. That gave Sandy Kay every opportunity & it took it.
$100WIN
Race 4 No 6 Earth Angel
Just eats up mile racing and showed that it can't just lead from leading last week after blowing them away from the 1 x 1. Will lead here tonight with Rogers Joy likely to hand up. I can't see anything running him down from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Thought it would've pressed on and led tonight but got stuck without cover & was outsprinted.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 It Is Billy
Was let down by a fairly poor drive last week when he should've taken off mid race in front of Sapphire Swayze but elected to stay in. Had to run on 4 and 5 wide in a 55 second last half so did extremely well to finish so close in the end. Should push forward from the draw tonight, Anne-Maree has to, as it'll control the race from there and should prove too good.
RESULT: WINNER! Beautiful drive Anne-Maree. Death seated and bolted in! Collect $285
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Carpenters Daughter
Broke the clock last week when running a very unlucky 4th against a stronger field. I'd be betting win only if I was confident she could hold them out early but that is the big risk with her tonight. If she can lead, I'm very confident she'll be saluting but will just need a wee bit of luck to figure if crossed.
RESULT: 3rd. Crossed early and was 3 pegs so had to come off to death seat when the opportunity was there. Good run considering how hard it worked in the run. $112
BEST EXOTICS
$50 QUINELLA
Race 1 : 10 & 11
Looks to be a 2 horse war and a saver for The Gingerbread Man bet
RESULT: WINNER! Thanks saver. Collect $110
$50 QUINELLA
Race 9: 1 & 2
I think Lierre Noir leads, just & Whata Avenue lobs straight onto it's back. With the big question mark on Courageous N Quick I'm happy to take it on.
RESULT: LOST! I was wrong. Courageous led & Whata Avenue had to death seat
QUADDIES
$30 for 1000%
6 / 5 / 10-11-13 / 1
$24 for 50%
6 / 4-5-6 / 3-10-11-13 / 1-2-3-6
RESULT: LOST! No where near it.
MEETING RESULT: Won $107.. In the positive for the month!
Ararat, Thursday 27th February
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Suerte.
Looks like getting the lead handed to it on a platter & they shouldn't get close to it from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't lead as I expected it to and death seated. Went OK considering.
$100WIN
Race 5 No 2 Suerte.
Looks like getting the lead handed to it on a platter & they shouldn't get close to it from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't lead as I expected it to and death seated. Went OK considering.
Kilmore, Thursday 27th February
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Cheveyo
My boy is back & finally draws a gate over the sprint distance. Blind punting taking him first up without a trial but he's unbeaten over the mile from draws 1 to 5. I think its 4 from 4 but happy to be proven wrong! Has the speed to lead and should run them off their legs here if anywhere near fit.
RESULT: 3rd. I don't think the huge head wind help his cause but ran a good race from the front and wasn't beaten far by the 2 horses who had the cheaper run. In for a good prep if he get keep drawing well. Collect $114
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 8 No 6 Rocky Carrington
Been set up for this first up assault with 3 trials with the latest being a win over the 2200 metres running the last half in 57 seconds. Did draw 1 in that trial but these horses can't run that type of last half. Even from the wide draw, I think it's the winner here.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.10 and obviously a few others saw the trial result also being backed into $1.70. Won easily, collect $170
DAY RESULT: Lost $16
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Cheveyo
My boy is back & finally draws a gate over the sprint distance. Blind punting taking him first up without a trial but he's unbeaten over the mile from draws 1 to 5. I think its 4 from 4 but happy to be proven wrong! Has the speed to lead and should run them off their legs here if anywhere near fit.
RESULT: 3rd. I don't think the huge head wind help his cause but ran a good race from the front and wasn't beaten far by the 2 horses who had the cheaper run. In for a good prep if he get keep drawing well. Collect $114
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 8 No 6 Rocky Carrington
Been set up for this first up assault with 3 trials with the latest being a win over the 2200 metres running the last half in 57 seconds. Did draw 1 in that trial but these horses can't run that type of last half. Even from the wide draw, I think it's the winner here.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened $2.10 and obviously a few others saw the trial result also being backed into $1.70. Won easily, collect $170
DAY RESULT: Lost $16
MILDURA, Wednesday 27th February
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60 PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Can But Dream
Has got great early toe and will lead here. There is a concern with the 2190 metres with the last 100 a problem but their looks to be little pressure in this race & he maybe able to pinch it.
RESULT: WINNER! Go you good thing! Led & the wobbles never came winning pretty easily at good odds. Collect $490
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Our Waldenbury
Forget it went around in the Charlton Cup after it galloped at the start & never took part. There looks to be plenty of pressure on in this race with up to 4 horses best racing style racing in the death. If they go too crazy you can expect Our Waldenbury to be flashing at them late.
RESULT: 3rd. Not sure if it would've won but geez it should've finished a whole lot closer. Collect $51
ROUGHY
$50PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Fairhurst
This horse is a one trick pony. Races best when smothered away on the pegs & tonight will end up 3 pegs. With the favourite likely to roll to the front and potentially spread this field before the turn. Montana Madge will be trying to hold it's back but Fairhurst from 3 pegs is likely to get the run it needs late. Expect huge odds
RESULT: 2nd! Got a whole heap of luck but I was due. Collect $225
$40WIN/$60 PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Can But Dream
Has got great early toe and will lead here. There is a concern with the 2190 metres with the last 100 a problem but their looks to be little pressure in this race & he maybe able to pinch it.
RESULT: WINNER! Go you good thing! Led & the wobbles never came winning pretty easily at good odds. Collect $490
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 10 Our Waldenbury
Forget it went around in the Charlton Cup after it galloped at the start & never took part. There looks to be plenty of pressure on in this race with up to 4 horses best racing style racing in the death. If they go too crazy you can expect Our Waldenbury to be flashing at them late.
RESULT: 3rd. Not sure if it would've won but geez it should've finished a whole lot closer. Collect $51
ROUGHY
$50PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Fairhurst
This horse is a one trick pony. Races best when smothered away on the pegs & tonight will end up 3 pegs. With the favourite likely to roll to the front and potentially spread this field before the turn. Montana Madge will be trying to hold it's back but Fairhurst from 3 pegs is likely to get the run it needs late. Expect huge odds
RESULT: 2nd! Got a whole heap of luck but I was due. Collect $225
Maryborough, Wednesday 26th February
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Time Capsule
Probably a step up in class today but was super impressive winning from a similar run that it is likely to receive today. Will lead early & likely to hand up to horse of it's choosing. Probably be the best spot to be in the race & should receive every chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & didn't hand up. I think it's a better sit sprinter but certainly wasn't disgraced. Collect $108
DAY RESULT: Won $624. About time
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Time Capsule
Probably a step up in class today but was super impressive winning from a similar run that it is likely to receive today. Will lead early & likely to hand up to horse of it's choosing. Probably be the best spot to be in the race & should receive every chance.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & didn't hand up. I think it's a better sit sprinter but certainly wasn't disgraced. Collect $108
DAY RESULT: Won $624. About time
Echuca, Tuesday 25th February
It's all or nothing.. Having a fair crack here..
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Dreamy Smile
Leads on it's ear here and would have been the max bet if not for Chris Alford being on his back. Still should win but unknown how the 8 will go first up.
RESULT: WINNER! Pretty happy the 7 couldn't hold it's back otherwise it might've been a different story. Collect $115
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 Die Tryin
Never looked comfortable last start so prepared to forget. Leads & looks the best horse in the race. Should be winning
RESULT: WINNER! Very short & won but not like a $1.30 should. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Mind The Wire
Has been one very costly horse to the punter but won't get any easier than this. Has good gate speed which should see him lead. Michael Bellman on board today who is one of the best in the land on a leader. If he can't win this, may as well be sent to SA.
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in. Collect $90
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Life Long Voyage
Hardly ever wins this horse but does run heaps of placings. Should be at peak fitness after 4 starts from a break. Will follow Die Tryin's every move and it would be a surprise to see it miss a place
RESULT: 3rd. $7 on offer @ bet365 but good old s-tab offers up $2.20 on tote & $1.78 fixed! Thieves. Collect $110
BEST EXOTICS
NO BET IF THE 1 GAINS A START
$50 QUINELLA
Race 7 No's 2 & 3
$50 TRIFECTA
3 / 2-7 / 2-7
Dieing Secret was very good running 2nd last start from the death. Should lead and win at a short quote. Kamwood Dawn is best suited to sit sprinting and whilst it's hard to see him beat the fav, he won't be far away from the draw. Juke Kartel loves this track and will be flashing home late.
RESULT: LOST! The 2 was weak as piss after having the perfect trail.
QUADDIE
$15 for 500%
3 / 2-4-8 / 2 / 3
RESULT: WINNER! Finally snagged a quaddie.. And it pays $12.40. $62 collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $192
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Dreamy Smile
Leads on it's ear here and would have been the max bet if not for Chris Alford being on his back. Still should win but unknown how the 8 will go first up.
RESULT: WINNER! Pretty happy the 7 couldn't hold it's back otherwise it might've been a different story. Collect $115
$100WIN
Race 4 No 2 Die Tryin
Never looked comfortable last start so prepared to forget. Leads & looks the best horse in the race. Should be winning
RESULT: WINNER! Very short & won but not like a $1.30 should. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Mind The Wire
Has been one very costly horse to the punter but won't get any easier than this. Has good gate speed which should see him lead. Michael Bellman on board today who is one of the best in the land on a leader. If he can't win this, may as well be sent to SA.
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in. Collect $90
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Life Long Voyage
Hardly ever wins this horse but does run heaps of placings. Should be at peak fitness after 4 starts from a break. Will follow Die Tryin's every move and it would be a surprise to see it miss a place
RESULT: 3rd. $7 on offer @ bet365 but good old s-tab offers up $2.20 on tote & $1.78 fixed! Thieves. Collect $110
BEST EXOTICS
NO BET IF THE 1 GAINS A START
$50 QUINELLA
Race 7 No's 2 & 3
$50 TRIFECTA
3 / 2-7 / 2-7
Dieing Secret was very good running 2nd last start from the death. Should lead and win at a short quote. Kamwood Dawn is best suited to sit sprinting and whilst it's hard to see him beat the fav, he won't be far away from the draw. Juke Kartel loves this track and will be flashing home late.
RESULT: LOST! The 2 was weak as piss after having the perfect trail.
QUADDIE
$15 for 500%
3 / 2-4-8 / 2 / 3
RESULT: WINNER! Finally snagged a quaddie.. And it pays $12.40. $62 collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $192
Yarra Valley, Monday 24th FEBRUARY
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Outer Join
Regular followers of the site have just put in a restraining order after reading this tip. I thought his last start 2nd to the smart Jodila as super & this is very weak. Suited over the trip & from the drawn should settle close to the pace. Looks a good ew bet at odds
RESULT: 3rd. Super run. Was never going to beat the well backed fav but worked hard early to find the death & eventually handed up. Stuck with the 2 runaway leaders & wasn't beaten far in track record time. Not far off a win. The bandwagon will continue! Collect $177
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Danish King
Hasn't had the best of luck since saluting when I tipped him last a few starts back when he knocked off Western Gretel. This race is as weak as it's ever seen & form gate 1 & the in form Emma Hamblin on board looks a good bet
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start and that was the end of that.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Outrageous El
Went super first up when running 2nd to Hector Jay Jay. That was over the longer journey but showed enough to say he can win this from the death seat today.
RESULT: WINNER! Weird race with a few drivers losing the plot running a 55 sec first half. Considering he was in the death for the majority of that first half it was a good win. Again a track record and started very short. Collect $75
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Major Steppe
You have to forgive the first up run when beaten close to 60 metres against a similar field. Fact was it was stuck 4 wide for most of a 59sec first half & in the death in a 28 sec 3rd quarter. Any horse would be struggle with that sort of run & didn't help that it raced fiercely the trip. Shouldn't have to be fired up from the draw today and it's unlikely Thisiswhoiam will hand up today. That should mean one last crack at them for Major Steppe & I think that's the way he races best.
RESULT: LOST! Leader just didn't get it to the sprint lane but not sure if it was going to win anyway
QUADDIE
$20 for 2000%
5 / 2 / 7 / 8
(Oh dear, I've buggered up the quaddie numbers followers!! Should have been 5 / 8 / 2 / 7!) Thats what happens when I blog at 2am in the morning..)
MEETING RESULT: Lost $68
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Outer Join
Regular followers of the site have just put in a restraining order after reading this tip. I thought his last start 2nd to the smart Jodila as super & this is very weak. Suited over the trip & from the drawn should settle close to the pace. Looks a good ew bet at odds
RESULT: 3rd. Super run. Was never going to beat the well backed fav but worked hard early to find the death & eventually handed up. Stuck with the 2 runaway leaders & wasn't beaten far in track record time. Not far off a win. The bandwagon will continue! Collect $177
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Danish King
Hasn't had the best of luck since saluting when I tipped him last a few starts back when he knocked off Western Gretel. This race is as weak as it's ever seen & form gate 1 & the in form Emma Hamblin on board looks a good bet
RESULT: LOST! Galloped at the start and that was the end of that.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Outrageous El
Went super first up when running 2nd to Hector Jay Jay. That was over the longer journey but showed enough to say he can win this from the death seat today.
RESULT: WINNER! Weird race with a few drivers losing the plot running a 55 sec first half. Considering he was in the death for the majority of that first half it was a good win. Again a track record and started very short. Collect $75
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Major Steppe
You have to forgive the first up run when beaten close to 60 metres against a similar field. Fact was it was stuck 4 wide for most of a 59sec first half & in the death in a 28 sec 3rd quarter. Any horse would be struggle with that sort of run & didn't help that it raced fiercely the trip. Shouldn't have to be fired up from the draw today and it's unlikely Thisiswhoiam will hand up today. That should mean one last crack at them for Major Steppe & I think that's the way he races best.
RESULT: LOST! Leader just didn't get it to the sprint lane but not sure if it was going to win anyway
QUADDIE
$20 for 2000%
5 / 2 / 7 / 8
(Oh dear, I've buggered up the quaddie numbers followers!! Should have been 5 / 8 / 2 / 7!) Thats what happens when I blog at 2am in the morning..)
MEETING RESULT: Lost $68
BENDIGO, SUNDAY 23rd February
Going to go out with a bang with a week left of Poggaharness, so will be going hard with some risky punting this week, just hope I don't end up $1000's in the red. Lets hope it pays off starting with Bendigo
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 7 Authorized
Reckon he has a fair bit of class on this lot. Forget last start when had to try and make ground in a 56 sec last half. Likes the mile and whether it pushes forward early or even comes at them with one last sprint, I can't see it being beaten. Approx odds $2
RESULT: LOST! Never in it after restraining and getting stuck behind slow horses.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Majestic Swan
Forget it ran last week when it was pulled out of the race after breaking gear. The start previous it was extremely unlucky. Got stuck 3 wide early, restrained to last & shot up the inside to settle 3 pegs. Never saw daylight until the last 100 metres but hit the line hard. It is a better horse when not used up early so hopefully Nigel Milne restrains early & has one last crack at them. I'm taking on one of my fav's McRita here but she is better suited over longer as she is very one paced & will be unders today. Approx odds $10-$15
RESULT: LAST! Went forward early & got a lovely sit 1x1. Just before rounding the turn, for whatever reason, Nigel Milne decides to stay in the 1x1 behind a horse under pressure & never see's daylight. Won't see many worse than that.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 9 African Belle
Sat without cover when finished 2nd to Mindarie Priddy in track record time for the 3yo's. Follows through the likely early leader & looks well suited over the further distance tonight. Huge chance. Approx odds $6
RESULT: LOST! Death seated & in a slow time really did have every chance. Disappointing
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Hezfullarunning
May end up 3pegs here but that may not be the worst position to be in a race that will be run at high speed up front with Miss Toolern Vale leading & Jaxon Fella no doubt pestering it the whole trip from the death. I think those 2 will almost have a 2 horse war in the last half which should break the field up & leave it open for this fella. He has been in the 3 pegs position in it's last 3 starts at Melton not being disgraced in 56 sec last halves it's past 2 & broke when looking the winner 3 back. Fingers crossed the run comes at the right time & the favourites are on tired legs. Approx odds $20-$30
RESULT: WINNER! Well no where near the odds I thought it would be, but was still double figures. Just got there right on the line. Collect $341.30
MEETING RESULT: Lost $8.70!
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 7 Authorized
Reckon he has a fair bit of class on this lot. Forget last start when had to try and make ground in a 56 sec last half. Likes the mile and whether it pushes forward early or even comes at them with one last sprint, I can't see it being beaten. Approx odds $2
RESULT: LOST! Never in it after restraining and getting stuck behind slow horses.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Majestic Swan
Forget it ran last week when it was pulled out of the race after breaking gear. The start previous it was extremely unlucky. Got stuck 3 wide early, restrained to last & shot up the inside to settle 3 pegs. Never saw daylight until the last 100 metres but hit the line hard. It is a better horse when not used up early so hopefully Nigel Milne restrains early & has one last crack at them. I'm taking on one of my fav's McRita here but she is better suited over longer as she is very one paced & will be unders today. Approx odds $10-$15
RESULT: LAST! Went forward early & got a lovely sit 1x1. Just before rounding the turn, for whatever reason, Nigel Milne decides to stay in the 1x1 behind a horse under pressure & never see's daylight. Won't see many worse than that.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 9 African Belle
Sat without cover when finished 2nd to Mindarie Priddy in track record time for the 3yo's. Follows through the likely early leader & looks well suited over the further distance tonight. Huge chance. Approx odds $6
RESULT: LOST! Death seated & in a slow time really did have every chance. Disappointing
BEST ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Hezfullarunning
May end up 3pegs here but that may not be the worst position to be in a race that will be run at high speed up front with Miss Toolern Vale leading & Jaxon Fella no doubt pestering it the whole trip from the death. I think those 2 will almost have a 2 horse war in the last half which should break the field up & leave it open for this fella. He has been in the 3 pegs position in it's last 3 starts at Melton not being disgraced in 56 sec last halves it's past 2 & broke when looking the winner 3 back. Fingers crossed the run comes at the right time & the favourites are on tired legs. Approx odds $20-$30
RESULT: WINNER! Well no where near the odds I thought it would be, but was still double figures. Just got there right on the line. Collect $341.30
MEETING RESULT: Lost $8.70!
Terang, Saturday 22nd February
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 1 Desdon Murruffy
Went super against some smart types first up from an unsuitable draw. Gets gate 1 here. Leads and wins for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Led & was weak as piss
$25WIN
Race 9 No 2 Walberon
Should get a good trail from the draw behind the 1. Loves a sprint lane finish & worth a small go in the small field
RESULT: LOST! Never in it really
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Ya Messin
Had a chequered path on debut but when finally balanced up showed some real dash late finishing 2nd. Was slow out but not likely to need too much gate speed to hold a forward position here. Should go close at odds
RESULT: 4th. Frustrating, just missed 3rd at good odds.
ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 4 MasterOfThurles
Massive run at $80 last start in the heat when sat in the death & poured on the pressure the entire trip & just couldn't hold off Im Dreamin Jonesy. Going to have to death seat again and I think it may have the 1's measure. Just need to hold off the late finishers.
RESULT: LOST! Just worked far too hard
$25 PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Pascarma
Forget it's past couple when drawn back row. 3 starts back was good running a 19 metre 6th to Young Modern. It'll lead from the good draw today and probably hand up to Keayang Active I'd suggest. Going to get every opportunity to hang on from there at odds and is 1 from 1 over the sprint trip when it won at $100.
RESULT: 2nd. Started much shorter than I thought it would & gets beaten a head. Collect $62.50
QUADDIE
$30 for 100%
1 / 3-5-6-9-10 / 3-4-9 / 6-7
MEETING RESULT: Another crap night.. Lost $237.50
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 1 Desdon Murruffy
Went super against some smart types first up from an unsuitable draw. Gets gate 1 here. Leads and wins for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Led & was weak as piss
$25WIN
Race 9 No 2 Walberon
Should get a good trail from the draw behind the 1. Loves a sprint lane finish & worth a small go in the small field
RESULT: LOST! Never in it really
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 2 Ya Messin
Had a chequered path on debut but when finally balanced up showed some real dash late finishing 2nd. Was slow out but not likely to need too much gate speed to hold a forward position here. Should go close at odds
RESULT: 4th. Frustrating, just missed 3rd at good odds.
ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 4 MasterOfThurles
Massive run at $80 last start in the heat when sat in the death & poured on the pressure the entire trip & just couldn't hold off Im Dreamin Jonesy. Going to have to death seat again and I think it may have the 1's measure. Just need to hold off the late finishers.
RESULT: LOST! Just worked far too hard
$25 PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Pascarma
Forget it's past couple when drawn back row. 3 starts back was good running a 19 metre 6th to Young Modern. It'll lead from the good draw today and probably hand up to Keayang Active I'd suggest. Going to get every opportunity to hang on from there at odds and is 1 from 1 over the sprint trip when it won at $100.
RESULT: 2nd. Started much shorter than I thought it would & gets beaten a head. Collect $62.50
QUADDIE
$30 for 100%
1 / 3-5-6-9-10 / 3-4-9 / 6-7
MEETING RESULT: Another crap night.. Lost $237.50
Melton, Friday 21st February
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Rogers Passion
Has been absolutely flying of late winning tough. May not lead here but can still win from the death as it showed 2 starts back. Vox Populi the main danger but the wide outside draw gives Rogers a huge advantage
RESULT: WINNER! Finally snagged one. Led & never looked in danger. Collect $147.50
$25 WIN
Race 2 No 12 The Gingerbread Man
Has brought up 2 very impressive back to back wins, one from the death & the other with a withering burst from last on the turn. Looks suited when not pushed early in it's races which he'll have to do here. Looks very hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez, 2 from 2. Got the perfect ride into the race & did the job. Collect $102.50
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Alchemy
Seems to race much better over the 2240 metres. Very unlucky effort after making a mid race move an attempted to snatch the lead but failed. Took a sit soon after & was dragged back through the field and only saw daylight late. Good effort to run 4th. Should follow through it's stable mate & race handy enough early. A great EW punt.
RESULT: LOST! Interesting drive but was closer to last than first
MEETING RESULT: Won $75
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Rogers Passion
Has been absolutely flying of late winning tough. May not lead here but can still win from the death as it showed 2 starts back. Vox Populi the main danger but the wide outside draw gives Rogers a huge advantage
RESULT: WINNER! Finally snagged one. Led & never looked in danger. Collect $147.50
$25 WIN
Race 2 No 12 The Gingerbread Man
Has brought up 2 very impressive back to back wins, one from the death & the other with a withering burst from last on the turn. Looks suited when not pushed early in it's races which he'll have to do here. Looks very hard to beat.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez, 2 from 2. Got the perfect ride into the race & did the job. Collect $102.50
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Alchemy
Seems to race much better over the 2240 metres. Very unlucky effort after making a mid race move an attempted to snatch the lead but failed. Took a sit soon after & was dragged back through the field and only saw daylight late. Good effort to run 4th. Should follow through it's stable mate & race handy enough early. A great EW punt.
RESULT: LOST! Interesting drive but was closer to last than first
MEETING RESULT: Won $75
Geelong, Thursday 20th February
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 2 Guiltless
I must be keen if Im tipping a trotter but this bloke has impressed me even though it's only won once from 8 starts. There is a fair reason for that, it's raced against the best young trotters in the land, pretty much every start. First up last week he did extremely well only finishing 8 metres off star 3yo's Claudys Princess and Miracle. Should strip fitter for that run and with his main dangers drawn outside him, I expect an all the way victory. Just please don't gallop!!
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance, Chris Alford was too good.
$100WIN
Race 3 No 5 Whatapunt
I'm really hoping Nimble Jack will give us a bit of value for this fella. Whatapunt was unbelievable winning first up. Has lightning speed to burn and just keeps running over the mile. Should win this by a nice margin.
RESULT: 2nd started very short but wasn't expecting it to race 3 wide the trip in a 7 horse field..
$50WIN
Race 5 No 9 Our Missionary Man
Lost as favourite at Melton last start but all considering, it was a great run sitting in the death in a 1:55mile rate. Gets back to the longer trip today with some weak horses off the front line, he should be pushing forward early to take up the death or even the lead. Looks mighty hard to beat from that position.
RESULT: 3rd. Missed the boat & didn't go early. Stuck 3 wide the remainder of the race. Far bit of pressure on Exotic Native to save from double donuts!
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Mardy Bicken
Has had one trial for his return to racing for a good win over Outrageous El who come out & ran a super 2nd to Hector JayJay. Beat home The Fat Man as well. Should zoom straight to the lead here and get every opportunity. The concern is the 2100metres, I would bet straight out otherwise.
RESULT: LOST! Every possible chance & did nothing. Was a fair betting drift as well
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Exotic Native
Has always had heaps of talent but the horse is just realising it as it matures. Went super last start when it just got too far back & flashed home for 4th in a strong C1 race. Earth Angel continues to frank the form winning easily yesterday. Huge driving change tonight with Chris Alford taking the reigns from Ian McMahon and looks suited by plenty of pace off the front line. Each way all day.
RESULT: 3rd! Good run considering it was 3wide without cover the last lap & wasn't beaten far. Collect $80
QUADDIE:
Going to back in my tips here in a hope for a big dividend
$10 for 500%
4 / 9 / 11 / 9-10
The less moronic approach:
$30 for 50%
1-3-4-12-13 / 9-10 / 1-3-11 / 9-10
DAY RESULT: Horrible night for tipsters, horror day for me. Lost $410
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 2 Guiltless
I must be keen if Im tipping a trotter but this bloke has impressed me even though it's only won once from 8 starts. There is a fair reason for that, it's raced against the best young trotters in the land, pretty much every start. First up last week he did extremely well only finishing 8 metres off star 3yo's Claudys Princess and Miracle. Should strip fitter for that run and with his main dangers drawn outside him, I expect an all the way victory. Just please don't gallop!!
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance, Chris Alford was too good.
$100WIN
Race 3 No 5 Whatapunt
I'm really hoping Nimble Jack will give us a bit of value for this fella. Whatapunt was unbelievable winning first up. Has lightning speed to burn and just keeps running over the mile. Should win this by a nice margin.
RESULT: 2nd started very short but wasn't expecting it to race 3 wide the trip in a 7 horse field..
$50WIN
Race 5 No 9 Our Missionary Man
Lost as favourite at Melton last start but all considering, it was a great run sitting in the death in a 1:55mile rate. Gets back to the longer trip today with some weak horses off the front line, he should be pushing forward early to take up the death or even the lead. Looks mighty hard to beat from that position.
RESULT: 3rd. Missed the boat & didn't go early. Stuck 3 wide the remainder of the race. Far bit of pressure on Exotic Native to save from double donuts!
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Mardy Bicken
Has had one trial for his return to racing for a good win over Outrageous El who come out & ran a super 2nd to Hector JayJay. Beat home The Fat Man as well. Should zoom straight to the lead here and get every opportunity. The concern is the 2100metres, I would bet straight out otherwise.
RESULT: LOST! Every possible chance & did nothing. Was a fair betting drift as well
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Exotic Native
Has always had heaps of talent but the horse is just realising it as it matures. Went super last start when it just got too far back & flashed home for 4th in a strong C1 race. Earth Angel continues to frank the form winning easily yesterday. Huge driving change tonight with Chris Alford taking the reigns from Ian McMahon and looks suited by plenty of pace off the front line. Each way all day.
RESULT: 3rd! Good run considering it was 3wide without cover the last lap & wasn't beaten far. Collect $80
QUADDIE:
Going to back in my tips here in a hope for a big dividend
$10 for 500%
4 / 9 / 11 / 9-10
The less moronic approach:
$30 for 50%
1-3-4-12-13 / 9-10 / 1-3-11 / 9-10
DAY RESULT: Horrible night for tipsters, horror day for me. Lost $410
Maryborough, Thursday 20th February
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 10 Franco Seelster
Never saw daylight after been stuck 3 pegs last start & went to the line hard held with plenty left to give. First up run was very encouraging. Both races were a whole heap harder than what he meets today
RESULT: LOST! Driven aggressively today....didn't like it at all weakening out after death seating
$50WIN
Race 4 No 10 Franco Seelster
Never saw daylight after been stuck 3 pegs last start & went to the line hard held with plenty left to give. First up run was very encouraging. Both races were a whole heap harder than what he meets today
RESULT: LOST! Driven aggressively today....didn't like it at all weakening out after death seating
Mildura, Wednesday 19th February
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 8 Triple Trent
Went very well first up for Cramp last week running a solid 2nd to Die Tryin who runs at Shep today. I am taking a bit of a risk here as it may start ridiculously short but if you can get anything near $2 at any stage take it & enjoy!
RESULT: LOST! Galloped, galloped and galloped some more..
QUADDIE
$40 for 100%
1 / 1-2-3-4 / 6-9 /1-4-6-7-8
RESULT: LOST!
$100WIN
Race 1 No 8 Triple Trent
Went very well first up for Cramp last week running a solid 2nd to Die Tryin who runs at Shep today. I am taking a bit of a risk here as it may start ridiculously short but if you can get anything near $2 at any stage take it & enjoy!
RESULT: LOST! Galloped, galloped and galloped some more..
QUADDIE
$40 for 100%
1 / 1-2-3-4 / 6-9 /1-4-6-7-8
RESULT: LOST!
Shepparton, Wednesday 19th February
Pretty competitive days racing here but I'm struggling to find value with confidence. Hopefully one of the below can salute to give us something.
$25 MULTI
Race 2 No 1 Earls Reign PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Jewel Castle WIN
Race 5 No 2 Sketch Me PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Yerrington Bob PLACE
RESULT: Lost.. Victim of putting my tips up early with a full field in Race 2 last night turning into a 7 horse field this morning & NTD!
QUADDIE
$25 for 15.62%
4-5-6-8 / 2-4-8-11-13 / 1-2-6-9 / 1-2
RESULT: 3 legs, put out by Matthew Newberry. Pretty much explains my day
DAY RESULT: DONUTS! Lost $190
$25 MULTI
Race 2 No 1 Earls Reign PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Jewel Castle WIN
Race 5 No 2 Sketch Me PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Yerrington Bob PLACE
RESULT: Lost.. Victim of putting my tips up early with a full field in Race 2 last night turning into a 7 horse field this morning & NTD!
QUADDIE
$25 for 15.62%
4-5-6-8 / 2-4-8-11-13 / 1-2-6-9 / 1-2
RESULT: 3 legs, put out by Matthew Newberry. Pretty much explains my day
DAY RESULT: DONUTS! Lost $190
Cranbourne, Tuesday 18th February
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 5: 1 & 2
More Than Alright should scoot to the front early with Mystic Soldier following it's every move. Leader & leaders back is where you want to be over the 1609metres at Cranbourne. More Than Alright being the class runner of the field first up & Mystic Soldier been running some great races from poor draws. Looks a moral
RESULT: LOST! Looked a moral & the $1.25 fav couldn't hold 2nd...
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 6 No 7 McNiven
A classy 3yo who is going places. Forget it went around last start after locking wheels when looking a winning chance on the turn. Should death seat & run these into the ground.
RESULT: WINNER! Kept hanging in down the straight but thankfully Sugars got him going & it got there. Just, at very short odds.. Collect $160
MEETING RESULT: Won $10! Better than losing I suppose.
$50 QUINELLA
Race 5: 1 & 2
More Than Alright should scoot to the front early with Mystic Soldier following it's every move. Leader & leaders back is where you want to be over the 1609metres at Cranbourne. More Than Alright being the class runner of the field first up & Mystic Soldier been running some great races from poor draws. Looks a moral
RESULT: LOST! Looked a moral & the $1.25 fav couldn't hold 2nd...
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 6 No 7 McNiven
A classy 3yo who is going places. Forget it went around last start after locking wheels when looking a winning chance on the turn. Should death seat & run these into the ground.
RESULT: WINNER! Kept hanging in down the straight but thankfully Sugars got him going & it got there. Just, at very short odds.. Collect $160
MEETING RESULT: Won $10! Better than losing I suppose.
Horsham, Monday 17th February
Pretty ordinary punting meeting here & minimum involvement for me:
$25 EXACTA
Race 8: 7 to beat 5
$25 BOXED TRIFECTA
5-7-8
Keayang Active should really win this but Mixedwithajasper can give cheek from the draw. The unknown is the first starter Major In Gold who won in slow time in it's most recent trial but did run 2nd to Arms Of Ink who won impressively first up, but from the draw its hard to see it winning.
RESULT: Winner! Exacta salutes but the 8 lets me down running 4th, Collect $105
$25 EXACTA
Race 8: 7 to beat 5
$25 BOXED TRIFECTA
5-7-8
Keayang Active should really win this but Mixedwithajasper can give cheek from the draw. The unknown is the first starter Major In Gold who won in slow time in it's most recent trial but did run 2nd to Arms Of Ink who won impressively first up, but from the draw its hard to see it winning.
RESULT: Winner! Exacta salutes but the 8 lets me down running 4th, Collect $105
Charlton, Sunday 16th February
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Uncle Wingnut
Been racing much better than it's form suggests and wasn't disgraced running 8th in the Ballarat Cup. Will be hitting the pegs first here with Our Walden Bury having no early speed and I hope Jodi Q holds the lead from there. A real live chance to lead all the way at around $5
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them & a great front running drive Jodi Quinlan. For those who shopped around $4.50 was still around before the jump but good old s-tab gives me $3.70. Collect $185
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Bazzas Art
Loves the Charlton track and might be a sneaky chance to cross them early, especially if Crusader Acey crosses the likely fav early, it's likely to hand up first up. Bazza's Art wasn't disgraced in C1/2 company at Wagga last start & his previous 2 starts over the unsuitable sprint trips were very good. Has been racing extremely well this preparation and with a few question mark over the 1 which is likely to start very short, I'm happy to take the risk at the value.
RESULT: LOST! I reckon we were 1 metre off a collect. Just couldn't cross early and that was the end. At least I was right about the fav.
OTHERS WORTH MENTIONING:
Tezz Khora in race 2. Draw makes it tough but loved it's Derby heat run.
RESULT: 4th. A good run after working hard
Majestic Swan in race 3. Just does too many things wrong in it's races but if well behaved goes close. Big if though.
RESULT: Broke gear & pulled out of the race.
MEETING RESULT: Win $35
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Uncle Wingnut
Been racing much better than it's form suggests and wasn't disgraced running 8th in the Ballarat Cup. Will be hitting the pegs first here with Our Walden Bury having no early speed and I hope Jodi Q holds the lead from there. A real live chance to lead all the way at around $5
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them & a great front running drive Jodi Quinlan. For those who shopped around $4.50 was still around before the jump but good old s-tab gives me $3.70. Collect $185
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Bazzas Art
Loves the Charlton track and might be a sneaky chance to cross them early, especially if Crusader Acey crosses the likely fav early, it's likely to hand up first up. Bazza's Art wasn't disgraced in C1/2 company at Wagga last start & his previous 2 starts over the unsuitable sprint trips were very good. Has been racing extremely well this preparation and with a few question mark over the 1 which is likely to start very short, I'm happy to take the risk at the value.
RESULT: LOST! I reckon we were 1 metre off a collect. Just couldn't cross early and that was the end. At least I was right about the fav.
OTHERS WORTH MENTIONING:
Tezz Khora in race 2. Draw makes it tough but loved it's Derby heat run.
RESULT: 4th. A good run after working hard
Majestic Swan in race 3. Just does too many things wrong in it's races but if well behaved goes close. Big if though.
RESULT: Broke gear & pulled out of the race.
MEETING RESULT: Win $35
Melton, Saturday 15th February
Not the best of race meeting to come back to with 4 trot races and a claimer from 9 races so the tips will be short and sweet. Obviously the highlight the Interdom heat
INTERDOM HEAT
Restrepo is a much better horse when not driven off the arm and will need to come out fast to hold it's position. However if Gavin Lang is able to lead it's hard to see it finishing worse than 2nd. I'm not so keen at the odds however.
Keayang Cullen draws to follow Restrepo everywhere it goes & possesses a super sprint and can be dangerous late. Glen Craven will be hoping Restrepo holds as it'll almost book it's ticket to the final from there.
Abettorpunt has to be one of the most unluckiest pacers in Victoria. Put in a huge effort to run 4th after getting held up at the crucial stage in the Hunter Cup and should have at least run a place. Is going to need luck again to win but if it finally gets some, a big chance.
Caribbean Blaster is going to have to do all the work from the draw and I can't see it winning. If they do go too quick early then it's a real chance to knock them off.
I'm Corzin Terror's winning chances depend on the result of the first 400 metres. If he leads I think he's the one to beat but I just can't see it crossing Restrepo early and is likely to have to work from the death. Hard to see it winning from there but certainly still a strong place chance.
Wartime Sweetheart is my roughy in the race. Draws to follow either Abbettorpunt or Caribbean Blaster into the race. His run in the Ballarat Cup looks disappointing on paper but carried a flat tire for the majority of the race. Wasn't disgraced in the Shepparton Cup & ran a good 2nd in the Bendigo Cup the start prior. Worth a wager at $12 a place on bet365.
Bitobliss might be just a level below the topliners and was pretty disappointing in the Hunter Cup after a soft trail that it usually loves. Probably better suited to this distance & if it gets a cheap run can certainly surprise them, as it did 4 stats back.
SUGGESTED BET:
I'm not keen on punting on this race at all as there only seems to be a handful of winning chances. I do think Restrepo wins if it can hold the lead but @ $2.20, that's too big an if. Keayang Cullen is worth a place bet if you can get $2+.
$20 PLACE
No 10 Wartime Sweetheart.
I just think the $12 a place available is ridiculous odds and worth a small wager.
RESULT: 3rd! You beauty Wartime. Had luck to nab 3rd but always needed it. Collect $257
BEST OF THE REST:
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 4 No 6 The Cavalier
Has had a super couple of months of racing and strikes the easiest race it's seen for a while. With it's stablemate drawn 1, expect Nathan Jack to take up the running soon after the start and it's hard to see it get rolled from there.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Victoria May
Been unlucky not to win one yet since coming down south but has put in a couple of bottlers of late including a 3rd in the Ladyship Cup. If Royal Verdict lives up to it's first up run it's almost impossible to beat but this is over the 2240metres tonight & it didn't have much left in the tank late. If there is any chinks in that fellas amour, Victoria May is the one I'd want to be on at the odds.
RESULT: LOST! Fav was a late scratching & $14 was still on offer.. Unfortunately the driver pulled the trigger a little early & it tired late. Good run in the circumstances.
MEETING RESULT: Won $187
INTERDOM HEAT
Restrepo is a much better horse when not driven off the arm and will need to come out fast to hold it's position. However if Gavin Lang is able to lead it's hard to see it finishing worse than 2nd. I'm not so keen at the odds however.
Keayang Cullen draws to follow Restrepo everywhere it goes & possesses a super sprint and can be dangerous late. Glen Craven will be hoping Restrepo holds as it'll almost book it's ticket to the final from there.
Abettorpunt has to be one of the most unluckiest pacers in Victoria. Put in a huge effort to run 4th after getting held up at the crucial stage in the Hunter Cup and should have at least run a place. Is going to need luck again to win but if it finally gets some, a big chance.
Caribbean Blaster is going to have to do all the work from the draw and I can't see it winning. If they do go too quick early then it's a real chance to knock them off.
I'm Corzin Terror's winning chances depend on the result of the first 400 metres. If he leads I think he's the one to beat but I just can't see it crossing Restrepo early and is likely to have to work from the death. Hard to see it winning from there but certainly still a strong place chance.
Wartime Sweetheart is my roughy in the race. Draws to follow either Abbettorpunt or Caribbean Blaster into the race. His run in the Ballarat Cup looks disappointing on paper but carried a flat tire for the majority of the race. Wasn't disgraced in the Shepparton Cup & ran a good 2nd in the Bendigo Cup the start prior. Worth a wager at $12 a place on bet365.
Bitobliss might be just a level below the topliners and was pretty disappointing in the Hunter Cup after a soft trail that it usually loves. Probably better suited to this distance & if it gets a cheap run can certainly surprise them, as it did 4 stats back.
SUGGESTED BET:
I'm not keen on punting on this race at all as there only seems to be a handful of winning chances. I do think Restrepo wins if it can hold the lead but @ $2.20, that's too big an if. Keayang Cullen is worth a place bet if you can get $2+.
$20 PLACE
No 10 Wartime Sweetheart.
I just think the $12 a place available is ridiculous odds and worth a small wager.
RESULT: 3rd! You beauty Wartime. Had luck to nab 3rd but always needed it. Collect $257
BEST OF THE REST:
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 4 No 6 The Cavalier
Has had a super couple of months of racing and strikes the easiest race it's seen for a while. With it's stablemate drawn 1, expect Nathan Jack to take up the running soon after the start and it's hard to see it get rolled from there.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Victoria May
Been unlucky not to win one yet since coming down south but has put in a couple of bottlers of late including a 3rd in the Ladyship Cup. If Royal Verdict lives up to it's first up run it's almost impossible to beat but this is over the 2240metres tonight & it didn't have much left in the tank late. If there is any chinks in that fellas amour, Victoria May is the one I'd want to be on at the odds.
RESULT: LOST! Fav was a late scratching & $14 was still on offer.. Unfortunately the driver pulled the trigger a little early & it tired late. Good run in the circumstances.
MEETING RESULT: Won $187
Melton, Saturday 8th February
VICTORIA DERBY
This is shaping up as one of the best Derby's in recent history. Both New Zealanders were extremely impressive in the heats and look very hard to beat from the draw but it's almost impossible to knock both of McCarthy's horse's last week.
Our Maxim was the most impressive of all four last week in my opinion. Had to work early to find the lead and then handed up. Once he found the sprint lane he gobbled up Lettucerockthem without really being let down. It's hard to see anything cross him early but the problem is, is he better with a sit? If he hands up to Lettucerockthem then there is every chance Bling It On will roll to the front. If he doesn't, he's going to have to sustain a whole heap of pressure throughout the race which then brings his stable mate into the race who has drawn on Our Maxim's back & will follow it's every move. A very hard race to bet confidently in and for that very reason I'm looking at the value punt, Our Sky Major.
On paper, being beaten by 12 metres by Bling It On, you'd have to say a rough chance only, however it's run was full of merit. Had to do a power of work to find the death and did very well to finish so close considering it was the fastest heat of the night. Tonight I expect it to settle leaders back and he should receive every possible chance. Considering Our Maxim only beat it a head off a better run last time they met, the $7 available looks juicy.
Suggested Bets:
$50WIN
No 8 Our Sky Major
$25 QUINELLA
1 & 8
RESULT: Our Sky Major 2nd after leading from 8. Definitely go the other way around if you'd known he was going to get off the fence & lead & give Our Maxim the perfect trail. At least we got the quinella! Collect $125
THE REMAINDER
BEST EXOTIC
RACE 3 $50 TRIFECTA
6 / 3-4 / 3-4 for 2500%
Expect Ginger Bliss to fly the start here and lead but will looking for cover straight after. Expect that to come from Guaranteed who won't lose from there in the form it's in. Chilli Palmer is an excitement machine and will be charging at them late. That should be a dead certain top 3 for me.
RESULT: LOST! They did finish top 3 but Chilli Palmer was simply amazing first up.
BEST ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Grins Rendition
Taking the punt that Gangster Boy holds the lead here & Grins will receive the perfect rail behind it. It did exactly that to win late last year against slightly weaker company. Does hold one of the better times in winning over the mile & if the pressure is on like I expect it to be, he maybe the one to blouse them late
RESULT: 3rd. Couldn't hold leaders back early, not sure what Caldow was doing, but only plodded around the track. I'll take 3rd & run! $5 the place on other totes. Collect $118
$10WIN/$40PLACE
RACE 5 No 2 Arber
When last drew this well it put up a super effort when led & only weakened late to be beaten 5 metres by Keayang Steamer who is a budding superstar. This is a much weaker race than what he met that night and although I think it maybe a stretch for it to win, it's a great place chance
RESULT: 2nd. Good run, just got outsprinted late. Started a little shorter than I thought it would but it's still a winner. Collect $88
BEST WIN
$50WIN
RACE 5 No 11 Broadways Best
I reckon I can count the number of times Ive backed her on one hand, not usually one for me, but she looks amazing value tonight. Was a huge run when running 2nd to Renaissance Man who won impressively again Friday night. Will follow Shake It Mamma the trip which looks the best place to be. Im a little concerned Gavin Lang has elected to drive Shake It Mamma but I'm sticking with Broadways Best who just looks so well suited against her own sex. Up to $5 available on Friday.
RESULT: LOST! Never in it. Just wished it got the cart up behind Steam Washed but was stuck on Shake It Mammas back who just didn't take her into the race.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
RACE 9 No 6 Washmepockets
Has been racing extremely well with no luck whatsoever of late. Followed inside runs and should have finished a whole heap closer in a very good field last week. Back to claiming class and expect to see this little fella to push forward and be a major player in this.
RESULT: LOST! I reckon Im 0 from 100 on the claimers but I keep going back for more.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $44.. Thx claimers!
This is shaping up as one of the best Derby's in recent history. Both New Zealanders were extremely impressive in the heats and look very hard to beat from the draw but it's almost impossible to knock both of McCarthy's horse's last week.
Our Maxim was the most impressive of all four last week in my opinion. Had to work early to find the lead and then handed up. Once he found the sprint lane he gobbled up Lettucerockthem without really being let down. It's hard to see anything cross him early but the problem is, is he better with a sit? If he hands up to Lettucerockthem then there is every chance Bling It On will roll to the front. If he doesn't, he's going to have to sustain a whole heap of pressure throughout the race which then brings his stable mate into the race who has drawn on Our Maxim's back & will follow it's every move. A very hard race to bet confidently in and for that very reason I'm looking at the value punt, Our Sky Major.
On paper, being beaten by 12 metres by Bling It On, you'd have to say a rough chance only, however it's run was full of merit. Had to do a power of work to find the death and did very well to finish so close considering it was the fastest heat of the night. Tonight I expect it to settle leaders back and he should receive every possible chance. Considering Our Maxim only beat it a head off a better run last time they met, the $7 available looks juicy.
Suggested Bets:
$50WIN
No 8 Our Sky Major
$25 QUINELLA
1 & 8
RESULT: Our Sky Major 2nd after leading from 8. Definitely go the other way around if you'd known he was going to get off the fence & lead & give Our Maxim the perfect trail. At least we got the quinella! Collect $125
THE REMAINDER
BEST EXOTIC
RACE 3 $50 TRIFECTA
6 / 3-4 / 3-4 for 2500%
Expect Ginger Bliss to fly the start here and lead but will looking for cover straight after. Expect that to come from Guaranteed who won't lose from there in the form it's in. Chilli Palmer is an excitement machine and will be charging at them late. That should be a dead certain top 3 for me.
RESULT: LOST! They did finish top 3 but Chilli Palmer was simply amazing first up.
BEST ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Grins Rendition
Taking the punt that Gangster Boy holds the lead here & Grins will receive the perfect rail behind it. It did exactly that to win late last year against slightly weaker company. Does hold one of the better times in winning over the mile & if the pressure is on like I expect it to be, he maybe the one to blouse them late
RESULT: 3rd. Couldn't hold leaders back early, not sure what Caldow was doing, but only plodded around the track. I'll take 3rd & run! $5 the place on other totes. Collect $118
$10WIN/$40PLACE
RACE 5 No 2 Arber
When last drew this well it put up a super effort when led & only weakened late to be beaten 5 metres by Keayang Steamer who is a budding superstar. This is a much weaker race than what he met that night and although I think it maybe a stretch for it to win, it's a great place chance
RESULT: 2nd. Good run, just got outsprinted late. Started a little shorter than I thought it would but it's still a winner. Collect $88
BEST WIN
$50WIN
RACE 5 No 11 Broadways Best
I reckon I can count the number of times Ive backed her on one hand, not usually one for me, but she looks amazing value tonight. Was a huge run when running 2nd to Renaissance Man who won impressively again Friday night. Will follow Shake It Mamma the trip which looks the best place to be. Im a little concerned Gavin Lang has elected to drive Shake It Mamma but I'm sticking with Broadways Best who just looks so well suited against her own sex. Up to $5 available on Friday.
RESULT: LOST! Never in it. Just wished it got the cart up behind Steam Washed but was stuck on Shake It Mammas back who just didn't take her into the race.
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
RACE 9 No 6 Washmepockets
Has been racing extremely well with no luck whatsoever of late. Followed inside runs and should have finished a whole heap closer in a very good field last week. Back to claiming class and expect to see this little fella to push forward and be a major player in this.
RESULT: LOST! I reckon Im 0 from 100 on the claimers but I keep going back for more.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $44.. Thx claimers!
Melton, Friday 7th February
BEST ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 4 No 6 Public Persuasion
Has been flying at the trials with latest beating Itz Nosurprisesthere and Glenferrie College by 34 metres in the quickest trial of the day by a second. Always asking for trouble betting off trial form but that is low flying. There isn''t a heap of pace on it's inside apart from Bit Of A Babe who'll hand up. If Gaita can get him to cross early, I reckon he might be able to roll them. (Our Missionary Man the one to beat but will be short)
RESULT: LOST. Galloped out & that was that.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 5 Black Cougar
Is one of the most frustrating horses going around but can at least place here at odds. Was extremely unlucky after being caught behind a tiring leader & out to last on the final bend. Flashed home only to be beaten 9 metres. Is going to need the right run to win but worth a risk at odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Probably luck to win in the end with Suerte running into dead ends left right & centre but stiff shit! Home we go.. Collect $200
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Stormed Out
Slowly working her way back into some form. Finishing 4th, only 1 horse ran a quicker last mile than she did last week and that was the winner who was huge in victory. This is a step down in class tonight although takes on the boys. Gets the draw to follow through the leader and should position close enough to the lead without using too much petrol early which is the key to this mare. With Alford on her back she'll only need average luck to figure.
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance. Plodded. Collect $100.80
QUADDIE
I haven't snagged one for a while, I'm due!
$27 for 100%
2-3-6 / 9 / 5-6-12 / 4-7-9
RESULT: LOST! Too cocky taking Stormed Out 1 out
MEETING RESULT: Won $73.80
$20WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 4 No 6 Public Persuasion
Has been flying at the trials with latest beating Itz Nosurprisesthere and Glenferrie College by 34 metres in the quickest trial of the day by a second. Always asking for trouble betting off trial form but that is low flying. There isn''t a heap of pace on it's inside apart from Bit Of A Babe who'll hand up. If Gaita can get him to cross early, I reckon he might be able to roll them. (Our Missionary Man the one to beat but will be short)
RESULT: LOST. Galloped out & that was that.
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 8 No 5 Black Cougar
Is one of the most frustrating horses going around but can at least place here at odds. Was extremely unlucky after being caught behind a tiring leader & out to last on the final bend. Flashed home only to be beaten 9 metres. Is going to need the right run to win but worth a risk at odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Probably luck to win in the end with Suerte running into dead ends left right & centre but stiff shit! Home we go.. Collect $200
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Stormed Out
Slowly working her way back into some form. Finishing 4th, only 1 horse ran a quicker last mile than she did last week and that was the winner who was huge in victory. This is a step down in class tonight although takes on the boys. Gets the draw to follow through the leader and should position close enough to the lead without using too much petrol early which is the key to this mare. With Alford on her back she'll only need average luck to figure.
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance. Plodded. Collect $100.80
QUADDIE
I haven't snagged one for a while, I'm due!
$27 for 100%
2-3-6 / 9 / 5-6-12 / 4-7-9
RESULT: LOST! Too cocky taking Stormed Out 1 out
MEETING RESULT: Won $73.80
Swan Hill, Thursday 6th February
BEST EXOTIC
RACE 4 $50 QUINELLA
1 & 8
Miss Toolern Vale leads and Bowland Borg should receive the perfect trail. Hard to see anything else troubling them.
RESULT: LOST! A Gary Pekin special.. Enough said
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 6 No 2 Rogers Joy
Was a little disappointing last start after receiving a good trail. This is a slightly easier race and I expect it to be in front as soon as the arms fold. Should be winning from there.
RESULT: 2nd. Handed up! Dear oh dear...
QUADDIE
I think the last leg maybe a blow out, so I reckon a quad worth taking:
1-8 / 1-5-8 / 2 / FIELD
$42 for 100%
RESULT: LOST! Very short results anyhow but Rogers let me down
DAY RESULT: A shocker. Really got to get back to basics to get the profits rolling. Lost $218.50
RACE 4 $50 QUINELLA
1 & 8
Miss Toolern Vale leads and Bowland Borg should receive the perfect trail. Hard to see anything else troubling them.
RESULT: LOST! A Gary Pekin special.. Enough said
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 6 No 2 Rogers Joy
Was a little disappointing last start after receiving a good trail. This is a slightly easier race and I expect it to be in front as soon as the arms fold. Should be winning from there.
RESULT: 2nd. Handed up! Dear oh dear...
QUADDIE
I think the last leg maybe a blow out, so I reckon a quad worth taking:
1-8 / 1-5-8 / 2 / FIELD
$42 for 100%
RESULT: LOST! Very short results anyhow but Rogers let me down
DAY RESULT: A shocker. Really got to get back to basics to get the profits rolling. Lost $218.50
Maryborough, Thursday 6th February
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Singed
25 starts for 1 win and 2 placings there doesn't seem a lot to get excited about this fella but this prep it's really shown it's very capable of stringing a few together. Very unlucky not to win a SS race last start beating home Hollys Miss Molly and just missing Dynamite Dude by a head. That run reproduced here, with luck from gate 1, wins.
RESULT: LOST!. Got crossed early but a couple of longshots and was never a chance from 3 pegs
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Nonno Medoro
Something about this horse has me hooked. Good win last start after leading & taking a sit. I think it can cross these again early & then take up a sit on a suitable horse. This is a slightly harder race but it's main danger maybe on it's back 3 pegs. Good ew chance
RESULT: 3rd. Every possible chance. Lucky to hold 3rd. Collect $73.50
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Singed
25 starts for 1 win and 2 placings there doesn't seem a lot to get excited about this fella but this prep it's really shown it's very capable of stringing a few together. Very unlucky not to win a SS race last start beating home Hollys Miss Molly and just missing Dynamite Dude by a head. That run reproduced here, with luck from gate 1, wins.
RESULT: LOST!. Got crossed early but a couple of longshots and was never a chance from 3 pegs
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Nonno Medoro
Something about this horse has me hooked. Good win last start after leading & taking a sit. I think it can cross these again early & then take up a sit on a suitable horse. This is a slightly harder race but it's main danger maybe on it's back 3 pegs. Good ew chance
RESULT: 3rd. Every possible chance. Lucky to hold 3rd. Collect $73.50
KILMORE, WEDNESDAY 5th FEBRUARY
BEST EXOTIC
RACE 1 $100 QUINELLA
1 & 9
Its taken me a week to get the love back but we're on McRita again! McRita leads & My Bella Starr should be moving forward early to sit without cover. From there they both should see it out. I'm happy to take on Missanger Management. It just has too many demons but I wouldn't be surprised to see it win.
RESULT: WINNER! They smashed the others but a very skinny dividend. Collect $150
RACE 7
Again attacking this race in a couple of ways & hopefully all come off:
$40 WIN
No 6 Rogers Passion
I just think she's the best horse in the race by a mile & is up against a thin group of C1s. Should push forward early and I think bully the 1 the whole trip & win. If somehow it finds the front early, just make your way to counter to collect
$40 PLACE
No 9 Sophies Ideal
She did well to finish as close as she did to budding star Nike Franco last week. She beat the rest of the field quite easily. A mare that usually holds her form once she finds it, this race looks suitable even from the bad draw. Has never missed a placing at this track and here's hoping it stays that way.
$20 QUINELLA 6 & 9: I think the one maybe risky first up especially if it leads. If it hands up to Rogers Passion it'll be hard seeing it miss 2nd but on a positive if it does hand up to Rogers Passion. Rogers is a cert.
RESULT: Rogers Passion wins but Sophies Ideal no good. For those who just follows my numbers you'll be happy. Sophies Ideal was 11, not 9. 9 runs 3rd & pays $10 a place! Collect $96. (rogers smashed in late, as much as $3.4 offered early)
MEETING RESULT: Won $46.. I think I may stay away from 'attacking' races in future!
RACE 1 $100 QUINELLA
1 & 9
Its taken me a week to get the love back but we're on McRita again! McRita leads & My Bella Starr should be moving forward early to sit without cover. From there they both should see it out. I'm happy to take on Missanger Management. It just has too many demons but I wouldn't be surprised to see it win.
RESULT: WINNER! They smashed the others but a very skinny dividend. Collect $150
RACE 7
Again attacking this race in a couple of ways & hopefully all come off:
$40 WIN
No 6 Rogers Passion
I just think she's the best horse in the race by a mile & is up against a thin group of C1s. Should push forward early and I think bully the 1 the whole trip & win. If somehow it finds the front early, just make your way to counter to collect
$40 PLACE
No 9 Sophies Ideal
She did well to finish as close as she did to budding star Nike Franco last week. She beat the rest of the field quite easily. A mare that usually holds her form once she finds it, this race looks suitable even from the bad draw. Has never missed a placing at this track and here's hoping it stays that way.
$20 QUINELLA 6 & 9: I think the one maybe risky first up especially if it leads. If it hands up to Rogers Passion it'll be hard seeing it miss 2nd but on a positive if it does hand up to Rogers Passion. Rogers is a cert.
RESULT: Rogers Passion wins but Sophies Ideal no good. For those who just follows my numbers you'll be happy. Sophies Ideal was 11, not 9. 9 runs 3rd & pays $10 a place! Collect $96. (rogers smashed in late, as much as $3.4 offered early)
MEETING RESULT: Won $46.. I think I may stay away from 'attacking' races in future!
Cobram, Wednesday 5th February
Just attacking the one race here but in a couple of different ways:
Race 7
$25 WIN
No 3 Waynes First
Has the superior speed from the front line and shouldn't be handing up today. Looks perfectly suited on this track.
$25 EXACTA
3 to beat 2. Ezee Duzit Lombo looked very disappointing last start. Beats these at it's best but even at 80%, should be enough to hold 2nd trailing Waynes First.
$10 TRIFECTA
3 stand out / 2-6-8
Niquero should hold 3 pegs and be thereabouts. I'm a fan of Raja Wealth. Runs well first up and is a sneaky chance even from the poor draw. Been trialling very well
Race 7
$25 WIN
No 3 Waynes First
Has the superior speed from the front line and shouldn't be handing up today. Looks perfectly suited on this track.
$25 EXACTA
3 to beat 2. Ezee Duzit Lombo looked very disappointing last start. Beats these at it's best but even at 80%, should be enough to hold 2nd trailing Waynes First.
$10 TRIFECTA
3 stand out / 2-6-8
Niquero should hold 3 pegs and be thereabouts. I'm a fan of Raja Wealth. Runs well first up and is a sneaky chance even from the poor draw. Been trialling very well
Ballarat, Tuesday 4th February
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Vox Populi
I've been super impressed with this 3yo since it arrived in Victoria and whilst this is a strong 3yo race, I think it's still the one to beat. Put up a super effort against The Fat Man who contested the Vic Derby heats over the weekend. There is going to be plenty of speed on in this race which should suit it perfectly
RESULT: WINNER! That went crazy in front (a couple of drivers might be short in the pocket) which was right down Vox's alley. The 2 other fav's locked wheels at the top of the straight which helped but reckon Vox still had them covered. Collect $120
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Vox Populi
I've been super impressed with this 3yo since it arrived in Victoria and whilst this is a strong 3yo race, I think it's still the one to beat. Put up a super effort against The Fat Man who contested the Vic Derby heats over the weekend. There is going to be plenty of speed on in this race which should suit it perfectly
RESULT: WINNER! That went crazy in front (a couple of drivers might be short in the pocket) which was right down Vox's alley. The 2 other fav's locked wheels at the top of the straight which helped but reckon Vox still had them covered. Collect $120
Stawell, Monday 3rd February
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 6 No 7 Bronze Destiny
Taking on a potential odds on fav here Glenferrie College but it's first up off a couple of ordinary trials. Bronze Destiny has been out of the winners circle for 7 months but keeps running well and steps down in grade here today. Put up a great effort to almost knock off the low flying Union Belle. I expect it to take up the death here today and I think it'll be too fit & strong for the fav.
RESULT: LOST! Fav scratched & started fav itself. Never in it.
$25WIN
Race 6 No 7 Bronze Destiny
Taking on a potential odds on fav here Glenferrie College but it's first up off a couple of ordinary trials. Bronze Destiny has been out of the winners circle for 7 months but keeps running well and steps down in grade here today. Put up a great effort to almost knock off the low flying Union Belle. I expect it to take up the death here today and I think it'll be too fit & strong for the fav.
RESULT: LOST! Fav scratched & started fav itself. Never in it.
MELTON, Saturday 1st February
The Hunter Cup
I've spent hours studying this race with all sorts of scenarios floating around. It's difficult to stick to one selection as luck in running is going to be vital in this 3200metre event. I have to go back to last weeks Ballarat Cup as the best form guide where Christen Me was brave from the death, Restrepo ran the last mile almost 2 seconds quicker than anything else running 3 wide without cover and Caribbean Blaster who wins with another 10 metres after losing ground before the turn. Of the 3, at the risk of being called a stalker, I have to stick with The Blaster. Not sure what happened just before entering the straight last week but once he picked up the bit again he found the line very well and should be much better for that run. The 3200 won't be an issue as he showed after running 3rd in this race from a 10m handicap last year. All horses are off the front here and he ticks the most boxes for me.
BEST BET
$40WIN/$60PLACE
No 12 Caribbean Blaster ( $7.5 bet365)
RESULT: 2nd . Lost by a short half head. He his chance just couldn't reel in Christen Me. Collect $126
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
No 14 I'm Corzin Terror
I was too harsh on this bloke last week after it lost as my bet of the night. Talking out of my pocket on twitter! The facts were they ran a 55 second last half and a 3rd quarter in 27.9 where it was moving forward 3 wide to death seat. There was no early pressure on in that race and that certainly won't be the case here. Is the Kilmore Cup winner of 2013 so distance and stand start no
concern and if it gets the right run into the race, certainly can win. $26 on bet365
RESULT: LOST. Messed up the start and just couldn't get into the race
QUADDIE JACKPOT
A massive $200K added to the pool tonight so I have to have a go:
1-3-6 / 9 / 6-7-9-10 / 9-11-12-14
$48 for 100%
SUGGESTED BETS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT
THE ROUGHIES
Plenty of roughies about with some quality fields assembled tonight
$20PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Holdonsu
This 3yo has great early speed but only can sustain a short sharp sprint in the run to the line. Should cross early and hand up to Bling It On. As this is a heat it's hard to see them run any sort of time so they may just sprint the last 400 metres. If that scenario pans out, he's a great chance to fill a place. With $8 the place on offer courtesy of BET365 looks great value
RESULT: LOST! Show hardly any gate speed early & was never a chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Fiery Count
With clear running it would've given Scruffy Major one hell of a fright last start. Gets the draw to pick who to hand up to here & sit behind the leader. Does race best when not used up early so expect Garabaldi Union to drive past it early and it's unlikely Garabaldi Union will hand up to anything else. The race looks to have plenty of consistent pace in it so I expect Fiery Count to be flashing at them late via the sprint lane
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck behind a tiring leader & that was the end of it's chances.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 9 No 13 Josephine Jones
Has only had the 7 starts and this is a fair step up in grade but hard not to be impressed with its last start 2nd after racing 3 wide without cover in the last lap & only being grabbed late in good time. Should be much fitter 3rd up and will just need a trail into the race to be a chance. @ $26, looks big value
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run. Came from near last on the turn to snag 3rd. A trotter going places. Collect $60
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Pass Them By
I'm pretty surprised this fella is at $6.5 as I write this. Been racing against the best horses in Australasia and is just not up to that level. Tonight's race is about 2/3 levels from what he's been racing against. Importantly the last time he raced over this track and distance versus this class, he outstayed his rivals from the death. (Also beat Alchemy easily in that race who he meets here tonight). Expect Anthony Butt to send him forward early and if he finds the front they won't get past him but is still a huge chance from the death seat. Take the early odds if you can as surely it has to start shorter than $6.5!
RESULT: 2nd. Look the winner at the top of the straight but some how noted leader, Brave Wiggy ran it down. Im still trying to work out how.. Collect $108
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 Two Eye See
Belinda McCarthy has worked her magic to get this bloke back into the form of it's 2 & 3yo seasons. Put up a huge effort to almost hold out Guaranteed who franked that form going on to beat FFA class in record time at Ballarat last week. Missed away from the stand start last week but went massive in finishing 6th considering the ground it lost. Expect it to push forward again here and control the race from in front or from the death. Great chance
RESULT: WINNER! Great drive Luke McCarthy, good win. Collect $170
MEETING RESULT: After all that we end up $36 in front. A couple of strides either way in 2 races & we snag the quad & have a decent profit.
I've spent hours studying this race with all sorts of scenarios floating around. It's difficult to stick to one selection as luck in running is going to be vital in this 3200metre event. I have to go back to last weeks Ballarat Cup as the best form guide where Christen Me was brave from the death, Restrepo ran the last mile almost 2 seconds quicker than anything else running 3 wide without cover and Caribbean Blaster who wins with another 10 metres after losing ground before the turn. Of the 3, at the risk of being called a stalker, I have to stick with The Blaster. Not sure what happened just before entering the straight last week but once he picked up the bit again he found the line very well and should be much better for that run. The 3200 won't be an issue as he showed after running 3rd in this race from a 10m handicap last year. All horses are off the front here and he ticks the most boxes for me.
BEST BET
$40WIN/$60PLACE
No 12 Caribbean Blaster ( $7.5 bet365)
RESULT: 2nd . Lost by a short half head. He his chance just couldn't reel in Christen Me. Collect $126
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
No 14 I'm Corzin Terror
I was too harsh on this bloke last week after it lost as my bet of the night. Talking out of my pocket on twitter! The facts were they ran a 55 second last half and a 3rd quarter in 27.9 where it was moving forward 3 wide to death seat. There was no early pressure on in that race and that certainly won't be the case here. Is the Kilmore Cup winner of 2013 so distance and stand start no
concern and if it gets the right run into the race, certainly can win. $26 on bet365
RESULT: LOST. Messed up the start and just couldn't get into the race
QUADDIE JACKPOT
A massive $200K added to the pool tonight so I have to have a go:
1-3-6 / 9 / 6-7-9-10 / 9-11-12-14
$48 for 100%
SUGGESTED BETS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT
THE ROUGHIES
Plenty of roughies about with some quality fields assembled tonight
$20PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Holdonsu
This 3yo has great early speed but only can sustain a short sharp sprint in the run to the line. Should cross early and hand up to Bling It On. As this is a heat it's hard to see them run any sort of time so they may just sprint the last 400 metres. If that scenario pans out, he's a great chance to fill a place. With $8 the place on offer courtesy of BET365 looks great value
RESULT: LOST! Show hardly any gate speed early & was never a chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Fiery Count
With clear running it would've given Scruffy Major one hell of a fright last start. Gets the draw to pick who to hand up to here & sit behind the leader. Does race best when not used up early so expect Garabaldi Union to drive past it early and it's unlikely Garabaldi Union will hand up to anything else. The race looks to have plenty of consistent pace in it so I expect Fiery Count to be flashing at them late via the sprint lane
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck behind a tiring leader & that was the end of it's chances.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 9 No 13 Josephine Jones
Has only had the 7 starts and this is a fair step up in grade but hard not to be impressed with its last start 2nd after racing 3 wide without cover in the last lap & only being grabbed late in good time. Should be much fitter 3rd up and will just need a trail into the race to be a chance. @ $26, looks big value
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run. Came from near last on the turn to snag 3rd. A trotter going places. Collect $60
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Pass Them By
I'm pretty surprised this fella is at $6.5 as I write this. Been racing against the best horses in Australasia and is just not up to that level. Tonight's race is about 2/3 levels from what he's been racing against. Importantly the last time he raced over this track and distance versus this class, he outstayed his rivals from the death. (Also beat Alchemy easily in that race who he meets here tonight). Expect Anthony Butt to send him forward early and if he finds the front they won't get past him but is still a huge chance from the death seat. Take the early odds if you can as surely it has to start shorter than $6.5!
RESULT: 2nd. Look the winner at the top of the straight but some how noted leader, Brave Wiggy ran it down. Im still trying to work out how.. Collect $108
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 7 Two Eye See
Belinda McCarthy has worked her magic to get this bloke back into the form of it's 2 & 3yo seasons. Put up a huge effort to almost hold out Guaranteed who franked that form going on to beat FFA class in record time at Ballarat last week. Missed away from the stand start last week but went massive in finishing 6th considering the ground it lost. Expect it to push forward again here and control the race from in front or from the death. Great chance
RESULT: WINNER! Great drive Luke McCarthy, good win. Collect $170
MEETING RESULT: After all that we end up $36 in front. A couple of strides either way in 2 races & we snag the quad & have a decent profit.
Mildura, Friday 31st January
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Die Tryin
This fella is going to thrive on drawing the front row for the first time since a brave 2nd to Bazza's Art. Should lead the trip here & I do like Amy Tubbs on a leader, usually rates them well.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $100
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Our Walden Bury
Should have gone very close to winning the Ouyen Cup last week after being stuck behind a tiring horse. Flashed home late for 4th, Going to need a little bit of luck to get a run into the race but it's low flying at the minute and looks the value.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $440
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Elliot Bromac
With the scratching of the 1 backing this fella straight out. Has been impressive without winning of late, having to work extremely hard in every start. Draws to roll to the lead early here and looks the winner.
RESULT: Winner! Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 3 No 1 Die Tryin
This fella is going to thrive on drawing the front row for the first time since a brave 2nd to Bazza's Art. Should lead the trip here & I do like Amy Tubbs on a leader, usually rates them well.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $100
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Our Walden Bury
Should have gone very close to winning the Ouyen Cup last week after being stuck behind a tiring horse. Flashed home late for 4th, Going to need a little bit of luck to get a run into the race but it's low flying at the minute and looks the value.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $440
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Elliot Bromac
With the scratching of the 1 backing this fella straight out. Has been impressive without winning of late, having to work extremely hard in every start. Draws to roll to the lead early here and looks the winner.
RESULT: Winner! Collect $130
Warragul, Friday 31st January
Last chance to get into profit for the month & I have Warragul & Mildura to work with.. Here goes nothing:
ROUGHY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Outer Join
I've been on this fella all preparation and today is it's last chance. Has had excuses in every run this prep and actually went OK after racing in the death last start. Draws to follow through the early leader so should be sitting 1x1 early. From there SHOULD be no excuses today at what should be good each way odds
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race after getting held up in the middle of running.. Just one of those horses
$100 WIN ALL UP
Race 3 No 4 McNiven
Race 4 No 3 Apollo Thirteen
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $192
BEST EXOTIC
Race 8 $100 QUINELLA
1 & 2
RESULT: LOST!
ROUGHY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Outer Join
I've been on this fella all preparation and today is it's last chance. Has had excuses in every run this prep and actually went OK after racing in the death last start. Draws to follow through the early leader so should be sitting 1x1 early. From there SHOULD be no excuses today at what should be good each way odds
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race after getting held up in the middle of running.. Just one of those horses
$100 WIN ALL UP
Race 3 No 4 McNiven
Race 4 No 3 Apollo Thirteen
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $192
BEST EXOTIC
Race 8 $100 QUINELLA
1 & 2
RESULT: LOST!
Kilmore, Thursday 30th January
Really struggled to find anything here tonight. Just the 1 suggested exotic:
Race 4
$50 Trifecta
2-3 / 1-2-3 / 1-2
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $171.66
$100 QUINELLA
2 & 3
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $180
Race 4
$50 Trifecta
2-3 / 1-2-3 / 1-2
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $171.66
$100 QUINELLA
2 & 3
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $180
Maryborough, Thursday 30th January
BEST EW
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Still In Denial
Forget it's last start failure when it got stuck behind a tiring horse. Was very good the previous start even though beaten 17 metres. It was against 2 very smart horses & he was first up from a long break. 3rd up today it will strip much fitter here, the mile is right down it's alley and will be first to the pegs. Hard to see it missing a place from there & it's a sneaky chance of rolling the fav.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't cross the 1 early and had to sit in the death. No hope from there
DAY RESULT: Won $101.66
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Still In Denial
Forget it's last start failure when it got stuck behind a tiring horse. Was very good the previous start even though beaten 17 metres. It was against 2 very smart horses & he was first up from a long break. 3rd up today it will strip much fitter here, the mile is right down it's alley and will be first to the pegs. Hard to see it missing a place from there & it's a sneaky chance of rolling the fav.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't cross the 1 early and had to sit in the death. No hope from there
DAY RESULT: Won $101.66
Bendigo, Wednesday 29th January
Very tough meeting to find value so just going with a quaddie, very short quaddie.
$15 for 500%
11 / 2-8-10 / 5 / 3
$15 for 500%
11 / 2-8-10 / 5 / 3
Hamilton, Wednesday 29th January
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Suerte
Looks very well suited in C1 class today. Put up a great effort against Eliseos Falcon last start & this looks much weaker.
RESULT: 3rd. Had it's chance but not good enough. Paid OK the place for EW punters
$50 WIN
Race 9 No 2 Rogue Assassin
Been racing extremely well over the past month against good horses. Should settle 1x1 early and make a move mid race to control the race from the death. Looks too strong.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too strong. $2.90 available early but was backed in like a good thing. It was. Collect $100
QUADDIE
2-4 / 8 / 6 / 3-8-9-10-11
$20 for 200%
$50WIN
Race 6 No 6 Suerte
Looks very well suited in C1 class today. Put up a great effort against Eliseos Falcon last start & this looks much weaker.
RESULT: 3rd. Had it's chance but not good enough. Paid OK the place for EW punters
$50 WIN
Race 9 No 2 Rogue Assassin
Been racing extremely well over the past month against good horses. Should settle 1x1 early and make a move mid race to control the race from the death. Looks too strong.
RESULT: WINNER! Far too strong. $2.90 available early but was backed in like a good thing. It was. Collect $100
QUADDIE
2-4 / 8 / 6 / 3-8-9-10-11
$20 for 200%
Echuca, Tuesday 28th January
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Nonno Medoro
A 10yo veteran of 7 starts, so has obviously had it's fair share of injuries. Won it's only start last prep at huge odds & was spelled. First up last week was stuck in the death & looked home around the turn but the tough run took it's toll. I reckon it'll lead from this gate & around this track, should go very close at odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Handed up the lead which gave us some nervous moments but got the job done. Collect $194
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Juke Kartel
This is a very ordinary field of out of form horses. When a field of this nature assembles, drivers often get carried away and with the type of front line we have here, I can see some stupid speed on here. That'll set this race up for a horse like Juke Kartel. Forget it's last start when never put into the race off a slow speed. Was OK before that against much stronger not beaten far, Loves this track and will just need the speed on to be a chance. (Sunrise Lady in this race also, my roughy from last week. Simple can't tip it after it's last run but is about 3 steps back in class tonight..I'll be having a saver just incase!)
RESULT: 3rd. Just got pushed wide with 500 to go which cost it valuable momentum. Not sure if it would've cost it the race, we'll never know. Collect $63
MEETING RESULT: Won $157
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Nonno Medoro
A 10yo veteran of 7 starts, so has obviously had it's fair share of injuries. Won it's only start last prep at huge odds & was spelled. First up last week was stuck in the death & looked home around the turn but the tough run took it's toll. I reckon it'll lead from this gate & around this track, should go very close at odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Handed up the lead which gave us some nervous moments but got the job done. Collect $194
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Juke Kartel
This is a very ordinary field of out of form horses. When a field of this nature assembles, drivers often get carried away and with the type of front line we have here, I can see some stupid speed on here. That'll set this race up for a horse like Juke Kartel. Forget it's last start when never put into the race off a slow speed. Was OK before that against much stronger not beaten far, Loves this track and will just need the speed on to be a chance. (Sunrise Lady in this race also, my roughy from last week. Simple can't tip it after it's last run but is about 3 steps back in class tonight..I'll be having a saver just incase!)
RESULT: 3rd. Just got pushed wide with 500 to go which cost it valuable momentum. Not sure if it would've cost it the race, we'll never know. Collect $63
MEETING RESULT: Won $157
Geelong, Monday 27th January
5 days to recoup $1300 and change.. Tough meeting at Geelong so have punted accordingly.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Pleasure Beach
Super debut run when only seeing daylight at the top of the straight, close to 30metres off them & rocketed home to snag 3rd 11 metres from the winner. Gets the draw to follow through the leader in a race that looks to have a heap of speed. If the 1 can get it to the sprint lane it's a huge show.
RESULT: LOST! Never got a run after the 1 was crossed early.
$100 WIN
Race 8 No 4 McRita
Regular followers of this site know that this is a fav of mine. Always gives 110% this horse & 3rd up today over it's favourite trip, it's hard to see it getting rolled. From gate 4 will push forward early, even though it doesn't have great gate speed. Should be able to control the race from either in the death or in the lead.
RESULT: 2nd. The love is dead. Had every possible chance after getting an easy lead. Run down by a longshot. The month goes from bad to worse.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Pleasure Beach
Super debut run when only seeing daylight at the top of the straight, close to 30metres off them & rocketed home to snag 3rd 11 metres from the winner. Gets the draw to follow through the leader in a race that looks to have a heap of speed. If the 1 can get it to the sprint lane it's a huge show.
RESULT: LOST! Never got a run after the 1 was crossed early.
$100 WIN
Race 8 No 4 McRita
Regular followers of this site know that this is a fav of mine. Always gives 110% this horse & 3rd up today over it's favourite trip, it's hard to see it getting rolled. From gate 4 will push forward early, even though it doesn't have great gate speed. Should be able to control the race from either in the death or in the lead.
RESULT: 2nd. The love is dead. Had every possible chance after getting an easy lead. Run down by a longshot. The month goes from bad to worse.
Ouyen, Sunday 26th January
The black cat is back. Over to Ouyen to get me out of the rut
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Foldem
Good win last start although should've after the slow first half. Did hold off Blue Seelstar who is fairly smart. No real champions to hold out here & the short course is in it's favour.
RESULT: 2nd.. Led everywhere but the last 10 metres..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Dieing Secret
Gets the draw advantage from it's conqueror's last start and Ellen Tormey should be pushing forward early to gain a sit up on the lead. With any luck it'll win this.
RESULT: WINNER! A good aggressive drive taking Dieing Secret to the front. Game over from there. $220 collect
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Attitude Adjuster
Went huge 2 starts back after death seating and never giving up running 2nd. That followed another 2nd when it attempted to lead all the way and was only run down late by Lombo Cloud Nine who is in great form of late. Forget last starts failure when it locked wheels. Should lead them here & looks very hard to beat
RESULT: Winner! Wow, started very very short but bolted in. Collect $123.60
$100 QUINELLA
Race 8: 1 & 8
Not sure what odds we'll be getting but these 2 horse should almost lap the rest
RESULT: WINNER! Painless punting finally. $170 collect
DAY RESULT: Won $113.60
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Foldem
Good win last start although should've after the slow first half. Did hold off Blue Seelstar who is fairly smart. No real champions to hold out here & the short course is in it's favour.
RESULT: 2nd.. Led everywhere but the last 10 metres..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Dieing Secret
Gets the draw advantage from it's conqueror's last start and Ellen Tormey should be pushing forward early to gain a sit up on the lead. With any luck it'll win this.
RESULT: WINNER! A good aggressive drive taking Dieing Secret to the front. Game over from there. $220 collect
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Attitude Adjuster
Went huge 2 starts back after death seating and never giving up running 2nd. That followed another 2nd when it attempted to lead all the way and was only run down late by Lombo Cloud Nine who is in great form of late. Forget last starts failure when it locked wheels. Should lead them here & looks very hard to beat
RESULT: Winner! Wow, started very very short but bolted in. Collect $123.60
$100 QUINELLA
Race 8: 1 & 8
Not sure what odds we'll be getting but these 2 horse should almost lap the rest
RESULT: WINNER! Painless punting finally. $170 collect
DAY RESULT: Won $113.60
Ballarat, Saturday 25th January
A big card of racing so I'll provide suggested punts on every race here:
Race 1 No 7 Exotic Native
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Always had plenty of ability this horse & it's finally putting it altogether. Very easy win last start after having the right run but it was in the slowest heat. Having said that, it looked like it had plenty left in the tank. The wide draw is no worry as it'll go back to last anyway. Looks to be a bit of pace in the race especially if Earth Angel decides to take off midrace. If they go too crazy this bloke will be very hard to hold out.
RESULT: 4th. Just got too far back. Rocketed home late, keep following
Race 2 $30 Boxed Trifecta for 500%
1-2-4
Battle of 3 horses for mine. Tallulah Bay will lead these early with Anna's Innocent on it's back. Nike Franco will take it's time to settle into stride & will more than likely make a midrace move to sit in the death. It's going to be very short tonight & will have to be good to win from the death. Lets hope it gets rolled for values sake!
RESULT: WINNER! but got back less than what I laid out. Collect $24.
Race 3 $10 First 4 for 250%
1 / 11 -12 / 7-11-12 / 9
$20 Trifecta for 1000%
1 / 11-12 / 11-12
Hard to see Young Modern losing from this gate. Got a scare last week but it's 2 main dangers draw outside back row. Racer & Lotsa Life will (should) make midrace moves together here and look to have the class edge on the others with the 7 a rough place chance for mine. En Aye Jay draws to get a good cart along behind Young Modern and was OK last start. Sneaky chance to hold 4th at odds.
RESULT: I was all around it but the 10 running 2nd threw me out of whack. 9 runs 4th as predicted but that helps nobody when I don't have 2nd!
Race 4 No 9 Galatos
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Was responsible for some very fast late closing sectionals versus Keayang Steamer when only beaten 13metres. This is a step down slightly in class from that run and from the trailing draw should settle much closer to the front. 4th up from a year spell, should be ready to give this a shake. Guaranteed obviously the one to beat but will be unders tonight & not unbeatable in this class. Alchemy is the other worth consideration as it is low flying at the minute.
RESULT: LOST! Never in the hunt after being run off it's legs
Race 5 No 9 Waikare Aristocrat
$50 PLACE
Forget it ran last start over the sprint trip. Much better from behind the tapes and the longer distance tonight as it showed 2 starts back rounding up it's rivals impressively in a late spurt. Will only beat Blitzemcalder if that horse gallops so just the place bet. Hopefully close to the $4 mark
RESULT: LOST! Can't take a trick. Starts like a rocket and gets a good sit up near the lead & then galloped. Finished off well too. Might have been a winning chance if it didn't but we'll never know
**BEST BET OF THE NIGHT**
Race 6 $100 WIN
No 11 Im Corzin Terror
Not sure what odds we'll be getting here but it should win this easily based on it's past 2 runs. Bolted in the Bendigo Cup after having an easy lead but was impressive running 4th to The Gold Ace after missing away from the tapes. The tapes will be it's biggest danger again here but with a safe getaway, I'm standing in the queue.
RESULT: 2nd. I reckon Alford took too long to sit in the death but Mah Sish deserved to win
Race 7 $10 TRIFECTA for 500%
5 / 3 / 1- 2
High Expectations should win this easily and I'm not keen to punt on this race at all. For the sake of punting, relying on Thanesan leading early with either Duke OF The Moment or Empire Earl getting the cheap runs behind it.
RESULT: LOST. The 3 didn't start as expect and that was the end of that. $1.60 for High Expectations was big overs for mine
BALLARAT CUP
$40WIN/$60PLACE
No 2 Caribbean Blaster.
This is one hell of a tough race. The Gold Ace is going to come out humming early with Smoken Up & Keayang Cullen trying to get the position on it's outside. It's fair to say that Lance Justice will be doing everything in his power to keep the death seat. Caribbean Blaster will settle just behind these either 1x1 or 1x2 if they go too quick early and it's likely Keayang will snag back for cover. Abettorpunt will get the prime sit behind the leader sit but that maybe a hindrance late, which I'm predicting will be. The last time The Gold Ace lead against horses of this calibre he weakened late to finish midfield after Smoken Up poured on the pressure. Same scenario is likely here. So for mine you want to be on a swooper. I have been swapping and changing my mind about this race but have finally settled on the Blaster. Kate Gath is going to be the one going 3 wide without cover in the last lap, almost the same way it did in the Victoria Cup when finishing 2nd. The biggest danger for mine is Christen Me. It's likely to snag back to last from the wide draw & if it's the one that forces the Blaster 3 wide & gets a cart home on it's back, it's almost going to be the one you want to be on. Should be a cracking race. Go The Blaster!!
RESULT: 3rd. Just hit a flat spot before the turn & looked gone for all money. But as soon as Kate got him clear he picked up & only lost a head in third. Christen Me was big in 2nd. Sets up for a big Hunter Cup next week! Collect $102
QUADDIES:
Attacking the quaddie in 2 ways here as it does look to be a favourites night:
SHORT QUADDIE:
7 / 11 / 5 / 2-7
$20 for 1000%
VALUE QUADDIE:
5-7-9-10 / 11 / 5 / 1-2-7-8-10
$20 for 100%
Race 9 No 3 Duchess Ella
$10 EACH WAY
I thought it was going to win rounding the bean last start but it went off stride losing all chance. May have been too fresh for that run. From the draw should settle nice & close to the lead and is very suited to the sprint distance. A good chance at odds if it behaves
RESULT: LOST! Didn't behave
Race 10 No 4 Big Mumma Fitz
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Is a mare that needs a few runs before hitting it's straps and I thought it's last start run showed that 4th up tonight should be cherry ripe. She ran on well from last in a 55 second last half at this track just over a week ago. They ain't going to run those sort of times in this. Back to mares grade and with the likelihood of some good early pace, I can see her finishing all over the top of these.
RESULT: LAST! Forget it went around. Got the perfect sit just behind the speed but almost chocked down before the turn due to pulling so hard. Had nothing left down the straight.
RESULT: Disappointing night. Lost $408. OUCH
Race 1 No 7 Exotic Native
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Always had plenty of ability this horse & it's finally putting it altogether. Very easy win last start after having the right run but it was in the slowest heat. Having said that, it looked like it had plenty left in the tank. The wide draw is no worry as it'll go back to last anyway. Looks to be a bit of pace in the race especially if Earth Angel decides to take off midrace. If they go too crazy this bloke will be very hard to hold out.
RESULT: 4th. Just got too far back. Rocketed home late, keep following
Race 2 $30 Boxed Trifecta for 500%
1-2-4
Battle of 3 horses for mine. Tallulah Bay will lead these early with Anna's Innocent on it's back. Nike Franco will take it's time to settle into stride & will more than likely make a midrace move to sit in the death. It's going to be very short tonight & will have to be good to win from the death. Lets hope it gets rolled for values sake!
RESULT: WINNER! but got back less than what I laid out. Collect $24.
Race 3 $10 First 4 for 250%
1 / 11 -12 / 7-11-12 / 9
$20 Trifecta for 1000%
1 / 11-12 / 11-12
Hard to see Young Modern losing from this gate. Got a scare last week but it's 2 main dangers draw outside back row. Racer & Lotsa Life will (should) make midrace moves together here and look to have the class edge on the others with the 7 a rough place chance for mine. En Aye Jay draws to get a good cart along behind Young Modern and was OK last start. Sneaky chance to hold 4th at odds.
RESULT: I was all around it but the 10 running 2nd threw me out of whack. 9 runs 4th as predicted but that helps nobody when I don't have 2nd!
Race 4 No 9 Galatos
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Was responsible for some very fast late closing sectionals versus Keayang Steamer when only beaten 13metres. This is a step down slightly in class from that run and from the trailing draw should settle much closer to the front. 4th up from a year spell, should be ready to give this a shake. Guaranteed obviously the one to beat but will be unders tonight & not unbeatable in this class. Alchemy is the other worth consideration as it is low flying at the minute.
RESULT: LOST! Never in the hunt after being run off it's legs
Race 5 No 9 Waikare Aristocrat
$50 PLACE
Forget it ran last start over the sprint trip. Much better from behind the tapes and the longer distance tonight as it showed 2 starts back rounding up it's rivals impressively in a late spurt. Will only beat Blitzemcalder if that horse gallops so just the place bet. Hopefully close to the $4 mark
RESULT: LOST! Can't take a trick. Starts like a rocket and gets a good sit up near the lead & then galloped. Finished off well too. Might have been a winning chance if it didn't but we'll never know
**BEST BET OF THE NIGHT**
Race 6 $100 WIN
No 11 Im Corzin Terror
Not sure what odds we'll be getting here but it should win this easily based on it's past 2 runs. Bolted in the Bendigo Cup after having an easy lead but was impressive running 4th to The Gold Ace after missing away from the tapes. The tapes will be it's biggest danger again here but with a safe getaway, I'm standing in the queue.
RESULT: 2nd. I reckon Alford took too long to sit in the death but Mah Sish deserved to win
Race 7 $10 TRIFECTA for 500%
5 / 3 / 1- 2
High Expectations should win this easily and I'm not keen to punt on this race at all. For the sake of punting, relying on Thanesan leading early with either Duke OF The Moment or Empire Earl getting the cheap runs behind it.
RESULT: LOST. The 3 didn't start as expect and that was the end of that. $1.60 for High Expectations was big overs for mine
BALLARAT CUP
$40WIN/$60PLACE
No 2 Caribbean Blaster.
This is one hell of a tough race. The Gold Ace is going to come out humming early with Smoken Up & Keayang Cullen trying to get the position on it's outside. It's fair to say that Lance Justice will be doing everything in his power to keep the death seat. Caribbean Blaster will settle just behind these either 1x1 or 1x2 if they go too quick early and it's likely Keayang will snag back for cover. Abettorpunt will get the prime sit behind the leader sit but that maybe a hindrance late, which I'm predicting will be. The last time The Gold Ace lead against horses of this calibre he weakened late to finish midfield after Smoken Up poured on the pressure. Same scenario is likely here. So for mine you want to be on a swooper. I have been swapping and changing my mind about this race but have finally settled on the Blaster. Kate Gath is going to be the one going 3 wide without cover in the last lap, almost the same way it did in the Victoria Cup when finishing 2nd. The biggest danger for mine is Christen Me. It's likely to snag back to last from the wide draw & if it's the one that forces the Blaster 3 wide & gets a cart home on it's back, it's almost going to be the one you want to be on. Should be a cracking race. Go The Blaster!!
RESULT: 3rd. Just hit a flat spot before the turn & looked gone for all money. But as soon as Kate got him clear he picked up & only lost a head in third. Christen Me was big in 2nd. Sets up for a big Hunter Cup next week! Collect $102
QUADDIES:
Attacking the quaddie in 2 ways here as it does look to be a favourites night:
SHORT QUADDIE:
7 / 11 / 5 / 2-7
$20 for 1000%
VALUE QUADDIE:
5-7-9-10 / 11 / 5 / 1-2-7-8-10
$20 for 100%
Race 9 No 3 Duchess Ella
$10 EACH WAY
I thought it was going to win rounding the bean last start but it went off stride losing all chance. May have been too fresh for that run. From the draw should settle nice & close to the lead and is very suited to the sprint distance. A good chance at odds if it behaves
RESULT: LOST! Didn't behave
Race 10 No 4 Big Mumma Fitz
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Is a mare that needs a few runs before hitting it's straps and I thought it's last start run showed that 4th up tonight should be cherry ripe. She ran on well from last in a 55 second last half at this track just over a week ago. They ain't going to run those sort of times in this. Back to mares grade and with the likelihood of some good early pace, I can see her finishing all over the top of these.
RESULT: LAST! Forget it went around. Got the perfect sit just behind the speed but almost chocked down before the turn due to pulling so hard. Had nothing left down the straight.
RESULT: Disappointing night. Lost $408. OUCH
Melton, Friday 24th January
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Mister Onetwo
Huge run last start and deserved to win. Made a midrace move to sit in the death, Stanley poured the pressure on rounding the turn. Just as it looked gone it just kept finding the line to go down a half neck. The lead might be up for grabs here & it managed to cross, it's game over for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't lead & worked too hard in the death.
FLUKEY EXOTIC
Im known for my ridiculous exotics amongst mates and I'm giving one a go here!
Race 8 First Four
5 / 2-8 / 2-8 / 1
$20 for 1000%
RESULT: Not even close.
ROUGHY
Trying to snap out of a roughy tipping curse here.
$50PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Another Elsu
Has had 3 starts back from a spell now & hasn't been disgraced in any of them but hasn't set the world on fire either. Grows a leg from a good draw when able to settle in front or just off the pace. Did follow Hilltop Hustler last prep & finished 2nd to it over this distance at Ballarat in 1:57.4 so the ability is there. Can't beat VC Manoeuvre but I think a placing at good odds is on the cards.
RESULT: LAST! Geez Im on a losing heater at the minute with these roughies..
MEETING RESULT: Another tough night on the punt. Need a miracle to get things back for January. Lost $120
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Mister Onetwo
Huge run last start and deserved to win. Made a midrace move to sit in the death, Stanley poured the pressure on rounding the turn. Just as it looked gone it just kept finding the line to go down a half neck. The lead might be up for grabs here & it managed to cross, it's game over for mine.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't lead & worked too hard in the death.
FLUKEY EXOTIC
Im known for my ridiculous exotics amongst mates and I'm giving one a go here!
Race 8 First Four
5 / 2-8 / 2-8 / 1
$20 for 1000%
RESULT: Not even close.
ROUGHY
Trying to snap out of a roughy tipping curse here.
$50PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Another Elsu
Has had 3 starts back from a spell now & hasn't been disgraced in any of them but hasn't set the world on fire either. Grows a leg from a good draw when able to settle in front or just off the pace. Did follow Hilltop Hustler last prep & finished 2nd to it over this distance at Ballarat in 1:57.4 so the ability is there. Can't beat VC Manoeuvre but I think a placing at good odds is on the cards.
RESULT: LAST! Geez Im on a losing heater at the minute with these roughies..
MEETING RESULT: Another tough night on the punt. Need a miracle to get things back for January. Lost $120
Shepparton, Thursday 23rd January
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Narryna Jetstar
Forget it went round at Cobram last start where it was never put into the race & it's near impossible to get close from the 2nd half of the field rounding the last bend at that track. Was an absolute certainty beaten it's previous start at this track when blocked 3 or 4 times for a run before flashing late to grab 3rd. Going to need a pinch of luck from the draw but should settle behind the leader early. Hopefully the 1 won't hand up but 3 pegs isn't the worst place to be at Shep.
RESULT: 4th.. Frustrating when I tip something and it gets exactly the run I wanted & the run at the perfect time in the straight & it doesn't run up to it's last start from the same position at Shep.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Niquero
Matthew Newberry has contributed to a junk of my deficit this month but Im going back for more! This bloke will be leaders back and I think that is the best spot to be in a race that looks to have a good even pace in it. T
UPDATE 1PM: Niquero a NO BET!! 1 is scratched. Behind the leader scenario is now out the door!
NEW BET:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Scottish Glamour
Should lead now with the early scratching from this race. Put up a great effort at Melton when leading from a wide draw last start after being pressured. Looks like no pressure on here & should get every chance
RESULT: 2nd. Got every chance & lost.. Collect $84
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Scruffy Major
With the scratching of the one looks ideally placed here. Only have to go back a few starts where it ran 3rd to Youranut to see that this race should be within it's keeping. Settles leaders back at worst but can lead the trip as well
RESULT: Winner! Didn't think it would've started as short as it did but anyway, it won. Collect $62.50
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Narryna Jetstar
Forget it went round at Cobram last start where it was never put into the race & it's near impossible to get close from the 2nd half of the field rounding the last bend at that track. Was an absolute certainty beaten it's previous start at this track when blocked 3 or 4 times for a run before flashing late to grab 3rd. Going to need a pinch of luck from the draw but should settle behind the leader early. Hopefully the 1 won't hand up but 3 pegs isn't the worst place to be at Shep.
RESULT: 4th.. Frustrating when I tip something and it gets exactly the run I wanted & the run at the perfect time in the straight & it doesn't run up to it's last start from the same position at Shep.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Niquero
Matthew Newberry has contributed to a junk of my deficit this month but Im going back for more! This bloke will be leaders back and I think that is the best spot to be in a race that looks to have a good even pace in it. T
UPDATE 1PM: Niquero a NO BET!! 1 is scratched. Behind the leader scenario is now out the door!
NEW BET:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 7 Scottish Glamour
Should lead now with the early scratching from this race. Put up a great effort at Melton when leading from a wide draw last start after being pressured. Looks like no pressure on here & should get every chance
RESULT: 2nd. Got every chance & lost.. Collect $84
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Scruffy Major
With the scratching of the one looks ideally placed here. Only have to go back a few starts where it ran 3rd to Youranut to see that this race should be within it's keeping. Settles leaders back at worst but can lead the trip as well
RESULT: Winner! Didn't think it would've started as short as it did but anyway, it won. Collect $62.50
Cranbourne, Thursday 23rd January
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 3 Intergalactic
Won't get a better chance to win one. Only 1 danger in the race and it'll have to sit outside Intergalactic. Should lead all the way.
RESULT: WINNER! Started way shorter than I thought it would. Led & just held off the 2nd fav. Very lucky they locked wheels late otherwise it would've been rolled. Collect $75
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Ymbro Toto
First up here off some handy trial runs where it improved significantly in each one, it's last finishing a close 2nd in a 56 sec last half. Should press forward early and Id expect to lead. Looks the one to beat from there
RESULT: WINNER! Ted Jnr gets the job done again! Collect $198.
ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Sunrise Lady
3rd up here and is a sneaky chance. 1st up run was just average after only getting out late from 5 back the fence beaten 24 metres in R2-4 class. Followed that up with a good 3rd to Freemason who is running very well ATM, in C4/5 class beaten 8 metres after again being buried 4 pegs. Has enough gate speed to hold the 1's back here but that is likely to hand up. If the 1 does hand up, that will probably put pay to Sunrise's winning chances but I think shes a big place chance at odds from the draw and small field suits.
RESULT: LOST! Horrible.. Fair to say my roughy selections in January have let me down.
DAY RESULT: Lost $10.50. Was worth the hours of studying...
$50WIN
Race 3 No 3 Intergalactic
Won't get a better chance to win one. Only 1 danger in the race and it'll have to sit outside Intergalactic. Should lead all the way.
RESULT: WINNER! Started way shorter than I thought it would. Led & just held off the 2nd fav. Very lucky they locked wheels late otherwise it would've been rolled. Collect $75
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Ymbro Toto
First up here off some handy trial runs where it improved significantly in each one, it's last finishing a close 2nd in a 56 sec last half. Should press forward early and Id expect to lead. Looks the one to beat from there
RESULT: WINNER! Ted Jnr gets the job done again! Collect $198.
ROUGHY
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Sunrise Lady
3rd up here and is a sneaky chance. 1st up run was just average after only getting out late from 5 back the fence beaten 24 metres in R2-4 class. Followed that up with a good 3rd to Freemason who is running very well ATM, in C4/5 class beaten 8 metres after again being buried 4 pegs. Has enough gate speed to hold the 1's back here but that is likely to hand up. If the 1 does hand up, that will probably put pay to Sunrise's winning chances but I think shes a big place chance at odds from the draw and small field suits.
RESULT: LOST! Horrible.. Fair to say my roughy selections in January have let me down.
DAY RESULT: Lost $10.50. Was worth the hours of studying...
Bendigo, Wednesday 22nd January
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Chiquita Bromac
Doesn't win out of turn but gee this looks it's race. A horse that must be in the top 4 rounding the home bend to be a chance it's always been hard to catch but I think it sits leaders back a worst against some fairly ordinary animals today. Should be no excuses.
RESULT: 3rd. Led and no excuses. Collect $108
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Chiquita Bromac
Doesn't win out of turn but gee this looks it's race. A horse that must be in the top 4 rounding the home bend to be a chance it's always been hard to catch but I think it sits leaders back a worst against some fairly ordinary animals today. Should be no excuses.
RESULT: 3rd. Led and no excuses. Collect $108
Ararat, Wednesday 22nd January
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Walky Talky
Looks the leader here & I'm happy to take on the 7 who continues to be costly for punters. Should be good value
RESULT: LOST! Fav wins & Walky found zilch.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Walky Talky
Looks the leader here & I'm happy to take on the 7 who continues to be costly for punters. Should be good value
RESULT: LOST! Fav wins & Walky found zilch.
Swan Hill, Tuesday 21St January
BEST WIN
$100WIN
RACE 6 No 5 Dieing Secret
Put up a huge effort racing in the death to finish 3rd in a super quick 1:56.6 mile rate for Charlton. Had no right to finish so close. Cool Macrista had the cheap run that day & only just beat him home. Probably going to have to work hard again here tonight but 3rd up, I just think it'll be far too strong at what should be black odds
RESULT: 3rd. Not strong enough
$50WIN
RACE 7 No 9 Uncle Wingnut
This bloke is an old favourite of mine who looks ready to win. Put up a huge effort to snare 3rd place in the Bendigo Cup against some very smart horses. Draws to sit behind early leader Jacka Luke who I think will be the perfect pace car for Wingnut to slingshot into the sprint lane. Has won from the sprint lane previously & just looks ready to win
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely after not being able to hold leaders back
QUADDIE
1-2-3-4-6 / FIELD / 5 / 9
$25 for 50%
MEETING RESULT: Misread the races tonight maybe. Went in very confident & got burnt. My wallet took a fair hammering.. Lost $175
$100WIN
RACE 6 No 5 Dieing Secret
Put up a huge effort racing in the death to finish 3rd in a super quick 1:56.6 mile rate for Charlton. Had no right to finish so close. Cool Macrista had the cheap run that day & only just beat him home. Probably going to have to work hard again here tonight but 3rd up, I just think it'll be far too strong at what should be black odds
RESULT: 3rd. Not strong enough
$50WIN
RACE 7 No 9 Uncle Wingnut
This bloke is an old favourite of mine who looks ready to win. Put up a huge effort to snare 3rd place in the Bendigo Cup against some very smart horses. Draws to sit behind early leader Jacka Luke who I think will be the perfect pace car for Wingnut to slingshot into the sprint lane. Has won from the sprint lane previously & just looks ready to win
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely after not being able to hold leaders back
QUADDIE
1-2-3-4-6 / FIELD / 5 / 9
$25 for 50%
MEETING RESULT: Misread the races tonight maybe. Went in very confident & got burnt. My wallet took a fair hammering.. Lost $175
Maryborough, Monday 20th January
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 3 No 2 Franco Jackson
Thought this bloke maybe too short in odds today but a couple of well known tipsters haven't selected it so we may get black odds which for mine would be ridiculous. Forget its last start run at Globe Derby when it couldn't cross early & was never suited after that. Its 3rd at Charlton at it's previous start was full of merit in very quick time, beating home The Dip, one of it's dangers today.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't get the black odds but can't complain with $1.75. Collect $175
$100WIN
Race 3 No 2 Franco Jackson
Thought this bloke maybe too short in odds today but a couple of well known tipsters haven't selected it so we may get black odds which for mine would be ridiculous. Forget its last start run at Globe Derby when it couldn't cross early & was never suited after that. Its 3rd at Charlton at it's previous start was full of merit in very quick time, beating home The Dip, one of it's dangers today.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't get the black odds but can't complain with $1.75. Collect $175
Geelong, Sunday 19th January
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Donegal Delight
Tipping sit sprinters is probably why I'm in a fair deficit this month, so why not go again! This horse has had no luck at all in strong Melton company in recent starts but has not been beaten far. Actually ran one of the fastest mile rates for the race last Friday night which suggests it's going pretty well. This is about 2 steps back in class for mine today but the wide draw is a concern. If she can get the right trail into the race, I'd expect her to win this.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the right trail behind the fav & won. Good girl.. Collect $174
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Donegal Delight
Tipping sit sprinters is probably why I'm in a fair deficit this month, so why not go again! This horse has had no luck at all in strong Melton company in recent starts but has not been beaten far. Actually ran one of the fastest mile rates for the race last Friday night which suggests it's going pretty well. This is about 2 steps back in class for mine today but the wide draw is a concern. If she can get the right trail into the race, I'd expect her to win this.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the right trail behind the fav & won. Good girl.. Collect $174
Shepparton, Saturday 18th January
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60 PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Illawong Travel
Went super first up at Cobram. After being drawn wide Gary Pekin had no option to snag back to last after being caught 3 wide early. Made it's move 3 wide at the 500 metres with cover but the horse in front just couldn't drag him into the race. Pekin went 4 & 5 wide down the straight but the bird had already flown with the leaders too far in front. Did well to finish 4th in a 56 second last half albeit beaten 19 metres. Draws gate 2 here tonight whilst most of it's dangers have drawn poorly. Should go very close.
RESULT: 2nd. Did go close but not close enough. Collect $120
BEST PLACE
$25 PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Harrys Champ
Put in a great run at Cobram last start from the back row which isn't easy to do. Should position nice and handy to the lead, and although he won't beat the fav, should be running a place for mine
RESULT: LOST! Weird run. Lost a heap of ground before the turn & then flashed home late to run around 6th.
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
Race 4 No 6 HectorJayJay
Taking on the likely odds on favourite here with Hector. Looks the leader and his last start shows he's fully revved up for this. Going to be very hard to roll from the top. Yankee Rockstar looks a star but it's first start over anything further than a mile was only fair over a month ago. Going to have to do it tough from the draw so I'm happy to be on Hector.
RESULT: LOST! The Rockstar gets rolled but I picked the wrong horse to roll it.
$50 WIN
Race 7 No 6 Restrepo
Im prepared to give it's last start failure when it was used up early to hold a forward position a weakened late. Don't that that's his go. Has a great record behind the tapes so should settle close enough to the front without spending much petrol. Gavin Lang knows this horse back to front and I'd be expecting him to have Restrepo in the prime position when the whips are cracking.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance but maybe the quick sprint before the last turn took the sprint out of him? Had his chance for mine
ROUGHY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Bowland Borg
Having a fair go at this fella tonight at what should be decent double figure odds. Needs cover in top 4 of a race & gets that sit tonight behind Wounded I'd suggest. 3rd up tonight after a good 3rd finishing well from a long way back at Cobram, a track that doesn't suit. Might have to be stoked up to hold the leaders back here but I think he can on a track that favours the inside runners over the mile
RESULT: LOST! Showed no speed early which was a surprise for me as it has in the past. Ended up 3 pegs andthats too far back for Bowland but it only plodded to the line.
MEETING RESULT: It's been one tough start to 2014. Need a fair turnaround to get back in front with less than 2 weeks left in the month. Lost $180
$40WIN/$60 PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Illawong Travel
Went super first up at Cobram. After being drawn wide Gary Pekin had no option to snag back to last after being caught 3 wide early. Made it's move 3 wide at the 500 metres with cover but the horse in front just couldn't drag him into the race. Pekin went 4 & 5 wide down the straight but the bird had already flown with the leaders too far in front. Did well to finish 4th in a 56 second last half albeit beaten 19 metres. Draws gate 2 here tonight whilst most of it's dangers have drawn poorly. Should go very close.
RESULT: 2nd. Did go close but not close enough. Collect $120
BEST PLACE
$25 PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Harrys Champ
Put in a great run at Cobram last start from the back row which isn't easy to do. Should position nice and handy to the lead, and although he won't beat the fav, should be running a place for mine
RESULT: LOST! Weird run. Lost a heap of ground before the turn & then flashed home late to run around 6th.
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
Race 4 No 6 HectorJayJay
Taking on the likely odds on favourite here with Hector. Looks the leader and his last start shows he's fully revved up for this. Going to be very hard to roll from the top. Yankee Rockstar looks a star but it's first start over anything further than a mile was only fair over a month ago. Going to have to do it tough from the draw so I'm happy to be on Hector.
RESULT: LOST! The Rockstar gets rolled but I picked the wrong horse to roll it.
$50 WIN
Race 7 No 6 Restrepo
Im prepared to give it's last start failure when it was used up early to hold a forward position a weakened late. Don't that that's his go. Has a great record behind the tapes so should settle close enough to the front without spending much petrol. Gavin Lang knows this horse back to front and I'd be expecting him to have Restrepo in the prime position when the whips are cracking.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance but maybe the quick sprint before the last turn took the sprint out of him? Had his chance for mine
ROUGHY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Bowland Borg
Having a fair go at this fella tonight at what should be decent double figure odds. Needs cover in top 4 of a race & gets that sit tonight behind Wounded I'd suggest. 3rd up tonight after a good 3rd finishing well from a long way back at Cobram, a track that doesn't suit. Might have to be stoked up to hold the leaders back here but I think he can on a track that favours the inside runners over the mile
RESULT: LOST! Showed no speed early which was a surprise for me as it has in the past. Ended up 3 pegs andthats too far back for Bowland but it only plodded to the line.
MEETING RESULT: It's been one tough start to 2014. Need a fair turnaround to get back in front with less than 2 weeks left in the month. Lost $180
MELTON, Friday 17th January
BETTING RACES
Race 4
$50 PLACE No 1 Gotalottaspeed
This could go horribly wrong like many of my punts this month but from the draw & over the distance looks suited. Forget last start when dragged out to last and sat 5 pegs. Never got out until the straight and ran on OK. Similar story first up as well at Cranbourne. Trialed OK against Asoka and Quadentate over the 2240metres on the 9th of Dec from this draw. They ran home in 55 seconds for the last half in that trial & I'm tipping it was well in need of the run. 3rd up tonight, good draw, 2 starts over the track & distance for a 2nd & a 3rd, worth a go at odds. Marked $50 the win in the HerarldSun
RESULT: One word... UGLY
Race 5
$100 WIN No 2 The Fat Man
Has been flying around at the trials and if you get anything around the $2 mark you're shopping well. Beat older horses by 30 metres in a trial at Terang in 1:57 over the 2190 metres. Thats always a good sign for a 3yo. Racing against it's own age here tonight & should lead and win in a race that seems to lack any pressure.
UPDATE: There have been a few scratchings this morning so probably no hope of getting anywhere near $2
RESULT: WINNER! Wow. Impressive. As I thought started very short. Collect $140
$50 PLACE No 1 Stormy Lecture
This horse let me down last time I tipped it & it maybe leading us down the garden path again but should secure a cheap run behind the fav here. Produced a good run from well back in the field in a very fast 1:54 sec mile. The longer trip should suit as well
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure why I didn't take the exacta. Pays $7. Collect $115
QUADDIE:
Cost $20 for 100%
RESULT: Missed first legs (sorry deleted the numbers when putting together this update!)
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
Race 4
$50 PLACE No 1 Gotalottaspeed
This could go horribly wrong like many of my punts this month but from the draw & over the distance looks suited. Forget last start when dragged out to last and sat 5 pegs. Never got out until the straight and ran on OK. Similar story first up as well at Cranbourne. Trialed OK against Asoka and Quadentate over the 2240metres on the 9th of Dec from this draw. They ran home in 55 seconds for the last half in that trial & I'm tipping it was well in need of the run. 3rd up tonight, good draw, 2 starts over the track & distance for a 2nd & a 3rd, worth a go at odds. Marked $50 the win in the HerarldSun
RESULT: One word... UGLY
Race 5
$100 WIN No 2 The Fat Man
Has been flying around at the trials and if you get anything around the $2 mark you're shopping well. Beat older horses by 30 metres in a trial at Terang in 1:57 over the 2190 metres. Thats always a good sign for a 3yo. Racing against it's own age here tonight & should lead and win in a race that seems to lack any pressure.
UPDATE: There have been a few scratchings this morning so probably no hope of getting anywhere near $2
RESULT: WINNER! Wow. Impressive. As I thought started very short. Collect $140
$50 PLACE No 1 Stormy Lecture
This horse let me down last time I tipped it & it maybe leading us down the garden path again but should secure a cheap run behind the fav here. Produced a good run from well back in the field in a very fast 1:54 sec mile. The longer trip should suit as well
RESULT: 2nd. Not sure why I didn't take the exacta. Pays $7. Collect $115
QUADDIE:
Cost $20 for 100%
RESULT: Missed first legs (sorry deleted the numbers when putting together this update!)
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
Ballarat, Thursday 16th January
$25 WIN
Race 4 No 9 Manuka Man
RESULT: 2nd
Race 7 No 1 Jacka Murphy
RESULT: 4th
Race 4 No 9 Manuka Man
RESULT: 2nd
Race 7 No 1 Jacka Murphy
RESULT: 4th
Yarra Valley, Thursday 16th January
Thanks to the heat, plenty of scratchings. Have changed punts accordingly
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 4 No 8 Outer Join
RESULT: LOST! Stiff, Got stuck behind the tiring leader but finished well late
Race 5 No 3 Double Happy
RESULT: LOST! Poor drive Zac..
Race 6 No 1 Call Me Bond
RESULT: WINNER! $52.50 collect
BEST EXOTIC
Race 7 BOXED QUINELLA for $100
1 & 4
4 IS SCRATCHED
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 4 No 8 Outer Join
RESULT: LOST! Stiff, Got stuck behind the tiring leader but finished well late
Race 5 No 3 Double Happy
RESULT: LOST! Poor drive Zac..
Race 6 No 1 Call Me Bond
RESULT: WINNER! $52.50 collect
BEST EXOTIC
Race 7 BOXED QUINELLA for $100
1 & 4
4 IS SCRATCHED
Kilmore, Wednesday 15th January
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 7 No 8 Modern Mary
Looks certain to follow the leaders every move here & Im happy to forgive last start when it couldn't find the pegs. Should go close at OK odds
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely.
$25WIN
Race 7 No 8 Modern Mary
Looks certain to follow the leaders every move here & Im happy to forgive last start when it couldn't find the pegs. Should go close at OK odds
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely.
Charlton, Wednesday 15th January
With the hot conditions causing havoc & many scratchings I'd advise against punting at Charlton today..
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Eleventh Command
Not one of my favourite horses but this is as easy as it'll get and has the perfect draw for it's style of racing. Hopefully it starts in black figures. I wouldn't be taking red odds
SCRATCHED
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Bushrod
Super impressive since coming across the ditch. If you were watching the race in mute last week the run may have looked disappointing but to run the times they did from the stand was very impressive. Should be in front soon after the start here as it usually flies the tapes & it's only danger is Sir Swayze who I do have a big opinion of. I just don't think it can beat Bushrod from the death.
UPDATE: Tread carefully here. Small field now & if Sir Swayze ends up with a cold sit on Bushrods back, it's a huge chance
RESULT: LAST! Broke gear
$25 All Up (No punt with scratchings)
Race 4 No 1 Eleventh Command (SCRATCHED)
Race 5 No 4 Bushrod
Race 7 No 8 Flaming Flutter (SCRATCHED)
QUADDIE (no punt with scratchings)
1 / 4-5 / 11 / 8
$20 for 1000%
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Eleventh Command
Not one of my favourite horses but this is as easy as it'll get and has the perfect draw for it's style of racing. Hopefully it starts in black figures. I wouldn't be taking red odds
SCRATCHED
$50WIN
Race 5 No 4 Bushrod
Super impressive since coming across the ditch. If you were watching the race in mute last week the run may have looked disappointing but to run the times they did from the stand was very impressive. Should be in front soon after the start here as it usually flies the tapes & it's only danger is Sir Swayze who I do have a big opinion of. I just don't think it can beat Bushrod from the death.
UPDATE: Tread carefully here. Small field now & if Sir Swayze ends up with a cold sit on Bushrods back, it's a huge chance
RESULT: LAST! Broke gear
$25 All Up (No punt with scratchings)
Race 4 No 1 Eleventh Command (SCRATCHED)
Race 5 No 4 Bushrod
Race 7 No 8 Flaming Flutter (SCRATCHED)
QUADDIE (no punt with scratchings)
1 / 4-5 / 11 / 8
$20 for 1000%
Mildura, Tuesday 14th January
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
Race 1 No 4 Fantail
Ive been following this fella for the past few starts and it is very close to a win. 2 starts back did it tough in the death & did well to finish so close and then followed that up with a brave 2nd after racing in the death early before taking a sit midrace. Finished off well in quick time. No a whole lot of speed in it's inside tonight so should position close to the speed and with it's major dangers on the back row, looks a big chance
RESULT: WINNER! Led and smashed them. As simple as that. Collect $137.50
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Woodlea Cosmos
Last chance Lance for this fella. Not suited over the sprint trip last start but still ran well. Not sure what happened at it's previous start where the 1x1 sit was up for grabs and she elected to snag back to last. I think he'll settle midfield here tonight and with limited chances, over the longer distance, gets its chance to break through at EW odds
RESULT: WINNER! I was critical of her drive last time but super drive Emma Hambling there. The death seat was up for grabs with little pressure in the race after the scratching of the one and she took it & won well. Collect $163
$25 WIN
Race 5 No 1 Embraced
Very unlucky last after getting stuck behind the tiring leader but it was the drivers choice to sit there. Should either lead or sit behind the leader, likely to be either one of it's stablemates. Had been racing consistently before that and races best when on the speed. Should go close with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! You beauty. Led & managed to hold off the odds on pop. Collect $162.50
MEETING RESULT: $363 profit. Hooooorraaaayyy. From Mildura of all places. Hopefully followers pockets are full.
$25 WIN
Race 1 No 4 Fantail
Ive been following this fella for the past few starts and it is very close to a win. 2 starts back did it tough in the death & did well to finish so close and then followed that up with a brave 2nd after racing in the death early before taking a sit midrace. Finished off well in quick time. No a whole lot of speed in it's inside tonight so should position close to the speed and with it's major dangers on the back row, looks a big chance
RESULT: WINNER! Led and smashed them. As simple as that. Collect $137.50
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Woodlea Cosmos
Last chance Lance for this fella. Not suited over the sprint trip last start but still ran well. Not sure what happened at it's previous start where the 1x1 sit was up for grabs and she elected to snag back to last. I think he'll settle midfield here tonight and with limited chances, over the longer distance, gets its chance to break through at EW odds
RESULT: WINNER! I was critical of her drive last time but super drive Emma Hambling there. The death seat was up for grabs with little pressure in the race after the scratching of the one and she took it & won well. Collect $163
$25 WIN
Race 5 No 1 Embraced
Very unlucky last after getting stuck behind the tiring leader but it was the drivers choice to sit there. Should either lead or sit behind the leader, likely to be either one of it's stablemates. Had been racing consistently before that and races best when on the speed. Should go close with even luck
RESULT: WINNER! You beauty. Led & managed to hold off the odds on pop. Collect $162.50
MEETING RESULT: $363 profit. Hooooorraaaayyy. From Mildura of all places. Hopefully followers pockets are full.
Cobram, Monday 13th January
Couldn't find any value here today so no punts from me. If you're desperate for something below are my selections on each race:
Race 1 No 1 Magic Moment Lombo (WIN)
RESULT: Won $1.14
Race 2 No 10 Bowland Borg (EW 1x3)
RESULT: 3rd $4.20
Race 4 No 10 Tezz Khora (WIN)
RESULT: Won $1.70
Race 5 No 9 Harrys Champ (EW 1x3)
RESULT: 3rd $2.70
Race 6 No 7 Ortbe Good (EW 1x3)
RESULT: 4th
Race 7 No 8 Abstract Lady (Place)
Result: 3rd $2.70
Race 8 No 6 Narryna Jetstar (EW 1x3)
RESULT: Lost.
19 units outlay for 26.24 unit return. Should've put up the suggested bets!
Race 1 No 1 Magic Moment Lombo (WIN)
RESULT: Won $1.14
Race 2 No 10 Bowland Borg (EW 1x3)
RESULT: 3rd $4.20
Race 4 No 10 Tezz Khora (WIN)
RESULT: Won $1.70
Race 5 No 9 Harrys Champ (EW 1x3)
RESULT: 3rd $2.70
Race 6 No 7 Ortbe Good (EW 1x3)
RESULT: 4th
Race 7 No 8 Abstract Lady (Place)
Result: 3rd $2.70
Race 8 No 6 Narryna Jetstar (EW 1x3)
RESULT: Lost.
19 units outlay for 26.24 unit return. Should've put up the suggested bets!
Hamilton CUp, Sunday 12th January
BEST WIN
$100WIN Keeyang Cullen
Super talented horse who would smash these from a mobile but has to face the stand start today. I think that will just give us value here. Has stepped away from the tapes OK in a trial 2 months ago, & if it does today it should win.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every opportunity..
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Saab Magic
Looks the leader here & races best there. There doesn't look to be a whole lot of pressure on here and I'd be surprised if it go rolled.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but got the job done. Collect $100
$100WIN Keeyang Cullen
Super talented horse who would smash these from a mobile but has to face the stand start today. I think that will just give us value here. Has stepped away from the tapes OK in a trial 2 months ago, & if it does today it should win.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every opportunity..
$50WIN
Race 4 No 2 Saab Magic
Looks the leader here & races best there. There doesn't look to be a whole lot of pressure on here and I'd be surprised if it go rolled.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but got the job done. Collect $100
Globe Derby, Saturday 11th January
Following a couple of Vics across the boarder here
$50WIN
Race 3 No 6 Living Lord
Went super at Melton last week finishing second. His sectionals were the best in the race but the leader just had the easier run. Sugars should spear towards the front here & even from the death, should be winning, hopefully at black figure odds
RESULT: 2nd, beaten a pimple. Another huge run but that doesn't help the pocket!
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Paua Fella
I maybe a week late but geez he was impressive in winning here last week, although Adam Cartwright did gallop early & that opened the race up. Looks like a whole heap of early speed on here & Paua follows through 2nd fav & fast beginner Gowan Brae. This a heap stronger but with the 3 favs all drawing alongside each other & Paua getting a cheap sit the $26, is big value
RESULT: WINNER! You beauty! The fav galloped but he had to race in the death & held them off. Impressive. Collect $336
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Kotare Roland
A blackbooker for the past month, tonight is his night. Should lead and be too strong.
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't lead & couldn't sprint late.. Disappointing
SA Cup
$50WIN Smoken Up
Grows a leg at Globe Derby. Beat Caribbean Blast from almost identical draws in this race last year. Should push through early and either sit in the death or roll to the lead. Just can't see CB or Abettorpunt rolling him on one of the few tracks he seems to handle the turns on.
RESULT: 2nd. I mozzed him. Lost ground on the last turn & cost it it's chance. Another huge run by the champ
MEETING RESULT: Won $136
$50WIN
Race 3 No 6 Living Lord
Went super at Melton last week finishing second. His sectionals were the best in the race but the leader just had the easier run. Sugars should spear towards the front here & even from the death, should be winning, hopefully at black figure odds
RESULT: 2nd, beaten a pimple. Another huge run but that doesn't help the pocket!
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Paua Fella
I maybe a week late but geez he was impressive in winning here last week, although Adam Cartwright did gallop early & that opened the race up. Looks like a whole heap of early speed on here & Paua follows through 2nd fav & fast beginner Gowan Brae. This a heap stronger but with the 3 favs all drawing alongside each other & Paua getting a cheap sit the $26, is big value
RESULT: WINNER! You beauty! The fav galloped but he had to race in the death & held them off. Impressive. Collect $336
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Kotare Roland
A blackbooker for the past month, tonight is his night. Should lead and be too strong.
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't lead & couldn't sprint late.. Disappointing
SA Cup
$50WIN Smoken Up
Grows a leg at Globe Derby. Beat Caribbean Blast from almost identical draws in this race last year. Should push through early and either sit in the death or roll to the lead. Just can't see CB or Abettorpunt rolling him on one of the few tracks he seems to handle the turns on.
RESULT: 2nd. I mozzed him. Lost ground on the last turn & cost it it's chance. Another huge run by the champ
MEETING RESULT: Won $136
Bendigo Cup, Saturday 11th January
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Holdonsu
Won impressively for us last time from the exact same draw, distance & track. Similar field but not going to get the same odds but looks the winner
RESULT: Winner but very short. Collect $95
$50WIN
Race 6 No 13 The Cavalier
Was huge in running second at Cranbourne last week after sitting in the death. Was only just grabbed late in a 56 sec last half. Should death seat in this as well in what looks a weaker race
RESULT: 3rd. Sat back in the field tonight off a slow pace, I reckon if it sits in the death it wins..
BENDIGO CUP
$25WIN
No 1 Wartime Sweetheart
Might be crazy taking on Bitobliss here after witnessing what BOB did last start but Wartime is going to receive every possible chance from this draw. Was very unlucky not to win the Cobram Cup and has taken some big scalps this prep. Lets hope this is another
RESULT: 2nd. Got stuck 3 pegs which wasn't in the script. Got out in time and was no match for the winner.
EARLY BET
$10PLACE
No 8 Exciteusinthecity
This is a huge step up in class from last week where they did run the last half slowly to allow it to sneak up the sprint lane to win but I can't ignore the $16.80 available the place. Potential collect $168
RESULT: 5th. Thought it had 3rd on the turn but Mustang Mach just didn't take him into the sprint lane with momentum.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Thisiswhoiam
Produced a massive run after being checked & broke at Melton last week. Run the quickest time of the race by a fair margin. Finally draws to lead here and in the small field, I'm keen. My best of the night.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally!! Led & did enough to win.. Collect $260
QUADDIE
2-9-11 / 2-6 /10 / 1-4-9
$18 for 100%
MEETING RESULT: Won $102
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Holdonsu
Won impressively for us last time from the exact same draw, distance & track. Similar field but not going to get the same odds but looks the winner
RESULT: Winner but very short. Collect $95
$50WIN
Race 6 No 13 The Cavalier
Was huge in running second at Cranbourne last week after sitting in the death. Was only just grabbed late in a 56 sec last half. Should death seat in this as well in what looks a weaker race
RESULT: 3rd. Sat back in the field tonight off a slow pace, I reckon if it sits in the death it wins..
BENDIGO CUP
$25WIN
No 1 Wartime Sweetheart
Might be crazy taking on Bitobliss here after witnessing what BOB did last start but Wartime is going to receive every possible chance from this draw. Was very unlucky not to win the Cobram Cup and has taken some big scalps this prep. Lets hope this is another
RESULT: 2nd. Got stuck 3 pegs which wasn't in the script. Got out in time and was no match for the winner.
EARLY BET
$10PLACE
No 8 Exciteusinthecity
This is a huge step up in class from last week where they did run the last half slowly to allow it to sneak up the sprint lane to win but I can't ignore the $16.80 available the place. Potential collect $168
RESULT: 5th. Thought it had 3rd on the turn but Mustang Mach just didn't take him into the sprint lane with momentum.
$100WIN
Race 8 No 3 Thisiswhoiam
Produced a massive run after being checked & broke at Melton last week. Run the quickest time of the race by a fair margin. Finally draws to lead here and in the small field, I'm keen. My best of the night.
RESULT: WINNER! Finally!! Led & did enough to win.. Collect $260
QUADDIE
2-9-11 / 2-6 /10 / 1-4-9
$18 for 100%
MEETING RESULT: Won $102
Melton, Friday 10th January
Not the best Friday night line up thanks to Bendigo Cup on Saturday night but I reckon Ive found a couple
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Hezfullarunning
Last start looks awful on paper after receiving a gun run 3 back the pegs & finishing 9th of 12. To put that run into perspective, Boyz Torque beat it by 2 metres. Boyz Torque came out on Thursday & ran a super race to beat some talented pacers that would start short priced favourites in this. Draws to follow through the likely leader, stable mate and favourite here in a C2 class race. Looks the value bet for mine
RESULT: LOST! Not sure how it lost. The less I say about that the better..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Taratop Lady
Probably a horse better suited on the speed but draws to get a nice run through in what should be a cracking early pace. A good 2nd to Kick It To Chris shows she in good form and will track Cyrus in the race late. I'm not as confident if Night Affair hands up the lead so watch for any change of tactics from Night Affair pre race as it hasn't handed up the lead in recent starts.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after being trapped 3wide
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Classic Icon
The front row looks to have little pace early so I'd expect this fella to position nice & close to the lead tonight and it's always dangerous when it does. 2 favourites drawn out wide here so they'll have to do it a little tougher. Lets hope it can get to the spint lane at the right time
RESULT: 4th. Led early & handed up to the 3rd fav but we didn't need it to hand up as well. End 3 pegs and was too far back to have an impact
MEETING RESULT: Donuts. Lost $150
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Hezfullarunning
Last start looks awful on paper after receiving a gun run 3 back the pegs & finishing 9th of 12. To put that run into perspective, Boyz Torque beat it by 2 metres. Boyz Torque came out on Thursday & ran a super race to beat some talented pacers that would start short priced favourites in this. Draws to follow through the likely leader, stable mate and favourite here in a C2 class race. Looks the value bet for mine
RESULT: LOST! Not sure how it lost. The less I say about that the better..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Taratop Lady
Probably a horse better suited on the speed but draws to get a nice run through in what should be a cracking early pace. A good 2nd to Kick It To Chris shows she in good form and will track Cyrus in the race late. I'm not as confident if Night Affair hands up the lead so watch for any change of tactics from Night Affair pre race as it hasn't handed up the lead in recent starts.
RESULT: LOST! Never likely after being trapped 3wide
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Classic Icon
The front row looks to have little pace early so I'd expect this fella to position nice & close to the lead tonight and it's always dangerous when it does. 2 favourites drawn out wide here so they'll have to do it a little tougher. Lets hope it can get to the spint lane at the right time
RESULT: 4th. Led early & handed up to the 3rd fav but we didn't need it to hand up as well. End 3 pegs and was too far back to have an impact
MEETING RESULT: Donuts. Lost $150
Geelong, Thursday 9th January
BEST EW
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Lavish Art
A bit of a non winner but they all are in this race. Follows through Rowan Delight the leader & likely favourite. RD is a fairly weak animal that struggles over anything further than a mile. Only problem here maybe that it walks in front & becomes a 50 metre sprint to the line. Taking the risk that Lavish is the better horse.
RESULT: WINNER! Seems a lot of punters thought the same as me however & paid $1.80. Good EW punting from me! Collect $145
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Union Belle
Is flying at the minute and in race that looks to have a heap of pace, all it needs is a good trail into the race to be winning this.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the perfect trail into it & won accordingly. Collect $216.60
BEST EXOTIC
Race 2 Trifecta
2 / 1 / 8 $20 for 2000%
RESULT: LOST! The first starter was as green as grass
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Lavish Art
A bit of a non winner but they all are in this race. Follows through Rowan Delight the leader & likely favourite. RD is a fairly weak animal that struggles over anything further than a mile. Only problem here maybe that it walks in front & becomes a 50 metre sprint to the line. Taking the risk that Lavish is the better horse.
RESULT: WINNER! Seems a lot of punters thought the same as me however & paid $1.80. Good EW punting from me! Collect $145
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Union Belle
Is flying at the minute and in race that looks to have a heap of pace, all it needs is a good trail into the race to be winning this.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the perfect trail into it & won accordingly. Collect $216.60
BEST EXOTIC
Race 2 Trifecta
2 / 1 / 8 $20 for 2000%
RESULT: LOST! The first starter was as green as grass
Charlton, THursday 9th January
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Mind The Wire
Short and sweet here today. Leads and wins. Don't be taking silly odds but too good for these.
RESULT: LOST! Pulled up.....good way to lose $100
DAY RESULT: Won $41
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 Mind The Wire
Short and sweet here today. Leads and wins. Don't be taking silly odds but too good for these.
RESULT: LOST! Pulled up.....good way to lose $100
DAY RESULT: Won $41
Mildura, Wednesday 8th January
Pretty ordinary meeting on here so roughy time it is!
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 6 No Arkin Up
Was beaten a long way last start over the 2190 metres last start but this fella is much better over the 1790metres. Looks like there will be a whole heap of pace & pressure on from the get go and if it's a last man standing type race, I'm happy to be on No Arkin Up. Proved he's up to these winning at this track and distance at huge odds when they went too quick in front.
RESULT: LOST! Run off his legs
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Montana Madge
I've got a real soft spot for this mare after she won for me twice last prep at lovely odds. Has had to runs in and should be pretty much cherry ripe for a good run here. Should lead & from that spot, very hard to beat.
RESULT: 5th.. Got run into the ground by team Cramp
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 6 No Arkin Up
Was beaten a long way last start over the 2190 metres last start but this fella is much better over the 1790metres. Looks like there will be a whole heap of pace & pressure on from the get go and if it's a last man standing type race, I'm happy to be on No Arkin Up. Proved he's up to these winning at this track and distance at huge odds when they went too quick in front.
RESULT: LOST! Run off his legs
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Montana Madge
I've got a real soft spot for this mare after she won for me twice last prep at lovely odds. Has had to runs in and should be pretty much cherry ripe for a good run here. Should lead & from that spot, very hard to beat.
RESULT: 5th.. Got run into the ground by team Cramp
Kilmore, Wednesday 8th January
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Thunder Fee
Pass It To Billy got away with murder in front in the heat of this race whilst Thunder Fee sat midfield waiting for the last crack at them. That won't happen here today with Ambro Higgens in the field & a whole lot more pace off the front line early. I reckon that sets up the race perfectly for a horse like Thunder Fee. It was first up and considering they run home in the quickest last half of both the heats, it was a good effort to place. I'm keen on his chances today
RESULT: LOST! Driven from the death in a 1:56 mile rate.. Runs last..
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Sabiha Courage
There is a fair chance that we may see a bit of a war in front here with Aloha Don Ho likely to be headed early by Pressplay. Expect Lance Justice to pour on the pressure from the death over a distance Pressplay is yet to win over. I think that gives a horse like Sabiha a real chance with a cold sit, even though it's been really tough to catch only winning 2 from 46. Forget it went around at Melton last start when stuck behind tiring horses. Should sit behind the leader here and have it's chance on the sprint lane.
RESULT: LOST! Gave absolutely nothing.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Raylan Gibbons
Forget it's first up run where it wasn't suited racing 3 wide without cover in the final lap & locked wheel for a short period against a couple of promising horses. May have a crack for the lead early but I'd suggest it'll settle 1x1 or 1x2. Against a much weaker field than it met first up, looks the winner.
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance for mine..
DAY RESULT: That's probably the worst day on the punt Ive ever had. Can only be up from here surely.. Lost $310
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Thunder Fee
Pass It To Billy got away with murder in front in the heat of this race whilst Thunder Fee sat midfield waiting for the last crack at them. That won't happen here today with Ambro Higgens in the field & a whole lot more pace off the front line early. I reckon that sets up the race perfectly for a horse like Thunder Fee. It was first up and considering they run home in the quickest last half of both the heats, it was a good effort to place. I'm keen on his chances today
RESULT: LOST! Driven from the death in a 1:56 mile rate.. Runs last..
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Sabiha Courage
There is a fair chance that we may see a bit of a war in front here with Aloha Don Ho likely to be headed early by Pressplay. Expect Lance Justice to pour on the pressure from the death over a distance Pressplay is yet to win over. I think that gives a horse like Sabiha a real chance with a cold sit, even though it's been really tough to catch only winning 2 from 46. Forget it went around at Melton last start when stuck behind tiring horses. Should sit behind the leader here and have it's chance on the sprint lane.
RESULT: LOST! Gave absolutely nothing.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 3 Raylan Gibbons
Forget it's first up run where it wasn't suited racing 3 wide without cover in the final lap & locked wheel for a short period against a couple of promising horses. May have a crack for the lead early but I'd suggest it'll settle 1x1 or 1x2. Against a much weaker field than it met first up, looks the winner.
RESULT: 3rd. Every chance for mine..
DAY RESULT: That's probably the worst day on the punt Ive ever had. Can only be up from here surely.. Lost $310
Shepparton, Tuesday 7th January
Tough meeting here, top heavy with short fav's
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 13 Peking Duck
Forget last start when checked & broke. 2 starts back it was a brave 2nd to Bazza's Art who has gone on to win 2 more races impressively since. Should make an early move in this to race in the death & Id be surprised to see it get rolled.
RESULT: Winner! Thought it wouldn't have been the shortest of the short fav's tonight but it was pretty short but got the job done. Collect $80
QUADDIE
1 / 3-5-6 / 1 / 1
$15 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! A huge $39.50 collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $54.50
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 13 Peking Duck
Forget last start when checked & broke. 2 starts back it was a brave 2nd to Bazza's Art who has gone on to win 2 more races impressively since. Should make an early move in this to race in the death & Id be surprised to see it get rolled.
RESULT: Winner! Thought it wouldn't have been the shortest of the short fav's tonight but it was pretty short but got the job done. Collect $80
QUADDIE
1 / 3-5-6 / 1 / 1
$15 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! A huge $39.50 collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $54.50
Maryborough, Monday 6th January
Lift they say, lift and give us SOMETHING! Well here goes nothing...
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Seven And A Half
Been racing well against much better than this recently and I think it'll be in front not long after the start. I think the 5 maybe a false favourite here after winning an incident riddled event at Echuca last week against weak opposition.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up at close to $2 but was smashed in late. Won easily. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Our Petite Soeur
I ummmmed and arrgghhhed about putting this tip in but going on gut instinct, I think at this stage, it's a better horse than Lies, it's major danger in this race. Beat some very smart horses in winning a Breeders Crown heat last time in. The biggest concern is it's had 2 just OK trial runs. A battling 4th & then an OK 2nd to Goodtime Bobby in a quick last half. Goodtime Bobby has run terribly since but had excuses after reading the stewards report. It'll lead here & won it's first 2 runs last prep. If anywhere near right I think she should be winning.
RESULT: 2nd. Wish I didn't tip it now. Every chance
$100WIN
Race 4 No 5 Sapphire Swayze
Bolted in his trial behind the tapes on NYE running the last half in 54 seconds! The trial win followed another impressive trial win from the tapes where it beat one of it's dangers here today, Shakti Bromac by a short half head. You need to watch the trial though to see how easy he won that compared to the effort Shakti put in. Should've won by a big margin if Gavin Lang released the breaks. In my opinion, this bloke is headed on for very big things. I'm keen today...but it is a bloody stand start race..
RESULT: WINNER! Is a horse going places. Collect $180
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Goodtime Slater
Was pretty unlucky not to finish closer first up over the longer trip although never a winning chance. Should strip much fitter here today and from the good draw is a great chance of leading. Has a great 4th to Guaranteed, Ginger Bliss and Caesar Augustus under it's belt this time last year in the Vic Derby heat. Had a good trial win before it's first up run as well, should be cherry ripe.
RESULT: LOST! Awful run. Never looked comfortable even though it got the good sit.
QUADDIE
5 / 4 / 1-5-6-8-9-11 / 2-4-8
$18 for 100%
RESULT: LOST! Missed 2nd leg
MEETING RESULT: LOST $58
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Seven And A Half
Been racing well against much better than this recently and I think it'll be in front not long after the start. I think the 5 maybe a false favourite here after winning an incident riddled event at Echuca last week against weak opposition.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up at close to $2 but was smashed in late. Won easily. Collect $130
$50WIN
Race 2 No 1 Our Petite Soeur
I ummmmed and arrgghhhed about putting this tip in but going on gut instinct, I think at this stage, it's a better horse than Lies, it's major danger in this race. Beat some very smart horses in winning a Breeders Crown heat last time in. The biggest concern is it's had 2 just OK trial runs. A battling 4th & then an OK 2nd to Goodtime Bobby in a quick last half. Goodtime Bobby has run terribly since but had excuses after reading the stewards report. It'll lead here & won it's first 2 runs last prep. If anywhere near right I think she should be winning.
RESULT: 2nd. Wish I didn't tip it now. Every chance
$100WIN
Race 4 No 5 Sapphire Swayze
Bolted in his trial behind the tapes on NYE running the last half in 54 seconds! The trial win followed another impressive trial win from the tapes where it beat one of it's dangers here today, Shakti Bromac by a short half head. You need to watch the trial though to see how easy he won that compared to the effort Shakti put in. Should've won by a big margin if Gavin Lang released the breaks. In my opinion, this bloke is headed on for very big things. I'm keen today...but it is a bloody stand start race..
RESULT: WINNER! Is a horse going places. Collect $180
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Goodtime Slater
Was pretty unlucky not to finish closer first up over the longer trip although never a winning chance. Should strip much fitter here today and from the good draw is a great chance of leading. Has a great 4th to Guaranteed, Ginger Bliss and Caesar Augustus under it's belt this time last year in the Vic Derby heat. Had a good trial win before it's first up run as well, should be cherry ripe.
RESULT: LOST! Awful run. Never looked comfortable even though it got the good sit.
QUADDIE
5 / 4 / 1-5-6-8-9-11 / 2-4-8
$18 for 100%
RESULT: LOST! Missed 2nd leg
MEETING RESULT: LOST $58
Horsham, Sunday 5th January
Looks a shorties day here & whilst I try & focus on getting value it's a tough day to do just that.
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 McRita
Best of the day comes up early here. I've got a lot of time for this horse & even without a public trial, I think it'll lead and be far too good.
RESULT: 2nd! Crossed early & pulled out to sit in the death at ridiculous odds of $1.30. Looked like it needed the run but that field was weak.
$100WIN
Race 4 No 9 Goodtime Mike
Huge run in the heat of this race. Got checked early & lost a fair bit of ground. Made a midrace move to sit in the death & was far too good. Should win easily but don't take silly odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in at OK odds. Collect $190
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Mah Sish
Loved its last start 2nd to Smoken Up when not suited over the sprint trip but finished off extremely well. Draws to take the sit behind Smoken Up who just maybe suspect over the longer journey these days but geez it's flying at the minute, especially when leading. Happy to be on Mah Sish with the soft run.
RESULT: LOST! Went rough before the turn after sitting behind Smoken Up but no excuses. It's not good enough to beat this class now it seems
QUADDIE
9 / 1 / FIELD / 1-6
$18 for 100%
MEETING RESULT: Another poor result today. Got some ground to make up this week! Lost $128
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 1 McRita
Best of the day comes up early here. I've got a lot of time for this horse & even without a public trial, I think it'll lead and be far too good.
RESULT: 2nd! Crossed early & pulled out to sit in the death at ridiculous odds of $1.30. Looked like it needed the run but that field was weak.
$100WIN
Race 4 No 9 Goodtime Mike
Huge run in the heat of this race. Got checked early & lost a fair bit of ground. Made a midrace move to sit in the death & was far too good. Should win easily but don't take silly odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in at OK odds. Collect $190
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Mah Sish
Loved its last start 2nd to Smoken Up when not suited over the sprint trip but finished off extremely well. Draws to take the sit behind Smoken Up who just maybe suspect over the longer journey these days but geez it's flying at the minute, especially when leading. Happy to be on Mah Sish with the soft run.
RESULT: LOST! Went rough before the turn after sitting behind Smoken Up but no excuses. It's not good enough to beat this class now it seems
QUADDIE
9 / 1 / FIELD / 1-6
$18 for 100%
MEETING RESULT: Another poor result today. Got some ground to make up this week! Lost $128
Cranbourne, Saturday 4th January
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Alrightythen
Good run in the Wedderburn Cup when a victim of circumstances and was left for dead when following tired horses a lap out. Once it pulled out it finished on impressively for 4th. Has shown a liking for this track previously & at odds I'm confident of it's chances with Michael Stanley on board.
RESULT: LOST! Worked a little too hard early to find the death but probably had it's chance late
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Alrightythen
Good run in the Wedderburn Cup when a victim of circumstances and was left for dead when following tired horses a lap out. Once it pulled out it finished on impressively for 4th. Has shown a liking for this track previously & at odds I'm confident of it's chances with Michael Stanley on board.
RESULT: LOST! Worked a little too hard early to find the death but probably had it's chance late
Melton, Friday 3rd January
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 9 Living Lord
Whilst it's probably better suited from the front line, it's down a few cogs in class here tonight and with even luck, should be winning.
RESULT: 2nd. Leader just had it too easy
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Caribbean Blaster
Fair step down in class from the huge Vic Cup run. Should push forward from the wide draw and control the race from in front or in the death. Looks far too classy.
RESULT: 3rd. Lost it at the start when Keayang Cullen was able to push through from the 2nd row & lead
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Scottish Dancer
**BLACKBOOKER**
Desperately unlucky last start at Cranbourne when dragged back through the field by a tiring leader after he worked hard early. He ran on impressively after he got out. Going to need some Alford brilliance to cross them early but if he can, can certainly win at odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Led but worked too hard early but did well to hang onto 3rd. Collect $72
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 6 Pinevale Willpower
Absolutely flies the gate and looks the leader here & the short trip is ideal. Last win was in a M1-M2 over the sprint trip but was going a little bit better at that stage. Having said that, hasn't drawn the front row over the sprint trip since!
RESULT: 2nd. Led but not good enough. Collect $40
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 10 Carpenters Daughter
Was probably a little unlucky last week when Hugo Play just couldn't get her to the sprint lane before Youranut took off. Still a good 3rd. She's much better suited here against her own sex. Looks to be ridiculous early pace on here which should also suit her perfectly.
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing. Had the perfect ride into the race but didn't finish off
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 The Phantom
Best draw it's had since I can remember. Only problem is will it know what to do with it? I think so, especially with Jason Lee in the sulky. Forget it ran last week when never got out from a back row draw. Was good the week before that running on from last out wide to only be beaten 7 metres. Should settle behind the leader at worst but I really think it can lead all the way here.
RESULT: LOST! Led & had it's chance. I must admit I changed bets after seeing the odds & steering twitter followers into the $14 winner.
**BLACKBOOKERS**
Race 6 - Kotare Roland: Just can't have it tonight as I don't think it can lead. Hope he doesn't prove me wrong.
Race 2 - Break Of Dawn: Just going to need everything to go right from the draw
Race 2 - Mary Mon: The draw probably suits as it usually drops out early anyway. I'll be having a saver on her.
Race 6 - Uncle Wingnut: Drawn wide over the sprit trip doesn't suit
QUADDIE:
Taking a couple of risky quaddies to try & get value here with a couple of one outs
10 / 4-5-6-9-10 / 1-4-5-6-7-9 / 7
$15 for 50%
1-2-3-4-6-10-11 / 4-5-6-9-10 / 1 / 7
$17.50 for 50%
MEETING RESULT: Another bad night. Lost $270.50
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 9 Living Lord
Whilst it's probably better suited from the front line, it's down a few cogs in class here tonight and with even luck, should be winning.
RESULT: 2nd. Leader just had it too easy
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Caribbean Blaster
Fair step down in class from the huge Vic Cup run. Should push forward from the wide draw and control the race from in front or in the death. Looks far too classy.
RESULT: 3rd. Lost it at the start when Keayang Cullen was able to push through from the 2nd row & lead
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Scottish Dancer
**BLACKBOOKER**
Desperately unlucky last start at Cranbourne when dragged back through the field by a tiring leader after he worked hard early. He ran on impressively after he got out. Going to need some Alford brilliance to cross them early but if he can, can certainly win at odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Led but worked too hard early but did well to hang onto 3rd. Collect $72
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 6 Pinevale Willpower
Absolutely flies the gate and looks the leader here & the short trip is ideal. Last win was in a M1-M2 over the sprint trip but was going a little bit better at that stage. Having said that, hasn't drawn the front row over the sprint trip since!
RESULT: 2nd. Led but not good enough. Collect $40
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 10 Carpenters Daughter
Was probably a little unlucky last week when Hugo Play just couldn't get her to the sprint lane before Youranut took off. Still a good 3rd. She's much better suited here against her own sex. Looks to be ridiculous early pace on here which should also suit her perfectly.
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing. Had the perfect ride into the race but didn't finish off
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 The Phantom
Best draw it's had since I can remember. Only problem is will it know what to do with it? I think so, especially with Jason Lee in the sulky. Forget it ran last week when never got out from a back row draw. Was good the week before that running on from last out wide to only be beaten 7 metres. Should settle behind the leader at worst but I really think it can lead all the way here.
RESULT: LOST! Led & had it's chance. I must admit I changed bets after seeing the odds & steering twitter followers into the $14 winner.
**BLACKBOOKERS**
Race 6 - Kotare Roland: Just can't have it tonight as I don't think it can lead. Hope he doesn't prove me wrong.
Race 2 - Break Of Dawn: Just going to need everything to go right from the draw
Race 2 - Mary Mon: The draw probably suits as it usually drops out early anyway. I'll be having a saver on her.
Race 6 - Uncle Wingnut: Drawn wide over the sprit trip doesn't suit
QUADDIE:
Taking a couple of risky quaddies to try & get value here with a couple of one outs
10 / 4-5-6-9-10 / 1-4-5-6-7-9 / 7
$15 for 50%
1-2-3-4-6-10-11 / 4-5-6-9-10 / 1 / 7
$17.50 for 50%
MEETING RESULT: Another bad night. Lost $270.50
Ballarat, Thursday 2nd January
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 The Fire Within
Has been unlucky since resuming. 1st up was attacked and ran a 27 second 3rd quarter only to get run down late in a 56 second last half. Not bad first up. @nd up got polaxed & still managed to run 3rd, albeit beaten a fair way. Leads here tonight & with it's dangers drawn wide over the short trip, looks a good thing.
RESULT: 3rd. How wrong I was. VC far too good.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Shelby Cruzin
**BLACKBOOKER**
Gets the perfect draw for it's pattern of racing. Was a good run at Melton last start and with the likely sit behind the leader, should get every chance. NTD here for ew punters but I'm still keen
RESULT: 4th. Had it's chance and just battled.
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 The Fire Within
Has been unlucky since resuming. 1st up was attacked and ran a 27 second 3rd quarter only to get run down late in a 56 second last half. Not bad first up. @nd up got polaxed & still managed to run 3rd, albeit beaten a fair way. Leads here tonight & with it's dangers drawn wide over the short trip, looks a good thing.
RESULT: 3rd. How wrong I was. VC far too good.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Shelby Cruzin
**BLACKBOOKER**
Gets the perfect draw for it's pattern of racing. Was a good run at Melton last start and with the likely sit behind the leader, should get every chance. NTD here for ew punters but I'm still keen
RESULT: 4th. Had it's chance and just battled.
Charlton, Thursday 2nd January
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 4 The Love Child
**BLACKBOOKER**
Run a super placing last week coming from near last on the turn to run an unlucky 2nd. Big driver change this week with Chris Alford taking charge & gets it's best draw for some time. I expect it to sit 1x1 or 1x2 and with a likely fast tempo to be set, should get the last shot at them
RESULT: Lost. Im a little frustrated Alford didn't take the sit early & opted to go to the death. Not the way it runs. But the leader looked to be too good anway
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Oils Jay Bee
**BLACKBOOKER**
This bloke has improved greatly over the past month & was highlighted with a strong 4th in the heat of this race last week. There maybe a stupid speed set in this with the likely 2 favourites going toe to toe. If they go too quick, Oils could be the one sneaking a place at odds
RESULT: LOST! Just got too far back
DAY RESULT: DONUTS! Horror day on the punt. Lost $225
Race 6 No 4 The Love Child
**BLACKBOOKER**
Run a super placing last week coming from near last on the turn to run an unlucky 2nd. Big driver change this week with Chris Alford taking charge & gets it's best draw for some time. I expect it to sit 1x1 or 1x2 and with a likely fast tempo to be set, should get the last shot at them
RESULT: Lost. Im a little frustrated Alford didn't take the sit early & opted to go to the death. Not the way it runs. But the leader looked to be too good anway
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Oils Jay Bee
**BLACKBOOKER**
This bloke has improved greatly over the past month & was highlighted with a strong 4th in the heat of this race last week. There maybe a stupid speed set in this with the likely 2 favourites going toe to toe. If they go too quick, Oils could be the one sneaking a place at odds
RESULT: LOST! Just got too far back
DAY RESULT: DONUTS! Horror day on the punt. Lost $225
ECHUCA, Wednesday 1st January
Not keen on this meeting but there are a couple Ive been following that have a chance
$20WIN
Race 4 No 4 The Binder
Is a leader & has been racing ok from bad draws of late. Should be able to wrestle the lead off either the 1 or 2 early & is a big chance from in front.
RESULT: 3rd. Led & had every possible chance. Never again
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 1 Nuggets Brother
Been racing in much better class than this lately without luck. From the draw he should control this race & Id be surprised to see it lose.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won easily enough. $2.10 was offered early but was backed in late..$85 collect
$20WIN
Race 7 No 7 Rubys Bad Boy
Draws to follow through Timeseel & get a good run here. Swapped camps since it's last win but has trialled well since.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped early & cost it leaders back but not sure how well it was going anyway..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $5
$20WIN
Race 4 No 4 The Binder
Is a leader & has been racing ok from bad draws of late. Should be able to wrestle the lead off either the 1 or 2 early & is a big chance from in front.
RESULT: 3rd. Led & had every possible chance. Never again
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 1 Nuggets Brother
Been racing in much better class than this lately without luck. From the draw he should control this race & Id be surprised to see it lose.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won easily enough. $2.10 was offered early but was backed in late..$85 collect
$20WIN
Race 7 No 7 Rubys Bad Boy
Draws to follow through Timeseel & get a good run here. Swapped camps since it's last win but has trialled well since.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped early & cost it leaders back but not sure how well it was going anyway..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $5
Kilmore, Wednesday 1st January 2014
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Pass It To Billy
Looks the leader today & should get every opportunity to bring up it's first win in Victoria today, as long as it settles. Led from a wide gate over the longer trip a month ago & just got too fired up. Hopefully he settles today
RESULT: WINNER! Did settle but looked in trouble half way up the straight but managed to hold them off. We start the year with a winner. Collect $124
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Forbidden Forrest
Hard not to be impressed with how easy he won last start. Draws to follow through a good beginner & should settle just off the lead & have every opportunity again
RESULT: 2nd. Took it right up to the $1.30 fav but just had the tougher run of the 2. Only beaten a metre. Keep following. Collect $57
MEETING RESULT: Won $81
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Pass It To Billy
Looks the leader today & should get every opportunity to bring up it's first win in Victoria today, as long as it settles. Led from a wide gate over the longer trip a month ago & just got too fired up. Hopefully he settles today
RESULT: WINNER! Did settle but looked in trouble half way up the straight but managed to hold them off. We start the year with a winner. Collect $124
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Forbidden Forrest
Hard not to be impressed with how easy he won last start. Draws to follow through a good beginner & should settle just off the lead & have every opportunity again
RESULT: 2nd. Took it right up to the $1.30 fav but just had the tougher run of the 2. Only beaten a metre. Keep following. Collect $57
MEETING RESULT: Won $81
Bendigo, Tuesday 31st December
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Flaming Flutter
**TRIAL FLYER**
Went super in a trial last week around Melton behind the mobile. On the 3rd of December ran a good 2nd from behind the tapes but importantly beat Macho Comacho home convincingly. First time behind the tapes in the big time but if he steps I think he can win at nice odds.
RESULT: Winner! Wow, that was impressive. Wins untouched after sitting in the death. Collect $120
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Holdonsu
Another tip here from the trials. Has had 2 recent trials and has won both impressively. Leads on it's ear here and more than likely holds up to Diamond Ace. That horse should take him right into the sprint lane nicely and it'll have every chance from there in last punt of the year
RESULT: WINNER! Worked out exactly as I planned & the boy was good enough to get the job done. Collect $330
MEETING RESULT: Won $300
HAPPY NEW YEAR ALL & I HOPE THAT 2014 IS CHOCK FULL OF WINNERS FOR YOU
$50WIN
Race 3 No 4 Flaming Flutter
**TRIAL FLYER**
Went super in a trial last week around Melton behind the mobile. On the 3rd of December ran a good 2nd from behind the tapes but importantly beat Macho Comacho home convincingly. First time behind the tapes in the big time but if he steps I think he can win at nice odds.
RESULT: Winner! Wow, that was impressive. Wins untouched after sitting in the death. Collect $120
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Holdonsu
Another tip here from the trials. Has had 2 recent trials and has won both impressively. Leads on it's ear here and more than likely holds up to Diamond Ace. That horse should take him right into the sprint lane nicely and it'll have every chance from there in last punt of the year
RESULT: WINNER! Worked out exactly as I planned & the boy was good enough to get the job done. Collect $330
MEETING RESULT: Won $300
HAPPY NEW YEAR ALL & I HOPE THAT 2014 IS CHOCK FULL OF WINNERS FOR YOU
Stawell, Monday 30th December
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Vindaloo Delli
Is no superstar and has looked ordinary at stages in it's 10 start career but since Matty Craven has stepped into the cart it's looked dangerous. Last start against Znana never saw daylight after sitting 1x1 & I think should have been a certain place getter. This is almost the exact same field minus Znana and he draws well here today. Has a bit of gate speed so if it managed to lead would be very hard to beat but is still a chance if handy enough to the lead against this lot.
RESULT: LOST! Ummm, its noooo good..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Metrofromelle
Was very unlucky last start after being held up 3 back the pegs. Once out she worked home well. Looks like she'll get a good sit probably 1x2 in a race with good pace. Should be suited and will just need the right cart into the race. Got the right driver to do so...
RESULT: 3rd. Tried to lead & the $40 longshot in horrible form wouldn't give it up. Beautiful. Good run to sit without cover and run third against it's racing pattern. Collect $78
MEETING RESULT: Lost $72
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Vindaloo Delli
Is no superstar and has looked ordinary at stages in it's 10 start career but since Matty Craven has stepped into the cart it's looked dangerous. Last start against Znana never saw daylight after sitting 1x1 & I think should have been a certain place getter. This is almost the exact same field minus Znana and he draws well here today. Has a bit of gate speed so if it managed to lead would be very hard to beat but is still a chance if handy enough to the lead against this lot.
RESULT: LOST! Ummm, its noooo good..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Metrofromelle
Was very unlucky last start after being held up 3 back the pegs. Once out she worked home well. Looks like she'll get a good sit probably 1x2 in a race with good pace. Should be suited and will just need the right cart into the race. Got the right driver to do so...
RESULT: 3rd. Tried to lead & the $40 longshot in horrible form wouldn't give it up. Beautiful. Good run to sit without cover and run third against it's racing pattern. Collect $78
MEETING RESULT: Lost $72
Cranbourne, Sunday 29th December
Very tough meeting here and I'm not keen at all so will keep the punts to a minimum
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Sheila Blige
Has been racing well without luck in better races of late. Draws outside likely favourite Khaleesi but don't let that worry you, it got outsprinted by Statelyness 2 starts back & that's not great form! Hopefully Simone Walker can either fly the gate early or find a nice position handy to the lead & it'll be a great chance at odds
RESULT: WINNER! Got the cover behind the leader we wanted & was always a chance from there. Collect $154
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Kings Jasper
Im still sure it beat Popeye Village on the line here last start but the finishing angle is very deceptive here. Sat 3 pegs that night and flashed home once clear. Gets the gun draw tonight (huge advantage to draw one of 1609 metres at Cranbourne) and should settle behind the leader. If it produces a similar sprint to what it did last week it'll be winning
RESULT: WINNER! Could get $2 early but was smashed in late. Collect $46.25
BEST PLACE
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Break Of Dawn
This fella keeps bobbing up to place at massive odds. Almost got the job done at $70 last start from a tough draw. It's previous start got the job down for poggaharness when running 3 at huge odds again. Should be around the $3.5-$4 mark again here tonight & draws to get the run it loves. Worth a crack
RESULT: LOST! Forget it ran. A weird race where Kate Gath lost control of a horse & it caused kaos. Dawn got stuck behind that tiring horse & was dragged out the back but got home well late. Keep following
MEETING RESULT: Won $100.25
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Sheila Blige
Has been racing well without luck in better races of late. Draws outside likely favourite Khaleesi but don't let that worry you, it got outsprinted by Statelyness 2 starts back & that's not great form! Hopefully Simone Walker can either fly the gate early or find a nice position handy to the lead & it'll be a great chance at odds
RESULT: WINNER! Got the cover behind the leader we wanted & was always a chance from there. Collect $154
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Kings Jasper
Im still sure it beat Popeye Village on the line here last start but the finishing angle is very deceptive here. Sat 3 pegs that night and flashed home once clear. Gets the gun draw tonight (huge advantage to draw one of 1609 metres at Cranbourne) and should settle behind the leader. If it produces a similar sprint to what it did last week it'll be winning
RESULT: WINNER! Could get $2 early but was smashed in late. Collect $46.25
BEST PLACE
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Break Of Dawn
This fella keeps bobbing up to place at massive odds. Almost got the job done at $70 last start from a tough draw. It's previous start got the job down for poggaharness when running 3 at huge odds again. Should be around the $3.5-$4 mark again here tonight & draws to get the run it loves. Worth a crack
RESULT: LOST! Forget it ran. A weird race where Kate Gath lost control of a horse & it caused kaos. Dawn got stuck behind that tiring horse & was dragged out the back but got home well late. Keep following
MEETING RESULT: Won $100.25
Melton. Saturday 28th December
BEST PLACE
$100PLACE
Race 1 No 3 Stormy Lecture
Has been huge in every run this prep. Again meets one a little better than it tonight but it won't miss a place from 3.
RESULT: LOST! Arrogance gets you no where. Never looked likely!
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Our Summer Wind
Been racing well against better than it meets here tonight. Should settle close to the front here & in a race that lacks depth is a great chance.
RESULT: LOST! Not one of Jason Lee's best drives..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Cyrus
Revved up for this with a trial win over Fairest One Of All who is low flying at the minute in a 56 second last half. Should cross Western Rockstar early but not sure if it'll cross the 1. Even if it doesn't it'll settle 1 x 1 at worst. Looks a good ew punt.
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run considering they ran a 27 3rd quarter as it was moving 3 wide. Keep following it.
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 7 No 12 Youranut
Fair to say it's got panels on these but the draw is a little bit of a worry. It's past 2 runs against the cream of the crop have been outstanding. I reckon they'll drive him aggressively tonight and if he can find the death easily enough I can't see him losing.
RESULT: WINNER! Shheeez, thank fffffffffark for that. Did exactly as I thought & was too good. $2.90 on offer early. $240 Collect
QUADDIE
1-3-5-9 / 2-3-4-5 / 6 / 12
$32 for 200%
RESULT: Lost
MEETING RESULT: Lost $142. That was some very poor tipping right there. Sorry followers but tomorrow is another day!!
$100PLACE
Race 1 No 3 Stormy Lecture
Has been huge in every run this prep. Again meets one a little better than it tonight but it won't miss a place from 3.
RESULT: LOST! Arrogance gets you no where. Never looked likely!
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Our Summer Wind
Been racing well against better than it meets here tonight. Should settle close to the front here & in a race that lacks depth is a great chance.
RESULT: LOST! Not one of Jason Lee's best drives..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Cyrus
Revved up for this with a trial win over Fairest One Of All who is low flying at the minute in a 56 second last half. Should cross Western Rockstar early but not sure if it'll cross the 1. Even if it doesn't it'll settle 1 x 1 at worst. Looks a good ew punt.
RESULT: LOST! Not a bad run considering they ran a 27 3rd quarter as it was moving 3 wide. Keep following it.
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 7 No 12 Youranut
Fair to say it's got panels on these but the draw is a little bit of a worry. It's past 2 runs against the cream of the crop have been outstanding. I reckon they'll drive him aggressively tonight and if he can find the death easily enough I can't see him losing.
RESULT: WINNER! Shheeez, thank fffffffffark for that. Did exactly as I thought & was too good. $2.90 on offer early. $240 Collect
QUADDIE
1-3-5-9 / 2-3-4-5 / 6 / 12
$32 for 200%
RESULT: Lost
MEETING RESULT: Lost $142. That was some very poor tipping right there. Sorry followers but tomorrow is another day!!
Mildura, Friday 27th December
Looks another favourites night here but here's my take on how to drag out the value:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Lady Cassandra
Small bet here on the basis that Im hoping the Lady can cross early & the favourite is is suspect early & can do things wrong. If Lady can cross she'll be might hard to beat at nice odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Only just.. 20+ metres!! That's the way you want you bets winning. $102 collect
$20WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Keringle Ideal
Finally got a draw last start & proved that the front running position is where it likes to run winning impressively. Meets an unproven Shayne Cramp 3yo here who is likely to be short so the value for mine is definitely with the 1. (NTD but I think it runs 2nd at worst)
RESULT: 3rd. NTD. Typical...
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Embraced
Draws t get the better run of all it's rivals here. Queen Mab ran it off it's legs last start but Queen Mab did lead comfortably that occasion with Embraced sitting on it's back. Whilst Embraced was no match for QM, Queen Mab draws terribly tonight & thats a big disadvantage at Mildura. I find it hard to see any other danger to Embraced.
RESULT: 4th. Couldn't find the lead early & then got stuck behind a tiring horse. Forget it went round
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Woodlea Cosmos
This fella looked to have all sorts of talent early on in it's career but things went pear shaped for 3 or 4 seasons where he pretty much galloped away from 50% of it's starts & raced ungenerously in the rest. Over the past 2 months however he's looking like getting back to some of that old form, especially last start. Worked extremely hard early when stuck 3 wide for virtually the first lap of the race over the 2190 metres eventually finding the death. Emma Hamblin took the 1x1 trail soon after and immediately he looked to be traveling beautifully. With 100 metres to go however he was still stick in a pocket only to get out too late for a fast finishing 5th against Romantic Bliss. I think it should've finished at least 3rd against much tougher than it meets here. Its a big write up so yes, I'm very keen!
RESULT: 3rd. Beaten a long way but the drive didn't help. I don't like blaming drivers but should've sat 1x1 early but amazingly was dragged back to last. Anyway, enough sooking.. $156 collect
QUADDIE:
1-7 / 2-7 / 4 / 6-9
$16 for 200%
MEETING RESULT: Lost $18
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Lady Cassandra
Small bet here on the basis that Im hoping the Lady can cross early & the favourite is is suspect early & can do things wrong. If Lady can cross she'll be might hard to beat at nice odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Only just.. 20+ metres!! That's the way you want you bets winning. $102 collect
$20WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Keringle Ideal
Finally got a draw last start & proved that the front running position is where it likes to run winning impressively. Meets an unproven Shayne Cramp 3yo here who is likely to be short so the value for mine is definitely with the 1. (NTD but I think it runs 2nd at worst)
RESULT: 3rd. NTD. Typical...
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Embraced
Draws t get the better run of all it's rivals here. Queen Mab ran it off it's legs last start but Queen Mab did lead comfortably that occasion with Embraced sitting on it's back. Whilst Embraced was no match for QM, Queen Mab draws terribly tonight & thats a big disadvantage at Mildura. I find it hard to see any other danger to Embraced.
RESULT: 4th. Couldn't find the lead early & then got stuck behind a tiring horse. Forget it went round
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Woodlea Cosmos
This fella looked to have all sorts of talent early on in it's career but things went pear shaped for 3 or 4 seasons where he pretty much galloped away from 50% of it's starts & raced ungenerously in the rest. Over the past 2 months however he's looking like getting back to some of that old form, especially last start. Worked extremely hard early when stuck 3 wide for virtually the first lap of the race over the 2190 metres eventually finding the death. Emma Hamblin took the 1x1 trail soon after and immediately he looked to be traveling beautifully. With 100 metres to go however he was still stick in a pocket only to get out too late for a fast finishing 5th against Romantic Bliss. I think it should've finished at least 3rd against much tougher than it meets here. Its a big write up so yes, I'm very keen!
RESULT: 3rd. Beaten a long way but the drive didn't help. I don't like blaming drivers but should've sat 1x1 early but amazingly was dragged back to last. Anyway, enough sooking.. $156 collect
QUADDIE:
1-7 / 2-7 / 4 / 6-9
$16 for 200%
MEETING RESULT: Lost $18
Cobram, Friday 27th December
Just for you Marty Waples, here are my suggested bets for every race at Cobram, minus the trots. But if I were you, I'd concentrate on drinking!
Race 1: You are unlikely to see a worse race run for prize money. All horses are desperately out of form with the majority of the field not having won for 12 months or more..
$10 EW No 2 Sly Fantasy
So I'm tipping a horse who hasn't won for 4 years! It has been running against C2/3 class horses of recent times from bad draws & hasn't been finishing far off them. Should settle close to the lead and have every chance.
RESULT: 4th. Started fav! Had every chance, it's just a cat
Race 2:
$10WIN/$20PLACE It Takes Courage
Trifecta: 3/1-2/1-2-8 $12 for 200%
It Takes Courage is first up on the back of 2 just okay trial placings. The draw is a huge advantage with it sitting on the back of likely favourite Hector Barbossa. It's likely to be very short so happy to take the value on Courage. Trifecta thrown in as a back up.
RESULT: 3rd. NTD after the scratchings. Leave out my best bet from last week Popeye & it runs 2nd. Missed the trifecta.
Race 4
ROUGHY TIME! $10WIN/$40PLACE No 8 Ortobe Good
Been running some great races without luck recently, mainly because of having poor draws. Gets what looks to be the perfect trailing draw here if Goloahman behaves itself and leads. If that happens it'll settle behind the leader and be a big chance from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Lucky to get there but it did. $152 collect
Race 6
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 1 Dynamite Dude
Super win last start defeating Timeseel who won at Charlton yesterday. Gets the right draw & when it finds from it usually holds it.
RESULT: LOST! Ordinary..
Race 7
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 7 Uncle Wingnut
Been racing super around the country cup circuit without luck. Can miss away from the stand start but draws outside the front row which should mean it'll miss anytrouble. Worth an EW ticket in a tough race. Rakarebel my roughy but I just can't have it after what it did to me last start.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck in the death and put up a big effort, not beaten far. Will win one soon.
Race 8
$25 BOXED QUINELLA 1-5
Should be an easy kill this one. Pressplay should push forward early and lead with Grace Artois on it's back. Doesn't seem to be any pressure in the race race either which should mean no excuses for the top 2.
RESULT: WInner! Just but it counts.. $92.50 collect
Race 9
$40WIN/$60PLACE
No 1 Glen Alpine Drive
Its 2 runs back from a spell have been first class albeit in slow time. Key to both those runs is that he finished the races off well off slow lead times. Should be leaders back at worst here today & looks the best EW bet of the day with his main rivals drawn badly.
RESULT: 4th and had every chance to place at least
MEETING RESULT: Lost $82.50
Race 1: You are unlikely to see a worse race run for prize money. All horses are desperately out of form with the majority of the field not having won for 12 months or more..
$10 EW No 2 Sly Fantasy
So I'm tipping a horse who hasn't won for 4 years! It has been running against C2/3 class horses of recent times from bad draws & hasn't been finishing far off them. Should settle close to the lead and have every chance.
RESULT: 4th. Started fav! Had every chance, it's just a cat
Race 2:
$10WIN/$20PLACE It Takes Courage
Trifecta: 3/1-2/1-2-8 $12 for 200%
It Takes Courage is first up on the back of 2 just okay trial placings. The draw is a huge advantage with it sitting on the back of likely favourite Hector Barbossa. It's likely to be very short so happy to take the value on Courage. Trifecta thrown in as a back up.
RESULT: 3rd. NTD after the scratchings. Leave out my best bet from last week Popeye & it runs 2nd. Missed the trifecta.
Race 4
ROUGHY TIME! $10WIN/$40PLACE No 8 Ortobe Good
Been running some great races without luck recently, mainly because of having poor draws. Gets what looks to be the perfect trailing draw here if Goloahman behaves itself and leads. If that happens it'll settle behind the leader and be a big chance from there.
RESULT: 3rd. Lucky to get there but it did. $152 collect
Race 6
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 1 Dynamite Dude
Super win last start defeating Timeseel who won at Charlton yesterday. Gets the right draw & when it finds from it usually holds it.
RESULT: LOST! Ordinary..
Race 7
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 7 Uncle Wingnut
Been racing super around the country cup circuit without luck. Can miss away from the stand start but draws outside the front row which should mean it'll miss anytrouble. Worth an EW ticket in a tough race. Rakarebel my roughy but I just can't have it after what it did to me last start.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck in the death and put up a big effort, not beaten far. Will win one soon.
Race 8
$25 BOXED QUINELLA 1-5
Should be an easy kill this one. Pressplay should push forward early and lead with Grace Artois on it's back. Doesn't seem to be any pressure in the race race either which should mean no excuses for the top 2.
RESULT: WInner! Just but it counts.. $92.50 collect
Race 9
$40WIN/$60PLACE
No 1 Glen Alpine Drive
Its 2 runs back from a spell have been first class albeit in slow time. Key to both those runs is that he finished the races off well off slow lead times. Should be leaders back at worst here today & looks the best EW bet of the day with his main rivals drawn badly.
RESULT: 4th and had every chance to place at least
MEETING RESULT: Lost $82.50
Ballarat . Thursday 26th December
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Danish King
Hasn't won for over 2 years but there was a lot to like about it's last start 3rd after sitting in the death. Held on well in a 56 last half albeit beaten 18 metres. Draws to sit behind the leader and looks a sneaky chance.
RESULT: WINNER! Sneaky alright. Snuck up right along the pegs to blouse them. $185 collect
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Restrepo
Barring accidents, he looks a moral to win here. I think it leads early & potentially hands up to Smoken Up. With the master on board, I expect the run to come & it be far too good for these.
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely after trailing Smoken Up. Great to see the old boy win.
MEETING RESULT: Won $55. Another odds on pop lets me down.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Danish King
Hasn't won for over 2 years but there was a lot to like about it's last start 3rd after sitting in the death. Held on well in a 56 last half albeit beaten 18 metres. Draws to sit behind the leader and looks a sneaky chance.
RESULT: WINNER! Sneaky alright. Snuck up right along the pegs to blouse them. $185 collect
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 7 No 1 Restrepo
Barring accidents, he looks a moral to win here. I think it leads early & potentially hands up to Smoken Up. With the master on board, I expect the run to come & it be far too good for these.
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely after trailing Smoken Up. Great to see the old boy win.
MEETING RESULT: Won $55. Another odds on pop lets me down.
Kilmore, Tuesday 24th December
ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 13 Our Miss Viviane
Thought she was racing in great heart before breaking at the start last run & losing all chance when tailed off. Should follow Brother Rabbit everywhere it goes here who I think will be pushing forward 3wide without cover at some stage. If it can take Viviane into the race she a big chance at nice odds as this is the weakest she's met for some time.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple. Had it won everywhere but on the line after hitting the front at the top of the straight. Collect $111
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 On The Leash
Looked disappointing last start but I think it was just outsprinted over the mile. Looks to be much better suited over the longer distance but needs to lead early to be a winning chance which I think he can do.
RESULT: LOST! Had to work hard to lead but I think his winning days maybe over @ 10yo..
QUADDIE
7 / 8 / 1-11-12-13 / 1-3-4-7-9-10
$24 for 100%
RESULT: WINNER! With the 2 scratchings, we get 150%. $534.15 in the bank!!
MEETING RESULT: Won $521.15. Just in time for Christmas.. Merry Christmas all. I'll be back for more on Thursday...
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 13 Our Miss Viviane
Thought she was racing in great heart before breaking at the start last run & losing all chance when tailed off. Should follow Brother Rabbit everywhere it goes here who I think will be pushing forward 3wide without cover at some stage. If it can take Viviane into the race she a big chance at nice odds as this is the weakest she's met for some time.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a pimple. Had it won everywhere but on the line after hitting the front at the top of the straight. Collect $111
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 On The Leash
Looked disappointing last start but I think it was just outsprinted over the mile. Looks to be much better suited over the longer distance but needs to lead early to be a winning chance which I think he can do.
RESULT: LOST! Had to work hard to lead but I think his winning days maybe over @ 10yo..
QUADDIE
7 / 8 / 1-11-12-13 / 1-3-4-7-9-10
$24 for 100%
RESULT: WINNER! With the 2 scratchings, we get 150%. $534.15 in the bank!!
MEETING RESULT: Won $521.15. Just in time for Christmas.. Merry Christmas all. I'll be back for more on Thursday...
Maryborough, Monday 23rd December
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Goodtime Mike
Was huge running 3rd last time out after being trapped 3wide the trip. This Is a weaker race than that was. Looks tough to roll
RESULT: WINNER. Too good for them. $125 collect
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Claire Jasper
Should have won under stand start conditions last start against almost the exact same field. With a clean getaway it wins
RESULT: LOST! Stuck 3 pegs but never looked a chance. Sacked..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Lombo Cloud Nine
Has been racing some great races against inform horses of late and this is a race that lacks depth. Expect her to push forward midrace and hopefully be too strong
RESULT: WiNNER! Didn't go forward midrace like I expected (who would with Justice sitting in the death) but she won very well at nice odds. Collect $286
QUADDIE
High Risk:
5-7 / 4-10 / 5 / 5-7-10-11
$10 for 50%
RESULT: Thx Claire Jasper...3 legs
Value
1-4-5-7-8 / 3-4-5-10 / 5-8-10 / 4-5-7-10-11
$37.50 for 12.5%
RESULT: WINNER!! $40 collect.. Glad I threw the quaddies in...
MEETING RESULT: Won $113.50
$50WIN
Race 5 No 10 Goodtime Mike
Was huge running 3rd last time out after being trapped 3wide the trip. This Is a weaker race than that was. Looks tough to roll
RESULT: WINNER. Too good for them. $125 collect
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Claire Jasper
Should have won under stand start conditions last start against almost the exact same field. With a clean getaway it wins
RESULT: LOST! Stuck 3 pegs but never looked a chance. Sacked..
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Lombo Cloud Nine
Has been racing some great races against inform horses of late and this is a race that lacks depth. Expect her to push forward midrace and hopefully be too strong
RESULT: WiNNER! Didn't go forward midrace like I expected (who would with Justice sitting in the death) but she won very well at nice odds. Collect $286
QUADDIE
High Risk:
5-7 / 4-10 / 5 / 5-7-10-11
$10 for 50%
RESULT: Thx Claire Jasper...3 legs
Value
1-4-5-7-8 / 3-4-5-10 / 5-8-10 / 4-5-7-10-11
$37.50 for 12.5%
RESULT: WINNER!! $40 collect.. Glad I threw the quaddies in...
MEETING RESULT: Won $113.50
Shepparton, Saturday 21st December
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 10 Manuka Man
Just looks to have plenty on these even from the poor draw.
RESULT: LOST! Good thing beaten after Brian Gath gave it a hip & shoulder with a lap to go..
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 7 The Big Zee
Was run off it's legs when settling last against Bliss Man and had no chance to make ground in a 56 second last half. This is much weaker and just needs a little luck from the wide draw to figure
RESULT: 4th. Is in the sack bin. Always running on but never a
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 10 Manuka Man
Just looks to have plenty on these even from the poor draw.
RESULT: LOST! Good thing beaten after Brian Gath gave it a hip & shoulder with a lap to go..
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 7 The Big Zee
Was run off it's legs when settling last against Bliss Man and had no chance to make ground in a 56 second last half. This is much weaker and just needs a little luck from the wide draw to figure
RESULT: 4th. Is in the sack bin. Always running on but never a
Melton. Friday 20th December
I'm sounding like a broken record but another tough meeting presents itself tonight:
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Alchemy.
Should lead early and hand up to whoever it likes. Was a huge run running 3rd to Magical Telf last week after settling back in the field. Looks the one to beat at ew odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $266
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Rakarebel
Was a huge run in the Yarra Valley Cup last start and steps back to claiming class here. Looks to be plenty of pace in this race early which should suit perfectly. My best of the night
RESULT: LOST! Shocking run
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 American Muscle
Looks your leader of the race and very hard to beat from there. He's been outclassed in the best harness has to offer in it's past 2 starts and back to a winnable grade tonight looks a good bet.
RESULT: LAST! Never looked likely after not leading
$50WIN
Race 9 No 6 Ambro Higgens
Went super in leading all the way from a wide draw at Yarra Valley last start in the heat of this race. The lead looks it's again tonight and it's very hard to see it getting rolled
RESULT: LOST! Led & pulled its head off.. Not my night
MEETING RESULT: Lost$34. Thank you Alchemy, that could've been embarrassing
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Alchemy.
Should lead early and hand up to whoever it likes. Was a huge run running 3rd to Magical Telf last week after settling back in the field. Looks the one to beat at ew odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $266
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Rakarebel
Was a huge run in the Yarra Valley Cup last start and steps back to claiming class here. Looks to be plenty of pace in this race early which should suit perfectly. My best of the night
RESULT: LOST! Shocking run
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 4 American Muscle
Looks your leader of the race and very hard to beat from there. He's been outclassed in the best harness has to offer in it's past 2 starts and back to a winnable grade tonight looks a good bet.
RESULT: LAST! Never looked likely after not leading
$50WIN
Race 9 No 6 Ambro Higgens
Went super in leading all the way from a wide draw at Yarra Valley last start in the heat of this race. The lead looks it's again tonight and it's very hard to see it getting rolled
RESULT: LOST! Led & pulled its head off.. Not my night
MEETING RESULT: Lost$34. Thank you Alchemy, that could've been embarrassing
Cranbourne, Thursday 19th December
If you thought Mildura was tough, don't look at Cranbourne. Just the 2 bets
BEST PLACE
$25PLACE
Race 1 No 1 It is Ike
Been racing without luck or on it's worst behaviour of late. I think Lance Justice's horse is the one to beat but the draw makes it tough. If It Is Ike can hold the leaders back & behave, it should be running top 3 at odds but I don't think it can win
RESULT: 3rd. Did the job but started shorter than I thought it would. Collect $55
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Popeye Village
Had shocking form before taking a spell earlier in the year. Returned with a good trial win at Yarra Valley with Glacial franking that form running a great 3rd last week. It ran 3rd in that trial to Popeye losing by 16 metres. Will need a little luck from the draw but if it gets it should be going close.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the breaks and won, somehow. I still think it lost but I won't complain! Collect $202
DAY RESULT: Won $142
BEST PLACE
$25PLACE
Race 1 No 1 It is Ike
Been racing without luck or on it's worst behaviour of late. I think Lance Justice's horse is the one to beat but the draw makes it tough. If It Is Ike can hold the leaders back & behave, it should be running top 3 at odds but I don't think it can win
RESULT: 3rd. Did the job but started shorter than I thought it would. Collect $55
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Popeye Village
Had shocking form before taking a spell earlier in the year. Returned with a good trial win at Yarra Valley with Glacial franking that form running a great 3rd last week. It ran 3rd in that trial to Popeye losing by 16 metres. Will need a little luck from the draw but if it gets it should be going close.
RESULT: WINNER! Got the breaks and won, somehow. I still think it lost but I won't complain! Collect $202
DAY RESULT: Won $142
Mildura, Thursday 19th December
Trying to find value here which is very tough at this track but here goes:
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Fantail
If this was over the 1790 metres I'd probably have a little more on but not sure if it's strong enough to win over this distance. It's run was ok against the very smart Don't Doubt Me where they ran quick time for the 1790 metres. I reckon it'll cross and lead early & with all his dangers coming from the 2 row, should run a cheeky race.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped
BEST EXOTIC
$10 TRIFECTA
Race 4
3 / 1 / 7
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Ya Bowen Delight
Looks the leader & I think it's only danger is drawn the back row and it's tough to win from there at Mildura. Should lead all the way Ya Bowen
RESULT: WINNER! Just. Collect $90
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Fantail
If this was over the 1790 metres I'd probably have a little more on but not sure if it's strong enough to win over this distance. It's run was ok against the very smart Don't Doubt Me where they ran quick time for the 1790 metres. I reckon it'll cross and lead early & with all his dangers coming from the 2 row, should run a cheeky race.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped
BEST EXOTIC
$10 TRIFECTA
Race 4
3 / 1 / 7
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 2 Ya Bowen Delight
Looks the leader & I think it's only danger is drawn the back row and it's tough to win from there at Mildura. Should lead all the way Ya Bowen
RESULT: WINNER! Just. Collect $90
MAryborough, Wednesday 18th December
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Nuggetpan
Really suited by the draw and I think the sprint trip. It's best win came from settling on the leaders back & draws to get that type of run today. It's past runs it's just had to work too hard to get close. None of those problems here today
RESULT: WINNER! Led & was too good. Collect $226
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Nuggetpan
Really suited by the draw and I think the sprint trip. It's best win came from settling on the leaders back & draws to get that type of run today. It's past runs it's just had to work too hard to get close. None of those problems here today
RESULT: WINNER! Led & was too good. Collect $226
Geelong, Wednesday 18th December
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 On The Leash
Taking a stab here. If this bloke leads I think it's game over. If it can't, game over for all the wrong reasons. I think it can cross early & run them along at a speed that this field can't cope. Worth a risk at good odds.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't cross, game over
DAY RESULT: Won $76
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 On The Leash
Taking a stab here. If this bloke leads I think it's game over. If it can't, game over for all the wrong reasons. I think it can cross early & run them along at a speed that this field can't cope. Worth a risk at good odds.
RESULT: LOST! Couldn't cross, game over
DAY RESULT: Won $76
Echuca, Tuesday 17th December
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Sutter Man
Has only won 1 from 12 but couldn't have gone any better against the smart Racer in super quick time over the longer trip.
Should cross to the lead early and Scotty Dyer should do the rest from there on.
RESULT: WINNER! Started very short but I'll take it. $75 collect
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Cashisking
Looks ready to break through here tonight. Got stuck 3 back the pegs at Swan Hill last start but run on well late to just miss finishing 2nd. Tonight gets it's best draw for some time and this is the weakest field it's met since coming down to Vic. Looks very hard to beat
RESULT: WINNER! Backed for a stack. Opened $3.40 with some, started $1.60 fixed!! Fell in but got the job done. Collect $174
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Life Of Ted
Usually suited best when leading this bloke but put up a huge effort to run 2nd at massive odds last start when running on from the back of the field. That shows the type of form he is in & draws to settle behind the leader here. If he can get the run late in the race he'll give this an almighty shake.
RESULT: 3rd. NTD after a scratching last night. Had its chance in the straight & got done, just.
QUADDIE
1 / FIELD / 2 / 1-2-3-6-7
$25 for 50%
RESULT: 2nd in the first leg....
MEETING RESULT: Won $24. Woweeeee. Much much if you got the $3.40 Cashisking....
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Sutter Man
Has only won 1 from 12 but couldn't have gone any better against the smart Racer in super quick time over the longer trip.
Should cross to the lead early and Scotty Dyer should do the rest from there on.
RESULT: WINNER! Started very short but I'll take it. $75 collect
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Cashisking
Looks ready to break through here tonight. Got stuck 3 back the pegs at Swan Hill last start but run on well late to just miss finishing 2nd. Tonight gets it's best draw for some time and this is the weakest field it's met since coming down to Vic. Looks very hard to beat
RESULT: WINNER! Backed for a stack. Opened $3.40 with some, started $1.60 fixed!! Fell in but got the job done. Collect $174
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Life Of Ted
Usually suited best when leading this bloke but put up a huge effort to run 2nd at massive odds last start when running on from the back of the field. That shows the type of form he is in & draws to settle behind the leader here. If he can get the run late in the race he'll give this an almighty shake.
RESULT: 3rd. NTD after a scratching last night. Had its chance in the straight & got done, just.
QUADDIE
1 / FIELD / 2 / 1-2-3-6-7
$25 for 50%
RESULT: 2nd in the first leg....
MEETING RESULT: Won $24. Woweeeee. Much much if you got the $3.40 Cashisking....
Hamilton, Monday 16th December
You won't see many more ordinary meetings than this one but I'll try my best to get a winner or 2:
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Cobargo Jack
No superstar but should lead here & Greg Sugars is a big plus after J Jobe tried to break the Melton track record on it last week. This is very weak and it's hard to see it getting rolled.
RESULT: WINNER! Short but sweet. $90 collect
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Dalgati Image
Not a bad run after racing roughly when challenging for the lead & then the young fella went too aggressively but it did well to battle on for 3rd albeit in in a very slow last half. Jason Lee takes the drive today which is a significant advantage and 2nd up should be fitter for the run.
RESULT: WINNER! Way shorter than I thought it would be but still a collect. Collect $95
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Tres Hombre
Hates winning but is as honest as they come. Should've snagged at least 3rd place last week after getting held up late. Should get a nice run through here today and looks suited with what looks to be plenty of speed in the race.
RESULT: 4th. A good 4th after it had to go 3 wide without cover not how it likes to run
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 3 No 2 Cobargo Jack
No superstar but should lead here & Greg Sugars is a big plus after J Jobe tried to break the Melton track record on it last week. This is very weak and it's hard to see it getting rolled.
RESULT: WINNER! Short but sweet. $90 collect
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Dalgati Image
Not a bad run after racing roughly when challenging for the lead & then the young fella went too aggressively but it did well to battle on for 3rd albeit in in a very slow last half. Jason Lee takes the drive today which is a significant advantage and 2nd up should be fitter for the run.
RESULT: WINNER! Way shorter than I thought it would be but still a collect. Collect $95
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Tres Hombre
Hates winning but is as honest as they come. Should've snagged at least 3rd place last week after getting held up late. Should get a nice run through here today and looks suited with what looks to be plenty of speed in the race.
RESULT: 4th. A good 4th after it had to go 3 wide without cover not how it likes to run
MEETING RESULT: Won $35
Victoria Cup
A super night of racing and a special occasion requires a special tipping service so I'll be putting up suggested punts for every race tonight and hopefully fill the pockets of followers:
RACE 1 - SEW HEAVY INDUSTRIAL SOLUTIONS PACE
The Speed: Plenty of pace from horse drawn the inside here and it does looks a peg dominated race for that reason. Modern Mary flies the gate and leads from 2 and Nancy Miles will have the necessary speed to hold its back with Jasmine Sheffield following their every move. Lite Jagamiester is the other major player whose is likely to be working hard in the breeze.
Summary: Modern Mary has an imposing record over the mile with a 50% winning strike rate and never missing a place over the mile. It's a definite top 3 finisher but is likely to start short. Nancy Miles for mine is better off over further but will be suited with the cold sit on the leader but the value is with Jasmine Sheffield. She battled on okay in quick time after settling 1x3 last start. She loves mile racing and at the $4+ on offer the place, worth a ticket.
Suggested Bet:
$25 Place No 8 Jasmine Sheffield
$25 Trifecta for 138%: 1-2/ 1-2-7-8 /1-2-5-7-8
RESULT: LOST $50. Jasmine Sheffield had every chance
RACE 2 - SEW ENERGY EFFICIENT SOLUTIONS PACE
The Speed: Regal Knight looks like leading with ease from 1 and it'll be a battle between Just Live Life & Lombo Flashlight to find it's back.
Race Summary: This looks to be a one horse race on paper with Regal Knight drawing to lead with a race full of sit sprinters, In front with no pressure means he's almost impossible to beat in this but there is no value in the $1.40 up for grabs. Just Live Life could be a danger if able to sneak behind Regal Knight but it's hard to see that happening unless Lombo Flashlight falls asleep from gate 8. Our Walden Bury and Lombo Flashlight are the only other possible chances for mine in a tough race to find value.
Suggested Bet:
$18 First Four for 100%: 1 / 3-4-8 / 3-4-8 / 3-4-7-8-10
RESULT: LOST $18
RACE 3 - ALDEBARAN PARK NATIONAL MONTE CHAMPIONSHIP FINAL
Race Summary: Regular followers would know that I'm not a fan of trot races but Monte's? Give me strength! But I said I'd tip in every race and that's what I'll do. Motu Young Jacob has had one start in a Monte for a commanding win & if he does everything right here is the one to beat. Taking red figures in a Monte is far to risky so we look elsewhere. Chuck Wagon was first up when attempting his first Monte at Globe Derby and put up a great effort to just be beaten by Andys Favourite after facing the breeze. Drawn out wide but that can be a benefit in these races to miss any trouble. At approx. $10, worth an EW ticket
Suggested Bet:
$10EW Chuck Wagon
RESULT: 3rd. Beaten a long way but I'm just happy to collect from a monte. Won $4.5. Down $63.5
RACE 4 - VHRSC VICTORIA SIRES CLASSIC (GROUP 3)
The Speed: Adam Cartwright has great early speed and looks the leader early. It is likely to hand up here and I'd suggest that would be to the short priced favourite Yankee Rockstar leaving Young Modern in the death. Tabanan should settle 3 back the pegs.
Race Summary: Another race with a short priced favourite and in my opinion, not a great punting race. Yankee Rockstar was fantastic running 2nd to the best 3yo in the country Bling It On last start at Menangle and it would be a huge surprise if it got rolled. Young Modern has been fantastic in both runs back from a spell and looks a more complete package this time. He ran time sitting in the death last week over this distance but it's likely he's going to have to death seat again tonight in a much tougher race. Trying to find value again and that for me is definitely with Tabanan. Got held up at a critical stage on the turn last start and run a good 2nd, in much weaker than this but the draw suits. Should sit 3 back the pegs and with Yankee Rockstar likely to break the field open late in the race, he should get every opportunity to run on off a cheap sit. Worth a small place bet at $8.50 a place with bet365.
Suggested Bet:
$15 Place No 1 Tabanan
$10 Trifecta for 250% 7/ 2-3-4-9 / 1
RESULT: LOST! Horrible run... $88.5 down
RACE 5 - SEW-EURODRIVE CASEY CLASSIC
The Speed: Lance Justice holds the key early with The Smiler & Im Barney Rubble both quick beginners and expect Lance to take control with Im Barney Rubble. He may choose to hand up considering Barney is first up tonight and that could be to the first of the big players to make a move between Abbettorpunt, Keeyang Cullen or Youranut.
Summary: Super race this but have to stick with Abettorpunt. Has been huge in every run this preparation and really is unlucky not o be running in the big one tonight. Whether Matthew Craven sends him forward early or waits for the last shot at them doesn't matter as it's an extremely versatile horse. Did all the work at Menangle last start after making a midrace move and sitting in the death and battled on well to finish 2nd to The Gold Ace. The Gold Ace franked that form by winning the Cranbourne Cup last week. Deserves to break through and this looks his chance tonight.
Suggested Bet:
$50 WIN No 11 Abettorpunt. ($2.6 Bet365)
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good for them. Down $28.5
RACE 6 - SEW-EURODRIVE V L DULLARD TROTTERS CUP (GROUP 1)
The Speed: Aleppo Midas looks to have enough speed to cross early but if Habibti is on it's best behaviour tonight, it'll roll to the front. A big if though as it did plenty wrong last start. If that does happen, expect Vulcan to be the race rolling forward to lead.
Race Summary: Whichever way you look at it. Aleppo Midas is going to receive a good run in this race whether holding the lead or handing up to either Habibti or Vulcan. Loved it's first up win, albeit in much weaker than it meets tonight but it was hard not to be impressed how he finished that race off late without really being let down. Should strip much fitter here tonight at around the $10 mark looks a good each way bet.
Suggested Bet:
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 2 Aleppo Midas ($10 bet365)
RESULT: LOST! Galloped on the turn when looking a place chance. Down $78.5
RACE 7 - SEW WORLDS GREATEST DRIVES PACE
The Speed: Elusive Chick looks the early leader with Stylish Jasper receiving the prime sit behind it. Look for Fairest One Of All, Illawong Kate & Jazz King to have a look early but I think Elusive Chick will hold them out early.
Race Summary: This is a very tough race and there is value galore if you like something in the race. I could make a case for at least 5 or 6 of these. Elusive Chick leads but will be pressured more than it was last week. Jazz King is drawn wide & will have to win from the death in the toughest test it's had to date. Carpenters Daughter draws the car park and I'd suggest restrains back to last early. If that happens, she'll need everything to go right to win. National Service is 4th up from a spell and is ready to win one but where does it end up from the middle gate? Stylish Jasper gets the draw it needs but there is a question mark on whether good enough against these. Too many queries for mine to have a confident bet but after reviewing all horses last starts in the race, Kotare Roland was the eye catcher. After getting stuck 4 back on the pegs he only saw daylight in the last 200 metres and finished 4th hard up on Elusive Chicks back with plenty in hand. At approx. $26, worth a go.
Suggested Bet:
$10WIN/$20PLACE Kotare Roland
RESULT: 4th. Oh so close at placing at huge odds with $8 the place on offer but unfortunately they don't pay out on 4th. Down $118.50
RACE 8 - SEW-EURODRIVE VICTORIA CUP (GROUP 1)
1: Bitobliss: Hasn't seen this type of draw for a very long time in a big race and this is it's chance to prove his doubters wrong. I'm one of those doubters and on the back of a set back (foot abscess) I'm happy to risk him.
2: Wartime Sweetheart: Surprised winning the Popular Alm last start at $40 earning him a spot in the race. Gets the draw it needs but is likely to get shuffled back through the field. Would need a minor miracle to win here
3: Caribbean Blaster: Certainly wasn't disgraced finishing 4th in the Cranbourne Cup last week after making a move 3 wide in a 26.9 second 3rd quarter. That took it's toll late but he did well to only finish 4th only 5 metres from the winner. Earlier in this fella's career, he showed blistering early pace but we haven't seen it in recent times because he simply hasn't had the draw to use it. If he could muster enough speed to cross Bitobliss, he's the one to beat. If he can't, he'll need a bit of luck to win.
4: Restrepo: Not 100% sure where he ends up in the run but I'm suggesting it's further back than forward. If Gavin Lang can get him a cart into the race he's certainly a chance but more of a place chance than anything else.
5: Smoken Up: I love this old fella for the fact that he gives his all every time he races. Probably holds the key to the race. If he can't lead early and settles in the death, it's going to take on every brave driver to try and wrestle that position away from him. Wasn't disgraced in the Miracle Mile last week but showed that he finds the best of the best a little to quick for him these days
6: I'm Victorious: He was my roughy in the Miracle Mile and was probably unlucky not to place after missing the 3 pegs position by the smallest of margins early, the place held by eventual winner Beautide. From the wide draw tonight, he's likely to find this race too tough.
7. The Gold Ace: Many a kiwi supporter are fired up over the fact the Aussies put 'The' in front of his name but that was all forgotten when it won the Cranbourne Cup last week. He led on his ear and controlled the race as he saw fit winning with ease. Can he lead from gate 7 tonight? I think not and for me, that ends it's chances.
8: Mah Sish: Many harness racing punters are questioning why the horse made the field but in my opinion deserves a start based on past history in big races at this very track. Don't be surprised if he sneaks into a place either from the trailing draw, especially if Bitobliss holds the leaders back. Forget his Cranbourne Cup run when he was never put into the race from a back row draw. My place roughy of the race.
9: For A Reason: Had his chance to win the Miracle Mile last week as was a little disappointing. (I Maybe talking out of my wallet there) Draws behind Wartime Sweetheart so is likely to settle back in the field. Will needs a similar cart into the race Restrepo is looking for enabling him to have the last crack at them. Thats a big though.
10: Terrorway: Flashed home for 2nd in the Cranbourne Cup off a cheap run, a Gavin Lang special. He was entitled to after they finished the race off in a 29 second quarter. hard to see him force the issue from the draw tonight and is a rough place chance only.
11. Beautide: No pacer in the land is in better form than this horse. Superbly driven by James Rattray last week to win the Miracle Mile, his finishing burst was amazing to watch. The great thing about this horse is his versatility and they fact he makes his own luck. From the draw, he'll push forward mid race and try & outstay them and in my opinion is a very good chance to do so.
12. Abettorpunt: (1st Emergency)
13. Christen Me: Proved me wrong last start in the Miracle Mile. After sitting in the death the entire trip, he looked the winner with 200 to go, only to be out sprinted late by Beautide. Can win based on that run, especially if Beautide is stranded 3 wide as I'd expect Christen Me to follow Beautide everywhere it goes.
Suggested Bet:
$40WIN/$60PLACE No 3 Caribbean Blaster
The start is critical for his chances but my early memories of him have him flying the gate early, ideally crossing Bitobliss. Even if he can't cross he's likely to settle on the back of Smoken Up which isn't the worst place to be. At $11 on bet365, that seems crazy value
RESULT: 2nd. Massive run from the Blaster. Down $8.50
RACE 9 - SEW MOTORS & DRIVES PACE FINAL
The Speed: Living Lord leads this on his ear with Fiery Achiever hard up on it's back. Expect Magical Telf to settle 1x2 or 3 with Alchemy & Saab Quality pushing forward early.
Race Summary: Magical Telf was huge in running down Living Lord in a 55 second last half after sitting in the death. Living Lord gave him one hell of a fright though and draws to give it another shake again. Tough to find any other winning chances with Alchemy and Victoria May place chances only.
Suggested Bet:
$100WIN No 4 Magical Telf
Its hard to see Living lord turning the tables on Magical Telf here especially if Saab Quality, the stablemate of Magical Telf, is sent forward early to maintain the pressure on Living Lord. $1.60 looks value
RESULT: WINNER! A horse that's going places that's for sure. Up $51.50
RACE 10 - SEW DRIVING AUSTRALIAN INDUSTRY TROT
The Speed: Sandys Boy , Mister Elwood and Rosalie Bay can all come out fast from the gate but I'd expect Rosalie Bay to push on to lead.
Race Summary: What a way to finish Victoria Cup night, with a trot. Anyway, I'll give it my best shot. If Rosalie Bay can lead without too much trouble she is going to be mighty hard to run down. The class factor is obviously Blitzthemcalder but the 1720 metres from the back row draw isn't ideal. Sneaky chance to Mister Elwood with the right run also.
Suggested Bet:
$20PLACE Sandys Boy.
Not a great deal of confidence here but I think if it can cross early, it's good enough to hold on for a place at big odds. If you can however, head to the bar instead.
RESULT: 3rd! Didn't go forward as I hoped but thankfully he didn't after they set a ridiculous pace early. Ran home to snatch 3rd in the nick of time at big odds. Up $175.50
Good luck and I hope you find a winner!
RACE 1 - SEW HEAVY INDUSTRIAL SOLUTIONS PACE
The Speed: Plenty of pace from horse drawn the inside here and it does looks a peg dominated race for that reason. Modern Mary flies the gate and leads from 2 and Nancy Miles will have the necessary speed to hold its back with Jasmine Sheffield following their every move. Lite Jagamiester is the other major player whose is likely to be working hard in the breeze.
Summary: Modern Mary has an imposing record over the mile with a 50% winning strike rate and never missing a place over the mile. It's a definite top 3 finisher but is likely to start short. Nancy Miles for mine is better off over further but will be suited with the cold sit on the leader but the value is with Jasmine Sheffield. She battled on okay in quick time after settling 1x3 last start. She loves mile racing and at the $4+ on offer the place, worth a ticket.
Suggested Bet:
$25 Place No 8 Jasmine Sheffield
$25 Trifecta for 138%: 1-2/ 1-2-7-8 /1-2-5-7-8
RESULT: LOST $50. Jasmine Sheffield had every chance
RACE 2 - SEW ENERGY EFFICIENT SOLUTIONS PACE
The Speed: Regal Knight looks like leading with ease from 1 and it'll be a battle between Just Live Life & Lombo Flashlight to find it's back.
Race Summary: This looks to be a one horse race on paper with Regal Knight drawing to lead with a race full of sit sprinters, In front with no pressure means he's almost impossible to beat in this but there is no value in the $1.40 up for grabs. Just Live Life could be a danger if able to sneak behind Regal Knight but it's hard to see that happening unless Lombo Flashlight falls asleep from gate 8. Our Walden Bury and Lombo Flashlight are the only other possible chances for mine in a tough race to find value.
Suggested Bet:
$18 First Four for 100%: 1 / 3-4-8 / 3-4-8 / 3-4-7-8-10
RESULT: LOST $18
RACE 3 - ALDEBARAN PARK NATIONAL MONTE CHAMPIONSHIP FINAL
Race Summary: Regular followers would know that I'm not a fan of trot races but Monte's? Give me strength! But I said I'd tip in every race and that's what I'll do. Motu Young Jacob has had one start in a Monte for a commanding win & if he does everything right here is the one to beat. Taking red figures in a Monte is far to risky so we look elsewhere. Chuck Wagon was first up when attempting his first Monte at Globe Derby and put up a great effort to just be beaten by Andys Favourite after facing the breeze. Drawn out wide but that can be a benefit in these races to miss any trouble. At approx. $10, worth an EW ticket
Suggested Bet:
$10EW Chuck Wagon
RESULT: 3rd. Beaten a long way but I'm just happy to collect from a monte. Won $4.5. Down $63.5
RACE 4 - VHRSC VICTORIA SIRES CLASSIC (GROUP 3)
The Speed: Adam Cartwright has great early speed and looks the leader early. It is likely to hand up here and I'd suggest that would be to the short priced favourite Yankee Rockstar leaving Young Modern in the death. Tabanan should settle 3 back the pegs.
Race Summary: Another race with a short priced favourite and in my opinion, not a great punting race. Yankee Rockstar was fantastic running 2nd to the best 3yo in the country Bling It On last start at Menangle and it would be a huge surprise if it got rolled. Young Modern has been fantastic in both runs back from a spell and looks a more complete package this time. He ran time sitting in the death last week over this distance but it's likely he's going to have to death seat again tonight in a much tougher race. Trying to find value again and that for me is definitely with Tabanan. Got held up at a critical stage on the turn last start and run a good 2nd, in much weaker than this but the draw suits. Should sit 3 back the pegs and with Yankee Rockstar likely to break the field open late in the race, he should get every opportunity to run on off a cheap sit. Worth a small place bet at $8.50 a place with bet365.
Suggested Bet:
$15 Place No 1 Tabanan
$10 Trifecta for 250% 7/ 2-3-4-9 / 1
RESULT: LOST! Horrible run... $88.5 down
RACE 5 - SEW-EURODRIVE CASEY CLASSIC
The Speed: Lance Justice holds the key early with The Smiler & Im Barney Rubble both quick beginners and expect Lance to take control with Im Barney Rubble. He may choose to hand up considering Barney is first up tonight and that could be to the first of the big players to make a move between Abbettorpunt, Keeyang Cullen or Youranut.
Summary: Super race this but have to stick with Abettorpunt. Has been huge in every run this preparation and really is unlucky not o be running in the big one tonight. Whether Matthew Craven sends him forward early or waits for the last shot at them doesn't matter as it's an extremely versatile horse. Did all the work at Menangle last start after making a midrace move and sitting in the death and battled on well to finish 2nd to The Gold Ace. The Gold Ace franked that form by winning the Cranbourne Cup last week. Deserves to break through and this looks his chance tonight.
Suggested Bet:
$50 WIN No 11 Abettorpunt. ($2.6 Bet365)
RESULT: WINNER! Far too good for them. Down $28.5
RACE 6 - SEW-EURODRIVE V L DULLARD TROTTERS CUP (GROUP 1)
The Speed: Aleppo Midas looks to have enough speed to cross early but if Habibti is on it's best behaviour tonight, it'll roll to the front. A big if though as it did plenty wrong last start. If that does happen, expect Vulcan to be the race rolling forward to lead.
Race Summary: Whichever way you look at it. Aleppo Midas is going to receive a good run in this race whether holding the lead or handing up to either Habibti or Vulcan. Loved it's first up win, albeit in much weaker than it meets tonight but it was hard not to be impressed how he finished that race off late without really being let down. Should strip much fitter here tonight at around the $10 mark looks a good each way bet.
Suggested Bet:
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 2 Aleppo Midas ($10 bet365)
RESULT: LOST! Galloped on the turn when looking a place chance. Down $78.5
RACE 7 - SEW WORLDS GREATEST DRIVES PACE
The Speed: Elusive Chick looks the early leader with Stylish Jasper receiving the prime sit behind it. Look for Fairest One Of All, Illawong Kate & Jazz King to have a look early but I think Elusive Chick will hold them out early.
Race Summary: This is a very tough race and there is value galore if you like something in the race. I could make a case for at least 5 or 6 of these. Elusive Chick leads but will be pressured more than it was last week. Jazz King is drawn wide & will have to win from the death in the toughest test it's had to date. Carpenters Daughter draws the car park and I'd suggest restrains back to last early. If that happens, she'll need everything to go right to win. National Service is 4th up from a spell and is ready to win one but where does it end up from the middle gate? Stylish Jasper gets the draw it needs but there is a question mark on whether good enough against these. Too many queries for mine to have a confident bet but after reviewing all horses last starts in the race, Kotare Roland was the eye catcher. After getting stuck 4 back on the pegs he only saw daylight in the last 200 metres and finished 4th hard up on Elusive Chicks back with plenty in hand. At approx. $26, worth a go.
Suggested Bet:
$10WIN/$20PLACE Kotare Roland
RESULT: 4th. Oh so close at placing at huge odds with $8 the place on offer but unfortunately they don't pay out on 4th. Down $118.50
RACE 8 - SEW-EURODRIVE VICTORIA CUP (GROUP 1)
1: Bitobliss: Hasn't seen this type of draw for a very long time in a big race and this is it's chance to prove his doubters wrong. I'm one of those doubters and on the back of a set back (foot abscess) I'm happy to risk him.
2: Wartime Sweetheart: Surprised winning the Popular Alm last start at $40 earning him a spot in the race. Gets the draw it needs but is likely to get shuffled back through the field. Would need a minor miracle to win here
3: Caribbean Blaster: Certainly wasn't disgraced finishing 4th in the Cranbourne Cup last week after making a move 3 wide in a 26.9 second 3rd quarter. That took it's toll late but he did well to only finish 4th only 5 metres from the winner. Earlier in this fella's career, he showed blistering early pace but we haven't seen it in recent times because he simply hasn't had the draw to use it. If he could muster enough speed to cross Bitobliss, he's the one to beat. If he can't, he'll need a bit of luck to win.
4: Restrepo: Not 100% sure where he ends up in the run but I'm suggesting it's further back than forward. If Gavin Lang can get him a cart into the race he's certainly a chance but more of a place chance than anything else.
5: Smoken Up: I love this old fella for the fact that he gives his all every time he races. Probably holds the key to the race. If he can't lead early and settles in the death, it's going to take on every brave driver to try and wrestle that position away from him. Wasn't disgraced in the Miracle Mile last week but showed that he finds the best of the best a little to quick for him these days
6: I'm Victorious: He was my roughy in the Miracle Mile and was probably unlucky not to place after missing the 3 pegs position by the smallest of margins early, the place held by eventual winner Beautide. From the wide draw tonight, he's likely to find this race too tough.
7. The Gold Ace: Many a kiwi supporter are fired up over the fact the Aussies put 'The' in front of his name but that was all forgotten when it won the Cranbourne Cup last week. He led on his ear and controlled the race as he saw fit winning with ease. Can he lead from gate 7 tonight? I think not and for me, that ends it's chances.
8: Mah Sish: Many harness racing punters are questioning why the horse made the field but in my opinion deserves a start based on past history in big races at this very track. Don't be surprised if he sneaks into a place either from the trailing draw, especially if Bitobliss holds the leaders back. Forget his Cranbourne Cup run when he was never put into the race from a back row draw. My place roughy of the race.
9: For A Reason: Had his chance to win the Miracle Mile last week as was a little disappointing. (I Maybe talking out of my wallet there) Draws behind Wartime Sweetheart so is likely to settle back in the field. Will needs a similar cart into the race Restrepo is looking for enabling him to have the last crack at them. Thats a big though.
10: Terrorway: Flashed home for 2nd in the Cranbourne Cup off a cheap run, a Gavin Lang special. He was entitled to after they finished the race off in a 29 second quarter. hard to see him force the issue from the draw tonight and is a rough place chance only.
11. Beautide: No pacer in the land is in better form than this horse. Superbly driven by James Rattray last week to win the Miracle Mile, his finishing burst was amazing to watch. The great thing about this horse is his versatility and they fact he makes his own luck. From the draw, he'll push forward mid race and try & outstay them and in my opinion is a very good chance to do so.
12. Abettorpunt: (1st Emergency)
13. Christen Me: Proved me wrong last start in the Miracle Mile. After sitting in the death the entire trip, he looked the winner with 200 to go, only to be out sprinted late by Beautide. Can win based on that run, especially if Beautide is stranded 3 wide as I'd expect Christen Me to follow Beautide everywhere it goes.
Suggested Bet:
$40WIN/$60PLACE No 3 Caribbean Blaster
The start is critical for his chances but my early memories of him have him flying the gate early, ideally crossing Bitobliss. Even if he can't cross he's likely to settle on the back of Smoken Up which isn't the worst place to be. At $11 on bet365, that seems crazy value
RESULT: 2nd. Massive run from the Blaster. Down $8.50
RACE 9 - SEW MOTORS & DRIVES PACE FINAL
The Speed: Living Lord leads this on his ear with Fiery Achiever hard up on it's back. Expect Magical Telf to settle 1x2 or 3 with Alchemy & Saab Quality pushing forward early.
Race Summary: Magical Telf was huge in running down Living Lord in a 55 second last half after sitting in the death. Living Lord gave him one hell of a fright though and draws to give it another shake again. Tough to find any other winning chances with Alchemy and Victoria May place chances only.
Suggested Bet:
$100WIN No 4 Magical Telf
Its hard to see Living lord turning the tables on Magical Telf here especially if Saab Quality, the stablemate of Magical Telf, is sent forward early to maintain the pressure on Living Lord. $1.60 looks value
RESULT: WINNER! A horse that's going places that's for sure. Up $51.50
RACE 10 - SEW DRIVING AUSTRALIAN INDUSTRY TROT
The Speed: Sandys Boy , Mister Elwood and Rosalie Bay can all come out fast from the gate but I'd expect Rosalie Bay to push on to lead.
Race Summary: What a way to finish Victoria Cup night, with a trot. Anyway, I'll give it my best shot. If Rosalie Bay can lead without too much trouble she is going to be mighty hard to run down. The class factor is obviously Blitzthemcalder but the 1720 metres from the back row draw isn't ideal. Sneaky chance to Mister Elwood with the right run also.
Suggested Bet:
$20PLACE Sandys Boy.
Not a great deal of confidence here but I think if it can cross early, it's good enough to hold on for a place at big odds. If you can however, head to the bar instead.
RESULT: 3rd! Didn't go forward as I hoped but thankfully he didn't after they set a ridiculous pace early. Ran home to snatch 3rd in the nick of time at big odds. Up $175.50
Good luck and I hope you find a winner!
Ballarat, Friday 13 December
ROUGHY
$25 PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Break Of Dawn
RESULT: 3rd! Collect $192.50
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Cheap Tint
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $130
MEETING RESULT: Won $247.50
$25 PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Break Of Dawn
RESULT: 3rd! Collect $192.50
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Cheap Tint
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $130
MEETING RESULT: Won $247.50
Yarra Valley. Friday 13 December
BEST Exotic
$50 Exacta
Race 2
1st 6 Eye Like Candy
2nd 3 Pressplay
RESULT: WINNER! $200 collect
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Ruato Bay
RESULT: 3rd, had every chance. SACKED
$50WIN
Race 7 No 10 Im Corzin Terror
RESULT: 2nd
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
$50 Exacta
Race 2
1st 6 Eye Like Candy
2nd 3 Pressplay
RESULT: WINNER! $200 collect
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 2 Ruato Bay
RESULT: 3rd, had every chance. SACKED
$50WIN
Race 7 No 10 Im Corzin Terror
RESULT: 2nd
MEETING RESULT: Won $50
Bendigo, Thursday 12 December
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Dirty Dees
Liked the way it's returned to racing after a year off and looks ready to put the score on the board 3rd up. Last year finished behind the likes of Echeveria and Easy Lightning who have both wizzed through the classes. Returned with a tough 5th at Gunbower against good class 1 types after racing in the death & was only beaten 8 metres. Backed that up with a 4th at Echuca after racing 4 back the pegs and running home well late. Draws well here and should settle much closer and this is weak. Good chance.
RESULT: Lost! Never again...
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Wolfpack
Something licked last start after never seeing daylight. I don't think it can cross the 1 early but there is a big chance it can find the leaders back as the 8 isn't flash away from the mobile. Looks a good bet
RESULT: Winner! h senior Aiken takes control & rolls to the front. That was all over a long way out. Collect $216
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Classic Icon
There is speed galore in this race early. Supaliner, Suspicious Behaviour & Night Affair all fly the gate and I just hope they go nuts early. That is going to suit this sit sprinter who can real off a very fast last quarter when saved for the last crack at them. Forget last start when raced in the death. The start before he only finished 7 metres off Jazz King. Here's hoping they test Supaliner early and give the Icon the run he needs,
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Dirty Dees
Liked the way it's returned to racing after a year off and looks ready to put the score on the board 3rd up. Last year finished behind the likes of Echeveria and Easy Lightning who have both wizzed through the classes. Returned with a tough 5th at Gunbower against good class 1 types after racing in the death & was only beaten 8 metres. Backed that up with a 4th at Echuca after racing 4 back the pegs and running home well late. Draws well here and should settle much closer and this is weak. Good chance.
RESULT: Lost! Never again...
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Wolfpack
Something licked last start after never seeing daylight. I don't think it can cross the 1 early but there is a big chance it can find the leaders back as the 8 isn't flash away from the mobile. Looks a good bet
RESULT: Winner! h senior Aiken takes control & rolls to the front. That was all over a long way out. Collect $216
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Classic Icon
There is speed galore in this race early. Supaliner, Suspicious Behaviour & Night Affair all fly the gate and I just hope they go nuts early. That is going to suit this sit sprinter who can real off a very fast last quarter when saved for the last crack at them. Forget last start when raced in the death. The start before he only finished 7 metres off Jazz King. Here's hoping they test Supaliner early and give the Icon the run he needs,
Melton, Thursday 12 December
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Milly Perez
Showed ability without winning in it's first prep. Been trialling very well for it's return today & this looks weak. Don't go taking silly odds but hopefully we can get at least $1.8 which should be a pain free collect.
RESULT: Winner! and was pain free but at $1.30 it would want to be. Collect $130
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Rogue Assassin
Should've registered it's first win last start but got dragged back through the field after sitting 1x1. Once out he ran on well. Has early speed and should settle top 4 if not in front early. Major danger is Exotic Native who has plenty of talent but Ive lost enough money on that horses potential. Its a fair dinkum nutcase so Im happy to take it on.
RESULT: WINNER! Started favorite which I wasn't expecting but you can't lose backing winners.. Collect $103.60
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 The Muse
Has be OK in better fields than it meets today and the longer distance today looks like it'll suit. Draws to be either leading or leaders back & it would be a major shock if it didn't finish top 2.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance.
DAY RESULT: Won $68.6
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Milly Perez
Showed ability without winning in it's first prep. Been trialling very well for it's return today & this looks weak. Don't go taking silly odds but hopefully we can get at least $1.8 which should be a pain free collect.
RESULT: Winner! and was pain free but at $1.30 it would want to be. Collect $130
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Rogue Assassin
Should've registered it's first win last start but got dragged back through the field after sitting 1x1. Once out he ran on well. Has early speed and should settle top 4 if not in front early. Major danger is Exotic Native who has plenty of talent but Ive lost enough money on that horses potential. Its a fair dinkum nutcase so Im happy to take it on.
RESULT: WINNER! Started favorite which I wasn't expecting but you can't lose backing winners.. Collect $103.60
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 The Muse
Has be OK in better fields than it meets today and the longer distance today looks like it'll suit. Draws to be either leading or leaders back & it would be a major shock if it didn't finish top 2.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance.
DAY RESULT: Won $68.6
Kilmore, Wednesday 11 December
It's been a tough week to find any type of value with confidence and Kilmore presents another tough punting card
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Terra Beau
Heeeeeeee's baaaaacccck. He's a tough horse to catch but I've managed to catch him both times he's won at big odds. Draws to get every chance tonight. This is about as good a race as it wants and he needs the right type of pace in the race to finish off. I think the pace is perfect in this for him to settle behind the leader and the likelihood they won't run home any quicker than 29seconds in the last quarter off a good steady speed throughout. So many if's but that's why he'll be at good odds tonight.
RESULT: Lost. Stuck on for 5th but these were too good for him tonight. Needs weaker.
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 6 No 7 Claire Jasper
Breaking one of my punting rules and betting in a stand start but Claire Jasper looks very well suited in this. Hasn't won since 2012 but with a 20metre head start on her rivals, with a clean getaway, I can't see her getting rolled. She normally good from a stand and I'm happy to ignore her missing the start last time out a one off.
RESULT: 3rd. Checked at the start and cost it the race. Stiff not to win for mine
BEST PLACE
$25PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Sporty Mac
If you're going to break a rule you may as well and truly smash it! Liked his only run in a stand start 4 starts ago. Missed away and ended 4 back the pegs in a similar race. Lance Justice could not find a run and had to pull out to the extreme outside with 100 to go and finished off impressively. His runs have been good since against some strong fields and with a clean getaway looks the value in the race
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a head. Collect $107.50
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Cheveyo
Not the ideal draw for this bloke as it races best in front but this is the weakest he's faced for some time and draws to follow the fav everywhere it goes. The scratching of Authorized opens this race right up and I'm happy to leave Ruby's alone at what is likely to be unders. Thisiswhoiam and Courageous Spirit both start quickly and that may leave Rubys having to do too much work in this to win. Cheveyo should be double figures here and if Ruby's can take him into the race he'll go close
RESULT: LOST! I should've stayed away.....
MEETING RESULT: LOST $92.50. I need to get back to basics to get back in the green. Trying to find too much value & it's proving costly
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Terra Beau
Heeeeeeee's baaaaacccck. He's a tough horse to catch but I've managed to catch him both times he's won at big odds. Draws to get every chance tonight. This is about as good a race as it wants and he needs the right type of pace in the race to finish off. I think the pace is perfect in this for him to settle behind the leader and the likelihood they won't run home any quicker than 29seconds in the last quarter off a good steady speed throughout. So many if's but that's why he'll be at good odds tonight.
RESULT: Lost. Stuck on for 5th but these were too good for him tonight. Needs weaker.
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 6 No 7 Claire Jasper
Breaking one of my punting rules and betting in a stand start but Claire Jasper looks very well suited in this. Hasn't won since 2012 but with a 20metre head start on her rivals, with a clean getaway, I can't see her getting rolled. She normally good from a stand and I'm happy to ignore her missing the start last time out a one off.
RESULT: 3rd. Checked at the start and cost it the race. Stiff not to win for mine
BEST PLACE
$25PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Sporty Mac
If you're going to break a rule you may as well and truly smash it! Liked his only run in a stand start 4 starts ago. Missed away and ended 4 back the pegs in a similar race. Lance Justice could not find a run and had to pull out to the extreme outside with 100 to go and finished off impressively. His runs have been good since against some strong fields and with a clean getaway looks the value in the race
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a head. Collect $107.50
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Cheveyo
Not the ideal draw for this bloke as it races best in front but this is the weakest he's faced for some time and draws to follow the fav everywhere it goes. The scratching of Authorized opens this race right up and I'm happy to leave Ruby's alone at what is likely to be unders. Thisiswhoiam and Courageous Spirit both start quickly and that may leave Rubys having to do too much work in this to win. Cheveyo should be double figures here and if Ruby's can take him into the race he'll go close
RESULT: LOST! I should've stayed away.....
MEETING RESULT: LOST $92.50. I need to get back to basics to get back in the green. Trying to find too much value & it's proving costly
Ararat, Tuesday 10 December
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Viva Courage
Worked hard first up from an outside draw in what was a real gut buster for the horse. Loved her last start at Warragul. Got shuffled out the back early from a bad draw and had to circle the field with 500 metres to go from last, not where you want to be at Warragul. She battled on extremely well to grab 3rd. Looks like she's the in form horse of this race and draws to settle closer here tonight especially with the aggressive Michael Azzopardi on board.
RESULT: 2nd. Had his chance after leading. Wasn't good enough. Collect $102
QUADDIE
Small quaddie for interest but this is one very tough meeting with some likely short priced favs running around that are unproven or out of form:
3 / 4 / 2-6-7-8-10-11 / 2-8
$12 for 100%
RESULT: 3 legs yet again
MEETING RESULT: Lost $10
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Viva Courage
Worked hard first up from an outside draw in what was a real gut buster for the horse. Loved her last start at Warragul. Got shuffled out the back early from a bad draw and had to circle the field with 500 metres to go from last, not where you want to be at Warragul. She battled on extremely well to grab 3rd. Looks like she's the in form horse of this race and draws to settle closer here tonight especially with the aggressive Michael Azzopardi on board.
RESULT: 2nd. Had his chance after leading. Wasn't good enough. Collect $102
QUADDIE
Small quaddie for interest but this is one very tough meeting with some likely short priced favs running around that are unproven or out of form:
3 / 4 / 2-6-7-8-10-11 / 2-8
$12 for 100%
RESULT: 3 legs yet again
MEETING RESULT: Lost $10
Charlton. Monday 9 December
Another tough meeting here and again just a couple of quads for an interest
3 / 1-2-3-7 / 3-4-6-7/ 1-3 $32 for 100%
3 / 7 / 3 / 1 $10 for 1000%
3 / 2-7 / 3-4 / 1 $16 for 400%
RESULT: No good with the fav in the first leg getting rolled.
3 / 1-2-3-7 / 3-4-6-7/ 1-3 $32 for 100%
3 / 7 / 3 / 1 $10 for 1000%
3 / 2-7 / 3-4 / 1 $16 for 400%
RESULT: No good with the fav in the first leg getting rolled.
Shepparton, Sunday 8 December
No confidence whatsoever at this meeting so just a very small quaddie:
SORRY!! Missed up the quaddie legs. Adjusted below @ 6.30pm:
4-8 / 4-5-8 / 1-3-5-11 / 1-8
$24 for 50%
RESULT: 3 legs but paid nothing anyways..
SORRY!! Missed up the quaddie legs. Adjusted below @ 6.30pm:
4-8 / 4-5-8 / 1-3-5-11 / 1-8
$24 for 50%
RESULT: 3 legs but paid nothing anyways..
Cranbourne Cup, Saturday 7 December
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Ruato Bay
I have no doubt this is the best horse in the race but couldn't have drawn worse. Had the same draw last start & Dasher Douglas managed to drag him back & get off the pegs early & I'd suggest a similar tactic will be used tonight. If he's able to get that right cart into the race, he'll be too good.
RESULT: 4th. Had to do it alone 3 wide but was disappointing for mine. Looks like it's needs the perfect sit to be able to display it's sprint.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Sotiris
Run a strong 3rd in the heat of this race last week. After pouncing on the early lead he was pressured & worn down by Jean Baptiste after running too fast for the 2180 metres and he faded late. Draws to get the sit behind the likely leader Lets Go Rabittoh tonight and looks like it will have the last shot at them via the sprint lane. Good EW punt
RESULT: LOST! Awful
Cranbourne Cup
It's an extremely strong 2013 edition of the Cranbourne Cup. The early battle for the lead is intriguing especially with Ross Sugars employing the help of Lance Justice to drive American Muscle who has high gate speed early. He should be able to hold out The Gold Ace early doors. That makes me think Youranut will tackle American Muscle not long after and assume control of the race. It's going to be might hard to run down if that eventuates, however it is it's first run up against this class of horse. There are going to moves a plenty midrace and that is far too hard to predict who and when but what ever happens I think it's going to be run at a cracking pace. For that reason, and from his great trailing draw, Caribbean Blaster looks beautifully placed over the longer journey tonight. Forget he went round at Menangle 2 weeks back when poorly drawn and settled toward the rear. Smoken Up broke 1:50 for the mile that night & nothing ran on. His NZ form previous to that start was first rate and the $8 on offer is fantastic value.
BET: $40WIN/$60PLACE Caribbean Blaster
RESULT: 4th. Story of the night.. Got the sit I thought it would but nothing made a move. He was left stuck 3 wide without cover and battled on OK.
HIGH RISK QUADDIE
1 / 1-2 / 7-9 / 2-4-9
$24 for 200%
RESULT: Lost, 3legs but I still think we got it. Im positive Elegant Image won
VALUE QUADDIE
1-9-12 / 1-2-9 / 7-9 / 2-4-6-9
$36 for 50%
RESULT: 3 legs
MEETING RESULT: WIPEOUT!! Not a cracker. Sorry followers. Not a whole heap of luck but I'll be back. Lost $260
$20WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Ruato Bay
I have no doubt this is the best horse in the race but couldn't have drawn worse. Had the same draw last start & Dasher Douglas managed to drag him back & get off the pegs early & I'd suggest a similar tactic will be used tonight. If he's able to get that right cart into the race, he'll be too good.
RESULT: 4th. Had to do it alone 3 wide but was disappointing for mine. Looks like it's needs the perfect sit to be able to display it's sprint.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 8 Sotiris
Run a strong 3rd in the heat of this race last week. After pouncing on the early lead he was pressured & worn down by Jean Baptiste after running too fast for the 2180 metres and he faded late. Draws to get the sit behind the likely leader Lets Go Rabittoh tonight and looks like it will have the last shot at them via the sprint lane. Good EW punt
RESULT: LOST! Awful
Cranbourne Cup
It's an extremely strong 2013 edition of the Cranbourne Cup. The early battle for the lead is intriguing especially with Ross Sugars employing the help of Lance Justice to drive American Muscle who has high gate speed early. He should be able to hold out The Gold Ace early doors. That makes me think Youranut will tackle American Muscle not long after and assume control of the race. It's going to be might hard to run down if that eventuates, however it is it's first run up against this class of horse. There are going to moves a plenty midrace and that is far too hard to predict who and when but what ever happens I think it's going to be run at a cracking pace. For that reason, and from his great trailing draw, Caribbean Blaster looks beautifully placed over the longer journey tonight. Forget he went round at Menangle 2 weeks back when poorly drawn and settled toward the rear. Smoken Up broke 1:50 for the mile that night & nothing ran on. His NZ form previous to that start was first rate and the $8 on offer is fantastic value.
BET: $40WIN/$60PLACE Caribbean Blaster
RESULT: 4th. Story of the night.. Got the sit I thought it would but nothing made a move. He was left stuck 3 wide without cover and battled on OK.
HIGH RISK QUADDIE
1 / 1-2 / 7-9 / 2-4-9
$24 for 200%
RESULT: Lost, 3legs but I still think we got it. Im positive Elegant Image won
VALUE QUADDIE
1-9-12 / 1-2-9 / 7-9 / 2-4-6-9
$36 for 50%
RESULT: 3 legs
MEETING RESULT: WIPEOUT!! Not a cracker. Sorry followers. Not a whole heap of luck but I'll be back. Lost $260
Melton, Friday 6 December
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Endorsement
Form is better than what it reads. Leads here and the change of driver might be the key. Needs to hold the lead for mine & if it's does, its a big chance.
RESULT: 3rd. Might be a mile horse only. Wish they'd lead on it though. $102 collect
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Shift Shivas
Flew around this track & distance for a good 2nd in 1.54 sec a few starts back. Hasn't been disgraced since & from the draw should lead or be leaders back. Either way I jcan't see it missing top 2
RESULT: 2nd. Led & was pressured by the fav the entire trip. Kicked away from the fav but was left a sitting shot for the leaders back run. Collect $84
BEST BET
$50 WIN
Race 7 No 7 Cut For An Ace
Webster has got this fella flying. Can show a heap of speed from the gate and I actually think from the wide draw it'll gather plenty of speed & lead these early. It's been racing in much better races than it races against here & if it does lead, I'll be very disappointed if it lost. Take the $4 whilst it lasts!
SCRATCHED
ROUGHY
$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Herecomes The Cat
I'm tipping a trotter.. Things must be tough.. Transferred to the Robert Young stables and he's set it a fair task first up here but it's trial form can't be faulted. A 2nd to the pacers on 23/11 & then a 2nd to Blitzemcalder by a head untouched. (So was Blitzemcalder) and they beat the others easily. Will need luck from the draw but looks like it's going OK and should be $6-$8 for the place.
RESULT; Lost. Not a bad run, just not up to these. Run 6th not far off them.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $34
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Endorsement
Form is better than what it reads. Leads here and the change of driver might be the key. Needs to hold the lead for mine & if it's does, its a big chance.
RESULT: 3rd. Might be a mile horse only. Wish they'd lead on it though. $102 collect
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Shift Shivas
Flew around this track & distance for a good 2nd in 1.54 sec a few starts back. Hasn't been disgraced since & from the draw should lead or be leaders back. Either way I jcan't see it missing top 2
RESULT: 2nd. Led & was pressured by the fav the entire trip. Kicked away from the fav but was left a sitting shot for the leaders back run. Collect $84
BEST BET
$50 WIN
Race 7 No 7 Cut For An Ace
Webster has got this fella flying. Can show a heap of speed from the gate and I actually think from the wide draw it'll gather plenty of speed & lead these early. It's been racing in much better races than it races against here & if it does lead, I'll be very disappointed if it lost. Take the $4 whilst it lasts!
SCRATCHED
ROUGHY
$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Herecomes The Cat
I'm tipping a trotter.. Things must be tough.. Transferred to the Robert Young stables and he's set it a fair task first up here but it's trial form can't be faulted. A 2nd to the pacers on 23/11 & then a 2nd to Blitzemcalder by a head untouched. (So was Blitzemcalder) and they beat the others easily. Will need luck from the draw but looks like it's going OK and should be $6-$8 for the place.
RESULT; Lost. Not a bad run, just not up to these. Run 6th not far off them.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $34
Swan Hill, Thursday Night, 5 December
**TRIAL FLYER**
Race 1 Stormy Lecture: Happy to let this one go without a punt as this is a strong race and the draw isn't ideal. Wait for weaker.
RESULT: 3rd beaten a long way but did pay $12 the place on some totes
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Ezee Duzit Lombo
Been real unlucky of late but still been finishing close. Last start all but fell down the back but ran on extremely well late & probably should have won. It's starting to become one of those horses who always seems to find excuses but looks to be very well suited in this race tonight
RESULT: 3rd.. Had excuses again.. Collect $153
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
Race 7 No 3 Jacka Luke
He has been racing in higher grade of late and the lead looks his for the taking. With a field full of sit sprinters, there shouldn't be a great deal on pressure on in this and it's hard seeing him getting rolled.
RESULT: 2nd. Led and had every chance but the favourite was too good
QUADDIE:
Looks a value packed quaddie here tonight but a very hard one. Small investment & lets hope we get lucky.
2-10-12-13 / 2-3-12 / 1-4-5-8 / 3
$24 for 50%
MEETING RESULT: Won $4
Race 1 Stormy Lecture: Happy to let this one go without a punt as this is a strong race and the draw isn't ideal. Wait for weaker.
RESULT: 3rd beaten a long way but did pay $12 the place on some totes
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 Ezee Duzit Lombo
Been real unlucky of late but still been finishing close. Last start all but fell down the back but ran on extremely well late & probably should have won. It's starting to become one of those horses who always seems to find excuses but looks to be very well suited in this race tonight
RESULT: 3rd.. Had excuses again.. Collect $153
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
Race 7 No 3 Jacka Luke
He has been racing in higher grade of late and the lead looks his for the taking. With a field full of sit sprinters, there shouldn't be a great deal on pressure on in this and it's hard seeing him getting rolled.
RESULT: 2nd. Led and had every chance but the favourite was too good
QUADDIE:
Looks a value packed quaddie here tonight but a very hard one. Small investment & lets hope we get lucky.
2-10-12-13 / 2-3-12 / 1-4-5-8 / 3
$24 for 50%
MEETING RESULT: Won $4
Geelong, Thursday Afternoon, 5 December
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Big Zee
Has been in super form without winning. Last start was very unlucky not to win after being inconvenienced & held up at the wrong time but finished hard for 2nd. Raced well in metro class previous to that. Im happy to take on Bliss Man who is up in class & distance here. Small field should suit Big Zee too. NTD but I'm still going EW
RESULT: Lost. Never put into the race, never a chance.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Big Zee
Has been in super form without winning. Last start was very unlucky not to win after being inconvenienced & held up at the wrong time but finished hard for 2nd. Raced well in metro class previous to that. Im happy to take on Bliss Man who is up in class & distance here. Small field should suit Big Zee too. NTD but I'm still going EW
RESULT: Lost. Never put into the race, never a chance.
Bendigo, Wednesday 4 December
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 5 Major Deed
Run a super 3rd at Kilmore last start against horses 2 levels above these. From the draw tonight will push forward to lead and have a huge advantage on it's only danger Better Move. I wouldn't be taking stupid odds here but if you can get $2 get on.
RESULT: WINNER! Just.. Take it and run. Collect $90
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 5 Major Deed
Run a super 3rd at Kilmore last start against horses 2 levels above these. From the draw tonight will push forward to lead and have a huge advantage on it's only danger Better Move. I wouldn't be taking stupid odds here but if you can get $2 get on.
RESULT: WINNER! Just.. Take it and run. Collect $90
ECHUCA, Tuesday 3 December
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Gangster Boy
I keep going back for more of this horse & it keeps letting me down but SURELY, tonight it has every possible chance. Draws to lead and this track is a leaders paradise. No excuses here tonight.
RESULT: 2nd. Was backed for a stack. Couldn't hold the lead and that was that. Costly horse. Collect $68
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Gangster Boy
I keep going back for more of this horse & it keeps letting me down but SURELY, tonight it has every possible chance. Draws to lead and this track is a leaders paradise. No excuses here tonight.
RESULT: 2nd. Was backed for a stack. Couldn't hold the lead and that was that. Costly horse. Collect $68
Warragul, Monday 2 December
BEST WIN
$25 WIN
Race 1 No 2 Punchinello
Liked his trial from Melton 26/11 where he finished 4th. After failing to lead Justice snagged it back to 4 pegs. Never saw daylight until the top of the straight & finished off well. Changeable ran 2nd in that trial & I think Punchinello was the better run. From the draw the lead should be his & at Warragul, that's where you want to be.
RESULT: 2nd. Justice got caught napping when Nathan Jack took off early. Better drive won.
$25 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Hollys Miss Molly
I have a soft spot for this horse as it's won plenty for me in its short career. Gets the draw she loves today in a race lacking depth. Only danger draws the back row
RESULT: 2nd. Change of tactics before the race indicted that she'd lead.. Showed she's definitely better with a sit
$25 WIN
Race 7 No 5 Pass It To Billy
Trial flyer. First up in a much tougher field than it meets today, flew the start but got too fired up in the lead and ran very quick time over the longer distance. Did well to finish 5th. should lead here and around this tight track, it's hard to see it getting rolled
SCRATCHED
HIGH RISK QUADDIE
4-5 / 3 / 1 / 2-3
$20 for 500%
RESULT: LOST!
LOW RISK QUADDIE
1-2-4-5 / 1-3 / 1-4-8 / 2-3-9-10
$48 for 50%
RESULT: WON! but lost on the result. No value here today. Collect $33.
MEETING RESULT: Frustrating start to the month. Lost $85
$25 WIN
Race 1 No 2 Punchinello
Liked his trial from Melton 26/11 where he finished 4th. After failing to lead Justice snagged it back to 4 pegs. Never saw daylight until the top of the straight & finished off well. Changeable ran 2nd in that trial & I think Punchinello was the better run. From the draw the lead should be his & at Warragul, that's where you want to be.
RESULT: 2nd. Justice got caught napping when Nathan Jack took off early. Better drive won.
$25 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Hollys Miss Molly
I have a soft spot for this horse as it's won plenty for me in its short career. Gets the draw she loves today in a race lacking depth. Only danger draws the back row
RESULT: 2nd. Change of tactics before the race indicted that she'd lead.. Showed she's definitely better with a sit
$25 WIN
Race 7 No 5 Pass It To Billy
Trial flyer. First up in a much tougher field than it meets today, flew the start but got too fired up in the lead and ran very quick time over the longer distance. Did well to finish 5th. should lead here and around this tight track, it's hard to see it getting rolled
SCRATCHED
HIGH RISK QUADDIE
4-5 / 3 / 1 / 2-3
$20 for 500%
RESULT: LOST!
LOW RISK QUADDIE
1-2-4-5 / 1-3 / 1-4-8 / 2-3-9-10
$48 for 50%
RESULT: WON! but lost on the result. No value here today. Collect $33.
MEETING RESULT: Frustrating start to the month. Lost $85
MIRACLE MILE, Saturday 30 November
MIRACLE MILE FIELD SUMMARY
Smoken Up: An amazing 11yo who showed the harness racing world he'd lost none of his sprinting ability winning the Group 1 Cordina Sprint breaking 1:50 seconds for the mile, which many in this field are yet to do. Has an imposing record at Menangle having had 11 starts for 8 wins, two 2nds and a 3rd. Gate 1 may pose some problems early however it's not often that Lance Justice gets caught on the fence on this bloke and I'd suggest if he was crossed, Lance would be immediately off the fence to pour the pressure on. Either way, he'll give his backers a great run for their money, especially if able to hold the lead.
For A Reason: An injury riddled 7yo old who has gone from strength to strength this preparation. He was breath taking
smashing his rivals and the clock running 1.49.4 for the mile 2 starts back. He was defeated by Restrepo last start in shocking conditions but in my opinion was the better of the 2 runs. Has beaten the majority of his rivals in this race recently and looks perfectly suited from gate 2.
Mach Beauty: One of the most improved pacers in the country over the past 2 years. I remember losing my cash on him in a C1 event just over a year ago at Melton but Tritton has certainly found the key and I'd love to see it win. Has amazing early speed and looks likely to cross Smoken Up early. Looked to be one level below group 1 class when leading in his previous 4 races before taking a sit last start and what improvement he showed. He handed up to Smoken Up and was only beaten 1.2 metres in a slick 1.49.9 second mile rate. He certainly had his chance to win last week and whilst it's hard to see him winning here tonight, with the perfect sit likely to be his, is a strong place chance.
Abettorpunt: (1st Emergency) Unlucky not to gain a start but that could be said for a few horses not in this race. If he
managed to sneak into the field would only be a rough place chance at best
Beautide: The first major talent produced in many a year from Tasmania. He has been super impressive winning it's past 6 races in NSW included an outstanding 10 metre win over For A Reason a month ago hard held! Last start he showed his versatility sitting outside Mach Beauty a drawing away to win easily at Newcastle in 1.52. Not many can do that at Newcastle. If Mach Beauty does cross early, Beautide could be in front not long afterward if Mach Beauty handed up again and would be extremely hard to beat
Christen Me: It's very hard to gauge where this horse is at after a couple of disappointing runs in New Zealand. Didn't run on as expected after being locked away 3 back the fence in the NZ Cup and then never in it over the sprint distance at Addington last start. Did trial well at Menangle 26/11. While its worthwhile noting it's unbeaten at this track and has only been beaten once from 5 attempts over the mile I'm willing to leave him out
Terror To Love: Put up a huge effort to win the NZ Cup last start after missing away from the stand start. He was sent
forward after tacking onto the field and eventually led with a lap to go. He was entitled to weaken in the straight but had the cheek to pull away from his rivals to win easily. That was over the 3200 metres, double the distance he'll get to run tonight. Was one of the favourites to win last year and finished 2nd in what looks to be a much weaker Miracle Mile than what is assembled today. Rough chance only from the draw
Im Victorious: Very impressive WA gelding carrying the hopes of the West with Im The Mighty Quinn out injured. Couldn't have been more impressive in his home state this preparation winning all but one run, due to driver error. One of those wins was over Im The Mighty Quinn in very fast 1.53 mile rate for the Gloucester Park circuit. It's almost impossible to line his form up against his Rivals today but did trial well on Tuesday and looks the best longshot hope of the race. Worth noting, he was extremely unlucky in the Chariots Of Fires at this track and distance behind Christen Me in April. If everything goes his way, can win.
Bitobliss: (2nd emergency) SCRATCHED
Restrepo: After a slightly disappointing preparation early this year, has returned to racing in top fashion the past 2 months, which
included a Nyah Cup win and a 2nd in the Kilmore Cup. Good win in shocking conditions a fortnight ago but did have the perfect run that night and just held off the late challenge from For A Reason. Couldn't have drawn any worse but if they run some crazy speed early, he has the finishing burst to win
SUGGESTED BET:
This is the best Miracle Mile field assembled for some time. Trying to predict where horses will settle in this race is going to be the key to finding the winner. The early battle for the lead is critical to the outcome of this race and I can see that battle being won by Mach Beauty. I don't think it'll hand up meaning Smoken Up is stuck behind the leader or Justice pushing of the fence to take up the death seat. I think the latter will happen somehow, Justice doesn't often get stuck where he doesn't want to. For mine that leaves the race down to 2 major chances, Beautide and For A Reason. I have Beautide settling in the 1x1 & For A Reason 1x2. Its hard to see anything rounding the field mid race as they'll know Smoken Up won't be giving up the breeze so I'd suggest there will be no
fireworks until the whips are cracking. Expect Beautide to come 3 wide at the 400 with For A Reason tracking his every move. For A Reason has improved with each run this preparation and with that type of cart into the race likely, he's the one to beat. All is thrown out the window if Smoken Up does lead but even if it does, For A Reason is likely to be the one sitting on it's back.
$100 WIN FOR A REASON
The Longshot:
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Im Victorious. WA form has held up very well in recent years. His run in the Chariots Of Fire in March where he finished on the
backs of Christen Me & Restrepo hard held is one I haven't forgotten about. Looks a stronger, more versatile horse this time in. Worth an each way ticket at around the $30 quote
RACE 1
$20WIN/$30PLACE
No 5 Garnet River
Flies the gate and looks the early leader here, especially if Brave Wiggy leaves it's manner at home again. This is the weakest race it's contested in sometime and it'll receive every possible chance to win.
RACE 2
$20WIN/$30PLACE
No 8 Black Caprice
Has been very impressive since joining the Tritton camp, capped off with an all the way win over the mile last start. I think it's even better suited over the 2300 metres and with $6 being offered, looks a great EW bet.
Race 4
$20WIN/$30PLACE
No 9 Machin Out
A blackbooker 2 starts back, I jumped off last start, a little worried about how he would handle the Menangle track. No need to worry, he was huge in defeat. Looked gone at the turn after applying all the pressure from the death seat, he fought on extremely
well to only just go down over this distance. Should get a trail into the race tonight which should be more his go. Good EW punt.
Race 5
This is a dead set 2 horse war here between Majestic Mach and Guaranteed. If Majestic Mach gets crossed early it's game on. If he manages to hold the lead it really should be winning. Have a go at the quinella if it's paying enough because that should be a 'Guaranteed' collect.
Race 7
$40WIN/$60PLACE
No 9 Abettorpunt
This 6yo gelding would be out of place lining up in the Miracle Mile field tonight. Had to work extremely hard 3 wide the trip vs Beautide in the Newcastle Mile 2 starts back & had the audacity to kick on & finish 2nd. Last start he had a good smothered 3 pegs but had to peel 3 wide to get into clear running and wasn't disgraced running 3rd to Smoken Up in very quick time. He's going
to need a little bit of luck to go his way tonight but is the form horse of the field.
MEETING RESULT: Staying in Victoria with the tips next week! That was poor tonight but had bugger all luck. Lost $284
Smoken Up: An amazing 11yo who showed the harness racing world he'd lost none of his sprinting ability winning the Group 1 Cordina Sprint breaking 1:50 seconds for the mile, which many in this field are yet to do. Has an imposing record at Menangle having had 11 starts for 8 wins, two 2nds and a 3rd. Gate 1 may pose some problems early however it's not often that Lance Justice gets caught on the fence on this bloke and I'd suggest if he was crossed, Lance would be immediately off the fence to pour the pressure on. Either way, he'll give his backers a great run for their money, especially if able to hold the lead.
For A Reason: An injury riddled 7yo old who has gone from strength to strength this preparation. He was breath taking
smashing his rivals and the clock running 1.49.4 for the mile 2 starts back. He was defeated by Restrepo last start in shocking conditions but in my opinion was the better of the 2 runs. Has beaten the majority of his rivals in this race recently and looks perfectly suited from gate 2.
Mach Beauty: One of the most improved pacers in the country over the past 2 years. I remember losing my cash on him in a C1 event just over a year ago at Melton but Tritton has certainly found the key and I'd love to see it win. Has amazing early speed and looks likely to cross Smoken Up early. Looked to be one level below group 1 class when leading in his previous 4 races before taking a sit last start and what improvement he showed. He handed up to Smoken Up and was only beaten 1.2 metres in a slick 1.49.9 second mile rate. He certainly had his chance to win last week and whilst it's hard to see him winning here tonight, with the perfect sit likely to be his, is a strong place chance.
Abettorpunt: (1st Emergency) Unlucky not to gain a start but that could be said for a few horses not in this race. If he
managed to sneak into the field would only be a rough place chance at best
Beautide: The first major talent produced in many a year from Tasmania. He has been super impressive winning it's past 6 races in NSW included an outstanding 10 metre win over For A Reason a month ago hard held! Last start he showed his versatility sitting outside Mach Beauty a drawing away to win easily at Newcastle in 1.52. Not many can do that at Newcastle. If Mach Beauty does cross early, Beautide could be in front not long afterward if Mach Beauty handed up again and would be extremely hard to beat
Christen Me: It's very hard to gauge where this horse is at after a couple of disappointing runs in New Zealand. Didn't run on as expected after being locked away 3 back the fence in the NZ Cup and then never in it over the sprint distance at Addington last start. Did trial well at Menangle 26/11. While its worthwhile noting it's unbeaten at this track and has only been beaten once from 5 attempts over the mile I'm willing to leave him out
Terror To Love: Put up a huge effort to win the NZ Cup last start after missing away from the stand start. He was sent
forward after tacking onto the field and eventually led with a lap to go. He was entitled to weaken in the straight but had the cheek to pull away from his rivals to win easily. That was over the 3200 metres, double the distance he'll get to run tonight. Was one of the favourites to win last year and finished 2nd in what looks to be a much weaker Miracle Mile than what is assembled today. Rough chance only from the draw
Im Victorious: Very impressive WA gelding carrying the hopes of the West with Im The Mighty Quinn out injured. Couldn't have been more impressive in his home state this preparation winning all but one run, due to driver error. One of those wins was over Im The Mighty Quinn in very fast 1.53 mile rate for the Gloucester Park circuit. It's almost impossible to line his form up against his Rivals today but did trial well on Tuesday and looks the best longshot hope of the race. Worth noting, he was extremely unlucky in the Chariots Of Fires at this track and distance behind Christen Me in April. If everything goes his way, can win.
Bitobliss: (2nd emergency) SCRATCHED
Restrepo: After a slightly disappointing preparation early this year, has returned to racing in top fashion the past 2 months, which
included a Nyah Cup win and a 2nd in the Kilmore Cup. Good win in shocking conditions a fortnight ago but did have the perfect run that night and just held off the late challenge from For A Reason. Couldn't have drawn any worse but if they run some crazy speed early, he has the finishing burst to win
SUGGESTED BET:
This is the best Miracle Mile field assembled for some time. Trying to predict where horses will settle in this race is going to be the key to finding the winner. The early battle for the lead is critical to the outcome of this race and I can see that battle being won by Mach Beauty. I don't think it'll hand up meaning Smoken Up is stuck behind the leader or Justice pushing of the fence to take up the death seat. I think the latter will happen somehow, Justice doesn't often get stuck where he doesn't want to. For mine that leaves the race down to 2 major chances, Beautide and For A Reason. I have Beautide settling in the 1x1 & For A Reason 1x2. Its hard to see anything rounding the field mid race as they'll know Smoken Up won't be giving up the breeze so I'd suggest there will be no
fireworks until the whips are cracking. Expect Beautide to come 3 wide at the 400 with For A Reason tracking his every move. For A Reason has improved with each run this preparation and with that type of cart into the race likely, he's the one to beat. All is thrown out the window if Smoken Up does lead but even if it does, For A Reason is likely to be the one sitting on it's back.
$100 WIN FOR A REASON
The Longshot:
$5WIN/$25PLACE
Im Victorious. WA form has held up very well in recent years. His run in the Chariots Of Fire in March where he finished on the
backs of Christen Me & Restrepo hard held is one I haven't forgotten about. Looks a stronger, more versatile horse this time in. Worth an each way ticket at around the $30 quote
RACE 1
$20WIN/$30PLACE
No 5 Garnet River
Flies the gate and looks the early leader here, especially if Brave Wiggy leaves it's manner at home again. This is the weakest race it's contested in sometime and it'll receive every possible chance to win.
RACE 2
$20WIN/$30PLACE
No 8 Black Caprice
Has been very impressive since joining the Tritton camp, capped off with an all the way win over the mile last start. I think it's even better suited over the 2300 metres and with $6 being offered, looks a great EW bet.
Race 4
$20WIN/$30PLACE
No 9 Machin Out
A blackbooker 2 starts back, I jumped off last start, a little worried about how he would handle the Menangle track. No need to worry, he was huge in defeat. Looked gone at the turn after applying all the pressure from the death seat, he fought on extremely
well to only just go down over this distance. Should get a trail into the race tonight which should be more his go. Good EW punt.
Race 5
This is a dead set 2 horse war here between Majestic Mach and Guaranteed. If Majestic Mach gets crossed early it's game on. If he manages to hold the lead it really should be winning. Have a go at the quinella if it's paying enough because that should be a 'Guaranteed' collect.
Race 7
$40WIN/$60PLACE
No 9 Abettorpunt
This 6yo gelding would be out of place lining up in the Miracle Mile field tonight. Had to work extremely hard 3 wide the trip vs Beautide in the Newcastle Mile 2 starts back & had the audacity to kick on & finish 2nd. Last start he had a good smothered 3 pegs but had to peel 3 wide to get into clear running and wasn't disgraced running 3rd to Smoken Up in very quick time. He's going
to need a little bit of luck to go his way tonight but is the form horse of the field.
MEETING RESULT: Staying in Victoria with the tips next week! That was poor tonight but had bugger all luck. Lost $284
Melton, Saturday 30 November
It may not be the main show but I can't let a Melton meeting go without a punt
ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Innocent Vance
Hard bloke to catch but this race suits. Got stuck 4 back the pegs last start and just had no chance from that far back but ran on ok. Is going to settle behind the leader here and with Greg Sugars in the cart looks a chance at big odds
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Mah Sish
Has been struggling against the best NZ has to offer but has found form when hitting this track in the past. With odds of $15 kicking around is well worth an EW ticket
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 10 No 4 Presidential Secret
Good win last start first up from a spell after having the 1x1 for the last lap & outsprinting them. Young Modern was the better run in the race but at the odds ($4.5 PS vs $1.4 YM) the value is definitely with Presidential Secret. Scketch Me leads early but hands up. Drawing alongside it Presidential Secret should be the one leading with Young Modern left to do it tough in the breeze.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $67.60. Capped off an average night on the punt but what a drive by J Rattary in the MM. I'll still bleeding Im Victorious couldn't snag 3rd
ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Innocent Vance
Hard bloke to catch but this race suits. Got stuck 4 back the pegs last start and just had no chance from that far back but ran on ok. Is going to settle behind the leader here and with Greg Sugars in the cart looks a chance at big odds
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Mah Sish
Has been struggling against the best NZ has to offer but has found form when hitting this track in the past. With odds of $15 kicking around is well worth an EW ticket
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 10 No 4 Presidential Secret
Good win last start first up from a spell after having the 1x1 for the last lap & outsprinting them. Young Modern was the better run in the race but at the odds ($4.5 PS vs $1.4 YM) the value is definitely with Presidential Secret. Scketch Me leads early but hands up. Drawing alongside it Presidential Secret should be the one leading with Young Modern left to do it tough in the breeze.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $67.60. Capped off an average night on the punt but what a drive by J Rattary in the MM. I'll still bleeding Im Victorious couldn't snag 3rd
Ballarat, Friday 29 November
Short n sweet tonight. I'll be concentrating on a big Miracle Mile write up for followers
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Union Belle
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $133.20
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Double Happy
RESULT: LAST! Ouch..
MEETING RESULT: Won $33.20
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Union Belle
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $133.20
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Double Happy
RESULT: LAST! Ouch..
MEETING RESULT: Won $33.20
Bendigo, Thursday 28 November
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Endorsement
I'm pretty bullish about this blokes chances here tonight. Forget it went around at Melton last start. Led from gate 4 and handed up to the favourite. The fav folded up before the turn & dragged Endorsement back through the field to last. Once clear he picked up plenty of ground even though beaten 18 metres. Go back 4 starts where he drew to lead and he belted a C1 class field by 14metres running time. He'll led on his ear here early and I hope he doesn't hand up as I don't think he'll lose if he leads the entire race. Still a good ew punt if he doesn't lead
RESULT: 4th. Nigel handed up, gets stuck behind a tiring leader and come home well once out.. Why oh why didn't he hold the lead.
Race 4 No 1 Endorsement
I'm pretty bullish about this blokes chances here tonight. Forget it went around at Melton last start. Led from gate 4 and handed up to the favourite. The fav folded up before the turn & dragged Endorsement back through the field to last. Once clear he picked up plenty of ground even though beaten 18 metres. Go back 4 starts where he drew to lead and he belted a C1 class field by 14metres running time. He'll led on his ear here early and I hope he doesn't hand up as I don't think he'll lose if he leads the entire race. Still a good ew punt if he doesn't lead
RESULT: 4th. Nigel handed up, gets stuck behind a tiring leader and come home well once out.. Why oh why didn't he hold the lead.
Mildura, Wednesday 27 November
Tough night of racing here at Mildura. Not keen on laying too many bets here tonight.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Sir Pickles Yum Yum
This bloke owes me plenty but this really looks it's race tonight. Desperately unlucky last start after getting stuck behind a tiring leader, once it got out it finished off well. This race is full of average performers and I'd be surprised if he got rolled.
RESULT: 3rd.. Owes me even more. Never again
QUADDIE
1-2-3-5-6-8-11 /1-7 / 4 / 9
$14 for 100%
MEETING RESULT: Lost $64
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 4 Sir Pickles Yum Yum
This bloke owes me plenty but this really looks it's race tonight. Desperately unlucky last start after getting stuck behind a tiring leader, once it got out it finished off well. This race is full of average performers and I'd be surprised if he got rolled.
RESULT: 3rd.. Owes me even more. Never again
QUADDIE
1-2-3-5-6-8-11 /1-7 / 4 / 9
$14 for 100%
MEETING RESULT: Lost $64
Kilmore, Tuesday 26 November
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Ruato Bay
I have no doubt this fella should have won last start after lobbing 3 pegs. Used the sprint lane late and just when it had momentum up, locked wheels with Eyes On The Road who was behind the leader, and lost all momentum, only beaten a couple of metres. Soho Lennon who won has since franked that form by winning against strong 3yo class. It's going to end up 3 pegs again here tonight and with likely favourite Gowan Brae going to have to do it tough, I think a horse having the last crack at them are going to be suited. Lets just hope the run comes at the right time. I've got a lot of time for this horse & think it's going places.
RESULT: 2nd. Shoulda, coulda, woulda... Had the perfect sit on the favourites back but it couldn't take Ruato into the race and faded round the turn. Run on extremely well. Keep following. Collect $60
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Cold Major
Forget he went around last start after being tailed off in a stand start. His trial at Shepparton is one to watch, finished 3rd after coming from last & was hard held to the line against Pinevale Willpower. http://www.sheppartonhrc.com.au/news.php?id=522
He should get a nice cart across from Fifth And Broadway early & sit 1x1 or 1x2 early. Again I've got a high opinion of this horse & if it's close enough is a big winning chance at good odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez the backed it in late. $6 was available early but obviously the poggaharness word was out & was backed into $3.20 fixed. Hope people got on early! Collect $116
##TRIAL FLYER##
Race 6 No 5 Pass It To Billy
Going to find it tough against some in form horses & I'd suggest needs it weaker. Small place bet only if anything.
RESULT: Led them up but pulled too hard. Battled on okay all considering. Will win if in weaker class soon and is better with a sit
QUADDIE
8 - 10 / 2-3-10-11-12 / 4 / 4-7-9
$15 for 50%
RESULT: LOST! Missed the first leg...
MEETING RESULT: Won $61 but was more if you took some odds available early
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Ruato Bay
I have no doubt this fella should have won last start after lobbing 3 pegs. Used the sprint lane late and just when it had momentum up, locked wheels with Eyes On The Road who was behind the leader, and lost all momentum, only beaten a couple of metres. Soho Lennon who won has since franked that form by winning against strong 3yo class. It's going to end up 3 pegs again here tonight and with likely favourite Gowan Brae going to have to do it tough, I think a horse having the last crack at them are going to be suited. Lets just hope the run comes at the right time. I've got a lot of time for this horse & think it's going places.
RESULT: 2nd. Shoulda, coulda, woulda... Had the perfect sit on the favourites back but it couldn't take Ruato into the race and faded round the turn. Run on extremely well. Keep following. Collect $60
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Cold Major
Forget he went around last start after being tailed off in a stand start. His trial at Shepparton is one to watch, finished 3rd after coming from last & was hard held to the line against Pinevale Willpower. http://www.sheppartonhrc.com.au/news.php?id=522
He should get a nice cart across from Fifth And Broadway early & sit 1x1 or 1x2 early. Again I've got a high opinion of this horse & if it's close enough is a big winning chance at good odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez the backed it in late. $6 was available early but obviously the poggaharness word was out & was backed into $3.20 fixed. Hope people got on early! Collect $116
##TRIAL FLYER##
Race 6 No 5 Pass It To Billy
Going to find it tough against some in form horses & I'd suggest needs it weaker. Small place bet only if anything.
RESULT: Led them up but pulled too hard. Battled on okay all considering. Will win if in weaker class soon and is better with a sit
QUADDIE
8 - 10 / 2-3-10-11-12 / 4 / 4-7-9
$15 for 50%
RESULT: LOST! Missed the first leg...
MEETING RESULT: Won $61 but was more if you took some odds available early
Horsham, Monday 25 November
Really not confident on anything here today.. just a small quaddie
QUADDIE
2 / 1-7-8 / 6-9 / 1-2-5
$18 for 100%
RESULT: 3 legs and a 2nd
QUADDIE
2 / 1-7-8 / 6-9 / 1-2-5
$18 for 100%
RESULT: 3 legs and a 2nd
Gunbower. Sunday 24 November
TRIAL
FLYERS RUNNING
Race 1 Young Modern & Presidential Secret. Can't choose between the 2. I'll probably back both for the win if the odds allow.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 9 Nuggetpan
Should get a nice trial through today and just looks to have a bit of class on these.
RESULT: Winner! Super drive B Gath. Collect $125
$50WIN
Race 8 No 4 Ambro Higgens
I just hope Gavin goes forward on this 7yo gelding today. Went back last start & was something licked. I reckon this is a weaker field here today. Should be winning with average luck
RESULT: 2nd. Might be in the sack book after that. Led & had every chance. They did run very good time though.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Daylight Dan.
This fella is a different horse from the stand & I expect him to lead them up early & take a sit to the horse of it's choice. Many of these in this race are either suspect from the stand or the distance both he is not. Whilst he doesn't have the class of most of his rivals, it ticks enough boxes for me to back him at good ew odds.
RESULT: LOST! Everything panned out exactly as I thought, the horse was no where near good enough
MEETING RESULT: Lost $25. Need to stop the rot. Been a bad week!
GEELONG
BEST EACHWAY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Secretary Of State
It's been over 2 years since it's last win but has been working into form of late with it's best run coming last start when running home from well back to snare 3rd in good time. From a similar draw 3 starts back ran a good 2nd to Suspicious Behaviour and this race is no harder.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Collect $66
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Arber
Has been flying for Tim Bolitho this preparation. Last start was a big effort to run 2nd even though beaten a fair way in the St Arnaud Cup. He had to work hard early to settle close to the lead and only saw daylight late when the race was over. From the perfect draw looks a good bet
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance as well. Collect $102
MENANGLE
Some strong races on this card and I'm not keen on taking the short odds on some of the favourites running tonight. Below is how I see the value in tonight's racing:
BEST EACH WAY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Best Deal Yet
Put in a great run when finishing 2nd beaten a neck over a similar distance 2 back @ Newcastle. That was against a similar field. Last start got stuck sitting in the breeze over the sprint trip and did well to hang on for 4th not beaten far. Back to the longer distance tonight suits and from the draw should get cover. Good EW bet at double figure odds
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect sit on the favourites back. Just unfortunate the favourite went backwards and didn't take him into the race.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 5 On The Razzle
First 2 runs for the Belinda McCarthy stable have been full of merit over the sprint trip. Last start he did all the work from the death but keep fighting all the way to the line for a tough 2nd to the smart Freyberg. It can get out of the gate quick & I think that's what it'll do tonight and lead them. Field Officer is definitely the one to beat but at the very short odds, I'd rather back On The Razzle on the EW basis
RESULT: 4th. Led & looked the winner with 100 metres to go but got a stitch!
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Gaius Caesar
You don't have to be Einstein to work out that this race is going to be run at a hectic pace from start to finish. I'm throwing last weeks form out the window due to the very heavy conditions which Gaius Caesar certainly didn't appreciate first up. It's start before that it won the Group 1 Len Smith mile. From the good draw tonight it should slot into a handy position and with the right cart into the race is a chance at big odds .
RESULT: LOST! Took all the sneaky runs & got them but just wasn't good enough
MEETING RESULTS: I think I should stick to Victoria harness! Horrible at Menangle.. Lost $162
BEST EACHWAY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Secretary Of State
It's been over 2 years since it's last win but has been working into form of late with it's best run coming last start when running home from well back to snare 3rd in good time. From a similar draw 3 starts back ran a good 2nd to Suspicious Behaviour and this race is no harder.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Collect $66
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Arber
Has been flying for Tim Bolitho this preparation. Last start was a big effort to run 2nd even though beaten a fair way in the St Arnaud Cup. He had to work hard early to settle close to the lead and only saw daylight late when the race was over. From the perfect draw looks a good bet
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance as well. Collect $102
MENANGLE
Some strong races on this card and I'm not keen on taking the short odds on some of the favourites running tonight. Below is how I see the value in tonight's racing:
BEST EACH WAY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 5 Best Deal Yet
Put in a great run when finishing 2nd beaten a neck over a similar distance 2 back @ Newcastle. That was against a similar field. Last start got stuck sitting in the breeze over the sprint trip and did well to hang on for 4th not beaten far. Back to the longer distance tonight suits and from the draw should get cover. Good EW bet at double figure odds
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect sit on the favourites back. Just unfortunate the favourite went backwards and didn't take him into the race.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 5 On The Razzle
First 2 runs for the Belinda McCarthy stable have been full of merit over the sprint trip. Last start he did all the work from the death but keep fighting all the way to the line for a tough 2nd to the smart Freyberg. It can get out of the gate quick & I think that's what it'll do tonight and lead them. Field Officer is definitely the one to beat but at the very short odds, I'd rather back On The Razzle on the EW basis
RESULT: 4th. Led & looked the winner with 100 metres to go but got a stitch!
THE ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 5 Gaius Caesar
You don't have to be Einstein to work out that this race is going to be run at a hectic pace from start to finish. I'm throwing last weeks form out the window due to the very heavy conditions which Gaius Caesar certainly didn't appreciate first up. It's start before that it won the Group 1 Len Smith mile. From the good draw tonight it should slot into a handy position and with the right cart into the race is a chance at big odds .
RESULT: LOST! Took all the sneaky runs & got them but just wasn't good enough
MEETING RESULTS: I think I should stick to Victoria harness! Horrible at Menangle.. Lost $162
Maryborough, Friday 22 November
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Bettor Move
Looks too good for these & reckon we should get black odds. Should lead and win
RESULT: LOST! Galloped......
QUADDIE
1 / 4-6-10-11 / 1-2-3-4-5-6- 7-9-11-13 / 1-4-7
$30 for 25% (need the fav in the 5th to get rolled!)
For those that know the trotters better than I do, reduce the numbers in the 3rd leg. I usually never take a quad when a trot race is involved..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $80
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Bettor Move
Looks too good for these & reckon we should get black odds. Should lead and win
RESULT: LOST! Galloped......
QUADDIE
1 / 4-6-10-11 / 1-2-3-4-5-6- 7-9-11-13 / 1-4-7
$30 for 25% (need the fav in the 5th to get rolled!)
For those that know the trotters better than I do, reduce the numbers in the 3rd leg. I usually never take a quad when a trot race is involved..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $80
Cranbourne, Friday 22 November
This is an extremely tough meeting to find a winner with many of the races full of non winners but with that being said, there looks to be lots to be a fair bit of value to be had.
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 1 Stormee
Extremely unlucky last start after it was poleaxed early but settled last & circled the field late to finish a close 4th . Was unlucky not to finish closer to Clanceys Fobwatch the start prior as well. Looks in form & the one to beat against this very ordinary field. That being said, it has only won 1 from 31 so small win bet only
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance, doesn't know how to win
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Radiant River
Massive step back in class tonight and you only have to go back 3 starts where it finished 3rd in a 1:56 mile rate. Most of these struggle to run under 2 minutes. Looks too good
RESULT: LOST! Horrible run, horrible drive
BEST EACH WAY
$20WIN/$30WIN
Race 4 No 1 Tarleton Brad
Looked disappointing over the longer trip last start after leading & handing up. Just held its ground late. Was unlucky over the shorter trip 2 back at this track & should've at least run a place against similar class. Back to the sprint trip against some weak animals, it'll have every possible chance here. Worth noting, no third dividend here but I'm still betting EW.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a nostril. Collect $96
THE RUFF ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Coltrane Bromac **BLACKBOOKER**
Lets be honest, it's going to need everything to go right for it to win tonight but it was mighty unlucky in a M0 race at Melton last time. With any sort of luck it wins at $60. This is a strong C4-5 but if it manages to slip into the running line early, in a race that looks to have plenty of speed, it'll flash at them late.
RESULT: LOST! Not suited by the tempo. They absolutely walked in front after the scratchings of 2 of the favs
QUADDIE
1-6-7 / 4 / 1-3-6-8 /1-3-4-7-9-10
$18 for 25%
RESULT: LOST
MEETING RESULT: LOST $77
BEST WIN
$25WIN
Race 1 No 1 Stormee
Extremely unlucky last start after it was poleaxed early but settled last & circled the field late to finish a close 4th . Was unlucky not to finish closer to Clanceys Fobwatch the start prior as well. Looks in form & the one to beat against this very ordinary field. That being said, it has only won 1 from 31 so small win bet only
RESULT: 2nd. Every chance, doesn't know how to win
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Radiant River
Massive step back in class tonight and you only have to go back 3 starts where it finished 3rd in a 1:56 mile rate. Most of these struggle to run under 2 minutes. Looks too good
RESULT: LOST! Horrible run, horrible drive
BEST EACH WAY
$20WIN/$30WIN
Race 4 No 1 Tarleton Brad
Looked disappointing over the longer trip last start after leading & handing up. Just held its ground late. Was unlucky over the shorter trip 2 back at this track & should've at least run a place against similar class. Back to the sprint trip against some weak animals, it'll have every possible chance here. Worth noting, no third dividend here but I'm still betting EW.
RESULT: 2nd. Lost by a nostril. Collect $96
THE RUFF ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Coltrane Bromac **BLACKBOOKER**
Lets be honest, it's going to need everything to go right for it to win tonight but it was mighty unlucky in a M0 race at Melton last time. With any sort of luck it wins at $60. This is a strong C4-5 but if it manages to slip into the running line early, in a race that looks to have plenty of speed, it'll flash at them late.
RESULT: LOST! Not suited by the tempo. They absolutely walked in front after the scratchings of 2 of the favs
QUADDIE
1-6-7 / 4 / 1-3-6-8 /1-3-4-7-9-10
$18 for 25%
RESULT: LOST
MEETING RESULT: LOST $77
Melton, Thursday 21 November
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Nimble Jack
Has been racing well over sprint trips over the past 2 months. I think the change back to the 2140 metres is ideal and with what looks to be plenty of early pace on in this race looks perfectly suited. Hard seeing It missing top 3.
RESULT: 2nd but never looked like the winner. $94.20 collect
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Mustang Mach
Has been racing against some of the best pacers going around of late and hasn't had much luck. Gets a trailing draw here & I wouldn't be surprised seeing him on an early forward move to race in the death, keeping him out of trouble. Looks suited.
RESULT: LOST! Looked like he had the perfect trail into the race until Jaccka Clive handed up & he got stuck 3wide the remainder of the trip.. Good run but that gets us nothing
QUADDIE
4-7 / 9 / 2-4-5-6-9-10-11 / 9
$14 for 100%
RESULT: My 2 one outs let me down
MEETING RESULT: LOST $119.80
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Nimble Jack
Has been racing well over sprint trips over the past 2 months. I think the change back to the 2140 metres is ideal and with what looks to be plenty of early pace on in this race looks perfectly suited. Hard seeing It missing top 3.
RESULT: 2nd but never looked like the winner. $94.20 collect
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Mustang Mach
Has been racing against some of the best pacers going around of late and hasn't had much luck. Gets a trailing draw here & I wouldn't be surprised seeing him on an early forward move to race in the death, keeping him out of trouble. Looks suited.
RESULT: LOST! Looked like he had the perfect trail into the race until Jaccka Clive handed up & he got stuck 3wide the remainder of the trip.. Good run but that gets us nothing
QUADDIE
4-7 / 9 / 2-4-5-6-9-10-11 / 9
$14 for 100%
RESULT: My 2 one outs let me down
MEETING RESULT: LOST $119.80
Mildura. Wednesday 20 November
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Hayabusa Flyer.
The margin it finished behind Romantic Bliss last start was unfair after it was dragged back to last early. Out up a good 4th 2 back & a good 3rd 3 back from poor draws. Should settle top 4 here & gets it's chance
RESULT: 2nd. Good run, winner too good in front. $48 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Hayabusa Flyer.
The margin it finished behind Romantic Bliss last start was unfair after it was dragged back to last early. Out up a good 4th 2 back & a good 3rd 3 back from poor draws. Should settle top 4 here & gets it's chance
RESULT: 2nd. Good run, winner too good in front. $48 collect
Shepparton, Tuesday 19 November
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Tuxedo Toff.
I've been waiting for this fella to return to the track. One had one start for a good 3rd (4th was a further 15metres behind it) 10 months ago. Has had 2 trial wins since, one in September where it beat Sword & Pistol and then again in October. It draws behind a risky beginner which is a concern but if it manages to get a safe getaway, should be going very close to winning this.
RESULT: 3rd. Looked the winner a far way but not good enough. $120 collect
THE ROUGH ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Tom Grainger
**NO BET IF THE 1 (emergency) GAINS A START**
This bloke has been going okay from unfavourable positions of late against strong C1 horses. From the 1 gate it should have enough speed to lead or be behind the leader. Id rather it led as it is a one paced horse but still a rough chance if it doesn't. It is yet to win since arriving from NZ and has had it's chances but has caught my eye of late. Should be getting big odds here so worth a risk.
RESULT: 3rd. Started $7! A whole lot shorter than I thought it'd be.. Collect $48
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Pedro
Geez this is a risky bet, backing Ray Long who hasn't driven a winner since I had hair and basing the tip on the horses run 5 starts ago, his debut. That night he had a run similar to the one he's likely to receive tonight, smothered on the pegs. He was held up at a vital stage that night but ran on well to finish 5th not far off them. Crusader Acey ran 2nd that night. Has had excuses from poor draws since then. This is a very weak field & with the 1 being the likely leader all Ray has to do is hold the back of the leader to be a chance.
RESULT: LOST! Sorry all. That was probably the worst selection I've ever submitted. Got the run, the horse is just a milk drinker
MEETING RESULT: Lost $12
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 9 Tuxedo Toff.
I've been waiting for this fella to return to the track. One had one start for a good 3rd (4th was a further 15metres behind it) 10 months ago. Has had 2 trial wins since, one in September where it beat Sword & Pistol and then again in October. It draws behind a risky beginner which is a concern but if it manages to get a safe getaway, should be going very close to winning this.
RESULT: 3rd. Looked the winner a far way but not good enough. $120 collect
THE ROUGH ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Tom Grainger
**NO BET IF THE 1 (emergency) GAINS A START**
This bloke has been going okay from unfavourable positions of late against strong C1 horses. From the 1 gate it should have enough speed to lead or be behind the leader. Id rather it led as it is a one paced horse but still a rough chance if it doesn't. It is yet to win since arriving from NZ and has had it's chances but has caught my eye of late. Should be getting big odds here so worth a risk.
RESULT: 3rd. Started $7! A whole lot shorter than I thought it'd be.. Collect $48
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 9 Pedro
Geez this is a risky bet, backing Ray Long who hasn't driven a winner since I had hair and basing the tip on the horses run 5 starts ago, his debut. That night he had a run similar to the one he's likely to receive tonight, smothered on the pegs. He was held up at a vital stage that night but ran on well to finish 5th not far off them. Crusader Acey ran 2nd that night. Has had excuses from poor draws since then. This is a very weak field & with the 1 being the likely leader all Ray has to do is hold the back of the leader to be a chance.
RESULT: LOST! Sorry all. That was probably the worst selection I've ever submitted. Got the run, the horse is just a milk drinker
MEETING RESULT: Lost $12
Stawell, Monday 18 November
Tough meeting here. Just the 6 races and not keen on much but here's my thoughts on a quaddie:
6 / 1-2-5-9-10 / 1-2-4-5-9 / 1-7-9-10
$25 for 25%
6 / 1-2-5-9-10 / 1-2-4-5-9 / 1-7-9-10
$25 for 25%
Ballarat, Sunday 17 November
Tricky little meeting this but again just trying to pick out the value:
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 6 Terra Beau
One of my favourite horses in recent times. Always seems to get out to big odds, probably rightly so with 1 win from 16 starts, but continues to run places at huge odds. Won for me last time at $31. Tonight it'll lead from gate 6 and the Ballarat track should suit. Forget it went round last start after drawing the back row and getting pushed 4 & 5 wide before the last turn before dropping out. That's not his go. Shouldn't have to go around a horse tonight.
RESULT: WINNER!! Thought it was gone at the turn but the leaders drifted & once the run presented his picked up the bit again and got the job done. That one felt good.. Collect $694
BEST EW
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Manuka Man
Obviously review the prices before betting here, back straight out if too short.. Before a short spell, his 2 2nds behind Jazz King were huge. Has ben trialing very well in preparation for this race. Only danger is Bushrod, NZer first up for Dean Bruan & it's not often they lose first up. Going to still with my initial thoughts & back the already proven Manuka Man as I reckon it has some sort of future.
RESULT: 3rd. Never looked comfortable to be honest. Settled last & made the move 3 wide on his lonesome but was no match for the first 2. Collect $98
MEETING RESULT: Im baaacccck! Won $642
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 6 Terra Beau
One of my favourite horses in recent times. Always seems to get out to big odds, probably rightly so with 1 win from 16 starts, but continues to run places at huge odds. Won for me last time at $31. Tonight it'll lead from gate 6 and the Ballarat track should suit. Forget it went round last start after drawing the back row and getting pushed 4 & 5 wide before the last turn before dropping out. That's not his go. Shouldn't have to go around a horse tonight.
RESULT: WINNER!! Thought it was gone at the turn but the leaders drifted & once the run presented his picked up the bit again and got the job done. That one felt good.. Collect $694
BEST EW
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 6 No 5 Manuka Man
Obviously review the prices before betting here, back straight out if too short.. Before a short spell, his 2 2nds behind Jazz King were huge. Has ben trialing very well in preparation for this race. Only danger is Bushrod, NZer first up for Dean Bruan & it's not often they lose first up. Going to still with my initial thoughts & back the already proven Manuka Man as I reckon it has some sort of future.
RESULT: 3rd. Never looked comfortable to be honest. Settled last & made the move 3 wide on his lonesome but was no match for the first 2. Collect $98
MEETING RESULT: Im baaacccck! Won $642
Melton and Menangle, Saturday 16 November
What another super Saturday night racing we have once again in both Melbourne & Sydney. Melton sees a strong field contest the Neville Welsh pace whilst Menangle hold centre stage with the running of the Group 1 Coca Cola Amatil Sprint. The winner receives an automatic invite to the Miracle Mile so the racing will be keen to say the least.
Menangle Best Bets
$100WIN
Race 2 No 2 Amajorjo
Was a huge run winning from the death at Newcastle last week over the unsuitable 2030 metres. Not many pacers can do that at Newcastle. 2 starts back again was forced to do all the work in the breeze & only weakened late in the piece to finish 5th against Victoria's best sprinters. Tonight from the great draw, it looks like the lead is it's for the taking and with the sort of sectionals he produces, they'll find it mighty tough to get past him.
RESULT: 2nd. Got the overs @ $2.20 but couldn't finish off the job
$50WIN
Race 5 No 6 Restrepo.
I have loved the way this horse has returned to racing. 2 starts back was a huge run in the Kilmore Cup. After settling midfield he was the only horse to make up any sort of ground out wide to run into 2nd. Then won with arrogance at Melton last week in 1:52 after sitting off a hot pace over the sprint distance. From the draw tonight I think it'll settle 1x2 or 1x3 in a guaranteed fast run race. He's going to be mighty hard to beat if that eventuates.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $230
MELTON BEST BETS
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Bon Jovi
Been in super form of late and grows a leg when able to lead. Franco Jackson does have early pace inside him but I still think Bon Jovi has the pace to cross which will be the key to this race. He showed 2 starts back he can be pressured over this distance and still pack a punch in the last 200 metres. There maybe a little bit of pressure on in this race but at the each way odds looks the value in the race.
RESULT: LOST! Horrid
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 American Muscle.
How unlucky has this bloke been of late in super fields. Last start was driven for luck and got some late splits to run into 3rd place against Restrepo. The start previous he worked hard early but had no luck late in trying to secure a run and again was out too late to finish 3rd to Im Corzin Terror. Tonight he finally draws the front row and it would be a major surprise not to see him in front after the first 400 metres. From there he will be near impossible to run down
RESULT: 2nd. Rolled by the smart Im Corzin Terror.
THE ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Mister Sheedy
Forget it's past 2 runs when never put into the race. He was good from a 10m handicap behind the tapes when just worked too hard early & weakened late. The start previous he led all the way at Cranbourne. I reckon he's a sneaky chance to led them here tonight with little to no speed on his inside apart from the 5. If he finds himself in front early, The $25 on offer at the minute is juicy
RESULT: LOST! Plain run. Couldn't cross early but still received a nice sit. Did little
$25 PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Pete Of Pan
Returned from a spell with a last against open company last start from a bad draw but was only beaten 7 metres. The draw for him tonight is perfect and he seems to run his best races over this distance. Back to claimer class, although there are some strong claimers in this, he's a fair chance to sneak a place at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Had the sit I thought it would & did nothing
MEETING RESULT: A big thanks to Restrepo otherwise it would've been a wipeout tonight. Lost $195
Menangle Best Bets
$100WIN
Race 2 No 2 Amajorjo
Was a huge run winning from the death at Newcastle last week over the unsuitable 2030 metres. Not many pacers can do that at Newcastle. 2 starts back again was forced to do all the work in the breeze & only weakened late in the piece to finish 5th against Victoria's best sprinters. Tonight from the great draw, it looks like the lead is it's for the taking and with the sort of sectionals he produces, they'll find it mighty tough to get past him.
RESULT: 2nd. Got the overs @ $2.20 but couldn't finish off the job
$50WIN
Race 5 No 6 Restrepo.
I have loved the way this horse has returned to racing. 2 starts back was a huge run in the Kilmore Cup. After settling midfield he was the only horse to make up any sort of ground out wide to run into 2nd. Then won with arrogance at Melton last week in 1:52 after sitting off a hot pace over the sprint distance. From the draw tonight I think it'll settle 1x2 or 1x3 in a guaranteed fast run race. He's going to be mighty hard to beat if that eventuates.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $230
MELTON BEST BETS
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 4 Bon Jovi
Been in super form of late and grows a leg when able to lead. Franco Jackson does have early pace inside him but I still think Bon Jovi has the pace to cross which will be the key to this race. He showed 2 starts back he can be pressured over this distance and still pack a punch in the last 200 metres. There maybe a little bit of pressure on in this race but at the each way odds looks the value in the race.
RESULT: LOST! Horrid
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 American Muscle.
How unlucky has this bloke been of late in super fields. Last start was driven for luck and got some late splits to run into 3rd place against Restrepo. The start previous he worked hard early but had no luck late in trying to secure a run and again was out too late to finish 3rd to Im Corzin Terror. Tonight he finally draws the front row and it would be a major surprise not to see him in front after the first 400 metres. From there he will be near impossible to run down
RESULT: 2nd. Rolled by the smart Im Corzin Terror.
THE ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Mister Sheedy
Forget it's past 2 runs when never put into the race. He was good from a 10m handicap behind the tapes when just worked too hard early & weakened late. The start previous he led all the way at Cranbourne. I reckon he's a sneaky chance to led them here tonight with little to no speed on his inside apart from the 5. If he finds himself in front early, The $25 on offer at the minute is juicy
RESULT: LOST! Plain run. Couldn't cross early but still received a nice sit. Did little
$25 PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Pete Of Pan
Returned from a spell with a last against open company last start from a bad draw but was only beaten 7 metres. The draw for him tonight is perfect and he seems to run his best races over this distance. Back to claimer class, although there are some strong claimers in this, he's a fair chance to sneak a place at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Had the sit I thought it would & did nothing
MEETING RESULT: A big thanks to Restrepo otherwise it would've been a wipeout tonight. Lost $195
It's a fairly lowly rated Bendigo meeting on here tonight thanks to the strong Saturday night card at Melton but there is still some competitive racing on that I'm keen to punt on:
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Ambro Higgens
It's run 1st up from a spell was full of merit. Settled back at the tail from a bad draw which was not the place to be on the back of a slow lead time. Having said that he ran on very well late to finish 3rd in a 56.8 second last half. That's impressive going considering he would've been close to 20 metres off the leader with 400 metres to go. From the better draw tonight it'll either lead or settle in the death. From either position I think it'll be too good.
RESULT: 2nd.. and I'm frustrated. Had to go forward early for mine but Gav elected to go back. Gets beaten a half head.. hmmm
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Magical Telf
$2.20 on offer from bookmaker.com.au looks mighty attractive early on. If you forget Magical Telf's run in the Kilmore Cup where it missed away from the stand, it's form really stacks up. A 2nd to Amajorjo over the sprint trip after running 3 wide the last lap in a 55.5 second last half going down by a head. Amajorjo has franked that form with a big 5th in the Kilmore Sprint & then blew them away at Newcastle last week. The start before that Magical Telf beat Chancellor Cullen and Restrepo, say no more! Has to beat Jazz King who is the current favourite but match up both form lines & for me, there is only one you want to be on here, even if Jazz King leads.
SCRATCHED!!
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Hugh
I was on this fella last start and he was a little disappointing after gaining the 1x1. I'm happy to forgive that as I think it's best suited when able to lead or sit leaders back which he'll get tonight. Once they settle it's hard to see where the pressure is going to come from so I'd suggest you're going to want to up on the lead in this race.
RESULT: WINNER!! You beauty Anne-Marie! Didn't push him out early so wasted no petrol at all & still sat behind the leader. The run came at the perfect time in the sprint lane & he was too good. Collect $416
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Waterhorse
Was just a run in a strong claimer won by Smudge Bromac last start. Back to a weaker claimer class tonight following out the likely leader looks perfect. My only concern is the form of Longtan Luke. Really need that horse to take us into the sprint lane to be a chance. Hopefully he does.
RESULT: 3rd. No he didn't. Got out late & ran home ok but too late she cried. Collect $133
BEST ROUGHY
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Buriton Bailey
Good first up run when he ran on well in a 56 second last half. Draws to get the same run 3 back the pegs here tonight & if the 2 favourites cut at each other he's a big chance to run into the placings off a soft sit. $4.30 with bookmaker.com.au
RESULT: LOST! Never got a crack at them
BEST EXOTIC
Race 7 $20 TRIFECTA for 1000%
4 / 1-8 / 1-8
RESULT: Jaccka Luke every chance & Buriton never got a run
QUADDIE
5 / 1-2-8-11-12 / 1-3-4-8-12 / 4
$25 for 100%
Changing up the quad with the scratching of Magical Telf. Not so sure if it should be as short as it is Jazz King but it 'should' win now. Worried about 1 & 8 in that leg
RESULT: LOST! And by a half head in the first leg. Had the rest. Quad pays $640. Maybe $400-$500 if Ambro wins. Not happy
MEETING RESULT: A good night thanks to Hugh. $279 profit
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Ambro Higgens
It's run 1st up from a spell was full of merit. Settled back at the tail from a bad draw which was not the place to be on the back of a slow lead time. Having said that he ran on very well late to finish 3rd in a 56.8 second last half. That's impressive going considering he would've been close to 20 metres off the leader with 400 metres to go. From the better draw tonight it'll either lead or settle in the death. From either position I think it'll be too good.
RESULT: 2nd.. and I'm frustrated. Had to go forward early for mine but Gav elected to go back. Gets beaten a half head.. hmmm
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Magical Telf
$2.20 on offer from bookmaker.com.au looks mighty attractive early on. If you forget Magical Telf's run in the Kilmore Cup where it missed away from the stand, it's form really stacks up. A 2nd to Amajorjo over the sprint trip after running 3 wide the last lap in a 55.5 second last half going down by a head. Amajorjo has franked that form with a big 5th in the Kilmore Sprint & then blew them away at Newcastle last week. The start before that Magical Telf beat Chancellor Cullen and Restrepo, say no more! Has to beat Jazz King who is the current favourite but match up both form lines & for me, there is only one you want to be on here, even if Jazz King leads.
SCRATCHED!!
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Hugh
I was on this fella last start and he was a little disappointing after gaining the 1x1. I'm happy to forgive that as I think it's best suited when able to lead or sit leaders back which he'll get tonight. Once they settle it's hard to see where the pressure is going to come from so I'd suggest you're going to want to up on the lead in this race.
RESULT: WINNER!! You beauty Anne-Marie! Didn't push him out early so wasted no petrol at all & still sat behind the leader. The run came at the perfect time in the sprint lane & he was too good. Collect $416
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Waterhorse
Was just a run in a strong claimer won by Smudge Bromac last start. Back to a weaker claimer class tonight following out the likely leader looks perfect. My only concern is the form of Longtan Luke. Really need that horse to take us into the sprint lane to be a chance. Hopefully he does.
RESULT: 3rd. No he didn't. Got out late & ran home ok but too late she cried. Collect $133
BEST ROUGHY
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Buriton Bailey
Good first up run when he ran on well in a 56 second last half. Draws to get the same run 3 back the pegs here tonight & if the 2 favourites cut at each other he's a big chance to run into the placings off a soft sit. $4.30 with bookmaker.com.au
RESULT: LOST! Never got a crack at them
BEST EXOTIC
Race 7 $20 TRIFECTA for 1000%
4 / 1-8 / 1-8
RESULT: Jaccka Luke every chance & Buriton never got a run
QUADDIE
5 / 1-2-8-11-12 / 1-3-4-8-12 / 4
$25 for 100%
Changing up the quad with the scratching of Magical Telf. Not so sure if it should be as short as it is Jazz King but it 'should' win now. Worried about 1 & 8 in that leg
RESULT: LOST! And by a half head in the first leg. Had the rest. Quad pays $640. Maybe $400-$500 if Ambro wins. Not happy
MEETING RESULT: A good night thanks to Hugh. $279 profit
Cranbourne, Thursday 14 November
THE ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Inclinator.
Horrible record but I reckon it's been stiff of late. Never got out from 3 back the pegs last start & only finished 7 metres from the winner. Has gate speed so it'll either lead you sit leaders back here. Worth the risk for mine especially if double figure odds
RESULT: 4th. Got stuck 3 back the pegs but had it's chance to at least run a place
$25PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Rainless.
Worked very hard early last start in a 60 second first half & only weakened late in a 1:58 mr for the 2150 metres in a stronger rac than this. Was 2nd up in that race & with a likely mad early speed in this race & the rail the place to be over the 1609metres at Cranbourne, I reckon he can sneaky a place at what should be big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Lets never mention this tip again.....
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Lombo Flashlight
Back to a suitable class here tonight after racing at Melton. Likes this track & distance. Last time around it it beat Sals Mo in 1:58 secs. Just needs the right drag into the race.
RESULT: WINNER! BAM!! Get a drag into the race? Bugger that said Zac, I'll win it from the death! Won easily. Collect $296
MEETING RESULT: Won $121
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Inclinator.
Horrible record but I reckon it's been stiff of late. Never got out from 3 back the pegs last start & only finished 7 metres from the winner. Has gate speed so it'll either lead you sit leaders back here. Worth the risk for mine especially if double figure odds
RESULT: 4th. Got stuck 3 back the pegs but had it's chance to at least run a place
$25PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Rainless.
Worked very hard early last start in a 60 second first half & only weakened late in a 1:58 mr for the 2150 metres in a stronger rac than this. Was 2nd up in that race & with a likely mad early speed in this race & the rail the place to be over the 1609metres at Cranbourne, I reckon he can sneaky a place at what should be big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Lets never mention this tip again.....
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Lombo Flashlight
Back to a suitable class here tonight after racing at Melton. Likes this track & distance. Last time around it it beat Sals Mo in 1:58 secs. Just needs the right drag into the race.
RESULT: WINNER! BAM!! Get a drag into the race? Bugger that said Zac, I'll win it from the death! Won easily. Collect $296
MEETING RESULT: Won $121
Mildura, Wednesday 13 November
Not keen on this meeting at all. But for the sake of having a punt for punts sake, here's a quaddie!
1-3-7-8 / 3-4-5 / 1-3 / 1-6-7-8
$24 for 25%
RESULT: WINNER! $47.70 collect, woowweeeee...
MEETING RESULT: $23.70 profit
1-3-7-8 / 3-4-5 / 1-3 / 1-6-7-8
$24 for 25%
RESULT: WINNER! $47.70 collect, woowweeeee...
MEETING RESULT: $23.70 profit
Terang, Tuesday 12 November
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Big Gorilla.
He's hit a flat patch over the past month but showed a return to form last start with a good 2nd. It'll lead here tonight & I think the 1 is the only danger if there is any at all. He beat the 1 on it's merits last start so I'm going in confident here.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but I'll take it! Collect $230
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Joelissa
Was a huge run first up after being 3 wide the trip & only being beaten 2 metres. His form was bloody terrible before that so tread warily but this is a very weak race & a repeat of last start wins this
RESULT: LOST! Horrible, absolutely horrible. Looked to be bolting on the turn & found zilch
QUADDIE
With a few shorties I'm confident on this 'should' be an easy collect!
3-4-5-6 / 4 / 6 / 1-3-4-7-8 $20 for 100%
RESULT: WINNER! Not breaking the bank but still tripled our money. $77.30 collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $137.30
$100WIN
Race 5 No 4 Big Gorilla.
He's hit a flat patch over the past month but showed a return to form last start with a good 2nd. It'll lead here tonight & I think the 1 is the only danger if there is any at all. He beat the 1 on it's merits last start so I'm going in confident here.
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but I'll take it! Collect $230
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Joelissa
Was a huge run first up after being 3 wide the trip & only being beaten 2 metres. His form was bloody terrible before that so tread warily but this is a very weak race & a repeat of last start wins this
RESULT: LOST! Horrible, absolutely horrible. Looked to be bolting on the turn & found zilch
QUADDIE
With a few shorties I'm confident on this 'should' be an easy collect!
3-4-5-6 / 4 / 6 / 1-3-4-7-8 $20 for 100%
RESULT: WINNER! Not breaking the bank but still tripled our money. $77.30 collect
MEETING RESULT: Won $137.30
Cobram, Monday 11 November
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Catchyoureye
Forget his first up run at this rack over the short course when it raced in the death. He's shown in his short career he's much better over the longer trip. Before his first up run he had been trialling well against higher graded horses. From the draw today it should settle behind the leader & be a sneaky chance in the sprint lane
RESULT: 4th, every chance
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Fast Rockin Paige
Finally gets a good draw and should be getting every opportunity to break its duck today. Should be leading or leaders back & it's hard to see it getting rolled
RESULT: LOST! Ordinary effort after a soft run
Race 5 No 4 Gangster Boy
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Thought his run was huge when death seating after challenging hard for the lead. Kept plugging away to only be beaten 6 metres running 3rd. Draws to lead today & should receive every opportunity
RESULT: 2nd. He did have every opportunity but couldn't hold of the sprint laning Gavin Lang. Collect $84
Race 6 No 1 Arriens
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Been good winning its past 2 by sitting behind the leader & outsprinting it's opposition. Draws to receive that exact run here again today
RESULT: 4th. Every chance but didn't find today
MEETING RESULT: A shocker today.. Lost $266
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Catchyoureye
Forget his first up run at this rack over the short course when it raced in the death. He's shown in his short career he's much better over the longer trip. Before his first up run he had been trialling well against higher graded horses. From the draw today it should settle behind the leader & be a sneaky chance in the sprint lane
RESULT: 4th, every chance
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Fast Rockin Paige
Finally gets a good draw and should be getting every opportunity to break its duck today. Should be leading or leaders back & it's hard to see it getting rolled
RESULT: LOST! Ordinary effort after a soft run
Race 5 No 4 Gangster Boy
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Thought his run was huge when death seating after challenging hard for the lead. Kept plugging away to only be beaten 6 metres running 3rd. Draws to lead today & should receive every opportunity
RESULT: 2nd. He did have every opportunity but couldn't hold of the sprint laning Gavin Lang. Collect $84
Race 6 No 1 Arriens
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Been good winning its past 2 by sitting behind the leader & outsprinting it's opposition. Draws to receive that exact run here again today
RESULT: 4th. Every chance but didn't find today
MEETING RESULT: A shocker today.. Lost $266
Newcastle & Melton, Saturday 9 November
What a super night of harness racing with Melton holding the Group 2 Legends sprint but Newcastle really takes centre stage with the Group 2 Newcastle sprint, the lead into the Miracle Mile. An exciting night's racing for the harness racing purist.
NEWCASTLE
BEST EACH WAY
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Abettorpunt
Has come back in superb form this time in, including a strong win from the death seat in the Geelong Rocket & another tough effort in the Nyah Cup. Tonight's Newcastle mile looks like a speed fest early on & Abettorpunt will be smoking the pipe at the back of the field awaiting the last crack at these. If the pace is ridiculous, which I predict it maybe with the likes of Mach Beauty and Beautide racing best on the speed, it will suit Abettorpunt's racing pattern perfectly. A great each way bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $133
THE ROUGHY
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Bettor Draw
Was extremely unlucky last start against For A Reason in a 1:49 mile rate. Had his run stopped 3 times down the straight but was still running on hard late and really should've finished 2nd for mine. It will need luck from the wide draw but with $80 being offered around, worth a place ticket at least.
RESULT: LOST!
MELTON
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Dominus Vobiscum
Has been racing against Victoria's best pacers in recent times and hasn't been disgraced. Back to M1 class here tonight looks ideal for him to get back on the winners list. Possesses fast early speed which should see him in front and from there looks very hard to beat.
RESULT: LOST!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 La Machane
She has been okay running from positions against her racing pattern. Tonight from the gun 1 gate, she'll position to get the perfect sit which will enable her to use that fast finishing burst she has.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $150
BEST PLACE BET
$100 PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Road To Rock
Grows a leg when drawing the pegs & tonight from gate 8, will position 3 back the pegs. Early speed indicates Call Of Duty holding them out to the first corner but I'd suggest it will hand up to Metro Mike. From 3 pegs & with Metro Mike likely to have a big break rounding the turn, Road TO Rock should have no excuses not to run into the placings.
RESULT: 3rd. $230 collect
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Melpark Major
Forget it went around last start after being restrained to last and was never put into the race. Back to a front row draw he can lead from, the 1720 metres looks ideal. This is a risky bet as if he can't cross early then his chances are all but gone but I think the engagement of Michael Bellman, one of Victoria's most inform drivers on the country circuit is key.
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Won $133
NEWCASTLE
BEST EACH WAY
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Abettorpunt
Has come back in superb form this time in, including a strong win from the death seat in the Geelong Rocket & another tough effort in the Nyah Cup. Tonight's Newcastle mile looks like a speed fest early on & Abettorpunt will be smoking the pipe at the back of the field awaiting the last crack at these. If the pace is ridiculous, which I predict it maybe with the likes of Mach Beauty and Beautide racing best on the speed, it will suit Abettorpunt's racing pattern perfectly. A great each way bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $133
THE ROUGHY
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Bettor Draw
Was extremely unlucky last start against For A Reason in a 1:49 mile rate. Had his run stopped 3 times down the straight but was still running on hard late and really should've finished 2nd for mine. It will need luck from the wide draw but with $80 being offered around, worth a place ticket at least.
RESULT: LOST!
MELTON
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Dominus Vobiscum
Has been racing against Victoria's best pacers in recent times and hasn't been disgraced. Back to M1 class here tonight looks ideal for him to get back on the winners list. Possesses fast early speed which should see him in front and from there looks very hard to beat.
RESULT: LOST!
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 La Machane
She has been okay running from positions against her racing pattern. Tonight from the gun 1 gate, she'll position to get the perfect sit which will enable her to use that fast finishing burst she has.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $150
BEST PLACE BET
$100 PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Road To Rock
Grows a leg when drawing the pegs & tonight from gate 8, will position 3 back the pegs. Early speed indicates Call Of Duty holding them out to the first corner but I'd suggest it will hand up to Metro Mike. From 3 pegs & with Metro Mike likely to have a big break rounding the turn, Road TO Rock should have no excuses not to run into the placings.
RESULT: 3rd. $230 collect
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Melpark Major
Forget it went around last start after being restrained to last and was never put into the race. Back to a front row draw he can lead from, the 1720 metres looks ideal. This is a risky bet as if he can't cross early then his chances are all but gone but I think the engagement of Michael Bellman, one of Victoria's most inform drivers on the country circuit is key.
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Won $133
Ballarat, Friday 8 November
THANKS TO BETTINGPRO
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 2 No 2 Blackwarrior.
Should lead on it's ear here and there doesn't seem to be a whole lot of pressure in the race. Should be winning easily
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but I'll take it! Collect $135
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 10 Guggenheim
Fought on extremely well after making a mid race move in the heat of this race to race in the death only to be beaten by 8 metres. Fitter here & drawn to get a good sit handy to the lead. I'm keen at what should be good odds here.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every opportunity to run the favourite down in the straight but just couldn't reel it in. Collect $75
BEST PLACE BET
$50PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Ringtripleowe
The type of horse who loves a cold sit on the pegs & that's where he'll settle tonight, 3 back the pegs. I highly doubt he can win but he'll outsprint the 1 & looks a great place bet
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance to hold 3rd but not good enough over a perfect sit. Disappointing
MEETING RESULT: Won $10!
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 2 No 2 Blackwarrior.
Should lead on it's ear here and there doesn't seem to be a whole lot of pressure in the race. Should be winning easily
RESULT: WINNER! Fell in but I'll take it! Collect $135
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 10 Guggenheim
Fought on extremely well after making a mid race move in the heat of this race to race in the death only to be beaten by 8 metres. Fitter here & drawn to get a good sit handy to the lead. I'm keen at what should be good odds here.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every opportunity to run the favourite down in the straight but just couldn't reel it in. Collect $75
BEST PLACE BET
$50PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Ringtripleowe
The type of horse who loves a cold sit on the pegs & that's where he'll settle tonight, 3 back the pegs. I highly doubt he can win but he'll outsprint the 1 & looks a great place bet
RESULT: 4th. Every possible chance to hold 3rd but not good enough over a perfect sit. Disappointing
MEETING RESULT: Won $10!
Yarra Valley, Thursday 7 November
aks day sees a very ordinary meeting here but I think we can snag a couple of winners:
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 6 Giveitaname
Impressive winning 1st up in an almost identical claimer from the same draw last start. Should be suited by the Yarra Valley track as well. Looks the winner
RESULT: Winner! BAM $210 collect
$50WIN
Race 3 No 3 Satisfied Grin.
Flying under the training of Glenn Douglas. Will lead & control the race. Hard seeing him getting beat here.
RESULT: 3rd Started short & was shocking. Never again
BEST EW
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Please Don't Talk
Will settled on the back of the favourite here and have every chance. Seems to lack the high speed to win over the sprint trip hence a couple of disappointing result in recent times but back to 2150 metres looks ideal.
RESULT: 2nd Every chance. $98.70
QUADDIE
3 / 1-2 / 4-5 / 2-6 $32 for 400%
RESULT: No good!
MEETING RESULT: Won $76.70
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 6 Giveitaname
Impressive winning 1st up in an almost identical claimer from the same draw last start. Should be suited by the Yarra Valley track as well. Looks the winner
RESULT: Winner! BAM $210 collect
$50WIN
Race 3 No 3 Satisfied Grin.
Flying under the training of Glenn Douglas. Will lead & control the race. Hard seeing him getting beat here.
RESULT: 3rd Started short & was shocking. Never again
BEST EW
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Please Don't Talk
Will settled on the back of the favourite here and have every chance. Seems to lack the high speed to win over the sprint trip hence a couple of disappointing result in recent times but back to 2150 metres looks ideal.
RESULT: 2nd Every chance. $98.70
QUADDIE
3 / 1-2 / 4-5 / 2-6 $32 for 400%
RESULT: No good!
MEETING RESULT: Won $76.70
TERANG, Monday 4 November
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 9 Twentyfivetolife
Super win last start & from the draw he should push through to be handy enough early. With plenty of speed on, should be perfectly suited. Looks the winner
RESULT: WINNER! Lovely odds too. $185 collect.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 9 Twentyfivetolife
Super win last start & from the draw he should push through to be handy enough early. With plenty of speed on, should be perfectly suited. Looks the winner
RESULT: WINNER! Lovely odds too. $185 collect.
Geelong, Monday 4 November
Struggled to find value on the card but I think the should at least triple our money, a Greg Sugars double.
$50 ALL UP
Race 1 No 3 Clancys Fobwatch (WIN)
Changed stables from Lang to Sugars & if it shows half the ability it had with Lang as it does with Sugars, this will be an easy kill. Ran a good 2nd to Sandy Kay in a trial @ Melton on the 29th of October when not extended by Sugars at all. I'm expecting a big prep for this fella
Race 7 No 2 Our Burning Desire
Was good first up over the sprint distance. Thought it should've won but got outstayed by Mister Rufus. Today looks like the lead is his & in race that looks to have little speed it will have every chance
RESULT: WINNER! but very short, a lot shorter than I thought they'd be. Collect $91
DAY RESULT: Won $176
$50 ALL UP
Race 1 No 3 Clancys Fobwatch (WIN)
Changed stables from Lang to Sugars & if it shows half the ability it had with Lang as it does with Sugars, this will be an easy kill. Ran a good 2nd to Sandy Kay in a trial @ Melton on the 29th of October when not extended by Sugars at all. I'm expecting a big prep for this fella
Race 7 No 2 Our Burning Desire
Was good first up over the sprint distance. Thought it should've won but got outstayed by Mister Rufus. Today looks like the lead is his & in race that looks to have little speed it will have every chance
RESULT: WINNER! but very short, a lot shorter than I thought they'd be. Collect $91
DAY RESULT: Won $176
Maryborough, Sunday 3 November
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Hugh.
This bloke is a bit of a non winner but it's first up run was a beauty after doing all the work & just getting knocked off at Melton. This is a stronger field but from the draw he looks like receiving a good run in transit and at good ew odds will give us a run for our money.
RESULT: LOST! Had the nice 1x1 cover but just plugged away
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Bit Of A Babe.
I've never been a huge fan of this horse but over the sprint trip & from the gun draw, there should be no excuses for it today
RESULT: 2nd. No match for the fav
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Jukebox Music
He was probably a little disappointing in the claimer last start after having a perfect trail into the race. He loves these conditions and in a very open field, has just as good chance as any with the right run. Forget his run at Swanhill in similar conditions to these today, he struggled to get around the tight turns. At $25 worth an ew ticket
RESULT: LOST! HAd the perfect sit behind the leader & fav but just couldn't hold onto 3rd.
MEETING RESULT: Donuts today. Lost $200
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Hugh.
This bloke is a bit of a non winner but it's first up run was a beauty after doing all the work & just getting knocked off at Melton. This is a stronger field but from the draw he looks like receiving a good run in transit and at good ew odds will give us a run for our money.
RESULT: LOST! Had the nice 1x1 cover but just plugged away
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 6 No 1 Bit Of A Babe.
I've never been a huge fan of this horse but over the sprint trip & from the gun draw, there should be no excuses for it today
RESULT: 2nd. No match for the fav
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Jukebox Music
He was probably a little disappointing in the claimer last start after having a perfect trail into the race. He loves these conditions and in a very open field, has just as good chance as any with the right run. Forget his run at Swanhill in similar conditions to these today, he struggled to get around the tight turns. At $25 worth an ew ticket
RESULT: LOST! HAd the perfect sit behind the leader & fav but just couldn't hold onto 3rd.
MEETING RESULT: Donuts today. Lost $200
Shepparton, Saturday 2 November
Just 2 quick tips from me tonight:
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Forever Perfect
RESULT: Winner! Collect $170
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Paintball
RESULT: 2nd and had every chance.. Knocked off by Chick At The Bar! ouch
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 2 Forever Perfect
RESULT: Winner! Collect $170
$50WIN
Race 4 No 5 Paintball
RESULT: 2nd and had every chance.. Knocked off by Chick At The Bar! ouch
MEETING RESULT: Won $20
Melton, Friday 1 November
BROUGHT TO YOU BY BETTINGPRO
STRAIGHT OUT
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Lite Jagarmeister
This 6yo mare has been in white hot form since arriving in Australia. Looks perfectly placed in this C2/3 even from the wide draw. I'm expecting Fergus Mactavish to fly the start early and more than likely take a trail. From the draw, Lite Jagarmeister can follow it across in what should be an easy lead and it's hard seeing her being beaten from there. The $2.20 being offered early looks very attractive
RESULT: WINNER! The scratching of the 2nd & 4th favs cost us a price. $130 collect
EACHWAY ALL DAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Wartime Sweetheart
He has had little luck against Victoria's best in it's past 2 starts but has still finished just out of the prizemoney. You only have to go back 3 starts at this track and distance to see the talent he has where he gave Smoken Up an almighty fright when he just peaked on his run late finishing 2nd. He steps back a grade in class here and is a great each way bet.
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them after a super drive from Rhys Nicholson. Collect $302
THE ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Miss Precious Mach
She has been in great form over the past 2 months. Her last win was from gate 1 over the sprint trip against a similar type of field she meets tonight. When pushed Miss Precious Mach has plenty of pace from the mobile & from the draw tonight will get the perfect sit. Looks a great each way bet at nice odds
RESULT: LOST! Got crossed by Fairest One You are & was 3pegs & couldn't sprint from there
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 10 Metrofromelle
Draws to follow through the likely favourite here & should have the good sit close to the lead. It had no luck in the heat of this race & will be way over the odds in this.
RESULT: 4th. Sprinted hard from well back late but too late she cried
BLACKBOOKER
Race 4 No 2 Fairest One Of All. This looks too tough for it but it was unlucky in a class one step down from this last start. Worth a place ticket
RESULT: 2nd @ $6.80. Im not happy, not happy at all after not having a cent on it.
MEETING RESULT: Won $82
STRAIGHT OUT
$100WIN
Race 1 No 7 Lite Jagarmeister
This 6yo mare has been in white hot form since arriving in Australia. Looks perfectly placed in this C2/3 even from the wide draw. I'm expecting Fergus Mactavish to fly the start early and more than likely take a trail. From the draw, Lite Jagarmeister can follow it across in what should be an easy lead and it's hard seeing her being beaten from there. The $2.20 being offered early looks very attractive
RESULT: WINNER! The scratching of the 2nd & 4th favs cost us a price. $130 collect
EACHWAY ALL DAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Wartime Sweetheart
He has had little luck against Victoria's best in it's past 2 starts but has still finished just out of the prizemoney. You only have to go back 3 starts at this track and distance to see the talent he has where he gave Smoken Up an almighty fright when he just peaked on his run late finishing 2nd. He steps back a grade in class here and is a great each way bet.
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them after a super drive from Rhys Nicholson. Collect $302
THE ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Miss Precious Mach
She has been in great form over the past 2 months. Her last win was from gate 1 over the sprint trip against a similar type of field she meets tonight. When pushed Miss Precious Mach has plenty of pace from the mobile & from the draw tonight will get the perfect sit. Looks a great each way bet at nice odds
RESULT: LOST! Got crossed by Fairest One You are & was 3pegs & couldn't sprint from there
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 9 No 10 Metrofromelle
Draws to follow through the likely favourite here & should have the good sit close to the lead. It had no luck in the heat of this race & will be way over the odds in this.
RESULT: 4th. Sprinted hard from well back late but too late she cried
BLACKBOOKER
Race 4 No 2 Fairest One Of All. This looks too tough for it but it was unlucky in a class one step down from this last start. Worth a place ticket
RESULT: 2nd @ $6.80. Im not happy, not happy at all after not having a cent on it.
MEETING RESULT: Won $82
Mildura, Thursday 31 0ctober
Last day of the month & I need to make up $80.50 to get in front for the month so I'm having a crack at my least favourite track.. Ohhh dear..
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Our Mischievous Miss
She went super at Swan Hill last start after doing all the work in the death. She is going to have to do it tough again here tonight but this as weak as she is going to get it. Should be winning easily.
RESULT: WINNER! Not even worth mentioning at $1.20!! Collect $120.. $60.50 to go.
BEST EACHWAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Parisian Ruler
Driven upside down last start when Gath took it to the breeze & it ran OK finishing not far behind them. If the 2 is a scratching then he'll follow through quick beginner Franco Sentinel so when the dust settles he should be sitting close to the lead with cover. With the right run into the race he'll win
RESULT: WINNER!! Got the sit I thought it would & he got the job done..just. $308 collect. $147.50 in front!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Sir Pickles Yum Yum
Was unlucky at the end of it's last prep from bad draws. He returned at a trial the other week with a win beating Jacka Lauchie who would start very short odds in this race. He should lead & around this track, very hard to beat
RESULT: 3rd. Shit. NTD!! $47.50 in front.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Miss Ruthless
Led last start at Swan Hill & looked the winner with 50metres to go but just ran out of steam. I actually think she's better with a sit & should get 1x1 cover here which is close enough to strike when it counts. A great ew bet for mine
RESULT: 4th. Started $1.90 which was big unders for mine..
QUADDIE
1-6 / 2-5-7 / 1 / 4 $30 for 500%
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: BUGGER!! Lost $2 for the night.. $82.50 lost for the month. Hello November
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Our Mischievous Miss
She went super at Swan Hill last start after doing all the work in the death. She is going to have to do it tough again here tonight but this as weak as she is going to get it. Should be winning easily.
RESULT: WINNER! Not even worth mentioning at $1.20!! Collect $120.. $60.50 to go.
BEST EACHWAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 9 Parisian Ruler
Driven upside down last start when Gath took it to the breeze & it ran OK finishing not far behind them. If the 2 is a scratching then he'll follow through quick beginner Franco Sentinel so when the dust settles he should be sitting close to the lead with cover. With the right run into the race he'll win
RESULT: WINNER!! Got the sit I thought it would & he got the job done..just. $308 collect. $147.50 in front!
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Sir Pickles Yum Yum
Was unlucky at the end of it's last prep from bad draws. He returned at a trial the other week with a win beating Jacka Lauchie who would start very short odds in this race. He should lead & around this track, very hard to beat
RESULT: 3rd. Shit. NTD!! $47.50 in front.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Miss Ruthless
Led last start at Swan Hill & looked the winner with 50metres to go but just ran out of steam. I actually think she's better with a sit & should get 1x1 cover here which is close enough to strike when it counts. A great ew bet for mine
RESULT: 4th. Started $1.90 which was big unders for mine..
QUADDIE
1-6 / 2-5-7 / 1 / 4 $30 for 500%
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: BUGGER!! Lost $2 for the night.. $82.50 lost for the month. Hello November
Ballarat, Wednesday 30 October
Tough nights racing here. Just the one bet:
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Bettor Move.
Best horse in the race & I think the 1 will be a false favourite. He does race very well first up & can fly the gate when it wants to. I hope Zac Phillips does exactly that tonight. If it does manage to cross they won't beat him.
RESULT: 4th. Frustrating to watch. Wasn't bustled out & looked like Zac was in two minds. By the time he decided what to do he was stuck 3 wide with no choice but to push forward. Battled on OK but you never wanted to be on
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Bettor Move.
Best horse in the race & I think the 1 will be a false favourite. He does race very well first up & can fly the gate when it wants to. I hope Zac Phillips does exactly that tonight. If it does manage to cross they won't beat him.
RESULT: 4th. Frustrating to watch. Wasn't bustled out & looked like Zac was in two minds. By the time he decided what to do he was stuck 3 wide with no choice but to push forward. Battled on OK but you never wanted to be on
Cranbourne, Tuesday 29 October
Again just looking at the value in tonight's racing which can always be risky but it's paid off the past 2 days...
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Voce
Forget this bloke went round last start when it missed away in a stand start. He's put in some huge runs since joining the Webster stable and looks suited here. He won't be able to lead but with Village Peach drawn it's outside he should receive the 1x1 trail. He'll be mighty hard to hold out if that scenario pans out & we should be getting good ew odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Not sure what happened to the good ew odds, I got that wrong! Was unders for mine & fell in. $178 Collect
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Vinni Gambino
Taking a risk here with where this bloke will be positioned as it depends on whether Easy Lightning decides to hold the lead or not. Vinni's chance will increase two fold if the 1 decides to hold the front so keep an ear to the ground for any change of tactics (if the stewards are actually notified) Vinni is more of a place chance if he is 3 pegs but it was very unlucky from the same position last start after getting dragged back by a tiring horse. Once out he ran home well. Easy Lightning will at least take him into the sprint lane & if Vinni is close enough at the turn, he's a major chance to run them down at big odds
RESULT: 4th. Disappointing, didn't run on at all
BLACKBOOKER
Race 5 No 9 Break Of Dawn: Is probably going to get a good run through here on the back of quick beginner Dusty Smiles but I just think it's one level below these. I'll be having a saver just incase...
RESULT: LOST! As I suspected, not up to these but wasn't the worst run
MEETING RESULT: Won $28
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Voce
Forget this bloke went round last start when it missed away in a stand start. He's put in some huge runs since joining the Webster stable and looks suited here. He won't be able to lead but with Village Peach drawn it's outside he should receive the 1x1 trail. He'll be mighty hard to hold out if that scenario pans out & we should be getting good ew odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Not sure what happened to the good ew odds, I got that wrong! Was unders for mine & fell in. $178 Collect
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Vinni Gambino
Taking a risk here with where this bloke will be positioned as it depends on whether Easy Lightning decides to hold the lead or not. Vinni's chance will increase two fold if the 1 decides to hold the front so keep an ear to the ground for any change of tactics (if the stewards are actually notified) Vinni is more of a place chance if he is 3 pegs but it was very unlucky from the same position last start after getting dragged back by a tiring horse. Once out he ran home well. Easy Lightning will at least take him into the sprint lane & if Vinni is close enough at the turn, he's a major chance to run them down at big odds
RESULT: 4th. Disappointing, didn't run on at all
BLACKBOOKER
Race 5 No 9 Break Of Dawn: Is probably going to get a good run through here on the back of quick beginner Dusty Smiles but I just think it's one level below these. I'll be having a saver just incase...
RESULT: LOST! As I suspected, not up to these but wasn't the worst run
MEETING RESULT: Won $28
Horsham, Monday 28 October
Trying to get back into the black for October. It's getting closer.....
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$80WIN
Race 5 No 1 Extricate
Good run when getting out late last start but it was run at a ridiculous pace that race & he had the cold sit 3 pegs. Today it should sit behind Manningham Park in a race that should be run at a walk. If it comes down to a 100 metre sprint at the finish, he's a big show. He is a non winner & very hard to catch but should get every chance here.
RESULT: WINNER! Nice start to the day thanks to a gem of a drive from Emma Hamblin. Stuck 3 pegs she found every run at the right time. Collect $456
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Twentyfivetolife
Something beaten last start at Swan Hill but is starting to make a habit of doing that. Today after the scratchings, it'll come out of gate 4 & with plenty of pace inside him, should be able to slot into a good trailing position. From there we watch Matty Craven weave his magic!
RESULT: Winner! No magic needed. Sat in the death & was too good. Started shorter than I expected but you cant lose backing winners! Collect $192
MEETING RESULT: Another good profit today but still not in the black.. $448 profit
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$80WIN
Race 5 No 1 Extricate
Good run when getting out late last start but it was run at a ridiculous pace that race & he had the cold sit 3 pegs. Today it should sit behind Manningham Park in a race that should be run at a walk. If it comes down to a 100 metre sprint at the finish, he's a big show. He is a non winner & very hard to catch but should get every chance here.
RESULT: WINNER! Nice start to the day thanks to a gem of a drive from Emma Hamblin. Stuck 3 pegs she found every run at the right time. Collect $456
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 6 Twentyfivetolife
Something beaten last start at Swan Hill but is starting to make a habit of doing that. Today after the scratchings, it'll come out of gate 4 & with plenty of pace inside him, should be able to slot into a good trailing position. From there we watch Matty Craven weave his magic!
RESULT: Winner! No magic needed. Sat in the death & was too good. Started shorter than I expected but you cant lose backing winners! Collect $192
MEETING RESULT: Another good profit today but still not in the black.. $448 profit
Kilmore Cup, Sunday 27 October
Huge day of harness racing with great fields to boot. Nothing but value tips below. We'll need some luck but based on the odds, I'll only need one to get up to end up even:
STRAIGHT OUT
$50WIN
Race 4 No 9 Hexham Heartbeat
Put in a handy effort running 3rd at Melton over the sprint trip against Hilltop Hustler. Hilltop Hustler has since gone on to win at Menangle and put in a huge effort to run 3rd in a Group 3 race at Goulburn. She'll follow through fast beginner Modern Hitch and should settle close to the lead in this C2/3 event. She'll be the one they have to beat from there.
LADBROKES: $4.6
RESULT: 2nd. Got overs but she just couldn't get there after looking the winner halfway up the straight
EACH-WAY ALL DAY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Arriens
Hasn't been suited from wide 2nd row draws for as long as I can remember. Gets the sprint lane draw here today & if Greenough leads and holds it like I expect, Arriens has the kind of short sharp sprint that can win this.
LADBROKES: $8
RESULT: WINNER! Get home you good thing! Couldn't have scripted it better if I tried (as I blow my own trumpet). Hopefully followers got on early as it was backed into $5.50. Collect $161.60
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Wartime Sweetheart
This is a very smart field it's facing here today but from the draw he should push through the field early to
take a sit midfield. With Amajorjo and Melpark Major drawn the front row, that will guarantee an extremely fast early speed. If Smoken Up restrains early & takes off mid-race, you'd want to be on a sit sprinter in this race because the pace is going to be hot. If Wartime Sweetheart can obtain the right cart into the race I think he's the sit sprint you want to be on at the eachway odds.
TATTSBET: $21
RESULT: LOST! I was getting bloody excited when it got to 3 back the pegs but then Five Star Anvil handed up to Smoken Up & that was the end of Wartime. It'll win one soon at odds
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Centonic
Has only had the one stand start for a 10th but had no luck that day & did step very well from a handicap. Today has the 10metre handicap again but if he steps, he might find himself behind the early leader Franco Jackson. FJ may hand up but I still think Centonic is a chance from there if his last start is anything to go by
LADBROKES: $16
RESULT: LOST! Missed the start & that was the end of that
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 9 No 2 Pacific Soul
Looks perfectly suited from the draw here, especially if the emergency doesn't run. Races best with a cold sit and looks like getting that type of run here against weaker opposition than it's meet in recent times
UPDATE @ 9:45AM: Not as confident with the withdrawal of the 8 meaning the 1 gains a start. I won't change the bet here but I will be having a saver on Jukebox Music
RESULT: LOST! Forget Pacific Soul went around after it got stuck behind tiring horses. Jukebox Music runs 2nd
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Mustang Mach
Put in a huge effort at Melton last start. After challenge for the lead for the first 600metres & posting a 59 second first half, he eventually took a sit. Running into the straight he pushed 3 wide and looked a winning chance only to run out of steam late to finish 9 metres off winner Bitobliss. Bitobliss had the perfect run that night and today Mustang Mach looks to have the advantage drawing the front row. Having had 2 runs from the stand start for a win & a placing, he may find himself leading early here and with some big odds available, he should give you a great run for your money.
LADBROKES: $26
RESULT: 3rd. Had a good run 3 back the pegs but no match for the first 2. Collect $106.20
THE ROUGH ROUGH ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 10 No 3 Chick At The Bar
This is one very risky punt & could go terribly pear shaped but I have my theories & this fella fits into one. Its had 71 starts for 4 wins & 5 placings.. Not the best form in the world but his past 2 months have been very good. Forget last start when he lost all momentum when stuck behind a tiring horse. The previous 2 runs were over the longer distance and against much strong than he meets here. It's 4 & 5 starts back that gives him a live chance in this. On 15/9 at Melton he won over the sprint distance at Melton in
1:57. He followed that up with a 6th at the same track & distance where he was picking up ground late & was only beaten 6 metres again in 1:57 seconds. With a likely hot pace on early, I'm a predicting a 58sec or so last half. If Chick is close enough to them he can outsprint them on those times.
RESULT: WINNER! That's the one I wanted!! Super drive Rod Petroff to get behind the leader. It took forever to get there but it got the choccies! Collect $563.20
MEETING RESULT: $451 profit.. Bugger. If only I had more on the Chick!
STRAIGHT OUT
$50WIN
Race 4 No 9 Hexham Heartbeat
Put in a handy effort running 3rd at Melton over the sprint trip against Hilltop Hustler. Hilltop Hustler has since gone on to win at Menangle and put in a huge effort to run 3rd in a Group 3 race at Goulburn. She'll follow through fast beginner Modern Hitch and should settle close to the lead in this C2/3 event. She'll be the one they have to beat from there.
LADBROKES: $4.6
RESULT: 2nd. Got overs but she just couldn't get there after looking the winner halfway up the straight
EACH-WAY ALL DAY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Arriens
Hasn't been suited from wide 2nd row draws for as long as I can remember. Gets the sprint lane draw here today & if Greenough leads and holds it like I expect, Arriens has the kind of short sharp sprint that can win this.
LADBROKES: $8
RESULT: WINNER! Get home you good thing! Couldn't have scripted it better if I tried (as I blow my own trumpet). Hopefully followers got on early as it was backed into $5.50. Collect $161.60
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Wartime Sweetheart
This is a very smart field it's facing here today but from the draw he should push through the field early to
take a sit midfield. With Amajorjo and Melpark Major drawn the front row, that will guarantee an extremely fast early speed. If Smoken Up restrains early & takes off mid-race, you'd want to be on a sit sprinter in this race because the pace is going to be hot. If Wartime Sweetheart can obtain the right cart into the race I think he's the sit sprint you want to be on at the eachway odds.
TATTSBET: $21
RESULT: LOST! I was getting bloody excited when it got to 3 back the pegs but then Five Star Anvil handed up to Smoken Up & that was the end of Wartime. It'll win one soon at odds
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 6 Centonic
Has only had the one stand start for a 10th but had no luck that day & did step very well from a handicap. Today has the 10metre handicap again but if he steps, he might find himself behind the early leader Franco Jackson. FJ may hand up but I still think Centonic is a chance from there if his last start is anything to go by
LADBROKES: $16
RESULT: LOST! Missed the start & that was the end of that
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 9 No 2 Pacific Soul
Looks perfectly suited from the draw here, especially if the emergency doesn't run. Races best with a cold sit and looks like getting that type of run here against weaker opposition than it's meet in recent times
UPDATE @ 9:45AM: Not as confident with the withdrawal of the 8 meaning the 1 gains a start. I won't change the bet here but I will be having a saver on Jukebox Music
RESULT: LOST! Forget Pacific Soul went around after it got stuck behind tiring horses. Jukebox Music runs 2nd
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Mustang Mach
Put in a huge effort at Melton last start. After challenge for the lead for the first 600metres & posting a 59 second first half, he eventually took a sit. Running into the straight he pushed 3 wide and looked a winning chance only to run out of steam late to finish 9 metres off winner Bitobliss. Bitobliss had the perfect run that night and today Mustang Mach looks to have the advantage drawing the front row. Having had 2 runs from the stand start for a win & a placing, he may find himself leading early here and with some big odds available, he should give you a great run for your money.
LADBROKES: $26
RESULT: 3rd. Had a good run 3 back the pegs but no match for the first 2. Collect $106.20
THE ROUGH ROUGH ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 10 No 3 Chick At The Bar
This is one very risky punt & could go terribly pear shaped but I have my theories & this fella fits into one. Its had 71 starts for 4 wins & 5 placings.. Not the best form in the world but his past 2 months have been very good. Forget last start when he lost all momentum when stuck behind a tiring horse. The previous 2 runs were over the longer distance and against much strong than he meets here. It's 4 & 5 starts back that gives him a live chance in this. On 15/9 at Melton he won over the sprint distance at Melton in
1:57. He followed that up with a 6th at the same track & distance where he was picking up ground late & was only beaten 6 metres again in 1:57 seconds. With a likely hot pace on early, I'm a predicting a 58sec or so last half. If Chick is close enough to them he can outsprint them on those times.
RESULT: WINNER! That's the one I wanted!! Super drive Rod Petroff to get behind the leader. It took forever to get there but it got the choccies! Collect $563.20
MEETING RESULT: $451 profit.. Bugger. If only I had more on the Chick!
Bendigo, Saturday 26 October
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Easton All Action
Taking a little bit of a risk here with this fella having no trials off a 3 month break but he was racing against much better than these last time in. It may end up 3 pegs here but there is a chance that the 1 will hold the lead. If that does happen & he's fit enough, should be winning for mine
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $184
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Parisian Ruler.
Ive really liked his last 2 runs at Mildura and Swan Hill when making up late ground & the runs were much better than what looks on paper. From the 3, it should position closer to the lead tonight & is a big chance. The 2 is a lay for mine if starts fav.
RESULT: LOST! Driven upside down. At least the $1.40 fav got rolled like a predicted
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Tere T
Similar to Parisian Ruler, I've liked this blokes last 2 runs. 2 back he was dragged back through the field by a tiring horse & once out ran home ok. Last start he was stuck in the breeze & did well to hold on for 3rd in a 56 second last half. He's a chance to cross early here in a race which looks to have no pressure what so ever. Should be getting tasty odds too
RESULT: 4th. Got stuck 3 pegs & was never a winning chance
MEETING RESULT: Lost $66
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 1 No 8 Easton All Action
Taking a little bit of a risk here with this fella having no trials off a 3 month break but he was racing against much better than these last time in. It may end up 3 pegs here but there is a chance that the 1 will hold the lead. If that does happen & he's fit enough, should be winning for mine
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $184
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Parisian Ruler.
Ive really liked his last 2 runs at Mildura and Swan Hill when making up late ground & the runs were much better than what looks on paper. From the 3, it should position closer to the lead tonight & is a big chance. The 2 is a lay for mine if starts fav.
RESULT: LOST! Driven upside down. At least the $1.40 fav got rolled like a predicted
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Tere T
Similar to Parisian Ruler, I've liked this blokes last 2 runs. 2 back he was dragged back through the field by a tiring horse & once out ran home ok. Last start he was stuck in the breeze & did well to hold on for 3rd in a 56 second last half. He's a chance to cross early here in a race which looks to have no pressure what so ever. Should be getting tasty odds too
RESULT: 4th. Got stuck 3 pegs & was never a winning chance
MEETING RESULT: Lost $66
Melton, Friday 25 October
STRAIGHT OUT
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Hugo Play.
Joins the Lance Justice stable here tonight on the back of his excellent first 2 Victorian runs after leaving the Apple Island. The fireworks should be on throughout with Sals Mo a noted leader who loves to bowl along in front. Hugo Play will position in the 'death' here and although he'll have to do it tough, he looks the stronger of the 2 for mine. In what should be a cracking time for the 2240metres, I'm predicting Hugo Play to be tough for these.
RESULT: 4th. Just not good enough tonight after a tough run
EACHWAY ALL DAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Shifty Shivas.
He's a 5yo gelding who's had 2 starts back from a short spell. Both those runs he drew outside the front row & on both occasions was unlucky not to finish closer. Whilst I don't think he can lead, he'll position himself much closer here tonight and with the likelihood of plenty of pace in the race, he is going to be hard to hold out late at good odds.
RESULT: WINNER! & at odds too. They went mad in front & he was the one you wanted to be on a long way out. Collect $708
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Jasmine Sheffield.
Extremely unlucky when blocked for runs running 3rd in a race a little weaker than it meets tonight but that was from a bad draw. Looks like leading early here & should take it's pick of who it wants to hand the lead up to. Saved for the last sprint along the sprint lane, she's going to be hard to hold out.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't get to the pegs & that was the end of that
BLACKBOOKERS RUNNING TONIGHT
Race 5: Jasmine Sheffield
Race 7: Sals Mo. (& I'm tipping against it!)
Very brave in defeat Sals Mo after copping a heap of pressure.
TRIAL FLYERS
Race 4 No 6 Hugh.
Unsure about his chances & price drawing gate 6. I'd be keen if drew closer to the fence. Watch.
RESULT: 2nd. Nice effort after working very hard. Got knocked off right on the line
QUADDIE
$48 for 50%
6-10 / 1-2-6-7-9-10 / 1-5-8-9 / 2-6
RESULT: No where bloody near it with the quad paying close to $70k!
MEETING RESULT: $410 profit thanks to 1 collect...
$100WIN
Race 7 No 6 Hugo Play.
Joins the Lance Justice stable here tonight on the back of his excellent first 2 Victorian runs after leaving the Apple Island. The fireworks should be on throughout with Sals Mo a noted leader who loves to bowl along in front. Hugo Play will position in the 'death' here and although he'll have to do it tough, he looks the stronger of the 2 for mine. In what should be a cracking time for the 2240metres, I'm predicting Hugo Play to be tough for these.
RESULT: 4th. Just not good enough tonight after a tough run
EACHWAY ALL DAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Shifty Shivas.
He's a 5yo gelding who's had 2 starts back from a short spell. Both those runs he drew outside the front row & on both occasions was unlucky not to finish closer. Whilst I don't think he can lead, he'll position himself much closer here tonight and with the likelihood of plenty of pace in the race, he is going to be hard to hold out late at good odds.
RESULT: WINNER! & at odds too. They went mad in front & he was the one you wanted to be on a long way out. Collect $708
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Jasmine Sheffield.
Extremely unlucky when blocked for runs running 3rd in a race a little weaker than it meets tonight but that was from a bad draw. Looks like leading early here & should take it's pick of who it wants to hand the lead up to. Saved for the last sprint along the sprint lane, she's going to be hard to hold out.
RESULT: LOST! Didn't get to the pegs & that was the end of that
BLACKBOOKERS RUNNING TONIGHT
Race 5: Jasmine Sheffield
Race 7: Sals Mo. (& I'm tipping against it!)
Very brave in defeat Sals Mo after copping a heap of pressure.
TRIAL FLYERS
Race 4 No 6 Hugh.
Unsure about his chances & price drawing gate 6. I'd be keen if drew closer to the fence. Watch.
RESULT: 2nd. Nice effort after working very hard. Got knocked off right on the line
QUADDIE
$48 for 50%
6-10 / 1-2-6-7-9-10 / 1-5-8-9 / 2-6
RESULT: No where bloody near it with the quad paying close to $70k!
MEETING RESULT: $410 profit thanks to 1 collect...
Shepparton, Thursday 24 October
BEST WIN
$100WIN (NO BET IF UNDER $2)
Race 2 No 11 Miss Toolern Vale.
Its a fast way to lose money backing horses drawn the back row but I think this mare has got a bit on these. Very unlucky last start when tracking up 3 wide with cover & got stuck behind a badly tiring horse. Was still making up ground late in a 55 second last half. With any sort of luck tonight it should be winning.
RESULT: LOST! Went early to sit in the death and weakened late. Disappointing
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Just Live Life
Talented horse first up here. Recently trialed vs Broadway Play & Saab Quality & was only beaten a metre. It better than these & if anywhere near it's top it should be winning
RESULT: WINNER! Too good for these. Keep following as it'll just get fitter from tonights run. Collect $230
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Ringtripleowe
Doesn't win many this horse but looks very well suited in this. From 2 should position close to the lead with a sit. Whilst I'd rather him over the sprint trip it's a pretty weak bunch it meets here.
RESULT: 2nd. Thought he was home rounding the turn but died on it's run. Collect $128
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 6 Gangster Boy
This field lacks early pace and I can see this bloke in front early on even from the wide draw. It's going to be tough to beat Burra Sullivan but Gangster Boy looks the value in the race
RESULT: 3rd. NTD! I was a little frustrated the driver didn't go harder to try & lead. Almost crossed but the fav just kept him out early which left him in the death. Battled on OK to run 3rd
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Earls Reign.
I was really impressed with his runs 3 & 2 starts ago from bad draws & then had excuses last start. Back to a good draw & with a claim for Donna Castles, looks very well graded in this. It should be straight to the front from the draw & be mighty hard to beat from there
RESULT: 4th. Broke at the start & lost 20 metres. Didn't deserve it but it was stiff not to be called a false start but anyway Im sure the starter will get a wrap over the knuckles. Anyways, I thought it was something licked. Not beaten far in 4th after missing the start. It'll be ODM now
MEETING RESULT: With a tiny bit of luck tonight should've been a tidy profit. Anyway.. Lost $42 if you're on stab. About even if using bet365. Twitter followers I hope followed me in with late tip Terra Beau winning the first @ $40.
$100WIN (NO BET IF UNDER $2)
Race 2 No 11 Miss Toolern Vale.
Its a fast way to lose money backing horses drawn the back row but I think this mare has got a bit on these. Very unlucky last start when tracking up 3 wide with cover & got stuck behind a badly tiring horse. Was still making up ground late in a 55 second last half. With any sort of luck tonight it should be winning.
RESULT: LOST! Went early to sit in the death and weakened late. Disappointing
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Just Live Life
Talented horse first up here. Recently trialed vs Broadway Play & Saab Quality & was only beaten a metre. It better than these & if anywhere near it's top it should be winning
RESULT: WINNER! Too good for these. Keep following as it'll just get fitter from tonights run. Collect $230
BEST EW
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Ringtripleowe
Doesn't win many this horse but looks very well suited in this. From 2 should position close to the lead with a sit. Whilst I'd rather him over the sprint trip it's a pretty weak bunch it meets here.
RESULT: 2nd. Thought he was home rounding the turn but died on it's run. Collect $128
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 6 Gangster Boy
This field lacks early pace and I can see this bloke in front early on even from the wide draw. It's going to be tough to beat Burra Sullivan but Gangster Boy looks the value in the race
RESULT: 3rd. NTD! I was a little frustrated the driver didn't go harder to try & lead. Almost crossed but the fav just kept him out early which left him in the death. Battled on OK to run 3rd
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Earls Reign.
I was really impressed with his runs 3 & 2 starts ago from bad draws & then had excuses last start. Back to a good draw & with a claim for Donna Castles, looks very well graded in this. It should be straight to the front from the draw & be mighty hard to beat from there
RESULT: 4th. Broke at the start & lost 20 metres. Didn't deserve it but it was stiff not to be called a false start but anyway Im sure the starter will get a wrap over the knuckles. Anyways, I thought it was something licked. Not beaten far in 4th after missing the start. It'll be ODM now
MEETING RESULT: With a tiny bit of luck tonight should've been a tidy profit. Anyway.. Lost $42 if you're on stab. About even if using bet365. Twitter followers I hope followed me in with late tip Terra Beau winning the first @ $40.
Geelong, Tuesday 22 October
10 days and counting.. Over $1200 to get back & this doesn't look like the meeting to do it but still think I can chip a bit off with the below:
BEST WIN
$100WIN (NO BET IF UNDER $2)
Race 2 No 1 Goldiedomic
Looks the leader and really shouldn't be beaten by these but tread warily as it is an 18 start maiden & has had plenty of chances. Certainly no bet if it's in red figures but it's shown recently that this should be win number 1.
RESULT: Winner! & paid $1.20/30. Ridiculous odds.. NO BET
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Voce.
Looks very well suited in this race, as long as it gets a clean getaway. He's been racing extremely well since joining the Webster stable vs stronger than it meets here.
RESULT: LOST! Gotta love stand starts. Gallops away & money is gone 5 seconds after the start..
BEST WIN
$100WIN (NO BET IF UNDER $2)
Race 2 No 1 Goldiedomic
Looks the leader and really shouldn't be beaten by these but tread warily as it is an 18 start maiden & has had plenty of chances. Certainly no bet if it's in red figures but it's shown recently that this should be win number 1.
RESULT: Winner! & paid $1.20/30. Ridiculous odds.. NO BET
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Voce.
Looks very well suited in this race, as long as it gets a clean getaway. He's been racing extremely well since joining the Webster stable vs stronger than it meets here.
RESULT: LOST! Gotta love stand starts. Gallops away & money is gone 5 seconds after the start..
Maryborough, Monday 21 October
11 days left to get back in the green. It only takes one but wowee I've struggled this month. Bring on Maryborough....
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Endorsement
Looks the leader here & that's where it races best. It's been thereabouts from bad draws but todays his day to lead.
RESULT: WINNER!! It's been a while & no better way to collect than have it crap in. Led & won by 14metres. Collect $240
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Advance To Go. Looks like hitting the pegs first here & has a great love for this track & distance. If he can maintain a position behind the leader or in the lead, he's a big chance
RESULT: 2nd. Led & handed up to the fav. Thought he was a chance coming into the straight but the fav looks very smart. Collect Collect $68
MEETING RESULT: A long way to go but hopefully that was the start of a profit run today. $178 profit
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 4 No 1 Endorsement
Looks the leader here & that's where it races best. It's been thereabouts from bad draws but todays his day to lead.
RESULT: WINNER!! It's been a while & no better way to collect than have it crap in. Led & won by 14metres. Collect $240
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Advance To Go. Looks like hitting the pegs first here & has a great love for this track & distance. If he can maintain a position behind the leader or in the lead, he's a big chance
RESULT: 2nd. Led & handed up to the fav. Thought he was a chance coming into the straight but the fav looks very smart. Collect Collect $68
MEETING RESULT: A long way to go but hopefully that was the start of a profit run today. $178 profit
Cranbourne. Sunday 20 October
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Our Burning Desire.
Forget it's first up run in Oz when never given a chance sitting last at notorious leaders track Geelong. It still made up a stack of ground late by a mile off the winner. Tonight from the draw & Greg Sugars on board, looks a great chance to notch his first win in Oz.
RESULT: 2nd. The rot continues.. Collect $84
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Our Burning Desire.
Forget it's first up run in Oz when never given a chance sitting last at notorious leaders track Geelong. It still made up a stack of ground late by a mile off the winner. Tonight from the draw & Greg Sugars on board, looks a great chance to notch his first win in Oz.
RESULT: 2nd. The rot continues.. Collect $84
Nyah Cup, Saturday 19 October
BEST EACH WAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Our Mischievious Miss
First up in Australia over the 2190 metres at Mildura last start was super impressive. From the back row draw it pushed forward early however was stuck 3 wide for the first lap before eventually finding the death. Rounding the turn it looked gone but found something under pressure to finish a close up 2nd to Escalator. Gets the front row draw here & piloted by one of my favourite drivers Ellen Tormey, she looks very nicely suited at what should be nice each way odds
RESULT: 2nd. Death seated, worked very hard but just missed. Collect $78
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Twentyfivetolife
It was responsible for a huge run last start even though beaten easily by Additallup, who is the likely favourite in this race. Twentyfivetolife was stuck 3 wide from a wide draw early & was posted by an over eager death seat horse. Eventually it slotted in 1x1 but as soon as he did, the horse in front of it tired & fell back into it's lap. Finally getting out at the top of the straight, he took many lengths off Additallup to run 2nd. Whilst the 8 draw isn't ideal, it'll just need a little luck & good drive from the talented Matthew Craven to be a big chance
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run. Started way shorter than I thought it would. Had no luck from the draw & was something licked. Collect $75
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Saint Flash (Race 7 No 13)
This 6yo gelding is starting to run into some form after a fairly lengthy spell. Last start he ran in the Geelong Rocket & wasn't disgraced after working hard early, finishing 6th only beaten 7metres over the unsuitable sprint trip. 2 starts back was a good run after lobbing 1x3 and ran home well to finish 5 metres off Smoken Up. Saint Flash can be a little hit or miss from the tapes but with a clean getaway, looks a chance at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect sit after starting well from the tapes but simply not good enough
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Our Mischievious Miss
First up in Australia over the 2190 metres at Mildura last start was super impressive. From the back row draw it pushed forward early however was stuck 3 wide for the first lap before eventually finding the death. Rounding the turn it looked gone but found something under pressure to finish a close up 2nd to Escalator. Gets the front row draw here & piloted by one of my favourite drivers Ellen Tormey, she looks very nicely suited at what should be nice each way odds
RESULT: 2nd. Death seated, worked very hard but just missed. Collect $78
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Twentyfivetolife
It was responsible for a huge run last start even though beaten easily by Additallup, who is the likely favourite in this race. Twentyfivetolife was stuck 3 wide from a wide draw early & was posted by an over eager death seat horse. Eventually it slotted in 1x1 but as soon as he did, the horse in front of it tired & fell back into it's lap. Finally getting out at the top of the straight, he took many lengths off Additallup to run 2nd. Whilst the 8 draw isn't ideal, it'll just need a little luck & good drive from the talented Matthew Craven to be a big chance
RESULT: 3rd. Huge run. Started way shorter than I thought it would. Had no luck from the draw & was something licked. Collect $75
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Saint Flash (Race 7 No 13)
This 6yo gelding is starting to run into some form after a fairly lengthy spell. Last start he ran in the Geelong Rocket & wasn't disgraced after working hard early, finishing 6th only beaten 7metres over the unsuitable sprint trip. 2 starts back was a good run after lobbing 1x3 and ran home well to finish 5 metres off Smoken Up. Saint Flash can be a little hit or miss from the tapes but with a clean getaway, looks a chance at odds.
RESULT: LOST! Had the perfect sit after starting well from the tapes but simply not good enough
Melton, Friday 18 October
Proudly brought to you by Bettingpro
Lucky this is a free site 'cause I'd be having to refund all tips purchased over the past 2 weeks ! Onwards & upwards to Melton..
BEST EACH WAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Alta Tearaway
Looks perfectly drawn from gate 1 here tonight & Jason Lee in the cart is only a positive. From the draw it'll have the option of leading or, as I suspect, handing up to the fast beginner Our Bellabro. In my opinion, Alta Tearaway has the faster sprint, especially if David Miles aboard Our Bellabro decides to walk them in this. Also looks a certain quinella for exotic punters
Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Buggered up by the fav who put the brakes on rounding the turn giving the 3wide horses the momentum. Good run to finish 2nd. $114 collect
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 La Machane.
Forget she went around here last Friday night over the 2240 metres. Stuck 3 wide without cover in the final lap isn't her go and she battled to the line after a tough run. From gate 2 and over the sprint trip looks perfect for her racing style, especially if Greg Sugars can get her to the pegs first. She has an impressive sprint record with 5 wins and an unlucky 3rd from 6 starts. I'm very keen on her chances. Expect $15
RESULT: LOST! Didn't get the run I expected and end 3 wide without cover again which isn't her style
THE ROUGHY
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Because I Can.
Whilst I don't think he can win, he certainly looks an attractive place bet at big odds. First up at Melton a fortnight ago he copped a check early on and settled at the tail of the field. Rounding the home turn on the back of Abettorpunt, he rushed up to the leaders and looked a chance, only to have his run end short of the line. 2nd up from gate 2, he will be the first to the pegs and will more than likely take a sit on Smoken Up. That'll give him every opportunity via the sprint lane, hopefully enough to snag a placing
Expect $3.5 a place. BET365 has it $7. Take if u can!!!
RESULT: LOST! Got smashed in front & wouldn't hand up in a very quick first 3 quarters. Weakened right out
The Rough Roughy
$25PLACE
Race 4 No 10 Road To Rock.
There are a few very talented horses in this race but it's likely to be an absolute cracker of a pace in this race. Drawn 10 isn't so bad. He'll follow Kick It To Chris who is a grinding type that's likely to go 3wide at the bell. If that's the case Road To Rock is going to get the perfect cart into the race. Just not sure if he's good enough but he'll have every chance at big odds. Expect $6-7 a place
RESULT: 4TH! Paying $15 a place and rattles home for 4th........
MEETING RESULT: Yet another disappointing result for October. Its becoming nightmarish!! Lost $161. To rub it in, my best bets from last week, Stylish Jasper wins $60, Woodlea Beau $9
Lucky this is a free site 'cause I'd be having to refund all tips purchased over the past 2 weeks ! Onwards & upwards to Melton..
BEST EACH WAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 1 Alta Tearaway
Looks perfectly drawn from gate 1 here tonight & Jason Lee in the cart is only a positive. From the draw it'll have the option of leading or, as I suspect, handing up to the fast beginner Our Bellabro. In my opinion, Alta Tearaway has the faster sprint, especially if David Miles aboard Our Bellabro decides to walk them in this. Also looks a certain quinella for exotic punters
Expect $4
RESULT: 2nd. Buggered up by the fav who put the brakes on rounding the turn giving the 3wide horses the momentum. Good run to finish 2nd. $114 collect
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 La Machane.
Forget she went around here last Friday night over the 2240 metres. Stuck 3 wide without cover in the final lap isn't her go and she battled to the line after a tough run. From gate 2 and over the sprint trip looks perfect for her racing style, especially if Greg Sugars can get her to the pegs first. She has an impressive sprint record with 5 wins and an unlucky 3rd from 6 starts. I'm very keen on her chances. Expect $15
RESULT: LOST! Didn't get the run I expected and end 3 wide without cover again which isn't her style
THE ROUGHY
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Because I Can.
Whilst I don't think he can win, he certainly looks an attractive place bet at big odds. First up at Melton a fortnight ago he copped a check early on and settled at the tail of the field. Rounding the home turn on the back of Abettorpunt, he rushed up to the leaders and looked a chance, only to have his run end short of the line. 2nd up from gate 2, he will be the first to the pegs and will more than likely take a sit on Smoken Up. That'll give him every opportunity via the sprint lane, hopefully enough to snag a placing
Expect $3.5 a place. BET365 has it $7. Take if u can!!!
RESULT: LOST! Got smashed in front & wouldn't hand up in a very quick first 3 quarters. Weakened right out
The Rough Roughy
$25PLACE
Race 4 No 10 Road To Rock.
There are a few very talented horses in this race but it's likely to be an absolute cracker of a pace in this race. Drawn 10 isn't so bad. He'll follow Kick It To Chris who is a grinding type that's likely to go 3wide at the bell. If that's the case Road To Rock is going to get the perfect cart into the race. Just not sure if he's good enough but he'll have every chance at big odds. Expect $6-7 a place
RESULT: 4TH! Paying $15 a place and rattles home for 4th........
MEETING RESULT: Yet another disappointing result for October. Its becoming nightmarish!! Lost $161. To rub it in, my best bets from last week, Stylish Jasper wins $60, Woodlea Beau $9
Ballarat, Thursday 17 October
Not a great punting meeting here so I've tried to come up with something to try & get a result:
$50 All Up
Race 5 No 1 Valentino Rustler Winner $2.90
Race 7 No 6 Goodtime Veejay 3rd - A Matty Craven shocker
Race 8 No 1 Shakapac Winner $1.80
But my advice to punters.... save your cash for Friday night
$50 All Up
Race 5 No 1 Valentino Rustler Winner $2.90
Race 7 No 6 Goodtime Veejay 3rd - A Matty Craven shocker
Race 8 No 1 Shakapac Winner $1.80
But my advice to punters.... save your cash for Friday night
Bendigo, Wednesday 16 October
THE ROT MUST STOP! Far out.. Can not take a trick but I know I can come back from here. Done it before & I'll do it again. Bring it on Bendigo, I'm bloody confident!
BEST WIN
$50WIN (Only if $2+)
Race 6 No 8 Driving Withtess. Went super 1st up for Chris Lang racing in the death & holding on for 2nd against Tombstone Eden who has since ran extremely well in much stronger than this. Drawn 8, it'll follow the leader whether that will be the 1 (emerg) or the 2. Even if it ends up 3 pegs, when it was with Robbie O'Connell, it had a great sprint & if it shows any of that here, it'll win.
RESULT: LOST! $1.60!! No way should it have been that short. Had the perfect sit behind the leader but showed absolutely nothing. NO BET
$50WIN (Only if $2+)
Race 7 No 6 Lonesome Kid. It's 0-2 vs Mister Bellisimo over the mile but tonight should be a different story as both those times it's hard to come 4 and 5 wide whilst Bellisimo has been in front. Not sure if Mister Bellisimo can cross from it's draw or not & if Grant Hodges has his head screwed on right, he'll be pushing forward from the 6 to control the race from in front or in the death. Looks very hard to beat either way
RESULT: 2nd. Again started way too short for me at $1.70. Wowee, I could get Smoken Up beaten vs C0 class at the minute. NO BET
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Gohardorgohome. It's not often I like a horse in a stand start but I really like this bloke in this race. You have to go back 4 starts back where it sat 1x3 after starting from the 10metre handicap. It had no luck trying to come out 3 & 4wide late in the race when it was all over. Mister Pip & Nova Rama were in that race. Gohard ran past Mister Pip but failed to pick up Nova Rama, who led in that race, but was taking plenty of ground off it late. In it's next start @ Ballarat (no sprint lane) from the stand, it sat behind the leader. It went for a run about 400 out after the leader left the pegs, but the gap closed & it got a check & lost about 10 metres. He recovered to run on well for 3rd. Back to the front row draw, it has great stand start manners & should sit right on Nova Rama's back & I have no doubt will outsprint it. My only concern, Fanagelo first up, but it's trials have only been fair.
RESULT: 4th. Got stuck 3 pegs but didn't finish off like I hoped just missing 3rd
QUADDIE
$16 for 200%
6 / 3-6-7-8 / 8 / 1-6
BEST WIN
$50WIN (Only if $2+)
Race 6 No 8 Driving Withtess. Went super 1st up for Chris Lang racing in the death & holding on for 2nd against Tombstone Eden who has since ran extremely well in much stronger than this. Drawn 8, it'll follow the leader whether that will be the 1 (emerg) or the 2. Even if it ends up 3 pegs, when it was with Robbie O'Connell, it had a great sprint & if it shows any of that here, it'll win.
RESULT: LOST! $1.60!! No way should it have been that short. Had the perfect sit behind the leader but showed absolutely nothing. NO BET
$50WIN (Only if $2+)
Race 7 No 6 Lonesome Kid. It's 0-2 vs Mister Bellisimo over the mile but tonight should be a different story as both those times it's hard to come 4 and 5 wide whilst Bellisimo has been in front. Not sure if Mister Bellisimo can cross from it's draw or not & if Grant Hodges has his head screwed on right, he'll be pushing forward from the 6 to control the race from in front or in the death. Looks very hard to beat either way
RESULT: 2nd. Again started way too short for me at $1.70. Wowee, I could get Smoken Up beaten vs C0 class at the minute. NO BET
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Gohardorgohome. It's not often I like a horse in a stand start but I really like this bloke in this race. You have to go back 4 starts back where it sat 1x3 after starting from the 10metre handicap. It had no luck trying to come out 3 & 4wide late in the race when it was all over. Mister Pip & Nova Rama were in that race. Gohard ran past Mister Pip but failed to pick up Nova Rama, who led in that race, but was taking plenty of ground off it late. In it's next start @ Ballarat (no sprint lane) from the stand, it sat behind the leader. It went for a run about 400 out after the leader left the pegs, but the gap closed & it got a check & lost about 10 metres. He recovered to run on well for 3rd. Back to the front row draw, it has great stand start manners & should sit right on Nova Rama's back & I have no doubt will outsprint it. My only concern, Fanagelo first up, but it's trials have only been fair.
RESULT: 4th. Got stuck 3 pegs but didn't finish off like I hoped just missing 3rd
QUADDIE
$16 for 200%
6 / 3-6-7-8 / 8 / 1-6
Shepparton. Tuesday 15 October
Another tough midweek meeting here but reckon I've got a few at odds to reduce the deficit. A Scotty Dyer double would be nice
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 11 Miss Toolern Vale. Was a big win when left for the last crack at them in her heat. There is likely to be a hot speed on again here and with the right trail into the race looks a great ew bet
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck behind a tiring horse 3wide & had no hope from there. Forget it ran.
$50PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Bon Jovi Needs a cold sit to be a chance & I think it'll be sitting 3 back the fence at worst on a track the favours the inside runners around the 1609 metres. Is a winning chance if the 1 leads but I can't see that happening.
NO PUNT! 2 SCRATCHING HAVE MEANT NTD. NO DOUBT IT WINS NOW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Bank Of Nova. Looks the early leader with inside horses having little pace. He led from 5 with Scotty Dyer aboard 3 starts back but just worked too hard early & only weakened late to finish 4th. It was a little unlucky last start after being 3 back the pegs, it flashed home for 3rd at huge odds. It's certainly in good form and we should be getting double figures here again tonight. HS Odds $18
RESULT: LOST! Started $41. Led early, handed up & I thought had a massive chance on the turn but hung like Ron Jeremy and wouldn't take the sprint lane run.. Just sums up my luck at the minute. Another loss!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 11 Miss Toolern Vale. Was a big win when left for the last crack at them in her heat. There is likely to be a hot speed on again here and with the right trail into the race looks a great ew bet
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck behind a tiring horse 3wide & had no hope from there. Forget it ran.
$50PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Bon Jovi Needs a cold sit to be a chance & I think it'll be sitting 3 back the fence at worst on a track the favours the inside runners around the 1609 metres. Is a winning chance if the 1 leads but I can't see that happening.
NO PUNT! 2 SCRATCHING HAVE MEANT NTD. NO DOUBT IT WINS NOW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Bank Of Nova. Looks the early leader with inside horses having little pace. He led from 5 with Scotty Dyer aboard 3 starts back but just worked too hard early & only weakened late to finish 4th. It was a little unlucky last start after being 3 back the pegs, it flashed home for 3rd at huge odds. It's certainly in good form and we should be getting double figures here again tonight. HS Odds $18
RESULT: LOST! Started $41. Led early, handed up & I thought had a massive chance on the turn but hung like Ron Jeremy and wouldn't take the sprint lane run.. Just sums up my luck at the minute. Another loss!
Yarra Valley, Monday 14 October
BEST EXOTIC
TRIFECTA $36 for 200%
1-3-5 / 1-2-3-5 /1-2-3-5
On the basis that Amazing Kano leads them here & although a little out of form, is dropping back in class. I'm a big fan of Magical Molly especially when driven aggressively. 3 was mighty impressive at Melton last start & the 2 will get the sprint lane run. Big watch on the 6. Can fly the gate but was restrained last start from the wide gate. If it did fly the gate that would definitely put a spanner in the works for this bet.
RESULT: WINNER & LOST! The 3 started way shorter than I thought it would & won accordingly. $19.60 collect
QUADDIE:
$59 for 50%
1-3-5 / 1-7 / 1-3-5-6-7-10 / 4-7-9
RESULT: WINNER & LOST! Tried to take on the favs to get a result and failed. Collect $46.9
TRIFECTA $36 for 200%
1-3-5 / 1-2-3-5 /1-2-3-5
On the basis that Amazing Kano leads them here & although a little out of form, is dropping back in class. I'm a big fan of Magical Molly especially when driven aggressively. 3 was mighty impressive at Melton last start & the 2 will get the sprint lane run. Big watch on the 6. Can fly the gate but was restrained last start from the wide gate. If it did fly the gate that would definitely put a spanner in the works for this bet.
RESULT: WINNER & LOST! The 3 started way shorter than I thought it would & won accordingly. $19.60 collect
QUADDIE:
$59 for 50%
1-3-5 / 1-7 / 1-3-5-6-7-10 / 4-7-9
RESULT: WINNER & LOST! Tried to take on the favs to get a result and failed. Collect $46.9
Ararat. Sunday 13 October
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Goodtime Blackie. A pretty ordinary meeting this but I black booked this fella last start after having no luck at Bendigo. He won a trial beating Isabella Delacour which is flying so from the good draw today it should have no excuses.
RESULT: LOST! Started a ridiculous $1.40. Hopefully no one was on at those odds. I sure wasn't
If you're taking quaddies, Big Gorilla should win by the length of the straight
RESULT: I can even get a $1.30 shot get beat at the minute! Got rolled!
$50WIN
Race 8 No 2 Goodtime Blackie. A pretty ordinary meeting this but I black booked this fella last start after having no luck at Bendigo. He won a trial beating Isabella Delacour which is flying so from the good draw today it should have no excuses.
RESULT: LOST! Started a ridiculous $1.40. Hopefully no one was on at those odds. I sure wasn't
If you're taking quaddies, Big Gorilla should win by the length of the straight
RESULT: I can even get a $1.30 shot get beat at the minute! Got rolled!
Geelong, Saturday 12 October
Brought to you thanks to Bettingpro
The Geelong Rocket is a group 3 race that see's some of Victoria's best pacers fight it out for the bragging rights of being Victoria's best sprinter. The race is supported with some very competitive races where there looks to be plenty of value.
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Woodlea Beau
A former New Zealander making it's OZ debut, it has built up an impressive record. It looks ideally placed tonight for an ambush. Drawn perfectly to follow through likely leader Soho McCartney, it will have the last sprint at them via the sprint lane. With Eliseos Falcon drawn wide & a noted death seat bully, the pace will be on & that should give Woodlea Beau every opportunity.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck behind Soho McCartney who weakened badly.
EACH WAY ALL DAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Susie Badlands
A very weak bunch of horses in this race but I think Susies Badlands has the most upside of the lot. A 4yo mare, she has been sparingly raced only having 4 starts for one 2nd. That came last start, where she was first up over the sprint trip. She ran home nicely off a fast speed only beaten 3 metres. I believe this race is weaker to what it raced against last start & looks to be the value in the race.
RESULT: LOST! 3 wide the trip, even against battlers, you're not going to win from there.
THE ROUGHY
$50 PLACE ($4.33 on Bet365)
Race 7 No 8 Garnet River.
This 7yo doesn't win out of turn too often but I was really impressed with its run against Smoken Up last start. First up for a few
months it followed Smoken Up everywhere over the unsuitable 2240 metres and stuck to it's guns well only being beaten 5 metres. Tonight he draws perfectly to follow favourite Five Star Anvil over the sprint trip, the distance he races best. If the favourite holds the lead, Garnet River will be sitting right behind it awaiting the sprint lane. At the big odds, worth a go
RESULT: 2nd!! Finally a collect.. $8 offered up on Bet365 thanks very much..Collect $255
The Geelong Rocket is a group 3 race that see's some of Victoria's best pacers fight it out for the bragging rights of being Victoria's best sprinter. The race is supported with some very competitive races where there looks to be plenty of value.
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 5 No 8 Woodlea Beau
A former New Zealander making it's OZ debut, it has built up an impressive record. It looks ideally placed tonight for an ambush. Drawn perfectly to follow through likely leader Soho McCartney, it will have the last sprint at them via the sprint lane. With Eliseos Falcon drawn wide & a noted death seat bully, the pace will be on & that should give Woodlea Beau every opportunity.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck behind Soho McCartney who weakened badly.
EACH WAY ALL DAY
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 8 No 7 Susie Badlands
A very weak bunch of horses in this race but I think Susies Badlands has the most upside of the lot. A 4yo mare, she has been sparingly raced only having 4 starts for one 2nd. That came last start, where she was first up over the sprint trip. She ran home nicely off a fast speed only beaten 3 metres. I believe this race is weaker to what it raced against last start & looks to be the value in the race.
RESULT: LOST! 3 wide the trip, even against battlers, you're not going to win from there.
THE ROUGHY
$50 PLACE ($4.33 on Bet365)
Race 7 No 8 Garnet River.
This 7yo doesn't win out of turn too often but I was really impressed with its run against Smoken Up last start. First up for a few
months it followed Smoken Up everywhere over the unsuitable 2240 metres and stuck to it's guns well only being beaten 5 metres. Tonight he draws perfectly to follow favourite Five Star Anvil over the sprint trip, the distance he races best. If the favourite holds the lead, Garnet River will be sitting right behind it awaiting the sprint lane. At the big odds, worth a go
RESULT: 2nd!! Finally a collect.. $8 offered up on Bet365 thanks very much..Collect $255
Melton, Friday 11 October
THE STRAIGHT OUT BET
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Hollys Miss Molly
This mare is perfectly drawn from gate 1 tonight as she races best with cover on the pegs. In fact the majority of her 14 wins have come from racing on the leaders back & outsprinting horses along the sprint lane. With not a whole lot of speed on her outside in this C1 event, Robert Walters will have the choice of horse he'll hand up to which will give her the best advantage coming into the sprint lane. I'm expecting her sprint to be far superior to her opposition tonight. $3.5 on bookmaker.com.au
RESULT: LOST! No luck getting stuck behind a tiring leader
EACH WAY ALL DAY
$50EW
Race 6 No 9 Hostile Grins
Betting on stand start races is always a risky business but this fella has proven his worth behind the tapes winning 4 from 9. Forget his last start effort at Cranbourne where he was caught in the death seat & had to work too hard. Looking back 2 starts, Hostile Grins put in a huge run off a lovely sit against better company than it meets tonight, finish a close 3rd at this track behind the mobile. It's conqueror that night was Machin Out who had the perfect sit behind the leader & sprint-laned to victory. Hostile Grins gets a 10metres head start on that horse tonight & with a safe getaway looks a great EW bet. $9 on bookmaker.com.au
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Jadahson.
Tough pacer trying to work back into form. First up for 16 months 2 starts back, his run was just a run against Abettorpunt & in hindsight a very tough task first up, even after having a few trials. He was much better last week against similar class over the sprint trip. Drawing the carpark, Michael Stanley restrained back to last & eventually followed the pegs to end up 4 back. Blocked for a run a few times down the straight he ran on well for a close up 6th. Tonight's race lacks the depth that race had, & with many his opposition likely to push forward early, I can see Jadahson saving for one last sprint at them and if close enough at the turn, hopefully saluting the judge first. $21 on bookmaker.com.au
RESULT: LOST! Driven for luck, got the sprint lane run from 4/5 back the pegs but only plodded home
TRIAL FLYER ALERT
Race 3 No 4 Gluteus Major. I don't back trotters too often but it's hard to ignore it's trial win beating the pacers on the 7th of October in good time behind the mobile. Can be very risky at the start of it's races but if you want to have a punt in the race might be worth a few bob ew.
RESULT: 2nd! Led & and just wasn't able to hold
$100WIN
Race 2 No 1 Hollys Miss Molly
This mare is perfectly drawn from gate 1 tonight as she races best with cover on the pegs. In fact the majority of her 14 wins have come from racing on the leaders back & outsprinting horses along the sprint lane. With not a whole lot of speed on her outside in this C1 event, Robert Walters will have the choice of horse he'll hand up to which will give her the best advantage coming into the sprint lane. I'm expecting her sprint to be far superior to her opposition tonight. $3.5 on bookmaker.com.au
RESULT: LOST! No luck getting stuck behind a tiring leader
EACH WAY ALL DAY
$50EW
Race 6 No 9 Hostile Grins
Betting on stand start races is always a risky business but this fella has proven his worth behind the tapes winning 4 from 9. Forget his last start effort at Cranbourne where he was caught in the death seat & had to work too hard. Looking back 2 starts, Hostile Grins put in a huge run off a lovely sit against better company than it meets tonight, finish a close 3rd at this track behind the mobile. It's conqueror that night was Machin Out who had the perfect sit behind the leader & sprint-laned to victory. Hostile Grins gets a 10metres head start on that horse tonight & with a safe getaway looks a great EW bet. $9 on bookmaker.com.au
THE ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 12 Jadahson.
Tough pacer trying to work back into form. First up for 16 months 2 starts back, his run was just a run against Abettorpunt & in hindsight a very tough task first up, even after having a few trials. He was much better last week against similar class over the sprint trip. Drawing the carpark, Michael Stanley restrained back to last & eventually followed the pegs to end up 4 back. Blocked for a run a few times down the straight he ran on well for a close up 6th. Tonight's race lacks the depth that race had, & with many his opposition likely to push forward early, I can see Jadahson saving for one last sprint at them and if close enough at the turn, hopefully saluting the judge first. $21 on bookmaker.com.au
RESULT: LOST! Driven for luck, got the sprint lane run from 4/5 back the pegs but only plodded home
TRIAL FLYER ALERT
Race 3 No 4 Gluteus Major. I don't back trotters too often but it's hard to ignore it's trial win beating the pacers on the 7th of October in good time behind the mobile. Can be very risky at the start of it's races but if you want to have a punt in the race might be worth a few bob ew.
RESULT: 2nd! Led & and just wasn't able to hold
Kilmore, Thursday 10 October
The mark of a good tipster is how well they can come out of a slump.. Time to perform because this slump has been going for far too long!
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Terra Beau. What worse way to get out of a slump than by picking an absolute roughy! I really like this blokes chances tonight. The last time it drew the front row, it flew the gate to lead over 2100metres @ Cranbourne from this very draw. It ran the race to suit but was beaten by better horses Brite Spark Lombo & Kazaree but still ran 3rd. There is definitely no Brite Spark or Kazaree in this..That was 5 months ago and it hasn't drawn the front since but has still managed to put in a few good runs without winning. There are a couple of 1st starters with plain trial form drawn inside him but if he's able to cross to lead early, this could get me back in front for October! HeraldSun odds $31
RESULT: 3rd. Shouldve finished much closer for mine thanks to a tiring leader not taking us into the sprint lane. Collect $105
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Rosa Mach. Initially I was disappointed with this mares run 2 starts back but Jazz King has shown how good that form line is winning 3 starts since, including knocking off the smart Metro Mike. Last start Rosa Mach was stuck back 3 back the pegs & flashed at them late for a close up 6th in an M0 beaten only 3 metres. She's going to need luck tonight but the race should be set up as she likes it with a few speedsters off the front row, with the 3,6 & 7 all fliers from the mobile and race best when leading. Rosa's best record is over the sprint distance, I think she just needs a cart into the race to be winning here. HeraldSun odds $5.5
RESULT: LOST! Obviously only a peg run horse only
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Miss Fidelity. The way I read this race is Statelyness leading early & handing up to Eleventh Command. Eleventh Command is a fairly weak beast & I'm looking for the death horse in the race & I reckon that's Miss Fidelity. He death seated last start vs Eleventh Command & finished 2nd beating Eleventh Command home, albeit by a short margin. That was from a front row draw & the back row makes it a little tougher tonight but at the odds I'm keen EW. HeraldSun odds $7.5
RESULT: LOST! Another shocker... Had every chance
QUADDIE:
12 / 1-3-6-7-9-10 / 9-10-11-12 / 3 - 10
$30 for 50%
OTHERS:
Was very close to making Field Major my best of the night in Race 1 but it has a habit of winning trials & not bringing that form to the races. Based on trial form it'll win but you'll probably get unders.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $125. Starting to get to desperation stakes for October but I'll be back
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 6 Terra Beau. What worse way to get out of a slump than by picking an absolute roughy! I really like this blokes chances tonight. The last time it drew the front row, it flew the gate to lead over 2100metres @ Cranbourne from this very draw. It ran the race to suit but was beaten by better horses Brite Spark Lombo & Kazaree but still ran 3rd. There is definitely no Brite Spark or Kazaree in this..That was 5 months ago and it hasn't drawn the front since but has still managed to put in a few good runs without winning. There are a couple of 1st starters with plain trial form drawn inside him but if he's able to cross to lead early, this could get me back in front for October! HeraldSun odds $31
RESULT: 3rd. Shouldve finished much closer for mine thanks to a tiring leader not taking us into the sprint lane. Collect $105
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Rosa Mach. Initially I was disappointed with this mares run 2 starts back but Jazz King has shown how good that form line is winning 3 starts since, including knocking off the smart Metro Mike. Last start Rosa Mach was stuck back 3 back the pegs & flashed at them late for a close up 6th in an M0 beaten only 3 metres. She's going to need luck tonight but the race should be set up as she likes it with a few speedsters off the front row, with the 3,6 & 7 all fliers from the mobile and race best when leading. Rosa's best record is over the sprint distance, I think she just needs a cart into the race to be winning here. HeraldSun odds $5.5
RESULT: LOST! Obviously only a peg run horse only
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Miss Fidelity. The way I read this race is Statelyness leading early & handing up to Eleventh Command. Eleventh Command is a fairly weak beast & I'm looking for the death horse in the race & I reckon that's Miss Fidelity. He death seated last start vs Eleventh Command & finished 2nd beating Eleventh Command home, albeit by a short margin. That was from a front row draw & the back row makes it a little tougher tonight but at the odds I'm keen EW. HeraldSun odds $7.5
RESULT: LOST! Another shocker... Had every chance
QUADDIE:
12 / 1-3-6-7-9-10 / 9-10-11-12 / 3 - 10
$30 for 50%
OTHERS:
Was very close to making Field Major my best of the night in Race 1 but it has a habit of winning trials & not bringing that form to the races. Based on trial form it'll win but you'll probably get unders.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $125. Starting to get to desperation stakes for October but I'll be back
Bendigo, Wednesday 9 October
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Road To Rock. Will get every chance here & I'm taking on the likely favourite Bellasario. Road to Rock is a great sprinter, draws to get the perfect sit here at a track he loves. Tick, tick, tick. Pretty keen here especially if we're getting anywhere near $3. My main concern is whether the 1 gets crossed especially with some very high speed from the outside of the draw, would be having a fair crack if I was confident the 1 wouldn't be crossed
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough. Simple as that
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Cool Machrista. Me old mate is back in my tips! Again I'd be having a decent crack if this race were over 2000metres. Shes a little bit one paced & can be out-sprinted over the mile but she's not going to get much easier assignments than this, Marty Monkhouser the query runner too.
RESULT: Horrid. No speed from the gate and still not sure why Coghill didn't come off the fence at the 400.. Frustrating
MEETING RESULT: LOST $100
$50WIN
Race 7 No 8 Road To Rock. Will get every chance here & I'm taking on the likely favourite Bellasario. Road to Rock is a great sprinter, draws to get the perfect sit here at a track he loves. Tick, tick, tick. Pretty keen here especially if we're getting anywhere near $3. My main concern is whether the 1 gets crossed especially with some very high speed from the outside of the draw, would be having a fair crack if I was confident the 1 wouldn't be crossed
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough. Simple as that
$50WIN
Race 8 No 1 Cool Machrista. Me old mate is back in my tips! Again I'd be having a decent crack if this race were over 2000metres. Shes a little bit one paced & can be out-sprinted over the mile but she's not going to get much easier assignments than this, Marty Monkhouser the query runner too.
RESULT: Horrid. No speed from the gate and still not sure why Coghill didn't come off the fence at the 400.. Frustrating
MEETING RESULT: LOST $100
MILDURA, Tuesday 8 October
Not real keen on this meeting with plenty of SA visitors arriving at Mildura. Hard to match up the form
ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Oils Beejay. Been running extremely well since running at Mildura. 2 starts back raced in the death & almost knocked off short priced favourite Donovan Maguire. Was trapped 4 pegs last start against the same field & got out too late but still ran a good 4th. We'll get good odds, for a reason, back row around Mildura is tough to win from especially over the sprint distance. But I reckon there is plenty of speed on here & with luck he can win.
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race6 No 5 Can But Dream. I think it's a fair chance to fly the gate here and lead. If it can I'm struggling to find anything to run it down. If it can't lead the race ain't over for it as it's shown it can win from anywhere in this class. Worth a risk at the odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & drifted off the fence in the straight to give the fav sitting behind it the saloon passage to victory. Collect $69
MEETING RESULT: LOST $11
ROUGHIES
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Oils Beejay. Been running extremely well since running at Mildura. 2 starts back raced in the death & almost knocked off short priced favourite Donovan Maguire. Was trapped 4 pegs last start against the same field & got out too late but still ran a good 4th. We'll get good odds, for a reason, back row around Mildura is tough to win from especially over the sprint distance. But I reckon there is plenty of speed on here & with luck he can win.
RESULT: LOST! Never a chance
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race6 No 5 Can But Dream. I think it's a fair chance to fly the gate here and lead. If it can I'm struggling to find anything to run it down. If it can't lead the race ain't over for it as it's shown it can win from anywhere in this class. Worth a risk at the odds.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & drifted off the fence in the straight to give the fav sitting behind it the saloon passage to victory. Collect $69
MEETING RESULT: LOST $11
Stawell, Monday 7 October
Going all out to get back in front today
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 4 Sapper Ford. This fella will be shortish but looks like the leader and winner. They don't often lose once Matty Craven has them in front.
RESULT: 2nd! Ive done it again, tipping a $1.30 shot. Poor tipping, never any point backing a $1.30 shot
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 3 No 9 Waterhorse. Hasn't been disgraced in it's last 2 appearances in strong claiming races. 3 strts back got held up at the wrong time & I think should've either won or run 2nd against top claimer class. Steps back a grade or 2 here today & should get a nice run through from gate 9
RESULT: 2nd. Unlucky.. I think a good thing beaten. Got backed for a stack on the tote. Collect $100
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Pieces Of You. Been racing well against good fields @ Melton of late. I liked it's run 3 starts back vs likely favourite here Kickittochris. He restrained at the start whilst Kickit was up on the lead. Pieces was last on the turn but came home strong to only finish 8 metres from Kickit. Today Pieces should follow the fav everywhere in the run & be a big chance to roll it late.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Collect $69
MEETING RESULT: Lost $81
Okay have got my roughy and best ew mixed up if the HeraldSun is anything to go by! Waterhorse $21 and Pieces of You $8. Wowee, not changing the bets because I think Waterhorse should be closer to $8
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 1 No 4 Sapper Ford. This fella will be shortish but looks like the leader and winner. They don't often lose once Matty Craven has them in front.
RESULT: 2nd! Ive done it again, tipping a $1.30 shot. Poor tipping, never any point backing a $1.30 shot
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 3 No 9 Waterhorse. Hasn't been disgraced in it's last 2 appearances in strong claiming races. 3 strts back got held up at the wrong time & I think should've either won or run 2nd against top claimer class. Steps back a grade or 2 here today & should get a nice run through from gate 9
RESULT: 2nd. Unlucky.. I think a good thing beaten. Got backed for a stack on the tote. Collect $100
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Pieces Of You. Been racing well against good fields @ Melton of late. I liked it's run 3 starts back vs likely favourite here Kickittochris. He restrained at the start whilst Kickit was up on the lead. Pieces was last on the turn but came home strong to only finish 8 metres from Kickit. Today Pieces should follow the fav everywhere in the run & be a big chance to roll it late.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every chance. Collect $69
MEETING RESULT: Lost $81
Okay have got my roughy and best ew mixed up if the HeraldSun is anything to go by! Waterhorse $21 and Pieces of You $8. Wowee, not changing the bets because I think Waterhorse should be closer to $8
Shepparton, Sunday 6 October
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Classic Icon. Was desperately unlucky last start in much stronger than this. There should be enough pace early to suit him as well. Just needs the right trail into the race but worth a risk at odds. Should be $20+
RESULT: LOST! After they ran a 65second first half, it had no hope. Great start to October!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Classic Icon. Was desperately unlucky last start in much stronger than this. There should be enough pace early to suit him as well. Just needs the right trail into the race but worth a risk at odds. Should be $20+
RESULT: LOST! After they ran a 65second first half, it had no hope. Great start to October!
Cranbourne, Saturday 5 October
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Stylish Jasper. Loves this track & draws to get the run it has to get to be any chance of winning. Its last 3 runs at Melton have been good enough to win this race. This is no harder than those were & finally gets a draw.
RESULT: 3rd. NTD! Cant take a trick. Astronaut hands up the lead & ruins everything..
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Stylish Jasper. Loves this track & draws to get the run it has to get to be any chance of winning. Its last 3 runs at Melton have been good enough to win this race. This is no harder than those were & finally gets a draw.
RESULT: 3rd. NTD! Cant take a trick. Astronaut hands up the lead & ruins everything..
Melton, Friday 4 October
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Restrepo. Not at it's best last prep but it was against the best going around. I'm not sold on Chancellors Culler just yet, even though the lead is likely to be handed to it tonight by one of it's stable mates. Lets just hope Lance doesn't let that happen & keeps them honest on Machin Out. If there is plenty of speed on, I can see Restrepo outsprinting these. Expected odds $4
RESULT: ROBBED! Just when it was coming 3wide cops a fair whack for the horse in front and gallops. Not sure if it would've won, we'll never know
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Bollinger Baby. Hasn't been suited it's past 2 starts & I would rather be on her over further distance but this is a big step back in grade for her. Raced against Victoria's best mares the 2 runs ago and a strong M1 against the males last start. Both starts was driven for luck which I don't think is her go. With plenty of early speed on here I can see Mick Stanley waiting until the dust settles & taking off early to find the death seat. If that scenario pans out I think she'll win. If not she's still a big chance against this lesser grade of mare.
Expected odds $6
RESULT: LOST! Got to outside the leader like I thought but found nothing
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Our Horizon. If you look at it's last start on paper you'll think I've lost my marbles, maybe I have... I've watched the replay plenty of times & it got stuck behind tired horses and couldn't gain momentum. It ran home OK after having to go the widest at the turn but it was miles behind the leading group at that stage. Tonight from gate 1 & no pace off the front row, it'll pick the horse it wants to hand up to & with a couple of horses keen to find the death chair, Jodi Quinlan might be the one having the last laugh along the sprint lane. (Has a great record from the 1 gate!)
NOTE! Copping a little bit of crap about this tip from a few mates. Yes it a step up in class from it's last start but based on the out of form horses on the front row, it's going to get every opportunity tonight. My tip is based on that and the big odds available.
$26 on bookmaker.com but reckon we'll get better than that comes race time
RESULT: 4th! Had the perfect run but wasn't good enough
BEST EXOTIC
Race 5 $100 QUINELLA 3-9
I was so close to picking Smoken Up to win but Caribbean Blaster may have taken the next step. Both are a level up on the rest of these & the quinella looks like easy money
RESULT: LOST! Caribbean Blaster couldn't hold 2nd of course Smoken Up wins
QUADDIE
1-8-9 / 3-9 / 1-5-8 / 1-2-7-9
$36 for 50%
Could be a very short quaddie here if the last 3 favs salute..
MEETING RESULT: Horror night on the punt. Lost $326
$50WIN
Race 7 No 9 Restrepo. Not at it's best last prep but it was against the best going around. I'm not sold on Chancellors Culler just yet, even though the lead is likely to be handed to it tonight by one of it's stable mates. Lets just hope Lance doesn't let that happen & keeps them honest on Machin Out. If there is plenty of speed on, I can see Restrepo outsprinting these. Expected odds $4
RESULT: ROBBED! Just when it was coming 3wide cops a fair whack for the horse in front and gallops. Not sure if it would've won, we'll never know
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 8 Bollinger Baby. Hasn't been suited it's past 2 starts & I would rather be on her over further distance but this is a big step back in grade for her. Raced against Victoria's best mares the 2 runs ago and a strong M1 against the males last start. Both starts was driven for luck which I don't think is her go. With plenty of early speed on here I can see Mick Stanley waiting until the dust settles & taking off early to find the death seat. If that scenario pans out I think she'll win. If not she's still a big chance against this lesser grade of mare.
Expected odds $6
RESULT: LOST! Got to outside the leader like I thought but found nothing
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Our Horizon. If you look at it's last start on paper you'll think I've lost my marbles, maybe I have... I've watched the replay plenty of times & it got stuck behind tired horses and couldn't gain momentum. It ran home OK after having to go the widest at the turn but it was miles behind the leading group at that stage. Tonight from gate 1 & no pace off the front row, it'll pick the horse it wants to hand up to & with a couple of horses keen to find the death chair, Jodi Quinlan might be the one having the last laugh along the sprint lane. (Has a great record from the 1 gate!)
NOTE! Copping a little bit of crap about this tip from a few mates. Yes it a step up in class from it's last start but based on the out of form horses on the front row, it's going to get every opportunity tonight. My tip is based on that and the big odds available.
$26 on bookmaker.com but reckon we'll get better than that comes race time
RESULT: 4th! Had the perfect run but wasn't good enough
BEST EXOTIC
Race 5 $100 QUINELLA 3-9
I was so close to picking Smoken Up to win but Caribbean Blaster may have taken the next step. Both are a level up on the rest of these & the quinella looks like easy money
RESULT: LOST! Caribbean Blaster couldn't hold 2nd of course Smoken Up wins
QUADDIE
1-8-9 / 3-9 / 1-5-8 / 1-2-7-9
$36 for 50%
Could be a very short quaddie here if the last 3 favs salute..
MEETING RESULT: Horror night on the punt. Lost $326
Ballarat, Thursday 3 October
Again another meeting I'm not confident on & personally won't be betting but here's my suggested bets anyway:
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 8 Big Gorilla. Taking a risk here with this bloke drawing inside back row on a track with no sprint lane. BUT I think it's the best horse in the race & if it can manage to get off the pegs at some point I don't think they can beat it. Bliss Man is the likely fav but with no public trials & being first up for 8 months it has to be advantage Gorilla.
RESULT: WINNER! It took 3 days but we're on the board for October! Just! Collect $175
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Valentino Rustler In great form at the minute. His last 2 runs have been in much tougher races and it should take up it's favourite role outside of the leader here. With Modern Hitch likely to cross eventually, a fairly weak horse, I have no doubt Jason Lee will have this fella hitting the lead into the straight. It's main danger could be stuck on the pegs here Desdon Murruffy from gate 8. The main concern will be the 9 if it gets a great trail into the race but happy to be on the Rustler EW.
RESULT: 3rd. Just had to work too hard early but battled on really well to hold 3rd. Collect $60
MEETING RESULT: Won $135
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 8 Big Gorilla. Taking a risk here with this bloke drawing inside back row on a track with no sprint lane. BUT I think it's the best horse in the race & if it can manage to get off the pegs at some point I don't think they can beat it. Bliss Man is the likely fav but with no public trials & being first up for 8 months it has to be advantage Gorilla.
RESULT: WINNER! It took 3 days but we're on the board for October! Just! Collect $175
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Valentino Rustler In great form at the minute. His last 2 runs have been in much tougher races and it should take up it's favourite role outside of the leader here. With Modern Hitch likely to cross eventually, a fairly weak horse, I have no doubt Jason Lee will have this fella hitting the lead into the straight. It's main danger could be stuck on the pegs here Desdon Murruffy from gate 8. The main concern will be the 9 if it gets a great trail into the race but happy to be on the Rustler EW.
RESULT: 3rd. Just had to work too hard early but battled on really well to hold 3rd. Collect $60
MEETING RESULT: Won $135
Bendigo, Wednesday 2 October
Tough meeting here tonight but here goes:
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Kremlin. Looks the value of the race. There will be plenty of speed on here early & this bloke will be either behind the leader or 3 pegs. If the speed comes as I expect it'll be suited especially considering it'll be following the favourite everywhere.
RESULT: LOST! Showed nothing..
QUADDIE
1-3-4-7-9 / 5-6-7-10 / 1-2-3 / 1-8
$37.50 for 25%
I have left out the fav in the first leg (8). I think it's not as good behind the mobile but throw it in if you can afford it
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Still duck eggs for October. Lost $87.50
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Kremlin. Looks the value of the race. There will be plenty of speed on here early & this bloke will be either behind the leader or 3 pegs. If the speed comes as I expect it'll be suited especially considering it'll be following the favourite everywhere.
RESULT: LOST! Showed nothing..
QUADDIE
1-3-4-7-9 / 5-6-7-10 / 1-2-3 / 1-8
$37.50 for 25%
I have left out the fav in the first leg (8). I think it's not as good behind the mobile but throw it in if you can afford it
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Still duck eggs for October. Lost $87.50
Echuca, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 1 Oct 2013
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Attack On Command. This race will be won or lost in the first 400metres for mine. From the 1 gate he should lead on it's ear & around this track looks near impossible to beat
RESULT: LOST! Handed up the lead & that was race over. Not happy Jan!
QUADDIE
1 / 1-6-7 / FIELD / 1-4
$30 for 50%
MEETING RESULT: Bad start to the month but 30 days to make it back!
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Attack On Command. This race will be won or lost in the first 400metres for mine. From the 1 gate he should lead on it's ear & around this track looks near impossible to beat
RESULT: LOST! Handed up the lead & that was race over. Not happy Jan!
QUADDIE
1 / 1-6-7 / FIELD / 1-4
$30 for 50%
MEETING RESULT: Bad start to the month but 30 days to make it back!
Yarra Valley, Monday, 30 Sep 2013
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Heathburn Star. It's form doesn't make for pretty reading with only 1 win from 15 but it has been racing against some of the best 3yo's this country has to offer. From the draw, it should be able to hold out the 2 early & I can't see them running him down.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't lead as I expected with Glenn Douglas opting to take a sit. Got the right run at the right time to just get there on the line. Collect $200
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 3 Our Puddy. Terribly unlucky last start after being held Up & looked something licked. From the 3 here today should position close & handy to them & I think it's far too strong for these.
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race. Disappointing effort but I still think it was more to do with the drive
QUADDIE
FIELD / 1-3-8 / 7 / 1-3-8
$40.50 for 50%
RESULT: Missed the last leg
MEETING RESULT: Won $9.50!
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Heathburn Star. It's form doesn't make for pretty reading with only 1 win from 15 but it has been racing against some of the best 3yo's this country has to offer. From the draw, it should be able to hold out the 2 early & I can't see them running him down.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't lead as I expected with Glenn Douglas opting to take a sit. Got the right run at the right time to just get there on the line. Collect $200
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 3 Our Puddy. Terribly unlucky last start after being held Up & looked something licked. From the 3 here today should position close & handy to them & I think it's far too strong for these.
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race. Disappointing effort but I still think it was more to do with the drive
QUADDIE
FIELD / 1-3-8 / 7 / 1-3-8
$40.50 for 50%
RESULT: Missed the last leg
MEETING RESULT: Won $9.50!
Mildura, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 28 Sep 2013
Too many shorties here tonight so just a quaddie from me tonight:
6 /1-4/ 1-8-10 / 5-8
$24 for 200%
RESULT: LOST!
For those having a punt on the AFL, my best bet is total goals under 20. $3.70 on sportsbet
RESULT: WINNER!
6 /1-4/ 1-8-10 / 5-8
$24 for 200%
RESULT: LOST!
For those having a punt on the AFL, my best bet is total goals under 20. $3.70 on sportsbet
RESULT: WINNER!
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 27 Sep 2013
My Best 3 for the night thanks to Bettingpro.
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Our Arlington. Has been plagued by bad draws for as long as I can remember & tonight finally draws to find a position up on the lead without spending too much petrol. I black booked this fella last week after it was badly held up at the top of the final bend. The leaders got close to 25metres in front of him but once out in the open, he flashed home for 5th beaten 9 metres in a similar class race. Over the longer distance of 2240metres tonight Our Arlington looks very well suited.
RESULT: LOST! Crossed early & ended up 3 back the fence & never looked likely
$25EW
Race 6 No 13 Western Rockstar. Forget he ran last week as it was never suited to drawing gate 1. Starting a short priced favourite he showed little gate speed & ended up buried 3 back the fence. The horse is best suited getting out & running and will get that opportunity tonight. There looks to be plenty of speed in this race & with a good trail into the race I'm expecting Western Rockstar to finish all over the top of them.
RESULT: LOST! Awful.. The old Rockstar might be back
$100WIN
Race 7 No 12 Abettorpunt. I've always been a big fan of this horse & this looks it's season to shine against the best this country has to offer. First up last start over the mile, was unlucky not to blouse them late losing by a half head running 3rd. 2nd up was a fantastic run over the 2240metres where it was making a 3wide run without cover in a 28 second 3rd quarter. It kept finding the line however running 2nd to the very smart Excel Stride. It meets lesser grade tonight & even from the outside back row draw, looks to
have their measure.
RESULT: WINNER! Big win. Copped a fair old check when making a run 3wide but it was far too good for these. Collect $220
BEST PLACE
$20PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Jaydens Castle. Looks like settling 3 back the pegs here & get the sort of sit it loves. Last start did work early but ended up with 1x1 cover & finished off well considering it used plenty of petrol, to finish 4th. The main problem tonight will be following $40pop Waterhorse but if it manages to get a ride into the sprint lane, the $7 a place available @ bookmaker.com.au looks attractive.
RESULT: LOST! So so close @ $11 fixed!. Finished 5th beaten a head
QUADDIE:
I'm relying on Abettorpunt to get us home here:
2-3-4-5-8-9-10 / 2-7-8 / 7-10-11-13 / 12
$42 for 50% : Let hope the early favourites get rolled
RESULT: No where near it!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $42
$50WIN
Race 5 No 2 Our Arlington. Has been plagued by bad draws for as long as I can remember & tonight finally draws to find a position up on the lead without spending too much petrol. I black booked this fella last week after it was badly held up at the top of the final bend. The leaders got close to 25metres in front of him but once out in the open, he flashed home for 5th beaten 9 metres in a similar class race. Over the longer distance of 2240metres tonight Our Arlington looks very well suited.
RESULT: LOST! Crossed early & ended up 3 back the fence & never looked likely
$25EW
Race 6 No 13 Western Rockstar. Forget he ran last week as it was never suited to drawing gate 1. Starting a short priced favourite he showed little gate speed & ended up buried 3 back the fence. The horse is best suited getting out & running and will get that opportunity tonight. There looks to be plenty of speed in this race & with a good trail into the race I'm expecting Western Rockstar to finish all over the top of them.
RESULT: LOST! Awful.. The old Rockstar might be back
$100WIN
Race 7 No 12 Abettorpunt. I've always been a big fan of this horse & this looks it's season to shine against the best this country has to offer. First up last start over the mile, was unlucky not to blouse them late losing by a half head running 3rd. 2nd up was a fantastic run over the 2240metres where it was making a 3wide run without cover in a 28 second 3rd quarter. It kept finding the line however running 2nd to the very smart Excel Stride. It meets lesser grade tonight & even from the outside back row draw, looks to
have their measure.
RESULT: WINNER! Big win. Copped a fair old check when making a run 3wide but it was far too good for these. Collect $220
BEST PLACE
$20PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Jaydens Castle. Looks like settling 3 back the pegs here & get the sort of sit it loves. Last start did work early but ended up with 1x1 cover & finished off well considering it used plenty of petrol, to finish 4th. The main problem tonight will be following $40pop Waterhorse but if it manages to get a ride into the sprint lane, the $7 a place available @ bookmaker.com.au looks attractive.
RESULT: LOST! So so close @ $11 fixed!. Finished 5th beaten a head
QUADDIE:
I'm relying on Abettorpunt to get us home here:
2-3-4-5-8-9-10 / 2-7-8 / 7-10-11-13 / 12
$42 for 50% : Let hope the early favourites get rolled
RESULT: No where near it!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $42
Terang, VIC (Night) - Thursday, 26 Sep 2013
Not a whole lot of confidence here but let's give it a crack:
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Our Summer Wind. Happy to take on the likely odds on favourite here. This fella will lead early & with the fav likely to be on it's back awaiting the sprint lane I think it'll be able to hold it off in what is likely to be a very slowly run race.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $110
$50WIN
Race 3 No 9 Gemofabreeze. Good run last start when 2nd to Isabelle Delacour who is in great form lately. This is as weak as it'll ever get it. Draws behind the early leader so expect it to be getting the perfect run & with Matty Craven on board should go close.
RESULT: LOST! Had every chance
QUADDIE
5-6 / 1-2-8-10 / 2-4-8 / 1-2-6
$18 for 25%
Reckon there could be a couple of upsets here. Hexhem Heartbeat no good thing for mine & will be big unders (probably wins by 10metres plus now)
RESULT: It won but not by much. For twitter followers, and it was a late tip, we found The Red Opal at $11 the place fixed @ IASBET
MEETING RESULT: Lost $8
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 1 Our Summer Wind. Happy to take on the likely odds on favourite here. This fella will lead early & with the fav likely to be on it's back awaiting the sprint lane I think it'll be able to hold it off in what is likely to be a very slowly run race.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $110
$50WIN
Race 3 No 9 Gemofabreeze. Good run last start when 2nd to Isabelle Delacour who is in great form lately. This is as weak as it'll ever get it. Draws behind the early leader so expect it to be getting the perfect run & with Matty Craven on board should go close.
RESULT: LOST! Had every chance
QUADDIE
5-6 / 1-2-8-10 / 2-4-8 / 1-2-6
$18 for 25%
Reckon there could be a couple of upsets here. Hexhem Heartbeat no good thing for mine & will be big unders (probably wins by 10metres plus now)
RESULT: It won but not by much. For twitter followers, and it was a late tip, we found The Red Opal at $11 the place fixed @ IASBET
MEETING RESULT: Lost $8
Ballarat, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 25 Sep 2013
Tough night of punting here tonight so I'll just be taking a small quaddie for interest. Was close to tipping Exotic Native in the first but it's a fair dinkum nut case. If it behaves it should win. If it doesn't Desdon Murruffy wins. Too many ifs...
Quaddie:
2 / 6 /1-2-4-9 / 3 -10
$24 for 300%
RESULT: LOST!
Desdon Murruffy looks to be above average on what I saw tonight whilst Exotic Native, just plain average
Quaddie:
2 / 6 /1-2-4-9 / 3 -10
$24 for 300%
RESULT: LOST!
Desdon Murruffy looks to be above average on what I saw tonight whilst Exotic Native, just plain average
Shepparton, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 24 Sep 2013
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 9 Shootforthestarzzz. Looks to be plenty of speed on early here which will suit this fella, especially considering that they are a pretty weak lot. Love the Jones/Painting combo & they should start the night off with a win. (Attack On Command the biggest danger)
RESULT: 4th. Sat 1x3 and was hooked out at the top of the straight but just battled
$50WIN
Race 5 No 3 Conflict Of Interest. I've been burnt by the horse a few times now but surely this is it's race. Down to C2 class here tonight & the lead looks to be his. Only danger for mine looks the one but really, anywhere near it's best it should be winning this.
RESULT: LOST. Dead set cat. Never again
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Jimmys Gem. Has always taken a while to hit form after a break but this time in it's taken a little longer, maybe because it's been racing in tougher class. The 2 will be close to odds on here but it has been racing against easier & Jimmys will have the last crack in the sprint lane tonight.
RESULT: LOST! Got crossed early & ended up 3 back the pegs. Got off the fence just after that & took off to sit in the breeze but it was battling a far way out.
QUADDIE
2-3-4-5-7-9-13 / 3 / 4-5-6-7-9-10-11 / 1-2
$49 for 50%
RESULT: 3 legs again
MEETING RESULT: Horrible. Lost $249. That ate into the profits!
Charlton, VIC (Day) - Monday, 23 Sep 2013
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 1 No 3 Done & Dusted. Debut runner that's been scorching around the trials for Ellen Tormey in impressive times & beating some OK horses. Meets a very beatable field here & if produces anything like it's trials, should be winning.
RESULT: LOST! Driven confidently but the ability didn't match the drive
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Desiring Kate. Last chance for this filly. Was driven aggressively again last start & just did far to much work & weakened. Douglas makes way for Scotty Dyer a driver I have plenty of time for. It' should lob behind the leader & potential favourite My Lishi & I think it'll have the greater sprint down the lane.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & did everything wrong. Shifted off the track with about 600metres to go but kept kicking to be beaten by a head.
BEST EXOTIC
Race 1 QUINELLA 1 & 3 $50
Saver if Done & Dusted gets rolled. I think the 1 is the only horse that could beat it. Keayang Active is another debutant that's won 1 trial in OK time.
RESULT: Keayang Active won impressively unfortunately Done & Dusted wasn't good enough to nab 2nd.
QUADDIE
1 / 3-5-6-9 / 2 / 2-3-5-6-8-9-10-11
$32 for 100%
RESULT: WINNER! A huge $47.80 collect but I'll take a profit anyday!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $132.20
$50WIN
Race 1 No 3 Done & Dusted. Debut runner that's been scorching around the trials for Ellen Tormey in impressive times & beating some OK horses. Meets a very beatable field here & if produces anything like it's trials, should be winning.
RESULT: LOST! Driven confidently but the ability didn't match the drive
$50WIN
Race 2 No 2 Desiring Kate. Last chance for this filly. Was driven aggressively again last start & just did far to much work & weakened. Douglas makes way for Scotty Dyer a driver I have plenty of time for. It' should lob behind the leader & potential favourite My Lishi & I think it'll have the greater sprint down the lane.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & did everything wrong. Shifted off the track with about 600metres to go but kept kicking to be beaten by a head.
BEST EXOTIC
Race 1 QUINELLA 1 & 3 $50
Saver if Done & Dusted gets rolled. I think the 1 is the only horse that could beat it. Keayang Active is another debutant that's won 1 trial in OK time.
RESULT: Keayang Active won impressively unfortunately Done & Dusted wasn't good enough to nab 2nd.
QUADDIE
1 / 3-5-6-9 / 2 / 2-3-5-6-8-9-10-11
$32 for 100%
RESULT: WINNER! A huge $47.80 collect but I'll take a profit anyday!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $132.20
Cranbourne, Saturday 21 Sept 2013
BEST BET
$100 WIN
Race 8 No 3 Hunzarella. Looked like it was going to challenge in the final 500 metres last start in much tougher company & the flat tyre took it's toll but was still a good effort to finish 5th. It lead here tonight & win but don't take any ridiculous odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won as expected but not the price! $3.30 fixed! Collect $330
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30Place
Race 1 No 10 Petes Party. I think there will be a false fav in the 1 here. It's just not strong enough to won over distance & if the 3 puts the pressure on it's going to be set up for Petes. It ran a close 2nd to Joelles Dream last start & that horse has since come out & won impressively
RESULT: 3rd. Never really likely but ran into 3rd comfortably. Collect $51
QUADDIE:
3-7 / 1-3-5-7-8-9-10-11 / 7 / 6
$32 for 200%
RESULT: WINNER! Michael Stanley you bloody ripper! Allrightythen knocks off the hot pot in the first leg & pays $30. Quaddie pays $611.80 for a collect of $1223.60.
Menangle Saturday Night
I'm excited to be writing a weekly blog for my mates at Bettingpro. Check out the below link for my best bets at Menangle!
http://www.bettingpro.com.au/category/Harness-Racing/Menangle-Harness-Racing-tips-201309200015/
Happy with my tips at Menangle too with 2 winners from 3 tips capping of a great night for followers.
MEETING RESULT: That well & truly makes up for last night. Won $1422.60
$100 WIN
Race 8 No 3 Hunzarella. Looked like it was going to challenge in the final 500 metres last start in much tougher company & the flat tyre took it's toll but was still a good effort to finish 5th. It lead here tonight & win but don't take any ridiculous odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won as expected but not the price! $3.30 fixed! Collect $330
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30Place
Race 1 No 10 Petes Party. I think there will be a false fav in the 1 here. It's just not strong enough to won over distance & if the 3 puts the pressure on it's going to be set up for Petes. It ran a close 2nd to Joelles Dream last start & that horse has since come out & won impressively
RESULT: 3rd. Never really likely but ran into 3rd comfortably. Collect $51
QUADDIE:
3-7 / 1-3-5-7-8-9-10-11 / 7 / 6
$32 for 200%
RESULT: WINNER! Michael Stanley you bloody ripper! Allrightythen knocks off the hot pot in the first leg & pays $30. Quaddie pays $611.80 for a collect of $1223.60.
Menangle Saturday Night
I'm excited to be writing a weekly blog for my mates at Bettingpro. Check out the below link for my best bets at Menangle!
http://www.bettingpro.com.au/category/Harness-Racing/Menangle-Harness-Racing-tips-201309200015/
Happy with my tips at Menangle too with 2 winners from 3 tips capping of a great night for followers.
MEETING RESULT: That well & truly makes up for last night. Won $1422.60
Robinvale at Mildura, VIC (Twilight) - Sunday, 22 Sep 2013
As you'd expect, an ordinary meeting on a Sunday but I've got some value for followers.
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Rhys Lightning. Has come back this prep in great form but has had no luck. It beat the likely favourite of this race SuperStar Express easily 3 starts back. Last start it was close to last on the turn at Swan Hill & rattled home to finish 5th which is hard to do at Swan Hill. It has speed but maybe not enough to cross the 1. If it did however I reckon it would go very close to winning. Even if it doesn't it'll be up handy to the lead & at odds will give you a run for your money.
RESULT: LOST! Got to the front but I was hoping it would take cover but unfortunately the driver thought that they'd have a crack at breaking the track record & it was gone a long way out.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Primo Tapia. After the early scratchings looks the leader & will be mighty hard to beat on this leader bias track. Did it really tough in the breeze last start & did well to hang on for 3rd in that race. With an easier run on the cards here
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in. As much as $6 on offer early. Collect $121
QUADDIE
Tough quaddie here tonight. Going to have to go slim in one of the quads to get value.
2-3-5-6-9-11 / 3-4-5-7 / 1-2-4-7 / 4-8
$48 for 25%
RESULT: Missed the 3rd leg...
MEETING RESULT: Lost $27
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Rhys Lightning. Has come back this prep in great form but has had no luck. It beat the likely favourite of this race SuperStar Express easily 3 starts back. Last start it was close to last on the turn at Swan Hill & rattled home to finish 5th which is hard to do at Swan Hill. It has speed but maybe not enough to cross the 1. If it did however I reckon it would go very close to winning. Even if it doesn't it'll be up handy to the lead & at odds will give you a run for your money.
RESULT: LOST! Got to the front but I was hoping it would take cover but unfortunately the driver thought that they'd have a crack at breaking the track record & it was gone a long way out.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 Primo Tapia. After the early scratchings looks the leader & will be mighty hard to beat on this leader bias track. Did it really tough in the breeze last start & did well to hang on for 3rd in that race. With an easier run on the cards here
RESULT: WINNER! Bolted in. As much as $6 on offer early. Collect $121
QUADDIE
Tough quaddie here tonight. Going to have to go slim in one of the quads to get value.
2-3-5-6-9-11 / 3-4-5-7 / 1-2-4-7 / 4-8
$48 for 25%
RESULT: Missed the 3rd leg...
MEETING RESULT: Lost $27
Melton, Friday 20 Sept 2013
Plenty of bets here to keep the interest going all night. Depending on how we're travelling I may have a crack at Race 9 later in the
night. Check twitter @poggasalter for updates
BEST WIN BETS
$100WIN
Race 1 No 10 Arber. Has been simply awesome since joining the Bolitho stables with 2 very impressive wins, including a heat of his final. It got a long way out of it’s ground in the heat and had no right to win. Settling last, Arber bided it’s time until the last 400 when Gavin Lang let him go, with still 20 metres to make up on leader Kick It To Chris. It won in a very slick 1.59seconds for the Ararat track. With Greg Sugars on board against a similar field, it’s going to be mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: 2nd. Thought it was home but the run ended
$50WIN
Race
2 No 1 Johnny Ambros. Drawn in gate 1 over the short distance, looks perfectly suited here tonight with it’s early gate speed to
either have it leading or leaders back. He was very unlucky not to win last start when he was followed everywhere by eventual winner Nobettortime. They meet here again tonight but the draw is advantage Johnny for mine & at around the $3 mark, looks a great bet.
RESULT: 2nd! Again. Thought he got there but I was sadly wrong
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Smoken Up. This old fella just seems to get better with age. He was huge in defeat against Bitobliss last start.
Bitobliss proved that form to be very strong after it destroyed a strong field here a fortnight ago. Back to the front line draw, Smoken Up will be up front where it likes to be and I just can’t see it being rolled from there.
RESULT: 2nd.. aahhhh! Big run by the old fella & lost no admirers
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Road To Rock. Looked disappointing last start but after watching the replay, it was the lone 3 wide
runner in a 28second 3rd quarter & that would take the wind out of most horses. This race is going to have crazy speed early, with Illawong Kath being the first to the pegs, Cheveyo coming at it from wide & Western Rockstar trying to getaway from the fence & take up the lead after being crossed. Throw Indulgent in the middle of those & some head strong horses & we have a suicidal pace. I think Road TO Rock will be able to slot in just off the speed & hopefully driven for the last shot at them, his strong 1 burst sprint will get him over the line. My $70 winner Cheveyo from a fortnight ago is also in the race but at $11 the win & the massive class rise I can't have it.
RESULT: 3rd. Surprised me by leading. It's better with a sit & that showed when it had every chance in front & weakened for 3rd. Collect $90
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Victors Delight. Racing in great form since going to A Kelly & although it's tough to win the short
course races from the back row, they'll be humming along in this & he'll have a likely cart up mid race on the back of Renaissance Man. If that scenario unfolds I don't think they'll be able to beat it but it's a big if.
RESULT: Awful. Enough said
ROUGHIES:
$25PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Takeiteasyonme. I liked it's run last start when it was held up 4 back the rail & never really got racing room. Should've
finished closer. Should hold out the 2 early & most likely end up 3 back the pegs with the 6 & then 7 likely to cross. From there it'll
follow the 2 fav's everywhere they go & at $5+ a place worth a crack
RESULT: LOST. Wasn't worth a crack
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2. Tyler Bromac.
I don't often bet in stand start races but I think this bloke was unlucky & poorly driven last start, it's first for Ross Sugars. A proven stand start pacer, if he manages to lead or leaders back, it's going to be a chance at around $30
RESULT: LOST! Shocking run. I got $26 & was happy when the money came for it but it did zilch
TRIAL FLYER ALERT
Race 6 No 11 Jilliby Ablett. Ran some quick times in a recent Terang trial suggesting it'll be ready for this first up. If it was a
stand start race I'd be on but he's never been behind the tapes before & thats a huge risk.
RESULT: WInner! Typical.. What a frustrating night. Paid $8
QUADDIE:
Looks like a big quaddie on the cards so going wwwwiiiiidddddddeeeeee here & relying on Smoken Up to get home.
1st Leg: 1-3-4-5-6-10
The fav could be crossed early & that will end up in disaster for favourite punters unless Kate Gath can get off the fence. If she does then I think Western Rockstar should win but it's a big risk.
RESULT: Fav gets beat but I didn't have the 2!!
2nd Leg:
3-6-8-10-11
Another tough race to work out here. The 3 will lead early with the 7 testing it but I don't think it can cross & therefore win. The essure is going to be on especially with a likely early move from Renaissance Man bringing the back row horses into the
race. I'm not a fan of Jukebox Music (1) but if you can afford it, throw it in.
RESULT" Jukebox Music wins of course!
3rd
Leg: 2-4-6-8-11
Stand start races I hate with a passion so no so happy theres one in the 3rd leg. I think Franco Jackson leads
& if it does, it'll be hard to beat. I think 2 is the roughy. Forget it's run last start when dragged back through the field in it's first run
for Sugars. To be honest, you could almost make a case for most of these but I'm sticking to horses with proven stand start
form.
RESULT: Jilliby Ablett! At least I got 1 leg..
4th
Leg: 7
Smoken Up is my best bet of the night. It's going to have a huge advantage on the Blaster here, who is also first up, being on the speed first. Again throw in the Blaster & Motu Crusader for a knockout if you want.
RESULT: The Blaster was too good
$32.50 for 25%
MEETING RESULT: Horrific night of punting. Time to pick myself up & get it back tomorrow. Lost $367.50
night. Check twitter @poggasalter for updates
BEST WIN BETS
$100WIN
Race 1 No 10 Arber. Has been simply awesome since joining the Bolitho stables with 2 very impressive wins, including a heat of his final. It got a long way out of it’s ground in the heat and had no right to win. Settling last, Arber bided it’s time until the last 400 when Gavin Lang let him go, with still 20 metres to make up on leader Kick It To Chris. It won in a very slick 1.59seconds for the Ararat track. With Greg Sugars on board against a similar field, it’s going to be mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: 2nd. Thought it was home but the run ended
$50WIN
Race
2 No 1 Johnny Ambros. Drawn in gate 1 over the short distance, looks perfectly suited here tonight with it’s early gate speed to
either have it leading or leaders back. He was very unlucky not to win last start when he was followed everywhere by eventual winner Nobettortime. They meet here again tonight but the draw is advantage Johnny for mine & at around the $3 mark, looks a great bet.
RESULT: 2nd! Again. Thought he got there but I was sadly wrong
$100WIN
Race 7 No 7 Smoken Up. This old fella just seems to get better with age. He was huge in defeat against Bitobliss last start.
Bitobliss proved that form to be very strong after it destroyed a strong field here a fortnight ago. Back to the front line draw, Smoken Up will be up front where it likes to be and I just can’t see it being rolled from there.
RESULT: 2nd.. aahhhh! Big run by the old fella & lost no admirers
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Road To Rock. Looked disappointing last start but after watching the replay, it was the lone 3 wide
runner in a 28second 3rd quarter & that would take the wind out of most horses. This race is going to have crazy speed early, with Illawong Kath being the first to the pegs, Cheveyo coming at it from wide & Western Rockstar trying to getaway from the fence & take up the lead after being crossed. Throw Indulgent in the middle of those & some head strong horses & we have a suicidal pace. I think Road TO Rock will be able to slot in just off the speed & hopefully driven for the last shot at them, his strong 1 burst sprint will get him over the line. My $70 winner Cheveyo from a fortnight ago is also in the race but at $11 the win & the massive class rise I can't have it.
RESULT: 3rd. Surprised me by leading. It's better with a sit & that showed when it had every chance in front & weakened for 3rd. Collect $90
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 11 Victors Delight. Racing in great form since going to A Kelly & although it's tough to win the short
course races from the back row, they'll be humming along in this & he'll have a likely cart up mid race on the back of Renaissance Man. If that scenario unfolds I don't think they'll be able to beat it but it's a big if.
RESULT: Awful. Enough said
ROUGHIES:
$25PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Takeiteasyonme. I liked it's run last start when it was held up 4 back the rail & never really got racing room. Should've
finished closer. Should hold out the 2 early & most likely end up 3 back the pegs with the 6 & then 7 likely to cross. From there it'll
follow the 2 fav's everywhere they go & at $5+ a place worth a crack
RESULT: LOST. Wasn't worth a crack
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 2. Tyler Bromac.
I don't often bet in stand start races but I think this bloke was unlucky & poorly driven last start, it's first for Ross Sugars. A proven stand start pacer, if he manages to lead or leaders back, it's going to be a chance at around $30
RESULT: LOST! Shocking run. I got $26 & was happy when the money came for it but it did zilch
TRIAL FLYER ALERT
Race 6 No 11 Jilliby Ablett. Ran some quick times in a recent Terang trial suggesting it'll be ready for this first up. If it was a
stand start race I'd be on but he's never been behind the tapes before & thats a huge risk.
RESULT: WInner! Typical.. What a frustrating night. Paid $8
QUADDIE:
Looks like a big quaddie on the cards so going wwwwiiiiidddddddeeeeee here & relying on Smoken Up to get home.
1st Leg: 1-3-4-5-6-10
The fav could be crossed early & that will end up in disaster for favourite punters unless Kate Gath can get off the fence. If she does then I think Western Rockstar should win but it's a big risk.
RESULT: Fav gets beat but I didn't have the 2!!
2nd Leg:
3-6-8-10-11
Another tough race to work out here. The 3 will lead early with the 7 testing it but I don't think it can cross & therefore win. The essure is going to be on especially with a likely early move from Renaissance Man bringing the back row horses into the
race. I'm not a fan of Jukebox Music (1) but if you can afford it, throw it in.
RESULT" Jukebox Music wins of course!
3rd
Leg: 2-4-6-8-11
Stand start races I hate with a passion so no so happy theres one in the 3rd leg. I think Franco Jackson leads
& if it does, it'll be hard to beat. I think 2 is the roughy. Forget it's run last start when dragged back through the field in it's first run
for Sugars. To be honest, you could almost make a case for most of these but I'm sticking to horses with proven stand start
form.
RESULT: Jilliby Ablett! At least I got 1 leg..
4th
Leg: 7
Smoken Up is my best bet of the night. It's going to have a huge advantage on the Blaster here, who is also first up, being on the speed first. Again throw in the Blaster & Motu Crusader for a knockout if you want.
RESULT: The Blaster was too good
$32.50 for 25%
MEETING RESULT: Horrific night of punting. Time to pick myself up & get it back tomorrow. Lost $367.50
Kilmore, Thursday 19 Sep 2013
Personally I'm not planning to have a bet here tonight. It's quite possibly the worst meeting ever put together & maybe should've been a restricted meeting. Anyway, here's a couple of value bets:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Just Call Me Earl
Hardly do I ever tip a trotter but this bloke impressed me last start. It came off the 20 metres handicap & was very vry patiently driven & really should have won finishing a close 2nd. Tonight it'll follow through the likely leader Mister Gunsen who will set u a genuine speed here. Hopefully John Newberry can get the job done.expected price $6
RESULT: 4th. Frustrating drive. Flashed home to just miss 3rd. Needs a better driver!
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Elizabeth Bromac. It was rough as guts last start and really should've finished closer in a stronger race than this. That was it's 2nd ever run. In it's debut, it was not suited around the tight Warragul track and was all at sea but wasn't beaten far but importantly beaten home Amazing Milly who will be favoured in this. Chris Alford takes the drive off Leigh Miles here which obviously a big plus. Expected price $25
RESULT: Lost! Never a chance..
Meeting Result: Wish I didn't put any selections up. Wasn't confident at all. Lost $80. Over to Melton!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Just Call Me Earl
Hardly do I ever tip a trotter but this bloke impressed me last start. It came off the 20 metres handicap & was very vry patiently driven & really should have won finishing a close 2nd. Tonight it'll follow through the likely leader Mister Gunsen who will set u a genuine speed here. Hopefully John Newberry can get the job done.expected price $6
RESULT: 4th. Frustrating drive. Flashed home to just miss 3rd. Needs a better driver!
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 11 Elizabeth Bromac. It was rough as guts last start and really should've finished closer in a stronger race than this. That was it's 2nd ever run. In it's debut, it was not suited around the tight Warragul track and was all at sea but wasn't beaten far but importantly beaten home Amazing Milly who will be favoured in this. Chris Alford takes the drive off Leigh Miles here which obviously a big plus. Expected price $25
RESULT: Lost! Never a chance..
Meeting Result: Wish I didn't put any selections up. Wasn't confident at all. Lost $80. Over to Melton!
Shepparton, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 18 Sep 2013
BEST BET:
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 4 Ourbellabro. **NO BET IF UNDER $2** I'll be disappointed if we don't get black figures here. It draws to lead & there looks to be no pressure in this race. It's been bloody unlucky in recent times, especially 2 starts back against similar class. It was pestered by a longshot in front & the went way too hard in front but it did well to hold 3rd. I can't see it getting rolled tonight
Update: Was honestly expecting it to be fav here but most tipsters are tipping the 6! I think it has the 6 covered from the draw but we'll see
QUADDIE:
4 / 1-6 / 3-4-5-6-9 / 1-3-7 $30 for 100%
MEETING RESULT: Horrible. I don't want to watch the replay but the driving tactics were interesting to say the least. Lost $130.. Sorry followers, been a lean week!
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 4 Ourbellabro. **NO BET IF UNDER $2** I'll be disappointed if we don't get black figures here. It draws to lead & there looks to be no pressure in this race. It's been bloody unlucky in recent times, especially 2 starts back against similar class. It was pestered by a longshot in front & the went way too hard in front but it did well to hold 3rd. I can't see it getting rolled tonight
Update: Was honestly expecting it to be fav here but most tipsters are tipping the 6! I think it has the 6 covered from the draw but we'll see
QUADDIE:
4 / 1-6 / 3-4-5-6-9 / 1-3-7 $30 for 100%
MEETING RESULT: Horrible. I don't want to watch the replay but the driving tactics were interesting to say the least. Lost $130.. Sorry followers, been a lean week!
Ballarat, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 17 Sep 2013
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Desiring Kate. I didn't like the drive last start but it was 5 metres from being a moment of brilliance from Daryl Douglas when it went early & almost caught them napping a lap out but died on it's run late running 4th. That was only it's 2nd run & it looks to have plenty of ability. Tonight looks a weaker race but the shorter distance is against it. Worth a risk at EW odds.
RESULT: LOST! Trapped 3wide midfield early & had to work too hard to find the death & battled. Not sacked yet
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 7 Desiring Kate. I didn't like the drive last start but it was 5 metres from being a moment of brilliance from Daryl Douglas when it went early & almost caught them napping a lap out but died on it's run late running 4th. That was only it's 2nd run & it looks to have plenty of ability. Tonight looks a weaker race but the shorter distance is against it. Worth a risk at EW odds.
RESULT: LOST! Trapped 3wide midfield early & had to work too hard to find the death & battled. Not sacked yet
Horsham, Monday 16 September
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Lynden Abbey. Unlucky not to win last start when the sprint lane run came too late. Jason Lee seems to give talentless horses an extra leg & I'm hoping from the front, today is no different.
RESULT: 4th. Even Jason Lee couldn't get it home...
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 2 Burston Holme. Can't believe this fella was favourite from a wide draw & longer distance last start. Today it's back to it's favourite distance & from the draw should lead and be very hard to beat but I'm wary, J Lee inside & M Craven on its outside.
RESULT: 5th. I don't like bagging driver so all I'll say is.......watch the replay
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
$50WIN
Race 2 No 3 Lynden Abbey. Unlucky not to win last start when the sprint lane run came too late. Jason Lee seems to give talentless horses an extra leg & I'm hoping from the front, today is no different.
RESULT: 4th. Even Jason Lee couldn't get it home...
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 2 Burston Holme. Can't believe this fella was favourite from a wide draw & longer distance last start. Today it's back to it's favourite distance & from the draw should lead and be very hard to beat but I'm wary, J Lee inside & M Craven on its outside.
RESULT: 5th. I don't like bagging driver so all I'll say is.......watch the replay
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150
Elmore at Tabcorp Park Melton- Sunday, 15 Sep 2013
BEST EXOTIC
Race 1 $50 EXACTA
1st 2 - Wolowitz
2nd 10 Cool Machrista (SCRATCHED)
BEST PLACE:
$25 PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Obama
RESULT: LOST! Got held up behind a tiring horse but was never in it
QUADDIE
2 / 3-5-6 / 1-2 / 4 (include 12 if starts)
$30 for 5000%
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $55, poor punting tonight considering I was keen on the 4 in the last leg & there was $3 available!
Race 1 $50 EXACTA
1st 2 - Wolowitz
2nd 10 Cool Machrista (SCRATCHED)
BEST PLACE:
$25 PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Obama
RESULT: LOST! Got held up behind a tiring horse but was never in it
QUADDIE
2 / 3-5-6 / 1-2 / 4 (include 12 if starts)
$30 for 5000%
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $55, poor punting tonight considering I was keen on the 4 in the last leg & there was $3 available!
Bendigo, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 14 Sep 2013
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 1 No 6 Dirty Diesel. This is simple. If it brings the same form into this race as it showed winning in the death last start, it'll win.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up at $3 and smashed into $1.80 fixed & won easily. Collect $100
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 4 No 6 Road To Rock. Forget it's last start when they walked in front and it had no hope making up any ground from the back. Back to it's favourite distance & track in a race that has speed a plenty, it should go very close. Will be my biggest outlay for the night (shrivelled thanks to Melton results!)
RESULT: 3rd. Disappointing run but didn't get the cover it likes when it came around them. Collect $85
Roughy
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Sirladyn Reba. Ronnie Wicks step up fella! Not known for driving a winner but loved this blokes run last start. Stuck 3 pegs behind a tiring horse it finished well against smart horses. Ima Peregrine will be very hard to beat but with a cozy run, it'll go close.
RESULT: 2nd. Started a whole lot shorter than I thought it would. Collect $68
MEETING RESULT: Won $53
$50WIN
Race 1 No 6 Dirty Diesel. This is simple. If it brings the same form into this race as it showed winning in the death last start, it'll win.
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up at $3 and smashed into $1.80 fixed & won easily. Collect $100
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 4 No 6 Road To Rock. Forget it's last start when they walked in front and it had no hope making up any ground from the back. Back to it's favourite distance & track in a race that has speed a plenty, it should go very close. Will be my biggest outlay for the night (shrivelled thanks to Melton results!)
RESULT: 3rd. Disappointing run but didn't get the cover it likes when it came around them. Collect $85
Roughy
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Sirladyn Reba. Ronnie Wicks step up fella! Not known for driving a winner but loved this blokes run last start. Stuck 3 pegs behind a tiring horse it finished well against smart horses. Ima Peregrine will be very hard to beat but with a cozy run, it'll go close.
RESULT: 2nd. Started a whole lot shorter than I thought it would. Collect $68
MEETING RESULT: Won $53
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 13 Sep 2013
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Rosa Mach. She's not the best filly going around & I got her at the right price last start but I can't go past her again tonight. She'll lead early & will hand up to likely fav Jazz King. With there likely to be a bit of pressure on the leader Rosa Mach should have every opportunity to sprint lane & win.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every chance. Collect $114
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Martial Artist. Betcha you couldn't see that coming! There will be no $50 here tonight but should still be double figures from the good draw. Tonight we'll get to see it get every chance in the run IF it can hold the leaders back, hopefully Shake It Mamma.
RESULT: LOST! Poor run really. Needs to go to the country I think
$100win (changed from $50ew thx to scratchings)
Race 6 No 4 Exciteusinthecity. Watched it's last start 8th a few times now & thought it was very unlucky. Tonight it's likely to get a nice sit up close to the lead & this is the weakest bunch it's met for a while. I'm very keen!
RESULT: LOST! Im very disappointed. Ive watched the replay a few times & still can't figure out the run. Anyway, time to move on!
QUADDIE:
1-4-6-10-11 / 5-6-7-9-10-11 / 4 / 2-8-10-11 $30 for 25%
MEETING RESULT: Lost $166, bad night but I'll be back!
Nyah at Swan Hill, VIC (Night) - Thursday, 12 Sep 2013
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Nuggetpan. Its tough to win from the 2nd line around Swan Hill but he's first up run was too good to ignore. He looked very uncomfortable sitting behind the leader with cover but once he saw the open straight he powered to the line impressively to just miss beating the inform Majestic Swan. From the 9 it should follow through the fav, who'll be bloody hard to beat, but at the value Nuggets is a great ew bet for mine. (HeraldSun odds $7.5)
RESULT: WINNER! Dead heat! Just didn't arrive quick enough but half is better than nothing. Collect $141
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Boom Boom Hall. Usually if you said a horse raced in a BC final & was racing in a C1 tonight @ Swan Hill you'd expect $1.20 price. Not for this fella. Was beaten half way out in that final & finished almost 200metres from Ideal Scott but lets be honest, Ideal Scott would beat all these by that margin. Hopefully he hasn't taken any harm from that run as this race looks really suitable. He's a horse that always seems to find 1 better but I'd be surprised if it wasn't finishing top 3 at nice odds. (HeraldSun odds $20)
RESULT: 5th. Had a good run but looked a bit flat. Needs a break I reckon
$25EW
Race 6 No 5 Who Broke Our Halo. Looks the early leader here. 2 starts back did a power of work to lead & only just got knocked off at this track, distance and class. This looks a little weaker than that race & with this now being it's 5th start since a spell should be cherry ripe to put in a big run. (HeraldSun odds $10)
RESULT: 2nd. Where was the HS $10?!?! Got into $1.8 at one stage which was ridiculous unders. Led as I expected, copped & fair bit of pressure & battled on well to hold 2nd but I wasn't on at those odds. Collect $37.50
BEST EXOTICS
Trifecta Race 7
2/ 1-8 / 1-8 for $20 (1000%)
RESULT: LOST! No where near it
QUADDIE:
1-2-3 / 1-2-3 / 5-6-7 / 2 $27 for 100%
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: LOST $18.50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Nuggetpan. Its tough to win from the 2nd line around Swan Hill but he's first up run was too good to ignore. He looked very uncomfortable sitting behind the leader with cover but once he saw the open straight he powered to the line impressively to just miss beating the inform Majestic Swan. From the 9 it should follow through the fav, who'll be bloody hard to beat, but at the value Nuggets is a great ew bet for mine. (HeraldSun odds $7.5)
RESULT: WINNER! Dead heat! Just didn't arrive quick enough but half is better than nothing. Collect $141
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Boom Boom Hall. Usually if you said a horse raced in a BC final & was racing in a C1 tonight @ Swan Hill you'd expect $1.20 price. Not for this fella. Was beaten half way out in that final & finished almost 200metres from Ideal Scott but lets be honest, Ideal Scott would beat all these by that margin. Hopefully he hasn't taken any harm from that run as this race looks really suitable. He's a horse that always seems to find 1 better but I'd be surprised if it wasn't finishing top 3 at nice odds. (HeraldSun odds $20)
RESULT: 5th. Had a good run but looked a bit flat. Needs a break I reckon
$25EW
Race 6 No 5 Who Broke Our Halo. Looks the early leader here. 2 starts back did a power of work to lead & only just got knocked off at this track, distance and class. This looks a little weaker than that race & with this now being it's 5th start since a spell should be cherry ripe to put in a big run. (HeraldSun odds $10)
RESULT: 2nd. Where was the HS $10?!?! Got into $1.8 at one stage which was ridiculous unders. Led as I expected, copped & fair bit of pressure & battled on well to hold 2nd but I wasn't on at those odds. Collect $37.50
BEST EXOTICS
Trifecta Race 7
2/ 1-8 / 1-8 for $20 (1000%)
RESULT: LOST! No where near it
QUADDIE:
1-2-3 / 1-2-3 / 5-6-7 / 2 $27 for 100%
RESULT: LOST!
MEETING RESULT: LOST $18.50
NO BETS @ Shepparton Wednesday
Wasted a couple of hours studying the meeting & can't find a thing I like. Leave til Thursday
Ararat, Tuesday 10 September
Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Marlon Brando. Last chance for this fella. Just continues to do things wrong but has more ability than it's form suggests. Last start broke at the start and settled last. It weaved through traffic to finish 5th. The draw maybe an advantage here as it'll be allowed to settle in a race that looks to have plenty of speed, especially if The Avoca Flyer is let loose again. Place your bet based on the odds. If your getting under $20 then the above bet suits but I have a feeling it'll be $30+
RESULT: 4th. Bugger. Was driven for luck & just didn't get the right cart into the race. Campbell took a few shortcuts but just couldn't grab 3rd. $5.5 the place on offer on bet365 too.
Rough as guts Quaddie
1-2-4 / 4 / Field / 4-7-9-10-11 $30 for 20%
Shorts Quad
7 / 4 / 1-3-9 / 4-7-9-10-11 $15 for 100%
Meeting RESULT: LOST $95. Just didn't happen for me tonight but tomorrow is another day!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Marlon Brando. Last chance for this fella. Just continues to do things wrong but has more ability than it's form suggests. Last start broke at the start and settled last. It weaved through traffic to finish 5th. The draw maybe an advantage here as it'll be allowed to settle in a race that looks to have plenty of speed, especially if The Avoca Flyer is let loose again. Place your bet based on the odds. If your getting under $20 then the above bet suits but I have a feeling it'll be $30+
RESULT: 4th. Bugger. Was driven for luck & just didn't get the right cart into the race. Campbell took a few shortcuts but just couldn't grab 3rd. $5.5 the place on offer on bet365 too.
Rough as guts Quaddie
1-2-4 / 4 / Field / 4-7-9-10-11 $30 for 20%
Shorts Quad
7 / 4 / 1-3-9 / 4-7-9-10-11 $15 for 100%
Meeting RESULT: LOST $95. Just didn't happen for me tonight but tomorrow is another day!
Yarra Valley, VIC (Day) - Monday, 9 Sep 2013
Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Magne. This fella is an old fav of mine but this looks a real suitable race. A horde that loves to lead. it completes a C2 race here where previously it's been racing against C4/5 horse. Should either lead of take the sit behind the leader and have every chance
RESULT: LOST! Horrible tip, sorry followers. Led & showed zilch, beaten a long way out. Never tip a horse out of form
MEETING RESULT: LOST $50
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Magne. This fella is an old fav of mine but this looks a real suitable race. A horde that loves to lead. it completes a C2 race here where previously it's been racing against C4/5 horse. Should either lead of take the sit behind the leader and have every chance
RESULT: LOST! Horrible tip, sorry followers. Led & showed zilch, beaten a long way out. Never tip a horse out of form
MEETING RESULT: LOST $50
Bendigo, VIC (Twilight) - Sunday, 8 Sep 2013
BEST BET
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 No Tomorrow. Looks to be little speed inside it here & I think it'll force it's way to the front very early on in the piece. If it does it'll win.
RESULT: WINNER! 3 wide the trip but still wins! Collect $240
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 6 No 8 No Bettertime. It's a 1st emergency here so unlikely to run but if it does, GET ON! Plenty of judges have the 2 leading on it's ear but I actually think the 1 has enough speed to hold it out. If I was 100% confident that that scenario would occur I'd be going straight out here as this bloke loves a cold sit & has a huge sprint. Forget it's last start failure as it got stuck in the death & it weakened late. That's not it's go.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 No Tomorrow. Looks to be little speed inside it here & I think it'll force it's way to the front very early on in the piece. If it does it'll win.
RESULT: WINNER! 3 wide the trip but still wins! Collect $240
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 6 No 8 No Bettertime. It's a 1st emergency here so unlikely to run but if it does, GET ON! Plenty of judges have the 2 leading on it's ear but I actually think the 1 has enough speed to hold it out. If I was 100% confident that that scenario would occur I'd be going straight out here as this bloke loves a cold sit & has a huge sprint. Forget it's last start failure as it got stuck in the death & it weakened late. That's not it's go.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
Ballarat, VIC (NIGHT) - Saturday 7 Sep 2013
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 4 Rosa Mach. Looked extremely unlucky last start after a couple of poor efforts. Strike a weak field here & if it's ever going to win in Vic, this is it's race.
RESULT: Winner! $26 offered on IASBET early thanks very much! Led early & handed up to the stable mate. Got the perfect split around the bend & kicked clear but switched off late & just managed to hold on. Who cares, its in the book! Collect $795
MEETING RESULT: Won $695
$50EW
Race 7 No 4 Rosa Mach. Looked extremely unlucky last start after a couple of poor efforts. Strike a weak field here & if it's ever going to win in Vic, this is it's race.
RESULT: Winner! $26 offered on IASBET early thanks very much! Led early & handed up to the stable mate. Got the perfect split around the bend & kicked clear but switched off late & just managed to hold on. Who cares, its in the book! Collect $795
MEETING RESULT: Won $695
Melton, VIC (Day) - Friday, 6 Sep 2013
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Bettor Give It. Its run was probably better than I gave it credit for last start. Tonight is a slightly weaker race & gate 3 should suit it bettor than gate 1 it had last week. Should sit either in the death or 1x1 & I'd be very surprised it didn't run a drum
RESULT: 2nd. Big run. Had no trail into the race and still kicked on strong to just miss. $132 collect
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 11 Martial Artist. This bloke will be huge odds here but it's form is so much better than it looks on paper. 2 starts back was a shocker of a drive from David Miles when it went for home half way out 3wide. Amazingly it held on well to finish 7th only 8 metres from the winner. Last start it was stuck in the death the entire trip and it just kept plugging away finishing 8th in a very quick 1.53 mile rate. There is a heap of speed off the front line here & I think some of these drivers may get carried away early which would be the perfect scenario. The longer trip looks ideal as well, just hoping for a good trail into the race & no driver error! Expecting $40+
RESULT: LOST! Frustrating. Was bolting but got caught behind tiring horses & never got a crack at them
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Wartime Sweetheart. Looks a stupid punt considering it'll be sitting 3 pegs against some smart horses but there is method to my madness! It'll follow Broadways Best everywhere it goes & Chris Alford always takes the outside option and will leave the sprint lane up for grabs. Same thing happened 2 starts back & it ran 2nd @ $30 to Motu Crusader.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck behind tiring horses after the 3 handed up (no COT!!!) & it ended up 4 back the pegs..
QUADDIE:
6-7-11 / 1-3-4-7-9 / 1-5-8 / 11 $22.50 for 50%
RESULT: WINNER! but I lost! All favs bar 1 wins.. Collect $14.40
MEETING RESULT: No luck tonight but that's racing. Lost $76.10
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Bettor Give It. Its run was probably better than I gave it credit for last start. Tonight is a slightly weaker race & gate 3 should suit it bettor than gate 1 it had last week. Should sit either in the death or 1x1 & I'd be very surprised it didn't run a drum
RESULT: 2nd. Big run. Had no trail into the race and still kicked on strong to just miss. $132 collect
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 11 Martial Artist. This bloke will be huge odds here but it's form is so much better than it looks on paper. 2 starts back was a shocker of a drive from David Miles when it went for home half way out 3wide. Amazingly it held on well to finish 7th only 8 metres from the winner. Last start it was stuck in the death the entire trip and it just kept plugging away finishing 8th in a very quick 1.53 mile rate. There is a heap of speed off the front line here & I think some of these drivers may get carried away early which would be the perfect scenario. The longer trip looks ideal as well, just hoping for a good trail into the race & no driver error! Expecting $40+
RESULT: LOST! Frustrating. Was bolting but got caught behind tiring horses & never got a crack at them
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Wartime Sweetheart. Looks a stupid punt considering it'll be sitting 3 pegs against some smart horses but there is method to my madness! It'll follow Broadways Best everywhere it goes & Chris Alford always takes the outside option and will leave the sprint lane up for grabs. Same thing happened 2 starts back & it ran 2nd @ $30 to Motu Crusader.
RESULT: LOST! Got stuck behind tiring horses after the 3 handed up (no COT!!!) & it ended up 4 back the pegs..
QUADDIE:
6-7-11 / 1-3-4-7-9 / 1-5-8 / 11 $22.50 for 50%
RESULT: WINNER! but I lost! All favs bar 1 wins.. Collect $14.40
MEETING RESULT: No luck tonight but that's racing. Lost $76.10
No PUNTING @ Terang.
Tough meeting & fairly weak fields. Saving the money for Shep on Thursday
Shepparton, VIC (NIGHT) - Thursday, 4 Sep 2013
Again not confident here tonight but throwing in a couple of exotics for fun
$24 BOXED TRIFECTA
Race 2 : 1-4-8
Looks a peg dominated race here with Maybe Better working to the front from Passionate Embrace & 3 pegs Quick Jet & all 3 can win. Fairly confident here unless Mark Peace decides to hold the lead on the 1!
RESULT: LOST! The 8 decides to come away from the rails early & that was it. 1 & 4 1st & 2nd
QUADDIE:
1-2-6-7 / 2-3-4-10-11 / 4 / 1-6-8-10-11 $26 for 26%
RESULT: LOST! Oh so close. A $50 winner in the 2nd leg but missed the last leg. Ahhhhhhhhhh
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50
$24 BOXED TRIFECTA
Race 2 : 1-4-8
Looks a peg dominated race here with Maybe Better working to the front from Passionate Embrace & 3 pegs Quick Jet & all 3 can win. Fairly confident here unless Mark Peace decides to hold the lead on the 1!
RESULT: LOST! The 8 decides to come away from the rails early & that was it. 1 & 4 1st & 2nd
QUADDIE:
1-2-6-7 / 2-3-4-10-11 / 4 / 1-6-8-10-11 $26 for 26%
RESULT: LOST! Oh so close. A $50 winner in the 2nd leg but missed the last leg. Ahhhhhhhhhh
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50
Kilmore, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 3 Sep 2013
Only punting on the one race here tonight:
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Conflict Of Interest. Really tossed up between it & Revivalist. I just think COI has been racing in better quality races & is very versatile. Can't see it missing top 3.
RESULT: 4th. Disappointing. Had the perfect trail into the race but couldn't finish it off.
BEST EXOTIC
$50 Trifecta
4-13 / 4-7-13 / 1-4-7-8-10-12-13 for 250%
RESULT: LOST! Didn't even have the 6 in the top 3!
MEETING RESULT: Crap start to the month. Lost $150
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 13 Conflict Of Interest. Really tossed up between it & Revivalist. I just think COI has been racing in better quality races & is very versatile. Can't see it missing top 3.
RESULT: 4th. Disappointing. Had the perfect trail into the race but couldn't finish it off.
BEST EXOTIC
$50 Trifecta
4-13 / 4-7-13 / 1-4-7-8-10-12-13 for 250%
RESULT: LOST! Didn't even have the 6 in the top 3!
MEETING RESULT: Crap start to the month. Lost $150
Maryborough, VIC (Day) - Monday, 2 Sep 2013
I wish I had've whacked the tips over the weekend but I hope someone followed anyway. Onwards to Maryborough which looks a competitive card of racing
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 7 No 9 Fearless Leader. Follows through an OK beginner Black Caprice so I think it'll be close enough early. Once the dust settles I think it'll move to the death & thrash this lot based on it's last start 2nd to Lombo Toscannini in 1.55sec over the 2200metres.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez, fell in! Was driven very very patiently and just managed to hold them out. Got the result so can't complain. Collect $160
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Umi. TRIAL FLYER! I noted this mare winning a trial on the 25th of Aug against higher class horses at this very track. That was it's 2nd trial in preparation for this race. It's 3 wins have been at this track & distance. Just needs a little luck early to get the right sit.
RESULT: 5th. Just a run really. Maybe run of it's legs in a very fast run race but had every chance
QUADDIE
1-2-4-5-8 / 4-7-8 / 1-5-6 / 9 $22.50 for 50%
RESULT: Not even close!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $12.50. Not a total disaster thx to the odds on pop
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 7 No 9 Fearless Leader. Follows through an OK beginner Black Caprice so I think it'll be close enough early. Once the dust settles I think it'll move to the death & thrash this lot based on it's last start 2nd to Lombo Toscannini in 1.55sec over the 2200metres.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez, fell in! Was driven very very patiently and just managed to hold them out. Got the result so can't complain. Collect $160
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Umi. TRIAL FLYER! I noted this mare winning a trial on the 25th of Aug against higher class horses at this very track. That was it's 2nd trial in preparation for this race. It's 3 wins have been at this track & distance. Just needs a little luck early to get the right sit.
RESULT: 5th. Just a run really. Maybe run of it's legs in a very fast run race but had every chance
QUADDIE
1-2-4-5-8 / 4-7-8 / 1-5-6 / 9 $22.50 for 50%
RESULT: Not even close!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $12.50. Not a total disaster thx to the odds on pop
No tips until Monday
But if you want a couple, Lombo Flashlight Sat'day night & Walky Talky Sunday
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 30 Aug 2013
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 9 No 1 The Black Frost. Horrible run last start but it was driven upside down & far too aggressively. Tonight from the 1, it'll take a sit on Franco Jackson's back & I think has the superior sprint to beat it. Expected price $3
RESULT: 2nd. Franco Jackson got smashed in like it was unbeatable & was.
BEST EXOTICS
Race 9 $50 BOXED TRIFECTA
1-4-8
For the sheer fact that this race looks so easy to work out. 4 leads, 1 sits behind it & the 8 3 pegs. Hard to see anything else troubling them. I'll be also taking this as a saver for this race but I also think the order will be 1-4-8.
RESULT: Winner but a loser. Get the trifecta & it pays $9.60! Collect $40
QUADDIE:
2 / 1-12 / 3-7-9-11-13 / 1-2-4-5-11 $25 for 50%
Obviously taking a risk in the 1st 2 legs but it's the only way I can see getting a big result from the quad.
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 4 No 2 Run Forrest. Looks well suited here over the short trip. Its stablemate draws inside it & I think the lead is it's for the taking. It's shown it can run fast times over the mile with even luck & nothing else has ran a quicker mile at the track. Would've gone straight out but I am concerned about the 13 but it's going to find it hard to win over the short trip from that draw. Expected price $8
RESULT: Lost! Weird drive. The stablemate doesn't hold up to it but to the fav?! That was the end of it's chances.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Well Hello Dolly. Been a victim of poor draws of late but it's going to love the pole draw. Has enough speed to pick who to hand up to & will be waiting for the sprint lane to bolt past them. Looks to be a heap of pressure in the race which should also suit it having the perfect smother. Can't see it missing top 3. Expected price $6
RESULT: LOST! Ordinary. Enough said
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Bettor Give It. Almost opted out of this race as there is every chance Lance Justice could set them alight early especially if he can't lead. Either way, any type of early pace has got to suit Bettor Give It, even from the draw. I'm hoping it can hold the 2 out early & take the sit on the back of On The Razzle it's a huge show. Expected price $4
RESULT" 4th. A little unlucky but I don't think it was ever a winning chance
$50EW
Race 12 No 2 McRita. I'll never learn will I? THIS IS HER NIGHT!! Ok, the 1 beat it last start but she had to death seat yet again. Tonight she leads or at worst sits leaders back. I really hope she leads as the last time she did she ran some very quick sectionals over the longer distance. If she does that here they won't catch her. There is no third dividend here but I still think she runs 2nd at worst. Expected price $6
RESULT: 2nd! $6? Blew out to $20 at one stage. Took the sit behind the fav & was no match but pays $4.20 a place. Collect $210
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Cheveyo. This is pretty simple. If it can't led early throw your ticket away. HOWEVER, I reckon it will tonight. Can muster up great speed & I just hope Chris Shinn drives aggressively to get to the lead. This fella love to bowl along in front & run horses off their legs & I really think he's a massive winning chance at what should be $20+ odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Couldn't have said that any better. Led & ran them off their legs & pays $69 the win thanks very much. Collect $1650
MEETING RESULT: WON $1150! Thank you Cheveyo the short course specialist
$50WIN
Race 9 No 1 The Black Frost. Horrible run last start but it was driven upside down & far too aggressively. Tonight from the 1, it'll take a sit on Franco Jackson's back & I think has the superior sprint to beat it. Expected price $3
RESULT: 2nd. Franco Jackson got smashed in like it was unbeatable & was.
BEST EXOTICS
Race 9 $50 BOXED TRIFECTA
1-4-8
For the sheer fact that this race looks so easy to work out. 4 leads, 1 sits behind it & the 8 3 pegs. Hard to see anything else troubling them. I'll be also taking this as a saver for this race but I also think the order will be 1-4-8.
RESULT: Winner but a loser. Get the trifecta & it pays $9.60! Collect $40
QUADDIE:
2 / 1-12 / 3-7-9-11-13 / 1-2-4-5-11 $25 for 50%
Obviously taking a risk in the 1st 2 legs but it's the only way I can see getting a big result from the quad.
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 4 No 2 Run Forrest. Looks well suited here over the short trip. Its stablemate draws inside it & I think the lead is it's for the taking. It's shown it can run fast times over the mile with even luck & nothing else has ran a quicker mile at the track. Would've gone straight out but I am concerned about the 13 but it's going to find it hard to win over the short trip from that draw. Expected price $8
RESULT: Lost! Weird drive. The stablemate doesn't hold up to it but to the fav?! That was the end of it's chances.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Well Hello Dolly. Been a victim of poor draws of late but it's going to love the pole draw. Has enough speed to pick who to hand up to & will be waiting for the sprint lane to bolt past them. Looks to be a heap of pressure in the race which should also suit it having the perfect smother. Can't see it missing top 3. Expected price $6
RESULT: LOST! Ordinary. Enough said
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Bettor Give It. Almost opted out of this race as there is every chance Lance Justice could set them alight early especially if he can't lead. Either way, any type of early pace has got to suit Bettor Give It, even from the draw. I'm hoping it can hold the 2 out early & take the sit on the back of On The Razzle it's a huge show. Expected price $4
RESULT" 4th. A little unlucky but I don't think it was ever a winning chance
$50EW
Race 12 No 2 McRita. I'll never learn will I? THIS IS HER NIGHT!! Ok, the 1 beat it last start but she had to death seat yet again. Tonight she leads or at worst sits leaders back. I really hope she leads as the last time she did she ran some very quick sectionals over the longer distance. If she does that here they won't catch her. There is no third dividend here but I still think she runs 2nd at worst. Expected price $6
RESULT: 2nd! $6? Blew out to $20 at one stage. Took the sit behind the fav & was no match but pays $4.20 a place. Collect $210
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 5 Cheveyo. This is pretty simple. If it can't led early throw your ticket away. HOWEVER, I reckon it will tonight. Can muster up great speed & I just hope Chris Shinn drives aggressively to get to the lead. This fella love to bowl along in front & run horses off their legs & I really think he's a massive winning chance at what should be $20+ odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Couldn't have said that any better. Led & ran them off their legs & pays $69 the win thanks very much. Collect $1650
MEETING RESULT: WON $1150! Thank you Cheveyo the short course specialist
Shepparton, (Night) - Thursday, 29 August 2013
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 12 Joelles Dream. I'm going to go broke backing this horse but it just keeps on putting in eye catching runs. I actually think the outside backrow draw will suit. It'll be able to settle last & hopefully get the perfect trail into the race. Shepparton is one of those tracks that you can win with one late sprint, just hope it's close enough on the turn.
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough to beat the fav but a win ain't far away. Collect $75
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Mind The Wire. My love for Ellen Tormey (driving ability of course) is well known & she'll give this fella every possible hope from the draw. First up from NSW it's form has been just OK but under the guidance of Mark Thompson will be key. It had a hit out to test the waters where Ellen was on board in a trial at this venue & won comfortably beaten older horses. Against it's own age it should be at least top 3 but not sure of what odds..
RESULT: 2nd. Did plenty wrong but had it's chance done the straight & weakened on it's run. Collect $90
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Fergus MacTavish. Huge run in the heat of this final where it was 3 wide for pretty much the entire race but still plugged away for 3rd. With a better run likely from gate 3, it'll go very close!
RESULT: LOST! It went hammer & tong with the leaders early & they went far too hard for this grade of horse setting it up as a sitting shot for the backmarkers. Still an OK run.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $85
DAY RESULT: Won $69
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 12 Joelles Dream. I'm going to go broke backing this horse but it just keeps on putting in eye catching runs. I actually think the outside backrow draw will suit. It'll be able to settle last & hopefully get the perfect trail into the race. Shepparton is one of those tracks that you can win with one late sprint, just hope it's close enough on the turn.
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough to beat the fav but a win ain't far away. Collect $75
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Mind The Wire. My love for Ellen Tormey (driving ability of course) is well known & she'll give this fella every possible hope from the draw. First up from NSW it's form has been just OK but under the guidance of Mark Thompson will be key. It had a hit out to test the waters where Ellen was on board in a trial at this venue & won comfortably beaten older horses. Against it's own age it should be at least top 3 but not sure of what odds..
RESULT: 2nd. Did plenty wrong but had it's chance done the straight & weakened on it's run. Collect $90
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 3 Fergus MacTavish. Huge run in the heat of this final where it was 3 wide for pretty much the entire race but still plugged away for 3rd. With a better run likely from gate 3, it'll go very close!
RESULT: LOST! It went hammer & tong with the leaders early & they went far too hard for this grade of horse setting it up as a sitting shot for the backmarkers. Still an OK run.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $85
DAY RESULT: Won $69
Hamilton, VIC - Thursday, 29 Aug 2013
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Desdron Murruffy. This fella is much better suited over the further distance today. David Murphy should put him into the race early & be too strong for them
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them. Took the initiative & went early David Murphy & that was all she wrote @ lovely odds. Collect $354
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Pas Mate. Had every possible chance to win against pretty much this exact field last start but peaked on it's run. That was over 2000metres & I believe it's much better over the sprint & it'll have the perfect sit today. EW all day.
RESULT: LOST! They just ran too hard too early for it. It led & only handed up after being pressured & that's not its go.
MEETING RESULT: Won $154
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 9 Desdron Murruffy. This fella is much better suited over the further distance today. David Murphy should put him into the race early & be too strong for them
RESULT: WINNER! Smashed them. Took the initiative & went early David Murphy & that was all she wrote @ lovely odds. Collect $354
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Pas Mate. Had every possible chance to win against pretty much this exact field last start but peaked on it's run. That was over 2000metres & I believe it's much better over the sprint & it'll have the perfect sit today. EW all day.
RESULT: LOST! They just ran too hard too early for it. It led & only handed up after being pressured & that's not its go.
MEETING RESULT: Won $154
Mildura, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 28 Aug 2013
I don't like Mildura and it don't like me but I'm having a crack tonight to try & mend the relationship:
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Pirates Plunder. I can't seem to catch this bloke but tonight looks a very suitable race for it. Draws outside 2 fast beginners & I can see it settling just behind them. Based on his times in it's past 3 runs around this track, he should be winning this with average luck.
RESULT: WINNER! Did a few things wrong but was far too good for these. Was smashed in late. $3 available early. Collect $170
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Caulonia Babe. Looks the leader here & I hope Luke Watson drives her aggressively tonight to ensure it holds the lead. This really looks it's race if it can with it's main dangers drawn poorly. It was desperately unlucky last start but from the draw today, luck shouldn't be an issue.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & ran them along like I wanted & just hung on. Might struggle to go up in class so I think I got her at the right time. Collect $182
QUADDIE:
If I manage to get this, we'll be in profit for August
3 / 1 / 3-6 / 1 $10 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $168
Sheza Killer looks a moral in the last leg & I would've had it as a win bet but it could start extremely short. If you can get $1.50+ smash it. RESULT: Hopped & skipped its way to a win but there was $1.50 available
MEETING RESULT: Winner winner hot chicken dinner! About time. $310 profit
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 3 Pirates Plunder. I can't seem to catch this bloke but tonight looks a very suitable race for it. Draws outside 2 fast beginners & I can see it settling just behind them. Based on his times in it's past 3 runs around this track, he should be winning this with average luck.
RESULT: WINNER! Did a few things wrong but was far too good for these. Was smashed in late. $3 available early. Collect $170
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Caulonia Babe. Looks the leader here & I hope Luke Watson drives her aggressively tonight to ensure it holds the lead. This really looks it's race if it can with it's main dangers drawn poorly. It was desperately unlucky last start but from the draw today, luck shouldn't be an issue.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & ran them along like I wanted & just hung on. Might struggle to go up in class so I think I got her at the right time. Collect $182
QUADDIE:
If I manage to get this, we'll be in profit for August
3 / 1 / 3-6 / 1 $10 for 500%
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $168
Sheza Killer looks a moral in the last leg & I would've had it as a win bet but it could start extremely short. If you can get $1.50+ smash it. RESULT: Hopped & skipped its way to a win but there was $1.50 available
MEETING RESULT: Winner winner hot chicken dinner! About time. $310 profit
Bendigo, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 27 Aug 2013
I'm a bit like the Eagles at the minute, have a good collect & then getting smashed the next few days. Really not liking this meeting at all with non winners across the card
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Mind The Wire. My love for Ellen Tormey (driving ability of course) is well known & she'll give this fella every possible hope from the draw. First up from NSW it's form has been just OK but under the guidance of Mark Thompson will be key. It had a hit out to test the waters where Ellen was on board in a trial at this venue & won comfortably beaten older horses. Against it's own age it should be at least top 3 but not sure of what odds.. It is 1st emergency, just hoping for a scratching tonight..
SCRATCHED!! Looking through the form guide for anything else. Check in later in the afternoon for any updated tips
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Blissful Hart. I'm asking for trouble here as this bloke is a non winner but based on his recent times over this distance, none of these horses will come close to beating it. From the same draw last start, it was 3 wide for the last lap & kept plugging away to just miss the major prize finishing 3rd beaten a neck. I hope they push forward from the start tonight because it'll control the race from the death & I'd be confident of a win. If they restrain from the start then there are a whole heap of things that could go wrong. Lets hope they take the aggressive approach.
RESULT: WINNER! Rolled by S-tab again. I got $2.80 bet365. $1.85 s-tab. Collect $92.50
$50WIN
Race 8 No2 Big Bang Leonard. This 2yo has been performing against the top class 2yo's in the state & holding it's own running some smart times. If it reproduces it's run from 2 starts ago. it'll be winning this, even against the likely short priced favourite Watch This Spot. I'm keen to take it on.
RESULT: 3rd. Disappointed it couldn't lead as it got stuck behind Rumour Monger who I thought was weak & was right. Couldn't take him into the straight & by the time he got out the race was over
ROUGHY
$50PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Ultimate Power. This is a pure roughy & I'm tipping it all based on it's 2 runs this preparation. Last start was OK running 5th when it had the good sit behind the leader & eventual winner. In that race Blissful Hart ran 3rd beating this fella by 5 meters so hard to see the tables being turned but from the draw it'll receive a similar run & this is a weaker race. Worth a risk at $4 a place
RESULT: 3rd. Got 3 back the pegs but the horse behind the leader took it through to the sprint lane beautifully & it just managed to hold onto 3rd. Bet365 $5.5. s-tab $4.60. Collect $230
MEETING RESULT: A profit! Won $172.50
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Mind The Wire. My love for Ellen Tormey (driving ability of course) is well known & she'll give this fella every possible hope from the draw. First up from NSW it's form has been just OK but under the guidance of Mark Thompson will be key. It had a hit out to test the waters where Ellen was on board in a trial at this venue & won comfortably beaten older horses. Against it's own age it should be at least top 3 but not sure of what odds.. It is 1st emergency, just hoping for a scratching tonight..
SCRATCHED!! Looking through the form guide for anything else. Check in later in the afternoon for any updated tips
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 4 No 6 Blissful Hart. I'm asking for trouble here as this bloke is a non winner but based on his recent times over this distance, none of these horses will come close to beating it. From the same draw last start, it was 3 wide for the last lap & kept plugging away to just miss the major prize finishing 3rd beaten a neck. I hope they push forward from the start tonight because it'll control the race from the death & I'd be confident of a win. If they restrain from the start then there are a whole heap of things that could go wrong. Lets hope they take the aggressive approach.
RESULT: WINNER! Rolled by S-tab again. I got $2.80 bet365. $1.85 s-tab. Collect $92.50
$50WIN
Race 8 No2 Big Bang Leonard. This 2yo has been performing against the top class 2yo's in the state & holding it's own running some smart times. If it reproduces it's run from 2 starts ago. it'll be winning this, even against the likely short priced favourite Watch This Spot. I'm keen to take it on.
RESULT: 3rd. Disappointed it couldn't lead as it got stuck behind Rumour Monger who I thought was weak & was right. Couldn't take him into the straight & by the time he got out the race was over
ROUGHY
$50PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Ultimate Power. This is a pure roughy & I'm tipping it all based on it's 2 runs this preparation. Last start was OK running 5th when it had the good sit behind the leader & eventual winner. In that race Blissful Hart ran 3rd beating this fella by 5 meters so hard to see the tables being turned but from the draw it'll receive a similar run & this is a weaker race. Worth a risk at $4 a place
RESULT: 3rd. Got 3 back the pegs but the horse behind the leader took it through to the sprint lane beautifully & it just managed to hold onto 3rd. Bet365 $5.5. s-tab $4.60. Collect $230
MEETING RESULT: A profit! Won $172.50
Warragul, VIC (Day) - Monday, 26 Aug 2013
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 1 Rhygrin. This fella won for me 1st up, albeit it in very slow time when leading the whole way. I stayed away last start as it has a habit of going plain 2nd up but ran a great race for 3rd when slow out, circled the field to led & battled away well. From the draw it'll either lead or be leaders back & around Warragul that's where you need to be. Expected price $4.5
RESULT: LOST! Had the gun run behind the 2nd fav but it was gone before the turn & that was the end of that.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Awesome Mattjesty. The favourite in this race will be Amazing Milly & I thought Awesome Mattjesty run was better than it's last start after being held up 1x3 & only getting home late. It would definitely benefit with a professional driver but from the draw today should get every opportunity. NOTE: If the 1 had some trial form to go on & it was half decent, it would be mighty hard to beat. Have to go on exposed form though & Mattjesty looks the value of the race. Expected Price $10
RESULT: LOST! Ouch. Won't see a much worse run than that. Was well backed & had every opportunity when leading in a slowly run race. Never again (although I may have said that before about this horse
QUADDIE
Reckon a couple of odds on pops may go down here today which will equal a big quaddie. Just a small investment required.
1-2-3-6 / 2-5-6-9 / 2-4-8-11 / 1 $16 for 25%
MEETING RESULT: No good. Not a cracker. Another $166 to the bookies. LIFT!
$50EW
Race 7 No 1 Rhygrin. This fella won for me 1st up, albeit it in very slow time when leading the whole way. I stayed away last start as it has a habit of going plain 2nd up but ran a great race for 3rd when slow out, circled the field to led & battled away well. From the draw it'll either lead or be leaders back & around Warragul that's where you need to be. Expected price $4.5
RESULT: LOST! Had the gun run behind the 2nd fav but it was gone before the turn & that was the end of that.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Awesome Mattjesty. The favourite in this race will be Amazing Milly & I thought Awesome Mattjesty run was better than it's last start after being held up 1x3 & only getting home late. It would definitely benefit with a professional driver but from the draw today should get every opportunity. NOTE: If the 1 had some trial form to go on & it was half decent, it would be mighty hard to beat. Have to go on exposed form though & Mattjesty looks the value of the race. Expected Price $10
RESULT: LOST! Ouch. Won't see a much worse run than that. Was well backed & had every opportunity when leading in a slowly run race. Never again (although I may have said that before about this horse
QUADDIE
Reckon a couple of odds on pops may go down here today which will equal a big quaddie. Just a small investment required.
1-2-3-6 / 2-5-6-9 / 2-4-8-11 / 1 $16 for 25%
MEETING RESULT: No good. Not a cracker. Another $166 to the bookies. LIFT!
Kyabram at Shepparton, VIC (Day) - Sunday, 25 Aug 2013
Horrible meeting but I think I've found one! I need one!!
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 8 Lights N Music. Forget last start when galloped away from the stand. Tonight it'll have the plum sit behind the likely leader Twindet & hopefully sprint lane & win.
RESULT: 3rd. Was held up 3 pegs but did get out with plenty of time to catch up but just plodded home. Collect $75
MEETING RESULT: Lost $25. Not happy with the last week of tipping. The tide starts turning NOW
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 8 Lights N Music. Forget last start when galloped away from the stand. Tonight it'll have the plum sit behind the likely leader Twindet & hopefully sprint lane & win.
RESULT: 3rd. Was held up 3 pegs but did get out with plenty of time to catch up but just plodded home. Collect $75
MEETING RESULT: Lost $25. Not happy with the last week of tipping. The tide starts turning NOW
Ballarat, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 24 Aug 2013
BEST EW
$50 EW
Race 6 No 9 Jaydens Castle. Her last start run looks ordinary on paper but it was last at the half way point. The 4 leaders broke away & she couldn't get a good trail into the race. Did extremely well to finish 9 metres off them in 4th. Since that run has gone to the trials & won impressively beating Pembrook Caesar. Should be getting $10+ here
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely. Awful
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
RACE 5 No 6 Marlon Brando. Been so unlucky of late. I thought he should've won last start with even luck & Avoca Flyer has franked that form since finishing a close 2nd during the week. Badewitz is going to be very hard to beat but can do things wrong & will be at unbackable odds. Not worth the risk. Marlon should be big odds here & maybe for those not so keen the win should be $4 a place on offer.
RESULT: LOST! Broke after the start & ended up 5 back the pegs. Never likely from there but did well to finish 5th
MEETING RESULT: RUBBIISSHH. Was really confident tonight too & my wallet is significantly lighter. Lost $130
$50 EW
Race 6 No 9 Jaydens Castle. Her last start run looks ordinary on paper but it was last at the half way point. The 4 leaders broke away & she couldn't get a good trail into the race. Did extremely well to finish 9 metres off them in 4th. Since that run has gone to the trials & won impressively beating Pembrook Caesar. Should be getting $10+ here
RESULT: LOST! Never looked likely. Awful
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
RACE 5 No 6 Marlon Brando. Been so unlucky of late. I thought he should've won last start with even luck & Avoca Flyer has franked that form since finishing a close 2nd during the week. Badewitz is going to be very hard to beat but can do things wrong & will be at unbackable odds. Not worth the risk. Marlon should be big odds here & maybe for those not so keen the win should be $4 a place on offer.
RESULT: LOST! Broke after the start & ended up 5 back the pegs. Never likely from there but did well to finish 5th
MEETING RESULT: RUBBIISSHH. Was really confident tonight too & my wallet is significantly lighter. Lost $130
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 23 Aug 2013
It's all or nothing night here tonight to try & get back in the green!
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 10 Narra Operative. Another huge run last start over the mile which ain't it's go. Back to 2240metres here suits & it'll be making an early move to sit in the death & be too good.
RESULT: LOST! Stuck 3wide the last lap but didn't show the same zip as recent weeks. At $1.70 was big unders. I'll start quoting what odds I expect in future
$100 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Miss Precious Mach. Has been thereabouts vs the males of late. Back to mares class here tonight & has the perfect draw. There looks to be no pressure in this race & it should get away with cheap sectionals here & be winning.
RESULT: 3rd. Led & weakened the last 50metres to get beaten a head by Lady Tara Bulba my tip from last week. Feel like Ive been cheated on
**BEST OF THE NIGHT**
$100WIN
Race 9 No 6 Pinevale Willpower. Should lead this on it's ear first up for David Aiken. It races best in front & should run them off there legs here.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won easily. $210 collect
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 8 No 1 Victors Delight. Just been extremely unlucky in it's first 2 runs, especially last start when 3 back the pegs & never really got a crack until 100 to go. Finished hard vs Have a Bender & only finished 1metre behind Exciteusinthecity who will start fav in this. Victors should be $10+ and with a little luck will go close.
RESULT: WINNER! No luck needed, it led & just held on. I got $8 on opening but was smashed into $3.5. The word was out! Collect $250
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Farmersntradies. I think this fella will have the perfect sit behind Pinevale Willpower & I'm hoping it'll be around $3 a place here. Form looks ordinary but I liked how it finished off last start & this is a weak M1-2
RESULT: 4th. Started far shorter than I expected. Slow away & got stuck behind a longshot 3 back pegs & ran home ok.
ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Have A Bender. In white hot form at the minute & if it's ever going to be the top notchers tonight is the night with Smoken Up, Melpark Major & Bitofbliss very early in there preparations. Smoken Up will ensure a very fast pace especially if Melpark Major finds the front early. That'll suit Have a Bender perfectly and also Bitofbliss but at the odds Have a Bender looks big value
RESULT: 4th. Thought it was a massive chance on the turn but wasn't up to these. Only just missed the place
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 11 No 1 Eleventh Command. 1st up last start got stuck in traffic & never had any room against a couple of smart ones. It has great gate speed & will take the sit behind one of the fav's & is a sneaky chance to win.
RESULT: 3rd, NTD. Thought it would hand up tonight but it led & wasn't a bad run just getting knocked off for 2nd.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $90 but for those that took the early odds on Victors would have won
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 10 Narra Operative. Another huge run last start over the mile which ain't it's go. Back to 2240metres here suits & it'll be making an early move to sit in the death & be too good.
RESULT: LOST! Stuck 3wide the last lap but didn't show the same zip as recent weeks. At $1.70 was big unders. I'll start quoting what odds I expect in future
$100 WIN
Race 6 No 1 Miss Precious Mach. Has been thereabouts vs the males of late. Back to mares class here tonight & has the perfect draw. There looks to be no pressure in this race & it should get away with cheap sectionals here & be winning.
RESULT: 3rd. Led & weakened the last 50metres to get beaten a head by Lady Tara Bulba my tip from last week. Feel like Ive been cheated on
**BEST OF THE NIGHT**
$100WIN
Race 9 No 6 Pinevale Willpower. Should lead this on it's ear first up for David Aiken. It races best in front & should run them off there legs here.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & won easily. $210 collect
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 8 No 1 Victors Delight. Just been extremely unlucky in it's first 2 runs, especially last start when 3 back the pegs & never really got a crack until 100 to go. Finished hard vs Have a Bender & only finished 1metre behind Exciteusinthecity who will start fav in this. Victors should be $10+ and with a little luck will go close.
RESULT: WINNER! No luck needed, it led & just held on. I got $8 on opening but was smashed into $3.5. The word was out! Collect $250
BEST PLACE
$50PLACE
Race 9 No 1 Farmersntradies. I think this fella will have the perfect sit behind Pinevale Willpower & I'm hoping it'll be around $3 a place here. Form looks ordinary but I liked how it finished off last start & this is a weak M1-2
RESULT: 4th. Started far shorter than I expected. Slow away & got stuck behind a longshot 3 back pegs & ran home ok.
ROUGHIES
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 11 Have A Bender. In white hot form at the minute & if it's ever going to be the top notchers tonight is the night with Smoken Up, Melpark Major & Bitofbliss very early in there preparations. Smoken Up will ensure a very fast pace especially if Melpark Major finds the front early. That'll suit Have a Bender perfectly and also Bitofbliss but at the odds Have a Bender looks big value
RESULT: 4th. Thought it was a massive chance on the turn but wasn't up to these. Only just missed the place
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 11 No 1 Eleventh Command. 1st up last start got stuck in traffic & never had any room against a couple of smart ones. It has great gate speed & will take the sit behind one of the fav's & is a sneaky chance to win.
RESULT: 3rd, NTD. Thought it would hand up tonight but it led & wasn't a bad run just getting knocked off for 2nd.
MEETING RESULT: Lost $90 but for those that took the early odds on Victors would have won
Horsham, VIC (Day) - Thursday, 22 Aug 2013
BEST WIN
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 One Wise Man. Been unlucky of late from bad draws. Draws well here & should lead easily. There looks to be little to no pressure in the race so I cant see them getting close.
RESULT: 2nd. Ive done it again. Backed into $1.25 & lost! Would never had tipped it if I hadve known that. $3.6 marked in the paper!
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Lucky Dave. Only a couple of chance in this it has the advantage on the likely fav drawing inside it. I think it leads here today & around Horsham that's a huge advantage.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't win like I thought it would, didn't lead, but got the job done from back in the field. Ill take it! Collect $244
$100WIN
Race 8 No 1 One Wise Man. Been unlucky of late from bad draws. Draws well here & should lead easily. There looks to be little to no pressure in the race so I cant see them getting close.
RESULT: 2nd. Ive done it again. Backed into $1.25 & lost! Would never had tipped it if I hadve known that. $3.6 marked in the paper!
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 5 Lucky Dave. Only a couple of chance in this it has the advantage on the likely fav drawing inside it. I think it leads here today & around Horsham that's a huge advantage.
RESULT: WINNER! Didn't win like I thought it would, didn't lead, but got the job done from back in the field. Ill take it! Collect $244
Kilmore, Thursday 22 August
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
RACE 7 No 10 The Black Frost. Should be plenty of speed early in this race & that's exactly what this bloke needs. Was very unlucky not to finish closer last start after getting caught up in traffic but zoomed home late. If I knew it would get a drag into the race Id be having a decent go but hopefully Daniel Jack can get the right run.
RESULT: LOST!. Gone @ the 400. Driven far too aggressively. It's a sit sprint horse but circled the field & took over the lead & gone a long way out.
Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Action Royale. Hasn't been great since it's spell but the 3 runs have been in stronger races. From the draw it'll end up behind the leader Incoming Flight & Kilmore is a track that can advantage the sprint lane runner. Great ew bet.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance $70.80 collect
DAY RESULT: $35.20 lost
$40WIN/$60PLACE
RACE 7 No 10 The Black Frost. Should be plenty of speed early in this race & that's exactly what this bloke needs. Was very unlucky not to finish closer last start after getting caught up in traffic but zoomed home late. If I knew it would get a drag into the race Id be having a decent go but hopefully Daniel Jack can get the right run.
RESULT: LOST!. Gone @ the 400. Driven far too aggressively. It's a sit sprint horse but circled the field & took over the lead & gone a long way out.
Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Action Royale. Hasn't been great since it's spell but the 3 runs have been in stronger races. From the draw it'll end up behind the leader Incoming Flight & Kilmore is a track that can advantage the sprint lane runner. Great ew bet.
RESULT: 3rd. Had every possible chance $70.80 collect
DAY RESULT: $35.20 lost
Cobram, VIC (Day) - Wednesday, 21 Aug 2013
Not a fan of punting @ Cobram but there looks to be one good thing going around:
$50 WIN
Race 3 No 3 Travelnfirstclass. Good run last start when sitting in the death & only just knocked over in OK time. This is an ordinary lot & it should push on from this draw & control the race from the lead or death. I can't see anything rolling it.
RESULT: WINNER! Woweee, what a tip! $1.60! Sorry followers, not making much coin on those sort of tips but I suppose a winner is a winner
$50 WIN
Race 3 No 3 Travelnfirstclass. Good run last start when sitting in the death & only just knocked over in OK time. This is an ordinary lot & it should push on from this draw & control the race from the lead or death. I can't see anything rolling it.
RESULT: WINNER! Woweee, what a tip! $1.60! Sorry followers, not making much coin on those sort of tips but I suppose a winner is a winner
Geelong, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 20 Aug 2013
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Win The Crowd. Breaking one of my punting rules here & betting in a stand start but this fella is too hard to go past. Last time off the stand, it was off 20metres, circled the field & sat without cover in a 1.59.5 mile rate. Understandably it got tired but still finished 3rd. Of the front here tonight it's a safe beginner & a massive chance to lead. A great lead into its chances is that Daryl Douglas has decided to stay with it & not drive his brothers horse. Hoping for $3+
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up $2.5 & smacked into $1.9. Won easily. Collect $95
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 12 Manuka Man. Only had the one start and was OK winning @ Echuca. Ran 3rd in a trial on the 13th of August losing by 4metres to Jacka Clive & a nose to Chevayo in OK time. That suggests to me that it's ready to run first up, even from the bad draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Started much shorter than I thought it would but the smart money was on. That was an impressive win. Collect $104
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Hermione. I'd be having an almighty crack it this fella from any other draw & maybe it's best to have a bit more the place than the win. It'll end up 3 pegs from here but can sprint very fast when left for the last crack at them. It was 5 back the pegs last start & weaved through traffic to finish off very well into 8th in a unsuitably slowly run race. An extra 50metres would've been interesting. Looks to be a bit of pace on in this race & with luck it can win.
RESULT: 2nd. Ended up 3 pegs & got out too late. With a better draw next start it wins. Collect $51
OTHERS:
- My mate McRita goes around in the 6th but again has a wide draw & might have to race in the death again. Might be it's night but will start unders. RESULT: Spot on. Raced in the death, started unders & runs 3rd. JUST NEEDS A DRAW!
MEETING RESULT: Won $100 but those smart punters taking the early odds should have cleaned up
$50WIN
Race 5 No 5 Win The Crowd. Breaking one of my punting rules here & betting in a stand start but this fella is too hard to go past. Last time off the stand, it was off 20metres, circled the field & sat without cover in a 1.59.5 mile rate. Understandably it got tired but still finished 3rd. Of the front here tonight it's a safe beginner & a massive chance to lead. A great lead into its chances is that Daryl Douglas has decided to stay with it & not drive his brothers horse. Hoping for $3+
RESULT: WINNER! Opened up $2.5 & smacked into $1.9. Won easily. Collect $95
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 12 Manuka Man. Only had the one start and was OK winning @ Echuca. Ran 3rd in a trial on the 13th of August losing by 4metres to Jacka Clive & a nose to Chevayo in OK time. That suggests to me that it's ready to run first up, even from the bad draw.
RESULT: WINNER! Started much shorter than I thought it would but the smart money was on. That was an impressive win. Collect $104
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 8 Hermione. I'd be having an almighty crack it this fella from any other draw & maybe it's best to have a bit more the place than the win. It'll end up 3 pegs from here but can sprint very fast when left for the last crack at them. It was 5 back the pegs last start & weaved through traffic to finish off very well into 8th in a unsuitably slowly run race. An extra 50metres would've been interesting. Looks to be a bit of pace on in this race & with luck it can win.
RESULT: 2nd. Ended up 3 pegs & got out too late. With a better draw next start it wins. Collect $51
OTHERS:
- My mate McRita goes around in the 6th but again has a wide draw & might have to race in the death again. Might be it's night but will start unders. RESULT: Spot on. Raced in the death, started unders & runs 3rd. JUST NEEDS A DRAW!
MEETING RESULT: Won $100 but those smart punters taking the early odds should have cleaned up
Yarra Valley, VIC (Day) - Monday, 19 Aug 2013
BEST WIN:
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Sals Mo. Last time it drew this well it broke! Hopefully that won't happen today. Usually has gate speed & enough to hold these out today. If it does they won't beat it but it'll be heart in mouth stuff at the start.
RESULT: WINNER! Went roughy at the start but credit to Glenn Hunter to keep it in it's gear & it held them out to lead early. That was the end of the race. Collect $220
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 12 Joelles Dream. Been it's own worst enemy this preparation but has put in some fantastic runs against better than this. Over the mile & from the back row is not ideal but if she can get a tow into the race, she'll blow them away. Should be $10+
RESULT: 4th! Got the trial into the race I hoped for but not close enough to the leaders around that final tight turn at Yarra Valley. Just lost a bit of momentum when it went 4 wide but finished well when it balanced up again. A win at odds isn't far away.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Chesire Cat. A little hard to catch this bloke but it's the form horse of the race. From the 2, should position close enough to the lead in a race that looks to have plenty of speed. Hopefully set up for the Cat to steam roll them
RESULT: LOST! Horrible tip. Never gave a yelp & why this horse is so hard to catch. A good punter once told me, you'll lose a lot more money than you'll win backing sit sprinters & today has proved that!
Meeting Result: Lost $30
$100WIN
Race 6 No 1 Sals Mo. Last time it drew this well it broke! Hopefully that won't happen today. Usually has gate speed & enough to hold these out today. If it does they won't beat it but it'll be heart in mouth stuff at the start.
RESULT: WINNER! Went roughy at the start but credit to Glenn Hunter to keep it in it's gear & it held them out to lead early. That was the end of the race. Collect $220
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 12 Joelles Dream. Been it's own worst enemy this preparation but has put in some fantastic runs against better than this. Over the mile & from the back row is not ideal but if she can get a tow into the race, she'll blow them away. Should be $10+
RESULT: 4th! Got the trial into the race I hoped for but not close enough to the leaders around that final tight turn at Yarra Valley. Just lost a bit of momentum when it went 4 wide but finished well when it balanced up again. A win at odds isn't far away.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Chesire Cat. A little hard to catch this bloke but it's the form horse of the race. From the 2, should position close enough to the lead in a race that looks to have plenty of speed. Hopefully set up for the Cat to steam roll them
RESULT: LOST! Horrible tip. Never gave a yelp & why this horse is so hard to catch. A good punter once told me, you'll lose a lot more money than you'll win backing sit sprinters & today has proved that!
Meeting Result: Lost $30
Bendigo, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 21 Aug 2013
Pretty ordinary meeting here & really only keen on one:
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Revivalist. First up here for the Miles camp & has been trialing well for this run. (Ran 2nd to On The Razzle in quick time & that horse ran a good 3rd on Sunday on BC Day) Revivalist was damn unlucky in it's last 2 runs last prep against stronger than this. I think the fav will be unders in this with it's times & opposition questionable. Should get $4 here.
RESULT: 3rd. Good thing beaten for mine. Not sure why Alford wouldn't take off early when the favourite was stuck 3 back the pegs but we'll never know.
DAY RESULT: LOST $20
$50WIN
Race 6 No 2 Revivalist. First up here for the Miles camp & has been trialing well for this run. (Ran 2nd to On The Razzle in quick time & that horse ran a good 3rd on Sunday on BC Day) Revivalist was damn unlucky in it's last 2 runs last prep against stronger than this. I think the fav will be unders in this with it's times & opposition questionable. Should get $4 here.
RESULT: 3rd. Good thing beaten for mine. Not sure why Alford wouldn't take off early when the favourite was stuck 3 back the pegs but we'll never know.
DAY RESULT: LOST $20
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Day) - Sunday, 18 Aug 2013
Breeder Crown day & wowee it's a meeting chock full of talent. Tough punting with plenty of shorties but I'll try my best to get value out of the meet. :
BEST WIN
$100WIN
RACE 5 No 2 Majestic Amy. Super impressive in it's heat running a 56.6 last half. Nothing else came close to that in the semis & $3 available on bookmaker.com.au looks very generous.
RESULT: 2nd! Just not good enough to pick up the well backed fav. Thought she had it with 200 to go.
BEST EXOTIC:
RACE 6 $50 TRIFECTA
2 / 8-9 / 5-8-9
Ideal Scott can't be beaten based on last start. It'll lead from the draw with Keayang Steamer hard on it's back & Restrepo 3pegs if Lang decides to take inside run which he should. Besotted is the only other place chance for mine but will most likely be stuck in the death (NO PUNT IF THE 1 IS NOT SCRATCHED)
RESULT: LOST! Besotted put in an unbelievable run to run 2nd, Wrong order!
BEST PLACE
$100PLACE
Race 9 No 10 Pachacuti. Big winner in the semi running time after sitting in the death. Going to need some luck from the back row but $3 a place is too good to refuse on stab. $300 possible collect
RESULT: 2nd! Thank god for that. Huge run after a questionable drive. Collect $300
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 10 No 7 On The Razzle. Taking the punt that this bloke has enough speed to cross these & if he does will be very hard to beat. Tuned up for this with a recent trial win & with Lance on board you can be guaranteed he'll be doing everything in his power to get the lead!
RESULT: 3rd. Very heavily backed & put in a big run after sitting in the death. Me old mate Artoc wins again! Collect $80
QUADDIE:
2 / 2 / 3-5-9 / 4-7-10-11$36 for 300%
RESULT: LOST! If Majestic Amy wins, hmmmmmmmmmmmmm
OTHER RACES:
Considering plenty of people will be having a crack on most races here's my thoughts on the other races I haven't mentioned above
RACE 1: Frith leads & should win easily. Rogers Passion ran a huge race from the death last week which is not her go. From the perfect draw she'll sit behind Frith & should be able to hold a place. $7 available on BET365
RESULT: Boom! 2nd for Rogers & my day was paid for after race 1.
RACE 2: Im Stately should win this. Im sure Jack is very keen to make up for his drive on it in the Redwood where he was too arrogant & lost to Daenerys Targaryen. Given both have a safe start, this should be a great battle. Dellboy is my roughy in the race but for a place only. Should get a nice smother in the race. Currently $9.5 available on BET365
RESULT: LOST! The 1 galloped in its face at the start but put in a huge run to get so close to the leaders. What could've been..
RACE 3: Zedalite looks first to the pegs early here & if it can hold out Shes an Image it's the one to beat. $4 fixed BET365
RESULT: Led on take 2 & had every chance running 3rd
RACE 4: Blitzemcalder wins. Next race
RESULT: Blitzemcalder loses in a big shock!
RACE 7: Bling It On looks mighty hard to beat but Im worried Luke has decided to drive Lettucerocktem instead. Might hand up & use the sprint lane but will that cost it? The NZers are capable of anything as well. Too many if & buts for mine. Hezarealgem is my roughy with $7 offered on Bet365 midweek for the place. Now into $5.5 but that still good value
RESULT: Blingiton never looked in doubt & Hezarealgem just wasn't up to them.
RACE 8: Cheer The Lady has looked awesome in winning her last 2 starts however the races have been set up for her as witnessed by a 28sec last quarter last start. Ive had a decent crack at Carpenters Daughter the past 2 starts however I was disappointed in her 2nd last week. After having the 1x1 sit off a fast speed she was no match for CTL. The start in this race is absolutely vital. 1 gets out of the gate OK & Real Bonus is OK but not super quick. Light In Every Day can fly the gate & that's what Im hoping for. If she can find the front early the $18 available looks value. Come on Lauren!!
RESULT: Ahhhhhhhhhhh!! Carpenters Daughter wins. I had a little saver on her just incase. Light In Every Day was huge running 2nd after leading & paid $4 a place
MEETING RESULT: If you followed my suggested bets you ended up losing $6. I just hope people use bet365 and had Rogers Passion..
BEST WIN
$100WIN
RACE 5 No 2 Majestic Amy. Super impressive in it's heat running a 56.6 last half. Nothing else came close to that in the semis & $3 available on bookmaker.com.au looks very generous.
RESULT: 2nd! Just not good enough to pick up the well backed fav. Thought she had it with 200 to go.
BEST EXOTIC:
RACE 6 $50 TRIFECTA
2 / 8-9 / 5-8-9
Ideal Scott can't be beaten based on last start. It'll lead from the draw with Keayang Steamer hard on it's back & Restrepo 3pegs if Lang decides to take inside run which he should. Besotted is the only other place chance for mine but will most likely be stuck in the death (NO PUNT IF THE 1 IS NOT SCRATCHED)
RESULT: LOST! Besotted put in an unbelievable run to run 2nd, Wrong order!
BEST PLACE
$100PLACE
Race 9 No 10 Pachacuti. Big winner in the semi running time after sitting in the death. Going to need some luck from the back row but $3 a place is too good to refuse on stab. $300 possible collect
RESULT: 2nd! Thank god for that. Huge run after a questionable drive. Collect $300
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 10 No 7 On The Razzle. Taking the punt that this bloke has enough speed to cross these & if he does will be very hard to beat. Tuned up for this with a recent trial win & with Lance on board you can be guaranteed he'll be doing everything in his power to get the lead!
RESULT: 3rd. Very heavily backed & put in a big run after sitting in the death. Me old mate Artoc wins again! Collect $80
QUADDIE:
2 / 2 / 3-5-9 / 4-7-10-11$36 for 300%
RESULT: LOST! If Majestic Amy wins, hmmmmmmmmmmmmm
OTHER RACES:
Considering plenty of people will be having a crack on most races here's my thoughts on the other races I haven't mentioned above
RACE 1: Frith leads & should win easily. Rogers Passion ran a huge race from the death last week which is not her go. From the perfect draw she'll sit behind Frith & should be able to hold a place. $7 available on BET365
RESULT: Boom! 2nd for Rogers & my day was paid for after race 1.
RACE 2: Im Stately should win this. Im sure Jack is very keen to make up for his drive on it in the Redwood where he was too arrogant & lost to Daenerys Targaryen. Given both have a safe start, this should be a great battle. Dellboy is my roughy in the race but for a place only. Should get a nice smother in the race. Currently $9.5 available on BET365
RESULT: LOST! The 1 galloped in its face at the start but put in a huge run to get so close to the leaders. What could've been..
RACE 3: Zedalite looks first to the pegs early here & if it can hold out Shes an Image it's the one to beat. $4 fixed BET365
RESULT: Led on take 2 & had every chance running 3rd
RACE 4: Blitzemcalder wins. Next race
RESULT: Blitzemcalder loses in a big shock!
RACE 7: Bling It On looks mighty hard to beat but Im worried Luke has decided to drive Lettucerocktem instead. Might hand up & use the sprint lane but will that cost it? The NZers are capable of anything as well. Too many if & buts for mine. Hezarealgem is my roughy with $7 offered on Bet365 midweek for the place. Now into $5.5 but that still good value
RESULT: Blingiton never looked in doubt & Hezarealgem just wasn't up to them.
RACE 8: Cheer The Lady has looked awesome in winning her last 2 starts however the races have been set up for her as witnessed by a 28sec last quarter last start. Ive had a decent crack at Carpenters Daughter the past 2 starts however I was disappointed in her 2nd last week. After having the 1x1 sit off a fast speed she was no match for CTL. The start in this race is absolutely vital. 1 gets out of the gate OK & Real Bonus is OK but not super quick. Light In Every Day can fly the gate & that's what Im hoping for. If she can find the front early the $18 available looks value. Come on Lauren!!
RESULT: Ahhhhhhhhhhh!! Carpenters Daughter wins. I had a little saver on her just incase. Light In Every Day was huge running 2nd after leading & paid $4 a place
MEETING RESULT: If you followed my suggested bets you ended up losing $6. I just hope people use bet365 and had Rogers Passion..
Shepparton, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 17 Aug 2013
BEST EW
$50EW
RACE 4 No 10 Ariens. Been driven too patiently of late but with it's dangers right next to it this week, it should follow one of them home and for mine, a certain top 3 finish.
RESULT: LOST. No excuses.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Lady Taras Bulba. She loves a sprint trip this mare & flies the gate. I reckon she'll be the first to the pegs & there looks to be no pressure in this race at all. If she doesn't find the pegs first it may make it tough but she has led from 7 at Melton easily before. Worth a crack at nice ew odds.
RESULT: LOST! Restrained at the start & they walked in front. Really frustrating when the punter isn't told of a change of tactics
MEETING RESULT: LOST $200
$50EW
RACE 4 No 10 Ariens. Been driven too patiently of late but with it's dangers right next to it this week, it should follow one of them home and for mine, a certain top 3 finish.
RESULT: LOST. No excuses.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Lady Taras Bulba. She loves a sprint trip this mare & flies the gate. I reckon she'll be the first to the pegs & there looks to be no pressure in this race at all. If she doesn't find the pegs first it may make it tough but she has led from 7 at Melton easily before. Worth a crack at nice ew odds.
RESULT: LOST! Restrained at the start & they walked in front. Really frustrating when the punter isn't told of a change of tactics
MEETING RESULT: LOST $200
MELTON, VIC (Day) - Friday, 16 Aug 2013
Staying away from Mildura to concentrate on Melton. I do like a couple of shorties in race 2 (Hecotjayjay) & 5 (Fivestaranvil) but no value in backing odds on pops so here's my value tips :
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 13 Lombo Toscannini. Comes to Vic on the float with a few of his mates that are running on Sunday from Menangle, this fella looks to have fitness & class on the majority of these. I think the draw is irrelevant for it as it'll roll forward mid-race. With a hot pace likely early it might find an easy middle quarter to make that move & should be very hard to be up the straight. Also like Kisartis for the place but Im worried it may get stuck behind a tiring Cheveyo. If it gets out to $4 a place worth a go.
RESULT: WINNER!. Smashed them. Didn't think it would start as short as it did but a winner is a winner. Collect $156
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Martial Artist. Backing sit sprinters is always risky business but this fellas last 400metres was impressive last start. After being 5pegs & eventually last on the turn it pulled out the widest & flashed home for 5th finishing 8metres behind Narra Operative. I'd rather Martial Artist over more distance from the draw be won't be stuck on the fence this time around & if David Miles can find a cart into the race, it's a massive chance at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Big run after and absolute shocker of a drive from David Miles. Won't start $50 next start
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Abettorpunt. Loved it's first up run for 8 months when it flashed home late to grab 3rd over 1720m although the race was set up for backmarkers. Should be much fitter here tonight & the extra distance will suit. From gate 9, it'll follow through Bettor Give It & position midfield. There is likely to be a couple of horses behind it wanting the death sit so I can see it getting a nice cart into the race late. If they go too hard in front, it'll be there biggest danger.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $66
QUADDIE:
5-8 / 7 / FIELD / 1-2-9-12 : $24 for 25%
MEETING RESULT: LOST $2
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 1 No 13 Lombo Toscannini. Comes to Vic on the float with a few of his mates that are running on Sunday from Menangle, this fella looks to have fitness & class on the majority of these. I think the draw is irrelevant for it as it'll roll forward mid-race. With a hot pace likely early it might find an easy middle quarter to make that move & should be very hard to be up the straight. Also like Kisartis for the place but Im worried it may get stuck behind a tiring Cheveyo. If it gets out to $4 a place worth a go.
RESULT: WINNER!. Smashed them. Didn't think it would start as short as it did but a winner is a winner. Collect $156
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Martial Artist. Backing sit sprinters is always risky business but this fellas last 400metres was impressive last start. After being 5pegs & eventually last on the turn it pulled out the widest & flashed home for 5th finishing 8metres behind Narra Operative. I'd rather Martial Artist over more distance from the draw be won't be stuck on the fence this time around & if David Miles can find a cart into the race, it's a massive chance at big odds.
RESULT: LOST! Big run after and absolute shocker of a drive from David Miles. Won't start $50 next start
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Abettorpunt. Loved it's first up run for 8 months when it flashed home late to grab 3rd over 1720m although the race was set up for backmarkers. Should be much fitter here tonight & the extra distance will suit. From gate 9, it'll follow through Bettor Give It & position midfield. There is likely to be a couple of horses behind it wanting the death sit so I can see it getting a nice cart into the race late. If they go too hard in front, it'll be there biggest danger.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $66
QUADDIE:
5-8 / 7 / FIELD / 1-2-9-12 : $24 for 25%
MEETING RESULT: LOST $2
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Day) - Thursday, 15 Aug 2013
This is a tough meeting to work out so my advice would be to halve your bets. Some of these horses had their legs ran off in the semi's of the breeders crown & may not back up so just a couple from me:
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Paintball. I actually think this horse is suited to a sit sprint & will get the perfect opportunity to do so today. Been plagued by bad draws of late & should get back on the winners list today from gate 1
RESULT: Lost. Weird race. A heap of pressure pretty much for the whole race. The leaders rightfully got tired & she tried to find runs but just couldn't gather up momentum.
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Stormed Out. Raced in the stronger semi & did well to only finish 23metres off the winner in an unbelievable 53sec last half. It'll be 3 pegs at worst & with a fair bit of pressure likely in this race, it should suit this fella.
RESULT: 4th. Probably runs a place if it stuck to the sprint lane but can't knock Alford, still one of the best going around.
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Paintball. I actually think this horse is suited to a sit sprint & will get the perfect opportunity to do so today. Been plagued by bad draws of late & should get back on the winners list today from gate 1
RESULT: Lost. Weird race. A heap of pressure pretty much for the whole race. The leaders rightfully got tired & she tried to find runs but just couldn't gather up momentum.
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Stormed Out. Raced in the stronger semi & did well to only finish 23metres off the winner in an unbelievable 53sec last half. It'll be 3 pegs at worst & with a fair bit of pressure likely in this race, it should suit this fella.
RESULT: 4th. Probably runs a place if it stuck to the sprint lane but can't knock Alford, still one of the best going around.
Bendigo, VIC (Night) - Thursday, 15 Aug 2013
Again not keen on this meeting so just throwing a couple of suggested bets out there.
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Jumbo Asakei. Won a trial in smart time, which was quicker than Real Bonus ran that same night. Using trial times for form is risky business but if it did run those times tonight I think it wins. The lead is up for grabs even from 5 with little pace inside of it. Worth the risk I say!
RESULT: 4th. No it wasn't. Was an ok run & Im tipping will run better 2nd up.
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Beachstar. This fella beat Big Gorilla home by 10metres albeit after having a nice sit behind the leader whilst BG was without cover. BG won impressively @ Terang Wednesday night so the form line looks good & this race looks fairly weak. Might get nice EW odds here.
RESULT: LOST! Broke after a 100metres & pulled out of the race.
Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Ringtripleowe. He should've run a place last start but broke gear when starting to sprint along sprint lane vs Livingthedream. With little pressure likely in this race, most are sit sprinters, I think you'll need to be up on the speed to be a chance & that's where he'll be. I was close to selecting Tere T even after it let me down last start but I just can't see the speed in the race it needs to win.
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing run. Got fired up after Douglas drove it out hard early & pulled for the remainder of the race.
DAY RESULT: Not a cracker! From chocolates to boiled lollies but as I noted, no confidence today. In hindsight I should've stayed out. Lost $300
BEST WIN
$50WIN
Race 8 No 5 Jumbo Asakei. Won a trial in smart time, which was quicker than Real Bonus ran that same night. Using trial times for form is risky business but if it did run those times tonight I think it wins. The lead is up for grabs even from 5 with little pace inside of it. Worth the risk I say!
RESULT: 4th. No it wasn't. Was an ok run & Im tipping will run better 2nd up.
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 4 Beachstar. This fella beat Big Gorilla home by 10metres albeit after having a nice sit behind the leader whilst BG was without cover. BG won impressively @ Terang Wednesday night so the form line looks good & this race looks fairly weak. Might get nice EW odds here.
RESULT: LOST! Broke after a 100metres & pulled out of the race.
Roughy
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 2 Ringtripleowe. He should've run a place last start but broke gear when starting to sprint along sprint lane vs Livingthedream. With little pressure likely in this race, most are sit sprinters, I think you'll need to be up on the speed to be a chance & that's where he'll be. I was close to selecting Tere T even after it let me down last start but I just can't see the speed in the race it needs to win.
RESULT: LOST! Disappointing run. Got fired up after Douglas drove it out hard early & pulled for the remainder of the race.
DAY RESULT: Not a cracker! From chocolates to boiled lollies but as I noted, no confidence today. In hindsight I should've stayed out. Lost $300
Terang, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 14 Aug 2013
Loving this meeting (might hate it after race 7 but I'm confident of walking away a winner)
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 3 Nobetter Time. Amazing run last start when checked & flashed home late on the leaders track Charlton to just miss. Its a 12 start maiden but if it brings that sort of run to the track today it wins.
RESULT: WINNER! Had the run of the race but won arrogantly. Keep following, looks to have plenty of talent. Collect $155
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 1 I Wantano. First up tonight, this looks a suitable race to resume in. Last prep was running against some smart horses including a 3rd to Amajorjo. Back to a C1 tonight, if it's anywhere near right it'll win this.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance but was outsprinted
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Voce. Last start was it's first run for Webster & was held up 3 pegs & should've finished a lot closer to The Unionist & Keayang Falcon in a C2/3 race. Both those horses would be odds on in this race. From 3 should be able to position up close to the lead & with average luck beat this lot. I'm also a fan of Tres Hombre who was desperately unlucky last start but it always is, hates to win but loves running a place at odds. From the draw it's going to get the smother it loves & be steaming home late. Have a go the place but only if $3+
RESULT: WINNER! Voce leads & wins with ease. Tres Hombre just grabs 3rd @ $3.70 the place. Very profitable race for me personally but it has been a dry spell! Collect $288
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Big Gorilla. Big run last start when raced in the death & finished 3rd in a 56.9sec last half @ Charlton which is almost unheard of. It will be tough from the back row but I just think it's got class on these & with average luck I expect to win.
RESULT: WINNER! Had the perfect cart into the race & gave them windburn. Got backed for a stacked so hope followers took the early $4 available. Collect $209
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 7 The Unionist. This bloke should have more wins on the board this prep. It just excels over this trip whether it sits in the death or comes with one last sprint at them. Very versatile. There are a couple of question marks on the 1 & 3 who will be fancied & the 5 may have to work too hard to try & lead. All roads lead to the Unionist!
RESULT: Winner! Started a whole lot shorter than I thought it would but you can't lose backing winners. Collect $172
MEETING RESULT: Fair night out that. $424 profit
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 3 Nobetter Time. Amazing run last start when checked & flashed home late on the leaders track Charlton to just miss. Its a 12 start maiden but if it brings that sort of run to the track today it wins.
RESULT: WINNER! Had the run of the race but won arrogantly. Keep following, looks to have plenty of talent. Collect $155
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 1 I Wantano. First up tonight, this looks a suitable race to resume in. Last prep was running against some smart horses including a 3rd to Amajorjo. Back to a C1 tonight, if it's anywhere near right it'll win this.
RESULT: 2nd. Had every possible chance but was outsprinted
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 3 Voce. Last start was it's first run for Webster & was held up 3 pegs & should've finished a lot closer to The Unionist & Keayang Falcon in a C2/3 race. Both those horses would be odds on in this race. From 3 should be able to position up close to the lead & with average luck beat this lot. I'm also a fan of Tres Hombre who was desperately unlucky last start but it always is, hates to win but loves running a place at odds. From the draw it's going to get the smother it loves & be steaming home late. Have a go the place but only if $3+
RESULT: WINNER! Voce leads & wins with ease. Tres Hombre just grabs 3rd @ $3.70 the place. Very profitable race for me personally but it has been a dry spell! Collect $288
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Big Gorilla. Big run last start when raced in the death & finished 3rd in a 56.9sec last half @ Charlton which is almost unheard of. It will be tough from the back row but I just think it's got class on these & with average luck I expect to win.
RESULT: WINNER! Had the perfect cart into the race & gave them windburn. Got backed for a stacked so hope followers took the early $4 available. Collect $209
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 7 The Unionist. This bloke should have more wins on the board this prep. It just excels over this trip whether it sits in the death or comes with one last sprint at them. Very versatile. There are a couple of question marks on the 1 & 3 who will be fancied & the 5 may have to work too hard to try & lead. All roads lead to the Unionist!
RESULT: Winner! Started a whole lot shorter than I thought it would but you can't lose backing winners. Collect $172
MEETING RESULT: Fair night out that. $424 profit
Maryborough, Wednesday 14 August
BEST WIN:
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 3 Magical Molly. Was just OK last start over 1700m & was badly driven the start before. This horse races best over more distance where it can settle & run along at its own tempo. Drawn to lead over 2190m looks ideal here.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez I was worried a lap out after it got crossed & then it couldn't get the lead off the $30 leader. Fortunately class was far too great & pulled away to win easily. Collect $170
MEETING RESULT: Won $40. Wowweeeeee.
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Merindah Melody. This really is a guess work tip. Today is it's first start but it's trial form is good. Ran a close 3rd in a trial to Cardon Merger (won impressively last week) & Mindarie Priddy a fortnight ago. The 3 will lead & is weak, the 1 equally as weak & the best horse in the race has drawn 8 & likely to end up 3 pegs. Looks set up for a longshot. Hopefully it has some gate speed & gets across to the death first & grab cover & have the last crack at them. (Ron Wicks doesn't drive too many!)
RESULT: LOST! And Ronnie will be lucky to ever drive a winner. Slow at the last but instead of getting 2wide at the rear decided to stay 3wide the trip without really trying for the death. Suffice to say it tired badly. Put a professional on next time Ronnie!
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 3 Magical Molly. Was just OK last start over 1700m & was badly driven the start before. This horse races best over more distance where it can settle & run along at its own tempo. Drawn to lead over 2190m looks ideal here.
RESULT: WINNER! Geez I was worried a lap out after it got crossed & then it couldn't get the lead off the $30 leader. Fortunately class was far too great & pulled away to win easily. Collect $170
MEETING RESULT: Won $40. Wowweeeeee.
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 5 Merindah Melody. This really is a guess work tip. Today is it's first start but it's trial form is good. Ran a close 3rd in a trial to Cardon Merger (won impressively last week) & Mindarie Priddy a fortnight ago. The 3 will lead & is weak, the 1 equally as weak & the best horse in the race has drawn 8 & likely to end up 3 pegs. Looks set up for a longshot. Hopefully it has some gate speed & gets across to the death first & grab cover & have the last crack at them. (Ron Wicks doesn't drive too many!)
RESULT: LOST! And Ronnie will be lucky to ever drive a winner. Slow at the last but instead of getting 2wide at the rear decided to stay 3wide the trip without really trying for the death. Suffice to say it tired badly. Put a professional on next time Ronnie!
Cranbourne, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 13 Aug 2013
BEST BET:
$100 WIN
Race 2 No 6 Tandias Bromac. Taking a punt on this bloke being 2nd favourite. If you get anymore than $2 that's great value. Loved it's first 2 runs in Oz, against substandard fields but has run time. The 1 is first up for Douglas from NZ but didn't race against the best like Tandias did. Fingers crossed for black figures
RESULT: WINNER! Doesn't get much easier than that. Got gifted the lead after the favourite got crossed. Game over as soon as that happened. Collect $220
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Hi Tech Fury. This fella doesn't win out of turn but it's in good form at the minute. Was restrained from a wide draw in the heat of this race & started it's move at the 600metres but was inconvenienced a touch and lost a bit of momentum whilst Evil Trickster was out in front. Took plenty of ground of Evil Trickster to finish 2nd beaten 4 metres. Both heat winners draw the back row & he should be placed in the top 4 & close enough to outsprint them late.
RESULT: WINNER! Well bugger me. 2 tips for 2 winners. About time. He got the run of the race & outsprinted them in the straight. Opened $4.50 & got smashed in late. Collect $102
MEETING RESULT: Won $172
$100 WIN
Race 2 No 6 Tandias Bromac. Taking a punt on this bloke being 2nd favourite. If you get anymore than $2 that's great value. Loved it's first 2 runs in Oz, against substandard fields but has run time. The 1 is first up for Douglas from NZ but didn't race against the best like Tandias did. Fingers crossed for black figures
RESULT: WINNER! Doesn't get much easier than that. Got gifted the lead after the favourite got crossed. Game over as soon as that happened. Collect $220
BEST EW
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 4 No 4 Hi Tech Fury. This fella doesn't win out of turn but it's in good form at the minute. Was restrained from a wide draw in the heat of this race & started it's move at the 600metres but was inconvenienced a touch and lost a bit of momentum whilst Evil Trickster was out in front. Took plenty of ground of Evil Trickster to finish 2nd beaten 4 metres. Both heat winners draw the back row & he should be placed in the top 4 & close enough to outsprint them late.
RESULT: WINNER! Well bugger me. 2 tips for 2 winners. About time. He got the run of the race & outsprinted them in the straight. Opened $4.50 & got smashed in late. Collect $102
MEETING RESULT: Won $172
Shepparton, VIC (Day) - Monday, 12 Aug 2013
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Patos Wallet. Bursting to win one. It's 2nd to Minti Choice last start was outstanding & this is weaker today. It can either lead or take a sit & be a winning chance,but I think it's a better chance with a sit. Hopefully behind Forest Fury. Good value punt here. Also like Mums A Star as a roughy but maybe keep that to F4's
RESULT: LOST! Bloody hell. Patos Wallet absolutely horrible. Mums A Star falls in @ $20. That's just how Im going at the minute
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Patos Wallet. Bursting to win one. It's 2nd to Minti Choice last start was outstanding & this is weaker today. It can either lead or take a sit & be a winning chance,but I think it's a better chance with a sit. Hopefully behind Forest Fury. Good value punt here. Also like Mums A Star as a roughy but maybe keep that to F4's
RESULT: LOST! Bloody hell. Patos Wallet absolutely horrible. Mums A Star falls in @ $20. That's just how Im going at the minute
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Day) - Sunday, 11 Aug 2013
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 4 No 10 Light In Every Day. I just think with Born Again Sassy looking like either being stuck in the death or having to work hard for the lead, this is by far the next best horse in the race. Lauren Panella will give it every chance. Currently $3.8
RESULT: 2nd. Great run but just had to work too hard & found Born Again Sassy too strong. Gets a good draw in the final
BEST EW:
$10WIN/$90PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Theartofdelusion. Forget it went around last start when never got out. It'll find it tough to beat Keayang Steamer ($1.80 is short enough) but if it gets the right smother it's a knock out chance. At $2 a place, that looks the best value in the race.
RESULT: 2nd. Probably should've taken the exacta in hindsight with Keayang Steamer too strong as I expected. Still it's a profit, albeit small. (if you took the place odds last night, much bigger collect) Collect $144
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Carpenters Daughter. Huge run last start when Cheer The Lady got the better of her after an easier run. I think she's better than Blazeaway Macray & La Machane. Cheer The Lady draws gate 8 & might have to do plenty of work. At $6 personally she'll be my biggest ew bet of the day.
RESULT: 2nd. Cheer The Lady was far too good, simple as that. Collect $102. (stab odds are killing me! Up to $2.10 fixed the place with Corporates)
MEETING RESULT: Lost $4.. Well worth the punt!
$50WIN
Race 4 No 10 Light In Every Day. I just think with Born Again Sassy looking like either being stuck in the death or having to work hard for the lead, this is by far the next best horse in the race. Lauren Panella will give it every chance. Currently $3.8
RESULT: 2nd. Great run but just had to work too hard & found Born Again Sassy too strong. Gets a good draw in the final
BEST EW:
$10WIN/$90PLACE
Race 5 No 4 Theartofdelusion. Forget it went around last start when never got out. It'll find it tough to beat Keayang Steamer ($1.80 is short enough) but if it gets the right smother it's a knock out chance. At $2 a place, that looks the best value in the race.
RESULT: 2nd. Probably should've taken the exacta in hindsight with Keayang Steamer too strong as I expected. Still it's a profit, albeit small. (if you took the place odds last night, much bigger collect) Collect $144
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 6 Carpenters Daughter. Huge run last start when Cheer The Lady got the better of her after an easier run. I think she's better than Blazeaway Macray & La Machane. Cheer The Lady draws gate 8 & might have to do plenty of work. At $6 personally she'll be my biggest ew bet of the day.
RESULT: 2nd. Cheer The Lady was far too good, simple as that. Collect $102. (stab odds are killing me! Up to $2.10 fixed the place with Corporates)
MEETING RESULT: Lost $4.. Well worth the punt!
Ballarat, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 10 Aug 2013
Great to do the form the night before a meeting and have some odds to work with fixed odds already available for all races. I'll be having a crack at most races here tonight:
Race 1
$50WIN No 6 Maxim. Has had Messini covered easily back in NZ but Messini may have improved a little since being here. The only other danger is Bling It On and from the draw I have to be on Our Maxim. Hopefully it pushes forward early & I think whatever is leading may hand up to it. Even if they don't, it run a 1.52 sec 2nd from the death beaten a pimple by Our Sky Major. Currently $2.10 fixed stab
RESULT: 2nd. Poor drive. If it followed Mesini across early it would have been in front after 600metres. Instead it gets restrained back to midfield & lets Bling It On go past it.. That was game set match..
Race 2.
Frith looks the leader & winner but just no value. The 8 should sit on it's back the trip and hold 3rd is up for grabs between 3, 6 & 9. Not bet for me though.
Race 3.
$10WIN/$20PLACE No 7 Well Hello Dolly. This mare is back in form & when mares find form they usually keep it. Had no right to win last start after sitting 4th in a 6 horse race & a slow early tempo it still ran them down. This is obviously much stronger but with little speed inside her I hope they push forward with her early & dictate the race from the death or in front. Im not a fan of Broadways Best this prep & I think the only danger to it will be Bettor Give it who'd I'd be all over if it had drawn anywhere but 8. $21 & $4.33 fixed
RESULT: Lost. Last I think. Totally misread this race. The NSW mare strolled to the front & ran them along & Dolly was stuck in the breeze & the hard run took it's toll
Race 4
Hard race to work out here but once the dust settles I expect the pace to slow quite quickly. The horse to make the pace is Echeveria & it can win from the death if it gets there cheaply. Shouldn't have been favourite last start against the mares & I thought it's run after copping a fair bit of pressure was good to finish 4th. They ran 1.56.8 for the 2240metres which is very quick going. It's the value for mine even from the poor draw. Ginger Bliss I marked as a trial flyer but that trial it led & burnt up the Melton track. I'd mark it as the best of the night if it had drawn the front & can still win from the backrow but no value for mine from the draw.
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 13 Echeveria ($12 & $3.20)
RESULT: 4th. Had to be driven with a sit tonight & I don't think that's her go. Having said that if Gath wen forward to try & death seat, I doubt the horse in the death was going to give it away. Still a nice run though.
Race 5
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 2 Major Secret. This bloke is flying but will have to be at it's very best to win here but the draw couldn't have worked out better. It'll be the first to the pegs & will hand up to either All Eyes On Us or Our Sky Major. Either way, it'll be the horse getting the run of the race & if the others are cutting at each other look out. Also nice to note it beat Our Maxim in a trial here last week Running 2.00 MR & a 56 last half. Good value - $10 & $1.70 stab fixed but shop around. As much as $14 on offer
RESULT: 4th. Couldn't cross the 1 & that was the end of it's winning chances. Battled on OK for 4th.
Race 6
Spent a fair bit of time studying this race & trying to find something to beat Im Smouldering & I think there is only one that can do it. Safedra. I think Im Smouldering can get out of the gate quick enough to lead which would mean Safedra would have the gun run on it's back. It's run some big races in NZ against the best fillies & can outsprint Im Smouldering here. Should be a match race. (I'm assuming the 1 is a non starter. If the one starts, cancel the bet)
$25WIN No 8 Safedra $4 Fixed
RESULT: 3rd. Liked it's run but Gavin Lang stuffed us here. Im Smouldering ambles out of the gate & Montana Marie has it all her own way in front. Stick with Safedra
Race 7
This a race that I'll sit back & watch how close Nowitzki can get to Bit Of A Legend. I don't think it'll win but it'll push Bit Of A Legend all of the way
QUADDIES
2-5-6-10-13 / 1-2-9 / 2-8 / 5 $30 for 100%
5-6-10-13 / 1 / 2 / 5 $20 for 400%
RESULT: Missed the 3rd leg
Race 8
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 2 Our Petite Souer. Leds again tonight & I don't think it'll hold up. If that happens is a very sneaky chance of knocking them off
RESULT: 3rd. Led but no match for 1st & 2nd. Collect $48
Race 9
$100WIn No 1 Quick Draft. Best bet of the night. Leads & wins. $2.40 fixed
RESULT: WINNR! Best bet gets home. $240 collect
MEETING RESULT: Lost $117..
Race 1
$50WIN No 6 Maxim. Has had Messini covered easily back in NZ but Messini may have improved a little since being here. The only other danger is Bling It On and from the draw I have to be on Our Maxim. Hopefully it pushes forward early & I think whatever is leading may hand up to it. Even if they don't, it run a 1.52 sec 2nd from the death beaten a pimple by Our Sky Major. Currently $2.10 fixed stab
RESULT: 2nd. Poor drive. If it followed Mesini across early it would have been in front after 600metres. Instead it gets restrained back to midfield & lets Bling It On go past it.. That was game set match..
Race 2.
Frith looks the leader & winner but just no value. The 8 should sit on it's back the trip and hold 3rd is up for grabs between 3, 6 & 9. Not bet for me though.
Race 3.
$10WIN/$20PLACE No 7 Well Hello Dolly. This mare is back in form & when mares find form they usually keep it. Had no right to win last start after sitting 4th in a 6 horse race & a slow early tempo it still ran them down. This is obviously much stronger but with little speed inside her I hope they push forward with her early & dictate the race from the death or in front. Im not a fan of Broadways Best this prep & I think the only danger to it will be Bettor Give it who'd I'd be all over if it had drawn anywhere but 8. $21 & $4.33 fixed
RESULT: Lost. Last I think. Totally misread this race. The NSW mare strolled to the front & ran them along & Dolly was stuck in the breeze & the hard run took it's toll
Race 4
Hard race to work out here but once the dust settles I expect the pace to slow quite quickly. The horse to make the pace is Echeveria & it can win from the death if it gets there cheaply. Shouldn't have been favourite last start against the mares & I thought it's run after copping a fair bit of pressure was good to finish 4th. They ran 1.56.8 for the 2240metres which is very quick going. It's the value for mine even from the poor draw. Ginger Bliss I marked as a trial flyer but that trial it led & burnt up the Melton track. I'd mark it as the best of the night if it had drawn the front & can still win from the backrow but no value for mine from the draw.
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 13 Echeveria ($12 & $3.20)
RESULT: 4th. Had to be driven with a sit tonight & I don't think that's her go. Having said that if Gath wen forward to try & death seat, I doubt the horse in the death was going to give it away. Still a nice run though.
Race 5
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 2 Major Secret. This bloke is flying but will have to be at it's very best to win here but the draw couldn't have worked out better. It'll be the first to the pegs & will hand up to either All Eyes On Us or Our Sky Major. Either way, it'll be the horse getting the run of the race & if the others are cutting at each other look out. Also nice to note it beat Our Maxim in a trial here last week Running 2.00 MR & a 56 last half. Good value - $10 & $1.70 stab fixed but shop around. As much as $14 on offer
RESULT: 4th. Couldn't cross the 1 & that was the end of it's winning chances. Battled on OK for 4th.
Race 6
Spent a fair bit of time studying this race & trying to find something to beat Im Smouldering & I think there is only one that can do it. Safedra. I think Im Smouldering can get out of the gate quick enough to lead which would mean Safedra would have the gun run on it's back. It's run some big races in NZ against the best fillies & can outsprint Im Smouldering here. Should be a match race. (I'm assuming the 1 is a non starter. If the one starts, cancel the bet)
$25WIN No 8 Safedra $4 Fixed
RESULT: 3rd. Liked it's run but Gavin Lang stuffed us here. Im Smouldering ambles out of the gate & Montana Marie has it all her own way in front. Stick with Safedra
Race 7
This a race that I'll sit back & watch how close Nowitzki can get to Bit Of A Legend. I don't think it'll win but it'll push Bit Of A Legend all of the way
QUADDIES
2-5-6-10-13 / 1-2-9 / 2-8 / 5 $30 for 100%
5-6-10-13 / 1 / 2 / 5 $20 for 400%
RESULT: Missed the 3rd leg
Race 8
$20WIN/$30PLACE No 2 Our Petite Souer. Leds again tonight & I don't think it'll hold up. If that happens is a very sneaky chance of knocking them off
RESULT: 3rd. Led but no match for 1st & 2nd. Collect $48
Race 9
$100WIn No 1 Quick Draft. Best bet of the night. Leads & wins. $2.40 fixed
RESULT: WINNR! Best bet gets home. $240 collect
MEETING RESULT: Lost $117..
Echuca, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 6 Aug 2013
It's a guessing game this track & you've just got to hope you're on the right leader. It's almost impossible to win coming 3wide or worse at the turn.
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 5 Charlotte Two. Massive drop in class for this mare here tonight. It'll push forward & I dare say sit outside Goforzoe. If there is a danger Goforzoe is it but I look at both there times from racing in similar positions at Cobram & Charlotte was almost 2 seconds quicker than Zoe from the death albeit on a different day but I think that highlights it's got bags of class on this lot & wins. Hopefully at black odds. Very keen here
RESULT: 2nd. Wasn't good enough, simple as that
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 1 A Chance Taken. Form has been ok after 3 runs in this prep from bad draws. Last time it drew 1 it was over this distance at this track it won easily. This looks a weaker race than the one that it won.
RESULT: 2nd, sat behind the leader but not good enough to out sprint the favourite. Collect $45
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Watmough. Risky punt here. This fella can do a fair bit wrong but looks to have a fair bit of talent. This is it's best draw & has been tuned up for this with a trial win albeit in slow time @ Wagga on the 26th of July. Looks the value in the race
RESULT: Lost. Very green, broke a few times under pressure but won't be tipping it again for a far while!
MEETING REULT: Poor tipping night but that's Echuca. Lost $155
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 5 Charlotte Two. Massive drop in class for this mare here tonight. It'll push forward & I dare say sit outside Goforzoe. If there is a danger Goforzoe is it but I look at both there times from racing in similar positions at Cobram & Charlotte was almost 2 seconds quicker than Zoe from the death albeit on a different day but I think that highlights it's got bags of class on this lot & wins. Hopefully at black odds. Very keen here
RESULT: 2nd. Wasn't good enough, simple as that
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 2 No 1 A Chance Taken. Form has been ok after 3 runs in this prep from bad draws. Last time it drew 1 it was over this distance at this track it won easily. This looks a weaker race than the one that it won.
RESULT: 2nd, sat behind the leader but not good enough to out sprint the favourite. Collect $45
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 4 Watmough. Risky punt here. This fella can do a fair bit wrong but looks to have a fair bit of talent. This is it's best draw & has been tuned up for this with a trial win albeit in slow time @ Wagga on the 26th of July. Looks the value in the race
RESULT: Lost. Very green, broke a few times under pressure but won't be tipping it again for a far while!
MEETING REULT: Poor tipping night but that's Echuca. Lost $155
Geelong, VIC (Night) - Thursday, 8 Aug 2013
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 2 No 2 Seville Lady. I loved it's run last start (those that backed it wouldn't have loved the drive). Was restrained from a wide draw & was trying to get inside runs about 600 out but got held up about 30metres away from the leaders. It was finishing well only to be held up late & wasn't driven out to only finish 12metres off them at the finish. Any Joy ran 2nd in that race and in my opinion Seville should have beaten it. Any Joy will be 2nd fav in this race tonight. From gate 2 Im very keen on it's chances to break it's duck. I'm expecting $10+
RESULT: 5th. Started fav which I wasn't expecting. Led & went quick out in front but was beaten by the horse who sat in the death. Might be a better horse with a sit but that don't help us tonight.
Rough Rough Roughy
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Miss Metro Glen. Numerical form looks pretty ordinary but has been racing against the likes of Im Smouldering. Gets the draw to lead here & with the main danger drawn wide on the back row I think it'll be giving a whole heap of cheek in this race. Should be $20+. (Not going to get $20 with the scratchings)
RESULT: 2nd. Led & looked gone at the top of the straight but just kept kicking to get done by a head. $4.20 was up for grabs around the corporates for the place. Stab $3.40. Collect $51
Meeting Result: Lost $69
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 9 Aug 2013
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 10 Five Star Anvil. TRIAL FLYER! Beat Smokin Up in a recent trial & with a whole heap of speed in the race & the great trailing draw, I can see Group 1 Gav unleash 3 or 4 wide at the top of the straight & give them windburn. Should be winning this race
RESULT: 3rd. I will never learn. Tipping Odds on pops, there is just no value in it. Apologies followers.
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 6 McRita. One of the most honest fillies going around. She should've bolted in last start with clear racing room. Tonight she draws the front row & she can run the gate fast when she wants to. If she managed to lead they won't beat her but will still be a big chance if she didn't.
RESULT: 3rd. Just keeps earning a cheque. Hit the lead at the turn but was a sitting shot for the swoopers. As soon as she draws a gate, she'll be winning. Collect $120
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Djibouti. Is a very hard horse to catch but there will be no excuses tonight. Should be the first horse to the pegs & will probably take the sit behind Mark Dennis. If you go 4 starts back it raced 3 pegs & was a little unlucky not to run a place behind Washmepockets. Its runs since have been ok but this race isn't strong. Worth a risk at the value.
RESULT: LOST. OK run but got stuck 3 pegs and was looking for runs down the straight after the horse in front weakened.
MEETING RESULT: Rubbish punting there. I'm really having a crack tomorrow night @ Ballarat in what looks a value for money meeting. Lost $130
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 10 Five Star Anvil. TRIAL FLYER! Beat Smokin Up in a recent trial & with a whole heap of speed in the race & the great trailing draw, I can see Group 1 Gav unleash 3 or 4 wide at the top of the straight & give them windburn. Should be winning this race
RESULT: 3rd. I will never learn. Tipping Odds on pops, there is just no value in it. Apologies followers.
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 3 No 6 McRita. One of the most honest fillies going around. She should've bolted in last start with clear racing room. Tonight she draws the front row & she can run the gate fast when she wants to. If she managed to lead they won't beat her but will still be a big chance if she didn't.
RESULT: 3rd. Just keeps earning a cheque. Hit the lead at the turn but was a sitting shot for the swoopers. As soon as she draws a gate, she'll be winning. Collect $120
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 2 Djibouti. Is a very hard horse to catch but there will be no excuses tonight. Should be the first horse to the pegs & will probably take the sit behind Mark Dennis. If you go 4 starts back it raced 3 pegs & was a little unlucky not to run a place behind Washmepockets. Its runs since have been ok but this race isn't strong. Worth a risk at the value.
RESULT: LOST. OK run but got stuck 3 pegs and was looking for runs down the straight after the horse in front weakened.
MEETING RESULT: Rubbish punting there. I'm really having a crack tomorrow night @ Ballarat in what looks a value for money meeting. Lost $130
Charlton, Monday 5 August
Not keen here today but there is one that I have to get on.
TRIAL FLYER ALERT!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 The Conmans Luck. Nice trial win over 2000metres running a 58 second last half & winning easily. It's form looks horrid but first up for Trev Patching looks like it's ready to go.
RESULT: LOST! Just like it's form, horrid. Led & found nothing. SACKED
TRIAL FLYER ALERT!
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 The Conmans Luck. Nice trial win over 2000metres running a 58 second last half & winning easily. It's form looks horrid but first up for Trev Patching looks like it's ready to go.
RESULT: LOST! Just like it's form, horrid. Led & found nothing. SACKED
Cranbourne, VIC (Twilight) - Sunday, 4 Aug 2013
Just the one bet here today:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Astronaut. This fella is a Cranbourne pig. Only been unplaced 3 times at the track. The start here is very important but I think it'll have the speed to cross them. If that does happen the only danger will be Royal Witness.
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't show it's normal explosive speed from the mobile tonight & got stuck in the death outside the leader. Managed to hold 3rd so not a total loss. Collect $80
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 7 Astronaut. This fella is a Cranbourne pig. Only been unplaced 3 times at the track. The start here is very important but I think it'll have the speed to cross them. If that does happen the only danger will be Royal Witness.
RESULT: 3rd. Didn't show it's normal explosive speed from the mobile tonight & got stuck in the death outside the leader. Managed to hold 3rd so not a total loss. Collect $80
Bendigo, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 3 Aug 2013
MEETING RESULT: Finally a profit in August. Won $136. Forgot to mention the trial flyer Celebrity Lass in Race 2 & of course it wins impressively @ $6. Thought it would be tough to win from the back row.. Need more faith in my trial flyers!!
BEST WIN:
$100 WIN
Race 3 No 1 Little Red Cloud. On paper his last start run looks just OK but it was the one making ground from last in quick time. This is a draw it'll love. Best wins have come from sit sprinting & can't see Salem holding it off. Only 2 place dividends, if paying well enough the place, smash it.
RESULT: 3rd. Really disappointing effort. They ran 28sec last quarter & Ive seen it run much faster than that in the past. The race was set up perfectly & it just couldn't get the job done. SACKED
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Metromint. Great run against Burra Sullivan when 2nd & the deafeners failed to release. Might have been enough to win if they did. If it brings that form here it'll win, especially if the 1 leads.
RESULT: WINNER! Panned out exactly like I thought & unlike LRC got the job done & surprisingly good odds. Collect $366
Roughy
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Attack On Command. Reckon it'll be first to the pegs here & should give a sight in the lead. It's a grinder so behind the leader maybe no good so if Pekin gets the lead hopefully he holds it! There are going to be couple in the race that will be huge unders for mine, probably the first 2 favs & I'd rather have a go at a longshot up on the pace
RESULT: LOST! Led & found nothing. Needs easier but there ain't much easier than that race tonight.
BEST WIN:
$100 WIN
Race 3 No 1 Little Red Cloud. On paper his last start run looks just OK but it was the one making ground from last in quick time. This is a draw it'll love. Best wins have come from sit sprinting & can't see Salem holding it off. Only 2 place dividends, if paying well enough the place, smash it.
RESULT: 3rd. Really disappointing effort. They ran 28sec last quarter & Ive seen it run much faster than that in the past. The race was set up perfectly & it just couldn't get the job done. SACKED
BEST EW
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 8 Metromint. Great run against Burra Sullivan when 2nd & the deafeners failed to release. Might have been enough to win if they did. If it brings that form here it'll win, especially if the 1 leads.
RESULT: WINNER! Panned out exactly like I thought & unlike LRC got the job done & surprisingly good odds. Collect $366
Roughy
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 9 No 3 Attack On Command. Reckon it'll be first to the pegs here & should give a sight in the lead. It's a grinder so behind the leader maybe no good so if Pekin gets the lead hopefully he holds it! There are going to be couple in the race that will be huge unders for mine, probably the first 2 favs & I'd rather have a go at a longshot up on the pace
RESULT: LOST! Led & found nothing. Needs easier but there ain't much easier than that race tonight.
Tabcorp Park Melton, Friday 2 August
MEETING RESULT: Lost $30. After a good start it fell away at the end.
Taking risks here tonight with value runners but I've had far greater success doing that than anything else!
BEST BET
$50EW
Race 4 No 10 Carpenters Daughter. Could've been easily 3 starts in oz for 3 wins with any luck. I think out to 2240metres is the key here. Over the sprint trip last start had to come 5 & 6 wide from near last & was 2nd to Inky Cullen. Importantly Real Magic who ran 3rd came out and won impressively last week. Not sure what odds we'll get because of the Mark Purden runner (who I don't rate that highly) but hammer the place if the odds are good enough because in my view it's almost over the line. Will be my biggest bet of the night.
RESULT: 2nd. Massive run. Did a mountain of work in the first lap to get the lead, continued to get pressured & just kept kicking to finish 2nd. I hope followers did smash the place as it was amazing overs for mine. Collect $100
NEXT BEST
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Lovable Larrikin. Has been in just about every punters blackbooks for the past month & tonight gets the draw that it should excel from. Has enough gate speed to hold out all & I dare say will hand up to Fiery Achiever. I'd be extremely surprised if it didn't finish top 3 but could be one of those horses that's just a non winner. (Current fixed odds on s-tab $9 & $1.90)
RESULT: LOST! First time I've jumped on & probably the last. Just needs too much luck in it's races to be a chance. Got stuck behind a tiring Fiery Achiever & that was the end of it.
$25EW
Race 10 No 6 Melpark Maestro. Talented horse on it's day & has hit form again after getting lost last prep. Liked it's run against Washmepockets last start when working home well & back to Claimers class & Greg Sugars keeping the drive looks a good bet. Hopefully sent forward from the draw to dictate the race from the death
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race & my ticket was screwed up a long way out after the leaders walked.
Roughies
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Dungeon Queen. A little bit of guess work from me here. The 2 leads on it's ear, the 1 will have enough speed to hold it's back & I think DQ can slot 3 pegs as Ashira Bromac has been walking out of the gate since it joined the Sue Miles camp. From that position she's a real chance in a race where the majority of runners are out of form. She was great last start & with a clear run would've gone close after being 4 pegs against Machin Out. That's her go. 2 starts back lobbed the 1x1 & couldn't go a yard so really important she gets that smother otherwise her chances are limited but that's why she'll be $20+
RESULT: 4th. Oh so frustrated. The beginning panned out exactly as I thought but Miles had no interest going 3 pegs. Came wide & ran on well to just miss 3rd.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Bellasario. First up last start was restrained at the start back to last. It took off from last at the 800 & almost hit the lead halfway down the straight only to weaken on it's run in a race won by Realy Under Fire who is in white hot form. They ran the last half in 57 seconds, I'd love to know what she did it in. The problem here is the draw. It'll be 3 back the pegs at best but with it's sprint can still win at nice odds. Any further back than that it's going to make it tough
RESULT: WINNER!! Chris Alford a 50 out of 10 drive. Stuck 4 back the fence he slowly eased the horse back until he found a gap to come 3wdie & whoooshka (well maybe not whooska) got the job done! Collect $204
QUADDIE
Only spending a small amount on a high risk quad.
10 / 13 / 1-2-3-5-7-8-10-12 / 1 ($24 for 300%)
RESULT: Carpenters lost so out in the first leg.
TRIAL FLYER ALERT!
Race 9 No 11 No Tomorrow. Didn't tip it after marking down it's trial effort & it won after being well backed. Not tipping it again from the bad which may prove to be foolish
OTHERS TO CONSIDER
Race 1. Looks a dead set trifecta 1-2-8-11 but I don't bet on trotters.
RESULT: Didn't watch it but no good
Race 4 No 4 Run Forrest. Although Im very keen on Carpenters Daughter, I'll be having a small place bet on it. Very honest horse that's in form. Might find a couple better than him (hopefully my tip is!) but can definitely sneak a place at odds.
RESULT: Stuck 3wide the trip which ain't his go & tired as you'd expect
Race 5. I can see a ridiculous speed being set here which might set it up for the likes of 12 & 13. If 12 gets out to nice ew odds, that's where I'd be putting my money on an EW basis. 13 the class runner of the field but will be short.
RESULT: 13 wins @ $2.8, 12 runs 2nd @ $2.2 place & quinella pays a beautiful $6
Race 7. Im Barney Rubble is one of my favourite horses & it's a big chance to lead here. If it does it'll be hard to run down but Restrepo's sprint is something to behold with it's right. EW on a 1x4 basis Im Barney Rubble
Race 8. Zedalite looks a moral but I'll just be watching (see trot rule 1.1.11)
Race 9. Run Clancy Run should be big odds here & give you a run for your money. Broke twice last start but still only finished 11metres off the winner finishing 5th. Might be a horse that needs plenty of racing room & will get that tonight from gate 7.
Taking risks here tonight with value runners but I've had far greater success doing that than anything else!
BEST BET
$50EW
Race 4 No 10 Carpenters Daughter. Could've been easily 3 starts in oz for 3 wins with any luck. I think out to 2240metres is the key here. Over the sprint trip last start had to come 5 & 6 wide from near last & was 2nd to Inky Cullen. Importantly Real Magic who ran 3rd came out and won impressively last week. Not sure what odds we'll get because of the Mark Purden runner (who I don't rate that highly) but hammer the place if the odds are good enough because in my view it's almost over the line. Will be my biggest bet of the night.
RESULT: 2nd. Massive run. Did a mountain of work in the first lap to get the lead, continued to get pressured & just kept kicking to finish 2nd. I hope followers did smash the place as it was amazing overs for mine. Collect $100
NEXT BEST
$20WIN/$80PLACE
Race 6 No 1 Lovable Larrikin. Has been in just about every punters blackbooks for the past month & tonight gets the draw that it should excel from. Has enough gate speed to hold out all & I dare say will hand up to Fiery Achiever. I'd be extremely surprised if it didn't finish top 3 but could be one of those horses that's just a non winner. (Current fixed odds on s-tab $9 & $1.90)
RESULT: LOST! First time I've jumped on & probably the last. Just needs too much luck in it's races to be a chance. Got stuck behind a tiring Fiery Achiever & that was the end of it.
$25EW
Race 10 No 6 Melpark Maestro. Talented horse on it's day & has hit form again after getting lost last prep. Liked it's run against Washmepockets last start when working home well & back to Claimers class & Greg Sugars keeping the drive looks a good bet. Hopefully sent forward from the draw to dictate the race from the death
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race & my ticket was screwed up a long way out after the leaders walked.
Roughies
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Dungeon Queen. A little bit of guess work from me here. The 2 leads on it's ear, the 1 will have enough speed to hold it's back & I think DQ can slot 3 pegs as Ashira Bromac has been walking out of the gate since it joined the Sue Miles camp. From that position she's a real chance in a race where the majority of runners are out of form. She was great last start & with a clear run would've gone close after being 4 pegs against Machin Out. That's her go. 2 starts back lobbed the 1x1 & couldn't go a yard so really important she gets that smother otherwise her chances are limited but that's why she'll be $20+
RESULT: 4th. Oh so frustrated. The beginning panned out exactly as I thought but Miles had no interest going 3 pegs. Came wide & ran on well to just miss 3rd.
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 3 No 8 Bellasario. First up last start was restrained at the start back to last. It took off from last at the 800 & almost hit the lead halfway down the straight only to weaken on it's run in a race won by Realy Under Fire who is in white hot form. They ran the last half in 57 seconds, I'd love to know what she did it in. The problem here is the draw. It'll be 3 back the pegs at best but with it's sprint can still win at nice odds. Any further back than that it's going to make it tough
RESULT: WINNER!! Chris Alford a 50 out of 10 drive. Stuck 4 back the fence he slowly eased the horse back until he found a gap to come 3wdie & whoooshka (well maybe not whooska) got the job done! Collect $204
QUADDIE
Only spending a small amount on a high risk quad.
10 / 13 / 1-2-3-5-7-8-10-12 / 1 ($24 for 300%)
RESULT: Carpenters lost so out in the first leg.
TRIAL FLYER ALERT!
Race 9 No 11 No Tomorrow. Didn't tip it after marking down it's trial effort & it won after being well backed. Not tipping it again from the bad which may prove to be foolish
OTHERS TO CONSIDER
Race 1. Looks a dead set trifecta 1-2-8-11 but I don't bet on trotters.
RESULT: Didn't watch it but no good
Race 4 No 4 Run Forrest. Although Im very keen on Carpenters Daughter, I'll be having a small place bet on it. Very honest horse that's in form. Might find a couple better than him (hopefully my tip is!) but can definitely sneak a place at odds.
RESULT: Stuck 3wide the trip which ain't his go & tired as you'd expect
Race 5. I can see a ridiculous speed being set here which might set it up for the likes of 12 & 13. If 12 gets out to nice ew odds, that's where I'd be putting my money on an EW basis. 13 the class runner of the field but will be short.
RESULT: 13 wins @ $2.8, 12 runs 2nd @ $2.2 place & quinella pays a beautiful $6
Race 7. Im Barney Rubble is one of my favourite horses & it's a big chance to lead here. If it does it'll be hard to run down but Restrepo's sprint is something to behold with it's right. EW on a 1x4 basis Im Barney Rubble
Race 8. Zedalite looks a moral but I'll just be watching (see trot rule 1.1.11)
Race 9. Run Clancy Run should be big odds here & give you a run for your money. Broke twice last start but still only finished 11metres off the winner finishing 5th. Might be a horse that needs plenty of racing room & will get that tonight from gate 7.
Kilmore, Thursday 1 August
BEST WIN
$100 WIN
Race 5 No 2 Rosa Mach. Very confident it'll roll to the front shortly after the start & be almost impossible to run down. A great 2nd to Nowitzki last start, albeit beaten 14metres, it did beat the 3rd horse Minti Choice by 10. Should be primed 2nd up & I think Lisa Miles has bigger & better things in mind for her.
RESULT: 4th. Plain, very plain. Couldn't hold the lead but ended up with the best sit in the race & only plodded down the straight.
QUADDIES
All riding on the hopes of Annacondor & Rosa Mach
5 / 2 / 2-4-5-7-8-9-10-11-12 / 1-3-6-7-9 ($22.50 for 50%)
5 / 2 / 2-4-5-7-8-9-10-11-12 / 3 ($27 for 300%)
RESULT: Lost! Why didn't I just back Artoc?!
DAY RESULT: August couldn't have started any worse with no collects today. I got what I deserved for tipping horses in the red.
Geelong, Thursday 1 August
Many repechages of the breeders crown on here today and I'm struggling to find value so it's a hit & run:
BEST WIN:
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 4 Gypsy Babe. She was out 3 wide during a 27second 3rd quarter last start and had to be driven hard to get to the breeze. I think that caused her to over race & she weakened out to finish 5th 12metres off the winner. There are some horse that beat her in that heat that are in this race but hopefully that'll give us more cash. From 4 she'll lead & win.
RESULT: She led & ran second. Absolutely no excuse & I'm being punished for tipping $1.40 chances
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Hoagy Bromac. This could end up in disaster. It's form is horrible of late but it's been over the sprint trip which ain't his go. (6 of it's 8 wins over 2000+ metres) Last start sat 3 pegs in a M0-M1 race over 1720m and plugged on OK, especially considering it's a grinding horse. It'll get it's opportunity to grind this bunch into the ground today. With little speed on the front row, it should lead (Rhys Nicholson is an aggressive junior driver) and this is a fair drop in class taking on the C3/4's today.
RESULT: LOST! Led & found zilch.
BEST WIN:
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 4 Gypsy Babe. She was out 3 wide during a 27second 3rd quarter last start and had to be driven hard to get to the breeze. I think that caused her to over race & she weakened out to finish 5th 12metres off the winner. There are some horse that beat her in that heat that are in this race but hopefully that'll give us more cash. From 4 she'll lead & win.
RESULT: She led & ran second. Absolutely no excuse & I'm being punished for tipping $1.40 chances
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Hoagy Bromac. This could end up in disaster. It's form is horrible of late but it's been over the sprint trip which ain't his go. (6 of it's 8 wins over 2000+ metres) Last start sat 3 pegs in a M0-M1 race over 1720m and plugged on OK, especially considering it's a grinding horse. It'll get it's opportunity to grind this bunch into the ground today. With little speed on the front row, it should lead (Rhys Nicholson is an aggressive junior driver) and this is a fair drop in class taking on the C3/4's today.
RESULT: LOST! Led & found zilch.
Shepparton, Wednesday 31 July
Extremely tough meeting. If you like something at odds don't be afraid to have a crack
BEST EW:
$25EW
Race 7 No 10 Tere T. There looks to be a whole heap of speed in this race & this fella just loves a cold sit & having the last crack at them. Hasn't won for over a year but should have on numerous occasions. Alex Ashwood takes the drive & is a future star driver. This is a fair step back in class & should be $10+
RESULT: LOST! Not the pace I expected in the race & Tere struggled to be honest. Not giving up on him but maybe better suited to inside draws
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 1 What A Life. Never seems to draw a gate but tonight it does. This fella has only won 1 from 34 but seems to go a whole lot better when he doesn't have to go around a horse & does go ok at Shepparton over this distance. Last time he drew this gate over this distance ran a close 2nd to Mums A Star in 2.00 mile rate. Not many in this race can get around the mile in that time. Worth a punt
RESULT: 2nd. Pulled it's head off after having to be driven hard to hold the spot behind the leader. Hit the lead midway down the straight only to be outsprinted by the $60 pop that was on it's back. Did pay up to $4.70 the place with some corporates. S-TAB gives us a collect of $116
MEETING RESULT: Won $16 which made it a $38 loss for the day but if you use the corporates you'd be in front
BEST EW:
$25EW
Race 7 No 10 Tere T. There looks to be a whole heap of speed in this race & this fella just loves a cold sit & having the last crack at them. Hasn't won for over a year but should have on numerous occasions. Alex Ashwood takes the drive & is a future star driver. This is a fair step back in class & should be $10+
RESULT: LOST! Not the pace I expected in the race & Tere struggled to be honest. Not giving up on him but maybe better suited to inside draws
ROUGHY
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 1 No 1 What A Life. Never seems to draw a gate but tonight it does. This fella has only won 1 from 34 but seems to go a whole lot better when he doesn't have to go around a horse & does go ok at Shepparton over this distance. Last time he drew this gate over this distance ran a close 2nd to Mums A Star in 2.00 mile rate. Not many in this race can get around the mile in that time. Worth a punt
RESULT: 2nd. Pulled it's head off after having to be driven hard to hold the spot behind the leader. Hit the lead midway down the straight only to be outsprinted by the $60 pop that was on it's back. Did pay up to $4.70 the place with some corporates. S-TAB gives us a collect of $116
MEETING RESULT: Won $16 which made it a $38 loss for the day but if you use the corporates you'd be in front
Horsham, Wednesday 31 July
ROUGHY:
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Extricate. Should've run at least 2nd to Artoc last start when it never got a clear run after racing 3 wide early. Great run. Looks ready to win a race & even though this is a strong C2/3 race, it's up to it. Will just need to get a nice tow into it. I have to admit, I'd be on Narra Operative if it had drawn anywhere else but from 8 but it could end up 3 pegs & no where to go.
RESULT: 4th. The run just came too late. Rattled home for 4th just missing a place at big odds
QUADDIE:
Worth a crack especially with Hilltop Hustler being an absolute cert in the 2nd leg.
$24 for 100%
1-5-8-9 / 7 / 1-11 / 5-7-9
RESULT: LOST! Never leave Ellen Tormey out of your quaddie
MEETING RESULT: Lost $54
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Extricate. Should've run at least 2nd to Artoc last start when it never got a clear run after racing 3 wide early. Great run. Looks ready to win a race & even though this is a strong C2/3 race, it's up to it. Will just need to get a nice tow into it. I have to admit, I'd be on Narra Operative if it had drawn anywhere else but from 8 but it could end up 3 pegs & no where to go.
RESULT: 4th. The run just came too late. Rattled home for 4th just missing a place at big odds
QUADDIE:
Worth a crack especially with Hilltop Hustler being an absolute cert in the 2nd leg.
$24 for 100%
1-5-8-9 / 7 / 1-11 / 5-7-9
RESULT: LOST! Never leave Ellen Tormey out of your quaddie
MEETING RESULT: Lost $54
Ballarat, Tuesday 30 July
BEST WIN:
$100 WIN
Race 3 No 3 Quick Draft. This really looks it's race. Ran a great 2nd from the death vs Mindarie Priddy last start. Tonight I'd be surprised if it wasn't in front after the first 400metres but can still win from the death.
RESULT: WINNER! Sat 1x1 the race & just managed to hold them off, not the way you want an odds on shot to win but it still won. $130 collect
BEST EW
$20 WIN/$80PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Our Petite Soeur. Finally gets a good draw. Last time it led it ran 1.59 around Maryborough with a 57 second last half over this distance. That sort of time in this race will win it. The start is very important obviously but the 1 has no early speed but the 4 flies the gate. If it can hold them out early then I'd be extremely confident of a win.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & just held them off. Pretty happy the fav ended up on it's back with no sprint lane @ Ballarat. Great drive Greg Sugars. Collect $304
MEETING RESULT: $234 profit thanks to some Greg Sugars magic
$100 WIN
Race 3 No 3 Quick Draft. This really looks it's race. Ran a great 2nd from the death vs Mindarie Priddy last start. Tonight I'd be surprised if it wasn't in front after the first 400metres but can still win from the death.
RESULT: WINNER! Sat 1x1 the race & just managed to hold them off, not the way you want an odds on shot to win but it still won. $130 collect
BEST EW
$20 WIN/$80PLACE
Race 2 No 3 Our Petite Soeur. Finally gets a good draw. Last time it led it ran 1.59 around Maryborough with a 57 second last half over this distance. That sort of time in this race will win it. The start is very important obviously but the 1 has no early speed but the 4 flies the gate. If it can hold them out early then I'd be extremely confident of a win.
RESULT: WINNER! Led & just held them off. Pretty happy the fav ended up on it's back with no sprint lane @ Ballarat. Great drive Greg Sugars. Collect $304
MEETING RESULT: $234 profit thanks to some Greg Sugars magic
Maryborough, VIC (Day) - Monday, 29 Jul 2013
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Another Elsu. This fella is low flying at the minute. Will lead here & I can't see any dangers. I would've doubled the bet only for this bloke does have a habit of finding 1 better.
RESULT: Led & won easily. Collect $105
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 9. Kunkunen. A call out to David Murphy to please show a little patience on this fella today. Driven aggressively when finished a long way off Magnificent Art but it's form before that wins this race. There looks to be a lot of pace in the race which will suit & if saved for the last crack at them will go very close.
RESULT: 4th. Didn't have the best of luck but a little disappointing for mine
MEETING RESULT: LOST $45
$50WIN
Race 5 No 1 Another Elsu. This fella is low flying at the minute. Will lead here & I can't see any dangers. I would've doubled the bet only for this bloke does have a habit of finding 1 better.
RESULT: Led & won easily. Collect $105
BEST EW
$50EW
Race 7 No 9. Kunkunen. A call out to David Murphy to please show a little patience on this fella today. Driven aggressively when finished a long way off Magnificent Art but it's form before that wins this race. There looks to be a lot of pace in the race which will suit & if saved for the last crack at them will go very close.
RESULT: 4th. Didn't have the best of luck but a little disappointing for mine
MEETING RESULT: LOST $45
Geelong, VIC (Twilight) - Sunday, 28 Jul 2013
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Another Ajay. Forget it's run it's last 2 starts. Last start went extremely quick early to lead but just couldn't cross & then left in the breeze & the start before fell when a false start was called & then passed fit to run but there had to be question marks on it. Today it leads & although this is a little step up in class for it, around the Geelong circuit I think it can get away with this race at odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $261
MEETING RESULT: $211 profit
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Another Ajay. Forget it's run it's last 2 starts. Last start went extremely quick early to lead but just couldn't cross & then left in the breeze & the start before fell when a false start was called & then passed fit to run but there had to be question marks on it. Today it leads & although this is a little step up in class for it, around the Geelong circuit I think it can get away with this race at odds.
RESULT: WINNER! Collect $261
MEETING RESULT: $211 profit
Cranbourne, VIC (Night) - Saturday, July 2013
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 3 No 12 Catch A Ruby. Extremely unlucky at Ballarat after getting stuck 3 wide, restrained back to last & then getting strung up in traffic before finished hard for 5th albeit beaten a fair way. The start before won as it liked in slow time at this track but I think it has a fair bit of ability. With even luck from the bad draw will go close.
RESULT: 2nd. Collect $57
$50EW
Race 7 No 9 Scruffy Major. Has been racing against the best of it's age of late & been running extremely well finishing only 9 metres off Youranut last start. With there likely to be a whole heap of speed in this race looks very well suited
RESULT: 4th!
MEETING RESULT: Lost $93
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 26 Jul 2013
Taking a lot of risks here tonight with plenty of roughies but it'll only take one.....
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 3 No 10 Western Rockstar. Looks like Andy Gath has got this bloke firing again if last weeks trial is anything to go by. The main danger Cyprus is going to need all sorts of luck so if its sent forward early to take them on I reckon it's a good thing
RESULT: WINNER! Went exactly as I thought it would & it smashed them. Wasn't an overly strong field but may pay to follow. Collect $397.50
Roughies
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 13 Run Forest Run. Needs everything to go right here but geez it's racing well. Did win a similar type race from the back row 4 starts back & if it gets the right tow into the race could surprise at odds.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Talk To The Hand. I think it has enough gate speed to hold out Artoc which I think will put it 3 back the pegs at worst. With a whole lot of pace expected in this race, it'll be getting the kind of cold sit it loves.
RESULT: 2nd. Bugger! If Artoc takes us into the sprint lane it would've gone mighty close to winning. Ah well.. Collect $90
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Cut For An Ace. Its chances will depend on how quickly Donegal Delight gets out of the gate. If it could somehow hold the lead I'd love to have a fair crack at Cut For An Ace as it'll get the run it loves behind the leader. Can't see that happening though but I still think from 3pegs it's worth a go at what will be juicy odds.
RESULT: 4th. Nosed out for 3rd after being 3 pegs.
MEETING RESULT: $337.50 profit.
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 3 No 10 Western Rockstar. Looks like Andy Gath has got this bloke firing again if last weeks trial is anything to go by. The main danger Cyprus is going to need all sorts of luck so if its sent forward early to take them on I reckon it's a good thing
RESULT: WINNER! Went exactly as I thought it would & it smashed them. Wasn't an overly strong field but may pay to follow. Collect $397.50
Roughies
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 13 Run Forest Run. Needs everything to go right here but geez it's racing well. Did win a similar type race from the back row 4 starts back & if it gets the right tow into the race could surprise at odds.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
$5WIN/$15PLACE
Race 5 No 1 Talk To The Hand. I think it has enough gate speed to hold out Artoc which I think will put it 3 back the pegs at worst. With a whole lot of pace expected in this race, it'll be getting the kind of cold sit it loves.
RESULT: 2nd. Bugger! If Artoc takes us into the sprint lane it would've gone mighty close to winning. Ah well.. Collect $90
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 6 No 8 Cut For An Ace. Its chances will depend on how quickly Donegal Delight gets out of the gate. If it could somehow hold the lead I'd love to have a fair crack at Cut For An Ace as it'll get the run it loves behind the leader. Can't see that happening though but I still think from 3pegs it's worth a go at what will be juicy odds.
RESULT: 4th. Nosed out for 3rd after being 3 pegs.
MEETING RESULT: $337.50 profit.
Mildura, VIC (Day) - Friday, 26 Jul 2013
If you went through my results, Mildura is the track I do my worst work apart from one meeting where I somehow snagged a $20 shot but here we go again!
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 8 Tommy Song. Has been trialling very well for this first up tilt & should be suited by some early speed and the fact it'll position in front of the favourite. It'll hold all the aces & if it runs up to it's trial form
RESULT: LOST! Horrible run.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Smart Cecil. This fella has been racing extremely well in probably a little stronger races. Does get out of the gate well & I think can lead & that's half the battle around Mildura. I am concerned that it's never won over the sprint trip but it will never get a better opportunity than today to do so.
RESULT: 3rd. Its a weak mule. Had every opportunity today but found zilch
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Caulonia Babe. Another who should lead early here & today hold onto it. Recently it's handed up in stronger fields but its a far better horse in front for mine. Over the short course it'll be mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: Didn't finish! Was trying to keep out the challengers for the lead when checked & galloped. Broke gear so was ulled out of the event. Great way to lose money
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150. My Mildura hate continues
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 8 Tommy Song. Has been trialling very well for this first up tilt & should be suited by some early speed and the fact it'll position in front of the favourite. It'll hold all the aces & if it runs up to it's trial form
RESULT: LOST! Horrible run.
$50WIN
Race 4 No 1 Smart Cecil. This fella has been racing extremely well in probably a little stronger races. Does get out of the gate well & I think can lead & that's half the battle around Mildura. I am concerned that it's never won over the sprint trip but it will never get a better opportunity than today to do so.
RESULT: 3rd. Its a weak mule. Had every opportunity today but found zilch
BEST EW:
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 1 Caulonia Babe. Another who should lead early here & today hold onto it. Recently it's handed up in stronger fields but its a far better horse in front for mine. Over the short course it'll be mighty hard to beat.
RESULT: Didn't finish! Was trying to keep out the challengers for the lead when checked & galloped. Broke gear so was ulled out of the event. Great way to lose money
MEETING RESULT: Lost $150. My Mildura hate continues
Cobram, VIC (Day) - Thursday, 25 Jul 2013
Not keen on this meeting. Was close to throwing in Whatacracker in the 7th but wary of The Black Frost who draws to follow it through. Just the 1 suggested bet:
BEST EXOTICS:
$50 QUINELLA
Race 8 : 1 & 8
$50 EXACTA
Race 8 : 1 to beat 8
Trial Flyer Alert!
Race 8 No 6 No Tomorrow. Had 2 trials now against good opposition & it's trials have been good for a race like this. However from the draw around Cobram I can't back it but will be keeping a close eye on how it goes.
Result: Lost! Bloody No Tomorrow death seats & wins. That hurts
BEST EXOTICS:
$50 QUINELLA
Race 8 : 1 & 8
$50 EXACTA
Race 8 : 1 to beat 8
Trial Flyer Alert!
Race 8 No 6 No Tomorrow. Had 2 trials now against good opposition & it's trials have been good for a race like this. However from the draw around Cobram I can't back it but will be keeping a close eye on how it goes.
Result: Lost! Bloody No Tomorrow death seats & wins. That hurts
Kilmore, VIC (Night) - Thursday, 25 Jul 2013
More breeders crown heats here tonight & I really can't find any value in them so will be sitting back & taking note of good runs for the semi's. So again just the one bet for the meeting:
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 3 No 1 Rhygrin. I'm a little biased with this mare as it won me a fair bit of money in it's only ever win a few starts back. It's first up here today mainly against 3yo fillies. She's a 4yo mare with a win against Fifth & Broadway against her name. Was tuned up for this with a 1 metre 2nd to Scruffy Major on the 20th of July. If it brings that sort of form to the racetrack today, it'll win this. Note, there is no 3rd dividend in this race.
RESULT: Winner! Led & had it's own way in front & just managed to hold off the favourite. Collect $323.50
DAY RESULT: Won $123.50
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 3 No 1 Rhygrin. I'm a little biased with this mare as it won me a fair bit of money in it's only ever win a few starts back. It's first up here today mainly against 3yo fillies. She's a 4yo mare with a win against Fifth & Broadway against her name. Was tuned up for this with a 1 metre 2nd to Scruffy Major on the 20th of July. If it brings that sort of form to the racetrack today, it'll win this. Note, there is no 3rd dividend in this race.
RESULT: Winner! Led & had it's own way in front & just managed to hold off the favourite. Collect $323.50
DAY RESULT: Won $123.50
Ballarat, Wednesday 24 July
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 9 No 6 Hilltop Hussler. Great 1st up run in Victoria & that form has been franked with Magnificent Art winning very
impressively at Melton again Friday night. With minimal luck from the draw I'd be surprised to see it get beat.
RESULT: WINNER! A nice end to a frustrating day. Up to $10 offered up on fixed odds early but I missed that. Still very very happy with the $8 I got. Can't believe it paid that much. Finished up $4 fixed s-tab. Collect $200
BEST EW:
$25EW
Race 2 No 1 Vivant. Always risky backing a first starter but this fella was 2nd to Soho Lennon in a recent trial and looks a chance in this 2yo race where Soho Lennon would be favourite. From the draw, worth a go.
RESULT: Lost! Yep, I was right.. Very risky indeed.
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Rogers Joy. Not the best horse in the race but has a big advantage from the draw. The 8 will be a short favourite but will either have to restrain back to last & circle the field or be stuck 3 back the pegs. I hope its the latter! Rogers looks the leader & whether it leads or takes a sit behind the best suitor looks a great bet
RESULT: 3rd. Thought it was home half way down the straight but the class of Getyawingsout & Lierre Noir was too great. Did get out to $2.5 the place on some corporates but good old s-tab gets us $1.80. Collect $126
Lierre N
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Indulgent. On paper it's last start looks horrible but it was stuck 3 wide the trip off the back of a 1.55mile rate. Did well to only finish 27metres behind them! Matty Craven back on board, he draws to get a nice run through behind My Precious Mach & be right in the finish when the whips are cracking.
RESULT: LOST! Not my night tonight. Reckon it was home for all money but almost fell coming off the leaders back & galloped. Hard to know if it wins but certainly finishes top 3. Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Here And Now. Last time it drew the front row it did break putting it ODM. The time before that showed great pace to lead all the way beating Clevedon Betty by 7metres. CB will be shorter than it tonight but I feel if Here and Now can lead here it's only danger is Glenferrie Shuffle (If Cool Machrista wins I won't be happy but Gary Coghill simply can't drive)
RESULT: 3rd. Sat behind the leader, Clevedon Betty and toughed it out to the line. Disappointed it didn't hold the lead because it isn't a sit sprint horse. Collect $69
MEETING RESULT: Won $95. If only Indulgent could stay on it's feet.
DAY RESULT: Lost $6.50. Lots of studying for not much reward on looks but I walk away with my own wallet full
$50WIN
Race 9 No 6 Hilltop Hussler. Great 1st up run in Victoria & that form has been franked with Magnificent Art winning very
impressively at Melton again Friday night. With minimal luck from the draw I'd be surprised to see it get beat.
RESULT: WINNER! A nice end to a frustrating day. Up to $10 offered up on fixed odds early but I missed that. Still very very happy with the $8 I got. Can't believe it paid that much. Finished up $4 fixed s-tab. Collect $200
BEST EW:
$25EW
Race 2 No 1 Vivant. Always risky backing a first starter but this fella was 2nd to Soho Lennon in a recent trial and looks a chance in this 2yo race where Soho Lennon would be favourite. From the draw, worth a go.
RESULT: Lost! Yep, I was right.. Very risky indeed.
$30WIN/$70PLACE
Race 3 No 2 Rogers Joy. Not the best horse in the race but has a big advantage from the draw. The 8 will be a short favourite but will either have to restrain back to last & circle the field or be stuck 3 back the pegs. I hope its the latter! Rogers looks the leader & whether it leads or takes a sit behind the best suitor looks a great bet
RESULT: 3rd. Thought it was home half way down the straight but the class of Getyawingsout & Lierre Noir was too great. Did get out to $2.5 the place on some corporates but good old s-tab gets us $1.80. Collect $126
Lierre N
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 9 Indulgent. On paper it's last start looks horrible but it was stuck 3 wide the trip off the back of a 1.55mile rate. Did well to only finish 27metres behind them! Matty Craven back on board, he draws to get a nice run through behind My Precious Mach & be right in the finish when the whips are cracking.
RESULT: LOST! Not my night tonight. Reckon it was home for all money but almost fell coming off the leaders back & galloped. Hard to know if it wins but certainly finishes top 3. Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 1 Here And Now. Last time it drew the front row it did break putting it ODM. The time before that showed great pace to lead all the way beating Clevedon Betty by 7metres. CB will be shorter than it tonight but I feel if Here and Now can lead here it's only danger is Glenferrie Shuffle (If Cool Machrista wins I won't be happy but Gary Coghill simply can't drive)
RESULT: 3rd. Sat behind the leader, Clevedon Betty and toughed it out to the line. Disappointed it didn't hold the lead because it isn't a sit sprint horse. Collect $69
MEETING RESULT: Won $95. If only Indulgent could stay on it's feet.
DAY RESULT: Lost $6.50. Lots of studying for not much reward on looks but I walk away with my own wallet full
Charlton, VIC (Day) - Wednesday, 24 Jul 2013
Could go horribly run today as I've only selected a few roughies at odds but it only takes one for a decent collect
BEST EW:
$20 WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Ferocious Son. I've been patiently waiting for this fella to draw a good gate & gets it today in a field much weaker than it's been meeting. It's not super fast out of the gate but I don't think it'll have to be to hold a forward position. Note there is no third dividend in this race but I still think it runs top 2.
RESULT: LOST! Led & found nothing. SACKED
$50EW
Race 8 No 2 Awesome Mattjesty. It's going to be fairly juicy odds but I'm very keen on it's chances today from the draw. Has been extremely unlucky it's last 2 starts & strikes a fairly weak 3yo race. I liked how it hit the line 2 starts back when it eventually run out of room but did beat home Pink Diamond Lombo who has since won & ran a nice 2nd. Doesn't have to but if it did cross to the pegs first, I can't see it missing a place but even if it doesn't, can run on well from a sit from a forward position. I expect $15 here.
RESULT: 4th. Not happy. If it was any good it would've run top 3 but if the driver stays behind the leader & uses the sprint lane rather than go 3 wide it runs 3rd @ $3.30 a place.
ROUGHIES:
$5WIN/$45PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Life Of Ted. Loved his last start run when only 6 metres off Druken Desire after doing a power of work early. Loves to lead & will do so here but it will have Missionary Man on it's outside at some point. Charlton does suit a leader & if it can get away with some soft early sectionals could surprise.
RESULT: 2nd. Opened up a hell of a lot shorter than I thought it would. Led & kept the favourite out. Rounding the turn it had the favourite beat & I thought it was home but the 2 run each other into the ground & were left a sitting shot for the horse sitting behind them. Collect $58.50
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Tres Hombre. This bloke is just a honest horse that does enter the winning stalls too often but has made me a bit of money from running places at huge odds. Today gets an opportunity sit with cover up near the speed and with a likely odds on pop putting the hammer down with 600 to go, the field should break up given him its chance to run on into a place at odds
RESULT: 2nd. Big run from it. Sat parked without cover & battled on well for 2nd considering it's a sit sprint horse. Collect $65
MEETING RESULT: Lost $101.50. Knew I should've left the meeting alone!
BEST EW:
$20 WIN/$30PLACE
Race 1 No 1 Ferocious Son. I've been patiently waiting for this fella to draw a good gate & gets it today in a field much weaker than it's been meeting. It's not super fast out of the gate but I don't think it'll have to be to hold a forward position. Note there is no third dividend in this race but I still think it runs top 2.
RESULT: LOST! Led & found nothing. SACKED
$50EW
Race 8 No 2 Awesome Mattjesty. It's going to be fairly juicy odds but I'm very keen on it's chances today from the draw. Has been extremely unlucky it's last 2 starts & strikes a fairly weak 3yo race. I liked how it hit the line 2 starts back when it eventually run out of room but did beat home Pink Diamond Lombo who has since won & ran a nice 2nd. Doesn't have to but if it did cross to the pegs first, I can't see it missing a place but even if it doesn't, can run on well from a sit from a forward position. I expect $15 here.
RESULT: 4th. Not happy. If it was any good it would've run top 3 but if the driver stays behind the leader & uses the sprint lane rather than go 3 wide it runs 3rd @ $3.30 a place.
ROUGHIES:
$5WIN/$45PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Life Of Ted. Loved his last start run when only 6 metres off Druken Desire after doing a power of work early. Loves to lead & will do so here but it will have Missionary Man on it's outside at some point. Charlton does suit a leader & if it can get away with some soft early sectionals could surprise.
RESULT: 2nd. Opened up a hell of a lot shorter than I thought it would. Led & kept the favourite out. Rounding the turn it had the favourite beat & I thought it was home but the 2 run each other into the ground & were left a sitting shot for the horse sitting behind them. Collect $58.50
$25PLACE
Race 7 No 3 Tres Hombre. This bloke is just a honest horse that does enter the winning stalls too often but has made me a bit of money from running places at huge odds. Today gets an opportunity sit with cover up near the speed and with a likely odds on pop putting the hammer down with 600 to go, the field should break up given him its chance to run on into a place at odds
RESULT: 2nd. Big run from it. Sat parked without cover & battled on well for 2nd considering it's a sit sprint horse. Collect $65
MEETING RESULT: Lost $101.50. Knew I should've left the meeting alone!
Bendigo, Tuesday 23 July
Heats of the Breeders Crown on tonight & there is absolute no value in some of the races but I've tried to find the value out of this meeting as best as possible
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Charlotte Two. Extremely keen on her top 3 chances. Well placed in this race with a Mares claim vs the boys. (She's a C4 in a C2-C3) Was a good 4th to Artoc in a strong form race with Artoc winning twice since. Looks like there will be a bit of pace on early & with question marks on Realy Under Fire early (may get crossed by a $50 shot) it's the big value in the race especially if it manages a 3 wide trail into the race which is likely drawing 10 & be following Blackjack Bromac everywhere it goes
RESULT: 3RD. Wasn't as keen when the 8 & 9 were scratched as that meant it was drawn inside the back row behind the fav. Doesn't have the same sprint as the fav. Did OK to finish 3rd but at shorter odds than I expected. (Was marked $15 in the paper) Collect $78
Roughy
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 8 My Mach Scooter. Was very disappointing first up but I'm putting my faith in Mick Stanley who is one very underrated horseman. From the draw, I see it landing 3 back the pegs which isn't a bad thing at Bendigo. At it's best it has a very impressive sprint so be looking for it to be flashing home late.
RESULT: LOST! Had the exact run I expected but was very plain to the line & just battled. Will be leaving him alone until it strikes form again.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $72
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 7 No 10 Charlotte Two. Extremely keen on her top 3 chances. Well placed in this race with a Mares claim vs the boys. (She's a C4 in a C2-C3) Was a good 4th to Artoc in a strong form race with Artoc winning twice since. Looks like there will be a bit of pace on early & with question marks on Realy Under Fire early (may get crossed by a $50 shot) it's the big value in the race especially if it manages a 3 wide trail into the race which is likely drawing 10 & be following Blackjack Bromac everywhere it goes
RESULT: 3RD. Wasn't as keen when the 8 & 9 were scratched as that meant it was drawn inside the back row behind the fav. Doesn't have the same sprint as the fav. Did OK to finish 3rd but at shorter odds than I expected. (Was marked $15 in the paper) Collect $78
Roughy
$10WIN/$40PLACE
Race 3 No 8 My Mach Scooter. Was very disappointing first up but I'm putting my faith in Mick Stanley who is one very underrated horseman. From the draw, I see it landing 3 back the pegs which isn't a bad thing at Bendigo. At it's best it has a very impressive sprint so be looking for it to be flashing home late.
RESULT: LOST! Had the exact run I expected but was very plain to the line & just battled. Will be leaving him alone until it strikes form again.
MEETING RESULT: LOST $72
Cranbourne, Sunday, 21 July 2013
Favourite punters heaven by the looks on paper but most are those coming down in grade & maybe out of form. No risking any at the shorts but found one at value:
BEST BET:
$100 WIN
Race 6 No 8 The Black Frost. Interesting drive when first up for Potter where it was taken to 6 back the pegs & there was no real effort to get off until the top of the straight & flashed home amazingly without being pushed for 3rd. They did only run a 30.3 last quarter but it was close to 30 metres off the leaders at the top of the straight so would be good to know what it's run home in being only beaten 5 metres. Gets the gun draw behind the likely favourite who was OK in winning last start after having the perfect run & this is another step up. Straight out!
RESULT: WINNER! Paid well too on tote. $5! Had the gun run behind the fav & had the superior sprint. Collect $500
Quaddie:
Small quaddies on what on paper looks simple to get if the above wins:
6-7 / 10 / 8 / 7-12 $20 for 500%
7 / 10 / 8 / 12 $5 for 5000%
RESULT: Knocked out in the first leg
MEETING RESULT: $375 profit
BEST BET:
$100 WIN
Race 6 No 8 The Black Frost. Interesting drive when first up for Potter where it was taken to 6 back the pegs & there was no real effort to get off until the top of the straight & flashed home amazingly without being pushed for 3rd. They did only run a 30.3 last quarter but it was close to 30 metres off the leaders at the top of the straight so would be good to know what it's run home in being only beaten 5 metres. Gets the gun draw behind the likely favourite who was OK in winning last start after having the perfect run & this is another step up. Straight out!
RESULT: WINNER! Paid well too on tote. $5! Had the gun run behind the fav & had the superior sprint. Collect $500
Quaddie:
Small quaddies on what on paper looks simple to get if the above wins:
6-7 / 10 / 8 / 7-12 $20 for 500%
7 / 10 / 8 / 12 $5 for 5000%
RESULT: Knocked out in the first leg
MEETING RESULT: $375 profit
Betezy Pk Globederby, SA (Night) - Saturday, 20 Jul 2013
Yep I'm going interstate & of all places Globe Derby!
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 6 Flyin Fox. Went huge beating Fiery Achiever in a recent trial. That looks to be a great lead in to this race against weaker class horses. Might get Black odds because of the draw too. Im keen
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race where the leader ran it to suit. Won't be going interstate again in a hurry!
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 6 Flyin Fox. Went huge beating Fiery Achiever in a recent trial. That looks to be a great lead in to this race against weaker class horses. Might get Black odds because of the draw too. Im keen
RESULT: LOST! Never put into the race where the leader ran it to suit. Won't be going interstate again in a hurry!
Tabcorp Park Melton, Friday 19 July
Going for value here tonight as most favourites look to either have question marks or bad draws. It'll only take one of them to win to pay for the night:
$40WIN/$60 PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Narra Operative. Fair to say it's not one of my favourites horses to back but looks very well suited here tonight. Been racing over sprint trips in recent times which isn't it's go but having said that hasn't been disgraced. Back to 2240metres tonight & gate 2 meaning it's off the fence as it has no early gate speed is perfect. I'd suggest it would move forward midrace & sit outside the leader, likely to be Astronaut, and I'd be confident he'll grind it into the ground. Last time over this track & distance was 3wide for the majority of the first lap & finished a close up 3rd in an M0. Shouldn't miss top 2 for mine.
RESULT: 4th. Huge run. Had no right to finish that close after some stupid driving from McCallum. Stick with him
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Catch Your Breath. Had almost 2 months off since it's Menangle failure. Back to the claimers here & the Dean Braun stable, it's a huge chance. Ran 2nd to Magical Telf in a trial on the 13th of July where they ran 55.9 for the last half, which indicates it's ready for this race.
RESULT: 3rd. Strange run. Hit the lead after half a lap, let the fav stroll to the front with a lap out but then Chris Alford decides against going up the sprint lane? Don't think it would've won but reckon finishes 2nd. Collect $85
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Fiery Count. Was ok from the 1x1 last start running 4th in slowest of the heats. However, this fella finds a little extra when it draws the pegs & I reckon it has enough early speed to hold the 2 out & maybe take a sit behind Classic Bliss. If there is pressure on throughout the race it has the sprint to knock them off.
RESULT: LOST! Poor run really. Maybe worked too hard early but that's just searching for excuses when there is none. Not up to this class.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Exciteusinthecity. A horse with loads of talent as he showed when 2nd in the Hondo Grattan vs Christen Me.. Hoping the 8 doesn't gain a start as I can't see it missing a place from the pegs but still confident even if it does start from 9. Last start had to work a fair bit to lead & only just got run down by Youranut & it's shown how good it is since.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten by a $40 shot. Had every chance in the run but not good enough. $114 Collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 I'm Barney Rubble. This blokes chance rest on whether it can hold the lead or not. I think he can & be very hard to hold out. I liked it's run last start when doing all the work from the death & in fast time was only beaten 6 metres. With the winner of that race drawn 10, this time the tables are turned & hopefully there is value with this bloke especially with Jacka Clive & Bitofbliss in the race with huge question marks on them
RESULT: Winner! Got to love Lance Justice on a leader. Rated it to perfection but thank god Bitofbliss had to come from last. $286 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Farmersntradies. Always had talent but lost his way last season. First up for a new trainer here & was impressive winning a trial in OK time for Bendigo. I'd a whole lot more keener if I knew Hoagy Bromac was going to hold out In Monaco but even if it doesn't, 3 pegs isn't the worst place over 1720 @ Melton
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 4 pegs & was no chance from there. Ran on OK
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 11 No 1 Public Persuasion. I think it'll lead & go very close to beating the fav. Races best when it can lead & the short course is it's favourite distance
RESULT: 4th. Every chance behind the leader
MEETING RESULT: LOST $35 which Im not overly disappointed with on that track tonight
$40WIN/$60 PLACE
Race 1 No 2 Narra Operative. Fair to say it's not one of my favourites horses to back but looks very well suited here tonight. Been racing over sprint trips in recent times which isn't it's go but having said that hasn't been disgraced. Back to 2240metres tonight & gate 2 meaning it's off the fence as it has no early gate speed is perfect. I'd suggest it would move forward midrace & sit outside the leader, likely to be Astronaut, and I'd be confident he'll grind it into the ground. Last time over this track & distance was 3wide for the majority of the first lap & finished a close up 3rd in an M0. Shouldn't miss top 2 for mine.
RESULT: 4th. Huge run. Had no right to finish that close after some stupid driving from McCallum. Stick with him
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 2 No 10 Catch Your Breath. Had almost 2 months off since it's Menangle failure. Back to the claimers here & the Dean Braun stable, it's a huge chance. Ran 2nd to Magical Telf in a trial on the 13th of July where they ran 55.9 for the last half, which indicates it's ready for this race.
RESULT: 3rd. Strange run. Hit the lead after half a lap, let the fav stroll to the front with a lap out but then Chris Alford decides against going up the sprint lane? Don't think it would've won but reckon finishes 2nd. Collect $85
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 4 No 1 Fiery Count. Was ok from the 1x1 last start running 4th in slowest of the heats. However, this fella finds a little extra when it draws the pegs & I reckon it has enough early speed to hold the 2 out & maybe take a sit behind Classic Bliss. If there is pressure on throughout the race it has the sprint to knock them off.
RESULT: LOST! Poor run really. Maybe worked too hard early but that's just searching for excuses when there is none. Not up to this class.
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 5 No 9 Exciteusinthecity. A horse with loads of talent as he showed when 2nd in the Hondo Grattan vs Christen Me.. Hoping the 8 doesn't gain a start as I can't see it missing a place from the pegs but still confident even if it does start from 9. Last start had to work a fair bit to lead & only just got run down by Youranut & it's shown how good it is since.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten by a $40 shot. Had every chance in the run but not good enough. $114 Collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 7 No 4 I'm Barney Rubble. This blokes chance rest on whether it can hold the lead or not. I think he can & be very hard to hold out. I liked it's run last start when doing all the work from the death & in fast time was only beaten 6 metres. With the winner of that race drawn 10, this time the tables are turned & hopefully there is value with this bloke especially with Jacka Clive & Bitofbliss in the race with huge question marks on them
RESULT: Winner! Got to love Lance Justice on a leader. Rated it to perfection but thank god Bitofbliss had to come from last. $286 collect
$20WIN/$30PLACE
Race 8 No 8 Farmersntradies. Always had talent but lost his way last season. First up for a new trainer here & was impressive winning a trial in OK time for Bendigo. I'd a whole lot more keener if I knew Hoagy Bromac was going to hold out In Monaco but even if it doesn't, 3 pegs isn't the worst place over 1720 @ Melton
RESULT: LOST! Ended up 4 pegs & was no chance from there. Ran on OK
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 11 No 1 Public Persuasion. I think it'll lead & go very close to beating the fav. Races best when it can lead & the short course is it's favourite distance
RESULT: 4th. Every chance behind the leader
MEETING RESULT: LOST $35 which Im not overly disappointed with on that track tonight
Shepparton, (NIGHT) - Saturday, 20 July 2013
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 The Big Zee. 4th up for Miles & looks ready to win. Huge run last start at Melton running on from back in the field. Should settle close to the lead & would be a surprise to see it miss the place.
RESULT: WINNER! Helped with the scratching of the 1. Was able to hold the lead & won comfortably. Collect $202
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Quick Draft. Was a little unlucky last start when only beaten 6 metres in the Empire Stallions final behind Distant Memory. Mindarie Priddy is going to be very hard to knock off but I don't think that there is any easy lead up for grabs for it tonight & with a bit of pace expected that should suit Quick Draft
RESULT: 2nd. Started a lot shorter than I thought it would but thought it was home half way down the straight but the fav was huge winning after breaking at the start. Collect $84
Roughy
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Tere T. This fella can fly the gate when he wants to & I'll be waiting for a Change Of Tactics announcement in this. Even if it doesn't, loves these sprint trips & is a great ew bet
RESULT: SCRATCHED
DAY RESULT: Lost $14
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 4 No 2 The Big Zee. 4th up for Miles & looks ready to win. Huge run last start at Melton running on from back in the field. Should settle close to the lead & would be a surprise to see it miss the place.
RESULT: WINNER! Helped with the scratching of the 1. Was able to hold the lead & won comfortably. Collect $202
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 10 Quick Draft. Was a little unlucky last start when only beaten 6 metres in the Empire Stallions final behind Distant Memory. Mindarie Priddy is going to be very hard to knock off but I don't think that there is any easy lead up for grabs for it tonight & with a bit of pace expected that should suit Quick Draft
RESULT: 2nd. Started a lot shorter than I thought it would but thought it was home half way down the straight but the fav was huge winning after breaking at the start. Collect $84
Roughy
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 7 No 5 Tere T. This fella can fly the gate when he wants to & I'll be waiting for a Change Of Tactics announcement in this. Even if it doesn't, loves these sprint trips & is a great ew bet
RESULT: SCRATCHED
DAY RESULT: Lost $14
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Day) - Wednesday, 17 Jul 2013
There will be plenty of shorties running around today that have question marks or have drawn poorly which I won't be wasting money on. Just the one suggested bet then onto Swan Hill:
Roughy:
$20WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Lombo Krita Bella. Was a good run in the same race as Welcome to Vegas first up when moving up 3wide behind a longshot. Had to peel 4 wide a wee bit early & the run told on him in the end but was only just beaten by Welcome To Vegas who had a very easy run. That horse will be 2nd fav here & Im expecting $10+ for the 9 who is 2nd up today. (Last time 2nd up ran 9metres behind Im Smouldering). The fav was my best bet from last week, Pink Diamond Lombo. It was smashed in the betting and was just ok after beginning slowly & finishing midfield. It'll find itself midfield here again & probably the one 3wide without cover & very much unders for mine. I'm expecting Lombo Krita Bella to follow its every move & being fitter from its first up run, definitely the value runner of the field.
RESULT: 2nd. Frustrating that the fav shows gate speed toda & leads after walking out last week. As soon as it led it was game over. Lombo Kri
Roughy:
$20WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 4 No 9 Lombo Krita Bella. Was a good run in the same race as Welcome to Vegas first up when moving up 3wide behind a longshot. Had to peel 4 wide a wee bit early & the run told on him in the end but was only just beaten by Welcome To Vegas who had a very easy run. That horse will be 2nd fav here & Im expecting $10+ for the 9 who is 2nd up today. (Last time 2nd up ran 9metres behind Im Smouldering). The fav was my best bet from last week, Pink Diamond Lombo. It was smashed in the betting and was just ok after beginning slowly & finishing midfield. It'll find itself midfield here again & probably the one 3wide without cover & very much unders for mine. I'm expecting Lombo Krita Bella to follow its every move & being fitter from its first up run, definitely the value runner of the field.
RESULT: 2nd. Frustrating that the fav shows gate speed toda & leads after walking out last week. As soon as it led it was game over. Lombo Kri
Nyah at Swan Hill, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 17 Jul 2013
Not one of my favourite tracks especially when Shayne Cramp has a few engaged so keeping the selections to a minimum again.
BEST EXOTIC:
Race 4
$22 First 4: 1-2-12 / 1-2-12 /1-2-9-12 / 1-9-10-12 for 100%
$24 Trifecta: 1-2 /1-2-9-12 / 1-2-9-12 for 200%
I think the 2 holds the key to the race. I think it'll head off the 1 early & those 2 should battle out the finish.
The 12 is the doubt for mine. Shayne Cramp gave it no chance last start allowing its stable mate to win. So bad did it look, stewards had no option but to open an inquiry into the run. It could come out & smash them here but anything could happen with Mr Cramp. The 9 draws to follow the 1 through & is my huge roughy. Was just ok last start but did have to death seat when first up. Will benefit from that run & I think be a big improver following the pegs. If the 9 can somehow snag 3rd position & we get both exotics I'm tipping I'll be back in a profit for July! Big if though...
RESULT: LOST! The 3 puts us out. Didn't like it at all even with Douglas in the sulky. The roughy runs 4th too..
Roughy
$5WIN/$45PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Boom Boom Hall. I can't see anything beating the 2 in this based on talent but it's still yet to prove itself & will be no value. Boom Boom is no star either only winning 1 from 34 but his recent form has been good. Has 2 starts at this track & distance for a death seat win & a death seat 3rd. From the draw he'll follow through the favourite & sit handy which you must be at Swan Hill to be a chance. I can't see too many moves happening during the race so I can see him running top 3 at juicy odds. (For those playing exotics, maybe 2-field-9 trifecta is the way to go)
RESULT: 2nd! Beaten a pimple.. Hit the front with 20 to go but got nabbed by a $40 shot. Collect $145
MEETING RESULT: Won $49
Day RESULT: Small profit but it's better than a loss! $71
BEST EXOTIC:
Race 4
$22 First 4: 1-2-12 / 1-2-12 /1-2-9-12 / 1-9-10-12 for 100%
$24 Trifecta: 1-2 /1-2-9-12 / 1-2-9-12 for 200%
I think the 2 holds the key to the race. I think it'll head off the 1 early & those 2 should battle out the finish.
The 12 is the doubt for mine. Shayne Cramp gave it no chance last start allowing its stable mate to win. So bad did it look, stewards had no option but to open an inquiry into the run. It could come out & smash them here but anything could happen with Mr Cramp. The 9 draws to follow the 1 through & is my huge roughy. Was just ok last start but did have to death seat when first up. Will benefit from that run & I think be a big improver following the pegs. If the 9 can somehow snag 3rd position & we get both exotics I'm tipping I'll be back in a profit for July! Big if though...
RESULT: LOST! The 3 puts us out. Didn't like it at all even with Douglas in the sulky. The roughy runs 4th too..
Roughy
$5WIN/$45PLACE
Race 1 No 9 Boom Boom Hall. I can't see anything beating the 2 in this based on talent but it's still yet to prove itself & will be no value. Boom Boom is no star either only winning 1 from 34 but his recent form has been good. Has 2 starts at this track & distance for a death seat win & a death seat 3rd. From the draw he'll follow through the favourite & sit handy which you must be at Swan Hill to be a chance. I can't see too many moves happening during the race so I can see him running top 3 at juicy odds. (For those playing exotics, maybe 2-field-9 trifecta is the way to go)
RESULT: 2nd! Beaten a pimple.. Hit the front with 20 to go but got nabbed by a $40 shot. Collect $145
MEETING RESULT: Won $49
Day RESULT: Small profit but it's better than a loss! $71
Ballarat, VIC (Night) - Thursday, 18 Jul 2013
Not touching Kilmore however a big watch on Rosa Mach in the 7th. Trialled well.
BEST WIN:
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 7 The Unionist. Is absolutely flying at the minute & this is no stronger than what it beat last time. Jason Lee on board. Yes!
RESULT: 2nd! No! Beaten a pimple. Getting pushed out 4wide at the 600 metres cost it.
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 9 McRita. Almost missed this one. Liked it's last start 3rd when I tipped him. May have to do a bit of work in this race but I think it's better than them.
RESULT: 2nd! Ahhhhhhh. Thought it was home with 200 to go but just took forever to take off ground from the winner & its run probably ended 50 out. Still, nice odds for the place. Collect $150
Roughy
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Seville Lady. 2nd start. Went well I thought 1st up even though it finished 9th of 11. Sat back 1x3 had cover 3wide but on a leaders track was never a chance. Front row draw around Ballarat, it might improve a heap here tonight at big odds.
RESULT: 3rd! Started $77 the win. Hit the front rounding the turn but was a sitting shot for the 2 favs after it did all the work in the death. 3rd will do, $9.30 a place. $186 collect
Meeting Result: $156 profit, slowly removing the deficit!
BEST WIN:
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 7 The Unionist. Is absolutely flying at the minute & this is no stronger than what it beat last time. Jason Lee on board. Yes!
RESULT: 2nd! No! Beaten a pimple. Getting pushed out 4wide at the 600 metres cost it.
BEST EW:
$40WIN/$60PLACE
Race 6 No 9 McRita. Almost missed this one. Liked it's last start 3rd when I tipped him. May have to do a bit of work in this race but I think it's better than them.
RESULT: 2nd! Ahhhhhhh. Thought it was home with 200 to go but just took forever to take off ground from the winner & its run probably ended 50 out. Still, nice odds for the place. Collect $150
Roughy
$10WIN/$20PLACE
Race 2 No 4 Seville Lady. 2nd start. Went well I thought 1st up even though it finished 9th of 11. Sat back 1x3 had cover 3wide but on a leaders track was never a chance. Front row draw around Ballarat, it might improve a heap here tonight at big odds.
RESULT: 3rd! Started $77 the win. Hit the front rounding the turn but was a sitting shot for the 2 favs after it did all the work in the death. 3rd will do, $9.30 a place. $186 collect
Meeting Result: $156 profit, slowly removing the deficit!
Ararat, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 16 Jul 2013
Time to turn things around & I'm very confident of a nice collect tonight:
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Barkers Hall. Thinks he's the best horse in the race. I expect him to show his usual gate speed & ping straight to the front. Would've doubled the bet but I'm a little suss on the junior driver. Prove me wrong fella!
RESULT: 2nd. Just had to work too hard to find the front & the fav had the perfect trail on its back. Jason Lee is very very good
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 2 Don't Tell Jim. To say it should've won last start is an understatement. Never got a crack at them from the 2nd row. Draws 2 & with the 1 scratched starts from the inside. Amajorfrost will cross it early but for mine can't win. I actually expect Nathan Jack to come off Amajorfrost's back & take up the running. If that happens its game over. Even if it decides to take the sit it'll still win for mine with Amojorfrost no good over further than a mile & it's only other danger Narree Belle will be 3 back the fence. Very very keen on it's chances. (Hopefully it can hold my weight & poor form of late!)
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 1 No 3 Exotic Guy. Loved it's debut run. Showed little gate speed but ended up with a nice run 1x3. Lost a little bit of ground before the turn, didn't handle it that well, but once it balanced up looked like challenging the top 3 but the run closed. This is a weaker 2yo & even though Id rather it over further looks to have greater talent. I did tip Soho Lennon last start but it's just too risky, costing us last start when breaking. If it doesn't tonight then I'd expect these 2 to fight out the race.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped out & that was it. To make it worse Soho Lennon wins..
Rough, Rough, Roughy
$5WIN/$10 PLACE
Race 5 No 1 How She Rolls. Form looks horrible on paper but last start had its run stopped 2 or 3 times after being restrained from the start. Should've finished a lot closer. Most of the horses in this race are out of form & from the draw I can see it getting the nice run behind Lockins Art & running a cheeky race. (Did win a trial on 7/7 albeit against nothing) Should be huge odds.
RESULT: WINNER!! Never been so keen to update the website as it looked like I was heading $1000 into the red. Got the perfect sit behind the leader & took forever to get there but it did @ $59. The drought is over!! Collect $360
MEETING RESULT: $195 profit.. finally
BEST WIN:
$50WIN
Race 4 No 4 Barkers Hall. Thinks he's the best horse in the race. I expect him to show his usual gate speed & ping straight to the front. Would've doubled the bet but I'm a little suss on the junior driver. Prove me wrong fella!
RESULT: 2nd. Just had to work too hard to find the front & the fav had the perfect trail on its back. Jason Lee is very very good
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 2 Don't Tell Jim. To say it should've won last start is an understatement. Never got a crack at them from the 2nd row. Draws 2 & with the 1 scratched starts from the inside. Amajorfrost will cross it early but for mine can't win. I actually expect Nathan Jack to come off Amajorfrost's back & take up the running. If that happens its game over. Even if it decides to take the sit it'll still win for mine with Amojorfrost no good over further than a mile & it's only other danger Narree Belle will be 3 back the fence. Very very keen on it's chances. (Hopefully it can hold my weight & poor form of late!)
RESULT: SCRATCHED
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 1 No 3 Exotic Guy. Loved it's debut run. Showed little gate speed but ended up with a nice run 1x3. Lost a little bit of ground before the turn, didn't handle it that well, but once it balanced up looked like challenging the top 3 but the run closed. This is a weaker 2yo & even though Id rather it over further looks to have greater talent. I did tip Soho Lennon last start but it's just too risky, costing us last start when breaking. If it doesn't tonight then I'd expect these 2 to fight out the race.
RESULT: LOST! Galloped out & that was it. To make it worse Soho Lennon wins..
Rough, Rough, Roughy
$5WIN/$10 PLACE
Race 5 No 1 How She Rolls. Form looks horrible on paper but last start had its run stopped 2 or 3 times after being restrained from the start. Should've finished a lot closer. Most of the horses in this race are out of form & from the draw I can see it getting the nice run behind Lockins Art & running a cheeky race. (Did win a trial on 7/7 albeit against nothing) Should be huge odds.
RESULT: WINNER!! Never been so keen to update the website as it looked like I was heading $1000 into the red. Got the perfect sit behind the leader & took forever to get there but it did @ $59. The drought is over!! Collect $360
MEETING RESULT: $195 profit.. finally
Warragul, VIC (Day) - Monday, 15 Jul 2013
BEST EW:
$40 WIN/$60 Place
Race 4 No 1 Courageous Spirit. Has been one of my favourite beasts over the years. Loves to lead & will do that today. Not sure what odds we'll get here but there is no 3rd dividend in this race as there are only 7 in it. Leads & should control the race from there. Warragul will suit as well & it's a track that is a massive advantage for leaders.
RESULT: LOST! Something must of been wrong with the horse. It was gone with 600 to go & lost by 50metres.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Madison Louise. Been racing OK against the best 2yos in Vic. Back over the short distance which looks like will suit & should get a nice sit just off the pace. I reckon Tezz Khora will be big unders here especially with the 1 & 4 likely to be keen to find the front.
RESULT: 4th. Read this race wrong. Tezza Khora led easily from 7 & walked giving nothing at the back a chance. Leader, behind leader & 3 back running 1st,2nd & 3rd said it all.
MEETING RESULT: My horror run continues. Never liked the meeting but thought could've got a collect from the above obviously. Big improvement need to get back into profit for July but I be trying my best to get there! Lost $150
$40 WIN/$60 Place
Race 4 No 1 Courageous Spirit. Has been one of my favourite beasts over the years. Loves to lead & will do that today. Not sure what odds we'll get here but there is no 3rd dividend in this race as there are only 7 in it. Leads & should control the race from there. Warragul will suit as well & it's a track that is a massive advantage for leaders.
RESULT: LOST! Something must of been wrong with the horse. It was gone with 600 to go & lost by 50metres.
ROUGHY
$20WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Madison Louise. Been racing OK against the best 2yos in Vic. Back over the short distance which looks like will suit & should get a nice sit just off the pace. I reckon Tezz Khora will be big unders here especially with the 1 & 4 likely to be keen to find the front.
RESULT: 4th. Read this race wrong. Tezza Khora led easily from 7 & walked giving nothing at the back a chance. Leader, behind leader & 3 back running 1st,2nd & 3rd said it all.
MEETING RESULT: My horror run continues. Never liked the meeting but thought could've got a collect from the above obviously. Big improvement need to get back into profit for July but I be trying my best to get there! Lost $150
Bendigo, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 13 Jul 2013
Horror week that just got worse at Melton. Only takes one meeting to get it back but only keen on 2 races tonight:
BEST EW:
$40 WIN/$60 Place
Race 1 No 1 Arty Missy. There will be a very short odds on fav here in Blackjack Bromac. Won well last start but had every opportunity to as they only ran a 30 second last quarter after the leaders went too hard in front. It could be anything but Im not convinced just yet. The value runner is the 1. It's got ok gate speed but more than likely to end up 3 back if the 3 hands up to the fav which is likely. Arty has been racing in the Vicbred series at Melton & was extremely unlucky not to finish closer in both runs.
RESULT: 4th. Super drive from Nathan Jack to get her off the pegs early & get around to the lead but she weakened in the straight.
$50 EW
Race 6 No 9 Cool Machrista. It was very disappointing last start over the mile but I reckon it just got outsprinted. Back to it's preferred distance here tonight & a good trailing draw I'm keen on his chances.
RESULT: Lost! Never put into the race. Run home well but the was a 1 out of 10 drive
Meeting Result: Another meet with zero return, cant tack a trick at the minute. No punting tomorrow, Redwood Day, all trot races but that give me more study time for Monday. I'll need it, looks like a tough meeting!
BEST EW:
$40 WIN/$60 Place
Race 1 No 1 Arty Missy. There will be a very short odds on fav here in Blackjack Bromac. Won well last start but had every opportunity to as they only ran a 30 second last quarter after the leaders went too hard in front. It could be anything but Im not convinced just yet. The value runner is the 1. It's got ok gate speed but more than likely to end up 3 back if the 3 hands up to the fav which is likely. Arty has been racing in the Vicbred series at Melton & was extremely unlucky not to finish closer in both runs.
RESULT: 4th. Super drive from Nathan Jack to get her off the pegs early & get around to the lead but she weakened in the straight.
$50 EW
Race 6 No 9 Cool Machrista. It was very disappointing last start over the mile but I reckon it just got outsprinted. Back to it's preferred distance here tonight & a good trailing draw I'm keen on his chances.
RESULT: Lost! Never put into the race. Run home well but the was a 1 out of 10 drive
Meeting Result: Another meet with zero return, cant tack a trick at the minute. No punting tomorrow, Redwood Day, all trot races but that give me more study time for Monday. I'll need it, looks like a tough meeting!
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 12 Jul 2013
BEST WIN:
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 1 The Night Pearl. Draws to either lead or sit leaders back. I hope it is the latter. Wasn't disgraced last start vs Youranut. 2 starts back smashed a weak bunch from a wide draw. Will look like the winner at some stage & hopefully that's on the line
RESULT: 2nd. Gets nutted. The start of one of those nights.
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 13 Cheesy Grin. Was awesome winning last start in very good time. Only danger is Sir Swayze
RESULT: 3rd. Big run after being set a fair challenge by the driver but was never threatening the fav.
$100 WIN (BEST OF THE NIGHT)
Race 3 No 1 Real Magic. If someone told me 6 months ago that Id be having crack at this bloke at Melton in a sprint race I would've told you that you were nuts. Since joining the Webster camp he really has improved lengths. Finally gets a draw & this is the weakest field he's meet for some time. Greg Sugars on, he is the Melton pegs king. Get on.
RESULT: 3rd. Ordinary. Got the run I expected it to get but did nothing.
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 8 Teo Enteo. Simple case of he'll be behind the leader. From there they can't outsprint him. There is a problem. The 1 is an emergency. If there are any scratchings, Artoc gets a start & Teo may end up 3 pegs. I'll halve the bet of the 1 gets a start. Probably the equal bet of the night if the 1 is scratched
RESULT: 4th. Late scratching of the 2 was huge. 3 leads so it still got behind the leader but the 3 was gone before the top of the straight & the sprint lane is all about momentum & it had none.
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6 1 & 2. I think Taratop Lady will lead & Inky Cullen will be awaiting the sprint lane. Very confident they'll fight it out.
RESULT: LOST! The 1 doesn't hand up as expected & the 2 left to sit parked. That was all she wrote.
Roughy
$20 Place
Race 6 No 2 Shakchloe. 3rd up here tonight. She went just OK 1st up in a high class mares race but did lock wheels over the last 50 metres. Forget it ever went round at Echuca because unless your up front, you're no chance. I reckon it'll slot in behind the leader here as the 8 is slowish away from the mobile. If Shakchloe can't get behind the leader then your ticket is confetti. She is a quality mare at it's best & there will be no better place to be than behind the 1 in this race.
RESULT: LOST! I was right ticket was confetti.
QUADDIE:
$16 for 100%
2-4 / 1-5-7-11 / 1-2 / 8
RESULT: LOST
BIG6
$20 for 25%
1 / 2-4 / 1-5-7-11 / 1-2 / 8 / 5-6-7-8-10
RESULT: LOST
Meeting Result: Another shocker. Ive killed a black cat somewhere. Really confident tonight & Ive been sat on my bum without a collect. Apologies to everyone that followed but I'll turn it around. Lost $406
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 1 The Night Pearl. Draws to either lead or sit leaders back. I hope it is the latter. Wasn't disgraced last start vs Youranut. 2 starts back smashed a weak bunch from a wide draw. Will look like the winner at some stage & hopefully that's on the line
RESULT: 2nd. Gets nutted. The start of one of those nights.
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 13 Cheesy Grin. Was awesome winning last start in very good time. Only danger is Sir Swayze
RESULT: 3rd. Big run after being set a fair challenge by the driver but was never threatening the fav.
$100 WIN (BEST OF THE NIGHT)
Race 3 No 1 Real Magic. If someone told me 6 months ago that Id be having crack at this bloke at Melton in a sprint race I would've told you that you were nuts. Since joining the Webster camp he really has improved lengths. Finally gets a draw & this is the weakest field he's meet for some time. Greg Sugars on, he is the Melton pegs king. Get on.
RESULT: 3rd. Ordinary. Got the run I expected it to get but did nothing.
$100 WIN
Race 7 No 8 Teo Enteo. Simple case of he'll be behind the leader. From there they can't outsprint him. There is a problem. The 1 is an emergency. If there are any scratchings, Artoc gets a start & Teo may end up 3 pegs. I'll halve the bet of the 1 gets a start. Probably the equal bet of the night if the 1 is scratched
RESULT: 4th. Late scratching of the 2 was huge. 3 leads so it still got behind the leader but the 3 was gone before the top of the straight & the sprint lane is all about momentum & it had none.
BEST EXOTIC
$50 QUINELLA
Race 6 1 & 2. I think Taratop Lady will lead & Inky Cullen will be awaiting the sprint lane. Very confident they'll fight it out.
RESULT: LOST! The 1 doesn't hand up as expected & the 2 left to sit parked. That was all she wrote.
Roughy
$20 Place
Race 6 No 2 Shakchloe. 3rd up here tonight. She went just OK 1st up in a high class mares race but did lock wheels over the last 50 metres. Forget it ever went round at Echuca because unless your up front, you're no chance. I reckon it'll slot in behind the leader here as the 8 is slowish away from the mobile. If Shakchloe can't get behind the leader then your ticket is confetti. She is a quality mare at it's best & there will be no better place to be than behind the 1 in this race.
RESULT: LOST! I was right ticket was confetti.
QUADDIE:
$16 for 100%
2-4 / 1-5-7-11 / 1-2 / 8
RESULT: LOST
BIG6
$20 for 25%
1 / 2-4 / 1-5-7-11 / 1-2 / 8 / 5-6-7-8-10
RESULT: LOST
Meeting Result: Another shocker. Ive killed a black cat somewhere. Really confident tonight & Ive been sat on my bum without a collect. Apologies to everyone that followed but I'll turn it around. Lost $406
Shepparton, VIC (Day) - Thursday, 11 Jul 2013
Need to pull my finger out after a bloody horrible Wednesday.
BEST EW:
$50 EW
Race 3 No 2 Gowan Loch. Big call for a first starter but if it's trial is anything to go by, should be right up to his ears in this.
RESULT: OUCH. Sat without cover, pulled his head off but was driven confidently. Gone at the turn
$25 EW
Race 4 No 5 Yerrington Bob. I'm forgiving his last start failure as I just don't think he handled the Swan Hill track. Back to Shepparton he'll press forward and can win this leading, in the death or with a 1x1 sit. Nice ew bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & as soon as he did I thought he was home but got outsprinted in the sprint lane. Collect $55
$20 Win/$30 Place
Race 8 No 8 Joelles Dream. Mark Peace gave it no chance last start, got dragged back to last but I was super impressed on how it worked home late. It draws poorly behind a weak one but with any sort of luck is a great winning chance.
RESULT: 4th by a whisker. Ended up 4 back the pegs & was never winning from there
Best Exotic
Boxed Trifecta $24
Race 2
1-2-8
RESULT: WINNER! First bet of the day & I wish it was my only one! Collect $34, huge..
Meeting Result: Lost $135
BEST EW:
$50 EW
Race 3 No 2 Gowan Loch. Big call for a first starter but if it's trial is anything to go by, should be right up to his ears in this.
RESULT: OUCH. Sat without cover, pulled his head off but was driven confidently. Gone at the turn
$25 EW
Race 4 No 5 Yerrington Bob. I'm forgiving his last start failure as I just don't think he handled the Swan Hill track. Back to Shepparton he'll press forward and can win this leading, in the death or with a 1x1 sit. Nice ew bet.
RESULT: 2nd. Led & as soon as he did I thought he was home but got outsprinted in the sprint lane. Collect $55
$20 Win/$30 Place
Race 8 No 8 Joelles Dream. Mark Peace gave it no chance last start, got dragged back to last but I was super impressed on how it worked home late. It draws poorly behind a weak one but with any sort of luck is a great winning chance.
RESULT: 4th by a whisker. Ended up 4 back the pegs & was never winning from there
Best Exotic
Boxed Trifecta $24
Race 2
1-2-8
RESULT: WINNER! First bet of the day & I wish it was my only one! Collect $34, huge..
Meeting Result: Lost $135
Ballarat, Thursday 11 July
BEST WIN:
$50 WIN
Race 1 No 11 My Mach Scooter. Has been tearing up the trials & looks ready to win first up. I would've doubled the bet if it hadve drawn the front row.
RESULT: LOST. Horrible to be honest. I was almost spending my winnings when he was following the fav into the race but went backwards quickly.
BEST EW:
$25 EW
Race 3 No 10 Misschinoise. Been racing well in much strong races than this. Has a liking for the track & she will be charging at them late
RESULT: LOST! Never suited by the slow pace from back in the field & ran home ok all things considered.
$20 WIN/$30 Place
Race 8 No 4 Michael Mockeridge. Can't believe I'm tipping this bloke. Hasn't won since 2009 but to be fair, hasn't raced that much either. In his prime was racing against some of the top pacers in the land. Had a stint in WA where I thought the tracks didn't suit. His first up effort back in VIC was just OK but 2nd up only just got rolled by Flyin Interstate & Pete Of Pan. Both those horse would start favourite in this. I do think the 6 will be mighty hard to beat but at the value I think he's worth a crack
RESULT: LOST! They walked again & having the last crack at them from 3rd last wasn't the way to go.
Roughy
$25 Place
Race 4 No 1 Ballygeana. I liked it's debut run when it raced in the death & hung on well in OK time. From the 1 should get a nice run, which I expect to be behind the favourite. Should have every chance to finish top 3 but doubt it can beat the fav.
RESULT: LAST! Led early, got taken on by another $50 shot, handed up & the driver thought best thing to do was to come and sit in the death. Gone a long way out
MEETING RESULT: The horror week continues. Poor tipping from me today. Don't lose faith, Melton is here! Lost $175
Mildura, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 10 Jul 2013
No confidence at all here at Mildura in a meeting that seems to have little value. Im going to play a few exotics tonight to try & snag a result:
Race 2
Trifecta $20
1-2-3 / 1-2-3 / 1-2-3-7
Race 3
Trifecta $10
1 / 7-8 /7-8
Exacta $10
1 / 7-8
Race 5
$20 Place
No 1 Seymour Jasper
Race 7
BOXED Trifecta $12
2-3-4-7
F4 $8
2-7 / 2-3-4-7 / 2-3-4-7 / 2-3-4-6-7-9-10-11
Race 8
Trifecta $20
1-5 / 1-5-7 / 1-2-5-6
MEETING RESULT: So glad I did that. Not a cracker. Apologies to all the followers, that was a shocker. Lost $100
Race 2
Trifecta $20
1-2-3 / 1-2-3 / 1-2-3-7
Race 3
Trifecta $10
1 / 7-8 /7-8
Exacta $10
1 / 7-8
Race 5
$20 Place
No 1 Seymour Jasper
Race 7
BOXED Trifecta $12
2-3-4-7
F4 $8
2-7 / 2-3-4-7 / 2-3-4-7 / 2-3-4-6-7-9-10-11
Race 8
Trifecta $20
1-5 / 1-5-7 / 1-2-5-6
MEETING RESULT: So glad I did that. Not a cracker. Apologies to all the followers, that was a shocker. Lost $100
Geelong, VIC (Day) - Wednesday, 10 Jul 2013
Need to lift on this weeks efforts to date. Tipping odds on pops midweek is asking for trouble! Reckon Ive got a couple to fill the pockets again today though & they ain't odds on! (At least they shouldn't be on the market I framed)
BEST WIN BETS:
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 3 Pink Diamond Lombo. Its a first starter but loved it's trial at Melton where it went away slowly but rounded the field impressively to win hard held. Doesn't have to be a superstar to win this. I'm hoping most punters stay away but I've marked it a $3 shot
RESULT: LOST! Showed no speed & actually got stuck 3wide. Snagged back to last and ran home OK. Not sacking yet & I'd imagine it would be better suited over further.
BEST EW:
$25 EW
Race 5 No 1 On The Leash. Went huge last start when leading and allowed to run along finishing 2nd to Gumdrops in 1.57 for the 2100 metres which is bloody fast for this class of horse. Its 2 main dangers are Our Missionary Man who is likely to sit on its outside. If On The Leash runs those times again today, Our Missionary Man is no hope. Doomed is the other but it maybe starting to struggle as it goes up in class & I also noticed it's up for sale. Not a great indication of confidence for mine but the speed may suit it. Sticking with the Leash as I know exactly where it will be in the run. Marked it @ $7
RESULT: 2ND. ran a good race but not good enough to beat the fav. Opened $6 and backed into $4. Collect $31.25
BEST EXOTICS
$30 QUINELLA
Race 6 1 & 5. Think Easy Lightning leads & Im Living The Dream will hold up behind it awaiting the sprint lane. They look the stand outs in the race but the first 50 metres is the key as the 1 must hold out 2,3,4 & 5 but I reckon it can..
RESULT: Winner! Paid less than expected with the scratching of the 8. $60 collect
$20 Trifecta
Race 6 1-5/1-5-8/1-5-8-11
RESULT: Lost. 11 runs 5th.
Meeting Result: Lost $90
BEST WIN BETS:
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 3 Pink Diamond Lombo. Its a first starter but loved it's trial at Melton where it went away slowly but rounded the field impressively to win hard held. Doesn't have to be a superstar to win this. I'm hoping most punters stay away but I've marked it a $3 shot
RESULT: LOST! Showed no speed & actually got stuck 3wide. Snagged back to last and ran home OK. Not sacking yet & I'd imagine it would be better suited over further.
BEST EW:
$25 EW
Race 5 No 1 On The Leash. Went huge last start when leading and allowed to run along finishing 2nd to Gumdrops in 1.57 for the 2100 metres which is bloody fast for this class of horse. Its 2 main dangers are Our Missionary Man who is likely to sit on its outside. If On The Leash runs those times again today, Our Missionary Man is no hope. Doomed is the other but it maybe starting to struggle as it goes up in class & I also noticed it's up for sale. Not a great indication of confidence for mine but the speed may suit it. Sticking with the Leash as I know exactly where it will be in the run. Marked it @ $7
RESULT: 2ND. ran a good race but not good enough to beat the fav. Opened $6 and backed into $4. Collect $31.25
BEST EXOTICS
$30 QUINELLA
Race 6 1 & 5. Think Easy Lightning leads & Im Living The Dream will hold up behind it awaiting the sprint lane. They look the stand outs in the race but the first 50 metres is the key as the 1 must hold out 2,3,4 & 5 but I reckon it can..
RESULT: Winner! Paid less than expected with the scratching of the 8. $60 collect
$20 Trifecta
Race 6 1-5/1-5-8/1-5-8-11
RESULT: Lost. 11 runs 5th.
Meeting Result: Lost $90
Terang, VIC (Night) - Tuesday, 9 Jul 2013
BEST WIN BETS:
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 6 Classy Guy. Will be short but should monster this field. HAs high gate speed & loves the mile trip. Looks the winner
RESULT: OUCH. Didn't lead as I expected but didn't give a yelp from the death. On the banned list.
$50 WIN
Race 6 No 5 Let Memphis Loose. Back to a C1 class race, over the sprint distance & gets its first front row draw since April when it last won. Also gets the services of young gun Jason Lee, just ticks all the boxes
RESULT: WINNER! Just held on & also survived a protest. Collect $120
Roughy
$25 Place
Race 7 No 3 Rosharni. Don't think it can win but looks to be the horse that will be first to the pegs & loves this distance. It's a fairly strong race but with Matty Craven aboard & the sprint lane available I reckon it can definitely fill a place.
RESULT: 4th! Got the run I expected it to get but didn't finish off like I thought it would
Quaddie:
Just to round out the outlay to $200. $25 for 416.67%
6 / 2-4-5 / 5 / 6-10
RESULT: Only 2 legs of the quaddie. Back to the drawing board
Meeting Result: Never good when your best bet gets rolled. Lost $80
$100 WIN
Race 4 No 6 Classy Guy. Will be short but should monster this field. HAs high gate speed & loves the mile trip. Looks the winner
RESULT: OUCH. Didn't lead as I expected but didn't give a yelp from the death. On the banned list.
$50 WIN
Race 6 No 5 Let Memphis Loose. Back to a C1 class race, over the sprint distance & gets its first front row draw since April when it last won. Also gets the services of young gun Jason Lee, just ticks all the boxes
RESULT: WINNER! Just held on & also survived a protest. Collect $120
Roughy
$25 Place
Race 7 No 3 Rosharni. Don't think it can win but looks to be the horse that will be first to the pegs & loves this distance. It's a fairly strong race but with Matty Craven aboard & the sprint lane available I reckon it can definitely fill a place.
RESULT: 4th! Got the run I expected it to get but didn't finish off like I thought it would
Quaddie:
Just to round out the outlay to $200. $25 for 416.67%
6 / 2-4-5 / 5 / 6-10
RESULT: Only 2 legs of the quaddie. Back to the drawing board
Meeting Result: Never good when your best bet gets rolled. Lost $80
Yarra Valley, Monday 8 July
Very hard to get enthusiastic about this meeting so will keep it short and sweet.
BEST EW:
$50 EW
Race 7 No 11 Discrimination. Steps back in class here today and this race looks to have a load of pace in it so should suit it down to the ground.
RESULT: Lost! I think both I and Lance Justice misread that one. There was a heap of pace on early & Lance decided to join in the war. To rub it in, Artoc wins who I've tipped on here many times before.
$50EW
Race 8 No 10 Blackwarrior. Thought his past 2 runs have been outstanding for a race like this & we may get OK EW odds. Big watch on 3 the first starter who beat older horses winning its last trial. That's a good lead up to a debut run.
RESULT: .3rd. Started fav. Got nabbed near the line & lost by a head. Had a fairly tough run & beaten by the sprint laner. Protest thrown in & lost 2nd on protest. Collect $62
Meeting result: Lost $138.
BEST EW:
$50 EW
Race 7 No 11 Discrimination. Steps back in class here today and this race looks to have a load of pace in it so should suit it down to the ground.
RESULT: Lost! I think both I and Lance Justice misread that one. There was a heap of pace on early & Lance decided to join in the war. To rub it in, Artoc wins who I've tipped on here many times before.
$50EW
Race 8 No 10 Blackwarrior. Thought his past 2 runs have been outstanding for a race like this & we may get OK EW odds. Big watch on 3 the first starter who beat older horses winning its last trial. That's a good lead up to a debut run.
RESULT: .3rd. Started fav. Got nabbed near the line & lost by a head. Had a fairly tough run & beaten by the sprint laner. Protest thrown in & lost 2nd on protest. Collect $62
Meeting result: Lost $138.
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Saturday, 6 Jul 2013
Best Win Bets:
Best of the night $100 WIN
Race 4 No 2 Real Bonus. Currently paying $1.75! That is money for jam for mine. Will lead again & win
RESULT: 2nd. That's what you get for being arrogant. Got pipped on the post.
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 1 Kotare Roland. Never put into the race last start thanks to a horse stuck 3wide the trip. Draws the 1 & even though Id rather him over the short course I think it's going to be very hard to beat.
RESULT: Winner! Led & won easily. $110 collect (a lot more if you don't punt on s-tab!)
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 3 Our Femme Fatale. Disappointed with her last start (more so the driver) as it was never put into the race off a slow speed & had the perfect opportunity to do so mid race but elected to just qualify for the final. That won't be happening here tonight & I think she can lead them here & be very hard to beat
RESULT: Lost. Couldn't hold out Courageous n Quick & then they went ridiculously quick in front & the leader tired before the sprint lane which didn't help but never looked a winner.
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 9 No 9 Have A Bender. With the likely leader being The Smiler, Broadways Best & Motu Crusader maybe in trouble rounding the bend as I reckon The Smiler will be going backwards at that stage. Have A Bender draws right behind The Smiler & should get a nice run through either 1x1 behind Jacka Clive (which would be ideal) or 1x2. Its going to be tough to beat Jacka Clive if it's come back from a quick rest at its best but if it's slightly off Have A Bender is definitely the value bet.
RESULT: 2nd. ahhhhh. The race panned out exactly as I thought early but the fav couldn't get around the field so was left without cover. Tried to take the lead from The Smiler but Lance gave him the big I don't think so. Hits the front at the top of the straight but gets beat by the horse who had the easiest run in the race. $11 fixed available too. Not happy. Collect $125
There are so many good horses engaged tonight that there does seem to be great value around for place dividends so I'm throwing a few roughies around:
$50 Place
Race 1 No 1 Dungeon Queen. This mare is a mad railer & fair dinkum would make a great greyhound. Draws the red rug here & will get the exact run it loves to get. Don't think it can win but hard to see it missing top 3.
RESULT: 3rd! The mad railer does it again from the pegs. Some corporates offering $4.60 thank you very much! Good old s-tab $2.9. Collect $145
$20 Place
Race 7 No 1 Reign Of Pain. I really liked his semi final run when it went for 3 or 4 different runs before settling on going up the rails & never really got out finishing 5th not far off Lenny The Shark. He can't win but drawn 1 & currently $7.70 the place on bookmaker.com.au, he's worth a ticket.
RESULT: 3rd! Geez, thought he was a chance half way up the straight to win but the 2 favourites too good. Bookmaker.com.au still counting my money for me.. Collect $106
Quaddies:
2 / 3-8-11 / 1-2 / 12-13 $30 for 250%
2 / 3 / 2 / 12-13 $10 for 500%
RESULT: Both gone with Real Bonus losing
MEETING RESULT: Won $76 but a fair bit more if you don't punt on s-tab
Best of the night $100 WIN
Race 4 No 2 Real Bonus. Currently paying $1.75! That is money for jam for mine. Will lead again & win
RESULT: 2nd. That's what you get for being arrogant. Got pipped on the post.
$50 WIN
Race 2 No 1 Kotare Roland. Never put into the race last start thanks to a horse stuck 3wide the trip. Draws the 1 & even though Id rather him over the short course I think it's going to be very hard to beat.
RESULT: Winner! Led & won easily. $110 collect (a lot more if you don't punt on s-tab!)
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 3 Our Femme Fatale. Disappointed with her last start (more so the driver) as it was never put into the race off a slow speed & had the perfect opportunity to do so mid race but elected to just qualify for the final. That won't be happening here tonight & I think she can lead them here & be very hard to beat
RESULT: Lost. Couldn't hold out Courageous n Quick & then they went ridiculously quick in front & the leader tired before the sprint lane which didn't help but never looked a winner.
BEST EW:
$50EW
Race 9 No 9 Have A Bender. With the likely leader being The Smiler, Broadways Best & Motu Crusader maybe in trouble rounding the bend as I reckon The Smiler will be going backwards at that stage. Have A Bender draws right behind The Smiler & should get a nice run through either 1x1 behind Jacka Clive (which would be ideal) or 1x2. Its going to be tough to beat Jacka Clive if it's come back from a quick rest at its best but if it's slightly off Have A Bender is definitely the value bet.
RESULT: 2nd. ahhhhh. The race panned out exactly as I thought early but the fav couldn't get around the field so was left without cover. Tried to take the lead from The Smiler but Lance gave him the big I don't think so. Hits the front at the top of the straight but gets beat by the horse who had the easiest run in the race. $11 fixed available too. Not happy. Collect $125
There are so many good horses engaged tonight that there does seem to be great value around for place dividends so I'm throwing a few roughies around:
$50 Place
Race 1 No 1 Dungeon Queen. This mare is a mad railer & fair dinkum would make a great greyhound. Draws the red rug here & will get the exact run it loves to get. Don't think it can win but hard to see it missing top 3.
RESULT: 3rd! The mad railer does it again from the pegs. Some corporates offering $4.60 thank you very much! Good old s-tab $2.9. Collect $145
$20 Place
Race 7 No 1 Reign Of Pain. I really liked his semi final run when it went for 3 or 4 different runs before settling on going up the rails & never really got out finishing 5th not far off Lenny The Shark. He can't win but drawn 1 & currently $7.70 the place on bookmaker.com.au, he's worth a ticket.
RESULT: 3rd! Geez, thought he was a chance half way up the straight to win but the 2 favourites too good. Bookmaker.com.au still counting my money for me.. Collect $106
Quaddies:
2 / 3-8-11 / 1-2 / 12-13 $30 for 250%
2 / 3 / 2 / 12-13 $10 for 500%
RESULT: Both gone with Real Bonus losing
MEETING RESULT: Won $76 but a fair bit more if you don't punt on s-tab
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 5 Jul 2013
A meeting for of trots races. Breaking one of my punting rules here & having a punt on a trot race!
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 7 No 11 Waikare Patricia. This mare is absolutely flying at the minute & I can't believe there is $4.50 available at the minute (11.30pm Thursday). Looks like she'll follow Brunelleschi everywhere it goes & that will more than likely be 3 wide 1 back. If that scenario pans out, I can't see how they'll beat her. The 1 is favourite but no certainty to lead & Im actually banking on the fact it won't.
RESULT: Lost. Not flash! Had the right trail, did cop a check at the turn but not good enough.
BEST EW
$40WIN / $60 PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Glenferrie Dreamer. I'm a little surprised you can get $7.50+ for it after it defeated it's 2 main rivals in the semi. I think it'll work forward from the wide draw & eventually find the front & likely to hand up to the 7. Great EW bet for mine.
RESULT: Lost. That didn't pan out as I thought it would. It was over after 100 metres after Blitzemcalder led.
QUADDIE
$50 for 192%
5 / 1-6-7-12 / 1-4 / 1-10-11
RESULT: Winner! Not really.. Quaddie pays $8.30! $15.94 collect.
Meeting Result: Tough day but unless you're a odds on fan, there was just no value tonight. Bring on the pacers tomorrow night, Lost $184.06
BEST WIN
$50 WIN
Race 7 No 11 Waikare Patricia. This mare is absolutely flying at the minute & I can't believe there is $4.50 available at the minute (11.30pm Thursday). Looks like she'll follow Brunelleschi everywhere it goes & that will more than likely be 3 wide 1 back. If that scenario pans out, I can't see how they'll beat her. The 1 is favourite but no certainty to lead & Im actually banking on the fact it won't.
RESULT: Lost. Not flash! Had the right trail, did cop a check at the turn but not good enough.
BEST EW
$40WIN / $60 PLACE
Race 5 No 6 Glenferrie Dreamer. I'm a little surprised you can get $7.50+ for it after it defeated it's 2 main rivals in the semi. I think it'll work forward from the wide draw & eventually find the front & likely to hand up to the 7. Great EW bet for mine.
RESULT: Lost. That didn't pan out as I thought it would. It was over after 100 metres after Blitzemcalder led.
QUADDIE
$50 for 192%
5 / 1-6-7-12 / 1-4 / 1-10-11
RESULT: Winner! Not really.. Quaddie pays $8.30! $15.94 collect.
Meeting Result: Tough day but unless you're a odds on fan, there was just no value tonight. Bring on the pacers tomorrow night, Lost $184.06
Mildura, VIC (Day) - Friday, 5 Jul 2013
Roughies
$20 WIN / $30 PLACE
Race 3 No 1 Our Dartesian. Draws perfectly here & likely to sit behind whichever Shayne Cramp horse Shayne has elected to lead. Forget its last 2 runs when drawn awkwardly. 3 starts back was a good run, finishing 2nd to Changing Codes who would start odds on in this race. That race was a 3CO/1 this is a restricted 3yo race. Pretty keen on his EW chances at odds.
RESULT: 3rd. Had the perfect run & just held on for 3rd. $78 collect
$20 WIN/$30 PLACE
Race 6 No 2 Any Way Back. Marked as one of my trial flyers. I'd be a far bit more confident if I was 100% sure it would lead but the 1 may have enough pace to hold it out. Might make life tough if it doesn't lead but it's trial win was good enough to win this.(Beat Make A Fuss & Metromint in that trial)
RESULT: 4th. Didnt lead & that was the end of the game
Meeting result: Lost $22
Geelong, VIC (Night) - Thursday, 4 Jul 2013
BEST WIN:
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 2 Magical Molly. Gets back to it's preferred distance tonight & Jodi Quinlan is back on board after a Gavin Lang shocker last start. She does tend to pull hard when Jodi drives it but I can see it moving forward at some point to death & running these horses into the ground.
RESULT: Winner! Led & absolutely smashed them. Collect $200
Best Each Way:
$50 EW
Race 7 No 1 Lombo Flashlight. Was desperately unlucky last start in a weaker race but gets the perfect draw for it tonight. I think it'll take the sit from Astronaut tonight & will be the one coming late along the sprint lane. Should be good value too.
RESULT: 3rd. Lost it at the start. didn't start as fast as I expected & was crossed by a $60 shot. Ended up sitting 1x1 came at them at the turn but not good enough. Collect $85
Roughy
$10 WIN/$40 Place
Race 1 No 9 Remember Jasper. Draws to follow through the likely leader Sarum Knight & should settle midfield with a nice sit. If it can get the right cart into the race is a chance to knock these off at odds
Result: 3rd. Ended up where I thought it would. Got a late run but wasn't good enough to beat the first 2. Nice place odds though. Collect $128
MEETING RESULT: $213 Profit
Day result: $163 Profit
$50 WIN
Race 4 No 2 Magical Molly. Gets back to it's preferred distance tonight & Jodi Quinlan is back on board after a Gavin Lang shocker last start. She does tend to pull hard when Jodi drives it but I can see it moving forward at some point to death & running these horses into the ground.
RESULT: Winner! Led & absolutely smashed them. Collect $200
Best Each Way:
$50 EW
Race 7 No 1 Lombo Flashlight. Was desperately unlucky last start in a weaker race but gets the perfect draw for it tonight. I think it'll take the sit from Astronaut tonight & will be the one coming late along the sprint lane. Should be good value too.
RESULT: 3rd. Lost it at the start. didn't start as fast as I expected & was crossed by a $60 shot. Ended up sitting 1x1 came at them at the turn but not good enough. Collect $85
Roughy
$10 WIN/$40 Place
Race 1 No 9 Remember Jasper. Draws to follow through the likely leader Sarum Knight & should settle midfield with a nice sit. If it can get the right cart into the race is a chance to knock these off at odds
Result: 3rd. Ended up where I thought it would. Got a late run but wasn't good enough to beat the first 2. Nice place odds though. Collect $128
MEETING RESULT: $213 Profit
Day result: $163 Profit
Maryborough, VIC (Day) - Thursday, 4 Jul 2013
Shocking betting meeting & I'd advise to stay away with 4 trots races & a stand start race on an 8 race card. Cool Machrista is the certainty of the arvo for mine but will be way too short to back. If you are taking quaddies. it's your anchor.
I've come up with 2 roughies for the meet:
Roughy
$20 WIN/$30 Place
Race 4 No 2 Desdon Murruffy. I have no idea what odds this fella will start & it's a fairly risky bet as it is first up for a few months. Why am I tipping it? It was trialling extremely well, maybe too well, before its first up run in April. (Beat Major Steppe) He ran ok 1st up when 5th to Glenferrie College who would start long odds on in this race & got severely checked when running back in the field 2nd up. Sent to the paddock for the past 2 months ,its racing without a trial & that maybe the trick. From the draw worth a crack!
RESULT: 4th. Woweee, started $63 on the tote. Ran liked a busted arsehole early hanging out & in every chance it got & settled back in the field. Never looked likely until late when flying down the outside to snatch 4th place. He wont be $63 next start
$20 WIN/$30 Place
Race 7 No 1 Tere T. It is 1st emergency so may not start. If you look at it's form of late you'd probably think Im nuts for tipping it but it looks well suited in this race. Last time it raced over 1609metres at Maryborough it ran 3rd after sitting in the death in a fast time. Will start from 1 here & will either lead or sit on the leaders back & looks big value.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
If I walk away with my money back here I'll be very happy..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50
I've come up with 2 roughies for the meet:
Roughy
$20 WIN/$30 Place
Race 4 No 2 Desdon Murruffy. I have no idea what odds this fella will start & it's a fairly risky bet as it is first up for a few months. Why am I tipping it? It was trialling extremely well, maybe too well, before its first up run in April. (Beat Major Steppe) He ran ok 1st up when 5th to Glenferrie College who would start long odds on in this race & got severely checked when running back in the field 2nd up. Sent to the paddock for the past 2 months ,its racing without a trial & that maybe the trick. From the draw worth a crack!
RESULT: 4th. Woweee, started $63 on the tote. Ran liked a busted arsehole early hanging out & in every chance it got & settled back in the field. Never looked likely until late when flying down the outside to snatch 4th place. He wont be $63 next start
$20 WIN/$30 Place
Race 7 No 1 Tere T. It is 1st emergency so may not start. If you look at it's form of late you'd probably think Im nuts for tipping it but it looks well suited in this race. Last time it raced over 1609metres at Maryborough it ran 3rd after sitting in the death in a fast time. Will start from 1 here & will either lead or sit on the leaders back & looks big value.
RESULT: SCRATCHED
If I walk away with my money back here I'll be very happy..
MEETING RESULT: Lost $50
Hamilton, VIC (Day) - Wednesday, 3 Jul 2013
Wound back the $$ on the bets a bit here today but still think I've outlaid enough for a handy profit
BEST WIN BET:
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 1 I'm Living The Dream This bloke is yet to win in 7 starts in Oz but today looks the day. Cheesy Grin may have something to say about that but his form has been in much weaker races. Im confident I'm Living The Dream can lead and that should be the end of the race.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten easily by Cheesy Grin even though it had by far the easiest run in the race. Very impressive Cheesy Grin, more talent than I thought it had!
Best Each Way:
$20 Win / $30 Place (its opened very short for the place. Suggest small win bet)
Race 1 No 2 Soho Lennon. Punting on 2yo's is risky business but this bloke has caught my eye in its past 2 runs. 2 starts back looked like being up near the front when went rough & broke. Ended 4 back the rails but ran home well for 4th against Paua Fella. Last start went back to last, circled mid race to death seat and fought on really well for 3rd not beaten far. There will be a short one in this (Goodtime Bobby) but if Soho can do everything right early it'll go mighty close to beating it.
RESULT: 2nd. Was a little stiff not to finish closer but was never going to beat the favourite for mine. Started very short for the place. $36 collect
Meeting Result: Lost $64
BEST WIN BET:
$50 WIN
Race 5 No 1 I'm Living The Dream This bloke is yet to win in 7 starts in Oz but today looks the day. Cheesy Grin may have something to say about that but his form has been in much weaker races. Im confident I'm Living The Dream can lead and that should be the end of the race.
RESULT: 2nd. Beaten easily by Cheesy Grin even though it had by far the easiest run in the race. Very impressive Cheesy Grin, more talent than I thought it had!
Best Each Way:
$20 Win / $30 Place (its opened very short for the place. Suggest small win bet)
Race 1 No 2 Soho Lennon. Punting on 2yo's is risky business but this bloke has caught my eye in its past 2 runs. 2 starts back looked like being up near the front when went rough & broke. Ended 4 back the rails but ran home well for 4th against Paua Fella. Last start went back to last, circled mid race to death seat and fought on really well for 3rd not beaten far. There will be a short one in this (Goodtime Bobby) but if Soho can do everything right early it'll go mighty close to beating it.
RESULT: 2nd. Was a little stiff not to finish closer but was never going to beat the favourite for mine. Started very short for the place. $36 collect
Meeting Result: Lost $64
Echuca, Tuesday 2 July
This track is really hit & miss. I've had my biggest ever collect here as well as one of my worst punting efforts. It is a rail dominated track unless drivers make their runs early from the back & you need a good strong horse to be able to do that and win. (not many of those engaged tonight!) I'm pretty confident we'll get a good result.
BEST BETS
$100 WIN
Race 5 No 2 The Numbers Man. It leads & looks far too good for these. I expect $1.8 but it's my best of the night
RESULT: Winner! We had to wait a long time thanks to a fall in the race. They decided to run the race again & after 30 minutes of trying to cancel my bet he still got the job done leading all the way. Phew.. Collect $170
$100 WIN
Race 7 No1 Whatacracker. Again, think this bloke leads but it'll be hearts in mouths stuff as it can be a head case at times. With Chris Alford aboard tonight I don't think it'll be a problem. Expect $2 or just above.
RESULT: Winner! Chris Alford got away with murder there. Led & run them as slow as he possibly could & they let him. Beautiful! Collect $210
$50 WIN
Race 8 No 3 Classic Life. I really liked its run last start. It can throw in a shocker every now and then but based on it's last start effort looks good to go. There is a heap of speed early in this race and he should sit just off them & reel them in late. Expect $2.5
RESULT: Winner! Opened @ $1.90 & was smacked into $1.55! Won accordingly. Collect $77.50
BEST EW
$25EW
Race 2 No 3 Maharaja Lombo. Looks the leader here & there really seems to be no pace at all in this race. It is first emergency but it maybe unlikely that Neevers will run after running Monday so I expect it to start. He's been running OK races over the mile & I think the longer distance suits it better especially if it gets away with some cheap early quarters..
RESULT: 2nd. Started favourite which I didn't expect! Had every chance for mine and got knocked off by the longshot from 3 back the pegs. Collect $29.50
Quaddie
I don't often take quaddies but considering 2 of my best bets land in the quaddie legs it seems stupid not to have a crack:
$20 for 100%
5-6-8-9 / 2 / 3-5-6-8-9 / 1
RESULT: Winner! Collect $173.10
ONE TO WATCH:
Race 3 No 7 Lies
Not suggesting to back this horse as it's got a shocking draw & will probably start unders but its debut run was very very good when stuck 3 wide the first half lap, death seated & only just went down. If it had drawn front line it would've been close to bet of the night.
RESULT: Wins easily. Couldn't have got a better run. Unbelievable. After half a lap it was the only horse you wanted to be on. Paid $2.8
MEETING RESULT: Would've been a clean sweep if Maharaja could've kicked but very happy with a $340.10 profit
BEST BETS
$100 WIN
Race 5 No 2 The Numbers Man. It leads & looks far too good for these. I expect $1.8 but it's my best of the night
RESULT: Winner! We had to wait a long time thanks to a fall in the race. They decided to run the race again & after 30 minutes of trying to cancel my bet he still got the job done leading all the way. Phew.. Collect $170
$100 WIN
Race 7 No1 Whatacracker. Again, think this bloke leads but it'll be hearts in mouths stuff as it can be a head case at times. With Chris Alford aboard tonight I don't think it'll be a problem. Expect $2 or just above.
RESULT: Winner! Chris Alford got away with murder there. Led & run them as slow as he possibly could & they let him. Beautiful! Collect $210
$50 WIN
Race 8 No 3 Classic Life. I really liked its run last start. It can throw in a shocker every now and then but based on it's last start effort looks good to go. There is a heap of speed early in this race and he should sit just off them & reel them in late. Expect $2.5
RESULT: Winner! Opened @ $1.90 & was smacked into $1.55! Won accordingly. Collect $77.50
BEST EW
$25EW
Race 2 No 3 Maharaja Lombo. Looks the leader here & there really seems to be no pace at all in this race. It is first emergency but it maybe unlikely that Neevers will run after running Monday so I expect it to start. He's been running OK races over the mile & I think the longer distance suits it better especially if it gets away with some cheap early quarters..
RESULT: 2nd. Started favourite which I didn't expect! Had every chance for mine and got knocked off by the longshot from 3 back the pegs. Collect $29.50
Quaddie
I don't often take quaddies but considering 2 of my best bets land in the quaddie legs it seems stupid not to have a crack:
$20 for 100%
5-6-8-9 / 2 / 3-5-6-8-9 / 1
RESULT: Winner! Collect $173.10
ONE TO WATCH:
Race 3 No 7 Lies
Not suggesting to back this horse as it's got a shocking draw & will probably start unders but its debut run was very very good when stuck 3 wide the first half lap, death seated & only just went down. If it had drawn front line it would've been close to bet of the night.
RESULT: Wins easily. Couldn't have got a better run. Unbelievable. After half a lap it was the only horse you wanted to be on. Paid $2.8
MEETING RESULT: Would've been a clean sweep if Maharaja could've kicked but very happy with a $340.10 profit
Kilmore, VIC (Night) - Wednesday, 3 Jul 2013
Not confident in having a crack at too many here tonight so I've concentrated on value and hopefully we can snare one.
Best Bet Of The Night
$40 Win/$60 Place
Race 7 No 8 Talk To The Hand. Gets the gun draw behind the favourite and likely leader Major Steppe. Its won an M0 race at Melton before from 3 pegs & this is a C3/4 race. Loves this sort of run & I'd be surprised to see it finish worse than 2nd.
RESULT: 3rd. Couldn't believe it opened $11 & $2.3 & came into $6 & $1.60! Got the exact run I was hoping for but I wasn't expecting the favourite to hand up the lead! They went very slow in front & it was always going to be hard to win from 3 pegs. Did get the run at the right time but couldn't reel them in. I hope followers got the better odds. Collect $96
Next Best:
$25 EW
Race 4 No 10 McRita. Not a bad run in a high class field last start. Is better when able to run up front but this is a fairly weak field & with the right run I'd expect it to win.
RESULT: 3rd. Really good run. Had to lead the 3 wide division up to the leaders, hot the front rounding the turn & looked a big chance but just peaked on its run. Get on when it gets a good draw. Collect $62.50
$10 Win/$40 Place
Race 5 No 2 Lifes A Lombo. Looks like getting the gun run behind Modern Mary & there looks to be a fair bit of pressure in this race. If there is she will be the one smoken the pipe awaiting the sprint lane. I just hope her sprint is good enough to get the money.
RESULT: 3rd. Again, thought she was home on the turn, sprint laned & just when the race looked hers she started to race very roughly, even galloped for a few strides. Not sure if she would've got there but certainly would've been close. Collect $76
Meeting result: Won $34.50
Lost $29.50 for the day.
Best Bet Of The Night
$40 Win/$60 Place
Race 7 No 8 Talk To The Hand. Gets the gun draw behind the favourite and likely leader Major Steppe. Its won an M0 race at Melton before from 3 pegs & this is a C3/4 race. Loves this sort of run & I'd be surprised to see it finish worse than 2nd.
RESULT: 3rd. Couldn't believe it opened $11 & $2.3 & came into $6 & $1.60! Got the exact run I was hoping for but I wasn't expecting the favourite to hand up the lead! They went very slow in front & it was always going to be hard to win from 3 pegs. Did get the run at the right time but couldn't reel them in. I hope followers got the better odds. Collect $96
Next Best:
$25 EW
Race 4 No 10 McRita. Not a bad run in a high class field last start. Is better when able to run up front but this is a fairly weak field & with the right run I'd expect it to win.
RESULT: 3rd. Really good run. Had to lead the 3 wide division up to the leaders, hot the front rounding the turn & looked a big chance but just peaked on its run. Get on when it gets a good draw. Collect $62.50
$10 Win/$40 Place
Race 5 No 2 Lifes A Lombo. Looks like getting the gun run behind Modern Mary & there looks to be a fair bit of pressure in this race. If there is she will be the one smoken the pipe awaiting the sprint lane. I just hope her sprint is good enough to get the money.
RESULT: 3rd. Again, thought she was home on the turn, sprint laned & just when the race looked hers she started to race very roughly, even galloped for a few strides. Not sure if she would've got there but certainly would've been close. Collect $76
Meeting result: Won $34.50
Lost $29.50 for the day.
St Arnaud at Charlton, VIC (Day) - Monday, 1 Jul 2013
Really keen to start the month off with a bang but this looks a meeting starved of value but I've pulled out a couple out I think are worth the risk:
$50 Each Way
Race 5 No 4 Dam Lucky.
This bloke doesn't win out of turn but does grow a leg when it can lead. I think the lead is his today & with the likely odds on favourite drawn inside back row should have a better run and a great EW chance
RESULT: 2nd. Bloody hell. Had the favourite right where we wanted him but it's gets the perfect run from 3 back the pegs around the turn & gets Dam Lucky 50 metres from the post. $100 Collect
$50 Each Way
Race 8 No 3 Awesome Mattjesty.
Was pretty good last start after being polaxed at the start, rounded the field late with cover only to have the horse in front of it gallop in it's face. Once it balanced up again finished off well to only finish 3 metres off the winner fourth. It was a weaker race than this but I think it should've won easily last start with any luck. Gets Gavin Lang on board & although Gav has let me down a few times recently, from the draw should sit 1x1 following the favourite & have the last crack at them
Result: 3rd. In hindsight the $50 ew was a little crazy versus the $1.40 shot. Should have been $20/$80. Anyway, makes the day a profitable one. Collect $164
Meeting result: Won $64
$50 Each Way
Race 5 No 4 Dam Lucky.
This bloke doesn't win out of turn but does grow a leg when it can lead. I think the lead is his today & with the likely odds on favourite drawn inside back row should have a better run and a great EW chance
RESULT: 2nd. Bloody hell. Had the favourite right where we wanted him but it's gets the perfect run from 3 back the pegs around the turn & gets Dam Lucky 50 metres from the post. $100 Collect
$50 Each Way
Race 8 No 3 Awesome Mattjesty.
Was pretty good last start after being polaxed at the start, rounded the field late with cover only to have the horse in front of it gallop in it's face. Once it balanced up again finished off well to only finish 3 metres off the winner fourth. It was a weaker race than this but I think it should've won easily last start with any luck. Gets Gavin Lang on board & although Gav has let me down a few times recently, from the draw should sit 1x1 following the favourite & have the last crack at them
Result: 3rd. In hindsight the $50 ew was a little crazy versus the $1.40 shot. Should have been $20/$80. Anyway, makes the day a profitable one. Collect $164
Meeting result: Won $64
Cranbourne Saturday 29 Jun 2013
The focus is on the trotters here tonight so slim pickings for a tipster that focuses on the pacers! I still think I've found a couple:
Best EW:
$20 Win/$30 Place
Race 1 No 8 Sals Mo. Its going to take one hell of a drive to get this bloke into the clear but it's the inform horse of the field and represents value. Crosby Cullen was great last prep but it's trial form has only been so-so. I can't see any other dangers. Would have been $100 the WIN if it had drawn anywhere else!
RESULT: 4th. Galloped out but took all the shortcuts to run 4th without ever being a chance
$50 EW
Race 5 No 5 Miss Moonlight. She doesn't win often but has been racing bloody well against Victorias best mares. This is a step back in class tonight & I can see her settling 1x1 early & having the last crack at them. Looks her night
RESULT: LOST! Poor run. Had nice cover 1x3, got the run rounding the turn but didn't run on as I expected.
Best Exotic:
Race 8 Trifecta
5/1-8/1-8 $50 (2500%)
Rule Like A King far too good for these.
Sortoris back in class & looks likely to sit behind Rule Like A King.
Jodilla 3 pegs & races well with a smother.
RESULT: WINNER! Thankfully salvage something from the wreckage. Easy money that one. Collect $202.50
MEETING RESULT: Won $2.5. Off to buy myself some mixed lollies.
Best EW:
$20 Win/$30 Place
Race 1 No 8 Sals Mo. Its going to take one hell of a drive to get this bloke into the clear but it's the inform horse of the field and represents value. Crosby Cullen was great last prep but it's trial form has only been so-so. I can't see any other dangers. Would have been $100 the WIN if it had drawn anywhere else!
RESULT: 4th. Galloped out but took all the shortcuts to run 4th without ever being a chance
$50 EW
Race 5 No 5 Miss Moonlight. She doesn't win often but has been racing bloody well against Victorias best mares. This is a step back in class tonight & I can see her settling 1x1 early & having the last crack at them. Looks her night
RESULT: LOST! Poor run. Had nice cover 1x3, got the run rounding the turn but didn't run on as I expected.
Best Exotic:
Race 8 Trifecta
5/1-8/1-8 $50 (2500%)
Rule Like A King far too good for these.
Sortoris back in class & looks likely to sit behind Rule Like A King.
Jodilla 3 pegs & races well with a smother.
RESULT: WINNER! Thankfully salvage something from the wreckage. Easy money that one. Collect $202.50
MEETING RESULT: Won $2.5. Off to buy myself some mixed lollies.
Tabcorp Park Melton, VIC (Night) - Friday, 28 Jun 2013
BEST WIN BET:
$100 WIN (currently $1.8 with some corporates-take it if you can get it)
Race 2 No 2 Real Bonus. Super impressive mare who looks the leader. There doesn't seem to be any pressure in this race so should win as it likes. Will be red figures though. For those wanting exotics, I predict a slow speed for this class & the place to be will be the
pegs. 1 & 8 are my predictions for 2nd & 3rd
RESULT: WINNER! One of the easiest wins you're likely to see. Collect $150
BEST EW
$20 WIN/$80 Place ($12)
Race 4 No 8 Teo Enteo. Youranut is the one to beat here & has been awesome since coming to Victoria. However, it'll be too short to back. If there is pressure on it midrace, Teo Enteo will be breathing down it's back ready to pounce. It races best that way & will look a chance at some stage in the straight.
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough to beat the fav but still ran well. $2.40 the place offered on bookmaker.com.au. Collect $160
$50 EW ($6)
Race 1 No 9 Our Femme Fatale. Last start had no hope from the back of the field when they ran home in 55.5 over the short course. Would prefer if she'd drawn to lead but the fav draws outside backrow & she's beaten the rest before. Important to note, Greg Sugars stays for her & not the fav. Not sure by choice though! The other value in the race is Mammals Maker but the inside back row draw has put me off
RESULT: 3rd. In a final he would've pulled out and sat in the death seat but looked happy to run on late and make the final in tonights semi. Collect $90
Roughy
$20 WIN / $30 Place
Race 10 No 2 Viewpoint. Forget it went around in the 1720 metre boat race where it was given no chance. This is his best draw for sometime & although there are a couple of smart ones in it he's a big show to knock them off
Result: Lost. Got stuck 4 back the fence and was always going to be tough but ran home well for 5th. No $$ for that though
Quaddies
SHORTIES QUAD: $30 for 1000%
1 / 2-6-9 / 5 / 3
RESULT: Winner! Quaddie pays a huge $9.30! Collect $93
Roughy Quaddie: $20 for 27.77%
1-8-12 / 2-5-6-9 / 2-5-8 / 3-6
RESULT: WINNER but a loser.. Collect $2.6 & that's rounding up!
Exotics
Having a crack at a trifecta just for $10 a race for those wanting ideas for each race:
Race 1: 6-9 / 6-4-8-9 / 1-4-6-8-9-12 (41%)
RESULT: LOST! (Lost $10)
Race 2: 2/ 1-8 / 1-8 for $5 gets you 250%
2 / 1-8 / 1-5-8-9 for $5 gets you 83%
RESULT: Winner on both counts. $29 Collect (Up $9)
Race 3: 2 / 6 / 1-12 for $5 gets you 250%
2/1-12/6 for $5 gets you 250%
RESULT: LOST! Didn't have the 9, bad miss.. (Down $1)
Race 4: 1 / 8-12 /1-8-9-12 for $7.5 (125%)
8-12 / 1 / 8-9-12 for $2.5 (62%)
RESULT: Winner! Collect $13.25! In hindsight should've smashed 1-8-12. Anyway (Up $4.25)
Race 5: 2 / 5-6-9 / 1-5-6-9 (166%)
RESULT: LOST! Let the whinging begin.The 3 costs me a big result. Missed by a pimple.. (Down $5.75)
Race 6: 5 / 2-8 / 2-8 (500%)
RESULT: LOST! Again, missed by a pimple with the 8 finishing a close up 4th. (Down $15.75)
Race 7: 3 / 1-6 / 8 (500%)
RESULT: LOST! Got this wrong. Guaranteed much improved tonight (Down $25.75 - what a great idea this was!)
Race 8: First 4 here. 1-4-8 / 1-3-4-8-9 / 1-3-4-8-9 / 1-3-4-8-9 (14%)
RESULT: LOST! All around it. Thought I was home with 100 to go. Bloody Scruffy Major... F4 pays $7.5k (Down $35.75)
Race 9: 2-5-6 / 2-5-6-13 / 1-2-5-6-13 (83%)
Result: Lost
Race 10: 2-4-11 / 2-4-8-11 / 2-4-8-11-12 (37%)
Result: Lost
Race 11: 2-5 / 2-4-5-8 / 2-4-5-8-10-11-12 (34%)
Result: Lost
Race 12: 7/ 4-5-6-12 / 1 (250%)
Result: Lost
Meeting Result: Never doing exotics again! All that for a $17.85 profit.. Pat myself on the back..
$100 WIN (currently $1.8 with some corporates-take it if you can get it)
Race 2 No 2 Real Bonus. Super impressive mare who looks the leader. There doesn't seem to be any pressure in this race so should win as it likes. Will be red figures though. For those wanting exotics, I predict a slow speed for this class & the place to be will be the
pegs. 1 & 8 are my predictions for 2nd & 3rd
RESULT: WINNER! One of the easiest wins you're likely to see. Collect $150
BEST EW
$20 WIN/$80 Place ($12)
Race 4 No 8 Teo Enteo. Youranut is the one to beat here & has been awesome since coming to Victoria. However, it'll be too short to back. If there is pressure on it midrace, Teo Enteo will be breathing down it's back ready to pounce. It races best that way & will look a chance at some stage in the straight.
RESULT: 2nd. Not good enough to beat the fav but still ran well. $2.40 the place offered on bookmaker.com.au. Collect $160
$50 EW ($6)
Race 1 No 9 Our Femme Fatale. Last start had no hope from the back of the field when they ran home in 55.5 over the short course. Would prefer if she'd drawn to lead but the fav draws outside backrow & she's beaten the rest before. Important to note, Greg Sugars stays for her & not the fav. Not sure by choice though! The other value in the race is Mammals Maker but the inside back row draw has put me off
RESULT: 3rd. In a final he would've pulled out and sat in the death seat but looked happy to run on late and make the final in tonights semi. Collect $90
Roughy
$20 WIN / $30 Place
Race 10 No 2 Viewpoint. Forget it went around in the 1720 metre boat race where it was given no chance. This is his best draw for sometime & although there are a couple of smart ones in it he's a big show to knock them off
Result: Lost. Got stuck 4 back the fence and was always going to be tough but ran home well for 5th. No $$ for that though
Quaddies
SHORTIES QUAD: $30 for 1000%
1 / 2-6-9 / 5 / 3
RESULT: Winner! Quaddie pays a huge $9.30! Collect $93
Roughy Quaddie: $20 for 27.77%
1-8-12 / 2-5-6-9 / 2-5-8 / 3-6
RESULT: WINNER but a loser.. Collect $2.6 & that's rounding up!
Exotics
Having a crack at a trifecta just for $10 a race for those wanting ideas for each race:
Race 1: 6-9 / 6-4-8-9 / 1-4-6-8-9-12 (41%)
RESULT: LOST! (Lost $10)
Race 2: 2/ 1-8 / 1-8 for $5 gets you 250%
2 / 1-8 / 1-5-8-9 for $5 gets you 83%
RESULT: Winner on both counts. $29 Collect (Up $9)
Race 3: 2 / 6 / 1-12 for $5 gets you 250%
2/1-12/6 for $5 gets you 250%
RESULT: LOST! Didn't have the 9, bad miss.. (Down $1)
Race 4: 1 / 8-12 /1-8-9-12 for $7.5 (125%)
8-12 / 1 / 8-9-12 for $2.5 (62%)
RESULT: Winner! Collect $13.25! In hindsight should've smashed 1-8-12. Anyway (Up $4.25)
Race 5: 2 / 5-6-9 / 1-5-6-9 (166%)
RESULT: LOST! Let the whinging begin.The 3 costs me a big result. Missed by a pimple.. (Down $5.75)
Race 6: 5 / 2-8 / 2-8 (500%)
RESULT: LOST! Again, missed by a pimple with the 8 finishing a close up 4th. (Down $15.75)
Race 7: 3 / 1-6 / 8 (500%)
RESULT: LOST! Got this wrong. Guaranteed much improved tonight (Down $25.75 - what a great idea this was!)
Race 8: First 4 here. 1-4-8 / 1-3-4-8-9 / 1-3-4-8-9 / 1-3-4-8-9 (14%)
RESULT: LOST! All around it. Thought I was home with 100 to go. Bloody Scruffy Major... F4 pays $7.5k (Down $35.75)
Race 9: 2-5-6 / 2-5-6-13 / 1-2-5-6-13 (83%)
Result: Lost
Race 10: 2-4-11 / 2-4-8-11 / 2-4-8-11-12 (37%)
Result: Lost
Race 11: 2-5 / 2-4-5-8 / 2-4-5-8-10-11-12 (34%)
Result: Lost
Race 12: 7/ 4-5-6-12 / 1 (250%)
Result: Lost
Meeting Result: Never doing exotics again! All that for a $17.85 profit.. Pat myself on the back..
Swan Hill Thursday June 27th
Hard to get enthusiastic about this meeting but I think I've found one:
Best EW:
$50 EW Race 4 No 6 Yerrington Bob
If this bloke drew 1-4 I'd be going win only. Has good gate speed, not great so may find himself without cover but his last race against better opposition puts him right in this race even if racing in the death
RESULT: Lost! Did nothing
DAY RESULT: Still got a hangover from yesterdays collect/ That was a poor days punting but look out Melton! Lost $167.50
Best EW:
$50 EW Race 4 No 6 Yerrington Bob
If this bloke drew 1-4 I'd be going win only. Has good gate speed, not great so may find himself without cover but his last race against better opposition puts him right in this race even if racing in the death
RESULT: Lost! Did nothing
DAY RESULT: Still got a hangover from yesterdays collect/ That was a poor days punting but look out Melton! Lost $167.50
Bendigo Wednesday June 26th
Another tough meeting to find an absolute cert but I've got a couple of value runners here:
Best Bet: $50ew Race 8 No 2 Bowland Borg. Finally gets a draw and with a slow beginner on its inside the lead or leaders back is his. Good chanc
Result: Winner! Bam! That was the one I've been looking for! Didn't lead but got the cushy run 1x1 and fell in. Collect $1,155
$20 Win/$30 Place Race 4 No 2 Chick At The Bar. Should lead and over the short course be hard to beat.
Result: 4th. Also big odds but didn't lead and ended up 4 pegs. Not happy with the drive and reckon it should've run top 3
Meeting Result: $1005 profit if you don't mind
Best Bet: $50ew Race 8 No 2 Bowland Borg. Finally gets a draw and with a slow beginner on its inside the lead or leaders back is his. Good chanc
Result: Winner! Bam! That was the one I've been looking for! Didn't lead but got the cushy run 1x1 and fell in. Collect $1,155
$20 Win/$30 Place Race 4 No 2 Chick At The Bar. Should lead and over the short course be hard to beat.
Result: 4th. Also big odds but didn't lead and ended up 4 pegs. Not happy with the drive and reckon it should've run top 3
Meeting Result: $1005 profit if you don't mind
Cobram Wednesday June 26tH
Best Bet: $100 Win Race 5 No 2 Nuggets Brother
Best EW: $50 EW Race 4 No 2 Sugar Town
Meeting Result: lost $100
Best EW: $50 EW Race 4 No 2 Sugar Town
Meeting Result: lost $100
